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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-02-18 | Rockies +1.5 v. Cubs | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Rockies. Â The Rockies lost the tiebreaker on Monday, and now they face a do or die situation at Wrigley tonight. The Cubs were also on the wrong side of a tiebreaker, losing 3-1 to Milwaukee. I expect another pitcher's duel in Chicago tonight. Â Kyle Freeland will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been brilliant in the second half of the season. He's 9-1 with a 2.49 ERA in 14 starts since the All Star break. Â The Cubs hand the ball to Jon Lester, who has better numbers on the road than he has at Wrigley. His ERA in the second half of the season (4.50) was significantly higher than it was in the first half (2.58). Â Chicago went 6-6 in their final 12 games of the season, opening the door for Milwaukee to win the division in the tiebreaker game. Â Take COL. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-01-18 | Chiefs v. Broncos +4.5 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Broncos. Â The Kansas City Chiefs come into Denver as heavy favorites, but I am not ready to completely buy into all the hype. Sure Patrick Mahomes has been lighting it up, but this is a tough road game at Mile High in Denver. The rookie made his debut as a starter in the Chiefs final game of last season here in Denver. He threw for 284 yards and an INT on 22-of-35 passing in a 27-24 win. The Chiefs have won five straight against Denver, and the total has gone over in six straight. The total for tonight's game is almost 20 points higher than it was in last year's game. One reason for the high total is the fact that the Chiefs rank 30th in the NFL in scoring defense allowing 30.7 points per game this season. I'll fade what I consider to be an overvalued road favorite, and an inflated total. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-01-18 | Rockies +1.5 v. Dodgers | 2-5 | Loss | -145 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Rockies +1.5.  After six months and 162 games during the regular season, the Dodgers and the Rockies remain deadlocked at the top of the NL West. The tiebreaker goes this afternoon, and I expect this game to be a pitcher's duel.  German Marquez will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's owned the Dodgers this season. He's 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts versus LA. He's also 6-2 with a 2.25 ERA in his last 13 starts overall.  The Dodgers hand the ball to Walker Buehler, who will face the Rockies for the sixth time today. He's 0-1 with a 2.61 ERA in five starts against Colorado. His split stats may be a concern as his ERA in day games (4.91) is twice as high as it is under the lights (2.13). The Rockies are 9-1 in their last 10 overall.  Take COL.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-30-18 | Bengals +3.5 v. Falcons | 37-36 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals are coming off a 31-21 loss at Carolina, and that was the lowest score of any of their games this season. They have scored an average of 29.7 points per game, and Andy Dalton has passed for an average of 287 yards per game. This Cincinnati offense should be primed for a big day against an Atlanta team that has been hit hard by injuries to several key defenders. Drew Brees threw for 396 yards and three scores in a 43-37 come from behind win at Atlanta last week, and safety Ricardo Allen was carted off with a torn Achilles. The Bengals secondary is also banged up, with three corner backs listed as questionable. Both teams are expected to be without their top RB, which provides even more incentive to lean on the passing game. The Falcons have gone over in 15 of their last 21 home games, and the Bengals have gone over in four straight overall. I like the Bengals plus the points. Take Cinci. GL, Jesse Schule
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09-29-18 | Stanford +6 v. Notre Dame | 17-38 | Loss | -108 | 104 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Stanford Cardinal. Â The Oregon Ducks looked like world beaters in the first half versus Stanford last week, but their defense couldn't hold on to a 24-7 halftime lead. The Cardinal out-scored Oregon 24-7 in the second half, and went on to win 37-31 in overtime.The Cardinal will travel to South Bend to face Notre Dame this week, and history certainly favors the visitors. Stanford has won four of the last five meetings outright, and their lone loss during that span came by a score of 17-14. I can see any reason why another close game shouldn't be expected, and the Irish are asked to cover a handful of points. The underdog has covered the spread in each of the last six meetings in this series. Notre Dame has failed to cover in four of it's last five home games. Â Take STAN. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-29-18 | Syracuse +25.5 v. Clemson | Top | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
  This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange.  When Clemson went to Syracuse last year, they were ranked #2 overall nationally. They came in as a 24 point favorite, and left humbled in a 27-24 outright loss. Starting quarterback Kelley Bryant was knocked out of that game due to injury, and backup Zerrick Cooper stepped in and threw for 88 yards on 10-of-14 passing. While this is a revenge game for Clemson, the Tigers are dealing with a quarterback controversy. Bryant was benched in favor of freshman Trevor Lawrence. He has since left the team, citing what he called "crazy racism". This is definitely a troubling development, and one has to wonder if the locker room is divided over this issue. It's quite possible that some of the players agree with Bryan't position on the matter. Lawrence has looked good so far, but this will be the first start of his career. He's under a lot of pressure, and with only a third string freshman backing him up, Dabo Swinney better be careful with his new quarterback. I'll take the 4-0 Syracuse Orange plus the points.  Take SYR.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-28-18 | UCLA v. Colorado -9 | 16-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
  This is an 8* play on the Colorado Buffaloes.  It's been a terrible start for Chip Kelly at UCLA. The Bruins come into Colorado with an 0-3 record, and starting quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has thrown as many picks (2) as he has TDs so far. Colorado is 3-0, with wins over Nebraska and Colorado State. Junior quarterback Steven Montez is lighting it up with 855 yards, 8 TDs and just two INTs in three games. History certainly favors Colorado, as the Buffaloes have covered the spread in four of their last five versus UCLA. The home team has won four of the last five meetings, and I like Colorado to win comfortably here at home tonight.  Take COL.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-27-18 | Vikings +7 v. Rams | 31-38 | Push | 0 | 41 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings. Â The Vikings didn't show up last Sunday, and the Buffalo Bills made them pay for it. They won't have to wait long for a chance at redemption, playing just five days later on the road at LA. The Chargers are Super Bowl favorites, but this looks like a tough spot for the home team. Injuries to several key defenders might open the door for Kirk Cousins to have a big game. History certainly favors the Vikings, as they have won five straight meetings versus the Rams. LA was the favorite in two of those five games. Previous meetings between these teams have been high scoring, especially in LA where six of the last seven have gone over the total. The Vikings were bailed out by a questionable roughing the passer penalty in Green Bay in Week 2, and given what we saw on Monday night, questionable penalties might continue to be an issue. I'll take the Vikings plus the points. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-27-18 | North Carolina +18.5 v. Miami-FL | 10-47 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the North Carolina Tar Heels. The Tar Heels have overcome a lot of adversity so far this season, weathering the storm of an off season controversy. After losing their first two games, they won outright as an underdog versus Pittsburgh last week. They have covered the spread in each of their last four when getting points, and they have historically been quite competitive in previous meetings versus Miami. They have covered the spread in four of the last five meetings, and they have won outright in three of the last six meetings. Only once in the last six meetings did they lose by double digits. Miami has struggled to run away from inferior opponents so far this season, and I think they will have their hands full here versus a division rival. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-26-18 | Braves +1.5 v. Mets | 0-3 | Loss | -160 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
  This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Braves +1.5. The Braves come into Game 2 in New York as winners of six straight, but the Mets will be a big favorite.  Jacob deGrom will toe the slab for the Mets, and he's been pitching as well as anyone this season. That hasn't necessarily translated into wins though, the Mets have lost five of his last 10 starts, and he's 3-6 in 15 home starts. This will be the sixth time he faces Atlanta, looking to improve on an 0-2 record in his five previous starts versus the Braves.  Atlanta will hand the ball to Sean Newcomb, who is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts versus the Mets.  Take ATL.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-24-18 | Steelers +1.5 v. Bucs | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Â The Steelers come into Tampa Bay looking for their first win, but there are a long list of controversies plaguing this team. It's time for Big Ben and company to put up or shut up. This is it, do or die. They know their chances of coming back from an 0-2-1 hole aren't great. They know that the only way that people will stop asking questions about locker room issues will be to put a "W" on the board. The Bucs are 2-0, and fans are buzzing about "Fitzmagic". I have seen enough of Ryan Fitzpatrick over the years that I know it would be naive to think he's going to be magical every week. The Bucs are in danger of being humbled here at home by a desperate Steelers team. Â Take PIT. Â GL, Â Jesse SchuleÂ
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09-23-18 | Patriots -6.5 v. Lions | 10-26 | Loss | -103 | 103 h 8 m | Show | |
