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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-05-20 | Astros +1.5 v. A's | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Houston +1.5. Say what you want about the Houston Astros, but they are still the defending champs and they know what it takes to win in the post-season. They proved that against the Twins, and I'll take them as the underdog in Game 1 here versus Oakland. Lance McCullers will toe the slab for the Astros, and he has a 1.53 ERA in his last four starts. He was 3-1 with a 3.91 ERA in four starts against the A's in 2019. The A's hand the ball to Chris Bassit, and he's been very solid as well. He was 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA in three starts versus Houston this season, and he was 1-1 with a 5.00 ERA against the Astros last year. Oakland is 3-1 in the last four head to head meetings, but three of those games were decided by one run. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-04-20 | Lakers -4.5 v. Heat | 104-115 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Lakers (team total). My analysis for Game 2 still plays: "What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over." GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-04-20 | Colts v. Bears +3 | 19-11 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Chicago. The 3-0 Bears are a home dog against the Colts, and it's easy to see why people don't believe in the Bears. They did get extremely lucky in wins over Detroit and Atlanta, and they barely beat a very bad Giants team. The Bears are definitely on my list of overvalued teams, but sitting right next to them are the 2-1 Colts. Reading the ESPN preview for this game the author talks about how the Colts defense ranks near the top in most defensive categories. I consider such analysis laughable when you consider they beat the Jets and Vikings and lost to the 1-2 Jags. The Colts are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite, and the Bears are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog. As much as I don't like the Bears, I am gonna get on the right side of the line here. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-04-20 | Giants v. Rams -13 | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Rams. The Giants are 0-3, and at this point their plan for the season should involve a heavy military vehicle on tracks. Yes it's time for the Giants to start tanking for Trevor. The Rams on the other hand looked pretty good in their first loss of the season on the road against a very good Buffalo team. They come back to California with a 2-1 record, and they are a heavy favorite in this matchup versus New York. They have been looking for a replacement for Todd Gurley, if last week was any indication they might have found their man. Darrell Henderson ran for 114 yards and a TD on just 20 carries at Buffalo. He could have a big day here against the Giants. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-03-20 | Arkansas v. Mississippi State -16.5 | 21-14 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Mississippi State. The Bulldogs pulled off the most shocking upset in the SEC last week, beating the defending champions by double digits. This has situational handicappers salivating at the opportunity to take advantage of what looks like the classic "let down spot". This might make sense if you feel that the Bulldogs got incredibly lucky against the Tigers, but when you consider that KJ Costello threw for 623 yards and five TDs, it begs the question: "how is Arkansas going to stop that?" Arkansas has lost three straight to the Bulldogs, and both of the last two losses came by 20+ points. The Razorbacks have failed to cover in five of their last six road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. I see no reason to count on Mississippi State suffering a let down here. Take MSST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-03-20 | Navy -6.5 v. Air Force | 7-40 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Navy. It's fair to say that the Midshipmen were not prepared for the start of the season, losing 55-3 to BYU in their season opener. The rust was still there in their second game against Tulane, as they trailed 24-0 at halftime. They stormed back with 27 unanswered points in the second half, completing their biggest comeback in team history. Now they face an Air Force team that has a decimated roster. "We're working through that, and that probably goes for a good number of spots," Falcons coach Troy Calhoun said Tuesday about situation at the quarterback position. "We're going to have some guys in certain positions, probably more so on the defensive side of the ball ... the other thing that we're going to have to balance is just the involvement of the special teams part of it." I don't think there is any way Air Force can be properly prepared to compete with a Navy team that is already up to full speed. Take Navy. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-02-20 | Louisiana Tech v. BYU -24 | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BYU Over (team total). LA Tech and BYU are both undefeated, and both teams have scored plenty of points. That's where the similarities end, as BYU has held opponents to a combined 10 points. The Bulldogs have played two unranked teams and have allowed 30 or more points in both games. The over is 5-2-1 in the Cougars last eight games overall, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six versus Conference USA teams. Zack Wilson has completed almost 80 percent of his passes through the first two games, and the Cougars running game has averaged almost 250 yards per game. This game has blowout written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-20 | Reds +1.5 v. Braves | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Cincinnati +1.5. The Reds are a big underdog in Game 1 at Atlanta, but they have a chance with ace Trevor Bauer on the mound. Bauer (5-4, 1.73 ERA) has allowed three runs and struck out 39 batters in his last four starts. He was 4-1 with a 1.32 ERA in five starts on the road this season. The Braves hand the ball to Max Fried, who has a 7-0 record but has been far from perfect. He's allowed eight runs on 16 hits in his last 16 innings of work. Atlanta has lost seven of their last 10 playoff games at home, and they are 8-20 in their last 28 playoff games. Take CIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-29-20 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Rays | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Toronto +1.5. The Rays finished first in the AL East, and they will be a big favorite in Game 1 against the Jays. Matt Shoemaker will toe the slab for the Jays, and the Rays haven't had much success against him. Tampa is batting a combined .157 over 86 at bats in previous meetings. The Rays hand the ball to Blake Snell, who is still one of the best in the business. He's just 2-2 with a 3,42 ERA in his last five starts. Tampa has won six of the last 10 head to head meetings, but only two of those six wins came by more than one run. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-29-20 | White Sox v. A's +1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -150 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Oakland A's. +1.5. Both Chicago and Oakland have been impressive this season, but I think home field will be key in Game 1 of this series. Jesus Luzardo will toe the slab for the A's, and he's been brilliant at home. The 22 year old was 3-1 with a 2.40 ERA in eight appearances at home this season. The White Sox hand the ball to their ace, and Lucas Giolito has had a fine season. The A's are batting a combined .338 over 48 bats against Giolito in previous meetings. The Athletics are 8-1 in their last nine games as a home underdog. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-29-20 | Astros +1.5 v. Twins | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Astros +1.5. It's easy to cheer against Houston, branded cheaters after the sign stealing fiasco. The Astros are the underdog in Game 1 at Minnesota with Zack Greinke on the mound, and I just can't count them out. The Astros are 57-20 in their last 77 during game 1 of a series, and they are 40-11 in their last 51 games following an off day. The Twins are 3-23 in their last 26 playoff games, and they have lost 11 straight playoff games at home. "Greinke is as tough as they come," Minnesota manager Rocco Baldelli said. "Tremendously talented guy. Can do some really funny things with the baseball and play tricks on people in ways you normally don't see on a major league baseball field." Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 37 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-28-20 | Lightning v. Stars +1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -178 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-27-20 | Packers +3.5 v. Saints | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Packers. Green Bay has been lighting it up on offense during a 2-0 start, scoring 43 in Week 1 at Minnesota, and 42 at home against the Lions last Sunday. They are getting points on the road at New Orleans, and the Saints look like they may have lost a step. Drew Brees has struggled without top target Michael Thomas. He threw for 312 yards with a TD and an INT in last week's loss to the Raiders. Alvin Kamara isn't exactly picking up the slack, running for less than 100 yards so far this season. The Saints are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite, and with the line on the wrong side of a field goal, they look overvalued in this spot. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-27-20 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Miami. I had Miami in Game 4, and I don't have much to add to what I already said prior to that game: "trailing 2-1 in the series, and the Heat are 10-2 so far in these playoffs. While it seems like the Celtics have all the momentum after a double digit win in Game 3, I think it would be foolish to count out Jimmy Butler and this Heat team that has been far more consistent. Boston has had plenty of sub par performances, including blowing a 3-1 series lead against the Raptors. The Heat are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up loss, and the underdog has covered in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings." Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-26-20 | Nuggets +5 v. Lakers | 107-117 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Lakers are so much better than Denver on paper, and they own a 2-1 series lead heading into Game 4. The Nuggets though have proven to be a tough out, coming back from 3-1 series deficits twice already in these playoffs. When asked about winning Game 3, Jamal Murray said: "We should be up 2-1 right now." The Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss, and they are just 10-21 ATS in the last 31 head to head meetings. Murray is absolutely right. The Lakers won Game 4 at the free throw line, and that didn't go unnoticed. We should see the Nuggets get an opportunity to extend this series in Game 5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-26-20 | West Virginia +8.5 v. Oklahoma State | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on WVU. Oklahoma State didn't look sharp in a home win over Tulsa last week. They scored just three points in the first three quarters, and they needed to rally to score 13 in the fourth to win 16-7. Chubba Hubbard ran for a rather pedestrian 93 yards on 27 carries in the victory. The Cowboys might still be dealing with off the field distractions, after players called out head coach Mike Gundy in the off-season. Gundy managed to keep his job but was forced to take a pay cut after a photo surfaced showing him wearing a t-shirt that some people thought was offensive. The Mountaineers aren't expected to be a contender in the BIG12 this season, but they looked pretty good in a 56-10 win over Eastern Kentucky in their opener. The Mountaineers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games in September, and the underdog has covered in four of the last five head to head meetings. Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-26-20 | Florida -14.5 v. Ole Miss | 51-35 | Win | 100 | 95 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Florida. The Rebels are excited about the future since bringing in Lane Kiffin this off season. I don't expect Kiffin to have it all figured out in Week 1 though, and he draws a tough matchup against #5 ranked Florida. The Gators are in their third year under Dan Mullen, coming off an 11-2 season last year. They have senior QB Kyle Trask running the offense. A new coach, a new offense and uncertainty at the quarterback position isn't going to make it easy for the Rebels to hang around against a more talented Florida team. The Gators are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games, and the Rebels are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog. Take FLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-20 | Lightning v. Stars +1.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-24-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5 | 114-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Lakers are so much better than Denver on paper, and they own a 2-1 series lead heading into Game 4. The Nuggets though have already proven to be a tough out, coming back from 3-1 series deficits twice already in these playoffs. When asked about winning Game 3, Jamal Murray said: "We should be up 2-1 right now." The Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss, and they are just 10-21 in the last 31 head to head meetings. Murray is absolutely right. The Lakers are lucky they aren't losing this series. I'll take the points in Game 4. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-20 | Dolphins v. Jaguars -2.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -123 | 55 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Jaguars. The Jags were supposed to be the worst team in the NFL this season, but don't tell that to Gardner Minshew. The man with the moustache has been impressive during a 1-1 start, throwing for 512 yards, six TDs and a pair of INTs on 49-of-65 passing. The Dolphins have been as advertised, going 0-2 and ranking 29th in the league in total defense through the first two weeks. Ryan Fitzpatrick put up big numbers in a loss to the Bills last week, but a last minute touchdown made the game appear to be a lot closer than it actually was. Both these teams have been airing it out in their first two games, but the Jags might take advantage of a soft Miami run defense. Rookie running back James Robinson ran for 102 yards and a TD on just 16 carries last week. He's averaging over five yards per carry, and his workload might increase this week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-20 | Lightning v. Stars +1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -190 | 33 h 30 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-23-20 | White Sox +1.5 v. Indians | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the CWS +1.5. |
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09-21-20 | Stars +1.5 v. Lightning | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Dallas Stars. The Stars will be the underdog in the Stanley Cup Finals, despite the fact that they were far more impressive in their Conference Finals series versus Vegas than Tampa was against the Islanders. The Lightning defeated the Isles in overtime in Game 6, and the 2-1 final was the same score as Game 5, and Game 2. The Stars have seen five of their last six games decided by a single goal, and these two teams have gone to overtime in three of the last five head to head meetings. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-20-20 | Patriots +4 v. Seahawks | 30-35 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the New England Patriots. The Seahawks won 11 games last year, and all but one of those were decided by a single score. Four of their first five wins came by four points or less. They are asked to cover a handful of points in this home game against New England, and the Patriots defense should be ready for the challenge. New England ranked second in the NFL in passing defense last year, and in Week 1 they terrorized Ryan Fitzpatrick. I expect both these teams to look to run the ball, and a close low scoring game is expected. The Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog, and the under is 15-7 in their last 22 road games. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-20-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cardinals -6.5 | 15-30 | Win | 100 | 145 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Arizona. Which Washington Football Team should we expect to see in Week 2? The team that trailed 17-0 at home early against the Eagles, or the team that rallied to beat Philly scoring 27 unanswered points. Last week Washington was lucky to win the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin, something that they can't count on moving forward. Their offense totaled just 239 yards on 70 plays against Philly, and that is unlikely to cut it here in Arizona. The Cardinals offense looks sharp with Kyler Murray hooking up with DeAndre Hopkins. This should be a double digit win for the home team. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-20-20 | Lions v. Packers -5.