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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-03-24 | Clippers +8 v. Mavs | 101-114 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LAC. The Clippers lost at home by 30 points in Game 5, and they face elimination in Dallas in Game 6. I expect a better effort from LA, and they should improve on their 37.9 percent shooting from the field in Game 5. The Mavs shot 54 percent from the field in LA, and they should suffer some regression to the mean here at home. This line appears to be a bit inflated, and that may be due to recency bias. I'll take the Clippers in a revenge spot getting a bunch of points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-27-24 | Brentford v. Everton | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Everton. While Brentford sits two points ahead of Everton in the Premier League table, the Toffees have two more wins. A points deduction for rules violations have them flirting with the relegation zone, but a win here at home would put them on pretty firm ground. They are on top form, coming off consecutive home wins both by a score of 2-0. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored three goals in his last four matches, and I fancy him to net at least one more here today. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-22-24 | 76ers v. Knicks -5.5 | 101-104 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NYK. Embiid scored 29 points in Game 1, but he was carried off the court in the second quarter after re-injuring his knee. If there is any swelling since Game 1, Embiid could be seriously limited in Game 2. The chances of his doing further damage to this injury would appear to be quite high. Keep in mind he scored 23 points in the Play-in game versus Miami, and he averaged just over 23 points per game in each of the last two years in the post-season. Note that the Knicks ranked #1 in the Eastern Conference in opponent's scoring average. Maxey is also questionable with an illness, piling on the problems for the Sixers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-14-24 | Hawks v. Pacers -14 | 115-157 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IND. The Hawks have already penciled in a date with the Chicago Bulls in the play-in, making this game absolutely meaningless. The situation is not so simple for the Pacers, who are tied with Orlando and Philly, and they need a win to ensure they don't slip into the 7th spot and a play-in game versus the 8th seed. If the Hawks starters see the court for any significant minutes, I would be shocked. This should be a one-sided affair. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-13-24 | Wild v. Sharks +1.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -130 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SJS +1.5. The Sharks are not a good hockey team, but this might be a good spot for them playing their final home game against a Minnesota Wild team that has recently been eliminated for the playoffs and was blown out by a score of 7-2 in Las Vegas last night. Since Marc Andre Fleury got the start last night, we should see Filip Gustavson between the pipes tonight. He's lost four of his last five starts, and he's allowed nine goals in his last two starts. The Sharks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-13-24 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET +1.5. The Maple Leafs are currently sitting in 5th in the East, and their chances of catching 4th place Florida are pretty slim sitting five points back. The Red Wings are still fighting for a Wild Card spot, sitting just one point back of eighth place Pittsburgh. Detroit has lost seven of their last nine overall, but the Wings are 10-1 ATS in those games. They have won three of their last four versus Toronto, and they are 4-0 ATS in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut -6.5 | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on UCONN. The Huskies are 36-3 and all three of their losses came on the road. They have been crushing the opposition, winning 11 straight NCAA Tournament games by double digits. Purdue on the other hand has struggled at times against Tennessee and Wisconsin in the BIG10 Tourney. Zack Edey has been dominant, but he draws a tougher matchup here against another 7-foot star in Donovan Clingan. The Huskies held San Diego State to 24 points in the first half of the Natty last year. One of these teams has championship pedigree and the other has a history of choking in big games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-07-24 | Astros +1.5 v. Rangers | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Houston. The Astros have just two wins in nine games, but one of those was a no-hitter for 30 year old Ronelo Blanco. To say that Blanco came into the season off a hot spring would be understating it. He struck out 18 batters while tossing 15 2/3 innings in five appearances. You can't call it luck because he has a career ERA of 0.24 over 38 innings in spring since 2020. Dane Dunning is 0-2 with an ERA of 5.46 and 26 strikeouts in 7 appearances against the Astros in his career. Jose Altuve is 6-for-12 (.500) with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Dunning. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Ducks +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -165 | 19 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ANA +1.5. The Kraken will be a road favorite at Anaheim in a meaningless late season game between two teams that won't be going to the playoffs. These type of situations normally favor the home team, but Anaheim has lost three of their last four home games versus Seattle. A closer look reveals that the Ducks are 5-0 ATS as a puckline underdog in their last five home games versus the Kraken. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-24 | Warriors v. Mavs -5 | 106-108 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on DAL. The Warriors 133-110 win over Houston last night sets them up for a massive let down here in the second game of a back to back and third game in four nights. Last night's win pretty much ended any hope for Houston to catch the Warriors for the final play in spot. The Warriors beat the Mavs 104-100 at home on Tuesday, adding a revenge angle for Dallas. The Mavs still have plenty to play for, sitting just a game out of the play in and two games out of 4th in the West. Steve Kerr has been quite vocal about limiting the minutes for Steph Curry in recent weeks, this looks like a good spot for Curry to either sit out or play a limited role. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-24 | Diamondbacks v. Braves -1.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -128 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ATL. The Braves will be a massive favorite in Game 1 of this home series versus Arizona, as the pitching matchup looks rather one-sided. Spencer Strider will toe the slab for Atlanta, and the Braves ace looked sharp in a win at Philly in his debut. The D'Backs hand the ball to Tommy Henry, who got torched for five runs on six hits over four innings in a home loss to Colorado in his debut. Henry struggled this spring, allowing 13 runs on 29 hits over 22 innings in seven appearances. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-24 | Canucks v. Coyotes +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ARI +1.5. The Canucks have lost three straight, but they still sit comfortably in first in the Pacific five points ahead of Edmonton. They play the second game of a back to back on the road tonight in Arizona, and they got thrashed in a 6-3 loss Vegas last night. You would assume third string goalie Aturs Silvos will start in net for Vancouver tonight, and he allowed two goals on 22 shots in a 3-2 home win over Anaheim in his NHL debut over the weekend. While Vancouver has won three of the last four head to head meetings, all three wins came in games decided by one goal. Arizona has won five of their last eight, and Josh Doan (son of Coyotes legend Shane Doan) has a pair of goals and three assists in three games since being called up. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-24 | Guardians +1.5 v. Mariners | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on CLE. The Mariners are 0-5 AS A RUNLINE FAVORITE, with all three of their wins coming by just one run. We are expecting a pitcher's duel here in Seattle tonight. Luis Castillo will toe the slab for Seattle, and he was roughed up by Boston in his season debut. He allowed four runs on six hits and two walks over just five innings. Cleveland will hand the ball to Shane Beiber, who won the Cy Young in 2020. He tossed six scoreless innings, striking out 11 in a win over Oakland in his season debut. Beiber tossed six scoreless innings in his only start versus Seattle last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-24 | Ducks v. Canucks -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -163 | 17 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VAN. The Canucks have lost back to back games, but the first place team in the Pacific is in a good spot here at home versus Anaheim on Sunday. The Ducks are not going to the playoffs, and they lost 6-1 in Edmonton yesterday. With the Ducks playing the second game of a back to back, this looks like a "get right" game for Vancouver. The Ducks have lost six straight in this series, and their last trip to Vancouver was a 3-1 defeat back in Novermber. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-28-24 | Predators v. Coyotes +1.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. Here is what I said prior to the Coyotes 6-2 win over Columbus: "Neither of these teams are heading to the playoffs, so who is going to be motivated here in Arizona? Well the Coyotes have been competitive at home all year long, and they do have a winning record on home ice. They may have added motivation tonight with the son of Coyotes legend Shane Doan making his NHL debut. The former collegiate player leads all rookies in the AHL with 26 goals and 46 points for the Tuscon Roadrunners. The Coyotes have won three straight head to head versus the Jackets. Columbus has lost eight of it's last 10 overall and five straight on the road." Doan scored two goals in his debut, and the Yotes should be all fired up here as he gets set to play his second career game in the NHL. I like Arizona as a home dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-26-24 | Lakers v. Bucks -8.5 | 128-124 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIL. The Lakers are coming off another controversial home win, beating Indiana by a score of 150-145. The Lakers had an edge of 43-16 in free throw attempts, which is nothing new if you have been paying attention this season. The Lakers have taken 420 more free throw attempts this season than their opponent, almost 200 more than the second-place Bucks (222) and well ahead of the third-place Celtics (218). This is the second straight season the Lakers have had, by far, the league's largest free throw disparity. We are expecting LeBron to sit out tonight's game in Milwaukee, and this looks like a let down spot for LA. The Bucks have won six straight at home, and this looks like a statement game for Giannis and company. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-25-24 | Nets -6.5 v. Raptors | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on BKN. |
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03-24-24 | Cavs v. Heat -4.5 | 84-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. The Cavs come into Miami without Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, Evan Mobely and Dean Wade. They are 4-8 in their last 12 games without Mitchell, but add in three more key players and it's tough to expect them to compete. Miami has had it's own injury woes, but Jimmy Butler is back, and the Heat have won three of their last four versus Cleveland. I like Miami to win and cover here against the shorthanded Cavs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Thunder -15 v. Raptors | 123-103 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OKC. The Thunder are tied for the best record in the West, and they will be a big favorite in Toronto tonight. The Raptors entire starting lineup is out, and the kids got blown out in a 34 point loss to Sacramento on Wednesday. Scottie Barnes, Emanuel Quickley and RJ Barrett are all out of the lineup. The Thunder have a pair of Canadians (SGA and Dort) who might be motivated to turn in a good performance in their home country. Expect another blowout loss for an undermanned Raptors team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | NC State v. Texas Tech -4.5 | 80-67 | Loss | -120 | 38 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TTU. Congratulations to NC State for doing the impossible and winning five games in five days to win the ACC Tournament and sneak into the NCAA Tourney. When is that last time we saw such a thing? How about two years ago when Virginia Tech did the same thing, only to be knocked out in the first round by a BIG12 team? Yeah it was a down year in the ACC, and the Wolpack had a losing record in conference play. Texas Tech is one of the best teams in the best conference in the country. They are the best in the BIG12 from the free throw line, and right up there in three-point shooting. This is a mismatch and Cinderella is gonna turn into a pumpkin as the clock strikes midnight.... Good Night! GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-24 | Magic -7 v. Raptors | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ORL. Some things are bigger than basketball, and a recent tragedy has hit the Raptors organization. RJ Barrett is going to be out for a while, and the rest of the team is likely to be affected as well. The Magic meanwhile are sitting in first place in the SouthEast, and they need to stand on business here north of the border. Orlando has won seven of their last 10, and three of those wins came on the road. They won by double digits at Washington and at Charlotte. The Raptors probably gonna mail it in tonight ... and who could blame them. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-24 | Suns -5.5 v. Cavs | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHX. The Cavs have been hit hard by injuries, and they got blown out at home versus the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday. Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, Dean Wade and Evan Mobely all missed Sunday's game. There is no indication that any of them are back tonight, and additionally Darius Garland suffered a wrist injury against the Nets, and we are awaiting updates. The Suns on the other hand are expected to get Devin Booker back tonight. Get in quick as the betting should be rather one sided on Phoenix. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-24 | Wolves +1.5 v. Lakers | 109-120 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. Since the injury to Karl Anthony Towns, the Wolves have not missed a beat. They are 3-1 without KAT this season, and the one loss came in OT at Cleveland in the second game of a back to back. The Lakers are coming off a win over the Bucks, with LeBron out. DeAngelo Russell scored a career high 44 points, shooting 17-of-25 from the field and making nine three-pointers. Expect some regression from him against one of the best defensive teams in the NBA. Both LeBron and AD carry a questionable tag heading into Sunday, which is normally of little concern. LeBron didn't play against the Bucks on Friday though, so he might be dealing with a more serious ailment. The Lakers are 3-7 straight up and 3-7 ATS in the last 10 versus Minnesota, losing both previous meetings this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-24 | Nevada v. Boise State -5.5 | 76-66 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Boise. The Broncos are tied with Utah State for the best record in the Mountain West, and they play their final home game tonight against Nevada. The Wolfpack have won five straight including road wins at Colorado State and UNLV. Their starting PG Kenan Blackshear has missed the last two games with an ankle injury, and he is questionable for tonight's game. The Broncos are 5-1 straight up in the last six head to head meetings and they are 3-0 at home during that span. Both these teams are allowing 66.6 points per game, ranking 2nd in the Mountain West in opponent's scoring. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-24 | Liberty v. Middle Tennessee +5.5 | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on MTSU. The Blue Raiders have won five straight home games, and yet they are an underdog against a Liberty team that is just 2-7 on the road. The Flames have been favored in each of their last five road games, and they lost all five of those. Final home game for Middle Tennessee, getting points... sign me up. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-24 | Arsenal -2 v. Sheffield United | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Arsenal. The Gunners are currently five points out of first place in the Premier League, and they need maximum points from this match at Sheffield to keep their title hopes alive. Arsenal owns a +17 goal differential in away matches, the best in the Premier League. Sheffield United owns a -24 goal differential in home matches. Their last two home matches were 5-0 losses to Brighton and Aston Villa. Arsenal won their last two away matches 5-0 at Burnley and 6-0 at West Ham. Relegation is inevitable for Sheffield. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-24 | Hornets v. Raptors -8 | 106-111 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
