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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-25-22 | St. Peter's v. Purdue OVER 133 | 67-64 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
NCAA Earliest Cash Friday 8* OVER 133 in Purdue Boilermakers vs St Peter's Peacocks @ 7:09 ET - The Peacocks on a 4-0 run to the over the last 4 times they have been an underdog and, of course, they are a big dog in this one with good reason! The Boilermakers should roll and pile up a bunch of points but don't be surprised if St Peter's hangs around very close to the pointspread (13) on this game and that means should be an easy over. Purdue is hot and averaging 79.5 points scored in first two games of the tourney. That puts this final around a 79-66 and in the 145 range which is a good dozen points more than the current posted total on this one. Not including OT points, the Peacocks have scored at least 70 points in both NCAA Tourney games. Dating back to MAAC Tourney, St Peter's has averaged 68.4 points per game. Look for this one to get well into the 140s given all of the above. 8* OVER 133 in Purdue |
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03-24-22 | Cavs +5 v. Raptors | Top | 104-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Thursday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +5.5 @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - Toronto opened up at a -3 and has jumped up to as high as a -5.5 already. In typical contrarian fashion I am fading the line move. As per usual, the fade is not without reason! The Cavaliers are off a loss and the last 3 times they were off a loss by a margin less than a dozen points, Cleveland has gone a perfect 3-0 SU. Also, the Raptors are off a road loss (SU and ATS) at Chicago but, prior to this, the road team was on an 11-1 ATS run in Toronto games. Look for that strong road trend to resume here. The Cavs already won all 3 meetings with Raptors this season and average margin of 18 points per victory. Look for another road win here. 10* CLEVELAND +5.5 |
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03-24-22 | Michigan v. Villanova -4.5 | Top | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
NCAA PA Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats -4.5 vs Michigan Wolverines @ 7:29 ET - The Wolverines are off an upset win over Tennessee but a closer look at how that played out tells you all you need to know. Michigan actually had 13 LESS field goal attempts than the Volunteers but they managed to win the game handily because the Vols shot 2 of 18 from three point land! Also, Michigan had 15 turnovers compared to just 7 for Tennessee. Now we get line value here with one of the best teams in the country laying a short number, in part, due to the upset win for the Wolverines over Tennessee. On a neutral court, the Wildcats are much better than just a 5-point differential in comparison with Wolverines. Villanova enters this game having won 12 of 13 games and the Wildcats have seen 9 of those 12 victories come by a margin of at least 5 points. I am sure this one will too. 10* VILLANOVA -4.5 |
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03-24-22 | Arkansas +10 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
NCAA Earliest Cash Thursday 9* Top Play Arkansas Razorbacks +10 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs @ 7:09 ET - The Razorbacks played the tougher regular season schedule in comparison with Gonzaga. The Bulldogs are a great team of course and ranked #1 in the nation but this is a tough spot for them to win by double digits. They barely got by Memphis and remember they lost at St Mary's in final game of February. Arkansas enters this game having won 17 of 20 and 2 of those 3 losses were by just 4 or less points. Look for another tight game here and having the big points on your side is the way to go in this one. 9* ARKANSAS +10 |
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03-23-22 | Knicks +7.5 v. Hornets | Top | 121-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play New York Knicks +7.5 @ Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - This line has jumped from Charlotte as a very small home favorite all the way up to as high as 7.5 points. In typical contrarian fashion, I am fading the line move and going with the big underdog. The Knicks are in 2nd game of a B2B but the last time they were in this situation they won by 16 points in the 2nd game of the B2B. New York is off B2B losses but last night's defeat was by just 6 points after Sunday's loss was by a double digit margin. Also, note all this was preceded by a 5-2 stretch SU and an 8 game run in which the only 3 SU losses were each by 4 or less points! Tremendous big dog value here when you consider that, althought the Hornets are on a 5-game winning streak, this was preceded by a 3-7 SU run. Also, Charlotte is playing 3rd game in 5 days so their scheduling situation truly not that much better than that of the Knicks. 10* NEW YORK +7.5 |
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03-23-22 | NC-Wilmington v. Middle Tennessee -4.5 | Top | 96-90 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
CBB CBI Championship Winner Wednesday 10* Top Play Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -4.5 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks @ 5 ET - Middle Tennessee has some edges here and it makes me very comfortable in laying the 4.5 points in this one. The Seahawks are playing a 4th straight day in going for the CBI Championship today. Conversely, the Blue Raiders first game of this tournament was Saturday. The off day that Middle Tennessee had Sunday could pay major dividends here as they should have the fresher legs in pushing for the CBI Title! Also, the Blue Raiders have been the better shooting team on the season plus the better team in terms of defending including shutting down the 3-ball too. Those better numbers are a big reason that UNC Wilmington had just a 1-point win Monday while the Blue Raiders wins Monday and Tuesday were by a combined 46 points! Look for the favorite to pull away in the 2nd half for another big win here. 10* MIDDLE TENNESSEE |
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03-22-22 | Warriors v. Magic OVER 215.5 | Top | 90-94 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conf Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 215.5 in Orlando Magic vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:10 ET - After a low-scoring grinding 90-85 win for the Magic Sunday over the Thunder, look for a high-scoring game here. Orlando games were on a 3-0 run to the over before that crazy low-scoring game over the weekend. The Warriors are allowing an average of 114.6 points per game last 10 games. Golden State had one ugly game offensively in that 10-game stretch but scored an average of 116.4 points per game in the other 9 games. Given all of the above, and the non-conference element to this match-up as well, we should see plenty of points as this one gets into the 220s. 10* OVER 215.5 in Orlando |
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03-22-22 | St Bonaventure v. Virginia -3 | Top | 52-51 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
CBB NIT Tourney Smash Tuesday 10* Top Play Virginia Cavaliers -3 vs St Bonaventure Bonnies @ 7 ET - The Bonnies have surprisingly won back to back road games to reach this point in the NIT Tourney. However, entering this tournament, St Bonaventure had averaged scoring only 58 points in last 5 games away from home. Now the Bonnies are on the road taking on a Cavaliers team known for tough defense! Virginia will stifle St Bonaventure here and pull away in the latter stages. The Cavs last 8 wins have come by an average margin of 8 points. Lay the short number here for the big win. 10* VIRGINIA |
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03-21-22 | Blazers v. Pistons OVER 222 | Top | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play OVER 222 in Detroit Pistons vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 7:10 ET - The Blazers off a ridiculous under, as I know all too well, as they scored just 16 points in the 4th quarter last night of a game that looked like a sure over. This followed 4 straight overs involving Portland and I expect to get my money back on a Trail Blazers over tonight! We will come right back with Blazers game over the total here. Keep in mind, Portland has allowed 125 points per game last dozen games. The Pistons will score well here as they have gone on a 13-1 ATS tear thanks to playing better of late. Detroit can lean on a huge offensive performance here as they catch the Trail Blazers in the 2nd game of a back to back. 10* OVER 222 in Detroit |
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03-21-22 | Middle Tennessee -4 v. Boston University | Top | 76-46 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
CBI Tourney Smash Monday 10* Top Play Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -4 vs Boston University Terriers @ 6 ET - The Terriers had to play yesterday and they were down by 7 at the half before rallying in the 2nd half for the 3 point win over UNC Greensboro. That said, Middle Tennessee has an advantage because they played Saturday so they have an extra day of rest. Also, the Blue Raiders are the better team defensively in comparison with the Terriers. I also like the fact that Middle Tennessee was the better team ATS in comparison with Boston University this season and feel they are again undervalued here. Lay the short number here with the better team and look for a win by a double digit margin as the more rested team pulls away as this game goes on. 10* MIDDLE TENNESSEE -4 |
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03-20-22 | Texas v. Purdue -3 | Top | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
NCAA 2nd Rd Game of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play Purdue Boilermakers -3 vs Texas Longhorns @ 8:40 ET - Great line value here in my opinion. Purdue is off a blowout win over Yale. The Boilermakers have now won 12 of 18 games away from home this season and here we are only having to lay 3 points to have the much stronger team in this match-up. The Longhorns managed to get a win over Virginia Tech Friday but entered that game with only 5 wins in 13 games away from home prior to that! The Boilermakers are a much better shooting team in comparison with Texas. The Horns making only 43% from the field in road games this season and overall 33% of threes this season. Purdue is hitting overall 39% of threes this season and 49% from the field overall. Before beating the Hokies, the Longhorns had been held to 63 or less points in 3 straight games. The Boilermakers have averaged 73 points last 3 games. Texas will not be able to keep up in this one. 10* PURDUE -3 |
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03-20-22 | Miami-FL v. Auburn OVER 142.5 | Top | 79-61 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
NCAA Total of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 142.5 in Auburn Tigers vs Miami Hurricanes @ 7:45 ET - The Tigers one of the best teams in the country and just 1 under last 5 times they have been a favorite. Auburn has scored 80 or more in 3 of last 4. Miami will struggle to try to slow down the Tigers and will be forced to score well in this game to keep up. The Hurricanes are off an under but this followed overs in 6 of last 7 games. The Canes off a 68-66 win over USC but this followed scoring an average of 75.4 points the 10 games leading into that one. 10* OVER 142.5 in Auburn |
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03-20-22 | Blazers v. Pacers OVER 233 | Top | 98-129 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 233 in Indiana Pacers vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 3:40 ET - The over is 4-0 in last 4 Blazers games and they have allowed 125.4 points per game last 10 games! The Pacers are off an under but the game did total 239 points and Indiana has not had B2B unders in a very long time. I do not expect that fact to change here as this one flies over the total! The over is 24-11 in Pacers home games this season. 10* OVER 233 in Indiana |
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03-19-22 | Richmond +3 v. Providence | Top | 51-79 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Saturday 10* Top Play Richmond Spiders +3 vs Providence Friars @ 6:10 ET - This line looks funny does it not? Providence only favored by 3 over Richmond? Look at the records...look at the rankings...look at the seedings. You get my point and these are the types of situations I love to look for. I am going to ride this Spiders team as they are red hot and full of confidence. Richmond is on a 15-6 SU run and 4 of those 6 losses by 3 or less points. This Spiders team plays very well defensively and the Friars are going to have their hands full in this one. Give me the points! That was a solid Iowa team playing very well and with a such a potent offense and Richmond got the upset win over the Hawkeyes. That said, they can certainly knock off this Providence team too. We'll grab the points with the Spiders as added insurance. 10* RICHMOND +3 |
