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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-01-18 | Magic +2 v. Nets | 95-98 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #701 Monday 8* Orlando Magic (+) @ Brooklyn Nets @ 7:35 ET - Both these teams are hungry as they are coming off losses. However, the big difference is that the Nets played yesterday while the Magic have been off since Saturday. That is certainly significant as Brooklyn is just 1-6 SU this season when in the 2nd game of a back to back and their record in this situation the past 3 seasons combined is 4-32 SU! Definitely not a good spot to lay the points with the Nets! Look for the rested Magic to get the W here as they also seek revenge for losses in each of their last two visits to Brooklyn. Look for the Nets to drop to 6-30 SU when off of a divisional game. 8* ORLANDO |
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01-01-18 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 214.5 | Top | 127-131 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Game #703 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:35 ET - Milwaukee has trended over this season but they enter this game off of back to back unders. That certainly holds some significance here as the Bucks have only had 3 straight unders one time this entire season and we are nearing the halfway point of the season. The Bucks allow 107 points per game on 47.5% from the field and 40.7% from three point land when on the road this season. Toronto averages 114.4 points per game on 48.2% from the field in their home games this season. The Raptors are off of an under versus Atlanta Friday as they took 105 shots but had a rather poor shooting night. The Bucks win at Oklahoma City Friday was the first time since November 20th that Milwaukee did not reach the century mark in points scored. Also, the Raptors have scored 107 points or more in 12 of their last 16 games. This is a playoff revenge game for the Bucks after losing to the Raptors last April. However, Toronto will control the tempo here at home and they're going to run and gun. Look for the Raptors over to improve to 4-1 this season in games against Central Division opponents. The Bucks are 4-1 to the over this season when off of an upset win as an underdog. Also, Milwaukee is 11-5 to the over in road games this season. More of the same here! 10* OVER the total in Toronto |
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01-01-18 | West Virginia v. Kansas State +2 | Top | 77-69 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
Ranked Rout - Rickenbach CBB Game #712 Monday 10* Kansas State Wildcats (+) vs West Virginia Mountaineers @ 5 ET - The Mountaineers have won 12 straight games and got the better of me when they rallied to beat Oklahoma State at Stillwater on Friday. However, we'll get it back today on Monday. West Virginia allowed the Cowboys to hit 51% of their shots in that game and now face a red hot shooting Wildcats team. It is so hard to win road games in the Big 12 and especially back to back affairs in a tough situation. Kansas State will be ready and wants this game badly as the Mountaineers knocked them out of the Big 12 Tourney last March. The Wildcats have shot 50% or better from the field in 4 of their last 6 games. The Mountaineers, despite all their winning, have gone 10 straight games without a single game where they've knocked down half their field goal attempts. The schedule is starting to toughen for West Virginia and the Wildcats are going to own this game at home. Kansas State is on a 30-10 SU run in home games including 7-0 this season. Also, the Wildcats are 16-8 SU when off of a game where they scored 80 points or more. The Mountaineers are only 6-6 ATS in games against good defensive teams (allowing 64 points or less per game). KSU was known to have plenty of scorers but the attention to defense has been a big surprise early this season and the Wildcats are riding that D to wins. They get their revenge here. 10* KANSAS STATE |
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01-01-18 | Youngstown State v. Cleveland State -7.5 | 80-77 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #710 Monday 8* Cleveland State Vikings (-) vs Youngstown State Penguins @ 1 ET - The strength of Youngstown State coming into the season was the backcourt but the knee injury for Francisco Santiago changed all that. The only two wins the Penguins have this season were non-lined games and they were back when Santiago was on the floor. Currently Youngstown State is on a 9 games losing streak. Also, of their 11 losses this season the Penguins have 9 defeats by 13 points or more. That is why I am comfortable laying the points here with Cleveland State. Even though the Vikings have issues of their own, they are still at home and playing with revenge here and they'll take advantage of a Penguins team allowing 84.4 points per game on shooting of 52.6% from the field including 37.8% from three point land. Cleveland State is not only better defensively, they are the better team on offense as well with better shooting in all three categories in comparison with Youngstown State. The Penguins are 0-10 in lined games this season and have gone only 2-8 ATS in those games. The Vikings are 13-7 ATS when facing a team with a losing record and that includes a perfect 3-0 ATS this season. 8* CLEVELAND STATE |