The Raptors will be without Scotty Barnes for a while, but they catch the Hornets at home in their first game since the injury. I expect the likes of Barrett and Quickley to pick up the slack against an inferior opponent. Barrett has only faced Charlotte once as a Raptor, scoring 23 on 9-of-15 shooting in a 123-117 win at Charlotte. The Raptors are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 versus Charlotte. The Raptors won and covered as a -12.5 favorite at home versus Charlotte in December. Barrett has gone over his points total in four of his last five games. Without Barnes in the lineup Toronto will really lean on RJ to carry the load. I like the Raptors to face little resistance here tonight, winning in a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-24 | Marquette v. Creighton -4.5 | 75-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays are 13-2 at home, and that includes a blowout win over then #1 ranked UCONN. They were catching the Huskies in a tough spot, and they catch Marquette in a similar spot here today. The Blues Jays only home losses came in OT to Villanova, and by one point versus Butler. They were leading at halftime in both those games. Marquette is coming off a big win over Providence, and they are in a sandwich spot here with UCONN on deck. That home game against UCONN is a revenge spot, as well as the Golden Eagles final home game. Then you have starting PG Tyler Kolek likely to miss this game with an oblique injury, and we can expect a let down here at Creighton. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-24 | South Carolina +4 v. Texas A&M | Top | 70-68 | Win | 100 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SOCAR. The Gamecocks are just one game out of first place in the SEC, and they are an underdog on the road at Texas A&M. The Aggies have lost four straight, and that includes a home loss to Arkansas. This is a revenge game for the Gamecocks, after losing at home to Texas A&M in January. South Carolina had won eight of the previous nine meetings between the two teams. These two teams are trending in opposite directions, and I'll take the points with the better team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-24 | Nets v. Magic -8 | 81-108 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Orlando. This looks like a let down spot for the Nets, who are playing the second game of a back to back on the road at Orlando. They got Kevin Ollie his first win as head coach last night at Memphis. They had lost four straight prior to that, and they are are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games on the road. This looks like a good spot for Orlando, and they have covered in five of their last six as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-24 | Raptors +6.5 v. Pacers | Top | 130-122 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR. The Pacers won in Toronto by a score of 127-125 before the All Star break, but they didn't cover as a two-point favorite. The underdog has covered in each of the last four meetings between these teams, and I expect that trend to continue tonight. This is a tough spot for Indiana, playing the second game of a back to back coming off a blowout win over the Mavericks. The Pacers are just 2-8 in back to backs this season, and the two games they won were both decided by just two points. One of those losses came at home by a score of 132-131 to Toronto, and the Pacers have allowed opponents to average 126 points in those 10 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-24 | Nets v. Wolves -7.5 | Top | 86-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN. The Timberwolves ran into a desperate Milwaukee team in their first game out of the All Star break, and despite rallying late they lost 112-107. They host the Brooklyn Nets in the second game of a back to back, and the Nets looked pretty awful in a 121-93 loss at Toronto. If that's any indication of how the team is responding to the interim head coach, Brooklyn could struggle down the stretch. Brooklyn are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against Minnesota, and they are 2-13 ATS in their last 15 games on the road. I expect the Wolves to bounce back with a double digit home win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-24 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt +1.5 | 76-64 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Vandy. The Bulldogs bring a six game losing streak into tonight's game at Vanderbilt, and they have struggled against the Commodores in recent seasons. Vanderbilt has won four in a row versus Georgia, covering the spread in three of those four wins. The Commodores have struggled this season, but their last home game was an impressive win over Texas A&M. They have covered the spread in three of their last four home games, and this looks like a good spot to back the home underdog in a very winnable game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-24 | Liberty v. Sam Houston State +4.5 | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on SHSU. Sam Houston is a half game out of first place in the C-USA, and they are 9-2 at home. They have beat the best teams in the conference at home (Western Kentucky and LA-Tech). Liberty comes in as a favorite, despite a 2-5 road record. It's fair to say that this Liberty team is overrated. They have been favored in four of their last five road games. They went 0-5 ATS and 1-4 straight up in those games. This looks like a clear case of the wrong team favored, and worthy of a sprinkle on the moneyline. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-24 | Kansas v. Oklahoma +2 | 67-57 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Oklahoma. Kansas is no longer the cream of the crop in the BIG12, and they find themselves in a tough spot here on the road at Oklahoma. Even at full strength, this team has struggled on the road losing five of seven. Their most recent road game was a 29 point loss at Texas Tech. Leading scorer Kevin McCullar Jr. didn't play, and he's still dealing with a bone bruise. Bill Self expressed optimism that McCullar can return to the lineup, but suggested his role might be limited. The Sooners are 13-2 at home, and just a game back of Kansas in the BIG12 standings. No way Kansas should be the favorite in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-24 | New Mexico State v. Western Kentucky -9 | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on WKU. The Hilltoppers host New Mexico State, and this is the ultimate revenge spot. I bet on New Mexico State in the last meeting, and I was fortunate to be on the right side of one of one of the wildest comebacks this conference has ever seen. The Aggies trailed by 23 points five minutes into the second half at home, and rallied to win the game outright. This team is 0-11 on the road, and I don't think they can count on another miracle here in Kentucky. The Hilltoppers are 11-1 at home, and their last home game was a double digit win over UTEP. Western Kentucky has covered in five of six, while the Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-13-24 | New Mexico v. Nevada | Top | 83-82 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NEV. The Wolfpack are 12-1 at home, and they have a revenge game on tap against New Mexico on Tuesday. The Lobos crushed Nevada at home earlier this season by a score of 89-55. The Wolfpack had won nine straight versus New Mexico prior to that. Nevada has won four of five, and three of those four wins came against ranked teams (San Diego State, Utah State and Colorado State). New Mexico has lost two of three, with their only win during that span coming at Wyoming. This looks like two teams trending in opposite directions, and a significant edge for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-24 | Brentford v. Wolverhampton Wanderers -0.25 | 2-0 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Wolves. Wolves have long been a tough team to face on their home pitch, and that hasn't changed this season. Wolverhampton has earned points in 8-of-11 home matches, and they come into Saturday's game against Brentford on top form. Wolves are 3-1-1 in their last five matches, including a win over Brentford in the FA Cup. Brentford has just one win in their last five matches, and they are winless in their last five matches versus Wolverhampton. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-24 | Raptors -6.5 v. Hornets | 123-117 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Raptors were blown out by the Pelicans in their last game, but that was the second game of a back to back after pushing Oklahoma City to the brink the night before. They should be in good shape here against a Hornets team that is in full on tank mode. The Hornets have lost eight straight, and the average margin of defeat in those games is 10+ points. The Raptors have won seven of the last nine head to head meetings, and they covered in all seven of those wins. Four of those wins came at Charlotte. This looks like a get right game for a young team with new talent, as Quickley and Barrett are still getting into the swing of things. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-24 | Oilers v. Golden Knights +1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on VGK. The Oilers were the hottest team in the NHL prior to the All Star break, but over the years I have learned that All Star weekend is where hot streaks and slumps go to die. The Golden Knights have a record of 18-5-2 at home, and only the Colorado Avalanche have more home wins than Vegas. The Knights are listed as the underdog here, and that's likely due to the injury to Jack Eichel. It's my opinion that the return of the #1 ranked goaltender in the NHL (Adin Hill) is more significant than the loss of Jack Eichel. This looks like a case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-24 | Islanders +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a play on NYI +1.5. The Isles are six points out of the final Wild Card spot in the East, currently occupied by the Toronto Maple Leafs. They come into Toronto tonight as losers of four of their last five, but they are 5-0 ATS as a puckline underdog in those games. The Leafs have won four of their last five games, but they are just 2-3 ATS as a puckline favorite during that span. History favors the underdog here, as the Isles have won four of the last five head to head meetings. Three of those games went to overtime. We should be expecting another close game here tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-24 | UABÂ +7.5 v. SMU | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UAB. The Blazers have won 10 of their last 12 games, and they are coming off an outright win as an underdog at North Texas. They had previously lost on the road at Charlotte by just six, and covered as a double digit underdog at FAU. Overall the Blazers are 4-3 on the road this season, and they have won seven straight against SMU. That includes three outright wins at SMU. The Mustangs are 10-2 at home, but their last home game was a four point win over Tulane. It looks like the home team is asked to cover too many points here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-24 | Liverpool +0.25 v. Arsenal | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Liverpool. Liverpool sits top of the table in the Premier League five points clear of Manchester City and Arsenal. They will be an underdog at Arsenal on Sunday, and Liverpool has lost just once in 11 away matches this season. They have a Premier League best +11 goal differential in those games. Arsenal has only one win in their last five matches versus Liverpool, and that is despite the fact that three of those were home matches for Arsenal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | Oregon v. UCLA +1.5 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UCLA. The Bruins have been futile offensively at times this season, but they come into Saturday's home game against Oregon as winners of four of their last five overall. The one loss came on the road at Arizona in a close game. The Bruins lost 64-59 at Oregon earlier this season, and that sets up a revenge angle here at home. The Ducks have lost three of their last four at UCLA and the one win came in overtime. The Ducks have been hit hard by the injury bug, putting their depth to the test. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | Liberty v. UTEP +5 | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTEP. The Liberty Flames have struggled in their first year in the C-USA, and after losing five of seven games and going 0-4 on the road, they have no business coming into tonight's game asked to cover a handful of points. UTEP is 11-1 overall at home, and 3-0 at home in conference play. The teams they have beaten at home (WKU, JVST & MTU) all sit higher in the C-USA standings than Liberty. This looks like another clear case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | South Florida +6.5 v. North Texas | 60-55 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USF. The Bulls come into North Texas as winners of 12 of their last 13 overall. That includes upset wins over the likes of Florida State and Memphis. The one game they did lose came on the road at UAB by just four points. UAB just handed North Texas a home loss. I don't think the bookmakers give the Bulls enough credit, and I like their chances of keeping this game within the number if not winning outright. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-24 | Ohio State v. Iowa -5 | 77-79 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IOWA. These teams both rank near the bottom of the BIG10, but Iowa is still a tough nut to crack when they play at home. They are 9-3 at home, losing to Purdue, Maryland and Michigan. Their wins have all come by five or more points, beating Rutgers by nine and Nebraska by 18. Ohio State is 0-5 on the road, and they are coming off three straight double digit losses. They lost by 25 at Northwestern and by 14 at Nebraska in their last two road games. The Buckeyes are 1-6 straight up in their last seven, and all six losses came by 5+ points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-24 | AFC Bournemouth v. West Ham United | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WHU. West Ham sits 6th in the Premier League table, 10 points clear of Bournemouth. The Hammers have posted three consecutive clean sheets in their last three home matches. Bournemouth conceded seven goals in their last two Premier League matches, losing to Spurs and Liverpool. The Hammers are 3-1-1 in their last five matches versus Bournemouth, and they posted clean sheets in all threw wins during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-24 | Florida v. Kentucky -5.5 | Top | 94-91 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on UK. The Gators lost at home to Kentucky earlier this season, so is this a revenge spot? I don't like the revenge angle here, as Kentucky is the far better team and Florida struggles on the road. The Gators have lost three of four road games this season, and they were 4-7 on the road last year. Kentucky is 9-1 SU in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they have covered in five straight and eight of the last 10 versus Florida. The Gators rank dead last in the SEC in opponent's scoring, and Kentucky ranks second in the conference in scoring averaging over 88 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-24 | Lakers v. Rockets +1.5 | 119-135 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. So I had the Warriors at home versus LA on Saturday, and it was a soul crushing defeat. Watching the Lakers come back in the fourth quarter, aided by an enormous disparity in free throws (43-16). Golden State