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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-12-22 | Knicks v. Blazers OVER 216.5 | Top | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Saturday 9* Top Play OVER 216.5 in Portland Trailblazers vs New York Knicks @ 5 ET - The Knicks are 6-2 to over last 8 games. They have allowed 118 points last 5 games. New York has scored average of 111 points last 7 games. Neither of those numbers include any OT points. I know the Blazers have been trending under but Portland has allowed 114 per game last 7 home games and is off a SU win and ATS cover and is 3-1 to the over the last 4 times off an ATS win. 9* OVER 216.5 in Portland |
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02-12-22 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia OVER 122.5 | Top | 53-63 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
CBB ESPN Smash Pass Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 122.5 in Virginia Cavaliers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 4 ET - One can understand the low total posted here when you consider the long-term with Virginia basketball. However, a big key to the Cavaliers having won 3 straight and 5 of 7 has been their offensive production and the over is on a 6-1 run L7 Cavs games. Virginia has scored an average of 66.4 ppg in this 7-game stretch. The Yellow Jackets have allowed an average of 75.3 ppg their last 8 games against Division I opponents. Georgia Tech has averaged scoring 70.5 points last 4 road games. Don't be surprised when this one gets into the 130s. The Yellow Jackets don't have good defensive numbers and the Cavaliers are allowing higher shooting percentages than usual this season. Yes, the Cavs like to play a slow-tempo game but the way these two teams are going right now I fully expect another over in this one. 10* OVER 122.5 in Virginia |
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02-12-22 | Temple +4.5 v. Tulane | Top | 83-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Philly Insider Saturday 9* Top Play Temple Owls +4.5 @ Tulane Green Wave @ 2 ET - Even though Jake Forrester is likely to miss again, Jeremiah Williams and Damian Dunn are both expected to play in this one. Also, Temple is 8-0 SU at Tulane since the Green Wave joined the AAC beginning in 2014. We also get the Owls angry off a loss here as they lost at South Florida on a buzzer beater. Getting points with an angry road dog that should be healthier here is something I won't pass up on. Look for the Owls to make it 9 in a row SU in games played as a visitor against Tulane but we'll grab the points for added insurance here. 9* TEMPLE +4.5 |
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02-11-22 | Thunder v. 76ers -12.5 | Top | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 9* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -12.5 vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7 ET - Even if James Harden does not play tonight, Philly is bolstered by the huge trade that got rid of the toxic Ben Simmons and brought in a superstar. The Sixers will be bolstered by this trade no matter who is on the floor tonight and Philadelphia is hungry to bounce back after the home loss to Phoenix Tuesday. With two days off between games, the 76ers will have fresh legs here and they can run and gun their way to victory past a Thunder team that just does not have the horses to keep up. Oklahoma City is already one of the league's worst teams even when healthy but right now the Thunder are extremely short-handed. Yes this is a big number to lay but OKC is off B2B home losses by an average margin of 15.5 points and its last 4 road losses have also come by an average margin of 15.5 points. Lay it! 9* PHILADELPHIA -12.5 |
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02-11-22 | Cavs v. Pacers OVER 216.5 | Top | 120-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Friday 10* Top Play OVER 216.5 in Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7 ET - With all the personnel changes for the Pacers following the trade, one might be reluctant to invest in the over here. However, I feel this could lead to a rather fast-paced disorganized game where players on defense miss switches and/or are out of position. Things like this happen when a team has a new influx of players like Indiana does now. I also love the fact that these two teams just met and the game totaled only 183 points. Keep in mind, that is the only under the Pacers have had in their last 9 games. The Cavaliers have allowed 115 points or more in 3 of last 4 road games. Cleveland has a tendency to not score well but they now take on a Pacers team that, other than the one clunker against the Cavs, allowed 123.7 points per game in other 10 games dating back to January 20th. Look for plenty of points in this one. 10* OVER 216.5 in Indiana |
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02-11-22 | Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee OVER 146.5 | Top | 57-60 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER 146.5 in Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers vs Wright State Raiders @ 7 ET - The Panthers just got held to only 39 points on their home floor in their most recent game! You know what is coming here from UW-Milwaukee after a game like that. Even though they will respond on the offensive end here, this Panthers team has allowed 76 points per game last 7 games. I am looking for a shootout here as a result as the Raiders come into this one having won 4 straight games and averaging 80 points per game during the win streak. Wright State has averaged scoring 79 points last 6 road games. The over is 4-0 in last 4 meetings between these teams and I look for that trend to continue here. 10* OVER 146.5 in Wisconsin-Milwaukee |
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02-10-22 | Nets v. Wizards OVER 217.5 | 112-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Thursday 8* OVER 217.5 in Washington Wizards vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:30 ET - Kevin Durant was already out but now James Harden is out too for the Nets in this one. Additionally Bradley Beal is, of course, out for the Wizards. So this totals has dropped from low 220s to as low as 216.5 as of mid-morning. In typical contrarian fashion, I'll fade the line move here and take the over. Brooklyn will still have Kyrie Irving for this one and the Wizards are off a game in which they allowed 121 points. At the other end of the floor, Washington will take advantage of hosting a Nets team which has allowed more than 120 points in 3 straight games and 6 of last 9 games. 8* OVER 217.5 in Washington |
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02-10-22 | Iowa v. Maryland +4.5 | Top | 110-87 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins +4.5 vs Iowa Hawkeyes @ 7 ET - The Terrapins go as Fatts Russell and Eric Ayala go. That said, with those guys struggling overall the last 3 games it comes as no surprise that Maryland enters this one on a 3-game losing streak. However, match-ups certainly matter in basketball. That said, Russell and Ayala both had solid games against the Hawkeyes in the first meetings this season and that was at Iowa and ended up a loss by only a 5-point margin. Now the Terrapins are getting nearly that same number at home and note that the Hawkeyes are 2-5 on the road this season. This one sets up well for an upset and I like the extra value of having a few points on our side as well should Maryland fall just short. Note that Maryland is allowing only 65.5 ppg at home while Iowa is allowing 74.4 ppg on the road. The better defense at home and off 3 straight losses and catching some points...I'll take it! 10* MARYLAND +4.5 |
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02-10-22 | William & Mary v. Towson OVER 136.5 | Top | 60-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Thursday 9* Top Play OVER 136.5 in Towson Tigers vs William & Mary Tribe @ 5 ET - This game is off the radar of most sports bettors and I feel that is why we are getting such a good value here. Towson is one of the best teams in the CAA and William & Mary is one of the worst which is why the spread on this game is 18. Where the value lies in my opinion is with the total. The last time these teams met the Tigers won 91-69 even though they were on the road for that one earlier this season! The Tribe enter this game having allowed 88 points per game their last two games even though they were at home! Towson is off an ugly low-scoring road loss in most recent game and that means they will not hold back and should score a pile of points here. Keep in mind, prior to that road loss the Tigers were on a 9-game stretch that saw them win 8 of 9 games. Towson, taking out the few clunkers in the bunch, averaged 78 points scored in the other 6 games and now they take on a team that is one of the worst in the league. That means the Tigers should get to 80+ easily and if the 18 point spread is right (which so often these numbers are good) that means this one flies over the total. 10* OVER 136.5 in Towson |
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02-09-22 | Spurs v. Cavs OVER 216 | Top | 92-105 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 216 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - The Cavaliers could have Curtis Levert (acquired from Indiana) on the floor for this one tonight. Also, Darius Garland could be back after missing 4 straight games. Even if those guys don't play, although odds favor both coming back and at least one of them for sure, I like the over in this match-up. The Spurs have been so poor on the defensive end and they like to play an uptempo style and Cleveland, in an Indiana sandwich, could just "play along" here in a rather meaningless non-conference match-up. The Cavaliers just beat the Pacers and now have a game at Indiana on deck. So this is a classic flat spot for the Cavs in terms of defensive intensity. Also, the over is on a perfect 5-0 run in meetings between these teams. The Spurs have trended under on the road and the Cavaliers have trended under at home this season but that is what has resulted in downward line movement here. The result is exceptional value on the over in this match-up. 10* OVER 216 in Cleveland |
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02-09-22 | Columbia v. Cornell OVER 157.5 | 75-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 8* OVER 157.5 in Cornell Big Red vs Columbia Lions @ 5 ET - This one easily could fall into the category of a contrarian play. The Lions have stayed under in 3 straight games. The Big Red have stayed under in 3 of last 4 games. The posted total on this game was higher than any of those games despite those stats and now the total is showing it might move even higher this morning. What does all this tell you? It tells you that the odds makers are expecting an absolutely crazy high-scoring game here and truly there is support for that theory despite the recent unders. Columbia just does not play defense and both these teams play past and Cornell is certainly not known as a defensive stalwart either! The Big Red allowing 66 field goal attempts at home this season and the Lions allowing 64 field goal attempts on the road this season. You can see the pace of games these teams get into is almost "frenetic" and it truly involves a lot of sets designed to quickly jack up threes and both teams are off tougher shooting efforts yet Cornell hitting 37% of threes at home and Columbia hitting 37% of threes on the road this season. This one will surprise many and easily cruise into the 160s in my opinion. The Big Red averaging 87 points per game this season at home but overall allowing 78 points per game this season and they are a 15-point favorite in this game. You can see from those numbers this one should really get "up there" in terms of points scored. 8* OVER 157.5 in Cornell |
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02-08-22 | Villanova v. St. John's +4 | Top | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
CBB PA Insider Tuesday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm +4 vs Villanova Wildcats @ 8:30 ET - Villanova is a great team but St John's is very scrappy and this is particularly true at home. The Red Storm are seeking revenge for getting blown out at Nova earlier this season. In that game, though St John's lost by double digits they simply shot very poorly! Villanova was on fire from deep and the Red Storm had about the same number of 3-point attempts plus overall had 15 more FG attempts in the game but it was just an off-shooting game for them. The Wildcats also are likely to be without Gillespie in this one and he is arguably their best player and a team leader. This is a very tricky spot for the Cats and the home team has won each of the last 4 meetings between these teams. The safe play here is to grab the points but we likely will not need them! 10* ST JOHN'S +4 |
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02-08-22 | Suns v. 76ers -106 | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
NBA PA Money Line NBA 10* Philadelphia 76ers Money Line -105 vs Phoenix Suns @ 7:10 ET - The 76ers opened up as a 2.5 point favorite and now this line is down near a pick'em. Long-time followers know I love to fade line moves. Of course Phoenix is a great team but they are on the road here in the 2nd game of a back to back and playing their 4th game in 6 nights and the travel hasn't been particularly easy. The Suns have gone from the Southeast to the Northeast to the Midwest and now back to the Northeast again. Philly is at home and is rested and also has not had a back to back since mid-January. The Sixers have two off days on deck after this too as they do not play again until Friday. Philadelphia wants to make up for their most recent home game as it was a disappointing home loss to the Wizards. The 76ers had won 8 of 10 home games heading into that one. They get right back on track here. 10* PHILADELPHIA Money Line -105 |
