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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-17-17 | Rams +1 v. Seahawks | 42-7 | Win | 100 | 158 h 18 m | Show | |
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12-17-17 | Ravens v. Browns +7.5 | 27-10 | Loss | -115 | 39 h 34 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns.  The 0-13 Browns appeared to be well on their way to earning their first "W" of the season last week, but the Packers tied the game with 17 seconds left of the clock, and went on to win in overtime. The Baltimore Ravens suffered a similar fate in Pittsburgh, blowing a double digit lead in the fourth quarter of a 39-38 loss. The Ravens beat Cleveland by a score of 24-10 at home earlier this season, but Cleveland out-gained them 386-337 in total yards. The Ravens have won their last three games at Cleveland, but all three of those wins came in games decided by less than seven points. Josh Gordon doesn't look like a guy that hasn't played football for three years. He's caught seven passes for 154 yards and a TD in two games back. Deshone Kizer had his best game of the season last week, throwing for 214 yards and three TDs on 20-of-28 passing against the Packers, but was also picked off twice. Cleveland's defense has been surprisingly good, ranking 12th in total defense allowing 328.5 yards per game. History tells us that these two teams play close games, and I expect another hard fought battle in bad weather in Cleveland on Sunday.  Take CLE.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-16-17 | UNLV -6.5 v. Pacific | Top | 81-76 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNLV Rebels. Â The Pacific Tigers are coming off back to back losses to UC Davis and Wyoming, and they will be in for a stiff challenge at home tonight against the 8-2 Rebels. UNLV's only two losses came to Arizona and UNI, and both of those games went to overtime. I bet on the Rebels last weekend in their 89-82 win over Illinois, and here is what I had to say before tip off: "UNLV is off to a surprising start, with a 6-1 home record and a 7-2 overall record. That includes a blowout win over a very good Utah team, and a home loss to Arizona by just three points. This is one of the biggest teams in the country, and they rank 2nd in the nation averaging 46.4 rebounds per game. They also rank in the Top 5 in both points scored and assists per game. The Rebels are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 non-conference games. UNLV scored 92 points on 54.2 percent shooting in a home win over Oral Roberts in their last game, and they hit 9-of-17 three-point shots in the victory." The Tigers have been a bad bet in Stockton, failing to cover in 13 of their last 16 home games. The Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last five versus teams with a losing record, and Pacific has failed to cover in four of it's last five versus the Mountain West. Â Take UNLV. Â GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-16-17 | Chargers +1 v. Chiefs | 13-30 | Loss | -110 | 139 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Chargers.
The Chargers are on a roll, coming into KC as winners of four straight, and seven of their last nine. I bet on LA last week in their 30-13 home win over the Washington Redskins. Here is what I had to say before the kickoff: "Philip Rivers and the Chargers are back in business after winning six of their last eight games. They are locked in a three way tie for first in the ACF West, with Kansas City and Oakland also at 6-6. The Chargers control their own destiny, with a game against the Chiefs at Arrowhead next week, and a home game against the Raiders in their season finale. Rivers has thrown eight TD passes and just one INT in his last four starts. He's coming off a pair of 300+ yard games against Dallas and Cleveland." Rivers threw for 319 yards and two TDsin the win over Washington. The Chiefs have lost six of their last eight overall, and two of those losses came at home. Last week's win over an Oakland team in disarray does little to convince me that they have solved all of their problems. Alex Smith threw for 268 yards and an INT on 20-of-34 passing, and was sacked four times in the win over Oakland. He faces the league's 3rd ranked pass defense on Saturday, and the Chargers rank 5th in the NFL with 37 quarterback sacks. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-17 | Oklahoma v. Wichita State -7 | 91-83 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers.  I bet on the Shockers in their second game of the season, a blowout win at home over Charleston (81-63). Here is what I said prior to that game: "Expectations are high for the Wichita State Shockers, who were 31-5 overall last season, once again finishing at the top of the Missouri Valley Conference. This year's squad is expected to rival the 2013 team that went to the Final Four with Ron Baker and Fred Van Fleet. They have four seniors in the starting lineup, and sophomore guard Landry Shamet who was the second leading scorer last year. They scored 109 points on 60.9 percent shooting in a 50+ point win in their season opener. The Shockers won their first five games last season, all of those wins coming by at least a 25 point margin. Perhaps the most impressive of those wins was an 82-47 win over LSU at a neutral site." They have since won six of seven, including a win over #16 ranked Baylor. Oklahoma will be playing its first true road game of the season, after going 1-9 on the road last year. Their first road game of last season was a 20 point loss at Wisconsin. The Shockers are 4-0 at home, and have averaged over 99 points on 54.6 percent shooting in those games. The Sooners have failed to cover in five of their last six non-conference games, and Wichita State is 8-3 ATS in it's last 11 home games. Take WSU.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-16-17 | Notre Dame -5.5 v. Indiana | 77-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-16-17 | Davidson v. Virginia -12 | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Virginia Cavaliers. Â There are some new faces on the Cavs rosters, but it's the same old story here in 2017. The Cavs are 5-0 at home, 8-1 overall, and they are still the best defensive team in the country. Virginia has allowed opponents to average just 52.5 points per game on 36.7 percent shooting. All five of their home wins have come by a double digit margin. The Davidson Wildcats have lost two of three road games and both losses have come by double digits. These two teams have played twice since 2013, and both of those games were double digit wins for the Cavs. The Wildcats have struggled against ACC teams in recent seasons, going just 4-9 ATS in their last 13. The Cavs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven non-conference games, and they've covered the spread in six of their last eight home games. Virginia has allowed opponents to average fewer than 50 points per game at home so far. This should be another blowout home victory for the Cavs. Â Take UVA. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-16-17 | Syracuse v. Georgetown +3 | 86-79 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Georgetown Hoyas. Â Undefeated Georgetown will host the Syracuse Orange in an early tip off Saturday, and the home team is actually a dog in this contest. Georgetown has had the better of this rivalry in recent seasons, winning three of the last four meetings. Last year they went to the Carrier Dome and won outright as a seven point underdog. The Hoyas 7-0 home record is even more impressive when you consider that they've averaged 82 points on 49.5 percent shooting in those games. Now the Orange have perhaps had a tougher schedule, but this will be their first true road game. They lost eight of 10 road games last year, and they are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Georgetown has been a good bet in recent games against teams from the ACC, covering in eight of their last 10. The Orange have failed to cover in four straight versus teams from the Big East. This looks like a case of the wrong team favored. Â Take GTWN. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-15-17 | UC-Davis +6.5 v. San Francisco | 61-74 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UC Davis Aggies. The Aggies come into San Francisco as winners of four straight, and that includes an upset over Washington State at Pullman. The San Francisco Dons are coming off a double digit home win over Eastern Washington, but they allowed the Eagles to battle back from a 21 point deficit at halftime to make it interesting late. San Francisco's lead was cut to just six points in the final minute, and a few late free throws made the game appear to be an easier win that it actually was. The Dons are shooting just 35.7 percent from the field over their last five games, while the Aggies have shot 45.7 percent during that span. San Francisco has been terribly overrated of late, and that is evidenced by the fact that they have failed to cover the spread in eight straight against teams with a winning record. They have failed to cover in six of their last seven non-conference games, and five of their last six home games. The Aggies on the other hand have covered the spread in five straight road games, and seven straight non-conference games. Take UCD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-17 | Patriots v. Dolphins +12 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Dolphins.
