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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-21-21 | Ravens v. Bears +6.5 | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bears. Chicago probably deserved to win in a controversial loss to Pittsburgh in their last game. They have had a long week to prepare for the Ravens, and this looks like a tough spot for Baltimore. The Ravens are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite, and they are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss. It's going to be cold and windy in Chicago, and this game should be a war of attrition. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-21 | Colts v. Bills -7 | 41-15 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Buffalo. The Colts might be biting off more than they can chew here on the road at Buffalo. Indy is 5-5 but when you look at their wins over the Jags, Jets, Texans and Dolphins, it doesn't inspire much confidence. The Bills are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall, and the favorite is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings between these teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-21 | Dolphins -3 v. Jets | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami. At first glance the Dolphins are 3-7 and the Jets are 2-7, so you might assume these teams are close in terms of talent. The Jets rank dead last in the NFL in scoring defense, and their offense is in the hands of a 36 year old Joe Flacco. He's appeared in six games for the Jets over the last two seasons, and the Jets are 0-6 in those games. History favors Miami, the Dolphins are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-21 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech +11 | 23-0 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas Tech. The Red Raiders came out of their bye week and scored a whopping 31 points in the first half last week against Iowa State. The Cyclones rallied, but Texas Tech held on to win the game on a 62 yard FG at the buzzer. They host Oklahoma State this week, and at first glance the Cowboys look pretty good at 9-1. Oklahoma State hasn't been a good bet against Texas Tech, failing to cover in five straight versus the Red Raiders. Texas Tech has covered in eight of their last 10 as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-21 | Hornets v. Hawks -6 | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Hawks. Atlanta didn't start the season off well after an inspired run in last year's playoffs, but they come into Saturday's home game against Charlotte as winners of three in a row. The Hornets are playing on the back end of a back to back, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. The Hawks are 24-4 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite, and they are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-21 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton -5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Hamilton. The Saskatchewan Roughriders have already clinched a playoff spot, so they will not have the majority of their offensive starters on the field when they visit Hamilton Saturday. The Tigercats have also clinched a playoff spot, but they still have a chance to lock up home field advantage. This should be quite a mismatch with Hamilton's starters going up against the Riders backups. The Tiger-Cats are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite, and they are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-21 | Illinois +13 v. Iowa | 23-33 | Win | 100 | 35 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Illinois. The Hawkeyes are 2-2 in their last four overall, and their offense has scored just 14.5 points per game during that span. They come into Saturday's home game against Illinois as a double digit favorite, but I have them on upset alert. Illinois is gunning for a third straight road win against a Top 25 team, coming off wins over #7 ranked Penn State and #20 Minnesota. They ran for 357 yards against the Nittany Lions, and in their win over Minnesota they held the Gophers to 89 yards rushing. Coming off a bye week, I expect Illinois to be highly competitive here at Iowa. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-21 | Wake Forest +4.5 v. Clemson | 27-48 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wake Forest. The Tigers are 7-3, two games back of Wake Forest in the ACC standings, but they are a 4.5 point favorite at home versus the Deacons on Saturday. The brand name of Clemson might be carrying too much weight, because the product on the field doesn't justify being favored here. Sam Hartman has been lighting it up all year, and last week he threw for 290 yards and three TDs in a 45-42 win over #16 N.C. State. DJ Uiagalelei threw for just 111 yards on 12-of-26 passing in a loss to the Wolfpack earlier this year. The Tigers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-21 | Memphis v. Houston -8.5 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Houston. The Memphis Tigers are just 5-5, and they are just 2-4 in conference play. They have failed to cover in all four of their road games this season, and they are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog. Their offense has struggled, partially because it has been so one dimensional. Having little success running the football, things could be worse as their #1 WR and best offensive player (Calvin Austin) has been banged up for weeks, and only played only a few snaps in the first half and was extremely limited in the second half in last week's lost to ECU. The Cougars have won nine straight, and they are undefeated in conference play. Houston QB Clayton Tune has been lights out this season, and he's thrown 14 TD passes without an INT in his last five starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-21 | Jets +1.5 v. Oilers | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on WPG. The Jets are coming off a 5-2 home win over the Oilers, and they will play the second game of this home and home set tonight in Winnipeg. The Oilers are one of the hottest teams in the NHL, sitting a point out of first place in the Pacific Division and owning the league's #1 power play unit. The Jets seem to have their number though, winning five straight in this series. Three of the last four meetings have gone to overtime. I expect another close game here in Edmonton. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-21 | Patriots -6.5 v. Falcons | 25-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Matt Ryan over 0.5 INT. The Patriots defense ranks second in the NFL with 14 INTs in 10 games so far this season. They come into Atlanta as winners of four straight. Matt Ryan was terrible last week, throwing for 117 yards and two INTs on 9-of-21 passing in a loss to Dallas. He's thrown five picks in his last four starts, and this is not a favorable matchup for the Falcons. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-21 | Blackhawks +1.5 v. Seattle Kraken | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Chicago. The Hawks have won three straight, while Seattle has lost four in a row. The Kraken are really struggling with special teams, with the league's worst powerplay and a below average penalty kill. The only reason I can think why Seattle is a favorite, would be that bettors are chasing the magic that they witnessed when the Golden Knights exploded on the scene as an expansion team. The reality is that such early success is the exception, rather than the rule. Marc Andre Fleury has been brilliant in his last two starts, and Patrick Kane has a goal and five assists in his last five games played. These two teams are trending in opposite directions. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-21 | Maryland v. Michigan State -12 | 21-40 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play Michigan State. The Spartans suffered a let down after their big win over Michigan. Coming off a loss to Purdue, you can expect Michigan State to get back on track against a Maryland team that has trouble protecting the football. Taulia Tagovailoa has thrown as many INTs (8) as he has TD passes in his last five starts. The Terrapins are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 conference games, and they are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 road games. Kenneth Walker has run for over 300 yards and eight TDs in his last two games in East Lansing. Expect him to light up the scoreboard again today. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-21 | Villanova +4.5 v. UCLA | 77-86 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-11-21 | Heat v. Clippers -2.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAC. |