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02-08-22 | Old Dominion v. Florida Atlantic OVER 133 | 62-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash 8* OVER 133 in Florida Atlantic Owls vs Old Dominion Monarchs @ 6 ET - The Owls are averaging 79.6 ppg at home this season. Florida Atlantic has had only 1 under in their last 8 games overall. The over is on a 4-0 run in Monarchs road games. Old Dominion has won two of last three homes games which is a confidence boost as they now head out on the road again having averaged 70.4 ppg in conference games this season. Given the above stats and the situation here, there is value with the low total posted on this game. 8* OVER 133 in Florida Atlantic |
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02-07-22 | Raptors v. Hornets OVER 224 | Top | 116-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week Monday 10* Top Play OVER 224 in Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:10 ET - The Hornets have been trending under but this is the right match-up to get them going again. On the season, Charlotte has been a high-scoring team. Now, after an ugly low-scoring home loss to the Heat, the Hornets will bounce back against a team that has been playing plenty of run and gun basketball of late. The Raptors are on a run of 3 straight overs and overs in 6 of last 8 games overall. Speaking of trending to overs, when Toronto and Charlotte have squared off the over is 5-2 in last 7 games. The average points scored in the first half of the last 4 meetings is 130! That is a pace for 260 in each game. Though they did not get to that lofty total, they did get to overs in all but 1 of those 4 games and the fact is these teams are rested (each was off yesterday) and I expect a fast-paced game all the way through which will fly over the very manageable total posted on this game. 10* OVER 224 in Charlotte |
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02-07-22 | NC-Wilmington v. Hofstra -6 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
CAA Game of Year Monday 10* Top Play Hofstra Pride -6 vs NC Wilmington Seahawks @ 5 ET - This line has gone from an opener of 7.5 to as low as a 6 as of mid-morning game-day and it is now "go time" with this one. Yes the Seahawks have the much better record than the Pride but why do you think this game is priced this way? You think the odds makers made a mistake? They did not! Hofstra was installed as a 7.5 point home favorite with good reason in this one. The Pride have revenge from a loss at UNC-Wilmington a little over a week ago. They lost the game by 6 but were outscored by 21 points from 3-point land on a rare poor shooting night for Hofstra. Also, the Pride severely outrebounded the Seahawks by a 13-carom margin but were done in by a rare turnover-prone effort as they turned it over 17 times in the game. UNCW turned it over only 9 times in that game. Now with the Pride as the hosts watch all the flukiness of that first game result get flip-flopped here. Hofstra will not be denied here as they have also played the tougher schedule so far this season but are set up well here with an edge as they are playing 3rd straight home game while the Seahawks are on the road for a 3rd straight time! 10* HOFSTRA -6 |
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02-06-22 | Pacers v. Cavs OVER 216.5 | Top | 85-98 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Total Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 216.5 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers @ 6 ET - The Cavaliers could get Darius Garland back today. The Pacers could get both Malcolm Brogdon and Domantas Sabonis back today. Either way I like the over. Indiana has been given a lot of time to younger players recently and this has strengthened their bench when guys like Brogdon and Sabonis are back. The fast-paced style that the Pacers have been playing with has led to a perfect 7-0 run to the over. I know Cleveland likes to play slower and the Cavaliers have been trending under. However, the last 4 meetings between these teams have averaged 217 points per game and the way the Pacers have been playing of late this game should have a much stronger pace than even those 4 match-ups did. That said, this one gets well into the 220s. Indiana, not including OT, allowing 121 points last 11 games! The Pacers, not including OT, scoring an average of 114 points per game last 11 games! 10* OVER 216.5 in Cleveland |
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02-06-22 | Minnesota v. Iowa OVER 148.5 | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 148.5 in Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers @ 4:30 ET - Iowa fired up off B2B losses and an overall unacceptable stretch that has seen them lose 4 of last 7 games. The Hawkeyes will respond in a huge way here at home in this game. Iowa has averaged 88.8 points per game at home this season. Minnesota is averaging 69.9 points per game on the road this season. The Golden Gophers have endured a 1-7 stretch that has seen them allow 74.4 points per game. Now they face a team capable of hanging 90 points on them and I see an incredible tempo to this game as the Hawkeyes are itching for that huge big home win to get them back on track. This is the perfect spot for it and Minnesota has the talent to hang around within about 10 or 12 in this game and that should send this soaring over the total. 10* OVER 148.5 in Iowa |
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02-06-22 | 76ers -125 v. Bulls | 119-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
NBA PA Money Line Sunday 8* Philadelphia 76ers Money Line -120 @ Chicago Bulls @ 3:30 ET - This line is in the -1.5 to -2 range for Philly which is why I prefer a little extra juice (-120 to -125) to have the money line with the 76ers and turn any Sixers win into also cashing a ticket. No point spread to worry about by playing them on the money line. I like grabbing Philly off B2B losses and with the Bulls Zach LaVine still dealing with back spasm issues. Even if he plays, LaVine could exit early or be ineffective plus Chicago has another game on deck tomorrow as they are in the midst of a tough 4 games in 5 days situation. The scheduling situation definitely favors a Philadelphia team which has not had to play back to back games in 3 weeks! Joel Embiid has been dominating and he leads the road team to victory here as 76ers have been the better team on defense of late in comparison with Chicago. 8* PHILADELPHIA -120 |
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02-06-22 | Maryland v. Ohio State OVER 138 | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Sunday 8* OVER 138 in Ohio State Buckeyes vs Maryland Terrapins @ 1 ET - Total has moved down from 138 to 140. The Terrapins hitting 39.6% of threes in road games while the Buckeyes hitting 38.7% of threes in home games. Ohio State is averaging 78.7 points per game at home this season. Maryland is a 9 point dog here. Given those numbers one could (and should!) expect a 79 to 70 type game here. That puts this one well past the current number of 138 and we have solid line value here with the over. The Terrapins off a stretch of 3 straight unders and this has driven this total down a little. Maryland, prior to that 3-game stretch, had a stretch of 8 games with only 1 under. Ohio State has had a stretch of 4 overs in last 6 games and the Buckeyes are a confident and high-scoring team when at home. The Terrapins have the talent to keep up here and that pushes this one way over the total. 8* OVER 138 in Ohio State |
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02-05-22 | Suns v. Wizards OVER 219.5 | Top | 95-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conf Total of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 219.5 in Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns @ 7:10 ET - This total opened up at 223 and has now fallen to as low as 219.5 this morning. The Wizards are without Bradley Beal and he is a big scorer. However, Washington is still battling hard and just scored 106 points in a win at Philly Wednesday in a game that easily could have been higher-scoring as the Wizards had 59 points at the half. Washington is known for scoring better when at home and has only had one "dud" in their last dozen home games. In the other 11 games at home during this hot stretch of scoring, the Wizards have averaged 115 points per game! The Suns come into this one having averaged 112.4 points per game on the road this season. The over is 5-0 in last 5 meetings between these teams. With Phoenix off a loss at Atlanta, the Suns will come out fired up for a big road win and they are going to push the tempo here and also keep their foot on the gas throughout this game. Phoenix responds off a loss, Wizards fight hard at home (only once in last dozen home games have they had a loss by more than a 5-point margin) and the result is a high-scoring shootout here. 10* OVER 219.5 in Washington |
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02-05-22 | Penn State v. Wisconsin OVER 129.5 | Top | 49-51 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Total of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 129.5 in Wisconsin Badgers vs Penn State Nittany Lions @ 6 ET - The Nittany Lions are off an upset win versus Iowa and that game was not as high-scoring as it appears because it did go to overtime. However, the 132 points in regulation would have been enough in terms of comparing to the number posted on this match-up for Penn State at Wisconsin. I am well aware of the fact that the Nittany Lions have often struggled to score well on the road this season. However, the win over the Hawkeyes is a big confidence boosting win for this team. Also, Greg Lee is off a strong game at the forward position and the frontcourt of Lee, Seth Lundy and John Harrar can produce solid interior offense for PSU in this one. Wisconsin used to be known for defensive low-scoring grinders but the situation has been much different this season. The Badgers are allowing 67 points per game and 44% shooting from the field! The over is 8-2 in Wisconsin's last 10 games and they do average 75.4 ppg at home. If you consider that number plus the 8.5 point spread in this game you are looking at a game getting into the low 140s and yet this number is hovering near 130. I feel we have excellent line value with the over here as the Badgers are hungry to bounce back at home after a disappointing road loss at Illinois. Wisconsin has averaged 78 ppg last 6 home games. Penn State has allowed 72 points per game in their 6 true road games this season and 75 points per game on the road if you remove the low-scoring grinder with Ohio State from the equation. This total just too low with Badgers poised for a big bounce back on their floor but dealing with a Nittany Lions team surging with confidence right now after beating Iowa. Penn State ready for a solid road performance and can hang around in this game which will push it over the total. 10* OVER 129.5 in Wisconsin |
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02-05-22 | Ole Miss v. Florida -8.5 | Top | 57-62 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Rickenbach CBB Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Florida Gators -8.5 vs Ole Miss Rebels @ 3:30 ET - Though the Gators probably will not have Colin Castleton back just yet, he has started practicing again and this is giving the Florida team a mental boost as they know one of their best players has an imminent return. The big injury news about this match-up is that Ole Miss just lost freshman guard Daeshun Ruffin for the rest of the season to a knee injury suffered in the Rebels upset win at LSU early this week. Though a freshman, he had taken on a starters role for the last 10 games and he had thrived at the point guard position. In fact, he had 21 points in the upset win over these Gators at Ole Miss last month. His loss is huge and is particularly troublesome because guard Jarkel Joiner is still out. That means Austin Crowley likely will be at the point guard position again. Point guard is such an important position and now Ole Miss down to their third choice there. Also, the home team has won and covered each of the last 4 meetings between these teams. Look for the Gators to win in a home blowout by a double digit margin as they get their revenge. 10* FLORIDA -8.5 |
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02-04-22 | Bulls v. Pacers OVER 231 | Top | 122-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Central Division Total of the Month Friday 10* Top Play OVER 231 in Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - A lot of injury/covid issues/concerns in this one. It will not matter. No matter who has been on the floor lately, both these teams have been trending over. Yes, the Bulls game last night went to OT but it was over the total by the end of regulation. Also, Chicago is on a perfect 5-0 run to the over in the 2nd game of a B2B. Indiana enters this game on an overall 6-0 run to the over and the Bulls have gone over the total in 4 straight games overall. The Pacers have been forced to play a bunch of younger guys recently and give more minutes than usual to role players as well. The result has been a lack of defensive efficiency but fantastic offensive efficiency. The Pacers, not including OT, have allowed an average of 122 last 7 games and scored an average of 114 last 6 games! The Bulls, not including OT points, have allowed 110 points or more in 6 of last 7 games and have scored 111 points or more in 6 straight games. Chicago averaging 119 per game in those 6 games and tonight's game could go either way in terms of the side in my opinion and that means a 120-119 type game given the above numbers. Look for this one to sneak into the 240s and the line is near the 230 mark. 10* OVER 231 in Indiana |
