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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-28-19 | Clemson v. Ohio State +2.5 | Top | 29-23 | Loss | -110 | 422 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes. The defending champion Clemson Tigers bring a perfect 13-0 record into their College Football Playoff Semifinal matchup versus Ohio State. The Tigers had a much softer schedule than the Buckeyes, who also went 13-0 during the regular season. Ohio State had five wins against Top 25 teams, beating Wisconsin twice, Michigan, Penn State and Michigan State. Ohio State has played more big games, and has proven a lot more than this year's Clemson team that only faced two ranked teams. Clemson is a team that thrives as an underdog in big games, but the Tigers haven't fared as well when coming in as the favorite. They have failed to cover in six of their last eight when asked to cover points. Take OSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-19 | Washington State +3 v. Air Force | 21-31 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Washington State. It was a disappointing season for the Cougars, finishing with a 6-6 record and losing their final game to Washington in the Apple Cup. They scored a combined 103 points in home wins over Oregon State and Stanford prior to that. Mike Leach is still one of the top offensive minds in college football, and you have to imagine he will have a solid game plan here for this bowl game. They came out flying in last year's Alamo Bowl, outscoring Iowa State 21-10 in the first half. Air Force won 10 games against inferior opposition in the Mountain West, but the Falcons might struggle against this potent Cougars offense. Washington State is 4-1 ATS in it's last five versus Mountain West teams. Take WSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-19 | Spurs +7 v. Mavs | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs appear to have turned things around, coming into Dallas as winners of five of their last eight overall. The Mavs sit seven games clear of San Antonio in the standings, but they haven't been all that strong at home. In fact 11 of their 19 wins have come on the road. They are 2-2 since losing Luca Doncic to an ankle injury, and they have lost three of their last four home games. Doncic is questionable to return for tonight's game, but the Mavs would be wise to be extremely cautious with their young star. We saw LeBron come back to play on Christmas Day only to aggravate a nagging groin injury. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-19 | Nuggets +5.5 v. Lakers | 128-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets are the best defensive team in the NBA, but in this day and age it still doesn't mean they can hold opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game. They allow an average of roughly 102 points per game, and the Lakers are far from an average opponent. Denver has won five straight, and all five of those games saw 209+ total points. We can see that these two teams have failed to go over the total in five straight meetings, but in four of those five games they combined to score 209+ points. Looks like this number should be a few points higher, and Denver looks good getting points. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-19 | Chiefs v. Bears +7 | 26-3 | Loss | -130 | 30 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears. The Bears have won three straight home games and three of their last four overall, but they will be a sizeable underdog here against Kansas City. The Chiefs come into Chicago riding a four game win streak, and they have already clinched the AFC West. With the Patriots winning at home versus Buffalo on Saturday, and playing their final game at home against the Dolphins, the Chiefs are unlikely to improve their playoff position with a win here over the Bears. The Bears are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog, and 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 overall at home. I'll take the points with a tough Bears team looking to salvage some pride. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-19 | Washington -3 v. Boise State | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 34 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Huskies. The Huskies were the consensus favorite to win the PAC12 this pre-season, but their season was sent into a tail spin after losing 20-19 at home in a weather delayed game against California in Week 2. They finished 7-5, and went 1-2 against Top 25 teams. Both of their losses to ranked teams came by fewer than seven points. The Boise State Broncos were 12-1 and won the Mountain West, but didn't play a single ranked team during that span. This is the final game for Washington head coach Chris Peterson (also former Broncos coach). I like the Huskies to go out with W in Peterson's Swan Song. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-19 | Bills v. Patriots -6.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots. Back in September, the Bills outplayed New England at home, and still lost 16-10. They had a huge edge in total yards, more than double the first downs, and they dominated time of possession. New England looked pretty bad last week in Cincinnati, and still they won and covered. This Patriots team simply knows how to win, even if their tactics are sometimes questionable. A home game at Foxboro in December isn't exactly a good spot to be betting against Belichick and Brady. The Bills might make in interesting, but I expect history to repeat itself. My money is on the Pats to win and cover. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State -6.5 | 51-41 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah State Aggies. Nobody has more to prove in the Frisco Bowl than Jordan Love, who is hoping to have a future in the NFL. The junior quarterback took a giant step back this year, throwing almost as many INTs as he did TD passes. Love threw for 3,567 yards, 32 TDs and just six INTs in 2018. He lit up North Texas in last year's New Mexico Bowl, throwing for 359 yards and four TDs on 21-of-43 passing. The Aggies won three of their final four games of the regular season, and Love threw for eight TDs and four INTs in those games. Superior talent and a highly motivated quarterback should be enough for the Aggies to get the cover. Take USU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-19 | Nets v. Spurs -2.5 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. It's been a rough start to the season for the Spurs, but there is no denying that they are playing better basketball of late. They come into tonight's game off a 109-107 loss to Houston, in a game that they blew a 25-point lead. You could say the glass is half full, but the Spurs have won four of their last five home games, and that includes outright wins over the Clippers and the Rockets. History favors the home team here as the Nets are just 9-25-1 ATS in the last 35 head to head meetings. They have failed to cover in six of their last seven in San Antonio. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers -9.5 | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Portland. The Blazers are rolling, and they will be a heavy favorite at home against a Warriors team that is just 3-13 on the road, and owns the NBA's worst overall record. The Warriors are coming off a particularly disturbing loss, forcing 29 turnovers in a 21-point home loss to Sacramento. The Warriors are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. We have every reason to expect the Warriors struggles to continue in Portland. