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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-08-19 | Astros -1.5 v. Rays | 1-4 | Loss | -137 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-07-19 | Yankees v. Twins +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Minnesota +1.5. The Yankees are going for the sweep in Game 3 tonight in Minnesota, but I like the Twins to stay alive and force a Game 4. Jake Odorizzi will toe the slab for Minnesota, and he looked pretty sharp down the stretch. The Twins are 7-2 in his last nine starts. He's got solid numbers against the Yankees over the last three seasons (3-4, 3.48 ERA in seven starts). The Yankees hand the ball to Luis Severino, who has only pitched a total of 12 innings this season. His last start was on the road at Texas, and he allowed two runs on one hit and four walks in three innings in a loss. Nelson Cruz is 4-for-8 (.500) lifetime versus Severino. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-19 | Colts +12 v. Chiefs | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 140 h 19 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-06-19 | Packers +4 v. Cowboys | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 161 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Green Bay Packers. The Cowboys looked like Super Bowl favorites after starting the season with three straight wins. The problem is that while they looked great against the Dolphins, Giants and Redskins, they were held to just 10 points in a loss at New Orleans last week. The Packers are also coming off a loss, but they scored 27 points against Philly and came two yards away from tying the game. The Packers defense was sharp in wins over Chicago, Minnesota and Denver, but they appeared to be out of sorts on a short week versus Philly. The will have had a few more days (than Dallas) to prepare for this game, and I like their chances of pulling off an upset. I really like getting the points. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-19 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Panthers | 27-34 | Loss | -105 | 158 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Jacksonville. Both the Jags and the Panthers have won back to back games since their backup quarterbacks took over. The difference is that Gardner Minshew is winning games for the Jags, while the Panthers are winning games with Kyle Allen. Minshew was brilliant in a come from behind win over the Broncos at Mile High, and I love getting points here with the Jags. Take JAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-19 | Ravens v. Steelers +4 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 133 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. |
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10-05-19 | Rays v. Astros -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Houston. The Astros are a big favorite in Game 2 of the ALDS versus Tampa, and for good reason. The Rays are 1-6 in their last seven Divisional Playoff games, and the Astros are 10-4 in their last 14 playoff home games. |
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10-04-19 | Central Florida v. Cincinnati +4 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-30-19 | Bengals v. Steelers -4 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 180 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Pittsburgh. |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 31 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the New Orleans Saints. Jesse Schule |
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09-29-19 | Patriots -6 v. Bills | 16-10 | Push | 0 | 193 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NE Patriots.
I've seen this story before. The Bills look good a few weeks into the season, and now they gotta get over the hump in a home game against the Patriots. Just when you think they might have a chance, they get a cold hard dose of reality. The reality is that beating the Jets and the Giants isn't any indication that they can compete with New England. This line looks a little short. Take NE, GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-29-19 | Browns v. Ravens -3.5 | 40-25 | Loss | -120 | 192 h 31 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-28-19 | Indiana v. Michigan State -14 | 31-40 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan State. After a shocking loss to Arizona State, the Spartans responded by beating Northwestern on the road by a whopping 21 points. Now they are back home to host the Indiana Hoosiers, and I like Sparty to roll. The Hoosiers lost at home to Ohio State two weeks ago, and what stands out about that loss is that the bulk of the yards were gained on the ground. The Buckeyes ran for over 300 yards, and they scored 30 of their 51 points in the first half. Michigan State has covered the spread in five of the last six head to head meetings, and they are 6-0 straight up in those games. The Hoosiers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven at East Lansing. Take MSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-22-19 | Steelers v. 49ers +1.5 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 165 h 48 m | Show | |
The 2-0 49ERS will host Pittsburgh in Week 3, and the Steelers are in danger of falling to 0-3. Jimmy G is coming off a huge game on the road at Cincinnati, and he faces a Steelers defense that was picked apart in back to back weeks by Tom Brady and Russell Wilson. Injuries threaten to derail the Steelers season, as Big Ben left last week's game due to elbow soreness. |
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09-22-19 | Dolphins v. Cowboys -16.5 | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 161 h 18 m | Show | |
The Cowboys are finally ready to remove any limits to Zeke's workload, and he faces a Miami team that appears to be tanking. The Dolphins defense has allowed over 1000 yards in their first two games, and Zeke might go over 100 yards in the first half. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-22-19 | Lions +9 v. Eagles | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 149 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Lions. |
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09-16-19 | Browns -6 v. Jets | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on Cleveland to win. The Browns offense struggled in Week 1 at home against the Titans, but part of the problem was that they were penalized 18 times for 182 yards. The pressure is on as they get set to take on the Jets on Monday Night Football, and this looks like a get right game for Cleveland. Sam Darnold is out and Le'Veon Bell is questionable, but the Jets injuries on defense might be even more significant. C.J. Mosely and Quinnen Williams will both be out for tonight's game, and the Bills really moved the ball in the second half last week after Mosely left. This should be good news for Nick Chubb, who ran for 75 yards on 17 carries in Week 1. I expect this game to be over at halftime, and that should mean a healthy workload for Chubb in the second half. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-19 | Cowboys -4.5 v. Redskins | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 112 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Cowboys. Washington was expected to be one of the league's worst teams this season, but after they opened up a big lead early on the road in Philly in Week 1, maybe they are better than we thought? I don't think so. They were out-scored 25-7 in the second half, and Philly racked up 436 yards of total offense. Washington only attempted 13 running plays, for a total of 28 yards. That's simply not a recipe for success. They are in for a world of hurt here against the Cowboys in Week 2. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-19 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Steelers | 28-26 | Win | 100 | 112 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Seahawks. Both Pittsburgh and Seattle are coming off a disappointing season opener, but while the Seahawks barely held on to beat Cincinnati by a single point, the Steelers lost by 30 at New England. This looks like a good spot to back Seattle as an underdog. The Seahawks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Pittsburgh has performed poorly as a home favorite, the Steelers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-19 | Vikings +3 v. Packers | 16-21 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Packers defense looked sharp in a 10-3 win over the Bears, but I think that tells us more about the Bears problems on offense than it does about Green Bay's defense. They will face a tougher challenge here in Week 2 against the Vikings. Last year was a disappointment for Kirk Cousins, but one of his best games was a 29-29 tie at Lambeau. Cousins threw for 425 yards and four TDs in that game. Sure the Packers have improved since then, but so have the Vikings. Their defense sacked Matt Ryan four times and picked him off twice in Week 1. They ran for 172 yards and three TDs on 38 attempts. The Vikings are 5-2 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings, and I'll the points in this game. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-14-19 | Manchester City -1.5 v. Norwich City | 2-3 | Loss | -200 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers -6.5 | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Carolina Panthers. While Carolina lost a close game to defending NFC champs LA in Week 1, the Bucs looked downright terrible in a home loss to San Francisco. Jameis Winston was picked off three times, picking up right where he left off last year when he threw 10 picks in his first four games. He played a total of 11 games last season, and only three times did he manage to avoid throwing any INTs. Tampa was 1-7 on the road last year, and they lost by 14 at Carolina. The Panthers scored 35 points in the first half of that game, and Christian McCaffrey scored a pair of TDs on 157 rush/rec yards. Look for a similar result here tonight. Take CAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-19 | 49ers +1 v. Bucs | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 126 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the SF 49ers. Tampa might be shorthanded in Week 1 with several players coming down with an illness that has threatened their status for the season opener versus San Francisco. The biggest name on that list of sick players is wide receiver Mike Evans. It will be even more important to be well hydrated as extreme temperatures are expected in Tampa. The Bucs won just five games last season, and Jamies Winston didn't even play in two of those wins. San Francisco appears to be an organization trending in the right direction with a talented young QB that you can build a team around. The same can't be said for Winston and the Bucs. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-19 | Bengals v. Seahawks -8.5 | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks are infamous for their dominant play at home in Seattle, and they draw an inferior opponent in Week 1. Cincinnati will come into the Emerald City without their starting left tackle, and this revamped defense with the additions of Jadaveon Clowney and Ziggy Ahnsa is likely to cause all sorts of problems for the Red Rifle. The Bengals lost six of eight on the road last year, and Seattle has covered the spread in nine of it's last 13 overall. AJ Green will not play in Week 1, still recovering from an ankle injury. I like the Seahawks to win this game by double digits. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-19 | Ravens v. Dolphins +5 | 59-10 | Loss | -110 | 2637 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Miami Dolphins (Week 1). The Dolphins are already the laughing stock of the league, and we haven't even played a game yet. It's not easy to make a case for why the Dolphins will be anything other than awful in 2019, so instead I will focus on Baltimore. They come into this Week 1 matchup asked to cover a bunch of points on the road, and I just don't think this Ravens team is going to live up to all the hype. Lamar Jackson came in and sparked the team to a 6-1 finish in the final seven games of 2018. Only one of those wins came against a team with a winning record, and wins over Cleveland and Cincinnati came by three points or less. Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for 400+ yards in each of his first three starts for Tampa last year, winning two of those games and losing by just three points to Pittsburgh. Fitzpatrick played in eight games for the Bucs last year, and they lost by more than seven points in just three of those games. So while the Ravens may be the better team, I am not sure they are seven points better, especially on the road in Miami. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-19 | Titans v. Browns -5.5 | 43-13 | Loss | -101 | 123 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. Are the Browns for real? I am not quite ready to call Cleveland a Super Bowl contender, but here in Week 1 against Tennessee, I think they will like up to some of the hype. The Titans didn't look great this pre-season, and they are going to miss their best offensive lineman for the first five weeks of the season. I just can't see Mariota keeping up with Baker Mayfield, given all the toys Baker has at his disposal this season. I look for a double digit win for the Browns. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-07-19 | LSU v. Texas +7 | 45-38 | Push | 0 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. Texas won 10 games last year, including a win over #5 ranked Georgia in the Sugar Bowl. They look great as a home dog versus #6 ranked LSU this Saturday. The Tigers are excited about their passing game with Joe Burrow, who threw for 278 yards and five TDs against Georgia Southern last week. The last time Burrow played a ranked team on the road, it was in a loss to Texas A&M. The Tigers were 2-2 on the road last year, losing to the Aggies and the Gators, and beating Auburn by a single point. They failed to cover in a rather pedestrian 24-17 win at Arkansas. The Longhorns are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games. I'll take the points. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-07-19 | Texas A&M +18 v. Clemson | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 111 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas A&M. Clemson is unanimously ranked #1 overall, and I think that ranking is well deserved. I don't however think that they are quite as good as many people think they are, and I do think that they can be beaten. This should be a tough game for Clemson, perhaps the toughest game on their schedule. They face an SEC team ranked just outside the Top 10, and an Aggies team that nearly upset them a year ago. Kellen Mond threw for 440 yards and three TDs on 23-of-40 passing in that game, and he appears to be primed for a big season in his junior year at College Station. The Aggies have all the tools to pull off the upset hear, and yet the Tigers are favored by three scores. I'll take the points. Take A&M. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-19 | Padres +1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 7-14 | Loss | -160 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Padres. San Diego won three of four in a series in San Francico, and I like the Padres as an underdog in Game 1 in Arizona. Cal Quanrtrill will toe the slab for San Diego, and the rookie is having a solid season. He's 4-3 with a 3.22 ERA since the All Star break. The D'Backs hand the ball to Mike Leake, who is 0-1 with a 6.06 ERA in three starts in Arizona since coming over from Seattle. The Padres have won seven of the last eight head to head meetings. Take SD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-19 | Mets v. Nationals +1.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -157 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Washington +1.5. The Mets have lost seven of their last nine, yet they are favored here in Washington against the Nats who have won four straight. Joe Ross will toe the slab for the Nats, and he's been dealing in his last five starts. Ross (3-3, 5.36 ERA) has won five straight starts going 3-0 with a 1.05 ERA during that span. The Mets hand the ball to Noah Syndergaard, who is better at home than he is on the road. Syndergaard has nine wins this season, and only three of those have come on the road. Syndergaard is coming off a career worst start versus the Cubs, allowing 10 runs in just three innings. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-19 | Toronto +13 v. Hamilton | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The Hamilton Tigercats will be a double digit favorite in the Labor Day Classic versus rivals Toronto. The Ticats have the best record in the CFL, but without starting quarterback Jeremaiah Masoli, I don't think they are 12 points better than anyone. Since backup Dane Evans has taken over, the Tabbies have beaten BC twice, but by a combined four points. They scored just 21 points in a win over Ottawa and lost 24-19 to the Riders. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-01-19 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan -5 | Top | 17-19 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Saskatchewan. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are on top of the Western Conference standings, and they are coming off a big upset win over Edmonton last week. Backup quarterback Chris Streveler was just 7-of-17 for 89 yards without any scores in the win, and those numbers aren't likely going to cut it on the road in Saskatchewan. Already without starting quarterback Matt Nichols, the Bombers will be without leading rusher Andrew Harris tonight, after he tested positive for a banned substance. The Riders defense has looked good during a five game winning streak, and they should be able to shut down this shorthanded Winnipeg offense. Take SASK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-30-19 | Colorado State v. Colorado -13 | 31-52 | Win | 100 | 33 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Colorado. It was a year ago today (also on a Friday) the last time these teams met. Here is what I had to say about that game: "The Rams looked awful in a home loss to Hawaii last week, and I think they will struggle here against Rivals Colorado. The Buffaloes dropped off significantly last season after winning the PAC12 South in 2016, but they bring back Stephen Montez at quarterback for the 2018 season, and he threw for 2,975 yards with 18 TDs and nine INTs last season. Two of those nine picks came in a Week 1 win over Colorado State, but the Buffaloes still managed to win by a score of 17-3. Colorado won all three of it's non-conference games by double-digits last season, and overall they beat the teams they were supposed to beat." Colorado crushed the Rams in that game, winning 45-13, and with Montez back for his senior year we should expect another one sided game in favor of the Buffaloes. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-29-19 | Vikings -2.5 v. Bills | 23-27 | Loss | -130 | 101 h 27 m | Show | |
