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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-28-18 | Lakers v. Raptors OVER 217.5 | Top | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach NBA Game #807 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers @ 6:05 ET - After a lackluster effort versus a Western Conference foe resulted in a home loss to begin their 3-game homestand, the Raptors won't make the same mistake here. Toronto likes to run and play at a fast pace but they had bad energy from the start in their loss to Utah Friday and will make up for that here versus the Lakers. The reason the play is the total and not the side is because the Raptors are a double digit fave here and Los Angeles comes into this game hot and putting up a lot of points. With the Lakers having won 4 straight and 8 of their last 10, look for a shootout here. Los Angeles is averaging 107.7 points per game during this 10 game run. The Raptors were held to 93 points in their home loss to Utah. That is noteworthy here because the over is a perfect 5-0 this season when Toronto is off of a game where they were held to 95 points or less! The Raptors are averaging 112 points per game at home and the Lakers allow 112 points per game on the road. With Toronto also fired up off of that loss you can expect about 120 here which should have the Lakers hitting about 110 per the spread on this one. In other words, it should fly over the total. The over is 6-1 this season in Lakers Sunday games. The over improves to 6-0 ATS this season when the Raptors are off of a game in which they were held under 96 points of offense! 10* OVER the total in Toronto |
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01-28-18 | Clemson -125 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 72-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach CBB Game #843 Sunday 10* Top Play Clemson Tigers (-) @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 6 ET - The Tigers were a ranked team that got destroyed at Virginia Tuesday and scored only 36 points. Of course the Cavaliers are a great team, as they showed again yesterday in their win at Duke, and I expect Clemson to bounce back in a big way here! The Tigers are 16-4 on the season and have not lost back to back games yet this season. The Yellow Jackets and Tigers have nearly identical stats on defense but Clemson is the much more potent team on the offensive end. Insuring proper focus from the Tigers here is the fact that Clemson has lost their last two visits to Georgia Tech and also got knocked out of the conference tournament by the Yellow Jackets in March of 2016. Payback time here for a hungry Tigers team. Clemson is 3-0 SU and 2-0 ATS when off of a loss this season. The Tigers, in road games with a posted total between 130 and 134.5 points, have gone 15-7 ATS. The Yellow Jackets are only 4-7 ATS against teams with a winning record this season and 1-3 SU in their last 4. Georgia Tech is also only 2-7 SU when they've been an underdog this season. Given the very low spread on this game and a stat like that one, there is even more value in grabbing the money line here on the Tigers for those of you that have access to it. 10* CLEMSON |
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01-28-18 | Purdue v. Indiana OVER 143 | Top | 74-67 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Total Smash - Rickenbach CBB Game #833 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Indiana Hoosiers vs Purdue Boilermakers @ 3:30 ET - The Hoosiers are relishing this opportunity to knock off a highly-ranked Purdue team that just got another win, over Michigan, Thursday. The Boilermakers are now 20-2 on the season while Indiana is scuffling a bit after a horrible effort at the free throw line resulted in a loss at Illinois Wednesday. The Hoosiers have averaged 77.4 points per game at home this season and Purdue (85.1 ppg) is the top scoring team in the Big Ten. With that said, I am expecting a very high-scoring game here as Indiana will be forced to push the pace against a Boilermakers team that has been shooting the ball very well. Purdue has shot 57% from the field in their last 3 games. Also, in 4 of their last 5 games, the Boilermakers have shot an incredible 57% or better from three point land! The over is 7-3 in Purdue's road games with a posted total between 140 and 144.5 points. When the Hoosiers, in Game 15 or later in a season, face a team that averages 77 points or more per game, the over has gone 10-5. Look for another one here! 10* OVER the total in Indiana |
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01-28-18 | Oakland +1 v. Wright State | 51-64 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach CBB Game #825 Sunday 8* Oakland Golden Grizzlies @ Wright State Raiders @ 2 ET - Revenge game for the Golden Grizzlies as they lost at home to the Raiders three weeks ago. The difference in the game was shooting as Oakland shot an uncharacteristic 35.7% from the field in that game. The Golden Grizzlies also lost at Wright State by 21 points when they met last January. The last time these teams met in the conference tourney (2016), the Raiders also prevailed with a tight 4 point win over Oakland. In other words, this game will be played with plenty of emotion from the road team and I feel the line is a "trap line". Wright State is 10-1 at home this season and Oakland is 6-5 on the road this season and yet the game opened up at a pick'em. As expected, the betting markets are hammering the home team and you know where that puts a contrarian like me. I love the Golden Grizzlies here as they are 18-8 ATS when they are on the road and their line ranges anywhere from +3 to -3. Also, Oakland is 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS when playing with home loss revenge! Wright State is only 1-3 ATS in conference home games this season and this will be their toughest test yet from a revenge-minded Golden Grizzlies team. 8* OAKLAND |
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01-27-18 | North Dakota +9 v. Idaho | Top | 71-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
Hidden Gem - Rickenbach CBB Game #717 Saturday 10* Top Play North Dakota Fighting Hawks (+) @ Idaho Vandals @ 10 ET - The Fighting Hawks had won 3 straight games with the last of the 3 being a win over rival North Dakota State. Not surprisingly, they then fell flat and lost their next game on the road in OT. Then, off the curse of an OT loss that always makes the next game ultra tough to bounce back in, North Dakota had another road loss in their next game. This is now the finale of a two week stretch where all of the Fighting Hawks games have been on the road. They started the trip with a win and desperately want to end it with a win. Also, this is a revenge game as North Dakota was embarrassed at home by the Vandals in late December when Idaho had a great shooting night and the Fighting Hawks had a rare off night. That is the worst home loss that North Dakota has suffered so far this season and they want payback tonight. Prior to that defeat, the last 3 match-ups between these teams saw the Fighting Hawks take 2 games by an average margin of 14 points per game plus lose the other one (here in Idaho) by only a single point. That said, there is great line value with the big points being offered here. Though the Vandals are looking to bounce back off of a home loss, they are only 3-6 ATS when off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more. North Dakota is 20-10 SU and 22-8 ATS in games with a posted total in the 140s. Also, when playing with home loss revenge, the Fighting Hawks are 14-7 ATS. When playing in game 15 or later in a season, and facing a team that has a winning record, ND has gone 13-3 ATS! 10* NORTH DAKOTA |
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01-27-18 | Nets v. Wolves OVER 214 | Top | 97-111 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
Rickenbach NBA Game #511 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Brooklyn Nets @ 9:05 ET - The Timberwolves have allowed 114 points per game their last 8 games and their last 3 opponents have all knocked down 53.9% or better from the field. Minnesota has averaged 117 points per game in their last 4 games and also will give a huge effort at home so I expect plenty of points here. The Wolves only home game between January 20th and February 1st is this one so look for Minny to "run and gun" just like they've done in the past versus the Nets. Each of their last two home games versus Brooklyn have flown over the total and they scored 129 points the last time they hosted Brooklyn. The Nets have averaged 109 points per game in their last 3 match-ups with Minnesota and, also, Brooklyn is 20-8 to the over in their games against Northwest Division opponents. The Nets were averaging 109 points per game in their last 7 road games before a rare poor shooting effort at Milwaukee last night. I fully expect Brooklyn will return to their high-scoring ways tonight. The over is 36-22 when the Nets face a team that allows an average of 106 points or more per game. Minnesota is 4-0 to the over in their last 4 games and they are a long-term 25-12 to the over when on an over streak of 3 or more games. Also, the Timberwolves are 5-1 to the over this season when off of a loss by a double digit margin. 10* OVER the total in Minnesota |
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01-27-18 | Hornets v. Heat OVER 204.5 | 91-95 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Rickenbach NBA Game #507 Saturday 8* OVER the total in Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets @ 7:35 ET - Even though this is a divisional match-up, the meetings between these two teams have trended over in recent seasons and, long-term when they meeting in Miami as well. The last 5 overall meetings between these teams are 4-1 to the over. Long-term, when meeting in Miami, the over is 21-10. The Heat are off of a low-scoring upset loss as a favorite. That holds significance here as the Heat are 4-2 to the over when off of an upset loss as a fave and also 6-3 to the over when off of a game where they allowed 90 points or less. Charlotte comes into this game off of scoring 121 points in a win versus Atlanta last night. The over is 36-22 when the Hornets are off of a win by a double digit margin. Also, Charlotte is 6-3 to the over when they enter a game having played each of their 3 prior games at home. Overall, the Hornets are 5-1 to the over in their last 6 games. More of the same here. 8* OVER the total in Miami |
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01-27-18 | Magic v. Pacers -6 | 112-114 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Rickenbach NBA Game #504 Saturday 8* Indiana Pacers (-) vs Orlando Magic @ 7:05 ET - The Magic, though off of a home loss as a favorite, have been playing much better overall. However, Orlando is in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Indiana is at home and angry after a loss to Cleveland last night. The Pacers are 9-1 SU and ATS in their last 10 games versus the Magic and Indiana's last 6 wins have come by an average margin of 12.8 points per game with not a single victory by less than 8 points. With that said, I'll gladly lay the half-dozen points here. The Magic are on a 6-22 SU run and 8-20 ATS run in Saturday games. Orlando is also 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS when off of an upset loss as a favorite. The Pacers are 13-7 ATS as a favorite this season and 12-6 ATS when facing a team that allows 106 points or more per game. 8* INDIANA |
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01-27-18 | Bowling Green v. Toledo OVER 158 | Top | 75-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Total Smash - Rickenbach CBB Game #611 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons @ 7 ET - Both these teams fire up threes and both of these teams love to play at a "run and gun" pace. Of course that is why we're seeing a high total on this game but it won't prove to be high enough. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams have gone over the total. Bowling Green is averaging 79 points per game this season and Toledo is averaging 80 points per game. The Rockets are 5-1 to the over this season in their games against teams that average 77 points or more per game. In other words, in the games where you would expect the result to be high-scoring the games have indeed lived up to the billing. The Falcons are 4-2 to the over in their games against teams with a winning record this season. When Bowling Green is off of a loss to a conference foe, they are a long-term 75-50 to the over. The over is 4-0 in the Falcons last 4 games and the Rockets have hit at least 40% of their threes in 7 of their last 9 games. More hot shooting here. 10* OVER the total in Toledo |
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01-27-18 | Texas A&M v. Kansas -7 | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach CBB Game #590 Saturday 8* Kansas Jayhawks (-) vs Texas A & M Aggies @ 4:30 ET - The Jayhawks are flying under the radar now due to some choppiness in their early season play. That has afforded excellent line value opportunity in a situation like this. The Jayhawks are 18-1 SU against the Aggies and are being asked to cover a moderate, but certainly manageable, number here. Keep in mind that, as talented as Texas A & M is they have struggled with consistency and they enter this game on a 2-6 SU run. 4 of those 6 losses have been by a dozen points or more. The Jayhawks, despite unimpressive ATS numbers, are starting to play better and have won 9 of their last 11 games. Kansas however is off of a loss at Oklahoma and they are fired up to make up for that here. The Jayhawks are 7-0 SU (and 5-2 ATS) when off of a loss in Big 12 action. Also, Kansas is 15-2 SU (and 11-6 ATS) when off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more. The Jayhawks are also 46-2 SU in home games with a posted total between 140 and 144.5 points. With Aggies losses showing a tendency to come by double digits and with the home favorite in a foul mood here, I look for a blowout win! 8* KANSAS |
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01-27-18 | Oklahoma v. Alabama +2.5 | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach CBB Game #550 Saturday 8* Alabama Crimson Tide (+) vs Oklahoma Sooners @ 2:15 ET - Everyone jumping on the Sooners with freshman star Trae Young. However, in his last two road games he has shot a combined 22 of 60 from the field! Also, Young has averaged 8.3 turnovers per game in his last 4 games. Alabama head coach Avery Johnson lives for games like this. The highly competitive former NBA player (won an NBA championship with the Spurs in the late 90s) will have his troops ready here as they relish the opportunity of a marquee match-up against a ranked foe in this Saturday matinee affair. The Crimson Tide are making great progress under Johnson (now in his 3rd season) and they are allowing just 69.9 points per game this season while the Sooners are allowing an average of 81.5 points per game. Yes, I know that Oklahoma has the more impressive numbers on offense but don't be surprised if Young has some struggles again on the road. Also, the Sooners are 0-4 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less and also 7-15 ATS when off of a win in Big 12 action. Alabama is 9-1 SU at home this season and a long-term 24-4 SU when they face a team that is allowing 77 points or more per game. That means there are angles combining for 52-12 (81%) that favor the home dog Crimson Tide in this one. 8* ALABAMA |
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01-27-18 | Texas Tech -3 v. South Carolina | 70-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #519 Saturday 8* Texas Tech Red Raiders (-) @ South Carolina Gamecocks @ Noon ET - Ever since their big road win at Kansas in early January, Texas Tech has struggled away from home. The Red Raiders are sick of hearing about it too and I expect them to do something about that here. Texas Tech is off of a non-covering home win versus Oklahoma State and is now 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games including 0-3 SU/ATS in road games. 13-0 at home this season but sub-.500 on the road, this is helping to give some line value here as no one wants to lay any points with the Red Raiders away from home. The fact is that South Carolina is a poor shooting team and they've been struggling badly. On the season the Gamecocks are hitting only 40.8% from the field (Texas Tech is hitting 47.1%) and also South Carolina has hit only 36.1% of their shots in their last 5 games. The Gamecocks are 0-3 ATS in home games with a posted total between 130 and 134.5 points. Texas Tech is 3-0 ATS in games where they are favored and the posted total is in the 130s this season. In other words, we have double perfect angles here favoring the Red Raiders in this one and they are 34-7 SU as a favorite which bodes well for a cover here considering the small line. 8* TEXAS TECH |