hit what appeared to be the game winning three-point shot in the final seconds, but perhaps fitting that the officials sent LeBron to the line to win the game as time expired. As much as it puts a bad taste in my mouth for betting on any future games involving LeBron and the Lakers, this just looks like a classic let down spot for LA. Not only did LeBron and AD each log 45+ minutes at Golden State, but tonight's game is the first leg of a back to back with a game at Atlanta tomorrow. The Rockets are healthy, and they have won three of their last four home meetings versus LA. I'll take the home dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-24 | Lions +7 v. 49ers | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 147 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on DET. The Lions are coming off back to back wins, and plenty of momentum with a chance to go to the Super Bowl. Their defense has been suspect, but perhaps in a "bend don't break" fashion. The 49ers on the other hand got quite lucky that the Green Bay Packers missed a key field goal last week. Brock Purdy appeared to struggle at times, and the young QB is facing more pressure than he's ever faced. Jared Goff has been here before, and he's looked pretty solid throwing for 564 yards, three TDs on 74 percent passing in this post-season. I expect Detroit to get their share of points, and at least hang with San Francisco. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-24 | Colorado v. Washington +3.5 | Top | 98-81 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WASH. So Colorado might well be the better team here, but they have no business coming in to Seattle as a road favorite. The Huskies only home loss in conference play came by just two points versus Oregon. They beat Gonzaga in a home game outside of the PAC12. Colorado has lost all four road games so far this season, and has dropped four of their last five at Washington. This appears to be a case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-24 | Grizzlies v. Raptors -6.5 | 108-100 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Memphis Grizzlies are in rough shape since losing Ja Morant for the rest of the season. They come to Toronto as losers of six of their last seven, and it looks like Marcus Smart and Desmond Bane won't be traveling north of the border. It's possible that only one of the starting five will dress for tonight's game in Toronto. The Raptors are rebuilding, but they have done very well in the trade market getting several solid players in return for Pascal Siakam and OJ Anunoby. This is a game that should be tilted in favor of the home team. The Raptors have won seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, including the last two in Memphis. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-24 | Pacers v. Suns -5 | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHO. The Pacers have lost three of four, and they are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Portland Blazers. They could be down a few key players here in Phoenix tonight, and Pascal Siakam is still trying to figure out where he fits in. It takes time to gel, and that is evidenced by the fact that the Big Three in Phoenix is just starting to show what they can do. The Suns have won four straight, and Devin Booker dropped 52 on the Pelicans on Friday. This looks like a tough spot for a Pacers team that has lost six of nine versus the Western Conference this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-24 | Bucs +7 v. Lions | 23-31 | Loss | -115 | 98 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TB. The Lions are in a tough spot here. They are so hyped up, the talk of the town and a huge home favorite in this divisional playoff matchup versus Tampa. I think you have to ask yourself though, what makes Detroit a favorite. It surely can't be the coaching matchup between Todd Bowles and Dan Campbell? You can't tell me that the Lions defense is better than the Bucs. Maybe Lions fans believe Jared Goff is superior to Baker Mayfield. The numbers don't really back that up, with Goff throwing for two more TDs and two more picks. Goff has just a slight advantage in yardage and completion percentage. This looks like a let down spot for Detroit, and even at their best I don't believe they are seven points better than Tampa. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-24 | Texans +10 v. Ravens | 10-34 | Loss | -113 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on HOU. This is more of a play against Baltimore than it is an endorsement of CJ Stroud and the Texans. The fact of the matter is that Lamar Jackson is 1-3 in his career in the Playoffs, and has thrown more picks (5) than TDs (3) in those games. The Ravens are coming off a first round bye, and they rested the starters in the final week of the regular season. This strategy might backfire here against a hot Houston team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-24 | Hawks v. Heat -6 | 109-108 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on MIA. So this is the first game of a back to back for Atlanta, and Trey Young is questionable with an illness. That makes me think that this should be a throw away game, and rather than rush their star back before he's 100 percent, they should concentrate of tomorrow's home game against the Cavs. The last time Atlanta played back to back games they lost both by 20+ points. Miami has won and covered in both meetings this season, and they have won seven of the last nine, covering in five of those seven wins. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 94 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TB. The Eagles are a complete mess, coming into the playoffs as losers of five of their last six. Jalen Hurts appears to be battling injuries, and he's thrown more picks (5) than touchdowns (4) over his last five starts. No AJ Brown for the Eagles, and the defense is banged up on the back end. They might even have to move a corner to safety if Blankenship can't go. The Bucs defense is 100 percent healthy, and Baker Mayfield will play despite a sore ankle and bruised ribs. This looks like a case of the wrong team favored, and I'll take the home dog plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-24 | Rams +3 v. Lions | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 81 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAR. The Rams are peaking at the right time, coming into the playoffs as winners of seven of their last eight. The one loss during that span came in OT on the road at Baltimore. The Rams offense is humming with former Detroit Lion Mathew Stafford at QB. Stafford has a Super Bowl ring, McVay is the youngest head coach to make a Super Bowl and the youngest to win a Super Bowl. Cooper Kupp owns a Super Bowl MVP trophy. The Lions had a fantastic season, but they were more impressive in the first half of the season than they have been in the second half. Last week they played their starters, and that might prove to be costly if LaPorta can't play Sunday. The Rams have the edge at quarterback and superior coaching, I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-24 | Washington -1 v. UCLA | 61-73 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WASH. The UCLA Bruins have lost four straight, and eight of their last nine overall. During that span they scored an average of 52 points per game. They haven't given us any indication that they can turn things around, as it's tough to win games when you can't score. Washington comes in off a home win over Arizona State. Washington comes in scoring over 81 points per game on 47 percent shooting, while the Bruins rank dead last in the PAC12 shooting just 41 percent from the field and averaging 64 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-24 | Knicks -7 v. Grizzlies | 106-94 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYK. The Grizzlies are coming off a nine point home loss to the Clippers last night, and they are just 3-14 at home this season. Playing the second game of a back to back with a thin lineup tonight, they might be looking at a double digit loss to the Knicks. New York has won five of six since acquiring OJ Anunoby, and they have been dominant defensively during that span. The Grizz have failed to cover in seven of their last eight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-24 | Bruins v. Blues +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Blues. The Bruins come limping into St. Louis at the end of a brutal road trip. Not only did they lose all three games at Vegas, Arizona and Colorado, but all three games went to overtime. The Bruins are 3-0 in their last three versus the Blues, but two of those wins came in OT. The Blues are 6-3 ATS as a puckline dog in the last nine meetings. The Blues have a better home record than the Bruins have on the road... could this be a case of the wrong team favored? GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-24 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -5.5 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DEN. The Nuggets are 15-4 at home, and they are 7-3 in the last 10 versus the Pelicans. Call this a revenge game after New Orleans won at home 115-110 in the last meeting in November. The Pelicans come in with three of their starters listed as questionable (Zion, CJ & Brandon Ingram). The Pelicans lost 134-116 in their last game at Denver, and we might be expecting another blowout here tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-24 | Predators +1.5 v. Stars | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NASH. The Preds will look to bounce back from a poor performance, losing at home to the Anaheim Ducks. The Stars are coming off back to back wins over Minnesota, and could be due for a let down. History suggests we could see a close game, as despite Dallas winning six of the last 10 meetings, the Preds are 7-3 ATS in those games. We might see backup netminder Scott Wedgewood start for Dallas, giving the visitors an edge between the pipes. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-24 | Wizards v. Pacers -7.5 | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IND. How will the Pacers get on without Tyrese Haliburton? Well they should do just fine against a Wizards team that is 3-17 on the road. They came storming back to beat the Celtics at home in the second half without their leading scorer in their last game. Washington are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road, while the Pacers have won seven of their last eight. I expect Indiana to rally for another double digit win here at home against a bottom feeder. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-24 | Panthers v. Blues +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -165 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on STL +1.5. The Blues are playing far better since firing head coach Craig Berube, yet they are an underdog at home versus Florida. The Panthers have won seven straight, but the final game of a road trip could be a let down spot. History favors the Blues who are 6-2 in the last eight meetings, and 8-0 as a puckline underdog during that span. Binnington has allowed just two goals in his last two starts, and he's 9-4 with a 2.87 GAA at home this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-24 | Rams +3.5 v. 49ers | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 158 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAR. Both teams will rest starters, I'll take the dog getting points. Carson Wentz has an opportunity to show what he can do against the San Francisco backups. Last year the Rams lost in overtime 19-16 at Seattle in Week 18. This game has a similar feel to it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-06-24 | Auburn v. Arkansas +3 | 83-51 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARK. Auburn comes into Arkansas as a favorite asked to cover points despite losing four of the last five meetings, and having not won at Arkansas in the last three seasons. The Razorbacks are 7-1 at home, including a win over Duke without their leading scorer. Even though they finished in the bottom half of the standings in the SEC last year, their home record of 14-3 was right up there with the top teams. Auburn has lost seven straight road games, and this looks like a case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-24 | Panthers v. Coyotes +1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -170 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on ARI +1.5. The Panthers come into Arizona as a favorite, but the Coyotes home record is superior to Florida's road record. Florida is 3-2 straight up in their last five at Arizona, failing to cover the puckline in four of those five games. The Coyotes have won six of their last seven overall, and their #1 goaltender Connor Ingram is coming off a shutout. He's 8-3 with a 2.19 GAA and a .926 save percentage in 11 starts at home. The Coyotes are 15-5 ATS as a puckline underdog in his 20 starts overall this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-24 | Texas v. Washington +4.5 | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 461 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WASH. Ask yourself what is more impressive... beating Alabama in Week 2, or beating Oregon twice including at a neutral site in the PAC12 Championship game. Texas might be the more athletic team with higher end talent, but this doesn't look like a great matchup for the Longhorns. While Texas ranks 1st in the BIG12 in rushing defense, the Longhorns rank 10th against the pass. That may prove to be a concern against Kalen Deboer and his Heisman candidate quarterback and star studded receiving corps. The Huskies did beat Texas in a bowl game last year, and they appear to be a live dog here in the Sugar Bowl. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-23 | Blues +1.5 v. Penguins | 2-4 | Loss | -145 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on STL. The Blues are 5-2 since firing head coach Craig Berube, and they have covered the spread as a puckline underdog in six of those seven games. While this is the back end of a back to back for St. Louis, it's the front end of a back to back for the Penguins. With the second leg coming against a division rival, and the first leg an out of conference game, the Pens might be looking ahead. We could see backup goaltenders involved in this game, and the Blues backup goaltender is coming off back to back wins allowing just 1 goal in each game. His overall numbers on the year are superior to starter Jordan Binnington. The Blues are 3-1 ATS in their last four versus Pittsburgh. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-23 | Raptors v. Pistons +4.5 | 127-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. Have you heard of the Casey Curse? For those who don't know, the Raptors fired coach Casey after finishing first in the East, but losing to LeBron and the Cavs in the playoffs several years ago. The Raptors went on to win a championship with Nick Nurse, and Detroit hired coach Casey. The Pistons have long been the laughing stock of the league, but the one team that they could beat was Toronto. While Casey is no longer the Pistons coach, and the Raptors have won five straight meetings versus Detroit, the Pistons are still 8-2 ATS in the last 10 head to head. Both these teams look like they are tanking, but the Pistons are desperate to snap their historic losing streak. This looks like as good a spot as any for the Pistons to get a W. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-23 | Ole Miss +5 v. Penn State | 38-25 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MISS. So far favorites have struggled this bowl season, and I think Penn State is asked to cover too many points here in the Peach Bowl. The Rebels are surrounded by an aura of positivity right now, while the Nittany Lions lost both coordinators on offense and defense. James Franklyn is just 4-4 in bowl games at Penn State. I'll take the points with a team that should be a helluva lot happier about being at The Peach Bowl. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-23 | Washington State v. Utah -6.5 | Top | 58-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Utah. Both these teams are 9-2, but Utah has more impressive wins. They won at St. Mary's and they beat #14 ranked BYU. The Utes are 6-0 at home, and they won by 14 in the most recent meeting versus WSU last January. Utah is 8-2 straight up, and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 versus the Cougars. This will be the first true road game for Washington State, and they were 4-8 on the road last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-23 | Jets v. Browns -5.