   This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots.  New England is coming off an ugly 31-20 loss at Jacksonville, but they are in a good spot to bounce back with a convincing win here in Detroit on Sunday night. The Lions are coming off a 30-27 loss at San Francisco, but it would be a mistake to assume that was a close game. It was 30-17 halfway through the fourth quarter, and Detroit scored twice in garbage time. Former New England assistant Matt Patricia may have bitten off more than he can chew, leaving the Patriots to become the head coach in Detroit. Lions fans are already calling for heads to roll after a dismal start. The Pats have won their last four versus the Lions, all four of those games decided by at least seven points. My money is on a big bounce back for Belichick and Brady.  Take NE.  GL, Jesse Schule  Â
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09-23-18 | Packers v. Redskins +3.5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 96 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Redskins. Â The Packers looked pretty bad in a Week 1 win over the Bears, needing to rally from a 17-0 halftime deficit. Then they opened up a 20-7 lead on the Vikings at home in Week 2, only to blow it and ended up settling for a tie 29-29. Aaron Rodgers has been playing hurt with a sprained knee, and he will not be 100 percent here in Washington. Rodgers has always been better at home, and Green Bay is just 7-9 straight up in their last 16 road games. The home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings, and I like the Skins plus the points at home. Washington actually out-gained Indy 334-281 last week, but they were hurt by costly penalties. Alex Smith could have a big day against a questionable Packers defense. Â Take WAS. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule
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09-23-18 | Duquesne v. Hawaii -29.5 | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Hawaii. The Duquesne Dukes aren't coming to Hawaii to compete in a football game, they are on what is more like a paid vacation. This is like a sparring partner for a prize fighter, who is meant to be no more than a punching bag. Duquesne played UMASS in Week 1, and got blown out by a score of 63-15. The Minutemen aren't even a competitive FBS team, and they have since lost three straight games by 20 or more to Florida International, Georgia State and Boston College. Hawaii leads the nation in passing offense, and their quarterback Cole McDonald is the nation's leading passer. This is an opportunity for the Warriors to pad their stats, and I expect them to pile on the points. This should be a win by 50+. Take HAW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-22-18 | Florida v. Tennessee +4.5 | 47-21 | Loss | -109 | 72 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Vols. The Vols aren't a great team, but they always seem to manage to muster a solid effort against rivals Florida. The Gators have won three of the last four meetings, but the average margin of victory in those games is less than three points. Two of the last four meetings have been decided by a single point, and the Vols have outscored Florida 47-38 in the last two meetings in Knoxville. The Gators have failed to cover in four straight road games, and five straight versus teams from the SEC. I don't think Florida should be a favorite, never mind asking them to cover 4-5 points. I'll take the home dog in this epic rivalry. Take VOLS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-22-18 | Texas A&M +27.5 v. Alabama | 23-45 | Win | 100 | 101 h 18 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-21-18 | Penn State v. Illinois +28 | 63-24 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Â
This is an 8* play on Illinois. The question is not whether Penn State beats Illinois on Friday night, but rather will they beat them by more than four TDs. I don't see the Nittany Lions putting all their time and energy into a game on the road on a short week with Ohio State looming next Saturday. This is a classic "look ahead" game and the line looks grossly inflated. History certainly favors the home underdog, in a series where the favorite hasn't been asked to cover more than 14 points in any of the previous 10 meetings. The Fighting Illini have covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Take ILL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-21-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Central Florida -13.5 | 36-56 | Win | 100 | 48 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Central Florida Knights. The Knights have won 15 straight games, and 11 of those were decided by a double digit margin. They are a complete team with a solid defense to go along with their potent offense. They host the FAU Owls Friday, and Lane Kiffin has this team firing on all cylinders offensively. I am skeptical about this Owls defense though, as they come in giving up roughly 40 points per game. Sure you can't fault them too much for losing by 50 at Oklahoma, but giving up 27 to Air Force and 28 to Bethune-Cookman doesn't inspire much confidence. The Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games, and I think they are biting off a little more than they can chew here versus UCF. Take UCF. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-18-18 | Cardinals +1.5 v. Braves | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the St. Louis Cardinals +1.5.  The Cardinals are still in the hunt for a Wild Card spot, but they will need to keep pace with the Rockies and Brewers. I like St. Louis as an underdog plus the runs here at Atlanta. Anibal Sanchez will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he's winless in his last four home starts. The 34 year old is 1-3 with a 3.11 ERA in nine home starts this season, and he's 2-3 with a 3.50 ERA in his last 10 starts.  The Cardinals hand the ball to Austin Gomber, who is looking to get back on track after back to back losses. The rookie had won his first seven starts, and four of those wins came on the road.  The Cardinals have won five more games on the road than Atlanta has won at home.  Take STL.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-18-18 | White Sox +1.5 v. Indians | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Chisox +1.5. The White Sox took two of three in a series at Baltimore, and they play Game 1 of a new series in Cleveland tonight. I expect to see a pitcher's duel in Game 1. Corey Kluber will toe the slab for the home team, and he's still gunning for a 20 win season. He allowed one run on four hits, striking out 18 in 13 2/3 innings in his last two home starts. The White Sox hand the ball to Carlos Rodon, who has owned Cleveland in his career. Rodon has won his last five road starts, and he's 0-1 with a 279 ERA in three starts versus the Tribe this season. Cleveland has hit a combined .207 over 213 at bats in previous meetings versus Rodon. Take CWS. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-17-18 | Rockies +1.5 v. Dodgers | 2-8 | Loss | -149 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Rockies +1.5. Colorado and LA are just a half game apart in the standings, and in such a pivotal game between the top two teams in the NL West, I'll take the dog plus the runs. Jon Gray will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's undefeated in his last 10 starts (The Rockies are 8-2 during that span). The Dodgers hand the ball to Hyun-Jin Ryu, who has been rocked for 8 runs on 18 hits in back to back losses. Ryu is 0-4 with an 8.64 ERA in his last four starts against Colorado. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-18 | Cubs +1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cubs +1.5. The Cubs still have the Brewers breathing down their neck (trailing by 2.5 games), and I like Chicago as a dog at Arizona. Kyle Hendricks will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's coming off five consecutive starts with two or fewer earned runs. The lefty is 5-4 with a 3.89 ERA in 14 starts on the road this year. The D'Backs will hand the ball to Patrick Corbin, who has lost three of his last four starts. The southpaw has pitched well during that span, but hasn't received much run support. The D'Backs are batting a combined .219 in the month of September. Take CHC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-18 | Giants +3.5 v. Cowboys | 13-20 | Loss | -112 | 158 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Giants. Neither of these two NFC East teams looked like playoff contenders in Week 1, but the Giants defense did look pretty solid. Saquon Barkley also showed signs of living up to all the hype, and in a division game between two teams that have a history of playing close games, I'll take the dog. Six of the last 10 meetings between these teams have been decided by five points or less, including two games decided by just one point. The Giants have covered the spread in five of the last seven meetings, and the Cowboys have failed to cover in five of their last seven home games. I expect this game to be close, but the Giants look closer to being a contender in my opinion, so I'll take the points. Take NYG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-18 | Raiders v. Broncos -5.5 | 19-20 | Loss | -100 | 101 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Broncos. The Broncos led 17-10 at halftime in their Week 1 win over the Seahawks, and they look good in Week 2 against Oakland. Case Keenum had a huge game, throwing for 339 yards and three TDs on 25-of-39 passing. The Raiders looked pretty bad in their Week 1 home loss to the Rams, and Derek Carr really struggled. He threw for 303 yards on 29-of-40 passing with no TDs and three INTs. The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six trips to Mile High Stadium. The home team has won four straight in this series. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-18 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Astros | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona D'Backs +1.5. Â The Astros have split the first two games of this home series versus Arizona, and we should expect a pitcher's duel in the rubber match. Â Zack Greinke will toe the slab for the D'Backs this afternoon, and he's been phenomenal this season. The veteran allowed three runs on six hits over 6 2/3 innings in a win at Colorado his last time out. He allowed just one run on five hits over 5 2/3 innings in a no decision versus Houston earlier this season. Â The Astros hand the ball to Justin Verlander, who is having a Cy Young caliber season. As well as he has pitched, he owns a win/loss record of 3-7 in Houston this season. Â I'll take the runs in what is likely to be a close game. Â Take ARI. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-16-18 | Vikings +2 v. Packers | Top | 29-29 | Win | 100 | 150 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings. Â The Vikings were one win away from going to the Super Bowl last year, and that was after losing their starting quarterback and leading rusher Dalvin Cook. Their success was a testament to just how good they are on defense, ranking 1st overall in total yards, 2nd against the pass and 2nd in quarterback sacks. With an upgrade at quarterback and a healthy Cook in the backfield, Minnesota is my pick to win the Super Bowl this season. They face the Packers in Green Bay in Week 2, and Aaron Rodgers is expected to be playing with a sprained knee. Rodgers was knocked out of last year's 23-10 loss at Minnesota, and ended up missing the Packers final nine games of the season. He engineered a miraculous comeback against the Bears last week, but the Packers defense wasn't very impressive. The Bears averaged over 5 yards per carry, and led 17-0 at halftime. Erasing a 20 point deficit against the Bears is one thing, but if they fall behind the Vikings I don't like their chances of pulling off another comeback. Â Take MIN. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-16-18 | Browns v. Saints -8.5 | 18-21 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Saints. My biggest bet in Week 1 was on the Browns +7 at home versus Cleveland, and I had that bet circled since the beginning of the summer. The Browns are no doubt going to be better this year than they were in 2017, but I wasn't impressed with their Week 1 tie versus the Steelers. When you really look at the stats, the Steelers turned the ball over six times, and they still had 472 total yards of offense. Without the turnover advantage the Browns would have been blown out. The Saints were unimpressive in their Week 1 home loss to Tampa, but I think they will be far better here in Week 2. Take SAINTS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-18 | Missouri -6 v. Purdue | Top | 40-37 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Missouri Tigers. Â The Tigers have won eight straight regular season games, averaging over 50 points per game during that span. Three of those wins came on the road, and two of those three wins came by a double digit margin. They lost 35-3 at home to Purdue last year, but this isn't the same team that lost five of it's first six last season. Drew Lock has thrown for 687 yards and eight TDs on 74.3 percent passing so far in 2018, and he led the nation in TD passes last season. Purdue is still trying to figure out who is their starting quarterback, and Elijah Sindelar hasn't inspired a lot of confidence, throwing for just 283 yards with 2 TDs and 3 INTs the first two weeks. Missouri appears to have improved defensively, ranking 20th in total defense after two weeks. I like the revenge angle here, and the Tigers are catching Purdue coming off an ugly home loss to Eastern Michigan. I expect the Tigers to run away with this game. Â Take MIZZ. Â GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-15-18 | Alabama v. Ole Miss +21.5 | 62-7 | Loss | -105 | 80 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Mississippi. Alabama has lost just five regular season games over the last six seasons, and two of those losses came against Ole Miss. The Crimson Tide also won a 48-43 thriller at Ole Miss in 2016. The Rebels success against Alabama has mostly been a product of stellar quarterback play. Chad Kelly threw for 421 yards and three TDs in the last meeting, and he was brilliant in the two wins. The Rebels have themselves a new gunslinger in Jordan Ta'amu. The Senior has thrown for 784 yards and 7 TDs with no INTs so far this season. Of course most people are predicting a one-sided win for the visitors, but given such a big number I am taking the dog with history on it's side. The Tide are just 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings, and 2-6 ATS in their last eight at Mississippi. Take MISS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-18 | Hawaii +7 v. Army | 21-28 | Push | 0 | 125 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Hawaii. The Rainbow Warriors are 3-0, and quarterback Cole MacDonald leads the nation in passing with 1,165 yards, 13 TDs and not a single interception. They were up 14-0 after the first quarter in their win over Navy, and they led 38-14 at halftime in that game. They have gotten off to big starts in all three of their wins, but they have allowed opponents to come back and make it interesting in the second half. They are getting points here on the road at Army this week, and while the travel is a concern, I still think they find enough offense to keep this game close. Take HAW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-13-18 | Ravens v. Bengals +1.5 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 86 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals. Â The Bengals offense was firing on all cylinders in a Week 1 win at Indianapolis, and I like Cinci as a home dog on Thursday night versus Baltimore. Andy Dalton threw for 243 yards and two TDs on 21-of-28 passing. AJ Green had six receptions for 92 yards and a TD and Joe Mixon had 149 total yards with a TD. With everyone healthy and playing at the top of their game, this Cincinnati offense is one of the best in the league. I am not sure we learned much about Baltimore in their 47-3 home win over Buffalo in Week 1. The Ravens haven't had a lot of success at Cincinnati in recent seasons, losing four of their last five visits. They are 3-7 straight up in the last 10 meetings between the two teams, and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 at Cincinnati. The Bengals won 31-27 at Baltimore last year, and AJ Green didn't play in that game. I am not sold on Baltimore as a road favorite here. Â Take CIN. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-12-18 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Rockies | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona D'Backs +1.5. Â Arizona won last night in Colorado, and I like them as an underdog here in tonight's game versus the Rockies. Â Patrick Corbin will toe the slab for the D'Backs, and he's been great this season. The lefty is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in two starts against the Rockies this year, and he was 2-1 with a 4.03 ERA in four starts versus Colorado last year. Â The Rockies hand the ball to Jon Gray, who has lost two of his last three starts. He lost to Arizona earlier this year, and he was 2-2 with a 4.75 ERA in five starts against the D'Backs over the previous three seasons. Â Take ARI. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-12-18 | Pirates v. Cardinals +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
  This is an 8* play on St. Louis +1.5.  The Cardinals thumped Pittsburgh by a score of 11-5 last night, and they look good as a home dog in Game 3 today.  Daniel Poncedeleon will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's still looking for his first win despite a solid 2.67 ERA in nine appearances. He tossed a seven inning no-hitter in his major league debut back in July.  The Pirates hand the ball to Jameson Taillon, who has been dealing lately. While Tailon has pitched well, the Pirates have lost eight of their last 11 games on the road, including a 2-1 series loss at St. Louis at the end of August.  I think the St. Louis bats could cancel out an advantage on the mound.  Take STL.  GL,  Jesse Schule
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09-11-18 | Rockies +1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 3-6 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona D'Backs. Â Arizona will try to snap out of a slump in Colorado tonight, and I like their chances with Zack Greinke on the mound. Â Greinke (13-9, 3.08 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits over 5 1/3 innings in a home loss to Atlanta his last time out. He has owned Colorado though, and went eight innings, striking out 13 in a 6-1 win the last time he faced them. Â The Rockies hand the ball to Antonio Senzatela, who is far better on the road than he is at home. The 23 year old is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA against the D'Backs this season. Â Paul Goldschmidt comes in batting .387 in the month of September. Â Take ARI. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-09-18 | Bears +9 v. Packers | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 106 h 30 m | Show | |
8* |
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09-09-18 | Steelers v. Browns +7 | Top | 21-21 | Win | 100 | 2782 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cleveland Browns.  I had this game circled back in the beginning of the summer, and since then the money has really come in on the Browns. While it's been a long time since the Browns have actually won a game, they are expected to be a lot better here in 2018. Tyrod Taylor might not be your favorite quarterback, but he's a pretty solid bet as an underdog when you are looking to cover the points as a home dog. Taylor's biggest asset is his dependability, protecting the football and not making many costly mistakes. In a rivalry that has seen three straight games decided by four points or less, an improved Browns team at home getting points is quite attractive. The Le'Veon Bell situation has gone from bad to worse, with members of the offensive line publicly blasting Bell for putting himself above the team. The Steelers have failed to cover in five of their last seven season openers, and I think they'll have their hands full here in Cleveland.  Take CLE.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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09-09-18 | 49ers v. Vikings -6 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 124 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings.  The Vikings were one win away from going to the Super Bowl last year, and that was after losing their starting quarterback and leading rusher Dalvin Cook. Their success was a testament to just how good they are on defense, ranking 1st overall in total yards, 2nd against the pass and 2nd in quarterback sacks. With an upgrade at quarterback and a healthy Cook in the backfield, Minnesota is my pick to win the Super Bowl this season. They play their home opener against San Francisco, and the 49ers are optimistic about the future since bringing in Jimmy G. I don't think San Francisco has anything to be optimistic about here in Week 1, and I expect it to be a long day for Garoppolo. Vikings are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September, and the home team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings between these teams.  Take MIN.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-09-18 | Bengals +3 v. Colts | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 124 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Bengals.  