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01-26-18 | 76ers v. Spurs OVER 200 | Top | 97-78 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Top Play - Rickenbach NBA Game #815 Friday 10* OVER the total in San Antonio Spurs vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 8:35 ET - The last two meetings between these teams averaged 216 points and I expect another free-flowing affair here. The Spurs have scored 100 points or more in 12 of their last 17 games. The Sixers have scored 100 points or more in 11 of their last 12 games. This total has dropped from an early opener of 205.5 all the way down to a 200 and with odds truly favoring each team getting to the century mark here I like my chances with the over. The 76ers were off yesterday and also are off tomorrow. That helps insure plenty of minutes from key personnel. Also, the Spurs without Kawhi Leonard means a key defender is not on the floor. Looking at the last 3 match-ups between these teams you're talking, of course, about 6 halves of basketball. 5 of the 6 halves have totaled over 100 points! Again, just another proving point here about the value of the over in this one based on the low total. This one should easily get past 200 and, in the process, the over goes to 6-1 this season when Philadelphia faces a team from the Southwest Division. 10* OVER the total in San Antonio |
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01-26-18 | Lakers v. Bulls -4 | 108-103 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Rickenbach NBA Game #814 Friday 8* Chicago Bulls (-) vs Los Angeles Lakers @ 8:05 ET - The Lakers have won 3 straight games but all of those victories came in Los Angeles. Now LA is back on the road where they've lost 5 of their last 6. All 5 of those defeats came by at least 6 points and I like the hungry home team here to get the win and cover. Chicago is coming off of a disappointing road effort at Philly and should bounce right back here after back to back losses at New Orleans and Philadelphia to wrap up a 3-game road trip. That road trip began with a double digit win for the Bulls at Atlanta and that brought Chicago to 4-1 SU in their last 5 games. Also, prior to the loss to the Sixers, Chicago had covered 6 straight games. The Bulls are happy to be back home and have covered 10 of their last 13 games at the United Center. When off of a loss by 10 points or more, the Bulls are on an 8-3 ATS run. Also, Chicago is 5-2 ATS as a favorite this season. The Bulls are 7-2 ATS in Friday games this season. The Lakers are 9-22 SU (and 11-20 ATS) when they enter a game having played each of their 3 prior games at home. Los Angeles may be making improvements but don't lose sight of the fact that the Lakers are on a 20-83 SU run in road games including losing 15 of 21 this season. 8* CHICAGO |
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01-26-18 | Hawks +7 v. Hornets | 110-121 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Rickenbach NBA Game #801 Friday 8* Atlanta Hawks (+) @ Charlotte Hornets @ 7:05 ET - The Hornets recently lost a heartbreaker at home by a single point to the Heat. They have a shot at revenge tomorrow at Miami and, as a result, may not be giving the 14-33 Hawks their full attention. Atlanta will certainly be fully focused here as they lost by 18 points at Charlotte earliest this season and also are entering this game off of a home loss to Toronto. Prior to falling short versus the Raptors, the Hawks had won 4 of their last 6 SU and 5 of their last 7 ATS. Atlanta is 14-8 ATS when they enter a game having played each of their 3 prior games at home. The Hornets enter this game having failed to cover 3 straight games and they are 17-26 ATS when they enter a game off of an upset loss as a favorite. Charlotte also is only 4-9 SU in Friday games this season and the Hawks plus the big points are the way to go here. 8* ATLANTA |
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01-26-18 | Buffalo v. Ohio OVER 158 | Top | 73-66 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #821 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Ohio Bobcats vs Buffalo Bulls @ 6:30 ET - The Bulls are the best team in the MAC hands down but they certainly are unlikely to be highly motivated about facing the team that is at the bottom of the MAC East division. As a result, I expect Buffalo to be a little "soft" on the defensive end for this one but certainly they can score points like crazy as they are averaging 88.3 points per game in conference action. That said, the play here is the over as Ohio is averaging 76.6 points per game at home this season and the Bobcats also are draining 37% of their three pointers at the Convocation Center in Athens, OH. The weakness for Ohio University is on the defensive end. The Bobcats have allowed 46.6% shooting in conference games including 48.3% in their last 5 games. We're getting some line value with this total because Ohio U. is on a long-term under streak and truly the style of game I expect tonight should put an abrupt end to that streak tonight. The Bobcats are on a 16-8 run to the over in games where they are an underdog. Versus teams that average 77 points or more per game they are on a 17-8 run to the over. The Bulls are a long-term 115-77 to the over as a favorite. Also, Buffalo is 5-2 to the over as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. The Bulls are also 8-5 to the over when facing a team with a losing record and 8-5 to the over after a game in which they scored 80 points or more. 10* OVER the total in Ohio |
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01-26-18 | Wagner v. St Francis PA -3.5 | 91-61 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach CBB Game #836 Friday 8* St Francis (PA) Red Flash vs Wagner Seahawks @ 5 ET - Revenge game for the Red Flash as they lost at Wagner last week after blowing a 32-25 half-time lead. St Francis came into the season expected by many to end up in the top spot in the Northeast Conference. That said, solid line value is available here with the Red Flash at home and laying a very small number in this revenge spot. St Francis is only 1 game behind the Seahawks in the conference standings and Wagner is tied at the top of the NEC. With that said, this game is even that much bigger for the Red Flash in terms of staying alive in the race for the top spot in the conference. St Francis is the better team offensively. Even though the Seahawks hold the edge in rebounding and on defense as well, look for the Red Flash offense to lead the way on their home floor at the DeGol Arena in Loretto, PA Friday. Payback time. 8* ST FRANCIS (PA) |
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01-25-18 | Youngstown State +8 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | 55-66 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #537 Thursday 8* Youngstown State Penguins (+) @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers @ 8 ET - The Panthers are off of a huge upset win over Wright State. That snapped an 8-game winning streak for the Raiders and for UW-Milwaukee it means they took down one of the top teams in the Horizon League. Keep in mind that Wisconsin-Milwaukee had lost 4 straight games prior to that win and the upset victory is also likely to leave them very flat here! The fact is that it is hard to get up for taking on a Youngstown State team that annually is one of the weaker teams in the league. Of course that, coupled with the Panthers big win over Wright State, is what makes this such a dangerous spot for UW-Milwaukee. The big dog Penguins are the play here as the Panthers Jeremy Johnson (illness) and August Hass (ankle) are both questionable tonight. Each of those guys average more than 20 minutes a game and certainly they are key cogs in the rotation that could be limited tonight. Youngstown State did defeat the Panthers 3 weeks ago but the revenge angle (after the big win over the Raiders) is tough to pull the trigger on here. That's because UWM is an ugly 12-26 ATS as a favorite (including 3-9 ATS this season) and also is 2-7 ATS in conference games this season. Youngstown State is 7-1 ATS in Horizon League action this season. Look for the Penguins to improve to 5-2 ATS as a road dog in a range of 6.5 to 9 points. 8* YOUNGSTOWN STATE |
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01-25-18 | Kings v. Heat OVER 200.5 | 89-88 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #501 Thursday 8* OVER the total in Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings @ 7:35 ET - The Kings are off of a rare SU win and that is noteworthy as the over is a perfect 3-0 the last 3 times they were off of a SU win. The over is a also a perfect 5-0 the last 5 times these teams have met. So we have double perfect angles here combining for an 8-0 run and I am happy to test that here. The Heat are off of a SU loss and will take advantage of facing a lesser foe. Sacramento has been trending under recently in road games but off of that rare SU win and playing with a little extra confidence in the offensive end, the Kings should put up good numbers again tonight. Sacramento has averaged 104 points per game their last 4 games. More of the same here. 8* OVER the total in Miami |
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01-25-18 | Michigan v. Purdue OVER 136.5 | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #513 Thursday 8* OVER the total in Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan Wolverines @ 7 ET - The Wolverines held Rutgers to just 47 points in their most recent game. However, prior to this solid effort, Michigan had allowed at 67 points and at least 46.7% shooting from the field in 6 straight games! Now the Wolverines must try to stop a Purdue team that is averaging 84.8 points per game on the season and averaging 88 points per game on 51% shooting from the field in home games this season. The last time the Boilermakers hosted Michigan they scored 87 points. 8 of the last 13 meetings at Purdue have gone over the total. The over is 20-8 in Wolverines road games and 22-9 when they are off of a game where they allowed 60 points or less. The over is 3-0 when Michigan is a road dog of 9.5 to 12 points and the over is 4-2 when Purdue is a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points. In other words, this one should fly over the total as the Wolverines seek revenge for a 1 point home loss two weeks ago but simply can't stop the potent Boilermakers attack. 8* OVER the total in Purdue |
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01-25-18 | SMU v. Connecticut +6 | Top | 52-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Rickenbach CBB Game #520 Thursday 10* Top Play Connecticut Huskies (+) vs SMU Mustangs @ 7 ET - SMU is only 2-5 SU in games played away from home this season. Connecticut has played the tougher schedule this season in comparison with the Mustangs. Also, the Huskies are 8-2 SU at home this season. Southern Methodist is off of back to back wins but previously had lost 3 straight. Connecticut is off of back to back losses but previously had won 3 straight games. Also, the Huskies have held opponents under 41.9% from the field in 8 of their 10 home games. Hungry off of back to back losses and playing at home where their defense will be kicked up a notch, Connecticut will prove to be a tough "out" for SMU in this one! The Mustangs are 4-7 ATS against teams with a winning record this season. The Huskies are 9-1 (90%) SU in home games with a posted total between 130 and 134.5 and another upset here would not surprise. Certainly there is value in grabbing the half-dozen points with the hungry home dog here. 10* CONNECTICUT |
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01-24-18 | Bulls +5.5 v. 76ers | Top | 101-115 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #701 Wednesday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls (+) @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:05 ET - The Bulls full season record does not look good but they have gone 15-9 SU the past month and a half. Also, Chicago enters this game having gone 20-5 ATS their last 25 games. The Bulls are off of a loss but have gone 8-3 ATS this season when off of a game where they scored 115 points or more. Chicago also has fared very well versus the 76ers in recent years and that includes a 4-0 SU mark in their last 4 visits to Philadelphia. Though the Sixers have also been playing well, they are without JJ Redick and TJ McConnell for this one plus Jerryd Bayless is listed as questionable. The short-handed rotation also has a big road trip on deck featuring 4 games in 6 days. The Sixers take on a Bulls team missing just one player, Kris Dunn, for this one. Chicago has covered 6 straight games and catch Philly off of an upset loss. While that may seem like a good spot to back the 76ers, Philadelphia is actually an ugly 1-8 ATS (2-7 SU) this season when off of an upset loss as a favorite. The Bulls are an incredible 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games and get the job done again here. 10* CHICAGO |
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01-24-18 | Marquette v. Xavier OVER 164 | Top | 70-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #719 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Xavier Musketeers vs Marquette Golden Eagles @ 6:30 ET - These teams are 4-1 to the over in their last 5 meetings. Xavier averages 88 points per game at home this season. Marquette is averaging 86 points per game on the road this season but the Golden Eagles have allowed 85 points per game on the road as well. Also, in their last 3 games away from home, Marquette has allowed 94.7 points per game! The over is 6-1 in the Golden Eagles 7 games played away from home this season. Xavier is known for playing tight games. 7 of their last 9 wins have come by single digits. The reason that is significant (and note that the spread on this game is also single digits) is because tighter games in the later stages tend to lead to a lot of free throw attempts for the team in the lead and a lot of three point attempts from the team trailing. Both these teams shoot threes very well and also are very strong with their shooting from beyond the arc. The over is 3-0 this season when Marquette is off of a win versus a conference rival. The over is 3-0 when the Musketeers are a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. Another shootout is on tap in Cincinnati. 10* OVER the total in Xavier |
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01-23-18 | Kings +7 v. Magic | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA 8* Sacramento Kings (+) @ Orlando Magic @ 7:05 ET - Orlando is off of a huge upset win at Boston Sunday. Now they host a poor Kings team which makes this the perfect spot to expect a letdown. It is hard to imagine the Magic being very hyped up for this game and their win over the Celtics was only the 3rd time in their last 34 games that they have won a game by more than 6 points. In other words, the odds of a big win and cover for Orlando are quite slim here. I know the Kings have underachieved and may seem like a tough team to back but, keep in mind, the Magic are 2-6 ATS when off of an upset win as an underdog. Also, the big key is Orlando is 2-12 ATS when facing a team with a losing record this season. As you can see, the Magic are already known for underestimating opponents with poor records. That said, off of an exciting win and with another Eastern Conference opponent (the Pacers) on deck, Orlando looks right past Sacramento tonight. The Kings are 15-10 ATS (and a surprising 14-11 SU) in Tuesday games the past 2+ seasons combined. They may not get the outright win here but they at least get the cover in this perfect spot for an upset! 8* SACRAMENTO |
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01-23-18 | Arkansas +1.5 v. Georgia | Top | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
Top Play Special - Rickenbach CBB Game #513 Tuesday 10* Arkansas Razorbacks (+) @ Georgia Bulldogs @ 6:30 ET - With the Razorbacks still winless (ATS) in SEC games, the Bulldogs look "too easy" here as a home team at nearly a pick'em price. Of course you know what happens most of the time when something looks "too easy". The fact is that Arkansas is the play here as they are the much better team offensively and Georgia won't be able to keep up. The Razorbacks are averaging 85.1 points per game this season while the Bulldogs are averaging 69.9 points a game. Arkansas is knocking down 49.3% of their shots from the field including 39.6% from three point land. In games with a posted total in the 140s the Razorbacks are 15-7 ATS including 2-0 ATS this season. Arkansas is also 4-1 ATS in games where they are a road dog of 3 points or less. Arky also is 13-5 SU (and 11-5 ATS) in Tuesday night games. The Hogs are 8-3 SU this season when off of a game where they scored 80 points or more. At game 15 or later in a season, when the Bulldogs face a team that is averaging 77 points or more per game, they've gone 8-14 SU. As I said above, Georgia struggles to keep up with high scoring, better shooting teams. Yes the Dogs have the better defense but the Razorbacks have too many scoring options! 10* ARKANSAS |