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02-04-22 | Creighton v. Seton Hall -6 | Top | 55-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates -6 vs Creighton Bluejays @ 7 ET - I know Bryce Aiken might still be out here but I still like the Pirates a ton in this spot even if he does not play. The key is that if he does he is likely to be close to 100% because his only issue was being in concussion protocol. In my mind the bigger story here is the Bluejays being without center Ryan Kalkbrenner as he rolled his ankle quite badly in Tuesday's game. That is a tough injury so even if Kalkbrenner plays he is unlikely to be himself. From a situational standpoint, this is a great spot as Creighton is off an upset win at Connecticut as a double digit dog! The Bluejays had lost 3 straight road games heading into that one and the margin of the games was 23 points per defeat! Yes Seton Hall has been struggling to cover games lately but the Pirates are 8-3 at home this season and off B2B losses SU as a solid home favorite each of last two games in Newark, the Pirates are hungry. Look for the hosts to respond in a huge way here. Note that Creighton is only making 30.9% of threes this season and on the road they are allowing 37.5% threes! The Pirates stats, when at home, are nearly the identical reverse of that with hot shooting and strong defense. They pull away for the double digit win here in my opinion. 10* SETON HALL -6 |
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02-04-22 | Dartmouth v. Yale OVER 136.5 | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Friday 9* Top Play OVER 136.5 in Yale Bulldogs vs Dartmouth Big Green @ 5 ET - Sometimes Dartmouth gets involved in low-scoring grinders but I see Yale dictating the pace and flow of this game on their home floor. The Bulldogs struggled a bit in non-conference action but now are red hot in Ivy League action including knocking off Princeton in their most recent game. As for the Big Green, 4 of their last 6 games have totaled at least 139 points. Each of Dartmouth's 3 road games in Ivy League action have totaled at least 139 points and have actually averaged 145 points apiece! With each team off a big win (Big Green just won at Columbia) confidence riding high for these guard-heavy teams and I look for solid shooting and another high-scoring game. These teams are "feeling it" right now as Dartmouth had a string of tight losses before the win over the Lions and getting over the hump, even though against a weaker foe, was big for them heading into this match-up. Plenty of points here as Big Green do shoot well from 3-point land (even on the road) but also allow high shooting percentages. 9* OVER 136.5 in Yale |
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02-03-22 | Bulls v. Raptors OVER 224 | Top | 120-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 224 in Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:40 ET - Only 3 of Bulls last 13 games have resulted in an under. Chicago allowing 115 points per game last 6 games but also scoring an average of 120 points per game last 5 games. Toronto has been trending toward lower-scoring numbers than that. However, the Raptors have allowed an average of 111 points per game last 6 games and have scored an average of 114 points per game last 5 games. Zach LaVine is probable for the Bulls here and that is good news in terms of Chicago's point production. The Bulls are an underdog here but playing extremely well and will help push the pace in this one as we continue to see the high-scoring trending in Chicago's games. 10* OVER 224 in Toronto |
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02-03-22 | Wolves v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 128-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Thursday 9* Top Play Detroit Pistons +7.5 vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:10 ET - Yes, Detroit has an ugly SU record on the season. However, Minnesota has been a road-adverse team. Looking at the last 11 Timberwolves games, the home team is a perfect 11-0 ATS in those games! Wolves at home, they get the cash. Minny on the road, their opponent gets the cash. This pattern going for 3 weeks now and I look for it to continue here. Pistons off a home loss to New Orleans but were on a 5-1 ATS run heading into that one. Detroit also is on a 6-2 ATS run in home games. Pistons lost Cade Cunningham to injury in that game and he only played 21 points. He could come back for this game and is listed as questionable. Either way, I do like the home dog here catching big points. 9* DETROIT +7.5 |
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02-03-22 | Drexel v. Delaware OVER 141 | Top | 76-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
CBB CAA Total of the Year Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 141 in Delaware Fightin Blue Hens vs Drexel Dragons @ 6 ET - This total opened up in the 147 range and is now down to the 141 range as of game day morning. The odds makers that set this total must be clueless in terms of what they are doing, right? Of course not! Long-time followers know I love fading line moves like this when the situation is right. That's because the odds maker are some of the sharpest guys around and I respect their numbers. So take a closer look at this one and note that these teams combined for 158 points in their first meeting this season and no it did NOT go to overtime. The fact is both these teams have solid shooting stats this season. Both teams also tend to struggle on the defensive end. Drexel had one good game defensively against Elon two weeks ago but, in their other 7 games since early January the Dragons have allowed an average of 74.4 ppg. The Fightin Blue Hens have had 7 games since early January and, not including OT points, Delaware has allowed an average of 73.9 ppg. Looking at these numbers you can see why this total opened up closer to 150 than 140. Now, with huge value after the move, I am hammering the over in this Blue Hens match-up! 10* OVER 141 in Delaware |
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02-03-22 | St. John's -4.5 v. Georgetown | Top | 90-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Big East Beast Thursday 9* Top Play St John's Red Storm -4.5 @ Georgetown Hoyas @ 6 ET - The Red Storm off B2B losses but faced a pair of ranked foes and they have not lost 3 straight games this entire season. Also, in their loss to Providence Tuesday, St John's actually had 16 more field goal attempts in the game but the Friars got to the line for 33 free throw attempts - 3 times as many as the 11 the Red Storm got! St John's is a little under-valued here off the unusual results the last two games and note that Georgetown has lost 9 straight games including a 19-point beatdown at St John's. Though the Hoyas are now at home for the rematch, they are simply not a very good basketball team and the Red Storm will be aggressive and bring extra hunger to this match-up as a result of B2B losses. Only one of Georgetown's defeats in the 9-game skid came by a margin of less than 7 points. Once again, look for the Hoyas to lose by 7 or more points as their losing streak reaches 10 games. 9* ST JOHN'S -4.5 |
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02-02-22 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 213 | Top | 106-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conf Total of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 213 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - This total has dropped from the 218 range to the 213 range and this is offering great line value on the over. I understand the Wizards will again be without Bradley Beal and he is a big-time scorer. However, the odds makers knew this when they posted the total. The line coming down is because Washington has scored so poorly recently but the odds makers knew that as well. The keys to this game are that Joel Embiid is back for this one after resting against Memphis and I look for he and the Sixers to have a huge game on the offensive end. Philly lost at Washington last month and will be out for revenge here. Though that game stayed under the total it did reach the 215 mark and note that the under ended a streak of 4 straight overs in match-ups between these teams. The 76ers will take advantage of a team allowing 114.5 points per game last 6 games. This line is right around a 10. If Philly gets at least 115 - and I feel strongly they will do even better than that - it puts this game in the 115-105 range which is 220 points. This game gets well into the 220s the way I see it and I am taking advantage of the drop on this total. 10* OVER 213 in Philadelphia |
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02-02-22 | Florida v. Missouri +6 | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
CBB SEC Game of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play Missouri Tigers +6 vs Florida Gators @ 3 ET - The Tigers have been struggling overall but this is a different team when on their home floor. Though Missouri is likely without Javon Pickett here lets not forget the Gators are still without leading scorer and leading rebounder Colin Castleton. That said, the value is with the home underdog here. Florida is off big win versus Oklahoma State but had lost 5 of 8 games heading into that one. Also, the Gators have lost 3 of last 4 road games. Missouri is just 2-2 SU last 4 home games but the two losses were each by 3 or less points! Now a line that opened at -5 is already up to a -6 and this is just two much for Florida to be laying on the road when you consider all of the above. Look at the defensive stats for these two teams in this spot too. Gators allow 69 points and 47% shooting on the road. Tigers allow 63 points and 39% shooting when at home. Grab the home dog! 10* MISSOURI +6 |
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02-01-22 | Warriors v. Spurs +3.5 | Top | 124-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Western Conf Game of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +3.5 vs Golden State Warriors @ 8:40 ET - The Warriors are off 5 straight wins but are in the 2nd game of a B2B and Klay Thompson will sit. Conversely, the news is much better on the Spurs front as they were able to rest up yesterday plus get Dejounte Murray back tonight for this one. Also listed as probable are Poeltl and White. San Antonio as a home dog is the play here as they are 4-1 SU the last 5 times off a loss. The Spurs did win at Golden State earlier this season and it was no fluke. San Antonio played a strong game in Oakland and they can do it again here with a refreshed Murray ready to go and he is having a great season. The Warriors barely covered at Houston against a bad Rockets team and, keep in mind, Golden State was on a 1-5 ATS run in road games heading into that one. I don't think we'll need the points here but I will grab them for added insurance. 10* SAN ANTONIO +3.5 |
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02-01-22 | Boston College +9.5 v. Virginia | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +9.5 @ Virginia Cavaliers @ 6 ET - The Cavs are a solid team known for stellar defense. However, their long-term struggle season after season tends to be with scoring and that is the situation now moreso than ever this season. That is a big part of the reason the Cavaliers are a rather mediocre 12-9 this season. Now, because they are at home and hosting an Eagles team that has had its share of struggles this season we are seeing this line way too high. Virginia has gone just 7-7 last 14 games and only 3 of the wins were by more than 5 points. You read that right...the Cavs have just 3 wins of more than 5 points in their last 14 games! That said, I love the Eagles plus the big points here and will challenge the Cavaliers to win this game by double digits. Boston College has some extra confidence heading into this win off a big win over Pittsburgh. Keep in mind, that is the same Panthers team that the Cavs beat by an average margin of only 3 points in their two meetings this season. The Eagles have played 20 games this season and only 5 of them resulted in a loss by a double digit margin. I see the Cavaliers winning this game but I look for it to be a tight low-scoring battle as the road team covers! 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +9.5 |
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01-31-22 | Grizzlies v. 76ers -2.5 | Top | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -2.5 vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 7:10 ET - The 76ers did not just lose at Memphis last month, they got embarrassed by 35 points. Philly played that at game without Embiid and Curry but both those guys will be playing in the rematch in Philadelphia. On that ugly night in Memphis last month, the undermanned Sixers simply shot very poorly while the Grizzlies were on fire. That will not be the case in the rematch. I like the fact that Philly is off an ATS loss versus Sacramento, we had the Kings as a big dog that night and was a solid winner. Note that the Sixers have not had back to back ATS losses since that tough mid-December stretch that included the ugly loss at Memphis. So it has been about 7 weeks since the Sixers have had B2B ATS losses. Coming off the non-covering win versus the Kings, look for Philly to not only win this game but also cover as it is a much shorter number to cover. Yes Memphis is a very strong team but Philly is tough at home and especially when they are motivated. The 76ers will be ready to go here and their 2-point win versus Sacramento ended a streak that saw each of the Sixers last 17 wins come by a margin of 3 or more points. Look for this win to get the job done and get the hosts right back into the ATS win column. Lay the short number! 10* PHILADELPHIA -2.5 |
