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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-21-23 | Royals v. Angels -1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAA -1.5. The Angels are tied with Houston for second place in the AL West, but a home series versus Kansas City is a good spot to make up some ground. The Halos send Shohei Ohtani to the mound in Game 1, and he was 7-4 with a 1.82 ERA in 14 home starts last year. He tossed eight scoreless innings, striking out 13 in his only start versus the Royals. Kansas City will turn to the bullpen, with 29 year old Taylor Clarke making a spot start. He was rocked for four runs on four hits and a walk in just one inning in his most recent appearance. The Royals are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Los Angeles. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-20-23 | Jets +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 2-5 | Loss | -190 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on WPG. The Jets didn't just win Game 1 of this series, they dominated. They held the Golden Knights to just 17 shots on goal. Vegas will be a big favorite in Game 2, but I don't expect it to be easy for the Knights moving forward. Connor Hellebuyck was 4-1 with a 1.41 GAA in his last five starts of the regular season, and he is a proven playoff performer. He's started 36 playoff games, and his record of 17-19 with a 2.42 GAA is solid, but what really stands out is his .921 save percentage. The Jets are 6-3 SU, and 8-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings. A close game should be expected. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors -5.5 | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. The Warriors are down 0-2 in the series, which might not be a huge surprise considering their road record during the regular season. They were 33-8 at home, and they are 4-0 straight up in their last four home games against the Kings. They are 39-16-1 ATS in their last 56 home games. It's do or die for the defending champs, and I expect them to jump out to an early lead here. They are 11-1 straight up in their last 12 home playoff games. Expect the champs to come up big in Game 3. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-19-23 | Rangers +1.5 v. Royals | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Texas +1.5. The Rangers come in as winners of seven of nine, sitting in first place in the AL West. The pitching matchup in Game 3 in Kansas City appears to favor Texas. Martin Perez will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he was light out in 2022. He went 7-4 with a 2.86 ERA in 16 starts on the road. He allowed a pair of runs on five hits in five innings in a win at Houston his last time out. The Royals hand the ball to Brady Singer, who has been rocked for 13 runs on 18 hits in 11 innings in his last two starts. Kansas City has lost 11 of 12 home games this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-17-23 | Panthers v. Bruins -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 128 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BOS. Unlike the NBA, the NHL is all about parity. An 8th seed normally has a fighting chance against a #1 seed, but in the case of the Boston Bruins hosting Florida, we expect this to prove to me a mismatch. I am gonna call for a Gentleman's Sweep here. The Panthers are sending 30 year old journeyman goaltender Alex Lyon to the wolves here. I mean, normally when we refer to a player as a "journeyman", it means he's bounced around on many teams and might not have gotten a ton of ice time. Lyons has played the majority of his career in the AHL. He started just 15 games this season, which is a career high. The Bruins Linus Ullmark leads the NHL in GAA and save percentage, and his backup also ranks Top 5 in both categories. The Bruins broke the modern day record with 65 wins and 135 points this season. They should have little trouble getting past the Panthers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-23 | Rockies v. Mariners -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -140 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Mariners have out-scored the Rockies 14-5 in the first two games of this series, and the pitching matchup in Game 3 suggests another blowout. Luis Castillo will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's off to a fantastic start to the season. Castillo (1-0, 1.02 ERA) has allowed just two runs in 17 2/3 innings in his three starts. The Rockies hand the ball to Noah Davis, who makes a spot start. He posted a 4.15 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP in five appearances this Spring. The Rockies are 14-39 in their last 53 road games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-23 | Guardians -1.5 v. Nationals | 6-7 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CLE. The Nationals were expected to be one of the worst teams in the Majors, and at 4-11 they haven't disappointed. Sunday's matchup doesn't appear to bode well for the Nats. Shane Bieber will toe the slab for Cleveland, and he's off to a hot start. Bieber (1-0, 2.37 ERA) was solid on the road last season going 8-3 with a 2.65 ERA in 18 starts. The Nats hand the ball to Patrick Corbin, who is 0-2 with an 8.00 ERA at home in 2023. The Guardians are 13-3 in their last 16 interleague road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-11-23 | Tigers v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Jays have played the first 10 games of the season on the road, and they are all geared up for their home opener versus the Tigers Tuesday. Â Matt Manning will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he could be in for a rough ride. After posting a WHIP over 2.00 in Spring Training, he got the win in his season debut at Houston. He faces a Blue Jays lineup that leads the majors in team batting average. The Jays hand the ball to Alek Manoah, who tossed seven scoreless innings allowing just one hit in a win over KC in his last start. He was 7-4 with a 2.42 ERA in 15 home starts in 2022. The Jays are 4-1 in their last five versus Detroit, and all of those wins came by 2+ runs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-10-23 | Brewers +1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 0-3 | Loss | -150 | 23 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Brewers +1.5. The Brew Crew are off to a great start, and they look good as an underdog here in Game 1 in Arizona. Wade Miley will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he was dealing in his season debut. Miley tossed six scoreless innings in a 9-0 win over the Mets. The D'Backs will hand the ball to Zac Gallen, who was fantastic in 2022. He struggled in Spring Training and got rocked in his season debut. The Diamondbacks are 1-10 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series, and they are 1-5 in their last six games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-10-23 | Sharks v. Jets -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WPG. The Jets host the Sharks in a must win game on Monday night, and San Jose already has one foot on the golf course. The Sharks have lost 20 of their last 25 games overall, and they are 17-41 in their last 58 road games. The Jets are currently occupying the final Wild Card spot in the West, but Calgary is just one point back. Winnipeg should blow the doors off here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-09-23 | Blue Jays v. Angels +1.5 | 12-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAA. The Angels won Game 2 of this home series versus Toronto by a score of 9-5. I like that momentum to carry over here in Game 3. Yusei Kickuchi will toe the slab for Toronto, and while he was brilliant this Spring and solid in his season debut, he hasn't had success against LA. The Halos hand the ball to Reid Detmers, who is famous for tossing a no-no in his rookie season. He stood out this Spring striking out 27 batters in 20 innings. The Angels lineup has hit a combined .344 over 90 at bats versus Kickuchi. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-09-23 | Arsenal v. Liverpool | Top | 2-2 | Push | 0 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Liverpool. So it's a down year for Liverpool, coming into Sunday's match winless in their last four in all competitions. They failed to score in three of those four matches. The good news is that all those results came away from Anfield, and their last home match was a record breaking 7-0 win over Manchester United. They have just one loss in 13 home matches this season, and they have won six straight home games versus Arsenal. They rested several players in a midweek draw at Chelsea, and that means almost everyone is fit for this clash versus Arsenal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-08-23 | Flyers v. Islanders -1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYI. The Isles currently hold the final Wild Card spot in the East, but Pittsburgh is hot on their heels just one point back. Both teams play must win games today, and each team has an opponent with one foot already on the golf course. The Isles have the luxury of playing at home versus the Flyers. They are 8-2 SU in their last 10 versus Philly, and they are 5-0 in their last five home games versus the Flyers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-08-23 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TB -1.5. At the risk of appearing to go after low hanging fruit, I can't pass on the 7-0 Rays at home versus the worst team in baseball with a pitching mismatch in their favor. Jeff Springs dominated Spring Training, tossing 14 scoreless innings and racking up a whopping 24 Ks. All he did in his season debut is toss six scoreless fanning a dozen. The A's hand the ball to their 5th starter Shintaro Fujinami, who was torched for eight runs on five hits in 2 1/3 innings in his debut. His 17 walks in 17 innings this Spring should have been a red flag. The Rays are 37-17 in their last 54 home games, while the Athletics are 18-39 in their last 57 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-07-23 | Magic v. Nets -10.5 | 84-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BKN. The Nets are sitting in sixth place in the East, just a game in front of the Miami Heat. With both teams playing tonight, there is little margin for error. The Magic are expected to roll out their backups, resting their starters in what is a meaningless game for them. The Nets are coming off a 15-point win at Detroit, and they figure to roll here at home in a game with massive playoff implications.. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -6.5 | 115-119 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHX. Denver has already locked up the best record in the West, and home court advantage until the Finals. They have nothing to prove here in Phoenix, so we expect Jamal Murray and Joker to be rested. The Suns have won six straight, and they are still developing chemistry with KD. The Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. The Suns average margin of victory on their current win streak is greater than 13 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-04-23 | Penguins +1.5 v. Devils | 1-5 | Loss | -175 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PIT +1.5. |
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04-02-23 | Ducks v. Flames -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -170 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Flames. The Rubber Duckies are dead in the water, with one foot on the golf course. Calgary is fighting for the last Wild Card spot in the West. The Ducks are 15-42 in their last 57 road games, and they are 3-13 in their last 16 games playing in the second game of a back to back. The home team is 60-27 in the last 87 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-23 | Jazz v. Nets -8.5 | 110-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BKN. So who won the Kyrie Irving trade?? I guess it's pretty clear that Brooklyn is on the better end of that deal. The Mavs have dropped out of the playoffs, while the Nets are not only in the playoffs, it looks like they can also avoid the play in. A home game against a Utah team that is without at least three starters should be a blowout. The Nets have covered in six straight, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-23 | Bruins v. Blues +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on STL +1.5. So the Bruins have already clinched the Playoffs, the division, and the best record in the NHL. So playing the second game of a back to back in an early game in St. Louis looks like one helluva let down spot. The Blues are 6-3 straight up in their last nine overall, but they are 8-1 ATS in those games. The underdog is 5-2 in the last seven meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-01-23 | Miami-FL v. Connecticut -5.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 104 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCONN. The Hurricanes were down by a dozen with just over 10 minutes to go in their Elite-8 win over Texas. They tied the score five minutes later, and never looked back. Miami simply couldn't miss, and Texas just collapsed. I don't see that happening here in the Final Four versus UCONN. Keep in mind that this team started the season 13-0, and that included a win over Alabama. They were ranked #2 in the country. The Huskies are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 NCAA Tournament games, four time National Champions, and they are in the Final Four for the sixth time. They appear to be destined to go to the Final. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-01-23 | Panthers -1.5 v. Blue Jackets | 7-0 | Win | 115 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FLA. The Panthers sit just one point back of Pittsburgh for the final Wild Card spot in the East, and they face a must win game in Columbus tonight. The Blue Jackets are already polishing their golf clubs, eliminated from playoff contention. Columbus is just 3-10 in their last 13 games overall, and eight of those 10 losses came by more than one goal. The Panthers have won eight of the last 10 versus Columbus, and seven of those eight wins came by more than one goal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-01-23 | Orioles +1.5 v. Red Sox | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Baltimore +1.5. The Red Sox will be a big favorite in Game 2 versus Baltimore, and I think the price is rather inflated. Chris Sales will toe the slab for the Sox, coming off an injury plagued 2022 season. He didn't exactly dominate this Spring, posting an ERA over 4.00 and allowing 17 hits in 15 innings. The Orioles hand the ball to Dean Kremer, who has outstanding for the Orioles last season. He was 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA in three starts versus Boston, but a closer look reveals that the Orioles were 2-1 ATS in those games. We aren't expecting Sale to log a lot of innings in his first start, and Boston ranked dead last in the AL in ERA by relief pitcher in 2022. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-01-23 | Brewers v. Cubs +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -152 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Chicago +1.5. I had the Cubs on Opening Day, and I said the wrong team was favored. I'll take Chicago again in Game 2 as I think that is still the case. Brandon Woodruff will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he didn't have much success against the Cubs last year. He was 0-1 with a 5.28 ERA in three starts versus Chicago. The Cubs hand the ball to Justin Steele, who looks to take the next step after a pretty solid 2022 campaign. He was 1-1 with a 2.03 ERA in six starts versus the Brewers. The Brewers are 1-5 in the last six meetings at Wrigley. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-23 | Stars v. Coyotes +1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. So the Coyotes suck right?? They have lost five in a row, they are eliminated from the playoffs and they sit 30 points back of tonight's opponent the Dallas Stars. Well it may surprise you to learn that Arizona has as many home wins (20) as the defending Stanley Cup champion Colorado Avalanche. While they have lost five straight, they are 4-1 ATS in those games. They are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-30-23 | White Sox +1.5 v. Astros | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Chisox +1.5. This is a play against the World Series champs in their season opener. I like underdogs on Opening Day, and throw in a potential World Series hangover and I'm all over it. Dylan Cease will toe the slab for the Sox, and he was outstanding in 2022. He was even better on the road than he was at home, with a record of 8-4 and a 2.00 ERA in 14 starts. The Astros hand the ball to Framber Valedez, who like Cease also had better numbers on the road. The White Sox are 4-1 in their last five road games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-30-23 | Predators +1.5 v. Penguins | 0-2 | Loss | -148 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Nashville +1.5. The Predators are sitting three points out of the last Wild Card spot in the West, but with two games in hand they are actually in a pretty good spot. They face a Pittsburgh team that is also battling for a Wild Card spot, and these teams have a history of playing close games. Nashville is just 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they are 8-2 ATS in those games. The Penguins are 2-6 straight up and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-30-23 | Brewers v. Cubs +1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 33 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Cubs +1.5. The Cubs will be a home underdog versus Milwaukee on Opening Day, and this might be a case of the wrong team favored. Marcus Stroman will toe the slab for Chicago, and he had some success against Milwaukee last year. Stroman was 1-0 with a 1.37 ERA in three starts versus the Brewers last season. He was 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in three starts in the Spring. The Brewers hand the ball to Corbin Burnes, who was winless in three starts versus the Cubs last year. Burnes did not have a good Spring, posting career high ERA and WHIP. The Brewers are 1-4 in the last five meetings in Chicago. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-29-23 | Panthers +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FLA +1.5. This is a tough spot for a Leafs team that has already clinched a playoff spot, and wrapped up first place in their division. They play their first game back from a road trip at home versus a Florida team still battling for a Wild Card spot. So what does history tell us?? These teams have split the last four meetings, but three of those four games were decided in overtime. This is do or die for the Panthers who trail Pittsburgh by just three points for the final Wild Card spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-28-23 | Magic v. Grizzlies -7 | 108-113 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
This is 4* play on Memphis. So the Grizzlies own the best home record in the NBA, and now Ja Morant is back and coming off a 27-point performance in a win over Atlanta. A home game against Orlando looks like a good spot to back one of the hottest teams in the NBA. This is a let down spot for the Magic, coming off three straight home wins. The Magic are 13-24 on the road, and they lost their last game in Memphis by 28 points last March. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-23 | Pelicans -8.5 v. Blazers | 124-90 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on N.O. The Pelicans are as healthy as they have been all season, and they come into Portland as winners of four straight. They beat the Clippers by 20 on Saturday, and now they catch the Blazers who are playing on back to back nights after losing at home to Oklahoma City Sunday. The Blazers are banged up, with the majority of their starting lineup sidelined by injury. Damian Lillard has already packed it in for the season, and the lineup is likely to consist of 2nd and 3rd stringers tonight. The Pelicans have won five of the last six meetings, and all five of those wins came by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-25-23 | Pacers +10.5 v. Hawks | 130-143 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Indiana. The Hawks host the Pacers and both Tre Young and DeAndre Hunter are questionable to play on Saturday. The line indicates they will both be in the lineup, but regardless it seems like 10.5 points is a bit much. The Pacers have covered in three of their last four versus Atlanta, and they lost 131-128 in their last game at Atlanta. The Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, while the Hawks have failed to cover in seven of their last eight after a two day layoff. I'll take the points here with a Pacers team that is technically still alive in the playoff hunt. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-23 | Penguins +1.5 v. Stars | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PIT +1.5. Did you know that there have been 15 games in the NHL the last 2 days, and the puckline dog cashed in all but one of those games. The Anaheim Ducks home loss to Calgary was the only exception, and just my luck that I bet the Ducks. Here I am looking at a Penguins team that is fighting for a playoff spot, and they are an underdog in Dallas. The Stars have 14 overtime losses this season, one fewer than San Jose and Calgary who lead the league in that category. The Penguins are a PERFECT 10-0 on the puckline in their last 10 versus Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-23 | Flames v. Ducks +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -140 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ANA +1.5. The Ducks are just 6-6 straight up in their last 12 overall, but they are 10-2 ATS during that span. The Ducks are 4-2 ATS in the last six head to head meetings between these teams, and three of the last six meetings have gone to overtime. This is a tough spot for the Flames, who play the second game of a back to back after getting blown out (8-2) in LA Last night. The Flames are 4-9 in their last 13 overall, and they are 6-32 in the last 38 meetings in Anaheim. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-20-23 | Radford v. San Jose State -6.5 | 67-57 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SJST. My CBI Game of the Year was a winner on San Jose State, and they didn't disappoint. Here is what I said prior to their game against the Screaming Eagles: "I don't think the markets have caught up to this San Jose State team. The Spartans are perennial bottom feeders in the Mountain West, but this year they finished top five in the conference this year, two games ahead of New Mexico and just two games back of Nevada. Both these teams are coming off a loss, but the Spartans are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss. The Screaming Eagles are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. I have to think this is a mismatch." This Radford team has taken a major step back since their improbable NCAA Tournament run, and I think they are biting off more than they can chew here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-23 | Canucks v. Ducks +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ANA +1.5 This is a tough spot for Vancouver, coming off an overtime loss in Arizona last night. They play on back to back nights on the road at Anaheim, and history tells us that the Canucks struggle in these situations. The Canucks are 18-47 in their last 65 games playing in the second game of a back to back. The Ducks have had the Canucks number, going 8-2 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-23 | Pelicans -4.5 v. Rockets | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NO. So the Pelicans are coming off a 114-112 loss at Houston, and they play the second of a two game series at the Toyota Center. Even after winning three straight home games, the Rockets still have twice as many home losses as they have wins. The Pelicans had won seven of eight straight up versus Houston prior to Friday's game. The Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus the Rockets, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven at Houston. I like the visitors in this revenge spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-23 | Auburn +5.5 v. Houston | 64-81 | Loss | -108 | 42 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Auburn. If Houston was healthy there would be no way I would want Auburn here. Houston is not healthy, so here I am taking an underdog in the NCAA Tourney. The Cougars just barely escaped their first round matchup versus Northern Kentucky, and leading scorer Marcus Sasser left the game after re-aggravating his groin injury. He says he will play today, but he won't be 100 percent. Jamal Shead is the Cougars starting PG, and while he does not appear on the injury report, he claims to have tweaked his knee against NKU. The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-18-23 | Southern Indiana v. San Jose State -8.5 | Top | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SJST. I don't think the markets have caught up to this San Jose State team. The Spartans are perennial bottom feeders in the Mountain West, but this year they finished top five in the conference this year, two games ahead of New Mexico and just two games back of Nevada. Both these teams are coming off a loss, but the Spartans are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss. The Screaming Eagles are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. I have to think this is a mismatch. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-23 | Montana State v. Kansas State -8.5 | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 92 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on K-State. The Wildcats are the #3 seed in the East Region, ahead of Duke, Kentucky and Tennessee. We all know that underdogs shock the world in the first round of the NCAA Tournament year after year, but judging by conversations I hear at the water cooler in the office, I don't think you're average Joe actually knows the historical prevalence of such upsets. The fact is that #3 seeds have won 85% of their first round matchups since 1985. The Wildcats come in as one of the top teams in the best conference in the country. They have wins over Kansas, Baylor, Texas and TCU. Montana State won the BIG SKY, but their non conference schedule included two games against an opponent from a major conference. They lost by 20+ points to both Arizona and Oregon. It's hard for me to justify a single digit point spread in this matchup. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-23 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Baylor -10.5 | 56-74 | Win | 100 | 81 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on BAY. We saw a pair of double digit seeds win outright on the first day of the NCAA Tournament, and several favorites won and failed to cover. That's a sample size of one freaking day. Dating back to 1985 #3 seeds have won 85 percent of their first round matchups, and the average margin of victory is over 14 points per game. I expect a major correction on Day 2 of the tournament, and I'll take one of the top teams from the best conference in the country as a double digit favorite in a spot where they should be asked to cover a 15 point spread (IMO). The Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-23 | UL - Lafayette v. Tennessee -10.5 | 55-58 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TEN. The Vols were 10-3 in their non-conference schedule, with wins over Kansas, Maryland and Texas. They are one of just five teams that beat Alabama this year, and they ranked first in the SEC in opponent's scoring allowing just 58 points per game. Tennessee didn't finish the season strong, and they look vulnerable to an upset at some point in the tournament, but I don't think it's gonna happen against a Sun Belt team in the first round. The Ragin Cajuns played one ranked team this year, losing by 28 to Texas. Asking the Vols to win this game by double digits seems reasonable. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts v. Duke -6 | Top | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 63 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Duke. By now, everyone knows that #5 seeds are vulnerable to upsets in the first round versus #12 seeds. Maybe that's how ACC Tournament champions Duke open as a single digit favorite and get bet down to -6.5 or -6. I believe the perception doesn't line up with the reality here at the NCAA Tournament. When a double digit seed wins outright it makes headlines, but the other 90 percent of the time it doesn't get talked about. Duke comes in on a nine game winning streak, and the average margin of victory in those games is well over 10 points per game. Oral Roberts has failed to cover in 12 of their last 15 versus teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better. The Golden Eagles covered just twice in their last nine games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-23 | Princeton v. Arizona -14 | 59-55 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arizona. The Wildcats won their PAC12 Semi Final game against Arizona State by 19 points. They then defeated UCLA in the Final to become PAC12 Champions. Their non conference schedule was no cake walk, with games against Tennessee, Indiana, Creighton and San Diego State. That didn't stop them from going 12-0 in non-conference games. Princeton didn't play any ranked teams, in fact they didn't play any teams from a Power Five conference. This should be a mismatch from start to finish. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-23 | Flames v. Coyotes +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Coyotes +1.5. So Calgary will be a big favorite on the road in Arizona, despite the fact that the Coyotes have more wins at home than Calgary has on the road. The Flames are 3-6 straight up in their last nine, and just 1-8 ATS in those games. The Flames are 2-8 in their last 10 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven coming off a win. Calgary is 1-6 in their last seven versus a team with a losing record. The home team is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-23 | Wild v. Coyotes +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Coyotes +1.5. So both teams will play in the second game of a back to back in Arizona, and the Wild come in as a heavy favorite. The line doesn't jive with the fact that Minnesota's record on the road is identical to the Coyotes record at home. History suggests this game could be close, as these teams have played three times this season and all three games were decided by one goal. The Coyotes are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-23 | Memphis +6 v. Houston | Top | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Memphis. The Cougars have won seven of the last 10 meetings straight up, but they have failed to cover in all but one of those games. These teams played just a week ago, and Memphis lost by two with Houston hitting the winner at the buzzer. Leading scorer Marcus played 37 minutes in that game, but he missed yesterday's game against Cincinnati. He will either miss this game, or he will be limited by a groin injury. With Houston's spot in the tournament secure, I see no reason for them to rush him back. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. I'll take the points, and sprinkle a little on the moneyline. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-23 | Oilers +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 4-7 | Loss | -190 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on EDM. So I had the Oilers on the puckline in their last game, and here is what I said before they beat Boston: "The Edmonton Oilers have lost by more than one goal just twice since January 11th, which makes them 21-2 ATS as a puckline underdog in their last 23 games." The Leafs have won four of their last six games overall, but they are just 1-5 as a puckline favorite during that span. The Oilers come in with the best road record in the Western Conference. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-23 | Vanderbilt +6.5 v. Texas A&M | 75-87 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VANDY. I had Vandy yesterday, and here is what I said prior to their game against Kentucky: "Momentum is huge in basketball, and few people are probably aware that Vanderbilt might be the hottest team in the country coming into their conference tournament game versus Kentucky Friday. They've won nine of their last 10 overall, and wins came against #6 Tennessee and #23 Kentucky during that span. The Commodores are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games." Now I also had Texas A&M yesterday, and I do think the Aggies deserve to come into this game as the favorite. I am not about to step in front of the hottest team in the country here, so I'll take Vandy plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-23 | Vanderbilt +7 v. Kentucky | 80-73 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Vandy. Momentum is huge in basketball, and few people are probably aware that Vanderbilt might be the hottest team in the country coming into their conference tournament game versus Kentucky Friday. They've won nine of their last 10 overall, and wins came against #6 Tennessee and #23 Kentucky during that span. The Commodores are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games, while the Wildcats are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games. The underdog is 18-7-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-23 | Villanova +5.5 v. Creighton | 74-87 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Villanova. These two teams split the season series, but even when Villanova lost at Creighton it was a close game decided by five points. The Wildcats at the end of the season were not the same team as they were at the beginning of the season. Villanova won six of it's last eight games, and the Wildcats covered the spread in four of their last five. History favors Villanova as the underdog is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-23 | Oilers +1.5 v. Bruins | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on EDM +1.5. The Edmonton Oilers have lost by more than one goal just twice since January 11th, which makes them 21-2 ATS as a puckline underdog in their last 23 games. The Oilers have a history of playing close games against Boston. While they are just 5-5 straight up against the Bruins, they are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings. The Oilers have actually won outright in five of their last six at Boston. I'll take the dog here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-23 | Ducks +1.5 v. Canucks | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Ducks +1.5. At first glance it looks like a good spot to back the home favorite, but history says otherwise. The Ducks are 7-3 straight up in the last 10, 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings, and 5-1 ATS in their last six at Vancouver. Both teams have played well despite being out of the playoffs. The Ducks are 4-2 straight up in their last six overall, and they are 5-1 ATS in those games. The Canucks are also 4-2 straight up in their last six overall, but only one of those games was a win by more than one goal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-23 | Oklahoma +2 v. Oklahoma State | 49-57 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Oklahoma. The Sooners already lost twice to the Cowboys this season, but things could be different here. Oklahoma State lost five of their last six games, with the only win coming by three points against a Texas Tech team that just suspended their coach. The Cowboys have allowed opponents to average over 80 points per game in their last five. The Sooners were 3-3 in their final six games of the season, five of those games versus ranked teams. They beat #12 K-State, #23 Iowa State, #22 TCU and they lost by just two points at #6 Texas. The Sooners are 7-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games, while the Cowboys have failed to cover in four straight at neutral sites. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-23 | Hurricanes v. Canadiens +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 115 | 16 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MTL +1.5. The Habs have lost three straight one goal games, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall. They host Carolina, and the Canes might be due for a let down coming off a 6-0 win over Tampa. The home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine head to head meetings, and the Hurricanes are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings in Montreal. This looks like a good spot to take the home dog plus money on the puckline. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-23 | Grizzlies v. Clippers -6.5 | 129-135 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. I gotta fade the Grizzlies in this spot, as this team is in complete shambles. Ja Morant is suspended for not just playing with a gun in a nightclub, but posting it on Intagram like an ever bigger fool. Dillon Brooks and Brandon Clarke are out with injuries, so there goes three of their top five scorers. Additionally leading rebounder Steven Adams hasn't played since January. The Clippers are healthy, but they've lost five straight since bringing in Russ Westbrick. I didn't like the move, and I still don't like it. That said a motivated team at full strength at home looking to break out of a slump should get it done against a shorthanded Memphis team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-23 | Houston v. Memphis +6 | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Memphis. I like the home dog here. I really think the Tigers will be up for this final home game against Conference champs Houston. I don't see any reason for the Cougars to get fired up about this game as they get geared up for tournament season. The home team is 9-1 straight up in the last 10 meetings, and last year Memphis won at home by a score of 75-61. They lost at Houston by just eight points a few weeks ago, asking them to cover six here seems very reasonable. Don't be surprised if the Tigers win outright, a sprinkle on the ML is probably a good idea. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-23 | Wolves v. Kings -5.5 | Top | 138-134 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on SAC. Both these teams are playing the second game of a back to back, but the Kings won at home 128-127 versus the Clippers last night, and they don't have to travel. Minnesota played in LA, and will be playing a fourth straight game on the road tonight. The Kings are a young team that might not mind playing on back to back nights, as evidenced by the fact that they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games playing the second of a back to back. Minnesota has failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-23 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -4.5 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on DEN. It's tough to bet against a Denver team that is 28-4 at home, and in a series that has seen the home team win seven of the last eight meetings. The Nuggets are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games, while Memphis has failed to cover in four of their last five on the road. This is a big game between two of the top teams in the West, so both teams should get up for the game. That doesn't bode well for the Grizzlies. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-23 | Memphis v. SMU +7 | 81-62 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SMU. The Mustangs got off to a rough start in the American, but they've been playing a lot better down the stretch. They catch Memphis at the end of the season with a home game against #1 ranked Houston on deck, and the Tigers could get caught looking ahead here. The Mustangs are averaging over 75 points per game in their last five overall, just slightly more than Memphis during that span. While they have won just twice in their last six overall, their only loss during that span that came by more than five points was against Houston. The Tigers are 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 games overall and they have failed to cover in eight of their last 10 versus a team with a losing record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-23 | Nets v. Hawks -5 | 127-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Hawks. So after firing their coach, the Hawks came out of the All Star break and crushed a very good Cleveland team winning 136-119 at home. The Nets on the other hand lost by 40+ at Chicago. Often when a team gets blown out like that, you want to come back with them in their next game. Perhaps not a team with a completely new starting five that hasn't had time to gel. Not a team that is in the middle of a chaotic rebuild after trading away Kyrie and KD. The Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Brooklyn, and they have covered in seven of the last nine overall meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-23 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -5 | Top | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GONZ. |