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03-19-22 | Bucks v. Wolves +3 | Top | 119-138 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +3 vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 5:10 ET - Both teams playing well but the Wolves are not getting enough respect on their home floor here and I am happy to grab them as a home dog in this one. Minnesota has won 9 of last 10 games and also already beat the Bucks earlier this season in Milwaukee. The Bucks are off B2B road covers but this was preceded by a 5-7 ATS stretch overall. The Timberwolves are 23-12 at home while the Bucks are 20-14 on the road this season. But due to long-term reputation of these teams this game is priced this way. We'll take advantage. Give me the points! 10* MINNESOTA |
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03-19-22 | Creighton +12 v. Kansas | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
NCAA Daytime Dominator Saturday 8* Creighton Bluejays +11.5 vs Kansas Jayhawks @ 2:40 ET - The Bluejays have only lost 3 games since early February and 2 of the 3 losses were by a half-dozen points or less. Now Creighton is catching a full dozen points against the Jayhawks and I feel it will prove to be too much. Kansas is on a 12-4 SU run but 5 of those wins by a single digit margin. That means only 7 of last 16 Jayhawks games have been wins by a double digit margin. The last time these teams met the Bluejays fell short by just a single point. This one will not be quite that close but strong odds that they stay within single digits here as they are playing with a lot of confidence here after their late rally led to an eventual OT win over San Diego State in first round action Thursday. 8* CREIGHTON +11.5 |
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03-19-22 | North Carolina +5.5 v. Baylor | 93-86 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Saturday 8* North Carolina Tar Heels +5.5 vs Baylor Bears @ 12:10 ET - Bears are a great team of course but they are certainly not unbeatable. Before blasting an over-matched Norfolk State in the 1st round, Baylor was on an 8-4 SU run and 2 of those wins by 4 or less points. With how hot the Tar Heels are right now, look for the Bears to struggle just to win this game let alone cover the spread of nearly a half-dozen points. UNC has won 7 of 8 games and has had some very impressive efforts recently. More of the same here. 8* NORTH CAROLINA +5.5 |
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03-18-22 | TCU v. Seton Hall | Top | 69-42 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
NCAA 1st Round Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates (-) vs TCU Horned Frogs @ 9:57 ET - The Pirates lost to Connecticut in the Big East tourney but won 6 in a row before that defeat. Seton Hall certainly finished the season much hotter than TCU. The Horned Frogs enter this game having lost 8 of 13 games. The Pirates, had a mid-season lull but then got stronger later in the season and I like the way Seton Hall played down the stretch. TCU turned the ball over 15 times per game away from home this season while the Pirates turned it over 11 times per game away from home. I am grabbing the hotter team that takes better care of the ball and I look for the Pirates to pull away strongly in the 2nd half of this game as their winning ways continue while the Horned Frogs, a little beaten up from all the losing, again struggle to find a way to get back to winning as they came slips away from TCU in the second half. 10* SETON HALL |
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03-18-22 | Wright State v. Arizona OVER 156.5 | Top | 70-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
NCAA Top Total Friday 9* Top Play OVER 156.5 in Arizona Wildcats vs Wright State Raiders @ 7:27 ET - The Wildcats have had a huge season and will pile up the points. Arizona's last 10 wins have seen them average 86.7 points per victory. Keep in mind, those victories were against tough Pac-12 competition. Now the Cats can take advantage of facing a weaker foe in Wright State. The Raiders will not be able to slow down Arizona but, at the same time, I do expect they will score well also. Wright State has won 6 straight games and have scored an average of 79.5 points per game. I am looking for a 95 to 75 type game here and that puts this one in the 170 range. 9* OVER 156.5 in Arizona |
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03-18-22 | Mavs v. 76ers OVER 216.5 | Top | 101-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Total Blowout Friday 10* Top Play OVER 217.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:10 ET - With Joel Embiid listed as questionable for this game, the posted total has dropped from low 220s to mid 210s and we have excellent value with the over. If Embiid plays we will certainly welcome his offense. If Embiid does not play, the 76ers will still find their points but absolutely will be missing his defense against a dangerous Mavs team. Since Kristaps Porzingis was traded they have seen Spencer Dinwiddie really become a key on offense. The Mavs have won 10 of last 12 with him on the court and he is really playing well. Dallas had two duds offensively last 12 games but averaged 113 points in the other 10 games! The Sixers have won 8 of 11 games and have scored an average of 123 games in the 8 victories. Watch this game fly over the total! 10* OVER 217.5 in Philadelphia |
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03-18-22 | Virginia Tech v. Texas +1 | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
CBB Daytime Dominator Friday 8* Texas Longhorns (-) vs Virginia Tech Hokies @ 4:30 ET - The Hokies marched through the ACC Tourney and so they enter this match-up winners of 4 straight including upset of Duke in the Championship Game. Conversely, the Longhorns have lost 3 straight as they got knocked out of the Big 12 Tourney immediately when they were upset by TCU. However, the two losses before that were to rock solid teams - Kansas and Baylor. This set up is perfect for Texas to roll and we get a bargain on the line - right around a pick'em - because of the recent results heading into this game. Great value. We'll take it! 8* TEXAS |
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03-17-22 | Creighton +2.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Blowout Thursday 10* Top Play Creighton Bluejays (+) vs San Diego State Aztecs @ 7:27 ET - Bluejays faced a tougher schedule and I also like the fact Creighton won both games against UConn and all 3 games against Marquette and also they did get a 20 point win versus Villanova this season. San Diego State, on the other hand, lost both games against Boise State this season and 2 of 3 against Colorado State. The point is we are looking at how these teams fared against some of the other tourney teams coming from the same conference they are in and you can see that the Bluejays were much better than the Aztecs. Couple that with the fact that Creighton had the tougher overall schedule and you can see why I like having them as a small underdog to San Diego State in this match-up. Having the 2.5 points (current line) could be a bigger value than you think too when you consider the very low posted total on this Bluejays/Aztecs battle. Believe it or not, 6 of San Diego State's last 14 games decided by 2 points or less! 10* CREIGHTON |
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03-17-22 | Pistons v. Magic OVER 218.5 | Top | 134-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
NBA TV Total of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 218.5 in Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Magic and Pistons are two of the worst teams in the league. Orlando and Detroit each allowing 112 points per game on the season. The Magic off back to back losses and the Pistons off 4 straight losses so each team going to bring some extra effort here in a game they definitely each view as a winnable game. That said, I do look for this to lead to plenty of points. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams have gone over the total. Detroit has averaged 109 points scored per game during their current 11-1 ATS run entering this game. Magic have averaged 112.5 points scored per game last 8 home games. This one should get well into the 220s given the situation. 10* OVER 218.5 in Orlando |
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03-17-22 | New Mexico State v. Connecticut -6 | 70-63 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAA TNT Annihilation Thursday 8* Connecticut Huskies (-) vs New Mexico State Aggies @ 6:50 ET - This is a case of two teams with very different strength of schedule factors and I feel the Huskies will roll big. There is a big difference between the Big East and the WAC! That said, getting this line right around a half-dozen points, we have excellent line value here! Look at it this way. Connectictut lost to Villanova by just 3 points in Big East action. New Mexico State beat Abilene Christian in WAC action. That is the most recent game for each of these teams. The Huskies were a very small dog to the Wildcats. Now imagine what the line would be if Villanova was playing Abilene Christian! You can see my point here and I think we have a ton of value in this game with UConn as they should win this by a double digit margin! 8* CONNECTICUT |
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03-17-22 | Memphis v. Boise State +3 | 64-53 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
NCAA Daytime Dominator Thursday 8* Boise State Broncos (+) vs Memphis Tigers @ 1:45 ET - The markets are favoring Memphis here as the line has climbed from -1.5 to -3 on the Tigers. IÂ fully realize that Memphis has played the tougher schedule this season but it is not like that schedule variance is huge. Also, this is also a revenge game for Boise State as the Broncos lost to the Tigers in tourney time last year! The Broncos enter this game on a 10-2 SU run and the two losses were each by just 3 points so I feel we have excellent line value here with having the points on our side. 8* BOISE STATE |
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03-16-22 | 76ers -4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 118-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 @ Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:10 ET - Yes, Cleveland is a solid team playing with revenge here and they are on their home floor. However, the flip side of that is the fact that Philly being on the road gets a small number for the point spread and I love the fact that the Sixers enter this game off a loss. Philadelphia is a rock solid 10-1 SU last 11 times when off a SU loss. Also, the 76ers have won each of last 3 meetings with the Cavaliers and they won each of the games by at least 6 points and that includes a 20-point win in their last visit to Cleveland. Look for another big win for the Sixers in this one as they face a Cavs team that is off a win but this was after losses in 8 of last 11 games! Look for the road team to get back on track after they blew their game Monday at home against Denver and they will make it 4 in a row over the Cavaliers! 10* PHILADELPHIA -4.5 |
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03-16-22 | Bryant +3.5 v. Wright State | Top | 82-93 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Play-in Wednesday 10* Top Play Bryant Bulldogs +3.5 vs Wright State Raiders @ 6:40 ET - Most people have heard of Wright State from the Horizon League but very few know about Bryant University from the Northeast Conference. Of course this is an advantage come tournament time. I like taking underdogs like the Bulldogs in spots like this at this time of the year and will ride with Bryant in this play-in game. The Raiders have played the tougher schedule but only slightly and, keep in mind, confidence builds with wins and this Bryant team has won 18 of 20 games! Wright State has won 10 of 15 games and the Raiders have been playing well but again this Bulldogs team even hotter. Also, Bryant does have the better defensive numbers on the season. 10* BRYANT +3.5 |
