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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-08-20 | Sampdoria v. Atalanta -1.25 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atalanta. The hottest team in Italy right now isn't Juventus, or Lazio, or Inter Milan. No it's Atalanta that has won 10 in a row. They also lead the Serie A with 83 goals scored and a goal differential of +44. They host Sampdoria on Wednesday, who have a goal differential of -15. Sampdoria is particularly bad away from home, with an away record of 49-1 with a -11 goal differential. This has all the signs of another blowout win for Atalanta. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-07-20 | Lazio -1.25 v. Lecce | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Lazio. Coming off a loss to AC Milan, Lazio needs to get back on track in order to salvage any hope of catching first place Juventus. They couldn't have asked for a better opponent, as Lecce has conceded a Serie A worst 70 goals. Immobile and Caicedo did not play on the loss to AC Milan, but they are back with fresh legs for this match. We should expect Lazio to win comfortably. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-20 | AC Milan v. Lazio | 3-0 | Loss | -120 | 64 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Lazio. The title race is still on in Serie A, with just four points seperating Lazio and Juventus. Lazio needs a win here against AC Milan in order to keep the pressure on Juventus. Lazio has yet to lose at home, with a record of 12-0-3 in 15 matches. They have the second best goal differential in the Serie A (+38) while Milan has conceded one more goal than they have scored. This is a match where I would be wary of a draw, but I can't see Lazio losing here against Milan. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-20 | Bayern Munich -1.5 v. Bayer Leverkusen | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 62 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Bayern Munich. Bayern Munich isn't just the best team in Germany, in my opinion they are the best team in Europe. They have won 16 straight matches in all competitions, and 10 of those wins came by 2+ goals. Bayern Leverkusen was disappointing when the Bundesliga returned, They won three of six matches, but a 2-0 loss to Hertha Berlin in their second to last match ensured they would miss out on the Champions League next season. I don't expect that Munich will have any trouble with Leverkusen in the German Cup Final. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-20 | Arsenal +0.5 v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 60 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arsenal +0.5. Wolverhampton is having a hell of a season, but seeing them listed as favorites against Arsenal makes me think there is a little recency bias at play. Technically a home game for Wolves, but without fans that might not be very significant. These teams have a history of playing close games, with three of the last five head to head meetings ending with a final score of 1-1. Arsenal has won three straight, posting a pair of clean sheets. I like their chances of earning a point. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-01-20 | Leicester v. Everton | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Leicester +0.5. After struggling in three matches since the restart, we find Leicester as underdogs in this match at Everton. Leicester has just two draws and a loss since the return to play, and they need to right the ship if they want to hold down a spot in the Champions League next season. They have been quite successful in recent matches versus Everton, with a record of 2-0-1 in three meetings in 2019. Everton has only scored twice in four matches since the return to play, and they have scored 21 fewer than Leicester this season. The Toffees are in no mans land in the Premier League table, with nothing to lose and not much to gain. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-30-20 | Luton Town v. Leeds United -1.5 | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Leeds United -1.25. Leeds United is coming off a 3-0 win over Fulham, putting them top of the table. Next up are bottom feeders Luton Town, who come in with the worst goal differential in the League Championship. Leeds has won six of their last seven matches, and they posted a clean sheet in all six of those victories. This appears to be a mismatch of epic proportions, and we should expect Leeds to win by 2+ goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-28-20 | Atalanta -1 v. Udinese | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 51 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Atalanta. We get plus money taking Atlanta on the Asian handicap line (-1.25), and this match looks rather one-sided. Atalanta has the best goal differential in Series A, after just 27 matches they are +40. They come in as winners of five straight, while Udinese is winless in it's last five. They have scored just twice during that span, and Udinese has scored a Series A low 21 goals in 27 matches. Atlanta has won four straight against Udinese, and all four of those matches were decided by two or more goals. This appears to be a bargain. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-22-20 | Burnley +2.5 v. Manchester City | 0-5 | Loss | -117 | 40 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Burnley +2.5. Manchester City is coming off a 3-0 win over Arsenal in their first game since the restart, but the final score in that game was a little misleading. City scored just before halftime, and then an early red card in the second half changed the game. Pep says that moving forward he will look to rest players, as there is nothing left for his club to achieve in the league this season. Burnley still has plenty to play for, but won't have two of their best players (Chris Wood and Ashley Barnes). Jay Rodriguez will likely start, and he's found the net five times in a dozen starts this season. Burnley comes in undefeated in their last five matches, and I like them to compete against City in this match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-21-20 | Liverpool -141 v. Everton | 0-0 | Loss | -110 | 336 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Liverpool. Liverpool should be more motivated to return to play than most teams, and a win over Everton in the Merseyside Derby will put them that much closer to a championship. They have had the edge in recent meetings versus Everton, winning three of the last four. Everton has far less reason to be excited about the return to play, with nothing to really gain. Normally the home team would have a decided advantage in this derby match, but that's not really a factor without fans. "The fact that we play home without supporters is a disadvantage for us, it will be a disadvantage for Liverpool, this is for sure. "Nobody knows how the players are going to react without supporters. We will see," said Carlo Ancelloti. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-20 | SC Freiburg +2.25 v. Bayern Munich | 1-3 | Win | 50 | 80 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Freiburg +2.5. Bayern Munich has very little to play for in this match, after clinching the Bundesliga title in a win over Werder Bremen mid week. They will surely rest players, and should be in cruise control. Freiburg has been playing well, with just one loss in their last five matches. Two of the last three times these teams have faced each other, the result has been a draw. Bayern is coming off three straight wins by just one goal, so asking them to win this match by three goals seems a little far fetched. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-20-20 | Leicester -0.25 v. Watford | 1-1 | Loss | -55 | 288 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Leicester City. The return to play in the Premier League is not well received by everyone. Watford's leading scorer Troy Deeney has been very outspoken about his decision not to train with the team. He has very good reasons for his decision, with a young child who has health concerns. Watford may need all hands on deck if they are going to avoid relegation. Leicester City have a lot more motivation to return, as they look to secure a spot in the Champions League next year. Leicester has won three of their last four matches against Watford, and they should be in far better shape here for this match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-19-20 | Manchester United v. Tottenham Hotspur | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 29 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Manchester United. This is a huge match for both teams, as they are both looking to secure a Champions League spot. Manchester United comes in undefeated in their last five matches, while Spurs come in winless in their last five matches. Granted that Tottenham was without several key players such as Harry Kane and Son Heung-Kim, who are now fit to play and are expected to start versus Manchester United. They might hit the ground running, but it is far more reasonable to expect it to take a few matches before they really start clicking again. Manchester United has won four of their last five versus Spurs, and I like their chances here in the first game back. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-17-20 | Arsenal +1.5 v. Manchester City | 0-3 | Loss | -107 | 322 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a Free play on Arsenal +1.5. It's been a disappointing season for Manchester City, and they really have nothing to gain in the Premier League when it returns. They are so far behind Liverpool, that they might as well just focus on the Champions League. Rumors have several star players leaving the team after this year, so they might not have a lot invested in these remaining games. Arsenal on the other hand has a chance to finish in the top five, and they come in as winners of four of their last five matches in all competitions, and are undefeated in their last five Premier League matches. Man City hasn't won any of it's last five games by more than one goal, and Arsenal hasn't lost any of it's last five games by more than one goal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-17-20 | Sheffield United v. Aston Villa | 0-0 | Push | 0 | 82 h 33 m | Show | |
