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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-14-17 | Broncos v. Colts OVER 40.5 | Top | 25-13 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos and Indianapolis Colts Over the total. The Colts lost in overtime to Buffalo last week, 13-7. And that was the fifth straight 'Under' played by the Colts. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play this game 'Under' the total as well, especially since Denver was also involved in a very low-scoring game (23-0) last week vs. the Jets. But consider that NFL teams off 4 straight 'Unders' have gone 'OVER' THE TOTAL 133-86-6 (60.7%) if they scored less than 13 points in their previous game, including 92-46-3 'OVER' if the line was 37+ points! Take the 'Over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-14-17 | Ducks v. Blues -145 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -145 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over the Anaheim Ducks. In what could possibly be a Stanley Cup Finals preview, the Lightning beat the Blues on Tuesday, 3-0, breaking St. Louis's four-game winning streak. The loss to the Bolts is likely an indication of how much better the Eastern Conference appears to be this season than the West and not necessarily an indictment of what looks like a very good Blues team. So tonight the Blues get back to facing a team from the West as the Ducks visit the Gateway city for the second time this season. Anaheim won the first meeting, 3-2, despite being out-shot by 39-30. But the Ducks are very banged up right now, with no fewer than six front-line regulars out with injuries, including #1 RW Corey Perry, #2 LW Nick Ritchie, and #2 C Ryan Kesler. Anaheim's victory over the Hurricanes on Monday was just its third win in the last 11 games. The home team is 39-13-1 in the last 53 meetings of these two clubs while the Ducks are 1-4 in the last five in St. Louis. Take the Blues. NHL Roadkill Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-13-17 | Portland State v. Oregon -13 | Top | 84-95 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
At 10 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Portland State. The Vikings have ripped off eight straight point spread wins to start the season. But that streak should come to an end, in Eugene, tonight. Indeed, since 1990, College Basketball teams on a 7-game ATS win streak, with a .900 (or better) ATS win percentage, are 0-15 ATS as underdogs of +3 or more points in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes. Take Oregon. NCAA Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-13-17 | Jazz -5 v. Bulls | Top | 100-103 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Chicago. The Bulls come into tonight's game off 3 upset wins, while Utah is off 3 losses. But we'll lay the points with the Jazz, as NBA road favorites of -5+ points, off 3+ losses, have gone 99-65 ATS since 1990. Take Utah. |
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12-13-17 | Thunder v. Pacers | Top | 100-95 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder over Indiana. There's no doubt that the Thunder are underperforming right now. They're 12-14 on the season, and are 7-18-1 ATS, including 0-9 ATS their last nine. But they still have outscored opponents by an average of 2.15 ppg. Interestingly, that's better than Indiana's margin of victory (+1.52), and the Pacers are 16-11 on the season (and 17-10 ATS). But the fact that OKC is underperforming, and Indiana is overperforming has created line value for us in this game. And, for further technical support, consider that teams off 9+ point spread defeats are 48-24-1 ATS. Take the Thunder. |
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12-12-17 | Michigan v. Texas -6 | Top | 59-52 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Michigan. We played on the Wolverines in their last game -- a 78-69 overtime win vs UCLA. That victory moved Michigan to 8-3 on the season. But the Wolverines are 0-2 SU/ATS this year when they had to play on their opponent's home court, with losses at North Carolina and at Ohio State. And they're 6-20 ATS off a home win, including 0-7 ATS their last seven. Meanwhile, Texas is 6-2, but is a perfect 4-0 straight-up at home this season, with an average margin of victory of 27.75 points. These two teams did meet last season in Ann Arbor, and the Wolves came away with a narrow three-point win (as a 10-point favorite). But Michigan is a poor 38% ATS over the past 28 years vs. revenge-minded non-conference foes. And the Longhorns also fall into a 285-174 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites of -5+ points. Take Texas. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-17 | Nuggets v. Pistons -7 | Top | 103-84 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Denver. The Pistons sprinted out to a 14-6 start, but have dropped six straight to fall to 14-12. But take a look at the six opponents that defeated Detroit over the previous 11 days: Washington, Philly, San Antonio, Milwaukee, Golden State and Boston. There isn't a losing team among them. And their combined record is 106-55. Moreover, four of the six games were on the road. So, tonight's home game against the 14-12 Nuggets -- though Denver is also a winning team -- will be a much more winnable game than those last six. Also, for technical support, consider that NBA home favorites of -5+ points have gone 81-54 ATS if they lost their six previous games. And Denver is 0-5 SU/ATS this season as an underdog of +2.5 (or more) points. Take the Pistons. NBA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-17 | Avalanche v. Capitals -197 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over the Colorado Avalanche. Following their loss to the Islanders, the Caps will be playing on back-to-back nights, traveling south from New York to DC. And like they do so often in these situations, the Caps will turn to 26-year-old goalie Philipp Grubauer as they give their #1 Braden Holtby the night off. For the first six weeks of the season, a Grubauer start meant a Capitals loss as the Caps back-up net-minder struggled mightily. But Grubauer has found his rhythm in his last two starts -- November 24 vs. the Lightning and December 4 vs. the Sharks -- stopping a total of 49 of 51 shots in a pair of dominating victories. Grubauer looks to do it again against a team that he's beaten in two of three games. The Avs will look to do what they did in their last match-up against DC on November 16 when they blasted them, 6-2 at home. But tonight is on the road in Washington where the Caps are 12-5 this season. Washington is 6-1 in the last seven meetings. And its also 28-16 revenging a same-season loss. Take the Caps. NHL Elite Info Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-17 | Mississippi State v. Cincinnati -11 | Top | 50-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are 8-0 on the season, but have had a diet of creampuffs so far. Indeed, this will be the Bulldogs' first game played away from home this season. And just their 3rd game against a school from a major or mid-major conference (Dayton and Green Bay were the other two). But even though Mississippi State defeated Dayton and Green Bay, it didn't cover the point spread in either game. And neither was particularly close. Miss State failed to cover by 10.5 points vs. Green Bay, and it failed to cover by 8 points vs. Dayton. The Bulldogs did win their most recent game, 95-62, vs. North Georgia. Unfortunately, the Bulldogs are an awful 0-7 ATS off a win by 18+ points. Take Cincinnati. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-17 | Patriots v. Dolphins UNDER 47.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 66 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the 'under' in the Miami/New England game, as it falls into a 90-55 Totals System of mine. Additionally, both of these teams come into Monday's game off stellar defensive performances. The Dolphins held Denver to just 9 points last week, while New England surrendered just 3 points to Buffalo. And NFL match-ups, between two teams that each held their respective previous opponent to less than 10 points, have gone 'Under' 77% of the time since 1980 when the Over/Under line was 45+ points! Moreover, New England is currently on an 8-game win streak keyed by its defense. The Patriots' stop unit hasn't allowed any opponent to score more than 17 points throughout this stretch, and has gone 'Under' in six of the eight games. Take the 'Under.' Monday Night Football Total of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-17 | Celtics -7 v. Bulls | Top | 85-108 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Chicago Bulls. Fred Hoiberg's men haven't won many games this season -- they're just 5-20 -- but they have won their last two games. However, I love playing against bad teams off wins. And especially off back to back wins, as .300 (or worse) teams have covered just 38 percent at home since 1990 off back to back wins when matched up against an opponent off a win. Boston plays hard every night, as evidenced by its 25-8 ATS record on the road off a point spread win the past two years. Lay the points with Boston. NBA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-17 | Capitals v. Islanders -116 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Islanders over the Washington Capitals. After winning five out of six games between November 22 and December 4 (including all three away games), the Isles come into this critical match-up with the Caps having lost three straight on the road. The Islanders lost in Tampa, Pittsburgh, and Boston -- three very tough places for visiting teams -- so they should be happy to get back to Brooklyn tonight to face the Caps. It's a team that the Isles have had some success against lately, having won four of the last seven meetings, including two here at home. The Caps, meanwhile, have won four straight and seven of their last eight, but they've also had the good fortune of having played nine of their last ten in DC. They have a losing record (6-7) on the road this season, while the Isles are 8-3 at Barclays Center coming in. One of the Caps best players -- and leaders -- F T.J. Oshie hasn't played in two games due to a head injury and he will likely have to miss this one as well. New York is 8-3 in its last 11 after scoring two goals or less in the previous game. Take the Isles. NHL Game of the Week. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-17 | Avalanche v. Penguins -210 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -210 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the Colorado Avalanche. When Pens goalie Matt Murray went down with injuries last season, the Penguins turned to veteran Marc-Andre Fleury who almost always filled in admirably. But now Fleury is gone (in the expansion draft to Vegas) and so the Pens will lean on Murray that much more. But once again their Stanley Cup winning Goalie is on the shelf with a lower-body injury, so now it is up to 22-year-old Tristan Jarry to fill in until Murray is ready to return. So far, so good, as Jarry is 5-1 with a 2.67 GAA and .914 saves pct. in nine games played (eight starts). With Murray still a few day away, Jarry will go again tonight at home against the Avs. Colorado won its last game, scoring a season-high seven goals. But that was against a bad Panthers team that has allowed a conference-high 104 goals this season. The Avs will have a much tougher time tonight in Pittsburgh, even with Murray's back-up between the pipes. The Pens are 10-4-1 at home while the Avs are 5-8-1 on the road. And Colorado's also a poor 12-24 after a win by 2+ goals, while the Pens are 50-19 after allowing more than 3 goals. Take Pittsburgh. NHL Roadkill Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-17 | Ravens v. Steelers -4.5 | Top | 38-39 | Loss | -105 | 42 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over Baltimore. Pittsburgh was our preseason pick (at 12-1 odds) to win the Super Bowl, and it has done nothing to disappoint thus far. Mike Tomlin's men are 10-2 straight-up, including 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS here at home. And Pittsburgh has long had tremendous success at home, especially in this price range, as it is 89-27-1 SU and 72-44-1 ATS when priced between -3.5 and -7 points! That bodes well for Pittsburgh on Sunday night. As does the fact that the Steelers are 18-7-1 ATS as a home favorite of -2.5 (or more) points vs. Baltimore, including 10-1-1 ATS if the Ravens were off a point spread win. Finally, Baltimore comes into this game off a 44-20 blowout win over Detroit. But the Ravens are a woeful 8-25-4 ATS on the road off a win by more than 18 points, including 0-11 ATS when getting more than 3 points. Take Pittsburgh. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-17 | Seahawks v. Jaguars -2.5 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 36 h 28 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over Seattle. Last week, we had a big play on the Seattle Seahawks as a home underdog vs. Philadelphia. And Seattle rewarded us with an upset win at home. Unfortunately, they now have to go on the road. And winning teams are a dreadful 39-74 ATS on the road vs. other winning teams, if our road team was off an upset win at home in its previous game. Take Jacksonville. Good luck as always…Al McMordie. |
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12-10-17 | Jets v. Broncos +1.5 | Top | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 37 h 20 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos over the NY Jets. Last week, the Denver Broncos were favored by 1.5 points at Miami, but lost, 35-9. Meanwhile, the New York Jets upset Kansas City, 38-31, as a 4-point home underdog. Now, Denver has been installed as a home underdog, and we'll grab the points, as NFL home teams have cashed 80% over the past 17 years off an upset road loss if they're now matched up against an opponent off an upset win, and are not favored by 3+ points. Also, Denver's 27-14-2 ATS its last 43 as home underdogs. Take Denver. NFL Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-17 | Raiders v. Chiefs UNDER 49 | Top | 15-26 | Win | 100 | 33 h 3 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Kansas City/Oakland game. Both of these teams have been playing relatively low-scoring games, of late. The Raiders have gone 'under' in three straight, while the Chiefs have gone 'under' in three of their last four. The Chiefs have gone 'under' in 9 of 13 division games at home with Over/Under lines greater than 42, while the Raiders have gone 'under' in 24 of 31 division games on the road with Over/Under lines greater than 42 (including the last 5 in a row). Take the 'under.' |
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12-10-17 | Vikings v. Panthers +3 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 33 h 2 m | Show |
At 1 pm our selection is on the Carolina Panthers over Minnesota. This will be Minnesota’s 3rd straight road game. And NFL teams have gone a poor 71-120 against the spread since 1980 if they were playing their 3rd straight road game, and weren’t off back to back losses in the other two games. Even worse for the Vikings: they’ve won eight straight games, and covered their last seven. But as we saw with the Philadelphia Eagles last week in their upset loss to the Seahawks, road teams that are favored (or PK em) off 7 straight point spread wins have covered just 35% over the last 38 years. Take Carolina. |
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12-10-17 | Charlotte +5 v. Tenn Chattanooga | Top | 50-64 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Tennessee Chattanooga, as Charlotte falls into 141-62, 80-18 and 116-55 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off a SU/ATS loss. The 49ers come into this game off a 23-point SU/ATS home loss to Wake Forest, while Chattanooga lost (but covered) as an 8-point road dog to Marshall. Unfortunately for Chattanooga, it's a wallet-busting 20-44-3 ATS off a pointspread win vs. an opponent off a pointspread defeat, including 3-15-1 ATS as a home favorite of -4 or more points. Take Charlotte + the points. NCAA Hoops Underdog of the Week! |
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12-09-17 | Portland State v. Santa Clara -2.5 | Top | 87-84 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos minus the points over Portland State. The Vikings are 7-2 straight-up this season, including an upset win at Loyola Marymount on Wednesday. Even better: the Vikings are a perfect 7-0 ATS on the year. But this 7-0 point spread win streak has set up the Vikings in a negative 39-90 ATS system of mine which goes against certain "hot" teams. Moreover, Portland State is a wallet-busing 35.7% ATS on the road off back to back wins, if it pulled an upset in its previous game, while Santa Clara is an awesome 67% ATS at home since 1990 vs. non-conference foes off upset wins. Lay the points with the Broncos. NCAA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-17 | Thunder -5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Memphis. The Thunder have dropped their last seven in a row to the point spread, which may keep a lot of bettors away this evening. But road teams favored by more than three points, off 7+ ATS losses, have covered 70.8% since 1993. I look for Russell Westbrook & Co. to blow out the hapless Grizzlies on Saturday night. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-17 | Golden Knights v. Stars -170 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -170 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over the Vegas Golden Knights. After losing three straight games, the Golden Knights have now won three straight. But before anyone hands the Stanley Cup to the NHL's latest expansion franchise, they should take a closer look at that three-game win streak the Knights are currently enjoying. Including last night's shootout victory, the Knights needed extra time in all three of those and the first two were against the Coyotes and Ducks.  These two clubs met less than two weeks ago (November 28) and the Stars easily won that one by a 3-0 shutout despite being out-shot by 34-30. The Stars have lost two straight (to St. Louis and Nashville) but they put together a nice five-game win streak before that, out-scoring their opponents by a total of 23-11. Dallas has one of the best home goal differentials in the league, scoring 3.46 goals per game on average at AA Center while allowing an average of just 2.23 (a 1.23 differential). The Stars are 5-0 in their last five vs. teams from the Pacific Division. Take Dallas. NHL High Roller Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-17 | Coppin State v. Connecticut -24 | Top | 59-72 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Coppin State. The Eagles are 0-9 on the season, so they should be a welcome sight for a 6-3 UConn team which has gone 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS over its last five games (after starting the season 4-0). But .800 (or worse) teams, favored by more than 18 points, off 5+ ATS losses, have covered 70.3% over the past 28 years. Take the Huskies. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-17 | UCLA v. Michigan -4.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on Michigan minus the points over UCLA. The Wolverines lost their previous game, 71-62, at Ohio State. But U-M is 53-31 ATS off a loss. And .500 (or better) teams are 49-22 ATS at home in games between the Big 10 and Pac-!2 Conferences, including 11-1 ATS off a loss. Take Michigan. |
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12-09-17 | William & Mary v. Ohio State -14.5 | Top | 62-97 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over William & Mary, as Ohio State falls into 284-174, 78-2 and 130-50 ATS systems of mine. William & Mary comes into this game off an upset win at George Mason, and is 6-2 SU and 4-0 ATS on the season. However, the Buckeyes are 69-45 ATS at home vs. foes with an ATS win percentage of .333 (or better), while William & Mary is an awful 18-35-1 ATS away from home as a dog of +5 or more points, if it won and covered its previous game. Take Ohio State. |