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11-11-21 | Ducks +1.5 v. Seattle Kraken | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ANA. The Ducks will be a big underdog on the road versus the expansion team Seattle Kraken, despite the fact that Anaheim has won five straight overall. The Ducks have the better goaltender in Jon Gibson, who is 6-2-2 with a 2.35 GAA so far. The Ducks are 12-2 ATS this season, covering the puckline in five of their six road games. The Kraken are really struggling with special teams, with the league's worst powerplay and a below average penalty kill. The only reason I can think why Seattle is a favorite, would be that bettors are chasing the magic that they witnessed when the Golden Knights exploded on the scene as an expansion team. The reality is that such early success is the exception, rather than the rule. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-21 | Ravens -7.5 v. Dolphins | 10-22 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Baltimore. In case you hadn't noticed, there are two NFL teams that are surely tanking this season. It was perfectly clear when Houston played Miami last week that neither team was all that interested in winning. Jacoby Brissett got the start in place of Tua Tagovailoa, and despite throwing for two picks and getting sacked four times, Miami hung on for a 17-9 win. To say that recent history favors the Ravens would be an understatement. Baltimore has won the last two meetings by a combined score of 99-10. The Ravens have covered in nine straight against the Dolphins, and six of those games were in Miami. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-21 | Buffalo +16 v. Michigan | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Buffalo. The #6 ranked Wolverines will open their season as a double digit favorite against an unranked team from the MAC, but don't for a second think this game will be easy. Buffalo finished second in the MAC last season, and they are bringing back their leading scorer, their leading rebounder, and their assist leader. The Bulls are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, and they have covered in six straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-21 | Kentucky +1.5 v. Duke | 71-79 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on UK. Kentucky comes in ranked #10, and Duke #9, with the line close to a pickem for the season opener. There isn't much recent history between these teams, with Duke winning the last meeting 118-84 back in 2018. Things change fast for college basketball blue bloods like Duke and Kentucky, with freshmen phenoms arriving year after year, and departing shortly then after. It's the talent that is left behind that should favor Kentucky here this early in the season. Leading scorer Davion Mintz returns with junior Kion Brooks and Oscar Tshiebwe coming over from West Virginia. The Wildcats are 13-3-2 ATS in their last 18 neutral site games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-21 | Titans v. Rams -7 | 28-16 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 6 m | Show | |
7* |
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11-07-21 | Packers +7.5 v. Chiefs | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 98 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GB. So Aaron Rodgers is out with Covid, and the line has moved in favor of the Chiefs. Seems like a big overreaction to me. Keep in mind that the Chiefs are tied for last place in the AFC West, and last week just barely beat the Giants who were down their top two WRs and starting RB Saquon Barkley. The Packers still have studs at WR and RB, and a solid defense. The question is, how bad is backup QB Jordan Love? He's going to have to be pretty bad for the Packers to lose this game by more than a TD. We've already seen the Jets win with Mike White, the Cowboys win with Cooper Rush, The Browns win with Case Keenum and the Seahawks win with Geno Smith. Don't be surprised if we add Jordan Love's name to that list. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-06-21 | San Diego State v. Hawaii +7 | 17-10 | Push | 0 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Hawaii. Hawaii will be an underdog at home against San Diego State, but the Aztecs aren't the powerhouse they used to be in the Mountain West. San Diego State lost by double digits at home to Fresno State last week, and they gave up almost 500 yards of offense in that game. The Bulldogs lost at Hawaii earlier this season, and it would be no surprise to see the Aztecs struggle on the road here. The Rainbow Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. Hawaii QB Chevan Coriero played well last week, throwing for 296 yards, three TDs and an INT on 23-of-39 passing in a loss to Utah State. He should keep his team competitive here in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-21 | Giants +10.5 v. Chiefs | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NYG. We all know that the Chiefs are capable of playing a lot better than they have this season. That being said they were not a great first half team even during their Super Bowl seasons. They also weren't great at covering the spread even dating back to last season. The Chiefs are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games overall, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight as a home favorite. The Giants are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games as a road underdog. The bookmakers listing KC as the double digit favorite flies in the face of all the historical trends. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-21 | Blazers +2 v. 76ers | 103-113 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Blazers. The Blazers are an underdog on the road at Philly, and they have dominated the Sixers in recent seasons. Portland is 6-1 straight up in the last seven head to head meetings, and the one loss came in a game decided by one point. Joel Embiid will sit out this game, making it a tough ask for the Sixers to snap this trend. Philly is 1-4 ATS in their last five when coming off a win, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-21 | Astros v. Braves +1.5 | 9-5 | Loss | -164 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta. The Braves are one win away from a Wolrd Series, and they look good as the underdog in Game 5. Framber Valdez will toe the slab for Houston, and he was rocked in a loss in Game 1. He allowed five runs on eight hits in just two innings. The Braves will once again turn the game over to their bullpen, a strategy that has served them well so far. The Astros are 3-7 in their last 10 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-21 | Patriots v. Chargers -4 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 3 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-31-21 | Bengals -4 v. Jets | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 161 h 6 m | Show | |
5* |
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10-31-21 | Eagles v. Lions +3.5 | 44-6 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a free play on DET. The Lions are 0-7, and this week's home game is as good a chance as they willl probably have to win a game this season. Only two teams in history have gone 0-16 in a season, and one of those teams was the 2008 Lions. Detroit hasn't played that bad at home this season, losing close games to San Francisco, Baltimore and Cincinnati. They have covered in five of their last six versus the Eagles, and the Eagles are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Eagles are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss. This Philly team has no business being a favorite on the road, not even against the Lions. GL, Jesse Schue |