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12-31-17 | 76ers v. Suns +3.5 | Top | 123-110 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
Non-Conf Game of the Year - Rickenbach NBA Game #815 Sunday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns (+) vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 8:05 ET - Phoenix has been a different team since guard Devin Booker has returned. Overall, the Suns have won 5 of their last 7 games and they now host a 76ers team that is off of a big road win at Denver last night but that had previously lost 10 of its last 12 games. With Joel Embiid slated to play tonight for the Sixers and with this being a revenge game for Philly, the line has been skewed toward the 76ers here. However, the Suns as a solid home dog here is a great value. Phoenix has covered 10 of its last 14 games and they are playing just their 2nd game in 5 nights. The Suns will have very fresh legs here. The 76ers are on a 4-13 ATS run and are playing their 5th straight road game. Not only is this spot a back to back for Philadelphia, they also are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Philly is playing this game with home loss revenge but they are 15-55 SU in this situation the past 2+ seasons. Also, the Sixers are 0-4 SU and ATS this season when playing the 2nd night of a back to back. The past 2+ seasons the 76ers long-term record in this situation (2nd of B2B) is 6-35 SU! The Suns are 5-2 ATS when off of a divisional game and also 5-2 ATS this season versus Atlantic Division opponents. 10* PHOENIX |
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12-31-17 | Georgia v. Kentucky OVER 146.5 | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
TV Game of the Week - Rickenbach CBB Game #849 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Kentucky Wildcats vs Georgia Bulldogs @ 6 ET - The Wildcats have gone over the total in 7 straight games and there is no reason for that streak to end here. In fact, coming off of their big win over rival Louisville makes the streak very likely to continue. Kentucky can't help but have a defensive letdown after really ratcheting things up a notch in their win over the Cardinals. The Bulldogs have gone over the total in each of their last two games as well as 4 of their last 6. Georgia has shot the ball exceptionally well in 5 of their last 6 games. Their tourney match-up in March stayed under the total but, prior to that, each of the 3 prior meetings between these teams went over the total. Georgia is 5-1 to the over this season when facing a team with a winning record. Also, the over is 20-12 the past 2+ seasons when the Bulldogs face a team that is averaging 77 points or more per game. Kentucky is 4-0 to the over this season when they are off of a game where they scored 80 points or more. 12 of the Wildcats last 16 December games have gone over the total. More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Kentucky |
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12-30-17 | Heat v. Magic OVER 204 | Top | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #503 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat @ 7:05 ET - The Magic are off of a rare win and a rare game where their opponent was held under 90 points. Prior to holding the Pistons to 89 points on a poor shooting night for Detroit, Orlando had given up 114.8 points per game in their 5 prior games! The Heat come into this game off of a rare horrific shooting night as they shot just 33.7% from the field in scoring only 87 points at home versus Brooklyn last night. The point is that the pace with with each of these teams played at in their most recent games supported an over but rare bad shooting resulted in an under. That is resulting in solid line value here. The Heat are allowing 102 points per game on the season and the Magic are allowing 110 points per game on the season. Miami has stayed under the total in 3 straight games now but they are 20-14 to the over when they enter a game on an under streak of 3 or more games. Orlando is 5-1 to the over this season when off of a win by a double digit margin. Also, the Magic are 5-2 to the over in their divisional games this season. This total was as high as a 208 and has dropped to a 204 as of gameday morning. I am happy to grab the extra value here! 10* OVER the total in Orlando |