The Patriots will play at Miami on Monday Night, but they could be looking ahead to next Sunday's game against the Steelers. A win would put them level with Pittsburgh at 11-2, setting up a massive game to decide who finishes with the best record in the AFC, securing home field advantage throughout the playoffs. The good news for New England is, Rob Gronkowski will be well rested for the game against Pittsburgh, as he serves a 1-game suspension this week. They could be thin in the backfield with both Mike Gillislee and Dion Lewis possibly out due to illness. The Dolphins are coming off an impressive 35-9 win over the Broncos. Jay Cutler threw for 235 yards and a pair of TDs, while Kenyan Drake ran for 120 yards and a TD on 23 carries. Cutler didn't play in a 35-17 loss at New England a few weeks ago, and the Dolphins last two losses in this series came with their backup quarterback under center. Prior to that they lost at New England last September by a score of 31-24, and they won outright in three straight home meetings versus the Pats. The home team has covered the spread in 10 of the last 11 meetings between these two teams. I'll take the points. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-17 | Ravens +5 v. Steelers | Top | 38-39 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Baltimore Ravens. |
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12-10-17 | Redskins v. Chargers -6 | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 123 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Chargers. |
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12-10-17 | Manchester City v. Manchester United +0.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 167 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Manchester United. The Manchester Derby has been rather one-sided over the last two seasons. United is 3-1-1 in the last five head to head matches against City, and the lone loss came by a score of 2-1 last September. The Red Devils are on top form, scoring seven goals in their last two matches. City scored just five times in three matches prior to last week's game at West Ham. They took maximum points in those matches, but failed to impress. Jose Mourino's squad has conceded a Premier League best nine goals in 15 matches this season. Mourino has been known to play for a draw in situations like this, so a conservative game plan would be no surprise. City will be playing a fourth match in just 11 days, and just four days after a trip to the Ukraine. This looks like a tough spot for the road favorite. Take MUTD. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-17 | Wichita State v. Oklahoma State +5.5 | 78-66 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys.
Last weekend the Shockers played at Baylor, and I had Wichita State -2.5 in that game. They went on to win by a score of 69-62, scoring the game's final seven points. The game was tied at 62-62 with 2:50 seconds remaining, but Baylor was held scoreless the rest of the way. Now they are asked to cover twice as many points here in Stillwater, against a Cowboys team that is 6-0 at home, and has averaged 85.6 points per game in those wins. The Shockers were a 7.5 point favorite when they played Oklahoma State last season, but the Cowboys won that game 93-76. The Cowboys are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 non-conference games. Oklahoma State is tough to beat in Stillwater, where their last loss came by a score of 90-85 to then #1 ranked Kansas. Senior guard Jeffrey Carroll scored a team high 22 points on 8-of-10 shooting in the win over the Shockers last year. He leads the team averaging 14.6 points per game so far in 2017. Take OKST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-17 | William & Mary v. Ohio State -14.5 | 62-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
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12-07-17 | Eastern Washington v. San Francisco -7 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Dons. |
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12-07-17 | Valparaiso +16 v. Purdue | 50-80 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Valparaiso vs Purdue Free Pick December 7, 2017.
The Crusaders are 8-0 so far this season, and last year they were 9-3 in non-conference games. The wins include an upset over #21 ranked Rhode Island, and a neutral site game against BYU. They will be getting a whopping 16 points in their game at Purdue tonight, despite the fact that the Boilermakers are coming off three consecutive games decided by single digits. Purdue failed to cover as a 14 point favorite in a 74-69 win over Northwestern. The Boilermakers were a 19 point favorite against Western Kentucky, and they lost that game outright. Valparaiso has covered the spread in 10 of it's last 14 road games, and the Crusaders are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Often the Boilermakers enjoy a size advantage with the 7-footer Isaac Haas and 6"8 forward Vince Edwards. The Crusaders have a pair of 7-footers that should allow them to compete on the boards. I recommend to take the points here. Take VALPO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-17 | Wizards v. Blazers -5.5 | Top | 106-92 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
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12-04-17 | Steelers v. Bengals +6 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
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12-02-17 | Pelicans v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 123-116 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
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12-02-17 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +7 | Top | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 58 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. |
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12-02-17 | Georgia +3 v. Auburn | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 54 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Bulldogs. |
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12-02-17 | TCU v. Oklahoma -6.5 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 132 h 41 m | Show | |
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12-02-17 | Memphis v. Central Florida -7 | 55-62 | Push | 0 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
Memphis vs UCF Free Pick December 2, 2017.
The Memphis Tigers and the Central Florida Knights rank 4th and 1st nationally in scoring offense. Both teams average well over 40 points per game, so it's no surprise that the bookmakers are expecting a high scoring game here. The total opened at 81, and was quickly bet up as high as 85. The last time these teams met, the Knights held Memphis to just 13 points. They out-gained the Tigers by more than 200 yards, and forced four turnovers. UCF is asked to cover a seven point spread, but that's only one TD in a game that is expected to have as many as a dozen TDs scored. The total for this game is far higher than it was in any of the last 10 meetings dating back to 2005. Central Florida won all 10 of those games, and covered in all five home games during that span. Four of the last five meetings have gone under, with the exception being a 35-17 Central Florida win in 2012. The Tigers hopes rest solely on quarterback Riley Ferguson, who threw three INTs the last time he played at Central Florida. The Knights are a well rounded team that can run, pass and play defense. I'll take the home favorite here in Orlando. Take UCF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-17 | Texas Tech v. Seton Hall | 79-89 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders.
The Red Raiders are one of several teams in the country that remain undefeated. Most of these teams will come crashing down to earth once the competition gets a little more challenging, but I like what I see from this Texas Tech team. They have covered the spread in all of their games so far, and they crushed a ranked Northwestern team in an 85-49 win at the Hall of Fame Tip-Off. Seton Hall has had a disappointing start, failing to cover in four of six games so far. They lost to an unranked Rhode Island team on a neutral court, and they have been absolutely brutal from the free throw line. They are hitting just 63 percent from the line this season, and just 57 percent in neutral site games. The Red Raiders are shooting for a higher percentage from the field, and significantly higher from beyond the arc. Texas Tech has held opponents to an average of just 55.3 points on 33.5 percent shooting. After losing to Texas Tech, Wildcats coach Chris Collins said: "They have great point, they are very well coached and they are a terrific defensive team. They have depth, so they can keep coming in with athletes in waves and have fresh bodies out there. I think they have the makings of having a great year." Take TTU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -8 | Top | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs.