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01-22-18 | Kings v. Hornets OVER 210 | Top | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
Top Play Total - Rickenbach NBA Game #701 Monday 10* OVER the total in Charlotte Hornets vs Sacramento Kings @ 7:05 ET - The Hornets are 3-0 to the over in their last 3 games. Charlotte has averaged 118.7 points per game in these 3 games while allowing 107.3 points during this stretch. The struggling Kings enter this game on a 7-game losing streak. Sacramento has allowed 110.6 points per game in these 7 losses but the Kings have scored 105 points or more in 3 of their last 5 games. Though Sacramento is averaging only 97.7 points per game on the season, the Hornets are 4-0 to the over this season in games against teams averaging 98 points or less per game. The Kings are a long-term 76-53 to the over in games against Southeast Division opponents. Overall, 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams have gone over the total. Also, the over is 9-4 the last 13 times these teams have met in Charlotte. The Hornets are coming off of a loss and will push the pace here as they seek the blowout win. Couple that with their recent hot shooting stretch and you can expect this one to easily eclipse the number. 10* OVER the total in Charlotte |
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01-22-18 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech OVER 164 | 69-80 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #721 Monday 8* OVER the total in Virginia Tech Hokies vs North Carolina Tar Heels @ 7 ET - The over is 4-0 in the Hokies last 4 games. Virginia Tech has scored over 80 points in 4 straight games. However the Hokies have allowed over 90 points in each of their last two games. Now they deal with a Tar Heels team that is averaging 82.7 points per game on the season (Virginia Tech averaging 85.6 points). This one has the makings of a shootout as these are two of the highest-scoring teams in the ACC and both come into this game hot from the field. That said, don't let the big number scare you as it will prove to be not big enough! North Carolina is 3-1 to the over in their last 4 games. The over is 10-5 this season when UNC is a favorite. The Hokies are 7-1 to the over this season when they're off of a game where they scored 80 points or more. 8* OVER the total in Virginia Tech |
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01-21-18 | Magic v. Celtics -10 | 103-95 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #802 Sunday 8* Boston Celtics (-) vs Orlando Magic @ 1:05 ET - The Celtics are playing their final home game before embarking on a 4-game West Coast road trip. Boston is off of rare back to back home losses as they just didn't seem to recover after the trip across the pond to London where they defeated the division rival Sixers. Boston now hosts an Orlando team that was down huge at Cleveland Thursday but then rallied late in the 1-point loss. That is offering some line value here because, simply put, the Magic are not a very good team. The Celtics, off of an upset loss as a favorite, will respond big here against Orlando. 4 of the last 5 times they've faced the Magic they've won by 15 points or more including a pair of blowout wins by 30 points. At home, Boston is an incredible 35-12 ATS versus Orlando! The Magic are only 11-19 ATS when playing with revenge this season. Overall, the Magic are 2-6 ATS in divisional games. The Celtics are 6-2 ATS this season when off of an upset loss as a favorite. Boston is also 37-22 ATS long-term against Southeast Division opponents. The Celtics roll here and cover the big number as they need a home win here as this will be their last time playing as a host until the final day of January. 8* BOSTON |
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01-21-18 | Miami-FL v. NC State OVER 145 | 86-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #809 Sunday 8* OVER the total in North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Miami Hurricanes @ Noon ET - The pressing defense of the Wolfpack also leads to plenty of offense in transition. I also expect the Hurricanes to be ready to attack it and history is certainly on our side here in terms of the over. 8 of the last 9 meetings between these teams at NC State have gone over the total. Also, this season the Wolfpack are 5-1 to the over in home games and, going further back, they are 25-10 to the over in home games the past 3 seasons combined. As a home dog of 3 points or less the over is 4-1 in NC State games. The over is 7-2 in Wolfpack home games with a posted total between 145 and 149.5 points. NC State is averaging 89 points per game at home this season. Miami is averaging 82.5 points per game in their last two meetings with the Wolfpack. The Hurricanes are fired up and ready to be aggressive here and break down the pressure defense after the Canes blew a big late lead in their home loss versus Duke Monday. The Hurricanes have not shot well in 3 of their last 4 games but after their first back to back games this season that featured poor shooting, I expect a big game here. Also, even with some sub-par shooting, 3 of their last 4 games have gone over the total. NC State is off of back to back unders but previously each of their last 3 games had resulted in an over. The Hurricanes are 4-0 to the over this season in games against teams averaging 77 points or more per game. I look for another one here. 8* OVER the total in North Carolina State |
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01-20-18 | Bulls +2 v. Hawks | Top | 113-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #503 Saturday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls (+) @ Atlanta Hawks @ 5:05 ET - When something looks too easy it usually is anything but that. This is a prime example of that as Atlanta opened up at a pick'em at home and is now a 2-point favorite as people jump on board to fade a Chicago team that is just 6-16 SU on the road. The key to the value here is the Bulls have been red hot but yet are off of a SU loss. Chicago fell short against the defending champion Warriors Wednesday but the Bulls did the cover. It is now a perfect 4-0 ATS run for Chicago. Speaking of perfect runs, the Bulls are also 9-0 ATS this season in games against Southeast Division opponents. The Hawks are an ugly 1-7 SU against Southeast Division foes. While the Bulls are hungry off of a loss, Atlanta is off of back to back wins and feeling a little too good about themselves. This is the type of game where upsets happen and lets not forget that the Hawks had lost 5 of 6 before notching those back to back victories. The Bulls have had some recent success versus the Hawks as a host but they've fallen short in recent visits to Atlanta so there is plenty of motivation for Chicago here. The Hawks are an ugly 2-6 SU when off of an upset win as an underdog. The double perfect edges for the Bulls, noted above, combine for a 13-0 ATS mark. 10* CHICAGO |
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01-20-18 | Thunder v. Cavs OVER 220 | 148-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #501 Saturday 8* OVER the total in Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 3:35 ET - Cleveland finally hung on for a win Thursday versus Orlando. Though the victory only came by a single point, it at least gets the Cavs pointed back in the right direction. However, their defense continues to be sub-par and they now take on a Thunder team that has won 3 straight games and is playing with a ton of confidence. Also, you know Russell Westbrook and company are going to be up for this game against LeBron James and company in Cleveland! OKC wants this and I expect a very up-tempo game to result. The Cavaliers are 13-5 to the over in home games with a posted total of 220 points or more. Also, when Cleveland enters a game on an under streak of 3 or more games, the over has gone 11-6. Don't let the big number on this game fool you. The odds makes have it right. Westbrook and James (among others) put on quite a show here in an attempt to outdo each other! 8* OVER the total in Cleveland |
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01-20-18 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State +5 | Top | 81-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Big 12 Game of the Year - Rickenbach CBB Game #562 Saturday 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys (+) vs Oklahoma Sooners @ 2 ET - The Cowboys lost badly at Oklahoma early this month but Oklahoma State was simply done in by ridiculously hot shooting by the Sooners. I certainly don't expect a repeat of that on the road in Stillwater and the home dog Cowboys have a great shot at the upset here. For Oklahoma State, this is truly their "Game of the Year" as they host their biggest rival as a highly ranked foe in this one plus the Cowboys seek revenge. Keep in mind OSU had won each of the prior two meetings and 1 of their 2 prior losses had come by just 2 points. The Sooners hit a ridiculous 15 of 27 three-pointers in the January 3rd win and that won't be repeated here. OU, from Game 15 onward in a season, is on a 12-23 ATS run in games against teams with a winning record. Also, Oklahoma is on a 19-31 ATS run as a favorite. As for Oklahoma State, they have a long-term mark of 10-5 SU (and 11-4 ATS) when playing with a revenge from a blowout loss of 20 points or more. Keep in mind, in that bad loss at Norman, the Cowboys took 25% more shots from the field than did the Sooners. OSU had 80 field goal attempts in the game while the Sooners had 64. I know the phenom for Oklahoma needs a bounce back game but he has been exposed a bit in losses to West Virginia and Kansas State. Both those losses were on the road and this is another tough venue to play in. Give me the home dog BIG in this one. 10* OKLAHOMA STATE |
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01-20-18 | Purdue v. Iowa OVER 153 | 87-64 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #527 Saturday 8* OVER the total in Iowa Hawkeyes vs Purdue Boilermakers @ Noon ET - The over is 9-1 in Iowa's last 10 games with a total posted. The Hawkeyes enter this match-up having gone over the total in 7 straight games. Being at home and playing in a rivalry match-up, Iowa will of course be looking to dictate the flow of the game and their results this season show you that they know only one way to play and that is to get involved in shootouts. Of course Purdue is the much more solid team, particularly on defense, but their offense is also among the most dangerous in the nation. The Boilermakers are averaging 84.7 points per game and will be happy to run and gun with Iowa here. Purdue is a long-term 10-5 to the over in a game with a posted total in the 150s. Iowa is 8-2 to the over this season in games with a posted total in the 150s. Also, in game 15 of a season or later, when facing a team that averages 77 points or more per game, the Hawkeyes are 10-3 to the over. Similar numbers for the Boilermakers in that situation as they are 9-4 to the over. More of the same here. 8* OVER the total in Iowa |
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01-19-18 | Heat -3 v. Nets | Top | 95-101 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
Game of the Month - Rickenbach NBA Game #803 Friday 10* Top Play Miami Heat (-) @ Brooklyn Nets @ 7:35 - The Heat are seeking revenge here for an embarrassing home loss to the Nets just 3 weeks ago. Miami was blown out by 24 in that ugly defeat versus Brooklyn and payback is on order here. Prior to that loss the Heat were 7-1 SU and ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Nets so they've certainly had their number. Also, Miami is 15-5 SU their last 20 games while Brooklyn has lost 14 of their last 19 games so you can clearly see this is a case of two teams going opposite directions. Also, the Nets have been held under 42.5% from the field in 6 of their last 7 games while the Heat have shot at least 46% from the field in 7 of their last 9 games. Miami is on an incredible 30-13 ATS run when playing with home loss revenge. Also, the Heat are 15-3 SU when facing a team with a losing record. That is a key here as this line is very small so there is a high percentage chance that any SU win is also an ATS win in this one! The Nets are 25-40 ATS when they enter a game on a SU losing streak of 3 or more games. Brooklyn is also on an ugly 23-86 SU run in games against teams with a winning record. 10* MIAMI |
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01-19-18 | Indiana v. Michigan State OVER 141.5 | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #817 Friday 8* OVER the total in Michigan State Spartans vs Indiana Hoosiers @ 7 ET - The Spartans full season defensive numbers look good but they've allowed 78 points per game on 45% shooting in their last 3 games. Two of those three games were at home so the upstart Hoosiers could certainly prevent some challenges here as their strength is a veteran backcourt. It is strong guard play from opponents that has led to trouble for Michigan State and the Hoosiers should score plenty here. However, I expect the Spartans to take advantage inside and get plenty of points in the paint against Indiana. Michigan State has averaged 85 points per game on the season and will score plenty at home in this one. They are fired up after the embarrassing home loss to Michigan and will look to take out their frustration on Indiana. However, the Hoosiers have won 3 straight and 6 of their last 8 and have plenty of confidence coming into this game as they've averaged 79 points per game in their last 9 wins. Not saying they will win this of course. Indiana is a big dog for a reason but I am saying they will hang around in this one and score big. The over is 7-2 in the Spartans last 9 games. The over is 6-3 in Indiana's games this season when the posted total is in the 140s. The over is 10-4 when the Hoosiers face a team averaging 77 points or more and it is game 15 or later in the season. For Michigan State, the over is 8-2 this season in their home games. Also, the Spartans are on a 6-2 run to the over when they enter a game on 5 or 6 days of rest. 8* OVER the total in Michigan State |
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01-18-18 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech +8 | Top | 64-48 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
Game of the Month - Rickenbach CBB Game #540 Thursday 10* Top Play Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+) vs Virginia Cavaliers @ 8 ET - Virginia has been stellar this season and is certainly a tough team to play against due to their stout defense. However, another solid defense in the Atlantic Coast Conference is certainly that of Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets are allowing just 62.8 points per game on the season. This is a big number for the Cavaliers to cover on the road considering Georgia Tech has a penchant for getting into low-scoring grinder-type games just like Virginia does. With that said, the Cavs are in for a real battle here. The Yellow Jackets are on a 5-1 SU run and also a 5-0 ATS run. GT is allowing only 58.5 points per game in their last 6 games. In recent seasons the Cavaliers are only 14-12 SU in road games so it won't be a surprise to see this one turn into a bit of a dogfight. The Jackets are on an incredible 16-3 ATS run in January games. Also, Georgia Tech is 28-14 ATS in conference games. When facing a team with a winning record after the midway point in a season (game 15 or later), the Yellow Jackets have gone 25-11 ATS. 10* GEORGIA TECH |
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01-18-18 | Magic v. Cavs OVER 226 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #501 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic @ 7:05 ET - The Magic come into this game off of an outright win as a home dog to the Timberwolves Tuesday. Orlando has gone 5-2 to the over this season when off of a upset win as an underdog. Also, the Magic are 6-2 to the over in games with a posted total of 220 points or more. The past 3 seasons combined, Orlando is 8-3 to the over in road games with a posted total of 220 points or more. The Cavaliers have been slumping but most of the losing has been coming on the road. Yes, they did lose their most recent home game but that was to the World Champion Warriors Monday and the Cavs had previously won 13 straight home games. Even with that loss, in their last 6 home games Cleveland has averaged 117.2 points per game! They'll be ready for a blowout home win here and are catching the Magic at the right time off of their upset win of Minnesota. However, I wouldn't be surprised to see Orlando lose this one by about 10 points (right at the line) which is why the big value is with the over. That's because the angry Cavaliers won't take their foot off of the gas in this one. Cleveland did lose at home to the Magic earlier this season. While the Cavs did get some revenge with a win at Orlando earlier this month, they still want to make a statement here at home. The result should be an easy over. The Cavaliers are 13-4 to the over in home games with a posted total of 220 points or more. The Cavs are also 30-12 to the over when they allowed 115 points or more in their prior game and also 10-2 to the over when they enter a game on a losing streak of 3 games or more. 10* OVER the total in Cleveland |
