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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-08-18 | Towson v. Drexel +3.5 | 94-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Drexel Dragons. |
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02-07-18 | Marquette v. Seton Hall -6.5 | Top | 88-85 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Seton Hall Pirates.
The Pirates rarely lose at home, in fact they are 12-1 on their home floor this season. The one loss came to #11 ranked Xavier by a score of 73-64. Marquette comes into tonight's game unranked, and coming off four straight losses. The Eagles won their first road game in the Big East by a score of 95-90 at Providence, but have since lost three straight by double digits at Villanova, Xavier and Butler. Seton Hall is coming off a blowout loss on the road at Villanova, but the Pirates are a good bet to bounce back. They have covered the spread in eight of their last 11 when coming off a loss. Marquette tends to struggle against the better teams in the Big East, and the Eagles have failed to cover in four of their last five versus a team with a winning record. The Pirates lost at Marquette earlier this season by a score of 84-64. They have a chance to execute a little revenge here tonight, so I expect another blowout win for the home team. Take HALL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-18 | New Mexico v. San Jose State +8.5 | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Jose State Spartans. |
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02-03-18 | Michigan State v. Indiana +8.5 | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
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02-03-18 | Miami-OH v. Northern Illinois -2 | 81-65 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies.
I bet on Northern Illinois a few weeks ago, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Huskies will host the Chicago Illinois Fire tonight, and the Fire are still winless (0-4) on the road. They have been terrible on defense in those losses, surrendering 87.5 points per game on better than 52 percent shooting. The Huskies are 4-1 at home, and they have been solid defensively in those games. They have allowed just 65 points per game, holding opponents below 40 percent shooting. The Huskies beat the Fire by double digits at home last year, and won 70-65 at Chicago the previous season. UIC is just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall, and they have failed to cover in five straight against teams with a winning record. They've also covered just once in their last five versus a team from the MAC. Eugene German scored 17 points on 7-of-10 shooting in last year's game, and he comes in as the team's leading scorer averaging over 20 points per game. The Huskies lost at Marquette in their last game, but covered the spread as a double digit dog. They have been better than the bookmakers have expected, covering the spread in all but one of their last six games. I like NIU to win comfortably at home here." The Huskies are coming off back to back road losses, but return home to host Miami-Oh. With an 8-1 home record, they look good as a short favorite against a team that they beat 62-58 at home last year. Take NIU. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-18 | Fairfield v. Monmouth -3 | 79-78 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Monmouth Hawks.
I bet on Monmouth in their last game, but they came up just short as a five point underdog at Rider. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Rider Broncs sit in first place in the MAAC, but they haven't really played like a first place team lately. While they have won four straight, all four of those games came against last place teams (St. Peters, Fairfield and Marist are all tied with a 2-7 conference record). All four of those wins came by four points or fewer, and only two of their eight conference wins come against teams with a winning record, and none of those were teams in the top four. Monmouth has had a far more challenging schedule, and four of their five losses in conference play have come against teams with a winning record. Three of those losses came in games decided by three points or less. The Hawks have also been without their leading scorer in four of their last nine games" Fairfield has really struggled on the road, with a record of 1-8. The Stags have failed to cover in five straight road games, and they have lost seven straight in this series versus Monmouth. Â Take MONM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-18 | Raptors -3 v. Wizards | Top | 119-122 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
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01-31-18 | Syracuse v. Georgia Tech +1.5 | Top | 51-55 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
 Earlier this season I bet on the Yellow Jackets in a home win over Northwestern. Here is what I had to say before that game: "How good is Georgia Tech at home? Well they've won 18 of their last 22 home games. That's even more impressive than it sounds, when you consider their tough conference schedule. Last year they had home wins over champions North Carolina (ranked #9), Florida State (ranked #6) and Notre Dame (ranked #14). They host Northwestern tonight, and the Wildcats have already lost twice, dropping out of the Top 25. Senior center Ben Lammers leads the Yellow Jackets in scoring averaging 17 points per game, and freshman guard Jose Alvarado is second on the team averaging 14.3 PPG on 58.8 shooting. The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games." They host the Syracuse Orange tonight, and once again they are underdog. The unranked Orange have lost three of four road games in conference play. They are 2-3 overall on the road, with both wins coming against bottom feeders. They won 60-55 at Pittsburgh, and they rallied late to force overtime at Georgetown, winning by a score of 86-79. The Orange lost by a score of 71-65 at Georgia Tech last year, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games. |
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01-28-18 | Clemson v. Georgia Tech +3 | Top | 72-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
 Earlier this season I bet on the Yellow Jackets in a home win over Northwestern. Here is what I had to say before that game: "How good is Georgia Tech at home? Well they've won 18 of their last 22 home games. That's even more impressive than it sounds, when you consider their tough conference schedule. Last year they had home wins over champions North Carolina (ranked #9), Florida State (ranked #6) and Notre Dame (ranked #14). They host Northwestern tonight, and the Wildcats have already lost twice, dropping out of the Top 25. Senior center Ben Lammers leads the Yellow Jackets in scoring averaging 17 points per game, and freshman guard Jose Alvarado is second on the team averaging 14.3 PPG on 58.8 shooting. The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games." They host the Clemson Tigers tonight, and Clemson is reeling after suffering a historic defeat at Virginia (61-36). Not only did they lose that game, they lost senior forward Donte Grantham, second on the team in scoring and their leading rebounder. Clemson is 1-3 on the road in conference play, with their only win coming by just four points against perennial bottom feeders Boston College. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-18 | Oakland v. Wright State +1 | 51-64 | Win | 102 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wright State Raiders.
I bet on Oakland as a big underdog on the road at Northern Kentucky on Friday, and they won outright by a score of 83-70. Here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The Oakland Grizzlies finished in first place in the Horizon League last year, and they won more than their fair share of road games in the process. They were 10-2 on the road last year, and they have won three of four road games in the Horizon League so far this season. The Grizzlies are on the road at North Kentucky tonight, looking to avenge a home loss to the Norse earlier this season. Oakland led 47-41 at halftime in that game, but the Norse pulled away in the second half, winning by a score of 87-83. The Grizzlies had won and covered in each of the previous three meetings, including a 79-70 win at Northern Kentucky last January. Oakland comes in averaging over 85 points per game over their last five, which is 10 points more than the Norse have averaged during the same span. Northern Kentucky may be 7-1 in the Horizon League, but only one of those wins came against a team with a winning record, and that was their win at Oakland." Now just days later, they are a favorite (or pickem) on the road at Wright State, the Horizon Conference leader. Wright State already won at Oakland earlier this year by a score of 86-81 in OT (142 points in regulation). Wright State is 10-1 at home, and they have allowed opponents to average 57.3 points in those games. The under is 10-1 in the Raiders last 11 home games. Take WRST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-18 | Hornets v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 91-95 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Miami Heat.
The Heat led by 12 points halfway through the fourth quarter in an 89-88 loss to Sacramento on Thursday, and such a devastating loss should provide plenty of motivation as they get set to Host Charlotte tonight. The Hornets are just 6-13 on the road, and they have lost five straight in this series versus Miami. The Heat covered the spread in all five of those games, and they are asked to cover just a handful of point here tonight. The Heat have been a great bet when coming off a loss, covering the spread in seven of their last eight such situations. The Hornets are coming off a blowout win at home over Atlanta last night, and Charlotte has failed to cover in four of it's last five when playing the second leg of a back to back. They are also 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-18 | Oklahoma State +7 v. Arkansas | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. |
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01-27-18 | Wyoming v. San Jose State +10.5 | 90-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Jose State Spartans.
