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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-23-22 | Texans v. Raiders -7 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 87 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Raiders. The Texans are coming off a win over Jacksonville, their only win this season. A closer look at that game reveals that they were quite fortunate. They were out-gained 422-248 in total yards, and they benefited from a pair of Trevor Lawrence interceptions. The Raiders have struggled early in the season, but Derek Carr and Davante Adams are starting to click. Adams has a dozen catches for 225 yards and a pair of TDs in his last two starts. Josh Jacobs has run for 298 yards and three TDs in his last two starts. Coming off a bye week, and facing a Texans team that ranks near the bottom of the league allowing over 160 rushing yards per game should bode well for Jacobs and the Raiders. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-22 | Browns v. Ravens -6 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Baltimore. The Ravens are coming off an ugly loss on the road at New York, but they've been alternating wins and losses all year. They have a favorable matchup this week, hosting a banged up Cleveland Browns team. Both these teams struggle on defense, but the Ravens struggle against the pass while the Browns struggle against the run. That's bad news for a one-dimensional Cleveland offense that is heavily dependent on the running game. The Ravens on the other hand should be able to take advantage of the Browns poor run defense. The Browns are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games in October, and they have failed to cover in five straight against the Ravens. TheRavens are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-22 | Clippers -2 v. Kings | 111-109 | Push | 0 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Clippers. The Kings lost their home opener by a score of 115-108, and they might struggle here against the Clippers on Saturday. The Kings were 16-25 at home last year, and only Houston and Oklahoma City had fewer home wins in the Western Conference. The Clippers finished with a dozen more wins than Sacramento last season, and they are in far better shape now with a healthy Paul George, Norman Powell and Marcus Morris. Of course Kawhi is back as well, but after we learned he will sit out for load management, this line has dropped. Kawhi only scored 14 points in 21 minutes off the bench in a 103-97 win over the Lakers in the season opener. The Clippers should be in good shape without him here in Sacramento. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-22 | Kansas State +3.5 v. TCU | Top | 28-38 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on K-State. The Horned Frogs upset Oklahoma, dropping 55 points on the Sooners three weeks ago. They have climbed into the Top 10 in the polls after winning back to back games since. Wins over Oklahoma State and Kansas were close, and they came back after trailing by a double digit margin at home last week against the Cowboys. It looks like just a matter of time before the bubble bursts for this undefeated TCU team, and this week's game against K-State looks like a challenging spot. The Wildcats are coming off a bye, and they have all the tools required to cause problems for the Horned Frogs. Weather could be a factor with high winds expected, and that favors the Wildcats with the power running game of Deuce Vaughn and Adrian Martinez. I'll take the points with a K-State team that has won three straight head to head, and has covered in six of their last seven versus TCU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-22 | Astros +1.5 v. Yankees | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on HOU +1.5. The Astros are undefeated in the playoffs so far, while the Yankees are hanging on by a thread. After a five game series versus Cleveland, they find themselves down 0-2 in the ALCS. This really should come as no surprise, given their second half collapse during the regular season. The Yankees have lost eight of their last 10 versus Houston, and one of the two wins during that span came in a one run game. The Yankees are the favorite with their ace on the mound, but Christian Javier has a lower ERA and WHIP than Cole. He was also 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA in two starts versus the Yankees this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-22 | Manchester United +0.5 v. Chelsea | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MUTD +0.5. Things are starting to take shape for Erik Ten Hag at Manchester United, the Red Devils are 4-0-1 in their last five matches in all competitions. They face a tough test here at Stamford Bridge, as Chelsea is also 4-0-1 in their last five matches. History tells us that this game is likely to be close. These teams have played to a draw in each of the last four meetings. Don't be surprised if we see a fifth straight draw in this series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-22 | Syracuse +14 v. Clemson | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 142 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CUSE. The Orange are undefeated, with quality wins over NC State (last week), Purdue and Louisville. They will be a double digit dog on the road at Clemson, and I think the Tigers have become overrated. As good as Clemson is, they have dealt with a tough schedule heading into this game, and the bubble could be about to burst. Wins over NC State, Wake Forest and Florida State all came by 10 points or fewer. This is the best Syracuse team we have see for decades, but in recent years the Orange have played Clemson really tough. The Tigers won by just a field goal at the Carrier Dome last year, and Syracuse is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. They won outright 27-24 back in 2017. Roberta Anae has the offense firing on all cylinders, Sean Tucker is a beast in the backfield. The Orange aren't getting enough respect in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-18-22 | Guardians +1.5 v. Yankees | 1-5 | Loss | -147 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on CLE +1.5. It's tough to give an analysis before the pitching matchup has been confirmed. The price has gone way up overnight after a rainout last night. Nestor Cortes will take over instead of Jameson Taillon, but he was already on the wrong side of a loss in this series. It would seem likely that Shane Beiber could go on three days rest, but Civale might get the start on a short leash. Whoever is on the mound, I think the price is too high for a Yankees team that is in danger of joining the Dodgers and the Braves on the golf course. GL, Jesse |
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10-17-22 | Broncos v. Chargers -4 | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LAC. This matchup features two of the most controversial head coaches in the NFL, but Brandon Staley has more talent to work with. Justin Herbert has thrown for 1,478 yards with 10 TDs and just two picks, and he's likely due for a strong performance three weeks after suffering a rib injury. Russell Wilson is still banged up with a sore shoulder, and he's struggled all season long. The Broncos have failed to cover in five straight road games, and they were lit up by the Raiders in their most recent road game. The home team has covered in five straight head to head meetings, give me LA all day! GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-17-22 | Penguins -1.5 v. Canadiens | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Penguins. Sidney Crosby has taken a back seat to the likes of Connor McDavid, Auston Matthews and Nathan McKinnon in recent seasons. At the age of 35, he may still be one of the best in the game. He comes into Montreal leading the NHL in scoring after playing just two games. This is always a big game for Crosby and teammate Kris Letang who was born in Montreal. Crosby has scored 21 goals and has 37 assists in 43 career games versus Montreal in his career. These two teams are trending in opposite directions, the Habs rebuilding while the Pens appear to be a contender. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-22 | Cowboys +5.5 v. Eagles | 17-26 | Loss | -110 | 160 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DAL. I had the Cowboys as the underdog last week, and bet against the Eagles as a favorite. That worked out well, and I am going right back with the same strategy again this week. Here is what I said over a week ago: "The Eagles are flying high, but they will come crashing back down to earth at some point. They are asked to cover a big number here.." "The betting public might well view this week's home game against the Cowboys as a good bounce back spot for the champs. It's not really a great matchup for a struggling QB (Stafford) who has two more INTs than he does TDs. He faces a Cowboys defense that ranks Top 5 in the NFL against the pass, allowing 171 yards per game." The Cowboys are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Philadelphia. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-22 | Yankees v. Guardians +1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on CLE +1.5. The Yankees won Game 1 of this series by a score of 4-1, but they come into Game 4 trailing 2-1. Aside from the fact that Cleveland has all the momentum, there are reasons to expect a better result here with the same pitching matchup as the series opener. Cal Quantrill was 9-0 with a 3.28 ERA at home during the regular season. He was also 4-0 with a 2.60 ERA in his last six starts of the season. The way the Yankees lost Game 3, it puts them in a tough spot mentally to overcome. I'll take the home dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-22 | Jaguars v. Colts -1 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 153 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IND. The Jags beat the Colts 24-0 earlier this season, and for whatever reason Jacksonville just seems to have their number. The Jags have covered in six straight, and nine of the last 10 head to head meetings dating all the way back to 2016. But as my good friend Lee Corso would say: "not so fast my friend". The home team is 10-0 straight up during that span. While the Colts failed to cover in all but one of their four home wins over Jacksonville, the average margin of victory in those games was over 10 points. Jonathan Taylor is expected to return this week, and that could change everything. Given Matt Ryan's struggles, we shouldn't be asking him to do too much. Meanwhile Trevor Lawrence threw for 286 yards and a pair of INTs on 25-of-47 passing in a loss to the Texans last week. The Jaguars are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven on the road. I'll take the home team just to win straight up. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-22 | Manchester City v. Liverpool +0.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* on Liverpool. So Manchester City looks like an unstoppable force this season, while Liverpool has had a poor start in the Premier League. This has the Citizens pegged as heavy favorites heading to Anfield on Saturday, in a game where a draw would probably suit them just fine. In fact the last two times these teams met in the Premier League the result was a draw. Liverpool also knocked City out of the FA Cup and won the Community Shield versus City. While Pep Guardiola may have the superior squad this season, playing at Anfield is a daunting task. It's been five and a half years since Liverpool lost at home in front of their fans in a Premier League match. Manchester City hasn't won at Anfield since 2003, and that is their only win in 20 visits to Liverpool all time (modern era). GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-22 | Alabama v. Tennessee +7.5 | 49-52 | Win | 100 | 55 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Tennessee. The Crimson Tide just barely escaped with a 24-20 win over Texas A&M last week. It was the second time this season that Alabama was pushed to the brink in a game that went right down to the wire. You know what they say: "If you play with fire, you're gonna get burned". Playing on the road at Tennessee might be their toughest test so far, and we don't yet know if QB Bryce Young will be able to play. He's likely to suit up, but unlikely to be 100 percent healthy. The Vols lost 52-24 at Alabama last year, but they were within a single score in the 4th quarter before Alabama scored the game's final 21 points. Hendon Hooker threw for 282 yards and three TDs on 19-of-28 passing in a losing effort. The Vols are in a great spot here to avenge that loss, and I won't be surprised to see them get the upset. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-22 | Braves v. Phillies +1.5 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Phillies have all the momentum heading into Game 4, and the pitching matchup favors Philly. Charlie Morton will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he's 0-1 with a 5.47 ERA in five starts versus the Phillies this season. The Phillies hand the ball to Noah Syndergaard, who is 2-1 with a 3.20 ERA in his last four appearances. The Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 Divisional Playoff home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-22 | Penn State +7 v. Michigan | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PSU. It's tough to get a read on just how good this Michigan team actually is. I've heard a lot of pundits talk about how good their defense is, but when you start quoting stats you need to realize they have only played one team that ranks better than 98th nationally in total offense. That was Maryland, who they beat at home by a score of 34-27. Penn State comes in off a bye week, and they should be ready to get down and dirty here. Unlike the Wolverines, Penn State has played Power Five teams on the road and passed the test. They beat Auburn by 29 points on the road, while #1 ranked Georgia beat Auburn by 32 at home. This game will answer a lot of questions for both teams, but asking the Wolverines to cover a big spread seems like a bit of a stretch when they still haven't played anybody. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-22 | Blackhawks v. Golden Knights -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -128 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on VGK. The Knights peppered Kings goaltender Jonathan Quick with 51 shots in their season opener, winning by a score of 4-3. They are back home hosting the Chicago Blackhawks tonight, and Chicago is coming off a 5-2 loss in Denver. The Blackhawks are 10-42 in their last 52 versus a team with a winning record. They have lost five of their last six versus the Golden Knights, and they are projected to be one of the worst teams in the league again this season. That means that they may be tanking for a first round draft pick. The Blackhawks are 4-13 in the last 17 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | 0-3 | Loss | -174 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Phillies are in the driver's seat after winning Game 1, and they are in great shape with Zack Wheeler on the mound in Game 2. Wheeler (12-7, 2.82 ERA) was scorching down the stretch, allowing just one run in his final three regular season starts. He was 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in three starts versus the Braves this year. Atlanta will hand the ball to Kyle Wright, who has pitched well versus Philly, but has an ERA over 5.00 in his last five starts. The Phillies are 6-1 in their last seven Divisional Playoff road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-22 | Maple Leafs -1.5 v. Canadiens | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on TOR. These two teams are trending in opposite directions. The Habs are expected to be tanking for the top pick in the draft, while the Leafs are looking to prove that they are a contender. Toronto was expected to make a deep playoff run with one of the highest paid rosters in the NHL last season, but were bounced in the first round of the playoffs once again. They bring back almost everybody from a team that ranked 2nd in the league in scoring. Auston Matthews scored 60 goals, leading the league in scoring. They have the firepower to take advantage of an inferior opponent in their season opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-11-22 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LAD. Game 1 could be an emotional let down spot for the Padres after upsetting the Mets in the Wild Card series. The pitching matchup certainly favors the home team. Mike Clevinger will go for San Diego, and he's 0-2 with a 9.69 ERA in three starts versus the Dodgers this season. He also struggled on the road, going 4-4 with a 5.46 ERA in 14 starts. The Dodgers hand the ball to Julio Urias, who has owned the Padres. He's 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA in four starts versus San Diego. The Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 Divisional Playoff home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-10-22 | Raiders +7 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on LV. |
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10-09-22 | Bengals +3.5 v. Ravens | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 54 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CIN. When the bookmakers tell you that the Ravens are favored by more than a field goal here, they might as well be saying "don't believe you're lying eyes". Forget about the fact that they rank dead last in the NFL against the pass, and their struggling secondary could be without Marcus Peters this week. Never mind that the Bengals swept the season series last year. Well I ain't buying it. The Bengals are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall, and they have covered in six of their last seven road games. Cinci looks like the better team at the moment, and I expect them to win this game OUTRIGHT! GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-22 | Cowboys +5.5 v. Rams | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 50 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DAL. The Rams are the defending champs, coming off an ugly loss on the road at San Francisco. The betting public might well view this week's home game against the Cowboys as a good bounce back spot for the champs. It's not really a great matchup for a struggling QB (Stafford) who has two more INTs than he does TDs. He faces a Cowboys defense that ranks Top 5 in the NFL against the pass, allowing 171 yards per game. Stafford is playing behind an offensive line in shambles, and he's failed to connect with any WR not named Cooper Kupp. The visitors may have their backup QB under center, but he's undefeated in four career starts. I'll take the points here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-22 | Dolphins v. Jets +6 | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 230 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Jets. The Dolphins come into New York as the favorite, asked to cover points despite missing their starting QB and potentially a handful of key position players. After going undefeated in the pre-season, the Jets are off to a rather dubious 2-2 start. Both their wins have come on the road, and both the result of improbable fourth quarter comebacks. Lets not kid ourselves and confuse these Jets with what you can consider a "good" football team. The fact is these kids have some momentum, and plenty of reason to believe that they are never out of it. That can be a dangerous thing when they are a home dog against a banged up road favorite with so many distractions. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-22 | BYU +4 v. Notre Dame | Top | 20-28 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on BYU. So the 4-1 Cougars ranked #16 in the country are actually an underdog in a neutral site game against unranked 2-2 Notre Dame. So clearly Vegas is telling us that the Irish are the better team? Better where exactly? Drew Pyne looked great against North Carolina last week, but he hasn't proved anything against any top defenses. Jaren Hall comes in with 1,438 yards a dozen TDs and just one INT, and he's faced two ranked opponents. The knock on BYU is that they lost by 20 on the road at Oregon, a week after they beat a Top 10 ranked Baylor team at home in double overtime. The Cougars have been without their top two WR Puka Nacua and Gunner Romney for most of the season, but both should be good to go for Saturday's game. In my mind this is a matchup between one of the most underrated teams of the past decade (BYU) and one of the most overrated teams of the past decade (Notre Dame). The most impressive thing I've seen from Notre Dame this season is losing to Ohio State by just 11. I expect the Cougars to win this game outright, but I certainly don't see them losing by more than a FG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-22 | Texas -7 v. Oklahoma | 49-0 | Win | 100 | 83 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Texas. Oklahoma is in tough here in the Red River Rivalry, with their starting QB banged up and a defense that can't stop anybody. Texas should get QB Quinn Ewers back this week, and he will be licking his chops with a chance to face this Sooners defense. The Horned Frogs racked up 668 yards last week in a 55-24 upset win over Oklahoma last Saturday. This is a situation where little brother (Texas), finally has a shot to embarrass big brother (Oklahoma). The Longhorns are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games, and they have covered in seven of their last 10 Red River Rivalry games. The Sooners aren't saying much about Dylan Gabriel, but it would be a surprise if he's able to get back on the field this week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-22 | Colts +3.5 v. Broncos | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 43 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Colts. Indy was favored to win the AFC South heading into the season, but after winning just one of their first four games they are one of the most disappointing teams in the NFL so far. So what went wrong? Matt Ryan ranks 4th in the NFL in passing, but he's thrown as many picks (5) as he has TDs. He's also fumbled an NFL worst nine times. Jonathan Taylor has been banged up and hasn't been as productive as he was last season. Indy appears to be due for some positive regression. The Broncos have plenty of issues of their own, and their problems might not be as easy to fix. Injuries to Randy Gregory and Javonte Williams will hurt, and Nathaniel Hackett hasn't inspired much confidence as the head coach. Russell Wilson is battling shoulder soreness, and asking this team to cover a number seems a little optimistic. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-03-22 | Blue Jays v. Orioles +1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a free play on the Orioles. The Blue Jays have clinched a Wild Card spot, and the Orioles have been eliminated. Game 1 in Baltimore won't have any playoff implications, but it's a chance for some players to finish strong and pad their stats at the end of the year. Perhaps nobody has more to gain than Dean Kremer, who has had a solid season for the Orioles and will make his final start. His last home start was a complete game shutout win over Houston. He signed a one year contract with Baltimore for just 700K, and he could be in for a big pay day in the off-season. Jose Berrios will go for the Blue Jays, and he's always been a Jeckyll and Hyde picher (home/away). He's 7-2 with a 4.25 ERA in Toronto, and 4-5 with a 6.75 ERA on the road. The Orioles should be a favorite in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-01-22 | Iowa State v. Kansas +3.5 | 11-14 | Win | 100 | 127 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Kansas. Stop asking if Kansas is for real! That's not a real question anymore. They beat Duke, West Virginia and Houston, and they scored an average of 46 points in those games. Cyclones QB Hunter Dekkers has thrown more picks than TDs in conference play so far. Playing on the road in Lawrence against a team that puts points on the board in a hurry isn't an ideal spot for this Iowa State offense. Jalon Daniels comes in completing over 70 percent of his passes for 890 yards with 11 TDs and just one INT. He's lighting it up, and it's no longer sensible to say: "He hasn't played anybody". I like Kansas to extend their winning streak here, but even if they are down by 10 late, this is a team that is fully capable of getting that late TD in garbage time for a back door cover. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-01-22 | Illinois +8 v. Wisconsin | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 123 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Illinois. The Badgers are asked to cover a big number here at home when you consider that they are 0-2 versus Power Five schools. Wisconsin QB Graham Mertz threw for just 94 yards, 1 TD and an INT on 11-of-20 passing against Ohio State last week. Illinois comes in with a 2-1 record, and a defense that ranks Top 10 nationally allowing just eight points per game. While this will be their toughest test yet, they looked pretty good completely shutting down Virginia and Wyoming. If it wasn't for blowing a lead in the final seconds at Indiana, this team would be 4-0. Brett Bielema's team has the nation's leading rusher Chase Brown, and in a game that could be a war of attrition he could be a real factor. The under is 11-3 in the Fighting Illini last 14 games overall, and another low scoring close game should be expected in Madison. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-22 | Raiders v. Titans | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LV. The Raiders opened up a 20-0 lead in the first half against Arizona last week, and they had a 23-7 lead in the fourth quarter. Somehow they suffered an epic meltdown, allowing Arizona to score a pair of late TDs and a pair of two-point conversions. Then the Raiders fumbled in overtime losing 29-23. While these are the type of losses that are tough to come back from, they face a Tennessee team that has more than it's share of problems. The offensive line was already a mess, and then last week they lost Taylor Lewan and Rodger Saffold. Derrick Henry looks like a shell of his former self, and Ryan Tannehill continues to regress. The Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Tennessee, and the road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-22 | USC v. Oregon State +7 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 103 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Oregon State. The Beavers are no joke at home, just ask Utah. The Utes lost in Corvallis last year, their only loss in conference play. The Beavers also won at USC last year, and now they are getting points as a home dog in this year's rematch. The Trojans won big as a home favorite versus Fresno State last week, but the Bulldogs played half of that game without QB Jake Haener. The Trojans are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games at Oregon State, and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings. The Beavers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games. Expect this to be shootout, last team with the ball wins. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-22 | Arkansas +2.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 87 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARK. So I had the Aggies last week, and they won and covered at home versus Miami. So Texas A&M is back right? You know what Lee Corso would say... Not so fast my friends. Jimbo Fisher still has plenty of problems with this offense, and last week they got quite lucky against the Hurricanes. Miami had a 392-264 edge in total yards, and a 27-16 edge in first downs. Max Johnson stepped in at QB for the Aggies and threw for 140 yards and a TD on just 10-of-20 passing. That just won't cut it against an Arkansas team that can put points on the board. The Razobacks come in averaging 38 points per game, and it's not like they haven't played anybody. They impressed in wins over Cincinnati and South Carolina. KJ Jefferson has thrown for 770 yards, six TDs and one INT, and he's ran for 169 yards and three TDs. If the Aggies play the way they did against Miami, they will likely lose this game by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-22 | Duke v. Kansas -7 | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 94 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Kansas. Neither Kansas or Duke were supposed to be undefeated at this point, and most will wonder if these teams are for real. Duke has just one real victory they can hang their hat on, and that's a 31-23 win at Northwestern. When the Wildcats lost at home to Southern Illinois the following week, the strength of that win diminished. Kansas on the other hand has won back to back road games against Power Five teams, scoring over 100 points combined in those games. This team ranks in the Top 10 nationally scoring 51 points per game. It seems like a tough ask for Duke to do what West Virginia and Houston failed to do. The Blue Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-21-22 | Guardians +1.5 v. White Sox | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on CLE+1.5. Cleveland had won 10 of 12 heading into this series in Chicago, sitting four games clear of the White Sox in the AL Central. Triston McKenzie will toe the slab for Cleveland in Game 2, and he's 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA in three starts versus Chicago this season. Chicago will hand the ball to Lance Lynn, who is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA in four starts versus Cleveland. Jose Ramirez is batting .345 with four home runs lifetime versus Lynn. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-22 | Vikings +2.5 v. Eagles | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Minny. Turn on the TV and all the analysts will tell you how bad Kirk Cousins is in Monday Night Football games. i honesty think that's a ridiculous thing to believe, that he is significantly worse on Monday than he is on Sunday afternoon. While he's 2-9 straight up in Monday night games, his QBR in those games is actually pretty good. His chemistry with Justin Jefferson and new head coach Kevin O'connell looked pretty good last week. The defense looked equally as impressive, holding Aaron Rodgers to 195 yards and an INT, and sacking him twice. The Eagles don't look bad either, but at the end of the day they beat the lions and still gave up a ton of points. Jalen Hurts was flirting with an intentional grounding penalty all day. My read here is that the Vikes are getting points, and they have the better QB, RB, WRs, coaching is a wash, hard to say who's got the better defense. I'll take the dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-22 | Jets +7 v. Browns | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 141 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYJ. The Jets lost 24-9 to the Ravens in Week 1, despite holding an edge in total yards (380-274). The Browns kicked a 58 yard FG in the final seconds to come from behind and win 26-24 in Cleveland. It sure seems like the Browns are asked to cover a lot of points for a team with such a one dimensional offense. The Jets have a history of playing close games against Cleveland, covering the spread in six of the last eight meetings. The Browns have failed to cover in five straight as a favorite, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-22 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Ravens | 42-38 | Win | 100 | 126 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. The Ravens beat the Jets in Week 1 but it come at a cost. Left Tackle JaWuan James tore his Achilles in Week 1, and Ronnie Stanley is listed as doubtful this week. Despite what appeared to be a one sided win against the Jets, the Ravens were actually outgained 380-274 in total yards. Miami should pose a much bigger threat here than their Week 1 opponent. Tua connected with Tyreek Hill for eight receptions for 94 yards, and Jalen Waddle had 69 yards and a TD on four grabs. Miami's defense held the Patriots to just seven points on 271 total yards of offense. The Ravens are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win, and I don't think they should be favored by three and the hook. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-22 | Padres v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -190 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Arizona. The D'Backs have a winning record at home this season, and with the hottest pitcher in the major leagues on the mound tonight they appear to be a bargain at this price. Zac Gallen (12-2, 2.50 ERA) hadn't allowed a run in six consecutive starts before giving up three runs on four hits while fanning 11 in six innings in a 12-6 win over the Rockies at Coors Field. Back home tonight don't be surprised to see Gallen toss another shutout. The Padres are 4-10 in their last 14 Saturday games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-22 | Texas Tech v. NC State -10 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 66 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NC State. Texas Tech is in a tough spot here this week, playing on the road in Raleigh off a double overtime win over Houston. They also have Texas on deck next week, which could prove to be a distraction here against the Wolfpack. While Donovan Smith has played well for the Red Raiders, he's up against a fourth year starter that may well be playing on Sundays in a year or two. Devin Leary has picked up where he left off last season when he threw for 3,433 yards, 35 TDs and just 5 INTs. The Red Raiders are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. The Wolfpack are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-22 | Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 79 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. The Chiefs were impressive in a win at Arizona in Week 1, but that game might say more about the Cardinals than it does about the Chiefs. They should face a much tougher test on Thursday night in a home game against the Chargers. Home field hasn't proved to be much of an advantage in recent meetings between these teams. The home team has lost seven of the last eight meetings straight up. Going back even further, the road team is 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 meetings. The Chargers are 36-16-4 ATS in their last 56 games as a road underdog. LA dominated defensively in their win over the Raiders in Week 1. They sacked Derek Carr five times and forced him to throw three INTs. I like LA to give the Chiefs all they can handle on Thursday night. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-22 | Pirates +1.5 v. Reds | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PIT. This is not the highest profile matchup in the majors today, but I like this underdog in a battle between two of the worst teams in baseball. Bryse Wilson will toe the slab for the Bucs, and he hasn't been great in most spots. One spot where he has been good is against the Reds (2.63 ERA in two starts) and in Cincinnati, allowing just one earned run in 6 2/3 innings at Great American Ballpark earlier in the year. The Reds hand the ball to Mike Minor, and there isn't much positive to say about him. He's 0-7 with a 6.11 ERA at home, and 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA versus Pittsburgh. The Reds are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-11-22 | Sun +6.5 v. Aces | Top | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Sun. The Suns have been a very good road team during the regular season and the playoffs. They are 3-1 straight up on the road in these Playoffs, losing 85-77 at Chicago in the one loss. They won 97-90 at Las Vegas this season, and these teams have a history of playing close games. The Aces are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games. The Sun are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-22 | Houston +3.5 v. Texas Tech | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 60 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Cougars. Houston was lucky to come from behind and win in overtime at UTSA in Week 1, but their stock has dropped heading into Week 2. They lost 38-21 at home to Texas Tech in Week 1 last year, but then went on to win 11 straight games. This sets them up for a revenge spot here in Lubbock. Clayton Tune threw four INTs in last year's loss to the Red Raiders, and then he only threw six INTs in his next 12 games. I expect Tune to be a lot better this time around, and this Red Raiders defense ranked dead last in the BIG12 against the pass last season. The Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a ATS loss, and the Red Raiders are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games following a ATS win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-22 | Tennessee -5 v. Pittsburgh | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Tennessee. The Vols were pretty good last year, and they bring back a lot of talent in 2022. Most notably is their QB Hendon Hooker. The one game that they probably would like back is a home loss to Pitt. Hooker was not sharp, and Kenny Pickett lit up the Vols defense. No more Pickett, and no more Jordan Addison for Pitt. A revenge game for the Vols, and based on what we saw in the Backyard Brawl I don't see Pitt slowing down the Tennessee offense. The Vols scored a combined 107 points in road victories at Kentucky and Missouri last year. It's going to be tough for Slovis to match serves with Hooker. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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09-09-22 | Braves v. Mariners +1.