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01-18-18 | Illinois-Chicago -3 v. Youngstown State | 92-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #513 Thursday 8* Illinois-Chicago Flames (-) @ Youngstown State Penguins @ 7 ET - The Flames are off of a home loss to Oakland which snapped a 3-game win streak for UIC. As a result, Illinois-Chicago is in a great "play on" situation here as they travel to Youngstown State. We're getting line value with a low number on this game since the Flames are on the road. That fact is that Illinois-Chicago is 5-2 SU (and 4-1 ATS) in games against teams with a losing record this season. Youngstown State has been awful on the defensive end this season. The Penguins are allowing 82.9 points per game on 51.3% shooting from the field including 37.9% from beyond the arc. UIC is the much better team on the defensive end. Also, Youngstown State has lost 12 of its last 15 games. All but one of those dozen losses have come by at least a 7-point margin. The strength of the Flames is their frontcout while that same area is the biggest weakness of the Penguins. UIC has arguably the top frontcourt in the Horizon League. In other words, this is a mismatch. Lay the small number. 8* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO |
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01-18-18 | Austin Peay v. Tennessee State | 56-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #600 Thursday 8* Tennessee State Tigers (-) vs Austin Peay Governors @ 6 ET - This line is right around a pick'em which has opened up fantastic line value on the Tigers to just win at home. Tennessee State played very well in a tight loss at SIU-Edwardsville Saturday so they are extra hungry to bounce back here at home The Tigers are 4-3 in home games this season while the Governors are just 1-6 in road games. Of course the line is where it is because when you look at the overall records of these teams it would be easy to assume that Austin Peay is the better team. That is simply not the case and I look for Tennessee State to win big at home here. This is the first time the Tigers have hosted the Governors since they knocked them out of the Ohio Valley Conference tournament two years ago. Payback time here. Austin Peay lost all 5 starters from last year's team and has a new head coach this season. It is early in conference action so don't be surprised if the Governors start to slip while the Tigers move their way up the conference standings. That begins here. Austin Peay is 12-26 SU in road game in recent seasons while Tennessee State is 23-11 SU in home games. Also, as a home favorite in a range of 3 points down to a pick'em, the Tigers are 6-1 SU and ATS! 8* TENNESSEE STATE |
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01-17-18 | Heat v. Bucks OVER 202 | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #709 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat @ 8:05 ET - This is a revenge game for the Bucks as they had a horrible shooting night and were held to just 79 points in a loss at Miami Sunday. After that fluke performance, look for Milwaukee to put up a ton of points Wednesday at home. The problem for the Bucks though is that they certainly aren't known for their defensive prowess and they'll have their hands full trying to stop the Heat tonight. Miami is hungry to bounce back off of a loss Monday at Chicago which snapped their 7-game winning streak. The Heat have been shooting the ball very well and have averaged 106.3 points per game in their last 8 games. Milwaukee has averaged 109.2 points per game in their last 13 home games. The Bucks are 5-2 to the over this season when off of an upset win as an underdog and they are also 16-8 to the over this season when playing with revenge. Miami enters this game on a 6-2 run to the over. 10* OVER the total in Milwaukee |
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01-17-18 | Wizards +1.5 v. Hornets | 109-133 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #701 Wednesday 8* Washington Wizards (+) @ Charlotte Hornets @ 7:05 ET - I like catching the Wizards beginning a 5-game road trip and focusing on this as a chance to bounce back after a loss on Monday. I like fading the Hornets as they "let up" here knowing that this is the beginning of a 5-game homestand. Charlotte could get caught feeling a little too good about themselves after their big win Monday. The Hornets are 3-8 SU this season when off of a win by a double digit margin. Charlotte has lost 3 of 4 this season when off of an upset win as an underdog. The Wizards are 11-3 ATS as an underdog this season but one of those losses was a 5-point defeat at Charlotte in their only match-up with the Hornets so far this season. Time for payback here. 8* WASHINGTON |
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01-17-18 | Dayton +1.5 v. St. Joe's | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Ultra Early Blowout - Rickenbach CBB Game #726 Wednesday 10* Top Play Dayton Flyers (+) @ St Joseph's Hawks @ 6:30 ET - Of course the Hawks wish they had Charlie Brown but he never even played a game this season. The same holds true for Lamarr Kimble but he only played 1 game and is now out for the season. While those are known "issues" for St Joseph's, they certainly are also further weakened here by the fact that 6'8 Pierfrancesco Oliva is currently dealing with the flu. He leads the team in rebounds and is 2nd in assists. Though he may indeed play tonight I expect him to be at less than 100%. With that said, there is value here with a Dayton team that still is seeking some revenge here. Yes the Flyers beat the Hawks in their match-up last season but they did lose their last visit to St Joseph's and also were eliminated from the Conference Tourney by the Hawks in March of 2016. While St Joe's is hitting only 41% of their shots this season, the Flyers are hitting 48% from the field this season. Also, Dayton allows 5 points per game less than the Hawks do. In games with a posted total in the 150s the Flyers are on a 5-1 SU run. Also, when it is game 15 or later in the season, and Dayton faces a team with a losing record, the Flyers are a perfect 10-0 SU. The Hawks are 1-4 ATS as a favorite this season. Also, St Joseph's is 3-6 SU this season in games against teams with a winning record. As a home fave of 3 points or less in recent seasons, the Hawks have gone 2-5 ATS. 10* DAYTON |
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01-17-18 | Tulsa v. Temple OVER 135 | 58-59 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #721 Wednesday 8* OVER the total in Temple Owls vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ 6 ET - This total was up near a 140 and has dropped down to the 135 range which is offering up nice value on the over as of gameday morning. Temple is allowing opponents to hit 45.3% of their shots from the field. Long gone are the days of stifling Owls defense. As for the Golden Hurricane, they have no hesitation when it comes to getting involved in some "run and gun" affairs and this is particularly true on the road. In their last two games away from home, Tulsa has given up an average of 90 points per game and they allowed 50% from the field in one game and 55.2% in the other! The Golden Hurricane are averaging 75.1 points per game this season and that makes one of the higher scoring teams in the American Athletic Conference. Tulsa, however, allows 73.8 points per game which ranks them dead last in the AAC. Their most recent game stayed under but, prior to that, the over was 3-0 in their last 3 games. Temple has not shot well in recent games but facing the AAC team allowing the most points per game on the season should certainly help the Owls get back on track with their shooting. Of course it also helps that they'll be on their home floor and the over is 6-3 this season in games where they are favored. As for Tulsa, when they are past the midway point of the season (game 16 or later) and facing a team with a losing record, the over is a fantastic 10-2 the past two seasons. 8* OVER the total in Temple |
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01-16-18 | Wolves v. Magic OVER 217 | Top | 102-108 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #501 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:05 ET - Orlando has allowed 53.5% shooting from the field in their last 4 games. On the season the Magic allow 111 points per game. The over is a perfect 3-0 in the last 3 meetings between these teams and the Timberwolves come into this game averaging 117 points per game in their last 5 games. Minnesota has shot 51% from the field in their last 5 games. This is simply the perfect situation for an offensive eruption for the T-wolves considering their hot shooting and Orlando's poor efforts on the defensive end. The real key to the value here is that the Magic also have shot 50% or better in 2 of their last 3 home games and also shot 50.5% from the field in their high-scoring loss at Minnesota earlier this season. I look for more of the same in the rematch here in Florida. The Timberwolves are 7-2 to the over this season when off of a divisional game and Minnesota's defense certainly is unlikely to be at it's best for this non-conference match-up after the big win over Portland. Minny offense has no trouble here but watch the Magic score right along with them in what figures to be an absolute shootout! 10* OVER the total in Orlando |
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01-16-18 | Louisville +3 v. Notre Dame | Top | 82-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #525 Tuesday 10* Top Play Louisville Cardinals (+) @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ 7 ET - After this line opened up at a 1.5 on the Irish it has already moved up to a -3. Of course that is the power of home court in the betting markets' eyes and it would seem justified here. That's because Notre Dame is on a 6-0 SU and ATS run in home games versus Louisville. However, this is one of those cases where there is more than meets the eye at first glance. The fact is that the Irish have built much of their 13-3 start on the backs of Bonzie Colson and Matt Farrell. Notre Dame now enters this game off of back to back losses and Colson (leading rebounder and leading scorer) is out with a foot injury. Farrell (leads teams in assists and second in scoring) is questionable tonight with an ankle injury. Though he may indeed play tonight he is not 100% and these two players are key guys for ND no doubt. Another key to the value with this play is that the Cardinals have played the tougher schedule in comparison with the Fighting Irish so far this season. As a road dog of 3 points or less the Cards are a long-term 19-10 ATS. The Cardinals enter this game on a 4-game ATS win streak while the Irish, not including true road games, are on a 2-4 ATS run. In other words home court hasn't been overly favorable to Notre Dame of late. 10* LOUISVILLE |
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01-15-18 | Butler v. Providence OVER 146.5 | Top | 60-70 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
Big East Blowout - Rickenbach CBB Game #725 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Providence Friars vs Butler Bulldogs @ 4:30 ET - The Bulldogs are off of a 94-83 win versus Marquette and have now gone over the total in 10 of their last 11 games. Butler has been shooting the ball very well but as you can tell from that O/U run they certainly aren't playing great defense this season. In fact, the Bulldogs have allowed 83 points or more in 6 straight games. As for the Friars, they are off of back to back unders but they previously were on a run of 10-4 to the over on the season. Providence is averaging 80 points per game at home this season and Butler is scoring an average of 80 points per game on the season. The Friars have allowed 80.7 points per game in their last 3 home games and, with both teams coming in confident off of wins, they will be very aggressive on offense and I look for this game to be played at a fast pace. Both teams have been shooting the 3-ball well in recent games also. The over is 7-2 this season and an incredible 31-12 long-term when Providence is a favorite. Also, the Friars are a perfect 4-0 to the over this season in home games with a posted total between 145 and 149.5 points. The over is 7-3 this season when Butler is off of a game where they scored 80 points or more and the over is 5-1 when the Bulldogs are off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more. 10* OVER the total in Providence |
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01-15-18 | Heat v. Bulls OVER 207 | Top | 111-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach NBA Game #711 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat @ 3:35 ET - Miami put a lot of effort on the defensive end in yesterday's game as they held the Bucks to just 79 points in that home victory. Now the Heat are on the road in a back to back and feeling quite content about their defensive performance yesterday. As a result, don't be surprised when today's game turns into a shootout. The Bulls have been playing much better basketball, particularly on the offensive end, and as a direct result of that Chicago is on a 16-4 (80%) run to the over in their last 20 games. The over is a perfect 5-0 in the Bulls last 5 home games. Also note that the Heat were 5-1 to the over prior to yesterday's low-scoring result with the Bucks. The Bulls are 15-6 to the over this season in games against teams with a winning record. 10* OVER the total in Chicago |
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01-15-18 | New Hampshire -2 v. UMass Lowell | 74-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #753 Monday 8* New Hampshire Wildcats @ UMass-Lowell River Hawks @ 2:30 ET - The Wildcats returned all 5 starters from last season's team and even though they are winless away from home this season, don't be fooled by that here. UMass-Lowell is in its first year of full eligibility as a Division 1 program and they are still going through a transition phase. They are winless so far in America East Conference action and just got blasted at home by the University of Maryland-Baltimore County (UMBC) on Saturday. That makes this a short rest spot for the River Hawks and they're facing a New Hampshire team that is 2-1 so far in conference action. The Wildcats lone loss was also to UMBC but they lost that game by only 4 points on the road while UMass-Lowell lost to the Retrievers by 27 points even though the River Hawks were at home for that game. 8* NEW HAMPSHIRE |
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01-15-18 | Bucks +5 v. Wizards | 104-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #705 Monday 8* Milwaukee Bucks (+) @ Washington Wizards @ 2:05 ET - The Bucks had their worst shooting performance in 5 years yesterday at Miami. After that game ended up an ugly loss, Milwaukee will respond in a big way today. Though the Wizards were off yesterday they are coming off of a crazy overtime win versus Brooklyn Saturday where they blew a 20+ point lead. The fact Washington hung on for the win in overtime while the Bucks are fired up off of a rare game where they were held under 80 points means my money is on Milwaukee is in this one! The Wizards are on an 0-5 ATS run. Washington is also an ugly 8-21 ATS as a favorite this season. 8* MILWAUKEE |
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01-15-18 | Hornets v. Pistons OVER 205 | 118-107 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #701 Monday 8* OVER the total in Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets @ 12:35 ET - The Hornets are off of a 10-point loss versus Oklahoma City Saturday. Charlotte is 7-3 to the over this season when off of a loss by double digits. Also, the Hornets are 6-3 to the over against Central Division opponents this season. The Pistons are off of a tight 2-point loss at Chicago but now are back home where they have won 5 in a row and are playing with a lot of confidence. The last 24 times these teams have met in Detroit the over has gone 19-5. Also, the Pistons are on a 22-11 run to the over in January games. 8* OVER the total in Detroit |