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12-30-17 | Villanova -5 v. Butler | Top | 93-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach CBB Game #555 Saturday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats (-) @ Butler Bulldogs @ 4 ET - Butler expended a lot of energy in their double-overtime win at Georgetown on Wednesday. They were down huge at the half so really had to put in a lot of effort just to force overtime and then the game actually ended up going 2 extra stanzas! While it is true that the Bulldogs have had two days off since that win, it is also true that those are the types of wins that take a lot out of a team and top ranked 13-0 Villanova is coming in to this game as the much fresher team. Also, the Wildcats have revenge from losing both games to Butler last season. One could say that the Bulldogs have had the Cats number in recent meetings but one could also say that Butler certainly didn't impress in Wednesday's game versus the Hoyas as Georgetown had played a very soft schedule this season. Now the Bulldogs take on a Wildcats team that has played just as tough of a schedule as Butler has. The Bulldogs are 1-3 ATS as an underdog this season and also 2-7 ATS in recent seasons when they are off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more. Villanova is 9-1 ATS this season in their games against teams with a winning record. Also, the Wildcats are a long-term 22-11 ATS when they face teams that are averaging 77 points or more per game on the season. Keep in mind, Butler is averaging a solid 78.6 points per game this season but Nova shoots the ball much better and is averaging 87.8 points per game this season. Also, Butler's weakness on D is against the 3-ball (allowing 37%) and the Wildcats are hitting a ridiculous 42.2% of their threes this season! That will likely play out as a key factor in this one. 10* VILLANOVA |
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12-30-17 | Oklahoma v. TCU OVER 171.5 | 90-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #551 Saturday 8* OVER the total in TCU Horned Frogs vs Oklahoma Sooners @ 2 ET - The immediate thought when looking at this total is that it looks so big. However, don't be fooled. The big number is absolutely justified and, in fact, this total has actually come down from the mid-170s which was where it was yesterday evening. The fact is that both these teams like to run and gun. Both teams also shoot the ball very well and have been putting up huge points all season long. The Sooners are averaging an insane 95 points per game on the season. The Horned Frogs are averaging 87.5 points per game on the season and that includes 90 points per game at home so far. This came absolutely should finish in the 180 to 185 range and hence the value with the over in this one. The over is 24-12 when Oklahoma is off of a game where they scored 80 points or more. Also, the over is 9-1 in all Sooners games this season. As for TCU, the over is 6-2 this season in their games against teams with a winning record. The Horned Frogs are also a long-term 7-1 to the over then they enter a game with 7 or more days of rest between games. 8* OVER the total in TCU |
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12-29-17 | Bucks v. Thunder OVER 208.5 | Top | 97-95 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #807 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 8:05 ET - The Bucks finally stayed under the total in a come from behind win versus the Timberwolves that certainly fell under the category of "ugly game" as it was played at a slower pace than you would typically see. The teams averaged just 73 field goal attempts between them. That under snapped a 9-game over streak for Milwaukee but the Bucks are still 14-2-1 to the over their last 17 games. Also, this is a back to back spot for Milwaukee and they've gone 5-1 to the over in back to back situations this season. This is a revenge game for the Bucks and they are 13-4 to the over when playing with revenge this season. With tired legs from a strong effort versus Minnesota last night, Milwaukee's defense will likely be lax tonight. That is bad news against a Thunder offense that has caught fire. Oklahoma City has shot 51.9% or better in 4 of its last 5 games. The Thunder are averaging 113.2 points per game their last 5 games and the Bucks have scored 100 points or more in 17 straight games! Milwaukee is averaging 108.5 points per game during this 17-game stretch. You can plainly see why I am expecting about 220 points in this one! 10* OVER the total in Oklahoma City |
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12-29-17 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma State +2.5 | Top | 85-79 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Big 12 Blowout - Rickenbach CBB Game #826 Friday 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys (+) vs West Virginia Mountaineers @ 7 ET - The Mountaineers come into this game having won 11 straight and they are highly ranked and yet they opened up as a very small favorite here. Don't fall for the trap! The fact is that, while "Press Virginia" is playing very good defense as usual, Oklahoma State has come a long way with their defense too. The Cowboys have been solid on that end of the floor and have done a great job of forcing turnovers and clogging passing lanes. The fact that this game is in Stillwater of course helps even more. Oklahoma State is 8-1 at home this season and they're hosting a West Virginia team that has played only one true road game this season. That was at Pittsburgh and the Mountaineers only beat the Panthers by single digits despite shooting 12 percentage points higher from the field. In other words, West Virginia is likely to be in trouble here in a much tougher road test. Oklahoma State's defense against the 3-ball has been better than that of the Mountaineers this season. Also, the Cowboys are 3-1 ATS this season in games with a posted total in the 150s. West Virginia is 1-3 ATS this season in a game with a posted total in the 150s. 10* OKLAHOMA STATE |