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-19 | Magic v. Jazz -5.5 | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Orlando Magic don't win a lot of road games, and perhaps they shouldn't get too jacked up coming a double digit win in New Orleans, versus a Pelicans team that has lost 12 in a row. They face a far tougher task tonight in Utah, where the Jazz are 10-3 on the season. Utah has won three of four, and all three of those wins have come by 7+ points. The Magic get a boost with the return of Nikola Vucevi, cbut keep in mind they lost six of 10 before his injury. Last year he averaged 17.5 points in two games versus the Jazz, well below his season average of 20.8 points per game. Only three teams in the NBA held him to a lower average than Utah. The Jazz lost by a score of 106-93 in last year's visit to Utah. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-19 | Spurs +10.5 v. Rockets | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on San Antonio. The Spurs have played a record four straight overtime games, and the good news is that they have won three of those four games. They are 4-2 in their last six overall, and during that span they have wins over the Rockets and Clippers. The Rockets are coming off a home loss to the Detroit Pistons, and they have not been a good bet to cover a point spread. Houston have failed to cover in five of it's last six as a favorite, and the Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games versus a team with a losing straight up record. Four of the last five head to head meetings between these teams have been decided by fewer than 10 points. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-19 | South Carolina v. Clemson -5.5 | 67-54 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Clemson Tigers. |
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12-15-19 | Rams +1 v. Cowboys | 21-44 | Loss | -106 | 146 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Rams. |
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12-15-19 | Broncos +12.5 v. Chiefs | 3-23 | Loss | -125 | 158 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Broncos. Denver comes into this rivarly game with Kansas City with a record of 5-8, and because of that they will be a double digit underdog. Only three of Denver's eight losses have come by 10 or more points, and they are coming off back to back outright wins. Drew Lock was impressive in his debut as a starter, throwing for 309 yards and three TDs on 22-of-27 passing in a 38-24 win over the Texans. The Broncos will be looking to avenge a 30-6 home loss to the Chiefs earlier this season, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Kansas City. The Weather could also play a role here today, which may favor the underdog. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-19 | Patriots v. Bengals +10.5 | 34-13 | Loss | -130 | 158 h 54 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-14-19 | Memphis +6.5 v. Tennessee | 51-47 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-14-19 | Duquesne +0.5 v. Radford | 71-49 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Duquesne Dukes. The Dukes are 8-0 to start the season, and they come into their first true road game as a favorite over Radford. What looks like a tough matchup for the Dukes might not be as tough as it would have been a year ago. The Highlanders finished first in the Big South last year, and were a Cinderella team in the NCAA Tournament. They have started this season off by losing five of their first eight games. Free throw shooting could be a huge advantage for the Dukes, who are hitting just shy of 80 percent from the charity stripe. Radford is shooting just over 60 percent from the free throw line. The Highlanders are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 Saturday games. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-19 | Grizzlies v. Suns -7 | 115-108 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Phoenix Suns. I had the Suns in their last game, a 125-109 home win over Minnesota. Here is what I said before the game: "The Suns return home after earning a 2-2 split during a four game road trip, and they will be just a small favorite tonight versus Minnesota. The T-Wolves have lost four straight, and they were hammered by a score of 142-125 at LA last night. This is a tough spot for the visitors, playing on back to back nights in a third game in four nights. They have not fared well in recent meetings versus Phoenix." Memphis comes to town off a win at Golden State, and the Grizzlies are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. Take PHX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-19 | Kings +12 v. Rockets | 119-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have lost six of their last 10 games overall, but only one of those six losses came by more than 11 points. The Rockets have won just four of their last eight overall, and only one of those four wins came by more than 11 points. The Kings appear to be a strong play getting a 12 point cushion here in Houston coming off an upset win over the Mavericks in Dallas. The Kings are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Take SAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams +1 | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the LA Rams. The Seahawks come into LA with a better record, and they will be the favorite. Keep in mind that when the Rams played in Seattle earlier this season, the difference was a missed field goal by Greg Zuerlein. The Rams have since quietly turned their season around, winning four of their last six overall. They have allowed 20+ points just once in those six games. The Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings in Los Angeles. This looks like a potential let down spot for Seattle, a team that I think comes in slightly overrated. My money is on the home dog. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-19 | Chiefs +3 v. Patriots | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KC@NE to go Under the total. Last year we saw these teams play twice, and both games were high scoring. Things might be different here in December in Foxboro, as both teams have struggled on offense of late. The Patriots though are getting it done with their defense, leading the NFL in points allowed (12.1 per game). The Chiefs have showed some improvements with their defense, holding their last two opponents to a combined 26 points. The Chiefs are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games, and the under is 7-3 in Patriots last 10 home games. Last year the Chiefs lost by three points at New England during the regular season, and they lost in overtime to the Patriots in the playoffs. I wouldn't be surprised if this game was decided by a kicker. