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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-05-19 | Northern Illinois v. Ohio -3 | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ohio Bobcats. Ohio is 7-0 at home so far, and the Bobcats have won four straight head to head meetings versus Northern Illinois. They have won all three home games during that span by a double-digit margin. The Huskies have lost four of their five road games so far, and they have allowed opponents to average over 81 points in those games. The Bobcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven versus MAC teams. This Northern Illinois team finished dead last in the MAC last year, and they were 1-13 on the road. They should be a far bigger underdog here in Ohio. Take OHIO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-19 | Maryland -3.5 v. Rutgers | 77-63 | Win | 100 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Maryland Terrapins. Rutgers has come crashing back to reality after an encouraging start. The Scarlet Knights won five of their first six games, and then they faced tough opponents from the BIG10. What followed was consecutive losses to Michigan State and Wisconsin. They host Maryland today, a team that they have lost six straight to, only covering the spread twice in those games. The Terrapins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, while the Scarlet Knights are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. I'll take the road favorite here to win outright. Take MD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-19 | Thunder v. Blazers +1 | 111-109 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Blazers. After watching Russell Westbrook shoot 3-for-20 from the field, and still celebrate by doing an "air guitar solo" for Lance Stephenson in a win over the Lakers, I can't help but think the Thunder are due for a let down. They will play at Portland tonight, where the Blazers are 14-6. Portland has owned the Thunder, winning the last six head to head meetings and covering the spread in all six of those games. Coming off a possible night out in LA after the win over the Lakers, you might expect Russ and PG to be a little hung over (maybe a metaphor, maybe not). The Thunder are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 versus the NBA Northwest, and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six visits to Portland. I'll take the home team as a pickem all day long. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-19 | St. Mary's v. San Francisco -2.5 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Dons. The Dons are off to a great start, coming into tonight's home game with a 12-2 overall record. They are 8-0 at home, and they won their last home game versus St. Mary's by a score of 70-63. The Gaels are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games versus teams with a winning home record. They have covered only once in their last seven games against teams from the WCC. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and that's a trend that I expect to hold true here tonight. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-18 | Colts -2.5 v. Titans | Top | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 102 h 43 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Indianapolis Colts. The Titans may have won four straight, but those wins came against the Jets, Jags, Giants and Redskins. Not only have they built their winning streak against some of the weaker teams in the NFL, many of those wins were far from impressive. They trailed at home against the Redskins last week, and they were losing 16-6 at the half in a home win over the Jets a few weeks ago. The Colts have won eight of their last nine overall, including a 38-10 win over Tennessee. They led 24-3 at halftime in that game, and Andrew Luck threw for 297 yards and three TDs on 23-of-29 passing. The Colts last road game was a 24-21 win over the Texans in Houston, and they led 17-7 at the half in that game. If Marcus Mariota is healthy enough to start this game, he might not finish it. The Titans leading receiver Corey Davis is also banged up, and keeping up with Andrew Luck is going to be a tough ask for Tennessee. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-18 | Bears v. Vikings -3.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -115 | 98 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings. I took Minnesota +3.5 when they lost 25-20 at Chicago a few weeks ago. A missed two-point conversion at the end of the game cost me the cover. Here is what I said before kickoff: "The Bears have looked really good this season, coming into this weekend's home game against the Vikings with a 6-3 record, sitting first in the NFC North. The Vikings are hot on their heels, and at 5-3-1 they have navigated a much tougher schedule. Two of those three losses came against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the league (Saints and Rams). Coming off a bye week, Minnesota is as healthy as it has been all year. Dalvin Cook is back, and he had over 100 yards from scrimmage in the win over Detroit. Minnesota has had success on the road, they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The most significant number to me is ZERO! That's the number of wins Chicago has versus teams with a winning record this season. The Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 versus teams with a winning record." The Bears have since won four of five games, including road wins at Detroit and San Francisco. This will be the Bears first road game against a team with a winning record. They have lost at Miami and at New York (Giants). It's hard to beat a team twice, and that is going to be especially true given what's at stake for the Vikings here. Take MINNY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-18 | Spurs v. Clippers -3.5 | Top | 122-111 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Clippers. The Spurs were blown out in the first half in Denver last night, and while they rallied to make it close in the fourth quarter, they ultimately came up short. That is nothing new for San Antonio, a team that has been terrible on the road this season. The Spurs are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 road games, and they are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing the second game of a back to back. While both teams played last night, the Clippers don't have to travel after beating the Lakers at the Staples Center. LA is one of the hottest teams in the league, winning four of their last five overall and ranking 3rd in the NBA in points scored. The Clippers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight when playing on back to back nights. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-18 | Canucks +1.5 v. Flames | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vancouver Canucks. The Canucks are one of the hottest teams in hockey right now, coming into Calgary as winners of seven of their last 10 overall. They have just one loss by more than one goal in their last 10 games. This is a Vancouver team that lost 10 of 11 games in the final three weeks of November. Star forward Brock Boeser sat out almost the entire month of November with an injury. He's back, and he has seven goals in 12 games so far in December. The Flames come in off a 4-1 win at Winnipeg, but had lost three straight prior to that. I like Vancouver to give the Flames a run for their money tonight. Take VAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-18 | St. John's v. Seton Hall -3.5 | 74-76 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Seton Hall Pirates. The 12-0 St. John's Red Storm haven't yet faced any tough opponents, but playing on the road at the Prudential Center will allow us to find out just how good this team really is. The Pirates are 9-3 overall and just 4-2 at home, but they have had a far tougher schedule than St. John's. High profile wins have come against the likes of Kentucky and Miami, while high profile losses came against the likes of Louisville and Nebraska. Home court has been key in this series, and the home team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings. The Pirates have won four of the last five head to head meetings, and they are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall. Take HALL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-18 | Oklahoma v. Alabama -13.5 | 34-45 | Loss | -115 | 601 h 38 m | Show | |
The Alabama Crimson Tide haven't given us any reason to doubt them, winning all 13 games by an average margin of over 30 points. The only game that they didn't win by double digits was the SEC Championship Game versus Georgia. The Sooners are a sexy pick with a lot of bettors, especially those who are impressed with high scoring, high flying offenses. This is a team that has given up a ton of points though, and won a lot of games that could have gone the other way. Wins over Army, West Virginia and Oklahoma State came by a combined 11 points, and they lost a close game at Texas. They come in allowing an average of more than 32 points per game, more than double what Alabama has allowed this season. They haven't been cashing many tickets for bettors, failing to cover in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record, and they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games. Take BAMA. GL,Â
Jesse Schule. |
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12-29-18 | Notre Dame v. Clemson -11 | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 597 h 37 m | Show | |