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12-28-17 | Knicks v. Spurs OVER 199 | Top | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Game #507 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks @ 8:35 ET - The Knicks are in a back to back spot and even though their game last night was ugly, the over is 5-1 this season when New York is in the 2nd game of a back to back. Also, the Knicks are 8-4 to the over in non-conference games and each of their last 2 visits to San Antonio have resulted in an over. The Spurs have been heating up on offense and have shot 48.8% or better from the field in 5 of their last 7 games. Their game versus Brooklyn Tuesday barely stayed under the total and prior to that 5 of San Antonio's last 7 home games had resulted in an over. We're getting value here because the Knicks have been staying under the total but truly the pace of their games has been conducive to an over. That said, with the way the Spurs are shooting and New York's willingness to run and be aggressive, this should fly over the total. 10* OVER the total in San Antonio |
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12-28-17 | Creighton v. Seton Hall OVER 161 | Top | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
Big East Blowout - Rickenbach CBB Game #515 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Seton Hall Pirates vs Creighton Bluejays @ 6:30 ET - Both these teams shoot the ball very well, like to play at a fast pace and create quick open looks, and their scoring numbers this season are very impressive. Seton Hall is averaging 83.5 points per game at home this season. Creighton is averaging 92.3 points per game overall this season. The over is a perfect 3-0 in the last 3 meetings between these teams. The Bluejays are a perfect 5-0 to the over this season in their games with a posted total in the 160s. Creighton also is a long-term 27-12 to the over when coming off of a non-conference game. Against teams with a winning record, Seton Hall is 5-2 to the over this season. Also, the Pirates are a perfect 3-0 to the over this season when they face a team that is averaging 77 points or more per game. Of course with the line at a 4 you know a close game is expected. Both teams are fully capable of staying in the game late thanks to strong 3-point shooting. That said, there can be plenty of "scramble points" in a game like this with plenty of late free throws and three pointers as there will be no quit from either team until the final horn. 10* OVER the total in Seton Hall |
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12-27-17 | Xavier v. Marquette OVER 161 | Top | 91-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
Big East Blowout - Rickenbach CBB Game #727 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Marquette Golden Eagles vs Xavier Musketeers @ 8:30 ET - Both these teams are shooting lights out from three point land and the Musketeers are averaging 87 points per game this season while the Golden Eagles are averaging 83 points per game on the young season. With this total falling so far this morning, there is great value on the over in this one. Xavier is connecting on 39% of its three pointers and Marquette is hitting 40% from beyond the arc. Neither team is afraid to play at a fast pace. The Golden Eagles weakness is their defense and while the Musketeers are fairly solid defensively, Marquette is known for putting up especially impressive numbers on offense at home. That has this one destined for a shootout. The over is 7-3 this season in Xavier's games against teams with a winning record. The over is 63-44 when the Golden Eagles are off of a game where they allowed 60 points or less. Also, Marquette is 32-23 to the over when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest between games. The Golden Eagles are 28-19 to the over in their games against teams with a winning record. 10* OVER the total in Marquette |
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12-27-17 | Nuggets v. Wolves OVER 213 | Top | 125-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Game #713 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets @ 8:05 ET - The Nuggets are off of a big win over Utah last night where they held the Jazz to only 83 points. That makes it 3 straight unders in Denver's games but they haven't recorded more than 3 in a row since October. I see the streak of unders quickly coming to an end tonight as the Timberwolves have been red hot. Minnesota has won 4 straight games and offensive production has led the way. Minny has had 4 straight overs and the over is 10-3 in their last 13 games. The Timberwolves have been shooting the ball very well and the over is 5-1 in their divisional games this season. Also, Minnesota is a long-term 23-11 to the over when they enter a game on a streak of 3 or more consecutive overs. For Denver, the over is 9-5 this season and an incredible 41-13 the last 3 seasons combined when they face a team that is averaging 106 points or more per game. 10* OVER the total in Minnesota |