5* |
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08-24-19 | Arizona -10.5 v. Hawaii | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 312 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona. Hawaii jumed out of the gates winning six of their first seven games last year. They scored a ton of points in those games, but if you closely examine all of those wins you will see a common theme. Colorado State was 3-9 last season, UNLV was 4-8, and San Jose State was a woeful 1-11. They needed overtime to beat the Spartans by a score of 44-41. The strongest opposition they faced last season were games against BYU and Fresno State. They lost both those games by 3+ touchdowns. Arizona comes into this Week 1 matchup versus Hawaii looking to bounce back from a disappointing first season under Kevin Sumlin. Senior QB Khalil Tate was expected to be a Heisman contender last year, but he failed to live up to expecations. His final four games might suggest he's ready for a bounce back 2019 campaign though. He averaged over 300 yards per game, with 16 TDs and four INTs while going 2-2 against tough opposition. One of those games was a 44-15 upset win over #19 ranked Oregon. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-17-19 | Marlins v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 26 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Colorado Rockies. The Rockies host Miami in Game 2 of a home series Saturday, and the pitching matchup appears to favor the home team. German Marquez will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's having a fine season. Marquez (11-5, 4.75 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits, striking out nine in eight innings in a win at San Diego his last time out. The Marlins hand the ball to Hector Noesi, who has allowed 10 runs and has walked six in two appearances this season. Marquez allowed one run on two hits over six innings in a win over Miami earlier this season. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-17-19 | Montreal v. Calgary -6.5 | Top | 40-34 | Loss | -128 | 116 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Calgary Stampeders. Montreal will have Vernon Adams Jr. back for this road game at Calgary, but he's going up against one of the CFL's best defenses. Calgary leads the league in forced turnovers, with 24 so far this season. Bo Levi Mitchell is expected to see some action here against the Als, but he might be sharing the workload with Nick Arbuckle. The Als offense struggled in a home loss to Saskatchewan last week, gaining just 141 yards in a weather shortened game. It won't get any easier on the road against an even tougher opponent. Take CAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-10-19 | BC +11 v. Hamilton | 34-35 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the BC Lions. My CFL Game of the Year was an easy winner with Saskatchewan beating BC at home 45-18 two weeks ago. Prior to that game I said: "unless the Lions can keep their quarterback upright, they won't be able to compete with anybody. . Reilly has been absolutely crushed this season, as the Lions undersized line can't hold off opponent's pass rush. Reilly has been sacked more than any other QB in the league, and he's limped off the field in each and every game." It's true that fixes on the offensive line take time, but the Lions have now had some time to make adjustments. They come out of their bye week as a double digit dog against Hamilton. The Ticats lost star quarterback Jeremaiah Masoli for the rest of the season, and backup Dane Evans has thrown for 395 yards, two TDs and two INTs on 61.7 percent passing in three games. Hamilton is just 2-2 over their last four games, and all of those games have been close. It seems reasonable to expect the Lions to give them a game here. Take BC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-09-19 | Norwich City v. Liverpool -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Newly promoted Norwich City will have their work cut out for them in their first match of the Premier League season, playing Liverpool at Anfield. Liverpool lost just one match all of last season, and still only finished second behind Manchester City. They scored a whopping 89 goals in 38 matches, and they scored 55 goals in 19 home matches. History doesn't bode well for Norwich, as Liverpool has scored 19 goals in five matches against Norwich since 2013. Both these sides have gone over 2.5 goals in four of their last five matches, and another high scoring match should be expected here in the season opener. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-03-19 | Edmonton +1 v. Calgary | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -105 | 122 h 20 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Edmonton Eskimos. The Stamps have won four of their last five games, but they have not looked impressive offensively. Nick Arbuckle has thrown as many picks as he has TDs (2) in his last three starts. He's filling in for starting QB Bo-Levi Mitchell, who is out at least for another week. Trevor Harris comes in leading the CFL in passing, throwing for just shy of 2000 yards on better than 70 percent passing with 10 TDs and 2 picks. The Eskimos are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 versus teams with a winning record. Calgary has failed to cover in five of their last six games overall, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 versus teams from the West. I'll take the Eskies as a dog with a huge advantage at quarterback. Take EDM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-27-19 | Rangers +1.5 v. A's | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Texas Rangers +1.5. Texas has come into Oakland and won both the first two games of this series, but they are still a big underdog in Game 3. Adrian Sampson will toe the rubber for Texas, and he's pitched pretty well against Oakland this season. He's 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA in three appearances versus the Athletics. The A's hand the ball to Homer Bailey, who hasn't had much luck against Texas. He's 0-2 with a 10.13 ERA in two starts against the Rangers. The Rangers are batting .326 over a combined 86 at bats versus Bailey. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-27-19 | FC Cincinnati v. Toronto FC -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -108 | 103 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Toronto FC. Toronto is coming off a 3-1 home loss to Houston, the team with the MLS worst road record. A week later they host a Cincinnati team that has allowed an MLS worst 51 goals. Toronto rested several starters in the first half in their loss to Houston, and they payed the price. Expect a far stronger lineup here on Saturday. Cincinnati is coming off back to back losses by a combined score of 6-1, and they rank dead last in MLS with a -30 goal differential. They are 2-1-9 with a -21 goal differential on the road. This is a far bigger mismatch that the price would suggest. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-27-19 | Saskatchewan -3.5 v. BC | Top | 45-18 | Win | 100 | 102 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Saskatchewan. After losing 38-25 at Saskatchewan last week, the sharp money is going to be tempted to take the Lions as a home underdog in a revenge game a week later. The problem with the revenge angle is that unless the Lions can keep their quarterback upright, they won't be able to compete with anybody. They have just one win this season, and it came against the 0-5 Toronto Argos. They actually blew a lead in that game, and missed the potential game winning field goal (a chip shot), only to get lucky and score a single to end the game. Reilly has been absolutely crushed this season, as the Lions undersized line can't hold off opponent's pass rush. Reilly has been sacked more than any other QB in the league, and he's limped off the field in each and every game. It would be a miracle if he manages to stay healthy in this game, let alone the rest of the season. Take SASK. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-23-19 | Cubs v. Giants +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
