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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-05-23 | North Texas v. Boise State -4.5 | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BSU. North Texas is the poor man's version of the Virginia Cavaliers, and that's not a knock on them. They come into Boise as defending NIT champs, and they have won five of seven so far this season. Their two losses came by a combined five points, so why on earth would we be betting on them to lose by 5+ here tonight? Well it is their first road game, and they face a Broncos team that has won 16 of it's last 17 home games. Boise is coming off a neutral site win over St. Mary's, a team that plays a similar style to the Mean Green. We expect a relatively comfortable win for Boise, predicting a final score of 68-60. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-23 | Creighton -3.5 v. Nebraska | 89-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Creighton. |
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12-03-23 | Broncos +3 v. Texans | 17-22 | Loss | -105 | 155 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DEN. I bet against Houston last week, saying I expected some regression to the mean. The fact that they went down to the wire with the Jags likely means they are still a real public team, and I am not sold on the Texans as a favorite. They lost LG Tytus Howard with a knee injury on Sunday, and it turned out to be significant as CJ Stroud was sacked twice on the final series. The Texans also have a kicker who has never hit a field goal of 50+ yards, and he missed twice last week. Denver is a role, and Russell Wilson looks like the guy that the Broncos thought they were getting when they made the trade with Seattle. The Broncos have rattled off five straight wins, and three of those games were decided by three points or less. Two of Denver's five losses have come by three points or less. I'll take the hot team plus the points here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-23 | Cardinals v. Steelers -5.5 | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 26 m | Show | |
7* |
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12-03-23 | Falcons v. Jets +3 | 13-8 | Loss | -118 | 104 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a free play on NYJ. The Jets offense is bad, and yeah they don't have a QB. They still have twice as many home wins as Atlanta has on the road. Yet the dome team comes into The Meadowlands in December as a favorite. If you are hanging your hat on having the better QB, you might be disappointed with Desmond Ridder going up against one of the NFL's best defenses in the bitter cold in New York. I'll take the dog, I'll take the points with the J E T S .... Jets! Jets! Jets! GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-23 | Georgia v. Alabama +6.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 75 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAMA. It would appear that recency bias is at play here. This line opened at -3.5 but after a near loss in the Iron Bowl the public is lining up to bet against Alabama. Georgia is going for 30 wins in a row, but the idea that they are significantly better than Alabama is lacking some critical evidence. Alabama lost at home to Texas in Week 2. Georgia played Ball State at home that week. These teams are actually pretty far apart when it comes to strength of schedule. History favors Alabama, who has beaten the Dawgs in 2012, 2018 and 2021 in the SEC Championship Game. Georgia hasn't had to face a lot of adversity, while we have seen Alabama trail 20-7 to Tennessee at halftime and come storming back in the second half. We saw them snatch victory out of the jaws of defeat more than once this season, including the Iron Bowl last week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-23 | Purdue v. Northwestern +8 | Top | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NW. The Wildcats finished 2nd in the BIG10 last year, and they were 13-5 at home. Northwesters is bringing back leading scorer Boo Buie, along with two more senior starters. Senior guard Ryan Langborg transferred from Princeton, giving them a starting lineup loaded with four seniors. The Boilermakers won two of three meetings last year, but lost the last meeting at Northwestern by a score of 64-58. These teams have a history of playing close games, as only one of the last five head to head meetings has been decided by more than six points. Purdue comes in ranked #1 in the country, and history tells us that can often be the kiss of death. Purdue has failed to cover in five straight road games, while the Wildcats have covered in seven of their last eight at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-23 | Sharks v. Devils -1.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -160 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NJD. The Sharks are the worst team in the NHL, and the majority of their 16 losses have come in games decided by more than one goal. A massive disparity in special teams play should be the difference here at The Meadowlands. The Devils lead the NHL in power play goals, and they have by far the best power play percentage. The Sharks have allowed an NHL worst 88 power play goals against. The more penalties called in this game the better for the home team. This should be a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-23 | Avalanche v. Coyotes +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ARI. The Coyotes are coming off back to back wins, and one of those came against defending Stanley Cup champions Vegas. They are 6-4 straight up in their last 10 overall, but they are 8-2 ATS as a puckline underdog in those games. They host Colorado, and they are 5-1 ATS as a puckline underdog in the last six head to head meetings. The Avs are 3-2 straight up in their last five road games, but they only covered the puckline twice during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-23 | Creighton v. Oklahoma State +8 | 79-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OKST. The Cowboys are just 3-3, and they will play a ranked team for the first time at home tonight. They are getting eight points, and their three losses this season all came by five points or fewer. Creighton is coming off a 21-point loss to unranked Colorado State at a neutral site. This Creighton team is playing it's first true road game, and the Blue Jays lost their first four road games last season. They didn't win a true road game until mid January, and they were 5-6 overall on the road last season. I'll take the home team plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-23 | Duke -5.5 v. Arkansas | 75-80 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Duke. So Arkansas is coming off back to back losses, to Memphis and North Carolina. Their leading scorer was carted off in the loss to the Tar Heels with a back injury, and he's doubtful to play here. That didn't have much of an effect on the result, as they were losing by double digits in the dying minutes at the time of the injury. Now they host a #7 ranked Duke team that can cause them plenty of problems. Arkansas has failed to cover in six straight, and they have lost eight in a row versus teams ranked in the Top 25. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-23 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Rangers | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. The Wings come into New York as winners of three straight, and there is plenty of buzz around this team right now. The signing of Patrick Kane should give this team plenty to be excited about. The Rangers are 7-1 straight up in their last 10 versus Detroit, but the Wings are 5-3 ATS in the last eight meetings. Detroit is 16-4 as a puckline underdog so far this season. I like the Wings as a live dog in the Big Apple. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-23 | Notre Dame v. South Carolina -7 | 53-65 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SOCAR. The Gamecocks finished near the bottom of the SEC last year, but they come into tonight's home game against Notre Dame with a 5-0 record. Their leading scorer BJ Mack (F) is a senior transfer from Wofford. Junior guard Meechie Johnsoin is back after averaging 12.7 points last year. He's joined in the backcourt by senior transfer Myles Stute from Vanderbilt. The Gamecocks are certainly a lot more experienced than Notre Dame who is lead by a pair of talented freshmen. The Irish are facing an SEC team for the second time this season, and they lost by 24 in a neutral site game against Auburn. The Irish have lost 10 straight road games and 15 of their last 20 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-23 | Maryland-Baltimore County v. Hampton -0.5 | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HAMPTON. The Pirates were just 5-13 in the CAA and 8-24 overall last year. They still posted a winning record at home, and seven of their eight wins were in home games. Their only home game this season was a win over Florida Gulf Coast. They have overhauled their starting lineup to include three seniors, including leading scorer Tedrick Wilcox who came in via transfer. UMBC was just 8-8 in the American East last season, but they lost 10 of their 15 road games. Hampton is 5-1 ATS in their last five home games while UMBC is 1-9 SU in their last 10 on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-23 | Browns v. Broncos +3 | Top | 12-29 | Win | 100 | 269 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Denver. |