While the Colts are hoping to be better with Andrew Luck back at quarterback, I am not sure they have surrounded him with enough talent. This team was 4-12 last year, and they lost leading rusher Frank Gore, and three of their top receivers. The Colts ranked 30th in total defense last season, and losing their best defensive player, nose tackle Johnathan Hankins isn't going to help. They were 31st in sacks last year, and if they can't pressure the quarterback they will leave their inexperienced secondary exposed. Andy Dalton and A.J. Green could have a field day here at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Bengals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games, and 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games in September. Take CINCI.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-08-18 | Michigan State v. Arizona State +6.5 | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 45 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils. Â Michigan State was ranked 11th overall in the AP Poll in Week 1, and they only dropped four spots after a disappointing start to the season. They got the win over Utah State, but needed to rally from behind in the fourth quarter to avoid an upset at the hands of a minnow from the Mountain West. The Spartans played five true road games last season, and only one of those was a win by more than four points. They lost in overtime at Northwestern, and beat Minnesota by just three points. Their trip to Sun Devil Stadium isn't likely going to be a picnic. The Sun Devils were 5-2 at home last year, and two of those wins came against ranked teams. They upset #5 ranked Washington in October, beating the Huskies 13-7. They also beat #24 Oregon in a shootout, 37-35. Senior quarterback Manny Wilkins delivered a flawless performance in a blowout win over UTSA in Week 1, and Herm Edwards might have something cooking here in the desert. The Spartans have covered just twice in their last eight versus the PAC12, and they are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games. I'll take the points with the home dog. Â Take ARZST. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-08-18 | Wyoming v. Missouri -17 | 13-40 | Win | 100 | 87 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Missouri Tigers. Â I was pretty high on this Wyoming defense before the season started, and they still might prove to be one of the top teams in the Mountain West. Their home loss to Washington State last week doesn't give me any reason to think that they can compete with one of the most explosive offensive teams in the SEC, on the road at Missouri this week. The Tigers scored 51 points in a blowout win over UT Martin in Week 1, and they averaged over 50 points per game during a six game winning streak at the end of last season. Drew Lock threw for 289 yards and four TDs on 19-of-25 passing before the Tigers pulled their starters. Lock led the country with 44 TD passes last season, and he's likely to cause all sorts of problems for Wyoming. The Cowboys biggest problem appears to be their offense, with quarterback Tyler Vander Waal throwing for a measly 67 yards and an INT on 8-of-20 passing. If they can't move the ball, their defense won't stand a chance. Â Take MIZZ. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-07-18 | TCU -22 v. SMU | 42-12 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
   This is an 8* play on TCU. The SMU Mustangs might consider this a rivalry game, but they have lost their last five games versus TCU by an average margin of more than 31 points. This year's game looks as lopsided as ever, and another blowout seems inevitable. The Mustangs fell behind 36-0 after three quarters in their season opener versus North Texas, before scoring three meaningless TDs in garbage time. It wasn't the fact that they lost by 23 points as a 3.5 point underdog that was the biggest point of concern, it's the fact that their offensive line got just run over by a freight train. Their quarterback was sacked nine times in the season opener. It won't get any easier against one of the top defenses in the BIG12. TCU should terrorize the Mustangs early, and this game should be over by halftime.  Take TCU.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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09-06-18 | Falcons +3 v. Eagles | 12-18 | Loss | -125 | 59 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Falcons. Â The Eagles begin their Super Bowl defense at home on Thursday night, against a Falcons team that they beat in the Divisional round of last year's playoffs. The Falcons were just two yards away from a last minute go ahead TD in that game, losing 15-10. Nick Foles was solid, throwing for 246 yards on 23-of-30 passing. Foles was outstanding in last year's playoffs, but I think it might be a little naive to think that the Eagles won't miss Carson Wentz. We've seen six years of data that suggests Nick Foles is nothing more than a backup quarterback. His last season as a starter was rather unimpressive, completing just 56 percent of his passes with 7 TDs an 10 INTs in 11 starts for the Rams in 2015. Prior to that he started eight games for Philly, completing 59 percent of his passes with 13 TDs and 10 INTs. He looked a lot more like that guy during the pre-season. Matt Ryan followed up his 2016 MVP campaign with a disappointing 2017 season. That came as no surprise, as the Super Bowl Hangover is well documented. It's Philly's turn to suffer the dreaded post Super Bowl slump. Â Take ATL. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-03-18 | Virginia Tech +7.5 v. Florida State | Top | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Virginia Tech. Â The Willie Taggart era begins in Tallahassee tonight when the Seminoles host Virginia Tech. The Hokies are a significant underdog in this spot, and I like their chances of hanging with this new look Florida State team. While DeAndre Francios returns at quarterback, it will be his first game running the Gulf Coast Offense. There could be a few hiccups along the way. Justin Fuente has the advantage of bringing back Josh Jackson at quarterback, and he was outstanding in his freshman year throwing for 2,991 yards, 20 TDs and nine INTs, completing roughly 60 percent of his passes. The Seminoles have failed to cover in eight consecutive non-conference games, and I think it's asking a lot for them to beat the Hokies by more than a TD. FSU has won three of the last five meetings straight up, but the Hokies have covered the spread in three of the last four head to head meetings. Â Take VT. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-03-18 | Yankees +1.5 v. A's | 3-6 | Loss | -190 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 6* play on the NYY +1.5. Â The Bronx Bombers have bolstered their battery with the addition of Andrew McCutchen, and the former MVP might be a factor in today's game at Oakland. Â Trevor Cahill will toe the slab for the A's, and McCutchen has had his number. Cahill (5-3, 3.60 ERA) has been torched for nine runs on 13 hits over 8 1/3 innings in back to back losses. McCutchen is batting .429 lifetime versus the right-hander. Â The Yankees hand the ball to CC Sabathia, who has been very dependable. The savvy veteran is 1-1 with a 2.87 ERA in his last six starts, and he's 3-1 with a 3.80 ERA in his last four starts versus Oakland. Â The A's have lost four of their last five versus the Yankees when Cahill starts. Â Take NYY. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-03-18 | Cardinals +1.5 v. Nationals | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
  This is an 8* play on the St. Louis Cardinals +1.5. The Nats have lost six of their last 10 overall, while the Cardinals come into Washington as winners of eight of their last 12. I'll take the visitors as the runline dog here today.  Max Scherzer will toe the slab for the Nats, and he's having another Cy Young caliber season. Scherzer (16-6, 2.22 ERA) allowed three runs on four hits in five innings in a 5-4 win at Philly his last time out. Despite the fact that he has been dominant in almost all of his starts, the Nats have found a way to lose in three of his last five.  The Cardinals hand the ball to Jack Flaherty, who has been dealing in the second half of the season. The rookie is 5-2 with a 2.28 ERA in his last eight starts.  Matt Carpenter is hitting .357 lifetime versus Scherzer.  Take STL.  GL,  Jesse SchuleÂ
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09-01-18 | Navy -10 v. Hawaii | 41-59 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Navy Midshipmen. Â The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors were originally a 17-point home underdog in this matchup versus Navy, but after a big upset over Colorado State in their season opener, the line was bet down by a TD. I think this knee jerk reaction is an over-correction, and that has since been further evidenced by Colorado State suffering another blowout loss at the hands of Colorado. Navy ran for 452 yards and seven TDs in a 49-7 win over Virginia in the Military Bowl last season, and their offense is expected to be even more dynamic with Malcom Perry taking over at quarterback this season. While the "run and shoot" was effective for Hawaii against a brutal CSU defense, I expect Hawaii's offense to be on the sidelines for the majority of this game, watching the Midshipmen run up and down, burning up the clock. Â Take NAVY. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-01-18 | North Carolina v. California -7 | 17-24 | Push | 0 | 100 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on California. Â The Tar Heels have just a dozen starters returning from last season's 3-9 squad, and 13 players will be serving suspensions early in the season for NCAA rules violations. That will leave North Carolina undermanned here on the road against a Golden Bears team that beat them on their home field in 2017. California is in good shape at quarterback with Ross Bowers returning. He had one of his best games last season against the Tar Heels, throwing for 363 yards and four TDs on 24-of-38 passing in a 25-20 win at Chapel Hill. North Carolina was brutal defending the run last year, and it's doubtful that they can completely turn things around here in Week 1. This has all the markings of a double digit win for the home team. Â Take CAL. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-31-18 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
8* |
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08-31-18 | Colorado State v. Colorado -7 | 13-45 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Colorado Buffaloes. The Rams looked awful in a home loss to Hawaii last week, and I think they will struggle here against Rivals Colorado. The Buffaloes dropped off significantly last season after winning the PAC12 South in 2016, but they bring back Stephen Montez at quarterback for the 2018 season, and he threw for 2,975 yards with 18 TDs and nine INTs last season. Two of those nine picks came in a Week 1 win over Colorado State, but the Buffaloes still managed to win by a score of 17-3. Colorado won all three of it's non-conference games by double-digits last season, and overall they beat the teams they were supposed to beat. Losses to UCLA and Arizona each came by less than five points. They shouldn't have much trouble mopping the floor with this Rams team that is still trying to sort out new personnel. Take COL. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-26-18 | Bengals v. Bills | 26-13 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