5* |
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07-13-19 | Astros v. Rangers +1.5 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas. The Rangers have won outright as an underdog in both of the first two games of this home series versus Houston. Texas has a better home record than the Astros do on the road, and I'll take them as the underdog here in Game 3. Mike Minor will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's been dealing in 2019. Minor (8-4, 2.54 ERA) has already faced Houston twice this season, going 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA in those games. The Astros hand the ball to Wade Miley, who has lost two of his last three starts on the road. He has dramatic split stats, with an ERA of 1.86 at home and an ERA of 4.56 on the road. Houston is just 1-6 in their last seven at Texas. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-11-19 | Astros v. Rangers +1.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Rangers. The Rangers are emerging as a playoff contender coming out of the All Star break with a record of 48-42. They host the Astros in their first game of the second half, and they are 29-17 at home so far. Lance Lynn will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's 7-1 in his last 10 starts. He's 7-0 in nine home starts this season. The Astros hand the ball to Framber Valez, who has been roughed up in back to back starts. He's allowed 11 runs on 12 hits over 6 1/3 innings in his last two appearances. The Astros are 4-9 in their last 13 games versus a right-handed starter. The play is on Texas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-07-19 | United States v. Mexico | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Mexico. The USA Women already won the World Cup Final earlier in the day, but don't count on the men making it a clean sweep in the evening. They face a far more talented Mexican squad, and they just don't have the experience to match up against Mexico. History certainly favors the Mexicans, as they have defeated the USA in four of the last five meetings in the Gold Cup Final. USA will miss the likes of Michael Bradley and Jose Altidore. Take MEX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-05-19 | Winnipeg +4 v. Ottawa | 29-14 | Win | 100 | 42 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Winnipeg. Both the Blue Bombers and the Redblacks come into Friday's game with a perfect 2-0 record, but I haven't been as impressed by Ottawa. Both their wins came in games decided by four points or less, scoring late in a 32-28 win at Calgary in Week 1 and then just barely hanging on in a 44-41 win over Saskatchewan. They have given up plenty of points, and now they face a Winnipeg team with a bonafide #1 veteran starting QB and the best running back in the CFL. The history certainly favors Winnipeg, who have won four of the last five head to head meetings, and three straight at Ottawa. The Bombers have covered the spread in four straight visits to Canada's capital. The Bombers are also 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games. I'll take the points. Take WPG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-19 | Hamilton v. Montreal +12.5 | 29-36 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Montreal Alouettes. In a 41-10 blowout loss in Hamilton last week, Montreal's defense actually played quite well. They picked off Jeremiah Masoli three times, and an impressive goal line stand kept the game close in the first half. Montreal doesn't get a lot of respect from bettors or bookmakers, and it's easy to understand why. They have lost 15 of their last 20 games, but they are are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. They have covered in four of their last five coming off a loss, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus a winning team. Hamilton on the other hand has failed to cover in seven straight in the month of July. Take MTL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-29-19 | BC v. Calgary -10 | Top | 32-36 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Calgary. The BC Lions looked like Grey Cup contenders when they signed CFL passing leader Mike Reilly this off-season. They head into Week 3 in serious danger of falling to 0-3 on the season. Reilly has struggled in losses to Edmonton and Winnipeg, throwing for more INTs (3) than TDs (2). The Lions defense has been lit up for a combined 72 points in the first two weeks. Calgary is coming off a bye week, and the Stamps will try to bounce back after losing their season opener to Ottawa. The Stampeders are 17-6-3 ATS in their last 26 games following a bye week. The defending Grey Cup champions should have little trouble here at home against a struggling BC team. Take CAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-27-19 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg -4.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. The Bombers Week 1 win on the road at B.C. was impressive, and they have since had a bye week to prepare for their home opener against Edmonton. The Eskimos are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in June. The Bombers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games. The Bombers defense was the second best in the league last season, as only Calgary allowed fewer points. They won six of their nine home games. The Eskimos play on the road for the first time this season, but they lost seven of nine on the road last year. Take WPG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-26-19 | Rays v. Twins +1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Minnesota. The Twins are 25-13 at home, and they have six more wins than Tampa overall this season. I like Minny as a home dog in Game 3. Jake Odorizzi will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's having a solid year. Odorizzi (10-3, 2.58 ERA) allowed four runs on eight hits in four innings in a loss at Kansas City his last time out. He had won nine straight before that, and he's 6-0 with a 1.91 ERA at home. The Rays hand the ball to Charlie Morton, who had been rolling until losing back to back starts. He faces the highest scoring team in the major leagues tonight. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-26-19 | Pirates v. Astros -1.5 | 14-2 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Houston -1.5. The Astros don't often lose at home, coming into tonight's game against the Pirates with a 28-11 record at Minutemaid Park. The pitching matchup tonight favors Houston, as both teams send youngsters to the mound. Framber Valdez (3-3, 3.61 ERA) has done a lot more than Dario Agrazal (0-0, 4.50 ERA) to suggest that he can pitch in the major leagues. Houston has better bats, a better bullpen, and they are 70-30 in their last 100 home games versus a right-handed starter. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-24-19 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona. The D'Backs are an underdog at home in Game 1 versus the Dodgers, and I like their chances with Zack Greinke on the mound. Greinke (8-3, 2.91 ERA) allowed five runs on 11 hits over seven innings in a home loss to Colorado his last time out. He's still 3-1 with a 3.06 ERA in seven home starts, and has a career record of 7-6 with a 4.28 in 16 starts against the Dodgers. Kerhshaw has been less than perfect at Chase Field, going 6-8 with a 3.70 ERA in 15 starts. The Diamondbacks are 35-17 in Greinkes last 52 home starts. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-24-19 | USA (W) -1.25 v. Spain (W) | 2-1 | Loss | -54 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
8* |
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06-23-19 | Cuba v. Canada -1.5 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
8 |