The Spartans have lost eight straight, but they have been competitive at home. Three of their last four home losses came by a single digit margin, and they are getting double digits at home to Wyoming tonight. The Cowboys have won seven of the last eight in this series, but they only covered the spread in two of those games. Wyoming has been a bad bet as a favorite, going 6-25-2 ATS in their last 33 games versus a team with a losing straight up record. They are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 road games versus a team with a losing home record. Wyoming is coming off a double overtime win over conference powerhouse Nevada, winning by a score of 104-103. This sets them up for a potential let down on the road against an inferior opponent. Take SJS. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-18 | Texas A&M v. Kansas -6.5 | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Kansas Jayhawks. |
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01-27-18 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh +10 | 60-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
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01-27-18 | Virginia +5 v. Duke | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Virginia Cavs.
The Cavs are undefeated (8-0) in the ACC, which isn't really that big of a deal. At this point in the season, there is usually one or two teams that are undefeated. The manner in which they have been winning, is what is of particular significance. They have allowed just 50.5 points per game in conference play, and they are coming off a record breaking 61-36 win over #18 ranked Clemson. Many people will say that Virginia is due to suffer a let down, and I don't disagree that this is a possibility. To me, losing by 3-4 points at Duke would be a let down, and that still has them covering the spread. History suggests that getting the Cavs plus the points is a great bet. The Cavs are 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 visits to Cameron Indoor Stadium. They have lost five straight, but covered in all five of those games. Their last game at Duke was a 63-62 loss in 2016. The road team is 19-6-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings between these two teams. I'll take those points thank you very much. Take UVA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-18 | 76ers v. Spurs -3.5 | 97-78 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
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01-26-18 | Lakers v. Bulls -4 | 108-103 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bulls. |
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01-26-18 | Rockets -3 v. Pelicans | 113-115 | Loss | -122 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Rockets. |
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01-25-18 | Avalanche +1.5 v. Blues | 1-3 | Loss | -195 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Colorado Avalanche +1.5. |
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01-25-18 | Wizards v. Thunder -5.5 | Top | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder. |
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01-25-18 | SMU -5.5 v. Connecticut | 52-63 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the SMU Mustangs. |
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01-24-18 | Suns +7.5 v. Pacers | 101-116 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Phoenix Suns.
 The Suns come into Indiana off a four point loss at Milwaukee. They have covered the spread in three straight, and won outright at Denver. The Pacers have just returned from a five game road trip, winning three of those five games. This looks like a potential let down spot for Indiana, coming off an upset win over the Spurs in San Antonio. The Suns actually have more win on the road (9) than they do at home (8) this season. They have also been a good bet when getting points on the road, going 9-4T ATS in their last 13 road games. They have also been a good bet when losing their last game, they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Devin Booker had an off night in Milwaukee, after scoring 30+ in his previous two games at Denver and Portland. The Pacers crushed the Suns in Phoenix last week, which could add a bit of a revenge factor here for tonight's game. I expect a much better effort from the Suns, and I like their chances of keeping it close.  Take PHX.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots -9 | 20-24 | Loss | -105 | 146 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots.
There has been a lot of rumors flying around regarding the health of Tom Brady, who reportedly suffered a hand injury in practice mid week. I'll take a banged up Brady over Blake Bortles any day. Last week the Jaguars were helped by a handful of poor coaching decisions by the Steelers, but they can't rely on superior strategy here at Foxboro. I expect Bill Belichick to have more than a few tricks up his sleeve. The fact that the Jags have won back to back playoff games has masked just how poorly Blake Bortles has actually played. He's only thrown for 301 yards and two TDs on just over 50 percent passing in those games. He's missed a ton of short passes to wide open receivers all season long, and that has continued to haunt him in these playoffs. Leonard Fournette comes in after suffering an ankle injury last week, and he's likely not quite 100 percent. The Patriots defense stuffed the run last week, holding Derrick Henry to 28 yards on 12 carries. New England has covered the spread in five straight home playoff games, and I expect another double digit win for the defending champs here on Sunday. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-18 | Warriors -4.5 v. Rockets | 108-116 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. |
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01-20-18 | Towson v. NC-Wilmington +8 | 71-73 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UNC Wilmington. Jesse Schule |
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01-20-18 | George Mason v. Duquesne -5 | Top | 89-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Duquesne Dukes. Â Needless to say, I was a little surprised that the Dukes didn't play better on the road at Saint Louis in their last game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Dukes are 4-1 in the Atlantic 10 so far. The Dukes rank 25th nationally in scoring defense, allowing just 64.2 points per game. The Dukes have won five of the last seven meetings between the two schools, and the most recent meeting was a 72-71 win for the Bilikens in last year's conference tournament. Reggie Agbeko, Mike Crawford and Elliot Welmer combined to score 48 of the Bilikens 72 points in that game. Agbeko and Crawford have played out their eligibility, while Welmer is sidelined with a foot injury. Mike Lewis led the Dukes with 22 points, and he comes into tonight's game off back to back 20+ point performances. The Dukes are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus the Atlantic 10, and I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored here as they are getting points against the cellar dwellers of the conference." They are back at home tonight, hosting George Mason. The Patriots are coming off a double digit loss to George Washington, and they are 2-4 on the road. They have scored just 68.7 points per game on the road, and they may struggle to hit that number tonight against a Dukes team that allows opponents to average just 63.2 points per game at home. The Dukes won their last home game against George Mason by a score of 62-53, and a similar result is expected here tonight. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last four versus Duquesne. Â Take DUQ. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule |
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01-20-18 | Notre Dame +7 v. Clemson | 58-67 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish. |
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01-18-18 | Wolves +5.5 v. Rockets | 98-116 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota T-Wolves.
The Houston Rockets have lost eight of their last 13 games, and they have played their last seven games without leading scorer James Harden. They are hoping Harden can return to action for tonight's home game against Minnesota, but the news isn't all good for Houston. Trevor Ariza and Gerald Green will not play, serving suspensions stemming from a brawl in the Clippers locker room after a 113-102 loss at LA on Monday. Even if Harden plays, we should not expect him to be at full speed. He's going to be on a strict cap of 25 minutes per game until he gets back to full strength. The Rockets have been a bad bet in previous meetings with Minnesota, failing to cover in four straight and eight of the last 10. The Wolves come in playing their best basketball, winning five straight prior to suffering a bit of a let down in Orlando Tuesday. Minnesota has covered the spread in five straight visits to Houston. Take MINNY. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-18 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -7.5 | 74-71 | Loss | -101 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
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01-17-18 | Duquesne +4.5 v. St. Louis | 63-76 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Duquesne Dukes. |
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01-17-18 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Bruins | 1-4 | Loss | -170 | 21 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Montreal Canadiens. |
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01-17-18 | SMU v. Wichita State -9.5 | 83-78 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers.
