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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-24-23 | Rockies v. Cubs -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -124 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Cubs RL. So Chicago is in a battle for the final Wild Card spot in the NL, within half a game of Arizona and Miami. It's a must win against a Rockies team that has nothing to play for. Ty Blach will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's 0-2 with a 5.79 ERA in seven starts on the road. The Cubs hand the ball to Jordan Wicks, who is 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA in five appearances this season. The Rockies pitching staff ranks dead last in WHIP and batting average against. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-23 | Broncos v. Dolphins -6.5 | 20-70 | Win | 100 | 145 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. A new coach, but the same old problems persist in Denver. The 0-2 Broncos have blown leads late in back to back home losses, and now they play their first road game at Miami. The Dolphins offense is firing on all cylinders, ranking #1 in the NFL in passing and #3 in scoring. I am not ready to buy into all the hype surrounding Tua and Miami, but asking them to beat a bad team by just a TD in their home opener seems like a bargain. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-23 | Colts +8 v. Ravens | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 139 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Ravens. While the Colts rookie QB is questionable with a concussion (as of Tuesday), but there is an argument that they are better off with the more experienced Gardner Minshew running the offense. Minshew came in and threw for 171 yards and a TD on 19-of-23 passing in last week's loss to Houston The Ravens injury concerns might be more significant. Baltimore has already lost a pair of starters on the offensive line, and safety Marcus Williams and corner Marlon Humphrey are listed as out. The last time the Colts played at Baltimore they lost in overtime, covering as a 7.5 point underdog. The Colts are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-23 | Ohio State v. Notre Dame +3.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ND. This is a tough one, and I did go back and forth a bit. Neither of these two teams have faced anyone this season, so we have to look deeper than that. They played a close game at the beginning of last season, and here we have what looks like a downgrade at QB for Ohio State, and a massive upgrade for the Irish. I'll take the home dog plus the points here as a late add. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-23 | UCLA v. Utah -4.5 | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 120 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Utah. The UCLA Bruins look like a pretty good team so far. We saw in Week Zero what happens when "pretty good teams" play at Rice Eccles. The Florida Gators lost 24-11 at Utah and everyone wrote them off. We saw last week in their win over Tennessee, that they aren't nearly as bad as people thought they might be. The Bruins have played three games at Utah since 2017, and they lost all three games by 20+ points. Utah is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and losing 42-32 at UCLA last year sets up a revenge spot. Cam Rising has missed the first three weeks recovering from a knee injury, but he's expected to start here in the PAC12 opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-23 | Rockies v. Cubs -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CHC. The Cubs won Game 1 by a score of 6-0, and we should expect more of the same in Game 2 Saturday. Marcus Stroman will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's just coming back from the DL. He hasn't allowed an earned run in two brief appearances since his return. The Rockies hand the ball to Chris Flexen, who is 1-3 with a 9.45 ERA in a dozen appearances on the road. The Rockies have nothing to play for while the Cubs are battling for a playoff spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-21-23 | Georgia State +6.5 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on G-State. The Chanticleers won 41-24 at Georgia State last season, but a lot has changed since then. Grayson McCall is back at QB, but the offensive line lost some key starters and head coach Jamie Chadwell went to Liberty. The Panthers are 3-0, and senior QB Danny Grainger has completed over 70 percent of his passes for 803 yards, eight touchdowns and no picks. He threw for 198 yards and two touchdowns in a 42-40 win in his last start at Coastal Carolina in 2021. The home team has lost six straight meetings between these teams. This looks like another shootout that could go either way, and I'll gladly take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-23 | Giants -5.5 v. Cardinals | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYG. The Giants were supposed to be trending in the right direction, but Daniel Jones got picked off twice and was sacked seven times in a 40-0 home loss to the Cowboys in Week 1. The Giants lost the turnover battle 3-0, and bad weather and bad breaks played a roll in the result. Arizona on the other hand actually looked competitive in a 20-16 loss to Washington. Josh Dobbs threw for 132 yards on 21-of-30 passing with no TDs and no INTs. Dobbs is not a QB1 in the league, unless of course your franchise is tanking (hint hint). I am giving the Giants a pass for their poor showing in Week 1, and we do expect them to bounce back here in Week 2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-23 | Ottawa v. BC -9.5 | 37-41 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BC. The Lions come out of the bye week to take on the Ottawa Redblacks, and we should expect a blowout here. The Lions are 4-1 at home, while Ottawa is 1-5 on the road. Lions QB Vernon Adams Jr. leads the CFL in passing yards per game (296), while Ottawa QB Dustin Crumm has thrown more picks (6) than he has TDs (5). The Lions have won seven straight head to head meetings, and they have won all four home games during that span by a double digit margin. This game has blowout written all over it! GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-23 | Bengals v. Browns +2.5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 1487 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE. So the Bengals lost at Cleveland last year, which is nothing new. They have lost five straight at Cleveland, and the Browns are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings. The bookmakers have the Bengals favored here, despite the fact that the underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. The Browns still have the #2 ranked offensive line in the NFL according to PFF, and their QB situation should be better in 2023. Joe Burrow was sacked five times in last years loss at Cleveland, throwing for 232 yards with two TDs and an INT. The offensive line is still a concern for Cincinnati, and this figures to be a difficult matchup. I think the wrong team is favored here and I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-23 | 49ers v. Steelers +3 | 30-7 | Loss | -125 | 36 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PIT. The 49ers have question marks at the quarterback position. They played quarterback roulette last season, and when the wheel stopped spinning it was Brock Purdy who took over running the offense. Purdy played in nine games last year, throwing for 1,374 yards, 13 TDs and 4 INTs. Purdy has a tough matchup in Week 1 on the road at Pittsburgh. The Steelers were 9-7-1 last season, extending Mike Tomlin's NFL record to 16 consecutive seasons without a losing record. They were 8-2 in games that TJ Watt played, and they were 6-2-1 at home. It's easy to look at what San Francisco did last year and assume they are the better team. I think it would be a mistake to do so, as this is a new season and everybody starts with a clean slate. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-23 | Texas +7.5 v. Alabama | Top | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 124 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas. Nick Saban's Crimson Tide have been the most dominant team in college football for over a decade, but the air of invincibility might be fading a little. Last year the Tide lost at Tennessee and LSU, and they really should have lost at Texas as well. Aided by a handful of blown calls by the officials, Alabama kicked a game winning field goal to win 20-19 in the final seconds. Texas returns nine starters on offense including QB Quinn Ewers. The Longhorns defense ranked 1st nationally in QB pressures last season, and they face Jalen Milroe who is making just his third start. His only start last year was a 24-20 home win over Texas A&M. Texas has the more experienced QB, and they should have the athletes on both sides of the ball to push Alabama to the brink just like they did last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-23 | Utah -5.5 v. Baylor | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 126 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Utah. You don't want to overreact to Week 1 results. Utah won convincingly at home over the Florida Gators and Baylor got lit up in a 42-31 home loss to Texas State. Utah won without Cam Rising, and Bryson Barnes was solid throwing for 159 yards and a TD on 12-of-18 passing. Nate Johnson came in at QB and ran for 45 yards and a TD on six carries. Baylor struggled on defense last season, and it looks like that has carried over into 2023. The Bears were 0-5 versus Top 25 teams, and the average margin of victory in those games was 11 points. The Bears lost starting QB Blake Shapen in Week 1, and Sawyer Robertson threw for 113 yards and an INT on 6-of-12 passing against Texas State. With or without Cam Rising the Utes have mismatches all over the field. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-23 | Hamilton +4 v. Ottawa | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Hamilton. The Ottawa Redblacks have played 11 games, and have only one win by more than three points. That came against the Edmonton Elks, who they lost to by double digits in their last game. Hamilton has won nine straight head to head against Ottawa. The Ticats have been playing a bit better of late, winning their last road game at BC. James Butler has been playing a bigger role in the offense, and Taylor Powell seems to have settled in at QB. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-23 | Edmonton Elks +4 v. Calgary | 31-35 | Push | 0 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Elks. Edmonton is coming off it's first home win since 2019, snapping the longest home losing streak in North American sports history. Since the arrival of Tre Ford at QB, the Elks have won two of three and covered in all three games. The Stamps are struggling, with just three wins on the season, and QB Jake Maier leads the CFL with 12 INTs in 11 games. Only the Saskatchewan Roughriders have allowed more points this season than Calgary. The Stamps defense has been decimated by injuries, and seven defensive players are listed as "out" for today's game. I'll take the hot team plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-23 | Boise State v. Washington -14 | 19-56 | Win | 100 | 49 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WASH. The Huskies had the top ranked offense in the PAC12 last year, averaging 515 yards per game. They bring back almost everybody including QB Michael Penix Jr. (@BigPenixEnergy) and a pair of receivers who had over 1000 yards last year. You might have heard that Boise State had the best pass defense in the country last year, but I am here to tell you that is all smoke and mirrors. They had an extremely soft schedule, and their biggest win in the Mountain West came against a Fresno State team that was without QB Jake Haener. The Broncos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 versus the Pac-12, and they have failed to cover in five straight versus the Huskies. I like Washington to win by 3+ scores. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-31-23 | Nebraska +7.5 v. Minnesota | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 1255 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NEB. I love the dog in this matchup, as I expect Matt Rhule to turn things around at Nebraska. Minnesota lost their leading rusher, starting QB and the heart and soul of their offensive line from last year, and P.J. Fleck has been making headlines for all the wrong reasons this summer. These two BIG10 rivals normally play close, low scoring games, and three of the last four meetings have been decided by one score. Casual fans aren't likely too excited about Jeff Sims transferring from GT to start at QB for the Huskers, but I think he has a chance to thrive in Matt Rhule's system. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-28-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers | 4-7 | Loss | -170 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. The D'Backs have won 10 of their last 12 overall, and they send their ace to the mound in LA tonight. Zac Gallen got hit hard in LA earlier this season, but last year he faced the Dodgers twice allowing one run and striking out 18 in 14 innings. The Dodgers hand the ball to Bobby Miller, who is 3-2 with a 5.17 ERA in seven home starts. Arizona is 4-1 ATS in their last five versus LAD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-27-23 | Royals v. Mariners -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Mariners are the hottest team in the majors since the All Star break, and they have moved into a tie for first place in AL West. Luis Castillo will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's 4-0 with a 3.66 ERA in his last five starts. The Royals hand the ball to Alex Marsh, and the Royals are 1-9 in his last 10 starts. Seven of those nine losses came by more than one run. Castillo is 6-3 with a 2.70 ERA in 14 home starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-26-23 | Ravens +2 v. Bucs | Top | 20-26 | Loss | -113 | 60 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on BAL So the Ravens have won 24 of their last 25 pre-season games, and if not for a late drive from an inexperienced 3rd string quarterback and a 50 yard field goal it would have been 25-0. So we have to ask ourselves what happens now? Does Harbaugh throw in the towel, rest his starters and play to lose, or does he want to go into the regular season off a "W". Josh Johnson and Anthony Brown combined to throw for 4 TDs on 16-of-22 passing last week. I am willing to bet that Harbaugh is dying to get the filthy taste of an "L" out of his mouth. Todd Bowles is 8-13 career in pre-season games, so don't expect him to be taking things seriously in the second half. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-26-23 | Hamilton v. BC -10 | 30-13 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BC. The Lions own the CFL's #1 scoring defense, and they are undefeated at home so far. They host the Hamilton Ticats, who rank last in the Eastern Conference, and last in scoring defense in the East. Hamilton has a 3rd string QB that has thrown for 749 yards, 1 TD and 3 INTs in five games. The Lions are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven at home, while Hamilton has failed to cover in four straight and seven of 10 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-26-23 | Royals v. Mariners -1.5 | 2-15 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Mariners are the hottest team in the majors, and they sit in first place in the AL West after winning nine of their last 10 games. Logan Gilbert will toe the slab for the Mariners, and he's 3-0 with a 3.34 ERA in his last five starts. The Royals hand the ball to Jordan Lyles, who is 1-8 with an 8.08 ERA in 10 starts in day games this year. The Royals are 3-21 in Lyles 24 starts this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-25-23 | Calgary v. Toronto -9.5 | 31-39 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. This is a good spot for the Argos, coming off a bye week and hosting the Calgary Stampeders who lost a war of attrition versus Winnipeg last week. Leading rusher Kadeem Carey is out for Calgary, and QB Jake Maier is coming off one of the worst games of his career. He threw for 190 yards, no TDs and an INT on 11-of-24 passing in the 19-18 loss to the Bombers. Maier has thrown for 8 TDs and a CFL high 12 INTs this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-20-23 | BC -9.