 This is a 5* play on the Buffalo Bills. I was impressed by the Bills 19-17 win at Cleveland in Week 2. Both Josh Allen and Nathan Peterman played well, throwing for a combined 173 yards and two TDs on 17-of-23 passing. AJ McCarron had another sub par performance, and he suffered a shoulder injury that is likely to keep him sidelined for Sunday's home game against the Bengals. Cincinnati is 2-0 in the pre-season, and might be lacking motivation to earn a third win here. I expect Andy Dalton and the starting offense to play for the majority of the first half, but the Bills are likely to be more invested in playing hard for the entire game. The Bengals lead at halftime in their "dress rehearsal" game last year, but they were out-scored 10-3 in the second half in a 23-17 loss at Washington. I expect a similar result here in Buffalo. Take BUF. GL, Jesse Schule
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08-25-18 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -183 | 22 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the LAD -1.5.  The Dodgers crushed the Padres by a score of 11-1 last night, and with Clayton Kershaw starting at home against a rookie tonight, another one sided affair seems likely.  Kershaw (6-5, 2.40 ERA) has allowed more than two runs in just one of his last 10 starts. He's 3-1 with a 1.77 ERA in his last six starts. The Padres haven't had any luck against Kershaw, batting just .186 over a combined 102 at bats.  The Padres hand the ball to Brett Kennedy, who has been rocked in three starts. The right-handers was torched for six runs on 11 hits in just four innings in his only start on the road this season, an 8-4 loss at Milwaukee.  The Dodgers are 5-1 in the last six meetings between these teams, and four of those wins came by 2+ runs. Take LAD. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-25-18 | Nationals v. Mets +1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NYM +1.5. The Mets have actually been playing their best baseball of the season lately, and a 3-0 win over Washington in Game 1 makes it five wins in their last seven overall. Game 2 looks like it could be a pitcher's duel, and I like the Mets as a runline dog. Zack Wheeler will toe the slab for New York, and he's been lights out since the All Star break. Wheeler (8-6, 3.63 ERA) allowed one run on five hits, striking out 10 in seven innings in a no decision versus San Francisco his last time out. He's 5-0 with a 1.38 ERA in his last six starts. The Nats hand the ball to Tanner Roark, who has also pitched well lately. He gave up four runs on eight hits over five innings in his last start at New York (a 4-2 loss). Washington has lost four of Roark's last five starts at Citi Field. Take NYM. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-24-18 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the LAD -1.5. Â The Dodgers were swept in a home series versus St. Louis, and they really need to get back on track tonight when they host the Padres in Game 1 at Chavez Ravine. Â Rich Hill will toe the slab for the Dodgers, and he's been dealing since the All Star break. Hill (5-4, 3.73 ERA) allowed one earned run on six hits over six innings in a 6-4 home win over the Brewers in his last home start. He's 3-0 with a 2.48 ERA in his last six starts, and he's got great numbers against San Diego. Â The Padres hand the ball to Clayton Richard, who is winless in his last six starts. He's 0-3 with a 7.84 ERA since the All Star break. Â The Dodgers have owned Richard, batting a combined .348 over 178 at bats. Â Take LAD. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule
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08-22-18 | Phillies +1.5 v. Nationals | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia Phillies. Â The Nats got back to .500 with a win in Game 1 last night, but things are far from OK in the nation's capital. Bryce Harper is on waivers and Daniel Murphy and Matt Adams have been traded to Chicago and St. Louis. Â Stephen Strasburg will toe the slab for Washington tonight, making his first start since July 20th. He's been recovering from a shoulder injury and nerve damage, and might not be at 100 percent. The Nats appear to have given up on this season, so expect them to be conservative with Strasburg. Remember this is the same pitcher that was shut down halfway through the season in the middle of a pennant race just a few years ago, as a precautionary measure. Â The Phillies hand the ball to Zack Eflin, who already has a win against Washington this year. He's 9-4 with a 3.70 ERA in 17 starts this season. Â The Nationals have lost five of Strasburg's last six home starts. Â Take PHI. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-21-18 | Rangers v. A's -1.5 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
 This is a 5* play on Oakland.  The A's have won seven of their last nine overall, and they are now in first place in the AL West. I say ... ride em while they are hot!  Brett Anderson will toe the slab for Oakland tonight, and he's been very solid this season. Anderson (2-3, 3,90 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on six hits over six innings in a win over Texas about a month ago.  The Rangers hand the ball to rookie right-hander Ariel Jurado, who has been hammered in five starts. He gave up six runs on nine hits in six innings in a no decision versus the Angels his last time out.  The A's have the best home record in the division, while Texas has the worst road record.  Take OAK.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-20-18 | Reds v. Brewers -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Milwaukee Brewers -1.5. Â The Brewers are 3.5 games out of first place in the NL Central, and they look to make up some ground here in a home series versus Cincinnati. They should be in a good spot tonight, facing a struggling Reds starter. Â Homer Bailey (1-10, 6.33 ERA) allowed five runs on 10 hits over 5 1/3 innings in a home loss to Cleveland his last time out. He allowed five runs on six hits in five innings in a loss to the Brewers earlier this season. The Brewers have hit him hard, batting a combined .326 over 132 at bats. Â Milwaukee will hand the ball to Chase Anderson, who is 2-0 with a 3.97 ERA in two starts against the Reds this season. Â The Reds have lost seven of the last nine meetings between the two teams, and they are 3-9 in their last 12 at Miller Park. Â Take MIL. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule
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08-19-18 | Astros v. A's +1.5 | 9-4 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the Oakland A's +1.5.  Oakland might be the hottest team in the majors, and Houston might be the coldest. The A's can take over first place in the AL West with a win here on Sunday, completing the sweep of the Astros. I'll take Oakland as a home dog in this spot.  Sean Manaea will toe the slab for Oakland, and he's owned the Astros. Manaea (11-8, 3.44 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits in 7 2/3 innings in a home win over Seattle his last time out. The Astros are batting just .239 over a combined 213 at bats in previous meetings versus Manaea.  Houston will hand the ball to Justin Verlander, who has lost three of his last four starts. Verlander (11-8, 2.52 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on six hits over six innings in a home loss to Colorado his last time out.  Take OAK.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-16-18 | Cubs v. Pirates +1.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Pittsburgh Pirates +1..5. The Cubs will be a favorite on the road at Pittsburgh Thursday, but I'll take the home dog in this spot.  Jon Lester will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's had a fine season so far. Lester (12-5, 3.89 ERA) allowed nine runs on 10 hits in just 3 2/3 innings in a home loss to Washington his last time out. The veteran may be wearing down at this point in the season, as he's been hammered in four of his last five starts. Lester is 0-3 with a 10.32 ERA since the All Star break. He's 1-1 with a 6.15 ERA in two previous starts at Pittsburgh this year.  The Pirates hand the ball to Ivan Nova, who is always pretty solid at home. Nova is 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA in two starts against the Cubs in 2018.  Take PIT.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-12-18 | Nationals v. Cubs +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Cubs +1.5. The Nats will be a big favorite at Wrigley tonight, but the Cubs have been the better team all year long. Max Scherzer is a beast, but Cole Hamels is more than capable of matching serves with the Nationals ace.  Hamels has allowed just two runs on 10 hits over 11 innings in two starts since coming over from Texas. The 2008 World Series MVP is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA in his last three starts against Washington, and he's tossed 17 scoreless innings at Wrigley over the last three seasons.  Scherzer was dominant in a 3-1 home loss to the Braves in his last start, and he really has been lights out all year. If there is any reason for concern about Scherzer, it's his workload. He's thrown over 110 pitches in his last two starts.  The Cubs have had some success against Scherzer, with Rizzo, Heyward and Addison Russell all batting over .300 against him.  Take CHC.  GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-11-18 | Rangers v. Yankees -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the NYY -1.5. Â The Bronx Bombers had won four in a row before coming out on the wrong end of a slugfest on Friday. I like their chances of getting back on track in a matinee at home versus Texas today. Â Lance Lynn will toe the slab for the Yankees, and he's tossed 11 2/3 scoreless innings since coming over from Minnesota. Lynn is 1-1 with a 1.99 ERA in his last four appearances. Â The Rangers hand the ball to Drew Hutchison, who has an ERA of 6.29 in a dozen appearances. His only action as a starter came in his last outing, a 9-6 loss to the Orioles. He was lit up for six runs on six hits in three innings in that game. Â The Yankees are 41-16 in their last 57 games following a loss. Â Take NYY. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-10-18 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg -4 | Top | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 103 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers.
