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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-04-18 | VMI +15 v. Wofford | Top | 53-92 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the VMI Keydets (rotation #573) + the points over Wofford. VMI comes into this game off back to back losses, including an 87-57 home blowout defeat to Furman on Saturday. But VMI now falls into a "bounce-back" 475-265 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs off big losses. Take VMI. |
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01-03-18 | Oklahoma State +10 v. Oklahoma | Top | 89-109 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys + the points over Oklahoma. In its last game, Oklahoma upset an undefeated TCU team, 90-89, in Fort Worth. Now, the Sooners are a big favorite vs. rival Oklahoma State. But favorites of -8 (or more) points have cashed just 20% in conference games over the last 19 years off an upset win over a previously undefeated conference foe! Additionally, the Cowboys are 9-0-1 ATS their last 10 road games as an underdog. Take the Cowboys + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-03-18 | St Bonaventure v. Dayton +2 | Top | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers + the points over St. Bonaventure. The Flyers blew out UMass, 98-78, on Saturday, while Dayton was upset by Duquesne, 70-62. But I look for the Flyers to bounce back on Wednesday, as St. Bonaventure falls into a negative 25-77 ATS system of mine which goes against certain road teams off blowout losses. Also, the Flyers are a solid 4-1 ATS this season off a loss, and they're 67% ATS over the last 28 years as a home underdog off an upset loss. Finally, the Bonnies are a poor 19% (4-17 ATS) as road favorites of 15 or less points vs. foes off an upset defeat. Take Dayton. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-03-18 | Cavs v. Celtics -2.5 | Top | 88-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland. These two teams met in the season opener, and Cleveland bested Boston, 102-99, as a 3.5-point favorite. I look for the Celtics to avenge that defeat, as they fall into a 191-113 ATS 'revenge' system of mine, which plays on certain winning teams with revenge. Also, the Cavs played last night, but are a miserable 9-22 SU and 9-21-1 ATS on the road when playing without rest. Meanwhile, the Celtics are an awesome 23-3 SU and 19-7 ATS as a revenge-minded home favorite, including a perfect 12-0 SU/ATS when favored by 5 points or less. Take Boston. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-02-18 | Georgetown v. DePaul -4 | Top | 90-81 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons minus the points over Georgetown. The Hoyas take the to the road to play DePaul, and are undefeated ATS in their last four games. Unfortunately, that ATS win streak has triggered a negative 12-50 ATS system of mine that goes against Georgetown, tonight. DePaul covered both meetings last season (by an average of 10.25 ppg), and will blow out the Hoyas today. Lay the points. |
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01-02-18 | Texas Tech v. Kansas -7.5 | Top | 85-73 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Texas Tech. We played on the Red Raiders as our Big 12 Game of the Month in their win over Baylor last Friday. But they've had zero success of late vs. Kansas (18 straight losses in the series). The Red Raiders have struggled on the road, generally, over the years, including 73-103 ATS as an underdog (or PK), so we'll lay the points with the Jayhawks, here, at Allen Fieldhouse. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-02-18 | Panthers v. Wild -135 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Wild over Florida Panthers. The two current longest winning streaks in the NHL heading into 2018 belong to two of the most unlikely teams. In the West, the Vegas Knights have won seven in a row, while in the East, the Florida Panthers have not lost in their last five. The Knights' streak is impressive, featuring victories against some of the top teams, but the same cannot be said of Florida. Four of the Panthers' five wins have come against losing teams (Montreal, Arizona, Philly, and Ottawa) whose combined record is 53-102. In fact, the only winning team they've beaten during the streak is tonight's opponent, so this game offers the Wild a chance for some revenge, which it will gladly take. Florida has some key injuries too, including its veteran goalie Roberto Luongo who has been out since December 4 with a lower body injury. The Panthers are also without top right winger Radim Vrbata, who is battling an illness. The Panthers are 5-15 in the last 20 meetings with the Wild and the home team is 5-1 in the last six. Even worse: Florida's 15-35 off a home shutout win. Take Minnesota. NHL Elite Info Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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01-02-18 | Spurs -5 v. Knicks | Top | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over New York. The Spurs were upset by the Pistons, 93-79, in their last game. But I look for the Spurs to rebound tonight, as they've cashed 65% ATS as road favorites off a double-digit loss since 1993, if they were playing an opponent off an ATS win. With the Knicks in off a 105-103 upset of New Orleans, we'll lay the points with the Spurs. NBA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-02-18 | Michigan v. Iowa +3 | Top | 75-68 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Michigan. The Hawkeyes have won five straight (4-0 ATS), and fall into a 33-4 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain home underdogs off a SU/ATS win. Iowa's also won and covered the last five meetings in this series, and the last four here at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. Meanwhile, Michigan is a dreadful 3-11 ATS off a double-digit home win. Take Iowa + the points. |
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01-01-18 | Alabama -3 v. Clemson | Top | 24-6 | Win | 100 | 62 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:45 pm, on New Year's Day, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Clemson. Nick Saban (along with Urban Meyer) is one of the two best coaches in College Football. And he excels in competitively-priced games, with point spreads less than five points. In that situation, he's a fantastic 35-17 SU/ATS, including a PERFECT 7-0 SU/ATS in the Post-Season! I won't fade those numbers. Moreover, Alabama is 58-26 ATS since 1984 when playing away from home off a point spread defeat. And teams off upset losses to end their season have cashed 62% in bowl games when not laying 3.5+ points. Finally, defending National Champions (like Clemson) are an awful 9-26-1 ATS off a SU/ATS win when not laying more than 10 points, including 0-7-1 ATS as an underdog. Take Alabama. BOWL FAVORITE OF THE YEAR! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-01-18 | Bucks +6 v. Raptors | Top | 127-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors eliminated the Bucks from the Playoffs last season, and this is the first time the two teams have met this season. We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Bucks, as they fall into a 127-90 ATS Playoff revenge system of mine. Also, the Bucks have won and covered two straight, and Toronto is a poor 0-8 ATS its last eight when priced from -1.5 to -7.5 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take Milwaukee. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-01-18 | West Virginia v. Kansas State +2 | Top | 77-69 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats + the points over West Virginia. Both the Mountaineers and Wildcats got their Big 12 Conference seasons off on the winning note with road wins on Friday. The Mountaineers bested Oklahoma State, 85-79, while Kansas State blew out Iowa State, 91-75. These two teams last met in the Big 12 Conference Tourney last March, and the Mountaineers edged the Wildcats by a single point, 51-50 (after the two teams had traded home wins in the two regular season meetings). I look for the Wildcats to avenge that Tourney loss on this Monday, as they fall into an 82-38 ATS Tourney revenge system of mine which plays on certain home dogs that lost in last year's post-season to their opponent. Also, the Wildcats are an awesome 11-3 ATS since 2003 when playing with Tourney revenge, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when priced from +9.5 to -4 points. That bodes well for Bruce Weber's men on Monday. As does the fact that the Mountaineers are a wallet-busting 44-73 ATS away from home off a Big 12 Conference win, including 0-6 ATS in their six opportunities last season as a favorite! Take Kansas State. BIG 12 GAME OF THE WEEK. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-01-18 | Sabres v. Rangers -170 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Rangers over the Buffalo Sabres. In today's 10th anniversary of the NHL's annual Winter Classic game, there will be some unknowns as usual for the outdoor contest. But one thing they won't have to worry about this year is the weather being unseasonably warm -- which has happened on at least one occasion. Temperatures in Queens, NY this afternoon should be in the low 20s for this game between the Rangers and Sabres. Although the game will be held at Citi Field -- home of the Mets -- the Sabres are listed as the home team, although it probably won't matter much in terms of the fan base. It also shouldn't matter in terms of Buffalo's performance, either, as it has been equally bad at home (5-12) as it has been on the road this season (5-16). In one of the biggest upsets of the first half, The Sabres beat the Division-Leading Devils in NJ in their last game, 4-3 in OT. But that was only the fourth victory in their last 15 games overall going back to Thanksgiving. The Rangers are 10-3 in the last 13 meetings and 6-1 in their last seven playing on two days rest. Meanwhile, the Sabres are an awful 7-20 after scoring more than three goals in their previous game. Take New York. NHL ELITE INFO. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-31-17 | Blackhawks v. Flames -130 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over Chicago. The Flames have dropped three straight games, including a 2-1 defeat at Anaheim their last time on the ice. But Calgary is a super 22-9 after not scoring 2+ goals in their previous game. Meanwhile, Chicago is in the midst of a 6-game road trip (this is game #5 of that trip), and it has dropped six of its last seven road games, when it was its 3rd road game in four nights. It's also a poor 65-81 (minus 26 games on the money line) when it played its previous four games on the road. Take the Flames. NHL Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-31-17 | Jets v. Oilers -140 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -140 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Winnipeg Jets. Tonight marks the end of the 2017 portion of the current NHL season. If back in October you had told people that three of the Division Leaders heading into the New Year would be New Jersey, Vegas, and Winnipeg, they'd probably say you needed your head examined. But that's the case with this unpredictable first half. And, tonight, one of those teams -- Winnipeg -- takes its leading record into Edmonton. If there's been a weakness in the Winnipeg performance through the first 3 1/2 months, it's been its record on the road. With a 14-4 record in Winnipeg and 8-13 record elsewhere, the Jets are the team with the biggest home-road differential in the NHL so far. The Jets have also been hit with some very costly injuries lately, including #1 C Mark Scheifele who is sitting with an upper-body injury, and #1 D Dustin Byfuglien who just started skating again after a lower-body injury. The Jets won the last match-up between these two just four days ago at home, but the Oilers were 4-1 against them in the five meetings before that. And the Jets are an awful 2-12 off back to back home wins (and 13-29 off back to back wins at any venue). Take Edmonton. NHL Roadkill Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-31-17 | 49ers v. Rams UNDER 44 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Rams and 49ers to go 'under' the total. These two teams met earlier this season in San Francisco, and the Rams came away with a 41-39 victory. I look for a much lower scoring game on Sunday, as rematches of games where each team scored 28+ points have gone 'under' the total 61.4% since 1980 when the line was greater than 41 points. Take the 'under.' NFL Total of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-30-17 | Portland State v. CS Sacramento +7.5 | Top | 75-80 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our BIG SKY GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Sacramento State Hornets + the points over Portland State. The Vikings have opened their season with 10 straight ATS wins. George Mason (2011) and UTEP (2017) both covered 14 straight, which are the longest ATS win streaks on record in my database (since 1990). We'll take the Hornets + the points, as home dogs priced from +2.5 to +11 have covered 62% since 1990 vs. foes off 9+ ATS wins. Additionally, the Vikings are a horrid 10-26 ATS on the road off an ATS win, if they're playing an opponent off a SU loss. Take Sacramento State. BIG SKY GAME OF THE MONTH. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-30-17 | Arizona State v. Arizona -6 | Top | 78-84 | Push | 0 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats (rotation #610) minus the points over Arizona State. The Sun Devils come into this game undefeated, and ranked among the Top 5. But I expect Arizona to blow them out tonight, as Arizona has won each of the last four meetings by an average of 19.75 ppg (and covered each of them, as well). Also, undefeated teams, with a 9-0 (or better) record, have been poor (3-22 ATS) when playing with revenge, and getting more than 5 points. Take Arizona. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-30-17 | Wisconsin v. Miami-FL +6 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -101 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Miami Fla Hurricanes + the points over Wisconsin. The Hurricanes stumbled down the stretch with back-to-back losses to Pittsburgh and Clemson end their season. But I love Miami to rebound here, as Bowl teams off back to back SU/ATS losses have cashed 61% since 1980 when not favored by 3+ points. Take Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-30-17 | Hurricanes v. Blues -117 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over the Carolina Hurricanes. St. Louis may not have an NFL team anymore, with the Rams having moved to L.A. after the 2015 season, but the city still has a pretty good professional hockey team. And perhaps with no football distraction this winter, the City will get behind the Blues and cheer them on to their first-ever Stanley Cup Title. The Blues are sitting in third place in their division, just two points behind the Jets, and their 100 goals allowed is the third-best such number in the Western Conference. The Blues have lost two straight against the Preds and Stars, and now they switch to an Eastern team, and they're 10-5 against clubs from the other conference this season (vs. 13-12 against teams from the West). #1 goalie Jake Allen started in net last night in Dallas, so Carter Hutton should be between the pipes tonight. Hutton is one of the best backups in the league with a stellar .948 Saves pct and 1.68 GAA. The Canes are 3-7 in their last 10 road games and 4-10 in their last 14 vs. teams from the West. Take St. Louis. NHL NON-DIVISION GAME OF THE MONTH! As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-30-17 | SIU-Edwardsville +18 v. Murray State | Top | 63-87 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the SIU-Edwardsville Cougars (rotation #649) + the points over Murray St. The Racers are 9-3, including wins in their last two games -- at Detroit, and vs. Eastern Illinois. Unfortunately, Murray St. is one of College Basketball's worst double-digit favorites as they've gone 15-38-3 ATS in that role, including 4-28 ATS off back to back wins. Yikes! Grab the points with SIU-Edwardsville. |
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12-30-17 | Temple +7.5 v. Houston | Top | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls (rotation #521) + the points over Houston. The Owls stumbled in their last game when they fell by 10 points, at home, to Tulane. But the good news for Temple is that it's a strong 12-3 ATS off a double-digit home loss. Take the Owls + the points. |
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12-30-17 | Davidson -5 v. Richmond | Top | 58-69 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats (rotation #583) minus the points over Richmond. Last year, the Wildcats were upset not once, but twice by the Spiders. But you know what they say about 'Payback.' And Davidson will get it this afternoon, as it's 189-138 ATS in Conference play since 1997, while Richmond has dropped 13 of its last 18 home games ATS. The Wildcats also fall into a super 23-3 ATS 'revenge' system of mine. Lay the points with Davidson. |
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12-30-17 | St. Mary's v. BYU +1.5 | Top | 74-64 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars (rotation #620) over St Marys. BYU lost to St Marys, 81-50, in last year's West Coast Conference Tourney. But I love BYU to avenge that defeat, as the Cougars are 103-69 ATS at home off a SU win. And they also fall into a 121-84 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with revenge from a Tourney loss by 14+ points. Take BYU. |