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01-31-22 | Colgate -8.5 v. Lafayette | Top | 72-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
NCAAB Patriot League Game of the Year 10* Top Play Monday Colgate Raiders -8.5 @ Lafayette Leopards @ 6 ET - I know this is a bit of an off the radar match-up but it caught my attention for two reasons. Colgate, whom I lost with Friday, was a team I was looking to come back with in their next game. Lafayette is a team from Easton PA whom I am familiar with from my family roots in Rickenbach PA which is just north of Reading PA and not far from Easton. The Leopards had rare success in recent seasons but this season they are back to being the bad Lafayette team they usually are. Lafayette lost league scoring champion Justin Jaworski coming into this season and that has hurt this team a lot. They are 5-13 on the season and the Leopards have lost 5 of 7 games and just can not score at nearly the same level that the Raiders can. Colgate had won 4 straight before their tough loss at Boston University and they will bounce back here. The last time the Raiders faced the Leopards they dominated and won the game by 25 points. I know this is a big line on the road but it is fully justified in a game in which the majority of my models are projecting a double digit road win. Lafayette's last loss was by only 4 points but, prior to this, their last 3 losses all were by 14 or more points. Look for this one to be in that range as well. 10* COLGATE -8.5 |
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01-30-22 | Pittsburgh v. Boston College -3.5 | Top | 56-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles -3.5 vs Pittsburgh Panthers @ 4 ET - The Eagles off back to back ugly losses but both were on the road and they had their chances against the Tar Heels at North Carolina but shot extremely poor in that game. Boston College is now back home and I expect the shots to be falling for them here as they enjoy their return home. The Eagles are catching the Panthers at an ideal time for a big win. Pittsburgh is off a big win versus Syracuse and note that the Panthers have only managed B2B wins twice this season and each time the 2nd game was against a foe much weaker than this BC team. Look for the Eagles to come up with a blowout win here. 10* BOSTON COLLEGE -3.5 |
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01-30-22 | Blazers v. Bulls OVER 229.5 | Top | 116-130 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
NBA Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 229.5 in Chicago Bulls vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 3:30 ET - Yes the total looks big but don't let the number scare you. It is fully justified in this one as the Trail Blazers on a 6-2 run to the over in road games and the Bulls on a 5-1 run to the over in home games. Portland averaging 113.4 points last 5 games but allowing 117 points last 3 games. The Bulls have averaged 117.6 points in those 5 overs at home but also allowed 121 points per game last 4 home games. This is a non-conference battle that will feature a lack of defense and plenty of run and gun. The last time these teams met here the game totaled 245 points. More of the same here! 10* OVER 229.5 in Chicago |
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01-29-22 | Kings +10.5 v. 76ers | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month NBA 10* Top Play Sacramento Kings +10.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - The Kings are off B2B ugly losses but have been off for two days since that B2B situation. Also, there is a chance that BOTH Fox and Metu will be back for this game. Even if only one returns or neither returns, Sacramento has a great shot at a solid cover in this one in my opinion. Prior to the B2B ugly losses, the Kings last 7 losses featured only one by more than ten points! Here we are working with a line of 10.5 and a rested and angry Sacramento team is going to put up a helluva fight in this one. Philly is 4-2 SU last 6 games but only 2 of the wins by more than 10 points and the Sixers just beat a Lakers team without LeBron James. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Kings and 76ers. Philadelphia is 0-3 ATS the last 3 times they were at home and coming off an ATS cover in their prior game. That is the situation here and a hungry and motivated and rested Kings team that should be healthier here too is going to be a handful for Philly to deal with. This one decided by single digits. 10* SACRAMENTO +10.5 |
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01-29-22 | Rutgers v. Nebraska OVER 138 | Top | 63-61 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
NCAAB Total of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 138 in Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 6:30 ET - When these teams met at Rutgers, the Scarlet Knights scored 93 points and no the game did NOT go to overtime! Now the rematch is in Nebraska and the Cornhuskers like to play fast and they tend to score better at home. The Huskers even put up 65 in their loss to Wisconsin Thursday. The Badgers are known for solid defense. That said, I look for a breakout game offensively from Nebraska in this one but they again will struggle to stop Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights are off a low-scoring loss to Maryland at home but they did have over 60 field goal attempts in the game but simply struggled to hit shots. Once again, the Knights will not have trouble scoring on this rather lackluster Huskers defense. Nebraska has allowed nearly 80 points per game this season. The line on this game is nearly a pick'em. Even if each team only gets to the 70 mark rather than 80 in this one we still have a winner. I feel we have excellent line value here on the Cornhuskers total in a game that is "off the radar" of most bettors! 10* OVER 138 in Nebraska |
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01-29-22 | St. John's +13.5 v. Villanova | Top | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Saturday 9* Top Play St John's Red Storm +13.5 @ Villanova Wildcats @ 4:30 ET - The Red Storm can hang tough in this game. Looking at their road games this season, St John's did get blown out once but they also lost by 2 at Indiana, lost by 2 at Pittsburgh, lost by 10 at a ranked Providence team, lost in OT at UConn, and are off a big road win at Seton Hall. As you can see the Red Storm have been solid away from home and are coming off a confidence-boosting win over the Pirates. That said, I feel this is too many points for Villanova to be laying here. The Wildcats are a strong ranked team but off a dominating win over DePaul that is resulting in an inflated line here. Nova has big games against two ranked teams, Marquette and UConn, coming up and the Cats may not be fully prepared her for a scrappy Red Storm team that is absolutely going to give them all they can handle in this one. Look for this game to be decided by a single digit margin. 9* ST JOHN'S +13.5 |
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01-28-22 | Pistons v. Magic OVER 212.5 | Top | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Month Friday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - Quick...who are the two worst teams in the NBA and why are they are so bad? Here they are folks! The teams with the worst records in the NBA are the Magic and the Pistons and each allowing 110+ points per game on average. I just do not expect to see a whole lot of defense in this one. Detroit has allowed 118 points per game last 6 games! Orlando has allowed 108 points or more in 6 of last 8 games. In those 6 games the Magic allowed an average of 113 points per game. Orlando has gotten healthier and gotten most of their guys back now and this has helped lead the way to the Magic averaging 110.5 points per game their last 4 games. After struggling with the 3-ball against the Clippers in a loss Wednesday, look for things to open up much more on that end of the floor against Detroit and the open shots will be falling for the Magic at home but they also can not stop the Pistons here! The result? Plenty of points! 10* OVER 212.5 in Orlando |
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01-28-22 | Pennsylvania +4 v. Harvard | Top | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Ivy League Game of the Month Friday 10* Top Play Pennsylvania Quakers +4 @ Harvard Crimson @ 5 ET - Dingle is off a huge game for the Quakers even though he shot very poorly from 3-point land. Getting him rolling again - 31 points in that game - is a huge plus for Penn and watch him now knock down his threes at a much higher rate in this one. The Quakers are playing better currently than what their full-season record indicates and that is why they are such a small dog here even though Harvard has the much better full-season record. Note that the Crimson have been without forward Chris Ledlum - top rebounder and 2nd leading scorer - each of last 3 games. Also, Harvard has been without another key rotation player, guard Idan Tretout, each of the last 3 games. The Quakers get it done on the road here and we probably will not even need the points but I will grab them for added insurance in this one. 10* PENNSYLVANIA +4 |
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01-28-22 | Colgate -1 v. Boston University | Top | 72-76 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Friday 9* Top Play Colgate Raiders -1 @ Boston University Terriers @ 2 ET - Both teams entering this game on hot streaks but Boston University enters the game with the much better record on the season plus this game is on their home floor. Do not let the line fool you here. The game is priced this way for a reason and Colgate dominated the Terriers in their meetings last season plus enters this game on a 4-game winning streak with all 4 wins by MORE than a DOZEN points each! The Raiders get the best of this one even though the game is at Case Gym in Boston. 9* COLGATE -1 |
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01-27-22 | Lakers +2.5 v. 76ers | Top | 87-105 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Thursday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Lakers +3 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:30 ET - Right away this morning this line jumped out at me. This line opened nearly at a pick'em even though Philly is at home and has won 12 of 15 games and they are hosting a Lakers team that had lost 11 of last 18 games before the win at Brooklyn. Also, LA is only 9-12 in road games this season. Sure, Anthony Davis is back now for the Lakers but essentially a "pick" on the road against a 76ers team that has been hot and has the better record this season. Looks funny, right? Sure enough the betting masses have hammered the Sixers here and the line has gone as high as a +3. As long time followers know, I love being a contrarian and I am all over the small road dog here. This game was priced this way for a reason and I feel the Lakers have a chip on their shoulder and are out to prove some things now that they are getting healthy. Keep in mind, Sixers still dealing with some injury issues too. 10* LOS ANGELES LAKERS +3 |
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01-27-22 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +7.5 | Top | 73-65 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Nebraska Cornhuskers +7.5 vs Wisconsin Badgers @ 5 ET - Yes, the Badgers are off a loss here but the last time they were off a defeat they barely squeaked by Nicholls, a Southland Conference team! Also, Wisconsin has a big game on deck this weekend hosting rival Minnesota. Yes, the Badgers have a strong record this season but lets talk about what they have done since opening the season with a pair of blowout wins. Wisconsin has since gone 13-3 but the average margin of the 13 wins is only 6 points! Simply put, the Badgers are not known for blowing teams out. Only 2 of their last 12 victories have been by a double digit margin! The Cornhuskers have an ugly 6-13 SU record on the season but this is a scrappy underdog when on their home floor. Nebraska lost versus Ohio State in OT, was down by just 5 to Illinois with under 2 minutes to go in game, and lost by just 7 to Indiana. All those games were at home and all of those games so the Huskers fall just short. I would not be surprised, given the situation here, to see the Cornhuskers get the shocker upset but, at the very least, a home dog cover is likely here. 10* NEBRASKAÂ |