The Memphis Grizzlies have lost eight in a row, and they have fired head coach David Fizdale. It isn't uncommon for teams to turn things around after a coaching change, but the Grizzlies have more than their fair share of problems. Starting PG Mike Conley has missed the last six games with an Achilles injury, and he won't be back anytime soon. Backup PG Mario Chalmers is banged up, listed as day to day. Chandler Parsons left the last game with a sore knee, and Brandon Wright has missed four games with a groin injury. The Grizzlies have lost five straight at San Antonio, and four of those give losses came by double digits. Despite the injury to Kawhi Leonard, the Spurs are 9-2 at home, and just three games back of first place Houston in the West. They welcomed back Tony Parker on Monday, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus teams with a losing record. Memphis has failed to cover in four of it's last five road games, and is 3-13 ATS in it's last 16 overall. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-17 | Marshall v. William & Mary -4 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on #CWM. |
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11-25-17 | Washington State +10.5 v. Washington | Top | 14-41 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 35 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Washington State Cougars. This is as good as a Washington State team that I have seen in the Mike Leach era, and the Cougars have a chance to punch their ticket to the PAC12 Championship Game with a win this week. Standing in their way is rival Washington, and the Huskies laid a beating on them in last year's Apple Cup. Things have changed though, and this year the Huskies are already eliminated from advancing to the conference championship game. The Huskies offense has struggled the last few weeks, losing 30-22 at Stanford and hanging on to beat Utah 33-30 at home last week. Senior quarterback Luke Falk is coming off back to back games with 300+ yards and three TDs. Huskies coach Chris Peterson acknowledges that it's going to be tough to stop the PAC12's leading passer: "Of course Luke Falk has been in that system forever," Petersen said. "I mean, is he ever going to graduate? He's been there forever. He knows that system inside and out. "I think he looks better. He looks more comfortable. He has a great feel for when the rush is coming, he'll get it out and when it's not, he'll hang onto the ball and let his guys work. There's a reason that they are where they are right now and what they're playing for." The Cougars have already proved that they can compete with the big boys, beating USC at home in September. I like their chances of keeping this game close, with so much at stake.
 Take WSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-17 | Alabama v. Auburn +5 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 100 h 44 m | Show | |
Alabama vs Auburn Free Pick November 25, 2017. The Alabama Crimson Tide are still undefeated, but they appear to be about as vulnurable as they have ever been. Two weeks ago against Mississippi State they needed to rally late in a game that they were losing in the fourth quarter. They have been hit hard by injuries to several key defensive players. Not only did they lose a pair of linebackers in the win over LSU a few weeks ago, but they had already lost two star linebacks in Week 1 against Florida State. Minkah Fitzpatrick is hoping to play with a sore hamstring, but he's nowhere near 100 percent. They face an Auburn team that has scored 40+ points in all four games during a four game win streak. That includes a 40-17 home win over #1 ranked Georgia. They gained 488 total yards on the Bulldogs defense, and I like their chances of doing the same thing here against Alabama. The Crimson Tide have been extremely fortunate so far, padding their stats against weak opponents. Their most impressive win was at home to LSU, in a game where they were out-gained 306-299 in total yards. My money is on the home team plus money. Take AUB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-17 | Florida v. Gonzaga +3 | 111-105 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. |
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11-24-17 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 92-104 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Both the Nuggets and the Grizzlies are dealing with injuries to star players, as Paul Millsap and Mike Conley are each expected to be sidelined for several weeks. The Nuggets are still in fairly good shape, with plenty of depth at PF with players like Kenneth Faried, Trey Lyles and Juan Hernangomez. The same can't be said for the Grizzlies, who have lost six straight, four of those games without their starting PG. Backup Mario Chalmers struggled in a home loss to Dallas on Wednesday, shooting just 2-of-11 from the field. He's shooting just .358 percent from the field this season, and a woeful .208 percent from beyond the arc. The Grizzlies haven't covered the spread in any of their six losses during this losing skid, and this looks like a tough spot playing at altitude in Denver. The Nuggets are 7-2 at home, and are coming off a loss at Houston. They are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss.  Take DEN.  GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-24-17 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia +7.5 | 10-0 | Loss | -125 | 79 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Virginia. |
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11-23-17 | Ohio State v. Gonzaga -6 | 59-86 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. |
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11-23-17 | Chargers +1 v. Cowboys | Top | 28-6 | Win | 100 | 77 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Chargers. |
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11-23-17 | Vikings v. Lions +3 | 30-23 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Lions.
The Vikings are sitting in first place in the NFC North with an 8-2 record, but I am still a skeptic. This is a team that lost both it's starting quarterback and it's leading rusher early in the year. Veteran backup Case Keenum has done a terrific job, and Latavius Murray and Jerrick McKinnon have done a decent job filling in for Dalvin Cook. But when I look at Minnesota's schedule, I see wins against Cleveland, Tampa, Baltimore, Chicago and Green Bay without Aaron Rodgers. They lost at home to Detroit in October, and now they come into the Motor City asked to cover a handful of points as a road favorite. I look at the Lions, and I see a team that is far better than it's 6-4 record. Three of those four losses came in one possession games, and that includes a controversial 30-26 loss to the Falcons, when Detroit's game winning TD was called back after video review. The Vikings have lost three straight versus the Lions, despite being favored to win in two of those three games. The underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings between the two teams, and the Vikings have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 road games. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-17 | Bulls v. Jazz -8.5 | Top | 80-110 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have struggled since the injury to Rudy Gobert, losing eight of their last 10 overall. They are in a good spot here tonight though, hosting the bottom feeders of the NBA (Chicago). The Bulls are playing on back to back nights, and also their third game in four nights. This looks like a throw away game for a team that is angling itself for a high lottery pick in the draft, rather than competing for a playoff spot. Rodney Hood scored 31 points on 12-of-21 shooting in a win over the Magic on Saturday, and he should prove to be a handful for a Bulls team that ranks 27th in the league in three-point defense. Some might expect the loss of shot blocking specialist Gobert to result in a more high scoring game, but according to the data that doesn't seem to be the case. Gobert only missed one game last season, but was sidelined for Utah's first three games in their first round playoff series versus the Clippers. Two of those three games saw less than 200 combined points. The previous season saw a stretch where Gobert missed 18 consecutive games, and in 13 of those games the combined score was less than 200 points. The Jazz are ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, holding opponents to an average of 101.1 points per game. I expect them to hold the Bulls to fewer than 90 points here in a double-digit home win. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-17 | Niagara v. BYU -12 | 88-95 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars.
I bet on the Cougars in their last game, and they came up short in a home loss to the Texas Arlington Mavericks. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Cougars are coming off an impressive road win at Princeton, beating the Tigers by a score of 65-56. The Cougars were 14-3 at home last year, and finished third in the WCC behind Gonzaga and St. Mary's. BYU has plenty of experience in the starting lineup, returning three of last year's starters, and getting Zac Seljaas back from a one year mission. Seljaas was a starter two seasons ago, and he's scored in double-digits in each of the first two games this season" The Mavericks shot out the lights in that game, hitting 60 percent of their three points attempts. That proved to be the difference in the game, but I expect a much better result here for BYU tonight. Niagara is coming off back to back road losses by 20+ points at Massachusetts and Minnesota. The Purple Eagles have failed to cover in six straight against teams with a winning record, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games. They have been out-rebounded by an average of more than 10 rebounds per game so far, and opponents have averaged 94.3 points on 51.2 percent shooting this season. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-17 | Penn State v. Texas A&M -6 | 87-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas A&M Aggies.