The Shockers were one of the biggest surprises of the 2013 NCAA Tournament, going all the way to the Final Four. In an article I wrote prior to the tournament, I had picked Wichita State as my dark horse. I also picked the Gonzaga Bulldogs as the team most vulnerable to an upset, and they were eliminated in the second round by Wichita State. The Shockers have come a long way since then, and they entered this season ranked in the Top 10. Here is what I had to say prior to their home win over win over Charleston earlier in the season: "Expectations are high for the Wichita State Shockers, who were 31-5 overall last season, once again finishing at the top of the Missouri Valley Conference. This year's squad is expected to rival the 2013 team that went to the Final Four with Ron Baker and Fred Van Fleet. They have four seniors in the starting lineup, and sophomore guard Landry Shamet who was the second leading scorer last year. They scored 109 points on 60.9 percent shooting in a 50+ point win in their season opener. The Shockers won their first five games last season, all of those wins coming by at least a 25 point margin. Perhaps the most impressive of those wins was an 82-47 win over LSU at a neutral site. The Shockers have been a great bet as a home favorite, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six when asked to cover double-digits." They host SMU tonight, and the Mustangs are coming off three straight losses. SMU has lost four straight road games against Top 25 teams, and they lost 94-83 at Texas Tech in their only road game against a ranked team this season. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-18 | Mavs v. Nuggets -5.5 | 102-105 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. Playing on the road in the NBA is a tough task at the best of times, but it's even more challenging at altitude in Denver. Only the San Antonio Spurs have a better home record than Denver in the Western Conference. Here is what I said about Denver before they played the Jazz last week: "Both the Jazz and the Nuggets are missing key players due to injury, but Denver has proven it has the depth to overcome adversity. The Nuggets have enjoyed a significant advantage at home in Denver. They are 11-3 straight up at home, and they have covered the spread in six of their last eight in Denver. The home team has won six straight in this series, and has covered the spread in all six of those games as well. Utah is just 3-13 on the road this season, only the Mavericks have lost more road games in the Western Conference. They are coming off a 103-89 home loss to Oklahoma City, and Rodney Hood struggled, hitting just 3-of-14 shots and scoring just nine points. The Jazz have lost six of their last seven road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Nikola Jokic has averaged over 22 points per game in his last three starts." Denver has won three of the last four meetings with Dallas, and all three of those wins came by a double digit margin. Take DEN.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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01-15-18 | Minnesota v. Penn State -7.5 | 95-84 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Penn State Nittany Lions.
 I bet against the Gophers in their last game, and they lost by a whopping 34 points at home versus Purdue. Here is what I had to say prior to tip off: "The Gophers are coming off a home loss to Indiana, and they have lost two of three on the road so far. The Wildcats have won five of the last seven in this series, and they won their last home game against Minnesota by a whopping 24 points. The Gophers will miss two starters tonight, with guard Amir Coffey and center Reggie Lynch both out indefinitely. The pair have averaged over 24 points and 12 rebounds per game combined this season." Granted that Penn State is a step down in competition from their previous two games against Ohio State and Purdue, the Gophers haven't shown any evidence that they can compete in the BIG10 with their current roster. They have failed to cover in four of the last five meetings between the two teams, and they are 0-3 straight up and 0-3 ATS in their last three at University Park.  Take PSU.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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01-15-18 | Maryland v. Michigan -7 | 67-68 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Michigan Wolverines. I bet against Maryland in their last game, a blowout loss to Ohio State. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "While some might expect the Buckeyes to suffer a let down here again the Terps, I think they will only build on the positive momentum. Maryland is 3-2 in the BIG10, but all three of their wins came against conference bottom feeders. They beat Iowa and Penn State at home, and won by a single point at Illinois. The Buckeyes on the other hand have defeated Michigan and Michigan State at home by a combined 25 points, and they are undefeated (4-0) in the BIG10. Maryland is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 versus the BIG10, and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams." This game is strikingly similar, as Michigan is also coming off an upset win over the Spartans. Once again, a potential let down spot, but once again I am taking the home favorite to take care of business. Maryland has already lost it's leading rebounder Justin Jackson for the season with a shoulder injury, and second leading rebounder Bruno Fenando may be sidelined by an illness tonight. The Wolverines are 9-1 at home, and perhaps the most impressive stat you can pull away from those games is that they have held the opposition to an average of just 58.1 points. Michigan is 6-1-1 ATS in it's last eight home games, and 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 versus the BIG10. Take MICH.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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01-14-18 | Pacers v. Suns +4 | 120-97 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 60 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the Phoenix Suns 1st Half.
 The Indiana Pacers trailed Cleveland by 22 points in the first half on Friday, but they rallied to beat the Cavs by a score of 97-95. I am not sure whether to be impressed with the comeback, or concerned about why they trailed to 22 points at home in the first place. Regardless, I believe this sets them up for a let down on the road two days later at Phoenix. Here is what I had to say about the Suns before their loss to Houston: "The Suns leading scorer Devin Booker is back, and since his return Phoenix has a winning record, and has won three straight home games. Phoenix is a solid 5-2-1 in it's last eight home games, and is coming off an impressive home win over Oklahoma City. Booker, Bender and Warren all scored over 20 points in the victory. I think the Rockets should be content to run and gun with Phoenix, and without Harden they might find it difficult to pull away." The Pacers have failed to cover in five of their last six visits to Arizona, and they are just 2-11 ATS in the last 13 meetings overall in this series. I'll take the points.  Take PHX.  GL,  Jesse Schule. |
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01-14-18 | Ohio State v. Rutgers +6.5 | 68-46 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Jesse Schule |
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01-13-18 | Pistons v. Bulls | Top | 105-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bulls.
 I have been keeping my eye on the Bulls since Nikola Mirotic returned from injury, and I bet on Chicago several times over the last few weeks. Here is what I had to say prior to a home win over Indiana: "The Bulls won 115-106 at Milwaukee last night, and it was their eighth win in their last 10 games. They have averaged over 111 points per game in those wins. Nikola Mirotic is a big reason for the turnaround in Chicago, and he scored 24 points on 9-of-18 shooting in Milwaukee last night. The Pacers have lost back-to-back games, and leading scorer Victor Oladipo has been suffering from a knee injury during that span. He scored just 13 points on 5-of-11 shooting in 26 minutes in a 107-83 loss at Detroit on Tuesday, and he didn't play in Wednesday's home loss to Dallas. The Pacers aren't expecting him to play here in Chicago. The Bulls have covered the spread in six straight home games, and they are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall" The Bulls will welcome Zack Lavine back from injury in tonight's home game against the Pistons. Chicago is now 15-5 ATS in it's last 20 overall, and the Bulls have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 at home.  Take CHI.  GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-18 | Northeastern v. NC-Wilmington +5.5 | Top | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC Wilmington.