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03-15-22 | Nets v. Magic +10 | Top | 150-108 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Tuesday 10* Top Play Orlando Magic (+) vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:10 ET - The Magic have been competitive with covers in 7 of last 9 games! Also, one of those two non-covers was an 8 point loss and, with this spread in the 10-point range, that would be enough for an ATS cover in this case! Certainly I am expecting a game decided by single digits as the Magic have been tough on the Nets with covers in 3 of last 4. Also, 2 of the 3 ATS wins were SU wins and the lone loss by just 2 points. I know Brooklyn should have Kyrie Irving for this one since it is a road game but also note that the Nets are off B2B divisional games including that huge win at Philly and a tight win over the city rival Knicks. Also, Brooklyn has a tougher match-up on deck tomorrow night as they are hosting a solid Mavericks team then. All that said, this is an ideal flat spot for the Nets. Great spot to fade Brooklyn. 10* ORLANDO |
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03-15-22 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Texas Southern -3.5 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Opener Tuesday 10* Top Play Texas Southern Tigers (-) vs Texas A & M Corpus Christi Islanders @ 6:40 ET - Both teams considered 16 seeds in this play-in game yet the team with the lesser record favored by 3.5 points. Head scratcher? Not really! The fact is the Tigers have been the hotter team in comparison with the Islanders for quite some time now. Texas Southern enters this game having gone 18-5 since starting the season 0-7. The Tigers also have won 13 of last 15 games and their last two wins each by 19 or more points in conference tourney action. Texas A & M Corpus Christi is just 8-7 since starting the season 15-4. For the Islanders, 6 of those 7 losses were by 6 or more points and I fully expect this one will be too! 10* TEXAS SOUTHERN |
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03-14-22 | Nuggets +2.5 v. 76ers | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets (+) @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - The 76ers are in the 2nd game of a B2B and it was a hard-fought OT win yesterday and it was on the road at Orlando. That said, this is a tough spot for Philadelphia and the situation is made even tougher because they are now hosting a Nuggets team that is angry off B2B losses. Denver, dating back to late November, is 4-1 SU when they enter a game off B2B SU losses. Also, prior to the B2B defeats, the Nuggets had won 12 of 14 games. Consider that plus the fact Philly could have some key star players resting or on minutes restrictions here and this is a great spot for a road dog! Strong upset possibility but will grab the points (currently 2.5) here as additional insurance. 10* DENVER + |
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03-13-22 | 76ers -11.5 v. Magic | Top | 116-114 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) @ Orlando Magic @ 6:10 ET - This play all about the situational value as Philadelphia has had two days off since a blowout home loss to the Nets as a favorite. The 76ers also had two days offs heading into that one. That said, it has been almost a week since Philly tasted victory and they can't wait to erase the bitter taste of an ugly home loss to Brooklyn Thursday. As for the Magic, they are actually off 3 straight covers, and 2 straight outright upsets, as underdogs! As a result, they are a little over-valued here. The Sixers don't just want to win this game, they want to come out with a vengeance...a huge blowout win. Look for a no-doubt blowout rout for the road team in this one. The 76ers want to do to the Magic in Orlando what just happened to them in Philly versus the Nets. 10* PHILADELPHIA - |
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03-13-22 | Iowa +2.5 v. Purdue | Top | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes +2.5 @ Purdue Boilermakers @ 3:30 ET - The Hawkeyes lost both regular season meetings with Purdue this season. The Boilermakers also are the higher-ranked team. Consider all of that and yet this line opened up at a -1 and, of course, everyone is now fading Iowa and the line has jumped up to a 2.5 in this one. In typical contrarian fashion, I am fading the line move here and grabbing the points with Iowa. The Hawkeyes barely snuck by Indiana yesterday but will carry momentum from that last-second buzzer-beating half-court 3 winner that allowed them to avoid OT versus the Hoosiers. The Hawkeyes had been on an ATS hot streak before yesterday's non-covering win. The Boilermakers have continued an ATS losing streak. More of the same here! 10* IOWA |
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03-12-22 | Wolves v. Heat OVER 226.5 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Saturday 10* Top Play OVER in Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 8:10 ET - This total in the 226.5 range. Last night the Timberwolves were at Orlando and the game had 190 points through 3 quarters. Then a horrific 4th quarter doomed my play on the over right here. After a strong candidate for bad beat of the year, I will come right back with the over involving Minnesota in this 2nd game of a back to back. The Wolves are still 26-8 to the over this season. The T-wolves also are 4-1 to the over the last 5 times when playing 2nd game of a back to back. The Heat are off a strong scoring effort at home versus Cleveland last night and Miami has now scored well in 11 of last 14 games. In those 11 games, the Heat have averaged 117.4 points per game. Minny loves to play an uptempo game and after their horrific 4th quarter last night led the way to ending their 6-game winning streak (averaged scoring 131 points in the 6 victories), there will be no quit in the road dog in this one Saturday! 10* OVER the total in Miami |
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03-12-22 | Akron v. Kent State OVER 123.5 | Top | 75-55 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
CBB ESPN Smash Pass Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Akron Zips vs Kent State Golden Flashes @ 7:30 ET - I understand the under trending in this series as well as the fact each of these teams comes into this game trending to the under. However, this total seems too low as it has dropped into the 123.5 range as of early Saturday morning. The Zips and Golden Flashes last 4 meetings all stayed under the total. However, 3 of those 4 unders totaled at least 128 points! Also, Akron enters this game having scored 70 or more points in 5 of last 6 games! Kent State enters this game having won 14 games in a row and they scored 70 or more points in 11 of 14 games. Keep in mind, we are talking 70 points! If each team just gets to 60 we have a shot at winning this play and I feel strongly that the winning team is going to score at least 70 in this one and, as a result, this one should fly over the total. I lost here with the over in Akron's game yesterday but sure felt like it should have got there for us. This one will not let us down and we get immediate payback. 10* OVER the total in MAC Championship |
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03-11-22 | Wolves v. Magic OVER 235.5 | Top | 110-118 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER in Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:10 ET - This total in the 235 range but it is a deserved big number and I am expecting this one to fly over the total. The Timberwolves have won 6 straight games and scored an average of 131 points per game during this streak. Also, Minnesota has trended over in road games all season long with a 26-7 record to the over away from home. The Magic are not known for being a high-scoring team but they do tend to score better at home. Orlando's most recent home game was a tough match-up with a strong Suns team but, prior to that loss, the Magic had won 5 of last 10 home games and, other than one ugly game last 8 games as a host, scored an average of 115 points per game in the other 7 home games. Considering that plus the fact Minnesota likes to play so fast and you have the ideal set-up for a high-scoring non-conference game in this match-up. 10* OVER in Orlando |
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03-11-22 | Akron v. Toledo OVER 138 | Top | 70-62 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
CBB MAC Total of the Month Friday 10* Top Play OVER in Toledo Rockets vs Akron Zips @ 5 ET - This total opened up in the 141 range and has dropped to the 138 range. We have excellent line value here because the over is 4-0 in last 4 meetings between these teams but each team is coming off a game which stayed just under the total yesterday. Each of last 3 Zips games have stayed under the total and 5 of last 7 Rockets games have stayed under the total. However, when Toledo and Akron meet the results have been nuts including 160 points scored in the meeting earlier this season. Also, before back to back lower-scoring wins, the Zips had averaged 84 points last 3 wins. Overall they have won 6 straight and are feeling it right now! As for the Rockets, they are averaging 81.2 ppg on the season and enter this game red hot with wins in 6 straight and 17 of last 19 games. Plenty of points in another great battle between these two on Friday in the MAC Tourney. 10* OVER |
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03-11-22 | Iowa -6 v. Rutgers | Top | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes (-) vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 2 ET - This line is in the 6.5 range and Iowa's 23 wins have included 21 by a double digit margin this season! The Hawkeyes are rolling right now and they have revenge from an ugly 48-46 loss at Rutgers in the regular season. Iowa enters this game with wins in 9 of last 11 games and all 9 wins were by a double digit margin. Rutgers has lost 3 of 5 games and scored an average of 62 points last 4 games. The Hawkeyes have averaged 88.4 points per game last 10 games. Revenge will be sweet here and it will be in the form of a blowout. 10* IOWA |
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03-10-22 | Nets v. 76ers -4 | Top | 129-100 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
NBA Atlantic Div Game of the Year Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:30 ET - The 76ers have won 8 of 10 games and still have not lost a game with James Harden on the floor. Now he faces his former team as the Nets are in Philly and this line is very manageable in the -4 range. Brooklyn unlike the Sixers, has been trending the wrong direction. The Nets are off a win, albeit versus a slumping Charlotte team, and this followed losses in 6 of 7 for Brooklyn. Yes they have Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant but this 76ers team is loaded with weapons and plus the absence of LaMarcus Aldridge tonight gives them one less big body to try and stop Joel Embiid. Look for huge games from Harden, Embiid, Tobias Harris, and Tyrese Maxey to lead the way for the home team tonight. Thybulle and Niang also have been contributing well for this surging Philly team. The Nets, even with win over Hornets, are just just 3-10 SU last 13 road games. This is a very fair line on the 76ers to roll big at home and they have added motivation of blowing a 7-point halftime lead and losing to Nets in the only other game in which they hosted Brooklyn this season. Payback time and the Wells Fargo Center will be jumping tonight! 10* PHILADELPHIA |
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03-10-22 | St. John's v. Villanova -5.5 | Top | 65-66 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Big East Beast Thursday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats (-) vs St John's Red Storm @ 7 ET - The Red Storm are 0-6 this season when facing a ranked team. The average margin of those losses is 9 points and they lost twice to Villanova this season and the line on this game is the 5.5 to 6 point range. In the most recent game, Big East Player of the Year Collin Gillespie was dealing with an injury and scored ZERO points and yet the Wildcats still won that game by 6 points! The 5th year senior is averaging 16.3 ppg this season. You know he will be in line for a huge game here after being held scoreless in the most recent meeting. It is now tourney time and this rested Wildcats team taking on a St John's team that was in action yesterday. I like the Red Storm overall as they are scrappy team that can be difficult to play against. However, the numbers speak for themselves here and we get line value because this is essentially a home game for St John's so that keeps the line lower than it should be. Given the situation here this game should be a double digit blowout win for the Wildcats in this one as the Red Storm drop to 0-7 on the season in games against ranked teams. 10* VILLANOVA |