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02-23-23 | Bruins v. Seattle Kraken +1.5 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SEA. The Kraken are coming off a 4-0 loss at San Jose, but they have won four of their last five home games. They host the Boston Bruins, who come in as winners of four straight. This will be the fourth time these teams have met, and Boston has won two of three meetings. Both of those wins came in gamed that ended with a final score of 3-2. The Kraken are 11-4 in their last 15 games against teams from the Eastern Conference. They should give the Bruins a run for their money here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-23 | Northeastern v. Drexel -5 | Top | 48-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Drexel. The Dragons host Northeastern in their final home game of the season, and they have owned this team in recent years. Drexel defeated the Huskies by 21 points on the road earlier this season. They won at home versus Northeastern by 16 points last February. They are 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in this series over the last three seasons. The Huskies are coming off a home win over Conference bottom feeder CWM, and they are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS win. Drexel lost it's last game at Hampton, and they are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-23 | Iowa v. Northwestern +1.5 | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NW. The Wildcats sit above Iowa in the BIG10 standings, and they are 12-4 overall at home. Their last two home games were outright wins over Purdue and Indiana, and yet unranked Iowa comes in as a favorite. It might have something to do with the fact that Iowa has won nine straight meetings between the two teams dating back to 2017. That's something not likely lost by the Wildcats who look like they should be the favorite in this game. The Hawkeyes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Iowa is just 3-5 SU on the road. Wrong team favored! GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-23 | Ohio State v. Purdue -12 | 55-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Purdue. Ohio State is reeling! They have lost 12 of their last 13 overall and they are 1-8 SU on the road. They aren't just losing, they are getting blown out. The Buckeyes have covered the spread just once in their last 12 games, and they have failed to cover in seven straight on the road. Asking the Boilermakers to win by double digits here doesn't seem unreasonable at all. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-23 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Kings | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ARI Puckline. This is a sneaky little underdog play on Arizona on the puckline. Let's keep it simple, the Coyotes are 7-0 ATS in their last seven overall. The Kings are playing the second game of a back to back off a win at Anaheim last night. LA has won six of the last 10 meetings in this series, but the Coyotes are 7-3 ATS in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-23 | Liverpool v. Newcastle United | 2-0 | Loss | -111 | 29 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Newcastle. |
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02-16-23 | Ohio State v. Iowa -8 | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on IOWA. The Buckeyes are now 1-11 in their last 12 games overall. They are coming off a 21-point home loss to Michigan State, and now they are playing on the road at Iowa Thursday. This is a revenge game for the Hawkeyes who lost 93-77 at Ohio State in January. Ohio State has struggled to score, averaging just 60 points per game in their last five overall. That's 20 points [er game less than Iowa has scored during that same span. The Hawkeyes are 12-2 SU at home, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 15 points in those games. The Buckeyes have failed to cover in six straight road games, and they are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 losses. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-23 | Indiana v. Northwestern +1.5 | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on NW. So I had Michigan on Saturday, and they lost 62-61 at home to Indiana. The Wolverines failed to score in the final five minutes of that game. I want to go against the Hoosiers again here as they are the favorite on the road at Northwestern. The Wildcats are 11-4 at home, while Indiana has a losing record on the road. These two teams have the exact same record overall and in conference. Northwestern is 3-1 straight up in the last four versus Indiana, and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. I think this is a situation where the wrong team is favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs +2 v. Eagles | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 160 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on KC. The public is definitely backing Philly in the Super Bowl, with 66% of the tickets on the Eagles. There is no doubt that they have been the better team in the post-season. Philly should be able to control the line of scrimmage with superior and offensive and defensive line play. The thing is, that with two weeks to prepare for this game, a Hall of Fame coach like Andy Reid should be able to game plan and scheme to minimize that advantage. There's something to be said for experience, and the Chiefs have been here before. Kansas City knows what to expect, how to handle the media and everything leading up to the game. I am going to take a contrarian approach and go with the more experienced team with the superior quarterback. GL, Jesse Schule SBLVII Props include: Over 51.5 rush attempts, Over 1.5 4th down conversions, Kelce anytime TD. |
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02-11-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Crystal Palace +0.5 | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Crystal Palace. It's not easy to win on the road in the Premier League, and I'll take Palace to get at least a draw here against Brighton. Crystal Palace has played to a draw in two of their last three matches, including a 1-1 home draw versus Manchester United. History suggests this game could very well be a draw, as three of the last four meetings between these teams ended with a final score of 1-1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-23 | Cavs v. Pelicans +2.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on N.O. The Pelicans are 20-9 at home, and they are coming off three straight home wins over LA, Atlanta and Sacramento. Sure Zion is on the shelf with an injury, but you would think they would be used to that by now. The good news is that Brandon Ingram is back, and he's averaged over 30 points in his last three starts. He struggled in his first three games back from injury, but he appears to be firing on all cylinders now. The Cavs are mediocre on the road (12-16) and they are 0-4 SU in their last four at New Orleans. The Cavs are coming off a home win over Detroit, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win. This looks like the wrong team is favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-23 | Tennessee v. Vanderbilt +10.5 | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Vanderbilt. |
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02-07-23 | TCU v. Kansas State -4.5 | 61-82 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on K-State. |