The Seahawks finished first in the CAA last year, with a 29-5 overall record, and a 13-1 home record. There is no doubt that after losing several key players from last year's team, they aren't as good as they were a year ago. That being said, they are coming off a road win over a good Elon team, and I don't think they should be an underdog at home. The Seahawks are 4-2 at home, and they have averaged 83.2 points per game on 48.2 percent shooting in those games. They scored 107 points in a win over Drexel in their last home game. They host the Northeastern Huskies, who are coming off a double digit road loss at Charleston. The Huskies are 3-4 on the road, averaging just 67.4 points on 42.2 percent shooting in those games. The Seahawks have won four straight and seven of the last nine in this series. Take UNCW. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois +1.5 | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
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01-13-18 | South Carolina v. Georgia -5 | 64-57 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Bulldogs. |
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01-13-18 | La Salle v. Duquesne +1 | 94-101 | Win | 102 | 1 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Duquesne Dukes. The Dukes are 3-1 in conference play, with impressive wins over Fordam, George Washington and Dayton. They are a home dog in today's game against the La Salle Explorers, who have lost three of four games in conference play. The home team has won four of the last five in this series, and La Salle has failed to cover in 10 of their last 14 overall. The Dukes are 10-2 overall at home, holding opponents to an average of just 60 points per game. The Dukes are one of the top defensive teams in the country, and I like their chances of taking down La Salle at home today. Take DUQ. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-18 | Rockets v. Suns +7.5 | 112-95 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns leading scorer Devin Booker is back, and since his return Phoenix has a winning record, and has won three straight home games. The Rockets leading scorer remains out, and Houston has lost four of it's last six on the road. Both these teams can light up the scoreboard, and tonight's game should be a fast paced, high scoring affair. These two teams have gone over in seven straight, and nine of the last 10 meetings. The Rockets have failed to cover in five of their last seven on the road, and eight of their last 11 overall. Phoenix is a solid 5-2-1 in it's last eight home games, and is coming off an impressive home win over Oklahoma City. Booker, Bender and Warren all scored over 20 points in the victory. I think the Rockets should be content to run and gun with Phoenix, and without Harden they might find it difficult to pull away. Take PHX. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-18 | NC-Wilmington v. Elon -9 | 80-78 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
  This is an 8* play on the Elon Phoenix.  This is what I had to say about Elon prior to the 2017 season: "If you are thinking that Elon is just some minnow from a weaker conference, think again! They finished fourth in the CAA last year, and they faced the conference champs twice, going 1-1 in those games. UNC Wilmington is a team that people are a little more familiar with, as they qualified for the NCAA Tournament, and were eliminated by Virginia in a game decided by four points. The Blue Devils have played Elon every year since 2012, and they have only covered the spread twice in their last six versus the Phoenix. Last year Elon covered in a 72-61 loss, and in 2014 they covered in a 75-62 loss. They are bringing back all five starters from last season, including leading scorer Brian Dawkins (one of two seniors in the starting lineup)." They come into today's home game against the Seahawks as winners of four of their last five. UNC Wilmington lost most of it's talent on last year's roster, and currently sits near the bottom of the standings in the CAA. The Seahawks are just 4-12 overall, and they rank 344th in the country allowing over 85 points per game. They are coming off back to back blowout losses on the road, losing to Towson and Delaware by a combined 38 points. The Seahawks are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games, while Elon is 9-4 ATS in it's last 13 home games.  Take ELON.  GL,  Jesse Schule
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01-11-18 | James Madison v. William & Mary -8 | 82-89 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CWM. The College of William and Mary are what I like to call a "Jekyll and Hyde" team. They are world beaters at home, but mere minnows on the road. I bet on them in their win over Marshall back in November, and here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The College of William and Mary are coming off a thrilling home win over Old Dominion. This comes as no surprise, as The Tribe are a real force on their home floor. They've won 16 of their last 17 home games dating back to the beginning of last season. They are 3-0 at home this year, and they have scored an average of 81 points on 54.2 percent shooting in those games. They are also shooting better than 48 percent from beyond the arc at home. They are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and I like their chances against a Marshall team that is 0-2 on the road." The Tribe sit in first place in the CAA after winning four straight in conference play. Three of those wins came on the road, and they return home where they are averaging over 91 points per game on better than 55 percent shooting. The Dukes don't have the offensive prowess to keep up with that kind of scoring, especially if second leading scorer Joey Maclean remains out with an ankle injury. Take CWM. GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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01-10-18 | Temple v. SMU -9 | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the SMU Mustangs.  The Temple Owls and the SMU Mustangs have been among the class of the American Conference in recent seasons, but both teams come into tonight's game struggling of late. The Owls have lost five straight, and they are 0-5 on the road. They have lost five of the last six meetings in this series, and SMU covered the spread in all five wins during that span. SMU swept last season's series, winning both games by double digits. The Mustangs are coming off a pair of tough road losses, but they return home where they are 11-0 straight up this season, and 21-6-1 in their last 28 overall at home. Opponents are averaging just 55.1 points per game on 36.8 percent shooting at SMU, while the Mustangs are scoring over 78 points on better than 50 percent shooting at home. A strange coincidence, the Owls scored just 39 points in their last road game, while SMU held USF to just 39 points in their last home win.  Take SMU.  GL,  Jesse Schule
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01-10-18 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech -1 | 53-60 | Win | 100 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
 This is a 9* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
 Earlier this season I bet on the Yellow Jackets in a home win over Northwestern. Here is what I had to say before that game: "How good is Georgia Tech at home? Well they've won 18 of their last 22 home games. That's even more impressive than it sounds, when you consider their tough conference schedule. Last year they had home wins over champions North Carolina (ranked #9), Florida State (ranked #6) and Notre Dame (ranked #14). They host Northwestern tonight, and the Wildcats have already lost twice, dropping out of the Top 25. Senior center Ben Lammers leads the Yellow Jackets in scoring averaging 17 points per game, and freshman guard Jose Alvarado is second on the team averaging 14.3 PPG on 58.8 shooting. The Yellow Jackets have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games." They come into tonight's home game against Notre Dame as winners of eight of 11 home games this season. They beat Miami by double digits at home last week. The Yellow Jackets have won four of their last five home meetings with Notre Dame, and they are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings between the two schools. The Irish are without two of their top players. Bonzie Colson is out with a foot injury, and Matt Farrell has a sprained ankle.  Take GT.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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01-10-18 | Mississippi State +8.5 v. Florida | 54-71 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Mississippi State Bulldogs.