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12-08-17 | Sabres v. Blackhawks -180 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Blackhawks over the Buffalo Sabres. With their embarrassing 6-2 loss in DC two nights ago, the Blackhawks have now lost five games in a row. All five of those defeats came against teams with winning records and the combined record of those teams is a very lofty 69-45 (they lost to the Stars twice). So it must come as a welcome relief that their game tonight will be against the Buffalo Sabres. If the Hawks wanted to choose a team to break their losing with, they couldn't have hand-picked a better opponent than the Sabres. Sure, Buffalo won its last game -- in Colorado against a bad Avs club -- but that was just its second victory in the last 13 games overall. Despite a losing record at home this season (6-7), the Blackhawks have some very good numbers when you break it down. Here at United Center, they have a 3.54 scoring average vs. a 2.62 Goals-against -- for a 0.92 goal differential which is among the best in the league. The Sabres are 0-11 in the last 11 meetings and 0-7 in the last seven in Chicago. Take the Hawks. NHL Elite Info. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-08-17 | Cavs v. Pacers +3.5 | Top | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavaliers have won 11 straight games. But the primary reason for their win streak has been the dreadful level of competition. Of the Cavs' 11 victories, only TWO were against teams that currently own a winning record: Detroit (14-10) and Philadelphia (13-11). Indeed, the Cavs' schedule has actually been pretty easy thus far, as it's only played nine games (of its 25 games) against the 14 other NBA teams that currently own a winning record. Cleveland's schedule will toughen up over the next several weeks, as 11 of its next 18 games will be against foes that currently own a winning record. Indiana is a solid 57-41-1 ATS vs. winning teams, including 30-19-1 ATS at home. And it's 17-8-1 ATS its last 26 vs. Cleveland. Finally, Cleveland is an awful 5-17-1 its last 23 as a favorite. Take the Pacers. NBA High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-07-17 | Saints v. Falcons UNDER 52 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Atlanta/New Orleans game, as it falls into 113-60 and 165-110 Totals systems of mine. Additionally, the Saints have gone 'under' in 30 of 44 division road games since Nov. 17, 2002, including 19-4 'under' when priced as a single-digit underdog (or PK). And the Falcons have gone 'under' in 16 of 19 games (84.2%) after scoring 21 or less points in their previous game. Finally, seven of the last nine meetings between these two clubs in Atlanta have gone 'under' (as have 11 of the last 15 when the O/U line was greater than 45 points). Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-17 | Pacific +5.5 v. UC-Davis | Top | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Cal Davis. These two teams met earlier this season at Pacific. The Tigers were favored by 5.5 points in that game, but were upset, 62-58. But Pacific has won five of its last six games. And it's a solid 32-15 ATS when playing with revenge from a home upset loss. Finally, the Tigers fall into a 93-54 ATS NCAA revenge system of mine. Take Pacific. NCAA ELITE INFO. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-17 | Flyers v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers and Philadelphia Flyers to go 'under' the total. The Flyers snapped their 10-game losing streak with 5-2 win at Calgary on Monday. The Oilers are also off a high-scoring win, as they beat Calgary, as well, 7-5, on Saturday. Tonight, I look for a low-scoring game, as Philly is 156-118 'under' after scoring 5+ goals in its previous game. And the Oilers have gone 'under' in 22 of 31 at home off a win by 2+ goals, and 26 of 42 off back-to-back 'overs.' Take the 'UNDER.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-17 | Mavs +9 v. Celtics | Top | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Boston. We went against the Celtics last week in their game vs. the Suns (and cashed). And one of the points I made in my analysis for that game was that the Celtics had only been favored by more than eight points once before in this season. Well, Boston failed to cover that big point spread. And now it is favored again by more than 8 points vs. Dallas (just Boston's 3rd time to be favored by this many points in its 26 games this season), notwithstanding the fact that the Mavericks are off back to back blowout wins of 17+ points. And NBA road underdogs with a losing record have cashed 62% since 1990 off back to back home 17+ point wins! These two teams met earlier this year in Dallas, and the Mavericks lost in overtime, 110-102, after leading by as many as 13 points in the 4th quarter. But Dallas is a super 27-11 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 10-1 ATS when getting 6+ points. Take the Mavericks. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-17 | Northern Kentucky v. East Tenn State +1.5 | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers over the Northern Kentucky Norse. These two clubs met in the season opener, and the Norse came away with an 81-63 home victory, as a 5-point favorite. Now, East Tennessee State has been installed as a home underdog, and we'll grab the points, as the Buccaneers fall into a 49-16 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams with a winning record, as well as a 33-14 ATS angle which plays on certain revengers that lost by more than 15 points earlier in the season. East Tennessee is also 11-4 ATS when playing with revenge from a double-digit road defeat, while the Norse are a poor 40% ATS as a road favorite of 6 or less points. Take East Tennessee. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-17 | Jazz v. Thunder -7 | Top | 94-100 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Utah. The Thunder play with revenge from an upset loss to the Jazz back in October. Utah won that game, 96-87, as a 4-point underdog. However, the Thunder are 65-37-2 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, while the Jazz are a horrid 3-22 ATS as regular season road underdogs priced from +3 to +8.5 points. Take the Thunder. NBA Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-17 | Blues +100 v. Canadiens | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over the Montreal Canadiens. The Canadiens were a team that almost couldn't manage a win no matter what they did in October and much of November. But now they are red-hot, having won five straight coming into tonight. But before we anoint this team the second coming of the great Montreal franchises of the past, let's consider who the Habs have beaten in their streak. In only one of those five games did they face an opponent with a winning record (Columbus), while the other three have a combined won-lost ledger of 25-51 (they beat the Red Wings twice, accounting for the last two of the victories). The Canadiens have been without #1 C Jonathan Drouin in those last two, as the veteran has been out with a lower-body injury and he won't be available for tonight's game either against a much better opponent. The Blues are 17-10 and have a winning record on the road (8-5) as well as at home (9-5). St. Louis has won each of the last three against the Habs, the latest of which was last February and they are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Take the Blues. NHL Elite Info Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-17 | Steelers v. Bengals +6 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Pittsburgh. These two division rivals met earlier this season in the Steel City, and the Steelers blew out the Bengals, 29-14. Pittsburgh's 9-2 on the season, while Cincy's just 5-6, but we'll fade Mike Tomlin's men on Monday. And that's because NFL teams with a .750 (or better) record, that won the season's first meeting, have cashed just 30% on the road vs. losing foes. That bodes well for the Bengals on Monday. As does the fact that NFL home dogs of 6 or less points are a super 85-48 ATS in the season's final five weeks, if they're within one game of .500 (whether 1 game above .500, 1 game below .500 or exactly .500). Take the Bengals. Monday Night Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-17 | Missouri State -1.5 v. North Dakota State | Top | 71-58 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears minus the points over North Dakota State. The Bears and Bison met earlier this season, in November, and Missouri State was upset in Springfield, 57-54, as a 9.5-point favorite. Since that defeat, however, the Bears have won five of six games to move their season record to 7-2. In sports, revenge can often be sweet, and I expect the Bears to get some payback on this Monday night. Indeed, NCAA road teams with a .625 (or better) win percentage, have cashed 71% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a loss, as a favorite of more than 6 points, to a non-conference foe. Additionally, North Dakota State has covered just 11 of its last 34 non-conference games, and 14 of its last 40 as underdogs. Take Missouri State. NCAA Hoops Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-17 | Nets +2 v. Hawks | Top | 110-90 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over Atlanta. These two teams met on Saturday, in Brooklyn, and the Hawks snapped a 2-game losing streak with the 114-102 upset win. That was a rare victory for Atlanta, which owns just a 5-17 record. But off that victory, we'll fade the Hawks, as .333 (or worse) teams off upset road wins are a poor 18-48 ATS as home favorites since 1990 vs. foes off a double-digit loss. Take Brooklyn. NBA Payback Payday! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-17 | Detroit v. UCLA -21 | Top | 73-106 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Detroit. The Titans are one of the highest scoring teams (#6) in the nation, as they average almost 94 points per game. But their offensive efficiency is below average, as they rank 197th in that category. So, the fact that they score such a high number of points relates to their pace of play. Detroit's average possession lasts less than 15 seconds. That won't bother UCLA, as the Bruins like to play EVEN FASTER than Detroit. UCLA actually ranks 9th in the country in pace of play. So, I expect a track meet tonight, which will play into the hands of UCLA, which is much more efficient on offense (#32) than Detroit. The Titans are currently on a 3-game ATS win streak. Unfortunately, the Titans are a poor 16-36 ATS when on a 3-game ATS win streak, while UCLA is 60-42 ATS vs. foes on a 3-game ATS win streak, including 43-26 ATS as a favorite or PK. Take the Bruins. NCAA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-17 | Stars v. Avalanche -104 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the Dallas Stars. Colorado catches Dallas in a great spot, as the Stars had to play last night vs. the Blackhawks, while the Avalanche had the night off. Colorado's also in the midst of a 5-game home stand, so it hasn't had to travel in 9 days. Dallas is an awful 5-20 on the road when playing its 3rd game in four nights, 8-22 off a home win; and 48-68 off 4 wins. Take Colorado. NHL Roadkill Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-17 | Panthers v. Saints -4.5 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over Carolina. This NFC South division matchup is between the two teams that currently are atop the standings, as each comes in with an 8-3 record. The Panthers are on a 4-game SU/ATS run. Unfortunately, unrested NFL road teams, with a winning record, off 3 SU/ATS wins, are a poor 52-95 ATS vs. foes not off back to back SU/ATS wins. The Saints blew out Carolina by 21 points in the first meeting this season, and they're 11-2 their last 13 NFC South division contests. Lay the points. NFC South Division Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-02-17 | Miami-FL +10 v. Clemson | Top | 3-38 | Loss | -115 | 50 h 31 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Miami Hurricanes + the points over Clemson. Last year, the Tigers won the ACC and National Championships, so they hope to repeat that feat by taking the first step this Saturday night in Charlotte. The Tigers do come into this game off five straight wins and three straight covers, including a 34-10 victory at South Carolina last week, as a 12-point favorite. But that 24-point win (and 12-point cover) sets up Clemson in a nasty 0-21 ATS situation which hasn't lost in 37 years. What we want to do is play against any defending National Champ away from home if it's off back to back wins, not favored by 17+ points, and covered the point spread the previous week by 5+ points. That doesn't bode well for Dabo Swinney's men on Saturday. And neither does the fact that Clemson is a wallet-busting 12-32 ATS off 5+ wins since 1984. Take Miami + the points. NCAA FB TITLE GAME OF THE YEAR! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-02-17 | Troy v. Arkansas State +1 | Top | 32-25 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves over Troy State. The Red Wolves put up 67 points last week in a blowout win at Louisiana Monroe. And I love Arkansas State to end the season strong, as home teams have cashed 79 percent since 1980 in their final game of the season after scoring 52+ points on the road the previous week. Take the Red Wolves. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-02-17 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals -129 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over the Columbus Blue Jackets. The Caps threw in another one of their clunker efforts as a favorite on Thursday night, losing to the Kings by a 5-2 score at Capital One Arena. But many times, the Caps follow up a disappointing effort like that with a stellar one and that's certainly what they're hoping for tonight as the Blue Jackets come to town for the first meeting of these two this season. Columbus comes into DC on a two game winning streak, but those victories were against the Ducks and Hurricanes, two teams with a combined record of 21-29. The Jackets have the stingiest defense/goaltending in the league when they play at home, as they sport a 1.85 GAA at Nationwide Arena (the only team under two goals per game). But on the road this season, that number is more than a full goal higher at 2.92. The Caps are 5-2 in the last seven meetings while the home team is 6-3 in the last nine and the Jackets are 2-8 in the last 10 trips to Washington. Take the Caps. |
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12-02-17 | Sharks v. Lightning -160 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning over the San Jose Sharks. The Lightning are a solid 17-8 this season, but have lost four of their last six games, including a 3-2 defeat to Boston on Wednesday. The good news, though, for Tampa Bay fans is that it is 54-34 off a loss, and 29-13 when playing with 2 days' of rest. They also will catch a break tonight due to the Sharks having to play last night in Miami against the Panthers. Take Tampa Bay. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-02-17 | South Alabama +10 v. New Mexico State | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 28 h 31 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars + the points over New Mexico St. The Jaguars were whitewashed, 52-0, in an upset loss to Georgia Southern two weeks ago. But I look for them to bounce back on Saturday. Indeed, underdogs priced from +7 to +16 points, off losses by 38+ points, have covered 83% ATS since 1989 in their final game of the season when playing an opponent off a win. Take the Jaguars. |
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12-02-17 | Georgia +3 v. Auburn | Top | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 35 h 12 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs over Auburn. The Tigers upset previously undefeated Alabama last week. But off that huge upset win, we will fade Auburn in this SEC Title game. Indeed, since 1980, college football teams have generally had big letdowns away from home following wins over previously undefeated teams (with a 5-0 or better record), provided they weren't favored by 3+ points in that previous game, including an 11-29 ATS mark as a favorite of less than 15 points vs. .500 or better competition. Since 2002, Auburn's won just five of the 16 meetings between these two SEC clubs, including a 1-6 SU/ATS record away from home. Take the Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday. ELITE INFO WINNER! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-02-17 | Tulsa +3.5 v. Illinois State | Top | 58-65 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Illinois State. The Golden Hurricane and Redbirds met earlier this season, and the Redbirds upset Tulsa, 84-68, as a 2-point underdog. Since that game, though, Tulsa's gone 2-0, while Illinois State has gone 1-2, including losses in each of its last two games. We'll take the Golden Hurricane as the underdog in the rematch, as they fall into an 89.4% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams, in non-conference games, that play with revenge from an upset loss. Even better: Tulsa's a super 27-6 ATS vs. non-conference foes with a losing record (Illinois State is 3-4), including 11-0 ATS vs. such foes off back to back losses. Take Tulsa. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-02-17 | Bruins v. Flyers -114 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Flyers over the Boston Bruins. The Flyers are mired in a 9-game losing streak (though five of those nine defeats came in OT or shootouts). But i love them to snap their losing streak here at home, on Saturday afternoon. They'll catch the Bruins off a home win vs. Tampa Bay. But Boston is a poor 0-6 off a home win this season. Take Philadelphia. |
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12-02-17 | Suns +13 v. Celtics | Top | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Boston. Yes, the Celtics are the league's best team -- record-wise -- and own a 19-4 SU record, and 18-4-1 ATS record. But they're laying too many points to the Suns on this Saturday afternoon (notwithstanding the fact that the Suns just got blown out by 24 in Detroit). Indeed, Boston's only been favored by more than 8 points ONCE this entire season. And that was when they laid 11 points to Sacramento on November 1. So, this will be Boston's biggest point spread yet this season, by a full two points. And the Celts are a dreadful 18-38-2 ATS when favored by more than 9 points vs. an opponent off a loss. Meanwhile, the Suns are 82-47-3 ATS off a loss by 20+ points. Take Phoenix. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-02-17 | Georgia Southern v. Costal Carolina +2 | Top | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over Georgia Southern. After starting the season 0-9, the Eagles are off back to back upset wins over South Alabama and Louisiana Lafayette. And they've now been installed as a road favorite in their final game of the season. Unfortunately for the Eagles, favorites (or PK) off back to back upset wins, are an awful 3-21 ATS in their final game of the season, including 0-7 ATS if they weren't a winning team. Take the points with Coastal Caroiina. |