Texas A&M has won all three games so far by double digits, and during that span they played #11 ranked West Virginia, and an Oklahoma State team that was 20-13 overall last season. They will play Penn State tonight, and the Nittany Lions are off to a 5-0 start after finishing with a losing record last season. Despite the fact that the Aggies have played a far tougher schedule, they are shooting for a significantly higher percentage from the field, three point range and the free throw line. Their biggest edge seems to be in three-point shooting, hitting 46.2 percent of their attempts from behind the arc this season. Sophomore guard Tony Carr leads Penn State in scoring averaging 19 points per game, and he's battling an ankle injury that has already caused him to miss one game. The Aggies return all five starters from last season's team. The Nittany Lions have failed to cover in four straight versus SEC teams, and this looks like a tough ask for an inferior Penn State team. Take AGGIES. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-17 | Utah +1.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 83-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Utes.
The Ole Miss Rebels remained undefeated after beating Georgia State by a score of 77-72 at home on Friday. They had to rally from behind, trailing by eight points at the half in that game. The Utes are 3-0, and their wins have all been blowouts, by an average margin of well over 20 points. Utah was 20-12 last season, but only four of those losses came against unranked teams. I bet on Utah in their last game, a blowout win at home over Missouri. Here is what I said before that game: "The Utes have won their first two games by a combined 61 points. The Utes have four seniors in their starting lineup, along with junior guard Sedrick Barefield who leads the team in scoring.. Utah finished fourth in the PAC12 last year, with a home record of 14-3. Senior guard Gabe Bealer scored a team high 20 points and shot 6-of-8 from beyond the arc in the win over MVSU." With so much experienced talent, I can't see why Utah would be an underdog in a late game in Las Vegas. The Utes have dominated on the boards, and they are shooting for a higher percentage both from the field and the free throw line than the Rebels. Utah is 4-0 ATS in it's last four games against SEC teams. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-17 | Boise State +1 v. Iowa State | Top | 64-75 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boise State Broncos.
I bet against Iowa State as a double-digit favorite in their win over Appalachian State, and the Cyclones won that game 104-98. Here is what I said before tip off:Â "Iowa State has struggled after losing all five starters from last year. The Cyclones lost their season opener by double-digits at Missouri, and then they lost by almost 20 points at home to Milwaukee. Iowa State has been hammered on the boards, and rebounding appears to be a strength for the mountaineers. Senior guard Donovan Jackson had a tough game for the Cyclones in the loss to Milwaukee, shooting just 2-fo-11 and 0-for-4 from beyond the arc." Jackson is second on the team in scoring, despite shooting just 34 percent from the field in four games. The Cyclones have allowed opponents to average 81 points per game on 47.1 percent shooting during a 2-2 start. Boise State comes in with a 4-0 record, and they have held opponents to 63 points per game on 37.7 percent shooting. Chandler Hutchison led the team in scoring last year, and the 6"7 guard is back for his senior year. Boise State has an experienced team that can play at a high level on both offense and defense. I like the Broncos to win big. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-17 | Texas-Arlington v. BYU -6.5 | Top | 89-75 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the BYU Cougars.
The Cougars are coming off an impressive road win at Princeton, beating the Tigers by a score of 65-56. They return home to face the University of Texas Arlington, and this game comes with a huge revenge angle. The Mavericks defeated BYU by a score of 105-89 in last year's NIT Tournament. That was one of two games last season where the Mavs scored over 100 points, and they shot over 55 percent from the field in the victory. They were nowhere near as impressive in an 85-80 home win over Loyola Marymount in their season opener. They were out-rebounded 39-29 in that game, and rallied late to come from behind and win. They lost their first three road games last season, two of those losses came by a double-digit margin. The Cougars were 14-3 at home last year, and finished third in the WCC behind Gonzaga and St. Mary's. BYU has plenty of experience in the starting lineup, returning three of last year's starters, and getting Zac Seljaas back from a one year mission. Seljaas was a starter two seasons ago, and he's scored in double-digits in each of the first two games this season. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-17 | Missouri -8 v. Vanderbilt | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 105 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Missouri Tigers. |
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11-18-17 | UCLA v. USC -16 | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 25 m | Show | |
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11-17-17 | Heat v. Wizards -4.5 | 91-88 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards. |
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11-17-17 | Tulane v. Colorado State -4 | 80-53 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colorado State Rams. The Tulane Green Wave have won back to back games to start the season, which is a huge accomplishment for a team that won just six games all of last season. They lost seven of their first eight games last season, and five of those seven losses came by double digits. The Colorado State Rams won eight of their first 10 games last year, and finished second in the Mountain West. The Rams should have a huge advantage on the boards in this game, as they have averaged 47.5 rebounds per game so far. Their 6"11 sophomore forward Nico Carvacho pulled in a whopping 20 rebounds in 36 minutes in Tuesday's win over Winthrop. The Green Wave are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games, and I just can't see a team that lost 20 of it's first 24 games last season turning things around overnight. Take CSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-17 | Xavier v. Wisconsin -1 | 80-70 | Loss | -103 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. Jesse Schule |
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11-16-17 | Appalachian State +10.5 v. Iowa State | 98-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Appalachian State Mountaineers.
The Mountaineers 2-0 start has come against inferior opponents, but they are bringing back plenty of talent from last year. They lost their first two games of last season to Tennessee and Davidson, but by just a combined 21 points. They will be a double-digit underdog here against Iowa State, a team that has struggled after losing all five starters from last year. The Cyclones lost their season opener by double-digits at Missouri, and then they lost by almost 20 points at home to Milwaukee. Iowa State has been hammered on the boards, and rebounding appears to be a strength for the mountaineers. Junior guard Ronshad Shabazz has scored 49 points and has shot 6-of-11 from beyond the arc in two games this season. Senior guard Donovan Jackson had a tough game for the Cyclones in the loss to Milwaukee, shooting just 2-fo-11 and 0-for-4 from beyond the arc. The Cyclones haven't given any indication that they should be a favorite in this game, let alone a double-digit favorite. Take APP. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-17 | Kansas -4.5 v. Kentucky | 65-61 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
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11-14-17 | Denver v. Colorado -10 | 62-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
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11-14-17 | Michigan State +3 v. Duke | Top | 81-88 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Michigan State Spartans.
For the second consecutive year, the Blue Devils will play the nation's #2 ranked team in their third game of the season. Last year #5 ranked Duke lost by a score of 74-63 to #2 ranked Kentucky in Chicago. This year the Blue Devils are ranked #1, despite a starting lineup that features four freshman. The new faces have impressed against lesser opponents, much like last season when Duke scored over 200 points in wins over Sienna and Bryant in it's first two games. The Blue Devils lost four of seven games against ranked teams last season, and crashed out of the NCAA Tournament in an 82-66 loss to Oregon. The #2 ranked Spartans are a more experienced squad, four of their five starters played in last year's 78-69 loss to Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Miles Bridges led the team in scoring last year, and he returns for his sophomore season. The 6"7 guard scored scored 20 points on 9-of-15 shooting, pulling in 10 rebounds in 27 minutes in the Spartans season opener. While Duke tops the pre-season polls, there are plenty of reasons for skepticism. This is exactly why the ESPN BPI (Basketball Power Index) has them ranked 14th. It's not the talented freshman in the starting lineup that are the real concern, it's the lack of returning talent that is coming off the bench. I tend to agree with the BPI, and I think this lack of experience really has the potential to be a problem here early in the season in such a high profile game. Take MSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-17 | Coll Of Charleston v. Wichita State -16.5 | Top | 63-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wichita State Shockers.