The Gators are coming off a thrilling 77-75 win over Missouri, and it was guard Chris Chiozza with a steal and a buzzer beater for the win. A case of strep throat might keep Chiozza from playing tonight's home game against the Bulldogs. Historically these teams have played close games, and both of the last two games were close. The Gators won by five points at Mississippi State in the last meeting, but won by just three points in their last home game against the Bulldogs. Mississippi State is coming off a loss at Ole Miss, and that game was close, with the Rebels winning by a score of 64-58. The Bulldogs failed to cover the spread in that game, but they are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 when coming off an ATS loss. They are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine when coming off a straight up loss. The Gators have failed to cover in six straight home games. Take MISST. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-18 | Georgetown +7.5 v. St. John's | 69-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Georgetown Hoyas. |
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01-07-18 | Panthers v. Saints -5.5 | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -115 | 150 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Saints.  The Saints gave up 11 points in the final five minuted to blow a 24-20 lead in Tampa last week. The result didn't matter, because Carolina lost to Atlanta, and New Orleans clinched the NFC South. The Panthers did not look great in their 22-10 loss to the Falcons, and Cam Newton threw three interceptions while throwing for just 180 yards and a TD on 14-of-34 passing. As bad as those numbers are, that has been the norm for Cam Newton this year. He's failed to throw for 200 yards in five of his last six games. He's been bothered by a shoulder injury that has kept him from practicing this week. The Panthers lost to the Saints twice during the regular season, and Cam threw for just 340 yards, 2 TDs and 3 INTs on 34-of-53 passing. The Saints have won seven straight home games, including a double digit win over Carolina. The Panthers have failed to cover in six straight against New Orleans, and they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 versus the NFC South. The Saints are 23-4 ATS in their last 27 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Take NO.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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01-07-18 | Michigan State v. Ohio State +8.5 | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes.  It was exactly a year ago today that the Buckeyes beat the Spartans by a score of 74-66 in Columbus. A lot has changed since then, most notably the Spartans are the top ranked team in the country with a 15-1 overall record. Michigan State was the better team last season as well, and they were a seven point favorite in last year's contest. The Spartans aren't the only team that has improved. This year's Ohio State team is 12-4 overall, and 2-0 in the BIG10. When these teams met last year the Buckeyes had lost four of five conference games, and had an overall record of 11-7. Michigan State doesn't inspire a lot of confidence as a big road favorite considering they have covered the spread in just four of their last 14 road games. The Buckeyes have signature wins against Gonzaga, Michigan and Wisconsin. They have held opponents to just 64.9 points per game on 40.9 percent shooting while winning 9-of-10 at home. They should be able to keep this one competitive, and I'll take the points.  Take OSU.  GL,  Jesse Schule
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01-07-18 | Bills +7.5 v. Jaguars | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 145 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Buffalo Bills. Jesse Schule |
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01-07-18 | Sabres +1.5 v. Flyers | 1-4 | Loss | -165 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the Buffalo Sabres +1.5.  The Buffalo Sabres lost the Winter Classic by a score of 3-2 to the Rangers. I had Buffalo on the puckline in that game, and here is what I said prior to the opening faceoff: "The Buffalo Sabres will be a big underdog in the annual outdoor game, but I like the underdog in this spot. This will be the 10th edition of the Winter Classic, and of the previous nine games, five of those were decided by just one goal. overtime was required in three of those games. Buffalo is coming off a 4-3 overtime win at New Jersey, and it was the fifth time in their last 10 games that they have played an extra period. Six of their last 10 games have been decided by one goal." Buffalo has since lost back to back games on the road, and their last game was a 4-3 defeat at Winnipeg on Friday. They catch the Flyers playing their second game in a back to back, and off a pair of blowout wins. This could be a let down spot for Philly. Buffalo is 5-5 in the last 10 meetings in this series, and five of those 10 games were decided by one goal. The Sabres only lost by two or more goals twice in that 10 game span.  Take BUF +1.5.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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01-06-18 | Kansas v. TCU +1.5 | 88-84 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the TCU Horned Frogs. Â The Kansas Jayhawks have been the top team in the BIG12 for decades, but they don't look like they have the experience to compete for another conference title this season. Kansas has already lost three games, and now they have to play on the road at Fort Worth. The Horned Frogs are 13-1, coming off an upset win over Baylor in Waco. The last time these two teams met, TCU shocked the Jayhawks, winning outright as an 8-point underdog. Kansas has covered the spread just twice in it's last eight games against TCU, and the Jayhawks have failed to cover in four of their last five versus a team with a winning record. TCU has won nine of it's last 10 home games, and the Frogs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games versus a team with a winning straight up record. Â Take TCU. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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01-06-18 | Falcons v. Rams -5.5 | Top | 26-13 | Loss | -108 | 128 h 22 m | Show |
 This is a 10* play on the LA Rams.  The Atlanta Falcons are limping into the playoffs, looking nothing like the team that went all the way to the Super Bowl a year ago. Matt Ryan is struggling, throwing as many picks (4) as TDs in his last five starts. He will face a Rams defense that ranks 4th in the NFL in quarterback sacks with 48. While the Falcons played a tough, hard fought game against Carolina just to get into the playoffs, the Rams rested their starters last week against San Francisco. Todd Gurley racked up 280 yards and three TDs on 43 carries in his last two starts, and he's likely to get a heavy workload here on Wildcard Weekend. Julio Jones took a big hit in the win over Carolina, and his status for Saturday is listed as questionable with injuries to his ankle and ribs. Devonta Freeman is expected to play despite suffering a knee injury. The Rams led the NFL in scoring during the regular season, averaging over 29 points per game. LA looks a lot more like last year's Falcons than the current version of this Atlanta team. If Matt Ryan plays like he has the last several weeks, this game will be over in a hurry.  Take LAR.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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01-06-18 | Creighton v. Georgetown +5.5 | 90-66 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Georgetown Hoyas. Â The Hoyas are 9-2 at home this season, and both of their home losses have come in overtime to Butler and Syracuse. Creighton has lost two of three road game, and the Jays are just 2-6 ATS in their last six on the road. The visitors are expected to cover a bunch of points here, and I think the bookmakers aren't giving the Hoyas enough respect. In recent seasons Creighton has been the better team, but that hasn't translated into wins versus Georgetown. The Blue Jays have lost five straight at Georgetown, and six of the last eight overall in this series. Georgetown has covered the spread in five straight overall, while the Blue Jays have failed to cover in four of their last five versus the Big East. I'll take the points with the home dog here. Â Take GTWN. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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01-05-18 | Jazz v. Nuggets -7.5 | 91-99 | Win | 100 | 32 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. Â Playing on the road in the NBA is a tough task at the best of times, but it's even more challenging at altitude in Denver. Only the San Antonio Spurs have a better home record than Denver in the Western Conference. The Utah Jazz on the other hand have really struggled on the road, winning just three games of 18. Utah comes into Denver off a double digit home loss to the Pelicans, and the Jazz have lost seven of their last nine overall. Six of those seven losses came by a double digit margin, with the one exception being a 109-100 loss to Cleveland. One of those losses was a 107-83 loss at Denver. Here is what I said prior to that game: "Both the Jazz and the Nuggets are missing key players due to injury, but Denver has proven it has the depth to overcome adversity. The Nuggets have enjoyed a significant advantage at home in Denver. They are 11-3 straight up at home, and they have covered the spread in six of their last eight in Denver. The home team has won six straight in this series, and has covered the spread in all six of those games as well. Utah is just 3-13 on the road this season, only the Mavericks have lost more road games in the Western Conference. They are coming off a 103-89 home loss to Oklahoma City, and Rodney Hood struggled, hitting just 3-of-14 shots and scoring just nine points. The Jazz have lost six of their last seven road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Nikola Jokic has averaged over 22 points per game in his last three starts, and he won't have to worry about Rudy Gobert tonight." I see no reason why we should see a dramatically different result here tonight. Â Take DEN. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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01-05-18 | Knicks v. Heat -5 | 103-107 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. Â Miami sits just 1.5 games back of Washington, second in the Southeast. They have faced plenty of adversity with Hassan Whiteside missing 15 games due to injury, but since his return they have won three of four. They are hosting the New York Knicks tonight, hoping to improve on just a .500 home record. The Knicks have been dreadful on the road, winning just three of 16 games. They come into Miami as losers of six of their last seven overall, and they are just 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings with the Heat. I bet against the Knicks in their last home game, a home loss to the Spurs. Here is what I said before the game: "New York's last home game was a 105-98 loss to the Sixers, and Jarrett Jack scored zero points on 0-5 shooting in the loss. The veteran is filling in for the injured Tim Hardaway Jr, and he's shot just 35 percent from the field in his last five starts." After losing to the Spurs, they lost 121-103 at Washington. Here is what Kristaps Porzingis said after the loss: "I'm tired. I'm tired. I'm so tired right now. I have one day now to rest my legs and then get back and play better and have more energy and also try and bring the team's energy up. Also we're in a tough stretch. The mental part doesn't help at all. When it's mentally tough you just don't have it in you. It's normal. It's normal. It's up and down. Get some rest, enjoy nice Miami weather and go try and win the Miami game." I like Miami to win big here. Â Take MIA. Â GL, Â Jesse Schule
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01-05-18 | Manhattan +5.5 v. Monmouth | 66-77 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Manhattan Jaspers.