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10-30-21 | Iowa +3.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 7-27 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10*Â play on Iowa. Just two weeks ago Iowa was #2 in the polls, and looking like the favorite to win the BIG10. After losing 24-7 at home to Purdue, they are an underdog on the road at Wisconsin two weeks later. Keep in mind that their loss to Purdue was partially explained by turnovers (4). Normally the Hawkeyes win the turnover battle, and perhaps coming off a bye week will give them a better chance to do that here in Wisconsin. The Badgers are coming off a blowout win over Purdue, again explained by turnovers (5). There is no doubt that the results of each of these team's last game is having an impact on this line, which appears to a be a classic case of recency bias. This game should probably be closer to a pickem. I'll take the points with the Hawkeyes. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-21 | Hamilton -5.5 v. Edmonton Elks | 39-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Tiger Cats. Hamilton comes into Edmonton as a road favorite, and these two teams are trending in opposite directions. The Tigercats are eyeing the CFL Playoffs, while Edmonton is looking to start over with a new QB. The Elks traded former Redblacks QB Trevor Harris back to Ottawa, and picked up former Calgary Stampeder Nick Arbuckle from the Argos. This move might pay dividends in the long term, but it's not likely to help much against one of the best defenses in the CFL here in the short term. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -5 | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. The Warriors are off to a helluva start to the season, undefeated with a 4-0 record (9-0 if you include the pre-season). They host the Grizzlies who are coming off a 20 point loss at Portland last night. The Grizz are in a tough spot with another road game in the second game of a back to back. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to cover in four straight versus a team with a winning record. They are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Golden State. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and they have covered in eight of their last 10 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-21 | Packers +6.5 v. Cardinals | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GB. It's a shame that Devonte Adams will miss this game due to Covid19 protocols, but Aaron Rogers still has plenty of weapons. In fact with the way that the Cardinals offense has been playing, getting Aaron Jones and the running game going, controlling the clock might not be a bad idea. Adams isn't the only star player who won't play tonight, as the news is out that J.J. Watt might be done for the season with a shoulder injury. Even more reason why the Packers should look to run on this Cardinals defense. The closest the Cardinals came to losing so far was a 34-33 home game against the Vikings, and Dalvin Cook ran for 131 yards on 22 carries in that game. The Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven versus a team with a winning record, and the under is 5-1 in their last six versus Arizona. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-25-21 | Magic v. Heat -13 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. The Orlando Magic are not going to win many games this year, and it's not a surprise to see them as a double digit underdog in Miami tonight. Both of their losses so far have come by 20+ points. The Heat are coming off a loss at Indiana, but they beat defending champions Milwaukee by 40+ in their home opener. The Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a win, and the Heat are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite. The Heat will win this game by as many points as they "feel like". GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-21 | Bears v. Bucs -12 | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 64 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on TB. Justin Fields threw for 174 yards with a TD and an INT in last week's loss to Green Bay. He was sacked four times, bringing his total to 16 sacks in four starts. He's thrown more picks than TDs, and his completion percentage is barely over 50 percent. Any success the Bears have had this season has come with their running game, and that's a tough ask here matched up against a Bucs defense that is only allowing 55 rushing yards per game. Even with the injuries to Gronk and AB, the Bucs receiving corps is still pretty impressive with Mike Evans, Scotty Miller and Chris Godwin. This looks like a potential blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-21 | Liverpool v. Manchester United | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Liverpool. Manchester United is coming off a 3-2 win over Atalanta in the Champions League, just a few days after they lost 4-2 to Leicester in the Premier League. Their defense will need to be a lot better if they hope to come away with any points in this weekend's fixture versus Liverpool. Mo Salah leads the Premier League in scoring with seven goals in eight starts, and Liverpool is tied for 2nd with a +16 goal differential. Manchester United is 0-2-1 in their last three Premier League games versus Liverpool. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-21 | Dodgers v. Braves +1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Atlanta +1.5. The Braves are back home still ahead in this series with a 3-2 lead. The Dodgers starting rotation is being held together with duct tape and paper mache. Max Scherzer was the scheduled starter, but he's been scratched in favor of Walker Buehler. It will be just three days after Buehler was torched for four runs on six hits in a no decision in Game 3. The Dodgers rallied to win that game 6-5. The Braves hand the ball to Ian Anderson who allowed a pair of runs on three hits in three innings in a win in Game 2 in Atlanta. The Dodgers appear to be overvalued as the favorite here in Atlanta. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-21 | Panthers v. Flyers +1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -195 | 21 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Philly. The Flyers are off to a 2-1 start, with their one loss coming in a game decided by one goal. They will be a home dog tonight against Florida, and the history between these teams suggests Philly could easily win this game outright. The Panthers are 1-6 in the last seven meetings in Philadelphia, and their one win came by one goal. The home team is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-21 | Hurricanes v. Blue Jackets +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -180 | 20 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on CBJ. The Blue Jackets are 3-1 to start the season, and they will be an underdog at home to Carolina tonight. The history between these teams tell us that we can expect a close game, and the Blue Jackets could easily win outright. Four of the last five meetings between these teams have required overtime to decide a winner. This could be a let down spot for the Panthers who are 4-0 on the season with wins over Tampa (defending champs) and Colorado (current Stanley Cup favorites). GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-21 | Oklahoma State +7 v. Iowa State | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 72 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on OKST. The Cowboys are 6-0, and Mike Gundy has recently been given a lifetime contract as head coach. Their offense hasn't been as prolific this year as it normally is, but their defense has been carrying them. That bodes well as the underdog here at Iowa State. The Cyclones are 4-2, and QB Brock Purdy threw for 1 TD and four INTs in those losses. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six head to head meetings, and the Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule  |