Expectations are high for the Wichita State Shockers, who were 31-5 overall last season, once again finishing at the top of the Missouri Valley Conference. This year's squad is expected to rival the 2013 team that went to the Final Four with Ron Baker and Fred Van Fleet. They have four seniors in the starting lineup, and sophomore guard Landry Shamet who was the second leading scorer last year. They scored 109 points on 60.9 percent shooting in a 50+ point win in their season opener. The Shockers won their first five games last season, all of those wins coming by at least a 25 point margin. Perhaps the most impressive of those wins was an 82-47 win over LSU at a neutral site. They play tonight at home against the College of Charleston, a team who's first three losses last year came by an average margin of 21 points. They didn't look very impressive beating Sienna in their season opener. They shot just 32.9 percent from the field, and 20 percent from beyond the arc in that game. Charleston's leading rebounder, and second leading scorer from last season missed the game against Sienna with a knee injury. The status of All-CAA forward Jarrell Brantley for tonight's game is still unknown. The Shockers have been a great bet as a home favorite, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six when asked to cover double-digits. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-17 | Yale v. Wisconsin -14 | Top | 61-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. |
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11-12-17 | Vikings v. Redskins +1.5 | 38-30 | Loss | -115 | 75 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Redskins.
Washington is just 4-4, but the Skins are coming off an impressive road win at Seattle. This could breath new life into a team that has faced plenty of adversity. The Vikings come into the nation's capital as a favorite, boasting a 6-2 record. You might remember that Minnesota was in a similar spot last seasons, and would go on to lose five of their final eight games, missing the playoffs. If we take a look at the Vikings schedule, it's tough to pick even one impressive win. Wins over the Bears, Browns, Bucs and Baltimore don't hold up to Washington's wins over the Seahawks in Seattle, the Rams in LA, and the Raiders at home. The Redskins have gotten several key players back from injury, and Kirk Cousins finally appears to be developing some chemistry with his new receiving corps. One would have thought that the Vikings would have been in trouble losing their starting quarterback Sam Bradford, and star running back Dalvin Cook. Case Keenum has overachieved, and I expect him to struggle here on the road in a hostile environment against a defense that is far better than the likes of Cleveland who he faced last week. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-17 | Browns v. Lions -11.5 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 75 h 39 m | Show | |
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11-11-17 | Iowa +12.5 v. Wisconsin | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes.
Who would have guessed that Iowa could knock off Ohio State as an 18-point underdog? I guess I can't say I was surprised, as I had Iowa in that game. Here is what I had to say prior to kickoff: "Iowa is coming off a 17-10 home win over Minnesota, and they are now 4-1 at home. Their one loss came to Penn State, in a game that they led right up until the final play of the game, as the Nittany Lions scored the game winning TD as time expired, winning 21-19. The Hawkeyes have a history of playing the best teams in the BIG10 tough, but still they are getting a whopping 18 points as a home underdog versus Ohio State. They have played six home games against ranked teams dating back to 2014, and they are just 2-4 in those games. All six of those games were decided by single digits, and five of the six were decided by four points or less" I also made note of the fact that Iowa had a history of playing tight games against the Buckeyes: "They have won five straight against Iowa, but they failed to cover the spread in each of the last three meetings." It's a similar story when the Hawkeyes have played Wisconsin, with five of the last six meetings being decided by 10 points or less. Four of the last five games in this series have been decided by a single possession, and the road team has won outright in six straight. Iowa last played at Wisconsin in 2015, winning by a score of 10-6. It's a tough ask to expect Wisconsin to cover a double digit spread here. Take IOWA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-17 | Virginia Tech v. Georgia Tech +3 | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 95 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
The Virginia Tech Hokies were exposed in a 28-10 loss to Miami last week. Most had expected them to give the Hurricanes a tougher game, but looking back on it, perhaps it's not such a surprise. The Hokies have enjoyed a pretty soft schedule, and their signature win came against a West Virginia team that ranks 89th nationally in scoring defense. The public hasn't given up on the Hokies though, as they come into Atlanta as a road favorite versus Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets are 4-4, but they've played a far tougher schedule than Virginia Tech. Three of their four losses came on the road, and three of those four losses came against ranked teams. The only home loss was a 42-41 game against Tennessee, that was decided with a failed two-point conversion in overtime. The Yellow Jackets last home game was 38-24 win over Wake Forest, and they ran for 427 yards and five TDs in that game. The Hokies struggled to defend the run last week against Miami, and they lost 30-20 at home to Georgia Tech last year. The Yellow Jackets ran for over 300 yards and three TDs in that game. I don't see any reason why the Hokies should be a road favorite here, and I'll take the points. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-17 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State +7 | 49-42 | Push | 0 | 86 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Iowa State Cyclones. |
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11-10-17 | Washington -6 v. Stanford | 22-30 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 59 m | Show | |
  This is a 9* play on the Washington Huskies. If you have ever wondered what the Stanford Cardinal would look like without leading rusher Bryce Love, look no further than their 15-14 win over the Oregon State Beavers. The Cardinal looked certain to lose that game, but just before the Beavers were about to go into the victory formation, they fumbled the ball. That allowed Stanford to score a last minute touchdown, avoiding the upset. Stanford totaled just 222 yards on offense against the Beavers, and despite the return of Bryce Love, they failed to reach 200 yards of offense in last week's 24-21 loss to Washington State. Love only carried the ball 16 times for 69 yards in that game, and he faces a tough Huskies defense here just six days later. The Huskies boast the best run defense in the PAC12, and they rank 3rd nationally allowing just 2.6 yards per attempt. Washington is coming off a 38-3 home win over the Oregon Ducks, and running back Royce Freeman who is second behind Bryce Love in rushing yards in the PAC12. The Huskies beat Stanford 44-6 last year, and the Cardinal ran for a total of just 29 yards on 30 carries. I don't think home field is going to be enough to change the fact that the Cardinal just don't match up well against Washington.  Take WAS.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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11-10-17 | Nets v. Blazers -8.5 | 101-97 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
   This is an 8* play on the Portland Blazers.  After winning the first two games of this home stand, the Blazers fell 98-97 to the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday. They have had two days to rest ahead of tonight's game versus Brooklyn, and this looks like a perfect opponent for the Blazers to lay a beating on. The Nets have lost two of three on this road trip, with the average margin of defeat in those games being 10 points. They are dealing with some injuries to key players, and with the second game of a back to back in Utah tomorrow, this figures to be a tough spot. The Nets are 1-5 straight up on the road, and they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight versus teams from the Northwest. The Blazers have won four straight versus Brooklyn, covering the spread in three of those four wins. Portland has had a challenging schedule, but when they have faced inferior opponents they have been a good bet. The Blazers are 9-3-1 in their last 13 versus teams with a sub .500 record.  Take POR.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-10-17 | Bucks v. Spurs -4.5 | 94-87 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