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01-26-22 | Nuggets v. Nets OVER 221.5 | Top | 124-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 221.5 in Brooklyn Nets vs Denver Nuggets @ 8:10 ET - If you had the under last night in the Nuggets game I want to express my sincerest condolences. Trust me, I have had plenty of bad beats like that throughout my two decades in the business. Denver's game was on pace for 243 points entering the 4th quarter. Then, in the 4th quarter, a ridiculous total of 35 points were scored and the game stayed under the total. This is helping to give us line value here. Ironically, Brooklyn had a similar result last night versus the Lakers. Entering 4th quarter the game was on pace for 227 points but then the teams combined for only a ridiculous 32 points in the 4th quarter. All of this is combining to give us great line value here. What is also helping in terms of value is this total has dropped from the upper 220s to down near 220 and I will not pass up on this phenomenal line value. I feel quite certain of the kinda style we will see in this non-conference battle tonight with some tired legs in a back to back deciding to skip out on playing much defense from time to time. The over is 2-0 in last 2 meetings and we see another one here. 10* OVER 221.5 in Brooklyn |
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01-26-22 | Clippers v. Magic | Top | 111-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Wednesday 9* Top Play Orlando Magic Pick vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - The Clippers are off a hard-fought win last night at Washington where they rallied for the win after being down by 30 points at the half! Look for this to have taken a lot out of LA and now they face a rested Orlando team. While the Clips are 2nd night of a back to back and playing 5th road game in 8 days, the Magic playing just 2nd game in 5 days and have been off the past two days. Also, Mo Bamba has been back in starting lineup and is expected to be there again for Orlando tonight. The Magic going to be too much for a tired Los Angeles team in this one. 9* ORLANDO Pick |
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01-26-22 | Massachusetts v. La Salle OVER 147 | Top | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
CBB PA Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 147 in LaSalle Explorers vs Massachusetts Minutemen @ 7 ET - This total opened up around 151 and already has dropped to as low as 147. Yes, LaSalle is off back to back low-scoring losses but that had to do with the match-ups they faced. Now the Explorers face a UMass team that is one of the worst teams around when it comes to defense. The one thing the Minutemen can do is shoot the ball well including from beyond the arc. They love to get quick threes off and have no hesitation in being willing to play a fast-paced game. Massachusetts has allowed 82 points per game last 6 games! The Explorers need a strong performance at home after being bottled up by Richmond and Rhode Island. UMass will provide the perfect opportunity for the hosts to get going again. The over is 4-0 in the meetings between these teams the past two seasons. More of the same here! 10* OVER 147 in LaSalle |
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01-26-22 | Florida v. Tennessee OVER 133.5 | Top | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 9* Top Play OVER 133.5 in Tennessee Volunteers vs Florida Gators @ 6 ET - I am aware that Colin Castleton is still out for the Gators and he is Florida's leading scorer. However, he also led the team in rebounds and blocked shots. Guess what happens on the defensive end when you are without a guy like that? It is trouble for sure and now the Gators take on a ranked Tennessee team that will look to run them right out of the arena. However, Florida is still going to put up a fight here. Don't be surprised if they hang around in this game after getting knocked out of the SEC tourney by the Volunteers last March. This is their first meeting since and the guard-heavy Gators will do their best to hang around in this game in what will turn into a higher-scoring game than most expect. Florida does not have the interior defense to stop the Vols but, at the other end, the Gators will try to use quick guard play to keep the Tennessee defense on its heels. The result is a high-scoring game. 9* OVER 133.5 in Tennessee |
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01-25-22 | Pelicans v. 76ers -8 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Philly Special Tuesday 9* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -8 vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 7:05 ET - The Sixers are off a 6-point win at San Antonio but each of their last 7 wins heading into that game had been by a double digit margin. In fact, those 7 Philly wins came by an average margin of 15 ppg. Now catching New Orleans off a hard-fought win last night and in the 2nd night of a back to back and with Brandon Ingram hurting (if he even does play) this looks like another rout. 9* PHILADELPHIA -8 |
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01-25-22 | Clippers v. Wizards UNDER 220 | Top | 116-115 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Total Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play UNDER 220 in Washington Wizards vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - We should see some good defensive intensity here. Both teams are off a loss and the Wizards loss was one in which they got blasted by 29 points. That is the type of defeat off a which a team usually responds with a much better effort. Washington had allowed an average of only 109 point last 7 games before that. The Wizards have scored an average of only 96 points last two games. The Clippers have scored only 102 points in each of their last two games. Los Angeles did have a high-scoring OT loss at Denver in the game that preceded those two but note that their 3 preceding road games before the Nuggets loss saw the Clippers average only 92 points per game! Considering the above as well as the line move from 215 to 220 we have excellent line value with the under in this one in my opinion. 10* UNDER 220 in Washington |
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01-25-22 | Cincinnati v. Temple +4.5 | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
CBB PA Dominator Tuesday 9* Top Play Temple Owls +4.5 vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 7 ET - I know the Owls have been off for nearly two weeks and they may be a bit sluggish/off in the first half of this game. But eventually Temple will put it together in this match-up and I love the Owls now getting 4.5 points after this line opened up closer to just a bucket on this one. The last 3 meetings between these teams have all been decided by 3 or less points. Temple is a tough team at home and Cincinnati has been a mediocre team on the road this season. Also, the Bearcats have some injury issues at forward with Newman and Lahkin. Even if those two guys play they are unlikely to be 100% and I look for the Owls to take advantage. Two of last three Cats road games were losses and the only win was by just 4 points. Temple is 4-1 SU and ATS last 5 games and I look for the Owls to get the home dog cover in this one. 9* TEMPLE +4.5Â |
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01-25-22 | DePaul v. Villanova OVER 133 | Top | 43-67 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Big East Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 133 in Villanova Wildcats vs DePaul Blue Demons @ 7 ET - The total has been dropping on this one. I like the over as the Wildcats so strong at home and we are getting value here because the Blue Demons are off a low-scoring loss but this is a DePaul team that does get involved in high-scoring games quite often. The Blue Demons were on a 5-0 run to the over before back to back unders so now we get line value in this spot. Villanova averaging 79 points at home this season. DePaul is averaging 76 points this season. The Wildcats do play solid defense when needed but look for this to be a blowout win, as you can tell by the pointspread, and there will be less attention on the defensive end as a result. Each of the last 3 meetings between the teams, including one earlier this season, went over the total. Going further back, it is an incredible 17-6 run to the over in games involving these foes. 10* OVER 133 in Villanova |
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01-24-22 | Bulls v. Thunder OVER 215.5 | Top | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play OVER 215.5 in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls @ 8:10 ET - The Thunder have scored 94 ppg L3 games and the Bulls have scored 92.5 ppg L2 games. This total is a 215.5 and you would think the odds makers do not know what they are doing? Trust me...they do! In typical contrarian fashion what looks like a dead under has me going STRONG on the over in this one! This non-conference match-up will feature a lack of defense and a good pace and plenty of scoring. 10* OVER 215.5 in Oklahoma City |
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01-24-22 | Knicks v. Cavs OVER 202 | Top | 93-95 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 9* Top Play OVER 202 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks @ 7:10 ET - This total has plummeted from 207.5 to a 202 and this has gone too far in my opinion. Cavs off low-scoring win versus OKC but have gone 3-1 to the over before that with those 4 games averaging 218.5 ppg. NY has scored 108 points or more in 5 of 7 games. The Knicks have allowed 102 points or more in 4 of last 5 games. 9* OVER 202 in Cleveland |
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01-24-22 | Boston College +11 v. Wake Forest | Top | 57-87 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
CBB Early Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +11 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ 6 ET - Wake Forest just demolished North Carolina 98-76 Saturday. Must of been pure and complete dominance, right? Hardly, you would be hard pressed to find another box score like this one! The Tar Heels had 81 shots from the field and the Demon Deacons had just 59 field goal attempts yet won by 20+ points! Highly unlikely and it was just one of those nights where UNC "couldn't throw it in the ocean" as they were just off with their shooting all night! Though WF has been hot this is the perfect letdown spot. I am not saying Boston College will get the upset but I am saying they should stay within single digits for sure and we are getting extra line value here after the Wake Forest result on Saturday. Note that the Eagles have won 2 of last 3 games and though this was preceded by a stretch of losses, note that Boston College has had only 2 losses by more than 11 points this entire season. Very comfortable with the big points here given the situation and the Eagles playing with a little more confidence after winning 2 of 3 games. 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +11 |
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01-24-22 | Jacksonville v. Kennesaw State OVER 128.5 | Top | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Annihilation Monday 9* Top Play OVER 128.5 in Kennesaw State Owls vs Jacksonville Dolphins @ 5 ET - The Owls are off a loss and this season they have gone 4-0 and averaged 89.5 points per game! Yes some of those games were against weak competition but you can still see that Kennesaw has shown the way they respond to a loss is to push hard on the offensive end. I know Jacksonville, on the other hand, has a tendency to get involved in "grinders" as their games trend toward lower-scoring. However, the Owls are going to dictate the pace of this game on their home floor and the Dolphins will simply be forced to play up to that tempo. Both teams have high shooting percentages this season and couple that with a good pace this game should easily get into the 130s in my opinion. 9* OVER 128.5 in Kennesaw State |
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01-23-22 | Clippers v. Knicks OVER 205 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 205 in New York Knicks vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 1:10 ET - I know this is a contrarian play because these are two of the lower scoring teams in the league. However, just look at how low this total has gotten. It is in the 205 range as of about 3 hours before tip-off and I feel that will prove to be too low. The Clippers are off a tight 102-101 win over the Sixers in Philly Friday. That was the 5th straight time that Los Angeles has allowed more than 100 points and they have allowed, not including OT, an average of 113 during this stretch. The Clippers, not including OT, have scored an average of 118 points last 3 games. So the point is that they can, and have been recently, putting up some bigger points. As for the Knicks, they have scored better in a number of recent games as New York had scored 108 or more points in 4 of last 5 games before poor effort in loss to New Orleans Thursday. With extra rest too, and off an ugly loss, I expect the Knicks to bounce back big here on their home floor. New York has allowed 105 points per game in their last 4 games. That is their season average for points allowed too and they are a 4 point favorite here so that would make the final 109-105 if odds makers are correct on the spread and that puts this total in the 214 range. You can see why I feel we have some value here. 10* OVER 205 in New York |
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01-23-22 | Butler v. Providence OVER 126.5 | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 126.5 in Providence vs Butler @ NOON ET - There is an old saying that if something is not broken do not try to fix it. Of course that makes a lot of sense and the point is that Providence has exploded for 83 points in each of their last two games. Both of those contests were at home just like this one is and the Friars are proving they can win faster-paced games too. I am well aware that in terms of pacing, both Providence and the Bulldogs are known for playing slower. However, even with that, Providence has scored at least 70 in each of their last 4 wins and those games saw the Friars average 76.5 points per game. The Bulldogs, though known for playing slower, have lost 3 straight games and allowed at least 75 points in each loss. In fact, the Bulldogs are 6-6 last dozen games and allowed more than 70 points in all 6 losses. Providence is about a 9 point favorite here. If they score at least 71 and the line is about right that puts this at 71-62 which is 133 points and we have a total in the 127 range. Good value here as the way the Friars have been going I expect this game to close to the 140 mark. Look for a 75-65 type game. 10* OVER 126.5 in Providence |