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills +7 | 24-17 | Push | 0 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a Free play on the Buffalo Bills. The Bills came into Dallas on Thanksgiving day with an 8-3 record, but critics (including myself) said they had a soft schedule. After they completely dismantled the Cowboys, that's no longer a valid argument. They have the 3rd best defense in the NFL, and they should have a puncher's chance at home versus the Ravens today. Baltimore has been piling up the wins, but they aren't always covering the spread. The Ravens are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. The Bills are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. The home team has won all six meetings between these teams dating back to 2006. Take BUF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-19 | Wisconsin +16.5 v. Ohio State | 21-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-07-19 | Virginia +29.5 v. Clemson | 17-62 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Virginia. The Clemson Tigers have taken advantage of a soft schedule, and even though they have won six straight by 20+ points, they are still ranked #3 behind the Buckeyes and Tigers. They barely escaped with a 21-20 win over North Carolina, and this will be just their second game against a Top 25 team. They beat Texas A&M by a score of 24-10 early in the season. Virginia has three losses, and they are getting almost as many points versus Clemson as the combined margin of defeat in all of their three losses (30). I like Virginia to make this game at least somewhat interesting, especially in the first half. Take UVA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-19 | Georgia +7.5 v. LSU | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UGA. There are plenty of reasons to like LSU in this game. They haven't really looked vulnerable since escaping with a 23-20 win over Auburn in a home game at the end of October. The Bulldogs handled Auburn a few weeks later, winning by a score of 21-14. We have already seen the likes of Alabama, Oregon and Oklahoma lose games they should have won. Even Ohio State has had some close calls, but the Tigers have really yet to have a bad game. To suggest it can't happen here in Atlanta would be tempting fate. The Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in their last nine neutral site games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 conference games. I will take the points. Take UGA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-19 | Charlotte v. NC-Wilmington +4 | 76-57 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNCW. The Seahawks are a tough nut to crack when they play at home. They have won four of five at home so far this year, and the one loss came against the mighty UNC Tar Heels. They host the Charlotte 49ers this afternoon, and Charlotte is 0-3 on the road so far. A look a little further back reveals that the 49ers are 15-36 ATS in their last 51 road games. They haven't been a strong play in the role of favorite, they 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five when asked to cover points on the road. Take UNCW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-19 | Baylor +9.5 v. Oklahoma | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Baylor Bears. The Bears took a 30-10 lead into the locker room at the half at home versus Oklahoma a few weeks ago. They completely fell apart, and were out-scored 24-0 in the second half. So what does that tell us about both these teams? It tells me that there is no way that one team should be asked to win by double digits here in the rematch. The Sooners have been playing with fire for weeks now, falling behind early in games and needing to mount miraculous comebacks to escape with the win. Three of their last four wins have come in games decided by four points or less. The Bears are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog. The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take BAYLOR. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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12-06-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +4.5 | 136-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Portland. The public is in love with the Lakers, and it's hard to blame them. They just keep winning (12 of their last 13) and they are coming off consecutive big wins at Denver and at Utah. Not all those games were blowouts though, recent wins over Memphis, New Orleans and Oklahoma City came by fewer than 4.5 points. They have had trouble in Portland over the years. The Lakers are 10-23 ATS in the last 33 meetings in Portland, and they are 20-45 ATS in the last 65 meetings. I'll take the home dog getting a handful of points. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-19 | Oregon +7 v. Utah | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oregon Ducks. Utah will be a heavy favorite in the PAC12 Title Game, and they are still alive in the playoff race. A win for the Ducks would only ensure that the BIG12 would slide into the last spot. People are down on the Ducks after suffering an upset loss on the road at Arizona State, but that was a far tougher game than a lot of people realize. I bet on the Sun Devils in that game, and here is what I said prior to kickoff: "The Oregon Ducks have their eye on a playoff spot, currently sitting 6th in the College Football Playoff Rankings. They need a bit of help to get in, so their destiny isn't necessarily in their own hands. They will hope that LSU defeats Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, and that Alabama struggles without Tua. Of course they still need to win their remaining two games, something that could be easy to lose sight of. Tonight's game at Arizona State could be trouble, as Herm Edwards team already has a pair of wins over ranked teams, and their last home game was a close loss to USC. The last time the Sun Devils played Oregon at home they won by a score of 35-37." The Ducks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. I'll take the points here. Take ORE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys +6.5 v. Bears | 24-31 | Loss | -102 | 104 h 54 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-05-19 | Wild v. Lightning -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-04-19 | Ohio State v. North Carolina -4 | 74-49 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the UNC Tar Heels. |
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12-02-19 | Bulls v. Kings -5 | 113-106 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings out-scored the Denver Nuggets 60-40 after halftime on Saturday, winning in overtime by a score of 100-97. They look to bring that momentum into tonight's home game against the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are 3-7 on the road, and they have failed to cover in four straight against the Kings. The Bulls are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in Sacramento. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. Take SAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-19 | Patriots v. Texans +3.5 | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 69 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Texas. |
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12-01-19 | Jets v. Bengals +3.5 | 6-22 | Win | 100 | 41 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals are the only remaining NFL team that hasn't won a game this season, and they have a pretty good shot of getting their first W today at home. The Jets are in town, and they are coming off a blowout win over the Raiders. This is a huge let down spot for a team that has lost four of five on the road. The Jets are asked to cover a handful of points here, and I think they have become overrated. The Bengals are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games in December, and today we will see the return of the Red Rifle. My money is on the home dog. Take CIN. GL. Jesse Schule |
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12-01-19 | 49ers +6 v. Ravens | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 41 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the SF 49ERS. As much as I have a ton of respect for the Ravens and Lamar Jackson, I think it's clear that they have become a prohibitive favorite. The hype train has arrived at the station in Baltimore, and the fans and the media are ready to hand Lamar Jackson the MVP before Christmas. Meanwhile, the 49ers have a better record, and a better defense. The Ravens are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games, and I think this line is way out of whack. This game should be closer to a pickem. I'll take the points. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-19 | Alabama v. Auburn +4 | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 54 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Auburn Tigers.