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01-14-18 | Ohio State v. Rutgers +7 | Top | 68-46 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach CBB Game #822 Sunday 10* Top Play Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+) vs Ohio State Buckeyes @ 7 ET - Ohio State is off of a huge win versus Maryland where everything went right for the Buckeyes and everything went wrong for the Terrapins. The Buckeyes have been shooting the ball very well but most of those games have been at home. Now they are on the road and they're facing a scrappy Scarlet Knights team that is looking to bounce back off of a tight 4-point loss at Michigan State. Keep in mind, prior to that game Rutgers fought hard for a home win versus Wisconsin. Certainly the Scarlet Knights were not expected to follow that up with playing so well against the Spartans as a 22 point underdog but that is precisely what they did. The fact is that Rutgers, particularly on their home floor and playing with a lot of confidence, will be tough for the Buckeyes to "put away" in this one. With the way the Scarlet Knights have been playing, they have a great shot at the upset here which makes the points very valuable here. This is particularly true with the markets backing the Buckeyes heavily as this line has been driven all the way up to a 7. The Scarlet Knights are 6-0 ATS at home this season. The Buckeyes are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 match-ups with Rutgers. That means we have a combined 9-0 ATS spot here favoring the Scarlet Knights over Ohio State. I'll take it as the public is backing them in this revenge spot but the home dog is going to bring plenty of fight to this one! 10* RUTGERS |
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01-14-18 | Pelicans v. Knicks OVER 218 | Top | 123-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #803 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in New York Knicks vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 3:35 ET - The Knicks have gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 games as they continue to score quite well but can't get stops on defense. The Pelicans have gone over the total in 15 of their last 21 games. New Orleans is averaging 111 points per game on the season but also allowing 111 points per game. Of course this is why there is a big total posted on this game even though the last 5 meetings between these teams have all stayed under the total. I look for this one to be different as the Pelicans are allowing 93 field goal attempts per game their last 4 games. The Knicks have had some recent overtime games so one always has to factor that in when evaluating a team's performance. However, the fact is that New York has allowed at least 45% from the field in 5 of their last 8 games and the Knicks have shot 49.4% from the field in their last 5 games. The over is 15-9 this season when the Pelicans are playing with revenge and New Orleans is 10-5 to the over this season when they are off of a game where they allowed 115 points or more. 10* OVER the total in New York |
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01-14-18 | Houston v. East Carolina OVER 143.5 | 65-49 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #811 Sunday 8* OVER the total in East Carolina Pirates vs Houston Cougars @ 2 ET - The Pirates just got blasted by Wichita State Thursday and while I expect them to find more scoring options against the Cougars defense than the Shockers defense, the fact is that Houston's offensive production should steamroll East Carolina. The Pirates are a very weak team on the defensive end and are proving that as the strength of opposition has increased in recent weeks. East Carolina has particularly struggled to defend the 3-point ball and are also weak in the paint on defense. With the Cougars knocking down 40.8% of their threes and also having the ability to work inside, this one should fly over the total. Houston is averaging 81 points on the season and the Pirates won't stand in their way after the Cougars just exploded for 104 points in their win over Tulsa Thursday. The over is 3-1 this season in Houston's games with a posted total in the 140s and the over is 8-1 the past 3 seasons when the Pirates are off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more. 8* OVER the total in East Carolina |
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01-14-18 | Bucks +2 v. Heat | 79-97 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #801 Sunday 8* Milwaukee Bucks (+) @ Miami Heat @ 1:05 ET - The Bucks are fired up off of a double digit home loss to Golden State. The Heat are coming off of a 3-day break but had won 6 straight games prior to the time off. When a team is as hot as Miami was, time off is actually not helpful. Look for the break to cost the Heat their momentum and they are back home where they are just 5-13 ATS this season. Also, Miami is just 2-6 ATS against Central Division opponents, 3-7 ATS off of an upset win as an underdog, and 1-5 ATS in Sunday games. Milwaukee is 12-4 ATS when they enter a game off of 3 or more consecutive unders. Also, the Bucks are 6-2 SU this season when off of a double digit loss. After losing to the defending champs at home by 14 points they resume their hot shooting here and get back on track on the road. 8* MILWAUKEE |
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01-13-18 | Nets v. Wizards -10 | 113-119 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Situational Slaughter - Rickenbach NBA Game #508 Saturday 8* Washington Wizards (-) vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:05 ET - The Nets rallied for a big upset win at Atlanta last night. Brooklyn wanted that game badly as there is some history there for coach Kenny Atkinson. Now the Nets go into the opposite situation. They are now the hunted instead of the hunter as the Wizards have revenge on their minds here. Washington has not only lost two straight to Brooklyn, the Wizards were thoroughly embarrassed in a 35 point loss in their most recent meeting which was just a few days before Christmas. The Wizards certainly have payback on their minds here and Washington has won their last two home meetings with the Nets by an average margin of 22 points per game! Brooklyn, prior to their upset win over the Hawks yesterday, had shot a combined 36.5% from the field in their 3 prior games! That said, I expect the hot-shooting Wizards to win this one in a rout tonight! Washington has averaged 116.8 points per game in their last 8 home games. The Nets had been held to 98 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games prior to last night's upset win. The Wizards are a long-term 26-13 (67%) ATS versus the Nets. Brooklyn is on a 13-25 ATS run in January games even though they've had some success so far this month. The Nets run into a brick wall tonight! 8* WASHINGTON |
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01-13-18 | Lakers v. Mavs OVER 215 | 107-101 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #501 Saturday 8* OVER the total in Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers @ 2:05 ET - The Lakers are off of back to back unders but they faced the low-scoring Kings and then a Spurs team that certainly knows how to play some defense. Also, those games were at home. Now Los Angeles is back on the road where the over has gone 5-1 in their last 6 games. Also, the Lakers are being hosted by a Mavericks team that has scored 114 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games! The over is 5-2 in those 7 games and Dallas has shot 47% or better in 10 of their last 12 games including 50% or better in 8 of those games! The over is 5-2 this season in Lakers games against teams from the Southwest Division. More of the same here. 8* OVER the total in Dallas |
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01-13-18 | Creighton v. Xavier OVER 167.5 | Top | 70-92 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach CBB Game #543 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Xavier Musketeers vs Creighton Bluejays @ 2 ET - The Musketeers have not shot well in their last two games (both unders) but they are now back home where they've been a different "animal" this season! As for Creighton, they have stayed under the total in 4 straight games but the Bluejays are still shooting the ball quite well and I am expecting a shootout here. This is a series that is on an 11-4 run to the over including 5-1 to the over in the last 6 played at Xavier. The Musketeers are averaging 88 points per game at home this season and the Bluejays are averaging 90 points overall this season. Creighton has averaged 82.5 points per game in their last two visits to Xavier and are certainly familiar with playing here. Both teams hitting 50% of their shots this season and both shoot the ball very well from 3 point land. Creighton is at 38.5% on the season and the Musketeers at 36.2% in home games this season. The over is 6-2 when the Bluejays are a road dog of 3.5 to 6 points. After being held to just 65 points in a loss at Villanova, the Musketeers respond here but Creighton is going to be scoring right along with them and that results in the aforementioned shootout I am expecting here. 10* OVER the total in Xavier |
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01-13-18 | Purdue v. Minnesota +8.5 | 81-47 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #526 Saturday 8* Minnesota Golden Gophers (+) vs Purdue Boilermakers @ Noon ET - The Golden Gophers are off of an embarrassing loss at Northwestern. They certainly were still adjusting without Amir Coffey and Reggie Lynch. Rest assured, the Golden Gophers will play much better at home in this one even though those two players are still out. Minnesota shot an unreal 30% from the field plus allowed 83 points. The Golden Gophers are 3-1 SU when they are off of a game this season where they allowed 80 or more points. Also, Minnesota is 7-2 ATS when, after the midway point of a season, they face a team that averages 77 points or more per game. In other words, look for the Golden Gophers to "D up" here at home after that embarrassing loss. Last season Minnesota won at Purdue and the Golden Gophers home loss in this series came by just 4 points in the prior season. I expect another tight one here as Minny wants to make up for their effort against the Wildcats and they're relishing this opportunity to knock off a highly ranked Big Ten foe at home. Purdue is off of a tight win at Michigan and they are 1-3 ATS this season when off of a win in conference action. 8* MINNESOTA |
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01-12-18 | Nets v. Hawks UNDER 211 | 110-105 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #808 Friday 8* UNDER the total in Atlanta Hawks vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:35 ET - Two bad teams meet up here and this could be very ugly. The Hawks are off of a RARE game where they shot the ball well as they got an upset win at Denver Wednesday. Prior to that game, Atlanta had gone 7 straight games without shooting better than 44.9% from the field. 6 of the Hawks last 8 games have stayed under the total and Atlanta has allowed just 42.2% from the field in their last two games and both of those were on the road. At home the Hawks have allowed just 42.8% from the field in their last two games and they should have no trouble keeping the Nets in check here. Brooklyn has been struggling mightily on the offensive end and a road game is unlikely to help the shooters suddenly get hot. The Nets have been held to just 36.5% from the field in their last 3 games! The under has cashed in 17 of their last 23 games! Also, Brooklyn has stayed under the total in 8 of their 10 games versus Southeast Division teams this season! The Hawks are playing with home loss revenge here but have stayed under in 26 of 40 when in that situation. Also, Atlanta is off of that upset win at Denver and they've stayed under in 5 of 6 this season when off of an outright win as an underdog this season. When facing a team that allows an average of 106 points or more per game, the Hawks have stayed under the total in 40 of 62 games. More of the same here. 8* UNDER the total in Atlanta |
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01-12-18 | Cavs -125 v. Pacers | Top | 95-97 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Divisional Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #801 Wednesday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers (-) @ Indiana Pacers @ 7:05 ET - The Cavs have been "left for dead" due their current slump and they got thoroughly embarrassed last night at Toronto. Of course the Cavaliers certainly could have been looking ahead to this rematch with Indiana. Yes it was Cleveland that knocked the Pacers out of the post-season last year but now it is the Cavs seeking revenge as they've lost both games to the division rival Pacers so far this season. I like the fact that Cleveland opened up as a 4 point favorite here but that the line has now come down so low that the Cavaliers are as low as a 1.5 point fave which actually makes the money line a very solid value here if you have access to it. The one good thing about the fact that Cleveland has been blown out in their last two games is that LeBron James (among others) has received extra rest as a result. That said, the Cavs have fresh legs tonight even though this is the 2nd game of a back to back. Look for revenge-minded Cleveland to finally put together a strong effort on defense plus attack the boards. Also, the Cavs are expected to rest Isaiah Thomas tonight but he struggled badly last night and his absence could actually help more than hurt at Indiana! As for the Pacers, they haven't exactly been on fire either as they've lost 6 of their last 8 games. Additionally, Indiana has lost SU 16 of the 24 times they've been a dog this season while the Cavaliers have won 12 of 17 SU when they are playing with revenge. 10* CLEVELAND |
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01-12-18 | Marquette v. Butler OVER 158 | Top | 83-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #821 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Butler Bulldogs vs Marquette Golden Eagles @ 6:30 ET - After a 12-3 start to the season, Butler has lost 3 straight games. How to snap the slump? They'll turn to an offense that is averaging 88 points per game at home this season. The only problem here for the Bulldogs is that the Golden Eagles can score right along with them. Marquette has won 10 of its last 13 games and they've averaged 89 points per game in true road games and 84.7 points per game in neutral site games. The point is that, even away from home, the Golden Eagles offense is very dangerous. Marquette's defense is a continual weakness though and they've allowed 80 points or more in 5 of their 6 games played away from home this season. The Bulldogs defense has also left plenty lacking as they've allowed 85 points or more in all 5 Big East match-ups and have allowed 50% from the field in their last 4 games. The over is 9-1 in the Bulldogs last 10 games. The over is 5-1 in Marquette's 6 games played away from home. That's a combined 14-2 (88%) mark favoring the over in this one. 10* OVER the total in Butler |
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01-12-18 | Brown v. Yale -8 | 72-78 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach CBB Game #820 Friday 8* Yale Bulldogs (-) vs Brown Bears @ 5:30 ET - The Bears have the better record so far this season but the Bulldogs have played the much tougher non-conference schedule. Now that Ivy League action gets underway, Yale is going to benefit from all those tough non-conference match-ups they endured. The Bulldogs are without forward Jordan Bruner and guard Makai Mason. However, they were without those players most of last season too and yet they still finished 3rd in the conference. As for Brown, they were at the bottom of the Ivy League standings last season with a 4-10 conference record and a similar result is expected this season. Yale is 3-0 SU (and 2-0 ATS) when off of a game where they were held to 66 points or less this season. That said, with the Bulldogs off of a 74-60 loss at Georgia Tech Saturday, look for another big win here. Brown is off of a win but it came against New Jersey Tech and the game was played in Providence and that was over a week ago. In other words, don't be surprised if the Bears are very rusty here as this is their first game in nearly a week and a half. The home team is offering great line value here and I'll lay the points with the battle-tested Bulldogs. 8* YALE |
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01-11-18 | Maryland +4.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 69-91 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
ESPN Smash Pass - Rickenbach CBB Game #513 Thursday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins (+) @ Ohio State Buckeyes @ 7 ET - The Terrapins are already without Justin Jackson and Ivan Bender and now they lost Dion Wiley for this game. Certainly this has impacted the depth of the Terps but they didn't have Wiley in the 2nd half of their big win over Iowa and it was the 2nd half where Maryland made their big run against the Hawkeyes. That said, the fact this game is on regular rest (haven't played since Sunday) and the fact the Buckeyes are off of a huge upset win over Michigan State, this is a great spot to back the road dog. Maryland has won 4 straight meetings with Ohio State and Maryland lost by 30 points to the same Spartans team that the Buckeyes just rolled by 18 points. You can bet that the Terrapins are well aware of all this and are looking to make a statement against a Buckeyes team that is likely to get caught still celebrating this win. The Terps are on a 13-6 ATS run as an underdog and certainly this is their preferred role at the betting window! Ohio State is 11-19 ATS (including 2-4 ATS this season) in games with a posted total in the 140s. The Buckeyes will be caught back on their heels in this one as the Terrapins look to make up for the ugly loss at Michigan State in their most recent road game. 10* MARYLAND |