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06-20-19 | USA (W) -1.5 v. Sweden (W) | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 37 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on USA. Sweden has been one of the top teams in Women's soccer in recent seasons, and they have beaten the Americans at the World Cup in 2011. The Swedes are 1-1-3 in the last five head to head matches, but I haven't been all that impressed with Sweden at this tournament. A 5-1 win over Thailand wasn't as impressive as the score would indicate, and their win over Chile wasn't convincing either. This USA team has already made it clear that they will take as many goals as they can get, and I expect them to fill the net once again here against Sweden. Take USA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-15-19 | Rangers +1.5 v. Reds | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Texas. The Rangers won Game 1 of this series in Cincinnati, and they appear to have a favorable matchup in Game 2 Saturday. Mike Minor will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's been dealing in 2019. Minor (5-4, 2.52 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on four hits, striking out six in eight innings in a win at Boston his last time out. The Reds hand the ball to Tanner Roark, who has lost four of his last five starts. Roark (4-5, 3.74 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits and two walks over five innings in a loss to Philly his last time out. He's 1-4 with a 3.86 ERA in seven home starts. The Rangers rank 2nd in the major leagues in scoring, while Cincinnati ranks 25th. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-14-19 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Nationals | 3-7 | Loss | -128 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona +1.5. The D'Backs have more wins on the road (23) than the Nationals have at home (15). Arizona comes into Game 2 in Washington as winners of seven of their last eight, while the Nats have lost four of their last seven. Robbie Ray will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's having another solid season. Ray (5-3, 3.54 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits, striking out 10 in 6 2/3 innings in a win at Toronto his last time out. The Nats hand the ball to Max Scherzer, who still hasn't won a game in Washington this year. He's pitched well enough, but he is 0-4 with a 2.89 ERA in seven home starts. The Nats bullpen still ranks dead last in the majors with an ERA of 6.24. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-12-19 | Blues v. Bruins -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Boston. The Bruins dominated Game 6 in St. Louis, and while momentum has meant very little in this series, I think the Blues might have a tough time coming back in Game 7 in Boston. There is no question that Tukka Rask has been the better of the two goaltenders. In fact he's having a historic run in these playoffs, ranking 1st in all major categories. I like the Bruins to ride Rask to a commanding win at home in Game 7. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-12-19 | Cubs v. Rockies +1.5 | 10-1 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Rockies. The Rockies have won 10 straight home games, and they are an underdog in Game 3 of this home series versus Chicago today. The Cubs have been brutal on the road, losing five straight. Antonio Senzatela will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and while his numbers don't jump off the page, he does win games. He's coming off three consecutive quality starts, with the Rockies winning all three games. The Cubs hand the ball to Cole Hamels, who has lost his last two starts on the road. The Cubs have lost six of their last eight versus Colorado, and they are 10-21 in the last 31 meetings in Colorado. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-11-19 | Pirates +1.5 v. Braves | 5-7 | Loss | -143 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates have lost four straight, but they did take two of three in a home series versus Atlanta last week. Chris Archer was on the mound for one of those wins, and he will be on the mound in Game 2 in Atlanta tonight. Archer has owned the Braves. Atlanta is hitting a combined .168 over 149 at bats versus the veteran. The Braves hand the ball to Mike Foltynewicz, who has been hit hard by the Pirates. The right-hander allowed three runs on six hits in a 6-1 loss to Pittsburgh his last time out. He's 1-3 with a 6.88 ERA in three starts versus Pittsburgh the last three seasons. Josh Bell is 4-for-8 lifetime versus Foltynewizc. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-05-19 | Raptors +5.5 v. Warriors | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 59 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. Toronto heads to Oakland with the series tied 1-1, and they will be getting a handful of points as the underdog here in Game 3. The Raptors have been the better team, in all but six of minutes in the 3rd quarter of Game 2. They have dominated the first half of both the first two games so far, and I expect them to do it again in Oakland. The Warriors aren't a first half team, as they often wait until the third quarter before they really get going. They might struggle to do that tonight if Clay Thompson can't Play. Looney is out, and Cousins isn't 100 percent. Andre Iguodala has to he held together by duct tape. The 35 year old has battled injuries for the entire post-season, and he suffered an upper body injury in Game 2. Pascal Siakam should be better in Game 2, and as long as the Raptors stay out of foul trouble they should have a chance to win this game. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-31-19 | Blue Jays v. Rockies -1.5 | 6-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Rockies. Colorado will host the Blue Jays in Game 1 of a home series Friday, in what looks like quite a mismatch. The Rockies are 6-1 on their current home stand, while the Jays have lost seven of their last eight. German Marques will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been dealing in 2019. Marquez ( 5-2 with a 3.56) allowed four runs on seven hits over 6 1/3 innings in a home win over Baltimore his last time out. He's 2-0 with a 4.45 ERA in his last five starts. The Jays hand the ball to Edwin Jackson, who still doesn't seem to belong in a major league rotation. He's been torched for 16 runs on 20 hits over 14 innings in three appearances since being called up. Jackson allowed eight runs on 10 hits in 4 1/3 innings, losing his last start at Coors Field. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors +1 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 78 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. There is a good reason why the Golden State Warriors are a 3-1 favorite to win the series, but a slight underdog in Game 1 in Toronto. The Warriors have had nine days off, and they could be caught a little flat footed here in Game 1. The Raptors are an excellent home team, with a record of 40-11. The Raptors have all the momentum, coming off four straight wins over a Milwaukee team that had the best record in the NBA during the regular season. They cranked up the defense, and physically dominated the Bucks. The same approach could yield a similar result here in the NBA Finals against the Warriors. Toronto swept the season series, and the Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. If Toronto's role players play the way they did in Games 5 and 6 against Milwaukee, they could win this series. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-29-19 | Blues +1.5 v. Bruins | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the St. Louis Blues. I had Boston in Game 1, but I was a little surprised to see them overcome an early 2-0 deficit. The Blues won't be happy with some of the calls in Game 1, and I think the officials will let a little more go here in Game 2. I wouldn't be surprised if this game ends 2-1 or 3-2 decided in overtime. The Blues aren't going to go away, and they aren't going down without a fight. Take STL. +1.5 GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-28-19 | Brewers +1.5 v. Twins | 3-5 | Loss | -185 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Brewers. The Brewers are a half a game out of first place in the NL Central, and after winning Game 1 in Minnesota they will be an underdog in Game 2. Zack Davies will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's having a breakout season. Davies (5-0, 2.43 ERA) allowed six runs on six hits in just three innings in an 11-9 home win over Cincinnati his last time out. He's 2-0 with a 2.17 ERA in five starts on the road. The Twins hand the ball to Devin Smeltzer, who was called up to fill in for scheduled starter Martin Perez. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6.5 | 105-99 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Give the Raptors a ton of credit for grinding out back to back wins at home to tie this series heading back to Milwaukee for Game 5. Those wins came at a cost though, as Kawhi Leonard and Kyle Lowry are banged up. Lowry has a hand injury that has really been bothering him, and Kawhi was visibly limping in Game 4. The Bucks are back home with their backs against the wall, and they will be desperate to get off to a good start in Game 5. The books blew the doors off in the first half of Game 3, leading by a score of 64-39. I expect a similar result here in Game 5. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-21-19 | Bucks v. Raptors +2.5 | 102-120 | Win | 100 | 20 h 4 m | Show | |