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12-30-17 | Iowa State v. Memphis -3.5 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Iowa State. The Tigers ended their season with a loss at Central Florida in the American Athletic Conf. Championship game, while ISU fell by a point, at Kansas State. But even though Memphis lost in the American Athletic Conf. Title game, just playing in that sort of atmosphere generally is of great benefit to teams in the Bowl games. Indeed, if one plays on a Bowl team which made its Conference Championship game, one would have cashed 55% in the Bowls, including 62% if our team wasn't favored by more than 4 points. That bodes well for the Tigers this afternoon. As does the fact that the Tigers will be playing at home, in the Liberty Bowl. And home teams off losses have cashed 63.1% in Bowl games since 1980. Take Memphis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-30-17 | Louisville v. Mississippi State +7 | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Louisville. The Cardinals and Bulldogs both finished the season with solid 8-4 records, though Miss State owned the better ATS mark (7-5 ATS compared to Louisville's 5-7 ATS). The Bulldogs, though, were upset in their last game, 31-28, by Ole Miss, while Louisville blew out Kentucky, 44-17. Unfortunately for Louisville, teams off SU/ATS wins have been dreadful away from home in Bowl games vs. foes off upset losses, when favored by 3+ points, as they've cashed just 20.5% over the last 37 years. Take Mississippi State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-29-17 | Mavs v. Pelicans -6.5 | Top | 128-120 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Dallas. The Mavericks come into tonight's game off back to back upset wins. But I look for the Pels to blow out Dallas tonight, as New Orleans has won and covered its last three games -- scoring at least 109 points in each game, and winning each by 14+ points. Since 1990, NBA teams off three straight double-digit wins, are 174-109 ATS if they also scored 105+ points in each of their three previous games. Take the Pelicans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-29-17 | Pacers +2.5 v. Bulls | Top | 107-119 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Chicago Bulls. Indiana comes into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS losses (at Detroit; at home vs. Dallas), while Chicago is off back to back SU/ATS wins (at Milwaukee; home vs. New York). And those results set up our play tonight on the Pacers, as Indy falls into a 95-33 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off back to back losses, if they're on the road against a division foe. Also, Indiana is a solid 28-15 vs. division rivals the last three seasons, and 24-11 ATS off a home loss. Meanwhile, the Bulls are a poor 93-126 ATS at home off back to back ATS wins. Take the Pacers. NBA DIVISION GAME OF THE MONTH. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-29-17 | Baylor v. Texas Tech -6.5 | Top | 53-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Baylor. The Red Raiders have had the last six days off. And that bodes very well for them, as they're 22-6 ATS at home when playing with at least the previous five days off, including a perfect 11-0 ATS as a favorite of more than 5 points. Take the Red Raiders on Friday. Big 12 Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-29-17 | Bucks v. Thunder -8.5 | Top | 97-95 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Milwaukee. The Thunder are starting to come together, as a team. They've won six straight (and eight of nine), and have covered the point spread in each of their last three games. We played on Milwaukee last night, and got the cash when they downed the T-Wolves by six points. But the Bucks are a poor 36-62 ATS as unrested road underdogs, when they played at home the previous day, if their opponent is rested. And Milwaukee's also 11-22-1 ATS vs. the Thunder since 2001. Take Oklahoma City. |
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12-29-17 | Hawks v. Raptors -11 | Top | 98-111 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Atlanta. These two teams met earlier this season, and the Raptors pummeled the Hawks, 112-78, for the Hawks' worst (and Toronto's best) defeat of the season. I look for a similar result tonight, as Toronto will be in an ornery mood following two losses in its last two games. Coincidentally, the Raptors were also off back to back losses when they played the Hawks in that first meeting. And the Raptors are 2-0 SU/ATS this season when playing off losses in their two previous games. Meanwhile, Atlanta's 8-20 ATS when playing a foe off back to back losses. Take the Raptors. |
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12-29-17 | Kentucky +8 v. Northwestern | Top | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 51 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Northwestern. Kentucky was 7-5 on the season, but finished its regular season with back-to-back losses, at Georgia, and at home vs. Louisville. However, those two opponents were superior to Kentucky, which as installed as a double-digit underdog in each game, so there was no great shame in losing each of them. In contrast, Northwestern ended its regular season with two dominant defensive performances: a 39-0 shutout of the Golden Gophers, and a 42-7 blowout of Illinois, and finished the season with a 9-3 record. But it must be noted that neither of Northwestern's last two opponents was very good this season. Illinois was 2-10, and finished the year on an 10-game losing streak (and averaged just 13.1 ppg over its last nine games). Minnesota was better than Illinois, but it still only won five of its 12 games (and only won two of its nine Big 10 Conference games). It also ended the season with back-to-back shutout losses, and scored 10 points or less in four of its final five games. So, all of this puts Northwestern's last two defensive games in a better perspective. We'll fade Northwestern, as .900 (or worse) Bowl teams have gone 0-15 ATS over the last 21 years if they didn't give up 13+ points in each of their two previous games, and they were not playing an opponent with a better record. Also, underdogs off back to back losses have covered 69% in the Bowls over the last 38 years vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take Kentucky. NCAA FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-28-17 | Golden Knights v. Kings -150 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -150 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over the Vegas Golden Knights. The most surprising team through the first half of the NHL season? That's an easy "no-brainer". The Golden Knights are an expansion team in one of the unlikeliest places for a professional hockey team, but don't tell them that. This cobbled-together bunch playing on a sheet of ice in the desert not only sports a winning record, but at 24-11, they are sitting in first place in their division with no signs of slowing down. Los Angeles is only about a five hour drive from Sin City, but these two clubs have yet to meet here at Staples Center. That ends tonight as the Knights visit one of the best veteran teams in the NHL's Western Conference. Vegas comes in having won five straight -- all but one at home -- but if there is a knock against this Cinderella club it's the fact that it is 15-3 at T Mobile Arena, but just 9-8 elsewhere. The Kings are 5-0 in their last five home games, 5-1 in their last six vs. the West, and 6-1 when playing with revenge from an upset road loss. And they'll have a huge advantage tonight, in that they will be playing on four days' of rest, while Vegas played last night. Take the Kings. NHL GAME OF THE MONTH. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-28-17 | Michigan State v. Washington State +2 | Top | 42-17 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Michigan State. Wazzu has been installed as the underdog in this match-up vs. the Spartans. But we'll grab the points, as rested Pac-12 Conference teams have gone 21-0 ATS since 1980 vs. non-conference foes off a win, if our Pac-12 team owned a W/L percentage of .600 (or better). Take Washington State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-28-17 | Wolves v. Bucks -2.5 | Top | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Minnesota. The Bucks have dropped two straight, but they're an awesome 36-10 ATS at home off back to back losses.  The Timberwolves, meanwhile, are off five straight wins, including a 121-104 blowout of the Lakers on XMas Day, and a 128-125 win vs. Denver last night. Unfortunately, NBA teams off back to back wins are a poor 76-115 ATS, if they scored more than 116 points in their previous game, and they're playing a foe off a loss. Take Milwaukee. NBA HIGH ROLLER WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-28-17 | Bruins v. Capitals -123 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over Boston. The Capitals lost a heartbreaker last night, as they fell, 1-0, in a shootout at the NY Rangers. They're back home, though, tonight, and I love them to bounce back, as they're 28-10 after not scoring 2 goals in their previous game. They're also 13-4 off back to back losses, and 11-0 in the last 11 meetings vs. the Bruins. Meanwhile, Boston is a poor 2-9 when playing with double revenge vs. an opponent. Take Washington. NHL Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-28-17 | Virginia v. Navy +1 | Top | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Naval Academy over Virginia. There are two things that I try to not do when betting the Bowl games. One is to go against a Service Academy. As I mentioned last weekend in my write-up for my NCAA Game of the Week Winner on Army, the Service Academies have excelled in the Bowls. They're now 32-14 ATS (following Army's win) since 1980. And the other thing I will rarely do in Bowl games is go against a team playing at home. This game, of course, is being played in Annapolis, at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. And that's a big disadvantage for Virginia, which is 7-27 ATS on the road when priced from +1 to -11 points vs. .375 (or better) foes. Take Navy. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-17 | Jazz +12 v. Warriors | Top | 101-126 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz over Golden State. The Jazz lost 4-games-to-none in last year's Playoffs to the Warriors. But one of the things I love to do is play on certain underdogs with revenge from a playoff series defeat. Utah falls into a 74-40 ATS Playoff revenge angle of mine. Take the Jazz + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-17 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -2.5 | Top | 109-99 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