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -170 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SEA. The Mariners are a home dog, despite the fact that they are 19-6 overall in their last 25 games. They are 22-3 ATS during that span. Robbie Ray will toe the slab for Seattle, and the reigning Cy Young winner is on top form. He's 4-0 with a 1.41 ERA in his last five starts. The Braves hand the ball to Charlie Morton, who is 2-4 with a 5.24 ERA in a dozen road starts. The Braves are 1-6 in the last seven meetings versus Seattle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-22 | Bills v. Rams | 31-10 | Win | 100 | 1078 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Buffalo. The Rams won a dozen games, finishing first in the NFC West and winning the Super Bowl last season. They will try to be the first back-to-back champions since the Patriots in 2004 and 2005. Statistically, it’s more likely that the team that won the Super Bowl the previous season misses the playoffs than it is for them to repeat as champions. Seven teams have won back-to-back Super Bowls, while nine teams since 1990 have won the Super Bowl and gone on to miss the playoffs. While the Rams look to avoid a Super Bowl Hangover, the Bills are looking to bounce back after being ousted by the Chiefs in last year's playoffs. The Bills are the only team heading into 2022 with a top 5 ranked offense and defense. They used two of their top three draft picks on defensive players, and the addition of veteran Von Miller will help the pass rush. Buffalo ranked 1st in the NFL in scoring defense allowing just 17 points per game last season. The Bills also ranked 1st in passing defense allowing just 163 passing yards per game. Josh Allen threw for 4,407 yards and 36 TDs last season, and he ran for another six scores on 122 carries for 763 yards. He delivered in the biggest game of his life (against KC), and he comes into the 2022 season as the MVP favorite (+700). GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-07-22 | Brewers v. Rockies +1.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Colorado. The Rockies home record is significantly better than the Brewers road record. The Rockies starting pitcher has dominated the Brewers, while Milwaukee's starter was rocked by Colorado earlier this season. Kyle Freeland tossed seven scoreless innings, fanning seven in a win over the Brewers. Eric Lauer allowed four runs on six hits and four walks in four innings in a loss to Colorado. The Brewers are 4-11 in their last 15 after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-05-22 | Clemson -23 v. Georgia Tech | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Clemson. While it was a down year for the Tigers in 2021, they still won 10 games and ended the year on a six game winning streak. They struggled to blow out opponents last season, that said they won their final three games by an average margin of 29 points. They opened as a -22 favorite here against Georgia Tech, and that line has been bet up. Still below the key number of 24 I see some value here with the Tigers. Georgia Tech is in trouble this year, losing a ton of talent in the transfer portal. Lets not kid ourselves about a 14-8 win for Clemson last year, the average margin of victory in the previous three meetings was a whopping 44 points. They are asked to cover just half that here. We already saw #1 ranked Alabama and #3 ranked Georgia win by 40+ in their respective openers. Clemson wants to be in that class. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-05-22 | Toronto v. Hamilton | 28-8 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Hamilton. While the Ticats turn to a rookie QB, this is a good spot for the home team. A revenge game in the Labor Day Classic, versus their biggest rival. The Argos have lost four of their last five at Hamilton, and it's widely considered the toughest place to play in the CFL. This team is particularly tough to beat at this time of year, the Tiger-Cats are 7-0-2 ATS in their last nine games in September. Hamilton owns the CFL's top ranked run defense, and they are good at getting to the QB with 25 sacks in 11 games so far in 2022. The Argonauts are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Hamilton. History favors the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-04-22 | Mariners v. Guardians +1.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play CLE. The Mariners are going for a sweep in Cleveland, but I like the home dog here. At first glance this looks like a pitcher's duel. George Kirby is 4-0 with a 2.15 ERA in his last five starts. Dig a little deeper though and you see those games came against the Tigers, Nationals, Rangers and home and away set versus the Angels. Cal Quantrill on the other hand is 4-0 with a 1.41 ERA in his last five starts, which came against the likes of Toronto, Houston, Baltimore and San Diego. The Guardians are 7-2 in their last nine during game 3 of a series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-03-22 | Nationals v. Mets -1.5 | 7-1 | Loss | -165 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYM. The Mets won Game 1 by a score of 7-3, and Game 2 should be another blowout. Mad Max will toe the slab for New York, and he's 4-2 with a 1.66 ERA in nine home starts. He's 2-0 with a 3.55 ERA in two starts versus Washington. The Nats hand the ball to Patrick Corbin, who hasn't missed many bats this season. He's 1-10 with an 8.83 ERA in a dozen road starts. He's also 0-3 with a 6.62 ERA in four starts versus the Mets. Pete Alonso is batting .382 with five home runs in 34 career at bats versus Corbin. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-03-22 | Cincinnati v. Arkansas -6 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 100 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arkansas. After winning 13 games and becoming the first Group of Five team to make the College Football Playoffs last season, you have to think it’s inevitable that Cincinnati takes a step back in 2022. They lost nine starters to the NFL draft, including their starting quarterback and six defensive starters. They lost 27-6 in the Cotton Bowl versus Alabama, and the Crimson Tide ran for 301 yards on 47 carries in the victory. Playing on the road against an Arkansas team that was #1 in the SEC in rushing last year isn't ideal for the Bearcats. The Razorbacks were 6-1 at home last season, and 5-0 in non conference play. Oh BTW, that Alabama team that held Cincinnati to six points at a neutral site, just barely escaped with a 42-35 home win over Arkansas last year. I just don't think these teams are in the same class, Arkansas is BIGGER, FASTER, STRONGER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-22 | Illinois +3 v. Indiana | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 69 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Illinois. Bret Beliema had everything going in the season opener against Wyoming. Illinois won 38-6, and many pundits have said that this says more about Wyoming than it does about Illinois. I am not sure I agree. Tommy Devito was accurate, throwing for 194 yards and two TDs on 27-of-37 passing. Illinois ran for 260 yards and three TDs, and they didn't turn the ball over. They executed on every level, and that should give them confidence heading into Indiana. It remains to be seen if the Hoosiers have improved after closing last season with eight straight losses. They may well be better, but I can't see it justifying them as a three-point favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-31-22 | Storm +6 v. Aces | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SEA. The Zig Zag Theory is a popular strategy for basketball bettors, especially in the playoffs. I've never been a fan of this angle, especially when bookmakers adjust the lines accordingly. The Seattle Storm just won Game 1 outright, and now they are getting six points in Game 2. While the Aces are the #1 ranked team in the WNBA, they haven't been kind to bettors. Las Vegas is just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five coming off a loss. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-31-22 | Newcastle United v. Liverpool -1.75 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Liverpool. After a lackluster start to the season Liverpool scored nine times in a 9-0 win over Bournemouth over the weekend. They host Newcastle here on Wednesday, and this looks like a tough spot for the Magpies. Newcastle could be without six starting players for this match, and that includes stars Allan Saint-Maximin and Callum Wilson. The last visit to Anfield was a 3-1 loss for Newcastle, and a similar score should be expected here in this match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-31-22 | Astros v. Rangers +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -143 | 15 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Texas. The Rangers look good with their ace on the mound here in Game 2 of a home series versus Houston. Martin Perez (10-4, 2.69 ERA) is 4-2 with a 2.60 ERA in a dozen home starts, and he's 1-1 with a 3.43 ERA in two starts versus Houston. The Astros hand the ball to Christian Javier, who is 5th on the depth chart. He's perhaps been unlucky, but the Astros have lost seven of his last nine starts. The Rangers are 18-8 in Perez 26 starts overall, but they are 22-4 on the runline in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-30-22 | Rockies v. Braves -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -155 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ATL. The Braves are just three games back of the Mets in the NL East, and they have a favorable matchup in Game 1 of a home series versus Colorado Tuesday. Jose Urena will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been just terrible all year. He's 1-2 with a 7.88 ERA in his last five starts. The Braves hand the ball to Max Fried, who is 2-1 with a 1.61 ERA in his last four starts. The Rockies are 3-13 in their last 16 games following an off day, and they are 15-41 in their last 56 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-28-22 | Sun +4 v. Sky | 68-63 | Win | 100 | 17 