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11-10-17 | Elon +20 v. Duke | 68-97 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Elon Phoenix. So #1 ranked Duke opens the season against Elon, and the Blue Devils are asked to win by 20 points. The bookmakers are well aware that bettors will be eager to back the favorite here, and for that reason this line appears to be grossly inflated. If you are thinking that Elon is just some minnow from a weaker conference, think again! They finished fourth in the CAA last year, and they faced the conference champs twice, going 1-1 in those games. UNC Wilmington is a team that people are a little more familiar with, as they qualified for the NCAA Tournament, and were eliminated by Virginia in a game decided by four points. The Blue Devils have played Elon every year since 2012, and they have only covered the spread twice in their last six versus the Phoenix. Last year Elon covered in a 72-61 loss, and in 2014 they covered in a 75-62 loss. They are bringing back all five starters from last season, including leading scorer Brian Dawkins (one of two seniors in the starting lineup). Duke is loaded will talented freshmen, and only Grayson Allen remains from last year's starting five. The Blue Devils will no doubt be a contender, but it will likely take a few weeks for the freshmen to get settled in. Duke has won 17 straight season openers, but they weren't all blowouts. I'll take the points. Take ELON. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-09-17 | Cavs v. Rockets -5 | 113-117 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
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11-07-17 | Akron +7 v. Miami-OH | 14-24 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
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11-07-17 | Bowling Green +8 v. Buffalo | 28-38 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bowling Green Falcons. Jesse Schule |
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11-06-17 | Lions v. Packers | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 184 h 18 m | Show |
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11-04-17 | Arizona +7.5 v. USC | Top | 35-49 | Loss | -110 | 146 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona is the hottest team in the PAC12, coming into Pasadena off four straight wins over Colorado, UCLA, Cal and Washington State. They scored 45+ points in all four of those wins, doing the bulk of the damage on the ground. That could spell trouble for a USC team that ranks 87th nationally against the run. Two weeks ago they were manhandled in a 49-14 loss to Notre Dame. The Irish ran for 377 yards and five TDs in the win. The Trojans are 5-0 at home, but have failed to cover in four of those five wins. Most recently they beat Utah by a score of 28-27, needing a failed two-point conversion by the Utes to escape with the win. The Wildcats are 3-0 on the road, and their two losses this season both came in games decided by less than seven points. I expect this game to come right down to the wire, last score wins. Take ARI. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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11-04-17 | Ohio State v. Iowa +18 | 24-55 | Win | 100 | 74 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Iowa Hawkeyes.
Iowa is coming off a 17-10 home win over Minnesota, and they are now 4-1 at home. Their one loss came to Penn State, in a game that they led right up until the final play of the game, as the Nittany Lions scored the game winning TD as time expired, winning 21-19. The Hawkeyes have a history of playing the best teams in the BIG10 tough, but still they are getting a whopping 18 points as a home underdog versus Ohio State. They have played six home games against ranked teams dating back to 2014, and they are just 2-4 in those games. All six of those games were decided by single digits, and five of the six were decided by four points or less. Ohio State is coming off a come from behind win at home over Penn State, paving their way to the BIG10 Championship Game. This could set them up for a let down here on the road a week later. They have won five straight against Iowa, but they failed to cover the spread in each of the last three meetings. The Buckeyes have been one of the most overrated teams this season, as evidenced by the fact that they are 1-5 ATS in their last six versus teams with a winning record. Take IOWA. GL , Jesse Schule |
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11-03-17 | Heat v. Nuggets -5 | Top | 94-95 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 2 m | Show |
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11-01-17 | Astros +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Astros +1.5. |
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11-01-17 | Central Michigan +4 v. Western Michigan | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
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10-29-17 | Falcons -4 v. Jets | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 96 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Falcons. Â At 3-4 the Jets have been far more competitive than anybody thought they would be this season. We can't give them too much credit though, as their wins have come against the Browns, Dolphins and Jaguars. Atlanta's offense hasn't been as prolific as it was last year, but this week looks like a good spot for the Falcons to bust loose. The Jets pass defense has surrendered more yards than the Cleveland Browns this season, and in the past two games opponents have thrown for 583 yards and six TDs. Julio Jones is still the most dominant receiver in the game, and the Jets are going to have a tough time keeping him under wraps. "He's going to be a load," Jets head coach Todd Bowles said about Jones. "He's been triple-teamed and quadrupled. ... He's that great." This is a must win game for Atlanta, and with all the talent on both sides of the ball, they should prove to be too much to handle for a below average Jets team. Â Take ATL. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule
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10-28-17 | Calgary v. Edmonton +3.5 | Top | 20-29 | Win | 100 | 34 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Edmonton Eskimos. |
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10-28-17 | Georgia v. Florida +14.5 | Top | 42-7 | Loss | -110 | 137 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Florida Gators. |
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10-24-17 | Pelicans v. Blazers -4.5 | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
   This is a 5* play on the Portland TrailBlazers.  The Blazers are off to a solid start, winning two of three on the road to open the season. They are coming off a 113-110 loss at Milwaukee, in a game decided by a buzzer beater. They play their home opener against the New Orleans Pelicans, who have won just one of three games, and nearly blew a big lead in LA on Sunday. Everyone knows that Portland is a strong home team, but their streak of 16 consecutive wins in their home opener is an NBA record. The Pelicans were just 13-28 on the road last season, and they've failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven at Portland. The Blazers aren't known for their defense, but currently they rank in the Top 5 in the league allowing just 95 points per game. The Pelicans have allowed over 114 points per game so far, ranking near the bottom of the league in most defensive categories. Damian Lillard has owned the Pelicans, averaging over 27 points in his last five games against them. I expect the Blazers to make it 17 straight wins in their home opener.  Take POR.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-23-17 | Redskins v. Eagles -4.5 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
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10-21-17 | Yankees +1.5 v. Astros | 0-4 | Loss | -178 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the NYY. Â The Bronx Bombers will play another Game 7 here in Houston, and they turn to the same veteran Southpaw who pitched in Game 7 at Cleveland in the ALDS. Â C.C. Sabathia has been extremely sharp this post-season, and he shutout the Astros through six innings in Game 3 in New York. The left-hander doesn't mind pitching on the road, he was 7-3 with a 3.18 ERA in 14 starts away from the Bronx during the regular season. Â The Astros hand the ball to Charlie Morton, who was rocked in Game 3, taking the loss opposite Sabathia. He allowed seven runs on six hits and two walks over just 3 2/3 innings in that game. He wasn't a whole lot better in the series versus Boston, allowing a pair of runs on seven hits and two walks over 4 1/3 innings in a no decision. Â The Yankees have to love seeing Morton in Game 7, they are batting .327 with seven home runs and 27 RBIs over a combined 113 at bats against him in past meetings. Â Take NYY. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule
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10-21-17 | Michigan v. Penn State -9.5 | 13-42 | Win | 100 | 58 h 33 m | Show | |
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10-21-17 | Louisville v. Florida State -6 | 31-28 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Jesse Schule |
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10-17-17 | Celtics +3.5 v. Cavs | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. Kyrie Irving and his Celtics would appear to have a lot more to prove than Cleveland here on Opening Night. The Celtics are the defending Eastern Conference champs, and Cleveland has already proven that regular season success is not a high priority. It was Kyrie Irving that was the better player in the NBA Finals when Cleveland won the title, and he was better in last year's Finals as well. Isaiah Thomas finished 5th in MVP voting with the Celtics last year, and now Irving steps in to fill his role as "The Man" in Boston. It's worth noting that in Boston's loss to Cleveland in the NBA Finals, they were far more competitive without Thomas in the lineup. They covered the spread in both Games 3 & 4 in Cleveland, and they led by double-digits at halftime in Game 4. The Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games, and 3-0-1 ATS in their last four at Cleveland. I'll take the points. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-17 | Giants v. Broncos -10 | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 167 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Denver Broncos.
