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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-12-23 | Gonzaga v. BYU +7 | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BYU. This will be the third consecutive road game for Gonzaga, after beating San Francisco by two points, and winning 81-76 at Santa Clara. Despite being 5-18-3 ATS in their last 26 games overall, they are asked to cover another big number on the road at BYU. I don't think the markets have yet caught up to the fact that this Gonzaga team is no longer in the elite class it has been in recent seasons. The Bulldogs are 3-15-3 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win, and they have failed to cover in four straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-23 | Texas Tech +7 v. Iowa State | Top | 50-84 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEXAS TECH. The Red Raiders will be shorthanded here at Iowa State, and they are already 0-3 in conference play. History suggests that this game will be close, and I think the bookmakers are overreacting to a few injuries here. Daniel Batcho and Pop Isaacs didn't play in an overtime loss to Oklahoma, but the Cyclones leading rebounder Aljaz Kunc has also missed the last three weeks. Texas Tech has won eight of the last 10 in this series, and both losses came in games decided by four points. The Cyclones are 3-0 in the BIG12, but two of those wins came in games decided by three points or less. I'll take the points! GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-23 | TCU v. Georgia -12.5 | 7-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UGA. The Horned Frogs somehow beat Michigan despite giving up 45 points and over 500 total yards. They opened up an early lead and held on in the second half. This is the exception and not the norm for TCU, as they had to rally late to win several games in the BIG12 this year. I think it's going to be difficult to replicate what they did against Michigan. Georgia has been in a class of it's own for the last two years, and I just don't see this mediocre TCU defense slowing them down at all. Stetson Bennett threw for 398 yards and three TDs against Ohio State, and he should have another huge game here versus TCU. I like UGA to win this game 44-27. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-23 | Titans v. Jaguars -6 | 16-20 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Jags . With Josh Dobbs starting at QB for the Titans, I think they are in big trouble here in the AFC South Title Game. The Jags are on a roll, coming off four consecutive wins. The streak started with a 36-22 win at Tennessee. Trevor Lawrence threw for 368 yards and three TDs on 30-of-42 passing in the victory. He will face a Titans defense that ranks 31st in the NFL in passing TDs allowed. Josh Dobbs faces a Jags defense that has allowed just six points in the last two weeks. Asking Derrick Henry to carry the load hasn't been an effective strategy lately, and at the end of the year that kind of workload takes it's toll (remember last year). GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-06-23 | St. Peter's v. Siena -7.5 | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Siena. The Saints are undefeated in the MAAC, and they host St. Peters on Friday. This isn't the same Peacocks team that made noise in the NCAA Tournament last year. The Peacocks are 2-3 in the MAAC, and their wins have come against Manhattan and Quinnipiac, two of the worst teams in the country. St. Peters has failed to cover in eight straight road games, and the home team is 15-5 ATS in the last 20 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-23 | Indiana v. Iowa -1 | Top | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes are reeling after losing three straight, but a home game against BIG10 rivals Indiana looks like a good spot to get back on track. The home team is 5-1 straight up in the last six meetings between these teams. The Hoosiers have failed to cover in four straight overall, and four of five on the road. They have been playing without two starters, leading scorer Trayce-Jackson-Davis and PG Xavier Johnson. The Hawkeyes are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-23 | Connecticut v. Providence +5 | 61-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Providence. The Huskies are no longer invincible, coming off their first loss of the season on the road at #22 ranked Xavier. They will be asked to cover a sizable number here on the road at unranked Providence. History favors the Friars, who are unbeaten at home, and unbeaten in the Big East. They have won four of their last five home games versus Connecticut, and the one loss came by a score of 82-79. The Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss, and the home team has covered in eight of the last 10 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-23 | Wizards v. Bucks -8 | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIL. This is a revenge game for the Bucks after losing at home to Washington on New Years Day. They were shorthanded in that game, without Giannis, Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday. We are expecting both Holiday and The Greek Freak to play here on Tuesday. The status of Bradley Beal is still questionable. The Wizards have failed to cover in 15 of their last 20 road games against a team with a winning record. The Bucks are 4-1 SU in their last five home games against Washington, and three of those four wins came by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-23 | Hawks v. Warriors -1.5 | 141-143 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. Despite the injuries to Andrew Wiggins and Steph Curry, the Warriors have won four straight. Their home record of 16-2 is the best in the NBA. The Hawks are a team that is struggling so badly that their head coach is considering resignation. The Hawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they also have a pair of starters battling injury (Hunter and Capella). The Warriors are 51-23-3 ATS in their last 77 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-23 | Rams v. Chargers -6.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 73 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LA Chargers. The Rams scored 51 points in a blowout win over the Broncos last week. Baker Mayfield threw for 238 yards and a pair of TDs on 24-of-28 passing. That's great, but they ain't playing the Broncos this week. This looks like a huge let down spot on the road at LA. Only one of these teams is going to the playoffs, and it ain't the Rams. The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win, and they are 1-5 on the road this season. This should be a reality check for the Rams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-22 | Ohio State v. Georgia -6.5 | Top | 41-42 | Loss | -110 | 375 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UGA. I am sure the Buckeyes can play better than they did against Michigan, but I am not sure that it's going to be good enough to hang with the Georgia Bulldogs. We've seen that C.J. Stroud has a high upside, but he often buckles under pressure, makes mistakes in big games. Stetson Bennett is an experienced veteran with a steady hand, who really doesn't have to do anything fancy. He played his best football in last year's playoffs, beating Michigan and Alabama. The Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 bowl games. They have the edge in the trenches and the championship pedigree. This line is currently less than a TD, and I think it should probably be closer to double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-22 | TCU v. Michigan -7.5 | 51-45 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MICH. Most people's analysis of TCU this season doesn't  seem to account for how exactly they won a lot of their games. In their win over Oklahoma, Sooners QB Dylan Gabriel was knocked out in the 2nd quarter. They trailed by double digits at halftime versus Kansas State, and the Wildcats had both their 1st and 2nd string QBs knocked out of that game. A close win over Kansas came against their second string QB, and they rallied from behind to win by a single point on a walkoff FG at Baylor. This MIchigan team is bigger, stronger, faster than all those previously mentioned, and I like the Wolverines to take the Horned Frogs behind the wood shed in the first half. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-22 | Baylor -1 v. Iowa State | 62-77 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BAY. The Cyclones will be a short home dog against undefeated Baylor, and some will think they look like a sharp play today. Iowa State has covered the spread in four straight meetings, but they have lost six straight and nine of the last 10 in this series. I have this line at -5.5 based on my numbers, and getting the Bears at a pickem is too goo to pass on. Baylor has a starting PG listed as questionable with a concussion, but the Cyclones leading rebounder Aljaz Kunc is out with a finger injury. The Bears are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-22 | Washington +3.5 v. Texas | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 64 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Washington. The Huskies finished the season on a six game win streak, and they were the #1 passing offense in the country averaging 377 passing yards per game. QB Michael Penix is coming back for another year, and he's all fired up to play in his first bowl game. While Texas will be missing their best player (RB Bijan Robinson), and a long list of starters opting out or hitting the transfer portal, we expect almost everybody to play for the Huskies. With eight defensive players either opting out or transferring, the Texas defense will not be at full strength. The total for this game has been bet up to 67.5 and might get higher before game time, I do expect a high score. I think there is better value backing the Huskies. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-22 | North Carolina v. Oregon -13 | 27-28 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Oregon. Both teams have plenty of players opting out, but I think that leaves Oregon with a huge edge in talent. Drake Maye is going to be hard pressed to keep up with an offensive juggernaut like Oregon without his top target Josh Downs. The UNC defense couldn't stop anybody this year, and they are going to be thin with a handful of players in the transfer portal. We are expecting the majority of Oregon's top WRs and RBs to play alongside Bo Bix, and they should march up and down the field tonight against this sad sacked Tar Heels defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-22 | Clippers v. Raptors -5.5 | 124-113 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Toronto. So coming into the second game of a back to back, two days after Christmas and having won in overtime in Detroit, this is a tough spot for the Clippers. It wouldn't be a surprise to see LA either rest some starters or cut back on their minutes. Toronto is coming off back to back big road wins at Cleveland and New York, and they have had a few days off over Christmas. The Clippers are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Toronto. There is no doubt this is a let down spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-22 | Nottingham Forest v. Manchester United -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MUTD. Ten Hag has Manchester United firing on all cylinders, they have battled their way into the Top 5 in the Premier League table. It's going to be a tough ask to finish in a Champions League spot, with Arsenal. Newcastle and City way out in front, and Liverpool and Spurs within a few points. Their first game back after the World Cup comes against Nottingham Forest, who own the Premier League's worst record in away matches. Forest is 0-2-5 with a -18 goal differential in away matches this season. Their most recent away match in the Premier League was a 5-0 loss at Arsenal. They might be looking at another blowout loss here at Old Trafford. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-22 | Bucs -7.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Tampa. As bad as things appear to be in Tampa Bay, the Bucs are still the favorite to win the NFC South. This team still has plenty to play for, while it looks like the Arizona Cardinals will be waiving a white flag here this week. Arizona officially eliminated from the post-season, and down to their third string QB. Trace McSorley has thrown for 166 yards and three INTs on just over 50 percent passing in limited action this year. Given the QB situation, it's hard to see the rest of the team being too invested in this meaningless game. Expecting the Cardinals offense to struggle to move the chains, that should lead to more possessions for Brady and company. Despite the loss, Brady threw for 312 yards and three TDs last week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-22 | Packers v. Dolphins -4.5 | Top | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 2* play on MIA. |
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12-22-22 | Illinois -6.5 v. Missouri | 71-93 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ILL. The Missouri Tigers look pretty good with a 10-1 record, until you examine who they beat (10 unranked teams), and how they lost (by 28 points to Kansas). Illinois has played a much tougher schedule, with wins over #2 Texas and #8 UCLA. Mizzouri lost by 26 points in this exact game at this exact venue exactly one year ago (to the day). Illinois has lost five straight versus ranked teams, and four of those losses came by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-22 | Jaguars v. Jets | 19-3 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NYJ. So the Jets lost at home to the Lions last week, but it wasn't Zach Wilson's fault. He threw for 317 yards, 2 TDs and an INT on 18-of-35 passing. He doesn't play defense, so you can't blame him for the 51 yard game winning TD Detroit scored with under two minutes to play. The Jets host Jacksonville on Thursday, and this looks like one helluva let down spot for the Jags. They rallied back from a 14-point halftime deficit to force overtime against the Cowboys, going on to win the game on an INT return. The Jaguars are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Jets are 6-0 ATS when coming off an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-22 | Warriors v. Raptors -5 | 126-110 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Warriors are 2-14 on the road, and they come into Toronto with possibly only one healthy starter. Steph Curry is out for at least a few weeks, and Andrew Wiggins is sidelined by a groin injury. Klay and Draymond are also banged up, and we aren't sure if either of them will play. The Raptors will be looking to snap a four game losing skid, and this is as good a spot as any. The Warriors have lost their last two at Toronto by a combined 72 points (no you aren't reading that wrong). History favors the home team as Toronto is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a losing road record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills -7 | 29-32 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Buffalo. This is a revenge game for Buffalo, as they lost 21-19 in Miami earlier this season. The Bills had the edge in total yards 497-212, but managed to make enough mistakes to lose the game. On a snowy day in Buffalo, it's worth pointing out that revenge is a dish best served cold. The Dolphins are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Buffalo, and the Bills are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in December. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-22 | Jazz v. Bucks -5 | 97-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on MIL. The Bucks are just a game back of Boston in the East, but they are coming off a blowout loss at Memphis in their last game. They look to get back on track with a home game against the Jazz Saturday. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. Khris Middleton is expected to sit out Saturday, but Jrue Holliday is scheduled to return. This looks like a let down spot for Utah, coming off an overtime win over New Orleans in Salt Lake City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-22 | Warriors v. 76ers -6.5 | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Warriors are 2-13 on the road, and losing Steph Curry for up to a month isn't going to help. Curry isn't the only starter sidelined for the Warriors, Andrew Wiggins and Draymond Green are also likely to miss this game on Friday in Philly. The Warriors are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games, and they are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Philadelphia. The 76ers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Get this one early because the line movement is expected to be one sided. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-22 | Ohio +13 v. Florida | 48-82 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Ohio. The Bobcats lost their first four road games, but they are coming off an 81-79 win at Youngstown state for their first road win of the year. They lost by just four points at #20 ranked Michigan in Ann Arbor. This is not a true road game, as they face the Gators in Tampa rather than Gainesville. The Gators are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six straight neutral site games. This line looks a little inflated considering that the Gators have lost four of their last eight games outright. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-22 | DePaul +1.5 v. Duquesne | 55-66 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a free play on DePaul. The Blue Demons will be an underdog on the road at Duquesne tonight, and you could call this a revenge spot since DePaul beat the Dukes by 20 points in Chicago last year. DePaul has a pair of senior starters that average over 15 points per game. Umoja Gibson is a transfer from Oklahoma, while Javan Johnson transferred from Iowa State midway through last season. The Dukes have lost back to back home games to Marshall and New Mexico State, and both losses came by a double digit margin. The Dukes are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games, while the Blue Demons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-22 | Nets -5 v. Wizards | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Nets. The Nets won six of seven on their recent home stand, and one of those games was a 113-107 win over the Wizards. Bradley Beal scored 25 points on 9-of-20 shooting in that game, but they will have to get points elsewhere tonight. Beal is out with a hamstring injury, and starting PG Monte Morris missed Saturday's game with a groin injury. Washington has lost nine of their last 10 overall, and three straight since the Beal injury. The Wizards are 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-22 | Dolphins v. Chargers +3.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. The Chargers have been great as an underdog, they have consistently shown that they can battle back to stay in games and keep it close even when they lose. Justin Herbert is 4th in the NFL in passing despite his top WR only playing five games, his #2 WR missing four games, and playing through a series rib injury. Their offense comes into tonight's game as healthy as it has been all year, and they line up against a Dolphins team that might be still reeling after getting run over by San Francisco. The Dolphins are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-22 | Raptors -6.5 v. Magic | 99-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on TOR. The Raptors had covered in six straight at Orlando before losing 113-109 on Friday. For the fourth time this season, Toronto will play back to back games against the same team in the same city. All three previous such situations resulted in a split, the team that won the first game went on to lose the second game. The Raptors are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings against the Magic. Toronto was an eight point favorite in the first game, and that number has come down a bit here in the rematch. I'll back the favorites here in this revenge match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-22 | Oklahoma State v. Virginia Tech -1 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on VT. The Hokies are 9-1, and they are 2-0 in neutral site games. This is an experienced squad with three senior starters all scoring in double digits. They come off a 77-49 win over Dayton, and Grant Basile led all scorers with 23 points on 9-of-17 shooting. The Cowboys are 6-3, coming off a win over Sam Houston. The Cowboys are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. While these teams haven't played since 2012, the Hokies have won four straight versus Oklahoma State. This team won 13 of their last 15 games last season, beating Duke in the Final of the ACC Tournament. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-22 | Eagles v. Giants +7 | 48-22 | Loss | -115 | 72 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYG. The Eagles own the best record in the NFL, but they are asked to cover a big spread in a divisional road game in bad weather this week. History tells us that the home team has won outright in six of the last seven head to head meetings. The Eagles have only covered in one of their last seven road games, and the Giants have covered in four of their last five home games. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-22 | Arizona v. Indiana | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Arizona. The Wildcats are 7-1, with a pair of wins over ranked teams. They beat San Diego State and Creighton before losing their first true road game at Utah. They host the #14 ranked Indiana Hoosiers in a neutral site game tonight, but Las Vegas might feel like a second home to the Wildcats. This Arizona team was 11-1 in non-conference games last year, beating #4 Michigan right here in Las Vegas. Indiana might struggle to match the scoring prowess of a Wildcats team that is averaging 91.5 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-22 | Wolves +3 v. Jazz | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. The Wolves will be in Utah tonight, and Rudy Gobert returns to Salt Lake City. Rudy takes on a more prominent role after the injury to Karl Anthony Towns, and he stepped up with 21 rebounds in a win over the Pacers in his last start. The Jazz were not supposed to be a contender in the West after losing Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert, but they got off to a surprising start. They have faded recently, going 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. The Timberwolves are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Utah, and the Jazz might not have their leading scorer tonight due to an illness. I'll take the points in this revenge spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-22 | Dayton v. Virginia Tech -7.5 | 49-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VT. This is a revenge spot for the home team, as Dayton beat the Hokies in Ohio last year by a score of 62-57. They didn't fare so well in non-conference road games, losing at SMU and Ole Miss by a combined 16 points. This will be just their second road game this season, losing 60-52 at UNLV last month. The Flyers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Hokies are 6-0 at home, and the average margin of victory in those games is 17 points. This should be a double digit win for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-22 | Lakers v. Raptors -8 | 113-126 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. I bet the under in the Lakers loss at Cleveland last night, and here is what I said before that game: "So the Lakers are rolling again coming into Cleveland as winners of eight of their last 10 overall. They have averaged 130 points per game in their last five, but they will be taking on the #1 scoring defense in the NBA here in Cleveland. History suggests we could see a lower scoring battle tonight. The Cavs have gone under five straight overall, and they have held opponents to just 93 points per game during that span. The under is 5-0 in their last five home games." They play their second game of a back to back north of the border, and AD might be out with an illness and you have to think they will be tempted to rest LeBron. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-22 | Celtics v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 116-110 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Raptors. Everyone in the NBA knows it's not easy to win in Toronto, and yet the Celtics come into Monday's game as favorites. This is a tough spot for Boston, playing the second game of a back to back off a big win in Brooklyn. Jalen Brown played 40 minutes last night, and Jason Tatum logged 37 minutes. Marcus Smart is out with an injury, and the Raptors are back to full strength. Toronto should get the W here in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-22 | Grizzlies v. Pistons +7 | 122-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on DET. The Grizzlies are just a game out of first in the Southwest, but they have really struggled on the road. They are asked to cover a big number here in the Motor City, but the Pistons are looking pretty good about now. Detroit is 3-3 straight up in their last six overall, but they have covered the spread in six of their last seven. The Pistons are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Grizzlies are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-22 | Wichita State v. Kansas State -6.5 | Top | 50-55 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on K-State. The Wildcats are coming off their first loss of the season, on the road at Butler. A home game against Wichita State looks like a good spot to get back on track. Wichita State had three players score in double digits last season, and all three are gone. One went to the NBA (Tyson Ettienne) and two transfered. The Wildcats have three senior starters averaging in double digits, and this gives them a huge edge in experience. Kansas State has won both their home games by double digits, and the Shockers are likely to be overmatched here in Manhattan. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-22 | 76ers v. Grizzlies -5.5 | 109-117 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Memphis. The Grizzlies host Philly Friday night, and the Sixers are still banged up. Maxey and Harden are out, and Tobias Harris is questionable with an illness. The Sixers are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four at Memphis. The Grizzlies are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 home games. The last time Philly played at Memphis they lost by 35 points (126-91). GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-22 | South Dakota State v. Kent State -7 | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on KENT. It comes as no surprise that Kent State is off to a good start, with an overall record of 5-2, and a 4-0 home record. They have three senior starters, all scoring in double digits. The Golden Flashes are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games, and they are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall. They host South Dakota State, and the Jack Rabbits have failed to cover in five straight versus a team with a winning record. South Dakota State lost two of it's top three scorers from last season via transfer, and the other to graduation. This should prove to be a mismatch. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-22 | CS-Fullerton v. Seattle University -9.5 | 62-69 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Seattle. This line looks a little short when you look at the overall body of work for Seattle University. The Redhawks suffered their first loss of the season on the road at Washington over the weekend. They are 5-1 overall, and 3-0 at home. They have outscored opponents by more than 30 points per game at home, and they have faced some strong teams. They won by a dozen in a home win over Portland State, a team that has a pair of wins over the PAC12 already. They also beat a Portland Pilots team by a dozen on the road, and the Pilots have a win over Villanova followed up by a one point loss to Michigan State. The Titans lost their last road game by 16 points at North Dakota, and another double digit defeat should be expected here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-22 | Raptors +1.5 v. Pelicans | 108-126 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. I had the Raptors in their last game, and I said the following: "The Raptors are 7-2 at home this season, and one of those two losses came against Brooklyn with Fred Van Fleet and Scottie Barnes out of the lineup. Van Fleet returned on Saturday in a 105-100 win over Dallas. Scottie Barnes is back at practice, so he could return tonight to face a Cavs team coming north of the border to play the second game of a back to back." I didn't know that Pascal Siakam was also set to return, but now that Toronto is back to full strength, the rest of the NBA should be put on notice. A Pelicans team with it's two best players banged up appears to be vulnerable. The Pelicans won a close game against the Thunder on Monday, and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-22 | Clippers +3.5 v. Blazers | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LAC. The Clippers have been hit hard by injuries, with stars Kawhi Leonard and Paul George out of the lineup. Most teams haven't got a shot in hell of competing without their two best players, but perhaps it should surprise nobody that LA is still a .500 team without George and Leonard. They have plenty of depth. with Reggie Jakcson, Norman Powell, Ivica Zubac, and Marcus Morris all stepping up. The same can not be said for the Blazers without Damian Lillard, as they have lost five of their last six overall. The Clippers look good as the dog considered they have won nine of the last 10 versus Portland straight up. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-22 | Switzerland +1.25 v. Brazil | 0-1 | Win | 50 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on SUI. So far in the World Cup, teams that have won by two or more in their first match, haven't done as well in their next match. Netherlands, Spain and England all settled for a draw in their second match. France won 4-1 in their opening match versus Australia, and then they beat Denmark 2-1 in their next match. Brazil will not have their leading scorer Neymar for the remainder of the Group Stages. The Swiss will likely be playing for a draw here, something they have successfully achieved in two of their last four matches versus Brazil. The Swiss have played nine matches at the World Cup since 2014, and only one of those nine matches resulted in a loss by more than one goal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-22 | Iowa State v. Connecticut -5 | Top | 53-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UCONN. The #20 Huskies are 7-0, and they beat #18 Alabama by 15 points on Friday at the Phil Knight Invitational. They face an unranked Iowa State team that just upset #1 North Carolina, and this could be a let down spot for the Cyclones. Iowa State made 9-of-20 three-point attempts in the upset win over the Tar Heels. I don't like their chances of hitting 45 percent from beyond the arc here in this game. The Huskies have the experience, the shooters, and the coaching to take down this scrappy Cyclones team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-22 | Packers v. Eagles -6.5 | 33-40 | Win | 100 | 154 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Philly. The Packers have lost six of their last seven games, and they will not be going to the playoffs. If there was ever a time to pack it in, and give up on the season, this is it. Aaron Rodgers has not only played poorly, he's blamed everyone else around him. The Eagles are 9-1, and six of those nine wins came by more than seven points. Philly has an NFL best 18 rushing TDs this season, and they rank 5th in the NFL in total offense. With Rodgers playing hurt with a broken thumb, this game could get out of hand and we could see Jordan Love at some point. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-22 | Mavs v. Bucks -6 | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MIL. The Mavs are playing on the road at Milwaukee in the second game of a back to back. Not only are they are on short rest, but Luka Doncic played a season high 43 minutes in a loss north of the border at Toronto last night. The Mavericks are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six in the second game of a back to back. The Bucks are 10-2 straight up at home, and nine of those 10 wins came by more than six points. |
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11-26-22 | Lakers -3 v. Spurs | 143-138 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LA. The Lakers have only won six games this season, but two of them have come against the Spurs. They come into tonight's game as winners of four of their last five, while the Spurs have lost seven straight. LeBron scored 21 points in 33 minutes in his first game back after missing five games due to injury. These two teams are in the mix for a lottery pick, so it should be quite a battle, but somebody has to win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-22 | Tennessee v. Vanderbilt +14 | 56-0 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Vandy. There are "dream crusher" spots, and then there is the situation that the Vols find themselves in. Not only did their playoff hopes go up in smoke with a blowout loss to an inferior team last week, but they lost their starting QB and Heisman candidate Hendon Hooker for the rest of the season. Then we have Vandy, fresh off an upset win over Florida. We really have no idea what to expect from Tennessee here, but you can bet your ass that Vandy is gonna bring it! Don't be surprised if the Commodores win outright. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-22 | Butler v. NC State +1 | Top | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NCSTATE. The Butler Bulldogs didn't get a lot of returning talent from last year, and they did not look good in their first game against a ranked team. They scored 45 points on 32 percent shooting in a loss to Tennessee a few days ago. The Wolfpack have more experience, and that may be what allowed them to hang with #3 ranked Kansas. NC State comes in averaging over 80 points per game, while the Bulldogs average just slightly above the national average (71.5). The Wolfpack currently rank 1st in the ACC in scoring, and near the top in FG percentage, FT percentage and three-point shooting. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-22 | Alabama v. Michigan State +4 | 81-70 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MSU. Alabama is powered by a pair of talented freshmen, and they face their first real test here in the Phil Knight Invitational on Thanksgiving. Michigan State has a ton of experience, with their three top scorers all seniors. The Spartans have already faced two teams ranked in the Top 5, winning outright by double digits versus #4 Kentucky and losing by a point to #2 Gonzaga. They also beat unranked Villanova by a bucket. The experience in close games early in the season is invaluable. Alabama is 4-0 versus unranked competition, and the Crimson Tide are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-22 | Iowa State v. Villanova -1 | 81-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VILL. The 3-0 Cyclones are facing the 2-2 Villanova Wildcats at the Phil Knight Invitational in an afternoon game on Thanksgiving. The Wildcats were 1 bucket away from beating #12 ranked Michigan State at East Lansing. This Villanova team made the Final Four last year, and they bring back plenty of key players from that team. Villanova is 5-1 ATS in their last six versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-22 | Costa Rica +2 v. Spain | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Costa Rica. At first glance it looks like this is a mismatch, but Costa Rica has thrived as an underdog at the World Cup. In 2014 they finished first in a Group that had been named the Group of Death, edging out England, Italy and Uruguay. They didn't make it out of the Group Stages in 2018, but they didn't lose a match by more than two goals either. Spain should be the favorite here, but this price seems far too high. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-22 | Nets -7 v. 76ers | 106-115 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on BKN. So Kyrie is back, and Ben Simmons shot 11-of-13 in a 127-115 win over the undermanned Grizzlies on Sunday. No word on whether Simmons actually attempted a shot that wasn't a dunk, but whatever he was doing he should just keep doing it. The Nets face another shorthanded team in Philly tonight, as the Sixers are down both their star players (Embiid and Harden), and several other role players. Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in their last four versus Philly, and they won their last game at Philly by 29 points. No reason not to expect history to repeat itself here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-22 | Australia v. France -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 50 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on France. No Benzema... no need to panic for France. The defending champions have depth at every position. Australia did not impress in World Cup Qualifying matches. They had one win in their last five matches, and lost to Saudi Arabia and Japan. Their leading scorer Harry Souttar plays in England, not in the Premier League but at Stoke City in the League Championship. France won their last three World Cup Qaulifying matches by a combined score of 12-0. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-22 | Celtics v. Bulls +6.5 | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
This is 2* play on CHI. The Bulls have played the Celtics twice already this year, winning at home and losing by 4-points in Boston in early November. Chicago is looking to right the ship here at home tonight, coming into this game as losers of four straight and six of their last seven. Half of those six losses came by fewer than six points, and this number looks a little inflated. The Bulls have covered in six of their last seven versus Boston, and the Celtics could be due for a let down here at the end of a road trip. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-22 | Wales +0.25 v. United States | 1-1 | Win | 50 | 33 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Wales +0.5. The United States has not done anything in recent qualifying matches to justify being favored here in their World Cup opener versus Wales. They scored just one goal, while going 0-2-1 in their last three matches. The one goal came against El Salvador, and they failed to score in a loss to Japan and a 0-0 draw versus Saudi Arabia. Wales is winless in their last three qualifying matches, but they played European superpowers Netherlands and Belgium twice. It should be considered encouraging that Wales scored in four of their last five matches, and during that span they didn't lose a match by more than one goal. I fancy Wales to get at least a draw here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-22 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 56 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on LA Chargers. There is history here between these division rivals, and recent meetings have been great games going down to the wire. Justin Herbert threw for 334 yards 3TDs, 1 INT on 33-of-48 passing in a 27-24 loss at Kansas City earlier this year. Last year he threw for 517 yards, 6 TDs and 1 INT on 48-of-76 passing in two games against the Chiefs last year. Kansas City has only covered in one of their last six head to head meetings versus the Chargers, and that win came in overtime 34-28 last December in LA. We could see Keenan Allen and Mike Williams return this week. That would be a huge boost for Justin Herbert. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | UNLV v. Hawaii +11.5 | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Hawaii. The final home game for the Rainbow Warriors, and they are 2-2 in their last four at home. They only lost by a combined 14 points to Mountain West powerhouses Wyoming and Utah State. They are getting double digits here at home against a UNLV team riding a five game losing skid. Don't even get me started by telling me the Rebels need to run the table to become bowl eligible, such a laughable talking point when a team has lost five straight. The Rainbow Warriors out-gained the Aggies 541-374 in total yards last week, but lost the turnover battle 4-0. I am gonna go out on a limb here and call for the outright win for Hawaii. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Iowa +2.5 v. Minnesota | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Iowa. At first glance you have Minnesota (7-3) hosting Iowa (6-4) and you might assume the home team has the edge. These teams are currently trending in opposite directions though, with Iowa coming off three straight double digit wins. The Hawkeyes are still undervalued after struggling on offense early in the season. They are by no means an offensive juggernaut, but their defense is so good that even a pedestrian effort on the other side of the ball makes them formidable. The Hawkeyes are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six versus the Gophers, and they have covered in four of their last five at Minnesota. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Virginia Tech v. Liberty -10 | 23-22 | Loss | -106 | 21 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Liberty. So Liberty had a huge win over Arkansas, and then suffered a let down last week in a loss to UCONN. They host Virginia Tech this week, and the Hokies have lost seven straight. If Virginia Tech is going to get up for any game, it would be their final home game against Virginia. This week looks like a flat spot for the Hokies, and an opportunity for Hugh Freeze to bolster his resume. The Flames are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and the Hokies are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Illinois +17.5 v. Michigan | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Illinois. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. It seems like 17.5 points is a big number in a bad weather game between the #1 and #3 ranked defenses. You also have the look ahead spot for the Wolverines, who have a huge game against Ohio State on deck. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-22 | Florida v. Florida State +7.5 | 76-67 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FSU. The public is tripping over themselves to bet against the Seminoles here, as they have looked like hot garbage starting the season 0-3. A home game against rivals Florida as a big underdog looks like a good spot to grab the underdog plus the points. The Gators are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. They have failed to cover in eight of their last nine versus Florida State. I'll roll the dice here and hope FSU can cut down on the turnovers and hit a few more free throws to hang tight in a home game against Florida. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-22 | Baylor -4.5 v. Virginia | Top | 79-86 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Baylor. The Cavs had four games against Top 25 teams last year, and they lost three of those four games by double digits. They do not match up well with a #5 ranked Baylor team that has the edge in experience, returning production and overall talent. The Bears are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games. The Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site games, and they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-22 | Coyotes v. Golden Knights -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Vegas. The Golden Knights have lost back to back games at home, after they had won nine straight. They host an Arizona team that is at the end of a road trip, and the Coyotes have lost back to back games by a combined five goal margin. The Coyotes are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings, and they have lost seven straight at Vegas. This looks like a great spot for the Knights to get back on track. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-22 | Old Dominion v. Virginia Tech -15 | 71-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VT. The Hokies are 3-0 and all three of those wins have come by 20+ points. Last year they won their first five games versus unranked teams all by 20+. Old Dominion is coming off a win over a Div 2 team, after losing by a dozen at Drexel. The Monarchs are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. This should be a blowout win for the Hokies who have superior talent and experience. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-22 | Vermont v. USC -11 | 57-59 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USC. This is not the same Vermont team that went 17-1 in conference play last year, and lost by just four points to Alabama in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Finn Sullivan is the only remaining starter from that squad, and he scored just five points in 18 minutes in a loss to Cal State Fullerton on Sunday. The Trojans bounced back after losing their season opener to FGCU, by blowing out Alabama State by 38 points. Senior guard Drew Peterson scored 21 points on 7-of-9 shooting in the victory. USC appears to be undervalued here in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-22 | Montreal +3.5 v. Toronto | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Montreal. The Argos finished first in the East, but Montreal was the hottest team in the CFL in the second half of the season. Trevor Harris finished third in the CFL in passing, and he completed 80 percent of his passes in a win over Hamilton in the East Semi Final. William Stanback missed the majority of the regular season, but the leading rusher in the CFL in 2021 is healthy for the playoffs. He ran for 66 yards on 10 carries in the win over the Tiger Cats. Montreal has won six of the last 10 meetings between these teams, and the four games they lost were decided by an average margin of fewer than three points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | Blazers v. Mavs -5 | 112-117 | Push | 0 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Dallas. The Blazers are overachieving, coming into Dallas as winners of four of five on this current road trip. Playing a sixth straight road game could be a let down spot for Portland. Dallas is coming off back to back losses on the road after winning four in a row at home. Luka Doncic is averaging an NBA best 33.6 points per game, and he's been even better at home (35.2 ppg). The Blazers are 0-4 straight up in the last four versus Dallas, and they failed to cover in all four of those losses. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | TCU v. Texas -7 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Texas. The Horned Frogs are 9-0 and currently eyeing a spot in the College Football Playoffs. I've been waiting for a spot to go against them for weeks now, as they have been getting it done with smoke and mirrors. Wins over Oklahoma, Kansas, Kansas State and Oklahoma State all came against opponents with an injured starting quarterback. They overcame double digit deficits versus the Cowboys and the Wildcats, and they figure to be down early here in Texas. I guess all the sharps are seeing the same thing here, and TCU is shaping up to be one of this season's biggest "square dogs". The line of -7 has 70% of the public backing TCU, but the big money is on Texas. This is reminiscent of UCLA vs Oregon, Penn State vs Michigan and Tennessee vs Georgia. I like Texas to win in a rout here, but taking the Horns for the first half might be the best way to attack this line. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Devils | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arizona +1.5. The Coyotes come into this game as winners of four of their last five, and they are riding a hot goaltender. Karel Vejmelka is coming off a 24 save shutout win over the Islanders. Arizona has lost three of their last five at New Jersey, but they are 4-1 ATS in those games. The Devils are 11-3 straight up, but they are just 5-8 ATS in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | Georgia v. Mississippi State +16.5 | 45-19 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MISST. The Bulldogs could be due for a let down after their huge win over Tennesssee, and they are asked to cover a big number on the road at Mississippi State. The (MISST) Bulldogs are 5-0 at home this season, and the home team is 5-0 SU in the last five head to head meetings. Georgia is 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a ATS win. The (MISST) Bulldogs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in November. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | Louisville +7 v. Clemson | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
This is 4* play on LOU. Clemson was exposed by Notre Dame last week, but they return home to face a Louisville team that they have owned in recent years. The Tigers are 7-0 straight up in seven meetings since 2014. They will have their hands full with this Cardinals defense, that ranks 4th nationally in sacks per game. DJ Uiagalelei has been sacked 10 times in his last four starts, and he's looked pretty bad when under pressure. Clemson has failed to cover in nine of their last 12 home games. You look back to their most recent home game and they were quite lucky to sneak past Syracuse, scoring 17 unanswered points in the 4th quarter to win 27-21. Don't be surprised if the Cardinals give them a similar challenge. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +1.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes are not the sexiest team in the BIG10, and because of that it's difficult to get anyone to want to bet on them. Perhaps that explains why they are a dog here in a game that they should be a 2-3 point favorite. The Badgers are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. The home team is 4-1 straight up in the last five head to head meetings, and the Badgers lost by 21 in their last visit to Iowa (2020). GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-22 | Purdue v. Illinois -6.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Illinois Illinois inexplicably lost to Michigan State last week, despite a 441-294 edge in total yards, and a 25-17 edge in first downs. They are in a good spot here at home against Purdue, a team that is reeling after back to back losses to Iowa and Wisconsin. Aidan O'Connell threw five INTs and just one TD pass in those games. He faces the nation's #1 ranked scoring defense in bad weather on the road this week. These teams have failed to reach the total in five straight head to head meetings, and the Fighting Illini are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-22 | BYU v. San Diego State -9.5 | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SDSU. The BYU Cougars finished in the middle of the pack in the WCC (5th) last season, and they lost their top two scorers from last year. Expectations are much higher for the #19 ranked Aztecs, who have four seniors in the starting lineup. Leading scorer Matt Bradley is back in 2022, and Senior Darrion Trammell transferred from Seattle. He led all scorers with 18 points in a 80-57 win in the season opener. The Cougars are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall, and these programs appear to be trending in opposite directions. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-22 | George Mason +12.5 v. Auburn | 52-70 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on GMU. The Patriots were giant killers in non-conference play last year, winning outright against #20 ranked Maryland, beating Georgia and losing by just nine points at #6 ranked Kansas. They get most of their starters back, including leading scorer senior Josh Oduro. Auburn lost their two best players to the NBA draft (Jabari Smith and Walker Kessler). They come into their season opener with five players listed as questionable, most notable of those is starting center Johni Broome. This game has upset written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Astros | 1-4 | Loss | -175 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Phillies need to win Game 6 to force a Game 7, but they do have a favorable pitching matchup. Zack Wheeler was tagged for five runs on six hits over five innings in Game 2, but he should bounce back here. His previous road start in San Diego was a gem, tossing seven scoreless innings, striking out eight and allowing one hit. Framber Valdez is suspected to have been using a foreign substance in Game 2, and after getting rocked for 10 runs on 4 2/3 innings in two starts in the World Series last year I can see why. The whole world will be watching, so it would be shocking to see him try anything here in Game 6. Philly is 7-0 coming off an off day, and 4-1 coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-22 | Alabama v. LSU +13.5 | 31-32 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LSU. If you're betting Alabama as a double digit road favorite, you must have missed their three road games this season. You know, the game they should have and would have lost at Texas if not for a phantom targeting penalty that negated a safety. Or when they won and covered at Arkansas but were leading by less than a TD in the fourth quarter. Or how about giving up 52 points at Tennessee? This is Death Valley at night, against a team that you beat at home last year by a score of 20-14. The Tigers will need a big game from Jayden Daniels if they are gonna hang with Alabama, but he's coming off three straight games completing over 70% of his passes, with six TDs and just one pick in those contests. He also ran for 165 yards and six TDs in his last two starts. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-22 | Houston +3.5 v. SMU | Top | 63-77 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Houston. Say what you want about Houston. I would be the first to admit that they have been disappointing this season. Yeah their defense has been bad, really effing bad. That said they come into this game riding a three game winning streak, and they are still in play for the conference title. The Mustangs defense ranks even worse than Houston, allowing 424 yards per game. Clayton Tune is starting to heat up, throwing for over 1,000 yards with 12 TDs and just one INT in his last three starts. I'll take the points in a game that I expect to be a shootout, and give me the better QB, better program and more high end talent up and down the lineup. ALL DAY! GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-22 | Tennessee +9.5 v. Georgia | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tennessee. Maybe the Vols are a square dog, but isn't that what they said before they dropped 52 on Nick Saban and Alabama. We haven't seen UGA really tested this year, but Tennessee presents a unique challenge. It's going to be tough to stop for a Georgia defense that ranks 120th nationally in quarterback sacks, and even tougher without their best pass rusher. I like the Vols to start fast in the first half, and even if they can't hang on for the outright win, they look good to cover this number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-22 | South Florida -2 v. Temple | 28-54 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on USF. South Florida must suck, I mean look at their record. They are 1-7 overall, sitting dead last in the American. Well take a look at their schedule. Three of their losses came against teams ranked in the Top 25, and the other four all came against teams with a winning record. They lost by a FG on the road at Florida, and lost by four at home versus the Cincinnati Bearcats. Temple can't use their schedule as an excuse, they simply are bad, very bad! EJ Warner (Kurts' boy) has thrown twice as many picks (8) as TDs (4) in his last five starts. He doesn't get a lot of help from his offensive line. Since coming in at QB for USF, Katravius March has thrown for 473 yards, 3 TDs and NO PICKS! I like the Bulls to get a feel good win here against an inferior opponent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-22 | Cavs v. Pistons +7 | 112-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. The Cavs lost their season opener on the road at Toronto, but they have since won six straight. They will be a big favorite here in the Motor City, but Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland are both a little banged up. This looks like a natural let down spot for the visitors. The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings, and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Pistons are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games overall. The home team is 6-0 straight up in the last six head to head meetings. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-22 | Eagles -13 v. Texans | 29-17 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Eagles. The Texans have just one win in their first seven games, despite being perhaps more competitive than expected. The trade deadline is a turning point for teams like Houston though, and we can expect them to fold like a cheap suit in the second half of the season. Disgruntled WR Brandin Cooks is listed as questionable, after he made comments about "covering up lies" when he wasn't traded at the deadline. Houston has by far the worst run defense in the NFL, allowing over 186 rush yards per game. The Texans are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 Thursday games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-22 | Astros v. Phillies +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHI. After being no-hit in Game 4, look for the Phillies to bounce back in Game 5. The Phillies had averaged seven runs per game at home in the playoffs prior to last night, and they roughed up Justin Verlander in Game 1. Verlander was torched for five runs on six hits in five innings, and he's now 0-6 with a 6.07 ERA in his career in the World Series. The Phillies have won four straight coming off a loss, and they are 10-3 in their last 13 home games versus Houston. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-22 | Sevilla +2 v. Manchester City | 1-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Sevilla. While Manchester City is the superior team playing at home, the line here is grossly inflated when you factor in the motivation for the two clubs. Pep Guardiola will rest his starters, and let the youngsters take the reigns here as City has already clinched top spot in the group. Sevilla needs a win to qualify, and should field their best squad. The last time they played at the Etihad they lost 2-1, and I wouldn't be surprised if that is the final score in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-22 | Ajax Amsterdam v. Rangers +0.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Rangers. In a meaningless game at the end of the group stages, I expect a better effort from the Rangers in front of a home crowd. Rangers are winless in the group stages so far, and neither of these teams has any opportunity to advance. A win at home on their way out of the competition would offer some consolation for the fans. Rangers are 6-0-1 at home in their domestic league, with a +18 goal differential. In Champions League qualifiers they were 1-0-1 with a +3 goal differential. Ajax has nothing to gain here in Scotland, and it would be surprising if they didn't rest some key players. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz +3.5 | 105-121 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Utah. I said this prior to the Jazz winning outright as a home dog versus Memphis on Saturday: "I think we have one of the more overrated teams (Memphis) playing one of the more underrated teams here in Utah. The Jazz are gonna suck without Donovan Mitchell? Well maybe not. They are off to a 4-2 start and they are undefeated at home. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Ja Morant scored 22 points in a win at Sacramento Thursday, but he's listed as doubtful for Saturday's game." Not enough has changed to justify the Grizz laying points here two days later. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz +5.5 | Top | 123-124 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Utah. I think we have one of the more overrated teams (Memphis) playing one of the more underrated teams here in Utah. The Jazz are gonna suck without Donovan Mitchell? Well maybe not. They are off to a 4-2 start and they are undefeated at home. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Ja Morant scored 22 points in a win at Sacramento Thursday, but he's listed as doubtful for Saturday's game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Astros | 2-5 | Loss | -175 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Astros are a favorite for a reason, as Houston was unfeated in this post-season prior to Game 1. They may have won all seven games, but four of those seven wins came in games decided by one run. They face the Phillies ace in Game 2, and Zach Wheeler is 1-1 with a 1.78 ERA in four starts in the playoffs. Maybe the Phillies are playing over their heads, but they have been hot at the plate, and I don't want to step in front of them here as the big underdog. The Phillies are 15-6 in their last 21 games versus a left-handed starter, and they face lefty Framber Valdez here on Saturday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-22 | Kentucky +12 v. Tennessee | Top | 6-44 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Kentucky. The Wildcats are 5-2 and the average margin of defeat in their two losses was 6.5 points. The will be a double digit dog here at Tennesse, after last season's meeting went down to the wire with the Vols winning 45-42. Will Levis threw for 372 yards and three TDs on 31-of-49 passing in that game, and Chris Rodriguez ran for 109 yards on 22 carries. Levis didn't play in the loss to the Gamecocks, but coming off a bye week the Wildcats should be ready to go to battle with their rivals Tennessee. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams, and the road team has covered in six of the last seven. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-22 | Temple v. Navy -13 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 144 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Navy. The Midshipmen struggle to defend the pass, and that has cost them against the likes of Houston and SMU. This week they are at home against a Temple offense that ranks 104th nationally in passing. Kurt Warner's boy (E.J.) has completed roughly 50 percent of his passes, and has as many picks (7) as he does TDs. Making matters worse for Temple, they have given up a combined 603 rushing yards in their last two games. Navy can still run the ball, and facing a team with low level talent that struggles to stop the run should be an ideal situation here. Navy won 38-14 at Temple last year, and the Owls might expect a similar result here in Annapolis. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-22 | Leeds United v. Liverpool -1.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Liverpool. It was a poor start to the season for Liverpool, but Jorgen Klopp and the boys appear to have found their stride. They are coming off a 3-0 win over Ajax in the Champions League, and they are undefeated at Anfield with a +12 goal differential in six matches. Leeds on the other hand are ready to sack their manager. They are facing relegation, and they are winless in away matches this season. Their last game at Anfield was a 6-0 loss in February. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Astros | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 60 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Astros are a favorite for a reason, as Houston is still unfeated in this post-season. They may have won all seven games, but four of those seven wins came in games decided by one run. They face the Phillies ace in Game 1, and Zach Wheeler is 1-1 with a 1.78 ERA in four starts in the playoffs. Justin Verlander on the other hand has allowed seven runs on 13 hits over 10 innings in two starts. Maybe the Phillies are playing over their heads, but they have been hot at the plate, and I don't want to step in front of them here as the big underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-22 | Liverpool v. Ajax Amsterdam +0.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Ajax. Liverpool is coming off a loss to Nottingham Forest in the Premier League, and they are destined to finish second in their group in the Champions League. There won't be anything to gain here for either team in an away match at Ajax. The Dutch side is unbeaten in five home matches in the Dutch league, with a goal differential of +20 (yes in five matches). When Ajax played at Anfield. Liverpool was fortunate to escape with a 2-1 win after scoring the game winner in the 89th minute. They have since added more players to their injury list. A draw should suit Jurgen Klopp just fine here, as he won't have his best squad available. GL, Jesse |
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10-25-22 | Mavs -4.5 v. Pelicans | 111-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Dallas. The Mavs will be a favorite here in New Orleans, with Ingram out and Zion questionable. Herbert Jones also suffered a knee injury late in the Pelicans loss to Utah over the weekend. With the status of three starters in question, the Mavs depth should be enough to power them to a comfortable win here. History is on their side, having won eight of the last 10 meetings in this series, including a pair of wins at New Orleans last season. The Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games, and the Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in New Orleans. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-25-22 | Manchester City v. Borussia Dortmund +1 | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Dortmund. Manchester City sits 1st in Group G, and they will travel to Germany to play 2nd place Dortmund on Tuesday. Manchester City won the first leg by a score of 2-1, on a late goal from Erling Haaland. Man City is 3-1-1 in five matches versus Dortmund dating back to 2016, and all three wins came by the exact same score (2-1). A win here would clinch the group for City, but a draw would likely also do the trick. Dortmund is 4-1-1 in six home matches in the Bundelsiga, which includes a 2-2 draw versus Bayern Munich. Don't be surprised if this game ends in a draw. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-22 | Kings v. Warriors -8.5 | 125-130 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on GSW. The Dubs are coming off a 128-123 home loss to Denver, but they should be able to bounce back Sunday against the Sacramento Kings. The Kings ranked 29th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing over 115 points per game last season. They are playing on back to back nights after losing at home to the Clippers last night. The Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games, and 5-1 ATS in their last six when playing on one day's rest. Golden State has won the last four head to head meetings by 10+ points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-22 | Steelers v. Dolphins -7 | 10-16 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MIA. The Dolphins were on a roll before Tua got hurt, and they get their QB back this week. A home game against the Steelers looks like a favorable spot for Tua and the Dolphins. The Steelers are due for a let down after a home upset win over Tom Brady and the Bucs. The Steelers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win, and they have failed to cover in six of their last eight road games. The Dolphins are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games versus a team with a losing road record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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