Notre Dame didn't lose a game this season, so it's tough to say they don't deserve to be in the playoffs. The fact is that they would be an underdog in a neutral site game against a handful of teams that didn't make the playoffs. Teams such as Ohio State and Georgia. This is a prime example of why many people think the current playoff format needs to be expanded to eight teams rather than four. Clemson is a big favorite in this Semifinal, and they are by far the better team. While the Irish barely escaped with wins over Vanderbilt, Pittsburgh and USC, the Tigers were beating inferior opponents by 30+ points. The last time the Irish played for a National Championship they trailed 28-0 at halftime in a 42-14 loss to Alabama in 2013. I expect a similar result here against a Clemson team that has made the playoffs now four years in a row. Take CLEM. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-29-18 | Kentucky v. Louisville +1.5 | Top | 71-58 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Louisville. Kentucky is coming off an 80-72 win over North Carolina at the United Center, but I think this sets them up for a let down in their first true road game at Louisville. The Cardinals are 8-0 at home, and they are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Louisville has been impressive on defense holding opponents to just 61.2 points on 37.8 percent shooting in their last five games. The Cardinal beat Michigan State 82-78 at home earlier this season, and they won that game at the free throw line. They hit 30-of-41 attempts and hit six of eight attempts in the final 30 seconds of overtime. Home court has been key in this series, and I'll take Louisville as a home dog here today. Take LOU. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-29-18 | Florida +5.5 v. Michigan | 41-15 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Florida Gators. The Michigan Wolverines come into their bowl game off an embarrassing 62-39 loss to Ohio State. Injuries played a roll in that game, and the Wolverines will be missing several key players here in the CHIK-FIL-A Bowl. Junior defensive end Rashan Gary and junior linebacker Devin Bush have both declared for the draft and won't participate in the bowl game in order to prepare for the NFL. Michigan's leading rusher is also sitting out the bowl game, and that leaves them a little shorthanded against a competitve SEC team in Florida. The Gators won nine games this season, two of those wins came against ranked teams (LSU and Mississippi State). I'll take the points. Take FLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-18 | Clippers -5 v. Lakers | 118-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LAC. The Lakers were shorthanded last night when they lost a heartbreaker on the road at Sacramento. Not only is LeBron out with a groin injury, veteran PG Rajon Rondo is sidelined with a finger injury. The young Lakers play their second game in as many nights at the Staples Center against the Clippers. LA's other team has won 24 of the last 28 meetings versus the Lakers, and they have covered the spread in three of the last four meetings. The Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, and this looks like a good spot for the Clippers to take advantage of a young Lakers team without their veterans. Patrick Beverly owned his matchup versus Lonzo Ball last year, and that will be an interesting matchup here tonight. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-18 | Raptors -3.5 v. Heat | 106-104 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Heat have won five of six games since Goran Dragic last played. The veteran PG had a right knee scope last week, and there is no initial timetable for a return. While the Heat have played well at times, they have a losing record at home. They host the Toronto Raptors tonight, and the Raptors have the best record in the NBA. Toronto comes in with a 12-6 road record. While Kyle Lowry might not play tonight, the Raptors are expected to have Kahwi Leonard and Serge Ibaka back. Neither player was in the lineup when the Raptors lost at Philly before Christmas. Fred Van Fleet has been solid filling in for Kyle Lowry, in his last start he scored 14 points on 6-of-10 shooting with five rebounds and eight assists in a win at Cleveland. The road team has covered the spread in five of the last six head to head meetings, and I'll take the visitors as a small favorite. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-18 | Bears v. 49ers +4 | 14-9 | Loss | -105 | 138 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco 49ers. The Bears are the NFC North champs, and we have all seen the video of Chicago players celebrating post game in a disco themed nightclub following Sunday's win over Green Bay. This sets them up for the mother of all let down spots, traveling out West to take on the 49ERS. The Bears are just 3-3 on the road this season, and two of those three wins came in games decided by less than a touchdown. They won 16-14 at Arizona, and they lost at Miami and Green Bay. Their last road game was a 30-27 loss to the New York Giants. The 49ERS are coming off an impressive win over Seattle at home, giving them a 4-3 home record. Expect the Niners to give the Bears all they can handle here this week. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-18 | Bucs v. Cowboys -7 | 20-27 | Push | 0 | 135 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. I bet against the Cowboys last Sunday, and here is what I had to say before they got shutout by the Colts: "The Cowboys have won five straight, and people are calling them a Super Bowl contender. The Colts have won six of their last seven, and they aren't getting a whole lot of attention. So which one of these teams is for real? We'll find out on Sunday." While I was quick to point out that Dallas was overhyped, I am just as quick to jump back on the Boy's bandwagon when they return home to face a Tampa team that was eliminated from the post-season with a loss to Baltimore on Sunday. The Bucs rank 27th in the NFL versus the run, and Jameis Winston has thrown more INTs (10) than he has TD passes (8) on the road this season. I expect Zeke to run wild, and Famous Jameis to turn the ball over against this stingy Dallas D. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-18 | Ravens v. Chargers -4 | Top | 22-10 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LAC. I bet on the Chargers on TNF last week, and they pulled off an amazing comeback to beat the Chiefs. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Chargers defense has been solid all year, and they rank in the Top 10 in the league versus the pass, allowing just 225 yards per game. The Chargers have covered the spread in four straight road games, and the road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings" The Ravens played the Chiefs a week earlier, and they lost in overtime by a score of 27-24. Lamar Jackson played well in Kansas City, throwing for 147 yards and two TDs on 13-of-24 passing. He had thrown three picks and just one TD pass in his previous three starts, and he had a mediocre game against a terrible Tampa Bay team last week. I don't think this rookie can keep his team in the game against Phillip Rivers and a Chargers defense that ranks among the best in the NFL. A healthy Keenan Allen and Melvin Gordon will be a huge boost for the home team. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-18 | Raptors v. 76ers -4.5 | 101-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. This looks like a let down spot for the Raptors, who have already missed Kyle Lowry and Danny Green due to injuries. Playing on the road on the second leg of a back to back in Philly, Nick Nurse says he plans to rest Kawhi Leonard tonight. The Sixers are 15-3 at home, and Jimmy Butler is back from a groin injury. The home team has won four straight in this series, and I don't like the Raptors chances of breaking that trend here tonight as they appear to be severely shorthanded. Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-18 | North Carolina -3.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 72-80 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNC Tar Heels.
 Two of the top teams in the country will face off in Chicago on Saturday, and I like the ACC team here against the big dog from the SEC. Kentucky got crushed by Duke in their season opener, and has since lost to unranked Seton Hall. The Tar Heels last loss came on the road at #7 ranked Michigan, but two of their last three wins have come against ranked teams (UCLA and Gonzaga). Kentucky is 3-9-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings between the two teams. North Carolina has had little trouble with SEC teams, going 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 versus the SEC. The Tar Heels scored 103 points in a double digit win over #4 ranked Gonzaga last Saturday, and they beat #17 ranked UCLA by 16 points at the end of November. Senior guard Cameron Johnson has scored 45 points on 15-of-26 shooting in his last two starts, and I expect him to have a big game here against the Wildcats.  Take UNC.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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12-22-18 | Houston v. Army -3.5 | Top | 14-70 | Win | 100 | 115 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Army Black Knights. The Houston Cougars lost three of their final four games of the season, and they allowed a whopping 166 points in those three losses. They really missed defensive tackle Ed Oliver, who didn't play in four of the last five games. He's by far their best player on defense, and he's expected to garner plenty of interest in the upcoming NFL draft. Neither Oliver or starting QB Deriq King will play in the bowl game, as they prepare for the draft. Army comes in as winners of eight straight, their last loss was back in September falling 28-21 at Oklahoma. A win here would give Army 11 wins for the first time in team history, so you can expect the Black Knights to be by far the more motivated team. I like Army to win big here in Texas. Take ARMY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-18 | Texas Tech +10 v. Duke | Top | 58-69 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas Tech. The #2 ranked Blue Devils have only lost once this season (89-87 vs Gonzaga), and they played a close game in a 78-72 win over Auburn. They opened as a 7.5 point favorite for tonight's neutral site game versus Texas Tech and MSG, but they have since been bet up to a double digit favorite. The Red Raiders come undefeated at 10-0, and while they haven't played any ranked teams, they do have an experienced squad with two seniors in the starting five. Texas Tech made it to the Elite Eight in last year's NCAA Tournament, beating the likes of Purdue and Florida before losing to Villanova. The Red Raiders rank 1st nationally in opponent's scoring average as well as opponent's field goal percentage. They could make life tough for Duke's talented freshman. I'll take the points. Take TTU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers +7 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 126 h 57 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Panthers. Most people still consider the Saints to be the best team in the NFL, but if there is one weakness it is Drew Brees on the road. A week after losing to Dallas, the Saints put up just three poins in the first half at Tampa Bay. They went on to rally for a win and cover in the second half of that game, but tonight they face a different monster. Cam Newton and Riverboat Ron are still alive in the playoff hunt, and they won't be an easy out here at home in Carolina. Take CAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-18 | Bucks v. Pistons +4 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons are coming off a home win over the Celtics, snapping a six game losing streak. Detroit is still a solid 10-6 at home while Milwaukee is just .500 (6-6) on the road. The home team has won six straigh meetings straight up, and Detroit is 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Milwaukee. "We haven't done anything," Pistons coach Dwane Casey said during his postgame press conference. "We've got some momentum now but we still have a tough team coming in Monday night. It doesn't get any easier. I told the guys to enjoy it until midnight and think about the things we can do better." The Bucks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-18 | Eagles v. Rams -10.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -100 | 84 h 31 m | Show | |