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10-21-21 | Braves +1.5 v. Dodgers | 2-11 | Loss | -155 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Atlanta. The Braves were an underdog in Game 1 at home versus LA, and I said the following in my analysis for that game: Max Fried will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he's been as hot as any pitcher in baseball the last few months. He's 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in his last five starts. The Dodgers have yet to list a starter, and their rotation is being held together by chewing gum and duct tape at this point. The Braves are 11-5 in their last 16 playoff games, and they are 7-2 in their last nine playoff home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-18-21 | Bills -5.5 v. Titans | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Buffalo. The Bills have won five straight, and they come into Tennessee as a sizeable favorite. While some might think this is a let down spot after their win in Kansas City, I see this as a classic revenge game. Buffalo lost 42-16 at Tennessee last season, and they are in an ideal spot to avenge that loss on Monday night. The Titans defense has really struggled, especially against the pass. Josh Allen shredded the Chiefs defense for 315 yards and three TDs, and I expect him to do the same here against the Bills. The Titans will try to turn the game into a shootout, but that's not going to be easy versus the Bills #1 ranked scoring defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +3.5 | 35-29 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Patriots. I can't tell you that the Patriots are the better team, but I am a little skeptical that Dallas is going to come into Foxboro and blow out Bill Belichick and the boys. New England is 0-3 at home this season, but losses to Miami and Tampa came by three points combined. It's fair to say that the Pats got some help from the referees in the game against Brady, but it's also noteworthy that Mac Jones threw for 275 yards, two TDs and an INT on 31-of-40 passing in that game. The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite. The Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-17-21 | Dolphins v. Jaguars +3 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Jacksonville. The 1-4 Dolphins will be a favorite in London against the winless Jacksonville Jaguars, and it's hard to get excited about either one of these teams. Miami won their season opener on the road at New England by one point, in a game that they were about to lose before Damian Harris fumbled on the potential game winning drive inside the red zone. They have since lost four straight, three of those by double digits. We saw the best of the Jags when they played Cincinnati on TNF, but it wasn't enough for them to get a win. A similar effort here in London might be good enough for them to get the upset against a struggling Dolphins team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-21 | Dodgers v. Braves +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Atlanta. The Braves will be an underdog in Game 1 at home versus LA, and I think this is a let down spot for the Dodgers after their narrow win in Game 5 at San Francisco. Max Fried will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he's been as hot as any pitcher in baseball the last few months. He's 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in his last five starts. The Dodgers have yet to list a starter, and their rotation is being held togther by chewing gum and duct tape at this point. The Braves are 11-5 in their last 16 playoff games, and they are 7-2 in their last nine playoff home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-21 | Senators v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 109 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto. The Leafs looked pretty good in a 2-1 win over Montreal in their season opener, and they will be a big favorite at home versus Ottawa tonight. The Sens have given Toronto trouble in recent meetings, but they are 1-6 in the last seven meetings in Toronto. The Senators are 20-60 in their last 80 road games, and they are 20-59 in their last 79 games as a road underdog. Toronto lost to Ottawa in the second game of a back to back coming off their win over Montreal, but the Senators are 18-38 in their last 56 games following a win. You gotta love the Leafs to win big in this revenge spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-21 | Nebraska v. Minnesota +4.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Minnesota. Nebraska has played some pretty good games this season, but they continue to come out on the wrong side of close games. They lost by three points at home versus Michigan last week, just two weeks after they lost to Michigan State by three points. Even though Minnesota has injury concerns, I am not sure you can expect the Huskers to cover 4.5 points on the road. The Golden Gophers are 31-15-5 ATS in their last 51 games as an underdog. The home team has covered in four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-11-21 | Toronto +5.5 v. Hamilton | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-10-21 | 49ers v. Cardinals -5 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arizona. The 49ers come into Arizona without their starting QB, and their star TE. They are sending rookie Trey Lance into the fire, and he doesn't look like he's ready to start in this league. He faces the only undefeated team in the NFL, with an MVP candidate at QB. The 49ers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven versus the Cardinals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-10-21 | Bears v. Raiders -5.5 | 20-9 | Loss | -104 | 26 h 30 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-09-21 | Dodgers v. Giants +1.5 | 9-2 | Loss | -178 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on SF. The Dodgers are on the ropes after losing Game 1 by a score of 4-0, and it won't get any easier in Game 2 at AT&T Park. Kevin Gausman will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's been their ace. He allowed two runs on nine hits, striking out 16 batters in 13 innings in his last two starts. The Dodgers hand the ball to Julio Urias, who has also been outstanding. He's 5-0 with a 2,06 ERA in his last six starts. As good as he has been, he doesn't often go past the 5th or 6th inning. The Dodgers are 2-6 in the last eight meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-21 | Braves +1.5 v. Brewers | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Atlanta. The Braves lost Game 1 by a score of 2-1, but they look good as the underdog in Game 2. Max Fried will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he's been almost flawless in recent starts. He's 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in his last five starts. The Brewers hand the ball to Brandon Woodruf, who hasn't been all that sharp in his last four starts. He's 0-3 with a 4.09 ERA in those games. The Braves are 28-11 in their last 39 games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-21 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Rays | 0-5 | Loss | -150 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Boston +1.5. The Red Sox will be the underdog here against Tampa, but this series could be close. Eduardo Rodriguez will toe the slab for the Sox in Game 1, and he's 9-4 with a 3.94 ERA in 18 starts on the road this season. He was 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two starts at The Trop. The Rays hand the ball to Shane McClanahan, who is pitching in the post-season for the first time. He's 1-1 with a 2.81 ERA in three starts versus the Red Sox. The Red Sox are 9-1 in their last 10 playoff games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-21 | Cardinals +1.5 v. Dodgers | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on STL. The Cardinals won 19 of 20 games before they clinched a Wild Card spot. The Dodgers won nine of their last 10 games, but came up short in their quest to catch the Giants in the NL West. LA is a 2-1 favorite with Max Scherzer on the mound, but Alan Wainwright has been the better pitcher lately. Scherzer allowed 11 runs on 17 hits over 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts. Wainwright is 3-0 with a 3.86 ERA in his last five starts, and the Cardinals are 12-1 in his last 13 starts. The Cardinals are 11-1 in their last 12 games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-05-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox +1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Boston. The Yankees will be a favorite in the Wild Card game at Fenway, mostly based on the pitching matchup with Cole starting opposite Eovaldi. Cole was in line to win the Cy Young before he injured a hamstring late in the season and struggled in his last three starts. He didn't fool the Red Sox this season, going 2-2 with a 4.91 ERA in four starts. Eovaldi has pitched well against the Yankees, although his most recent start against them was a disaster. He's won four of his last five starts. The Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-03-21 | Cardinals v. Rams -4.5 | Top | 37-20 | Loss | -102 | 93 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Rams. The Cardinals are undefeated, and Kyler Murray has been playing like an MVP candidate. This week looks like a tough spot for both Arizona and QB Kyler Murray, on the road at the Rams who ranks 1st in scoring defense and first against the pass allowing just 190 yards per game last season. Murray has really struggled against the Rams, throwing for 4TDs and 4 INTs in four career starts against them. The Rams won all four of those games, and the Rams are 9-1 straight up and 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The under is 13-3 in Cardinals last 16 road games, and Arizona has failed to cover in five straight versus a team with a winning record. The Rams are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite, and the under is 13-3 in Rams last 16 games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-03-21 | Brewers v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