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11-26-23 | Butler v. Boise State | 70-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BSU. Boise State won 27 games last year, finishing first in the Mountain West and ranked in the Top 25 in the country. They bring back three of their top four scorers from last year's team, and they look like an early favorite to win the conference again. The Broncos are 3-2 with a pair of losses to ACC teams, and they face a tough opponent Sunday in the Butler Bulldogs. Butler is 4-2 with a pair of losses to ranked teams. Butler finished ninth in the Big East last year, winning 14 games. Only four of those wins came away from home. All five starters are gone, but it remains to be seen if this team is any better. This will be a good test for both teams but I am going to go with the experience of the Broncos. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-23 | Manchester United v. Everton | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MUTD. A quick glance at the numbers, and Everton and Manchester united look quite similar. Both teams have a -3 goal differential, and Manchester United has scored one fewer goal, and conceded just one fewer goal. After a points deduction Everton almost certainly faces relegation, and it might be difficult for the club to hold things together in the second half of the season. They also have one of the worst home records in the Premier League, with just one win in six home matches. Manchester United sits five points back of fourth place Tottenham, and a Champions League spot is not out of reach for Ten Hag despite the team's struggles. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-23 | Canucks -1.5 v. Sharks | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Van. The Canucks have the 2nd best record in the Western Conference, they have three players ranked in the Top 5 in the NHL in scoring, and Elias Pettersson currently leads the league with 25 points in 15 games. They have the league's 3rd best power play, and the league's 4th best penalty kill. The Sharks own the worst record in the league, and they are coming off an OT loss last night. Both teams are playing the second game of a back to back, and we could see backup goalies face off here tonight. This would put the Sharks at a major disadvantage, as their backup Kaapo Kahkonen is 1-6 with a 4.30 GAA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-23 | Florida State -6.5 v. Florida | Top | 24-15 | Win | 100 | 112 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on FSU. The injury to Jordan Travis was heartbreaking not just for Florida State fans, but for all college football fans. The Florida Gators have also lost their starting QB, and Graham Mertz was having a stellar season at Florida. The Seminoles are hoping Tate Rodemaker can do what Cardale Jones did back in 2015. He steps into a pretty good situation, with plenty of talent on both sides of the ball. Rodemaker has been at FSU for four seasons, so he has a huge advantage in comparison to freshman Max Brown. In a battle between backup QBs, you would think both teams will look to establish the run. That doesn't bode well for the Gators, who rank 12th in the SEC versus the run allowing 5 yards per carry. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-23 | Alabama -14.5 v. Auburn | 27-24 | Loss | -108 | 84 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAMA. A one loss Alabama team still has a chance to make the playoffs, but a close game here against an Auburn team that lost by three scores at home to New Mexico State last week isn't going to look good on the resume. Alabama needs to win, and win big in the Iron Bowl. There will be those that say "the is a rivalry game" ... but I would counter with the fact that Alabama has won seven of the last nine, and six of those seven wins have come by more than 14 points. I am not sure these teams have been farther apart in recent seasons. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-23 | East Carolina v. George Mason -6 | 59-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play o GMU. George Mason will host the East Carolina Pirates Saturday afternoon, and this will be the first true road game for East Carolina this season. The Pirates were 2-9 on the road last year. George Mason was 14-2 at home last season, and they bring back two senior starters from last year including starting PG Ronald Polite. The Patriots are 3-0 at home, and the average margin of victory in those games was over 13 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-23 | Chelsea v. Newcastle United | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Newcastle. Chelsea comes into this match with an overall record of 4-4-4, and they are coming off a 4-4 home draw versus Mancester City. They were fortunate to salvage a point in that match, after being awarded a penalty in injury time leading to the equalizer. Newcastle has won five of six home matches with a +11 goal differential. Chelsea is sitting in 10th in the table, yet the odds for this match are in direct contradiction to the numbers. Newcastle has scored six more goals, and conceded three fewer goals than Chelsea in a dozen matches. The home team is undefeated in the last four head to head meetings. While the draw looks likely, Newcastle appears to be the far more likely side to take maximum points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-23 | Oregon State v. Oregon -13.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 64 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Ducks. It will be tough to pick up the pieces after a tough loss for the Beavers. Despite dominating time of possession and total yards at home versus Washington, they lost by a score of 22-20. Now they play on the road at Eugene, facing a Ducks team looking to avenge last year's loss in this rivalry game. This is just a bad matchup for the Beavers, who lean heavily on their rushing attack. The Ducks have allowed just 96 rush yards per game and 3.4 yards per carry this season. Oregon is 6-0 at home this season, and the average margin of victory in those wins is 37 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-23 | USC v. Oklahoma | 70-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USC. I bet against Oklahoma yesterday, and here is what I said prior to their win over Iowa: "The Sooners finished dead last in the BIG12 last year, but the majority of the starters from that team have moved on. We can't read much into Oklahoma's 4-0 start as they haven't really played anybody." The Hawkeyes were 4-of-23 from beyond the arc and shot just 35 percent from the field losing 79-67. The Trojans are coming off a 71-63 win over Seton Hall, and they hit 10-of-23 three-pointers in the win. Here is what I said about USC earlier this season: "the Trojans are bringing back 5th year senior Boogie Ellis, and he is joined in the back court by McDonalds All American Isaiah Collier. This USC squad should have an edge in both talent and experience."Â GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-23 | Oklahoma v. Iowa | 79-67 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Iowa. The Sooners finished dead last in the BIG12 last year, but the majority of the starters from that team have moved on. We can't read much into Oklahoma's 4-0 start as they haven't really played anybody. Iowa went to Creighton and lost, but played pretty well in a 92-84 loss. Senior forward Ben Krikke has made a huge impact transferring in from Valparaiso. He's leading the Hawkeyes with 20 points per game. Iowa finished Top 5 in the BIG10 last year, and it appears that this program is simply in better shape than Oklahoma at the moment. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-23 | Packers v. Lions -7.5 | 29-22 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. The Lions fell victim to Murphy's Law on Sunday, turning the ball fourr four times and losing time of possession by 40:24 to 19:36. This happens to even good teams, but only great teams are able to overcome all that and come away with a win. This sets up the Lions for a strong performance here against the Packers on Thanksgiving. This looks like a terrible spot for Green Bay, who had to sign a couple backs off the practice squad after losing two of their top three running backs last week. In fact all three of their running backs on the depth chart are listed in the injury report, and Aaron Jones is doubtful. Additionally there are four defensive starters listed as questionable and another offensive lineman is banged up. This just looks like a let down spot for the Packers coming off a home win over LA last week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-23 | Mavs -1 v. Lakers | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DAL. The Lakers are 6-1 in their last seven overall, but the one loss came in the second game of a back to back. Anthony Davis was terrible in the loss to the Kings, scoring nine points on 3-of-9 shooting. The Mavs come in well rested, and they are hungry coming off back to back losses. Kyrie scored 38 points in a win over the Lakers last March, his last visit to the Staples Center. Luka Doncic didn't even play in that game. This just looks like a great spot for the Mavs, and a let down spot for LA after beating Utah by 31 last night. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-23 | Wichita State v. St. Louis +5 | 88-69 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SLU. I bet against the Shockers in their blowout loss to Liberty on Friday. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Shockers were just .500 in the American Athletic last season, and the majority of their starting lineup has moved on. New recruits and incoming transfers offer little reason for optimism as far as being a contender in their conference this season, and they may be overmatched here in a tough non-conference game." I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored in this one. The Bilikens have an experienced starting lineup with returning seniors from last year. While leading scorer Sincere Parker may not play, it's not like the Bilikens are thin at guard. They still have Gibson Jimerson who was the top scorer last year and Freshman Djordje Curcic who played for the Serbian National Team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-23 | Sabres v. Blackhawks +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Chicago. The Hawks are coming off a 4-2 loss in Nashville, a game that was closer than it looked. The Preds added an empy netter in the final seconds. We will hope for a better result at home tonight against a Sabres team that has a knack for playing close games. Buffalo is 2-5 straight up and 1-6 ATS a puckline favorite in their last seven overall. Chicago is 9-1 ATS as a puckline underdog in their last 10 versus Buffalo. These teams have played three straight overtime games and four straight one goal games in the last four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-23 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +8.5 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MTL. The Bombers are back in the Grey Cup for the fourth consecutive season. They will be a huge favorite against an ALs team that just knocked off the league leading Toronto Argonauts. Montreal is playing their best football down the stretch, and their defense has been formidable. There is no doubt that the Bombers deserve to be favorites, and you can call them the better team. The Als look dangerous in the role of the underdog, and it's hard to ignore their seven game winning streak. Montreal might be the best team in the CFL right here right now, and I don't think they are getting enough respect. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-23 | Pistons v. Raptors -6.5 | 113-142 | Win | 100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. When the Pistons hired Monte Williams as their head coach, it may have put an end to the "Casey Curse". The Pistons owned the Raptors under Casey, who was spurned by the Raptors despite several winning seasons as bench boss in Toronto. The Pistons come in as losers of 10 straight, and the majority of those losses were of the blowout variety. Despite failing to cover in nine of the last 10 meetings, the Raptors have won four straight in this series. A healthy OJ Anunoby should benefit the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-23 | Thunder v. Warriors +3 | 130-123 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. I am rolling the dice here hoping Steph Curry plays as a game time decision. Kerr said he might miss "a game or two", and he's missed the Warriors last two games. They are playing the second game of a two game set at home versus Oklahoma City, and while the Thunder won big in the first leg, they were only up by one-point with 2:41 remaining in the third quarter. Kerr limited his starters minutes in that game, and guys like Paul and Wiggins should get more time tonight if Curry doesn't play. It's normally a good play to take the team coming off a loss in a two game set like this, even if the Warriors are shorthanded. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-23 | UCLA +6.5 v. USC | Top | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 25 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UCLA. Both these teams are looking to break out of a slump. UCLA is coming off back to back losses to Arizona and Arizona State, while USC is coming off losses to Washington and Oregon. The Trojans are asked to cover a big spread, but their defense can't stop anybody. USC has allowed opponents to average 43 points per game in their last seven overall. The Trojans beat the Bruins 48-45 last year, and a similar score should be expected here. I'll take the points in a game that I expect to be decided in the final minute. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-23 | South Florida v. UTSA -15.5 | 21-49 | Win | 100 | 80 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTSA. The Roadrunners have won six in a row, and the average margin of victory in those wins was over 17 points. A home game against South Florida figures to be another blowout win. The Bulls are coming off a home win over Temple, but they were lucky that the Owls turned the ball over four times. This South Florida defense ranks among the worst in the country, giving up over 450 yards per game. Frank Harris and the Roadrunners offense should be able to take full advantage here at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-23 | St. John's +1 v. Dayton | 81-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SJU. Dayton finished second in the A-1O, and they were 5-6 on the road. The Flyers played on the road just twice in non-conference play last season, losing by a combined 36 points to UNLV and Virginia Tech. St. Johns returns senior center Joel Soriano, who was the leading scorer averaging 15.2 points per game last year. They have surrounded him with several senior transfers who were stars on their respective teams last year. Jordan Dingle (G) averaged 23.4 points per game with PENN last year, and Daniss Jenkins came with coach Pitino from Iona. Iona went a combined 64-22 overall and 40-9 in regular-season conference play under Rick Pitino. Dayton rallied late to come back after trailing LSU BY 15 points midway through the second half yesterday. This could set them up for a let down here on Friday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-23 | Ducks +1.5 v. Predators | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ANA. The Ducks have won seven of their last nine overall, and they are a big underdog on the road at Nashville. Bridgestone Arena was once considered one of the toughest places in the NHL to play, but that was back when Pekke Rinne was the goaltender and Shea Weber was patrolling the blue line. The Preds are a pedestrian 3-3 at home this season, and they have just two wins in their last eight games. Juuse Saros is 4-8 with a 3.24 GAA and a .894 save percentage. He's not even the best goalie on his team. John Gibson ranks in the Top 10 in the league in both GAA and save percentage. I'll take the visitors with a better record, better goalie and getting +1.5 goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-23 | Toledo v. Bowling Green +11 | 32-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BGRN. The Rockets are 6-0 in the MAC, and they will be a double digit road favorite here. Their