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 142 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Green Bay. Last week's win over Minnesota was vintage Aaron Rodgers, as he threw for 364 yards and four TDs on 32-of-44 passing. The Vikings had no answer for Davante Adams who had 14 catches and two TDs for 156 yards. The Lions come limping into Lambeau off a crushing home loss to the Bears, blowing a lead in the fourth quarter. Detroit was hit with several injuries to the secondary late in last week's game against the Bears, and with the backups in the game Mitch Tribisky looked like Aaron Rodgers. Facing the real Aaron Rodgers this Sunday, this game could turn into a blowout in a hurry. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-20-20 | Vikings +3.5 v. Colts | 11-28 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a Free play on the Vikings. The Colts first game with Philip Rivers at quarterback was a complete disaster. The veteran was picked off twice, allowing the Jaguars to rally to win 27-20 in a game where Indy had almost twice as many yards. They come back home to face a far tougher Vikings team, and I just don't see why they are asked to cover more than a FG. While Aaron Rodgers torched the Vikings last week, Philip Rivers at this point in his career isn't in the same class. The Minnesota offense did it's job last week, scoring 34 points. Kirk Cousins might not be MVP material, but I'll take him over old man Rivers all day long. Gotta grab the points here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-20 | Stars +1.5 v. Lightning | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Dallas Stars. The Stars will be the underdog in the Stanley Cup Finals, despite the fact that they were far more impressive in their Conference Finals series versus Vegas than Tampa was against the Islanders. The Lightning defeated the Isles in overtime in Game 6, and the 2-1 final was the same score as Game 5, and Game 2. The Stars have seen five of their last six games decided by a single goal, and these two teams have gone to overtime in three of the last five head to head meetings. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-20 | Indians v. Tigers +1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Tigers. The Indians held on to win by a score of 1-0 in Detroit on Friday, and they will be a big favorite again on Saturday. The pitching matchup favors the Tigers, and given that the Indians rank 27th in team batting average Detroit looks like a good bet. Spencer Turnbull will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's been excellent at home. He's 3-1 with a 2.01 ERA four starts at home. His one loss did come against Cleveland, but he allowed three runs on six hits losing 3-1. The Indians hand the ball to Triston McKenzie, who has been roughed up in consecutive starts. The rookie has been lit up for eight runs on six hits and two walks over 9 1/3 innings in losses to the Twins and Royals. Cleveland has just two wins in their last 10 games overall. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns -6 | 30-35 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Browns. Those of you who have followed my predicitions in the past are likely familiar with the saying "History Repeats Itself". We saw evidence of that being the case in Week 1, when the Browns lost by 30+ points on the road at Baltimore. They had lost in Week 1 last year by 30 points at home versus Tennessee. They came back the next week and beat the Jets by a score of 23-3, and I am expecting a similar bounce back here at home against the Bengals. Joe Burrow showed some promise in a Week 1 loss to LA, but he also showed that he's still a rookie. He threw for 193 yards and a pick on 23-of-36 passing. Joe Mixon ran for a rather pedestrian 69 yards on 19 carries. That isn't going to cut it on the road in Cleveland, against a team with significantly more offensive weapons than the Chargers team they faced just four days ago. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-14-20 | Stars +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Dallas Stars +1.5. Coming into this series you could make the argument that Vegas was the better team. They were nearly a 2-1 favorite in Game 1, which they lost 1-0. They have been held to one goal or less in four of their last seven games. Dallas has a chance to advance to the Stanley Cup Finals with a win in Game 5, and at this point it is simply illogical to call Vegas the favorite. Three of the first four games in this series were decided by one goal, and I'll take the Stars as an underdog here on the puckline. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-14-20 | Steelers -5.5 v. Giants | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 19 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Steelers. The Giants were brutal on defense last year, allowing over 28 points and over 377 yards per game. They have a new coach, a new defensive coordinator and plenty of new personnel. There are still plenty of question marks in the secondary, and even if they manage to figure things out, don't expect it to be pretty in Week 1. The Steelers on the other hand should be rock solid on defense, and with the return of Ben Roethlisberger their offense should get back to speed as well. The Giants are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog, and they are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-13-20 | Cowboys v. Rams +3 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 38 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Rams. The Cowboys are America's team? Maybe that explains how they can be considered a Super Bowl contender every year, even when they almost always finish 8-8 and miss the playoffs. Dak Prescott impressed as a rookie, but he's proven to be perhaps the most overrated QB in the NFL since. Dallas has no business coming into a road game on the West Coast as a favorite. The Rams were 9-7 in 2019, winning five of eight home games. Dallas lost five of it's eight games on the road. Ezekiel Elliott hasn't been the same player since spending his holdout in Mexico, and he has just recently recovered from Covid19. The star RB and his QB made headlines for hosting a birthday bash in the middle of the pandemic. We saw what happened to Todd Gurley last year, and Zeke appears to be well on his way to following in his footsteps. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-13-20 | Browns +10 v. Ravens | 6-38 | Loss | -125 | 2788 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Browns. The Ravens looked unbeatable during the regular season a year ago, especially at home. Their only home loss came by a score of 40-25 to the Cleveland Browns. It was yet another early exit in the playoffs though, with Derrick Henry and the Titans running for over 200 yards in a 28-12 win at Baltimore. The Ravens come into Week 1 as big favorites in the AFC North, but I am not convinced this team can repeat what they did a year ago. The Browns underachieved last year, and should be better in 2020. They are well equipped to come into Baltimore and give the Ravens problems with their running game again. Baltimore hasn't been a sharp play when asked to cover points in recent seasons, they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-20 | Rockets v. Lakers -6.5 | 96-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Lakers. LeBron and company lost Game 1 to the Blazers in the first round, and went on to win four straight. They can do the same thing here in Game 5 against Houston, and the Rockets look like a team ready to go home. Both Westbrook and Harden have struggled, and I'd bet everything I have that Daneul House isn't the only Houston player with his mind on pleasures off the court. This time tomorrow LeBron will be prepping for the Western Conference Finals, and Russ and James will be sinking their teeth into those legendary chicken wings at Magic City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-20 | Duke v. Notre Dame -19.5 | 13-27 | Loss | -109 | 85 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Notre Dame. Over the years I have been critical of Notre Dame, betting against them in big games at the end of the year. They have proven to be overhyped after building up impressive regular season records against inferior opponents. This year could be different though, as they finally have a legit quarterback in Ian Book. They bring back six of their offensive linemen, and Brian Kelly believes this team has the potential to be the best he's ever had. The Irish beat Duke 38-7 last year, and I don't see any reason why the Blue Devils would expect a better result here in their season opener at South Bend. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-20 | Tigers v. White Sox -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Chicago. I don't love betting on runline favorites, but with the Sox coming off a bye and the Tigers coming off a double-header, this matchup looks about as one sided as you can get. Lucas Giolito will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's been lights out at home. Not only did he toss a no-no against the Pirates in his last home start, he had tossed seven scoreless innings in a win over the Tigers prior to that. The Tigers hand the ball to rookie Casey Mize, who has been knocked around so far. He's allowed a dozen runs on 19 hits over 14 2/3 innings in four appearances. The White Sox lead the American League in home runs. Take CWS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-20 | Brewers v. Tigers +1.5 | 19-0 | Loss | -117 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Tigers. Detroit won Game 1 of this home series versus Milwaukee by a score of 8-3, and that makes it six wins in their last seven home games. The Brewers are a favorite in Game 2 this afternoon, and I like Detroit as a home dog. Matthew Boyd will toe the slab for the Tigers, and his overall record would suggest he's struggling. While he's 1-5 with a 6.64 ERA, he's allowed no more than two runs in his last three appearances. The Brewers hand the ball to Corbin Burnes, who has had impressive rookie campaign. with less than 10 major league starts, there isn't a lot of data available. His splits though are better at home than on the road and better at night than during the day. The Brewers are struggling to score runs, ranking 28th in the majors in scoring. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-20 | Padres +1.5 v. A's | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Padres +1.5. The Padres lead the major leagues in scoring, but we might be expecting a pitcher's duel in Game 1 in Oakland. Zach Davies will toe the slab for San Diego, and he's been sharp this season. He is 3-2 with a 3.25 ERA in five road starts so far. The A's hand the ball to Jesus Luzardo, who has been solid in his own right. The 22 year old allowed three runs on seven hits in 6 2/3 innings in a loss to Texas his last time out. The Padres have won six of their last seven road games, and 10 of their last 12 Interleague games. Take SD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-01-20 | Canucks +1.5 v. Golden Knights | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 32 h 38 m | Show |
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08-31-20 | Cardinals +1.5 v. Reds | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Cardinals +1.5. The Reds earned a 2-2 split in their home series versus the Cubs over the weekend, and both wins came in games decided by one run. The Cardinals come in swinging hot bats, and I fancy their chances in Game 1. Anthony Descalafini will toe the rubber for the Reds, and he's been hit hard in his last two appearances. He was torched for 11 runs on 13 hits and six walks over 6 1/3 innings versus the Pirates and the Cardinals. St. Louis will hand the ball to Dakota Hudson, who is still looking for his first win of 2020. His problem has been more of a lack of run support rather than any issue with his own performance. The Cardinals are 18-7 in the last 25 meetings in Cincinnati. Take STL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-31-20 | Mariners +1.5 v. Angels | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a Free play on Seattle +1.5. The Angels have won two of three in this home series versus Seattle, and two of the three games have been decided by one run. I like Seattle as the dog in Game 4 this afternoon. Marco Gonzales will toe the slab for Seattle, and the left-hander has already beaten the Angels twice this season. He allowed five runs on six hits, striking out 13 over 13 1/3 innings in those games. The Angels hand the ball to Jaime Barria, who has really struggled against Seattle. In two appearances against the Mariners in 2019, he was 1-1 with an 11.49 ERA. The Angels are 6-20 in their last 26 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-30-20 | Golden Knights v. Canucks +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -141 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Vancouver. The Canucks were shutout in a 3-0 loss in Game 3, and need to rally to tie the series here in Game 4. Here is what I said before this series started: "The Canucks dispatched of the defending Stanley Cup champions in six games, and now they are a big underdog in their second round series versus Las Vegas. Vancouver gives us every reason to expect this to be a competitive series. The Golden Knights have won six of their last seven versus Vancouver, but four of those wins came in games decided by just one goal." Take VAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-30-20 | Clippers v. Mavs +10.5 | 111-97 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Mavs. The Clippers and the Lakers each voted to cancel the remainder of the playoffs to protest the shooting of Jacob Blake in Kenosha Wisconsin. We saw the Lakers return to action last night, failing to cover in a series clinching win over Portland by single digits. The Clippers were a five point favorite in Game 2, and Dallas won outright. They were a seven point favorite in Game 4, and once against Dallas won outright despite Luka Doncic playing hurt. The extra 2-3 days for Luka to rehab his ankle should help Dallas, and according to his coach he will be at full speed. The line is now at double digits, and I just cant's see betting on the Clippers as a heavy favorite when we know they voted to walk away from the season. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-29-20 | Thunder v. Rockets -5 | 80-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Houston. The Thunder had all the momentum heading into Game 5, but you have to think that momentum was lost when the players decided to boycott Games over the last few days. One of the unintended results of the past few days is that players who were injured have been given more time to recover. That's the case for Russell Westbrook who looks to make his mark on this series for the first time in Game 5. Chris Paul has a lot on his plate right now, and as head of the Player's Association his mind is on matters other than basketball. All these events seem to favor the Rockets. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-28-20 | Mariners +1.5 v. Angels | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Seattle Mariners. The Angels have just three wins in their last 14 games, and two of those three wins came by a one run margin. It doesn't make a lot of sense for them to be such a big favorite here against Seattle. Andrew Heaney will toe the slab for LA, and he's facing the Mariners for the third time this season. He allowed a pair of runs on five hits over five innings in a home loss to Seattle in his season debut. The Mariners hand the ball to Nick Margevicius, who has appeared in five games this season. The Mariners won two of those games, and lost twice by a single run. He allowed one run on two hits in two innings in a win over LA in his season debut. The Angels rank 28th in the major leagues with a team ERA of 5.41. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-24-20 | Stars +1.5 v. Avalanche | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 31 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Dallas +1.5. The Avs didn't surprise anybody by beating Arizona in the first round, but Dallas wasn't supposed to beat up Calgary the way they did. The Stars come into Game 1 as a huge underdog, and I really don't see why. Dallas has won four of their last five against Colorado, and the Avalanche are 5-16 in their last 21 Conference Semifinals games. Three of the last five head to head meetings have been decided in overtime. Colorado played a seven game series against the Sharks in last year's Conference Semifinal, and only won one of those games by more than a goal. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-23-20 | Canucks +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 0-5 | Loss | -155 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vancouver Canucks. The Canucks dispatched of the defending Stanley Cup champions in six games, and now they are a big underdog in their second round series versus Las Vegas. Vancouver gives us every reason to expect this to be a competitive series. The Golden Knights have won six of their last seven versus Vancouver, but four of those wins came in games decided by just one goal. Take VAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-22-20 | Stars +1.5 v. Avalanche | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Dallas. The Avs didn't surprise anybody by beating Arizona in the first round, but Dallas wasn't supposed to beat up Calgary the way they did. The Stars come into Game 1 as a huge underdog, and I really don't see why. Dallas has won four of their last five against Colorado, and the Avalanche are 5-16 in their last 21 Conference Semifinals games. Three of the last five head to head meetings have been decided in overtime. Colorado played a seven game series against the Sharks in last year's Conference Semifinal, and only won one of those games by more than a goal. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-22-20 | Pacers v. Heat -5 | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. The Pacers are down 2-0, and this series looks like it's over. One of the takeaways from Game 2 was that Jimmy Butler scored just 18 points, and had as many turnovers (5) as he did field goals. The Pacers can't count on another lackluster performance from Butler in Game 3, and we should see the Heat continue to dominate this matchup. The Pacers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six Conference Quarterfinals games, and they are are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five playoff games as an underdog. Take MIAMI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-21-20 | Blues v. Canucks +1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 31 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Vancouver Canucks. The defending champions are in trouble heading into Game 6 of this first round series versus Vancouver. The blew a 3- lead in Game 5, losing by a score of 4-3. Now they are not only facing elimination, but their goaltending situation is a complete nightmare. After giving up nine goals in the first two games of the series, Jordan Binnington was benched in favor of Jake Allen. Blues coach Craig Berube hasn't committed to naming his starter for Game 6, after Allen had a poor showing in Game 5. The Canucks can end the series here on Friday, and right now they look like the team that deserves to move on. Take VAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-21-20 | Clippers v. Mavs +5 | 130-122 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dallas. The Mavs have been the better team here in this series, with the exception of the 4th quarter of Game 1 after Porzingis was ejected. With Dallas evening the series at 1-1, you might expect a bounce back performance from the Clippers here in Game 3. There is concern though that Pat Beverly isn't healthy enough to play at all, and Paul George is not all that effective playing with a sore shoulder. This series seems eerily similar to the Blazers versus Thunder, when George was sent packing by Damian Lillard. The Clippers are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 playoff games as a favorite. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-20-20 | Angels v. Giants +1.5 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Giants +1.5. The Giants actually have two more win than the Angels this season, yet they are a home dog versus LA tonight. The pitching matchup here isn't all that key, as neither Kevin Gausman or Jose Saurez inspire much confidence. Saurez was 2-6 with a 7.11 ERA in 19 games (15 starts) with the Angels last season. Gausman is 2-3 with a 5.15 ERA in six career starts against the Angels. The Giants have won outright in seven of their last nine versus LA. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-20-20 | Magic +13 v. Bucks | 96-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Orlando Magic. The thing about recency bias is, you don't want to overreact to the results of one game. That said, you also don't want to fail to react at all. The Bucks were the biggest Game 1 favorite on the board, and they lost outright by double digits. So it won't be a surprise at all if they come right back and win big in Game 2. But should we lay 13 points with a team that failed to win Game 1? I don't think so. The Bucks have yet to prove that they are a playoff team, last year they fell apart against the Raptors. Giannis was outplayed by Orlando big man Nikola Vucevic, and that matchup has the potential to continue to be a problem. The Magic are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and while the Bucks have failed to cover in five of their last seven as a favorite. Take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-19-20 | Angels v. Giants +1.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Giants +1.5. The Giants actually have one more win than the Angels this season, yet they are a home dog versus LA tonight. Johnny Cueto will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's been solid this season. He's 1-0 with a 4.62 ERA in five starts. The Giants are 2-3 in those games, but two of the three losses came in one run games. The Angels hand the ball to Patrick Sandoval, who is still looking for his first win. He allowed five runs on six hits in six innings in a loss to the Dodgers his last time out. The Giants have won outright in six of their last eight versus LA. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-18-20 | Blazers v. Lakers -5.5 | Top | 100-93 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers. So far there have been plenty of surprises in the bubble so far, and several teams have seen their stock rise and fall. The Lakers came in as consensus favorite, but failed to impress. Portland on the other hand won six of eight games, and then won their play in game against Memphis. This has people calling them a dark horse candidate to win it all. I can't say I was all that impressed with wins over Memphis, Dallas and Philly by three, and a one point win over Brooklyn. The Nets and the Grizzlies effectively shut down Damian Lillard in the fourth quarter, and now the Blazers face a well rested Lakers team. Game 1 looks like a classic let down spot for Portland. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-18-20 | Giants v. Angels -1.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LAA. The Angels snapped a four game losing skid by beating the Giants in Game 1, and they look good as the favorite in Game 2. Dylan Bundy will toe the slab for LA, and he's been dealing so far in 2020. Bundy (3-1, 1.57 ERA) has allowed a single run on eight hits while striking out 20 batters in 16 innings in his last two starts. The Giants hand the ball to Trevor Cahill, who has only made one brief appearance this season. He was 2-6 with a 6.63 ERA on the road last season. Mike Trout is batting .340 with eight home runs and 18 RBIs against right-handers so far. Take LAA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-17-20 | Mariners v. Dodgers -1.5 | 9-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on LAD -1.5. The Dodgers have won five straight, and four of those five wins came by more than one run. The Mariners have lost five straight, and three of those five losses came by at least two runs. Rookie righthander Justin Dunn will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's struggled with his command. He's issued 10 walks over 13 innings in three appearances. The Dodgers hand the ball to Ross Stripling, who has been sharp at home in LA. He's 1-1 with a 2.31 ERA in two home starts. The Mariners rank 28th in the majors with a team batting average of .218. Take LAD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-17-20 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Columbus Blue Jackets +1.5. There is little doubt that the Tampa Lightning are the more talented team. Throughout the course of a regular season a team as skilled as Tampa is going to score more goals and win more games. Put that team up against Comlumbus in a seven game series however, and you have a tough time arguing that Tampa is the better team. Despite being the significant betting favorite, the Lightning are 1-5 in their last six Conference Quarterfinals games. They have lost five of their last seven versus Columbus, and both wins during that span came in overtime. Take CBJ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-16-20 | Manchester United v. Sevilla +0.25 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Sevilla +0.5. Manchester United is coming off a 1-0 win over Copenhagen, scoring the game's only goal on a penalty in the 95th minute. They are matched up against a far superior opponent tonight when they play Sevilla in the Semifinals. Only two teams in La Liga (Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid) allowed fewer goals than Sevilla. Opportunities are expected to be far and few between in this match, and I think that favors the defenive minded Spanish club. Take SEVILLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-15-20 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Columbus Blue Jackets +1.5. There is little doubt that the Tampa Lightning are the more talented team. Throughout the course of a regular season a team as skilled as Tampa is going to score more goals and win more games. Put that team up against Comlumbus in a seven game series however, and you have a tough time arguing that Tampa is the better team. Despite being the significant betting favorite, the Lightning are 1-5 in their last six Conference Quarterfinals games. They have lost five of their last seven versus Columbus, and both wins during that span came in overtime. Take CBJ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-13-20 | Mavs v. Suns -7 | 102-128 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Phoenix Suns. The Suns are the biggest suprise in the bubble in Orlando, and their unbeaten run has put them in a position to force a play in game for the final playoff spot in the West. They will take on Dallas Thursday, and the Mavs are already looking ahead to their first round series. Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis should ride the pine here, at least for the majority of the game. The Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall, and they are 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings versus the Suns. Take PHX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-13-20 | Nationals +1.5 v. Mets | 2-8 | Loss | -180 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Washington +1.5. The Nats have taken two of three in this series in New York, and they look good as an underdog in the fourth and final game of the series. Austin Voth will toe the slab for Washington today, and he's been pretty solid so far. He's allowed three runs on six hits, striking out seven in 10 innings in two starts. The Mets hand the ball to David Peterson, who has good numbers (2-1, 3.78 ERA). His last start wasn't great, allowing a pair of runs on four hits and three walks and surrendering a home run in five innings. The Nationals have won four straight versus left handed starters. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-12-20 | Padres +1.5 v. Dodgers | 0-6 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a Free play on the San Diego Padres +1.5. The Padres are tied with the Dodgers heading into tonight's Game 3, and after winning both the first two game in LA, they are an underdog tonight. Zach Davies will toe the slab for San Diego, and he's off to a helluva start. He's also owned the Dodgers, going 3-1 with a 1.98 ERA against them. The Dodgers hand the ball to Tony Gonsolin, who is filling in for Julio Urias. With Corey Seager injured, and Cody Bellinger and Max Muncy struggling at the plate, it's tough to fancy the Dodgers as a favorite here. Take SD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-12-20 | Raptors -6.5 v. 76ers | 125-121 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. |
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08-12-20 | A's +1.5 v. Angels | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Oakland A's +1.5. Oakland is in danger of being swept here in LA, but I am expecting them to respond from back to back losses with a win here in Game 3. Chris Bassitt will toe the slab for the A's, and he's been lights out in all three of his starts. He allowed no runs on five hits, striking out five in a win over LA in his season debut. The Angels hand the ball to Griffin Canning, who was the loser opposite Bassitt in that game. Don't be fooled by his ERA of 3.14, Canning hasn't pitched that well. He's walked 10 batters over 14 innings in his three starts. Even after losing the first two games of this series, the Athletics are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-11-20 | Cubs +1.5 v. Indians | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Chicago +1.5. The Indians come into this series versus the Cubs dealing with a bit of drama, after sending home players who haven't followed team protocol. The Cubs send Jon Lester to the mound, and Lester has been sharp in his first two starts of the season. He's allowed one run on four hits in 11 innings. The Indians hand the ball to Adam Plutko, who has been sharp in his own right. The Cubs have won four of their last five in Cleveland. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-11-20 | Suns -7.5 v. 76ers | 130-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Suns. The Suns are a real Cinderella story, and the clock hasn't struck midnight yet. The Phillies story is more of a nightmare, losing Ben Simmons to a knee injury, and Joel Embiid battling a sore ankle. You have to wonder how much the Sixers have invested in this postseason now that they know they aren't going to be at full strength. The Suns give us no such reason to doubt, and I expect antoher imprressive performance from this young Phoenix team today. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-10-20 | Raptors +5.5 v. Bucks | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. I bet on Toronto to win the East (25-1) before the season started, and I am pretty pleased with that bet. Here is what I said in October: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role." They catch the Bucks without the Greek Freak. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-09-20 | Grizzlies v. Raptors -6.5 | 99-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. I bet on Toronto to win the East (25-1) before the season started, and I am pretty pleased with that bet. Here is what I said in October: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role." They catch the Grizzlies off their first win in the bubble, and the Raptors are looking for payback after a loss to the Celtics. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-08-20 | Astros +1.5 v. A's | 1-3 | Loss | -154 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Astros +1.5. The Astros have lost three in a row, but two of those losses came in one run ball games. I like Houston as a dog in Game 2 in Oakland. Framber Valdez will toe the slab for Houston, and he's been solid so far. He allowed just one run on five hits, striking out eight in 6 1/3 innings in a win over the Angels his last time out. The A's hand the ball to Frankie Montas, who has pitched well despite struggling with his command. He's walked nine batters in 16 innings of work, but hasn't been punished for it. Carlos Correa is 4-for-8 with a home run lifetime versus Montas. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-08-20 | Tigers +1.5 v. Pirates | 11-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Tigers +1.5. The Steelers lost by a score of 17-14 in Pittsburgh on Friday? Oh wait, despite the score it wasn't a football game, but rather a high scoring baseball game that ended in extra innings. It wasn't a surprise to see a close game go back and fourth, as four of the previous five meetings had been decided by one run. Ivan Nova will return to Pittsburgh, but this time pitching for the visitors. Nova was 3-5 with a 2.99 ERA in 14 starts in Pittsburgh in 2018. The Pirates hand the ball to Derek Holland, who is still looking for his first win. He was rocked for four runs on four hits and two walks in 5 2/3 innings in a loss to the Twins his last time out. The Pirates might be the worst team in the Majors, and I don't think they deserve to be favored in this game. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-07-20 | Tigers v. Pirates +1.5 | 17-13 | Loss | -160 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5. The Pirates are in dead last in the NL Central, and I am not at all surprised. They might be the worst team in the major leagues, but I am not sure Detroit is much better. I certainly don't think the Tigers should be a favorite. Chad Kuhl will toe the slab for the Pirates, and he's been impressive in two appearances. He's allowed just one run on five hits with five strikeouts in five innings. The Tigers hand the ball to Matthew Boyd, who has been roughed up in both his starts so far. He's allowed eight runs on 15 hits over 10 innings. He's 0-2 with a 7.36 ERA in three career starts against Pittsburgh. Four of the last five meetings between these teams have been decided by one run. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-07-20 | Penguins v. Canadiens +1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Montreal Canadiens +1.5. The Pittsburgh Penguins were a big favorite in this series, but they face elimination here in Game 4. Two of the first three games in this series were decided by one goal, and two of the three went under the total. Expect those trends to continue here given the magnitude of this game. "We've just done it by working hard," Canadiens coach Claude Julien said. "At the end of the day, we know where the experience is. The only way we can counter that is with our work ethic and our commitment and desire. We lack experience compared to the other team, but we're trying to make it up with our compete level." The underdog is 7-2 in the last nine meetings. Take MTL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-07-20 | Real Madrid +1 v. Manchester City | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 391 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Real Madrid +1. I had Real Madrid in the first leg, and here is what I said prior to that match: "Manchester City will head into the first leg of this Champions League tie looking to survive with a chance to win the second leg at home at the Etihad in March. Real Madrid is undefeated at home in domestic competition, and they are also undefeated at home in the Champions League. Real Madrid has won this competition seven times, while Manchester City has suffered many disappointments. Madrid is in first place in Spain, with a +26 goal differential, while the Citizens are just the second best team in the Premier Leaague. It will be quite tough for City to come away with a win here, but a close loss with an away goal would still be a solid result."Â Now that City has a lead on aggregate as well as away goals, they can sit back and play for a draw. The problem is that City isn't a team designed to play defense, and that leaves them vulnerable to an upset. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-03-20 | Mets v. Braves +1.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -150 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ATL +1.5. After Yoenis Cespedes went missing during yesterday's game in Atlanta, it was announced that he has opted out of the season due to concerns about Covid-19. If you believe that's all there is to the story, I have a bridge in Brooklyn that I can offer to sell you. Jacob deGrom will toe the slab for the Mets in the series finale, and because he's pitching the Mets are actually a favorite. The problem is, deGrom can only throw so many pitches, and he can't score runs. The Mets were 1-for-15 with runners in scoring position Sunday. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-03-20 | Phillies v. Yankees -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NYY. So the Yankees have been as good as advertised, and so has Gerrit Cole. They are an overwhelming favorite here in Game 1 versus Philly, and under normal circumsrtances I would pass on a game with this price. I am making an exception here though, because with the Phillies coming off a week of not just inactivity, but also uncertainty, I don't like their chances of locking in on one of the best pitchers in the majors. Take NYY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-03-20 | Pacers -7 v. Wizards | 111-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pacers. The Wizards are coming off back to back losses by a combined margin of over 20 points. Their loss to Brooklyn likely ended any hope of an early exit from the bubble, but that might be just what they want. Who know, Magic City might seem like a lot more fun that hanging around in Orlando right now. Indiana on the other hand won outright as a 5.5 point underdog versus the Sixers, and this is a team that is firmly looking forward to the playoffs. The Pacers have won and covered in four of the last five meetings, and with Washington starting a bunch of backups, this game should be a blowout. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-02-20 | Mavs -5.5 v. Suns | 115-117 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavs did everything right in their first game back, except for the final 41 seconds in an overtime loss to the Rockets. They blew a seven point lead, allowing Houston to force overtime in a game that they had no business winning. Luca Doncic had a triple-double, and Kristaps Porzingis went off for 39 points and 16 rebounds. The good news for Dallas is they are right back on the court, and they have an excellent opportunity to get that bitter taste out of their mouths. They face the Phoenix Suns, who might be happy with themselves after beating the Wizards backups. The Mavs have won three of the last four meetings by an average margin of nine points. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-02-20 | Flyers +1.5 v. Bruins | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 318 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Philly +1.5. Boston is one of the favorites to win it all, but the first place team in the Eastern Conference has had a ton of trouble getting organized for the restart. David Pastranak who leads the league in scoring, missed a ton of training as he was in quarantine, and Brad Marchand is out with a lower body injury. The Bruins appear to be vulnerable, and the Flyers are a tough opponent. Philly has won outright in four of the last five versus Boston, and seven of the last 10 meetings have been decided by one goal (four of those in overtime). Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-01-20 | Jets +1.5 v. Flames | 1-4 | Loss | -217 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on WPG +1.5. The Flames and the Jets are both serious Stanley Cup contenders, and the pundits have this series too close to call. If there is one thing separating these teams though, its the Jets #1 goaltender Connor Hellebuyck. He's second in the NHL in wins, and he's a candidate for the Vezina Trophy. These teams have a history of playing close hockey games. The Jets have won four of the last six meetings, and four of those six games were decided by just one goal. I expect another close game tonight, and in such games give me the team with the better goalie every time. Take WPG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-01-20 | 76ers v. Pacers +5 | 121-127 | Win | 100 | 208 h 46 m | Show | |
8* |
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08-01-20 | Rangers +1.5 v. Hurricanes | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NYR +1.5. The Canes were ahead of the Rangers in the standings when the league paused the season, and they will be the favorite here in the qualifying round. The Rangers had just one fewer win than Carolina, and New York swept the season series versus the Canes (4-0). Artemi Panarin had three goals and six assists against Carolina in those games. This series appears to be close, and I wouldn't be surprised to see some overtime games. All the trends favor New York, who are 41-14 in the last 55 meetings. The underdog has won outright in each of the last six meetings. Take NYR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-31-20 | Pirates v. Cubs -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on the Cubs. The Pirates were terrible this Spring, and that poor play has carried over in the regular season. They come into Chicago as losers of four of six. Trevor Williams will toe the slab for Pittsburgh, and he hasn't had much success in Chicago. Williams is 3-6 with a 6.30 ERA in 11 appearances against the Cubs. Chicago will hand the ball to Yu Darvish, who has struggled to stay healthy in his major league career. He's just 1-2 against Pittsburgh, but has 31 strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in 30 innings. The Pirates are 1-8 in their last nine road games. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-31-20 | Magic -6 v. Nets | 128-118 | Win | 100 | 179 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Orlando Magic. The Brooklyn Nets bring a rag tag group into Orlando, without KD, Kyrie and Spencer Dinwiddie. They looked completely overmatched in their first scimmage game, scoring just 68 points in a one sided loss. They face an Orlando team that ranks among the top defensive teams in the NBA, and Orlando should have a decided advantage. After losing to the Clippers and Lakers, the Magic won their final scrimmage game against Denver. The Magic are back to full strength, and Nikola Vucevic should have his way with Brooklyn today. Take ORL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-29-20 | Cubs +1.5 v. Reds | 7-12 | Loss | -188 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Cubs +1.5. The 4-1 Cubs will be in Cincinnati to face a the 1-4 Reds, and Cincinnati is the favorite? Kyle Hendricks will toe the slab for Chicago, and he tossed a complete game shutout in his season debut. He's 6-3 with a 3.84 ERA lifetime versus the Reds. Cincinnati will hand the ball to Sonny Gray, who was also outstanding in his first start of the season. Of course that was against the Tigers, and the Cubs should prove to be a tougher opponent. The road team is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these teams. Take CHC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-27-20 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Astros. The Mariners upset the Astros in Game 3 in Houston, but I don't think they will be able to salvage a split here in this series. I like the Astros to win big in Game 4. Josh James will toe the slab for Houston, and he's 2-0 with a 2.20 ERA in four career starts. He normally works out of the bullpen, but he's capable no matter when he takes the mound. The Mariners hand the ball to Kendall Graveman, who was 1-5 with a 7.60 ERA last season. Seattle has lost 12 of their last 13 at Minute Maid Park. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-27-20 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Nationals | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto +1.5. The Jays lost two of three in a series at Tampa over the weekend, blowing a late lead in Game 3 on Sunday. This young team can really hit, and they should be able to score enough runs to keep them in ball games. Anibal Sanchez will toe the slab for the Nats, and he's listed as the team's #4 starter. Sanchez is 3-5 with a 5.82 ERA in 13 career appearances versus Toronto. The team he's facing today though is far different than it was just a few years ago. The Jays hand the ball to Trent Thornton, who is in just his second season in the majors. He was strong down the stretch last year, going 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA in his final five starts. The Nationals are 0-5 in their last five home games versus a right-handed starter. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-26-20 | Vancouver Whitecaps v. Sporting KC -1 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
5* |
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07-26-20 | Angels v. A's +1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Oakland +1.5. The A's have split the first two games of this season versus LA, and they look good as an underdog in the rubber match. Shohei Ohtani will toe the slab for LA, and he's listed as the team's ace. He has battled injuries since arriving in LA, so I expect him to be on a short leash. The A's hand the ball to Mike Fiers, who is coming off a solid 2019 campaign. He was 9-2 with a 2.90 ERA in 17 home starts, and 3-0 with a 3.04 ERA in four starts versus LA. The Angels have lost eight of their last 10 versus Oakland. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-26-20 | Brewers +1.5 v. Cubs | 1-9 | Loss | -185 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Milwaukee +1.5. The Brewers and the Cubs have split the first two game of this series, and I like Milwaukee as an underdog in the rubber match. Freddy Peralta will toe the slab for Milwaukee in Game 3, and he had himself an outstanding spring. The 24 year old did face the Cubs in a 4-3 win in March, tossing three scoreless innings. The Cubs hand the ball to Tyler Chatwood, who has great numbers at home in Chicago. Chatwood also pitched well against the Brewers last year. The under is 19-6-1 in the last 26 meetings in Chicago, and I am expecting another close game here on Sunday. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-26-20 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | 7-6 | Loss | -159 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Houston -1.5. The Astros have roughed up Seattle in this series in Houston, and expect more of the same Sunday. Yusei Kickuchi will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's got his work cut out for him. He was 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA against Houston last year. The Astros hand the ball to Zack Greinke, who is still one of the best in the business. He only faced Seattle once in 2019, but he tossed 8 1/3 scoreless innings in a win. The Astros are 20-1 in their last 21 versus Seattle and 12-0 in their last 12 home games against the Mariners. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-26-20 | Marlins +1.5 v. Phillies | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami +1.5. The Marlins have split the first two games of this series in Philadelphia, and they will be an underdog in the rubber match. Jose Urena will toe the slab for the Fish in Game 3, and he is coming off a solid outing in summer warmup games. He tossed three scoreless innings against Atlanta last week. Urena didn't have a great season in 2019, but he did pitch well against Philly. He logged a 1.80 ERA in three appearances versus the Phillies. Vince Velasquez will go for the home side, and he's the team's 5th starter. He was 0-1 with a 7.06 ERA in five starts against the Marlins last year. Miami was 13-7 with a +18 run differential in Grapefruit League this spring. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-25-20 | Angels +1.5 v. A's | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LAA +1.5. The Halos forced extra innings in Game 1, and I expect another close game here on Saturday. Dylan Bundy will toe the slab for LA, and he was 3-1 with a 1.59 ERA in four starts this spring. He's gotta feel like he won the lottery getting out of Baltimore. The A's hand the ball to Sean Manea, who only made four starts in 2019. He was 0-2 with an ERA north of 10.00 in spring and summer. The Angels have won four in a row versus left handed starters. Take LAA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-25-20 | Marlins +1.5 v. Phillies | 1-7 | Loss | -119 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami +1.5. After a solid spring, the Marlins won their season opener on the road at Philly. Caleb Smith will toe the slab for the Fish in Game 2, and the Marlins will once again be an underdog. Smith pitched well against Philly last year, going 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA. The Phillies hand the ball to Zack Wheeler, who's last major league start was a loss to the Marlins last September. Miami has won three of the last five, and six of their last 10 versus Philly. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-25-20 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Rays | 1-4 | Loss | -144 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto +1.5. The Blue Jays had a solid spring, and they won at Tampa on Opening Day. Matt Shoemaker will toe the slab for Toronto in Game 2, and he's coming off a very impressive spring. The Rays hand the ball to Ryan Yarbrough, who is listed as the team's 4th starter. He has good numbers against the Jays, but he may only be used as an opener. The Jays are going for a fourth straight win against Tampa. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-22-20 | Kansas City v. Real Salt Lake +0.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Real Salt Lake. Salt Lake hasn't conceded a goal yet at this tournament, and that really should come as no surprise. Last year LAFC was the only team in MLS to concede fewer goals that Real Salt Lake. A draw would ensure that both these teams advance, so we could see that influence the pace here in this game. It's also worth pointing out that scoreless draws have been somewhat of a trend in the early fixtures, and scoring average in the early matches is far lower than in the evening games. I like the under, and I like Salt Lake to earn at least a draw. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-19-20 | Chelsea v. Manchester United | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -137 | 52 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Manchester United. The hottest team in England right now is Manchester United. The come into Sunday's FA Cup Semi Final versus Chelsea undefeated in their last 19 matches in all competitions. They have had Chelsea's number winning four of the last five meetings, with one draw. Chelsea has also been moving up the table since the restart, but they have looked awfully sloppy at times. They have lost twice in their last five matches, falling 3-0 to Sheffield United, and 3-2 to West Ham. While Chelsea has a one point lead in the Premier League standings, the goal differential tells a different story. Manchester United is +28 compared to Chelsea's +15. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-12-20 | Arsenal v. Tottenham Hotspur | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arsenal. Tottenham is a complete mess at the moment, winning just twice in their last 11 matches in all competitions. During that span they have played to a draw four times, and they have scored more than one goal just four times. They host Arsenal, who come in unbeaten in their last five matches. The Gunners have conceded just two goals during in those games. These teams have played to a draw in each of the last two meetings, so the underdog looks like a solid play here in a stadium without fans. GL, Jesse Schule |
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