Manhattan is one of three schools in the MAAC to win both their first two games in conference play. They will be an underdog on the road at Monmouth tonight, and the Hawks are 0-2 in the MAAC. Monmouth only has four wins in 14 games, and a lot of those losses came to teams you would expect the Hawks to beat. They were favored in losses to Hofstra, St. Peters and Quinnipiac. They are just 2-2 at home, and they have not covered the spread in any of their four home games so far. The Jaspers come in as winners of two of their last three road games, winning at Hofstra and Marist. Hawks leading scorer Micah Seaborn left the last game with an ankle injury, and he's officially listed as questionable for tonight's game. History favors Manhattan here, as the Jaspers are 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings, 4-0 ATS in their last four at Monmouth, and the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. I'll take the points! Take MAN. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-18 | Northern Iowa v. Missouri State -5.5 | 55-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
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01-03-18 | Pacers v. Bucks -7.5 | Top | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.
I bet against the Pacers in their loss at Chicago, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Pacers have lost back-to-back games, and leading scorer Victor Oladipo has been suffering from a knee injury during that span. He scored just 13 points on 5-of-11 shooting in 26 minutes in a 107-83 loss at Detroit on Tuesday, and he didn't play in Wednesday's home loss to Dallas. The Pacers aren't expecting him to play here in Chicago." The Pacers aren't expecting Oladipo back for Wednesday's game against Milwaukee, and they have lost all three games since his injury. The average margin of defeat in those games is well over 10 points. The Pacers have failed to cover in five straight overall, and they have lost their last two games at Milwaukee by a combined 31 points. The Bucks are a solid 12-6 on their home floor, and this looks like a good spot for them to open up a good old fashioned can of whup-ass on an inferior opponent. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-18 | Raptors v. Bulls +5 | 124-115 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 11 m | Show | |
8* |
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01-02-18 | Spurs -5 v. Knicks | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs.
The Knicks have a respectable .500 record overall, and they are an impressive 15-6 at home. They haven't played well of late though, losing four of their last five overall. The majority of their wins have come against mediocre Eastern Conference teams, not comparable to tonight's opponent. The Spurs are still one of the top teams in the West, despite dealing with injuries all year. Kawhi Leonard will be playing his seventh game since returning from injury, and he's looked like he's getting close to 100 percent. He's totaled 39 points in his last two starts. The Spurs have beaten up on Eastern Conference teams, covering the spread in four of their last five. New York's last home game was a 105-98 loss to the Sixers, and Jarrett Jack scored zero points on 0-5 shooting in the loss. The veteran is filling in for the injured Tim Hardaway Jr, and he's shot just 35 percent from the field in his last five starts. The Knicks lost at San Antonio by a score of 119-107 last week, and Kawhi Leonard didn't play in that game. I like the Spurs to take down the Knicks at The Garden tonight. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-18 | Towson v. Elon +2 | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Elon Phoenix. |
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01-01-18 | Alabama v. Clemson +2 | Top | 24-6 | Loss | -110 | 658 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Clemson Tigers.
The Alabama Crimson Tide were a controversial addition to the College Football Playoff, after they lost to Auburn in the Iron Bowl. They didn't even play in the SEC Championship Game, and still the public is branding them the team to beat. The fact is that the Tigers are the defending champs, beating a better version of Alabama last year. All the talk of Alabama's top ranked defense is a little bit misleading, given that their strength of schedule is questionable at best. The Tigers finished the season strong with six straight wins, five of those coming by double digits. Jalen Hurts completed just 13-of-31 passes for 131 yards and a TD in last year's Championship Game, and this year's Clemson defense looks even stronger than it did a year ago. Both teams played Auburn, and the Tigers racked up over 400 yards versus Alabama, and just 117 total yards against Clemson. Can you imagine that? One Hundred Seventeen TOTAL YARDS? I think Alabama is living off it's reputation from decades gone by, because based on the play of both these teams this season, it's Clemson that should be the favorite. Take CLEM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-18 | Georgia v. Oklahoma +2 | Top | 54-48 | Loss | -110 | 534 h 19 m | Show |
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01-01-18 | Sabres +1.5 v. Rangers | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Buffalo Sabres +1.5. The Buffalo Sabres will be a big underdog in the annual outdoor game, but I like the underdog in this spot. This will be the 10th edition of the Winter Classic, and of the previous nine games, five of those were decided by just one goal. overtime was required in three of those games. Buffalo is coming off a 4-3 overtime win at New Jersey, and it was the fifth time in their last 10 games that they have played an extra period. Six of their last 10 games have been decided by one goal. The last time the Sabres played the Rangers, they lost by a score of 2-1. You guessed it, that game was decided in overtime. The Rangers are no stranger to close games, they've gone to OT four times in their last six overall. Take BUF +1.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-17 | Wolves -3.5 v. Pacers | 107-90 | Win | 100 | 30 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Timberwolves. |
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12-31-17 | Chiefs v. Broncos -3 | 27-24 | Loss | -120 | 99 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Broncos. |
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12-31-17 | Missouri State v. Valparaiso -1 | 67-50 | Loss | -102 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Valparaiso Crusaders.
The last time I bet on VALPO, they let me down in a blowout loss to Purdue. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Crusaders are 8-0 so far this season, and last year they were 9-3 in non-conference games. The wins include an upset over #21 ranked Rhode Island, and a neutral site game against BYU. They will be getting a whopping 16 points in their game at Purdue tonight, despite the fact that the Boilermakers are coming off three consecutive games decided by single digits. Purdue failed to cover as a 14 point favorite in a 74-69 win over Northwestern. The Boilermakers were a 19 point favorite against Western Kentucky, and they lost that game outright. Valparaiso has covered the spread in 10 of it’s last 14 road games, and the Crusaders are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Often the Boilermakers enjoy a size advantage with the 7-footer Isaac Haas and 6″8 forward Vince Edwards. The Crusaders have a pair of 7-footers that should allow them to compete on the boards. I recommend to take the points here." While they did lose by 30 points, they were a 15 point underdog. They played their next four games without leading scorer Tevonn Walker, and they would lose three of those four games. Walker returned to play 25 minutes in the Crusaders loss to Indiana State, scoring 19 points on 6-of-17 shooting. The senior guard scored 21 points in an 84-81 win at Missouri State last year. The Crusaders have won and covered in each of the last four meetings between these two teams, and they won their last home game against Missouri State by a score of 74-45. Take VALPO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-17 | Browns +12 v. Steelers | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 95 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. |
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12-30-17 | Hofstra v. William & Mary -1 | Top | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWM.
