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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-02-22 | Minnesota v. Maryland -5 | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Maryland. The Terrapins have won three of their last four, and they play their final home game Wednesday versus Minnesota. The Gophers have lost nine of their last 11 overall, and there isn't much reason to expect them to go all out here on the road at the end of the season. Maryland has won and covered in each of their last six meetings versus Minnesota. The Gophers are coming off back to back 20+ point losses in their last two road games, scoring just 45 and 46 points in those losses. The Gophers have averaged just 61.4 points per game on the road, and I expect them to struggle here at College Park. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-22 | Knicks v. 76ers -10.5 | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Philly. It's too early to say that Philly got the better of the Nets in the trade that sent Ben Simmons to Brooklyn in return for Harden. So far it looks good for Philly. After scoring 27 in his Sixers debut, he scored 29 points and recorded a triple-double in a 125-109 win at New York on Sunday. This is just his third game with the Sixers, and his first home game. Expect the Sixers to go hard, as first impressions are important. The Knicks are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-22 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -3.5 | 53-36 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ISU. The Cyclones have won four straight, and their final home game comes against Oklahoma State on Wednesday. The Cowboys have lost eight of 10 road games this season, and they are 6-14-2 ATS in their last 22 games overall. The Cyclones are 14-4 at home, and they have allowed just 59.4 points per game at home. Izaiah Brockington has been on a tear, averaging over 24 points per game in his last five starts. He scored 26 points in a win over the Cowboys earlier this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-22 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Jets | 4-8 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 1* play on Montreal. A coaching change can completely turn around a hockey club. It was just three years ago that the St. Louis Blues replaced head coach Mike Yeo, and went from last place to first place and on to win the Stanley Cup. We've seen Bruce Budreau inspire the Vancouver Canucks to a record of 17-7-4, putting them back in the hunt for the playoffs. The Edmonton Oilers won five straight when Jay Woodcroft took over, and now the Habs have a winning record under interim coach Martin St. Louis. The Jets have lost four of their last five, with the one win coming against the Arizona Coyotes. Montreal has won five straight head to head versus Winnipeg. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-22 | Nets v. Raptors -5.5 | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The Nets might be favorites to win the Eastern Conference with a Big 3 of KD, Kyrie and Ben Simmons, but none of them will be in the lineup tonight in Toronto. The only healthy starter for the Nets will be Seth Curry, who has spent the majority of his career coming off the bench. The Nets lost at home last night to the Raptors by 36 points, and traveling north of the border 24 hours later isn't likely to yield a better result. The Raptors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-22 | San Diego State v. Wyoming +2 | 73-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wyoming. Nobody has won at Wyoming this season. Not Boise State, not Colorado State, and not Utah State. San Diego State has lost five of eight road games, losing at Colorado State, Utah State and Boise State. Given their resume, the Cowboys deserve to be a favorite here at home. The Aztecs will come in as a road favorite despite averaging just 60..5 points per game on the road. Wyoming has averaged 82.2 points per game at home. Expect a close game and I got my money on the home team plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-22 | Grizzlies v. Bulls -1 | 116-110 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bulls. Chicago has won six straight overall, and DeMar DeRozan has scored 30+ points in nine straight games. The Bulls host the Memphis Grizz Saturday, in a game that features two of the league's biggest stars. The Grizz have lost back to back games and Ja Morant hasn't been at his best lately. He battled a hip injury while scoring 20 points on 7-of-25 shooting in a loss to Minnesota in his last start. He was forced to leave the game in pain in the third quarter, but was able to return. He's listed as questionable, and while he's expected to play he might not be 100%. Not great timing for a head to head duel versus the MVP front runner. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-22 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Senators | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Montreal. A coaching change can completely turn around a hockey club. It was just three years ago that the St. Louis Blues replaced head coach Mike Yeo, and went from last place to first place and on to win the Stanley Cup. We've seen Bruce Budreau inspire the Vancouver Canucks to a record of 17-7-4, putting them back in the hunt for the playoffs. The Edmonton Oilers won five straight when Jay Woodcroft took over, and now the Habs have a winning record under interim coach Martin St. Louis. Ottawa will be a big favorite at home tonight depsite losing five of their last six in Canada's capital, and the Habs look good on the puckline. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-22 | Auburn v. Tennessee -3 | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tennessee. The Vols and the Tigers are two of the top dogs in the SEC, and between the two of them they are 29-0 at home. Auburn has a decent road record (7-2), but a close examination of their last four road games suggests they are in big trouble here at Knoxville. They lost at Florida and Arkansas, and prior to that wins at Georgia and Missouri came by a combined three points. History favors the Vols, as the home team is 17-8 ATS in the last 25 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-22 | Clippers v. Lakers | 105-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. At the age of 37, LeBron James played a career high 37 minutes in the NBA All Star game on a bad knee. He's listed as questionable for tonight's game against the Clippers. AD is out for sure, and so is Avery Bradley. The Clippers won three of four before the break, and they have managed to remain competitive without PG and Kawhi. The Clippers are 22-6-1 ATS in their last 29 games playing on 3 or more days rest, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. History favors the Clippers who are 9-0 ATS in the last nine meetings in Los Angeles. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-22 | Northwestern v. Penn State -1.5 | 60-67 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Penn State. Penn State will host Northwestern Friday, and these two teams have plenty in common. They each have six wins in the BIG10. and both these teams are far better at home than they are on the road. The home team has won six of the last eight head to head meetings, and the Wildcats are 0-4 at Penn State during that span. The Nittany Lions are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games, and they have covered in four of their last five as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-22 | Cavs v. Pistons +9.5 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Detroit. The Cavs are just 2.5 games out of first place in the East, but they lost back to back games heading into the All Star break. They have three starters sidelined by injury, and they still come into Detroit as a big favorite. The Pistons have won their last two home games against Cleveland, and two of their last three home losses against the Cavs came in games decided in overtime. Before the break the Pistons upset the Celtics in Boston, with Cunningham, Grant and Bey all scored 20+ points. The young guns are starting to come together, and a competitve game at home against a banged up opponent seems likely here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-22 | Wyoming +6.5 v. Colorado State | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