Alabama comes into this year's Iron Bowl as the road favorite, and they look as vulnerable as they ever have. Sure the Crimson Tide have won seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, but since 2012 the home team has won outright in six of seven meetings. The Tigers are perhaps the most underrated team in the country, as the 5th best team in the SEC. They have one of the best defenses in the country allowing only 16 points per game despite such a challenging schedule. Alabama has failed to cover in five of their last seven at Auburn, and without Tua I don't think they should be a favorite here. Take AUB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-19 | Washington State +7.5 v. Washington | 13-31 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington State Cougars. The Huskies have had the better of this rivalry over the past decade, but they come into this year's annual Apple Cup as losers of four of their last six overall. It's a bitter disappointment for a team that was favored to win the PAC12 before the season started. Beating the Cougars here at home isn't going to change anything for Washington, this season will go into the books as a failure. The Cougars on the other hand have won back to back games, scoring over 100 points in the process. Their last two losses came by a combined nine points at Oregon and California. The Huskies are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 conference games, and this line looks a little inflated to me. Take WAZZU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-19 | Bills v. Cowboys -6 | 26-15 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. People have been asking all year... Are the Bills for real? Even after starting the season 3-0, nobody really believed in the Bills. It appeared that they proved their doubters wrong when they lost a close game to New England at the end of September. While they lost, they looked great defensively holding the Patriots to just 16 points, and limiting Tom Brady to just 150 passing yards. So does this mean that the Bills who are statistically one of the top defensive teams in the NFL are the real deal? Hell no! The Patriots are coming off back to back games failing to score 20 points in wins over Dallas and Philly. The Bills have been padding their stats against the league's weakest teams. When their wins include games against the Bengals, Giants, Redskins, Jets and Miami twice, it's hard to be a believer. They are on the road today against a legit contender with the NFL's leading passer under center, and an elite running back in the backfield. Dallas needs this win, and I don't think today will be a good day for Buffalo fans. Take Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-19 | Bears -4 v. Lions | 24-20 | Push | 0 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears. The Bears have been losing an awful lot of games lately, but you can't blame their defense. They are only allowing 17 points per game this season, only New England and San Francisco have allowed fewer. They come into Thanksgiving Day off three straight games allowing 14 points or less. One of those games was a home win over the Lions, and Mitch Tribisky actually played quite well in that game. Tribisky might not have to be great here today, as Detroit has been hit hard by injuries. It's not yet clear if backup quarterback Jeff Driskel will play hurt with an injured hamstring, or if third string quarterback David Blough will face the mighty Chicago defense. Either way, this game should be ugly, and I like the Bears to win a low scoring battle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-19 | Western Michigan -7.5 v. Northern Illinois | 14-17 | Loss | -117 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Western Michigan Broncos. The Northern Illinois Huskies might not have a lot to look foward to on Seniors Night. They host first place Western Michigan, and they will be without senior quarterback Ross Bowers who is still suffering from a concussion. His backup Marcus Childers was brutal in a 44-17 home loss to Eastern Michigan. He threw for just 99 yards with a TD and three INTs on 12-of-26 passing. A lot of teams respond well after a big home loss, but not the Huskies. Northern Illinois is 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home. Take WMU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-19 | Packers +3.5 v. 49ers | 8-37 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Green Bay Packers. The 49ERS unbeaten run came to an end at home in a 27-24 loss to Seattle two weeks ago. Russell Wilson outplayed Jimmy G in that game, and now the Niners must try to stop Aaron Rodgers and the 8-2 Geen Bay Packers. Rodgers is having himself another fine season, and he threw for 435 yards and two TDs in a 33-30 win over San Francisco last year. He played his college ball at the university of California, so these games in Santa Clara are like a home coming for Rodgers. The Packers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine meetings in San Francisco, and they are 11-5-2 ATS in the last 18 head to head meetings. Anytime you got the better QB and you're getting points, the odds are in your favor. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-19 | Cowboys +6 v. Patriots | Top | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Dallas Cowboys. During the Brady and Belichick era, no matter who the Patriots played on any given Sunday, they could always say they have the better quarterback. Now 10 games into the 2019 season, and it's a tough argument to make that Brady is better than Dak (currently). Even in a 28-24 loss to the Vikings, Prescott threw for 397 yards and three TDs. While Zeke has been underperforming, Prescott has been carrying the Cowboys. The Patriots on the other hand have had to lean on their defense, and Belichick's genius. The result has been an offense that is ranked 17th in the NFL in total yards. The Cowboys rank 1st overall in total yards. New England is tough to beat at home, but I think they are being asked to cover too many points here against a dangerous opponent. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-19 | Steelers v. Bengals +7 | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Steelers pulled off a shocking turnaround, winning four straight after starting the season 1-4. They suffered a heartbreaking loss in Cleveland last week, which likely put the playoffs out of reach. This sets them up for a massive let down here on the road as a big favorite against the winless Bengals. Cincinnati isn't just any winless team, this is the Steelers most hated rival. The Bengals will have all the motivation in the world to go for a W here at home. While Pittsburgh is the better team when healthy, they come into this week's game with a backup QB, missing their #1 WR, a key offensive lineman, and their leading rusher. I'll take the points. Take CIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-19 | Oregon v. Arizona State +14 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. The Oregon Ducks have their eye on a playoff spot, currently sitting 6th in the College Football Playoff Rankings. They need a bit of help to get in, so their destiny isn't necessarily in their own hands. They will hope that LSU defeats Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, and that Alabama struggles without Tua. Of course they still need to win their remaining two games, something that could be easy to lose sight of. Tonight's game at Arizona State could be trouble, as Herm Edwards team already has a pair of wins over ranked teams, and their last home game was a close loss to USC. The last time the Sun Devils played Oregon at home they won by a score of 35-37. Take ARZST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-19 | Texas +6 v. Baylor | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. The 9-1 Baylor Bears should be on top of the world here heading into this home game against Texas, but they way they lost last week is going to be tough to recover from. They were held scoreless in the second half in a 34-31 loss to Oklahoma. That was a game in which they led by 25 points. Now they host a hungry Texas team that has lost one possession games to the likes of #1 ranked LSU and #9 ranked Oklahoma. Asking the Bears to win this game is tough enough as it is, never mind asking them to cover a handful of points. I'll take Texas as a live dog. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-19 | Texas A&M +13.5 v. Georgia | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas A&M. The 9-1 Georgia Bulldogs know what it's going to take to get into the Playoffs. They will have to upset LSU in the SEC Championship Game. First though they will need to avoid any slip ups at the end of the regular season. They are a double digit favorite here at home against the Aggies, but I am not sure Georgia is 13 points better than Texas A&M. The Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games, while the Aggies are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 versus a team with a winning record. This looks like a game where the Bulldogs could get caught with their pants down. Take TAM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-19 | Chelsea +1.5 v. Manchester City | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Chelsea +1.5. Manchester City is coming off a devastating loss to Liverpool before the international break, a result that makes it highly unlikely that they will repeat as league champions. Chelsea now sits ahead of City in the Premier League table, and the Blues come into the Etihad as winners of seven straight league matches. Chelsea has all the momentum in their favor, while City is in a bad place at the moment. My money is on Chelsea to give the Citizen's all they can handle. Take CHE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-19 | Pelicans +6 v. Suns | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on New Orleans. |
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11-19-19 | Jets +1.5 v. Predators | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Winnipeg Jets. The Predators come into tonight's home game against Winnipeg as losers of four straight and six of their last seven overall. They lost 7-2 to Chicago on Saturday, and Pekka Rinne was pulled after allowing four goals on 14 shots. The Jets come into the Music City with a record of 6-1-1 in their last eight overall, and they will be a big underdog in tonight's game. The Jets have won four of the last five meetings, and the underdog has won six of the last seven meetings. Winnipeg has seen six of it's last eight overall decided by just one goal. Take WPG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAC. The Chargers will play Kansas City in Mexico City tonight, and they will be wary of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs high flying offense. Mahomes threw for 446 yards and three TDs in a loss at Tennessee last week, and the only way to stop him is to keep the ball out of his hands. This has been proven by the Colts, who ran for 180 yards in a 19-13 win over the Chiefs. The Texans ran for 192 yards in a win over the Chiefs a week later. Melvin Gordon is coming off back to back games with 20+ carries and 80+ yards, so the Chargers should be well equiped to put this plan into action. LA also boasts the #4 ranked pass defense in the NFL, allowing just over 200 yards per game. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-19 | Bears v. Rams -6 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the LA Rams. The Rams have struggled this season, but they have a home game against a Bears team that appears to have far bigger problems. As good as their defense is, they rank 30th in the NFL in passing averaging just over 180 yards per game, and their running game isn't a lot better. Chicago's leading rusher David Montgomery is listed as a game time decision with an ankle injury. If the Bears need Mitch Tribisky to do all the heavy lifting, they will likely be in trouble. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-19 | Seton Hall v. St. Louis +7 | 83-66 | Loss | -103 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Saint Louis Bilikens. I bet on the Bilikens early this week, and here is what I said prior to their win over Eastern Washington: "The Bilikens have won 17 of their last 19 home games, and they are coming off double digit wins over Valparaiso and FGSU. They have gotten off to good starts in both those games, leading by 22 at halftime against FGSU and leading by 11 at halftime in their win over the Crusaders." They are getting points here at home versus Seton Hall, and I wouldn't be surprised if they win this game outright. Take SLU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-19 | Bills -6 v. Dolphins | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 154 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders. Oakland is coming off back to back wins, and a home game against the lowly Bengals looks like a potential for a blowout. Cincinnati ranks dead last in the NFL in total defense, allowing 429 yards per game. They are particularly bad against the run, allowing opponents to average more than 170 rushing yards per game. The Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-19 | Marquette +1 v. Wisconsin | 61-77 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-16-19 | USC v. Nevada +2.5 | 76-66 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. Nevada lost it's home opener to Utah, but has since won back to back games. They are hosting another PAC12 team tonight, and this time they will be an underdog versus USC. The Wolpack have four seniors in their starting lineup, and they should have an edge here at home against a USC team that is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. The Wolf Pack are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven versus PAC12 teams, and they are 40-19-3 ATS in their last 62 games following an ATS win. Take NEV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-19 | Pelicans v. Heat -7 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. |
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11-16-19 | NC-Wilmington +17.5 v. Davidson | 49-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNCW. The Seahawks are 2-1, and they lost by 16-points to #9 ranked North Carolina. They will be a huge underdog here at Davidson, and I don't see any reason why the Wildcats should lay a bigger beating on them than the Tar Heels did. The Wildcats beat the Seahawks 91-85 last year, and they have won all five meetings since 2011. They are a bigger favorite in this game than they were in any of those previous five games. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. Take UNCW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-19 | Tennessee v. Washington +1.5 | 75-62 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Huskies. The Huskies opened the season with an impressive win over #16 ranked Baylor in Alaska. They will be in Toronto on Saturday, taking on unranked Tennessee. Both teams are a little younger this year, but Vols coach Rick Barnes seems to think his team has a long way to go: "We felt going into this year, knowing we had these younger guys, that we had to challenge them as much as we could with this schedule," said Barnes. "Even if you get burnt somewhere along the way, you have to know that it will help us in the long run." The Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games, and they have failed to cover in four straight non-conference games. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-19 | Georgia v. Auburn +3 | 21-14 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Auburn Tigers. The Georgia Bulldogs are now sitting #4 overall in the College Football Playoff Rankings. They come into this road game at Auburn with an 8-1 record, and they are the favorite over the 7-2 Tigers. Auburn lost by just three points against #1 ranked LSU, and they lost on the road at Florida. The Tigers have had an extra week to prepare for this matchup, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a bye week. The Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. I'll take the points in a game where I think the wrong team is favored. Take AUB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-19 | Navy v. Notre Dame -7 | 20-52 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish. I have a ton of respect for the Navy Midshipmen, and I have never been a fan of the Irish and their soft schedule as an independent school. As much as I normally like to bet against Notre Dame, I can't deny that the gap in talent here is just too large to consider the underdog getting just single digits. This looks like it should be a comfortable double digit win for the home team. The Midshipmen are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 versus a team with a winning record. The Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games. The play is on ND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-19 | Steelers +3 v. Browns | 7-21 | Loss | -113 | 44 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers have completely flipped the script after losing four of their first five games. They have since won four straight, and they have a real shot to make the playoffs. The Browns are a team looking to turn their season around, and last week's home win over Buffalo was perhaps a step in the right direction. The pessimist might see the glass half full though, and while they beat the Bills they were not all that impressive in doing so. They trailed 16-12 with less than two minutes to play, but Mayfield was able to score on a game winning drive with just 1:44 left on the clock. The Steelers have been in every game they have played since being blown out in New England in Week 1. They lost by two points to the Seahawks, by points to the 49ers and by three points against the Ravens. Those teams have a combined record of 22-5, so it seems rather generous that they are getting three points here against a team that is 3-6. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-19 | Clippers -1 v. Pelicans | 127-132 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a Free NBA play on the LAC. |
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11-13-19 | Eastern Washington v. St. Louis -7.5 | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Saint Louis Bilikens. The Bilikens have won 17 of their last 19 home games, and they are coming off double digit wins over Valparaiso and FGSU. They have gotten off to good starts in both those games, leading by 22 at halftime against FGSU and leading by 11 at halftime in their win over the Crusaders. They host the Eastern Washington Eagles tonight, and the Eagles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. The Eagles are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Billikens are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. This Saint Louis team is excellent defensively, and a home game against a team from an inferior conference should be an easy double digit win. Take SLU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-19 | Clippers v. Rockets | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Clippers. Both the Clippers and the Rockets are 7-3 overall, and the two team meet in Houston tonight. While these teams have the same record, the number that really matters is the number of games that the Clippers have won when Kawhi Leonard has played. They are 7-0 when he plays, and 0-3 when he doesn't. You better believe he's playing tonight, and that's bad news for James Harden and the Rockets. Houston is the highest scoring team in the NBA averaging over 120 points per game. What has been problematic for the Rockets is that they have allowed opponents to average over 118 points per game. The Clippers have owned the Rockets, covering the spread in six of the last eight meetings. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five in Houston. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-19 | LSU +6.5 v. Alabama | 46-41 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on LSU. The Alabama Crimson Tide haven't been tested yet, but they also haven't played anybody currently ranked in the Top 25. LSU on the other hand comes in battle tested, with a pair of wins over Top 10 teams (Florida and Auburn). The Tigers will be looking to avenge a 29-0 loss to Alabama last year, and they do have history on their side. The Tigers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Alabama, and the Crimson Tide are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record. The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings. Take LSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-19 | Heat v. Nuggets -4.5 | 89-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Miami Heat come into Denver with a 5-1 record, sitting first in the Eastern Conference. They might be playing a little over their heads though, and it's important to point out that two of their five wins have come against the Atlanta Hawks. This is a tough spot for an Eastern Conference team, playing on the road at altitude in Denver. A lot of people might not realize that Denver had the best home record in the NBA last season, going 34-7 at the Pepsi Center. Denver has won four of the last five head to head meetings, and the Heat are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Denver. The Heat are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine versus the NBA Northwest. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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11-04-19 | Blazers -9.5 v. Warriors | 118-127 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +9 | Top | 37-18 | Loss | -130 | 193 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the NYG. The Cowboys will be a huge road favorite in New York on Monday night, despite the fact that Dallas has lost three of it's last four overall. The Giants are just 2-6, but they have improved tremendously since Daniel Jones took over at QB. They are coming off four straight losses after Jones won his first two starts, but both of their last two losses came in games decided by less than seven points. Saquon Barkley was injured for two of the last four losses, but perhaps for the first time Jones will have his star running back at full strength. The Cowboys have lost two of three road games including a loss in New York to the Jets. They have no business being favored by more than a TD here. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-19 | Jazz v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
10* |
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11-03-19 | Browns +1.5 v. Broncos | 19-24 | Loss | -115 | 137 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. Everyone is talking about how bad Baker Mayfield is, and how bad the Cleveland Browns are. What people aren't talking about, is who they have played the last three weeks. Their last three losses have come to Seattle, San Francisco and New England. Those three teams have a combined record of 22-2. When you look at the Browns schedule, it's no wonder Baker Mayfield has such poor numbers. They really need a win here in Denver this week, and the Broncos appear to be tanking. Joe Flacco is out for the year and will be replaced by a third stringer Brandon Allen who has no starting experience. This should be the beggining of Baker Mayfield's redemption tour. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-19 | Texans v. Jaguars +3 | 26-3 | Loss | -125 | 156 h 25 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-02-19 | Utah v. Washington +3.5 | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Washington. It shocks me to see the Huskies getting points at home to Utah. Sure the Utes are ranked in the Top 10, and Washington is unranked. Sure the Utes have a better record. But let's really look at what separates these two teams. Five of Utah's seven wins have come at home, and the one time they played a competitive team on the road they lost at USC. They don't have any wins over teams currently ranked in the Top 25. The Huskies have two losses, one in a weather delayed game versus California, and a close loss to the #7 ranked Oregon Ducks. Washington is 6-1 straight up in the last seven meetings between these teams, and I'll take the points with the Huskies as a home dog. Take WASH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-19 | Georgia v. Florida +6 | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Florida Gators. |