The College of William and Mary are what I like to call a "Jekyll and Hyde" team. They are world beaters at home, but mere minnows on the road. I bet on them in their win over Marshall back in November, and here is what I had to say prior to that game: "The College of William and Mary are coming off a thrilling home win over Old Dominion. This comes as no surprise, as The Tribe are a real force on their home floor. They've won 16 of their last 17 home games dating back to the beginning of last season. They are 3-0 at home this year, and they have scored an average of 81 points on 54.2 percent shooting in those games. They are also shooting better than 48 percent from beyond the arc at home. They are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and I like their chances against a Marshall team that is 0-2 on the road." They went on to win by double digits, and they come into tonight's home game against Hofstra with a perfect 5-0 home record. The Pride have not played well within the CAA conference, going 5-13-2 ATS in their last 20. They have also struggled against teams with a winning record, failing to cover in five of their last six. Take CWM. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-17 | Florida State +11.5 v. Duke | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the Florida State Seminoles.  The Duke Blue Devils will be a double digit favorite at home versus Florida State Saturday, and the Seminoles gave them plenty of trouble last year. Duke failed to cover as an 8-point favorite at home, and they lost by a score of 88-72 at Tallahassee. Florida State comes in with an 11-1 record, losing only to Oklahoma State by a single point (71-70). Florida State is 8-2 ATS in it's last 10 overall, and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning straight up record. Florida State has been locked in on defense, holding opponents to just 59.6 points per game on 36.3 percent shooting. The Blue Devils are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win, and I believe Duke is simply overrated here in this spot. I'll take the points.  Take FSU.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-30-17 | Drexel v. Elon -5 | 75-90 | Win | 100 | 22 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Elon Phoenix. This is what I had to say about Elon prior to the 2017 season: "If you are thinking that Elon is just some minnow from a weaker conference, think again! They finished fourth in the CAA last year, and they faced the conference champs twice, going 1-1 in those games. UNC Wilmington is a team that people are a little more familiar with, as they qualified for the NCAA Tournament, and were eliminated by Virginia in a game decided by four points. The Blue Devils have played Elon every year since 2012, and they have only covered the spread twice in their last six versus the Phoenix. Last year Elon covered in a 72-61 loss, and in 2014 they covered in a 75-62 loss. They are bringing back all five starters from last season, including leading scorer Brian Dawkins (one of two seniors in the starting lineup)." They come into today's home game against Drexel with a 4-0 home record and an 8-5 overall record. They swept the season series against Drexel last year, and won by a whopping 20 points at home. Junior forward Tyler Seibring led all scorers with 25 points in that win, and he comes into today's game averaging 14.2 points and 7.6 rebounds per game over his last five starts.  Take ELON.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-30-17 | Louisville -6.5 v. Mississippi State | 27-31 | Loss | -115 | 405 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Louisville Cardinals. |
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12-29-17 | Kansas -2 v. Texas | 92-86 | Win | 100 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-29-17 | Pacers v. Bulls -2 | Top | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 30 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Chicago Bulls. |
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12-28-17 | Virginia Tech v. Oklahoma State -4.5 | 21-30 | Win | 100 | 362 h 54 m | Show | |
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12-26-17 | Jazz v. Nuggets -6 | 83-107 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Denver Nuggets. |
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12-26-17 | Northern Illinois v. Duke -5.5 | 14-36 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Duke Blue Devils. |
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12-25-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 111-103 | Loss | -110 | 161 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. |
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12-25-17 | Steelers v. Texans +10 | 34-6 | Loss | -116 | 171 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Texans.
The Texans have lost four straight, but last week they were crushed in a 45-7 loss at Jacksonville. After the game reporters asked Jadeveon Clowney: "Are they really that much better than you?". Clowney was left speechless, and could only shake his head. I don't think the Texans want to face similar questions this week, playing at home on Christmas Day versus the Steelers. Pittsburgh is coming off a massive loss to New England, and the potential game winning score was overruled by replay officials. This looks like a classic let down spot for Pittsburgh, and they are dealing with a ton of injuries. Antonio Brown is sidelined for the rest of the year, and might be able to return for the playoffs. The Steelers have already clinched the AFC North, so they don't have a lot to gain in these final two games. Their top priority should be to keep their top players healthy, and that might mean cutting back on the workload for players like LeVeon Bell. The Steelers have won eight of their last 10 games, but they only won once by double digits during that span. They won close games to inferior teams such as Green Bay and Indianapolis. Playing on the road on Christmas Day with questionable motivation, I expect a half-hearted effort from Pittsburgh here. The Texans are 3-3 in their last six home games, and not one of those losses came by more than 10 points. Take HOU. GL,  Jesse Schule |
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12-25-17 | Cavs +5 v. Warriors | 92-99 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Cleveland Cavs.
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12-24-17 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -4.5 | Top | 21-12 | Loss | -114 | 139 h 31 m | Show |
10* |
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12-24-17 | Rams v. Titans +7 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 144 h 51 m | Show | |
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12-24-17 | Falcons v. Saints -5.5 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 144 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the New Orleans Saints. |
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12-22-17 | Xavier v. Northern Iowa +6.5 | Top | 77-67 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNI Panthers. Â The Xavier Musketeers are coming into Friday's game at Cedar Falls as winners of six straight. They are ranked in the Top 10, and have an overall record of 11-1. This will be just their second road game of the season though, and they look like a team primed to suffer an upset. They have four players listed as questionable for tonight's game, and three of those players are in the starting five. Gates, Jones and Macura are 2nd,3rd and 4th in scoring on the team. Xavier's only previous road game was at Wisconsin, and they won that game by double digits (80-70). The final score is terribly misleading though, as they were losing with 2:44 remaining, but went on a 16-4 run in the final few minutes. The Panthers are undefeated (6-0) at home, and they have held opponents to an average of just 53.8 points on 35.6 percent shooting in those games. Northern Iowa has an impressive resume so far going 8-3 overall with quality wins over SMU, NC State, UTA and UNLV. History seems to suggest that Northern Iowa stands a good chance of pulling off an outright win. The Panthers are 12-6 all time at home against ranked teams. Â Take UNI. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-22-17 | Elon v. Indiana State -4 | 73-68 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Indiana State Sycamores. Â Indiana State started off the season with a blowout win over the Indiana Hoosiers, but they went on to lose four of their next five games. They have had a challenging schedule, but they remain a force on their home floor. They will put their 4-1 home record to the test tonight against the Elon Phoenix. Elon has won 25 games since the start of last season, and only seven of those wins came on the road. They have lost five of six road games so far this season, averaging just 63 points per game. Indiana State has scored an average of 81.3 points on better than 48 percent shooting at home. Elon has failed to cover the spread in eight of it's last 10 overall, and the Phoenix are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games versus a team with a winning home record. They are also 1-7 ATS in their last eight non-conference games. Elon scored just 51 points on 37 percent shooting in a blowout loss at Canisius in it's last game, and I think the Sycamores are a far tougher opponent than the Griffins. Â Take INST. Â GL,Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-22-17 | Temple v. Georgia -3 | 66-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Georgia Bulldogs. Â The Georgia Bulldogs are off to a solid start at 8-2 overall, and 5-0 at home. They are coming off an impressive 80-59 win over rivals Georgia Tech, and they host a Temple team that is 0-2 on the road. The Owls lost at LaSalle and George Washington, and they have failed to cover in five straight overall. The Bulldogs should have a huge advantage on the boards, coming in averaging over 37 rebounds per game. The Owls are averaging less than 30 rebounds per game, and they have only scored an average of 67.4 points on 44.1 percent shooting over their last five games. The Bulldogs have scored an average of 77 points on better than 48 percent shooting over their last five games. Georgia was 12-5 at home last season, while Temple lost eight of it's 12 road games. I feel pretty comfortable backing the home team as just a slight favorite here. Â Take UGA. Â GL, Â Jesse SchuleÂ