I had the Raptors in the first half of Game 3, and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Raptors got off to a good start in Game 1, leading 59-51 at halftime. They fell apart in the fourth quarter, losing by a final score of 108-100. They return home down 0-2, and they face a must win game as they try to get back into this series. The Bucks come into Game 3 in complete control, and it's tough to see them matching Toronto's intensity here in the first half of this game. The game plan for Milwaukee is likely to weather the storm early, try to keep the game close and steal one late (similar to Game 1)." I expect Toronto to build on their momentum coming off a double-OT win. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-21-19 | Sharks v. Blues -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 181 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on STL. I had the Blues in Game 3, and I felt robbed. Here is what I said before the game: "The Sharks got to Jordan Binnington in Game 1, but the rookie was solid as a rock in Game 2. The Blues head back home with a 1-1 series split, and they appear to have the Sharks right where they want them. The Sharks biggest weakness so far in these playoffs has been inconsistent goaltending from Martin Jones. He has a 2.83 GAA and a .905 save percentage, which ranks 15th among active netminders in the post-season. Note that only 16 teams advance to the playoffs. Jones allowed four goals in 25 shots in Game 2, and it's tough to have a lot of confidence in him moving forward. The Sharks have lost seven of their last 10 on the road, and the home team has won six of the last seven head to head meetings. I'll take the Blues as the home favorite." The Sharks are beaten and battered, and they can't have a lot left in the tank. The Blues should put them out of their misery here tonight. Take STL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-18-19 | Cubs +1.5 v. Nationals | 2-5 | Loss | -173 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Chicago Cubs. The Cubs roughed up the Nationals in Game 1 in Washington, and the struggling Nats are still listed as a favorite in Game 2. Stephen Strasburg will toe the slab for Washington, and he's coming off back to back losses. The 30 year old allowed six runs on 10 hits and four walks over a combined 12 2/3 innngs in losses at LA and Milwaukee. He's 0-2 with a 7.56 ERA in three starts under the lights in 2019. The Cubs hand the ball to Jon Lester, who has been solid in all situations. Lester (3-1, 1.16 ERA) allowed one run on nine hits, striking out six in 6 2/3 innings in a win over the Brewers his last time out. Washington ranks dead last in the majors in ERA by reliever (6.82). Take CHC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-16-19 | Blazers v. Warriors -7.5 | 111-114 | Loss | -104 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Warriors. The Blazers had no answer for the Warriors in Game 1, especially Steph Curry. The two time MVP scored 36 points and hit nine three-pointers. Portland looked lost, and it appears the seven game series versus Denver took it's toll. Damian Lillard scored just 19 points on 4-of-12 shooting in Game 1, and he's now scored 22 or less in three of his last four games overall. He averaged less than 26 points per game during the regular season, but after a few heroic efforts in the first round versus Oklahoma City the bookmakers have set his points total at 26.5. The Blazers aren't saying anything about an apparent hamstring injury (he was seen grabbing the back of his leg and wincing in pain in Game 1) and I am sure he will continue to play through the pain. Kevin Durant might well be the most dominant scorer in the game, but the Warriors aren't bad without him. In fact in their last 29 games when Curry plays and Durant sits, the Warriors are a staggering 28-1. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-15-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6 | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 55 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. The Toronto Raptors are coming off a huge win in Game 7 on a buzzer beater by Kawhi Leonard. Raptors fans are in good spirits heading into the Eastern Conference Finals, but they could be in for a huge let down in Game 1. When you look at the fact that Toronto shot just 38.2 percent in Game 7, you have to think they are lucky to have advanced to the Conference Finals. The Bucks won three of four in the season series, and they have covered the spread in four of the last five meetings. Aside from Kawhi Leonard, the rest of Toronto's starters have really struggled offensively. Khris Middleton, Eric Bledsoe and the Bucks starters have all played well, especially at home. "They've got a lot of weapons," Lowry said. "They're pretty deep and they shoot the ball as well as anybody, and they've got the one-man fast break in Giannis and then they've got a point guard (Bledsoe) who's really, really good and physical. They've got George Hill coming off the bench and playing well." The Raptors won't compete in this series unless they play a lot better than they did against Philly. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-14-19 | Blazers +8 v. Warriors | 94-116 | Loss | -109 | 33 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Blazers. The Bookmakers obviously aren't giving Portland much credit for winning a Game 7 at Denver where the Nuggets had the best home record in the league this season. They don't seem to mind that Kevin Durant won't play, DeMarcus Cousins is still out, and Steph Curry might not be at 100 percent (remember he dislocated his finger in Game 2 versus the Rockets). The Blazers earned a split in the season series, winning in overtime at Oracle Arena in December. The Warriors have failed to cover in four of their last five home games, and they didn't beat Houston by more than seven points in any of the six games in their previous series. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-12-19 | Yankees +1.5 v. Rays | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYY +1.5. The Yankees have split the first two games of this series in Tampa, and they look good as the underdog in Game 3 on Sunday. Masahiro Tanaka will toe the slab for the Bronx Bombers, and he's winless in his last three starts. The 30 year old is 6-4 with a 4.11 ERA in his last 11 starts versus Tampa, and he's 3-3 in Tampa during that span. The Rays hand the ball to Blake Snell, who hasn't been as sharp as he was a year ago. He's 3-4 with a 4.37 ERA in his last 11 starts versus New York. Kevin Cash comments about recent injuries: "Yesterday was probably the low point of the season. We lost a tough ballgame and also knowing that we're scrambling to find some catchers and that we lost one of the best pitchers in baseball the early part of the season. It was good to see the guys bounce back." Take NYY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-08-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -5.5 | 99-104 | Loss | -113 | 33 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Warriors. The Warriors couldn't make a shot to save their lives in either of the two games in Houston. Steph Curry was 6-of-23 from beyond the arc in Games 3-4, and Klay Thompson was 3-for-12. Still Game 3 was decided in overtime and Game 4 was decided by just four points. Surely the Rockets hopes are slim if they are relying on the Warriors poor shooting to continue. Kevin Durant leads all scorers in the plaoffs averaging over 35 points per game, and he's likely due for another epic performance. Take GSW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-06-19 | Marlins v. Cubs -1.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Cubs. It was a poor start to 2019 for the Cubbies, but they come into Game 1 of this home series versus Miami sitting in first place in the Central, and they have won seven straight. Cole Hamels will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's a perfect 3-0 in six starts with an ERA of 3.19. He tossed seven scoreless innings, allowing three hits and striking out eight in a win at Miami a few weeks ago. The Fish hand the ball to Sandy Alcantra, who has lost his last four starts. He was lit up for five runs on seven hits in six innings in a 6-0 loss to the Cubs in mid April. Miami ranks dead last in the majors leagues in runs scored. Take CHC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-05-19 | Blues v. Stars -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a play on the Dallas Stars. Dallas heads home with a 3-2 series lead, and they appear to have frustrated Blues rookie netminder Jordan Binnington. I am certainly not surprised the Stars are leading this series, here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Blues beat the Winnipeg Jets in the first round mostly as a result of Jordan Binnington out-playing Connor Hellebuck. They face the Dallas Stars in the second round, and I don't think they can count on superior goaltending in this series. Ben Bishop ranked 1st in the NHL in save percentage and second in GAA during the regular season. Here in the playoffs he ranks second in both categories behind Robyn Lehner of the Islanders. The Stars top line has also been hot, and I think Dallas matches up really well versus this Blues team." Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-19 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 65 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Boston Bruins -1.5. I had the Bruins to win the series, and here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Blue Jackets showed the Tampa Bay Lightning that playoff hockey is a whole different ball game than the regular season. Their strategy worked perfect against the talented lightning, but they better go back to the drawing board. If they think they are going to out-work, and push around the big bad Bruins, they are kidding themselves. This Boston team is battle tested, with legendary playoff performers such as Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron and Zedno Chara." Boston won Game 4 by a score of 4-1, and Columbus would have been held scoreless if it wasnt for a controversial goal on a puck that went out of play and ended up in the net. Boston has all the momentum and home ice advantage is restored. If the Jackets are trailing late, there is a high probability of an empty net goal. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-03-19 | Islanders v. Hurricanes -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 210 | 30 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Canes -1.5. The Islanders have been so close in every game of this series, but they can't seem to catch a break. Heading into Game 4 in Carolina trailing 3-0 in the series, you have to wonder how much fight this team has left. The Canes will be all fired up here with a rowdy crowd behind them, and if they score first they might just run away with it. They scored a pair of empty netters in the last game, and you can bet the Isles will be quick to pull the goalie if they are trailing late in this elimination game. Take CAR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-30-19 | Rockets +6 v. Warriors | Top | 109-115 | Push | 0 | 49 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Houston. The Rockets delivered a detailed report on last year's WC Final, suggesting that the officials were biased in favor of Golden State. Most people see this for what it is, a rather classless position for a franchise who's star player has earned a living on cheap foul calls. Still the squeaky wheel often gets the grease, and Harden will likely get a call or two in his favor tonight. If there's one thing that conspiracy theorists know about NBA officiating, it's that the league loves to extend a series. The Rockets lost Game 1 last year and responded with a huge win in Game 2. The Warriors have been rather sloppy of late, losing two of their last three at home and failing to cover in four of their last five home games against the Rockets. I'll take the points. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-30-19 | Celtics +7.5 v. Bucks | 102-123 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston. You don't want to overreact to the results of just one game, and just because Milwaukee lost Game 1 at home as the biggest favorite in the second round doesn't mean they can't win in Game 2. That being said, there is a difference between overreacting and failing to react at all. The results of Game 1 are not meaningless. Boston didn't just win, they didn't get lucky and steal the game. No sir, they dominated the game from start to finish, winning by a whopping 22 points. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "So the Bucks were the better team in the regular season, and because of that they are a significant favorite in this second round series versus Boston. Granted they have home court advantage, so laying a few points would make plenty of sense. Giving Boston 8+ points though seems absolutely illogical to me. The last time these teams played each other, Boston won by a score of 117-113. The last time Boston played at Milwaukee they lost by a score of 98-97. Kyrie Irving is a proven playoff performer with a championship ring, and this Celtics team has proven itself in the post-season. Milwaukee is coming off a four game sweep of Detroit, a subpar team who's best player (Blake Griffin) was injured. I don't think that helps them prepare for the challenge they will face here versus the Celtics." The bookmakers giving Boston +7.5 points in Game 2 tells me that they think the results of Game 1 are meaningless, and I disagree. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-29-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -6.5 | 94-89 | Loss | -102 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. I had Toronto in Game 1, and while I was happy with the double digit win, I thought the game was closer than it should have been. The Raptors played a great game defensively, but some poor decisions allowed Philly to hang around in what should have been a blowout. The most egregious of those poor decisions was at the end of the third quarter, up by 15 points with 16 seconds on the clock, surely you hold the ball for last shot with a chance to go into the fourth up 17 or 18 points? Instead, Danny Green forced a quick three point attempt, and Ben Simmons came back to score a quick bucket. Joel Embiid added a pair of free throws and the lead was cut from a possible 17 or 18 to just 11. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Raptors were 3-1 against the Sixers during the regular season, but perhaps the most significant thing about the regular season series was that Kawhi Leonard didn't play in the one game that Philly won. The Sixers were 31-10 at home this season, but they had a losing record on the road. I am not convinced that this team is all that different that the team that lost in five games to Boston in last year's East Seminfinal. They lost all three games at Boston, and they lost Game 1 by 16 points. While they have since added Jimmy Butler, the health of Joel Embiid is in question. The Raptors on the other hand look a lot better with Kahwi Leonard and Marc Gasol than they did a year ago." After getting the monkey off their back in Game 1, expect a more convincing win in Game 2. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-28-19 | Celtics +8 v. Bucks | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 83 h 15 m | Show | |
8* analysis before game time |
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04-27-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -5 | Top | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 90 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors were 3-1 against the Sixers during the regular season, but perhaps the most significant thing about the regular season series was that Kawhi Leonard didn't play in the one game that Philly won. The Sixers were 31-10 at home this season, but they had a losing record on the road. I am not convinced that this team is all that different that the team that lost in five games to Boston in last year's East Seminfinal. They lost all three games at Boston, and they lost Game 1 by 16 points. While they have since added Jimmy Butler, the health of Joel Embiid is in question. The Raptors on the other hand look a lot better with Kahwi Leonard and Marc Gasol than they did a year ago. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-25-19 | Stars +1.5 v. Blues | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Dallas. The Blues beat the Winnipeg Jets in the first round mostly as a result of Jordan Binnington out-playing Connor Hellebuck. They face the Dallas Stars in the second round, and I don't think they can count on superior goaltending in this series. Ben Bishop ranked 1st in the NHL in save percentage and second in GAA during the regular season. Here in the playoffs he ranks second in both categories behind Robyn Lehner of the Islanders. The Stars top line has also been hot, and I think Dallas matches up really well versus this Blues team. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-25-19 | Indians +1.5 v. Astros | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Indians +1.5. The Indians got off to a slow start, but they come into Game 1 in Houston as winners of 5-of-8 and sitting just a half game out of first place in the AL Central. Trevor Bauer will toe the slab for the Tribe, and he's off to a solid start in 2019. Bauer (2-1, 2.20 ERA) allowed two runs on three hits, striking out 10 batters over 6 1/3 innings in a no decision versus the Braves his last time out. The Astros hand the ball to Gerrit Cole, who hasn't looked as sharp this season as he did a year ago. Cole (1-2, 5.22 ERA) was torched for nine runs on nine hits and three walks in just 4 1/3 innings in a loss at Texas his last time out. Jose Ramirez was 3-for-4 with a home run and four RBI last night, and he's 1-for-3 with a home run lifetime versus Cole. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-23-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -5.5 | 90-108 | Win | 100 | 71 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Spurs are coming off a terrible loss at home in Game 4, and they are in rough shape heading back to Denver. Not only did they miss out on a chance to wrestle home court advantage away from the Nuggets in this series, they allowed the younger and less experience team to gain confidence. Now Denver has a chance to take a 3-2 series lead at home in Game 5. The Nuggets have the best home record in the NBA, and home court advantage in Denver has been a story long before this team finished as the #2 seed. Playing at altitude in Denver could prove to be even more challenging for a Spurs team that has the worst road record of any team in the playoffs. I think the Spurs window of opportunity closed when they lost at home in Game 4. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-20-19 | Bucks -8 v. Pistons | Top | 119-103 | Win | 100 | 65 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks are heading into Game 3 of this series up 2-0, and some might expect them to suffer a let down here as the series shifts to Detroit. Well they didn't finish with the best record in the NBA by taking nights off. This Milwaukee team enjoys beating up on the opposition, and I expect them to cruise to another double digit win over an inferior opponent. The Bucks have won six straight against the Pistons, and their last game in Detroit was a 115-105 win on January 29th. The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a ATS loss, and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. Blake Griffin hasn't seen any action in this series, and his status is in serious doubt for Game 3. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-20-19 | 76ers v. Nets +2 | 112-108 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Brooklyn Nets. The Nets took Philly by surprise in Game 1, but now they head into Game 4 trailing the series 2-1. Joel Embiid is likely going to rest with a knee injury, and Ben Simmons is coming off a monster performance in Game 3. Simmons scored 31 points on 11-of-13 shooting, but I seriously doubt he can do it again here in Game 4. Simmons will likely suffer a let down here, as he simply isn't a great shooter and hasn't turned into one overnight. Brooklyn did cover the spread in three of the four regular season meetings, and I expect the Nets to give a big push back here early in Game 4. Take BKN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-20-19 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Cubs | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona D'Backs +1.5. Arizona lost Game 1 of this series by a score of 5-1, but they might have better luck in Game 2 with Zack Greinke on the mound. Greinke (2-1, 5.79 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on four hits over seven innings in a home win over San Diego his last time out. The D'Backs have won each of his last three starts, striking out 25 batters in 19 2/3 innings in those games. The Cubs hand the ball to Yu Darvish, who is coming off a solid start. He allowed a pair of runs on four hits and four walks in 5 2/3 innings in a win at Miami. Prior to that he was torched for five runs on five hits in 5 1/3 innings in a home loss to Pittsburgh. Adam Jones is 2-for-3 with a home run lifetime versus Darvish. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-17-19 | Giants +1.5 v. Nationals | 6-9 | Loss | -163 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SF +1.5. The Giants have won four of five heading into Game 2 in Washington, and they send a hot pitcher to the mound tonight. Jeff Samardzija will toe the slab for the Giants, and he's coming off a gem in his last start. He tossed seven scoreless innings allowing just three hits and fanning seven in a home win over Colorado. The Nats hand the ball to Jeremy Hellickson, who is also off to a good start to 2019. The veteran has only pitched eight innings so far, and he allowed a pair of runs on three hits in two innings of work at home. Washington's bullpen ranks dead last in the majors with an ERA of 7.83. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-17-19 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Yankees | 3-5 | Loss | -170 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Red Sox +1.5. The Red Sox and the Yankees are struggling so far. Boston has just three wins in 12 games on the road, while New York has just three wins in nine games at home. Nathan Eovaldi will toe the rubber for the Red Sox, and the former Yankee has pitched just well enough for his team to win. While he doesn't have great numbers, the Sox are 3-0 in his three starts so far. The Yankees hand the ball to J.A. Happ, who is 0-2 with an 11.25 ERA in two home starts. He was torched for six runs on nine hits in just four innings in a loss to the White Sox his last time out. With all the Yankees injuries, I don't see why they should be a favorite in this game. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-17-19 | Reds +1.5 v. Dodgers | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cincinnati +1.5. The Reds come into Game 3 of this series off back to back losses, but Game 1 was a close game decided by a walkoff in the bottom of the ninth. Another close game might be on tap here this afternoon. Sonny Gray will toe the rubber for the Reds, and he's had a solid start to 2019. Gray (0-2, 2.03 ERA) gave up just two hits and struck out six in four scoreless innings in a win over Miami his last time out. Prior to that he pitched a gem in a 2-0 loss to Pittsburgh, giving up just one run on three hits while fanning seven in six frames. The Dodgers hand the ball to Walker Buehler, whos is off to rough start to the season. The right-hander allowed five runs on five hits and a pair of walks in just four innings in a loss at St. Louis his last time out. Take CIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-19 | Reds +1.5 v. Dodgers | 1-6 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Reds. The Dodgers won Game 1 of this series by a score of 4-3, and we might expect another close game here in Game 2 at Chavez Ravine. Tyler Mahle will toe the rubber for the Reds, and he's off to a hot start. Mahle (0-0, 0.82 ERA) allowed one run on four hits, striking out seven in five innings in a win over Miami his last time out. He faced the Dodgers once last year, allowing one run on three hits in five innings in a victory. The Dodgers hand the ball to Kenta Maeda, who is coming off a loss his last time out. He gave up five runs on seven hits over 5 1/3 innings in loss at St. Louis. Clay Bellinger (NL home run leader) left last night's game after being hit by a pitch. Take CIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-19 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets +1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
5* |
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04-15-19 | Rockies +1.5 v. Padres | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Colorado +1.5. |
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04-15-19 | Cardinals +1.5 v. Brewers | 7-10 | Loss | -165 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play STL +1.5. The Cardinals come into Milwaukee as winners of six of their last seven, and they might just tee off on a young Milwaukee pitcher in Game 1. Freddy Peralta will toe the slab for the Brewers, and the 22 year old was hit hard in his season debut at home. He allowed four runs on six hits and three walks in just three innings in a 9-5 loss to St. Louis. The Cardinals hand the ball to Dakota Hudson, who got the start opposite Peralta in that game. He allowed four runs on seven hits and a pair of walks over 4 1/3 innings in that game. He hasn't allowed a run in two appearances since. The over is 4-1 in Peralta's last five home starts. Take STL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-15-19 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Twins | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Blue Jays +1.5. The Jays have struggled to score runs, but they have to be happy with their starting pitching. One of the biggest surprises is the successful start for Matt Shoemaker. The veteran is 3-0 with a 0.92 ERA in his first three starts with the team. He's only faced the Twins once over the last three seasons, allowing two runs on five hits over 6 1/3 innings in a victory. The Twins hand the ball to Martin Perez, who is the team's fifth starter. The southpaw has allowed five runs on six hits and six walks over just 4 2/3 innings in his last two appearances. Justin Smoak is batting .389 lifetime versus Perez. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-14-19 | Brewers +1.5 v. Dodgers | 1-7 | Loss | -146 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Milwaukee +1.5. The Brewers have won both of the first two games of this series in LA, and they look good as the underdog here in Game 3 on Sunday. Jhoulys Chacin will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he's won two of his first three starts. The right-hander was 10-3 with a 3.33 ERA on the road last season. The Dodgers hand the ball to Ross Stripling, who is still looking for his first victory. He allowed four runs on five hits over five innings in 4-0 loss at St. Louis his last time out. The Dodgers bullpen has struggled so far, with an ERA over 5.00. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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