 This is a 5* play on the LAR.  It might seem like the bookmakers are asking a lot, pegging the Rams as a double digit favorite over the defending Super Bowl champs? Even thought Carson Wentz has been ruled out with a bad back, his replacement is the Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles. While Foles led the Eagles all the way last year, he took over on a winning team with a stacked backfield and one of the league's top defenses. Injuries have hit the Eagles hard, both in the secondary as well as at the RB position. The Rams will look to make a statement here, as people are calling them a fraud after they lost to the Bears in Chicago. Jared Goff would love to bounce back with another one-sided victory at home. Goff has been a completely different quarterback at home than he has been on the road. He has 18 TDs and just 2 INTs on better than 70 percent passing in LA, and he has as many picks (9) as he has TDs on the road.  Take LAR.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-16-18 | Seahawks -4.5 v. 49ers | 23-26 | Loss | -104 | 98 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks are playing the 49ers for the second time in three weeks, and they won 43-16 at home in the last meeting. The 49ers are high on Nick Mullens, and he's certainly moved the ball throwing for almost 1500 yards and nine TDs in five starts. He's still a rookie though, and he's made his fair share of mistakes. He's thrown as many picks (6) as touchdowns in his last four starts. Given that the Niners have lost 10 straight to the Seahswks dating back to 2014, I don't expect much from Mullens here in this game. The Seahawks are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in San Francisco. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-18 | Gonzaga v. North Carolina -2 | 90-103 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the North Carolina Tar Heels. The public loves Gonzaga in this spot, they have a better record than the Tar Heels and the are ranked in the Top 5. If you look at their last two games (a loss to Tennessee and a 2-point win over the unranked Washington Huskies) they haven't looked like a team that should be expected to win at Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels are undefeated at home, and they have won 16 of their last 19 home games dating back to last year. That's pretty impressive when you consider they play the likes of Duke and Virginia. The Bulldogs haven't had a lot of success against ACC teams, failing to cover in six of their last seven. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-18 | Texans -6.5 v. Jets | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Houston Texans. |
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12-15-18 | Penn State v. NC State -3.5 | 78-89 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NC State Wolfpack. The Wolfpack come into Atlantic City with an 8-1 record, and their only loss came in a close game on the road at #22 ranked Wisconsin. Penn State has lost four of it's last seven overall, and they appear to be overmatched here against a competitive ACC team. These two teams have played three times since 2000, and the Wolfpack won and covered in all three meetings. Both these teams have been solid defensively, but while the Nittany Lions average just 69.6 points per game, the Wolfpack come in averaging over 88 points per game. They shoot the ball better from the field, from beyond the arc as well as the free throw line. They Wolfpack also appear to have the edge in rebounds per game. This looks like a mismatch. Take NCST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-18 | Purdue -4.5 v. Notre Dame | 80-88 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
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12-13-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 66 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Chargers. The Chiefs offense has been flying high all season, but they come into Thursday's home game against the Chargers a little banged up. They lost one of their most dangerous weapons when they released Kareem Hunt, and Spencer Ware has been pretty mediocre filling his place. Now they might not even have Ware or Sammy Watkins for this game, and if my memory serves me correctly I seem to recall Tyreek Hill limping off the field with a sprained ankle in overtime on Sunday. The Chargers defense has been solid all year, and they rank in the Top 10 in the league versus the pass, allowing just 225 yards per game. The Chargers have covered the spread in four straight road games, and the road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings. I think the home team is asked to cover a few too many points here and the line should be closer to a pickem. My money is on the visitors plus the 3.5. Take LAC. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-13-18 | Oilers +1.5 v. Jets | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Edmonton Oilers +1.5. Ken Hitchcock has certainly made his mark since taking over in Edmonton. The Oilers come into Winnipeg tonight as winners of seven of their last eight overall. The Jets are also playing well, winners of six of their last seven. These teams met in Edmonton earlier this season, and the Oilers won that game by a score of 5-4 in overtime. The Oilers are 6-4 straigh up in the last 10 meetings, but they are 8-2 on the puckline during that span. The Jets have been involved in some close games lately, with three of their last six wins coming by just one goal. Another close game is expected in tonigh's game. Take EDM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-18 | Raptors v. Warriors -6.5 | 113-93 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the GS Warriors. The Raptors needed overtime and 37 points from Kawhi Leonard to beat a banged up Warriors team at home at the end of November, and the media went nuts. All the talk in Toronto was that this was almost certainly a preview of the NBA Finals. Not so fast my friend! Steph Curry is back, and the Warriors have won four straight by double digits. That includes a 105-95 win over the Milwaukee Bucks in a very similar "Revenge Spot". This is the second game of a back to back for a Toronto team that hasn't played it's best basketball over the past few weeks. I like the Warriors to win big. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-18 | Jacksonville State v. Wichita State -8 | 65-69 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers. The Shockers have failed to impress so far this season, and they are coming off a devestating loss at Oklahoma. After losing 80-48 to the Sooners in Oklahoma City, they should be looking forward to a home game against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks. The Gamecocks lost their first three games of the season on the road, and two of those three losses came in games decided by 15 or more points. The Shockers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, while the Gamecocks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-18 | Denver v. Wyoming -7.5 | 90-87 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the Wyoming Cowboys.  The Cowboys are coming off an inspiring home win over the South Carolina Gamecocks, and they will be a sizeable favorite at home versus Denver tonight. The history between these two teams is pretty clear, as the home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings. All but one of those games was decided by a double a digit margin. Only once in the last eight head to head meetings did the home team fail to cover. Denver is 0-4 on the road, and hasn't covered the spread in any of it's last eight overall. Denver has also failed to cover in four straight trips to Laramie.  Take WYO.  GL,  Jesse SchuleÂ
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12-11-18 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Wild | 1-7 | Loss | -195 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Montreal Canadiens +1.5. Â The Habs are on a roll, coming into Minnesota as winners of three straight. The good news is that Carey Price is back playing like an MVP again. Price has won four of his last five starts, allowing two goals or less in four of those five games. Shea Weber is also back in the lineup, and he's scored three goals in five games in December. The goaltending matchup could be key here, and Minnesota's starter Devan Dubnyk has really struggled this season. Dubnyk has been lit up for 17 goals in his last five starts, and four of those games were losses. Â Take MTL. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule
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12-10-18 | Vikings +3.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 7-21 | Loss | -110 | 152 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOY play on the Vikings. |
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12-09-18 | Ravens v. Chiefs -7 | 24-27 | Loss | -106 | 157 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Kansas City Chiefs. |