The Hamilton Tigercats are coming off a 50-11 win over Montreal, ending a three game losing streak. They had previous lost back to back games to Saskatchewan, and lost at home to Ottawa. Now they play on the road against the CFL's top offense, and Winnipeg is coming off a bye week. Andrew Harris has been running over opposing defenses, and Matt Nichols is back at quarterback for the Bombers. This appears to be a let down spot for the Ticats, who really don't match up well against one of the top teams from the superior West Division. Take WPG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-08-18 | Pirates +1.5 v. Rockies | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5. Â The Pirates crushed Colorado by a score of 10-2 in Game 2, and I like Pittsburgh in Game 3 of this series at Coors Field. Â Chris Archer will toe the slab for the Pirates, and he looked solid in his debut for the team. Archer (3-5, 4.40 ERA) has owned the Rockies, who are batting a combined .172 against him in previous meetings. Â The Rockies hand the ball to German Marquez, who's ERA at home (6.63) is more than double what it is on the road. He also has better numbers under the lights than he does in day games. Â The Pirates have won 10 of their last 14 games at Coors Field. Â Take PIT. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule |
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08-05-18 | Yankees +1.5 v. Red Sox | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the NYY +1.5. The Bronx Bombers are in a tail spin, desperately needing to stop the bleeding by avoiding a sweep here at Fenway. They get a crack at David Price in the series finale, and they've hit him hard since he joined the Red Sox. Price (11-6, 3.97 ERA) allowed a run on eight hits over eight innings in a 2-1 home win over the Phillies his last time out. He hasn't fooled the Yankees, going 2-6 with a 9.21 ERA against them over the last two seasons. The Yankees hand the ball to Mahahiro Tanaka, who has owned Boston. He is 8-4 with a 4.18 ERA lifetime against the Sox, and 4-2 with a 4.09 ERA in Boston. Take NYY. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-05-18 | Cardinals v. Pirates +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
Â
This is an 8* play on the Pirates +1.5. |
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08-04-18 | Blue Jays v. Mariners -1.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seattle Mariners -1.5. Â The Mariners will look to snap a four game losing streak tonight, and they couldn't have asked for a better matchup to do just that. While they have lost back to back games to the lowly Blue Jays, Game 3 appears to be a complete mismatch. Â James Paxton will toe the slab for Seattle, and the "Big Maple" has owned Canada's team. Paxton tossed a no-hitter in Toronto in May, and the Jays are batting just .207 against him over 87 combined at bats. He tossed seven scoreless innings, allowing just three hits and fanning eight in a home win over Houston his last time out. Â The Jays hand the ball to Marco Estrada, who is returning from a stint on the DL. The right-hander is 2-6 with a 5.98 ERA in 11 appearances under the lights in 2018, and he's 2-3 with a 3.90 ERA in his last five starts against Seattle. Â Nelson Cruz is batting .462 with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Estrada. Â Take SEA. Â GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-04-18 | BC +12 v. Calgary | 18-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on the BC Lions.  B.C. has plenty of reason for optimism coming off a bye week. Veteran quarterback Travis Lulay has stepped in and thrown for over 300 yards in back to back games. The Lions will be a double digit underdog in Calgary this week, and the Stampeders remain undefeated. Calgary gave up a season high 22 points in a win over the Riders in Saskatchewan last week, and this could be a bit of a let down spot for the league's best team. The Lions have gone over in four straight road games, and the over is 4-1 in their last five when coming off a bye week. These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over the total in seven of the last 10 meetings in Calgary. Calgary is going to miss it's top wide receiver, and that could prevent them from covering such an inflated line. Take BC. GL,ÂJesse Schule |
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08-03-18 | Braves +1.5 v. Mets | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Braves +1.5.  The Braves have won four straight, and they trail Philly by just a half a game for the lead in the NL East. After winning Game 1 in New York, I like Atlanta as an underdog in Game 2.  Jacob deGrom will toe the slab for the Mets, and he's been as good as anybody this season. That hasn't exactly translated into wins for the Mets though, who have lost seven of his last 10 starts. He's thrown over 100 pitches in seven of his last 10 appearances, and it simply wouldn't make any sense for the Mets to continue to use him as a work horse. I would expect them to be particularly conservative with his innings for the remainder of the season.  The Braves hand the ball to Anibal Sanchez, who has been solid since joining the team. He's 5-3 with a 3.00 ERA in 13 starts this season. Sanchez is certainly inferior to deGrom, but he's facing a stripped down lineup of a team that was already one of the lowest scoring teams in the majors. Now they don't have Asdrubal Cabrera who led the team in hits, home runs, RBI and batting average.  The Mets have just one win in their last six overall, and that was a 1-0 victory over Pittsburgh.  Take ATL. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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08-01-18 | Astros v. Mariners +1.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -140 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Mariners +1.5. Â The Mariners have split the first two games of this home series versus Houston, and I like Seattle as a dog in the rubber match. Â Wade LeBlanc will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's been light out at home. LeBlanc (6-1, 3.51 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits over six innings in a no decision at LA his last time out. He's 6-0 with a 2.67 ERA in 11 appearances at Safeco. Â The Astros hand the ball to Dallas Keuchel, who hasn't lived up to expectations this season. Keuchel (8-9. 360 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits in five innings in an 11-2 home loss to Texas his last time out. He's faced the Mariners twice already this season, going 0-2 with a 5.52 ERA. Â Nelson Cruz hasn't been fooled by Keuchel, batting .333 with four home runs in 36 career at bats. Â Take SEA. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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07-31-18 | Brewers +1.5 v. Dodgers | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Brewers +1.5.  The Brewers won Game 1 by a scored of 5-2, and they look good as an underdog against a rookie starter in Game 2.  Walker Buehler will toe the slab for LA, and he's been hit hard of late. The right-hander has surrendered a dozen runs on 16 hits over 10 2/3 innings in his last three appearances.  The Brewers hand the ball to veteran Wade Miley, who has looked sharp since joining the team. Miley (1-1, 2.01 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on six hits over five innings in a win at San Francisco his last time out. He allowed one unearned run on four hits in six innings against the Dodgers earlier this season.  The Brewers are 6-2 in their last eight overall.  Take MIL.  GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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07-30-18 | Brewers +1.5 v. Dodgers | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
5* |
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07-30-18 | Rockies +1.5 v. Cardinals | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Colorado Rockies +1.5. Â The Rockies are just a game out of first place in the NL West, trailing both LA and Arizona. They come into St. Louis as winners of five straight, and I like Colorado as a dog here in Game 1. Â Tyler Anderson will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and the lefty is having himself a career year. Anderson (6-3, 3.57 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on three hits over 7 1/3 innings in a no decision versus Houston his last time out. He's 4-0 with a 3.58 ERA in 10 starts on the road this season, and he's 1-0 with a 1.32 ERA in his last four starts. Â The Cardinals hand the ball to Carlos Martinez, who has lost his last two starts. St. Louis has lost seven of his last 10 starts, and he's coming back from an oblique injury that caused him to miss his last start. Â The Rockies have hit Martinez hard, batting a combined .345 over 91 at bats in previous encounters. Â Take COL. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule
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07-30-18 | Indians v. Twins +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Minnesota Twins +1.5. Â The Twins lost three of four to the Red Sox in Boston, but they return home to face Cleveland on Monday. I like the home dog in the series opener. Â Ervin Santana will toe the slab for the Twins, making just his second start of the season. He's looking to continue his success against the Tribe, after going 2-0 with a 0.38 ERA in four starts against Cleveland last year. Â The Indians hand the ball to Shane (not Justin) Bieber, who has been hit hard in recent outings. Bieber (5-2, 4.80 ERA) was rocked for seven runs on seven hits over 1 2/3 innings in a loss to Pittsburgh his last time out. He's 2-2 with a 7.84 ERA in his last four starts. Â Bieber has faced the Twins twice this season, allowing a whopping 18 hits over 11 innings in those games. Â Take Minny. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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07-30-18 | Phillies +1.5 v. Red Sox | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Phillies +1.5. Â The Phillies play Game 1 of a three game set at Fenway on Monday, and I like the visitors here as a dog with their ace on the hill. Â Aaron Nola will toe the slab for Philly, and he's having a stellar season. Nola (12-3, 2.42 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits over five innings in a home win over the Dodgers his last time out. The Phillies are 8-2 in his last 10 starts, and he's 8-1 with a 1.93 ERA in 11 starts under the lights in 2018. Â The Red Sox hand the ball to David Price, who has also been dealing of late. Price (11-6, 4.17 ERA) tossed six scoreless innings in a 1-0 win at Detroit his last time out. Prior to that though he had been torched for 15 runs on 21 hits over 14 innings in his previous three appearances. Â Not everyone in the Phillies lineup is familiar with Price, but those who have faced him have hit him hard (combined .345 over 84 at bats). Â Take Philly. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule Â
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07-27-18 | Toronto v. Winnipeg -10.5 | Top | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 102 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. The Argos were crushed in last week's home loss to Winnipeg, and the final score of 38-20 was actually quite flattering. In reality the game was far more one sided than that. Toronto only managed to gain a total of 173 yards in the game. Backup quarterback James Franklin threw for 151 yards and an INT on 21-of-36 passing. The Bombers ran all over Toronto's defense, with Andrew Harris rushing for 161 yards and a TD on 27 carries. Making matters worse for Toronto, their starting running back James Widler Jr. was injured during practice this week. I can't see the Boatmen hanging with the Bombers in Winnipeg. Take WPG. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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07-24-18 | Dodgers v. Phillies +1.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia Phillies +1.5. The Dodgers scored twice in the bottom of the ninth to win Game 1 in Philly by a score of 7-6. I like Philly in Game 2 with a favorable matchup on the mound. Aaron Nola will toe the slab for Philly, and he's undefeated at home this season. The 25 year old is 8-0 with a 1.71 ERA in nine starts in Philly in 2018. He allowed just one run on two hits over seven innings in a win over the Dodgers earlier this season. The Dodgers hand the ball to Kenta Maeda, who has had an outstanding first half. He was hit hard when he faced Philly, giving up a pair of runs on three hits over just 1 2/3 innings in just one brief appearance this season. Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-19-18 | Saskatchewan +10.5 v. Hamilton | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Â The Ticats lost at Saskatchewan by a score of 18-13 two weeks ago, and it was their fourth consecutive loss to the Riders. They seek revenge at home this Thursday night, but the bookmakers are asking them to cover a double-digit spread. With Johnny Manziel on the bench, Jeremiah Masoli will be gunning for a CFL record 10th straight start with at least 300 yards passing. Masoli threw for 333 yards in the loss to Saskatchewan two weeks ago, but he completed just 53 percent of his passes (23-of-43), and threw an INT without getting into the endzone. Brandon Bridge has really struggled since replacing Zack Collaros, but the Riders backup has proven in the past that he can play. He threw for 10 TDs and four INTs while playing in 12 games last season. I think the Ticats are getting a little too much love here after starting the season 2-2. Â Take SASK. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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07-11-18 | Phillies +1.5 v. Mets | 0-3 | Loss | -160 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia Phillies +1.5. Â How good are the Mets right now? Well they are still a half game up on the Miami Marlins in the NL East. New York is a big favorite at home tonight versus Philly, but as well as Jacob deGrom has pitched, it hasn't really translated into wins for the Mets. Â deGrom (5-4, 1.79 ERA) allowed one run on four hits, fanning eight in eight innings in a home win over Tampa Bay his last time out. Prior to that though, the Mets had lost seven of his prevvious eight starts. They will sure hope deGrom can go eight innings here, as their bullpen ranks among the worst in the majors with an ERA of 4.71. Â Philly will hand the ball to Vince Velasquez, who missed his last start after taking a come-backer off the forearm in a win on June 30. He has allowed two runs or less in seven of his last nine appearances. Â Philly has won eight of 10 overall, and has only lost one of it's last 10 games by more than one run. They Phillies have the better bats, the better bullpen, and they shouldn't be such a sizeable underdog here. Â Take PHI. Â GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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07-11-18 | England -0.25 v. Croatia | 1-1 | Loss | -50 | 53 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on England. Â Croatia has played some excellent football at this tournament, with impressive wins over Argentina and Nigeria. I think we've already seen the best this team has to offer, and recent performances against Denmark and Russia should give their fans reason to be concerned. Both matches were decided in a penalty shootout, despite Croatia having every opportunity to win the match before it got to that point. Allowing Russia to score a tying goal in the 101st minute in their quarterfinals match was not impressive at all. The Croatians have been beat up in recent matches, and several star players come into this match versus England with fitness concerns. England on the other hand seems to be peaking at the right time. Their 2-0 win over Sweden was likely their most impressive so far, and they easily could have added to that tally if they really wanted to. While this version of the Three Lions lacks star power in comparison to teams of the past, they make up for it with youth and speed. It might be too early to say "It's coming home", but I do expect to see England in the Final. Â Take England. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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07-10-18 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Rockies | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
 This is a 5* play on Arizona.