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02-07-23 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest +1.5 | 85-92 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WAKE. The Tar Heels come in as Blue Blood road favorites here, despite their 2-5 road record. They have lost back to back games at Wake in 2022 and 2020. The home team is 5-0 straight up in the last five meetings in this series, and I expect that trend to continue here. The Tar Heels are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 road games, and they have failed to cover in four straight on the road versus a team with a winning home record. The Demon Deacons are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall, and this appears to be a case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-23 | Clippers -6 v. Nets | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. The Clippers are rolling, coming into Brooklyn as winners of seven of their last nine. When both Kawhi and Paul George are healthy, this is still one of the most formidable teams in the NBA. The Nets are moving on from Kyrie Irving, and that will shake up the lineup here tonight. While we aren't sure if Spencer Dinwiddie or Dorian Finley Smith will play, we are sure that Durant, Curry and Simmons will not. The Nets are 17-40-2 ATS in their last 59 home games, and they are likely to struggle to keep up to the Clippers with a bunch of backups. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-23 | Raptors +5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR. The Grizzlies are struggling, and they come into tonight's home game versus the Raptors with two starters out, and two more questionable. Toronto has been horrible this season, dealing with their own injuries. The Raptors are 3-3 SU on their current road trip, and one of those losses was a game decided by three points in Utah. History favors the Raptors here in Memphis, where they have covered in five straight. They are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings overall. A shorthanded Grizzlies team has no business being asked to cover a number like this here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-23 | Hawks v. Nuggets -6.5 | Top | 108-128 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN. The Hawks are on a roll, coming off back to back wins over the Suns and the Jazz. They take on the Denver Nuggets tonight, and playing the second game of a back to back at altitude is a tough spot. Denver is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games, 24-4 overall at home, and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 overall. Nikola Jokic will likely not play both games in an upcoming back to back, but it makes more sense to rest him on the back end in Minnesota on Sunday. The Hawks might want to rest some of their starters here in Denver. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-23 | Stanford v. Utah -6.5 | 78-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on UTAH. The Utes are just a game out of first place in the PAC12, and they host bottom feeders Stanford tonight. I have to believe Utah is at least 7-points better than Stanford. They beat the Cardinal by a score of 71-66 at Stanford earlier this season. Stanford comes in off four straight home wins, most recently against last place California. The Cardinal are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. The Utes have outscored opponents by an average margin of 17 points while going 10-3 at home. The home team is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-23 | Wizards -4.5 v. Spurs | 127-106 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on WAS. The Wizards have won five straight, and they are 11-5 in their last 16 overall. They are in San Antonio tonight, and the Spurs have lost five straight and 10 of their last 11. Their last game was a 128-118 OT loss at home versus Phoenix. The Spurs have failed to cover in four straight, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five when coming off a loss. The Wizards have covered in four straight road games, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a losing record. The conclusion is that these two teams are trending in opposite directions, giving us value backing the road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-23 | Michigan v. Penn State -3 | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PSU. The Wolverines are 1-3 SU on the road, and they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six game overall. They are at Penn State, and the Nittany Lions are 10-1 SU at home, and have covered in 18 of their last 24 home games. Penn State is coming off a blowout loss at Rutgers, and the Nittany Lions are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Michigan has failed to cover in four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-23 | Suns -6 v. Spurs | 128-118 | Win | 100 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the SUNS. I had Phoenix in their last game, and it was a disappointing loss to the Mavs. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Suns have been decimated by injuries, but that hasn't prevented them from winning 18 of 25 home games. They host the Dallas Mavericks tonight, and Dallas has lost 15 of 23 road games. The home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine head to head meetings. Chris Paul is back, and he had 11 assists in a blowout win over Charlotte on Tuesday. The Mavs will not have 2nd leading scorer and 2nd leading rebounder Christian Wood. The Suns are expecting their big man back on Thursday. DeAndre Ayton leads the Suns in scoring and rebounding." The Suns are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in San Antonio. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-23 | Pacers v. Magic -4.5 | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ORL. The Magic are coming off a blowout win over the Celtics, and they are .500 at home. They host a Pacers team playing the second game of a back to back without their leading scorer. Indiana is 8-16 SU on the road this season, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. They Pacers haven't covered any of their games since losing Tyrese Haliburton to a knee injury. The Magic are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games, and they have won three of their last four home games by more than four points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-23 | St. Joe's v. George Washington -4 | 91-92 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GW. The Colonials will be a short home favorite versus St. Joe's on Wednesday, and some might think this looks like a let down spot coming off a win over Dayton. It might be a bigger let down for the Red Hawks who have won three straight versus conference bottom feeders UMass, LaSalle and Loyola Chicago. The Hawks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they have lost three of their last four at George Washington. The home team has covered in five of the last six head to head meetings, and this looks like a short line. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-23 | Hornets v. Suns -6.5 | 97-128 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHX. The Suns are still dealing with more than their share of injuries, but CP3 returned and scored 22 points in a home win over Memphis over the weekend. The Suns are still 17-7 at home, and they have won their last two games versus Charlotte by a combined 65 points. The Hornets are coming off an 18 point loss at Utah, and they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. The Hornets are just 8-19 SU on the road, and they should be looking at another double digit loss here in Arizona. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-23 | Ohio State v. Illinois -3.5 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Illinois. The Buckeyes have lost five of eight games in the BIG10, and they have lost four of five on the road. They might not have leading rebounder Zed Key for tonight's game in Illinois, as his status is questionable with a lower body injury. They are coming off a home win over Iowa, and they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Illinois is 9-2 straight up at home, and they have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 home games. This looks like a short line. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Fulham +0.