8* |
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02-23-22 | West Virginia v. Iowa State -5 | 81-84 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa State. The West Virginia Mountaineers have lost 11 of their last 12 games, and that one win came in a home game against Iowa State. Well it's payback time for the Cyclones, who are 13-4 at home. The Mountaineers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games, and they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a losing record. The Mountaineers might be looking ahead to a home game against Texas this Saturday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-22 | Lille OSC v. Chelsea -0.25 | 0-2 | Win | 109 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Chelsea. After finishing at the Top of League 1 in France last year, Lille sits 11th in the table this season. Chelsea sits third in the Premier League table, and they come in on top form with four wins and a draw in their last five matches. While they aren't really in the running to to win the Premier League, I think Chelsea may be better suited to win the Champions League. They have the best goalkeeper, and they are incredibly efficient on defense. The Blues have posted a clean sheet in three of their last four matches in all competitions, and I expect another clean sheet here. Looking for a 2-0 win for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-22 | Penn State v. Maryland -2.5 | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MD. Maryland only has four wins in the BIG10, but they have lost a couple big games that could have gone either way. Losing by two versus Michigan State, and losing to Purdue by one point doesn't show up in the standings. They host a Penn State team that has lost seven of eight road games, with the one win coming at Northwestern in a close game. Penn State won at College Park last March (rallying from a double digit halftime deficit), but the home team is 8-1 straight up in the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-22 | Washington State v. USC -5.5 | 60-62 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on USC. The Cougars come into this game as losers of four straight, while USC has won five of six. The Trojans are 12-2 at home, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. The favorite has covered in seven of the last nine meetings. USC has averaged over 77 points per game at home, and they have won 10 straight versus Washington State. The Cougars only covered in two of those 10 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Flames -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CAL. The Kraken sit dead last in the Pacific Division with a record of 16-30-4, and I have been fading them since December. I noted that the bookmakers are giving them too much respect, and I hypothesized that the success of the Vegas Golden Knights as an expansion team has skewed people's idea of what should be expected from an expansion team. If you look at other last place teams in the NHL (Arizona, New Jersey, Montreal), you will notice that the odds to bet against them are far higher. The Flames have won eight straight, and they have won by 2+ goals in six straight games. Calgary ranks 1st in the NHL in goals against, and they have one of the league's top penalty killing units. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-22 | Utah State v. Boise State -4.5 | Top | 57-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Boise State. Boise State sits at the top of the Mountain West, with just a half game lead over Wyoming. They have a home game against Utah State Saturday, and I like the Broncos to win big. The Broncos have won four of the last five meetings versus the Aggies, and Utah State has struggled on the road this season. The Aggies are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight road games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Utah State has covered in just one of their last five games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-22 | Wright State v. Oakland -3 | 78-74 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Grizzlies, Oakland is still undefeated at home, and they host the Wright State Raiders on Friday night. This will be a revenge game for the Grizzlies, who lost by double digits at Wright State a few weeks ago. The Grizzlies are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games, and they are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 as a home favorite. The Raiders are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six as an underdog. Oakland has score an average of just 75.9 points per game this season, but they have scored a whopping 87.5 points per game at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-22 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -1 | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Tennessee. The Vols host Kentucky in a revenge game in Tennessee tonight, and this looks like a good spot to back the home team. Tennessee is 13-0 at home, and yet just a slight favorite here versus the Wildcats. They have held opponents to fewer than 60 points per game during their unbeaten run at home. The Wildcats are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Volunteers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-22 | Arkansas v. Missouri +8 | 76-57 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Missouri. The Razorbacks will be a well deserved favorite here at Missouri, coming into this game as winners of nine of their last 10 overall. Missouri has lost two of their last three at home, but those losses each came by a single point versus #1 ranked Auburn and the Florida Gators. The Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog, and they have covered in each of their last five home games. The home team has been the better bet in this series, covering in seven of the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-22 | Wyoming -5.5 v. New Mexico | 66-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wyoming. The Cowboys are now in first place in the Mountain West, and they come into tonight's game at New Mexico with a 10-1 conference record. The Lobos are just 2-6 in conference play. While New Mexico has won three of their last four, those wins came against weaker opposition (0-12 San Jose State and Northern New Mexico. The Cowboys are 28-9 ATS in their last 37 road games, and they are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 games overall. The Lobos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a winning road record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Watford +0.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Watford. Brighton Hove Albion sits in the top 10 in the Premier League table, despite winning just six of their 22 matches. They have played a Premier League leading 12 draws, making it twice as likely they draw than actually win, and three times as likely to lose or draw rather than win. They face a Watford club fighting to avoid relegation, and another draw here seems likely. Watford has played to a draw twice in their last four matches, and two of the last four head to head versus Brighton have been draws. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-22 | St Bonaventure v. St. Louis -5 | 68-61 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bilikens. The Bonnies are an underdog on the road at Saint Louis tonight, and this looks like a good spot to back the home team. The hosts have won four of the last five meetings, and the Bonnies are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a road underdog. The Bonnies were briefly in the Top 25 early in the season, but the have struggled in conference play sitting in the middle of the pack in the A-10. Saint Louis is 11-3 at home, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. The favorite has covered in five of the last seven head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-22 | Tenn-Martin +3 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 63-71 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UT Martin. The Cougars are the last place team in the OVC, and yet they are a favorite here in a home game against UT Martin. This would be a tough ask at the best of times, but they haven't won a game since losing leading scorer Ray'Sean Taylor for the rest of the season. They scored just 47 points in a home loss to SEMO in their last game. Home court hasn't been an advantage in this series, as the road team is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The Cougars have failed to cover in six straight overall. Looks like the wrong team is favored here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-22 | Alabama v. Ole Miss +5.5 | 97-83 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Ole Miss. The Rebels will be an underdog at home versus Alabama, and the Crimson Tide have lost four of their last five road games outright. Alabama scores plenty on the road (averaging over 80 points per game) but they have struggled defensively (allowing over 85 points per game). The Crimson Tide are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. The Rebels are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-22 | Kansas +1.5 v. Texas | 76-79 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Kansas. The Jayhawks are 19-3 overall and 8-1 in the BIG12 heading into tonight's game at Texas. The Longhorns are 5-4 in their last nine overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last seven. The Longhorns are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Home court hasn't been much of an advantage in this series, the road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Kansas has faced top 25 teams in each of their last four games, winning three of those. They are coming off a 24-point win over #8 ranked Baylor. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-22 | Arizona v. Arizona State +13.5 | 91-79 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. The Sun Devils have played back to back home games against UCLA and USC, and both games were close, decided by a combined eight points. They will be a double digit underdog once again tonight when they host Arizona. They lost 67-56 at Arizona last week, and another close, low scoring game seems likely. The under is 9-2 in the Sun Devils last 11 overall, and they have gone under in 11 of their last 12 home games. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings, and Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-22 | Houston v. Cincinnati +6.5 | 80-58 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cincinnati. The Houston Cougars are cruising, coming into Cincinnati with a 19-2 overall record, and they are undefeated in conference play. The Bearcats are just 5-3 in the AAC, but they are 11-2 at home. They have won outright in three of their last four home games versus Houston. They will be getting a bunch of points here as the home underdog. Cincinnati is allowing just 60.2 points per game, and scoring an average of 74.5 points at home. This is a tough spot for the Cougars, with another road game against second place SMU coming up next. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-22 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -5 | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Arkansas. The Razorbacks have won seven in a row, and they have scored over 78 points per game in their last five. The Bulldogs are 0-4 on the road, and they have averaged just 67 points in those games. Mississippi State is coming off a home win over South Carolina, and they are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. The home team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 head to head meetings, and this looks like a potential double digit win for Arkansas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-22 | Rockets +3 v. Spurs | Top | 106-131 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU. The Rockets will be an underdog in San Antonio Friday, and they catch the Spurs on the back end of a back to back. The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog, and the road team has won four of the last five meetings outright. The Spurs have failed to cover in five of their last six home games, and they have just three wins in their last 12 games overall. Three starters missed last night's game against Miami, and the Spurs are in rough shape considering Houston is as healthy as anyone right now. Christian Wood has scored 20+ points in three straight games, and alongside Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green, the Rockets are not short on young talent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-22 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary +8 | Top | 84-61 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CWM. |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -130 | 91 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on KC. The Bengals managed to win on the road at Tennessee last week despite QB Joe Burrow getting sacked nine times. They will have no hope here in Kansas City if they fail to protect Burrow, despite the fact that they beat the Chiefs 34-31 in Cincinnati just a few weeks ago. The Chiefs had a 28-17 lead at halftime in that game, and we could see both teams score their share of points here in Kansas City. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 782 yards and eight TDs on 76 percent passing in the Playoffs so far. The Chiefs are 11-1 in their last 12 overall, and they have gone over the total in seven straight overall. Don't be surprised if Kansas City wins this one in a blowout 42-24. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-22 | Indiana v. Maryland +1.5 | 68-55 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MD. Maryland will be a home underdog versus Indiana on Saturday, and they are coming off back to back big wins. The Terps shot 12-of-25 (48%) from beyond the arc in a win over Rutgers in their last game. Indiana has lost four of five road games so far this season, and the one win came at last place Nebraska. The Hoosiers are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 road games. The home team has won outright in nine of the last 10 head to head meetings. The Hoosiers have no business being a road favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-22 | Maryland v. Rutgers -3 | 68-60 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. Rutgers is 38-6 straight up at home over the last three seasons, and they are 10-1 at home so far this season. Maryland has lost six of eight BIG10 games so far, and they have lost thee of four road games. Their last road game was a 19-point loss at Michigan. Maryland has allowed an average of 81.5 points on the road, while Rutgers has held opponents to just 58.3 points per game at home. Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings versus Maryland, and they appear to be undervalued as the home favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-22 | Michigan State +5.5 v. Illinois | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Sparty. Michigan State is in first place in the BIG10, and they come into Illinois as winners of 10 of their last 11 overall. The one loss came in a game decided by just two points. The Spartans have won five of their last six versus Illinois, and the one loss came in a game decided by five points. Michigan State has cashed a winning ticket in five straight road games, and they catch Illinois off back to back losses. The Illini leading scorer Kofi Cockburn didn't play on Friday at Maryland, and he's listed as questionable with a concussion. I expect him to play, but whether or not he's at full speed is another question. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-22 | Bills +2.5 v. Chiefs | 36-42 | Loss | -109 | 88 h 51 m | Show | |