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12-02-17 | TCU +7.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 17-41 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 56 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Oklahoma. It's often said that defense wins championships. And, based on my data, there's a whole lotta truth in that saying. In this match-up, the Horned Frogs own the better defense, and it's not close. TCU is giving up just 15.6 ppg, while Oklahoma's stop unit is 10 points worse. And it's not a wise move to lay points in a post-season game to a much better defensive club. Indeed, College Football teams getting more than a field goal have covered a whopping 68.4% since 1980 if their defense was at least 9.2 points better than their opponent's, including a perfect 9-0 ATS since 2009. Grab the points with the Horned Frogs. HIGH NOON HANGING. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-17 | Illinois v. Northwestern -6 | Top | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats minus the points over Illinois. The 'Cats were upset not once, but twice last season by Illinois. In this, their Big 10 Opener, the Wildcats will look to avenge those two defeats. And, if history is any indication, they will, as College teams have cashed 68.8% since 1991 in their Conference openers when playing with revenge from two upset losses the previous season! Take Northwestern. PAYBACK PAYDAY. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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12-01-17 | Pelicans -2.5 v. Jazz | Top | 108-114 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over Utah. This is a tough situational spot for the Jazz, who had to play last night in Los Angeles. Meanwhile, the Pels are well-rested following their upset defeat on Wednesday at the hands of Minnesota. But New Orleans is 6-3 ATS off a loss this season, and 3-0 ATS off back to back defeats. And it's also 9-1 SU/ATS vs. non-winning teams this season, including a perfect 6-0 SU/ATS on the road (compared to 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS this season vs. winning opposition). Take the Pelicans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-17 | Devils -109 v. Avalanche | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Colorado Avalanche. The Avalanche won the Stanley Cup in its team's first year of existence -- after coming to the Mile High City from Quebec in 1995. They then went on the become a fixture in the playoffs for the next nine years, and won a second Cup in the process in 2001. But since 2010, Colorado has only made one post-season appearance -- in 2014 -- and only had one winning campaign (that same year). The Avs are without some key pieces right now, including #1 LW, Gabriel Landeskog, who will miss four games due to a suspension for a cross-check on Calgary's Matthew Tkachuk and won't be eligible to play until Dec. 7. The Devils may be on the road tonight, but that's not necessarily a bad thing as they are currently sporting a much better record away from New Jersey (8-4) than they are at home (6-6). The Devils also just beefed up their defense by trading for veteran Sami Vatanen from the Ducks in a three-player deal. Colorado is 1-5 in its last six home games vs. teams with a road winning % of greater than .600, and it's a poor 26-46 (minus 15 games on the moneyline) off a win. Take New Jersey. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-17 | Wolves v. Thunder -4.5 | Top | 107-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Minnesota. The criticism of Oklahoma City has reached its highest point after the team lost to the Orlando Magic on Tuesday. That was Orlando's first win in a 10-game span, and also moved the Thunder's road record to 0-7 in November. The good news for the Thunder is that they're back home tonight. More good news: teams that were upset as a 6-point (or greater) favorite by opponents on a 7-game (or worse) losing streak have generally bounced back from that upset defeat. Dating back to 1993, they've covered 62.3% of the time. Take the Thunder to rebound on Friday night. |
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12-01-17 | Kings v. Blues -160 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -160 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over the Los Angeles Kings. The Kings are on a three-game winning streak, their latest victims being the Caps, who appeared to be suffering from some Thanksgiving hangover last night. The Caps hadn't played a game in five days and it showed in a lack-luster 5-2 blow-out to the visitors from L.A. Now the Kings head west to the Gateway City for their second game in St. Louis in a little over a month. The Blues handled the Kings pretty easily back on October 30, 4-2, and have now won five of the last six meetings. With Jonathan Quick having played last night, the Kings might turn to back-up Darcy Kuemper tonight against the Blues. The Kings are still without #2 Center Jeff Carter who has a bad ankle and was seen moving around Staples Center in a motorized scooter, so he is nowhere near returning. The home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings and the Kings are 1-5 in their last six vs. teams from the West while the Blues are 6-2 in their last eight vs. teams from the Pacific. St. Louis is also 56-33 off a defeat. Take the Blues. NHL High Roller Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-17 | Warriors -11 v. Magic | Top | 133-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Orlando. The Magic upset the Thunder, 121-108, in their last game to snap their 9-game losing streak. Faithful followers know I love to play against bad teams off wins, as they tend to not win back to back games. And I won't make an exception here, as Orlando falls into negative 47-105 and 11-43 ATS systems of mine based on that general principle. Take the Warriors. |
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11-30-17 | Northern Arizona v. Santa Clara -13.5 | Top | 57-89 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos minus the points over Northern Arizona. The Broncos come into this game off back to back upset losses to Alaska Anchorage and Sam Houston State. So they will no doubt be happy to take on the 0-6 Lumberjacks. And, yes, it's true that Northern Arizona is 3-2 ATS this season. Unfortunately, underdogs of +13 or more points, with a winning ATS record, are an awful 0-17-1 ATS if their win percentage is less than .160, and their opponent is off an upset loss. Lay the points with Santa Clara. NCAA Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-30-17 | Stars v. Blackhawks -143 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -143 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Blackhawks over the Dallas Stars. Both of these teams are treading water a bit at this point in the season, with the Blackhawks sitting at .500 (12-9-3) and the Stars only slightly better at 13-10-1. Dallas posted its second shut-out of the season on Tuesday, winning in Las Vegas by a 3-0 final. But the Golden Knights are probably the most injured team in the NHL right now, so a victory against them on the road like that has a bit of an asterisk to go with it. And while the Stars were taking advantage of their situation in Sin City, the Hawks were in Nashville, playing their Kryptonite from last season and once again the Preds wound up on top. But now they get to do the same thing to the Stars, who probably aren't looking forward to playing a team that they've gone 0-5 against in the last five meetings. And Dallas is 0-4 in its last four after allowing two goals or less in the previous game. Chicago is 4-0 in its last four when playing on one day of rest. Take the Hawks. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-30-17 | Redskins v. Cowboys OVER 44.5 | Top | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Dallas/Washington game. These two teams met earlier this season and scored 52 combined points in a Cowboys 33-19 victory. That game continued the trend in this series where the game has gone 'over' the posted total (now 4-0 'over' since 2016). Indeed, the last two games here at AT & T Stadium each generated 57 points. And Washington's currently 7-0 'over' the total on the road vs. division rivals. Of course, it's true that the Cowboys have played four straight 'unders' since that 33-19 game vs. Washington, and have scored just 50 points combined over those four games (including a 28-6 loss on Thanksgiving to the Chargers). But NFL teams off 4+ unders, that scored less than 13 points in their previous game, have gone 'over' the total 59% since 1980. Take the 'over.' NFC East Total of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-29-17 | Warriors -12.5 v. Lakers | Top | 127-123 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Los Angeles. The Warriors lost at home to Sacramento on Monday, 110-106, as a 12.5-point favorite. And that dropped their point spread record this season to 9-12 ATS. But I love them to rebound tonight, as NBA road favorites, with a losing ATS record, have cashed 71% dating back to 1991 if they were upset as a 9-point (or greater) favorite in their previous game. Take the Warriors to blow out L.A. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-29-17 | Northern Colorado +4.5 v. UC-Davis | Top | 51-56 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears + the points over Cal Davis. The Bears and Aggies actually met earlier this season, in Greeley Colorado. And the Aggies upset the Bears, 74-59, as a 7-point underdog. We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Bears, as they fall into 59-18, 19-2 and 92-53 ATS revenge systems of mine. Additionally, the Aggies are a poor 7-19 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes, including 1-5 ATS when going into revenge. Take Northern Colorado. |
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11-29-17 | Duke v. Indiana +11.5 | Top | 91-81 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Duke. The Hoosiers have won 69 of their last 71 home games vs. non-conference foes, straight-up, and gone 36-16 ATS in those games, including a perfect 11-0 ATS when priced from -12.5 to +12.5 points! And they're 27-13 ATS as a home underdog since 1990, if they owned a win percentage greater than .415. Take the Hoosiers + the points. |
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11-29-17 | Evansville v. New Mexico -3 | Top | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos minus the points over Evansville. The Lobos have dropped their last four games (though three of the four were on the road). But they're back home this evening, where they've gone 113-9 straight-up and 51-33-2 ATS vs. non-conference foes since Dec. 8, 2003 (including 20-5 ATS as a favorite of -8 points or less). We'll lay the points with the Lobos, as they've also cashed 71% over the last 28 years as a home favorite off 3+ losses. Take New Mexico. |