The last quarterback who lost at Denver, is now on the shelf with a broken back (Derek Carr). The Broncos are now well rested, with plenty of time to heal up and prepare a game plan for the winless Giants. Eli Manning and the boys will likely arrive at Mile High Stadium, driving a heavy armored vehicle on tracks (tank). Yes that's right, at this point in the season it makes more sense for the Giants to be looking ahead at the draft. Odell Beckham Jr. and Brandon Marshall are both done for the year, and it's unclear if Sterling Sheppard will be available. Denver has won the last two meetings in this series by a combined 38 points, and another double digit win seems inevitable. The "no fly zone" defense is likely to not only stop the Giants offense, but also force turnovers and pile on points with defensive TDs. With so many injuries in the receiving corps, it would be nice for the Giants to be able to lean on their running game. New York ranks 28th in the league averaging just 77 yards per game on the ground, and Denver's defense is allowing a league low 50.8 rushing yards per game. No matter how you draw it up, this looks like it's going to be a massacre. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-17 | Bears v. Ravens -6 | 27-24 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
 This is a 5* play on the Baltimore Ravens.  The Bears looked quite competitive in a home loss to the Vikings on Monday night, but a road game at Baltimore looks like a much tougher spot. Chicago has played two road games this season, losing those two games by a combined 43 points. Rookie quarterback Mitch Trubisky looked brilliant at times in his NFL debut, but his 48 percent completion percentage and his late interception setting up the game winning score for the Vilkings proves he still has a long way to go. He'll face a Ravens defense that ranks second in the NFL in INTs, and first in turnovers. The Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games, and I think they should have little trouble beating up on a bad Bears team. Chicago just doesn't appear to have enough weapons to keep this game close.  Take BAL.  GL,  Jesse Schule
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10-14-17 | Boise State +7.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 115 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Boise State Broncos. San Diego State is off to an impressive start, coming into this week's home game against rivals Boise State with a 6-0 record. Their signature win was a 20-17 home victory over #19 ranked Stanford, but their most recent home game was a lackluster 34-28 win over Northern Illinois. The Broncos are 3-2, but one of those losses was an impressive effort in a 47-44 loss at Washington State. Last week the Broncos held BYU to just 238 total yards in an impressive 24-7 road win. These teams have a history of playing close games, with two of the last three head to head meetings being decided by three points or less. The Broncos last played at San Diego State in 2013, and they lost 34-31. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in this series, and I believe this San Diego State team has become significantly overvalued due to early season success. This game should be a good one, far from a cake walk for the home favorite. I'll take the points. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-17 | Toronto v. Edmonton -7 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Edmonton Eskimos. |
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10-14-17 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia -4.5 | 35-46 | Win | 100 | 132 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the West Virginia Mountaineers.
The West Virginia Mountaineers aren't getting a lot of respect here at home versus Texas Tech. After all this is a team that they trounced by a score of 48-17 last year, and that game was at Lubbock. With the Red Raiders coming to Morgantown, I see no reason why the result will be any different. Sure Texas Tech has improved defensively, but they still lost 41-34 at home to Oklahoma State two weeks ago. Their offense doesn't appear to be quite as prolific as it was with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. Nic Shimonek threw for 330 yards with 1 TD and an INT on 29-of-46 passing in the loss to the Cowboys. That was a home game, and now he's playing on the road against a far better defense in West Virginia. The Red Raiders lost 31-26 in their last game at Morgantown (back in 2015). Texas Tech might look like a sexy pick as a dog, but keep in mind that the Red Raiders have lost 16 straight versus Top 25 teams. Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-17 | Clemson v. Syracuse +24 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange.
Clemson opened as a 21 point favorite, but public money has pushed this line up several points during the week. It might be tough for the defending champions to get up for this game, and it could be a spot where they get caught looking ahead with Georgia Tech and NC State coming up in the next few weeks. The status of starting quarterback Kelly Bryant had been in question, but he is expected to start despite suffering from an ankle injury. We might expect the injury to discourage him from running the ball, and his passing numbers have been rather pedestrian. He's thrown just four TD passes and four INTs in six starts. Syracuse is 3-3, and all three losses have come by single digits. They lost 35-26 at LSU, and 33-25 at N.C. State. The Orange are 3-1 at home, and their last home game versus Clemson was a 37-27 loss back in 2015. Eric Dungey ranks among the nation's leading passers, with 1802 yards, nine TDs and four INTs. He's proven to be quite capable of padding his stats in garbage time, which might be exactly what is required to get a back door cover. Take SYR. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-09-17 | Vikings v. Bears +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 69 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Chicago Bears.
The Vikings are a favorite here in Chicago, despite the fact that they are 0-1 on the road, and coming off a home loss to the Lions. They are expecting starting quarterback Sam Bradford to return from from a knee injury, but they have plenty of other injury concerns. Leading rusher Dalvin Cook was lost for the season after suffering an ACL tear in the loss to the Lions last week. Latavius Murray will take over as the feature back, and he's averaged just 2.7 yards per carry so far. The biggest story heading into this MNF contest will be the debut of rookie quarterback Mitch Trubisky. He completed 68 percent of his passes for 364 yards with three TDs and no INTs while playing in four pre-season games for the Bears. If Chicago comes in expecting him to do what Deshaun Watson did, then they are setting him up for failure. Watson doesn't have the dynamic duo of Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen in the backfield. If John Fox has even a few functioning brain cells, he will protect his young quarterback and lean heavily on his run game. In a game likely to be decided by a field goal, I'll take the home dog plus the points. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-17 | Chiefs -1 v. Texans | Top | 42-34 | Win | 100 | 139 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas City Chiefs. |
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10-08-17 | Ravens +3 v. Raiders | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Baltimore Ravens.
The Ravens have fallen out of favor after back to back blowout losses to Jacksonville and Pittsburgh. It was only a few weeks ago that pundits had them going to the Super Bowl behind a defense that led the league in turnovers. Playing at Oakland against a backup quarterback that is prone to turning the ball over, might just be what the doctor ordered for this Ravens defense. E.J. Manuel threw for 106 yards and an INT on 11-of-17 passing. He has thrown 19 touchdown passes in his career, along with 16 INTs and seven fumbles. Both his top two wide receivers are nursing lingering injuries, and it's unclear if Michael Crabtree will play at all. With all the challenges facing the Raiders, I just don't think they should be a favorite. I'll take the points. Take BAL, GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-17 | Stanford v. Utah +7 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 131 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Utah Utes. |
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10-07-17 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -170 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Arizona D'Backs +1.5.