last two road wins were both close games decided by one score. Bowling Green comes in riding a four game winning streak, and last year they won outright 42-35 at Toledo. The Rockets lean heavily on their running game, but Bowling Green has one of the top rushing defenses in the MAC. They have held opponents to 3.9 yards per carry, and 137 yards per game. I'll take the home dog in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-23 | Colgate +5.5 v. Syracuse | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Colgate. This is a revenge game for Syracuse, as they lost at home versus Colgate in non-conference play last year. Colgate went on to win the Patriot League and made the NCAA Tournament. The Orange have a new head coach, and they lost their leading scorer Joseph Girard and leading rebounder Jesse Edwards. Colgate is bringing back senior forward Keegan Records, sophomore Braenen Smith at guard, and senior forward Ryan Moffatt. I'll take the points here in what should be a close game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-23 | Florida Gulf Coast +9.5 v. Pittsburgh | 74-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FGCU. The Eagles have been known to slay a few giants in the past, and they have an experienced lineup of returning starters who are mostly seniors. They already went to Indiana and gave the Hoosiers a run for their money, losing by six in a game that they were within two in the final 35 seconds. Pittsburgh was one of the best teams in the ACC last year, finishing with the same record as Duke. The Panthers lost their top four guards to graduation, and the names they brought in via transfer don't exactly pop off the page. This looks like too big of a number for a team in transition to be asked to cover. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-23 | Sheffield United v. Brighton & Hove Albion -1.75 | 1-1 | Loss | -120 | 90 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Brighton. Sheffield United will play away at Brighton this Sunday, and Sheffield owns the worst away record in the Premier League. They sit dead last overall in the Premier League standings with a record of 1-11 and a goal differential of -21. While it's still early in the season, relegation appears inevitable for Sheffield United. This game has blowout written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-23 | USC v. Oregon -14.5 | 27-36 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ORE. The Ducks are dominant at home, where they crushed Colorado by a score of 42-6 earlier this season. That's the same Colorado team that pushed USC to the brink in LA a week later. The Ducks crushed Utah 35-6 in Salt Lake City two weeks ago, and that same Utah team won outright at USC. The Trojans have lost three of four, and coming off a home loss to Washington this looks like a let down spot. The last time the Trojans played a road game as an underdog they lost by 28 at Notre Dame. The Ducks are better than Notre Dame. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-23 | BC v. Winnipeg -4.5 | Top | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 40 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WPG. The Blue Bombers are still the best team in the CFL, and they have owned the BC Lions. The Bombers are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings, and they covered the spread in all eight of those wins. The last time BC went to Winnipeg, they lost 50-14 as a six-point underdog. The Lions defense has really struggled in the second half of the season, and they face a Winnipeg offense that is firing on all cylinders. The Lions are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff games, and they have failed to cover in six straight road games in the post-season. The Lions are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings in Winnipeg. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-23 | Wyoming v. UNLV -4 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 58 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UNLV. The Rebels are 4-1 in the Mountain West, and they are 4-0 at home. They rank among the best rushing offenses in the country, averaging almost 200 yards per game on the ground. They host Wyoming, and the Cowboys coming off a big home win over Colorado State. Wyoming is undefeated at home this season, and winless on the road. They lost 32-7 at Boise State in their last road game, and a similar result seems likely here in Vegas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-23 | Dayton v. Northwestern -5 | 66-71 | Push | 0 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NW. The Wildcats finished 2nd in the BIG10 last year, and they were 13-5 at home. Dayton finished second in the A-1O, and they were 5-6 on the road. The Flyers played on the road just twice in non-conference play last season, losing by a combined 36 points to UNLV and Virginia Tech. Northwesters is bringing back leading scorer Boo Buie, along with two more senior starters. Senior guard Ryan Langborg transferred from Princeton, giving them a starting lineup loaded with four seniors. They should have their way with an inferior Dayton team here in Evanston. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-23 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Red Wings | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MTL. The Habs have a knack for playing close games. Seven of their 12 games have been decided by one goal, including five games decided in overtime. They have a history of playing close games against Detroit as well. They are 3-7 straight up in their last 10 versus the Red Wings, but they are 8-2 ATS as a puckline underdog in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-23 | Tarleton St v. Florida International -5 | 82-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FIU. The Panthers were a middle of the road team in Conference USA last season, but they were pretty good at home. They won 11 games on their home court (11-7) overall, despite a losing record in conference play. They lost leading scorer Denver Jones in a transfer to Auburn, but bring almost every body else back. Tarleton State was in the middle of the pack in the WAC, but they were just 2-12 on the road last year. Their leading scorer transferred to Arkansas State, and their starting PG graduated. Junior Shamir Bougues also transferred to Vermont. That leaves them replacing their entire backcourt with freshman and role players. I thinking laying five here against a team that lost 86 percent of their road games last year seems like a bargain. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-23 | Blazers v. Kings -8.5 | 118-121 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. Portland is expected to finish at or near the bottom of the Western Conference this season, and with two starters including their leading scorer out of the lineup for this road game, they could get blown out. Sure the Kings are without De'Aaron Fox, but they still have the depth and talent advantage as well as home court. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-23 | Arizona State v. Mississippi State -3.5 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MISST. The Bulldogs are bringing back leading score Tolu Smith for his senior season, and he is joined by seniors Shakeef Moore, Cameron Mathews, Dashawn Davis and DJ Jeffries. That's right, their entire starting five are back, and they are all seniors. That kind of experience should prove to much for an Arizona State team that lost the majority if it's starters, and has brought in new recruits and transfers that might take time to start to gel. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-23 | Senators +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OTT. The Leafs have won four of the last five meetings versus the Sens, but they are just 1-4 ATS on the puckline in those games. Both teams get up for this rivlary, and we can expect another close game here in Toronto tonight. The Sens are 4-6 SU, but they are 7-3 ATS in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-23 | Manchester United v. FC Copenhagen +0.5 | 3-4 | Win | 112 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Copenhagen. Manchester United has been a huge disappointment this season, and fans are starting to call for Erik Ten Hagg to be sacked. They beat Copenhagen 1-0 at Old Trafford in a very close match a few weeks ago, and they went ahead late in that game. Copenhagen missed a penalty that would have given them a draw. Expect this match to be an even bigger challenge for the struggling Red Devils, and salvaging a draw would be a pretty good result for Manchester. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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11-07-23 | Columbus +0.5 v. Atlanta United | 2-4 | Loss | -142 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Columbus Crew. The Crew are the hottest team in MLS, and they beat Atlanta 2-0 at home in the first game of this playoff series. Heading to Atlanta, Columbus has earned points in three of their last four away matches. One of those matches was at Atlanta, and Columbus was leading that game until the 7th minute of extra time when Atlanta scored the equalizer. While Columbus finished 3rd in the Eastern Conference this season, but they finished first in all of MLS in goal differential. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-06-23 | USC -2.5 v. Kansas State | 82-69 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USC. The Wildcats lost both their top two scorers and their starting PG to the NBA, and they are going to struggle to replace Marquis Nowell. K-State is projected to finish in the bottom half of the BIG12 while USC is expected to contend for a PAC12 Championship. The Trojans are bringing back 5th year senior Boogie Ellis, and he is joined in the back court by McDonalds All American Isaiah Collier. This USC squad should have an edge in both talent and experience, and the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas is familiar territory, as the venue for the PAC12 Tournament last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-23 | Cardinals v. Browns -7.5 | 0-27 | Win | 100 | 121 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CLE. The Arizona Cardinals are tanking, and they couldn't make it anymore obvious. They traded their QB to Minnesota, leaving them with an inexperienced rookie (Clayton Tune) as #1 on the depth chart. Tune was a long shot to make an NFL roster, and he didn't exactly light it up during the pre-season. Now he faces the NFL's top ranked defense on the road at Cleveland. The return of Deshaun Watson may or may not help, but I think the Browns defense will do enough to get the win and cover here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-23 | Virginia Tech +10 v. Louisville | 3-34 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VT. The Hokies looked like they turned back the clock last week, demolishing the Syracuse Orange in Blacksburg. They are a 10 point favorite here at Louisville and I am banking on this to be a close game. The Cardinals are coming off a 23-0 win over Duke, but they will likely have their hands full with a VT defense that leads the ACC in sacks. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-23 | Arsenal v. Newcastle United | 0-1 | Win | 105 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Newcastle. While Arsenal sits in 2nd place in the Premier League standings, Newcastle in on better form. Newcastle is tied for the Premier League lead in both goals scored and goal differential. The bookmakers have Arsenal as the favorite here, but I think the Gunners will be lucky if they can salvage a draw. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -170 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARI. So we saw the D'Backs come back from the dead in the NLCS, and they showed a lot of heart rallying from a 10 run deficit in Game 4 despite coming up short. The good news is that their ace is on the mound in this do or die game tonight, and Texas has lost star slugger Adolis Garcia for the rest of the series. Zac Gallen was dominant at home this season, and on the road in Game 1 he pitched well enough to win. In fact the D'Backs took a two run lead to the bottom of the ninth and the bullpen blew it. The Rangers hand the ball to Nathan Eovaldi, who got roughed up in Game 1. He allowed five runs on six hits in 4 1/3 innings. I like the D'Backs to force a Game 6. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-23 | Cavs v. Knicks -6.5 | 95-89 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYK. I had the Knicks in last night's win in Cleveland, and often I look to fade a team that wins Game 1 of a home and home series. This is a different situation all together though, as the Cavs are banged up, and Donovan Mitchell was a game time decision to play with a hamstring injury last night. He played, but will he be good to go in the second game of a back to back? Here is what I said yesterday: "The Cavs have some key injuries, and Donovan Mitchell is expected to be a game time decision tonight. If he plays, he's dealing with a sore hamstring that is likely to affect his performance. Starting PG Darius Garland and Center Jared Allen are both out with injuries. The Knicks are 7-1 straight up in the last eight meetings versus the Cavs, and they have won three of their last four at Cleveland. The Knicks have lost two of three to start the season, but they have been competitive even in those losses. At full strength, this spot looks ideal for the Knicks to get back into the win column." GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | 11-7 | Loss | -165 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. The Rangers are back out in front, and that puts all the pressure on Arizona here in Game 4. This isn't exactly a marquee matchup when it comes to starting pitchers. The D'Backs are going to the bullpen and the Rangers are going to the back end of their rotation. Andrew Heaney will toe the slab for Texas, and he's 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in four appearances in the post-season. The D'Backs hand the ball to Joe Mantiply, who tossed a scoreless first inning in a start in the NLCS. Adolis Garcia leads the playoffs in home runs and RBIs, and he left last night's game with what might be a serious injury. It will be a big blow for Texas if he misses tonight's game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-23 | Blackhawks +1.5 v. Coyotes | 1-8 | Loss | -150 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CHI. The Hawks are 3-3 on the road, but they are 4-2 ATS in those games. They are an underdog on the road tonight in Arizona, and the Coyotes are 3-4 straight up so far this season. Arizona is just 1-6 ATS as a puckline favorite in those games. The Coyotes have won five of the last 10 head to head versus Chicago, but five of those games were decided by one goal. The Coyotes are 6-21 in their last 27 games playing on 2 days rest, and they are 2-7 in their last 9 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -185 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. The D'Backs got a split in the first two games in Texas, and they have the momentum heading into Game 3. If I had of suggested that Brandon Pfaadt vs Max Scherzer was a favorable matchup for Arizona during the regular season, people would have called me crazy. They still might. If you didn't know better, you would think the stats were lined up next to the opposite name. It's Pfaadt with 22 Ks in 16 2/3 innings, while Scherzer has just six Ks in two post-season starts. Pfaadt has a 1.08 WHIP, while Scherzer has a 1.80 WHIP. Scherzer is not right, and he appears primed for another short outing. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-23 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Islanders | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on DET. The Red Wings are 5-4 straight up, but they are 7-2 ATS in those games. They will be on the road against the Islanders tonight, and New York is 4-3 straight up so far. The Isles are just 1-6 ATS as a puckline favorite in those games. The Islanders rank near the bottom of the league in scoring, and they own one of the league's worst ranked power play units. The Wings have a huge edge when it comes to special teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Lightning | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. Most experts expected Seattle to take a step forward this season, but they have yet to impress. The Kraken have lost seven of nine games to start the season, but they are 5-4 ATS in those games. The Lightning are just 4-4, and they have missed their starting netminder Andrei Vasilevskij. It may be tough for the Bolts to match the level of desperation that they will see from Seattle here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-23 | Lakers v. Kings -2 | 127-132 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. The young Kings pushed the Warriors to the brink in last year's playoffs, and while the Dubs are a year older, the Kings are only getting better. Sacramento was the highest scoring team in the NBA last year, and they have picked up right where they left off by scoring 130 in their season opening win over Utah. The addition of Euro League MVP Sasha Vuzenkov isn't going to hurt. The Lakers looked old in their opening night loss on the road in Denver, and I think they will look old here against the Kings in Sacramento. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-23 | Bengals +5.5 v. 49ers | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CIN. So the Bengals came into this season expecting to be a contender, but Joe Burrow was clearly not healthy and they have been one of the biggest disappointments. Coming off a bye week, and Burrow proclaiming he is now at 100 percent, this looks like a good spot to back the Bengals s a dog. The 49ERS are coming off back to back losses, ravaged by injuries, and with the news that Brock Purdy has cleared concussion protocol the line has ticked up to +5.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-23 | Toronto v. Ottawa | 27-22 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Ottawa. The Argos are going to the Playoffs, so this is a game that they really have no interest in. They are expected to rest their starters, and the only goal here is to get out of Ottawa without sustaining any serious injuries. Ottawa has nothing to prevent them from laying it all out in their season finale, with guys playing for future roster spots. The home team should be able to close out a disappointing season with a home win in a game that is meaningless for their opponent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-23 | East Carolina v. UTSA -18 | 27-41 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTSA. I have been riding this Roadrunners team since Frank Harris returned, and they haven't let me down. They have won three straight, covering in all three games. At first glance 18 might look like a big number, but UTSA has won back to back games by 20+, and those games were against better teams that ECU. Harris has thrown for 770 yards, 7 TDs and 2 INTs on over 70 percent passing since coming back from the injury. I see no season why the Roadrunners don't win by 20+ here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-23 | FC Copenhagen +1.5 v. Manchester United | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on FC Copenhagen. Manchester United faces a must win game at Old Trafford to stay alive in the Champions League. The problem is that Manchester United isn't a Champions League caliber team at the moment. They sit 8th in the Premier League table and they have negative goal differential. There are plenty of distractions, with rumors of playing coming and going and manager Ten Hag on the hot seat. Copenhagen is a competitive side that has played a draw in an away match and lost at Bayern by one goal. Asking United to win by more than one seems a bit over optimistic to me. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-23 | Rangers +1.5 v. Astros | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Texas. The Rangers will look to force a Game 7, and they have a favorable pitching matchup in Game 6. Nate Eovaldi will toe the slab for Texas, and he's 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA in the playoffs. The Astros hand the ball to Framber Valdez, who has been lit up in both his post-season starts. He allowed five runs on seven hits in just 2 2/3 innings in Game 2. The Rangers scored four runs in the first inning in a 5-4 win. Valdez has allowed 17 runs on 18 hits over 12 innings in his last three home starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-23 | Chargers +6 v. Chiefs | 17-31 | Loss | -112 | 131 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. The Chargers have lost six of the last eight meetings versus KC, but they have covered the spread in seven of those games. Last year they lost by a field goal in both meetings, at home and at Kansas City. They are 2-3 this season and all three of their losses have come by a field goal. The Chiefs offense has not been quite as prolific this season, averaging just 24 points per game. I'll take the points as I am expecting another close game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -145 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ARI. The D'Backs have levelled the series at 2-2 with a come from behind win in Game 4, and they send their ace to the mound in Game 5. Zac Gallen has some pretty dramatic home away splits, going 12-3 with a 2.47 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP at home this season. The Phillies hand the ball to Zack Wheeler, who has been dominant at home and on the road. Wheeler is 6-3 with an ERA of 2.96 and 69 strikeouts in 11 appearances against the Diamondbacks. Zac Gallen is 3-1 with an ERA of 2.22 and 24 strikeouts in 5 appearances against the Phillies. While a close game should be expected, I think the wrong team is favored here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-23 | UTSA -3 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 36-10 | Win | 100 | 147 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTSA. I don't think the markets have accurately accounted for the return of Frank Harris, who has thrown for over 500 yards and five TDs in back to back double digit wins since coming back from injury. The Roadrunners had a disappointing start to the season, but that can be partially explained by the injury to their starting QB. The Owls lost their starter for the season, and backup Daniel Richardson has thrown for 902 yards, 5 TDs and 4 INTs in four starts. I don't think the Owls offense has enough weapons to keep up to UTSA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-23 | Penn State +5 v. Ohio State | Top | 12-20 | Loss | -110 | 141 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PSU. The Buckeyes come into this week's home game against Penn State with a 6-0 record and they are ranked 3rd nationally. Kyle McCord has pedestrian numbers for an Ohio State quarterback, and at times this team has appeared vulnerable. The win over Maryland two weeks ago was closer than it should have been, and they needed a miracle to beat the Irish at Notre Dame. This team fell apart at the end of last year, losing 45-23 at home to Michigan,and then losing to Georgia in the Peach Bowl. Penn State looks every bit as dangerous as the Michigan team that embarrassed them here last year. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-23 | Hurricanes v. Seattle Kraken +1.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on SEA. The Kraken are still looking for their first win, and they could be catching the Hurricanes in a good spot. This will be their fourth consecutive road game, and their starting netminder Freddy Anderson is banged up. These teams have played four times previously, and Carolina has won all four of those games. It's probably worth noting that three of those games were decided by one goal. Seattle lost their home opener to Colorado by a score of 4-1, but the Kraken are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-17-23 | Western Kentucky -7.5 v. Jacksonville State | 17-20 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on WKU. I bet against Jacksonville state a few weeks ago when they were a small underdog at Middle Tennessee. I called them a public dog, and when they trailed by three scores at halftime I thought I was pretty sharp. The Blue Raiders imploded in the second half, and the Gamecocks won again. I still think they are overvalued, and they rank 122nd in strength of schedule. Even though they haven't played anybody, they rank 91st nationally in opponent passing yards. Making matters worse, they might not have their starting QB available for this game. The Hilltoppers scored 35 points in the first half in a win at LA-Tech in their last game, and they should dominate this game from start to finish. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 185 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. This looks like a good spot to back a Chargers team that has underachieved so far. Dallas comes in as a road favorite, but the shine is starting to wear off. The Cowboys have lost back to back road games to Arizona and San Francisco. Their wins don't look all that impressive either, beating the Jets, Giants and Patriots. While Dallas is trending down, the Chargers are trending up coming off back to back wins over the Raiders and the Vikings. They lost to Miami in week 1 by just two points, and on the road at Tennessee by a field goal. I'll take the points with the home dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-23 | Rangers +1.5 v. Astros | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TEX. The Astros were shutout in Game 1, and the matchup in Game 2 doesn't look good for Houston. Framber Valdez will toe the slab for the Astros, and he's allowed a dozen runs on 11 hits and six walks in 9 2/3 innings in his last two home starts. In two home starts versus Texas this season, he gave up 10 runs on 13 hits and four walks in 9 2/3 innings in a pair of blowout losses. The Rangers hand the ball to Nate Eovaldi, who has allowed just a pair of runs while striking out 15 batters over 13 2/3 innings in two post-season starts. Houston we have a problem! GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-23 | Lions v. Bucs +3.5 | 20-6 | Loss | -116 | 157 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TB. The Bucs are 3-1, in first place in the NFC South, and their only loss came against the defending NFC champs Philadelphia. As good as they have looked, they are still getting points as a home dog against the Detroit Lions. The Lions are 4-1, and they have looked good so far. I still think it's a bit much to have them coming in as a road favorite against a 1st place team. Jared Goff is off to a good start after having a solid season last year. One thing that has carried over, is that his home/away splits remain dramatic. Last year he had 23 TDs and home and just six on the road, this year he has 6 TDs at home and two on the road. The Bucs boast a Top 10 defense, and they should be in this game from start to finish. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-23 | Colts +5.5 v. Jaguars | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 161 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on INDY. The Colts are tied for first place in the NFC South, but the winner of this week's game at Jacksonville will take sole possession of the top spot in the division. Rookie QB Anthony Richardson is on the IR, leaving Minshew Mania to run the offense. I think Indy is in better shape with Minshew, who is a more proven commodity in the NFL. So far this season the Colts are 3-0 in games that Minshew has played the majority of the snaps, and 0-2 in the games with Richardson at the helm. The Jags are in a let down spot coming off back to back wins in London. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-23 | Panthers v. Dolphins -13.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 154 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. The Dolphins lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 36 points per game. They host the winless Carolina Panthers, and Carolina ranks 28th in scoring defense allowing 29 points per game. Bryce Young is perhaps biting off more than he can chew as a rookie starter on a poor team. The last time the Dolphins played Carolina they won by a score of 31-10, and there's no reason to expect a competitive game here in Miami this week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | UCLA v. Oregon State -4 | 24-36 | Win | 100 | 145 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Oregon State. The Bruins couldn't get anything going on offense when they played on the road at Utah, and a trip to Corvallis might just be a recurring nightmare for UCLA. That same Utah team that UCLA had so much trouble with, was held to seven points in a crushing 21-7 loss at Corvallis a week later. Far more significant than the results versus a common opponent, are the similarities in playing in such a hostile environment. The Beavers are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | UAB v. UTSA -9 | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 124 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTSA. I had UTSA last week and I said this prior to their game at Temple: "I was one of many who were high on UTSA heading into the season, but they struggled losing three of their first four games. Put the blame on poor play from starting QB Frank Harris, who has missed the last two games due to injury. The Roadrunners come out of the bye week looking to flip the switch. They couldn't ask for a better spot for a get right game, and Harris is expected to return." Harris threw for 338 yards and three TDs on 25-of-33 passing in the win at Temple, and he should be primed for a big game at home versus UAB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-23 | BC v. Hamilton +3.5 | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on HAM. The BC Lions might be the better team here, but this is a tough spot. While a heartbreaking home loss to Winnipeg last week hasn't officially ended their quest to finish first in the West, it's likely only a matter of time. The Bombers only need to win one of their two remaining games, and they will be heavily favored in both of those contests. BC would need to win out, and hope for a miracle. I think they will still be reeling from last week's loss. Hamilton has been banged up all year, but they are coming off back to back wins over West Division opponents, and they have all their QBs back now after a long stretch with their 3rd stringer Taylor Powell. Matthew Shiltz threw for 271 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT on 16-of-18 passing in a 38-13 win at Saskatchewan last week. The Ticats look good as a home dog here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-23 | Braves v. Phillies +1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHI. The Braves will send their ace to the mound as they look to avoid elimination in Philly tonight. Their bats have cooled off in the post-season, scoring just five runs through the first two games. Strider pitched well in Game 1, but didn't get any run support. He allowed a pair of runs on five hits and two walks in seven innings. Rangers Suarez only went 3 2/3 innings in Game 1, but with help from the bullpen the Phillies shutout the Braves. The Phillies won this series 3-1 last season, and we will not be surprised if history repeats itself here in 2023. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-10-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 1-4 | Loss | -165 | 32 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on SEA +1.5. The Vegas Golden Knights will raise the Stanley Cup banner in their home opener tonight, and we might see a "Stanley Cup Hangover" in effect. The Golden Knights finished first in the Western Conference last year with 111 points, while Seattle finished 11 points back in the standings. Perhaps it is notable that the Kranen had a better road record (26 wins) than Vegas had at home (25 wins). I like Seattle to pull off the upset here in Sin City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-23 | Packers +2.5 v. Raiders | 13-17 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GB. The Packers will be on the road at Las Vegas, and they are the underdog in this matchup. Green Bay has the advantage of coming off a long week with extra time to prepare, and should be a lot healthier than they were when the lost to the Lions in Week 4, that isn't the only advantage. The Packers are in good shape with Jordan Love at QB, he's thrown for 901 yards, 8 TDs and 3 INTs while Jimmy G has thrown more picks (6) than TDs (5). Playing his first game back coming off a concussion looks like a tough spot for Jimmy G and the Raiders. The books have the wrong team favored here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHI. The Phillies won the Division Series versus Atlanta last year 3-1, and we could see history repeat itself here in 2023. Zack Wheeler will toe the slab for Philly tonight, and he was dominant against the Braves in the regular season. In his two starts in Atlanta, he allowed just two runs on six hits while striking out 18 and winning both games. The Braves hand the ball to Max Fried, who has struggled against Philly. The Phillies lineup is batting a combined .299 over 194 at bats versus Fried. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-23 | Ottawa v. Montreal -6 | 3-29 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MTL. The Als crushed the Redblacks in Ottawa last week, winning by a score of 32-15. Now they play at home versus Ottawa on Thanksgiving, and this is a big game for Montreal. Currently tied with Hamilton for second place in the East, the ALs will move ahead of the Ticats with a win over Ottawa. The Redblacks defense has allowed 27.4 points per game this season, only Saskatchewan has allowed more. Ottawa has lost six of seven road games, and they are 3-7 straight up in their last 10 versus Montreal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-23 | Twins +1.5 v. Astros | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN +1.5. The Twins are desperate to draw even with Houston after losing Game 1, and they draw a favorable matchup in Game 2. Pablo Lopez will toe the slab for the Twins, and his numbers are better on the road than they were in Minnesota this season. Lopez allowed one run on five hits in a 3-1 win in Game 1 of the Wild Card series versus Toronto. The Astros hand the ball to Framber Valdez, who also has better numbers away from home. His last two home starts were ugly losses to the two worst teams in the AL (Kansas City and Oakland). GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-23 | Jets +3 v. Broncos | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 159 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYJ. The Broncos shouldn't be a favorite against anybody.The Bears were up big in the 4th quarter last week, but they handed Denver the game. They gave up a fumble recovery for a TD, turned the ball over on downs in field goal range and Justin Fields threw an interception on the Bears final possession. Not even Zach Wilson could eff up a game that bad! At least the Jets can play defense. An ugly and undeserving win over the Bears doesn't in any way convince me that the players are buying into what Sean Payton is selling in Denver. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-23 | Giants v. Dolphins -9 | 16-31 | Win | 100 | 157 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. The Dolphins scored 70 in their last home game, and then got humbled in a blowout loss at Buffalo. This is a good bounce back spot for The Fish back home against a banged up Giants team on short rest. No way Vanilla Vick and the GMEM are gonna be able to keep up to Tua, Tyreek and the Dolphins #1 ranked offense. Bet this game quick because the number will likely get bet up before Sunday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-23 | Central Florida v. Kansas -1 | 22-51 | Win | 100 | 60 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on KAN. Even if starting QB Jalon Daniels can't play, I think Kansas has enough weapons to blow past UCF at home. Central Florida was outscored 26-0 in the fourth quarter of a home loss to Baylor last week. Timmy McClain struggled at quarterback for UCF, completing just 13-of-25 passes for 234 yards, 2 TDs and an INT. Jason Bean has seven starts dating back to last season, and he threw for 17 TDs and just four INTs in those games. He also ran for four TDs in five starts last year. If Daniels plays, it will be a bonus getting the Jayhawks at this number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-23 | UTSA -13 v. Temple | 49-34 | Win | 100 | 95 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTSA. I was one of many who were high on UTSA heading into the season, but they struggled losing three of their first four games. Put the blame on poor play from starting QB Frank Harris, who has missed the last two games due to injury. The Roadrunners come out of the bye week looking to flip the switch. They couldn't ask for a better spot for a get right game, and Harris is expected to return. Temple ranks 11th in the American Athletic Conference in scoring defense allowing 31 points per game. They allowed 48 points and 533 yards of total offense in a loss to Tulsa last week. Harris and the Roadrunners offense should pick this team apart. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-23 | Oklahoma v. Texas -6 | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Texas. So the Longhorns won the Red River Rivalry game in a 49-0 blowout last year. Some might say that this sets up a revenge spot here in this game. The Sooners are 5-0, however they have yet to face a ranked team. Texas won by double digits at #3 ranked Alabama in Week 2, and then last week they steamrolled #24 Kansas at home. Quinn Ewers has thrown for 1,358 yards, 10 TDs and 1 INT while playing a challenging schedule. I think it's asking too much of Oklahoma to compete in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-04-23 | Paris Saint-Germain v. Newcastle United | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Newcastle. Newcastle is undefeated in their last five matches in all competitions, and they have posted five consecutive clean sheets. They have outscored the opposition 12-0 in those games. PSG is coming off a draw against the last place team in League 1. Paris sits just 5th in the table in the French league, and still bettors have them pegged as a favorite here against one of the top teams in the Premier League. PSG will be lucky to come away with a point here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-02-23 | Chelsea v. Fulham +0.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Fulham. Chelsea is a disaster, sitting just a few points clear of the relegation zone after six game in the Premier League. They lost to Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, and played to a draw against Bournemouth. They play at Fulham, who have earned points in four of their last five matches. The only defeat during that span came at Manchester City. The last time these London rivals played in the Premier League, the result was a scoreless draw. A draw wouldn't be a bad result for both teams here, but the way Chelsea has been playing it would be no surprise if they find a way to lose. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-01-23 | Raiders v. Chargers -3.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 154 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on LAC. The 1-2 Chargers are a small home favorite against the 1-2 Raiders. Clearly the Chargers have a huge edge at QB with Justin Herbert versus Jimmy G. The Chargers have been more effective running the ball, and we should see Austin Ekeler back this week. Neither team has been great defensively but it's tough to see the Raiders keeping up in a shootout. LV was just 2-7 on the road last season, including a 24-19 loss at LA. Keep in mind the Raiders only win came by just 1-point against an 0-3 team that gave up 70 points last week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-23 | South Carolina v. Tennessee -11.5 | Top | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 47 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEN. This is a huge revenge game for the Vols after they got lit up for over 60 points in a loss to the Gamecocks last year. This is also a spot where we can buy low on the Vols, as people are still down on them after they lost at Florida, and it's a sell high spot on South Carolina after they played Georgia tough and Spencer Rattler completed 90% of his passes in a win over Mississippi State last week. Rattler has been playing well so far, but history tells us that when the going gets tough he can be "rattled". This looks like a tough spot for the Gamecocks, and we aren't going to be surprised if Rattler gets rattled. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-29-23 | Toronto v. Winnipeg -7 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 65 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WPG. The Argos have already clinched 1st place in the EAST, so they are coming into Friday's game at Winnipeg with a plan to rest their starters. Starting QB Chad Kelly won't play, and it seem pretty clear that Toronto doesn't have any interest in winning this game. It is a big game for Winnipeg, who sit tied for first place with the BC Lions. Winnipeg leads the CFL in scoring, and they rank first scoring defense allowing 21 points per game. Zach Collaros has thrown a CFL best 29 TD passes, and he ranks 1st in the league with a QBR of 115. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-27-23 | Vancouver Whitecaps v. Colorado Rapids | 2-2 | Push | 0 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VAN. The Colorado Rapids don't have a lot to play for at the end of the season. They sit dead last in the Western Conference standings, and they have the worst home record in MLS. Vancouver has a solid points total in away matches (5th most in the West). They also have a solid track record in recent visits to Colorado, earning points in six of their last seven trips to Denver. Colorado has conceded the first goal in seven of their last eight matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-24-23 | Panthers v. Seahawks -4.5 | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 143 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. This looks like a short line for a team playing on the road on a short week with a rookie QB. Geno Smith has plenty of weapons, and he threw for 328 yards and a pair of TDs on 32-of-41 passing in a road win at Detroit last week. Bryce Young hasn't impressed, throwing for as many INTs (2) as TDs so far. He's only averaging 4.2 yards per attempt, and he ranks 31st in the league in passing. I'll fade the rookie on the road here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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