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11-29-17 | Long Beach State v. Arizona -23 | Top | 56-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Long Beach State. The Wildcats are off to a miserable 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS start this season, and come into tonight's game off three straight upset losses, at the hands of North Carolina State, SMU and Purdue. But those three upsets have triggered very strong systems of mine, with records of 77-33, 93-44, 21-6 and 69-22 ATS. Moreover, those three upsets were on the road. The Wildcats are back home tonight, where they're a perfect 3-0 SU, with all three wins coming by 25+ points. I look for the Wildcats to bounce back strong tonight. Lay the points with Arizona. NCAA Basketball Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-29-17 | Lightning v. Bruins -110 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over Tampa Bay. After breaking out to a 15-4 start, the Tampa Bay Lightning have dropped three of their last five games. And the reason has been their goal-scoring, which has averaged just 2.2 goals per game over their last five (compared to 4.1 goals per game in their first 19). Tonight, the Lightning will play the 2nd of a back-to-back set (they were in Buffalo last night) vs. the Bruins, who had both Monday and Tuesday off following their home game on Sunday vs. the Oilers. Unfortunately for the Lightning, they are a poor 1-3 this season when playing on back to back days (compared to 16-4 when playing with rest), and 110-164 their last 274 when playing on back to back nights. Boston's won four of its last five games, and is also 13-3 the last 16 meetings in Boston between these clubs. Take the Bruins. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-29-17 | Thunder -6 v. Magic | Top | 108-121 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Orlando. The Magic are mired in a 9-game losing streak. But don't expect the Thunder to be complacent tonight, as OKC will be coming into this game off back to back upset losses to Detroit and Dallas. And the Thunder are just 8-11 on the season, so they need to string together some wins to get back into the Playoff picture. OKC is a super 140-93 ATS in the regular season off a straight-up loss, when not favored by 10+ points (including 62-31 off back to back losses). Take the Thunder minus the points. NBA High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-28-17 | Blackhawks v. Predators -148 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the Chicago Blackhawks. These two teams met in the first round of last season's playoffs and the Predators handed the Blackhawks an old-fashioned butt-whooping, sweeping them in four games. The Hawks got at least some revenge by beating the Preds in the first meeting of this season back on October 14 before Nashville beat them in the last meeting 13 days later. Chicago has a very busy schedule in which they play five games in seven days, and they played last night so it is likely that the start in goal tonight will go to Anton Forsberg. With Scott Darling gone to Carolina in the off-season, Forsberg assumes the role of Corey Crawford's back-up. The problem is that the 25-year-old has a career Saves Pct of .879 and a career GAA of 4.02. That won't get it done against most NHL teams, and that certainly includes the defending Western Conference Champs. After losing a very tough game in Carolina on Sunday in a shootout, the Predators are back home where they are 8-2 in their 10 games. Take Nashville. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-28-17 | South Dakota State v. Ole Miss -8.5 | Top | 99-97 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over South Dakota State. The Rebels are 4-1 on the season, while the Jackrabbits are 6-2. It's true that Ole Miss has failed to cover its last four games, but it's a solid 52-28 ATS at home, or on a neutral court, when it was on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak (and 9-0 ATS its last nine when it was on a 4-game (or worse) ATS losing streak). Additionally, Ole Miss falls into a 64-22 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off ATS defeats. Take Mississippi. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-28-17 | Heat +4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 97-108 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Cleveland. The Cavaliers won their 8th straight game last night, when they upset the 76ers in Philly. But they now have to return home to Cleveland, without any rest, and play the rested Miami Heat. Cleveland falls into a negative 20-57 ATS system of mine which goes against certain unrested home teams vs. rested foes off a win. Even worse for the Cavs: they're 0-11-1 ATS their last 12 games as a home favorite, dating back to last season. And Miami is 16-3 its last 19 as a road underdog. Take the Heat. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-27-17 | Texans v. Ravens -7 | Top | 16-23 | Push | 0 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Houston. Baltimore's 5-5 on the season after shutting out Green Bay, 23-0, at Lambeau Field last week, while Houston comes in with a losing record, at 4-6. The Ravens return home to M&T Bank Stadium after being on the road for their two previous games, but they did blow out the Dolphins, 40-0, in their last game here in Baltimore. I look for another home victory on Monday, as NFL teams with a better record than their opponent have gone 45-7 SU and 38-12-2 ATS at home on Monday Nights, if they were on the road in their two previous games. And Baltimore's 22-1 SU and 20-3 ATS as a home favorite since 1995 off a win by more than 18 points. Lay it. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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11-26-17 | Portland State v. Stanford -6 | Top | 87-78 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 35 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal minus the points over Portland State. The Vikings are 4-2 SU and 5-0 ATS this season, while Stanford is 3-4 SU and 1-6 ATS. This will be the final round of the PK80 Invitational Tournament, held in Portland. And both Stanford and Portland State lost their two previous games in this tournament. Let's lay the points with Stanford, as Winning teams (like Portland State) off 4+ covers have cashed just 2 of 28 games as an underdog vs. non-Winning opponents, if both they and their opponent are off SU losses. Take Stanford. NCAA Hoops Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-17 | Saints v. Rams -1.5 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over New Orleans. The Saints are off eight straight wins, and have scored 30+ points in each of their last three games, while the Rams come in off a loss to the Vikings. But the Saints should get blown out this afternoon, as NFL road underdogs off 3+ wins, in which they scored 30+ points in each of those three games, have lost 78% ATS vs. non-division foes in the regular season since 1980. Even better: the Rams lost last season to New Orleans, 49-21. But NFL teams off a straight-up loss, and playing with revenge, have cashed 78% since 1983 if they were favored (or PK), and gave up 44+ points to its opponent in the previous meeting! Take the Rams. NFL Payback Payday! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-17 | St. Joe's -15 v. CS Sacramento | Top | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the St. Joe's Hawks minus the points over Sacramento State. The Hawks come into this game off back to back losses to Washington State and Harvard, so they'll be thrilled to go up against an outclassed team like Sacramento State this afternoon. St. Joe's has been installed as as double-digit favorite, which bodes well for Phil Martelli's Hawks, as they've gone 34-8 ATS when priced from -12 to -19 points, including a perfect 14-0 SU/ATS away from home. St. Joe's also falls into 54-14 and 83-34 ATS systems of mine. Lay the points with the Hawks. NCAA Hoops Road Warrior! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-25-17 | Wild v. Blues -143 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over the Minnesota Wild. Few pro sports teams can boast of going to the playoffs in 42 of its first 50 years in existence. But if things keep going the way they have so far this season, then the Blues will be able to brag about that accomplishment come April. And what better way to mark their 50th year in the league than to win their first Stanley Cup? It could certainly happen as St. Louis has won 16 of its first 23 games coming into tonight. Last night was not one of those winning occasions, but then again the Blues started their back-up net-minder -- Carter Hutton -- in the loss to Nashville here at home and tonight they will have #1 goalie Jake Allen back between the pipes. The Wild also started its back-up last night -- Alex Stalock -- but that may have been due to the performance of #1 Devan Dubnyk more than anything else. Dubnyk -- who was one of the top goalies in the league last season -- has struggled lately, allowing four goals in each of his last three starts. Minny is 1-5 in the last six meetings while St. Louis is 10-3 in its last 13 home games. Take the Blues. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-25-17 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota +17.5 | Top | 31-0 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 31 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Wisconsin. This rivalry game -- at 127 meetings, it's the most played in Division 1 -- has been dominated by the Badgers of late, as they've won 13 straight years. However, don't be surprised if the Golden Gophers stun Wisconsin with an upset win on Saturday. Both teams, of course, need to win this game. Minnesota needs one more win to attain eligibility for a Bowl game, while Wisconsin still has hopes of reaching the 4-team College Football Playoff. Unfortunately for the Badgers, undefeated teams, with a 5-0 or better record, have covered just 35.7% over the last 38 years when priced as a road favorite from -11.5 to -21.5 points against a losing, revenge-minded foe. Even worse for Wisconsin: it's just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS its last seven when it was playing on the road with an undefeated record (of 5-0 or better). And it's just 2-10-1 ATS since 1984 vs. the Gophers when laying 12+ points. Take Minnesota. Big 10 Conference Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Wisconsin -16.5 | Top | 49-71 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee. The Badgers are in the midst of a rare 3-game losing streak. And they were favored to win in each of those three games! But I love Wisky to bounce back, as it's 5-0 its last five when playing off 3+ losses; 3-0 ATS off three upset losses; and it's also 12-5-1 ATS at home since 1990 on a 3-game (or worse) losing streak. Meanwhile, College Basketball favorites have covered the spread more often than not off three or more upset losses, including 67% if they're a losing team favored over a winning team. Take Wisconsin minus the points. NCAA Game of the Month! Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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11-24-17 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia +7.5 | Top | 10-0 | Loss | -130 | 62 h 18 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Virginia Tech. We played on the Cavaliers last week, and easily got the cash when Virginia covered the point spread "wire to wire" at Miami. Now, they return home for their final game of the regular season, and they'll take on their cross-state rival from Blacksburg, Virginia Tech. We'll grab the points with the Cavaliers, as they're 31-19-1 ATS their last 51 as home underdogs, and also 14-0 ATS their last 14 as single-digit underdogs, if they're off a loss, and play with revenge. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-17 | Canucks v. Devils -129 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Vancouver Canucks. Going from "worst to first" in a single season is difficult to do in any major pro sports -- including the NHL. But if any team has a chance to do that in the next year, it just might be the Devils. New Jersey finished in last place in the Metropolitan Division last season, and the 70 points the team totaled was the worst in the Eastern Conference. Fast forward to the present and the Devils are currently just one point behind Columbus for the lead in the Metropolitan and their record could be a lot better were it not for a slew of bad beats in overtime and shootouts. The Canucks are coming off back-to-back dominating 5-2 road victories over the Flyers and Penguins, but they continue their east coast road swing against a team that has owned them in recent history. The Devils are 6-0 in the last six meetings against Vancouver going back three years. The Canucks are 7-26 in their last 33 after scoring five goals or more in their previous game and they're 1-4 in their last five following a win. Take New Jersey. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-17 | Western Michigan v. Toledo -13 | Top | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 54 h 49 m | Show |
At 11:30 am, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Western Michigan. The Rockets have won six of their last seven, and have covered five of their last six. Last week's victory at Bowling Green was one of their most impressive wins of the season, as they blew out the Falcons, 66-37, as a 16.5-point favorite. Toledo is a super 25-1 ATS as a favorite of 21 or less points, if Toledo is off a win by 17+ points, and it covered that previous game by 6+ points. Take the Rockets. MAC Conf. Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-23-17 | Chargers v. Cowboys OVER 47.5 | Top | 28-6 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 54 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the San Diego/Dallas game. The Chargers erupted for 54 points last week, in a 54-24 blowout of the Buffalo Bills. They'll now travel to Dallas to take on the Cowboys, and I foresee another relatively high-scoring game on Thursday. Dallas is giving up over 24 points per game, and the Chargers have gone 'over' in 30 of 46 road games vs. foes that surrender at least 24 ppg. The last nine Dallas Cowboys games have also AVERAGED 51.33 points. Take the 'Over.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-23-17 | Vikings v. Lions +3 | Top | 30-23 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 53 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over Minnesota. The Vikings have won and covered each of their last five games. And they've scored 24+ points in the last four of those. But this win streak sets up our play against Minnesota on this Thanksgiving, as unrested NFL road teams off 4 SU/ATS wins in which they scored 24+ points in each game, have gone just 36% ATS since 1980 vs. .500 (or better) teams. Even worse for Minnesota: it's just 22-46 ATS as a road favorite of -3+ points, and has lost the last three meetings (both SU and ATS) in this series. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-17 | Sharks -130 v. Coyotes | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Sharks over the Arizona Coyotes. After winning just three of their first 20 games -- and not being able to win two in a row during that time -- the Coyotes have all of a sudden gone on a three-game winning streak. And even more unlikely is the fact that all three of those wins came on the road in Canada against the Canadiens, Senators, and Leafs. They're back home tonight, but against a much more familiar foe in San Jose which is on a streak of its own. But it's three LOSSES in a row for the Sharks coming into tonight, and they've only managed three total goals in those. But when you consider that they out-shot their opponents in each of those games -- and by a total of 114 to 78 -- then it certainly looks like the Sharks were more unlucky than anything else. San Jose is 4-1 in its last five vs. teams from the Western Conference and 20-7 in its last 27 road games vs. teams with a home winning % of less than .400. The Coyotes are 1-8 in their last nine home games. Take the Sharks. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-17 | Detroit v. St. Louis -11 | Top | 72-70 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the St Louis Billikens minus the points over Detroit, as St. Louis falls into a 129-59 ATS system of mine. I look for the Billikens to blow out Detroit, as the Titans have given up 100+ points in three of their four games this season. It's true that Detroit did win its last game, against Houston Baptist, 116-109. But College Basketball underdogs of +7.5 (or more) points have covered just 32.6% off a win in which they scored 112+ points. Take St. Louis. NCAA Hoops High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-17 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 98-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Boston. The Celts have now won 16 straight games. But since 1990, NBA teams on an 11-game (or greater) win streak have gone just 51-63 straight-up and 46-67-1 ATS if they weren't favored by more than four points. And Boston also falls into a negative 8-33 ATS system of mine which similarly fades certain teams on long win streaks. Finally, these two teams met earlier this season, and the Celtics came away with a six-point win. But the Heat are 16-3 ATS their last 19 when playing with revenge, including a perfect 10-0 ATS when not favored by more than 4 points.. Take Miami on Wednesday. NBA Underdog of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-17 | Raptors v. Knicks +4.5 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Toronto Raptors. These two teams met last Friday at Air Canada Centre, and the Raptors blew out New York, 107-84. They then followed up that victory with a win vs. the Wizards, and have won four straight, overall. Thus, the Knicks will seek to avenge that defeat on this Wednesday. And New York's currently riding a 10-3 ATS run. That bodes well for New York tonight. As does the fact that Toronto is an awful 16-45 ATS off 4+ wins, if it also owned a win percentage of at least .550. Take New York. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-17 | Blackhawks v. Lightning -164 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning over the Chicago Blackhawks. It's early in the season, but it appears the clear-cut #1 team in the NHL power rankings is the Tampa Bay Lightning. First, the Bolts have scored a league-leading 3.95 goals-per-game. And although their 2.55 goals-against isn't tops in the NHL, those two numbers result in a league-leading 1.40 goal-differential so far. And the Lightning dominate in the individual categories as well. The four major scoring categories (goals, assists, points, and plus/minus rating) are led by three different members of the team (Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov, and Anton Stralman). Not to be outdone by his offensive players, goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy leads all net-minders with 14 victories and is eighth with a .928 saves percentage. The Blackhawks draw their second straight tough Eastern Conference road assignment, having beaten the Penguins in Pittsburgh in their last game. But that was four days ago and the Lightning appear to be a much more formidable opponent right now. The Hawks are 2-7 in the last nine meetings in Tampa. Take the Bolts. |
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11-22-17 | Canucks v. Penguins -206 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -206 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over Vancouver. The Pens have had the last three days off (following their loss to Chicago on Saturday), while the Canucks had to play the Flyers in Philly last night. So, that's a big advantage for the defending Stanley Cup champs, who are 16-5 their last 21 when playing with 3 (or more) days' of rest. Pittsburgh's a powerful 61-32 off a loss, and we'll take Sidney Crosby & Co. in the Igloo tonight. Take the Penguins. |