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03-09-22 | Bulls -5 v. Pistons | Top | 114-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Central Division Game of the Year Wednesday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls -5 @ Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Pistons enter this game on an 8-0 ATS run but the Bulls are 8-0 ATS last 8 meetings with Detroit. So which trend stays alive here? The latter as Chicago rolls in this one. Love the fact that the line came down already from 6.5 to a 5 and we have good value here with the road favorite. The Bulls have lost 5 straight games (and 0-5 ATS) but have faced a truly brutal schedule during this time. The Pistons have won 6 of 8 games SU (and 8-0 ATS) but faced more favorable scheduling and match-ups in this stretch. Now, coming off a hard-fought OT win versus Atlanta, the Pistons host an angry Bulls team ready to get back on track. Chicago just lost at Philadelphia but the 76ers, when James Harden is on the floor, have looked like the best team in the NBA in recent weeks. This also was the 2nd game of a B2B for the Bulls and they also have recently had to face the Bucks and Grizzlies plus they visited the Heat. I expect Nikola Vucevic to play tonight (questionable with hamstring injury) but even if he did not, this is ideal spot for the Bulls to get back on track. They have gone 8-0 ATS last 8 versus Pistons and each of last 5 wins by 6 or more points with an average margin of victory of 18.6 points per game during this stretch. Road rout by double digits here. 10* CHICAGO -5 |
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03-09-22 | Butler +6.5 v. Xavier | Top | 89-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play Butler Bulldogs +6.5 vs Xavier Musketeers @ 4:30 ET - Xavier won both regular season meetings. The Musketeers, however, did the same thing last season too and then got beat by Butler in the Big East tourney. Not only that, the Bulldogs were down by 14 points at the half in that one and yet rallied for the win. This team still has that confidence and see the Big East tourney as a fresh start. I know Butler struggled late this season but so too did Xavier! In comparing the two teams what I like the most heading into this tourney is that the Bulldogs, not including OT, had allowed 66 or less points in 3 straight games before losing bad to Villanova in the season finale. The Musketeers, on the other hand, allowed 77.7 points (not including OT of course) over their final 6 games of the season and went 1-5 SU with their only win against a Georgetown team that lost 20 straight games after starting the season 6-4. Per the above, excellent line value with a scrappy underdog playing the better defense and that has tourney confidence facing this over-rated favorite that had a disappointing finish to the season as expectations were much higher at Xavier. 10* BUTLER +6.5 |
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03-08-22 | Nets -2.5 v. Hornets | Top | 132-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conf Game of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets -2.5 @ Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - This line keeps coming down and yet I feel strongly that Brooklyn was made a sizable road favorite here by the odds makers with good reason. Look for the Nets to roll in this one. Brooklyn has lost 4 straight and 6 of 7 but now comes in as a road favorite over a team that has won back to back games. Fishy, right? Well we are not going fishing today, we are winning sports bets! Lets get this one as the Nets get revenge for a home loss to Charlotte much earlier this season. The Hornets are off home win versus Spurs but his followed losses in 8 of last 9 games on their home floor. More of the same expected here! 10* BROOKLYN -2.5 |
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03-08-22 | Georgia Tech v. Louisville OVER 134.5 | Top | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
CBB ACC Total of the Year Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 134.5 in Louisville Cardinals vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 7 ET - Not including OT points, the Yellow Jackets have allowed 71 points per game their last dozen games - a 3-9 stretch. The Cardinals have allowed 75 points per game their last dozen games - a 1-11 stretch. So this match-up features a pair of struggling teams but a lot of their struggles have been due to ineptitude on the defensive end of the floor. With mid-140s a very reasonable total of points to expect here given the above coupled with the fact this posted total is only in the mid-130s we have excellent line value here in this ACC Tourney match-up. 10* OVER 134.5 in Louisville |
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03-07-22 | Bulls v. 76ers -7 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7 vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - The Bulls Nikola Vucevic is likely to play here but is also unlikely to be 100% as he missed practice yesterday due to hamstring tightness. This could hurt the Bulls some and Chicago enters this game off 4 straight losses. Now they take on an angry Philly team that just lost at Miami in a game James Harden missed. He should be back here and I am expecting huge games from Tobias Harris, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey and Harden as the Sixers get right back on track here. Philadelphia has dominated the series with the Bulls in recent years and I see no reason for that to change here. Most recent win for the 76ers against them came in Chicago recently and was by 11 points and the average margin of the last 6 wins is 11 points also! Look for another win by double digits here as the Sixers get right back on track here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7 |
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03-07-22 | Delaware v. Towson OVER 137.5 | Top | 69-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
CBB CAA Total of the Month Monday 10* Top Play OVER 137.5 in Towson Tigers vs Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens @ 6 ET - Total dropped from opener after both these teams involved in low-scoring grinding wins yesterday. Also, both meetings between these teams in regular season were also grinders as well. So, of course, that means odds makers blew it with the high total set on this game, right? You know how I feel about odds makers being "off the mark" as usually their numbers are the best around. So, we'll take advantage of the added line value here as the markets are a bit fooled on this one and it is actually going to prove to be high-scoring with a good pace just as the odds makers are projecting here. Both these teams have averaged scoring in the mid-70s this season and this one should fly over the total in this neutral-site meeting in the CAA Tourney. 10* OVER 137.5 in Towson |
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03-06-22 | Pacers v. Wizards OVER 228.5 | Top | 123-133 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conf Total of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 228.5 in Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers @ 6:10 ET - The most recent game between these teams stayed just under the total but the pacing was there. The problem was that the Wizards made just 22 of 54 from INSIDE the arc and the Pacers made just 4 of 20 from OUTSIDE the arc. Prior to this one, 6 of last 8 games between these teams flew over the total and this one will resume that trend. Indiana is on a 13-4 run to the over and yet is coming off a rare under. The over is on a 6-1 run in Wizards home games and these teams have had many crazy high-scoring games in recent meetings. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 228.5 in Washington |
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03-06-22 | South Florida v. Temple OVER 123 | Top | 47-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 123 in Temple Owls vs South Florida Bulls @ 2 ET - The last time these teams met the game totaled only 101 points in a ridiculous display of shooting ineptitude. That will not be repeated here and I am taking advantage of the low total here. The Owls have allowed at least 70 points in 5 of 6 games since the tight 52-49 loss at South Florida last month. In fact, in those 5 Temple games, the Owls allowed an average of 79 points! The Bulls come in to this one having allowed 64 points or more in 7 of 8 games since the win over Temple. USF allowed an average of 70 points per game in those 7 games. This game is going to have much stronger flow and much better shooting than the first meeting and I am taking advantage of the low total here. The last two times these teams met away from South Florida, each game flew over the total and this one will too. 10* OVER 123 in Temple |
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03-06-22 | Penn State +6 v. Rutgers | 58-59 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Sunday 8* Penn State Nittany Lions +6 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ Noon ET - The Scarlet Knights are seeking revenge here but they are also off a last second win at Indiana and I feel Rutgers could be emotionally spent here already. Penn State is a scrappy underdog and a tough team to blowout and, as a result, excellent line value with the half-dozen points here. The Nittany Lions are only 4-6 SU last 10 games but only 1 of the 10 was a blowout loss. The other 5 losses were by an average margin of just 4 points. The underdogs will be in this one all the way, have a shot at yet another SU win over the Knights and, as a result, excellent value here with the points. 8* PENN STATE +6 |
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03-05-22 | 76ers +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 82-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 @ Miami Heat @ 8:10 ET - The road team is a perfect 2-0 in this series this season. The 76ers have not lost since James Harden has this the floor in a Sixers uniform. Yes, this is a back to back for Philadelphia but it is also a great value spot for them because you don't have to lay any points to back a team that looks absolutely like an NBA title contender. The Heat are certainly a strong team in their own right but they are also a banged up team right now and the healthier and hungrier team right now is the roadie in this one. Also, both teams are playing 3rd game in 4 days so is really not a huge rest edge one way or other. The travelers get it done and remain perfect with Harden on the floor. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 |
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03-05-22 | Texas v. Kansas -6.5 | Top | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
CBB Big 12 Game of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks -6.5 vs Texas Longhorns @ 4 ET - Triple revenge spot for the Jayhawks as they have lost 3 straight to the Longhorns including earlier this season at Austin. The fact Kansas is the host in this one is certainly a big edge. The Jayhawks are 15-1 at home this season while Texas is 5-6 in road games. Also, the Horns off a disappointing 7 point loss to Baylor and that was at home! The last 3 road losses for the Longhorns have come by an average margin of 13 points per loss! The Jayhawks last 5 home wins by an average margin of victory of 13 points! With this line around a half-dozen points coupled with the home court edge and the triple revenge factor, this one offering superb line value. 10* KANSAS -6.5 |
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03-05-22 | Rhode Island v. St. Joe's OVER 132.5 | 60-70 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
CBB Daytime Dominator Saturday 8* OVER 132.5 in St Joseph's Hawks vs Rhode Island Rams @ 2:30 ET - The Hawks and Rams had a total nearly 10 points higher than this the last time they met and that was in January! Now, because of some recent low-scoring results for St Joseph's, we are working with a much lower total here. I will not hesitate to grab the value as the Hawks were on a 3-0 run to the over in home games before their most recent low-scoring grinder against St Bonaventure. As for Rhode Island, they have allowed 72 points or more in 3 of last 4 games but also will have no trouble piling up points against St Joseph's in this one. The Rams have averaged 78 points per in last 3 meetings with the Hawks. 8* OVER 132.5 in St Joseph's |
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03-04-22 | Pacers v. Pistons OVER 227.5 | Top | 106-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Central Division Total of the Month Friday 10* Top Play OVER 227.5 in Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - A lot of value here in my opinion. The Pistons are off a road loss in which they had scored 91 points through 3 quarters but then fell apart and scored just 17 points in the 4th quarter. That will not happen again here on their home floor. Also, Detroit is hosting a Pacers team that has been an over machine of late! Indiana is on a 14-3 run to the over. The last time these teams met they combined for 235 points. Look for a similar result here. The Pistons are off that under last night but it was due to a fluke 4th quarter and followed a 7-1 run to the over in their last 8 games. The over trending resumes in this one. 10* OVER 227.5 in Detroit |