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10-29-19 | Nationals +1.5 v. Astros | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Washington +1.5. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Astros lost Game 1 as the big home favorite, and they are still heavily favored in Game 2. I like Washington's chances of at least keeping this game close. Stephen Strasburg will toe the slab for the Nats, and he's 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA in four post-season starts. The Nationals won all four of those games. The Astros hand the ball to Justin Verlander, who has been far from perfect in the playoffs. He's allowed a total of 10 runs while going winless in his last three starts. The Nats have a far better team batting average versus Verlander than the Astros do against Strasburg." The same matchup in Game 6 and I see it the same way. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-19 | Dolphins +15 v. Steelers | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-28-19 | Magic v. Raptors -4.5 | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in tonight's game in Chicago with both teams playing the second game of a back to back. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-19 | Packers -5 v. Chiefs | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Green Bay Packers. The Chiefs came into last week's game in Denver off back to back losses, and then they lost starting quarterback Patrick Mahomes to a serious knee injury. The fact that they won in a blowout with third string quarterback Matt Moore says a lot more about how bad Denver is rather than giving any indication that the Chiefs are in good shape in the absence of Mahomes. The Packers have won three straight, and that includes a double digit road win over Dallas. Aaron Rodgers lit up Oakland last week, throwing for 429 yards and five TDs. He's going up against a Chiefs defense that has allowed opponents to score 25+ points four times in seven games so far. The Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-19 | Raiders +7 v. Texans | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders. The Raiders came into Green Bay as a big underdog, and just before halftime they were just a yard away from a go ahead touchdown. Instead Derek Carr fumbled the ball into the endzone, and Aaron Rodgers came back and drove the length of the field to put Green Bay ahead by double digits. The 14 point swing was just too difficult to overcome, as Rodgers simply couldn't be stopped. Here in Houston today they are getting seven points, and I expect them to have a chance to win this game outright. As well as Deshaun Watson has played, Houston has given up a ton of points. The total for this game is one of the highest on the board, and in a projected shootout it might be the last score that wins. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-19 | Astros v. Nationals +1.5 | 8-1 | Loss | -165 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Washington Nationals. The Astros are back in the series after winning Game 3, but I still like the Nationals as the home underdog in Game 4. Patrick Corbin will toe the slab for Washington. "These are games I want to pitch in," Corbin said. "I'm really looking forward to the opportunity to go out there and help us win a ball game. This is what you prepare for all offseason, to pitch in these games and just to have the opportunity to go out there, give it my best." He was 8-2 with a 2.40 ERA at home in Washington during the regular season. The Astros will turn to their bullpen, and 24 year old Jose Urquidy will throw the first pitch. The right-hander has allowed a run on six hits and a couple walks in 4 1/3 innings this post-season. Adam Eaton is batting .500 in the series, and he's 2-for-2 with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Roberto Osuna. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-19 | Pelicans +11.5 v. Rockets | 123-126 | Win | 100 | 30 h 51 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-26-19 | Notre Dame v. Michigan +1 | Top | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
This is a10* play on the Michigan Wolverines. A lot of the Television talk show hosts will tell you that Jim Harbaugh doesn't win the big games (Colin Cowherd), but I don't think Harbaugh gets enough credit for the games he has won at Michigan. Tonight is a big game for Harbaugh, with a chance to beat a Top 10 team at home in Ann Arbor. Now I am not a big fan of the Notre Dame Irish, and their winning records against inferior opponents. The knock on Notre Dame is the same every year ... they just don't play anybody. They've faced one team currently ranked in the Top 25, and they lost 23-17 to Georgia. Now you could call that a "good loss", but unless you have a handful of "good wins" to go a long with it, then it doesn't impress me. This game also has revenge written all over it, after the Irish beat Michigan in the season opener 24-17 last year. The home team is 8-1 straight up in the last nine head to head meetings, and that trend should continue tonight. Take MICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-25-19 | Astros v. Nationals +1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -138 | 31 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Nationals. Washington has been the better team throughout the playoffs, getting clutch hits and excellent starting pitching since day 1. The Astros are still considered the favorite after losing the first two games at home, but my money is on the Nats once again. Anibal Sanchez will toe the slab for Washington, and while he doesn't have the same star power as names like Verlander and Greinke, he's been the more dominant pitcher in these playoffs. He came one inning away from a no-hitter in Game 1 of the NLCS versus St. Louis. The Astros hand the ball to Zack Greinke, who just hasn't been all that sharp in the playoffs. He's given up 10 runs on 15 hits in three appearances, without recording a win. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-19 | Wizards v. Mavs -8.5 | 100-108 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-23-19 | Nationals +1.5 v. Astros | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-22-19 | Lakers v. Clippers +3.5 | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Clippers. The Clippers were a playoff team last year and the Lakers were not. The Lakers are expected to be dramatically better with Anthony Davis, and so are the Clippers with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. The Lakers though are old, I don't like their depth, and I think it's inevitable that LeBron loses a step. The Clippers are shorthanded without Paul George, but the Lakers won't have Kyle Kuzma. Anthony Davis isn't 100 percent either, and I think this Lakers team is going to really struggle to live up to all the hype. My money is on Kawhi to become the NEW .. King of LA. Take KAWHI over LEBRON. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-19 | Nationals +1.5 v. Astros | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Nationals +1.5. The Nats are the surprise team in the World Series, facing an Astros team that was favored to win it all since the beginning of the season. In a battle of aces, and with Washington having the hotter bats, the underdog looks like the play here. Gerrit Cole will toe the slab for Houston, and he's been untouchable in the post-season. He will face a Washington lineup that has had some success against him in the past. The Nats have been the highest scoring team in the playoffs, hitting for the highest average. Anthony Rendon is batting .385 lifetime versus Cole (13 at bats) and he comes into the World Series with the highest post-season batting average (.375) of any of the active players. The Nats hand the ball to Max Scherzer, who is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in the playoffs. He tossed seven scoreless innings, striking out 11 in his last start. Scherzer averaged nine strikeouts per start in the regular season. Jose Altuve is 2-for-11 lifetime versus Scherzer. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-19 | Pelicans v. Raptors -6.5 | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in a home opener against the short-handed Pelicans. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-19 | Patriots v. Jets +11.5 | 33-0 | Loss | -135 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NYJ. You look at the New England Patriots, and they look unbeatable. They have cruised to a 6-0 record, and they boast the leagues top rated defense. Remember though that just a few weeks ago they really struggled in a game on the road in Buffalo. That was against the same Bills team that played a game decided by a single point here in New York versus the Jets. This Jets team is just 1-4, but three of their losses came without starting quarterback Sam Darnold. Last week's win over the Cowboys brings new found confidence and should be a spark. While New England is without a doubt the better team, absolutely capable of blowing out the Jets (as they did earlier this year), in this spot I'll take the points. Take NYJ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-19 | Eagles +3 v. Cowboys | 10-37 | Loss | -125 | 40 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Philly. The Cowboys are a hot mess at the moment, and Jason Garrett is on borrowed time. Rumors had him being canned mid-week, and surely he's gone if they lose here on Sunday night. Dak Prescott might want to reconsider the multi-million dollar contract offer he turned down in the off-season, as he's been terrible lately. It won't get any easier this week as his receiving corpse is banged up. The Eagles are a team with one glaring weakness, but Dallas might not be in a position to take advantage of a struggling Philly secondary. The Cowboys might have trouble running on this stout defensive line, and if Zeke doesn't get going it will be a disaster for Dallas. I'll take Philly plus the points. Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-19 | Cardinals v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 27-21 | Loss | -143 | 179 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the #NYG. The Giants are just 2-4, but they still have a shot in the NFC East, with Dallas and Philly sitting at just 3-3. The Cardinals on the other hand aren't going anywhere, with a stranglehold on last place on the NFC West. Both Daniel Jones and Kyler Murray have given their teams reason to be optimistic about the future, but Jones has showed the world why he was drafted 6th overall in the first round, and he's been more consistent than Murray. When you consider what he's had to work with, his performance is even more impressive. This week he's going to have Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram back. He's going up against an Arizona defense that ranks 30th in the NFL against the pass. While the Giants defense is stastically just as bad, they have played tougher opposition, and they have scored significantly more points of their own. This is a tough spot for an NFC West team traveling to the East Coast for an early game. All signs point to a blowout win for the Giants. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-19 | Raiders +7 v. Packers | 24-42 | Loss | -110 | 135 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oakland Raiders. Oakland is flying high after a dominant win over the Chicago Bears in London, and coming off a bye week they should be ready to put up one hell of a fight in Green Bay. The Packers were very lucky to win a MNF game against the Lions, and they come limping into this Sunday's game on short rest with a ton of injuries. Devante Adams is out, and both Geronimo Allison and Valdez-Scantling are questionable. The Raiders might now fancy themselves as a contender in the AFC West, now that first place Kansas City is going to be without Patrick Mahomes for the next several weeks. Oakland is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a bye week. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-19 | Michigan v. Penn State -7.5 | 21-28 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Penn State. The Wolverines have bounced back from a devestating loss to Wisconsin, by winning three in a row including a 10-3 home win over Iowa. There is little reason to expect a better result than the game against Wisonsin, as the Wolverines have a terrible record against BIG10 rivals under Jim Harbaugh. The Nittany Lions come in ranked 7th, and Harbaugh is 1-10 against teams ranked in the Top 10. The home team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven head to head meetings, and the Wolverines have failed to cover in four of their last five at Happy Valley. Take PSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-19 | Cardinals +1.5 v. Nationals | 1-8 | Loss | -185 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the St. Louis Cardinals +1.5. So far runs have been hard to come by in the NLCS, with Washington winning 2-0 in Game 1 and 3-1 in Game 2. All signs point to another pitcher's duel here in Game 3, but I like St. Louis to break out offensively. This is the same team that scored 10 runs in the first inning in Game 5 in Atlanta, which was the last time Jack Flaherty pitched. The 23 year old was 7-2 with an ERA under 1.00 in his final 15 starts of the regular season. Stephen Strasburg will go for for the Nats, and he's been great as well. He was bailed out by the bats though in Game 5 in LA, after giving up three runs in the first two innings. The Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Take STL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-19 | Yankees +1.5 v. Astros | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-12-19 | Florida State +26 v. Clemson | 14-45 | Loss | -109 | 121 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Florida State Seminoles. The season started poorly for the Seminoles, but things are on the up and up in Tallahassee. FSU has won back to back games, and they have a new starting QB under center. Alex Hornibrook is an experienced starter, playing three seasons at Wisconsin. In his first season with the Badgers he had four starts against teams ranked in the Top 10. He was 2-2 in those games, losing in overtime to #2 ranked Ohio State and losing by a TD to #4 ranked Michigan. The Tigers are asked to win this game by a whopping 4 TDs, which might be tough given the play of Trevor Lawrence. The Sophomore jinx has hit him hard, and he's been a major disappointment this season. Clemson was an 18-point favorite against the Seminoles last year, and that was the biggest number we had seen in the previous 10 head to head meetings. This has all the markings of an inflated point spread. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas +11 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 81 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. There are few things that are certain in life. There is death, taxes ... and Texas will give Oklahoma a run for it's money in the Red River Rivalry game. This line opened at 3.5 in the futures market, and despite the fact that Texas is 4-1 with a 7-point loss to LSU, the line has moved as high as double digits. Oklahoma appears to be the better team through the first six weeks of the season, which is nothing new in recent seasons. History doesn't bode well for those who lay double digits with the Sooners though. Oklahoma has failed to cover in six of the last seven meetings, and the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Texas has won outright three times during that span. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-11-19 | Nationals +1.5 v. Cardinals | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Washington Nationals. The Nats will be the underdog in Game 1 at St. Louis, but I like their chances of pulling off an upset. Anibal Sanchez will toe the slab for Washington, and he was sharp in his start in the Division Series. He went five innings, allowing one run on four hits and striking out nine. The Cardinals hand the ball to Miles Mikolas, who was also sharp in his start against the Braves. He hasn't had much success against Washington though. The Nats are batting .367 over a combined 90 at bats versus Mikolas. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-19 | Nationals +1.5 v. Dodgers | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Nationals. The Dodgers have a history of choking in the playoffs, and they are on the verge of another bitter disappointment. I have to take the Nationals as the underdog in game that I just can't see the Dodgers being favored to win, let alone cover a point spread. Walker Buehler was lights out in Game 1, but I can't bet on a 25 year old with very little playoff experience to outduel a veteran like Stephen Strasburg. Strasburg in the playoffs so far has pitched nine innings in two appearances, allowing a run on five hits with 14 strikeouts. The Dodgers lineup has hit just .194 over 155 at bats versus Strasburg. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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