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01-11-18 | Samford v. The Citadel OVER 175 | 107-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #575 Thursday 8* OVER the total in The Citadel Bulldogs vs Samford Bulldogs @ 6 ET - This total opened up at 179.5 and quickly dropped down to a 175 and there is exceptional value with the over here. The Citadel are allowing 92 points per game this season and Samford has shot 54% or better from the field in 4 of their last 6 games. Samford has averaged 82 points per game in those 6 games but will easily top that as they now face one of the worst defenses in the nation. Citadel, though very poor defensively, should score a ton of points here as they are averaging 94.4 points per game at home this season. The over is 4-2 this season Citadel's games with a posted total of 170 points or more. Samford, when after the midway point of a season, faces a team that averages 77 points or more per game, has gone 11-2 to the over! 8* OVER the total in The Citadel |
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01-11-18 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | 114-103 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #902 Thursday 8* Philadelphia 76ers (+) vs Boston Celtics @ 3:05 ET (Game played in London) - This is a neutral site game even though the Sixers are listed as the home team. That said, why are the 33-10 Celtics listed as such a small favorite against a Philadelphia team that is improved but still only playing .500 ball on the season? Precisely! As you know, when something looks too good to be true it usually is and, in this case, the Celtics are priced this way with good reason! The 76ers are the play here! Though Boston has won 6 straight games Philly has won 4 straight games and 5 of their last 6. The Sixers blew out Detroit by 36 points in their most recent game. Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS this season when off of a win by a double digit margin. Also, the 76ers are 22-9 ATS in January games the past 2+ seasons. The Celtics are 17-23 ATS in divisional games the past 2+ seasons and I expect Boston to drop to 0-3 ATS this season when off of a game where they allowed 85 points or less. Off of a tight 2-point win at Brooklyn, look for the Celtics to fall short here as the Sixers have been shooting the ball much better than Boston has in recent games. 8* PHILADELPHIA |
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01-11-18 | Lafayette +8.5 v. Army | 71-81 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach CBB Game #611 Thursday 8* Lafayette Leopards (+) @ Army Black Knights @ Noon ET - Lafayette played the tougher non-conference schedule in comparison with Army and it has helped the Leopards to be ready for for conference play. Though they're coming off of an OT loss, Lafayette has been ultra-competitive and were going for their 3rd straight win before succumbing to Bucknell in overtime. 5 of the Leopards 7 losses since Thanksgiving have come by 5 points or less. Army is off of a win at American but the Black Knights turned the ball over 25 times in that game. Army is only 4-4 SU in their last 8 games and 2 of their last 5 wins have been by 7 points or less. With more sloppy guard play expected here (25 team turnovers versus the Eagles), I look for the Black Knights to struggle to pull away in this one and it is likely to be a tight game all the way. Teams in the Patriot League don't get a lot of "lined" games but the Leopards are 4-1 ATS their last 5 in conference action. Army is 0-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. Combined 6-1 (86%) ATS spot favoring the road dog in this one. 8* LAFAYETTE |
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01-10-18 | Magic v. Bucks OVER 216.5 | Top | 103-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach NBA Game #711 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic @ 8:05 ET - I am not expecting to see much defense in this one! The Bucks are off of an ugly loss at division rival Indiana and they have a big game on deck against the World Champion Warriors. In other words, it is hard to blame Milwaukee for overlooking a 12-29 Orlando team. That said, very little defense here! The Bucks are 11-2 to the over this season in their games against teams with a losing record. Also, Milwaukee is 38-18 to the over long-term when they are entering a game off of a loss by a double digit margin. As for the Magic, their game at Dallas last night barely stayed under the total. Orlando did allow 114 points in that game and they've now allowed 120.3 points per game their last 3 games. The Bucks have allowed 114.6 points per game in their last 5 games. The over is 4-1 the last 5 times the Magic have had a back to back. In fact, on the season, in the 2nd game of a back to back Orlando is averaging 107.7 points per game. With the line on this game right around a 10 there is no reason to expect anything less than a 118-108 type game here which easily gets it over. I am expecting about 230 in this one. Both teams are allowing 38.6% three pointers this season and both teams shoot the 3-ball rather well (35.4%) also! 10* OVER the total in Milwaukee |
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01-10-18 | Xavier +9.5 v. Villanova | Top | 65-89 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
TV Big East Beast - Rickenbach CBB Game #763 Wednesday 10* Top Play Xavier Musketeers (+) @ Villanova Wildcats @ 8 ET - Xavier is off of a poor performance at Providence but it was not a huge surprise as they were clearly looking ahead to this showdown with the Wildcats at Villanova. Also, the Musketeers did play better in the 2nd half against the Friars and the difference tonight is that they'll be ready from the opening tip! Xavier had won 10 straight before the loss at Providence and were 15-1 overall on the season. The Wildcats are the #1 team in the nation and certainly should get this win at home but they are over-priced with a very challenging team coming to the Main Line to pay them a visit in Philly. The Musketeers are 82-30 SU when off of a loss against a conference rival. The Wildcats are 14-23 ATS when off of a win against a conference rival. A lot of points expected here and I look for Xavier to improve to 4-1 ATS this season in their games with a posted total in the 160s. Keep in mind, the Wildcats had trouble stopping the 3-ball in their recent games against Marquette and Butler. That said, the Musketeers are another dangerous team from three point land. 10* XAVIER |
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01-10-18 | Heat +4.5 v. Pacers | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #701 Wednesday 8* Miami Heat (+) @ Indiana Pacers @ 7:05 ET - On the surface this seems like a bad spot for the Heat. However, upon closer inspection it is the Pacers in a "sandwich" spot in terms of their schedule while Miami is going to be highly motivated here. Even though this is a back to back spot for the Heat they are still charged up after their win in Toronto last night where the Raptors seemed more interested in picking fights than playing basketball. Ultimately Miami prevailed and now they are looking to avenge one of their worst home losses of the season. The Pacers took it to the Heat (thanks to red hot shooting) in Miami in November when they won by 25 points. Keep in mind this type of result is certainly the exception rather than the norm as the Heat had won 3 of the 4 prior meetings and the lone loss came by just 4 points. The Pacers "sandwich" spot is because this is a non-divisional game sandwiched between two big divisional games. First off Indiana beat Milwaukee (a team right above them in the division) Monday. Secondly, the Pacers have a home date with Cleveland (defending Eastern Conference champs and currently in 1st place in the division) on deck for Friday. The Pacers are 4-7 ATS this season when off of a win by double digits. The Heat are a long-term 29-13 ATS when playing a game with home loss revenge and, again, that home loss was ugly! Payback here. 8* MIAMI |
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01-10-18 | Duke v. Pittsburgh UNDER 155.5 | 87-52 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #732 Wednesday 8* UNDER the total in Pittsburgh Panthers vs Duke Blue Devils @ 7 ET - The Blue Devils have trended over the total in a big way this season. However, they're coming off of a loss at NC State where they allowed 96 points. They're emphasizing defense heading into this match up at Pittsburgh as they've allowed 94.5 points per game their last two games. The only other time the Blue Devils lost this season, they followed it by allowing just 40 points in their next game (at Evansville). Coincidentally, that is Duke's lone "under" this season. Off of their 2nd loss of this season, I expect their 2nd "under" tonight. The Panthers are a young team and having trouble scoring. Pitt has averaged only 58.5 points per game their last 4 games. As an underdog this season the Panthers have stayed under in 7 of 8 games! The under has cashed in 27 of the last 37 times that Pitt has been an underdog. Considering the situation here, I expect another one to stay well under the total tonight as the Blue Devils bring an intense effort on defense to the Petersen Events Center. 8* UNDER the total in Pittsburgh |
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01-09-18 | Heat +7.5 v. Raptors | 90-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #501 Tuesday 8* Miami Heat (+) @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:35 ET - Not only is this a back to back spot for the Raptors, not only did last night's win come in OT on the road at Brooklyn, Toronto also saw Kyle Lowry get hurt and exit the game very late. Early indications are back spasms but, even if the plays tonight, he won't be 100%. The Raptors are vulnerable here in the 2nd game of a back to back and, though Toronto has been hot, Miami has been very hot too and are definitely the more rested team here. The Heat have won 4 straight games and 11 of their last 15. This will be only the 4th game in the last 10 days for Miami. For Toronto, this is their 5th game in 9 days. The Raptors have held the upper hand in this series in recent meetings and that is particularly true in games played in Toronto. With that said, look for the Heat to take advantage of the situation here and get some revenge! The Raptors are just 1-2 in their last 3 back to backs and the lone win came by only 5 points. Strong shooting performances by Miami has helped lead the way to 4 straight overs. That holds significance here as the Heat have gone 9-3 SU when they enter a game on an over streak of 3 games or more. Toronto is 10-18 ATS (including 1-3 ATS this season) in Tuesday games. More of the same here. 8* MIAMI |
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01-09-18 | Baylor v. West Virginia OVER 147 | 54-57 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #527 Tuesday 8* OVER the total in West Virginia Mountaineers vs Baylor Bears @ 7 ET - The Mountaineers are off of an 89-76 win over Oklahoma Saturday that barely stayed under the total. West Virginia now hosts a Baylor team that beat them in their most recent meeting (in Waco in February) and that means payback is on order here. In other words, the Mountaineers certainly aren't going to take their foot off of the gas in this one. That holds significance here because West Virginia is averaging 90 points a game at home this season and they're hosting a Baylor team that averages 80 points per game so far this season. The Bears do shoot the ball very well but the Mountaineers are sure to get plenty of easy buckets in transition too thanks to being "Press Virginia" with their defense. The over is 8-3 (73%) in meetings between these teams. Also, in games with a total in the 140s, the over is 23-12 in Mountaineers games including 4-1 to the over in home games with a posted total in the 145 to 149.5 range. The over is a long-term 72-48 (60%) when the Bears are off of a win in conference action. Also, Baylor is a long-term 77-53 to the over in road games. The Mountaineers control the tempo here at home and, as usual, that will translate to plenty of points in this one. 8* OVER the total in West Virginia |
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01-09-18 | Texas Tech +3 v. Oklahoma | Top | 65-75 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach CBB Game #529 Tuesday 10* Top Play Texas Tech Red Raiders (+) @ Oklahoma Sooners @ 7 ET - Of course the money came in early on the Sooners here as they are at home and playing with revenge and opened up as a very small favorite in this one even though the game is being played in Norman. The fact is that the Red Raiders are still highly doubted by many but this is a very good Texas Tech team that plays fantastic defense, has a deep bench, and gets key contributions by using a deeper player rotation than many other teams. That is a key variable that helps them greatly here against a Sooners team that relies so heavily on their freshman phenom at point guard. The Red Raiders are allowing just 59 points per game on the season. Texas Tech is off of another strong effort versus Kansas State in their most recent game and the Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less in their prior game. Also, Texas Tech is 8-1 ATS this season in their games against teams with a winning record. Oklahoma is 8-14 ATS when, after the midway point of a season, they face a team averaging 77 points or more per game. The Sooners are also just 18-29 ATS as a favorite and the Red Raiders rebounding margin, defensive stats, and bench depth speak volumes here in a game where I am projecting the outright win but certainly am happy to grab the points being offered. 10* TEXAS TECH |
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01-09-18 | Georgetown +6.5 v. St. John's | 69-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #509 Tuesday 8* Georgetown Hoyas (+) @ St John's Red Storm @ 6:30 ET - Everyone who has followed me early this season certainly knows I am anything but enamored with Georgetown. However, this is a great spot to back the Hoyas. They are 17-7 ATS as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points and this is a key revenge game for them. The Red Storm knocked Georgetown out of the conference tourney by a single point last March. Also, in their last regular season meeting St John's prevailed by 6 points at home. While the Red Storm have those back to back wins in this series, both wins were tight and the Hoyas had previously won 3 straight in this series by a margin of 20 points or more. This is an unusual price range for the Red Storm and they have covered just 1 time the last 5 times they've been a home favorite in a range of 6.5 to 9 points. Also, when St John's enters a game on a losing streak of 3 or more games, the Red Storm have gone 3-19 SU. Marcus LoVett is out for St John's this evening and the Hoyas are hungry to get back on the floor after an embarrassing home loss to Creighton Saturday. Revenge time for the road dog in this one. 8* GEORGETOWN |
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01-08-18 | Bucks v. Pacers OVER 214 | Top | 96-109 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #701 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:05 ET - The Bucks are 17-3-2 to the over in their last 22 games. You read that right...85% over their last 22 games. Milwaukee has shot 47% or better from the field in 10 straight games. Indiana averages 107 points per game on the season and the Bucks are averaging 106 points per game on the season. Both teams allow just as much as they put up. The Pacers are off of a blowout win over Chicago and the over is a perfect 3-0 the last 3 times that Indiana has held a team under 100 points. The Bucks are off of an upset win as an underdog and Milwaukee is 5-1 to the over this season when off an outright win as a dog. Also, the over is 12-5 this season in Bucks road games! These teams met last week in Milwaukee and the teams combined for 223 points despite Victor Oladipo being out. Now the Pacers leading scorer is back and I expect a high-scoring back and forth shootout here. 3 of the last 4 times the Pacers have hosted the Bucks the game has gone over the total. More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Indiana |