5* |
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06-13-20 | Barcelona FC -1.75 v. Mallorca | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Barcelona -1.5. The gap in talent between the bottom teams and the top teams in La Liga is as wide as it gets, and Mallorca is up against a monster when they face Barcelona in the first game back. Both Lionel Messi and Luis Suarez have been ruled fit to play on Saturday, and there is no shortage of firepower for the Spanish Giants. Barcelona has outscored Mallorca 10-2 in the last two head to head matches, and they have won the last five meetings by 2 or more goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-06-20 | Hertha Berlin +1.5 v. Borussia Dortmund | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 109 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Hertha Berlin +1.5. Dortmund is coming off a 6-1 win over the last place team in the Bundesliga, in a game that was scoreless at halftime. They are a massive favorite here this week against a Hertha Berlin side that is undefeated in their last five matches. Dortmund has lost twice in their last five matches, and they have not defeated Hertha Berlin by more than one goal in each of the last four head to head meetings. Two of the last four meetings ended in a draw. Hertha Berlin has scored two or more goal in each of their last five matches. I think it's asking too much of Dortmund to expect them to win this game by two or more goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-17-20 | Bayern Munich -1.75 v. Union Berlin | 2-0 | Win | 50 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Bayern Munich. The Bundesliga returned on Saturday, and we saw that the biggest blowout on the board was a 4-0 Borussia Dortmund win over Schalke. Despite injury woes, I noted that teams competing for the top spot in the league will likely have taken their training more seriously during the break. Bayern averages three goal per game, and they won their last four matches by a combined score of 12-0. The home side won't have any fans to cheer them on, so I like Bayern to win this game by a wide margin. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-20 | Vanderbilt +9.5 v. Arkansas | 73-86 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. Vanderbilt was dead last in the SEC this season, with a record of 3-15. They picked up two of those three wins in their last two games however, and they were quite competitive in March. They come into the conference tournament averaging 72 points per game in their last five overall. Only one of their last six games was a loss by double digits. The Razorbacks are an awfully big favorite for a team that has covered in just three of it's last 10 overall and is just 1-5 ATS in it's last six neutral site games. I'll take the hot team getting a bunch of points. Take Vanderbilt. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-20 | Borussia Dortmund +0.75 v. Paris St Germain | 0-2 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dortmund. Dortmund is making plenty of noise in Germany this year, sitting four points back of 1st place Bayern Munich. They have won five straight in all competitions, and they have perhaps the most exciting young player in the game. Erling Haaland has scored nine goals in just five starts. PSG will have to make up for a 2-1 aggregate deficit, while Dortmund will have the luxury of playing for a draw. Even if PSG takes a 1-0 lead, then they would have the luxury of playing it out and going for the win on away goals. PSG has exited the Champions League early in the past, and it might just be deja vu all over again. Take DORTMUND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-20 | Atletico Madrid +1 v. Liverpool | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Atletico Madrid. Liverpool has really not been sharp lately, losing to Watford and Chelsea and just barely beating Bournemouth. They scored a grand total of just three goals in those games, and now they need to beat Madrid by two goals to advance in the Champions League. It's a tall order, and I just don't like their chances when their opponent knows it can sit back and defend. Take ATLETICO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-20 | St. Mary's v. BYU -4 | 51-50 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars. The Cougars are winners of nine straight, and they have score over 81 points per game in their last five overall. During their winning streak they have wins over Saint Mary's and Gonzaga. The Gaels are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and they are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog. The Gaels are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog. The Cougars are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games overall, abd they are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-20 | San Francisco +13 v. Gonzaga | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Dons. The Bulldogs are a double digit favorite here against San Francisco, after beating the Dons in both regular season meetings. The game at San Francisco was close, decided by just four points. Now the Bulldogs have little to gain here, and the Dons have everything to play for. We should expect this game to be somewhat close. The Dons are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games. The Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four neutral site games. The Dons are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games as an underdog. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-20 | Raptors -5.5 v. Kings | 118-113 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Kings are coming off a double digit win at Portland last night, setting them up for a let down here at home in the second game of a back to back. The Raptors have won 19 of their last 23 games overall. Here is what I said about Toronto prior to their season opener: "There is no doubt that Kawhi Leonard deserved plenty of credit for bringing a title to Toronto, but I believe that there is a false narrative that he did it by himself. Many people question how competitive the Raptors can be without Kawhi. I would point out that last year they actually had a higher winning percentage in games he missed due to load management, than they did in the games he played. This is also a team that finished at or near the top of the Eastern Conference several seasons in a row prior to the arrival of Kawhi. Players like Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam should be primed to thrive in a greater role. I caution against sleeping on the Raptors, and I'll take them in a home opener against the short-handed Pelicans." That looks like a pretty solid read right about now. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-20 | Elon v. William & Mary -4.5 | 68-63 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CWM. |