5* |
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10-03-21 | Titans -7 v. Jets | 24-27 | Loss | -104 | 89 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Titans. Tennessee has got back on track after losing their home opener to Arizona. Coming off big wins over the Seahawks and the Colts, they look to make it three in a row here in New York. The Jets are reeling, not only winless to start the season but rookie QB Zach Wilson has been a disaster. He's thrown six picks without any TD passes in his last two starts. Most teams would struggle without their top two WRs, but most teams don't have Derrick Henry. The NFL's reigning rushing champion has ran for over 300 yards and three TDs the last two weeks. They say it's not sharp to bet on road favorites, but there's nothing sharp about betting on a Jets team that is 2-17 straight up the last two seasons, with 13 of those losses coming by 7+ points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-21 | Virginia v. Miami-FL -5 | 30-28 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. The Virginia Cavaliers started the season with a pair of impressive wins over inferior opponents, but they are 0-2 against the ACC and they have allowed 96 total points in those losses. They head to Miami to take on the Canes, who are playing their first game within the conference. Losses to Alabama and Michigan State sting, and they also struggled against Appalachian State. D'eriq King has been battling injuries, and the Canes may be better off sitting him in favor of Tyler Van Dyke or Jake Garcia. They might not need to lean to heavily in the pass against a Virginia defense that has allowed roughly 300 rushing yards per game in their two losses versus ACC teams. The Cavaliers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-28-21 | Marlins +1.5 v. Mets | 2-5 | Loss | -156 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. The Marlins have lost five straight, but they have a favorable pitching matchup here in New York today. Trevor Rogers will toe the slab for the Fish, and he's had an outstanding season. He allowed one earned run on four hits while striking out 10 in 5 1/3 innings in a loss to Washington his last time out. The Mets hand the ball to Marcus Stroman, who has lost his last three starts. One of those games was against Miami. Stroman is winless in his last five starts, and winless in three starts versus Miami this season. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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09-26-21 | Yankees +1.5 v. Red Sox | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NYY. The Bronx Bombers have won five straight, and they look good in Game 3 at Fenway on Sunday. Jordan Montgomery will toe the slab for New York, and he's 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in his last five starts. The Red Sox hand the ball to Eduardo Rodriguez, who is 4-4 with a 6.16 ERA at Fenway this season. The Yankees are 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-26-21 | Bears v. Browns -7 | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 114 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Cleveland. Bears fans have been cheering for Justin Fields to take over at QB, and he will be the starter here in Cleveland. Be careful what you wish for! This looks like a tough matchup for the Bears. Fields threw for 60 yards and an INT on 6-of-13 passing in a win over Cincinnati last week, and he was sacked twice. The Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games, and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog. The Browns have scored 60 points in their first two games, averaging over 150 rushing yards per game. Baker Mayfield has been accurate, completing over 80 percent of his passes during a 1-1 start. The Browns should win big here at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-26-21 | Colts v. Titans -5 | 16-25 | Win | 100 | 114 h 18 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-25-21 | Washington State v. Utah -15 | 13-24 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Utah. The Utes came into the season ranked in the Top 25, but they have lost back to back games to BYU and San Diego State. There is reason for optimism heading into their first PAC12 game. Their offense has a bit of momentum building after a change at QB. Cameron Rising stepped in to throw for 153 yards and three TDs after replacing Charlie Brewer in the loss to the Aztecs. They host Washington State, and the Cougars lost their first PAC12 game by 30+ points. The Cougars are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four conference games. The Utes are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 conference games, and they have covered in six straight versus a team with a losing record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-21 | Manchester City v. Chelsea | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -105 | 60 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Chelsea. Chelsea sits in a first place tie with Liverpool, and they host fifth place Manchester City on Saturday. While City are defending champions, they failed to land a striker this summer, while rivals Chelsea and Manchester United signed the likes of Lukaku and Ronaldo. Manchester City was fortunate to come away with a draw at home versus Southampton last weekend, and they could be in trouble here at Stamford Bridge. The last time these teams played head to head was in the Champions League Final, and Chelsea won that game 1-0. Chelsea has won three straight versus City, posting a clean sheet in two of those wins. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-21 | Panthers -7.5 v. Texans | 24-9 | Win | 100 | 27 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Panthers. Carolina is off to an impressive start, and they look good to move to 3-0 as they face the Texans in Houston on Thursday night. The Texans are 2-0 ATS so far, but they have allowed an average of 29 points per game through the first two weeks. Rookie QB Trevor Lawrence threw for over 300 yards and three TDs in a loss at Houston in Week 1. It won't get any easier with Davis Mills taking over at QB. He threw for 102 yards with a TD and an INT on 8-of-18 passing after Tyrod Taylor went down with an injury in Cleveland last week. The Panthers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games, while the Texans are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-22-21 | Hamilton v. Ottawa +7 | 24-7 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a late breaking play on Ottawa. |