5* |
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01-22-22 | 49ers v. Packers -5.5 | 13-10 | Loss | -102 | 40 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Packers. The 49ers dominated the first half in their win at Dallas last weekend, but they just barely held on in a game that went down to the wire. Playing on the road in a cold weather game in Green Bay is going to be a far tougher test. The Packers are well rested, and they are as healthy as they have been all year. San Francisco picked up a few injuries against the Cowboys, none more significant than QB Jimmy Garoppolo. He complained about a shoulder injury after taking hit in the first half, and his first half quarterback rating was healthy 106.3 (11/14, 133 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT) but after the shoulder injury, the second half QB rating was a paltry 4.0 (3/11, 39 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT). He's been picked off five times in his last three starts, and if the Packers get a sizeable lead, it will put a ton of pressure on him. The Packers won at SF during the season, and Davante Adams had 12 catches for 132 yards and a TD. There's no defense for the Rodgers/Adams duo, and that's bad news for San Francisco. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-22 | Iowa v. Rutgers +3 | 46-48 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. Iowa has won four of the last five meetings in this series, with two of those wins coming at Rutgers. Those wins each came in games decided by a single bucket. So what will be different about this game? For starters all time great Luka Garza is no longer playing for the Hawkeyes. He scored 25 points in the win at Rutgers last year. The Scarlet Knights are in good shape, with both Geo Baker and Ron Harper Jr. averaging double figures. Rutgers is 9-1 at home, and they have held opponents to an average just 59.5 points in those games. The Hawkeyes are 2-3 on the road, and while they are averaging over 86 points per game, they have averaged just 71.4 points per game on the road. Rutgers is 37-6 straight up at home over the last three seasons, while Iowa is 12-14 straight up on the road over the last three seasons. The underdog is 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-22 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -7.5 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas Tech. The Cyclones won 51-47 at home versus Texas Tech just before Christmas, and I was fortunate that I got a good line. Many people would have pushed or lost depending on when they played that game. One of the reasons I decided to bet against Texas Tech in that spot, was that they were missing leading scorer Terrance Shannon. He played 18 minutes in a loss to Kansas State over the weekend, and he should be ready to take on more minutes here in a revenge game against the Cyclones. Texas Tech is 10-0 at home, and the Cyclones have lost two of three on the road. The Red Raiders are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they won their last home game against Iowa State by 27 points. This smells like a double digit win for the Red Raiders. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-22 | Warriors v. Wolves +2.5 | 99-119 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Minnesota. The Warriors have struggled without Draymond Green, losing four of their last five road games. Minnesota is coming off a loss at Memphis, and the Timberwolves are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Golden State is expected to be missing Steph Curry who is dealing with a sore hand, and fellow splash brother Klay Thomspon is still working his way into shape. The Warriors are 2-7 ATS in the last nine meetings in Minnesota. The Wolves are at full strength, and they have won four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-22 | Eagles +9.5 v. Bucs | 15-31 | Loss | -119 | 57 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 17.5 (team total). The Bucs are a 7.5 point favorite at home versus Philly, and with all the injuries for Tampa this game might be closer than some would expect. The Bucs beat the Eagles 28-22 in Philly during the regular season, and Leonard Fournette ran for 81 yards and two TDs on 22 carries. Fournette won't play in this game due to a hamstring injury. Antonio Brown caught nine passes for 93 yards and a TD, and we know he's no longer on the team. Mike Evans is the last man standing in what was a stacked receiving corps, and with a thin backfield he should get plenty of work today. The Eagles offense ranks below average in the league scoring just over 22 points per game, but in the 11 games since losing to Tampa, they have averaged 28 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-22 | Patriots +4 v. Bills | 17-47 | Loss | -103 | 44 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NE. The Patriots ran for 222 yards and two TDs in a 14-0 win in a snow storm in Buffalo in December, and that game exposed the flaws of this Bills team. They rely too heavily on the arm of Josh Allen, and it cost them. They likely won't have to deal with snow this time around, but the forecast calls for temperatures of -12. The Patriots are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 meetings in Buffalo, and they are getting more points in this game than they were in their last visit to Orchard Park. In a game that has a high probability of being decided by a field goal, I am getting the team with the better coach and I am getting 4+ points? Sign me up. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-22 | Raiders +5.5 v. Bengals | 19-26 | Loss | -109 | 61 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Vegas. Everyone is talking about Joe Burrow and the Bengals. They won three of their final four games, clinching the division. Keep in mind only one of those wins came by more than five points. The Raiders aren't getting much hype at all, despite ending the season on a four game winning streak. Joe Burrow might be the more talented QB (remains to be seen), but at 30 years of age Derek Carr has 30 game winning drives under his belt. He holds an NFL record with 24 fourth quarter comebacks. The Bengals are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven Wildcard games, and the fact that they are favored by more than a FG suggests that recency bias is at play here. I'll take the points with the veteran QB on a team with the exact same record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-22 | Blazers v. Nuggets -8 | 108-140 | Win | 100 | 21 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Denver. With Damian Lillard looking to have surgery, the mission for the Blazers might be to secure a lottery pick. They come into Denver with a road record of 2-13. When you are struggling on the road, the last place you want to play is in mile high city. The Trail Blazers are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog, and they are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games. Denver has covered the spread in five of the last seven head to head meetings. The Blazers might as well throw in the towel, and they just might do exactly that. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-22 | Utah State v. Colorado State -4.5 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on CSU. The Colorado State Rams are coming off their first loss of the season against San Diego State, but they look to bounce back in a home game versus Utah State. The Aggies have failed to cover in four of their last five road games, and they scored an average of just over 75 points in those games. That might not be enough against a Rams team that averages over 86 points per game at home. The Rams have won 17 of their last 18 home games dating back to the beginning of last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-22 | Hornets v. 76ers -5 | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Philly. The Hornets are coming off back to back home wins over Milwaukee, and they could be due for a let down on the road at Philly. The Sixers have won seven straight, and Joel Embiid has scored 30+ points in all of those games. The 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win, and they are 10-0 straight up in their last 10 versus the Hornets. Their last three home wins over Charlotte came by an average margin of 13 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-22 | Cavs v. Warriors -9.5 | 82-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
5* |
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01-09-22 | Patriots -6 v. Dolphins | 24-33 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on New England. Not only is Miami eliminated from the playoffs, and the Patriots still have plenty to play for, but this is also a revenge spot for New England. The season opener at Foxboro was a 17-16 win for Miami. The Patriots were about to score the go-ahead TD when Damian Harris fumbled in the final minutes, allowing Miami to run out the clock. Tua Tagovaloa threw for 202 yards with a TD and an INT on 16-of-27 passing. Tagovaloa has thrown four picks in his last three starts, and New England's defense ranks second in the NFL with 23 INTs this season. The Dolphins have won seven of their last eight overall, but not one of those wins came against a team that is currently in a playoff spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals -5.5 | 38-30 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ARI. The Cardinals wrap up the season at home against division rivals Seattle, and this looks like a huge let down spot for the Seahawks. Russell Wilson threw four TD passes and Seattle scored 50+ points in a win over the Lions in their final home game last week. The Seahawks are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win, and they are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games. The Seahawks are 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-22 | Knicks v. Celtics -7 | 75-99 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Celtics. The Celtics are coming off a 108-105 loss at MSG, blowing an 18 point lead in the second half. Evan Fornier went off for 41 points on 15-of-25 shooting, and this sets up a huge let down spot for Fornier and the Knicks. The Celtics look good here in a revenge spot with the majority of their squad intact. The Knicks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight as an underdog. The home team has won five straight meetings in this series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-22 | Jazz v. Raptors +3.5 | 108-122 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Toronto. The NBA pushed the pause button shortly after Rudy Gobert tested positive for Covid back in 2020, and now two years later he's again tested positive. With the Jazz playing in Toronto Friday, they could be without their entire starting lineup. In fact it will be a miracle if this game is even played. Toronto on the other hand is playing it's best ball of the season, riding a four game win streak. The Jazz are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Toronto. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-22 | Cornell v. Pennsylvania -3.5 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Penn. The Quakers are 4-10, and they have lost six of their last seven games. They have played a tough schedule, and their last three losses came in games decided by single digits. They are the favorite in a home game against Cornell tonight, and the Big Red are coming off a 79-71 win over Dartmouth. Penn is 9-1 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Quakers have covered in five straight as a favorite, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-22 | Providence -2 v. Marquette | 56-88 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Providence. The Friars are in first place in the Big East, and they play on the road at last place Marquette. The Golden Eagles are coming off a double overtime loss at home to Creighton, and they should be overmatched here. The Friars have some big road wins already this season, winning at Wisconsin, UCONN and DePaul. Marquette has lost some big games at home, losing to UCLA, UCONN and Marquette. The Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games, and the Friars are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-22 | Eagles v. Washington Football Team +5 | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS. The Washington Football team is coming off one of the ugliest losses in their history. They were completely out-classed by the Cowboys, trailing 42-7 at halftime. That loss effectively ends any hope of making the playoffs, so you might expect them to give up on the season. I seriously doubt that Ron Rivera has any interest in laying down in a home game against division rivals Philly. The Eagles are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win, and they scored just three points in the first half against New York last week. Jalen Hurts has thrown as many picks (3) as he has TDs in his last three starts. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-21 | Georgia -7.5 v. Michigan | 34-11 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UGA. The last thing I am going to do heading into the playoffs is judge these teams based on their last performance. Rather than rush to a judgement influenced by recency bias, I will look at each team's entire body of work. Georgia was by far the best team in the country all year long, and because of that they came into the SEC Championship game as a 7-point favorite versus Alabama. Bryce Young lit them up, with the majority of the damage coming in the second quarter of a 41-24 loss. The Michigan Wolverines are coming off back to back blowout wins over Iowa and Ohio State, but their QB threw more INTs (2) than TDs (1) and failed to throw for 200 yards in either of those games. They don't have a Heisman winner at QB like Alabama, and they could going up against a brick wall if they can't get their running game going. Georgia only allowed three rushing TDs in 13 games this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-21 | Cincinnati +14 v. Alabama | 6-27 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cinci. The last thing I am going to do heading into the playoffs is judge these teams based on their last performance. Rather than rush to a judgement influenced by recency bias, I will look at each team's entire body of work. Alabama lost to Texas A&M, barely escaped with a win over Florida, and were so close to losing to Auburn in the Iron Bowl. Because of that they entered the SEC Championship game as a 7-point underdog. Cincinnati on the hand was consistent every week, finishing 13-0 and becoming the first non Power Five team in the playoffs. The Bearcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and they have covered five straight as an underdog. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-21 | Oregon v. Oklahoma -6.5 | 32-47 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sooners. I don't think the Sooners brought back Big Game Bob (Stoops) to take an L here in this bowl game. They will play Oregon in the Alamo Bowl, and the Ducks will have outgoing offensive coordinator Joe Moorhead as interim coach. Their best player on defense, and potential first overall pick in the upcoming NFL draft Keyvon Thibideau has opted out of the Alamo Bowl. The Sooners are 6-1 all time versus the Ducks, and they are in better shape ahead of this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-21 | West Virginia v. Minnesota -4.5 | 6-18 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MIN. The total for the Guaranteed Rate Bowl is pretty low, and even though both these teams are great defensively, I think we will see closer to 50+ points. Minnesota won six of their last eight games, and they've scored an average of 27 points during that span. Minnesota has been quite successful in recent bowl games, covering in four straight. Most recently they defeated Auburn 31-24 in the Outback Bowl in 2019. I like the Gophers to win in similar fashion here in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl. GL. Jesse Schule |