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03-04-22 | Ball State v. Western Michigan +3.5 | Top | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
CBB MAC Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Western Michigan Broncos +3.5 vs Ball State Cardinals @ 6 ET - Love this spot for the Broncos. Western Michigan has lost 3 straight games to the Cardinals but they enter this game on a bit of a roll. Indeed the Broncos have won B2B games outright as underdogs and have won 4 of last 6 games overall and are on a 7-1 ATS run. That said, and playing their home finale with triple revenge, Western Michigan is in a great spot for another upset win. Ball State is actually in a tough stretch that has seen them lose 6 of 9 since defeating the Broncos. Also, the Cardinals just got blasted by 19 points at home versus Akron and that is the same Zips team that Western Michigan beat once this season and only lost to by a single point in the other game. The point is that the Broncos are the hotter team right now, playing better, have triple revenge here, and are on their home floor. It all adds up to a great spot to back the host as an underdog in this one. 10* WESTERN MICHIGAN +3.5 |
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03-03-22 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 107-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
NBA TNT Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - The Celtics Jaylen Brown is out for this game with a sprained ankle. The Grizzlies are currently riding a very special run from a very special player Ja Morant! Memphis has won 11 of 14 games and 6 of last 7 on the road. Boston is off a major comeback win versus the Hawks but will not be able to do the same against a streaking Grizzlies team playing with a ton of confidence right now. Before rallying from a double digit halftime deficit to defeat Atlanta, the Celtics were on a 1-3 ATS run. The road team pulls away as this one goes on as Morant and Company prove to be too much against a Celtics team that will really miss Brown in this game. 10* MEMPHIS -2.5 |
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03-03-22 | Penn State +12.5 v. Illinois | 55-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Thursday 8* Penn State Nittany Lions +12.5 @ Illinois Illini @ 7 ET - The Nittany Lions just got waxed at home by Nebraska and I fully expect a response here. Prior to that disastrous result, Penn State was on a 4-4 SU run in which the 4 losses came by an average margin of 3.8 points and in which no defeat was by more than 6 points. That said, the Illini laying double digits here is just too much in my opinion. Illinois is off a win at Michigan but this was preceded by a 6-5 SU stretch and, overall, last dozen games have featured only 2 Illini wins by more than 8 points. 8* PENN STATE +12.5 |
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03-03-22 | Cincinnati v. SMU OVER 140.5 | Top | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
CBB AAC Total of the Year Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 140.5 in SMU Mustangs vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 7 ET - This is a chance for both teams to have huge breakout games offensively after each team was stifled in their most recent game because they faced league-leading Houston. Keep in mind, the Bearcats are still on a 6-3 run to the over which included a recent 5 game stretch in which they scored an average of 75.4 points per game. After a string of match-ups that were defensive-minded grinders this one will be a much more wide-open affair. SMU is a high-quality team hungry to bounce back after the disappointing result versus the Cougars. The Mustangs have scored an average of 78.8 points per game at home this season and they are favored by 7.5 here. That put this game at a 79 to 72 estimated final which totals 10 points above the current posted total on this game. I feel we have good value with both teams coming off games in which they were held to 61 or less points. 10* OVER 140.5 in SMU |
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03-02-22 | Knicks v. 76ers OVER 221.5 | Top | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
NBA ESPN Smash Pass Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 221.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks @ 7:30 ET - The 76ers have been piling up points since James Harden hit the floor with Joel Embiid and now it will be his debut in front of the home fans for the first time. It will be a raucous atmosphere and I am expecting a fast-paced contest with a ton of scoring in this rematch with the Knicks after these teams met in New York Sunday. The over is on a 10-3 run in Knicks games. The over is on a 4-0 run in 76ers games. More of the same here. 10* OVER 221.5 in Philadelphia |
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03-02-22 | Fordham v. Massachusetts OVER 141.5 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
CBB A-10 Total of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 141.5 in Massachusetts Minutemen vs Fordham Rams @ 7 ET - This match-up flew over the total Sunday even though Darius Quisenberry, star guard for Fordham, returned to action with a surprisingly poor shooting performance. Look for him to be much stronger in his second game back. Quisenberry is the leading scorer for the Rams but he scored just 8 points in Sunday's win and the rest of the team piled up 77 on UMass. Now this is the home finale for UMass and I love the fact they scored 73 points in Sunday's loss even though they shot a putrid 6 of 29 from three point land. The Minutemen will be much better on their home floor this evening but again will struggle to stop a Rams team rejuvenated by the return of Quisenberry. Look for good pace to this contest just like we saw in Sunday's game. 10* OVER 141.5 in Massachusetts |
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03-02-22 | Xavier +1.5 v. St. John's | 66-81 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 8* Xavier Musketeers +1.5 @ St John's Red Storm @ 6:30 ET - The Musketeers got blasted by double digits at home by the Red Storm two weeks ago and now it is payback time. Off 4 straight losses, enough is enough for Xavier. There is a reason this line is right around a pick'em even though the Musketeers have lost 4 straight and St John's is at home and has won the last two meetings. In other words, don't let the line fool you. This one is going to feature a road win as Musketeers take advantage of a Red Storm team that has lost 5 of last 6 home games! 8* XAVIER |
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03-01-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Illinois-Chicago -2.5 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
CBB Tourney Topper Tuesday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames -2.5 @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers @ 8 ET - We are getting line value here because this game is at UW-Milw even though UIC had the better record in the Horizon League regular season. So the higher-rated Flames are being hosted by the Panthers and the result is a much lower line on the much better team in my opinion. Coming into this season big things were expected from the Panthers because of Bradley, Jr (considered an NBA prospect) and Vin Baker (Boston College transfer who had to sit out last season.). However, Bradley ended up injury prone and has been shut down for the season and Bradley just not materialize into the big contributor he was expected to be. Conversely, the Flames hopes were riding on a number of transfers and those hopes did materialize for them. Of course I am not saying UIC is a great team but they have exceeded expectations and are certainly a better team that the Panthers. Already 2-0 against them this season and UIC had big turnover edges in the match-ups this season plus a big rebounding edge in the 2nd meeting and overall had 28 more field goal attempts combined in the two games. Couple all that with only having to lay a small number here and you have solid value in my opinion. Look for Flames to advance to 2nd round of Horizon League tourney in convincing fashion. 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO -2.5 |
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03-01-22 | Hawks +7.5 v. Celtics | 98-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
NBA TNT Annihilation Tuesday 8* Atlanta Hawks +7.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:30 ET - The Hawks lost at Boston by 10 points two weeks ago but Atlanta actually led that game by 10 points at the half. I am expecting payback here for the road dog. Yes, John Collins and Lou Williams are out but Colins was out for the most recent meeting too and Williams does not play big minutes. Also, Atlanta actually had 8 more shots for the field in the 10-point loss as they simply were done in by poor shooting. Boston is off a loss at Indiana and has failed to cover 3 of 4. The Hawks are off a huge win versus Toronto and have won 3 of 4 games with the only loss by just 4 points. Huge value here with the big points in my opinion. 8* ATLANTA +7.5 |
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02-28-22 | Wolves -2.5 v. Cavs | 127-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 8* Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 @ Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:10 ET - This a great spot to back a small road favorite. The Timberwolves are off an embarrassing 31 point home loss to Philly and have had back to back days off heading into this one. Minnesota will be ready here and is a much healthier team than Cleveland is. The Cavaliers are still expected to be without Darius Garland, Caris LeVert, and now Rajon Rondo out as well. The Cavs are off a low-scoring win but it was a non-covering victory and they have now gone 0-4 ATS last 4 games. The Timberwolves were on an 8-3 SU/ATS run before getting their doors blown off on their home floor against a 76ers team rejuvenated by the addition of James Harden to the lineup. This is a fantastic set-up. 8* MINNESOTA -2.5 |
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02-28-22 | Massachusetts v. Fordham OVER 138 | 73-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Dominator Monday 8* OVER 138 in Fordham Rams vs Massachusetts Minutemen @ 7 ET - First off the odds makers know what they are doing. This total opened up in the low 140s even though Fordham has not been scoring well at all. Sure enough the total dropped to the upper 130s as the betting markets are saying the odds makers do not know what they are doing. I expect star guard Darius Quisenberry will be back for the Rams in this one. However, even if he does not play I like the value here after the line move. Massachusetts comes into this one allowing 81 points per game on the road this season and the Minutemen are a two point dog here. You can do the math on that and you'll see that would average out to 81-79 for 160 points here. Now certainly I understand Fordham has struggled to score points quite often this season but facing a weak UMass defense is going to play a role in this game and I expect more of an up-tempo game too as the Rams will be be more willing to run a bit on their home floor. Fordham coming off an embarrassing rock bottom loss in which they scored just 45 points. UMass also faced a couple of tough teams and were held to the low 60s in B2B games. That sets this one up perfectly for both teams to have big games offensively in a bounce back effort from the Rams and the Minutemen. 8* OVER 138 in Fordham |
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02-27-22 | Mavs +4 v. Warriors | Top | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
NBA ESPN Smash Pass Sunday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +4 @ Golden State Warriors @ 7:30 ET - The Mavericks are off a loss by 5 points at Utah in a game in which the Mavericks had 14 more field goal attempts! Yes, it was a bit of a phony final as the Jazz shot 54% from the field. Now the Mavs are only getting about 4 points against Warriors team that is 26-6 at home while Dallas is only about a .500 team on the road. If you look up the definition of "trap line" in a bettors dictionary they could use this game as an example. Looks so easy to lay a short number with the Warriors on their home floor, especially off a huge win. However, that big win came against a very short-handed Blazers team and note Golden State had lost 4 of 5 heading into that game. Dallas is a fantastic 6-1 the last 7 times they were off a loss. Also, the Mavs lone loss in those 7 games came in OT. The Mavericks have shown a propensity for responding off losses and I expect that to continue here. Adding fuel to the fire for Dallas here is the fact that Golden State destroyed the Mavericks by 38 points last month. Payback time is here and now. 10* DALLAS +4 |