The Lakers are in the midst of a 4-game home stand, while Memphis is on a 5-game road trek. Last night, the Suns won by two points, with a game winning alley-oop at the buzzer, to beat Memphis. Meanwhile, the Lakers were off last night, so they will be well-rested. Los Angeles falls into a super 128-83 ATS system of mine which plays on certain losing teams, at home, off home losses. Take the Lakers. |
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12-27-17 | Cavs -9.5 v. Kings | Top | 95-109 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Sacramento, as the Cavs fall into 192-111 and 332-205 ATS systems of mine which play on certain road favorites off straight-up defeats. Also, the Cavs have dropped three in a row to the point spread. But LeBron James & Co. is 9-3 their last 12 off 3 ATS defeats. And LeBron's teams are 64% ATS in his career as rested road favorites off SU/ATS losses. Take Cleveland to blow out Sacramento. NBA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-17 | San Jose State v. Utah State -12 | Top | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over San Jose State. The Aggies have dropped their last four games to the pointspread, but fall into an 82-34 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 4+ losses in a row to the spread. Also, the Aggies have owned the Spartans over the years, as they are 20-0 straight-up in the last 20 meetings (15-5 ATS), and have covered the last nine in a row. Take Utah State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-17 | Oilers v. Jets -125 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over Edmonton. The Jets are off back to back road losses, at Boston, and at the Islanders. But they're back home tonight, and the Jets are a super 13-3 at home off a road loss, and 8-0 their last eight home games when playing a road game immediately before. The Oilers did blow out Montreal, 4-1, before the Christmas holiday break. Unfortunately, the Oilers are 0-6 this season off a win by more than two goals. Take the Jets. Hockey Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-17 | Knicks +1.5 v. Bulls | Top | 87-92 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks over the Chicago Bulls. Chicago upset the Bucks in Milwaukee last night, and now come home to take on New York which is rested. The Bulls fall into a negative 57-111 ATS system of mine which fades certain unrested teams off upset wins, while the Knicks are 34-18 ATS off a pointspread defeat. Take New York |
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12-27-17 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins -150 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the Columbus Blue Jackets. Perhaps no team in the NHL welcomed the Christmas Break more than the defending Cup Champion Pittsburgh Penguins. While the Steelers of the NFL are on quite a roll -- having locked up a first-round bye in the AFC playoffs -- the Penguins are stumbling and bumbling their way to the end of 2017. The Pens are only one point out of the Metropolitan Division cellar and if the season ended now, they would not make the playoffs, having lost five of their last seven games. Nobody on the team needed some time off more than goalie Matt Murray who allowed three goals on 13 shots in his last start before being replaced by Tristan Jarry in an embarrassing 4-0 loss to the Ducks here at home. The good news is that the home team has dominated this series lately, as the hosts have won nine of the last 10 meetings and 16 of the last 21. And the Pens are 6-1 in the last seven meetings with the Jackets. Take Pittsburgh. NHL Roadkill Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Syracuse -12.5 | Top | 47-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Eastern Michigan. Both of these teams are off to good starts this season: Syracuse is 10-2 while Eastern Michigan is 8-3. The Orange did lose their last game, 60-57, as a 6.5-point home favorite. But I look for the Orange to bounce back off that upset defeat, as the Orange have cashed 59% over the last 28 years as a double-digit favorite off an upset loss. And Syracuse also falls into an 84-34 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses. Lay the points with Syracuse. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-17 | Boston College v. Iowa -2.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Boston College. The Iowa Hawkeyes' senior class has lost Bowl games each of the past three seasons, so I expect the Hawkeyes to be extremely motivated this afternoon to break their losing streak in the Bowls. Iowa falls into 135-84, 36-25 and 89-38 ATS systems of mine. Take the Hawkeyes. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-26-17 | Northern Illinois +6 v. Duke | Top | 14-36 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over Duke. The Huskies were upset, 31-24, as a 2.5-point favorite in their final regular season game by Central Michigan. Meanwhile, Duke stunned Wake Forest, 31-23, as a 10.5-point underdog to end its regular season. Unfortunately for the Blue Devils, teams have covered just 34.7% in the Bowls since 1980 off an upset win, if they covered by more than 10 points in that upset, and they're now matched up against an opponent off an upset loss. Additionally, the Huskies are 7-0 ATS since 2012 vs. foes off an upset win. Take the Huskies + the points. |
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12-25-17 | Wolves v. Lakers +5 | Top | 121-104 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over Minnesota. The Lakers have certainly had an up-and-down season. They're 11-20 straight-up, and 15-16 ATS. But they've been sensational against the elite teams in the league this season, as they have covered nine of 11 when matched up against .600 (or better) foes. Meanwhile, the T-Wolves are 4-16 ATS as road favorites vs. .360 (or worse) teams. Moreover, Minnesota's been favored each of the last three meetings here, in Los Angeles, but has been upset each time. Same result on Christmas. Take the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-25-17 | Wizards +5 v. Celtics | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
At 5:35 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Boston. The Celtics have cooled off considerably since their hot 22-4 start to the season. Boston is just 5-5 over their last 10 games (coincidentally, the same record as the Wizards in their last 10). Washington plays this game with revenge from last season's 7-game Series loss to the Celtics, and falls into a 72-40 ATS playoff revenge system of mine. Take the Wizards + the points. |
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12-25-17 | Steelers v. Texans +9.5 | Top | 34-6 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, on Christmas Day, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Pittsburgh. The Texans were walloped by Jacksonville last week, 45-7. And that was Houston’s fourth straight loss. But this is a perfect spot to take Houston to bounce back, and I think they’ll easily cover vs. the Steelers. Last week, Pittsburgh suffered, perhaps, the most brutal loss of the entire season, as they seemingly scored the game winning touchdown vs. New England, but had it overturned on a technicality by the replay officials. I’ve always found that close losses are more difficult to bounce back from than blowout losses, and the way the Steelers lost will surely affect them emotionally. The other big factor here is that Houston is at home, and getting points, while the Steelers are laying points on the road. And home underdogs generally bounce back off blowout losses. Indeed, for technical support, consider that NFL home underdogs of +4 or more points, off a loss by 28 or more points, are 20-1 ATS their last 21 vs. opponents also off a loss. Take Houston. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie. |
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12-25-17 | Akron v. Davidson -9.5 | Top | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over Akron. Bob McKillop's Wildcats returned 4 starters from last year's 17-15 team, but have gotten off to a slower-than-expected 4-6 start this season. In their last game -- a 79-71 upset loss, here, at Hawaii to the homestanding Rainbow Warriors -- they shot a season-low 38% from the floor. But the last time the Wildcats were upset this season was at Appalachian State, when they shot just 40%, and fell, 78-62, as a 10-point favorite. They rebounded nicely from that defeat with a 15-point blowout of Charlotte (while shooting 51.6%) in their next game. I expect a similar rebound this afternoon vs. Akron, as the Wildcats are 59% ATS since 1990 off an upset loss. And they also fall into a 53-13 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off ATS defeats. Take Davidson. NCAA High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-25-17 | 76ers +3 v. Knicks | Top | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
At 12:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over New York. The Sixers have lost their last five games -- both SU and ATS -- but NBA teams are 57-32 ATS since 1990 on the road off 5 SU/ATS losses when playing a division rival. Take Philly. |