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01-22-22 | Kings v. Bucks OVER 230.5 | Top | 127-133 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 230.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings @ 7:10 ET - Love grabbing the over on a huge number like this in Milwaukee after last night's Bucks game with the Bulls totaled just 184 points! Milwaukee AND Chicago each had their worst 3-point shooting performances of the SEASON in last night's game. Now, after that hard-fought defensive battle in a divisional battle between two of the top teams, the Bucks are hosting a non-conference foe tonight. I like to look at overs in non-conference games when the situation is right and that is certainly the case here. Milwaukee has beaten Sacramento 10 straight times but you know the Kings are going to push the tempo here and try to catch the Bucks a little tired in the 2nd game of a B2B. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams! Sacramento on a 3-1 run to the over and these 4 games have seen the Kings average 123.5 ppg but allow 120.3 ppg. The Bucks last two games, before the grinder versus the Bulls, averaged 237.5 total points. Look for this one to get into that range as well. 10* OVER 230.5 in Milwaukee |
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01-22-22 | St. Joe's v. VCU OVER 134 | Top | 54-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 134 in Virginia Commonwealth Rams vs St Joseph's Hawks @ 2:30 ET - VCU is off B2B losses but now face a team they can dominate. The last two times they faced teams as a favorite in this price range was in their two games prior to the two game losing streak. The Rams averaged 84.5 ppg in two blowout victories. As for St Joseph's, yes they could get blown out here and they are a double digit dog for a reason. But the Hawks are off a 9 point win over George Washington and a win like that can go a long way toward building up some confidence again. Each of the Hawks last 3 road games have totaled at least 139 points. St Joseph's has allowed 75 points or more in 3 of last 4 road games. They have given up an average of 76.5 in last two games versus Rams. With VCU off B2B losses I just seem them completely taking advantage of a game they can run away with here and I expect a good pace and a ton of points as a result. 10* OVER 134 in Virginia Commonwealth |
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01-21-22 | Clippers v. 76ers OVER 212.5 | Top | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Philly Special Friday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - The Clippers have had back to back high-scoring games and even though the last one went into OT, the teams did combine for 228 in regulation. Prior to that game, Los Angeles had a game versus Indiana total 272 points. I like overs in non-conference match-ups when the situation is right and the 76ers have been scoring well too as they have scored 109 points or more in 10 of last 12 games. In fact, in those 10 games, Philly has averaged 116.3 points per game. Those were all wins and they are supposed to win this game too as you can tell by the line sitting in the -8.5 range. So if we estimate an "average" win for the Sixers and this game landing close to the number you are talking about a 116 to 108 type game which is double digits above the posted number on this total! I'll take it as I do not expect a lot of defensive intensity in a non-conference match-up like this. 10* OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia |
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01-21-22 | Toledo +4.5 v. Ohio | Top | 87-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Toledo Rockets +4.5 @ Ohio University Bobcats @ 6 ET - This is a great match-up featuring two teams off to great starts this season. I feel the value lies with the revenge-seeking underdog on the road. Though Toledo had won the past two regular season meetings, they fell short in March in the MAC Tourney Semi-Finals. As a result, the Rockets ended up going to the NIT while the Bobcats got the one more win they needed in the MAC Championship and ended up going to the Big Dance. Ohio University certainly still has a fantastic program as evidenced by their strong start this season but Toledo is highly motivated here and has a fantastic team. The Rockets have only 4 losses this season and the two most recent ones were by a margin of only 3 points. Toledo is on a 5-game winning streak and keeps it going here! If you look at the stats so far this season, the Rockets are the better shooting team and also have the better statistics on the defensive side of the ball too. I am grabbing the points here in a game where an upset would certainly not be a surprise! Take the points for added insurance. 10* TOLEDO +4.5 |
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01-20-22 | Suns -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -2.5 @ Dallas Mavericks @ 7:30 ET - Huge scheduling edge for the Suns here. The Mavericks are in the 2nd game of a back to back while Phoenix has been off since Monday. Phoenix has beaten Dallas in 8 of last 9 meetings SU and we have a small number to cover here with this one in the -2.5 range. I know the Mavericks are hot but so too are the Suns and they are the better overall team. Phoenix has the better shooting stats on offense and defense and given the scheduling edge and match-up edges here, look for the Suns to continue their series dominance in meetings between these teams. By the way, Phoenix is also 8-1 last 9 road games and the Suns have won 6 straight away from home! 10* PHOENIX -2.5 |
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01-20-22 | Georgetown v. Providence OVER 143 | Top | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 143 in Providence Friars vs Georgetown Hoyas @ 5 ET - The Friars have not played in almost two weeks. The Hoyas know their best chance to win this game is to come into Providence and try to run the Friars right out of the Dunkin' Donuts Center. Indeed, Georgetown likes to play at a fast pace and they could try to utilize that here to catch Providence a little flat-footed after the layoff. The problem for the Hoyas is they have a tendency to ignore defense. This is particularly true on the road where they are allowing 80 points per game. Georgetown is off rare B2B unders but this was preceded by a 5-0 run to the over and the Hoyas consistently allow big point totals. Providence is not known as a particularly high-scoring team but they have averaged 75 points as a host this season. The Friars scored 83 in most recent game and should get at least that here and they are a 10 point favorite here an 83-73 game puts this well over the posted total. I like our chances for solid winner here! 10* OVER 143 in Providence |
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01-19-22 | Nets +1.5 v. Wizards | Top | 119-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets +1.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Teams tend to step up big in the first game after a superstar goes down. With Durant getting hurt in Brooklyn's last game, the Nets will have guys upping their game for this one and lets not forget they have two guys on the floor (Harden and Irving) that are superstars that can carry this team too. I like the fact that Brooklyn is 4-0 SU last 4 times when off a loss. I like the fact that Wizards are off a big win over Philly and could be flat here. Yes, Washington has been stacking some wins recently but these were against a lot of weaker competition - until the upset of the Sixers. The upset of Philly had a lot do with the 76ers being in a bad situation and we actually used Washington right here in that game and got the win. Now we come right back and fade a Wizards team that was on an 0-6 ATS run before that win and cover versus Philadelphia. The Nets are hungry and they get the win here! 10* BROOKLYN +1.5 |
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01-19-22 | Mississippi State v. Florida OVER 137.5 | Top | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 137.5 in Florida Gators vs Mississippi State Bulldogs @ 6:30 ET - Both teams off wins. The Gators have scored 70 points or more in 4 of last 5 games and averaged 75 points in those 4 games. The Bulldogs off B2B wins and have won 6 of 7 games and scored at least 69 points in all 6 games. Mississippi State averaged 78.4 ppg in these 7 games. The posted total on this one is a little low in my opinion given the above. This is particularly true in a game which should be close enough late that we'll see some late fouling and late-game scramble points as a result. Gators averaging 74 points in home games this season and the Bulldogs have been hot and scoring well as you can see. Each of last two meetings between these teams has gone over the total and Mississippi State enters this game on a 5-0 run to the over! 10* OVER 137.5 in Florida |
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01-18-22 | Wolves v. Knicks +3.5 | Top | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Early Contrarian Tuesday 10* Top Play New York Knicks +3.5 vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:40 ET - The Wolves are attracting attention here as a small road favorite but, in typical contrarian fashion, I am on the other side. I like the Knicks as a home dog off an embarrassingly low-scoring home loss to Charlotte. Keep in mind, New York had won 5 of 6 (both SU and ATS) before that loss. Also, the Knicks now catch the Timberwolves off a huge win over Golden State. Could Minnesota be a little flat after the Warriors? I absolutely believe so. Also, the Knicks have won 2 of the last 3 meetings and the only loss was by a single point! Value with the home dog getting solid points here! 10* NEW YORK KNICKS +3.5 |
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01-18-22 | Maryland v. Michigan OVER 136 | Top | 64-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 136 in Michigan Wolverines vs Maryland Terrapins @ 7 ET - The Wolverines off ugly low-scoring loss but to a tough Illinois team and the over was on a 5-1 run in Michigan games heading into that one. Maryland is off an ugly low-scoring loss to Rutgers but the Terrapins entered that game having had only 1 under last 7 games. Both teams off games where they were held under 60 points. Both teams had been trending over prior to those disappointing losses. Also note that the last 4 meetings between these teams all were overs. It all adds up to a solid opportunity for an over based on situational factors. 10* OVER 136 in Michigan |
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01-18-22 | Baylor -6 v. West Virginia | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
CBB ESPN2 Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Baylor Bears -5.5 @ West Virginia Mountaineers @ 5 ET - Buy low, sell high. It works in the stock market and it works long-term in the sports betting market as well. Does not mean you win every single time but when opportunities like this come around I don't hesitate to get involved. The Bears have lost back to back games so there is an anti-Baylor sentiment right now. This line has dropped already from 6.5 to 5.5 but I look at this situation differently than the markets and hence the value here. The Bears are a very good basketball team off back to back losses and now they are on the road so we get some line value with a manageable spread since they are travelers for this one! Keep in mind, the host Mountaineers are on a 1-3 ATS run which included 2 SU losses. Those 2 SU losses for West Virginia were each by 15 or more points! Look for another double digit margin here as the Bears pull away as this one goes one. 10* BAYLOR -5.5 |
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01-17-22 | Drake v. Southern Illinois OVER 130 | Top | 60-59 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Blowout Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 130 in Southern Illinois Salukis vs Drake Bulldogs @ 8 ET - Double revenge spot for the Salukis as they lost both match-ups with the Bulldogs last season. Hard to trust Southern Illinois though here against a Drake team playing well this season. What I can trust is that we have good value with the low total posted on this one. 6 of last 8 Salukis games have totaled at least 130 points. Drake has won 6 of last 7 games and have scored 80 or more points in 4 of last 5 wins. 14 of the 17 Bulldogs games, not including OT points, have totaled more than the posted total on this game. Great value here in my opinion. 10* OVER 130 in Southern Illinois |
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01-17-22 | Bucks v. Hawks OVER 231.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Dominator Monday 10* Top Play OVER 231.5 in Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 6 ET - The Bucks have been trending under but this total is moving upward. What does that tell you? Exactly! Some sharp money on the over in this one and that includes ours! The Hawks on a 7-3 run to the over and the Bucks had averaged 128 ppg last 3 road games before their last two were duds at Charlotte. Look for Milwaukee to get back on track on the road offensively as they take on an Atlanta team that is happy to push the tempo as well. 10* OVER 231.5 in Atlanta |