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02-27-22 | St. John's -125 v. DePaul | Top | 94-99 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Money Line Mauling Sunday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm Money Line -115 @ DePaul Blue Demons @ 5 ET - I like grabbing Red Storm off a home loss here. St John's is on a 4-0 ATS run when off a home loss. The Red Storm are on a 4-1 SU run in road games and have covered 5 in a row away from home. The Blue Demons are a respectable team but they are still just 4-13 SU in Big East games this season. DePaul is off a win at Georgetown but this was on the heels of a 2-8 SU stretch and one of those two wins was also against those same Hoyas. Keep in mind Georgetown is on a 17-game losing streak. So, when facing teams other than the Hoyas, the Blue Demons are on a 1-8 SU run and just 2-13 SU against Big East teams not named Georgetown. This line is in the -1.5 range but I feel we get even more value here by playing the money line which is in the -115 to -125 range. Look for the Red Storm to continue their strong road play here. 10* ST JOHN'S -115 |
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02-27-22 | Connecticut v. Georgetown OVER 145 | 86-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Sunday 8* OVER 145 in Georgetown Hoyas vs Connecticut Huskies @ Noon ET - The Hoyas have lost 17 straight after starting the season 6-4. This is their home finale. Georgetown will score well here. But this Hoyas team can stop no one and that is why they have lost 17 straight games! You will see this potent Connecticut team score very well in this one. But the Huskies also likely to be rather unfocused on the defensive end in this one. They know they can win this game handily and will simply pile up the points in this one and focus on the offensive end. They are off 4 straight hard-fought wins over tougher opponents and will simply roll to a big win here and that is why they are favored by double digits in this one. The Huskies and Hoyas have combined to average 174.5 points in their last two meetings and I look for another crazy one here. 8* OVER 145 in Georgetown |
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02-26-22 | Raptors v. Hawks OVER 224 | Top | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Month Saturday 10* OVER 224 in Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - The Raptors in 2nd game of a back to back and scored only 93 points at Charlotte last night. Toronto is on a 3-0 run to the over when playing 2nd game of back to back this month. The Hawks are off a low-scoring loss at Chicago Thursday and should bounce back big here. The over is on a 4-0 run in Atlanta's last 4 home games. All 4 of those Hawks total at least 239 points and the average points scored was 245. In other words, we have excellent line value with this total posted in the mid-220s. Yes the Raptors have not scored well of late but Hawks will force an up-tempo game here and Toronto did score 125 when these teams met 3 weeks ago. More of the same expected here and we take advantage of the extra line value here with both teams coming off low-scoring losses heading into this one. 10* OVER 224 in Atlanta |
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02-26-22 | Georgia Tech v. Notre Dame OVER 137.5 | Top | 56-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 137.5 in Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 5 ET - The over is 4-0 in last 4 meetings between these teams. Notre Dame enters this game on a 4-0 run to the over. Look for a free-flowing game here as one of the best teams in the ACC takes on one of the worst. The Yellow Jackets susceptible to allowing a ton of points in this one but look for them to score well as Notre Dame has no reason to be overly intense on defense here. By the way, the Irish have scored an average of 79 points last 4 games and that does not include OT points. At the same time, the Fighting Irish have allowed 78 points last 3 games and again this is not including overtime points. Notre Dame has won 16 of 19 games and can roll to another easy win here and I expect a good pace as neither team has anything to lose really. Georgia Tech is muddling near the bottom of the ACC and the Fighting Irish don't need to play lockdown D here to roll to a comfortable win. The hosts are a double digit favorite for a reason. Given all of the above stats and the situation an 80-70 final sounds about right in this one and that puts it well above the posted total. 10* OVER 137.5 in Notre Dame |
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02-26-22 | Seton Hall v. Xavier -3.5 | 82-66 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
CBB Matinee Mauling Saturday 8* Xavier Musketeers -3.5 vs Seton Hall Pirates @ 3:30 ET - I lost with Xavier plus the points in a triple-OT thriller at Providence Wednesday. I have had my eyes on this next match-up for the Musketeers ever since. They are hosting a Pirates team that is 2-4 SU last 6 road games. Xavier lost its most recent home game but was 12-3 SU in their first 15 as a host this season. This is the perfect bounce back spot and, keep in mind, Seton Hall still without Bryce Aiken and he is certainly a player that makes the Pirates much better. As for the Musketeers they had not lost 3 straight games this entire season until the tough loss to the Friars Wednesday. The losing streak stops right here right now and note that Xavier's last 16 wins have featured 13 by at least a half-dozen points. This one will be too for the Pirates. 8* XAVIER -3.5 |
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02-25-22 | 76ers v. Wolves OVER 228.5 | 133-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
NBA Situational Slaughter Friday 8* OVER 228.5 in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 8:10 ET - James Harden set to make his debut with the 76ers and Joel Embiid. Look for plenty of points in this one. Philly allowed 127.5 ppg in last two games before the break. The over is on a 4-2 run in Sixers games. Looking just at road games, the over is on a 3-1 run in 76ers games. Minnesota has been a big-time over team and they are coming off B2B unders as last night's game versus Memphis stayed just under the total. Prior to B2B unders, the Timberwolves were on a 17-3 run to the over and scored an average of 123.4 ppg in those 20 games. With Philly assimilating Harden into the rotation on the defensive end (which won't be pretty I imagine!), and the T-wolves being one of the highest-scoring teams in the league and on their home floor, this one should fly over the total. 8* OVER 228.5 in Minnesota |
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02-25-22 | Akron +8 v. Ohio | Top | 91-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play Akron Zips +8 @ Ohio University Bobcats @ 6 ET - The Zips Bryan Trimble Jr was recently placed on a leave of absence. Akron had just wrapped up a 3-game losing streak - all losses by 4 or less points - and the Zips have responded with back to back wins by an average margin of 16.5 points per victory. Granted, the wins were against weaker teams in the MAC but the point is that this team has banded together and is better off without Trimble. Team chemistry is so important and these guys are really working hard now for each other and working well together and playing solid defense and crashing the boards. I don't see them getting blown out here at Ohio. Yes the Bobcats are a very strong team and they did win the first meeting by 6 points at Akron. However, Ohio shot 50% from the field in that game while the Zips had a rare 9 for 17 shooting performance from the free throw line in that one. All that and yet Akron sill lost by only 6Â points. This Zips team is starting to jell at the right time and I look for them to be very tough on the Bobcats in this one and it goes down to the wire. 10* AKRON |
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02-24-22 | Cavs v. Pistons OVER 208.5 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
NBA Earliest Cash Thursday 8* OVER 208.5 in Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:10 ET - This total was in the 211 range but has dropped to 208.5 this morning because of the Cavs being without a couple starters. Oftentimes what happens when starters are out is that a team can play a little less structured. That lack to structure can lead to a bit of a wild game as teams have defensive breakdowns and then quick easy buckets in transition and it becomes a bit of a faster paced game as young guns usually come in to replace the missing starters. We saw this with Indiana as an example as they went on a wild tear of high-scoring games thanks to young guys replacing missing starters. In this case the Cavaliers with be without Garland and LeVert tonight but Detroit is so bad defensively that I still expect a good pace here and plenty of scoring. The over is on an 8-1 run in games between these teams. Also, the Pistons enter this game on a run in which they have allowed 120 points last 6 games. Cleveland has allowed 113 points last 4 games. This game should get to the 220 range in my estimation. Plenty of value but will play it safe with a non-Top play here as the first games after the All Star break have more of a tendency toward unusual outcomes. 8* OVER 208.5 in Detroit |
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02-24-22 | Maryland v. Indiana -6 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Thursday 10* Top Play Indiana Hoosiers -6 vs Maryland Terrapins @ 7 ET - The Hoosiers have lost 5 straight games and are off a crazy OT loss at Ohio State where they failed to cover as underdog. That was a nice break (seems rare but always do admit it) for me as the Buckeyes -6.5 were my play there. Now I come back with a fired up Indiana team off that tough loss from earlier this week. The Hoosiers have faced 4 ranked teams during this 5-game losing streak. In other words, they have simply faced a murderers row of opponents and have paid for that. Now they get a chance against a lesser team plus they are at home. I like the fact that Maryland is on a 2-game winning streak but faced a Penn State team that is below .500 on the season and a Nebraska team that is the worst in the Big Ten. Also, Fatts Russell had huge games against both the Nittany Lions and Cornhuskers but the Hoosiers held him to a rough performance when they faced the Terrapins earlier this season. As Russell goes, so go the Terps and because of that key factor and the situational edges here I am fully expecting a home blowout here. 10* INDIANA |
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02-23-22 | Xavier +2.5 v. Providence | Top | 92-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Big East Beast Wednesday 10* Top Play Xavier Musketeers +2.5 @ Providence Friars @ 7 ET - If you look up "trap line" in a "dictionary for bettors" and it gave you examples this one would be a perfect fit. The Friars are at home, they are a ranked team and they are hosting an unranked team they already beat on the road this season and have beaten 3 of last 4 times overall and also 6 of last 8 times when hosting. Consider all that and then consider the fact this line opened up at very nearly a pick'em even though the Musketeers come into this game having lost 4 of 5 games and Providence comes into this game winners of 9 of 10. This game has "trap" written all over it in my opinion and sure enough the betting markets are already falling for it! The line is up to a 2.5 and I would not be surprised if it climbs even higher. Either way though, I am pulling the trigger now early this morning and taking advantage of the added line value. This one all the way up to a 2.5 as of early morning Wednesday. Grab the points with the road dog but I am expecting an outright upset. 10* XAVIER +2.5 |
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02-22-22 | Villanova +2.5 v. Connecticut | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