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11-22-17 | NC State v. Arizona -14 | Top | 90-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over NC State. Both of these teams enter this game with undefeated records. NC State is 4-0, while Arizona is 3-0. But the Wolfpack has faced a soft schedule thus far, as none of its four victories came against a school from a major conference (and just one from a mid-major conference). NC State is an awful 5-16 ATS its last 21 as an underdog, including 1-9 ATS off a straight-up win. And it's covered just 19 of 56 off 4+ wins. Meanwhile, Arizona is a solid 75-42 ATS vs. non-conference foes with an .800 (or better) record, provided the game is played at Arizona, or on a neutral court. Lay the points. NCAA Hoops Game of the Week! Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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11-21-17 | Bowling Green +13.5 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons + the points over Eastern Michigan, as Bowling Green falls into a 93-56 ATS "stats-based" system of mine. The Falcons have been installed as double-digit road underdogs, but they're a fantastic 50-30 ATS on the Mid-American Conference road. And, yes, it's certainly true that Bowling Green was blown out by 29 points last Wednesday at home, vs. Toledo. However, the Falcons are 12-3 ATS off a conference blowout loss by 21+ points. Meanwhile, the Eagles upset Miami-Ohio in Oxford last week. Unfortunately, they're a wallet-busting 19-36 ATS off a straight-up win. Bowling Green has won 9 of the last 11 straight up in this series, including 2-0 SU/ATS the last two, here, in Ypsilanti. Take the points with the Falcons. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-20-17 | Ducks v. Sharks -193 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -193 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Sharks over the Anaheim Ducks. Who's the most under-appreciated goalie in the NHL? For my money, the answer is San Jose's Martin Jones. Throughout his four-plus seasons, Jones has been a consistent winner with some of the best individual statistics of any net-minder in the league. And so far, 2017-2018 is shaping up to be one of his best campaigns. Through his first 13 games, the now-28-year-old is 8-5 with a 2.13 GAA and a .926 saves pct. But without a Stanley Cup or Vezina Trophy to his credit, Jones continues to fly under the radar -- and that may be just fine with him. He will get his 14th start tonight against a team -- Anaheim -- that he's done very well against in his career (1.84 GAA and .930 Saves pct). And the Ducks offense he'll be facing tonight is extremely banged up right now with no fewer than five regulars out of action with various injuries -- including the top two Centers (Ryan Getzlaf and Ryan Kesler). The Ducks are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings in San Jose and the home team is 19-7 in the last 26. When these two teams met earlier here this year, the Sharks not only won, 2-1, but also outshot Anaheim, 45-26. San Jose will dominate once again. Take the Sharks. NHL High Roller. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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11-20-17 | Falcons v. Seahawks -1 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks over the Atlanta Falcons. These two teams met in last year's NFL Playoffs, and the Falcons blew out the Seahawks, 36-20, as a 6.5-point home favorite. But I love the Seahawks to avenge that defeat, as teams playing on Monday Night Football with revenge from a Playoff defeat the previous season have cashed 79% since 1999, including a perfect 9-0 ATS vs. foes with W/L records between .250 and .750. Additionally, Seattle is 82-28 SU and 67-38-5 ATS at home since 2005, including 5-1-2 ATS on Monday Nights, and 16-8-1 ATS with revenge. Finally, Atlanta is an awful 0-9 ATS when not laying 3+ points against a winning team, if its foe is playing with revenge. Take Seattle. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-20-17 | Cavs -2 v. Pistons | Top | 116-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers over the Detroit Pistons. We're one-fifth of the way through the regular season, and the surprising Detroit Pistons are 11-5, and atop the NBA's Central Division. But lurking just two games behind Detroit are LeBron James' Cavaliers, who have quietly won four straight games. Certainly, one of the problems for Cleveland -- after reaching the NBA Finals the past three seasons -- is motivation. But they'll be extremely motivated tonight, given that Detroit is ahead of them in the standings. The Cavs will also greatly benefit from the fact that they had the previous two days off, while Detroit had to play the Timberwolves on the road last night. So, Detroit will not only have to play this game without rest, but they also had to travel from Minneapolis back to Detroit overnight. Finally, Cleveland falls into a super 55-20 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off back to back wins. Take the Cavaliers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-19-17 | Warriors -12.5 v. Nets | Top | 118-111 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Brooklyn. The Nets blew out Utah, 118-107, in their last game to move to 6-9 this season. But the Nets were favored to win that game, and they're 4-1 ATS as a favorite this season. Unfortunately, they're 4-6 ATS as an underdog. And they also fall into a negative 46-105 ATS System of mine which goes against certain losing teams off wins. Lay the points with the Warriors. High Roller Winner. Good luck as always....Al McMordie. |
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11-19-17 | Marshall v. Illinois -13.5 | Top | 74-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Marshall. Illinois is off to a 3-0 start this season, and it's offense has hummed, with 102, 77 and 82 points scored (on 46% FG shooting) thus far. Meanwhile, Marshall has allowed 91, 74 and 86 points (on 46% FG shooting) against teams that average 70 ppg and 39.4% from the floor. That doesn't bode well for the Thundering Herd against Illinois. And neither does the fact that the Illini are 39-21 ATS at home after scoring 80+ in their previous game. Finally, the Herd is a poor 82-119 ATS as a road underdog. Take Illinois. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-19-17 | Patriots v. Raiders +7.5 | Top | 33-8 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over the New England Patriots. Bill Belichick's men won by 25 points last week. And that blowout victory has triggered an angle of mine which fades defending Super Bowl champions off 20-point (or greater) wins. Since 1980, they've covered just 41% in this situation, including 2-13 ATS when priced from -3.5 to -7.5 points away from home. Take the Raiders. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-19-17 | Bengals v. Broncos -2.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over Cincinnati. The Broncos are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, and have failed to cover the spread by 21 and 18 points in their previous two games. But it must be noted that the Broncos' last three games were played against three of the very best teams in the league (Philadelphia, New England and Kansas City). In contrast, Cincinnati has also been playing extremely poorly. It is 1-3 SU/ATS in its last four games, but has not played an overly difficult schedule. Indeed, Cincy's only win in its last four games was by a single point vs. Indianapolis, as an 11-point favorite. And the Bengals' only pointspread cover was also by a single point -- last week at Tennessee. Denver's recent failures have worked to create terrific betting value in this game, and the Broncos fall into a 105-53 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on ATS losing streaks. Lay the points. |
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11-19-17 | South Carolina v. Western Michigan +9 | Top | 79-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos + the points over South Carolina. This is a tough situational spot for the Gamecocks, as they actually played (and defeated) these Broncos just six days ago, at home, in Columbia, South Carolina. So, the motivational edge seemingly would rest with the Broncos, who no doubt would like to avenge that 18-point defeat on this Sunday. Western Michigan falls into 69-36 and 33-13 ATS revenge systems of mine Take the Broncos + the points. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-19-17 | Redskins +8 v. Saints | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 88 h 49 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Redskins + the points over New Orleans. The Saints have won and covered seven straight games. And Drew Brees & Co. are getting it done both on the offensive side, as well as the defensive. New Orleans is scoring 29.8 points per game, and giving up just 18.3. And its defense has been especially stellar the past three weeks. Last Sunday, New Orleans held the Bills to 10 points. And it defeated the Buccaneers (30-10) and Bears (20-12) in the two weeks prior to that. Unfortunately, for New Orleans, single-digit favorites that held each of their last three opponents to less than 13 points have covered just 26% in the regular season since 1980 vs. .363 (or better) foes, including 1-14 ATS their last 15. Take the Redskins. NFL Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-19-17 | Cardinals v. Texans -2 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans over the Arizona Cardinals. Both of these teams are dealing with major injuries at the quarterback position. Houston's Deshaun Watson is out with a knee injury, while Arizona's Carson Palmer broke his left arm, and 2nd string QB Drew Stanton sustained an injury last week to his knee. Thus, the Cards will turn to 3rd stringer Blaine Gabbert, while Houston will use erstwhile starter Tom Savage. We'll take the homestanding Texans, as they fall into 155-85 and 139-61 ATS systems of mine that are based on season statistics. Also, Houston lost 33-7 last Sunday at the LA Rams. And NFL home teams off a loss by 23+ points are 82.1% ATS over the past 17 years vs. .416 (or better) non-division foes also off a loss, provided our home team is not favored by 2.5+ points. Take Houston. NFL Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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