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12-24-17 | Houston -2.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 137 h 49 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars over the Fresno State Bulldogs. The Bulldogs have had no success in the Bowl games over the past nine years. They've played in six Bowl games and are a horrid 0-6 SU/ATS. And they've lost by an average of 19.5 ppg! Even worse: since 1980, Fresno State has made 16 bowl games, but it is 0-8 ATS in the Bowls when it wasn't getting 3+ points. We'll take Houston tonight, as it falls into several of my favorite systems, with records of 112-56, 53-17 and 89-37 ATS. Take the Cougars. NCAA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-24-17 | Giants +3.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 0-23 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Arizona. We played on the Giants last week, and got the $$$, even though New York lost outright, 34-29, to the Eagles (but covered as a 7-point underdog). The Giants have dropped their last four games, straight-up, and are 2-12 on the season. But I love them to pull the outright upset this afternoon vs. the 6-8 Cardinals, as they fall into a 102-42 ATS system of mine. Even better: NFL road teams off 4+ losses, and not getting more than 4 points, have covered 81% since 1980 if they're matched up against a foe whose W/L percentage is more than 25% better. Take New York. Underdog Shocker. Good luck, as always, Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Vikings v. Packers +9 | Top | 16-0 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers + the points over Minnesota. The Packers lost at Carolina last week, but they're back home at Lambeau Field for this game against their NFC North division rival. And NFC North division teams are 58-30 ATS off a loss vs. a division foe off a win! Even better: Green Bay plays with revenge vs. Minnesota from an upset loss earlier this season. And teams from the NFC North (or its forerunner, the NFC Central) are 29-6 ATS as underdogs of more than 6 points when playing with revenge vs. a division foe. Take Green Bay. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Avalanche -110 v. Coyotes | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the Arizona Coyotes. Arizona will start Antii Raanta tonight, after Scott Wedgewood was between the pipes in last night's win over Washington. Raanta is an uninspiring 1-2 vs. Colorado, with nine goals given up in 81 shots (.889 saves pct.). That doesn't bode well for the Coyotes. Arizona's won just 8 of its 37 games this season, including 0-3 off a home win, and 0-5 when playing without rest.  Take Colorado. NHL High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Bulls v. Celtics -7 | Top | 92-117 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Chicago. After starting the season 22-4, Boston's gone 4-5 since, including back to back upset losses to the Heat and Knicks in their last two games. The Celtics were also blasted by the Bulls, 108-85, earlier this month. But Kyrie Irving didn't play in that game. We'll lay the points with the Celtics in this rematch, as they're 43-24 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge, including 14-4 ATS when they lost the previous meeting by more than 10 points. And they're 8-0 ATS off back to back losses since Jan. 25, 2017. Take Boston. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Blackhawks -111 v. Devils | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Blackhawks over the New Jersey Devils. The Blackhawks were red hot behind the play of goalie Corey Crawford heading into their last game. Prior to Thursday's contest in Dallas against the Stars, the Hawks had won five straight by a combined score of 18-7. Much of that success was due to the performance of Crawford, Chicago's veteran net-minder, who started the season somewhat slowly before catching fire in the month of December. But he was as cold as the ice surface against the Stars that night, allowing four goals in just 22 shots in a rare clunker of a performance. His offense didn't help him out either as the Hawks were shut out 4-0. I expect Crawford and his team to be back in form tonight in New Jersey against the Devils. Chicago has had good success against the Metropolitan lately, going 10-3 in the last 13 vs. teams from that division. Take the 'Hawks. NHL Road Warrior Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Appalachian State v. Toledo -6.5 | Top | 34-0 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Appalachian State. These two teams met in last year's Camellia Bowl. The Mountaineers were favored by a point, and won that game, 31-28. Thus, Toledo will look to avenge that defeat. And I think they'll get it, as teams playing with revenge from a loss in the same, or previous season, have generally performed well in Bowl games. And especially if they didn't lose the previous meeting by 17+ points. In that situation, they're 13-1-1 ATS since 2008. Lay the points with Toledo. NCAA Bowl Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Idaho State v. CS-Northridge -1.5 | Top | 67-55 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors (rotation #578) minus the points over Idaho State. The Bengals won Round 1 when these two teams met in Pocatello 17 days ago. Idaho State was favored by 3 in that ball game, and cruised to a 74-66 victory. Unfortunately for Idaho State, it's a horrid 16-34 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, including 9-31 ATS when it didn't win the previous meeting by 12+ points. Finally, Northridge falls into a 101-45 ATS Revenge system of mine. Take the Matadors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Colts v. Ravens -13 | Top | 16-23 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Indianapolis. The Ravens blew out Cleveland, 27-10, last week, while Indy fell to the Broncos, 25-13. We'll lay the points with the Ravens, as they are 17-0 ATS at home off a win by more than 15 points, when playing an opponent off a loss. Take Baltimore. NFL High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Army +7 v. San Diego State | Top | 42-35 | Win | 100 | 108 h 13 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over San Diego State. The Service Academies (Army, Navy and Air Force) have always excelled in the Bowl games, no doubt due to the extreme discipline and preparedness that permeate the programs. Indeed, dating back to 1980, the three academies are 31-14 ATS in the Bowl games, with Army leading the pack at 5-1, 83% ATS. And they're a combined 14-3 ATS when getting more than six points. That bodes well for the Black Knights on Saturday. As does the fact that the Aztecs are 2-5 ATS their last seven as a favorite in the post-season.  Finally, Army led the nation with 356 rushing yards per game, and also was among the Top 5 in yards per rush, with 6.1. And over the last 22 seasons, underdogs of more than four points have cashed 100% (10-0 ATS) in the Bowls if they average at least 5.75 yards per rush. Take Army. NCAA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Wagner v. Dayton -10 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers (rotation #584) minus the points over Wagner. The Seahawks have been a generally poor bet over the last few years, as they're 4-11 ATS their last 15 lined ball games. Meanwhile, Dayton's a solid 28-16 ATS its last 44 as favorites of more than 9 points. And it also falls into an 81-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites of 5+ points. Take the Flyers. |
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12-23-17 | Alabama Aandamp;M +26.5 v. Georgetown | Top | 49-89 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Alabama A&M Bulldogs (rotation #581) plus the points over Georgetown. We played on Georgetown in its last game, a 75-63 win over North Texas. And the Hoyas rewarded us with a point spread cover. But that ATS win snapped Georgetown's 5-game ATS losing streak, and it's just 2-5 ATS on the season. Even worse: the Hoyas are an awful 0-8 ATS when laying 15+ points over the past three seasons. Take Alabama A&M. |
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12-22-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Oakland -7 | Top | 81-86 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies minus the points over Eastern Michigan. These two schools met 16 days ago in Ypsilanti, and the Eagles upset Oakland, 95-89, as a 2-point home underdog. But I love Oakland to avenge that defeat as college basketball home favorites of -5 or more points have cashed 85% over the past 15 years vs. non-conference foes, if our team was playing with revenge from an upset loss away from home earlier in the season. Even better: Oakland is 20-5 ATS since 2015 when playing with revenge, including 14-1 ATS off a straight-up win, while Eastern Michigan is 18-42 as an underdog (or PK) vs. a revenge-minded foe, including 0-11 ATS since 2014. Take Oakland. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-22-17 | Central Michigan v. Wyoming -2.5 | Top | 14-37 | Win | 100 | 85 h 43 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Central Michigan. Wyoming ended its season with two straight defeats. It lost 13-7, at home, to Fresno State. And then was upset, 20-17, as an 18-point favorite at San Jose St. But QB Josh Allen didn't play in either game. He's expected to be back under center this afternoon, and that will greatly help the Cowboys' offense. Meanwhile, Central Michigan upset Northern Illinois, 31-24, as a 2.5-point underdog in its last regular season game. Unfortunately, since 1980, teams off upset wins to end their regular season have cashed just 36% in Bowl games away from home vs. foes off an upset loss. Take Wyoming. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-17 | Portland State v. California -5 | Top | 106-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over Portland State. The Vikings are 9-3 straight-up and 9-0 ATS to start the season, while California is a pedestrian 6-6 SU and 4-5 ATS. But the Vikings' red-hot start "in Vegas" has set them up in an awful point spread situation, as College Basketball teams on a 7-game (or better) ATS win streak, with a .900 (or better) ATS win percentage, are 1-16 ATS as underdogs of +3 or more points in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes. Take California. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-17 | Blackhawks v. Stars -130 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over Chicago. Dallas has dropped three straight games, but it's a fantastic 24-8 off a loss, including 10-1 off 3+ losses the past two seasons. This will be the 3rd meeting this season between these two clubs, and Dallas won both of the other two. Take the Stars. NHL High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-17 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins -148 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the Columbus Blue Jackets. This is the first meeting of the Pens and Jackets since the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs last April. Pittsburgh dispatched of Columbus quite easily in that series (4-1) and although the Jackets may have taken a step forward since then -- and the Pens perhaps a step back -- if that series were held again today, few would bet against the defending Cup Champs. The Jackets beat the Leafs last night by 4-2 and it was behind back-up goalie Joonas Korpisalo, who turned aside 39 of 41 shots. Because they will be playing on back-to-back nights, the Jackets will likely go back to regular #1 Sergei Bobrovsky between the pipes. Bobrovsky has been getting roughed up quite a bit lately, allowing a whopping 18 goals in his last four starts. A similar performance tonight will likely not end well for Bobrovsky or his team against a very good Pittsburgh offense. The home team is 8-1 in the last nine meetings of these two and the Jackets are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings in Pittsburgh. Take the Pens. NHL Elite Info Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-17 | Bulls v. Cavs -10.5 | Top | 112-115 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Chicago. The Bulls won again last night, and that was their 8th straight cover (and 7th straight outright win). They'll now take on LeBron James & Co., in Cleveland. And the Cavs have won 18 of their last 20. Unfortunately for the Bulls, non-winning teams, off 7+ ATS wins, are an awful 0-17 ATS since 1996 as road underdogs of +7.5 or more points. Take Cleveland minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-20-17 | Red Wings v. Flyers -185 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Flyers over the Detroit Red Wings. The Flyers had their six-game win streak snapped in their last game here at home. We played on the L.A. Kings in that game, and they came away from Philly with a 4-1 victory. But the Flyers get a step-down-in-class tonight as the Red Wings come in for the Flyers' fourth consecutive home game. Watching Detroit play this season, it's hard to believe this is the same franchise that went to the playoffs 25 straight seasons before 2016 and that has won 11 Stanley Cups. They come into this game off of just their third victory in their last 13 games. The Wings are clearly in a rebuilding mode and while they have some talented youngsters on their roster, their biggest challenge is on offense as they are averaging just 2.63 goals per game this season (26th in the league). And that number drops to 2.36 when Detroit is on the road. The Wings are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia and the home team is 19-5 in the last 24 meetings. Take Philly. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-20-17 | Maple Leafs v. Blue Jackets -155 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Columbus Blue Jackets over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Leafs broke a three-game losing streak on Tuesday afternoon with a victory over the Hurricanes at home. More importantly, their offense broke out of its slump with a huge eight-goal performance. With their #1 player -- F Auston Matthews --continuing to miss time with a somewhat mysterious injury, that 8-1 victory looks more like an aberration than anything else. And it looks like Matthews will be absent again tonight so it wouldn't be at all surprising if the Leafs go back to the type of offense they were exhibiting before the blowout win when they managed only four goals in four games. The Blue Jackets come back home after a rough two-game road trip, losing back-to-back contests in Carolina and Boston. But Nationwide Arena has been a friendly place for them lately as the Jackets are 41-18 in their last 59 home games. The Leafs are 1-4 in their last five road games as well as 14-38 in their last 52 road games vs. teams with a home winning % of greater than .600. Take the Jackets. HIGH ROLLER WINNER. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-20-17 | North Texas v. Georgetown -9.5 | Top | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas minus the points over North Texas. These two teams have had "mirror opposite" seasons against the point spread. North Texas lost against the spread in its first lined game, but has covered five in a row since. Meanwhile, the Hoyas covered the spread in their first lined game, but then failed to cover each of their next five. I look for both teams to reverse course on this Wednesday, and will lay the points with Georgetown. For technical support, consider that NCAA teams off five ATS losses have covered 71% since 1990 as a favorite vs. foes off five ATS wins (including 9-0 ATS the last three years). Take Georgetown. NCAA ROADKILL WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-19-17 | CS-Northridge +6.5 v. CS Sacramento | Top | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors + the points over Sacramento State. Northridge comes into this game on a nine-game losing streak (and seven-game ATS losing streak). But we'll grab the points, as the Hornets have only covered 33% of their non-conference games the past 11 years when installed as a favorite. Also, Northridge falls into a 142-63 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 5+ ATS losses. Take the Matadors + the points. |
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12-19-17 | Southern Utah v. Iowa -18.5 | Top | 64-92 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Southern Utah. The Thunderbirds are 6-4 straight-up and 8-0 ATS to start the season. But their hot start has set them up in an awful situation, as College Basketball teams on a 7-game (or better) ATS win streak, with a .900 (or better) ATS win percentage, are 1-15 ATS as underdogs of +3 or more points in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes. Take Iowa. |
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12-19-17 | Northern Colorado v. Wyoming -7.5 | Top | 91-84 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Northern Colorado. Wyoming is 9-3 on the season, and has yet to lose at home. And they're a solid 18-11 ATS as a home favorite. Wyoming also falls into a fantastic 79-23 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites of -5+ points. Take the Cowboys. |
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12-19-17 | Capitals v. Stars -118 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -118 | 19 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over Washington. The Stars have dominated the Capitals as much as any NHL team can do to another, as they've won 10 of the past 11 meetings, and 22 of the past 28. Tonight, the Stars will look to snap a two-game losing streak with a home victory. And they usually do, as they're 24-7 at home off a loss, and also 10-4 off back to back road defeats. Take the Stars. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-19-17 | Cavs v. Bucks +2 | Top | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over Cleveland. Jason Kidd's Bucks have largely been great since the acquisition of guard Eric Bledsoe from Phoenix on November 7. With Bledsoe in the lineup, Milwaukee won 11 of its first 15 games. But it stumbled last week, and lost all three games. Still, the glass is more than half-full for the Bucks' franchise, as the team is 15-13 this season. And Giannis Antetokounmpo currently ranks as the league's 2nd best player in PER, behind LeBron James. Tonight, the Bucks will attempt to snap their losing streak, and will host Cleveland, which defeated Milwaukee twice earlier this season. But winning NBA teams, playing with double-revenge in the regular season, and also off back to back losses, have covered 63% at home vs. foes off back to back wins. That bodes well for Milwaukee on Tuesday. As does the fact that the Bucks have gone 35-10-1 ATS their last 46 at home off back-to-back losses, including 10-1 ATS if they were playing with more rest than their opponent (which Milwaukee is). Take the Bucks on Tuesday. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-19-17 | Troy State -1.5 v. Austin Peay | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Troy State Trojans over Austin Peay. The Trojans were blown out, 88-63, by Arkansas on Saturday. But Troy has generally bounced back from blowout defeats, as it's 23-10 ATS off a loss by 20+ points. Even better: Troy falls into a 94-36 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take the Trojans. |