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12-07-18 | Nevada -7.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack. Nevada is off to a hot start, coming into Friday's game versus Arizona State ranked sixth in the AP Poll. It's not just that the Wolfpack are 8-0, it's that all eight wins came by double-digits. Their closest game so far was a 96-86 win over Tulsa, in a game that they led by 11 at the half. The Sun Devils are also undefeated, and ranked in the Top 25. Their 7-0 start hasn't been quite as impressive, winning close games over teams like Utah State and Cal State Fullerton. They have only faced one ranked team, beating Mississippi State by a score of 72-67 in Las Vegas. Their last game was far from impressive, turning the ball over 19 times and shooting just 13-of-25 (52%) from the free throw line in a home win over Texas Southern. If they play like that here at the Staples Center, another double-digit win for Nevada will likely be the result. Take NEV. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-18 | Warriors +1 v. Bucks | 105-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the GS Warriors. Without Draymond Green and Steph Curry, the Warriors have had more than their share of losses this season. One of those losses came against the Bucks, and that sets up a revenge spot here in Milwaukee tonight. This time around it's the Bucks that may be shorthanded, potentially missing second leading scorer Kris Middleton (personal issues) and Ersan Ilyasova. While Draymond remains out with a toe injury, Curry is back and he cooked up 42 points in a win over the Cavs on Wednesday. Home court hasn't been much of an advantage in this series, with the road team covering in 20 of the last 27 meetings. The Warriors have won three of their last four at Milwaukee. Take GSW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-18 | Jaguars +5.5 v. Titans | 9-30 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Jags. There has been a lot of talk about the Titans run stuffing defense, but their 305 lb defensive tackle Jurrell Casey has been banged up. That might explain why they gave up 156 rushing yards against the Jets on Sunday, and a whopping 281 rushing yards in Houston in their previous game. Leonard Fournette has been a beast, running for 95 yards in each of his last two starts, despite the fact that the Jags lost both those games. With Cody Kessler at quarterback, we should see Fournette get plenty of touches tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-18 | Michigan -4.5 v. Northwestern | 62-60 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
5* |
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12-02-18 | Vikings v. Patriots -4 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Patriots. |
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12-01-18 | Georgia +14 v. Alabama | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 71 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UGA. |
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12-01-18 | Texas +7.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 27-39 | Loss | -110 | 132 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas. Â The Oklahoma Sooners are favored by more than a TD here against Texas (in Texas) against a Longhorns team that already beat them this season. The Sooners are a sexy pick this week nonetheless, as everyone expects Oklahoma to win, and most expect them to win big. I fail to see what makes Oklahoma significantly better than Texas. Is it the fact that the Sooners are 10-1 and Texas is 8-3? Well when I look at Texas losing at Oklahoma State by three points, and Oklahoma beating the Cowboys by just one point at home, that doesn't impress me much. The Longhorns lost by one at home versus West Virginia, and Oklahoma beat the Mountaineers by three in Morgantown. These results seem to indicate that there isn't a lot of separation between these teams, and another close game should be expected. These teams have a history of playing close games, with each of the last five head to head meetings decided by seven points or less. Â Take TEX. Â GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +7.5 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 91 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. Â I bet against the Saints (as crazy as that sounds) on Thanksgiving, and they crushed the Falcons by a score of 31-17. The final score doesn't paint an accurate picture though, as Atlanta actually had more yards (366-312) and more first downs (18-9). The fact of the matter is that Atlanta fumbled the ball three times, and if it wasn't for all the turnovers the game might have been a hell of a lot closer. Here is what I said about the Saints: "The Saints have won nine in a row, and they are ranked #1 overall in all of the NFL Power Rankings. They have won four in a row by a double digit margin, and right now they appear to be indestructible. As strange as it sounds, that's often when a team is at it's most vulnerable. They will be an enormous favorite at home versus the Falcons this week, in a rematch of a thrilling 43-37 barn burner in Atlanta earlier this year. Drew Brees tied the game with a last minute TD forcing overtime, and then he walked it off with a 1 yard rushing TD a few minutes into the overtime period." Now New Orleans is more than a TD favorite on the road? I'll fade the chalk on Thursday night! Â Take DAL. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-28-18 | Wizards v. Pelicans -6 | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans are 8-2 at home, and one of those two losses came in a game that Anthony Davis sat out. The haven't had a lot of success against the Wizards though, losing seven straight and 13 of the last 14 meetings. This isn't the same Wizards team though, as Washington is close to completely blowing things up and starting a rebuild. The Wizards are 2-7 on the road, and ranked 29th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Wizards are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 road games versus teams with a winning record. I like the home team in a revenge game, and I expect a big first half from the Pelicans. Take N.O. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Panthers | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 114 h 52 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-24-18 | Auburn +25.5 v. Alabama | 21-52 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on AUBURN. Alabama will host Auburn on Saturday, and the Crimson Tide are a 25.5 point favorite. Of course this game should be a blowout right? Well as Lee Corso might say ...Not so fast my friend! This is the Iron Bowl, and anything can happen. While Alabama has looked indestructible all year, they have looked a little more vulnerable the last few weeks. Tua Tagovailoa was a lock to win the Heisman a few weeks ago, but injuries have set him back the past few weeks. He threw for just 164 yards with a TD and an INT against Mississippi State, and he took way too many hits in that game. While the Tigers have struggled on offense, they have been every bit as good as Mississippi State and LSU on defense. Last year the Tigers won outright by a score of 26-14 as a home dog, and I wouldn't be surprised to see the home team win by a similar score here in this game. Alabama has failed to cover in five of it's last six as a home favorite. Seven of the last nine meetings in Tuscaloosa have gone under the total. Take AUB. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-23-18 | Oklahoma v. West Virginia +3.5 | 59-56 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Mountaineers. |
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11-22-18 | Falcons +13.5 v. Saints | 17-31 | Loss | -115 | 43 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Falcons. Â The Saints have won nine in a row, and they are ranked #1 overall in all of the NFL Power Rankings. They have won four in a row by a double digit margin, and right now they appear to be indestructible. As strange as it sounds, that's often when a team is at it's most vulnerable. They will be an enormous favorite at home versus the Falcons this week, in a rematch of a thrilling 43-37 barn burner in Atlanta earlier this year. Drew Brees tied the game with a last minute TD forcing overtime, and then he walked it off with a 1 yard rushing TD a few minutes into the overtime period. The Falcons were so close to winning that game, yet the bookmakers are saying that they can't even come within two TDs here in New Orleans. Atlanta is 4-6 overall, but only two of their six losses came by more than a TD. They lost on the final play against Dallas last week, lost by a single point to the Bengals, and lost by six in their season opener at Philly. I'll take the points here with an Atlanta team that is capable of keeping up in a high scoring game. Â Take ATL. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-22-18 | Redskins v. Cowboys -7 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 45 h 21 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys.  The Cowboys got their swagger back after beating the Eagles in Philly, and the Falcons in Atlanta. Now they are back home where they are 4-1 this season, hosting the Redskins and their backup quarterback. Colt McCoy was 6-of-12 for 54 yards in the loss to Houston last week, and he's making his first start since 2014. He's 32 years old, which is still young for a quarterback, but riding the pine for the last four years might make him a little rusty. He will be under heavy pressure, facing the Cowboys Top 10 ranked defense. The injury to Alex Smith isn't the only issue the Redskins have to deal with, they are also banged up on the offensive line, and thin at RB. With Chris Thompson out, they will lean heavily on a 33 year old Adrian Peterson who is bothered by a sore shoulder. Washington has been doing it with smoke and mirrors the last few weeks, and they are like a broken team being held together by duct tape. Things should begin to unravel here in Big D.  Take DAL.  GL,  Jesse Schule Â