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12-21-17 | Illinois-Chicago v. Northern Illinois -3.5 | 63-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Northern Illinois Huskies. |
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12-21-17 | Iona +12 v. Rhode Island | 74-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
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12-20-17 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Mississippi State -22.5 | 48-64 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
  This is an 8* play on the Mississippi State Bulldogs.  The Bulldogs are 9-1 overall, and their only loss came to #21 ranked Cincinnati. They are coming off a 30+ point win at home over UT Martin, and they are asked to cover 22 points here at home against Arkansas Little Rock. The Trojans are just 3-9 overall, and 0-6 on the road. They have averaged just 58.4 points per game over their last five, and one of those was a 40 point loss at Bradley. They lost their last game against Mississippi State by 30 points (83-53). The Bulldogs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they have averaged just under 80 points on just shy of 50 percent shooting at home so far this season. The Trojans have failed to cover in four straight versus SEC teams, and they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight versus teams with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games versus a team with a losing straight up record. Take MISST.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-20-17 | Heat v. Celtics -8 | 90-89 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
 This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics.  The Celtics have only covered the spread in three of their last 10 games. Of course with the best record in the NBA, it's understandable that they could become overvalued. They will be an 8-point favorite in tonight's home game against the undermanned Miami Heat. That seems just about right, considering that Boston is 13-3 at home, and 9.5 games ahead of Miami in the standings. When you look a little closer at Miami's injury woes however, it seems like a bargain to get Boston as a favorite in single digits. Goran Drajic is hoping to return to the lineup after missing the last game with an elbow injury, but he may not be 100 percent. He scored just 29 points on 10-of-33 shooting, and was just 1-of-7 from behind the arc in his last three starts. Dion Waiters is also questionable with an illness, but Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow and James Johnson will not play. The Heat are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Boston, and they are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 versus teams from the Eastern Conference. Take BOS.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-20-17 | Manhattan v. Hofstra -5.5 | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
  This is an 8* play on the Hofstra Pride.  These two teams have played four times since 2011, and Mannhattan won all four meetings. The Jaspers aren't as strong this season as they were in past seasons, and Hofstra comes in playing quite well. The Pride are undefeated on their home court, and they have been particularly impressive in their last four games. Hofstra has averaged over 84 points on better than 54 percent shooting during a five game stretch than includes road wins at Monmouth, Rider and Stonybrook. The Jaspers have played just two road games this season, and both of those were double-digit losses. The fact that Manhattan shot below 50 percent from the free throw line in those losses doesn't inspire much confidence that they can compete here at Hofstra. The Jaspers have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 road games, and they have scored just 65.6 points per game while losing three of their last five.  Take HOF.  GL,  Jesse SchuleÂ
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12-20-17 | Georgia State v. Massachusetts -4.5 | 71-63 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
  This is an 8* play on the UMASS Minutemen.  The Minutemen are 6-0 at home this season, and they are coming off three straight wins over Providence, Holy Cross and Georgia. They host Georgia State tonight, and I like their chances of extending this winning streak. The Panthers are coming off a loss at Dayton, and this looks like a tough spot for the visitors. Massachusetts defeated the Panthers by a score of 75-65 at Atlanta last season. Sophomore guard Luwane Pipkins was one of five players to score in double-figures in that game, and he leads the team in scoring averaging 18.7 points per game this season. He comes in feeling the hot hand, averaging over 21 points in his last four starts, and hitting seven of his last 11 three-point attempts. Last year's game was decided at the free throw line, with the Minutemen hitting 17-of-23 from the charity stripe, while Georgia State was just 11-of-21. The Panthers come in hitting just 68.4 percent from the free throw line this season, so we could see history repeat itself in this year's game.  Take UMASS.  GL,  Jesse SchuleÂ
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12-19-17 | Georgia Tech +4.5 v. Georgia | 59-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Georgia Tech. Both Georgia and Georgia Tech have been pretty average so far. The Bulldogs 7-2 overall record isn't that impressive when you consider their strength of schedule. The Yellow Jackets are just 5-4 overall, but they played their first eight games without their leading scorer. Sophomore guard Josh Okogie returned to action Sunday, scoring 19 points on 6-of-13 shooting in a 79-54 win over Florida A&M. He was 2-of-3 from beyond the arc and made 5-of-6 free throws in the victory. Georgia has won the last two meetings between the two teams, but the Yellow Jackets had won and covered in four straight prior to that. Two of those wins came at Georgia, where the Bulldogs have failed to cover in eight of their last 11. They haven't been a good bet regardless of the venue, failing to cover in nine of their last 12 overall. The Yellow Jackets are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games versus a team with a winning straight up record. I like Georgia Tech as a strong underdog getting points against a lackluster opponent.  Take GT.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-19-17 | Drake v. South Dakota State -11 | 74-87 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the SDST Jackrabbits. Â South Dakota State is coming off an overtime loss at Colorado, putting them at 9-5 overall so far. They are 6-0 at home, and have averaged a whopping 86 points per game on better than 47 percent shooting in those games. They host Drake tonight, and last year they beat the Bulldogs 83-75 at Des Moines. Drake is 0-4 on the road, and the Dogs are coming off a 90-64 loss at Iowa. Drake has been a bad bet on the road, failing to cover in eight of it's last 10 away games. The Jackrabbits are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. They appear to be an underrated team overall, covering in 16 of their last 22 overall. It's worth noting that the same Iowa team that crushed Drake a few days ago, lost to South Dakota State on a neutral court earlier this season. Â Take SDST. Â GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-19-17 | Belmont v. Western Kentucky -5.5 | 75-72 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
  This is an 8* play on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. The Hilltoppers finished in the bottom half of the C-USA standings last year, despite going 11-3 at home. They appear to be greatly improved, coming into tonight's home game against Belmont with a 7-4 overall record. Their record is even more impressive when you look at their schedule. They lost to Wisconsin by just one-point, and lost a close game to Villanova. They have wins over the likes of SMU and Purdue. They have scored an average of over 84 points per game on better than 52 percent shooting while going 5-1 at home. Belmont is just 1-4 on the road, losing by double digits at Lipscomb and TCU in each of their last two road games. It appears that the bookmakers have yet to make adjustments based on the Hilltoppers success. Western Kentucky is 7-1 ATS in it's last eight overall, and they have covered the spread in four straight at home. The Bruins really struggled shooting just 34 percent from the field in a loss at Lipscomb in their most recent road game. They attempted a whopping 31 three-pointers, but made just six.  Take WKU.  GL, Â
Jesse Schule |
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12-18-17 | Falcons -6.5 v. Bucs | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Falcons.
The Bucs host the Falcons on Monday Night, and this game will feature a pair of struggling quarterbacks. Jameis Winston threw for 285 yards and a pair of TDs on 26-of-38 passing in a loss to Detroit last week, but he was picked off twice and lost a fumble in that game. He's 0-5 in his last five starts, and he's thrown seven TD passes and five picks during that span. He's facing an Atlanta defense that ranks 3rd in the league against the pass, in a game that the Falcons need to win. Matt Ryan is also struggling, he completed just 55% of his passes for 221 yards with one TD and three INTs against the Saints last week. The Falcons still managed to win that game, and one of the reasons for that is that they have one of the NFL's most talented running back duos. Tampa ranks 23rd in the NFL against the run, and the Falcons ran all over them a few weeks ago. I expect another strong performance from Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman here tonight. The Falcons own Monday Night Football, they are 5-0 ATS in their last five Monday night games. The Bucs have failed to cover in five straight against divisional opponents. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule |
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