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12-19-17 | Marshall v. Xavier -22 | Top | 77-81 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers minus the points over Marshall. Marshall has been a double-digit underdog just once before this season. And we went against Marshall in that game, and got the $$$ with Illinois. We'll go against Marshall as a double-digit underdog again tonight, in this game at Xavier. The Musketeers are the nation's 3rd best field goal shooting team, so Marshall's up-tempo style plays right into the hands of the Musketeers. Xavier's 9-2 ATS this season, while Marshall is a wallet-busting 83-121 ATS as a road underdog (or PK). Lay the points with Xavier. |
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12-19-17 | Hurricanes v. Maple Leafs -128 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 0 m | Show |
At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Carolina Hurricanes. On the surface, this game between the Leafs and Canes may not seem like anything special, but in at least one way, it is. On December 19, 1917 -- about one mile from where this game will be played -- the Toronto Arenas lost to the Montreal Wanderers in the first-ever NHL game. That means that this afternoon marks the official 100th birthday of the Maple Leafs and the anniversary of the beginning of the league, and the Leafs will wear Toronto Arenas sweaters to commemorate the occasion. Having lost three straight games coming into this historic game the Leafs would like nothing more than to turn their losing streak around. Another good birthday present for the home team would be the return of their best player, Auston Matthews, who is listed as doubtful. It doesn't appear that he will play, however, as he failed to practice yesterday. But I'm still on Toronto this afternoon, as the Leafs will play their first home game since a victory over the Oilers on December 10. And they're 10-5 at the Air Canada Centre this season. This also is a good match-up for them as Toronto is 3-1 in the last four meetings with the Canes. Finally, Carolina is a horrid 31-52 off a win (minus 24 games on the moneyline). Take the Leafs. NHL Roadkill Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-17 | Falcons v. Bucs UNDER 48.5 | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs and Atlanta Falcons to go 'under' the total. This play is purely technical in nature, and based on the season stats of Tampa and Atlanta. It falls into 116-60 and 169-111 Totals systems of mine (both of which supported our play last Monday on the 'under' in the Miami/New England game). Interestingly, these two teams have combined for 54, 71 and 55 points in their three previous meetings. The knee-jerk reaction, then, might be to look for another high-scoring game tonight. But consider that division games that have combined for 54+ points in each of the three previous meetings have gone 'under' the total 67.6% of the time over the past 27 years. Finally, Tampa Bay is a solid 19-9 'under' the total its last 28 division games at home (including 8-2 'under' its last 10), while Atlanta is 8-3-2 'under' its last 13 division road games. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-17 | Nuggets v. Thunder -5 | Top | 94-95 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Denver. The Thunder were upset by the Nuggets earlier this season. But OKC will avenge that loss tonight, as it's an awesome 65-38 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset defeat. Additionally, the Thunder fall into a division revenge system of mine which is 130-64 ATS since 1990. Finally, OKC is also 11-3 SU and 9-4-1 ATS its last 14 meetings vs. Denver. Lay the points. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-17 | Kings +100 v. Flyers | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over the Philadelphia Flyers. The Flyers are on a roll, and Brian Elliott is a big reason why. The veteran goalie -- who the Flyers signed to a two-year contract in July -- has been in net for all six straight games that Philly has won coming into tonight. But he's also been one of the busiest net-minders as the lower body injury to Michael Neuvirth has meant that Elliott has started and played all 60 minutes of 10 of the Flyers last 11 games. He will have to carry the load again tonight as the Kings visit Philadelphia for only the second time in over two years. By contrast, Kings goalie Jonathan Quick has been getting relief from able back-up Darcy Keumper, who has started every third or fourth game including L.A.'s last one, an overtime loss in New Jersey to the Devils on Saturday. So Quick will be back between the pipes tonight against a foe that he's had plenty of success against in his career. In 12 games vs. the Flyers, Quick has posted a 1.64 GAA and .944 saves pct. The Kings have won three of the last four meetings with the Flyers. Take L.A. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Cowboys v. Raiders +3 | Top | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Dallas, as Oakland falls into a 124-55 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs. Dallas does come into this game off back to back blowout wins, as it defeated Washington, 38-14, two weeks ago. And it smashed the Giants, 30-10, last Sunday. Unfortunately for the Cowboys, unrested NFL road teams off back to back SU/ATS wins, in which they scored 30+ points in each game, have gone 121-162 ATS. That doesn't bode well for the Cowboys at Oakland. And neither does the fact that, late in the season, NFL home underdogs have excelled, as they've cashed 57.4% off a straight-up loss, at Week 14 forward. Finally, Dallas is 7-6 SU/ATS this season. But it's a woeful 24-41 ATS as a road favorite if it owned a winning SU/ATS record. Take the points with the Raiders. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Flames -103 v. Canucks | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over Vancouver. The Flames lost at home last night, 2-0, to Nashville. And that was the third straight defeat for Calgary after it bested these Canucks, 4-2, back on December 9. I look for the Flames to once again triumph over Vancouver, as the Flames are a solid 21-9 after not scoring 2+ goals in their previous game. And they're also a solid 8-3 off back to back home losses. Vancouver, meanwhile, is an awful 27-47 off a win, including 3-12 off a home win, in which it scored more than three goals. Take the Flames. NHL High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Cavs v. Wizards +1.5 | Top | 106-99 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavaliers won at home last night, 109-100, over the Utah Jazz. And that was Cleveland's 17th win in its last 18 games. We actually had a big play against Cleveland in the one game it lost over this stretch, and that was when it played at Indiana nine days ago. One of the reasons I loved Indiana was that Cleveland's gaudy record, of late, is primarily due to a very soft schedule. Indeed, of the Cavs' 17 wins, only 3 have come against teams with an average margin of victory greater than 0. And the most difficult road game was the one at Indiana, and Cleveland failed that test. Sunday's game at Washington will also be a staunch test for the Cavs, as it comes on the heels of a game last night. This will be Cleveland's second road game this season when it had to play without rest. The other game was at Brooklyn back on October 25, which followed a home game vs. Chicago. Not surprisingly, Cleveland was upset by the Nets, 112-107, as an 8-point favorite. The Cavs are a dreadful 1-15 ATS their last 16 when playing on the road without rest, if they're off back-to-back wins! Take Washington over the Cavs. NBA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Blues v. Jets -135 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the St. Louis Blues. The Blues beat the Jets last night, 2-0 as both teams played their back-up goaltenders in that game. For the Blues, Carter Hutton made his first appearance in five games as he has been ailing with a lower body injury. He added to his stellar record (4-2 with a 1.90 GAA in seven games - six starts) with his shutout at home. The Jets meanwhile welcomed back their #2 net-minder, Steve Mason, who had been sidelined since the end of November with a concussion he suffered against the San Jose Sharks. Although they lost, Mason didn't play badly considering the nature of his injury and the time he's missed, and the Jets dominated play on the ice other than on the scoreboard, out-shooting the Blues by a lopsided 48-30. You could certainly argue that Hutton is just as good as St. Louis' #1 goalie, Jake Allen who will get the start tonight opposite Winnipeg's #1 Connor Hellebuyck (who has been very solid). Prior to last night's loss the Jets had won six straight meetings against the Blues, and I look for them to resume their winning ways in this series tonight. Take Winnipeg. NHL Elite Info Play. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Vanderbilt +10.