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12-27-17 | Mavs v. Pacers -6 | 98-94 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #704 Wednesday 8* Indiana Pacers (-) vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:05 ET - Nice set up here as the Pacers got blasted by 24 at Detroit last night while the Mavericks got a home dog upset win over the Raptors last night. Last night's results plus the fact that the Pacers lost at Dallas in their most recent meeting last December means that Indiana will prove to the be the hungrier team here. The Mavs had lost 9 of 11 prior to last night's win. The Pacers had won 7 of 10 prior to last night's loss. The Mavericks are 3-9 ATS this season in games against teams that score an average of 106 points or more per game. The Pacers are 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS in games where they are the favorite. Lay it! 8* INDIANA |
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12-27-17 | Butler -3.5 v. Georgetown | 91-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #721 Wednesday 8* Butler Bulldogs (-) @ Georgetown Hoyas @ 6:30 ET - The Hoyas have the better record (10-1 compared to 10-3) and they're at home here. So why are they the dog? Exactly! The fact is that Georgetown has played a weak schedule so don't be fooled here. Not only is Butler the better team, the Bulldogs also have revenge from a 4 point home loss to the Hoyas in their most recent meeting in late January. The road team has actually covered each of the last 3 meetings between these teams. The Hoyas are 2-5 ATS at home this season and an ugly 12-25 ATS in home games the last 2+ seasons! Butler is 9-4 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest between games. Also, the Bulldogs are a perfect 8-0 SU (and 6-2 ATS) as a favorite this season. They should easily cover the small number here. The difference in strength of schedule so far this season is the key. 8* BUTLER |
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12-26-17 | Jazz +6 v. Nuggets | Top | 83-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Divisional Dominator Top Play - Rickenbach NBA Tuesday 10* Utah Jazz (+) @ Denver Nuggets @ 9:05 ET - Of course this is a revenge spot for the Nuggets as they lost at Utah by 29 in late November. However, is Denver really thinking that much about that here? The fact is that the Nuggets are off of a win over the NBA Champion Warriors in their final game before the NBA break. Also, Denver has another revenge game (at Minnesota) for tomorrow night and the Nuggets most recent home loss was to the Timberwolves just last week. You can truly see why Denver may not be fully focused here and they are going to have their hands full with a Utah team coming off of home loss to Oklahoma City. The Jazz are fired up as they've endured a tough stretch recently that has seen them lose 8 of their last 10 games. The best thing that could have happened for Utah was a break in the action and I look for the Jazz to come out renewed and refreshed after the Christmas break. As for the Nuggets, they are 1-9 ATS this season when off of a win by a double digit margin and that was a huge road win at Golden State on Saturday. Also, Denver is 12-30 SU long-term when off of an upset win as an underdog! As for the Jazz, they are a long-term 27-13 SU when off of a divisional game and, the fact they lost that divisional match-up at home against the Thunder means extra hunger for the road dog in this one. 10* UTAH |
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12-26-17 | Pacers +2 v. Pistons | 83-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #503 Tuesday 8* Indiana Pacers (+) @ Detroit Pistons @ 7:05 ET - The Pistons are off of a win but previously they had lost 8 of their last 11 games. Detroit has failed to cover 8 of its last 12 games. The Pacers have been the much stronger team of late as they've won 7 of their last 10 games. Also, one of those 3 defeats was a home loss to the Pistons less than 2 weeks ago. Indiana will be ready to get revenge here against a division rival. The Pacers were on an 8-2 SU and ATS run in this series prior to that loss. In other words, Indiana has had Detroit's number in recent seasons and I look for that dominance to resume here. The Pistons have been held to 43.2% or less from the field in 8 of their last 10 games. The Pacers have shot 45.8% or better from the field in 10 of their last 15 games. Indiana is 9-4 ATS when playing with revenge this season including 4-1 ATS when playing with home loss revenge. Detroit is 6-10 SU this season in games against teams with a winning record. 8* INDIANA |