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11-20-18 | Oilers +1.5 v. Sharks | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-18-18 | Vikings +3 v. Bears | Top | 20-25 | Loss | -122 | 154 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Bears have looked really good this season, coming into this weekend's home game against the Vikings with a 6-3 record, sitting first in the NFC North. The Vikings are hot on their heels, and at 5-3-1 they have navigated a much tougher schedule. Two of those three losses came against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the league (Saints and Rams). Coming off a bye week, Minnesota is as healthy as it has been all year. Dalvin Cook is back, and he had over 100 yards from scrimmage in the win over Detroit. Minnesota has had success on the road, they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The most significant number to me is ZERO! That's the number of wins Chicago has versus teams with a winning record this season. The Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 versus teams with a winning record. Take MIN. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-17-18 | UNLV v. Hawaii -6 | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Hawaii. The Warriors have lost four straight, but I expect them to "run and shoot" all over the Rebels at home tonight. UNLV is just 1-5 in the Mountain West, and they have been lit up for over 38 points per game. The Warriors have feasted on inferior teams, scoring 43 at Colorado State, and dropping 59 in their home opener versus Navy. Cole McDonald has completed 60Â percent of his passes for over 3000 yards and 32 TDs, with just six INTs. He ranks among the nation's leaders in passing, and he should pick apart a suspect Rebels defense. This game has "BLOWOUT" written all over it! Take HAW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-18 | Kings v. Predators -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 116 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Nashville Predators. Â The LA Kings are the worst team in the NHL this season, and it looks like it's time for a rebuild. Don't be fooled by their 2-1 win over Chicago in overtime last night, the Blackhawks are also one of the league's bottom feeders this season. LA will play on the road in the second game of a back to back against last year's President's Trophy winners tonight, and the Predators have the league's second best record so far this season. Pekka Rinne is 6-2-1 with a 1.53 GAA this season, and it's no surprise that his numbers are even better at home. The Predators have lost three straight on a recent road trip, and that should have them even more focused and hungry for tonight's game against a struggling Kings team. This one has "MASSACRE" written all over it. I'm taking the home favorite on the puckline. Â Take NAS. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-17-18 | Michigan State v. Nebraska +1.5 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 120 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Â It's been a difficult season for Scott Frost and the Cornhuskers, but they come into this Saturday's home game against Michigan State as winners of three of their last four. Even the one loss during that span was impressive, falling just short of an upset in Columbus in a 36-31 loss to the Buckeyes. The Spartans scored just six points in a home loss to Ohio State last week, and their offense is a mess. Brian Lewerke has thrown for more picks (9) than TDs (8) this season. Freshman QB Adrian Martinez has really come into his own in recent weeks, throwing for 9 TD and just two INTs in his last four starts. Nebraska is 7-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings between these two teams, winning the most recent contest by a score of 39-38. I'll take the home dog here. Â Take NEB. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-16-18 | Nets v. Wizards -7 | 115-104 | Loss | -102 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards. Â Washington couldn't do anything right at the beginning of the season, but the Wizards come into tonight's game as winners of three straight. They host Brooklyn, and the Nets first game since the Caris LaVert injury went as expected. They fell behind by 20 early in the first half, and went on to lose by a score of 120-113. History certainly favors the home team, the hosts have won the last four head to head meetings. The Nets are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Washington. The home team is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings. Nets are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Â Take WAS. Â GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-15-18 | Oregon -4 v. Iowa | 69-77 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oregon Ducks. Â The Ducks are coming into New York averaging over 80 points per game, but perhaps more impressive than their offense has been the fact that they have held opponents to just 52 points per game. They will face an experienced Iowa team at MSG tonight, and Iowa brings back it's top three scorers from last year. The Hawkeyes were one of the worst teams in the BIG10 last season though, only Rutgers had fewer wins. Iowa comes in with a pair of wins in close games against inferior opponents. They gave up 82 points in a win over Green Bay in their last game. The Hawkeyes have failed to cover in 10 of their last 14 versus teams with a winning record. I like Oregon to win big here in New York. Â Take ORE. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-12-18 | Illinois-Chicago v. Duquesne -5.5 | 88-89 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
 This is a 5* play on the Duquesne Dukes.
 The Dukes were 16-16 overall last season, and finished near the bottom of the Atlantic 10. They are off to a good start here in 2018, crushing William and Mary in their season opener by a score of 84-70. They will look to keep the ball rolling here in the Gotham Classic, hosting Illinois-Chicago. The Dukes shot 52.5 percent from the field and 46.2 percent from beyond the arc against the Tribe, while the Flames have shot just 43 percent from the field in back to back losses so far. The Dukes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games, and they were 13-6 at home last season. They have done well in recent games against teams from the Horizon league, covering the spread in six of their last seven such contests. I'll take the home favorite here.  Take DUQ.  GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-18 | Seahawks +11.5 v. Rams | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 160 h 52 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-11-18 | Dolphins v. Packers -9.5 | Top | 12-31 | Win | 100 | 134 h 38 m | Show |
 This is a 10* GOM play on the Green Bay Packers.  The Packers gave the Rams all they bargained for in LA, and then they went toe to toe with the Patriots at Foxboro. They went into the fourth quarter of last week's game tied 17-17, but the Pats scored two late TDs to make a close game look like a blowout. They return home looking to extend their perfect home record, hosting the Miami Dolphins. The Fish are coming off a 13-6 home win over the Jets, but they weren't all that impressive in that game. They were out-gained by 114 yards (282-168). Brock Osweiler failed to throw for a TD in his second consecutive game, totaling 139 yards on 15-of-24 passing in the win over the Jets. It's not like they can lean on their running game, as they have scored an NFL worst three rushing TDs. A cold weather game at Lambeau Field looks like a tough spot for a Miami team with a serious lack of talent.  Take GB.  GL,  Jesse Schule
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11-11-18 | Bills +9.5 v. Jets | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 157 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Buffalo Bills. The Bills have looked like the worst team in the NFL for most of the season, but I still can't see how anyone would justify betting on the Jets favored by more than a TD in what looks like a battle of the bottom feeders. It should be a rather meaningless game played in bad weather, and neither of these teams have much of an offense. Sam Darnold is really struggling, but he's still probably better than Nathan Peterman. The Bills will hope that either Josh Allen or Derek Anderson can start this week. The favorite has only covered the spread once in the last six meetings between these teams, and the Jets have only averaged 11 points per game during their three game losing streak. I'll take the points here against a Jets team that ranks 28th in the NFL in passing. Take BUF. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-09-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State +3 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boise State Broncos. The Broncos will host Fresno State tonight, and the Bulldogs come in as road favorites likley because they own a better record (8-1). Boise State has two losses, but I still find it a little shocking that the Broncos would be a home dog on the Blue Turf. The Broncos 21-16 home win over BYU last week is far more impressive than any of the Bulldogs eight wins. The home team has won six straight meetings in this series dating back to 2012. The Broncos have won 15 of their last 17 home games outright, and that includes a pair of wins over BYU and a win over PAC12 powerhouse Washington State. I'll take Brett Rypien and his Broncos as home dogs. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-18 | Manchester United v. Juventus -1 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 264 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Juventus.  Before the season started, I bet on Juventus to win the Champions League: "The Series A champs came very close to winning the Champions League in 2017, losing in the Final to Cristiano Ronaldo and Real Madrid. They lost again to Madrid in last year's competition. Ronaldo is the All Time leading scorer in Champions League play, and was perhaps the most impressive player at the 2018 World Cup. There is no doubt in my mind that he still has plenty left in the tank, and bringing him in will make Juventus the favorite to win this year's competition." They host Manchester United in the second leg of a Champions League tie today, and they completely out-classed the Red Devils at Old Trafford in a 1-0 win in the first leg. Jose Mourino's squad has struggled in the Premier League, and needed an injury time goal just to beat minnows AFC Bourmouth last Saturday. They show no signs of being able to compete with Europe's elite.  Take JUVE.  GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys -4.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Dallas Cowboys. Â The Boys have gotten a lot of negative press this year, as fans have only recently come to terms with the fact that Dak Prescott is an average at best quarterback. This is not news to me, as I had been saying it since he was named the starter. That being said, Dallas is still a solid team with a stud running back and a better than average defense. They are 0-4 on the road and 3-0 at home, and that's a trend that seems destined to hold true tonight. The Titans are playing their first game since losing in heart-breaking fashion in London, when they missed a two-point conversion in a 20-19 loss to the Chargers. Tennessee has lost three straight, and three of four on the road this season. The Titans are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week, and 11-23 ATS in their last 34 road games. Â Take DAL. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule
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11-04-18 | Packers v. Patriots -5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 44 m | Show |
 This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots. The Patriots and the Packers each came into this season as favorites to win the Super Bowl, but while New England is right where they were expected to be heading into Week 9, the Packers are done. The trades sending Ha Ha Clinton-Dix and Ty Montgomery to Baltimore and Washington have some suggesting that the Packers are throwing in the towel. It might be a little too soon to give up on Green Bay when you consider that they are just one game out of first place in the NFC North. That being said, with three of their next four games coming on the road to teams with a winning record, it's hard to see them making up any ground. They are 0-3 on the road, and they have given up a whopping 90 points in their last three games. Aaron Rodgers can only do so much, and he doesn't have the supporting cast to win a battle versus Brady and Belichick at Foxboro. The Patriots are 35-15-2 ATS in their last 52 home games. Take NE. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-04-18 | Lions v. Vikings -4.5 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vikings. The Vikes are coming off a home loss to the New Orleans Saints, snapping a three game winning streak. They host the Detroit Lions Sunday, and Detroit will be without leading wide receiver Golden Tate who was dealt to Philly at the trade deadline. The Vikings have three losses on the season, and two of those came against the Rams and the Saints who have a combined record of 14-1. The other loss was an inexplicable 27-6 home loss to Buffalo. Kirk Cousins ranks second in the NFL in passing behind Patrick Mahomes, and he has better than a 70 percent completion percentage, with 16 TDs and just four INTs. This Minnesota team came into the season as one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl, and they desperately need a win here at home to get back on track. The Lions are 1-2 on the road this season, and both losses came against teams with a losing record. I like Minny to win big here in this spot. Take MIN. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-04-18 | Bucs v. Panthers -6 | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Carolina Panthers. Â It's like Deja Vu All Over Again? Ryan Fitzpatrick came in last week and nearly upset the Bengals, engineering a stunning second half comeback. Remember the last time Tampa fans were excited about Fitzpatrick starting a game? They lost 48-10 at Chicago, and Fitzpatrick was pulled after throwing for 126 yards and an INT in the first half. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Bucs are 2-0, and fans are buzzing about "Fitzmagic". I have seen enough of Ryan Fitzpatrick over the years that I know it would be naive to think he's going to be magical every week" The Bucs are badly in need of some "magic" on defense, as they come into today's game ranked dead last in the NFL allowing 33.3 points per game. This game has "BLOWOUT" written all over it! Â Take CAR. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-03-18 | UCLA v. Oregon -10 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oregon Ducks. Chip Kelly returns to Oregon with his struggling UCLA squad, coming off a blowout loss at Utah. The Ducks have lost back to back games on the road, but their last home game was a shocking upset win over the Washington Huskies. The Bruins allowed Utah to run for 345 yards last week: "We didn't tackle well in the first half, didn't tackle well in the second half," UCLA coach Chip Kelly said in his post game analysis. They allowed the Arizona Wildcats to run for 289 yards in a 31-30 home win a week earlier. The Ducks still rank in the Top 25 in the country in scoring, and with all their weapons I expect them to light up an inferior UCLA defense at home. The Ducks are 5-0 straight up in five home games against UCLA since 2006, and four of those wins came by a double digit margin. Take ORE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-18 | Notre Dame v. Northwestern +9.5 | 31-21 | Loss | -105 | 94 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAF play on the Northwestern Wildcats. Â The Notre Dame Irish are ranked #3 overall, one of the four teams listed in the first edition of the (Top 4) College Football Playoff Rankings. They have an impressive resume, with an 8-0 record including wins over Michigan and Virginia Tech. While there is no doubt that the Irish are one of the top teams in the country, I think they have become slightly overrated. They are a double-digit road favorite this week at Northwestern, and the Wildcats have already upset the likes of Wisconsin and Michigan State. They also played a close game in a 20-17 loss to Michigan. Notre Dame has four wins by fewer than 10 points: versus Michigan, Vanderbilt, Ball State and Pittsburgh. Another close game here in Evanston should be expected. Â Take NW. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-03-18 | Utah v. Arizona State +7.5 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 90 h 8 m | Show | |
8* |
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11-03-18 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton -4.5 | Top | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 68 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Edmonton Eskimos. Edmonton isn't going to play in this season's playoffs, which is quite a surprise given that Mike Reilly finished first in the CFL in passing once again. Reilly and the Eskimos can avoid finishing with a losing record if they can win at home against Winnipeg today. The Bombers should be resting players having already qualified for the playoffs. Winnipeg will either face Saskatchewan or Calgary, but the result of this game doesn't have any bearing on where they play. The Stampeders can clinch first place with a win at BC, which would have them hosting Winnipeg in the West Semi Final. Otherwise they play at Saskatchewan. The key for the Bombers here should be to escape with a healthy roster. The Eskimos have been solid at home, winning six of eight. They should show up with a spirited performance in their season finale. Take EDM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-18 | Miami-OH v. Buffalo -7 | 42-51 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Buffalo Bulls.  The 7-1 Buffalo Bulls are ruling the roost in the MAC, winning all four games against opponents within the conference. Their lone loss came at the hands of a scrappy Army team that almost upset Oklahoma earlier in the year. Buffalo has won three straight, all by double digits. The Bulls racked up 493 total yards in a dominant 31-17 road win at Toledo last week, and they look good here at home against the Redhawks. Miami-Oh has a 3-5 record, but their wins come against bottom feeders with a combined record of 2-10 in the MAC. Buffalo will put it's 5-0 ATS run (in the MAC) to the test in this revenge game (lost to Redhawks last year).  Take BUF.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-30-18 | Devils +1.5 v. Lightning | 3-8 | Loss | -190 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
  This is a 7* play on the NJD +1.5.  The Tampa Bay Lightning come home from a five game road trip with an overall record of 7-2-1, and they earned points in four of five games. They got hammered by the Coyotes in Arizona in their final game of the trip though, and injuries to their top defenseman (Viktor Hedman) and best defensive forward (Ondrej Palat) leave them in rough shape for tonight's game against the upstart Devils. New Jersey is off to a great start, coming in ranked in the Top 5 in scoring, goals against as well as on the penalty kill. The return of starting goaltender Corey Schneider certainly isn't going to hurt either. I like New Jersey to keep this a close game in Tampa.  Take NJD.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-28-18 | Saints v. Vikings +3 | 30-20 | Loss | -122 | 1 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Vikes. The Vikings defense hasn't been as good this year as it was when they beat New Orleans 29-19 in Week 1 last year. They also won a thriller in the playoffs, winning on a walkoff TD by Stephan Diggs making it 29-24 (still less than 55 points). That game likely should have finished 24-23 if it wasn't for a miracle 61 yard play. Minnesota got off to a good start in that game, taking a 17-0 lead to the locker room at halftime. I expect to see them play well here at home, especially given that Kirk Cousins comes in with a 70 percent completion percentage and a 14-3 TD/INT ratio. I like Minny as a home dog. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-18 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Dodgers | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Red Sox +1.5. The Dodgers will be the betting favorite at home in a must win situation tonight. They also appear to have an advantage when it comes to starting pitching for Game 5. That being said, the starters may only go a few innings in this game, and that levels the playing field when you consider Boston is the highest scoring team in the majors. The Red Sox bullpen has been better than the Dodgers relievers this post-season, and Boston has been more consistent at the plate. I'll take the Red Sox plus the runs in what is likely to be another close game in LA. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-18 | Packers v. Rams -8.5 | 27-29 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LAR. The Packers came into this season as one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl. I was never buying that, as Aaron Rodgers has battled injuries for most of the past three seasons, and aside from the quarterback position, Green Bay is seriously lacking talent. Their defense was lit up in a rather ugly home win over the Niners two weeks ago. They are in tough this week playing on the road at LA, the last of the league's unbeaten teams. While some might think that a bye week is going to give the Packers a chance to record an upset, I simply believe this team isn't even close to being a true Super Bowl contender. I am looking for Todd Gurley to run all over Green Bay, all day long. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-18 | Bucs v. Bengals -4 | 34-37 | Loss | -108 | 135 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals.