 The D'Backs are still in first place in the NL West, half a game up on the Dodgers. They will be a slight underdog in Colorado tonight, and I like Arizona going up a left-handed pitcher that they have roughed up in the past.  Tyler Anderson will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he gave up seven runs on five hits and four walks in just 2 1/3 innings in a loss to Arizona earlier this year. He's pitched much better on the road this season than he has at Coors Field.  The D'Backs hand the ball to Patrick Corbin, who has had plenty of success against the Rockies. Corbin allowed a pair of runs on seven hits over 5 2/3 innings in a win over the Rockies earlier this year, and he's 4-2 with a 5.33 ERA in his last 10 appearances versus Colorado.  Arizona has won eight straight at Coors Field, and 13 of their last 16 against the Rockies. They are 5-2 in their last seven when Corbin starts at Coors.  Take ARI.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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07-03-18 | Switzerland v. Sweden | 0-1 | Loss | -126 | 102 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Switzerland (pickem, draw no bet)Â The Swiss are undefeated in their last five games, and they have scored at least one goal in all five of those matches. The Swedes have scored four goals in three matches while going 1-1-1 in the group stages, but had failed to score going 0-2-1 in their final three friendlies ahead of the tournament. There's no doubt that the Swedes will be ultra conservative here, happy to play for a draw and force extra time, and eventually decide the game with a penalty shoot out. That's because they know they have inferior talent, without any skilled players to match the likes of Shaqiri and Rodriguez. "Sweden coach Janne Andersson's admission that he has a list of penalty takers sorted in his mind before the match tells its own story, and given each team's well-drilled defence, a penalty shootout is not beyond the realms of possibility. " ESPN. While this match comes with a high probability of a draw, I think it's the Swiss that are more likely of the two to end it in regulation. Â Take SWI. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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06-30-18 | Argentina v. France | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 30 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on France (pickem, draw no bet). Argentina needed a miracle to get out of the group stages, and after they clinched a spot in the Round of 16 with a win over Nigeria, they celebrated like school girls. France on the other hand breezed through the group stages, which allowed them to play an almost scripted draw in their final match versus Denmark. Argentina struggled mightily during World Cup Qualifiers, and their recent performances in international competitions such as Copa America have been a major disappointment. Despite the fact that they have one of the world's best players in Lionel Messi, Argentina hasn't played at an elite level in decades. Even their run to the Final in the World Cup in 2014 in Brazil wasn't as impressive as people might think it would have been. They scored just two goals in their final four matches, and all six of their wins came in games decided by one goal. Prior to their meaningless game against Denmark, France had scored at least two goals in five of seven matches. While they don't have a star to rival Messi, the likes of Pogba, Greizmann, Giroud and Mbappe give them plenty of options when it comes to world class talent. Argentina's center back Javier Mascherano showed up for the match against Nigeria with a black eye, which is rumored to be a product of a fight with a teammate, rather than an incident on the pitch. To say that this Argentinian squad appears fragile, vulnerable, would be putting it mildly. Take France. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-29-18 | Winnipeg +4.5 v. Hamilton | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -109 | 83 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers.  The Bombers come into their Week 3 matchup versus Hamilton with the CFL's leading offense, and a league best seven passing TDs. They are doing it with rookie quarterback Chris Streveler, who threw for 246 yards and three TDs on 22-of-28 passing in just his second career start against Montreal last week. The Bombers were the second best team in the CFL behind Calgary last season, and they look poised to be a contender here this season. They have plenty of playmakers on both sides of the ball, and they look good getting a handful of points on the road at Hamilton. While the Tiger Kittens looked like world beaters last week, I think that says a lot more about a struggling Edmonton defense. I am not a believer in Jeremiah Masoli, who has been a below average quarterback in the league since 2013. He's mostly been a backup to Zach Collaros, who is now with the Roughriders in Saskatchewan. Winnipeg has covered the spread in three of the last four meetings between these two teams, and they have won outright in three of their last four visits to Hamilton.  Take WPG.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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06-28-18 | Belgium v. England | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 219 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Belgium. Â I bet on Belgium to win this group before the tournament started, and now they must beat England here today to finish top of Group G. England is coming off a 6-1 win over Panama, with Harry Kane scoring a hat trick. This sets up England for a huge let down against a far superior opponent. As good as England looked against a frustrated Panama side, they weren't nearly as sharp in their first match versus Tunisia. Belgium has won five of their last six matches by a margin of at least three goals. England might have a world class striker in Harry Kane, but Belgium has an entire squad full of mega stars. Belgium has posted a clean sheet in four of it's last six matches, England has conceded at least one goal in four of their last five matches. This English side appears to be grossly overvalued due to recency bias coming off the one sided win over Panama. Â Take BEL. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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06-27-18 | Sweden v. Mexico | 3-0 | Loss | -145 | 44 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Mexico (pickem or draw no bet). Â It's hard to see the Swedes being in the right mind for this game versus Mexico. They were beaten in injury time by a Toni Kroos free kick that curled itself into the top corner in their 2-1 loss to Germany. That leaves them needing a miracle to advance to the next round. They will need to beat Mexico, and hope that Korea can stun the Germans as a 17-1 underdog. Mexico is in a good spot, needing only a draw to clinch first in the group. If there is one thing the Swedes are known for, it's playing a conservative style and playing for the draw against superior opposition. This isn't a team that is designed to play attacking football, and things could get ugly for them when they open themselves up to the dangerous Mexican counter attack. In their win over Germany, they allowed the Germans to have 61 percent of possession, and fire 25 shots at the net (9 on target). The Swedes will be forced to press here, inevitably leaving them wide open to be punished by the likes of Chicharito and Lozano. Â Take MEX. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule
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06-26-18 | Cubs +1.5 v. Dodgers | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Cubs +1.5. Â The Cubs lost by a score of 2-1 at LA last night, and close games have been the norm in recent meetings between these two teams. They have split the last six meetings, and four of those six games were decided by a single run. Â Jon Lester will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's won five straight starts. Lester (9-2, 2.10 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings in a 4-0 home win over the Dodgers his last time out. He owns the Dodgers, holding LA's lineup to a combined .195 batting average over 118 at bats. Â The Dodgers hand the ball to Ross Stripling, who was the losing pitcher opposite Lester last week. Stripling (6-2, 1.99 ERA) allowed three runs on eight hits in six innings in the 4-0 loss at Wrigley. Â Take CHC. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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06-25-18 | Morocco v. Spain -1.25 | 2-2 | Loss | -128 | 148 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Spain. The Spanish might need a win here to advance, and likely will need a win to finish first in the group. Morocco is already eliminated, so we should see a wide open game here. I expect the Spanish quality to shine here in a one-sided victory. The Moroccans have yet to score in the tournament, and their 1-0 losses to Portugal and Iran came in entirely different circumstances. There is no reason for them to be conservsative here in this final match, and that shoud open things up for Spain. Take Spain. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-25-18 | Russia v. Uruguay -0.25 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 1296 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Uruguay. Uruguay has won the World Cup in the past, and has been competitive in international competitions in recent seasons. Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani give them one of the best striker combos in the tournament, and if the defense can hold up they can compete with any team. They get a good draw in the group stages, matched up with Russia, Egypt and Saudia Arabia. This gives them a pretty easy path to the knockout rounds, as the should have little trouble emerging as the winner of Group A. They won their final three matches prior to the tournament by a combined score of 6-0, posting three consecutive clean sheets against Czech Rep, Wales and Uzbekistan. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-24-18 | Panama +2 v. England | 1-6 | Loss | -150 | 45 h 35 m | Show | |
8* |
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06-23-18 | Sweden v. Germany -1 | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 168 h 3 m | Show | |