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03-07-20 | Louisville v. Virginia | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 8* play on the Virginia Cavs. The defending champs are playing like contenders down the stretch, coming into Saturday's home game versus Louisville as winners of seven straight. Louisville on the other hand has lost three in a row on the road. They lost by double digits to Clemson and Florida State, and lost 64-58 at Georgia Tech. They beat the Cavs at home in February, but they had lost nine straight to Virginia prior to that. They are 0-5 straight up in their last five at Virginia, and they covered the spread in just one of those games. The Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. Take UVA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-20 | Predators +1.5 v. Stars | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Nashville +1.5. The Predators are coming off a 2-0 home win over Dallas, and they will be the underdog here in Dallas in the second leg of this home and home series. The Stars rank near the bottom of the league in goals scored, and they really struggle to score during 5-on-5 play. The Predators have seen seven of their last 11 games decided by one goal, so a close game here would be no surprise. Dallas has seen eight of their last 11 games decided by just one goal. Take NASH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-20 | Baylor v. West Virginia | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the West Virginia Moutaineers. A few weeks ago the Baylor Bears were ranked #1 in the country, and they looked unbeatable. They might have peaked too early though, as they have been pretty average since. Baylor comes into Morgantown as losers of two of their last four, and they only covered the spread in one of those games. This isn't an easy place to play, and the Mountaineers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Baylor did win it's last game in West Virginia, but the Bears had lost four straight at Morgantown prior to that. This just looks like a tough spot for a Baylor team that hasn't been that sharp lately. Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-20 | Grizzlies +8 v. Mavs | 96-121 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. After cashing in with the Grizzlies in their win over Atlanta, I like them getting a bunch of points here against Dallas. Here is what I said prior to the game in Atlanta: "The Grizzlies have 10 more wins than Atlanta, and they are coming off an impressive win over the 1st place Lakers. Memphis is still battling for a playoff spot, and they aren't going to get caught napping here in Atlanta. The Hawks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Grizzlies have a positive point differential on the road, and I just don't think they should be an underdog here against an inferior team." Memphis has held three straight opponents to fewer than 90 points, including upset wins over the Lakers and the Nets. I'll take the points here in Dallas. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-20 | Ball State v. Northern Illinois -1 | 75-54 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Northern Illinois. Northern Illinois is 11-3 at home this season, and they have won their last six home games. Here is what I said prior to last week's win over Central Michigan: "The Huskies have won four straight home games, and they will host a Central Michigan team that has lost four in a row overall. The Chippewas have lost nine of 11 road games this season, while the Huskies are 9-3 at home. The Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 80 points per game. They have had real trouble scoring on the road though, scoring less than 70 points per game. The Huskies are allowing just 60 points per game at home. Northern Illinois is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400." They host Ball State tonight, and the Cardinals are just 4-7 on the road, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-20 | Washington v. Arizona State -6 | 90-83 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. |
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03-02-20 | Grizzlies +2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 127-88 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Hawks have been playing well lately, winning four of their last eight overall. Those wins came against two teams hit hard by injuries (Blazers and Nets). The Grizzlies have 10 more wins than Atlanta, and they are coming off an impressive win over the 1st place Lakers. Memphis is still battling for a playoff spot, and they aren't going to get caught napping here in Atlanta. The Hawks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Grizzlies have a positive point differential on the road, and I just don't think they should be an underdog here against an inferior team. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-20 | Pistons v. Kings -6.5 | 100-106 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Sacramento Kings. The Pistons will be playing the fourth game of this current Western Conference road trip in Sacramento tonight, coming off a 113-111 win over the Suns in Phoenix on Friday. That win ended a seven game losing streak, and it's unlikely that they can follow up with a positive result here against the Kings. Pistons are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. Sacramento has been hot since the All Star break, winning four of five. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall, and they have covered in six straight versus teams with a losing record. Take SAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-20 | Houston Roughnecks v. Dallas Renegades +2 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the Dallas Renegades. We are only 3 weeks into the XFL season, but already the Houston Roughnecks have emerged as fan favorites. It's easy to see why. They have the most potent offense in the league, scoring an XFL best 13 touchdowns. They have also conceded an XFL worst (tied) nine touchdowns. Dallas on the other hand leads the league only allowing six TDs in three games. The Renegades lost in Week 1, but starting quarterback Landry Jones missed that game. He's since stepped in and completed 72 percent of his passes for 579 yards and four TDs in two starts. I think the Roughnecks coming in here as a road favorite might be overvalued. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-29-20 | Utah v. California +1 | 79-86 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on California. The Cal Bears have been playing a lot better of late. They are coming off a home win over the #21 ranked Colorado Buffaloes, and they have won two of their last three. Utah doesn't have a lot to be positive about, the Utes have lost four of their last five overall and they are just 1-9 on the road. It sure seems odd that a team that has lost nine of 10 road games is actually a favorite this afternoon against a Bears team that is 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. The Bears are also 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. Take CAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-29-20 | Central Michigan v. Eastern Michigan -3.5 | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Eastern Michigan. Central Michigan has lost seven in a row, and last week I bet against them when they played on the road at Northern Illinois. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Chippewas have lost nine of 11 road games this season, while the Huskies are 9-3 at home. The Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging over 80 points per game. They have had real trouble scoring on the road though, scoring less than 70 points per game." They face Eastern Michigan this Saturday, and the Eagles have been rock solid at home. Opponents have averaged fewer than 60 points per game at Eastern Michigan. Take EMU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-29-20 | Penn State v. Iowa -4 | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes. Iowa lost 89-86 to Penn State in Philadelphia earlier this season, but they have a chance to get revenge here at home this Saturday. The Hawkeyes are undefeated at home in conference play, and they are 13-1 overall at home this season. They come into today's game averaging over 82 points per game at home. Penn State has lost two of their last three, with the lone win coming at home by a single point against Rutgers. It's going to be difficult for the Nittany Lions to keep up with Iowa here in Iowa City. Take IOWA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-20 | Manchester City v. Real Madrid | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 793 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Real Madrid. Manchester City will head into the first leg of this Champions League tie looking to survive with a chance to win the second leg at home at the Etihad in March. Real Madrid is undefeated at home in domestic competition, and they are also undefeated at home in the Champions League. Real Madrid has won this competition seven times, while Manchester City has suffered many disappointments. Madrid is in first place in Spain, with a +26 goal differential, while the Citizens are just the second best team in the Premier Leaague. It will be quite tough for City to come away with a win here, but a close loss with an away goal would still be a solid result. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-20 | Kings -5.5 v. Warriors | 112-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings. The Warriors have lost six straight, and four of those games were decided by double digits. They host one of the league's hottest teams, a Sacramento Kings squad that has won five of seven, including a win over the Clippers in LA in their last game. The Kings have owned the Warriors in recent seasons, covering the spread in each of the last six meetings, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six at Golden State. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games, and they are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home. Take SAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-20 | Suns v. Jazz -7.5 | 131-111 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Utah Jazz. Utah has come out of the All Star break and lost back to back home games to San Antonio and Houston. I will forgive them for their sloppy start to the second half (post All Star), and I don't think there is any way in hell they drop a third consecutive home game tonight versus Phoenix. The Suns are coming off a road win at Chicago, after losing by double digits to Toronto. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. The Jazz are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. The Suns are 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Utah. Expect the home team to win by double digits. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-20 | Pelicans -8 v. Warriors | 115-101 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. I had the Pelicans in their win over Portland on Friday, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "New Orleans went into the All Star break as one of the hotter teams in the league. They are finally healthy, and this young team is causing plenty of excitement around the league. They catch a break here on Friday, facing a Blazers team without Damian Lillard. The Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall." They are in Golden State tonight, and the Warriors have lost five straight. This couldn't be a bigger mismatch. Take NO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-20 | Pacers v. Raptors -4.5 | 81-127 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. I had the Raptors on Friday, and they beat the Phoenix Suns by double digits. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "the Raptors are defending NBA Champions, and their record this year isn't any different than it was this time last year. The media doesn't really believe in the Raptors, but then again they thought Toronto would get swept in the Finals last year." Toronto has now won 16 of their last 17 overall, and eight straight home games. They covered the spread in six of those eight home games, and they won by double digits in six of those eight games. The Pacers are 13-27 ATS in the last 40 meetings in Toronto. This line should be almost double what it is. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-20 | 76ers v. Bucks -8.5 | 98-119 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. After the Sixers rallied at home to beat the Nets, Joel Embiid told reporters that he was the best player in the world. Embiid is delusional, and so are Philly fans if they think this team is going anywhere in the playoffs. The Sixers can't win on the road, and that will mean that they aren't going to have home court advantage in the post-season. They are on the road tonight, facing the best team in the NBA. Philly has won four straight, but their last defeat was a double digit loss here in Wisconsin. The Sixers have failed to cover in four of their last five in Milwaukee, and I see no reason to "buck" that trend here tonight. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-20 | Grizzlies +11 v. Lakers | 105-117 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies lost a close game at Sacramento last night, and normally playing the second game of a back to back is considered to be a significant disadvantage. This might not be the case in this situation however though, with the Lakers playing their first game back from the All Star Break and the Grizzlies being a young team playing for just the second time in over a week. I lost my bet with the Grizzlies last night, but I was happy with their effort. The fact is that the Kings hit 19-of-39 three point attempts, making it almost impossible for the Grizzlies to keep up. The fact that they rallied to within a point in the final seven seconds says a lot about their character, and I hope to see them play the same way tonight in LA. The Lakers could be caught looking ahead to a marquee matchup versus the Celtics on Sunday. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-20 | Suns v. Raptors -7.5 | 101-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Suns have covered the spread in 10 straight meetings versus Toronto, but this is one trend I don't think will hold. Let's be real about this.. the Raptors are defending NBA Champions, and their record this year isn't any different than it was this time last year. The media doesn't really believe in the Raptors, but then again they thought Toronto would get swept in the Finals last year. Toronto will be a 7.5 point favorite tonight, a smaller number than we saw in each of the last six meetings. The Suns have failed to cover in four straight road games and seven of their last eight overall. Toronto had won 15 straight before losing in Brooklyn in their final game before the break. They have covered in six straight coming off a loss. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-20 | Grizzlies +1 v. Kings | Top | 125-129 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
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This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. Memphis was one of the league's hottest teams heading into the All Star break, winning 15 of their last 19 games. They are an underdog on the road at Sacramento tonight, and the Kings are not really in the hunt for the playoffs this season. The Kings have a controversy brewing, as the rumors are that Buddy Hield wants out of Sacramento. He's unhappy with his role coming off the bench, and believes he is a starter in the league (guess he's not familiar with Lou Williams). We can expect the visitors to be more focused here as they continue their pursuit for the post season. Memphis has more road wins than the Kings have at home, and they are a tighter unit right now. "For some reason, we didn't feel the need to try to play much defense tonight," said coach Luke Walton after losing their last game. "We couldn't stop their top guys and when we did, it just didn't feel like we had the passion and desire that it takes to win, especially on the road, in this league." It looks like Walton isn't getting his players to buy in, and that is likely going to be an issue moving forward. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule   |
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02-19-20 | Michigan v. Rutgers -1 | 60-52 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 1* free play on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Michigan is the bigger basketball brand, and that can be the only explanation for why this line is so close to a pickem. Rutgers has a better overall record, and they are 17-0 at home. Michigan has been brutal on the road, losing five of seven games and averaging under 70 points per game in that span. Rutgers has the better conference record, and their last home game was a double digit win over a ranked team (Illinois). Rutgers has been lights on defensively at home, allowing just 57.5 points per game. This line probably should be 3-4 points higher than it is. Take Rutgers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-20 | Lokomotive Leipzig +0.5 v. Tottenham Hotspur | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Leipzig +0.5. Tottenham is coming off a 3-2 win at Aston Villa, and Son Heung Min scored the winning goal in injury time. We have since learned that Son will likely miss the rest of the year with a broken arm. Already without Harry Kane, and struggling on defense, it's going to take a miracle for Tottenham to avoid crashing out of the Champions League. Jose Mourino's squad was quite fortunate to have won their last match against a bottom feeder in the Premier League. This is a huge step up in class facing a team that is competing for top spot in the Bundesliga. Take Leipzig. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-20 | Baylor v. Oklahoma +3.5 | Top | 65-54 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. The #1 ranked Baylor Bears come into Oklahoma as winners of 22 straight. They are 12-0 in the BIG12, and they are 11-0 on the road. You've got to have BIG BRASS TACKS to bet against a team that hasn't lost since November ... but sign me up! The Bears keep winning, but rarely are they blowing teams out. Four of their last five road games were single digit wins, and all five of those games came against teams that trail Oklahoma in the standings. They won by a score of 61-57 at home versus Oklahoma just a few weeks ago. The Sooners are 11-1 at home, and they won their last two home games by a combined 39 points against #13 ranked West Viriginia and Iowa State. The underdog has covered in five of the last six meetings between these two teams. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-14-20 | Leicester +0.5 v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Leicester City. The Wolverhampton Wanderers will host Leicester on Friday, and we might expect an exciting game here. Leicester comes in just a point behind Manchester City in the Premier League standings, while Wolves are firmly in the top half of the table. The Wanderers are 1-2-2 in their last five matches, and they have 11 draws in 25 matches. Only Arsenal has more draws so far this season. Two of the last three head to head matches have resulted in a draw, so if you fancy a long-shot bet you might want to consider a draw here. I think a better bet might be on both teams to score, as Leicester hasn't been held scoreless in 10 straight matches. Wolves have scored 18 goals in a dozen home matches, and Leicester has conceded a dozen goals in a dozen away matches. Perhaps the best bet though is on Leicester as an underdog, given that Wolves has won just four of 12 home matches, and Leicester has lost just four of 12 away matches. Take LEI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-20 | Michigan v. Northwestern +7 | 79-54 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