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 64-76 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Arizona State. The Sun Devils come into this game off an upset win last week at Kansas. That extended ASU's streak to start the season to 9-0 straight-up and 8-0 ATS. In contrast, the Commodores are 3-6 this season, and 0-8 ATS. Thus, this is the rarest of games with respect to two teams going in opposite directions against the spread. Indeed, my basketball database goes back to 1990. There have been 78,660 games played over the past 28 years (with pointspreads), including 61,176 games played where each team had at least eight games under its belt, and it has NEVER before happened that one team had been on an 8-game ATS win streak, while its opponent was on an 8-game ATS losing streak! Of course, one thing that isn't quite rare is a team, by itself, going on a 5-game ATS losing streak. And such teams have actually done quite well as double-digit road underdogs when matched up against foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Since 1990, they've covered 66%. Even worse for the Sun Devils: they're a horrid 15-39 ATS off an upset win since February 2001. Take Vanderbilt + the points. NCAA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Bengals +11 v. Vikings | Top | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 51 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Minnesota. The Bengals' 4-game point spread win streak was snapped last Sunday by the Chicago Bears, as Cincy lost, 33-7, as a 6-point favorite. But underdogs of more than 3 points, off a double-digit loss as a favorite of -6 points (or more), have cashed 63.3% over the last 30 years. And the Bengals also fall into a 140-62 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses. Finally, Cincinnati is 19-5 ATS as an underdog of more than 6 points vs. non-division foes off a loss (including 9-0 ATS their last nine), while the Vikings have covered just 10 of 37 as a 7-point (or greater) favorite off a loss. Take Cincy. NFL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Ravens v. Browns +7.5 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Baltimore. It's true that the Browns are 0-13 on the season (and 1-28 the past two seasons). But it's also a team which is still playing hard. Last week, it fought gamely against a Green Bay team still in the Playoff hunt, and lost in overtime, 27-21. The week before, it played a Chargers squad that's currently won 7 of 9, yet lost by just nine points, 19-10. This week, it will take on the Baltimore Ravens, who lost, 39-38, at Pittsburgh last week. And the fact that Cleveland has yet to win means that it will continue to fight hard for that maiden victory. Indeed, 0-13 (or worse) teams have gone 8-2 ATS in the season's final three weeks. Even more impressive is the fact that those teams went 5-5 straight-up, notwithstanding the fact that they were underdogs in each game (with an average point spread of +9.15). Finally, the Ravens have covered just six of 24 games off back-to-back point spread wins. Don't be surprised if Cleveland wins, straight-up. Take the points with the Browns. NFL Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Eagles v. Giants +7.5 | Top | 34-29 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles. Certainly, Philadelphia caught a tough break last week when its 1st string quarterback, Carson Wentz, was lost to injury for the remainder of the season. So, now, the Eagles will turn to their 2nd string QB, Nick Foles. Interestingly, the NFC’s top two teams — Minnesota and Philadelphia — both have backup quarterbacks as their starter, so it may be premature to shovel dirt on the Eagles’ grave, as the Vikings are clearly proving that you can have extreme success with a back-up QB. That being said, I’m still going to take the points with the New York Giants on Sunday. One reason is that this will be the Eagles’ third straight road game. And NFL teams are a wallet-busting 71-121 ATS when playing their 3rd straight road game, provided they’re not off back to back losses in the previous two. That bodes well for the Giants. As does the fact that home underdogs (or PK) are 169-123 ATS at Week 14 forward, if they’re off a SU/ATS loss. Take New York. |
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12-17-17 | Jets +16.5 v. Saints | Top | 19-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the New Orleans Saints. The Jets were shutout, 23-0, in an upset loss last week at Denver. But teams off a 21-point (or worse) upset shutout loss have covered 63% over the past 25 years. Take the New York Jets. |
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12-17-17 | Cardinals v. Redskins -4 | Top | 15-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Redskins minus the points over Arizona. The Redskins return home off back to back road losses at Dallas, and at the Chargers. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are off an upset win over Tennessee. But .260 (or better) teams have gone 48-22 ATS off back to back road losses, when matched up against foes off upset wins. Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-17 | Predators v. Flames -123 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -123 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over Nashville. The Flames come into this game off a tough, 3-2 loss at home to San Jose. And they lost 2-1 at Minnesota in their game immediately before that. But I look for the Flames to rebound tonight, as they're 14-6 off back to back games where they failed to score 3+ goals. In contrast, Nashville won in a blowout -- 4-0 -- at Edmonton on Thursday. But the Predators are a poor 6-15 off a win by more than three goals. Take Calgary. NHL High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-17 | Celtics -5.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 102-93 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Memphis. The Grizzlies come into tonight's game off a win over the Atlanta Hawks. And that was just Memphis' 9th win on the season. I love playing against bad teams off a win (as they rarely win back to back games), and we'll pull the trigger on the Celtics tonight, especially since Boston -- a very good team -- is off an upset loss to the Jazz. And, since 1990, .666 (or better) teams off a loss are 68.1% ATS on the road vs. .333 (or worse) non-division foes off a win. Moreover, Boston's 4-1-1 ATS off a loss this season, while Memphis has gone 0-4 ATS after its last 4 wins. Take Boston minus the points. NBA ROAD WARRIOR. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-17 | Rangers v. Bruins -180 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -180 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the New York Rangers. The Rangers notched a big win over the visiting Kings last night, 4-2, but now they head north for a game in Boston and the road hasn't been too kind to them lately. New York is just 6-15 in its last 21 games away from Madison Square Garden going back to the end of last season. The Bruins lost their last game to the Capitals, but they had won five of six before that and had allowed two goals or less in those five victories. And in those two losses, the Bruins started back-up goalie Anton Khudobin with Tuukka Rask going for them in the five victories. The veteran netminder from Finland has been on fire, and his 2.41 GAA ranks him third in the Eastern Conference and Rask should be back between the pipes this evening in front of the home faithful. The home team is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings while the Rangers are 2-6 in their last eight road games vs. teams with a winning home record. Take Boston. NHL Roadkill! As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-17 | Bears v. Lions UNDER 44 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Chicago/Detroit game. Both of these teams went 'under' the total last week. Chicago defeated Cincy, 33-7, and that game went under the posted total of 40.5 by a half-point. Meanwhile, Detroit and Tampa Bay combined for 45 points, which stayed under that game's total of 48. The Bears are 9-4 'under' this season, and have also gone 'under' in 31 of 54 division games. And this game also falls into a 157-94 Totals system of mine. Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-17 | NC-Greensboro v. NC State -8 | Top | 81-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack minus the points over NC Greensboro. The Spartans are 7-3 SU and 4-0-1 ATS this season, but I look for NC State to hand them their first point spread defeat on Saturday afternoon. Long-term, the Spartans have been dreadful off a point spread win (63-97 ATS since 1990), including 25-44 ATS as a single-digit underdog. They're also a soft 17-24 ATS vs. the ACC Conference, including 0-4 ATS when they owned a winning point spread record. NC State falls into a 131-52 ATS system of mine which plays against certain underdogs off ATS wins. Take the Wolfpack. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-15-17 | Thunder v. 76ers -1.5 | Top | 119-117 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers over Oklahoma City. The Thunder are currently installed as a small underdog on the overnight line. And, should this point spread hold, it will be the very first time the Thunder have been an underdog on the road this season. They were favored in each of their first 14 road games, and have gone 4-10 straight-up and 3-11 ATS in those 14 road games. The other interesting thing to note about this game is that Oklahoma City has defeated Philadelphia 16 straight games. Unfortunately, teams that have won 16 (or more) straight games in a row vs. their opponent have gone just 24-50 ATS, including 0-7 ATS as an underdog! The 76ers are a solid 33-20 ATS at home the past two seasons, and will win and cover tonight. Take Philly. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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