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Connecticut. Lets keep this simple, the Sun have simply been playing better ball down the stretch. They are 11-3 straight up in their last 14 overall, and they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 overall. They are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games. Three of their last four head to head matchups versus Chicago have been decided by four points or less. Chicago came out flat in Game 1 of their first round series versus the Liberty, and they have only covered the spread twice in their last nine home games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-27-22 | Tigers +1.5 v. Rangers | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Detroit. The Tigers lost Game 1 in Texas by a score of 7-6. They have won five of their last nine outright, and they are 7-2 on the runline in those games. Dallas Keuchel will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's bounced around all year. No matter where he goes, he's struggles. He's 0-2 with a 10.05 ERA in his last three major league starts. The Tigers hand the ball to Eduardo Rodrgiuez, who is not a Cy Young candidate either. He has held opponents to one run or less in three of his last four appearances. The Rangers are 6-13 in their last 19 games following a win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-27-22 | Northwestern +13.5 v. Nebraska | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 51 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NW. The Huskers were 3-9 straight up last season, and somehow Scott Frost kept his job. He was aggressive in the transfer portal bringing in a whopping 22 new players. Nebraska has a new quarterback and a new offensive coordinator, but expectations are high heading into 2022. They opened as a 10-point favorite for this Week 0 matchup versus Northwestern, but this line has been bet up several points. I don't think Pat Fitzgerald is getting enough respect in this spot, especially given that this is a huge revenge spot after losing 56-7 at Nebraska last year. While the Wildcats didn't bring in as many high profile transfers as Nebraska, they do bring back a strong offensive line and a deep stable of running backs. Quarterback Ryan Hilinski is back, and if nothing else he has experience. Prior to Nebraska winning big last season, the previous six meetings were all close, decided by an average margin of 5.6 points. Bettors must have short memories to be backing Nebraska as a double digit favorite in their season opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-24-22 | Angels v. Rays -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on TB. The Rays scored 11 runs in a blowout win in Game 2 versus the Angels, and we expect more of the same in Game 3. Shane McLannahan will toe the slab for Tampa, and he's 9-3 with a 2.38 ERA in 15 home starts. The Angels hand the ball to Austin Powers (Mike Mayers) who has allowed seven runs on 11 hits and four home runs in 12 innings in his last three appearances. The Angels are 6-21 in their last 27 versus the American League East. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-24-22 | White Sox v. Orioles +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -159 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAL. The Orioles are just 6-6 in their last 12 games overall, but they are 9-3 ATS in those games. They host Chicago in Game 2 at Camden Yards and they are an underdog after winning Game 1. Spenser Watkins will toe the slab for Baltimore, and he allowed one unearned run in five innings in a win over the White Sox earlier this year. The Sox hand the ball to Lucas Giolito, who owns a 6.12 ERA in his last five starts. The White Sox have lost five of their last six overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-23-22 | Sky v. Liberty +7 | 90-72 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on New York. This series heads to New York tied 1-1, but the Chicago Sky blew the doors off in a 100-62 home win in Game 2 after losing outright in Game 1. These two teams played twice in New York this season, splitting those games. The game Chicago won was close, ending with a score of 88-86. Chicago has failed to cover in four straight coming off a win, and the Sky are 8-18-2 ATS in their last 28 games versus a team with a losing straight up record. Chicago has failed to cover in four of the last five in New York. I am gonna take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-22-22 | Falcons v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the J E T S .. JETS! JETS! JETS! Robert Saleh can't make up his mind if he's going to play his starters, but I am not bothered either way. Mike White got the majority of the snaps in the Jets win over Philly, and if it's him and Chris Streveler at QB that's plenty good enough in a home game with a head coach who has never lost a pre-season game. All Streveler did is toss a pair of TD passes on 6-of-9 passing for 69 yards against the Eagles. Oh, by the way he's Grey Cup champion, which puts him in good company with the likes of Doug Flutie, Jeff Garcia and Warren Moon. Desmond Ridder and Feleipe Franks have never experienced a real NFL game. I am gonna take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-21-22 | Red Sox v. Orioles +1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 120 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a free play on BAL. The Orioles have not only been better than Boston in recent weeks, they have been the best team in the AL East since mid May. Getting them as a home dog here seems incredible. Nick Pivetta will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's 1-2 with a 3.45 ERA in his last five starts. The Orioles hand the ball to Dean Kremer, who is 2-2 with a 3.41 ERA in six home starts. The Red Sox are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 versus Baltimore. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-17-22 | Mercury v. Aces -14 | 63-79 | Win | 100 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Las Vegas. The Aces wrapped up the season with a 109-100 win over Seattle, clinching the #1 seed. They face a Phoenix team in the first round that is trending in the opposite direction. Their leading scorer left the team before the end of the regular season, and veteran Diana Taurasi is sidelined by injury. The Mercury have lost five of their last seven, and they appear to have no interest in competing. The Mercury are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus Vegas. The Aces are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-16-22 | DC United v. Los Angeles FC -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 22 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 1* play on LAFC. While the home team is an enormous favorite here, this just seems like too great a mismatch for the visitors to overcome. LAFC (the best team in MLS) has a +20 goal differential at home, while the visitors (DC United) have a -18 goal differential on the road. Only Charlotte has a worse goal differential in away matches (-19), and they just lost 5-0 at Banc of California Stadium. LAFC won the last meeting 4-0 in Washington, and a similar score is expected here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-15-22 | Mariners +1.5 v. Angels | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SEA. After taking two of three in a home series versus the Yankees, the Mariners cooled off losing two of three in Texas. They look good to bounce back in Game 1 of this series in LA. Shohei Ohtani will toe the slab for LA, and the Angels have lost three of his last four starts. He's 1-3 with a 3.75 ERA in those games. The Mariners hand the ball to Luis Castillo, who is coming off back to back brilliant starts in wins over the Yankees. He's 2-0 with a 2.49 ERA in three starts over the last 30 days. The Angels are 3-2 straight up in their last five versus Seattle, but they are just 1-4 ATS in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-15-22 | Crystal Palace v. Liverpool -1.75 | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Liverpool. I am not concerned by a 2-2 draw at Fulham in their season opener. Liverpool was coming off a 3-1 win over Manchester City in the Community Shield. They were entitled to suffer a bit of a let down on the road. This is a whole different kettle of fish (and chips). Playing at home at Anfield where they were undefeated last season. The Reds were 15-4-0 with a +40 goal differential in 19 home matches a year ago. They are facing a Crystal Palace team that they have beaten in five straight meetings. All five of those games were decided by 2+ goals, with a combined score of 17-1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-14-22 | Tottenham Hotspur +0.5 v. Chelsea | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Spurs. While Chelsea has won the last four meetings between these two teams, holding Tottenham scoreless in all four matches, Spurs appear to be vastly improved since last season. They got off to a convincing start with a 4-1 win over Southamton in their season opener, while Chelsea just barely beat Everton in a 1-0 win decided by a penalty. Last season Chelsea played to a draw in seven of their 19 home matches, winning just nine of those contests. Tottenham suffered just six losses in 19 away matches last season. I like the Spurs chances of at least earning a draw here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-13-22 | Saskatchewan -5 v. Edmonton Elks | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Sask. The Riders are coming off a bye week, which should benefit banged up starting quarterback