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09-20-21 | Lions +12 v. Packers | 17-35 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Lions. Perhaps the biggest surprise in Week 1 was the Packers losing 38-3 to the Saints. We've been here before with Aaron Rodgers, and he's always come back with a vengeance. The Packers have lost six games in the LaFleur/Rodgers era, and they are 6-0 in each game following those losses. So it seems like the consensus opinion is that the Packers are just fine, and they will take out their frustrations on the hapless Detroit Lions on Monday night. While I wouldn't be surprised to see Aaron Rodgers and the offense respond in typical fashion, I am more concerned with a defense that gave up 38 points against the Saints, making Jameis Winston look like Patrick Mahomes. The Lions have covered the spread in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. The scored an average of 27 points in those games, and they didn't score less than 20 points in any of those games. Jared Goff might be a downgrade from Matthew Stafford, and he's certainly not the guy who will win you a Super Bowl, but he threw for 338 yards and three TDs in the loss to the Niners. He's capable of piling on points in garbage time. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-21 | Chiefs v. Ravens +4 | 35-36 | Win | 100 | 91 h 16 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-19-21 | Saints v. Panthers +4 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 99 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Carolina. Seasoned sports bettors will tell you that one of the most important things to keep in mind heading into Week 2, is not to overreact to the results in Week 1. Perhaps the most surprising result was the Saints blowout win over Green Bay. Jameis Winston threw five TD passes in the win, and some are saying that his turnover problems might have been solved by laser eye surgery. I will point out that Jameis has a history of making poor decisions, including a pair of high profile sexual assault allegations, and a shoplifting charge for stealing crab legs. As far as I know laser eye surgery doesn't prevent you from making poor decisions, and poor decisions are what leads to turnovers. In his last season in Tampa, he played the Panthers twice. He threw five INTs in those two games. I'll take the Panthers plus the points at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Winnipeg -6.5 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 37-22 | Win | 100 | 45 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Winnipeg. I had the Bombers in their win over the Riders last week, and here is what I said before kickoff: "The Bombers won big at Saksatchewan in the Labour Day Classic, and they look good as a pickem in the rematch just five days later. Cody Fajardo took a beating in the loss, throwing for 211 yards and three INTs on 23-of-39 passing. The Blue Bombers are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games, and they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. They have covered in six of their last seven versus Saskatchewan." They are taking on Edmonton who will miss starting QB Trevor Harris, who was the CFL's leading passer. The Elks are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Braves +1.5 v. Giants | 0-2 | Loss | -175 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ATL. The Braves blew a lead in the bottom of the ninth in a 6-5 loss in San Francisco last night, and another close game seems likely tonight. Alex Wood will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's won four of his last five starts. He's returning from a stint on the DL. The Braves hand the ball to Charlie Morton, who has better numbers on the road than he does at home. He's 8-2 with a 2.91 ERA in 13 starts on the road. The Braves are 10-3 in the last 13 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Alabama -14.5 v. Florida | 31-29 | Loss | -101 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Bama. The Tide have not missed a beat since Bryce Young stepped in to replace Mac Jones. Young has completed over 70 percent of his passes for 571 yards and 7 TDs with no INTs in two starts. Alabama will be a big favorite on the road at Florida, but history suggests the Gators are overmatched here. The Gators have lost seven straight to Alabama, and three of those games were in Florida. Six of those seven losses came by a double digit margin. The Gators starting QB has thrown four INTs and just two TDs in his first two starts despite facing inferior opponents. He could be in for a rough ride against the Tide. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Buffalo +14 | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Buffalo. I had the Bulls last week, and they failed to cover on the road at Nebraska. Here is what I said before kickoff: "Nebraska is coming off a 52-7 win over Fordam, and perhaps that has made bettors forget that they lost to Illinois in Week 1. A home game against Buffalo is a big step up in competition from the cup cake they had their way with last week, and they have no business being favored by two TDs. The Bulls are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall, and they have covered in six of their last seven versus the BIG10. They are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog." The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog, and they have covered in five straight when coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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09-17-21 | Central Florida -6.5 v. Louisville | 35-42 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Central Florida. The Knights were quite impressive in their season opening win over Boise State. They came out a bit flat, and trailed 21-0 early in that game. They didn't stop fighting though, battling back to take a 30-24 lead early in the fourth quarter. The Cardinals opened the season with a blowout loss to Mississippi, allowing 43 points on 569 yards of total offense. They face a similar challenge here against UCF, and the trends seem to suggest they could see a similar result. The Cardinals are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games as a home underdog, and they are 7-23-1 ATS in their last 31 versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-21 | Calgary +2 v. Hamilton | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Stampeders. The big story here will be the starting QB for both teams. Bo Levi Mitchell is back for Calgary, and he threw for 276 yards with a TD and an INT on 23-of-42 passing in a blowout win at Edmonton last week. The Ticats will start their third string QB David Watford, who threw for 78 yards on 6-of-10 passing after coming in to replace the injured Dane Evans last week. It's going to be tough to replace Evans, who threw for 644 yards with 5 TDs and just one INT appearing in four games. The Stampeders are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight at Hamilton. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-21 | Giants +3.5 v. Washington Football Team | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 34 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NYG. The Washington Football Team lost at home to the Chargers in their season opener, and they also lost starting QB Ryan Fitzpatrick for an extended period of time. Despite the fact that backup Taylor Heinicke will come in to start versus the Giants, Washington is still a significant favorite. As well as Heinicke has played in his brief stints starting for Washington, he hasn't actually won any games. The Giants looked pretty bad in a home loss to Denver in Week 1, but there were positives to take away from that game. The Giants swept Washington last year, winning 23-20 at Washington, and 20-19 at home. They have actually won five straight versus Washington, and they are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog. They have covered in four of their last five at Washington. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-21 | Tigers +1.5 v. Rays | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Tigers. Detroit has won five of their last six, and that includes taking 2-of-3 in a home series versus Tampa. I like them as the underdog in Game 1 at Tampa Thursday. Tyler Alexander will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's been pretty solid in his last five starts. The Tigers won three of the last five games he appeared in, but they are 5-0 ATS in those games. The Rays hand the ball to 31 year old reliever Louis Head, who will be used as an opener. The Tigers are 9-4 in their last 13 games versus teams from the AL East. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-21 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a free play on the Dodgers. The Dodgers have been playing about as well as you could possibly expect, but still haven't gained any ground against first place San Francisco. That could change tonight, as LA is a heavy favorite while the Giants are an underdog at home versus the Padres. Julio Urias will toe the slab for LA, and he's been dealing. He's 4-0 with a 1.14 ERA in his last four starts. The D'Backs hand the ball to Merrill Kelly, and he's lost his last three starts. One of those was against the Dodgers, and he gave up four runs on eight hits in 6 1/3 innings in an 8-3 home loss. The Diamondbacks are 9-45 in their last 54 games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-14-21 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAD. The Dodgers have won 17 of their last 24, but they haven't gained any ground on the Giants in the NL West. They face another must win against Arizona tonight. Tony Gonsolin will go for the Dodgers, and he's allowed just three runs in his last three appearances. He's 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA in five home starts this season. The D'Backs hand the ball to Luke Weaver, who has really struggled on the road. Despite a 1.95 ERA at home, he's 0-3 with a 8.20 ERA in four starts on the road. The Dodgers own Weaver, batting a combined .334 against him. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-21 | Browns +6.5 v. Chiefs | 29-33 | Win | 100 | 1266 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cleveland. The Browns open as a big underdog on the road at Kansas City, and I gonna make a move here taking the points. Baker Mayfield versus Patrick Mahomes is an intriguing matchup, one that we've seen plenty of times in the past. Most recently in last year's playoffs, when the Chiefs survived with a 22-17 win at Arrowhead. The most memorable head to head meeting came back in 2016 when Baker Mayfield and Oklahoma won 66-59 in historic shootout versus Mahomes and Texas Tech. This is a lot of points for a Chiefs team that is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite, and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 overall. The history between these teams shows the road team covering in four straight and the underdog covering in six of the last eight meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-21 | Chargers v. Washington Football Team | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 1259 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. Washington is considered by many to be the favorite to win the NFC East, but that's not saying much. They won seven games last year, and not one of those wins was anything to brag about. Wins came against Andy Dalton twice, Nick Mullens, Ryan Finley, Nate Sudfeld, Carson Wentz, and the Steelers without any running backs. No wonder their defense ranked so well, they were facing backup quarterbacks and banged up teams every week. The Chargers come in with one of the hottest young QBs in the NFL. Justin Herbert threw for over 4,300 yards and 30 TDs as a rookie last year. The Football Team are 1-5 ATS in their last six games in September. The Chargers are 15-7-2 ATS in their last 24 road games, and they are 6-1-2 ATS in their last nine games in Week 1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Portland State +31 v. Washington State | 24-44 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Portland State. The Cougars got off to a horrible start, losing their home opener to Utah State. There is no way they deserve to be a 31 point favorite against a Portland State team that can really put points on the board. Davis Alexander threw for 400 yards and three TDs on 23-of-47 passing in a 49-35 loss to Hawaii last week. They are likely to be just as competitive here against the Cougars. The last time these teams met, the Cougars lost outright as a 30-point favorite back in 2015. The Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-21 | Buffalo +14.5 v. Nebraska | 3-28 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Buffalo. Nebraska is coming off a 52-7 win over Fordam, and perhaps that has made bettors forget that they lost to Illinois in Week 1. A home game against Buffalo is a big step up in competition from the cup cake they had their way with last week, and they have no business being favored by two TDs. The Bulls are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall, and they have covered in six of their last seven versus the BIG10. They are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog. The Cornhuskers are 8-20-2 ATS in their last 30 home games, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-21 | Cowboys v. Bucs -8 | 29-31 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tampa. The Bucs are a big favorite in the season opener versus Dallas, and the game script suggests that Tampa will be doing plenty of scoring. Their team total is set at 30.5, and if they hit that then there will be a few TDs to go around. The main man in the red zone is Mike Evans, who caught 13 TD passes in 2020. With Antonio Brown and Chris Godwin each entering this game with an injury designation of "questionable", Evans could see even more touches. If this game does go according to script, the Bucs should open up a healthy lead which will result in a heavy dose of run plays in the second half. With Ronald Jones splitting the workload with Leonard Fournette, both backs have pretty low rush yard totals. Bruce Arians seems to favor Jones, who averaged over five yards per carry last season. He should have no problem running for 50+ yards. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-21 | Nationals v. Braves -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atlanta -1.5. The Braves have a 2.5 game lead in the NL East, and they look good as a home favorite versus Washington tonight. Huascar Ynoa will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he's been sharp at home. Ynoa is 3-2 with a 2.29 ERA in six home starts. The Nats hand the ball to Erick Fedde, who has been lit up in his last two starts. He allowed 13 runs on 17 hits over 8 1/3 innings in consecutive losses to the Mets. The Nationals are 6-21 in their last 27 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-07-21 | Phillies v. Brewers +1.5 | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Milwaukee. The Brewers lost Game 1 of this home series versus Philly, but they look good as the dog in Game 2. Eric Lauer will toe the slab for Milwaukee, and he's been solid in recent starts. He's allowed two runs or less in four of his last five starts, posting an ERA of 3.15 during that span. The Phillies hand the ball to Aaron Nola, who has been roughed up in back to back starts. He's 0-1 with a 4.78 ERA in his last five starts. The Brewers are 36-15 in their last 51 games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-06-21 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary -5.5 | 32-20 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Calgary. There's a new sheriff in town for the Stampeders, and rookie QB Jake Maier has thrown for 611 yards on 46-of-68 passing. He's showed the poise of a seasoned pro, and the Stamps are in good shape moving forward. The same can not be said for the Edmonton Elks, who have been sidelined for weeks due to a Covid outbreak. Edmonton is coming off a win at BC, but they are 0-8 ATS coming off a win. They are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 at Calgary. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-05-21 | Notre Dame -7 v. Florida State | 41-38 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Notre Dame. The Seminoles were 3-6 last season, but they come in with high expectations that Mike Norvell can turn things around. It won't be easy in Week 1 hosting the Notre Dame Irish. Brian Kelly has won 32 straight against unranked opponents, and the Irish have won the last two versus Florida State by a combined 45 points. As much as the Seminoles might be improved, they are going to struggle to make up for a disparity of talent on both the offensive and defensive line. Jack Coan had himself a solid season with Wisconsin in 2019, completing 70 percent of his passes for 2727 yards, 18 TDs and just 5 INTs. There will be enough talent around him to allow Notre Dame to be a contender again in 2021. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-05-21 | Winnipeg +5.5 v. Saskatchewan | 23-8 | Win | 100 | 38 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on WPG. The Riders have the best record in the CFL, but they face their toughest test yet when they host the defending champions Winnipeg. The Bombers are coming off an 18-16 win over Calgary, and they have the top ranked defense in the CFL. History tells us that we can expect this to be a close game, and Winnipeg looks like a solid bet getting points. Winnipeg has won four of the last six meetings, and they have covered the spread in five of those six games. Andrew Harris is back, and he ran for 81 yards and a TD on 17 carries in the win over Calgary. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-03-21 | Montreal -7 v. Ottawa | 51-29 | Win | 100 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Montreal. Both Montreal and Ottawa are 1-2, but the Als have a lot more to be positive about. They scored 30 points in a Week 2 win over Edmonton, before losing a close game at Calgary in Week 3 and then last week they lost to a desperate Hamilton team. They draw a favorable matchup here on Friday night, playing the RedBlacks. Ottawa ranks dead last in the CFL in scoring, and QB Matt Nichols has yet to throw a TD pass. He can lay the blame on a poor offensive line, and that could be a recipe for disaster here against an opportunistic Montreal defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-21 | Ohio State v. Minnesota +14 | 45-31 | Push | 0 | 31 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Minnesota. The Buckeyes ran the table in the BIG10 last year, but after three games were cancelled due to Covid, the conference had to change the rules midway through the season in order to allow Ohio State to play Northwestern in the Conference Championship Game. Three of their six wins came by less than 14 points, and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall. The Golden Gophers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. This team was 11-2 in 2019, and last year's 3-4 record can be written off as a product of delays and interruptions during a pandemic. With all the talent returning in 2021, there is every reason to expect PJ Fleck to field a highly competitive team. The Buckeyes last game at Minnesota came by a score of 31-24, and I expect a similar story here in the season opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-21 | A's v. Tigers +1.5 | 8-6 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Detroit. If you exclude a disastrous start to the season for Detroit, their record since May is just as good as Oakland. I like the Tigers as the home dog today. Matt Manning will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's been lights out at home. He's 2-1 with a 2.93 ERA in six appearances at Comerica Park. The A's hand the ball to Frankie Montas, who has been hot lately. This could be a pitcher's duel. The A's have lost six straight versus right-handed starters. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-01-21 | A's v. Tigers +1.5 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Detroit. If you exclude a disastrous start to the season for Detroit, their record since May is just as good as Oakland. I like the Tigers as the home dog tonight. Wily Peralta will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's been lights out at home. He's 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA in four apperances at Comerica Park. The A's hand the ball to Jame Kaprielian, who was lit up by the Yankees in his last start. He's allowed twice as many runs on the road as he has at home. The A's have lost five straight versus right-handed starters. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-30-21 | Twins v. Tigers +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Tigers. The Tigers are 2-3 in their last five overall, but all five of those games were decided by one run. If it wasn't for such a terrible start to the season, this could be a playoff team. Casey Mize will to the slab for Detroit, and he's been solid at home. He's 3-3 with a 3.62 ERA in 11 home starts this season. The Twins hand the ball to Bailey Ober, who is winless in seven starts on the road. The Tigers have won four straight at home, and five of six overall versus the Twins. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-29-21 | Calgary v. Winnipeg -6.5 | 16-18 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Winnipeg. The Bombers lost on the road at Calgary last week, but they draw a favorable matchup this Saturday with a home game against Calgary. The Stampeders lost Bo Levi Mitchell to injury, and last week they started rookie Jake Maier, who completed just 55 percent of his passes for 304 yards with 1 TD and 2 INTs. Despite Montreal out-gaining the Stamps 418-384 in total yards, Calgary hung on for the win. He's facing a far tougher team here on the road in Winnipeg this week, and it's bound to be tough sledding. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-28-21 | Nebraska v. Illinois +7 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 118 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Illinois. Nebraska was a -15 point favorite at home versus Illinois last year, and they got their butts whipped in a 41-23 loss. That sets up a revenge spot here at Illinois in Week 1. It makes sense that Nebraska is favored to win this game, but asking them to cover more than a TD seems a little questionable to me. The Illini are bringing back the majority of last year's starters, including Senior QB Brandon Peters. Brett Beilema takes over at coach, and he should be able to get the running game going at full tilt. The last time Nebraska played at Illinois they came in as a nine point favorite, and failed to cover winning by a score of 42-38. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-28-21 | Arsenal v. Manchester City -1.75 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 94 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Manchester City. The Gunners come into this game off a high, beating West Brom 6-0 in the Carabao Cup. It's time for a reality check though, as they have been outscored 4-0 in their first two Premier League matches. That includes a 2-0 loss at home to newly promoted Brentford. Mancehster City is the favorite to repeat as champions, and they are coming off a 5-0 home win over Norwich. Arsenal has given no indication they can do what few teams can, and that's come away with points at the Etihad. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-20-21 | Montreal -5 v. Calgary | 22-28 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on MTL. The ALs opened as a dog, but have since been bet all the way up to a five point favorite after it was announced that Bo Levi Mitchell would not play. I like Montreal to win outright here as they come in firing on all cylinders offensively. Vernon Adams Jr. threw for a pair of TDs on 13-of-21 passing for 211 yards. William Stanback ran for 112 yards on 18 carries in the ALs 30-13 win at Edmonton. It was Montreal's defense that was most impressive though, holding Edmonton to a pair of field goals in the first three quarters. Calgary is going to struggle here with a rookie QB this early in the season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-15-21 | Blue Jays v. Mariners +1.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -140 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Seattle +1.5. The Mariners have won four straight, and they are an underdog in Game 3 at home versus Toronto. Logan Gilbert will toe the slab for Seattle, and the Mariners have won 11 of his last 13 starts. Both losses during that span came by one run. The Jays hand the ball to Stephen Matz, who was lit up in his only previous meeting versus Seattle this year. He allowed four runs on five hits in just 2 2/3 innings in that game. The Blue Jays are 6-14 in their last 20 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-13-21 | Padres v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arizona +1.5. The D'Backs hammered the Padres in the series opener Thursday, and they draw a favorable matchup in Game 2. Madison Bumgarner will toe the slab for the home team, and he's turned back the clock lately. Mad Bum is 2-2 with a 1.97 ERA in his last five starts. The Padres hand the ball to Blake Snell, who struck out 13 in a home win over Arizona his last time out. He has been brutal on the road though, going 2-3 with a 7.26 ERA in a dozen starts. The Padres are 11-27 in the last 38 meetings in Arizona. GL, Jesse Schule |
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