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01-17-22 | 76ers v. Wizards +3.5 | 98-117 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
NBA PA Dominator Monday 8* Washington Wizards +3.5 or +4 vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 2:10 ET - This is a tricky spot for a hot Sixers team. Philly just got a big win over a Miami team they do not like. They could be a little flat here and I do not expect the Wizards to be flat all. Washington has revenge for a 21 point beating they suffered, also at home, versus the Sixers a few weeks back. The Wizards Kuzma shot poorly, as did the team, in that game. Kuzma is now hot! Plus Bradley Beal did not play in that game and though there is a chance he could miss this one too, the Wizards star performer might be back as he was upgraded to questionable for this game. He has been in covid protocols and the fact he was upgraded to questionable here I have a strong feeling he will play. Either way I like the revenge-minded home dog here as they catch Philadelphia off back to back big wins over the long-time rival Celtics and a more recent rival, Jimmy Butler and the Heat. Wizards hungry for a home win and get the job done here. 8* WASHINGTON +3.5 or +4 |
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01-17-22 | Purdue v. Illinois OVER 147.5 | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Monday 8* OVER 147.5 in Illinois vs Purdue @ Noon ET - This total keeps dropping and, keep in mind, Illinois has been a different team since Cockburn returned to the lineup. The Illini have been winning a ton of games and have a very efficient offense. However, the Boilermakers also have been incredibly efficient on the offensive end and have averaged 85.6 points per game this season. Illinois is averaging 83.8 points per game at home this season. 8* OVER 147.5 in Illinois |
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01-16-22 | Loyola Maryland v. Lehigh OVER 133 | Top | 69-57 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
CBB In the Zone Sunday Top Play 10* OVER 133 in Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds @ 6 ET - This total has moved lower than it should be in my opinion and we have excellent line value here as a result. The Greyhounds have won 4 straight and 9 of last 11 so they are playing with a lot of confidence. Loyola Maryland, and not including OT points, has had only 3 games out of last 10 that have totaled less than the posted total on this game. The odds are in our favor to top this total because Lehigh also playing with added confidence from winning 5 of last 6 games. No the Mountain Hawks are not a great team by any stretch of the imagination but winning games and now playing again at home here, it all adds up to confidence and a good pace of play. Lehigh has averaged 78.4 points scored per game in those 5 wins. 10* OVER 133 in Lehigh |
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01-15-22 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 220 | Top | 103-96 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 221 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors @ 6:35 ET - I lost with the over in Milwaukee Thursday. The Bucks had 77 points at the half but then proceeded to score only 41 more the rest of the way after nearly reaching the 41 point mark in each of the first two quarters. The problem in that game was the Warriors could not get anything going and the game had a massive margin and so Milwaukee was able to empty the bench and slow the game down and cruise to the victory. That scenario is not being repeated here! That said, look for Toronto to be ultra competitive here off B2B losses. The Raptors have had 3 straight unders but this was preceded by 10 straight overs. The Bucks have averaged 119 points per game last 6 home games and they are about a 7 point favorite here. 119 to 112 sounds about right in this one and that is 10 points clear of the posted total on this game. I'll take it! 10* OVER 221 in Milwaukee |
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01-15-22 | Texas v. Iowa State OVER 121 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 121 in Iowa State Cyclones vs Texas Longhorns @ 2 ET - This total just too low and putting too much emphasis on the solid defensive numbers these teams have and not enough on their respectable production on offense. Both teams average 70 to 71 points per game and shoot 45 to 47 percent from the field. Also the history of this series shows 24-9 run to the over including 13-2 run to the over in games played at Iowa State. Yes some of that history is older history but the numbers impress nonetheless and looking at shorter term the over is 4-0 in last 4 meetings! I look for the Cyclones, off B2B losses following their grinder win over Texas Tech, to absolutely push a little harder here in this one and that means a better pace. They can't afford to just sit back in this one as they need a win. As for the Longhorns, they have scored 66 or more points in 5 of last 6 games. Texas helps push this game into the 130s the way my numbers see this playing out. 10* OVER 121 in Texas |
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01-15-22 | Northwestern +8 v. Michigan State | 64-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Dominator Saturday 8* Northwestern Wildcats +8 @ Michigan State Spartans @ Noon ET - The Wildcats biggest loss this season has been by a margin of only 8 points and that was at Ohio State and then followed by a loss by 7 points in the double-OT game they just played on Saturday. Northwestern is now only 8-6 on the season but their 6 losses all by single digit margins and the average margin of defeat only 5.7 points per loss. The point is that we have excellent line value with the points here in my opinion. As strong as Michigan State has been this season they barely snuck by the Wildcats in their meeting 2 weeks ago and this is a tough scheduling spot for them here. They are off a last second home win over Minnesota and have big road games at deck at Wisconsin and Illinois. The big points offering big value here in my opinion. 8* NORTHWESTERN |
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01-14-22 | Celtics v. 76ers -3 | Top | 99-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -3 vs Boston Celtics @ 7 ET - Yes the Sixers off a loss but they clearly got caught looking ahead to this showdown with the rival Celtics. Philadelphia had won 7 straight games before that loss. Also, the 76ers have won 4 of last 5 versus Boston. The Celtics are off a win and cover but this was preceded by ATS losses in 6 of last 8 games. The better team at home and laying a manageable price and they had been the hotter team. I'll take it as the Sixers bounce back off a loss. 10* PHILADELPHIA -3 |
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01-14-22 | Buffalo v. Ball State OVER 161 | Top | 74-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER 161 in Ball State Cardinals vs Buffalo Bulls @ 6 ET - I know this is a big total but it is fully justified because both teams very comfortable playing at a high pace and the home team is a big dog for a reason here. The point is that the Cards can run and gun all they want because they think they have a shot on their home floor but the reality is this Buffalo team is just too much. So I look for the Bulls to win by the spread posted on this game - right around it so no play - but I expect the result to be a ton of points. Ball State has allowed 80 or more points in 5 of last 9 games. Buffalo is off a win in which they held their opponent to 64 points but this was preceded by the Bulls allowing 88 points or more in 3 straight games! Buffalo has scored at least 76 points in 6 of last 7 games. So they consistently score well but consistently allow a lot of points too. Ball State has scored an average of 84 points in their last 6 wins but allowed 83 points in their last 8 losses. Per the above you can see that no matter which way this game goes as to the side, we should see a ton of points and I look for a frenetic pace in this one. 10* OVER 161 in Ball State |
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01-13-22 | Warriors v. Bucks OVER 223.5 | Top | 99-118 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conf Total of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 223.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:35 ET - The last two meetings between these teams each totaled 237 points and averaged 240 points. I know there are some injury issues at play here but I like the fact the Bucks are off a game in which they did not reach the century mark in points. Prior to back to back low-scoring losses at Charlotte, Milwaukee had won 7 of 10 games and scored an average of 118.8 points per game. The Warriors have been involved with some surprisingly low-scoring results of late but this is still a team averaging 110 points per game on the season. Golden State's loss at Memphis totaled 224 Tuesday and is a sign that the point totals in Warriors games are going to start going back up and I look for this one to soar into the 230s just like the last two meetings between these non-conference foes. 10* OVER 223.5 in Milwaukee |
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01-13-22 | Stanford +7.5 v. Washington State | Top | 62-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Thursday 10* Top Play Stanford Cardinal +7.5 @ Washington State Cougars @ 5 ET - There has been a line move toward the Cougars here and it is likely due to the fact that the Cardinal are in a perceived flat spot coming off their big upset win versus USC Tuesday. So I get it. I understand it. But I feel we have value here as the line is just too much. Stanford is 9-4 SU this season and their last two losses were by 7 or less points. They won't be too tired from Tuesday's game because it was their first game since prior to Christmas. Keep in mind too that Washington State is off a bit of a big win too as Saturday they got their first win at Utah in 75 years. The Cougars have not won back to back games since November. Also, the Cardinal had won 3 straight in this series before a loss in the most recent meeting between these teams so some payback is on order here. Even if they fall short SU look for the points to be enough for the ATS cover for the road dog in this one. 10* STANFORD +7.5 |
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01-12-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. 76ers | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Charlotte Hornets +5.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - Not only does Charlotte have revenge here from the Sixers having dominated recent meetings in this series, the Hornets also catch Philly with a big game against rival Boston on deck. I love this game for the situational aspects and Charlotte comes into this one hot with wins in 6 of last 8 games and 1 of those 2 losses was by just 3 points. The Hornets are on a 7-2 ATS run last 9 games and I am fully expecting at least another cover here and an outright win would truly not be a shock by any stretch of the imagination! There is a reason the 76ers, even though at home and on a 7-game winning streak, are priced so low here. In other words, don't let the line fool you! Grab the points with the underdog. 10* CHARLOTTE +5.5Â |
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01-12-22 | Villanova v. Xavier UNDER 139.5 | Top | 64-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play UNDER 139.5 in Xavier Musketeers vs Villanova Wildcats @ 6:30 ET - Look for Xavier to be very focused on the defensive end here. Revenge game from a 71-58 loss at Villanova just two games back. Also, the only other time the Musketeers were off a loss this season they won their next 59-58 in a grinder. Now I know Xavier has played one game since the loss to the Wildcats but you get the point - the Musketeers know how to turn the heat up on defense when necessary. Speaking of turning up heat when on D, the Wildcats have allowed just 57.3 points per game last ten games. Look for a grinder in Cincinnati tonight. 10* UNDER 139.5 in Xavier |
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01-11-22 | Thunder v. Wizards OVER 214.5 | Top | 118-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 214.5 in Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:10 ET - This is another one where waiting has paid off as this total has ticked downward a little bit this morning. I know that Oklahoma City has been trending under and that has resulted in some movement here with this total. However, Washington is at home for this one and will dictate the flow of this game and the over is 4-1 the last 5 times Wizards were off a win. The only under in those 5 games was a game that totaled 225 points! Also, Washington is off an under and they have not had back to back unders since November! Lot of things pointing to an over here. I'll take it! 10* OVER 214.5 in Washington |
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01-11-22 | Hofstra v. Towson OVER 144.5 | Top | 66-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