CBB Big East Beast Tuesday 8* Villanova Wildcats +2.5 @ Connecticut Huskies @ 8 ET - This is the classic situation I love as we get line value in a game simply because that team is on the road. In this case that team is Villanova and they are catching a few points at Connecticut. Yes, the Huskies are certainly a high quality team but the Wildcats are the better team and now come into this one as a dog. Villanova has performed better in the bigger games against the tougher competition in my opinion and the Wildcats have just 3 losses in Big East action this season while the Huskies have 5 defeats in conference action. Watch the road team prove to be the better team in crunch time of this game. By the way, Collin Gillespie continues to be listed as questionable for the Wildcats but he keeps playing through a nagging ankle injury and I expect him to be out there again tonight in this key match-up. 8* VILLANOVA +2.5 |
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02-22-22 | Yale -2.5 v. Dartmouth | Top | 66-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Ivy League Game of the Year Tuesday 10* Top Play Yale Bulldogs -2.5 @ Dartmouth Big Green @ 6 ET - The Bulldogs laying a short number here on the road. I understand the low line as Dartmouth has the home court edge plus revenge factor in their favor here. However, the Big Green just 4-7 in conference games and has a poor overall record on the season. Yale, on the other hand, has a 9-2 record in Ivy League action plus a solid overall record on the season. What I especially like about this game is having the Bulldogs off a loss. Yale just lost to Princeton in what was a battle for first place. However, there will be no sulking and hanging of heads here for Yale. In fact, now it is more important than ever for the Bulldogs to win out and they have a pair of weaker foes on deck after this clash with Dartmouth. For an understanding of how much value we have here, note that Yale lost to Princeton by just 6 points plus had beaten them by 6 points earlier this season. Conversely, the Big Green lost at home to the Tigers by 4 and also got blasted at Princeton by 45 points. As noted above, the Bulldogs only have 2 conference losses this season. The other one was to Pennsylvania and the Quakers are another strong team that also beat Dartmouth by double digits. The points is that catching Yale off a loss is a great situation for laying a short price away from home as other results this season also show that the Bulldogs, comparatively with the Big Green, are the better team. 10* YALE -2.5 |
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02-21-22 | Indiana v. Ohio State -6.5 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Revenge Game of the Year Monday 10* Top Play Ohio State Buckeyes -6.5 vs Indiana Hoosiers @ 7 ET - The Buckeyes are off a loss Saturday versus Iowa. Also, Ohio State lost at Indiana by 16 points early last month. In other words, the set up here is perfect for a revenge win by a large margin. Adding to the value is the fact that the Buckeyes are a PERFECT 6-0 this SEASON when off a loss. When facing a Big Ten team and Ohio State is coming off a loss they have won all 4 games and by an average margin of 10 points! I am looking for a win here by a double digit margin as Indiana's slump continues. The Hoosiers have lost 4 straight both SU and ATS. Also, the home team is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in meetings between these teams. Going further back and looking at meetings in Columbus, the Buckeyes are a rock solid 13-6 both SU and ATS when hosting Indiana. Before their loss to Iowa Saturday, Ohio State was on a 6-1 ATS run. As for the Hoosiers, they are 2-6 ATS in road games this season. Look for these trends to continue here as the Buckeyes get big-time revenge payback. 10* OHIO STATE -6.5 |
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02-20-22 | Marquette v. Creighton OVER 141 | Top | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 141 in Creighton Bluejays vs Marquette Golden Eagles @ 3 ET - The Bluejays averaging 76 points last 4 games against Marquette. The Golden Eagles enter this game on a 3-1 run to the over with their last 4 games averaging 78 points per game. Given these numbers you can see why I would not be surprised to see this one get into the 150s and I am expecting at least 140s in this game. Creighton is building confidence right with 3 straight wins and scoring an average of 80 points per game in those contests. Look for an entertaining affair between these teams Sunday afternoon as both teams are okay with an uptempo game and the pacing and scoring confidence of these teams (based on recent trending) indicates a high-scoring game is likely here. 10* OVER 141 in Creighton |
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02-20-22 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -2.5 | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Sunday 8* Wisconsin Badgers -2.5 vs Michigan Wolverines @ 1 ET - The Badgers are under-valued here simply because the Wolverines are absolutely over-valued in this spot. The betting markets have been impacted by the fact Michigan recently defeated Purdue and also is coming off a win at Iowa. The Wolverines also recently snuck out a 1 point road win at Penn State but before these rare B2B road wins, Michigan was 4-7 SU on the road this season. They are now facing a Wisconsin team that has revenge from losing both games against the Wolverines and that included a home game in which they blew a 12 point lead at the half. The Badgers lost their most recent home game but were 10-2 SU at home on the season prior to that defeat. I am taking advantage of the over-adjusted shading toward Michigan in this one and I expect a big home win. 8* WISCONSIN -2.5 |
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02-19-22 | Georgetown v. Villanova OVER 142.5 | Top | 66-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Big East Total of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 142.5 in Villanova Wildcats vs Georgetown Hoyas @ 5 ET - The over is 3-0 in last 3 meetings between these teams. Villanova games have gone over the total in 5 straight entering this one and it is the perfect situation for an over. The Wildcats are off a big win over a ranked Providence team and have a ranked Connecticut team on deck. The Cats will probably be willing to simply "run and gun" here with a Georgetown team that can't beat anybody these days. The Hoyas are on a horrific losing streak and it has a lot to do with a lack of attention to defense! Georgetown allowing 81 points last 6 games. Villanova allowing 75.4 points last 5 games. This one should play out a very entertaining pace and hot shooting for the Wildcats at home continues. 10* OVER 142.5 in Villanova |
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02-19-22 | Iowa +5.5 v. Ohio State | 75-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
CBB Daytime Dominator Saturday 8* Iowa Hawkeyes +5.5 @ Ohio State Buckeyes @ 2:30 ET - The set-up here is ideal for an upset in my opinion so I certainly like the fact we have the added cushion of about a half-dozen points in this one. Iowa is off a home loss to Michigan. The Hawkeyes are 4-1 SU the last 5 times when off a loss and the only loss in those 5 games was in double-OT by a 4 point margin. Here Iowa is catching the Buckeyes off a big win by a 25 point margin against Minnesota. Ohio State is just 2-4 SU the last 6 times they were off a win by a margin of 8 or more points. Yes the Buckeyes have home court edge here but note that last season the road team won both meetings SU and ATS! Overall Iowa has won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these teams and the only loss was by just 4 points. Also, before the loss to the Wolverines, the Hawkeyes had won 3 straight games and averaged 93 points per contest. Grab the points with confidence here. 8* IOWA +5.5 |
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02-18-22 | Northern Kentucky v. Detroit OVER 135 | Top | 52-60 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Situational Slaughter CBB 10* Top Play OVER 135 in Detroit Mercy Titans vs Northern Kentucky Norse @ 7 ET - This total has dropped from the 140 range to the 135 range and I love the value here with the over. Detroit is finally back home where they have averaged 86.6 points per game this season. Northern Kentucky enters this game on a run of 5-1 to the over and they have scored an average of 76 points per game last 6 games. The Titans have hardly played any home games this season so this is huge for them and they have scored so well at home. From a situational standpoint, the Titans off a road loss in which they scored just 59 points and now being back home sets this one up perfectly for a high-scoring affair. 10* OVER 135 in Detroit |
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02-18-22 | Butler v. St. John's -7.5 | 57-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash 8* St John's Red Storm -7.5 vs Butler Bulldogs @ 5 ET - Butler is not healthy. Even if Bryce Nze and Bo Hodges both came back for this hard to say if either would be anywhere close to 100% and, again, that is if either guy plays here. They have another game Sunday hosting Providence so the Bulldogs may not rush these guys back either. As for St John's, they are on short rest here as they just played Wednesday. However, I looked into it and the Red Storm are PERFECT 4-0 SU this season when playing with just one day of rest between games. The average margin of victory in the 4 wins was 13 points! The Bulldogs have 13 losses this season and 8 of them were by a margin of 15 or more points. 4 of St John's last 5 wins have been by 13 or more points. This line was as high as 8.5 and has dropped to 7.5 and I love fading line moves for additional value. I feel the Red Storm will crush the Bulldogs here as they already won at Butler two weeks ago despite the Bulldogs shooting 10 of 28 threes compared to just 2 of 16 for St John's. Those crazy stats are not happening again here and the Red Storm dominate by double digits at home against a wounded Butler team that just can't seem to get healthy this season. 8* ST JOHN'S -7.5 |
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02-17-22 | Wizards v. Nets OVER 214.5 | Top | 117-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
Rickenbach NBA Situational Slaughter Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 214.5 in Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards @ 7:40 ET - I don't expect much defense here. Brooklyn expended a lot of energy last night as they held the Knicks to 41 second half points in rallying back from a 21 point half-time deficit for a big comeback road win. As for Washington, they fell just short at Indiana last night and will be pushing hard to get the road win tonight. The Wizards have allowed 112 points or more in 4 of last 5 and 8 of last 11. Neither team has been that impressive on the defensive end in recent weeks until Brooklyn came up stronger last two games. Here they run out of gas in that regard and this one turns into a bit of a run and gun high-scoring affair for that reason. I also love the fact the total has dropped from the 220 range to the 215 range and will take advantage of the added line value here. 10* OVER 214.5 in Brooklyn |
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02-17-22 | Heat v. Hornets +4.5 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Rickenbach NBA Earliest Cash Thursday 8* Charlotte Hornets +4.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7:10 ET - Yes the Hornets have been struggling but I expect them to get payback here after losing to Miami by 18 points in an ugly home loss two weeks ago. The Heat have beaten Charlotte 3 straight times and this one has been circled in red for the Hornets as a result. Note that Herro is out for Miami tonight and Butler might miss this game too as he is dealing with a shoulder injury. 8* CHARLOTTE +4.5 |
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02-17-22 | Towson v. NC-Wilmington OVER 135.5 | Top | 79-55 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Rickenbach CBB Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 135.5 in NC-Wilmington Seahawks vs Towson Tigers @ 6 ET - Towson blew a double digit lead when they hosted NC-Wilmington earlier this season and that ended up forcing overtime and the Tigers went on to lose to the Seahawks in the extra session. That said, we have excellent line value here with this low total. Towson is the best team in the CAA but still are behind NC-Wilmington in the standings. That is why the Tigers are favored on the road here. What I love about the value here is that Towson will be relentless in this game no matter the score. In other words, if they get up big again (which I do expect) they will keep their foot on the gas and not let the game slip away from them late again. This is going to lead to a higher-scoring game here in my opinion. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams went over the total. The Seahawks are on a 7-3 run to the over last 10 games. 10* OVER 135.5 in NC Wilmington |