5* |
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02-12-20 | Pistons v. Magic -7 | 112-116 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Orlando Magic. Orlando is still a playoff team in the Eastern Conference, while the Pistons right now might be driving a large metal vehicle on tracks (tank). The Pistons have lost three straight, and two of those losses came at home against teams with a losing record. With the All Star break coming up, we shouldn't expect a big effort from this Detroit team on the road tonight. The history between these teams favors the home team, which has won nine of the last 10. The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Orlando. Take ORL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-20 | Heat v. Blazers -3 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Blazers. Portland is making a run for the post-season, which really shouldn't surprise anyone. If you have been paying attention over the last several years, you should remember that this is a team that has started slow only to dominate in the second half of the season, and then they have made plenty of noise in the playoffs. It seems like Dame Time has arrived, as Damian Lillard has scored 40+ points in six of his last nine games. It's not surprising that the Blazers have won six of their last nine games. They take on a shorthanded Miami Heat team tonight. Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro are expected to sit out tonight. The Blazers have covered in four straight home games, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Miami. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-20 | Notre Dame +1.5 v. Clemson | 61-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish. At first glance we can see that the Clemson Tigers are 9-4 at home, while the Irish have lost four of six road games. Look a little closer and you can see that Clemson has lost four of six, and their two wins during that span came by a combined four points. The Irish on the other hand have won four of six, and their two losses during that span came by a combined three points. Notre Dame lost by just a single point on the road at #5 ranked Florida State in it's last road game. The Irish are 5-2 straight up in the last seven head to head meetings, and they have won two of the last three at Clemson. Take ND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-20 | Boise State +9.5 v. Utah State | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boise State Broncos. Boise State will be a big underdog on the road at Utah State tonight, and the Broncos come in as winners of five straight overall. One of those wins was an 88-83 home win over the Aggies. That game went to overtime, and close games between these teams have been the norm. These two teams have played eight straight games decided by six points or less, and each of the last two meetings went to overtime. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and the road team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-20 | St Bonaventure v. Duquesne -3.5 | 83-80 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Duquesne Dukes.
St. Bonnaventure has had plenty of success against the Dukes, in fact they have seven straight and nine of the last 10 versus Duquesne. There are plenty of reasons to expect them to struggle on the road here in this game. The Dukes are 9-1 at home, and they are coming off a double digit road win at Saint Louis. The Bonnies are just 5-5 on the road, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five as an underdog. The Dukes have allowed opponents to score fewer than 60 points per game at home. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-20 | Grizzlies +6 v. 76ers | 107-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Sixers are really struggling, coming into tonight's game as losers of four straight. While they have struggled on the road, they are still 22-2 at home. This isn't an easy home game though, playing the second game of a back to back, facing a Memphis team that has won 13 of it's last 16. The Grizzlies have all the momentum, and they are getting a ton of points here all things considered. The Sixers have failed to cover in five of their last six when playing on no rest, and the starters logged plenty of minutes in Milwaukee last night. I have a tough time believing that a team that is playing so poorly can simply flip the switch just because they are back home. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-20 | Kent State v. Northern Illinois +2 | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies. The Huskies lost both games against Kent State in 2019, and they look to return the favor here in 2020. They already beat the Golden Flashes by a score of 76-69 on the road earlier this year, and they will be an underdog here at home in the second meeting. Kent State may have a better overall record, but the Huskies have a better record in the MAC, and they have won five straight overall. The Golden Flashes appear to be currently overvalued, failing to cover in six straight as a road favorite, and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall. The Huskies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog, and the underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-20 | LSU v. Vanderbilt +12 | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 27 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. I cashed in a winner with Vanderbilt on Saturday, and here is what I said prior to their loss to Florida. "The Vanderbilt Commodores are in last place in the SEC, and they have lost plenty of games by double digits. They are coming off a nine point loss on the road at 1st place Kentucky. They easily covered a 20+ point spread in that game, and they have played well against the top teams in the conference. They also lost by just four points at #5 ranked Auburn." The Tigers appear to be overvalued, coming in with an 8-0 record in the SEC. It's important to understand that LSU hasn't played any Top 25 teams, and the majority of their wins came in close games. Take VAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-20 | Grizzlies +5 v. Mavs | 121-107 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Mavs have already proved that they shouldn't be taken lightly just because Luka Doncic isn't in the lineup. They have won back to back games without him, and they are now 4-3 in their last seven when he doesn't play. They will face a particularly tough opponent tonight though, with the Grizzlies coming in as winners of 12 of their last 15 games. Dallas hasn't had a lot of success at home, with a record of just 14-12 on their home floor. The Mavericks are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. This looks like a good spot to take the points with a Grizzlies team that has plenty of momentum. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-20 | Oilers +1.5 v. Coyotes | 0-3 | Loss | -225 | 27 h 58 m | Show | |