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12-28-21 | Texas Tech v. Mississippi State -9.5 | 34-7 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MISST. The Bulldogs are a favorite in the Liberty Bowl, and Mike Leach might enjoy lighting up his former team in this bowl game. The Bulldogs won four of their final six games in the SEC, while Texas Tech lost four of their final five games in the BIG12. Texas Tech will have Sonny Cumbie as an interim head coach, and Donovan Smith at QB. Their receiving corpse will be depleted with several injuries and their leading WR opting out. The Red Raiders are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Bowl games, and they are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 neutral site games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-21 | Bucs v. Panthers +10.5 | 32-6 | Loss | -113 | 83 h 49 m | Show | |
The Panthers have lost four straight games, losing twice at home and twice on the road. Their home losses came by single digits, and both home losses came by a double digit margin. Tampa Bay is coming off a 9-0 loss to the Saints, and they have been hit hard by injuries. Mike Evans, Leonard Fournette and Chris Godwin are all out. Only the Buffalo Bills have allowed fewer yards per game than Carolina, and the Panthers have allowed just 178 passing yards per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-21 | Browns v. Packers -7 | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GB. We saw Cleveland really struggle against a below average team last week, and now they face the mighty Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on Christmas Day. The Packers are a heavy favorite, and this should be quite a mismatch. Baker Mayfield is back, but there are still a long list of players on the covid list, especially on defense. The Packers are 6-0 at home and all six of those wins came by double-digits. Aaron Jones has scored three TDs in his last two starts, and he should get plenty of touches here in what should be a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-21 | Ball State v. Georgia State -5 | 20-51 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Georgia State. |
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12-25-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -6 | Top | 87-101 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
10* |
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12-23-21 | Wolves v. Jazz -10.5 | 116-128 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Utah. The Jazz are one of a few teams that have yet to be decimated by Covid and injuries, and that's likely part of the reason why they have won nine of their last 11 games. Minnesota comes limping into Salt Lake City without Anthony Edwards, Patrick Beverly and Jarred Vanderbilt and several others. The Jazz are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days rest, and seven of their last nine wins have come by 10 or more points. The Jazz lead the NBA averaging 115.4 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-21 | Central Florida +7 v. Florida | 29-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCF. Forida is a better team, with more talent and more resources. They may not be the more motivated team here, and their talent and resources have been decimated by opt outs, and injuries. They are expected to start Emory Jones at QB despite the fact that he has already decided to enter the transfer portal. The Gators won a close game at home 24-21 in their season finale versus FSU to become bowl eligible. They face a UCF team that won five of their final six games. The Gators are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games, and they have failed to cover in six straight non-conference games. The wrong team might be favored here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-21 | Vikings -6.5 v. Bears | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Minny. The Bears have lost seven of their last eight games overall, and injuries are a huge concern heading into this Monday night matchup versus Minnesota. The Vikings are 6-7 overall, and the majority of their losses have come in games decided by just a few points. The Bears defense has given up 78 points in their last two games, and they face a Vikings offense that is firing on all cylinders. Dalvin Cook ran for 205 yards and two TDs in a win over the Steelers in his last start. He should have another big game coming off plenty of rest. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-21 | Raiders +3 v. Browns | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Vegas. We saw this line move several points with the Raiders the favorite, and after being re-scheduled the Browns have gone to -3. So far the indication is that the majority of the Cleveland players on the Covid list remain out, and therefore the Raiders should still have an advantage. Nick Mullens is presumed to be the starter for the Browns, and he's had plenty of trouble protecting the football. Mullens has thrown eight INTs in his last five starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-21 | Tulsa v. Old Dominion +9.5 | 30-17 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Old Dominion. After a 1-6 start to the season, nobody expected the Monarchs to be playing in a bowl game. They turned things around when Blake Watson stepped up at running back and freshman Hayden Wolff took over at QB. The Monarchs finished the season with five straight wins, and they scored an average of 36 points in those games. Tulsa will be a big favorite in this game, but in the six games they won this season five of those were decided by seven points or less. The Monarchs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-21 | Saints +11.5 v. Bucs | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Saints. The Saints beat the Bucs earlier this year despite losing Jameis Winston early in that game. The Bucs defense is strong against the run, but New Orleans ran for 152 yards and a TD in their 36-27 home win over Tampa. Taysom Hill has been a threat in the running game, and we have already seen Josh Allen run for 109 yards and a TD against the Bucs. Hill ran for over 100 yards versus Dallas, and scored a pair of rushing TDs against the Jets last week. I expect another big game from Taysom Hill. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-21 | Packers -2 v. Ravens | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -110 | 167 h 56 m | Show |
10* |