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02-17-22 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Penn State | Top | 46-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Rickenbach CBB Afternoon Annihilation Thursday 9* Top Play Minnesota Golden Gophers +6.5 @ Penn State Nittany Lions @ 4 ET - Yes the Golden Gophers have been struggling but this spot sets up very well. The Nittany Lions are off a huge comeback win over Michigan State. Minnesota is off a game in which they got thoroughly embarrassed and scored just 45 points at Ohio State. Minny has struggled like I said but they did beat Penn State on Saturday. PSU also, prior to the win over the Spartans Tuesday, had lost 6 of last 7 games. The Nittany Lions are the much better rebounding team but the Golden Gophers the better team in terms of not turning the ball over. Grab the points here in a game with upset potential. 9* MINNESOTA +6.5 |
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02-16-22 | Wizards v. Pacers OVER 225.5 | Top | 108-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 225.5 in Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards @ 7:40 ET - The last time Washington played they burned us with the over courtesy of a 4th quarter in which the Wizards and their opponent each totaled only 16 points. Here we get payback! Washington is visiting Indiana and the Wizards had gone over in 3 straight before Monday's ridiculous finish. As for the Pacers they have gone over in 11 of last 12 games. Also, Indiana's last 6 games against the Wizards have ALL been overs. Here is number 7 in a row. 10* OVER 225.5 in Indiana |
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02-16-22 | George Mason v. St. Joe's OVER 139.5 | Top | 75-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
CBB A10 Total of the Year Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 139.5 in St Joseph's Hawks vs George Mason Patriots @ 7 ET - Some key statistical edges in this one point to this total being too low. First off, the Hawks are averaging 73 points per game this season. Note that the Patriots opened up as a 2 point road favorite here for a reason. In other words the projection here would be 75-73 final based on those numbers and that puts this total in the 148 range. Also, George Mason is knocking down 38.5% of threes on the road this season and St Joseph's hitting 36.8% of threes at home this season. The Hawks have scored more than 70 in 9 of last 11 home games. They consistently get to at least the 70 mark when they are hosting and, again, Patriots are favored here so you can see why I am expecting 140s here. Additionally, the over is 6-3 last 9 George Mason games as they have been allowing a ton of points. Also, the Hawks have allowed 69 points or more in 5 of last 6 games with the lone exception being an OT game which was 60-60 at end of regulation. This one flies over the total. 10* OVER 139.5 in St Joseph's |
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02-16-22 | Manhattan v. Fairfield OVER 135 | 74-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
CBB Daytime Dominator Wednesday 8* OVER 135 in Fairfield vs Manhattan @ 1 ET - This total was as high as 138 last night and has dropped to 135 this morning. I'll gladly fade the line move here. Fairfield has averaged 76.5 ppg last 2 games. Manhattan has had just 1 under last 6 games. The Stags will struggle to slow down a Jaspers team that has averaged 73.5 points per game last 4 road games. When teams are off high-scoring wins a lot of times they relax defensively in their next game just thinking that their offense will carry them. In this case the Jaspers scored 83 points in most recent game and Stags scored 80 points in most recent game. 8* OVER 135 in Fairfield |
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02-15-22 | Cavs v. Hawks OVER 219.5 | Top | 116-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 219.5 in Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:40 ET - This total has been dropping this morning and it makes sense because each team is off an ugly, low-scoring loss. However, I love coming back with overs when teams are off duds. This is particularly true when a team has shown a knack in terms of bouncing back with strong efforts when off a low-scoring clunker. The last 3 times the Hawks were off a game in which they were held to 100 points or less, they have scored an average of 125 points in their next game. The Cavs have averaged a respectable 108 points the last 3 times they were off a game in which they were held to 95 or less points. The Hawks will dictate the tempo here on their home floor and the over was on a 4-1 run in Atlanta's games prior to the ugly loss at Boston. All 4 of those Hawks games totaled at least 239 points. While we won't see that many points here, we should see this one at least get into the 220s and the 230s would not be a big surprise to me either. 10* OVER 219.5 in Atlanta |
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02-15-22 | Akron v. Western Michigan OVER 128 | Top | 57-61 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
CBB MAC Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 128 in Western Michigan Broncos vs Akron Zips @ 6 ET - This total has dropped about 3 points from its opener and, while I do understand the line move, it has led to more value here for us with the over. Yes, these are two slower-paced teams. However, this also is a game comprised of two teams with rather sub-par defenses. The Broncos allowing 76 points per game this season. The Zips allowing 36% from three point land on the season. Western Michigan finally ended a long losing streak with a 77-63 win over Central Michigan Saturday and I look for that to give the Broncos a boost of confidence heading into this match-up with Akron. The Zips have averaged 69.4 points per game last 5 games and 4 of those 5 games totaled 130 points or more. Look for this to reach at least that mark as well. 10* OVER 128 in Western Michigan |
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02-14-22 | Spurs v. Bulls -4.5 | Top | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls -4.5 vs San Antonio Spurs @ 8:10 ET - Can you imagine how high this line would be if Zach LaVine was not out for the Bulls? Exactly! The point is we are getting a ton of line value here on a very good Chicago team that also is playing this game with triple revenge! Indeed the Bulls lost both games versus Spurs last season plus lost at San Antonio earlier this season. In that match-up however, SA shot a ridiculous percentage from 3-point land and outscored the Bulls by 24 points from beyond the arc. Of course this was the difference in the game and the Spurs aren't going to be hitting a ridiculous 16 threes in the rematch on the road. Also, Chicago is off a non-covering SU win versus OKC Saturday and the Bulls are 4-0 ATS the last 4 times they have entered a game off an ATS loss. The Spurs are off B2B wins and have not won 3 straight games since right around Christmas. From a situational standpoint, I love the value with the home team as a small favorite in this one. 10* CHICAGO -4.5 |
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02-14-22 | Pistons v. Wizards OVER 218 | Top | 94-103 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 9* Top Play OVER 218 in Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Wizards have gone over the total in 3 straight games and allowed 119 points on average in these 3. The Pistons have gone over the total in 2 straight games and allowed 122 points on average in last 4 games. Each of last two meetings between these teams totaled more than this total. This one flies over the total as both these teams continue to pay little attention on the defensive end! 9* OVER 218 in Washington |
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02-14-22 | St. Louis +2.5 v. St Bonaventure | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
CBB CBSSN Blowout Monday 10* Top Play St Louis Billikens +2.5 @ St Bonaventure @ 5 ET - The Billikens are off a loss that followed a 6-game winning streak. St Louis is a perfect 4-0 SU the last 4 times they entered game off a loss. The Bonnies are off B2B wins but this followed losses in 6 of 10 games and St Bonaventure has not won 3 straight games since early December. The set up is perfect for a road win here especially when you consider this is a revenge game as the Bonnies won at St Louis Friday. Payback time here for the Billikens as they return the favor by winning at St Bonaventure. 10* ST LOUIS +2.5 |
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02-14-22 | William & Mary v. NC-Wilmington OVER 140 | Top | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Monday 9* Top Play OVER 140 in NC-Wilmington Seahawks vs William & Mary Tribe @ 2 ET - Neither one of these teams is very good defensively as evidenced by their field goal percentage defense both inside and outside the arc. Also, William & Mary has allowed 80 points per game game last 4 games. NC-Wilmington has allowed 75 points per game last 4 games. I know the teams shot ridiculously high percentages when they met a little over a week ago and that is why the game totaled 162 points. However, even with lesser shooting percentages but a good pace in this one, it should get well into the 140s and I will grab the value here as neither team has impressed defensively of late. 9* OVER 140 in NC-Wilmington |
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02-13-22 | Colorado State +2.5 v. Boise State | Top | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play Colorado State Rams +2.5 @ Boise State Broncos @ 4 ET - The Rams are the better team offensively. Statistically these teams are nearly equal on the defensive end but the shooting edge of Colorado State is the key here. Boise State is favored but that is only because they are at home. I love taking short dogs in college hoops. The Rams are about a 3 point dog here but have the offensive firepower to pull off the upset here because they can get key buckets when they need. They are the type of team that can thrive on the road and yet we get line value here because of the home court factored in for the Broncos. The Rams are 7-2 SU on the road and Boise State does have a pair of road losses already this season. 10* COLORADO STATE +2.5 |
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02-13-22 | Hawks +7 v. Celtics | Top | 95-105 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +7 @ Boston Celtics @ 2:10 ET - Trae Young is probable for the Hawks in this one. Atlanta has won 4 of the last 5 meetings with Boston SU and is on an overall 6-2 ATS run last 8 meetings. I know the Celtics have won 7 straight games overall but their two most recent home wins each by 6 points and I love the value with the Hawks here off a loss. Atlanta had won 9 of 12 games before losing at home versus San Antonio Friday. Also, the Hawks are 3-1 SU last 4 times when off a loss. I would not be surprised at all to see an upset here but am grabbing the points for added insurance in this one and, yes, I am aware of the John Collins injury. 10* ATLANTA +7 |
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02-13-22 | Maryland v. Purdue OVER 147 | Top | 61-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Sunday 9* Top Play OVER 147 in Purdue Boilermakers vs Maryland Terrapins @ 1 ET - The Terrapins are off a 110 to 82 loss and that was even at home! Now Maryland is on the road and facing a Purdue team that is angry off an 82-56 loss at Michigan. The Boilermakers will bounce back and pile up the points here as they also have revenge from a loss at Maryland last season. The Terrapins are 7-2 to the over in road games this season and the Boilermakers were on a 10-2 run to the over before their game against the Wolverines stayed under the total. 9* OVER 147 in Purdue |
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02-12-22 | Cavs +3.5 v. 76ers | Top | 93-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - Both teams off wins and both teams in 2nd game of back to back but I feel it will be much tougher on the 76ers than the Cavaliers. Keep in mind the Sixers lost Curry in the trade for Harden and they still don't have Harden available yet. Also, this is the 2nd game of a back to back and Embiid might be limited or possibly even miss the contest. You never know for sure these days but he could end up being in street clothes with it being 2nd game of a B2B and he is so injury-prone. In any event I like Cleveland taking on a team that is without a key outside shooter and they did struggle overall with the 3-ball yesterday and the Cavs are not the Thunder! OKC was missing a ton of personnel for yesterday's game but the red hot Cavaliers will present a much stiffer challenge. The Cavs have won 13 of 16 games! 10* CLEVELAND +3.5 |
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