Cody Fajardo. They are on the road in Edmonton, and the Elks are coming off a 46-14 loss to B.C. last weekend. While Edmonton doesn't have the league's worst record, they have scored the fewest points of any team in the CFL this season. They have also allowed a CFL worst 290 points in eight games. The Roughriders are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games in August, and they have covered in five of their last seven at Edmonton. The Elks are 0-10 straight up in their last 10 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-10-22 | Lynx v. Mercury +4.5 | 86-77 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Phoenix. The Mercury overcame injuries to win 76-62 at home versus the New York Liberty last week, and they are now 10-5 at home. They host the Minnesota Lynx on Wednesday, and the Lynx are 6-10 on the road. While Leading scorer Skyler Diggins-Smith missed the last game with an illness, she is set to return here against the Lynx. This really does look like a case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-07-22 | Reds v. Brewers -1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Milwaukee. The Brewers have lost five of six and now sit second in the NL Central. The good news is that their ace is on the hill Sunday. Corbin Burnes will toe the slab for the Brew Crew, and he's 6th in MLB with a WHIP of 0.95. The Reds hand the ball to Graham Ashcraft, who was rocked for six runs on eight hits in five innings versus the Brewers the last time he faced them. The Reds are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-06-22 | Hamilton +2 v. Toronto | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Hamilton. The Argos are coming off a home loss to the worst team in the CFL. They will host a scrappy Hamilton Tigercats team that is coming off a home win over Montreal. The Ticats are just 2-5, but keep in mind they have played a tough schedule facing five Western Division teams in their first six games. Dane Evans ranks 3rd in the CFL in passing, and while his TD/INT ratio appears concerning, he's thrown three TD passes and no INTs in two games against East Division opponents. The Tiger-Cats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Toronto, and they are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 meetings. The Argonauts are 1-5 ATS in their last six versus East Division teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-06-22 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Philly. The Phillies have won eight of nine, and they look to take advantage of a shorthanded Nationals team in Game 3 at Citizen's Bank Park on Saturday. Ranger Suarez will toe the slab for Philly, and he hasn't surrendered an earned run in his last three starts. The Nats hand the ball to Patrick Corbin, who is 0-5 with a 10.29 ERA in his last five starts. The Nationals are 3-9 in their last 12 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-05-22 | Calgary -4.5 v. Ottawa | 17-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Calgary. The Ottawa Redblacks are 1-6 overall, and 0-3 at home this season. They are coming off their first win of the season on the road at Toronto, but I don't like their chances of making it two in a row. The Stampeders are the second best team in the CFL, coming off a loss to defending champions Winnipeg. The Stampeders are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a ATS loss, and they are 7-1 straight up in the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-04-22 | Raiders v. Jaguars +2.5 | 27-11 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 1* play on the Jags. The purpose of this small bet on the HOF Game is simply to get our feet wet. These games are typically meaningless low scoring games with neither team trying all that hard to win. We lean toward the Jags here simply because they have a lot more to prove. This team needs to get it's fan base excited enough to put buts in seats this season. Doug Pederson has a career pre-season record of 8-8, but he was 4-0 in his first year with the Eagles. Josh McDaniels has a career pre-season record of 2-6. This will be a pizza money type of bet. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-04-22 | Blue Jays v. Twins +1.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -157 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MIN +1.5. The Twins will be a home dog in Game 1 versus Toronto, despite the fact that the Twins have a far better home record than Toronto has on the road. Alek Manoah will toe the slab for Toronto, and while he's had a great season he's been pretty pedestrian lately. He's 2-3 with a 3.45 ERA in his last five starts. The Twins hand the ball to Sonny Gray, who has been hot of late. He's allowed a pair of runs on seven hits, striking out a dozen over 11 innings in back to back wins over San Diego and Detroit in his last two starts. The Twins are 10-15 straight up in Gray's 15 starts, but they are 13-2 ATS in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-03-22 | Lynx v. Storm -6.5 | 77-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Seattle Storm. No team in the WNBA has won more home games than the Seattle Storm. The Storm host Minnesota tonight, and the Lynx are sitting second to last in the league standings. Seattle is coming off a road loss at Washington, and the Storm are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. The Lynx are 10-25 ATS in the last 35 meetings in Seattle, and they have failed to cover in 11 of the last 14 head to head meetings. Seattle is 5-0 straight up in their last five home games versus Minnesota, and four of those five wins came by a double digit margin. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-03-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Nationals | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the NYM. The Nats dealt Josh Bell and Juan Soto on deadline day, leaving them with what might as well be a Triple A roster. Speaking of Triple-A, starting pitcher Anibal Sanchez might find himself there soon. He's 0-3 with a 7.47 ERA in three starts. The Mets hand the ball to Chris Bassitt, who is a solid 4-1 with a 3.13 ERA in six starts in day games. The Nats beat the Mets yesterday, but the Mets are 28-8 in their last 36 games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-01-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Nationals | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYM. The Mets are just three games ahead of Atlanta in the NL East, and they will be a big favorite in Game 1 in Washington Monday. Max Scherzer will toe the slab for New York, and he's 1-1 with a 1.39 ERA in his last five starts. The Nats hand the ball to Patrick Corbin, who is 0-4 with a 7.99 ERA in his last five starts. Pete Alonso is hitting .364 with four home runs over 33 career at bats versus Corbin. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-31-22 | Ottawa v. Toronto -4.5 | 23-13 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Argos are in first place in the East, the only team with a winning record. They are coming off back to back wins over Saskatchewan, and this week they host the last place Ottawa Redblacks. Ottawa has lost all six of their games, and their starting quarterback is out until late September. The RedBlacks are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games overall, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four at Toronto. I like the Argos to win big at home here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-31-22 | A's v. White Sox -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the CWS. The Sox have split the first two games of this home series versus Oakland, but they have a favorable matchup in the rubber match Sunday. Dylan Cease will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's 4-1 with an 0.61 ERA in his last five starts. Oakland will hand the ball to Adam Oller, who has struggled all season long. He's only pitched 32 innings, but he's put a whopping 60 men on base during that span. The Athletics are 4-9 in their last 13 Sunday games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-31-22 | Tigers v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Jays have won nine of their last 11 overall, and eight of those nine wins came by more than one run. Jose Berrios will toe the slab for Toronto in Game 4 versus Detroit, and he's 2-0 with a 3.41 ERA in his last four starts, and he's 5-0 with a 3.47 ERA in 10 home starts. The Tigers hand the ball to Garrett Hill, who has lost three straight starts. He's allowed 12 runs on 16 hits and eight walks over 15 innings in those games. The Tigers are 2-11 in their last 13 games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-30-22 | Austin v. Sporting KC | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Austin. Only four teams have a positive goal differential on the road, and one of those teams is Austin FC. There are only three teams in Major League Soccer with a negative goal differential at home, and one of those is Sporting KC. Ranked dead last in the Western Conference, Sporting KC also has the worst home record in the league. Austin FC leads MLS in scoring with 45 goals in 22 matches, while Sporting KC ranks dead last in the league with just 19 goals in 23 matches. Home field may not make a difference here in tonight's match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-30-22 | Tigers v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Toronto. The Jays have split the first two games of this series versus Detroit, but they look good to win the rubber match Saturday. Drew Hutchison will toe the slab for Detroit, and he's spent the majority