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 29-34 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BC. The Lions got starting QB Vernon Adams Jr back last week, and he threw for 322 yards, 4 TDs and an INT on 23-of-32 passing in a blowout win over Calgary. The Lions play on the road at Regina Sunday, but the Riders are down to their third string QB. Saskatchewan has allowed opponents to average 27 points per game this season, and only Hamilton has allowed more. Last year the Lions played at Regina twice, winning by double digits in both games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-20-23 | Royals v. Cubs -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Cubs. The Royals have lost 20 of Lyles 23 stars this season, and Lyles will face a Cubs lineup that ranks 2nd in the majors in scoring since the All Star break. Kyle Hendricks will toe the slab for Chicago, and he doesn't look like a Cy Young candidate by any stretch of the imagination. He did deliver a quality start his last time out, and his ERA of 4.00 isn't terrible. Only Oakland has fewer road wins than Kansas City (17). GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-19-23 | Bucs v. Jets -1 | Top | 13-6 | Loss | -110 | 109 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the JETS. Robert Saleh appears to take the pre-season more seriously than most head coaches. His Jets won 27-0 versus Carolina last week, and he's 6-1 in the pre-season in his career. The one loss came against Cleveland in the Hall of Fame game, and they blew a big lead late in that game. Todd Bowles does not have a reputation for taking the pre-season seriously, with a career record of 7-13. When it comes to QB depth, the Jets appear to have an edge with Zach Wilson and Tim Boyle. I'll trust Saleh to field a competitive team here as he looks to establish a culture of winning. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-12-23 | Calgary v. BC -6 | 9-37 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BC. Vernon Adams Jr is back for BC, and that's good news after the Lions second and third string QBs struggled in a loss at Winnipeg last week. Adams Jr leads the CFL in completion percentage (71.3%) and he's 3rd in the league in yards per game (258). Calgary QB Jake Maier is also among the league leaders, but he also leads the league in INTs. The Lions have covered the spread in six straight home games, and this looks like a good bounce back spot for BC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-12-23 | Jets +3.5 v. Panthers | 27-0 | Win | 100 | 41 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYJ. After back to back undefeated pre-seasons, the Jets opened up a double digit lead in the first half of the Hall of Fame Game. DTR rallied Cleveland for the win, and Chris Streveler did not look good after a dominant performance in pre-season action last year. The Jets will be an underdog here in their second game versus Carolina, and I think people might be a little over optimistic about the Panthers rookie QB. The experience of having already played one game, along with the experience of Zach Wilson and Tim Boyle should bode well for the Jets. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-11-23 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal -4.5 | 12-41 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Montreal. As we try to figure out how good these teams really are, I want to point out that the Als three losses came against teams with a combined record of 19-4 (in other words, the three best teams in the CFL). Saskatchewan on the other hand has four wins, and two of them came against the worst team in the CFL (Edmonton). The Roughriders are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have failed to cover in seven straight versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-10-23 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHI. The Phillies have won four of five, and they are in position to clinch a Wild Card berth. The Nats were no-hit in Game 3, and they appear to be overmatched in the series finale. Aaron Nola will toe the slab for Philly, and he's 4-3 with a 3.75 ERA in nine home starts. The Nats hand the ball to Patrick Corbin, who is 4-4 with a 5.31 ERA in 11 road starts. The Phillies lineup has owned Corbin, batting a combined .319 over a total of 141 at bats. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-06-23 | Ottawa v. Saskatchewan +2.5 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SASK. The Riders are coming off a bye week, giving them time to get Mason Fine tuned up for this home game against Ottawa. While both teams come in with a 3-4 record, and a backup quarterback under center, the strength of schedule and extra rest has me looking at the home dog. The Riders losses came against Winnipeg, BC, Toronto and Calgary. They also lost to Calgary by just two points. Saskatchewan has won all three meetings since 2019, and all those wins came at home. Mason Fine has shown some potential, ranking near the top of the league in yards per pass (8.2) as well as completion percentage (74%). GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-03-23 | BC +6 v. Winnipeg | Top | 14-50 | Loss | -115 | 65 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BC. The Lions have the second best record in the CFL going 6-1. Their only loss came against the undefeated Toronto Argos. They rank first in the league in scoring defense (by a country mile). The Bombers defense has not looked as good as it has been in recent years, and in Week 6 they blew a 16 point lead in the final two minutes, losing in overtime at Ottawa. While the history favors Winnipeg, the times change and the Lions appear to the better team getting a bunch of points in this matchup. After losing 30-6 at home to BC earlier this season, this is a revenge spot for the Bombers, but that doesn't mean they should be a six point favorite in my opinion. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-03-23 | White Sox v. Rangers -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TEX. The Rangers went all in at the trade deadline, picking up Max Scherzer amnd Jordan Montgomery to bolster their rotation. Scherzer will toe the rubber for the Rangers on Thursday, and he faces a Chisox lineup that ranks 25th in the majors in scoring. The White Sox hand the ball to Touki Toussaint, who is 0-2 with a 5.14 ERA in five appearances on the road. The Rangers are 7-3 straight up in their last 10 versus Chicago, and they covered the runline in six of those seven wins. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-02-23 | Rays v. Yankees +1.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on NYY. The Bronx Bombers made no real significant deals at the trade deadline, and they sit last in the AL East. That said, Aaron Judge is back and Gerrit Cole is having a Cy Young worthy season. The Rays are just 9-16 in their last 25 games. Shane McClanahan will go for Tampa, and he's struggled since he missed two weeks in the beginning of July due to injury. He's 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA since returning. He allowed three runs on eight hits in five innings against Houston in his last start. McClanahan allowed four runs on five hits and four walks in four innings in his only start versus the Yankees this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-30-23 | Mystics v. Dream -6.5 | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ATL. The Mystics lost at Atlanta by a score of 94-89 at the end of Jiune, but Elena Delle Donne scored 31 points in that game. Delle Donne and several other starters are out of the lineup, leaving Washington shorthanded here in Sunday's game. The Mystics are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games, and the home team is 7-3 in the last 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-28-23 | Mystics v. Wings -8.5 | 62-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on DAL. Washington has some serious injury concerns. with three of their top five scorers out for tonight's game. The Mystics are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings, and they have failed to cover in four straight road games. The Wings are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they have covered in four of their last five home games. The Wings won the last meeting by 17 points earlier this month. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-27-23 | Dream +9.5 v. Liberty | 84-95 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ATL. These teams have played three teams in 2023, and the home team has lost all three meetings. This trend goes back to 2021, with the road team winning outright in eight of the last 10 meetings. The Dream are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.The Liberty are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. This is the first leg of a back to back for the Liberty, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see some players see limited minutes. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-23-23 | Orioles +1.5 v. Rays | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Orioles. These teams are trending in opposite directions. The Rays have lost six of their last seven, and they now sit in second place one game back of Baltimore. Tyler Wells will toe the slab for the Orioles, and he's one of a handful of pitchers who own an ERA below 1.00. The Rays hand the ball to Taj Bradley, who is 0-3 with a 9.53 ERA in his last four starts. Tampa is 1-6 ATS in Bradley's last seven starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-22-23 | Saskatchewan v. BC -10 | 9-19 | Push | 0 | 39 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BC. Vernon Adams Jr. leads the CFL in passing, averaging 308 yards per game. BC is 4-1 overall and the Lions have allowed the fewest points in the CFL. The Riders lost starting QB Trevor Harris, and that leaves backup Mason Fine to start on the road this week. He threw for 690 yards, three TDs and three INTs as a backup last season. The Lions won by double digits in both their home games against Saskatchewan last season. The Roughriders are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and the Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-19-23 | Red Sox -1.5 v. A's | 5-6 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BOS. |
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07-13-23 | Hamilton v. Edmonton Elks +2.5 | 37-29 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on EDM. Edmonton is coming off a 12-11 loss at Saskatchewan, and now they return home where they have lost 18 straight. The defense was pretty solid last week, holding the Riders to three points in the first three quarters. Hamilton isn't exactly a powerhouse at this point, with their only win coming against an Ottawa team with their 4th string QB under center. This spot looks like the right time and place for the Elks to snap this losing skid. The Ticats defense ranks dead last in the CFL, and I don't think they have any business being a road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-09-23 | Montreal v. BC -7 | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BC. The Lions are coming off a 45-24 loss at Toronto, but they out-gained the Argos 413-269 in total yards. Vernon Adams Jr threw for 388 yards and three TDs, which would be great if he didn't throw six INTs. Adams Jr leads the league in passing with 1,249 yards and eight TDs on 69 percent passing. The Lions have covered in four straight home games, and their last home win was a 22-0 shutout win over Edmonton. The Alouettes are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 meetings in BC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-08-23 | Ottawa +2.5 v. Hamilton | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OTT. Both these teams signed high profile quarterbacks during the off-season, and so far it hasn't worked out for either team. Jeremiah Masoli is expected to make his debut for Ottawa here this week, while Bo Levi Mitchell has been a bust for the Ticats. After throwing for 361 yards with a TD and four INTs, Mitchell has been sidelined. There are some huge revenge angles here for Ottawa, as they have lost seven straight to Hamilton. Masoli is not the only former Ticat now in Ottawa, Jaleon Acklin at WR and DE Lorenzo Mauldin were stars in Hamilton. This looks like a classic example of wrong team favored. The RedBlacks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Hamilton. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-05-23 | Royals v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN. The Twins have outscored the Royals 17-7 in the first two games of this series, and we should expect more of the same Wednesday. Pablo Lopez will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's been a strikeout machine. His 126 strikeouts in 102 innings ranks 4th in the majors. The Royals hand the ball to Alex Marsh, who was lit up for five runs on six hits in four innings in a loss to the Dodgers in his debut. The Royals are 16-42 in the last 58 meetings in Minnesota. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-23 | BC -1 v. Toronto | Top | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 156 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on BC. The Lions have the top ranked defense in the CFL, allowing just 21 points in three games. It's not like they have had a soft schedule, winning on the road at Winnipeg and Calgary. The Argos are 2-0, but their opponents are a combined 0-7 so far this season. Toronto's QB Chad Kelly has pedestrian numbers, especially when you consider the opponents he has faced. He's thrown for 502 yards a TD and two INTs on 59 percent passing in two starts. Vernon Adams has dealt with injuries at WR, but still ranks 3rd in the CFL in passing. He will get two of his top three targets back for tonight's game. The Lions are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-03-23 | Cubs v. Brewers +1.5 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
5* |
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07-01-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Angels | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. Arizona took Game 1 of this series in LA, and again they are the dog in Game 2. The first place team in the NL West isn't getting enough respect IMO, and starting pitcher Ryne Nelson is actually 2-1 with a 3.07 ERA in eight road starts so far this year. That's a helluva lot better than Tyler Anderson who has an ERA over 5.00 at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-01-23 | New York City FC v. CF Montreal | 1-0 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MTL. It's no picnic playing north of the border, and Montreal F.C. has only played eight home games. They have won seven of those contests, with a +12 goal differential. New York City has played 11 away matches, without a single win to show for it. We will be way of a draw here, but this is a game that Montreal should win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-01-23 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +6 | 17-3 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MTL. The Bombers injury woes were too much to overcome last week in a home loss to BC. It looks like they are still banged up heading into tonight's game in Montreal. The Als defense and running game looks strong, and that's a big plus as a home dog getting six points. I think Montreal should give the Bombers a run for their money. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-30-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Angels | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. The D'Backs are 4-4 in their last eight overall, but they are 6-2 ATS in those games. They still sit two games clear of the Dodgers in first place in the NL West. Tommy Henry will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 4-1 with a 4.31 ERA. Arizona is 11-1 ATS in his 12 starts. The Angels hand the ball to Griffin Canning, who is 6-2 with a 3.99 ERA. LA is 6-6 ATS in his 12 starts. The Diamondbacks are 8-1 in their last nine during game 1 of a series, while the Halos have lost nine of 10 versus teams from the NL West. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-30-23 | Edmonton Elks +3.5 v. Ottawa | 7-26 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Edmonton Elks. Edmonton will be an underdog here in Ottawa Friday, in a matchup between possibly the two worst teams in the CFL. One of these winless teams is going to get it's first win here, but I don't think Ottawa deserves to be the favorite. The Redblacks quarterback situation doesn't look pretty. Starter Jeremiah Masoli is injured, and backup Nick Arbuckle has thrown for 286 yards, no TDs and four INTs on 55 percent passing in two starts. Ottawa is expected to roll out their third string quarterback who threw for 129 yards and an INT 9-of-17 passing after replacing Arbuckle last week. Jarrett Doege looked a lot better for Edmonton in the same role, completing 9-of-11 passes for a pair of TDs and an INT. Edmonton has won two of their last three at Ottawa, including a 30-12 win last August. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-28-23 | Nationals v. Mariners -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Mariners have split the first two games of this series, but they have a favorable matchup in the rubber match. Logan Gilbert will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been far better than his record would indicate. He's 5-4 with a 4.07 ERA, but his WHIP of 1.02. The Nats hand the ball to Patrick Corbin, who hasn't missed many bats lately. He's been torched for 11 runs on 18 hits in 11 innings in his last two starts. The Mariners are 14-3 in their last 17 home games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-25-23 | Toronto -6.5 v. Edmonton Elks | 43-31 | Win | 100 | 136 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Argos are defending champs, coming off an impressive home win at Hamilton in Week 2. They visit Edmonton, a team that has lost 18 straight home games dating back to 2019. The Elks are coming off a shutout loss to the B.C. Lions last week, and it seems like you're trying to re-invent the wheel if you're looking for the Elks to snap an epic losing streak here. Taylor Corneilius thre for 98 yards and a pick on 13-of-23 passing last week, and it's no surprise that the Elks rank dead last in the CFL in scoring. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-23-23 | Montreal +2 v. Hamilton | 38-12 | Win | 100 | 88 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Montreal. Hamilton made a splash when they acquired Bo Levi Mitchell to be their starting quarterback, but he will not take the field here at home in Week 3. It will be backup Matthew Shiltz will take over, and he's thrown as many picks (13)as he has TDs in his career. The Als are coming off a bye, and their defense looked solid in a Week 1 win over Ottawa. They have a solid running game with Cody Fajardo and William Stanback. Fajardo threw for just 261 yards and no TDs in Week 1, but he was accurate and he moved the ball. I think the books have the wrong team favored here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-21-23 | Rockies v. Reds -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CIN. The Reds are still the hottest team in baseball, their 8-6 win over Colorado in Game 2 makes it 10 straight wins. Andrew Abbott will toe the rubber for the Reds, and he's 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA in three career starts. The Rockies hand the ball to Connor Seabold, who was rocked for nine runs on nine hits and four home runs in just three innings in his last start. He's 0-3 with a 6.59 ERA in his last six starts. The Rockies are 1-9 in the last 10 meetings in Cincinnati. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-17-23 | Edmonton Elks v. BC -7 | Top | 0-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BC. Surely the Edmonton Elks have to be better than they were a year ago. They ranked dead last in the CFL in scoring defense, and it wasn't even close. This is a tough spot for the Elks on the road, facing a BC team that has won the last four meetings by an average margin of 32 points. Vernon Adams Jr. might not be Nathan Rourke, but throwing for 300 yards, 2 TDs and an INT in a blowout win at Calgary in Week 1 is a positive sign. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-15-23 | Calgary v. Ottawa +6.5 | 26-15 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
This is 4* play on OTT. I am not big on either of these two teams, but with money coming in on Calgary I'll take the points here with the home dog. It's a battle between two former Stampeders backups, who each played behind Bo Levi Mitchell. Neither of them had much success in Week 1, and we should expect another low scoring game here in Ottawa. The Stamps will miss leading rusher Kadeem Carey, and I am not convinced that this offense is good enough to be favored by a TD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-15-23 | Dream v. Sun -7.5 | 92-88 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Suns. Connecticut is 8-2 overall, and one of their wins came against the defending champion Las Vegas Aces. They won by a dozen at Atlanta in their last game, and they are asked to cover just a single digit spread in a home game against the Dream. History favors the Suns who have won seven straight against Atlanta, with all seven of those wins coming by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-11-23 | Wings +8.5 v. Liberty | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Dallas. The Liberty are just 3-7 straight up in their last 10 versus Dallas, and only one of those wins came by more than seven points. Dallas is coming off back to back wins over Phoenix, but prior to that they lost three of four. Those losses all came in games decided by six points or less. The Liberty blew a 19-point lead in an 89-82 loss to Chicago in their last home game. I'll take the points here with Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-08-23 | BC +3 v. Calgary | 25-15 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BC. I am optimistic about Vernon Adams Jr. taking over for Nathan Rourke. He steps into a far better situation than in previous years in Montreal. The Lions had the league's best offense last year, and many of those pieces are still in place heading into 2023. Dominic Rhymes, Lucky Whitehead and Jevon Cottoy were all productive last year. The Stampeders also have a new QB, and Jake Maier looked good after taking over from Bo Levi Mitchell last year. He could be in a tough spot in Week 1 with a couple of offensive lineman and a key receiver expected to miss the opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-04-23 | Rockies +1.5 v. Royals | 0-2 | Loss | -158 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on COL. The Royals are a favorite again today, and they are just 9-17 straight up in their last 26 games. As them to cover a runline and they are 5-21 ATS in those games. The Royals are 6-5 straight up in the last 11 head to head meetings, but only half of those wins came by more than one run. While Kyle Freeland has struggled on the road this season, that's out of character for him. The Royals have five wins in Brady Singer's 11 starts, but only one of those wins came by more than one run. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-04-23 | Phillies v. Nationals +1.5 | 11-3 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Washington. After splitting the first two games of this series, the Nats look good as an underdog in the rubber match Sunday. Trevor Williams will toe the slab for Washington, and he's 1-1 with a 3.09 ERA in five home starts. The Phillies hand the ball to Ranger Saurez, who is 0-2 with a 7.13 ERA in four starts. The Nationals lineup is batting .308 over a combined 52 at bats versus Suarez. The Phillies have just three wins by more than one run in their last 19 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-04-23 | Wings +8.5 v. Sun | 74-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DAL. The Sun are 5-1, but a closer look at their schedule reveals that there might be more to the story. Not one of those five wins came against a team with a winning record. Only one of those five wins came by a margin wide enough to cover the spread here. Dallas has two losses, and the combined margin of defeat in those games is less than the spread for this game. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-03-23 | Cardinals v. Pirates +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Pirates. The Pirates are home dogs off three straight wins, despite the fact that they are five games ahead of St. Louis in the standings. Jordan Montgomery will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's 0-2 with a 6.04 ERA in his last five starts. The Pirates hand the ball to Luis Ortiz, who is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in two home starts so far this season. The Pirates are 6-4 straight up in their last 10 versus St. Louis, but they are 8-2 on the runline in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-03-23 | Mariners +1.5 v. Rangers | 6-16 | Loss | -142 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Mariners send a rookie to the mound today, but 23 year old Bryan Woo has been lighting it up in the minors. He looks to replicate what Bryce Miller has already done for the Mariners this season. Andrew Heaney will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's struggled against Seattle. He allowed four runs on four hits and two walks in a loss to Seattle this season, and he was 1-2 with an 8.10 ERA in three starts versus the Mariners the previous two seasons. Heaney boasts a sub 2.00 ERA on the road this season, but his ERA at home balloons to 5.34. The Mariners are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Texas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-03-23 | Phillies v. Nationals +1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -159 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WAS. After losing Game 1 of this series in Washington, Philly now sits at the bottom of the NL East standings. Matt Strahm will toe the slab for Philly Saturday, and he's worked out of the bullpen of late. The Nats hand the ball to McKenzie Gore, who is 3-3 with a 3.57 ERA in 11 starts. The Phillies are 3-10 in their last 13 road games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-03-23 | Manchester United +1.25 v. Manchester City | 1-2 | Win | 50 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MUTD. These two rivals meet in the FA Cup, and Manchester City looks to complete a Treble (3 x Tropies). Standing in their way are rivals Manchester United, who are the only Premier League club to have won a Treble. There doesn't appear to be a lot of separation between the two clubs, who each won at home in the season series. Manchester United has only conceded three goal while winning four of their last five matches in all competitions. I expect this match to be close, and I wouldn't be surprised to see it go to extra time and penalties. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-29-23 | Twins +1.5 v. Astros | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. Houston will be the favorite with a rookie pitcher on the mound in Game 1, but I like the Twins as the underdog. J.P. France makes just his second start in Houston, and in his home debut he allowed six runs on nine hits and two walks in 3 2/3 innings versus the Cubs. The Twins hand the ball to Sonny Gray, who hasn't lost yet this season. He's 4-0 with a 1.82 ERA and a WHIP of 1.20. The Twins are 8-2 ATS in Gray's 10 starts this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-28-23 | Wings +3.5 v. Sky | 88-94 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Dallas. The Wings are still undefeated, and last year they were the only team in the WNBA with a better record on the road than at home. They look good on the road here against a Chicago Sky team that lost three of it's top four scorers from last year. The Sky lost their only home game to a below average Washington Mystics squad, and both their wins have come against inferior opponents in close games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-26-23 | Wings -7 v. Storm | 95-91 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Dallas Wings. The Seattle Storm were one of the top teams in the WNBA last season, but they lost Brianna Stewart, Sue Bird and Tina Charles. Jewel Loyd scored 22 points in a 105-64 home loss to the Aces in the season opener, but she shot just 7-of-25 from the field. Kia Nurse got the start, but played just 11 minutes and didn't score any points. Expect this Seattle team to struggle here early in the season. Dallas was the only team in the WNBA with more wins on the road than they had at home last season. The Wings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-25-23 | Heat +8 v. Celtics | 97-110 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MIA. So the Celtics got a game, but they are still down 3-1 and they lost both home games in this series. A return to The Garden has the Celtics as a massive favorite in Game 5. You remember what Einstein said about insanity, doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result. The Heat were a huge underdog in Game 5 in Milwaukee, and they won that game 128-126. Miami still has the better coach, a supporting cast that has played it's role perfectly a superstar that has delivered in the clutch more than anyone wearing green and white. I'll take the points, and I'll sprinkle on the moneyline. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-23-23 | Marlins v. Rockies +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on COL. The Rockies won Game 1 of this home series versus Miami, which comes as no surprise since Miami ranks 28th in the majors in runs scored. Austin Gomber will toe the rubber for the Rockies in Game 2, and he's 3-0 with a 3.54 ERA in his last five starts. Miami will hand the ball to 20 year old rookie Eury Perez who is making just his third appearance in the major leagues. The Marlins are 1-9 in the last 10 meetings in Colorado. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-23-23 | Celtics v. Heat | 116-99 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. So I said prior to both Game 3 of this series, and Game 4 of the WCF that the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result. It was no surprise to see Denver win Game 4, as NBA teams up 3-0 in a series win Game 4 roughly 68 percent of the time historically. The Nuggets did it on the road, and the Heat can do it here at home. It's so clear that Jimmy Butler is the best player in this series, and Erik Spoelstra is by far the superior coach. I been riding the Heat this entire post-season, and if it ain't broke don't fix it! GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-22-23 | Marlins v. Rockies +1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on COL. The Rockies return home off after getting swept in Texas, and they will be an underdog here against the Fish. Both teams are 10-12 in the home/away splits, and I don't see any reason for the Fish to be favored here. Edward Cabrera will toe the slab for Miami, and he was pulled from his last start because of a blister. He comes in with a WHIP of 1.59, and he's 0-3 with a 6.64 ERA on the road. Chase Anderson will go for the Rockies, and he's been at the top of most people's fade list in recent years. After his last call up he tossed five scoreless and gave up just one hit in a home game against the Reds. Miami has the disadvantage with a lineup that ranks 28th in the majors in runs scored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-22-23 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Lakers | 113-111 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Denver. My comments about Game 3 in Miami are just as applicable here in Game 4 in LA. Here is what I said prior to last night's game: Albert Einstein said that "the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result". In my humble opinion betting Boston as a road favorite in this spot fits that description perfectly. The myth that Boston is the superior team has been exposed. Jimmy Butler is the best player in this series, and Erik Spoelstra is by far the better coach. Now the Heat have home court, and the Celtics are still reeling trying to figure out what went wrong. I'll take the points, even though I don't think I'll need them. IMO this is another example of the Wrong Team Favored! GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-21-23 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | 102-128 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. Albert Einstein said that "the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result". In my humble opinion betting Boston as a road favorite in this spot fits that description perfectly. The myth that Boston is the superior team has been exposed. Jimmy Butler is the best player in this series, and Erik Spoelstra is by far the better coach. Now the Heat have home court, and the Celtics are still reeling trying to figure out what went wrong. I'll take the points, even though I don't think I'll need them. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5.5 | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAL. Call me a conspiracy theorist if you want to, but the NBA Finals are about to be a ratings disaster with the Denver Nuggets versus Miami Heat matchup looking more and more likely. If the Lakers can't get back in this series, a lot of money goes up in smoke. I think you're going to see the refs calls fouls for even looking at AD and LeBron in tonight's game. LA won Game 3 against the Warriors 127-97, and they had an edge in free throws to the tune of 37-17. In Game 3 against the Grizzlies they won 111-101. It's not like the first two games in Denver weren't close, and the Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Los Angeles. The Lakers are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games, and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-19-23 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | 111-105 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on BOS. As much as I disagree with how big a favorite Boston was in Game 1, and here in Game 2, I just think this is a spot where they are gonna come out swinging and they will get all the calls. I have joked about a script in the league office that has the Celtics playing the Lakers in the Finals, but if you saw the referee in Game 1 react to Jimmy Butler scoring a key bucket, you would believe it. Check it out on Twitter it's going viral. The Celtics lost Game 1 at home versus Philly, and they came back and won 121-87 in Game 2. Don't be surprised if we see something similar here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-17-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Celtics | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 35 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Miami Heat. This is a rematch of last year's Eastern Conference Finals, and the Celtics won that series in a Game 7 that was decided on the final shot. Yet the bookmakers have installed Boston as a huge favorite here in Game 1 and for the series. Miami closed out the #1 seed Milwaukee Bucks in just five games in the first round. They needed six games to eliminate the New York Knicks. That has them playing two fewer games than Boston so far. The team that has played fewer games heading into the Conference Finals, has advanced to the Finals in 16 of the last 17 such occasions. Coming off a big Game 7 win over Philly, with Jason Tatum scoring 51 points, could set the Celtics up for a let down in Game 1. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-17-23 | Twins +1.5 v. Dodgers | 3-7 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. The Twins have split the first two games of this series in LA, and they will be an underdog in the rubber match. Sonny Gray will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's been dealing so far this season. Gray (4-0, 1.39 ERA) has owned the Dodgers. The LA lineup is batting a combined .196 over 112 at bats versus Gray, with 22 hits and 38 strikeouts. Dustin May will go for the Dodgers, and he's been solid. This game could come down to the bullpens, and the Dodgers have struggled in that department ranking 22nd in ERA by reliever (4.22). GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-17-23 | Real Madrid +1 v. Manchester City | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on RMA +1. As good as Manchester City is, and while I do think they deserve to be a favorite, I feel the line is a little inflated. The fact is that in the last five head to head meetings only one team has a win by more than one goal. That game was the second leg last year when Real Madrid scored in added time to win on aggregate. The score after 90 minutes was 2-1, so technically would not have covered the 1-goal handicap. The first leg showed what appeared to be little separation between these teams, and scoring chances were at a premium. The way I see it, the score could be tied after the 90, or either team could be winning. Two of those three scenarios get me paid with this bet. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-15-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 42 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Kraken have already won a Game 7 on the road in the first round. They beat Colorado 2-1 in overtime, and I have to think they can give Dallas a run for their money here. The Kraken are 13-6 in their last 19 road games, and they won Game 1 of this series in Dallas. Phillip Grubauer stopped 33-of-34 shots in the win in Game 7 versus Colorado, and he's been solid throughout the playoffs. Jake Oettinger had his confidence rattled after allowing four goals on 18 shots in just 24 minutes in Game 6 in Seattle. Oettinger is just 24 years old, while Grubauer is a seasoned veteran with a ton of playoff experience. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-14-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 88-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS. The Celtics have all the momentum heading into Game 7 at the Garden. Boston is 26-9 all time in Game 7s, and the Sixers are 6-11 all time in Game 7s. Home teams have won 79 percent of Game 7s all time in the NBA Playoffs. The Celtics are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games, and they have covered in eight of their last 11 versus Philadelphia. The home team might get the calls here, and the Sixers could end up on the wrong side of a one-sided Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-11-23 | White Sox +1.5 v. Royals | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on CWS. The Royals sit dead last in the AL Central, and the Chicago White Sox are just two games head in the standings. Kansas City won 9-1 in Game 2 of this series, but I expect them to bounce back here in Game 3. The Sox have alternated wins and losses over their last eight games. Brady Singer will toe the rubber for the Royals, and he's allowed at least five runs in five of his last six starts. The Royals are 5-17 in their last 22 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-10-23 | Heat +4 v. Knicks | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. The Heat closed out the Bucks in Game 5 in Milwaukee, and they are an underdog here in a potential close out game in New York. I pity the fool who bets against Jimmy Butler in the playoffs! I said this before Game 4: "This isn't the same Heat team we saw during the regular season, and this isn't the regular season version of Jimmy Butler. Playoff Jimmy is a different beast all together. Butler scored 28 points, leading all scorers in Game 3. This is despite playing on a bad ankle. He's likely to be even better here in Game 4. The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, and they have covered in six straight overall. Giannis and the Bucks couldn't win in Miami, and I think it's asking too much for the Knicks to win on the road here." GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-10-23 | Rangers +1.5 v. Mariners | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TEX +1.5. The Rangers have split the first two games of this series in Seattle, and Game 3 looks like a potential pitcher's duel. Luis Castillo will toe the slab for Seattle, and the Mariners are 0-5 ATS in their ace's last five starts. He allowed four runs on five hits in six innings in a 6-4 home loss to Houston his last time out. The Rangers hand the ball to Dane Dunning, who comes in with a record of 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA. He tossed five scoreless in a no decision at LA in his last start, and the Rangers have covered the runline in each of his last five starts. The Rangers are still in first place in the AL West, and they have won seven of their last 10 overall. GL. Jesse Schule |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DEN. So the story in Phoenix was Devin Booker scoring 83 combined points on 79 percent shooting in Games 3 and 4. He's a career 46 percent shooter, and he shot 49 percent during the regular season. If the Suns need Booker to make every shot he takes to win close games in Phoenix, that's likely a recipe for disaster in Denver in Game 5. Kevin Durant scored 39 points in Game 3, and 36 points in Game 4. He got to the free throw line for 29 attempts in those games. He averaged just 26.5 points per game in the first two games in Denver, and only shot six free throws in those games. The last Game in Denver the Suns were held to just 87 points. The home team is 9-1 straight up and Denver is 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-08-23 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arizona. The D'Backs host the Marlins in Game 1 on Monday, and Arizona sends it's ace to the mound. Zac Gallen (4-1, 2.53 ERA) has his scoreless innings streak snapped in Texas in his last start. He's still flawless at home, with a record of 3-0, 0.00 ERA in three starts. The Marlins hand the ball to Braxton Garrett, who is coming off a terrible performance. He was torched for 11 runs on 14 hits in 4 1/3 innings in a loss to Atlanta. The Marlins are 5-13 in the last 18 meetings in Arizona, and they rank dead last in the majors in runs scored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-07-23 | Arsenal v. Newcastle United | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Newcastle United. Just when you thought that Arsenal was going to win the Premier League, they crumpled under the pressure. They come into Sunday's away match at Newcastle with just one win in their last five games. The Magpies have won four of their last five, and they have only lost once at home in the Premier League this season. Arsenal played here last May and lost by a score of 2-0. The Gunners destiny is out of their hands, and their only hope to win the league is if Manchester City slips up. Newcastle is in a three way battle for a Champions League spot with Manchester United and Liverpool. I like the home team to get the win in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-05-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2 | 114-102 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Sixers. The Sixers got their rear ends spanked in Game 2 despite the return of Joel Embiid, but that was really no surprise. The series heads back to Philly tied 1-1 and the Sixers are still in the driver's seat. They should come out strong in the first half here on their home court. Philly has a home record of 31-12 (regular season and playoffs combined). While these two teams split the season series and the home team went 2-2, the home team was 3-0-1 straight up in the first half. The Sixers were 3-1 ATS in the first half in the regular season series. I think the Celtics will be fortunate just to weather the storm here in the first half. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-23 | Brewers v. Rockies +1.5 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on COL. So I said yesterday that these two teams are trending in opposite directions, and that's even more true after Colorado won last night by a score of 7-1. The Rockies have won three straight and five of eight, while the Brewers have lost three straight and six of nine. At first glance, Wade Miley (3-1, 186 ERA) looks worthy of being a big favorite here. His numbers against the Rockies tell a different story. The Rockies lineup is batting a combined .343 against him in over 100 at bats. Jurickson Profar is 5-for-7 lifetime versus Miley, and Kris Bryant is 9-for-20 (.450) with a pair of home runs. Colorado will send Connor Seabold to the mound, and he's allowed just a pair of runs on seven hits over 5 2/3 innings in his last two appearances. He's coming out of the bullpen so we only expect him to go a few innings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | 105-111 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NYK. So the Knicks face a must win game at home in Game 2 at the Garden, and the status of Jimmy Butler is up in the air. The line would indicate that he's not expected to play, but even if he comes in and plays hurt, it's unlikely to benefit an already shorthanded Heat team. Butler has carried the Heat in the absence of Tyler Hero and Victor Oladipo. The Heat should probably wave the white flag here, let Butler rest up and make his return in Game 3 at home with the series tied 1-1. I'll take the Knickerbockers to win by double digits here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-30-23 | Panthers v. Bruins -1.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BOS. The best team in NHL regular season history faces a do or die Game 7 in the first round. Their starting goaltender has struggled, and I wouldn't be surprised if a change is made between the pipes. The road to the Stanley Cup often has bumps along the way, just ask the LA Kings who trailed 3-0 in a first round series versus Tampa Bay. The Kings went on to win the series and eventually the Lord Stanley's mug as well. The Calgary Flames went to overtime in a Game 7 against the Vancouver Canucks, and after surviving that scare they cruised the rest of the way to a Stanley Cup victory. Boston is bigger, stronger, faster... and the Panthers should be in over their heads here in this Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-29-23 | Oilers v. Kings +1.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 35 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAK. The home team has scored first in all five games in this series, and LA probably should have won both home games. They blew a 3-0 lead, losing in overtime in Game 4. Now they need to win tonight to force a Game 7, and they should have a puncher's chance. We have already seen overtime three times in this series, so don't be surprised to see another close game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-29-23 | Mariners v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the BLUE JAYS. The Mariners are struggling, and they come into Game 2 of this series in Toronto ranked 27th in the majors with a team batting average of .222. The pitching matchup surely favors the Blue Jays here. Kevin Gausman will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's coming off a seven inning shutout win over the Yankees. He gave up three hits and struck out 11 batters in that game. The Mariners hand the ball to Chris Flexen, who has struggled mightily. He's been lit up for 18 runs on 25 hits over 12 1/3 innings in his last three starts. Vladdy Jr is 4-for-6 lifetime versus Flexen, and the Jays are 42-16 in their last 58 games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors -7 | 118-99 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. So when it was announced that De'Aaron Fox was going to play despite a broken finger, the Warriors went from -4 in Game 5 to -1.5. I said that he could be a liability if he wasn't at 100 percent. He appeared to play pretty well, but his 24 points was a series low. He shot a series low 36 percent from the field and committed a series high six turnovers. I don't see it getting any better for the Kings here in Game 6. The Warriors won four series in last year's playoffs, and in their four series clinching wins the total went under in all four. The average combined total in those games was 207.5. I'll take the Dubs to win and the game to go under the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | 106-95 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CLE. The Cavs face elimination in Game 5, and we should expect them to out swinging early here on their home court. The Cavs were 32-11 at home during the regular season, and they were the best defensive team in the NBA, ranking #1 in opponent scoring average. Donovan Mitchell is coming off a terrible Game 4 in New York, but we expect him to bounce back here at home. He averaged 31.8 points per game in four regular season games against the Knicks, and he scored 38 points in Game 1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-26-23 | Royals v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arizona. The Royals got a rare win in Arizona last night, but I look for them to get back to their losing ways as they face the D'Backs ace in a matinee in the desert on Wednesday. Zac Gallen is working on another scoreless inning streak. Last year he went 44.5 innings without allowing a run, and he comes into today's game off 20 2/3 scoreless innings. He's racked up 29 strikeouts during that span. The Royals hand the ball to Ryan Yarbrough, who is winless on the season. He's allowed six runs on six hits in 6 1/3 innings in his last two appearances. He's 0-2 with a 7.62 ERA overall in seven appearances. The Royals rank 27th in the majors in runs scored, and 28th in team batting average (.222). GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-24-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4 | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LAL. Here is what I said before Game 3: "The Grizzlies were the best home team in the NBA during the regular season, with a record of 35-6. They struggled on the road, and that doesn't bode well for them in Game 3 in LA. There is the potential for Ja Morant to attempt to play through pain despite a hand injury, which might be counter-productive for the Grizz. He's not the only player nursing an injury for the Grizzlies, and the veteran Lakers appear to be the healthier of the two teams. The home team is 8-2 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and Memphis has lost four of their last five at LA. The Grizzlies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games versus a team with a winning home record." The Grizzlies simply have no answers for AD, and I expect them to go back to Memphis trailing 3-1 in the series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-23-23 | A's v. Rangers -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TEXAS. The A's rallied to win Game 1, snapping a seven game losing streak. They lost Game 2 by a score of 18-3, and another losing streak seems to be building momentum. Kyle Muller will toe the slab for Oakland, and the 25 year old has been torched for a dozen runs on 20 hits in eight innings in his last two starts. Jake deGrom will go for Texas, and that doesn't bode well for the A's in the early innings. Texas is in 1st in the AL West, they rank 2nd in the majors in scoring and they have scored 46 runs in their last four games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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