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12-25-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -4.5 | Top | 92-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator Top Play - Rickenbach NBA Game #704 Monday 10* Golden State Warriors (-) vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 3:05 ET - The Warriors are without Stephen Curry of course. However, the line has gone from as high as -7.5 to as low as -4.5 as of gameday morning and the betting markets are treating this as if the odds makers weren't aware that Curry was out when they set the line. The fact is that this is great line value on Golden State at home and laying a small number. The Warriors just had their 11 game winning streak snapped on Saturday and likely were caught looking ahead to this game. The fact is that Golden State has been playing better defense than Cleveland. The Warriors are allowing an average of just 98 points per game their last 8 games. The Cavaliers are allowing an average of 109 points per game their last 6 games. Opponents are shooting 49% from the field in the Cavs last 5 games. The Warriors are allowing just 41% from the field their last 8 games. Defense is a big deal in games like this. Yes the Cavs want revenge from last year's finals but Golden State will be up for this game on Christmas Day, particularly after being held to just 81 points on Saturday on their home floor! Cleveland is just 3-11 ATS after scoring 115 points or more in their prior game. The Warriors are 30-5 SU (including 6-0 SU this season) when off of an upset loss as a favorite. GS was embarrassed on Saturday and they'll respond BIG here. 10* GOLDEN STATE |
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12-25-17 | Princeton -118 v. Hawaii | Top | 77-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation Top Play - Rickenbach CBB Game #713 Monday 10* Princeton Tigers (-) @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors @ 2:30 ET - Hawaii is at home, off of a win, and the Warriors have an 8-3 record and yet they are the dog against a Tigers team that is 6-7. Looks funny, doesn't it? Don't be fooled! Princeton has played a tougher schedule on the season and their style is known for frustrating opponents. The Tigers beat the Rainbow Warriors by 13 last year in December and it was no fluke as Princeton was actually up 20 points at the half! The Tigers are hitting 39.3% of their threes this season while the Warriors are hitting only 28.6% of their shots from beyond the arc. Hawaii is off of an upset win over Davidson while Princeton is off of a non-covering win versus Akron. The Warriors had been 0-3 ATS as an underdog this season before the upset of the Wildcats and I look for their struggles to resume here. Hawaii is 3-6 in a home game with a posted total between 135 and 139.5 points. Also, even though this is a home game for the Warriors it is an early start (9:30 AM local time) while for Princeton's body clocks (ET) it feels like 2:30 PM. This should give the Tigers another edge in this Christmas Day special. The Tigers are 3-1 ATS (and 4-0 SU!) as a road favorite of 3 points or less all the way down to a pick'em. In this case the money line is available at a pick'em price and that is what I would advise taking here as the Tigers improve to 5-0 SU in this role. 10* PRINCETON |
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12-25-17 | Akron v. Davidson OVER 149 | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #711 Monday 8* OVER the total in Davidson Wildcats vs Akron Zips @ 12:30 ET - This game starts at 7:30 AM local time in Hawaii. I don't expect either team to have a lot of defensive intensity here at this early time of day and neither team is known for being particularly intimidating in the paint. With that said, I look for a fast-paced game with a lot of easy buckets as there won't be a lot of challenging of shooters here. Each team is allowing 46% from the field on the season and each team is coming off of consecutive losses that put them at the very bottom of the consolation bracket in this Holiday Tourney. Davidson is 3-1 to the over against MAC teams, 38-26 to the over in December games long-term, and also an impressive 8-2 to the over when they enter a game on a losing streak of 3 or more games. The Wildcats are off of a poor shooting game and the Zips are off of back to back poor shooting games. The day off yesterday was much needed for these teams. Fresh legs and a good pace to this one early Monday. 8* OVER the total in Davidson |
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12-25-17 | 76ers +3 v. Knicks | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #701 Monday 8* Philadelphia 76'ers (+) @ New York Knicks @ 12:05 ET - Horrible stretch for the Sixers has seen them lose 11 of 14. Also, Philadelphia is on an ugly 2-12 ATS run. That said, why did they open up such a small dog for this early Christmas match-up at New York? Exactly! Don't be fooled here as this has the makings of an upset. The Knicks are 15-5 SU and ATS in home games this season and yet they opened up as a 1 point favorite here even though the Sixers have endured their roughest stretch of the season! It doesn't make sense does it? Precisely! This is another example of when it pays to be a contrarian. The last 4 meetings between these teams have been decided by a total of just 6 points. In other words, even at only 3 points, this is a fantastic underdog value. The Sixers are ticked off and ready to respond here after their worst defeat in awhile. Most of the 76ers losses had been tight but they got blown out at Toronto on Saturday and they'll make up for it here. 8* PHILADELPHIA |