of the season working out of the bullpen. He's allowed eight runs on 12 hits and four walks in 9 1/3 innings in his last two appearances. The Jays hand the ball to Ross Stripling, who is 2-2 with a 2.90 ERA in 12 appearances this season. His best performance came against the Tigers, tossing six scoreless innings and allowing just one hit. The Tigers are 1-11 in their last 12 games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-28-22 | Mariners +1.5 v. Astros | 2-4 | Loss | -160 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Seattle. The Mariners were swept by Houston in a three game series in Seattle coming out of the All Star break, but they bounced back with three straight home wins over Texas. They have a favorable matchup here in Houston for Game 1. Logan Gilbert will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's 2-1 with a 2.37 ERA in three starts versus the Astros. Houston will hand the ball to Jose Urquidy, who is 1-3 with a 7.58 ERA in four starts versus Seattle. The Mariners are 14-3 in their last 17 road games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-27-22 | Rangers v. Mariners +1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on the Mariners. After beating the Rangers in back to back games to start this series, Seattle is a home dog in Game 3. Both the first two games were decided by one run, and another close game is likely here this afternoon. Marco Gonzales will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's faced Texas three times already this season. His numbers aren't great against the Rangers, but Jon Gray is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA against Seattle. These teams have played one-run games in seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, and the Mariners are 11-4 in their last 15 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-22-22 | Winnipeg -7 v. Edmonton Elks | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 81 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. The two time defending champions are still undefeated, and they play on the road at Edmonton this week. The Elks picked up a win on the road at Montreal last week, but they trailed by 19 points in the 3rd quarter of that game. Edmonton has allowed a CFL worst 220 points, more than double what Winnipeg has allowed in the same number of games. The Elks have lost nine straight home games, and they are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-21-22 | Giants +1.5 v. Dodgers | 6-9 | Loss | -145 | 22 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Giants +1.5. The Giants won five of six heading into the All Star break, and they look to pick up right where they left off on the road in LA in their first game back. Carlos Rodon will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's absolutely owned LA. The Dodgers lineup has hit a combined .080 over 71 at bats versus the southpaw. The Dodgers hand the ball to Mike White, who is winless in his last four starts. He's 0-1 with a 4.66 ERA in four starts over the last 30 days. The Giants are 24-10 in their last 34 games following an off day. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-21-22 | Hamilton v. BC -7.5 | Top | 12-17 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the B.C. Lions. Hamilton is coming off it's first win of the season at home over Ottawa, but now they play on short rest on the other side of the country in Vancouver. The Lions own the league's highest scoring offense, averaging 40 points per game. Nathan Rourke has completed 80 percent of his passes this season, with 12 TDs and 4 INTs in four starts. Coming off a bye week, we should expect BC to be at it's best. The Tiger-Cats are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall, and they are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games in July. The Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a bye week. Hamilton has failed to cover in five of their last six visits to Vancouver. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-19-22 | Boca Juniors v. Argentinos Juniors +0.25 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 48 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Argentinos Juniors. The Boca Juniors are the most famous team in Argentina, winning the league a record 34 times. The betting markets have been slow to adjust to the fact that they are no longer one of the top teams in the league. Argentinos Juniors are level on points with the first place team in the league, and they are unbeaten at home (3-0-1). Boca Juniors have lost two of three away matches, and are just 4-4 overall in the league. The poor results have led to the sacking of Sebastian Battaglia, and Boca will have an interim manager moving forward. The home dog appears to be the sharp play here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-17-22 | Fever v. Storm -14 | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Seattle Storm have more home wins than any other team in the WNBA, and they host the last place Indiana Fever on Sunday. This will be the third meeting between the two teams, and Seattle won the previous meetings by 22 and 18 points. The Fever are coming into this game riding an eight game losing streak, and six of those eight losses came by double digits. During their current losing streak, the average margin of defeat for Indiana is 15 points. Asking a powerhouse team like Seattle to cover 14 at home seems like a bargain. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-16-22 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto +3 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 83 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Argos. The Riders are tied for second in the CFL with a 5-1 record, and they will be a road favorite (at a neutral site in NS) at Toronto this week. The Argos have played two fewer games, and they are coming off a bye. That should be an advantage here against a Riders team that lost by 24 at Montreal a few weeks ago. Strength of schedule favors the home team, who lost by a single point at home to defending champs Winnipeg in their last game. Their other loss came on the road against the Lions in Vancouver. The Riders have won three of their last four at Toronto, but only one of those wins came by more than three points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-14-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Montreal -7.5 | 32-31 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Montreal. The Edmonton Elks are coming off a 49-6 home loss to Calgary, falling to 1-4 on the season. Edmonton has not yet had a bye week, and the grueling schedule has taken it's toll. This team is banged up with several injuries to key players, and they play on the road against a well rested Montreal team. The Als are coming off a bye week, looking to bounce back from a 41-20 loss at Saskatchewan. They scored 37 points in a 24-point win over the Riders in their last home game. Despite losing QB Tre Ford with a leg injury, Edmonton traded their Week 1 starter Nick Arbuckle to Ottawa on Monday. Needless to say, they have some serious issues with their QB depth. This should be a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-13-22 | Orioles +1.5 v. Cubs | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Orioles. Now winners of nine straight, and they are still an underdog to the Cubs. From top to bottom the Orioles pitching staff has been on a roll. The Cubs on the other hand rank 25th with a team ERA of 4.66, and 29th with just 17 quality starts. Chicago is just 17-28 overall, and Baltimore has battled back to .500. Spenser Watkins has allowed just two earned runs in his last three starts for the Orioles, and the bullpen has been phenomenal. Take BAL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-09-22 | Angels v. Orioles +1.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Orioles. The Orioles have won six straight, and four of their last five games were decided by one run. They have a better overall record than the Angels, and a far better record at home than the Angels have on the road. Their starting pitcher has better numbers, and still they are the underdog here in Game 3 of a series that they lead 2-0. The Angels are 5-17 in their last 22 road games, and they are 1-12 in their last 13 versus teams from the American League East. The Orioles are 6-4 straight up in their last 10 versus the Angels, but they are 8-2 on the runline in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Toronto +5 | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 32 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Toronto TT Over. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are defending champions, and they come into this game in first place tie with B.C. and Calgary. This is a tough spot for them however, playing on the road versus an Eastern Conference team, with a marquee matchup versus B.C. coming up just days later. This is also a big spot for Toronto, coming off a blowout loss at B.C. in just their second game of the season. Starting QB MacBeth was heated when he was taken out of the game late in Vancouver. It was not due to poor play, as he completed 15-of-21 passes for 174 yards, but the Argos defense just couldn't get off the field. The home team has won five straight and eight of the last nine head to head meetings. The Argos beat Winnipeg 30-23 at home last season. The over is 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings, and the losing team has scored over 20 points in seven of those 10 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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