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 100 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Cleveland. The Jets are coming off a dubious 30-28 home win over Washington. They blew a 20-0 lead, but hit the game winning 54 yard field goal in the final seconds. Trevor Siemian threw for 217 yards on 27-of-49 passing against the NFL's worst defense. Now the Jets are on the road on a short week, and they face the NFL's top pass defense. The Browns are on a roll since the arrival of Joe Flacco, who threw for 368 yards and three TDs in a win at Houston on Sunday. The Browns are 7-1 at home this season, and the Jets have failed to cover in three straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-23 | Avalanche v. Coyotes +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 41 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. The Yotes have won four of their last five, and the one loss came on the road at Colorado. That sets up a revenge spot in the second half of this home and home series. Home ice has been kind to the Coyotes, who are 11-5 at home. Arizona has won three of their last four home games versus Colorado, and they covered the puckline in all four of those games. They are 7-1 in their last eight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-23 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma State +4 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 546 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OKST. I like the Cowboys here against an Aggies team with a third string QB, an interim coach and a ton of players in the portal or declared for the NFL draft. Oklahoma State will have Ollie Gordon ready to go, and he was the leading rusher in the BIG12 this year. Mike Gundy has a record of 11-6 all time in bowls, putting him among the active leaders in bowl wins. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-23 | Capitals +1.5 v. Rangers | 1-5 | Loss | -130 | 39 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WAS +1.5. The Capitals have been quite competitive in recent weeks, winning five of their last eight games. They are 7-1 ATS as a puckline underdog in those games. The Rangers are in first place in the Metropolitan Division, and they have won eight of their last 12. New York is just 3-12 ATS as a puckline favorite during that span. Charlie Lindgren is 7-3 with a 2.29 GAA and a .928 save percentage this season. That ranks among the league leaders in both categories. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers -5 | Top | 33-19 | Loss | -110 | 188 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SF. A lot of people are picking these two teams to meet in the Super Bowl, but the Ravens appear to be a team due for some regression. San Francisco had it's three game losing skid in the middle of the season, but since then they appear to have forgotten how to lose. The Niners have covered in six straight, and they are 13-1 SU in their last 14 home games. This looks like a good spot to fade the Ravens. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 334 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DENVER. The defending champs are 11-2 at home, and the Joker is still in a class of his own. While the mainstream media refuses to five Nikola Jokic the credit he is due, he continues to dominate everything in his path. The Warriors five game winning streak only puts them a game above .500, and four of those five wins came at home. Now they are on the road, and Steph Curry averages over 30 points per game at home, and just over 26 points per game on the road. The Warriors have lost four straight in this series, and they are 1-5 SU and 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-24-23 | Patriots v. Broncos -5.5 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 163 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Denver. The 3-11 Patriots are likely going to find it tough to get up for a Christmas Even game on the road in Denver. This team has nine starters listed as questionable just 48 hrs prior to the game. We know there will be a wholesale change over the off-season, and we don't expect the compete level to be very high in these final few games. This is a Denver team that can still make the playoffs, but they need to win this game. Russell Wilson has thrown for 1,382 yards, 13 TDs and just one INT at home this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-24-23 | Colts +1.5 v. Falcons | 10-29 | Loss | -110 | 165 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on INDY. Gardiner Minshew threw for 215 yards and three TDs on 18-of-28 passing in a win over the Steelers last week. Indy is actually 8-4 in the games that Minshew has started or played the majority of the snaps. While the Colts are in good shape at QB, the Falcons have benched their starter. Now Heinicke might not be much of a drop off, but he's proven he isn't much of a difference maker either. The Colts won both meetings last year, and they come into Atlanta as the better team playing better ball. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-23 | Coastal Carolina v. San Jose State -8.5 | 24-14 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SJST. So who does Coastal Carolina have in the transfer portal? Well the list of guys who aren't in the portal might be shorter. The Chanticleers have more players in the portal than any other team this Bowl Season. San Jose State comes in riding a six game winning streak, and senior QB Chevan Cordiero threw 13 TDs and just one INT in those games. This looks like a very one-sided set up, and it shouldn't be too hard for the Spartans to win this game by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-23 | Blackhawks v. Blues -1.5 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on STL. The Blues have won three of four since firing Craig Berube, and they have a pretty favorable matchup here at home versus Chicago. The Blackhawks are coming off a 5-2 home loss to Montreal, and playing on the road in the second game of a back to back two days before Christmas is a tough game to get up for. The Hawks are just 4-12 on the road, and they have lost three of their last four at St. Louis. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-23 | Mavs v. Rockets -7.5 | 96-122 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. The Rockets are coming off a brutal home loss to the Hawks, but this looks like a nice bounce back spot against an undermanned Dallas team. The Mavs entire starting lineup is expected to be out due to injuries, and that includes leading scorer Luka Doncic. The Rockets are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games overall, and they rank 1st in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-23 | UTSA -12.5 v. Marshall | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 156 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTSA. In the press conference with Roadrunners head coach Jeff Trailor. he said that his team is 100% all in for this bowl game. He also said that winning a bowl game is the one thing that his team hasn't yet accomplished during his tenure. Marshall's head coach Charles Huff wasn't as optimistic about his team, saying that he wasn't surprised to hear that the starting QB was in the transfer portal. "There isn’t a lot of money for NIL and the fans hate him," Huff said. "The kid has been miserable, the fans hated him" Between Huff's comments and the number of players in the portal, we have to fade the Herd here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-23 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -6.5 | 115-113 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on N.O. The Grizzlies will get Ja Morant back tonight, and there is no doubt that Memphis will be a better team with his return. Don't expect that impact to be significant here in the second game of a back to back on the road at New Orleans. He hasn't played since the first round of last year's playoffs. Normally in a situation like this you expect to see a limited number of minutes in the first game back. The Pelicans are winners of four straight, and three of those four wins were blowouts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-23 | Blues +1.5 v. Lightning | 1-6 | Loss | -160 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on STL +1.5. After firing their head coach, the struggling Edmonton Oilers rattled off an eight game winning streak. The St. Louis Blues fired their head coach last week, and have since won back to back games. The Blues are an underdog on the road in Tampa, and the Lightning have just returned home from a five game road trip. While the first game back from a road trip is often a flat spot, perhaps it's even more so less than a week away from Christmas. The Lightning are just 4-10 ATS as a puckline favorite in their last 14 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-23 | Eagles -3.