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Fullham. Fullham has earned points in eight of their 10 home games this season, while Spurs have dropped points in five of their last seven matches overall. These teams are trending in opposite directions, with Fullham on the rise and Spurs looking like they need to make wholesale changes. Harry Kane is rumored to be on the way out, possibly linked to Manchester United. Spurs haven't had a draw on the road in the Premier League this season, but they should be happy if they can get a draw here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-23 | Pelicans v. Heat -7 | 96-100 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. So I bet against the Pelicans in their last game, and here is what I said before their loss at Orlando: "The Pelicans are coming off back to back losses, and they have lost five of their last seven overall. They have three starters out of the lineup, including two of their top three scorers. Their last game was a 26 point home loss to the Miami Heat." Now they are on the road in Miami just a few days later, and two of their three top scorers remain sidelined. The Heat are at full strength, despite dealing with a ton of injuries all year. The Heat are 8-1 straight up in their last nine versus New Orleans. The Pelicans have failed to cover in four straight at Miami and they are 5-18 ATS in the last 23 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills -5.5 | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BUF. The Bengals are coming off a home win over Baltimore, in a game that they were out-gained by 130 yards. The Ravens were on the goal line about to score a go-ahead TD, when the Bengals returned a fumble that would end up being the game winning score. The Bills also won a close game last week, failing to cover against the Dolphins. They actually out-gained Miami by almost 200 yards. Cincinnati has to be concerned about their banged up offensive line. They ranked 25th in the NFL in sacks allowed during the regular season, while Buffalo ranked in the Top 10 in QB sacks. The Bills are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-23 | Giants v. Eagles -7.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 107 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on PHI. The Giants were impressive in their upset win over the Vikings, but it's going to be a completely different matchup on the road in Philly this week. These teams played twice during the regular season, and Philly outscored New York 40-7 in the first half of those two games. Philly ran for 254 yards and four TDs in a 48-22 win at New York in December. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five Divisional Playoffs games, and well rested I expect them to roll in the first half here against the Giants. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-23 | Magic v. Wizards -5.5 | 118-138 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on WAS. I had Orlando last night, and they won easily over a shorthanded New Orleans team at home. Now the Magic play on the road in the second game of a back to back in Washington. The Wizards have won six straight in this series, and five of those six wins came by 6+ points. The Magic are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Magic are 6-16 straight up on the road, and this looks like a tough spot on no rest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-23 | Texas Tech +5 v. Kansas State | 58-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Texas Tech. Kansas State is coming off an 83-82 home win over Kansas, setting them up for a let down here against Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are still looking for their first conference win, but they are healthier now than they have been over the last few weeks. Their last road game was a 72-70 loss at Texas. The Red Raiders are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings, and three of those wins came at Manhattan. The underdog has covered in five straight in this series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-23 | Florida v. Texas A&M -3.5 | Top | 52-54 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas A&M. The Aggies are undefeated in the SEC, and they are 8-1 at home. They have already beat the Gators in Florida this season, and they won both meetings versus Florida last season. The Gators are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Aggies are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus Florida. The Aggies have outscored opponents by an average margin of 19 points at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-23 | Suns v. Grizzlies -9.5 | 106-136 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MEM. The Grizzlies host the Suns Monday, and it's unclear if Ja Morant will suit up and play. The Suns though will certainly be fielding a lineup of second and third string players. Chris Paul, Devin Booker, Cam Johnson, Cam Payne and Jay Crowder are all ruled out. This is a Suns team that is just 7-16 on the road, and they have lost eight of their last nine overall. The Grizzlies are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 home games. Desmond Bane should get his share of points here. He had a game high 25 points against the Pacers on Friday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -6.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 134 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bengals. Money keeps coming in on the Bengals, and for good reason. We don't expect Lamar Jackson to play, and even if he does he would coming in without any game action in months and no time at practice. Anthony Brown threw for 286 yards and two INTs on 19-of-44 passing in last week's loss to the Bengals. The Ravens are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight versus the AFC North, and they have failed to cover in four straight versus the Bengals. The Bengals are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-23 | Giants v. Vikings -3 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 130 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. The Vikings won 13 games this season, but they don't get a lot of respect from bookmakers. The Bills and the 49ers both won 13 games, and they are each double digits favorites in their Wild Card Games. Kirk Cousins threw for more yards than Joe Burrow and Josh Allen, but he continues to get no respect. The Giants won just three of their last 10 games, sneaking in the back door to make the playoffs. The favorite has covered in six of the last seven meetings, and the Giants have lost four straight to the Vikings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-23 | Arsenal v. Tottenham Hotspur +0.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Spurs. Arsenal sits top of the table, and there's no doubt that the Gunners have been the better side so far this season. They come into Sunday's match at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium as heavy favorites. It's still a tough task to win away matches in this league, as evidenced by Manchester City suffering a defeat at Old Trafford Saturday. History favors the home side, as the home team has won outright in five straight meetings between these teams. A draw would be a decent result here for Arsenal, and I expect Spurs to at least salvage a point. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-23 | Hawks v. Raptors -5.5 | 114-103 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Raptors have been underachieving, but they come into Saturday's home game against Atlanta as winners of three straight. They have also won three straight home games versus the Hawks, all by a double digit margin. The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Atlanta, and the Hawks have failed to cover in five of their last six north of the border. Playing the second game of a back to back in Canada is a tough spot for the visitors. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-23 | Colorado State v. UNLV -5.5 | 82-81 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UNLV. The Rebels host the Rams in a matchup between two teams sitting at the bottom of the standings in the Mountain West. While both teams have just one conference win, the Rebels losses have come against Mountain West powerhouses San Diego State, Boise State and on the road at San Jose State. The Rams on the other hand are coming off a double digit home loss to Air Force. The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they have failed to cover in five straight versus teams with a winning record. The Rebels are coming off a home loss to Boise State, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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