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01-08-18 | Navy +4.5 v. Colgate | Top | 62-70 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach CBB Game #717 Monday 10* Top Play Navy Midshipmen (+) @ Colgate Raiders @ 5 ET - The Midshipmen have won 10 of their last 13 games. Just like Colgate, Navy returned 4 starters this season. The difference is that the Midshipmen have proven they do play up to their potential while the Raiders continue to underperform. On paper, Colgate looks good but they just continue to fall short on the court. The Raiders are 2-1 in Patriot League action but their two wins came against American and Holy Cross. Those two teams are two of the three weakest teams in the conference. Colgate's 2 prior wins came against Pitt-Bradford and New Jersey Tech - not exactly powerhouses! Prior to that the Raiders had lost 4 straight and they do enter this game off of a loss to Lafayette and the Leopards are projected to finish dead last in the Patriot League. With that said, Colgate is being priced here based on home court edge but that would be home court edge if they were the better team. They truly are NOT the better team and that means we are getting a favorable line here with the much better team. The Midshipmen are 15-4 SU in January games. The Raiders are 8-20 SU in games against teams with a winning record. 10* NAVY |
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01-07-18 | Spurs v. Blazers OVER 198.5 | Top | 110-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Game #807 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs @ 9:05 ET - The Spurs will be without Kawhi Leonard here and while many people look at his point production, make no mistake about it, his absence certainly impacts the defense of San Antonio. The last time these teams met it was also in Portland and the Spurs got out of town with a tight 2-point win but the Trail Blazers had 96 field goal attempts in the game but had an off shooting night. They'll bounce back here and I expect a huge game from Portland but look for San Antonio to score right along with them. The Spurs have scored at least 100 points in 6 of their last 7 games. In fact, in those 6 games San Antonio averaged 107.5 points per game. The Blazers have scored 110 points or more in 3 straight games. The Spurs are 21-12 to the over the last 33 times they've been an underdog. Before the most recent game between these teams stayed under the total (again Blazers shot poorly that night), 5 of the last 7 meetings between these teams had gone over the total. More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Portland |
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01-07-18 | Arizona State -2.5 v. Utah | Top | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
ESPN Smash Pass - Rickenbach CBB Game #843 Sunday 10* Top Play Arizona State Sun Devils (-) @ Utah Utes @ 8 ET - The Sun Devils started the season 12-0 and then lost by 6 at Arizona. Of course this let the wind out of their sails and it wasn't a complete surprise when they then fell flat at Colorado and lost by 9 as a 9-point favorite. Now, after getting that game out of the way where they suffered "unbeaten letdown" after the loss to the Wildcats, the Sun Devils should come roaring back here. Enough is enough and this is a team that certainly proved themselves in early season wins over Kansas and Xavier. Now it is time to get rolling in conference action and a win at Utah is what ASU needs (and gets!) tonight. The Utes have been a nemesis for the Sun Devils in recent seasons and Arizona State lost at home last season plus got embarrassed two years ago in their most recent visit to Utah. The Sun Devils lost that game by 35 points and were down 44-10 at halftime. You can bet that ASU has revenge on their minds here and yet we are getting a low line here because of the back to back losses that Arizona State just suffered after their 12-0 start. Keep in mind, ASU is 9-0 ATS this season when off of a game where they scored 80 points or more. Utah, in home games with a posted total between 155 and 159.5 points, is 0-3 ATS in recent seasons. That means we have a combined 12-0, 100% ATS stat working in our favor here and I love this situation for the under-valued Sun Devils as they respond after B2B losses. 10* ARIZONA STATE |
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01-07-18 | Jazz +4 v. Heat | 102-103 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #801 Sunday 8* Utah Jazz (+) @ Miami Heat @ 3:35 ET - The Jazz were held to just 74 points in their home loss to Miami two months ago. Shockingly, they had a 49-37 lead at halftime in that game! Scoring just 25 points at home in the entire second half of a game is something a team does not forget and payback is on order here! The 74 points that Utah scored against the Heat remains their season low and, after this game, the Jazz won't see Miami again until next season. In other words, Sunday "it is on!" and I expect a huge game from the road dog in this one. The road team has covered 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams. Also, Miami is just 5-12 ATS at home this season plus the Heat are only 1-4 ATS in Sunday games this season. The Jazz are off of a loss at Denver but are 27-15 SU the past 3 seasons when off of a divisional game. 8* UTAH |
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01-07-18 | Temple +4.5 v. UCF | 39-60 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #813 Sunday 8* Temple Owls (+) @ Central Florida Golden Knights @ Noon ET - This line opened up at a -3 and, of course, everyone jumped all over 11-4 Central Florida at home over 7-7 Temple on the road. In typical contrarian fashion I am on the other side here. The Owls were swept by the Golden Knights last season and it is time for revenge. Also, 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams have been decided by just 2 points each! In other words, with this line having moved up to 4.5 there is a lot of value with the dog in this match-up. Yes, Central Florida has the better record but Temple has played the tougher schedule. The Owls enter this game on a losing streak of 4 straight games but the last two losses have each come by 3 points or less. Also, Temple is 4-0 ATS when they enter a game on a losing streak of 3 or more games. 8* TEMPLE |
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01-06-18 | Kansas -1 v. TCU | Top | 88-84 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach CBB Game #649 Saturday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks (-) @ TCU Horned Frogs @ 9:15 ET - This is a huge revenge game for Kansas. They were knocked out of the Big 12 Tournament in the quarterfinals last year in a tight loss to TCU. The fact that this game is in Texas actually helps because it means the line is manageable. In fact, the line is basically a pick'em which is a great value. Yes the Jayhawks looked awful in their loss to Texas Tech but that was a wake-up call for this team and clearly Kansas was also likely peeking ahead to this game which was circled on their calendars. The Jayhawks are 57-12 SU (including 6-0 past 2 seasons) when they are off of a loss in Big 12 action. Also, Kansas is 75-15 SU when off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more! In recent seasons, the Jayhawks are 56-12 SU against teams with a winning record while the Horned Frogs are 24-36 SU. I fully realize that TCU is an improving basketball program but they're still catching a revenge-minded Jayhawks team at absolutely the wrong time and Kansas (and head coach Bill Self) will be ready to go here! The Horned Frogs are 12-31 SU in conference games in recent seasons. The Jayhawks are 35-7 SU over the same time period. 10* KANSAS |
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01-06-18 | Pelicans v. Wolves OVER 217 | Top | 98-116 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
Annihilation Top Play - Rickenbach NBA Game #513 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 9:05 ET - The Timberwolves are off a low-scoring loss at Boston and have now stay under the total in 5 straight games. However, 4 of those 5 games were on the road and before that most recent under at home the Timberwolves had gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 home games. In fact, Minnesota is averaging 114.5 points per game in their last 6 home games. They're hosting a high-scoring, sharp-shooting New Orleans team whose average game this season totals 222 points! It is no wonder that 8 of the last 9 meetings between these teams has resulted in an over and I expect another one here! The over is 15-7 this season when the Pelicans are playing with revenge. Also, the over is 13-6 in New Orleans games against teams with a winning record and the over is 11-4 this season when the Pelicans are an underdog. The Wolves are happy to be back home but the Pelicans scored 122 points in their last visit and are seeking revenge. This one has the makings of a shootout! 10* OVER the total in Minnesota |
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01-06-18 | Oklahoma v. West Virginia OVER 172 | 76-89 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
ESPN Smash Pass - Rickenbach CBB Game #633 Saturday 8* OVER the total in West Virginia Mountaineers vs Oklahoma Sooners @ 7:15 ET - This total opened up at a 176 and dropped rather quickly to 172. Keep in mind, the Sooners have played 13 games this season and have never been held below 82 points. Also note that the Mountaineers opened up as a favorite of about a half dozen points. That means that even if Oklahoma matches their worst output on offense so far this season and the odds makers were right about the West Virginia opening spread as a favorite, we are already "right there" with this total. With that said, I certainly don't expect OU to have their worst offensive showing here. I expect a very fast paced game with a lot of transition points because of the way these two teams play. Of course I know West Virginia has a great perimeter defender that will be the key player tasked with slowing down Oklahoma's phenom freshman. However, if the Mountaineers focus too much on that, they certainly are leaving a lot of other key scoring options open and the freshman phenom is a tremendous passer. The Sooners are going to score plenty here but, keep in mind, they also give up a ton of points because of their fast-paced style leaving them short-handed on defense at times. That sets this one up well to be an absolute shootout likely to finish somewhere in the 180s or 190s. Oklahoma has scored an average of 102 points per game in their last 4 games. West Virginia has scored an average of 90 points per game at home this season. The over is 11-1 in Sooners games this season. The over is a long-term 86-56 in Mountaineers Saturday games and you know it will be an electric atmosphere for this Saturday night home game! 8* OVER the total in West Virginia |
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01-05-18 | Knicks v. Heat OVER 202 | Top | 103-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach NBA Game #801 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Miami Heat vs New York Knicks @ 8:05 ET - The series between these two teams has a history that has certainly trended under in recent seasons. However, the situation here as well as the way these two teams have been playing of late, certainly lends itself to a solid over in this one. The Knicks have averaged 105 points per game in their last 3 road games. However, the New York defense has allowed 108 points per game in their last 9 road games. Miami has averaged 114 points per game in their last 2 games and they are filled with confidence after shooting 51% from the field in each of those two games. Like the Knicks however, the Heat have left a lot to be desired on the defensive end of late. Not only is Miami allowing an average of 109 points per game their last 3 games, the Heat have given up 101 points or more in 6 of their last 8 games. On the season, both teams shoot quite well (particularly from 3 point land) but they both allow solid shooting (also particularly from beyond the arc). The over is 8-3 in New York's last 11 road games and they've allowed 103 points or more in 10 of those 11 games! The over is 4-2 the last 6 times the Heat have hosted an Eastern Conference opponent. 10* OVER the total in Miami |
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01-05-18 | Wolves +4 v. Celtics | 84-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #805 Friday 8* Minnesota Timberwolves (+) @ Boston Celtics @ 7:05 ET - Perfect set up here with the Timberwolves off of a tight one point loss at Brooklyn on Wednesday while the Celtics are off of a huge double digit revenge win over the Cavaliers the very same night. Boston can't help but be a little flat here after that key victory while Minnesota comes into this one very hungry. Also, Minny is playing this game with double revenge as they lost both match-ups to the Celtics last season. Additionally, Minnesota has not lost back to back games since prior to Thanksgiving. This team has done a great job of bouncing back off of a loss and I expect them to do it again here. 11-3 SU is the Timberwolves record when off of a loss this season and here we are getting them plus a few points so I'll gladly take it. Boston is 8-13 ATS when they enter a game having played each of their prior games at home and this is definitely a spot in which they are likely to be complacent after the huge win over LeBron James and company. 8* MINNESOTA |
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01-05-18 | Wisconsin v. Rutgers +3 | Top | 60-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
TV Top Play - Rickenbach CBB Game #828 Friday 10* Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+) vs Wisconsin Badgers @ 7 ET - The Badgers are very banged up in the backcourt right now with three guards listed on their injury report. Wisconsin has won 5 of 6 meetings with Rutgers but it was no mistake when the oddsmakers opened up this game at very nearly a pick'em price. The betting markets have given us a lot of value here as they have driven this line all the way up to as high as a 3 as of early gameday morning. This offering solid home dog value to the Scarlet Knights. Admittedly the Badgers have played a tougher schedule than Rutgers has. However, the injury situation in the backcourt is certainly concerning for Wisconsin. Also, the Badgers are allowing 46% shooting from the field (including 36% from three point land). By comparison, Rutgers is allowing only 37.6% from the field (including a paltry 30.2% from beyond the arc). The point is that the Scarlet Knights have been more attentive to defense this season and the Badgers are still adjusting after losing a lot of key players coming into his season and now having some key injuries on top of that! Wisconsin is 3-8 ATS this season when playing against a team with a winning record. Also, the Badgers are a long-term 1-6 ATS in road games with a posted total in the 120s. Even though Rutgers is playing on short rest here, they are 5-2 ATS when playing with 1 day or less of rest between games. Also, the Scarlet Knights are a perfect 5-0 ATS this season in their home games! 10* RUTGERS |
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01-05-18 | Akron v. Toledo OVER 152 | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #821 Friday 8* OVER the total in Toledo Rockets vs Akron Zips @ 6:30 ET - Both these teams are hitting a high percentage of threes as the Zips are knocking down 38.4% of their threes and the Rockets have hit 39.7% from beyond the arc this season. Neither team plays very well defensively as they both allow in the 45% range from the field and 36% from three point land. Akron has given up 79 points or more in 6 of its last 7 lined games. Toledo has given up 77 points or more in 6 of its last 8 lined games. The over is on a 4-2 run in Zips games and a 5-1 run in Rockets games. The over is on a 12-6 run in January games for Akron. The Rockets have that same 12-6 over mark in January games. Also, Toledo is 4-0 to the over in home games this season and they are a long-term 14-4 to the over in home games where they are favored in a range of 9.5 to 12 points. Certainly the Rockets are happy to be back home for the first time in over two weeks and they are a long-term 8-4 to the over when they enter a game having played each of their 3 prior games on the road. 8* OVER the total in Toledo |
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01-04-18 | Houston v. Wichita State OVER 151.5 | Top | 63-81 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach CBB Game #505 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Wichita State Shockers vs Houston Cougars @ 7 ET - The Shockers will be ready to put on a show in their first conference home game as a member of the American Athletic Conference. Wichita State has shot the ball very well this season and they are averaging 92 points per game in their home games. Houston also is shooting the ball very well and both of these teams are very dangerous (40%!) from three point land. I expect this game to be played at a lively place with plenty of run and gun as the Cougars aren't afraid to turn the game over to their quick scorers. The over is 4-1 this season in Wichita State's home games. Also, the Shockers are 12-5 to the over in January games the past two seasons. Wichita State is also a perfect 4-0 to the over in home games with a posted total of 150 to 154.5 points the past two seasons. 10* OVER the total in Wichita State |