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -105 | 176 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI. What happened to the 10-1 Eagles? They are now the 10-3 Eagles after losing back to back blowouts versus San Francisco and Dallas. The good news is that they aren't playing the Niners or the Cowboys this week, and this looks like a potential "GET RIGHT" game for Philly. The Seahawks have lost four of their last five overall, and Geno Smith is banged up. Drew Lock came in and threw for 269 yards, 2 TDs and 2 INTs in the loss at San Francisco last Sunday. Lock has thrown as many picks (20) as he has TDs over his last three seasons. Smith has a groin injury that normally requires at least two weeks to heal, so even if he can play he would likely be limited. **UPDATE** - so we are now less than 18 hrs from kickoff and we still have no clarification on Geno Smith, and breaking news that Jalen Hurts might not play due to illness. If it is Marcus Mariotta, note that his last game at Seattle he threw for 229 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT on 13-of-20 passing in a win with the Falcons last year. He also scored a rushing TD in the win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-23 | California +3 v. Texas Tech | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CAL. The Bears might be the more motivated team here coming into the Bowl off three straight wins. They had a rough schedule, with all but one of their losses coming against ranked teams. The only exception was a 14-10 loss to an SEC team (Auburn). Texas Tech has 15 players in the transfer portal, including two of their top three receivers. Cal might be all fired up by the news that the leading rusher in the PAC12 (Jaydn Ott) is staying at Cal for another season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-23 | Florida Atlantic -9 v. St Bonaventure | 64-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FAU. The Owls are off to an impressive 8-2 start to the season, and six of those eight wins came by double digits. Their last loss came at a neutral site versus Illinois, and the Illini shot over 63 percent from the field. Despite that the final score was relatively close (98-89). They are simply in a different class than this St. Bonnies squad, that faces a ranked team for the first time. The Bonnies lost by 17 to unranked Auburn. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-23 | Miami-OH v. Appalachian State -6.5 | 9-13 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on APP. It was a down year for the MAC in my opinion, and that is evidenced by the fact that the conference champions had a QB that averaged well below 100 yards per game, with 2 TDs and 2 INTs in eight starts. Now he's in the transfer portal, leaving them with no experienced quarterbacks. The Sun Belt is the superior conference, as evidenced by their strong representation in the bowls. App State won five of their final six games, and that included an upset at JMU on Gameday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-23 | New Mexico v. New Mexico State +15.5 | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NMSU. The Lobos come into this rivalry game with a 9-1 record, and one of those wins was a 44-point blowout at home versus New Mexico State. They could be primed for a bit of a let down here in just their second road game of the season. We don't normally see blowouts in this rivalry, prior to this season the average margin of victory in the previous four head to head meetings was just four points. The Lobos have failed to cover in six of their last seven as a road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-23 | Magic +6 v. Celtics | 111-128 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ORL. The Celtics are undefeated at home this season, but this appears to be a tough spot for the home team. Boston is playing the second game of a back to back after winning back to back home games in a two game set versus Cleveland. History favors the visitors here, as the Magic are 6-0 ATS in the last six head to head meetings. What is really shocking, is that Orlando has won four straight outright in this series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-23 | Predators +1.5 v. Hurricanes | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NASH. The Preds are one of the hottest teams in the NHL. They have won 11 of their last 14 straight up, and they have covered as a puckline underdog in 12 of those games. These teams have a history of playing close games, with five of the last eight head to head meetings decided by one goal. The Canes are 6-4 straight up in the last 10 meetings, but they are 3-7 ATS as a puckline favorite in those games. This will be the second game of a back to back for Carolina, coming off a 2-1 win at Detroit. Carolina is just 2-6 ATS as a puckline favorite in their last eight overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-23 | Hurricanes v. Red Wings +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. So the Canes come into the Motor City as a big favorite, but both of these teams have 15 wins on the season. The Canes have fewer road wins than the Wings have at home, and I think the books have the wrong team favored here. Carolina is 4-6 SU in their last 10 overall, but just 3-7 ATS as a puckline favorite in that game. History favors Detroit here, as the Wings have won six of the last 10 versus Carolina, and they've covered the puckline in seven of 10. Detroit has covered as a puckline underdog in 12 of their last 14 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-23 | Jets v. Sharks +1.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SJS. The Sharks are a bad team, maybe even the worst team in the NHL. That being said, they have been playing a lot better lately. They have won five of their last eight overall, but they are 7-1 ATS as a puckline underdog in those games. The Jets are in town, and history favors the Sharks. San Jose is 6-4 SU in their last 10 versus Winnipeg, and 7-3 ATS as a puckline underdog in those games. The Jets might be without their leading scorer Kyle Connor who is scheduled to have an MRI on his knee in San Jose today. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-23 | Nets v. Kings -4.5 | 118-131 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. The Kings finished first in the Pacific Division last year, and they currently trail the LA Lakers by just a half game. They host the Brooklyn Nets tonight, and a win could put them in first place. The Kings won and covered in both head to head meetings versus the Nets last year. They won at home by a score of 153-121. The Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus teams from the Eastern Conference. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-23 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Stars | 3-6 | Loss | -140 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. The Red Wings have played one fewer game than Dallas, and they have one less point to show for it. They actually have a better road record than the Stars have at home. Dallas is the big favorite here, and the Stars have won eight of the last 10 meetings. Three of the last five meetings were decided in overtime, and six of the last 10 meetings were decided by one goal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-23 | Howard v. Pennsylvania -4.5 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Penn. The Quakers are 6-1 at home, and the one loss came in overtime versus Belmont. They host the Howard Bison who are 1-4 on the road. The Bison have lost 14 of their last 15 versus teams from the Ivy League. The Quakers are 12-1 in their last 13 home games, and they have have won five of their last six versus teams from the Mid East. GL, Jesse Schule |
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