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12-19-21 | Texans v. Jaguars -4.5 | 30-16 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Jags. Urban Meyer was not popular with the Jaguars players, and they might be eager to prove that he was the problem. James Robinson is one player that will have something to prove. He saw his workload dramatically reduced in recent weeks. He draws a favorable matchup this week against the Texans who rank dead last in the NFL versus the run. With Carlos Hyde out with a concussion, Robinson should get plenty of work. The Texans defense has allowed 147.9 rushing yards per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-21 | Utah State v. Iowa -5 | 75-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes have lost three straight, but two of those losses came against ranked teams on the road. They also lost at home to an Illinois team that is tied for first place in the BIG10. I like their chances of snapping this losing skid against Utah State. The Aggies have only faced one ranked opponent this season, and they lost by double digits at BYU. They have lost four of their last five versus ranked teams, by an average margin of over 10 points. The Hawkeyes held their own in a 77-70 loss at #2 ranked Purdue. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-21 | Coastal Carolina -10.5 v. Northern Illinois | 47-41 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
5* |
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12-15-21 | Capitals v. Blackhawks +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on CHI. The Blackhawks will be a home dog versus Washington tonight, and the Caps have seen four of their last six games decided by one goal. The Blackhawks are 3-3 in their last six overall, and four of those games were decided by one goal. The home team is 12-4 in the last 16 head to head meetings. Marc Andre Fleury is coming off a 30 save shutout, and he's won three of his last four starts. One of those was a 4-3 OT win over the Capitals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-21 | Arizona State v. Creighton -6.5 | 58-57 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Creighton. Arizona State has failed to impress, losing six of their first eight games. They come into Nebraska as winners of back to back games over Oregon and Grand Canyon, but they appear to be over-matched versus the Blue Jays. Creighton has won four of five home games, and they are coming off a double digit win over a ranked BYU team. The Sun Devils are 4-13-2 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog, and they are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Sun Devils have really missed starting forward Marcus Bagley, who has not played since mid November. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-21 | 49ers v. Bengals +2 | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
5* |
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12-12-21 | Saints -5 v. Jets | 30-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on N.O. The Saints have lost five straight, but they will be the favorite on the road at New York this week. The Jets rank dead last in the NFL in scoring defense, and with Alvin Kamara coming back we could see the Saints snap this skid. Kamara has played in eight games this season, scoring seven TDs. He should find plenty of holes in this Jets defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-21 | Blue Jackets +1.5 v. Seattle Kraken | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on CBJ. The Blue Jackets have lost six of their last seven overall, and they are coming off a 2-1 home loss to the Ducks. They will be a big underdog at Seattle, despite the fact that they have 13 wins while Seattle is just 9-15-2. Three of the Jackets last four losses have come in games decided by just one goal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-21 | Navy v. Army -7 | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Army. The Black Knights have won four of the last five meetings between these two teams, and they are clearly the better team this year. The Midshipmen were just 3-8 with wins over Temple, UCF and Tulsa. Army won eight games, and lost a close game on the road 20-14 at Wisconsin. The Black Knights are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games, and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games in December. They rank second in the nation in rushing averaging over 300 yards per game, and averaged 35 points per game. Navy isn't equipped to keep up with that kind of production. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-21 | Manchester United -1 v. Norwich City | 1-0 | Push | 0 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Manchester United. The Red Devils have looked better since Ralf Rangnick has taken over. A 1-1 draw against Young Boys in the Champions League was not a bad result given that they rested most of their regular stars. They have won their last two Premier League starts versus Crystal Palace and Arsenal. They will play Norwich City Saturday, and this should be a mismatch. Norchwich sits dead last in the table, with no real hope of avoiding relegation. Manchester United has won the last three head to head meetings by a combined score of 9-2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-21 | Iowa v. Iowa State +4.5 | 53-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Iowa State. The Cyclones are 8-0, and they have a pair of wins over ranked teams and a road win at Creighnton. They host the Hawkeyes tonight, and Iowa has lost back to back games. The Hawkeyes are averaging over 90 points per game, but they rank at the bottom of the BIG10 allowing over 70 points per game. The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings straight up, and the Cyclones are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. They underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-21 | Bucks -6.5 v. Heat | 104-113 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Milwaukee. The Heat have lost four of their last five, and the average margin of defeat in those games was more than 10 points. The Bucks have won 10 of their last 11 overall. Miami has struggled with Jimmy Butler battling an injury, and he's out for Wednesday's game against the Bucks. The Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite, and they have covered in four of their last five versus the Heat. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-21 | Patriots +3 v. Bills | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on New England. Bill Belichick has the Patriots back on top in the AFC, and they roll into Buffalo as a three point underdog. The Bills are coming off a Thanksgiving Day win over New Orleans, but they have alternated wins and losses over their last six games. Historically the Pats have owned the Bills, the Patriots are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 meetings in Buffalo. The road team is 22-8-2 ATS in their last 32 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-21 | Hornets v. Hawks -4 | 130-127 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-05-21 | Cardinals v. Bears +7.5 | 33-22 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CHI. Only two teams have allowed fewer points per game than Arizona this season (Denver and Buffalo). The Cardinals though are just 2-2 in their last four overall, and the offense has struggled with Kyler Murray battling injuries. The Bears defense ranks among the best in the NFL, and playing in December in cold and windy Chicago is an advantage for the home team. The under is 11-3 in the Cardinals last 14 road games, and the Bears have failed to reach the total in 18 of their last 24 in Chicago. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-21 | Northwestern v. Maryland -4.5 | 67-61 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-04-21 | Georgia -6 v. Alabama | Top | 24-41 | Loss | -111 | 85 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UGA. This line opened far too low, because the bookmakers know that it's hard to talk the public into betting against Alabama. The Tide really shouldn't be expected to compete here against a Bulldogs team that has steamrolled everything in front of them. This Alabama team just barely beat LSU, Arkansas and Auburn in their last three SEC games. If you take away the name “Alabama”, and just judge them based on their resume this season, they might as well be Florida. The Bulldogs beat the Gators by 27 points. Georgia should win this game by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-21 | Utah State v. San Diego State -3.5 | 46-13 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on SDSU. Utah State will play San Diego State in the Mountain West Championship game, and I think the Aggies are biting off more than they can chew. This Utah State team is fresh off a 44-17 home loss to Wyoming two weeks ago, and the Cowboys ran for 362 yards in that game. The last time they faced San Diego State, the Aztecs ran for over 400 yards and won by 31. The Aztecs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they have covered in four of their last five versus Utah State. Three of the last four head to head meetings have gone over the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-21 | Cowboys v. Saints +5 | 27-17 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on New Orleans. The Saints have lost four straight, prompting them to make a change at quarterback. Enter Taysom Hill who was quite successful filling in at QB last year. The Saints won three of the four games he started last season. Dallas has lost back to back games, and they have been hit hard by Covid19. Mike McCarthy won't be on the sidelines in New Orleans, and several players will miss the game. Amari Cooper is expected to return after testing positive a few weeks ago. The Cowboys are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in New Orleans. The underdog is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-21 | Washington State v. Arizona State +1.5 | 51-29 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. |
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12-01-21 | Hawks v. Pacers -1 | 114-111 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Indiana. It's normal for teams to have a better record at home, but these two teams each have dramatic home away splits. The Pacers are 6-4 at home, and the Hawks are 3-8 on the road. The Hawks are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games, and they are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. The Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. The Hawks are 0-4 straight up in their last four at Indiana. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-21 | Pacers v. Wolves -3 | 98-100 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-28-21 | Montreal v. Hamilton -4.5 | Top | 12-23 | Win | 100 | 43 h 35 m | Show |
1 This is a 10* play on Hamilton. Montreal had a chance to secure home field for this game, but they lost at home to a last place team with a rookie QB, and now they will visit Hamilton. Home field could be quite significant here, as there are few places tougher to play than Steel Town. The iger-Cats are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 home games, and they have covered in five straight home playoff games. The Als most dangerous weapon on offense is RB William Stanback, but he matches up against a Ticats run defense that ranks 1st in the CFL allowing just 79.6 rushing yards per game, and a league low 4.2 yards per carry. Jeremiah Masoli finished the season strong after missing four games, and ranked second in the CFL in yards per attempt (9). The Als picked up Trevor Harris after the injury to Vernon Adams, and Harris has played well, but it's still a downgrade. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-21 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse +13 | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Syracuse. Pittsburgh is the better team here, nobody can argue that point. The fact is that this game isn't all that meaningful for the Panthers, who should be looking ahead to the ACC Championship Game. The Orange on the other hand will have a chance to become bowl eligible with a win in their final home game. They have lost five of their seven games in the ACC, but they have been a completely different team at home compared to on the road. They are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, and 6-1 ATS in their last six as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-21 | Raiders +7.5 v. Cowboys | 36-33 | Win | 100 | 91 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LV. The Raiders have lost three straight, and Derek Carr has thrown as many INTs (4) as he has TDs during that span. They are up against a Cowboys team that scored just nine points on three FGs in a loss at Kansas City on Sunday. Amari Cooper didn't play as he recovers from Covid, and he won't be available on Thanksgiving. Ceedee Lamb left Sunday's game with a concussion, but he's been back at practice and might be able to start. Ezekiel Elliott is dealing with a knee injury, and while he will play his workload is expected to be cut back. With all the injuries on offense, I am not sure the Cowboys should be asked to cover more than a TD here. The Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog, and the Cowboys are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 Thursday games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-21 | Bears v. Lions +3.5 | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 46 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Lions. The Lions lost 13-10 at Cleveland last week, losing by three points or less for the third time this season. The Bears come in to this Thanksgiving Day matchup favored by 3.5, and that sets up the potential for that half point to be very significant. The last time the Bears played in the Motor City, they won by a score of 27-24 in September of 2020. Three of the last four head to head meetings have been decided by four points or less, so there is every reason to expect this game to be close. The Bears are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite, while the Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last five when scoring 15 points or less in their previous game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-21 | Senators v. Avalanche -1.5 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 21 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Colorado. The Avs are still favored to win the Stanley Cup, but they didn't get off to a great start. They come into tonight's home game against Ottawa as winners of four in a row, and all four of those wins came by 2+ goals. The Senators were forced to cancel their last three gamed due to a covid outbreak, and this will be their first game in over a week. They were not exactly lighting it up before that, losing seven of their last eight games. Five of those seven losses came in games decided by two or more goals. This looks like a blowout waiting to happen. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-21 | Ohio State v. Seton Hall +1 | 79-76 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Seton Hall. The Pirates are off to a 3-0 start despite losing their leading scorer from last season to the NBA draft. They still have three seniors in the starting lineup, and that experience has been paying dividends early in the season. They come off an upset win at #4 ranked Michigan, and they are the underdog here in a neutral site game against #19 ranked Ohio State. The Buckeyes are coming off a 71-65 loss to Xavier, in a game that they trailed from start to finish. This came after they narrowly avoided losing their season opener to Akron by hitting a game winning shot at the buzzer. The Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss, and the Pirates are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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