The Bengals are coming off a blowout loss at Kansas City, but they return home to face the league's worst defense. The Bucs won in overtime at home against the Browns, but they really didn't deserve to win that game. They were lucky to hit a 59 yard FG after the Browns missed several chances to win the game. Losing LB Kwon Alexander isn't going to help matters for the Bucs, who have allowed a league worst 32.7 points per game this season. I am looking for the Red Rifle and the Cinci offense to have a field day. Take CINCI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-18 | Jets v. Bears -6.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 135 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears. |
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10-27-18 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Dodgers | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Red Sox +1.5. The Dodgers have momentum in their favor after winning an 18 inning marathon last night. They also appear to have an advantage when it comes to starting pitching for Game 4. That being said, the starters may only go a few innings in this game, and that levels the playing field when you consider Boston is the highest scoring team in the majors. The Red Sox bullpen has been better than the Dodgers relievers this post-season, and Boston has been more consistent at the plate. I'll take the Red Sox plus the runs in what is likely to be another close game in LA. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-18 | Texas A&M +3 v. Mississippi State | 13-28 | Loss | -120 | 95 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas A&M. Â The 5-2 Aggies have two losses to teams ranked #1 and #2 overall. Despite their impressive resume, they are getting points here at Mississippi State. The Bulldogs got off to a good start, but have started to fade as the reality of a tough SEC schedule set in. They come in as losers of three of their last four overall, and that includes a 13-6 home loss to the Florida Gators. They have been really struggling to score points, averaging less than 10 points per game over their last four games. Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference game, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. I just can't see asking a team that has so much trouble scoring to cover points against a team like Texas A&M. Â Take AGGIES. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-27-18 | Washington State +3 v. Stanford | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Washington State. Â The Cougars are coming off a huge home win over Oregon, and surely that sets them up for a let down here on the road against Stanford. What looks like a let down spot at first glance, actually looks like a pretty favorable matchup for the visitors. Stanford has not looked good this season, and Heisman favorite (pre-season) Bryce Love has failed to live up to expectations. Recent history certainly favors the Cougars, who have won two of the last three meetings outright, and the one loss came by a score of 30-28. Mike Leach is known as an offensive genius, but this Cougars defense has been impressive as well. They held Oregon scoreless in the first half last week. I'll take the Cougars plus the points as they look to move to 8-0 ATS in their last eight. Â Take WAZZU. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-26-18 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Dodgers | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Red Sox +1.5. The Red Sox were the highest scoring team in the majors this season, and their bats have remained hot in the playoffs. The Dodgers led the NL in scoring, but their bats have been a little quieter in the post-season.  Rick Porcello will toe the slab for Boston, and he's been far from perfect in the playoffs. The right-hander is 1-0 with a 4.22 ERA in four appearances, and he gave up four runs on seven hits in just four innings in his last start against Houston. The Dodgers hand the ball to rookie Walker Buehler, who allowed four runs on six hits over seven innings in a home loss to the Brewers in the NLCS. He's 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in three post-season appearances. The Red Sox are 5-0 in their last five playoff game on the road, and 6-1 in their last seven World Series games on the road. Take BOS. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-25-18 | Baylor v. West Virginia -13.5 | 14-58 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WVU. The much improved Baylor Bears will be a two touchdown underdog on the road at West Virginia tonight, but I have my doubts that they can hang with the Mountaineers. Baylor appears to be off to a great start, with a 4-3 overall record and a 2-2 record in the BIG12. Look a little closer though and you can see that their two wins in conference play came against a pair of BIG12 bottom feeders in Kansas and K-State who have a combined record of 1-7. They did manage to hang with both Duke and Texas, but neither of those two teams have the potent air attack that West Virginia has. Perhaps a better comparison would be their 66-33 loss to Oklahoma. They catch the Mountaineers coming off their first loss of the season, and this looks like a spot where the home team should open up a can of whupass! Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-18 | Dodgers +1.5 v. Red Sox | 2-4 | Loss | -160 | 18 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LAD +1.5. Â I had Boston in Game 1, and after a back and forth battle the Red Sox pulled away in the 7th, scoring three runs and going on to win 8-4. The Dodgers will try to even the series tonight, and I like their chances of getting to David Price. Â Prior to Game 1 I mentioned the fact that Clayton Kershaw had a history of post-season struggles, and here in Game 2 the same can be said about David Price. The veteran was roughed up by the Yankees in Game 2 of the ALDS, but he is coming off his first ever playoff win in Game 5 in the ALCS in Houston. Â The Dodger hand the ball to Hyun Jin Ryu, who has had a solid season. The Dodgers have won five of Ryu's last six starts, and four of his last five Interleague starts. Â Take LAD. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-23-18 | Clippers v. Pelicans -6.5 | 109-116 | Win | 102 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pelicans. Â The LA Clippers are off to a good start, winning two of their first three. All three of those were home games, and they will play their first road game of the season at New Orleans tonight. The Pelicans finished last season strong, upsetting Portland in the first round of the playoffs, and giving the Warriors a handful in a 4-1 series loss. They have scored 70+ first half points in both of their two games so far, and they won those two games by a combined 30 point margin. New Orleans is 4-1 straight up in their last five versus LA, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. The Clippers are Clippers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win. This Clippers team doesn't appear to have the talent to hang with a team like the Pelicans on the road. Â Take NO. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-21-18 | Browns +3.5 v. Bucs | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 121 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. |
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10-20-18 | Arizona +10 v. UCLA | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 35 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona comes into tonight's game with a 2-2 conference record, but they will be a double digit underdog without their starting quarterback. Khalil Tate left early in last week's loss to Utah with an ankle injury, and was replaced by the son of former Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez. The sophomore wasn't too bad, throwing for 226 yards and a TD on 20-of-38 passing. He likely won't have to be great to keep the Wildcats in the game against UCLA, as the Bruins are ranked 119th nationally averaging just over 20 points per game. Freshman quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has failed to throw for 200 yards in four of his six starts, and last week against Cal he threw for just 141 yards on 13-of-15 passing. The Bruins ran the ball 55 times in that game, and given that they snapped a five game losing skid, you might expect them to lean on the run here at home against Arizona. The public seems pretty keen to back the Bruins here with the news that Tate won't play, and the line has been bet up almost five points since opening at -5.5. I'll fade this inflated number. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers +1.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -150 | 19 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOY play on the Brewers +1.5. The Dodgers will send a rookie to the mound in Game 7 versus the Brewers, and I love the Brew Crew as the home dog in this spot. Jhoulys Chacin is the likely starter for Milwaukee, and he's owned the Dodgers in this series. He tossed 5 1/3 scoreless innings in a 4-0 win in Game 3. Chacin hasn't allowed a single run in the playoffs so far. Walker Buehler pitched opposite Chacin in Game 3, and he was rocked for four runs on six hits in seven innings. He's appeared in two games this post-season, and he's allowed nine runs on nine hits over 12 innings. The Dodgers lost both those games. The Brewers are at home, with a superior bullpen, and I really think they should be the favorite rather than the dog here. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-18 | Montreal +4.5 v. Toronto | Top | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 87 h 25 m | Show |