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01-04-18 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 229 | Top | 124-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
TNT Annihilation - Rickenbach NBA Game #501 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors @ 8:05 ET - The fact that the Rockets are without top scorer James Harden could actually help this game get over the total. How is that? Well the fact is that Harden does drive to the basket, force contact, and shoot free throws. The difference with him being out is that the Rockets are going to be jacking up even more threes. Houston is known for hitting threes at a high percentage (particularly at home) and now the Warriors are in town with Stephen Curry shooting lights out in his first two games since coming back from injury. The point is that the Warriors and Rockets are very likely to get into a very high-scoring shootout in this one. Since Curry returned for Golden State, their two games have averaged 258 points! For the Rockets, they poured in 116 points last night and the game only stayed under the total due to the ineptitude of the Magic offense as well as the fact that Houston was then able to coast to victory and rest up for tonight's big game. The over is 6-2 this season when the Warriors are off of a game where they allowed 115 points or more. The over is 30-18 the past 2+ seasons in Rockets games against Pacific Division opponents. 10* OVER the total in Houston |
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01-04-18 | Eastern Illinois v. Morehead State -3 | 61-52 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #572 Thursday 8* Morehead State Eagles (-) vs Eastern Illinois Panthers @ 6 ET - The Panthers are in a tough spot here. They've struggled badly on the road and are still trying to adjust to the fact that their most important player, Terrell Lewis, is out with an ankle injury. He is a point guard that led Eastern Illinois in minutes last season and was averaging 35.4 minutes per game this season before he got hurt. The Panthers miss their floor leader and, as noted above, they have been struggling badly on the road. Eastern Illinois is shooting only 36.5% from the field on the road with an awful 29.6% from three point land in away games. They now face a Morehead State team that, although rebuilding, is responding well to new head coach Preston Spradlin. The Eagles are shooting 50.8% in home games this season including 37.9% from three point land and, as a result, laying the small number on Morehead State here should prove well worth it. The Eagles are 9-3 ATS when off of a loss in Ohio Valley Conference action. The Panthers are 2-9 ATS (including 0-5 this season) when off of a game where they were held to 60 points or less. 8* MOREHEAD STATE |
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01-03-18 | Oklahoma State +10 v. Oklahoma | Top | 89-109 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
ESPN Smash Pass - Rickenbach CBB Game #781 Wednesday 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys (+) @ Oklahoma Sooners @ 9 ET - Yes, this is a huge revenge game for the Sooners after getting swept by the Cowboys last season. Yes, Oklahoma returned more key players this season than Oklahoma State did. However, the key here is that Oklahoma State has responded very well to Mike Boynton whom has taken over the head coaching reigns from Brad Underwood. The Cowboys play with confidence, they're playing well on the defensive end, and they believe in themselves. Yes, Oklahoma State did lose at home to West Virginia and they blew a decent lead in doing so. However, that type of loss only makes them hungrier coming into a rivalry game like this. Though Oklahoma has the more impressive shooting stats and puts up big numbers on offense, Oklahoma State is the better team defensively. The Cowboys have allowed 12.7 points less per game plus they defend the 3-ball much better than OU does. The Sooners are 3-6 ATS as a favorite this season and, in my opinion, they are over-priced again here. Remember, revenge tends to get over-played and over-valued and I expect the Cowboys - off of a loss - to come up with a very strong effort here. Look for Oklahoma State to improve to 4-0 ATS in road games with a posted total in the 160s while Oklahoma drops to 4-8 ATS in games with a posted total in the 160s. The Sooners are 6-12 ATS when off of a win in conference action. Also, OU is on a long-term 17-29 ATS run as a favorite. 10* OKLAHOMA STATE |
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01-03-18 | Indiana State +8 v. Loyola-Chicago | 61-57 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach CBB Game #763 Wednesday 8* Indiana State Sycamores (+) @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers @ 8 ET - Since point guard Clayton Custer has been out with an ankle injury for the Ramblers, they've had 3 lined games and gone just 1-2 SU and the win came by only 7 points. There is good value here with the big dog Sycamores. While Loyola Chicago is off of a win, Indiana State is off of a tight 3-point loss thanks to hitting only 19% from three point land. The Sycamores are hungry as a result and they're also playing with revenge here as they have lost 3 straight to Loyola Chicago with both defeats last season coming by double digits. Suffice to say it is time for some payback here and Indiana State, though only 5-6 SU in their last 11 games, has seen 5 of those 6 losses come by 8 points or less. In other words, give the Sycamores +8 in each of their last 11 games and you would have only lost 1 bet! Look for Indiana State to improve to 4-1 ATS the last 5 times they've been a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points. Loyola Chicago drops to 1-4 ATS in games with a posted total in the 130s this season. 8* INDIANA STATEÂ Â |
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01-03-18 | Wolves v. Nets OVER 214 | 97-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Game #707 Wednesday 8* OVER the total in Brooklyn Nets vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:35 ET - The Nets are off of a tight low-scoring win over Orlando Monday but don't be fooled by the low scoring in that game. The Magic had 96 shots in that game but simply shot poorly that night. The point is that the pace was there for an over but it just did not come to fruition. Also, prior to that game, Brooklyn had at least 90 field goal attempts in 4 of their last 5 games. The Nets had averaged 110.7 points per game in their 6 games prior to scoring just 98 versus the Magic. Brooklyn now host a Timberwolves team that has scored at least 106 points in 10 of their last 11 games. Minnesota is off a big win versus the Lakers that barely stayed under the total (and truly had no business resulting in an under as the scoring died late). The over is 14-7 in the Timberwolves games against Atlantic Division opponents. The over is 19-7 in the Nets games against Northwest Division opponents. Each team has Boston on deck too so they've got a bigger game on deck and there certainly won't much defensive intensity in this one. This is especially true with both of these teams off of wins too. 8* OVER the total in Brooklyn |
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01-03-18 | Rockets v. Magic +8 | 116-98 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #706 Wednesday 8* Orlando Magic (+) vs Houston Rockets @ 7:05 ET - The Rockets already were struggling and now things went from bad to worse with James Harden's hamstring injury. Houston had lost 5 straight games before their non-covering multiple overtime win over the Lakers on Sunday. That ATS loss dropped the Rockets to 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games. The Magic are off of a tough non-cover at Brooklyn Monday as they were as high as a 2-point dog but blew a late lead and lost the game by 3. Orlando actually had 14 more field goal attempts than the Nets in that game but poor shooting did them in. Look for them to bounce back here. The last 4 times that Orlando has been held under 41% from the field, only once have they lost their next game by more than 7 points. Look for the Magic to stay tight with the wounded Rockets tonight as it certainly helps that Orlando is at home for this one too. Also, Houston has a huge home game with Golden State on deck for tomorrow night! The Magic are a surprising 3-1 ATS and SU against Southwest Division opponents this season and certainly could catch the Rockets looking ahead here. Also, Houston is an ugly 6-12 ATS when off of a game where they scored 130 points or more. 8* ORLANDO |
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01-03-18 | Knicks v. Wizards OVER 210 | Top | 103-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #701 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks @ 7:05 ET - The Knicks are off of a home loss last night that got ugly in the 4th quarter as nobody could hit shots. Both the Spurs and Knicks played at the type of pace last night that should result in an over but, instead, the game fell short of the number due to poor shooting and a late collapse from the scorers of both teams. I'll get my payback tonight as I come right back with a Knicks over knowing that New York is 5-1 to the over this season in the 2nd game of a back to back. Also, the Wizards are 22-13 to the over the past 2+ seasons when they enter a game with 2 days of rest between games. Washington is on a 4-1 run their last 5 games and averaging 115 points per game during this hot stretch. For the Knicks, last night's game was just the 4th time in 13 games that New York didn't score more than 100 points in a game. They'll bounce back tonight in a typical "run and gun" affair involving these two teams as 5 of the last 7 meetings have gone over the total. The last 4 meetings between these teams have averaged 220 points a game and I expect to see at least that tonight! 10* OVER the total in Washington |
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01-03-18 | Marquette v. Providence OVER 151 | 95-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #725 Wednesday 8* OVER the total in Providence Friars vs Marquette Golden Eagles @ 6:30 ET - Both of these teams shoot the 3-ball very well. Marquette is knocking down 40.6% and Providence 38.8% from beyond the arc on the season. The Golden Eagles have stayed under the total in 3 of their last 4 and the Friars have been held under 65 points in 4 of their last 6 games. That is helping to give us some line value here as Providence will be ready for an offensive explosion at home. Before scoring just 64 points at Creighton, the Friars had averaged 91.5 points per game in their two prior games. Marquette's defense is a weakness and Providence will take advantage as this one turns into a shootout. The over is 5-1 in home games for the Friars this season. The Golden Eagles are a long-term 11-5 to the over in road games with a posted total between 150 and 154.5 points. 8* OVER the total in Providence |
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01-02-18 | Arkansas -2 v. Mississippi State | Top | 75-78 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach CBB Game #549 Tuesday 10* Top Play Arkansas Razorbacks (-) @ Mississippi State Bulldogs @ 9 ET - There has been a big move toward the Bulldogs here but I feel it will prove to be a big mistake. The Razorbacks have played a much tougher schedule than Mississippi State has this season. Even with that Arkansas is 9-4 ATS this season while the Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS on the young season. Also, the last time the Razorbacks played a true road game was exactly one month ago to the day. Arkansas lost that game by 26 points at Houston and they have been anxious to make amends for that defeat and prove what they can do on the road. They'll be ready to make a statement here in Starkville where they did lose their last visit in a blowout loss. The Razorbacks also lost at home to the Bulldogs last year in January so payback is on order in this one. Arkansas has earned their ranking and Mississippi State, despite one less loss, is not ranked for a reason. The Bulldogs schedule has been so weak and they just are not at the talent level that the Razorbacks are. Also, Arkansas is the better shooting team, including much better from 3-point land. The Razorbacks are 16-6 SU after a game in which they allowed 80 points or more. The Hogs are also 5-1 ATS (and SU) when they face a team that is allowing 64 points or less per game. The Bulldogs are 6-11 ATS after a game in which they scored 80 points or more. 10* ARKANSAS |
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01-02-18 | Spurs v. Knicks OVER 198.5 | Top | 100-91 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher NBA Game #503 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:35 ET - The Spurs are off of a horrific shooting performance at Detroit where they netted only 79 points. Now they face the same Knicks team they just lit up for 119 points on Thursday. New York comes into this game off of a win and the Knicks have averaged 106 points in their last two games. That said, they'll be willing to "run and gun" at home in this one and the Spurs will oblige as they are looking for a "breakout game" on offense after the horrible result in Saturday's loss to the Pistons. The Spurs are 4-1 to the over this season when off of an upset loss as a favorite. Long-term San Antonio is 140-98 to the over when off of a loss by a double digit margin. The Spurs also are 19-9 to the over in January games the past two seasons. The Knicks are 9-5 to the over in non-conference games and also 6-3 to the over when off of an upset win as an underdog. Both of those stats are current records this season and I expect another over to be added to those trends tonight. With the downward line move early on this one, I am going contrarian and going over the total here. 10* OVER the total in New York |
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01-02-18 | Butler v. Xavier -7 | 79-86 | Push | 0 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #514 Tuesday 8* Xavier Musketeers vs Butler Bulldogs @ 7 ET - The Musketeeers catch the Bulldogs off of their huge upset win over Villanova Saturday. How did Butler pull it off? Insanely hot shooting as they shot 60% from the field and 68.2% from three point land. Keep in mind that game was at home though and now they are on the road and they shot just 14.3% from beyond the arc in their most recent game away from home. That is a big key here because Butler is making just 25.2% of their three pointers on the road this season and the Bulldogs are shooting just 39.9% from the field overall this season when on the road. Xavier is the much stronger shooting team given they have this game at home and the Musketeers are shooting 51.4% overall on the season and 37.2% from three point land on the season. Xavier knocked Butler out of the Big East tourney last season but the Bulldogs won both regular season games including the game at Xavier. That said, the Musketeers also have revenge on their minds here because they remember what happened the last time they hosted Butler. Couple that with the fact that the Bulldogs are off of that huge upset of #1 ranked Nova and you have the makings of a home rout in this one. 8* XAVIER |
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01-02-18 | Indiana +5.5 v. Wisconsin | 61-71 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #523 Tuesday 8* Indiana Hoosiers (+) @ Wisconsin Badgers @ 7 ET - Simply put, Wisconsin is not what they once were. The Badgers are a work in progress early this season and that means we have great underdog line value here. The last 4 regular season meetings between these teams have been decided by an average margin of just 4 points. Keep in mind, that was also when Wiscy was a much tougher team. Adding to the value here, the Badgers did knock the Hoosiers out of the Big Ten Tourney last March so Indiana has plenty of motivation for this one. Wisconsin has won 4 straight games SU but faced plenty of weak opposition. Their ATS numbers tell the full story this season as they are on a 4-9 ATS run. The Badgers also have been hurt by injuries that have impacted their backcourt. Indiana has failed to cover just once in their last six games. Their schedule this season has been slightly tougher than the Badgers thus far as well. Wisconsin is allowing an uncharacteristic 46% shooting from the field while the Hoosiers are holding opponents to 43.7% from the field. Indiana is 13-2 SU (and 10-5 ATS) when they are off of a game where they held their opponent to 60 points or less. The Badgers are just 3-7 SU (and 2-8 ATS) in their games against teams with a winning record this season. This has great potential for an upset and certainly grabbing the points is the way to go as they offer huge value. 8* INDIANA |
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