CBB CBS Sports Network Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 144.5 in Towson Tigers vs Hofstra Pride @ 5 ET - Similarity to yesterday's play in CBB here I am fading a line move as this one went from upper 140s to mid 140s and I love the value here. Towson struggled on the defensive end last season and it has continued this season but the Tigers at least are shooting a little better this season. As for Hofstra, their head coach has been out on medical leave so they have a co-head coach now in Speedy Claxton. If you recognize the name he was a star for Hofstra back in the day plus he played in the NBA including winning a title with the Spurs in 2003. The key here is hat Hofstra has played like his name "Speedy" for the most part this season! That said, and even moreso after the line move in this one, we should have another solid totals winner here! The Pride are averaging 79.3 ppg this season! The Tigers are averaging 71.8 ppg this season and, other than an "outlier" result versus Navy, have allowed 71 ppg last 5 games and you know Hofstra will push the pace in this one. Towson has big game at Elon, knocked them out of CAA tourney by 20+ point margin last season, on deck. The Tigers could get caught looking ahead here and the Pride will be trying to run them right of their own arena in this one. The result is a ton of points. 10* OVER 144.5 in Towson |
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01-10-22 | Spurs +6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 96-111 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +6.5 @ New York Knicks @ 7:40 ET - Yes the Knicks might get Kemba Walker back tonight but that is a question mark and he has played only 6 games since around Thanksgiving. He has quite a ways to get in getting back in to top form if he even plays tonight. I love the Spurs in this revenge spot. They lost at home to New York earlier this season by a double digit margin. They are hungry from a win after coming up just short in overtime at Brooklyn yesterday. Even though this is a back to back spot the game yesterday was an ultra early one and San Antonio is actually in pretty good shape for this one. New York has only 3 wins by more than a 3 point margin in their last 9 home games! The Spurs last two road trips ended with tough match-ups at Phoenix and at LA (versus Lakers) but they got the job done ATS in both games and actually blew out the Lakers in a SU win there. Another upset here would not surprise me in the least but we should get a least the ATS cover at a minimum. 10* SAN ANTONIO +6.5 |
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01-10-22 | Campbell v. Winthrop OVER 135 | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play OVER 135 in Winthrop Eagles vs Campbell Fighting Camels @ 5 ET - I am aware that Campbell likes to play at a slower and more deliberate pace and they are highly functional based on strong offensive efficiency. However, the Fighting Camels are not going to march into Winthrop and dictate the game pace here. That said, the Eagles have scored well in all their games as a host this season expect for when they faced an SEC team. Winthrop was outclassed in that game but they are certainly not outclassed here against a Big South rival. That said, note that the Eagles have scored 78 points or more in all of their games as a host this season except the loss to an SEC foe. Also, last season Winthrop faced Campbell three times and went a perfect 3-0 and scored an average of 86 points per game! Considering the Fighting Camels returned the majority of their key scoring from last season and the Eagles, even with Prosser now as head coach, have been scoring well and will not allow this to turn into a grinder; I love the over in this match-up. The total dropped from upper 130s to mid 130s and that means even more value here. 10* OVER 135 in Winthrop |
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01-09-22 | Spurs +11 v. Nets | Top | 119-121 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +11 @ Brooklyn Nets @ 12:10 ET - Home game for Brooklyn means no Kyrie Irving. Nets struggling too as they are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS last 5 games. I know San Antonio also struggling but they are not the ones laying double digits here! The point is that Brooklyn has been struggling to win games let alone cover big double digit spreads like this. I know the Spurs are down some guys but they hung around against the 76ers for much of that game Thursday until Philadelphia pulled away late. The way the Nets are going, I just don't see them as being capable of pulling away like that in this game. 10* SAN ANTONIO |
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01-09-22 | Minnesota +12 v. Indiana | Top | 60-73 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Golden Gophers +12 @ Indiana Hoosiers @ Noon ET - Indiana is off a big win over Ohio State. Keep in mind though, that 16-point victory was a 4-point game with about 6 minutes left in the game. The Hoosiers, coming off a big win over ranked Big Ten foe, could absolutely be a little flat here. At the very least, their a little over-valued in this spot as a result in my opinion. Note that Indiana was only 4-3 SU last 7 games heading into that win over the Buckeyes. Minnesota just got blasted by Illinois by 23 points so the set up here in terms of line value is perfect. The Golden Gophers had entered that game against the Illini with an overall 10-1 record this season and the lone loss was by 8 points to a ranked Michigan State team. I feel the Gophers better than they are being given credit for here and we have big value with the big line. 10* MINNNESOTA +12 |
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01-08-22 | St. Mary's +3.5 v. BYU | Top | 43-52 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
CBB ESPN Smash Pass Saturday 10* Top Play St Mary's Gaels +3.5 @ Brigham Young Cougars @ 10 PM ET - In a game projected to be a tight low-scoring game there is extra value with having the points on your side. Both teams are strong defensively but what I like about St Mary's is their big trouble last season was poor shooting but they have better in that regard so far this season. The Gaels getting 3.5 points here because they are on the road but also I like the double revenge angle here as St Mary's returned most everybody from last season's team and they lost both games to BYU last season. Look for the Gaels to get some measure of revenge here against the Cougars and the best kind of revenge is payback for a home loss by handing that team a home loss. I expect an outright road win for the revenge-minded Gaels here at Brigham Young but will grab the point in case they fall just short. 10* ST MARY'S +3.5 |
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01-08-22 | Jazz -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Hoops Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play Utah Jazz -3.5 @ Indiana Pacers @ 7:10 ET - I am aware of the injury issues / covid issues (at least as of 9 AM ET game day) but the fact is I just love the situational edges here. Yes I know that Utah is in a back to back but the fact they are off a loss and it was a game in which they led by double digits at the half has me liking the Jazz a ton here. They will clean things up after a defeat in which they turned it over 21 times in comparison to an opponent that turned it over only 7 times. Also, the Pacers are struggling badly. Indiana has lost 6 straight games and 9 of its last 11. Adding to the value here is Indiana won at Utah earlier this season in November. The Jazz want payback and they'll get it here! 10* UTAH -3.5 |
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01-08-22 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma OVER 128 | Top | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 128 in Oklahoma Sooners vs Iowa State Cyclones @ 6 ET - This total just too low. It has been greatly impacted by the grinder of a win that the Cyclones just had over Texas Tech earlier this week. The Sooners will dictate the pace here at home and favored by 6.5 points with good reason. The point is that Oklahoma hosting Iowa State plays out much differently than the Cyclones hosting the Red Raiders and this total is just far too low. Note that the Sooners have scored 70 or more points in 11 of 14 games this season. The Cyclones had scored 68 or more points in 10 of 13 games this season before the low-scoring win over Texas Tech. This game has high odds of finishing in the upper 130s given those numbers and yet we're dealing with a total in the upper 120s. I'll take it! 10* OVER 128 in Oklahoma |
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01-07-22 | Spurs v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - Spurs are on the road again and playing for 3rd time in 4 nights. Also, San Antonio off a huge upset win at Boston. The 76ers crushed SA by 35 points the last time they hosted them. After tonight, the Sixers next game not until Monday and that one is back on the road and Philly enters this game off a road win at Orlando. In other words, the 76ers will be fully focused and want to make the most of this opportunity at home. As for the Spurs, they have two more tough games while on this long road trip as they have the Nets and Knicks up next for Sunday and Monday. Look for this one to be all Philly as the home team is the healthier team too plus will be up for this one and this looks like a flat spot for the travelers in this match-up. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7.5 |
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01-07-22 | Marquette -2 v. Georgetown | Top | 92-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Month Friday 10* Top Play Marquette Golden Eagles -2 @ Georgetown Hoyas @ 6:30 ET - The Golden Eagles will take advantage of a rusty Hoyas team here. Georgetown has not played in 3 weeks and they certainly are not invincible on their home floor either. Not only have the lost a couple at home already this season they also have lost to Marquette in each of the last two times they have hosted them. However, the Hoyas did beat the Golden Eagles in the Big East tourney last season and it is payback time here. Marquette did not just lose that game, they got embarrassed as they scored just 14 first-half points on their way to a 19 points loss. The Golden Eagles are a young team but have already grown as the season has gone on and have covered each of their last two road games plus enter this game off a big home win over Providence. 10* MARQUETTE -2 |
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01-07-22 | Northwestern State v. Incarnate Word OVER 147.5 | Top | 83-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Friday 10* Top Play OVER 147.5 in Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Northwestern State Demons @ 2:30 ET - Both teams off losses in which they did not shoot well yesterday in tournament action in Katy, TX. As a result, the betting markets are attracted to the under in this match-up. However, both these teams are horrible defensively, allow opponents to play at a fast pace, and in a meaningless tournament game (both lost yesterday) that means it is unlikely we are going to see a sudden uptick in defensive performance here. Also, against fellow Division I schools, these teams both have consistently given up a ton of points all season long. Look for that trending to continue here and, as a result, this one flies over the total. 10* OVER 147.5 in Incarnate Word |
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01-06-22 | Celtics v. Knicks OVER 207 | Top | 105-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
NBA Atlantic Div Total of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 207 in New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics @ 7:35 ET - I lost with the over in Boston yesterday as a high-scoring 1st half ended up fading into a low-scoring 2nd half. We'll get payback today. This total has dropped from the 211 range to the 207 range and, keep in mind, the over is 3-0 the last 3 times the Celtics have played the 2nd game of a back to back. The Knicks are known for lower scoring games generally speaking but they have averaged 107 points last 4 home games and Boston is averaging 113.4 points per game last 7 road games. 10* OVER 207 in New York |
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01-06-22 | Maryland +11 v. Illinois | Top | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
CBB Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins +11 @ Illinois Illini @ 7 ET - The Illini just are not the same team without point guard Andre Curbelo and his return is unlikely for tonight's game yet this line is priced as if he would be playing. Maryland is a talented team that has been bolstered this season with solid play from newcomers (transfers) Qudus Wahab and Fatts Russell. They have joined Eric Ayala to give this team a solid trio at the top and the Terrapins have not lost a game by more than 8 points this season. They are getting double digits here and, the point is, Maryland getting double digits as a dog would equate to a 13-0 record this season! I know Illinois, even with Curbelo hurting, is still a high-quality team but only 4 of their last 11 games have been victories by more than 10 points! I look for this game to be decided by a single digit margin given all of the above. 10* MARYLAND +11 |
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01-05-22 | Spurs v. Celtics OVER 222 | Top | 99-97 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 222 in Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:40 ET - The Celtics Jayson Tatum and the Spurs Dejounte Murray both expected to play in this one tonight. Boston has already been getting healthier and it has translated to higher-scoring action on the floor. The Celtics last two games both flew over the total. San Antonio also enters this one off B2B overs and on an overall run of 10-4 to the over last 14 games. Spurs in a back to back and unlikely to be at their best defensively in this match-up plus non-conference match-ups have a tendency to have less defensive intensity. 10* OVER 222 in Boston |
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