 This is a 5* play on Germany.  The Germans dominated possession in their opening match versus Mexico, but the likes of Toni Kroos and Timo Werner were unable to make the most of their opportunities. The Germans struggled to deal with the speed and skill of Mexican attackers Lozano and Chicharito. I expect their second match to be a different story all together, as they match up well with an inferior Swedish side. The Swedes lack the quality required to play with Germany, and they know it. Surely the Swedes will come out and play a conservative style, desperately trying to hang on for a draw and salvage a point. The chances of the Germans being blanked in consecutive matches are slim to none.  Take GER.  GL,  Jesse Schule
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06-22-18 | Costa Rica v. Brazil -1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 69 h 27 m | Show | |
Only three of the first eight games in this World Cup saw more than two goals, but after Day Three I predicted an uptick in scoring. What was clear right from the start here in Russia is that VAR (Video Assisted Referee) and goal line technology would play a role. We've seen a record number of penalties, and of course that will lead to more scoring overall. Brazil has to be concerned about the fitness of Neymar, but truth be told they have plenty of quality in the squad regardless. Costa Rica has lost three straight, conceding a total of seven goals in those matches. They lost their final friendly prior to the tournament to Belgium by a score of 4-1, and I expect a similar score here against Brazil. |
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06-21-18 | Croatia +0.5 v. Argentina | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Croatia +0.5.  Argentina came into this tournament favored to win Group D, but they looked nothing like a favorite in a 1-1 draw versus Iceland in their opening match. It was all too familiar story for the Argentinians, who struggled in World Cup qualifying matches. Three of their final four World Cup Qualifiers ended in draws. Lionel Messi is under a ton of pressure after a disappointing performance against Iceland that will be remember for his missed penalty. Despite his success at the club level, his resume in international football isn't all that impressive. The Croatians come off a 2-0 win over Nigeria, which will afford them the luxury of playing for a draw here against Argentina. The Croatians have posted clean sheets in three of their last five matches, and that runs includes impressive wins over Senegal and Mexico, who have each impressed so far in Russia. This game has draw written all over it, and I am calling for a 1-1 Final.  Take CRO.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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06-20-18 | Saudi Arabia v. Uruguay -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -200 | 115 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on Uruguay -1.5. Uruguay has won the World Cup in the past, and has been competitive in international competitions in recent seasons. Luis Suarez and Edinson Cavani give them one of the best striker combos in the tournament, and if the defense can hold up they can compete with any team. They get a good draw in the group stages, matched up with Russia, Egypt and Saudia Arabia. This gives them a pretty easy path to the knockout rounds, as the should have little trouble emerging as the winner of Group A. They won their final three matches prior to the tournament by a combined score of 6-0, posting three consecutive clean sheets against Czech Rep, Wales and Uzbekistan. The Saudis conceded five goals without registering a single shot on goal in their opening match of this tournament. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-18 | Panama v. Belgium -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 58 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Belgium -1.5. The fourth day of action at the World Cup feature a pair of shocking results, with the Germans losing to Mexico, and Brazil settling for a draw versus the Swiss. The #3 ranked Belgians will hope to avoid an upset when the take on Panama, however this match appears to be far more one-sided than those previously mentioned. When it comes to star power, nobody has more quality than Belgium. Their squad features the likes of Romelu Lukaku, who finished second in the Premier League in scoring two seasons ago. Both Lukaku and Eden Hazard finished among the scoring leaders last season. Panama comes in ranked 55th in the World, and with just one goal in their last five matches. Those matches included a 6-0 loss to Switzerland, and 1-0 losses to Denmark and Norway. This figures to be an easy 3-0 win for Belgium. Take BEL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-17-18 | Giants +1.5 v. Dodgers | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
8* |
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06-17-18 | Switzerland v. Brazil -1 | 1-1 | Loss | -150 | 46 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Brazil. The Brazilians were humiliated on their home soil in the 2014 World Cup, losing to Germany by a score of 7-1. They have waited four long years for an opportunity to atone for that disappointment, and they come into Russia focused, looking like a true contender. Neymar failed to live up to expectations in 2014, but after a solid season as the star for PSG, he's likely more prepared to lead this team. After posting four consecutive clean sheets in four friendlies leading up to the tournament, they should have their way with the Swiss in their opening match. Take BRA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-17-18 | Twins +1.5 v. Indians | 1-4 | Loss | -145 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Twins +1.5. The Twins will go for the sweep here in Cleveland today, and I like their chances with Jake Odorizzi on the mound. Odorizzi (3-3, 4.19 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on four hits over five innings in a win over Detroit his last time out. He's been lights out in day games this season, going 2-0 with a 1.19 ERA in four starts. The Indians hand the ball to Shane Beiber, who we don't think is any relation to Justin. He allowed four runs on eight hits in 5 2/3 innings in a his major league debut against the Twins at the end of May. The Twins are 6-1 in their last seven versus Cleveland. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-16-18 | Giants +1.5 v. Dodgers | 1-3 | Loss | -180 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the SF #GIANTS +1.5. The Dodgers beat the Giants by a score of 3-2 last night, and these two teams have a habit of playing close games. I'll take the visitors plus the runs here tonight. Madison Bumgarner will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's pitched well against the Dodgers. He's 4-4 with a 2.53 ERA in his last 12 starts versus LA. He's 2-3 with a 2.51 ERA in seven starts at Dodgers Stadium since 2015. The Dodgers hand the ball to Alex Wood, who has given up a whopping 15 runs in his last three starts. He's winless at home this season, and he's 0-1 in two starts versus the Giants. Brandon Crawford lead the Giants in hits and batting average this season, and he's batting .400 with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Wood. Take SF. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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06-14-18 | Edmonton -6.5 v. Winnipeg | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Edmonton Eskimos. Both the Eskimos and the Blue Bombers were 12-6 last season, and both teams were 6-3 at home. The Bombers begin the 2018 season without starting quarterback Matt Nichols, who is expected to miss at least six weeks with a knee injury. They turn to a rookie with no professional experience, and Chris Streveler was just 3-of-9 for 44 yards with a TD and an INT in his final game of the pre-season. The Eskimos have Mike Reilly under center, and he led the CFL in passing with 5,830 yards and 30 TDs last season. Edmonton is 5-0 ATS in their last five road games, while the Bombers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in the month of June. Take EDM. GL, Jesse Schule
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06-14-18 | Saudi Arabia +1.25 v. Russia | 0-5 | Loss | -118 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Saudi Arabia (handicap +1 or +1.5 depending on availability). Â Russia is expected to have an advantage as the host nation, but I believe that bookmakers are overcompensating for that perceived advantage. The Russians are a 2-1 favorite in their opening match versus Saudi Arabia, which might make sense when you consider that the Saudis are ranked 67th in the FIFA World Rankings. You might think that in a tournament with just 32 teams, surely that would be the lowest world rankings. Not so fast, it's Russia that ranks 70th that comes in with the lowest ranking. The Russians come in with three losses and one draw in their last four international matches. The Saudis come in off three straight losses, but two of those came in one goal games, including a 2-1 loss to defending champs Germany. Prior to that they won games against Greece and Algeria. The Russian squad includes seven players over the age of 30, and several key players are sidelined by injury. The Russians will be particularly thin at the back, which will prevent them from playing an aggressive style. Both teams would be pretty happy with a draw here. Â Take RSA. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule |
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06-13-18 | Padres v. Cardinals -1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the St. Louis Cardinals. Â The Padres beat the Cardinals 4-2 in St. Louis last night, and the series is tied heading into the rubber match tonight. I'll take the home team as a big favorite with a mismatch on the mound. Â Luke Weaver will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's been solid in his second season. Weaver (3-5, 4.35 ERA) allowed four runs on seven hits over five innings, not factoring in the decision in a win at Cincinnati his last time out. In two career starts versus San Diego, he has tossed 12 scoreless innings, striking out a whopping 14 batters. Â The Padres hand the ball to Eric Lauer, who has been rocked on the road this season. The rookie allowed three runs on seven hits and a whopping seven walks in five innings in a loss at Miami his last time out. His worst performance so far came against St. Louis, allowing six runs on four hits, and surrendering four home runs in just 2 1/3 innings. Â The Padres 25th ranked scoring offense won't offer a lot of run support for a struggling starter. Â Take STL. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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