10* |
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10-17-18 | Brewers +1.5 v. Dodgers | 2-5 | Loss | -145 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Milwaukee +1.5. Â The Brewers lost a heart breaker in extra inning in LA last night, and they have to face Clayton Kershaw in Game 4 this afternoon. They have already got the better of Kershaw in both times they have faced him this season, including a 6-5 win in Game 1 of this series. Kershaw allowed four runs on six hits in just three innings in the loss. Â Wade Miley will toe the slab for the Brewers in Game 4, and he's had some success against the Dodgers. He went seven scoreless innings, surrendering just two hits while winning his only start at LA this season. He's 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA over 13 innings in two starts versus the Dodgers. Â Three of the four games in this series have been decided by one run, I'll take the runs here in Game 4. Â Take MIL. Â GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-14-18 | Rams v. Broncos +7 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 134 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Denver. The Broncos aren't rolling over for anybody at home in Mile High Stadium. We saw that two weeks ago when the Broncos held a 10-point advantage in the fourth quarter versus the Kansas City Chiefs. While Kansas City rallied to win that game, it was a lot closer than some might have expected. This week the Rams will travel to Denver, and they are asked to cover even more points than the Chiefs. The Rams have been impressive on offense, but they gave up 31 points to the Vikings and the Seahawks in each of their last two games. LA has yet to be punished for their poor play on defense, coming into Sunday's game with a 5-0 record and the odds on favorite to win the Super Bowl. This looks like a bit of a tricky spot though, and asking them to cover more than a TD seems a little overly optimistic. I'll take Denver plus the points. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-18 | Panthers v. Redskins | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 131 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Redskins. Â Washington looked brutal in a blowout loss to the Saints on Monday night, but that game might say more about the Saints than it does about the Skins. They host Carolina this week, and the Panthers are coming off a lucky win over the Giants at home. New York rallied from a 20-10 deficit to go ahead 31-30 with just over a minute to play, but a 63 yard FG (YES 63 YARDS) by Graham Gano allowed the Panthers to steal the game on the final play. Washington is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, and they have covered the spread in six of their last seven when coming off a loss. Carolina on the other hand has failed to cover in four straight when coming off a win. I'll take the home favorite here in Washington. Â Take WAS. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule
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10-13-18 | Astros +1.5 v. Red Sox | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 67 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Houston Astros +1.5. The Astros have been dominant in the playoffs so far, but they will be an underdog on the road in Boston in Game 1 of the ALCS. Justin Verlander will toe the slab for Houston, and he was solid in the division series. He allowed a pair of runs on two hits, fanning seven in 5 1/3 innings. The veteran had racked up double digit strikeouts in five of his last six regular season starts. He was 12-2 with a 2.14 ERA in 15 starts on the road this season. The Red Sox hand the ball to Chris Sale, who has been bothered by injuries in the second half of the season. Sales failed to record a decision while posting a 3.75 ERA over 12 innings in four appearances in September. Sale gave up four runs on six hits in six innings of work, losing his only start against the Astros this year. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-11-18 | Texas Tech +7.5 v. TCU | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 28 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Â The Red Raiders are 3-2, with losses to #12 ranked West Virginia and Mississippi. They have a pair of impressive wins at #15 Oklahoma State and at home over Houston. They lost starting quarterback Alan Bowman midway through last week's game, and backup Jett Duffey was able to move the ball, and they out-scored West Virginia 17-7 in the 4th quarter. If Bowman can't go tonight, there is reason to believe that Duffey will be even better after a full week practicing with the first team offense. Two of the last three meetings between TCU and Texas Tech have been decided on the final play. The Horned Frogs are struggling offensively, and quarterback Shawn Robinson might not start against the Red Raiders. He's thrown more INTs (6) than TDs (4) over the last four weeks. I think this line looks a little inflated when you consider that TCU is 5-16 ATS in it's last 21 home games, and 0-4 ATS in it's last four versus the BIG12. Â Take TTU. Â GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-08-18 | Redskins +7 v. Saints | Top | 19-43 | Loss | -120 | 163 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Redskins. Â The Bye Week came at a great time for Washington, allowing several key players to rest up and recover from lingering injuries. Adrian Peterson suffered an ankle injury in Washington's 31-17 win over Green Bay two weeks ago, but still he ran for 120 yards and two TDs in that game. He's surely looking forward to having a chance to stick it to the Saints. Sean Payton signed Peterson prior to last season, and then let him rot on the bench, refusing to give him an opportunity. He then went to Arizona, and has since averaged 76 rushing yards per game in nine starts for Arizona and now Washington. He's averaging a TD per game so far this season, and I expect him to keep that average up. Drew Brees is going to break another record tonight, and Mark Ingram returns from a suspension. The Superdome was once considered the toughest place in the NFL to play, and bookmakers are still giving New Orleans a lot of love at home. When you consider that the Saints were blown out by the Bucs at home in Week 1, that they have failed to cover in four of their last five home games and six straight versus the Skins, the spread for tonight's game appears to be greatly inflated. Â Take WAS. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-07-18 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Texans | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 18 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. Everyone is talking about how bad the Cowboys are, but is Houston really good enough to be favored by 3.5 points against anyone? I don't think so. The Texans first win of the season came at home in overtime against the Colts last week, and they blew an 11 point lead in the second half of that game. Dak Prescott was never as good as he was hyped up to be in his rookie season, but he doesn't need to be great when he has Ezekiel Elliot to hand off to. Dallas ranks 3rd in the NFL in rushing behind Cleveland and Denver. Houston has failed to cover in eight of it's last nine overall, and four of it's last five home games. I'll take the points here because I just don't think the Texans should be asked to cover more than a FG. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-18 | Rams v. Seahawks +8.5 | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The Rams come into Seattle as favorites to win the Super Bowl, but I think this game could be a lot tougher than some think. This division rivalry has been ultra competitive over the last decade. The Rams have failed to cover in eight of their last 11 visits to the Emerald City. Home field advantage has been more significant in Seattle than in most other cities, and the 12th man is still going strong. The home team has covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the underdog is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings. Russell Wilson is still one of the league's best quarterbacks, and after the Rams gave up 422 passing yards and three passing TDs in last week's win over the Vikings, I like Seattle's chances of keeping this close. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-18 | Ravens v. Browns +3 | 9-12 | Win | 105 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cleveland. The Baltimore Ravens come into Cleveland with a 3-1 record, tied with Cincinnati for 1st in the AFC North. They are coming off an impressive 27-10 win at Pittsburgh, but I think that sets them up for a let down here in Cleveland. The Browns have just one win in four games, but have yet to lose by more than three points. They have to feel as though they were robbed in a 45-42 loss at Oakland. The officials missed a fumble in overtime that would have given the Browns possesion. Baker Mayfield has the offense firing on all cylinders, scoring 60 points in their last six quarters of football. He was picked off twice last week, but neither of those INTs were his fault, as the ball popped out of the recievers hands into the hands of the defenders. I'll take the points with the home underdog here in this game. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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