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02-04-20 | Predators v. Jets +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the WPG Jets. I had the Jets as a home dog against St. Louis on Saturday, and here is what I said before the game: "The Jets have lost seven of their last eight overall, but each of their last two losses have come by just one goal. They out-shot the Boston Bruins 37-23 on Friday, but a bad bounce cost them the game. It's only a matter of time before the Jets snap out of this streak, and they look good as a home dog against the St. Louis Blues tonight. The Blues have lost four of their last five, and their one win during that span came by just one goal. Four of the last five head to head meetings have been decided by one goal." Take WPG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-20 | Pistons v. Grizzlies -8.5 | 82-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizz are coming off a double digit road loss to New Orleans, but they had won 11 of their previous 13 games. They still hold the eighth and final playoff spot in the West, but Porland is now on their heels sitting a game and a half back. They host the Pistons tonight, and Detroit comes off an overtime win at home over Denver on Sunday. Derrick Rose left the game after suffering a groin injury in the first half, and he should look to rest here in the second game of a back to back. The Pistons had lost five straight (all by double digits) prior to Sunday. Detroit is just 1-5 ATS when playing the second game of a back to back, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus Memphis. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-20 | 76ers v. Heat -2 | 106-137 | Win | 100 | 25 h 28 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -105 | 254 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco 49ERS. The Chiefs come into Super Bowl LIV as favorites, despite the fact that San Francisco has a better record. The 49ers are statistically better both on offense and defense, and they appear to have very few weaknesses. One thing that San Francisco doesn't have is Patrick Mahomes. There is no doubt that Mahomes is the one player that is most likely to directly influence the result of this game. As difficult as it is for me to bet against Mahomes, I am more than a little concerned about just how much pressure he will be facing. The 49ers don't need a great game from their quarterback, or any single player. If their defensive line can control the line of scrimmage the way they did against Green Bay, Mahomes might not be able to save the Chiefs. Kansas City has been very impressive in these playoffs, but let's not forget that they fell into a big hole in both their wins over Houston and Tennessee. It might not be so easy to come from behind against this San Francisco team. Â Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-20 | Oilers +1.5 v. Flames | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Edmonton Oilers. The Battle of Alberta resumes tonight in Calgary, and the Edmonton Oilers have a score to settle. The Oilers lost 4-3 at home to Calgary last week, and both previous meetings in 2020 have been decided by one goal. Going back much further, five of the last 10 head to head meetings have been one goal games. I'll take Edmonton to at least keep in close in this revenge game. Take EDM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-20 | Florida v. Vanderbilt +12 | 61-55 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. The Vanderbilt Commodores are in last place in the SEC, and they have lost plenty of games by double digits. They are coming off a nine point loss on the road at 1st place Kentucky. They easily covered a 20+ point spread in that game, and they have played well against the top teams in the conference. They also lost by just four points at #5 ranked Auburn. The Gators are coming off three straight losses, and they may be hard pressed to cover such a big number. Take VAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-20 | Bruins v. Wild +1.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -195 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
5* |
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02-01-20 | Blues v. Jets +1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the WPG Jets +1.5. The Jets have lost seven of their last eight overall, but each of their last two losses have come by just one goal. They out-shot the Boston Bruins 37-23 on Friday, but a bad bounce cost them the game. It's only a matter of time before the Jets snap out of this streak, and they look good as a home dog against the St. Louis Blues tonight. The Blues have lost four of their last five, and their one win during that span came by just one goal. Four of the last five head to head meetings have been decided by one goal. Take WPG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-20 | Houston v. Cincinnati -3 | 62-64 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Cincinnati Bearcats. Cincinnati is likely better than their record indicates, and they look to prove just that with a home win over rivals Houston on Saturday. Cincinnati has a home record of 9-1 this season, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The improved play of Jarron Cumberland has played a role in the Bearcats recent success. "I didn't coach him last year. I just know what I see now," coach Brannen said of Cumberland. "He's definitely healthy. A big part of him being on the ball more is he's in great shape. He's able to do what he's capable of doing. Great players make the game easier for others. That's where Jarron is right now." This Cincinnati team appears primed to make a move in the American Conference. Take CIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-20 | Wolves v. Clippers +4 | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
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02-01-20 | Michigan State -5 v. Wisconsin | 63-64 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan State. The Wolverines come into Madison looking to take advantage of an undermanned Wisconsin team. The Badgers are in a bad place right now, with leading scorer Kobe King leaving the team, and starting guard Brad Davison serving a suspension. Wisconsin is coming off back to back road losses at Iowa and Purdue, and they have lost three of their last four overall. They scored just 55 points in a double digit loss at East Lansing in January, and it's going to be tough to do any better here on Saturday. The Spartans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Take MSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-20 | Northeastern v. William & Mary -2.5 | 58-59 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CWM. The Tribe are coming off a rare home loss to Towson, and here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The Tribe have been the class of the CAA so far, winning six of seven games in conference play. They are an absolute juggernaut at home, and their last three home games were double digit wins over UNC Wilmington, Charleston and James Madison. They have now covered the spread in six straight home games." They are back on their home court Wednesday night against Northeastern. The Huskies last road game was a loss to last place UNC Wilmington, and they are coming into tonight's game off a home loss to Delaware. The Tribe won a close game at Northeastern earlier this season. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-20 | Suns v. Grizzlies -2 | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have won eight of their last 10 overall, and four of their last five home games. They are just a small favorite here on Sunday versus Phoenix, and history doesn't favor the Suns here. The Suns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. Coming off a close win over an uninsprired Spurs team, they should be primed for a let down here against the grittier Grizzlies. The Grizzlies come in with the NBA's seventh-best 2-point field-goal average at 53.3 percent. Take Memphis. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-20 | Towson v. William & Mary -6 | Top | 70-58 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on William and Mary. The Tribe have been the class of the CAA so far, winning six of seven games in conference play. They are an absolute juggernaut at home, and their last three home games were double digit wins over UNC Wilmington, Charleston and James Madison. They have now covered the spread in six straight home games. The Tribe won a close game at Towson last year, and in 2018 they won both meetings by double digits. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, and I think the Tribe deserve to be closer to a double digit favorite here. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-20 | James Madison v. William & Mary -9 | 75-88 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the College of William and Mary. The Tribe have been the class of the CAA so far, winning six of seven games in conference play. They are an absolute juggernaut at home, and their last two home games were double digit wins over UNC Wilmington and Charleston. The James Madison Dukes have lost six of seven games in conference play, and they are 1-6 straight up in their last seven versus the Tribe. The Dukes are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. The Tribe are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-20 | Red Wings v. Wild -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 104 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Minnesota Wild. The Detroit Red Wings have lost five straight, and four of those five losses came by at least two goals. In fact six of their last seven losses were by more than one goal. They have lost three of their last four visits to Minnesota, and all three losses were by more than one goal. Minnesota is still battling for a playoff spot, and can't afford to overlook an inferior opponent. Detroit's veteran goaltender Jimmy Howard is now 0-13-2 in his last 15 starts. The Red Wings are 0-6 in their last six in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-20 | 76ers v. Raptors -6 | 95-107 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Sixers come into Toronto as winners of four straight, and people are talking about how they haven't missed Joel Embiid. Let's put things in perspective though, they have won four games against teams with a losing record. The Raptors don't just have a winning record, they are defending NBA Champions. Despite being hit hard by injuries, they sit just a game back of second place Miami. Marc Gasol, Fred Van Fleet and Pascal Siakam have all returned to the lineup, and Toronto has scored an average of 128.5 points during a four game winning streak. The 76ers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 2-7 ATS in the last nine meetings in Toronto. The play is on TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-20 | St. Louis +2.5 v. Davidson | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Saint Louis Bilikens. The Davidson Wildcats are still one of the more recognizable brands in the Atlantic-10 Conference. They have been far more successful than Saint Louis over the last decade, but so far this season there is no doubt that the Bilikens have been the better team. Saint Louis is 14-4 overall, and three of their four losses came against ranked teams. The one loss against an unranked opponent came against a Duquesne team that is on the cusp of being ranked. They are 3-2 in conference play, and both losses came against the top two teams in the conference. Most recently they lost in overtime on a buzzer beater by a score of 78-76 at home versus Dayton. These two teams split the season series in 2019, and Saint Louis won by 20+ points at Davidson. They had previous lost to the Wildcats by a single point at home earlier in 2019. I think the Bilikens should be the favorite here. Take SLU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-20 | Florida +2.5 v. LSU | 82-84 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Florida Gators. While LSU sits at the top of the SEC with a perfect 5-0 record in conference play, they have yet to play any of the top teams. The majority of their wins came in close games against the weaker teams in the SEC. Wins over Arkansas, Mississippi State and Mississippi came by a combined seven points. History doesn't bode well for the Tigers as a home favorite versus Florida, with the home team losing outrihgt in four of the last five head to head meetings. Florida is coming off back to back wins by a combined 38 points. They held #4 ranked Auburn to just 47 points in their last game. Take FLA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers -7.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 103 | 118 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the 49ers. The Packers took advantage of a banged up Seattle team at home, and they barely hung on in the second half of that game. Seattle outscored them 20-7 after halftime, and they will need to avoid another blowout loss in San Francisco. The 49ers beat them by 29 points in San Francisco earlier in the season. Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times and threw for just 104 yards on 20-of-33 passing. As much as you could call this a revenge game, the Packers might not be equipped to do anything about the ferocious San Francisco pass rush. The Packers are thin at several key positions, and they have a rookie head coach. An interesting stat to keep in mind is that over the last five seasons, seven times we've seen Conference Championship games featuring teams that played during the regular season. The team that won the first meeting has won six of those seven games. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-20 | Oregon State +4.5 v. Washington | Top | 56-64 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Oregon State. The Beavers are getting a bunch of points on the road at Washington, and history tells us that the underdog has been the play in recent meetings. These teams have gone to overtime three times in the last five head to head meetings. The underdog has covered the spread in four of those games. The Huskies are shorthanded, with their starting PG missing the last two games since being ruled academically inelligeble. Quade Green leads the team in assists, and he's the Huskies best free throw shooter and he's also their biggest threat from beyond the arc. Green isn't available until late March. The Huskies are 0-2 without him, failing to score 60 points in each of those losses. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. I'll take the points. Take ORST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-20 | Pistons v. Celtics -10.5 | 116-103 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. Boston is coming off back to back double digit home wins, one of those a win over New Orleans by a whopping 35 points. The Pistons on the other hand come into the Garden as losers of 12 of their last 15 overall. Most recently they lost at home in overtime to the Pelicans, and New Orleans was without Brandon Igram, JJ Reddick, Derrick Favors and Jrue Holliday. The Pistons can't even beat one of the worst teams in the league with four starters out of the lineup on their home floor. It's hard to expect them to compete against a healthy Celtics team that is 16-3 at home. The Pistons are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 road games, and they have lost back to back visits to Boston by a combined 28 points. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU -5.5 | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 360 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LSU. After being held scoreless in the first 20+ minutes in the Fiesta Bowl, the Tigers scored a pair of TDs in the final three minutes of the first half. They held the Buckeyes to just seven points in the second half, and ended up winning 29-23. They will no doubt have to play better here against LSU, but I really don't see anybody stopping Joe Burrows. LSU scored 49 first half points against the Sooners in the Peach Bowl, and they held Oklahoma to just 28 points. LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and they have covered the spread in four of their last five bowl games. The under is 13-6 in Clemson's last 19 bowl games. The total for this game is higher than in any of Clemson's last 10 games. I like LSU to win, holding Clemson under 30 points. Take LSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks +4 v. Packers | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -105 | 161 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The Packers will be four point favorite at home versus Seattle, and this is a game that figures to be decided in the fourth quarter. The Seahawks beat the Packers by a score of 27-24 at home last year, and the last time these two teams met in the playoffs the Seahawks won in overtime in a thriller. As much as Green Bay has the home field advantage, the Seahawks won seven of eight games on the road this season. The Seahawks are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 road games. At this point it appears that Russell Wilson is a better quarterback than Aaron Rodgers, and the defense looked great in Philly last week. The Packers deserve to be the favorite, but it might be wise to take the points in a game that could go either way. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-20 | Texans +9.5 v. Chiefs | 31-51 | Loss | -120 | 171 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Texans. The Chiefs are a double digit home favorite against the Texans, and historically these two teams have been pretty evenly matched. They are 4-4 in the last eight head to head meetings, and only one of the last seven meetings were decided by double digits. The Texans are 3-2 in their last five games at Kansas City, and only one of those two losses came by as many as 10 points. The Chiefs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 playoff games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six home playoff games. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-20 | Titans +10.5 v. Ravens | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 153 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Tennessee Titans. The Titans held the Patriots scoreless in the second half at Foxboro on Wild Card Weekend, and Derek Henry ran wild. Mike Vrabel will likely look to continue to pound away with his power running game, especially given the weather here in Baltimore. The Ravens are perfectly comfortable running the ball, and with both teams leaning on the run we should see the clock run. The Ravens defense held opponents to just over 17 points per game this season, while Tennessee allowed just over 20 points per game. Lamar Jackson tore up the league this year, but it remains to be seen if that success will translate in the post-season. It didn't last year, in a 23-17 loss to the Chargers. He completed less than 50 percent of his passes for 194 yards, 2 TDs and an INT. Both his touchdowns came in garbage time after the Ravens trailed 23-3 in the fourth quarter. The under is 5-1 in the Titans last six playoff road games, and the Ravens have gone under in six straight home playoff games. This game has the potential to be very close, and an upset isn't out of the question. Take TEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-20 | Vikings +7 v. 49ers | 10-27 | Loss | -115 | 142 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings were an 8* underdog in New Olreans last week, and there were plenty of questions heading into that game. Was Dalvin Cook healthy? Can Kirk Cousins step up in a big game? Can their defense keep them in the game? I bet on the Vikings, and here is what I said prior to that game: "There is no question that the Saints are the better team, and they deserve to be the favorite at home in the dome. The question is, how much better are the Saints than the Vikings? New Orleans won three more games than Minnesota during the regular season, but three of the Vikings six losses came in games decided by seven points or less. Kirk Cousins doesn't have the same resume as Drew Brees, but he's younger and he's perfectly capable of outplayng his counterpart. Dalvin Cook might be the best running back in the NFL when healthy, and he will be ready to go for this game. The Vikings defense allowed fewer yards and fewer points than the Saints. The Saints are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite, and I think it might be asking too much for them to win by more than a TD." As far as I am concerned, the Vikings answered all those questions last week. Give me seven points and I'll take the underdog all day. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-20 | Celtics +2.5 v. 76ers | 98-109 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics have lost back to back games, first in Washington without leading scorer Kemba Walker, and then again last night at home versus the Spurs. Walker returned to action last night but was ejected for the first time in his career after getting hit with a pair of technical fouls. After such an embarrassing home loss, you can expect to see the Celtics playing with purpose here in Philly just 24 hours later. The Sixers are reeling, coming into this game as losers of four of their last five. Making matters worse, Joel Embiid will not play after dislocating his finger against Oklahoma City. The Celtics have had plenty of success against Philly in recent seasons. They are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings, and they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings in Philadelphia. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-20 | Spurs +6.5 v. Celtics | 129-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-06-20 | Bucks v. Spurs +8 | 104-126 | Win | 100 | 31 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs host the Bucks in the second game of a home and home series after losing by nine in Milwaukee on Saturday. It seems reasonable to expect a much closer game here in San Antonio, where the Spurs are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. The Bucks have lost three of their last four at San Antonio, and the one game they won came by a seven point margin. The Spurs are 6-3 straight up om their last nine home games, and their last home loss came by just three points. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-20 | Vikings +9 v. Saints | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 109 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings.
There is no question that the Saints are the better team, and they deserve to be the favorite at home in the dome. The question is, how much better are the Saints than the Vikings? New Orleans won three more games than Minnesota during the regular season, but three of the Vikings six losses came in games decided by seven points or less. Kirk Cousins doesn't have the same resume as Drew Brees, but he's younger and he's perfectly capable of outplayng his counterpart. Dalvin Cook might be the best running back in the NFL when healthy, and he will be ready to go for this game. The Vikings defense allowed fewer yards and fewer points than the Saints. The Saints are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite, and I think it might be asking too much for them to win by more than a TD. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-20 | Titans v. Patriots -4.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots. After an embarrassing home loss to the Dolphins, everyone is predicting the end of the Patriots Dynasty. There is no doubt that New England isn't as mighty as they once were, but keep in mind that they also lost to Miami last Decemnber, and they went on the win the Super Bowl. They beat a very solid Buffalo Bills team by seven points the previous week, and they still have the NFL's # 1 scoring defense. The Titans looked sharp last week, beating the Texans backups, but had lost back to back games the previous two weeks. The Patriots are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 playoff games as a favorite, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight playoff home games. It's going to take a lot more than +4.5 points to tempt me to bet against Belichick and Brady in a January game at Foxboro. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-20 | Wisconsin v. Oregon +3 | Top | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 555 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oregon Ducks. My regular season Game of the Year was a winner with the Ducks as an underdog versus Washington. Then I bet on the Ducks again in the PAC12 Championship game, and once again they won outright as an underdog. The PAC12 doesn't get a lot of respect these days, but PAC12 teams have owned the Rose Bowl. Oregon deserves a little more respect, already going toe to toe with the likes of Auburn, USC, Washington and Utah. The Badgers played Ohio State twice this season, giving up over 70 points and losing both games. This Oregon team is a lot more like Ohio State than Michigan and Iowa. Take ORE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-20 | Michigan +7.5 v. Alabama | 16-35 | Loss | -105 | 39 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Michigan Wolverines. If this was a playoff game, you might feel comfortable backing Alabama to win by double digits. Both these teams came into this season expecting to make the playoffs, but a News Day Bowl game is still an accomplishment for the Wolverines. That's not the case for the Crimson Tide, and Alabama has a history of suffering a let down in these type of situations. A few years ago they were blown out in a loss to Oklahoma in the Sugar Bowl. This game has that same sort of feel to it. The Wolverines should be the more motivated team here, and I'll take the points. Take MICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-19 | Texas +7.5 v. Utah | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. |
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12-31-19 | 76ers v. Pacers +1 | 97-115 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Indiana. The Pacers are one of the top home teams in the NBA, with a record of 14-3 at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The Sixers are also great at home, but they really struggle on the road with a record of just 7-10. The Pacers are just a game back in the overall Eastern Conference standings, and they look good as a home dog here versus Philly. Ben Simmons missed practice on Monday, and his status for tonight's game is in question. The 76ers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite, and they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-19 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | Top | 26-21 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
10* |
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12-29-19 | Eagles v. Giants +4.5 | Top | 34-17 | Loss | -109 | 127 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYG. If you checked last Sunday's scores, you might think that the Eagles beat the Cowboys last week? Well I watched that game quite closely, and let me tell you that Dallas beat the Cowboys. Poor decisions from head coach Jason Garrett beat the Cowboys. A boat load of dropped balls by the Dallas receivers beat the Cowboys. On a crucial 3rd and 1 late in the game, with Dallas having an opportunity to take the lead, they ran a toss to Tony Pollard that lost yards. Zeke Elliott was on the bench. Philly is a mess, banged up in the secondary and in their receiving corps. Zack Ertz has fractured ribs, and they come into New York asked to cover a bunch of points. My money is on Danny Dimes and Saquon to terrorize this Eagles team, and I think the Giants win outright. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-19 | Pistons v. Spurs -4.5 | 109-136 | Win | 100 | 30 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. |
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