Arizona was due for a let down after their emotional Wild Card Game win over Colorado. Sure enough they went down 4-0 in the first inning in Game 1 against the Dodgers, and went on to lose by a score of 9-5. There are plenty of positives to take away from that game though, as the bats scored four runs on Clayton Kershaw and tagged Kenley Jansen for a run in the ninth. They should be in good shape if they can get a solid performance from Robbie Ray tonight. Ray (15-5, 2.89 ERA) was 8-1 with a 1.86 ERA in 15 starts on the road this season. He owned the Dodgers, going 3-0 with a 2.27 ERA in five starts. The Dodgers hand the ball to Rich Hill, who struggled against the D'Backs this season. He was 0-3 with a 5.01 ERA in four starts versus Arizona this season. Prior to Game 1, the D'Backs had swept the Dodgers in back to back three game series. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-17 | Washington State -2.5 v. Oregon | 33-10 | Win | 100 | 141 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Washington State.
If you were thinking that the Cougars are in a let down spot coming off their biggest ever win over USC, think again. This team is solid on both sides of the ball, and they have a favorable matchup here in Oregon against a one-dimensional Ducks team. The Ducks defense is still well below average, they've given up 26 points per game despite facing five unranked teams. They almost blew a big lead in a 42-35 home win over Nebraska. Losing starting quarterback Justin Herbert with a broken collarbone really hurts, as backup Taylor Alie was just 9-of-13 for 41 yards and an INT when he came in to replace him against Cal. The Cougars have covered the spread in seven straight versus Oregon, winning outright in each of the last two seasons. Take WAZZU. GL. Jesse Schule |
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10-06-17 | Cubs +1.5 v. Nationals | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Chicago Cubs +1.5.
The Cubs finished the season strong, winning eight of their final 11 games. Two of the three losses during that span came in games decided by one run. I expect a pitcher's duel, and a close Game 1 here in the nation's capital. Kyle Hendricks will toe the slab for Chicago, and he proved he can perform in the post season by going 1-1 with a 1.42 ERA in last year's playoffs. He allowed four runs, while striking out 19 batters over 25 1/3 innings in five appearances. He was far better in the second half of this season than he was in the first half. Hendricks went 3-2 with a 2.19 ERA in 13 starts after the All Star break. Stephen Strasburg was unhittable in the second half of the season, but the Cubs have gotten to him in the past. Jason Heyward is batting .405 over a career 37 at bats versus Strasburg. Four of the last eight games between these two teams have been decided by a single run. Take CHC. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-05-17 | Patriots v. Bucs +6 | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Â The Patriots are not only suffering from a Super Bowl hangover, but they have been hit hard by the injury bug early this season. They come into Tampa with a 2-2 record and statistically the league's worst defense. Tampa is 2-1 (2-0 at home), and quarterback Jameis Winston is coming off back to back 300+ yard passing performances. Doug Martin returns from suspension, and he's facing a New England defense that has allowed a whopping 5.1 yards per attempt. Only the Jacksonville Jaguars rank worse, allowing 5.7 yards per attempt. The Patriots had no answer for Cam Newton last week at Foxboro, and now they face a far tougher test on the road at Tampa. Jameis Winston is a better passer than Cam, and his receiving corps is by far superior. Great value here with Tampa as a home dog. Â Take TB. Â GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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10-03-17 | Twins +1.5 v. Yankees | 4-8 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 29 m | Show | |
V This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Twins +1.5.The Twins finished the season strong, winning seven of their last 10 overall. Five of those wins came on the road. The Yankees fell just short of catching Boston for first place in the AL East, and now they host the Twins in the AL Wild Card game. Ervin Santana will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's been great on the road this season. The veteran is 10-3 with a 2.71 ERA in 17 road starts in 2017. He pitched well in New York a few weeks ago, allowing just runs on seven hits over 5 2/3 innings in a 2-1 loss. The Yankees hand the ball to 23 year old Luis Severino, who hasn't pitched as well at home as he has on the road. His only start against the Twins didn't go well, he was rocked for three runs on five hits in just three innings. The Bronx Bombers have lost five straight playoff games, and four of their last five post-season games at Yankee Stadium. Take MINNY +1.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-17 | Swansea City v. West Ham United -0.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 61 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play play on West Ham. Â The Hammers were expected to be a dark horse to threaten for one of the top five spots in the Premier League this season, but they got off to a horrendous start. They were outscored 10-2 while losing their first three league matches, but they've played far better football over their last three matches. During that span they've scored four goals while conceding three, going 1-1-1. The one loss came to Tottenham by a score of 3-2. Swansea has only scored three goals in six league games, and those goals came against Crystal Palace and Watford. West Ham has won the last two meetings between the two teams, outscoring the Swans 5-1 in those games. Â Take WHU. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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09-29-17 | Miami-FL v. Duke +7 | 31-6 | Loss | -125 | 88 h 10 m | Show | |
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09-28-17 | Bears +7.5 v. Packers | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bears.
The Packers are a heavy favorite at home Thursday, facing their most fierce rival the Chicago Bears. Green Bay is off to a shaky start, and I think they are getting too much credit for their 2-1 record. They needed overtime to beat the 0-3 Cincinnati Bengals last week, and their Week 1 win over Seattle was controversial due to poor officiating. Aaron Rodgers was sacked six times on Sunday, and the Packers offensive line is being held together with duct tape and chewing gum. Bryan Bulaga and David Bakhtiari are both doubtful for this game. The game plan for Chicago should be simple, run the ball and hold possession for as long as possible so you can keep the ball out of Aaron Rodgers hands. Green Bay currently ranks 21st in the NFL against the run, which is quite telling since they haven't yet faced a team with a potent running game. Jordan Howard ran for 140 yards and two TDs on 23 carries in the win over Pittsburgh last week. He's playing through pain with a sore shoulder, but he wasn't listed in the injury report on Monday. I like Howard to have a big game here at Lambeau, and I think the Bears keep it close. The Bears lost their last game at Green Bay by a score of 26-10, but the Packers led by a score of 6-3 at the half in that game. The under is 4-1 in Chicago's last five games at Green Bay. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys v. Cardinals +3.5 | 28-17 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arizona.
Last week the Cowboys were lit up by a below average quarterback. Trevor Siemian threw for 231 yards and four TDs on 22-of-32 passing in a 42-17 win. They come into Arizona with a banged up secondary. Nolan Caroll and Chidobe Awuzie are out, while Orlando Scandrick is questionable. This looks like a great spot for Carson Palmer and the Arizona offense to pile on the points in their home opener. Dallas finished 26th overall in pass defense last year, and after seeing them get blown out in Denver, it looks like many of the same problems persist. With Arizona looking to pick on the Cowboys back ups in the secondary, we could see plenty of flags. Dallas was penalized 8 times for 69 yards last week, and the officiating crew for tonight's game are pretty quick to throw the flag. In Week 1, Craig Wrolstad and his crew called a whopping 13 penalties on the Steelers. The same crew flagged the Patriots nine times in their win over the Saints in Week 2. In two games they have thrown a total of 31 flags. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-22-17 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg -7 | Top | 9-29 | Win | 100 | 37 h 5 m | Show |
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09-17-17 | Titans v. Jaguars | Top | 37-16 | Win | 100 | 157 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Titans. Jesse Schule |
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