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12-23-17 | Nets v. Pacers OVER 215 | 119-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #505 Saturday 8* OVER the total in Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:05 ET - The Nets burned me yesterday as, though they scored 119 points, they only allowed 84 due to strangely poor shooting from the Wizards. Brooklyn allowed Washington to have 93 shots from the field but the Wizards shot a very poor 36.6% from the field. That won't happen again here and I expect the Pacers to put up a ton of points in this one but don't be surprised if the Nets hot shooting continues too. Brooklyn is "feeling it" after last night's blowout win and certainly will "leave it all on the floor" tonight as they don't play again until Tuesday after Christmas. The Pacers have shot 50.6% from the field in their last 3 games and averaged 108.3 points per game. The over is a perfect 3-0 the last 3 times these teams have met in Indiana. The over is 33-20 long-term when the Nets face a team that is allowing 106 points or more per game. The Pacers average game this season is 215 points and the Nets average game is 217.5 points. Consider that plus the situational factors here and this one is a value at the 215 range it is in now because the other factors (teams off big wins, not playing again until Tuesday) help point toward a very loosely played affair here with plenty of points. 8* OVER the total in Indiana |
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12-23-17 | Harvard v. George Washington -4.5 | 48-58 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - CBB Game #530 Saturday 8* George Washington Colonials (-) vs Harvard Crimson @ Noon ET - Crimson guard Bryce Aiken is questionable for this game with a knee injury and he is their leading scorer. Harvard forward Robert Baker is also questionable for this game and he is part of the regular rotation for the Crimson. Being short-handed and a little banged up is not good news for a Harvard team playing on short rest (they beat Boston University Thursday). As for the Colonials, they bounced back from a pair of poor shooting efforts to knock off New Hampshire on Wednesday. Certainly the win was not that impressive but getting that victory gets this team headed back in the right direction and George Washington has played a much tougher schedule than Harvard so that is a big plus here. The Crimson are 6-17 SU the last 23 times they've been an underdog. So odds point heavily toward the Colonials getting the SU win here and covering the small number should not be a problem. Harvard is 1-3 ATS in games with a postd total in the 120s. GW is 3-1 ATS in home games with a posted total in the 120s. The fave rolls here. 8* GEORGE WASHINGTON |
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12-22-17 | Wizards v. Nets OVER 211.5 | Top | 84-119 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
Total Annihilation - Rickenbach NBA Game #805 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards @ 7:35 ET - The Nets burned me Wednesday with a very poor 4th quarter against the Kings. The game was on the pace for the over all the way through the first 3 quarters but then it was a dreadful final stanza that did me in. I'll get some payback here because the Wizards are off of a high-scoring win versus New Orleans Tuesday and that sets this one up perfectly for an over. The Wizards have a divisional home game on deck and may not bring the best of their defensive intensity here given the situation. The first game between Washington and Brooklyn this season stayed under the total but the over was 6-1 in the 7 prior meetings. Both these teams have been trending under of late but that has resulted in excellent line value with this total Friday. The well-rested Wizards should put up plenty of points hare and are 22-12 to the over when they enter a game on rest of 2 days or more. The Nets are averaging 110 points per game at home this season. The Wizards scored only 98 points in their most recent road game (coincidentally also at Brooklyn) but they had scored 106 points or more in 5 of their 7 prior road games. Washington, playing with revenge, comes up strong here! Keep in mind, the Wizards 4 prior games against the Nets saw them average 119.8 points per game. That type of production resumes in this rematch! 10* OVER the total in Brooklyn |
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12-22-17 | Temple +3 v. Georgia | 66-84 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #819 Friday 8* Temple Owls (+) @ Georgia Bulldogs @ 1 ET - The Owls are the more rested team as they've been off since Saturday. The Bulldogs will be playing for the 2nd time since Saturday and they also are off of a huge, emotional win over Georgia Tech Tuesday. Of course beating the rival Yellow Jackets is always important to Georgia and they could be a little flat for this game as a result. The early start time won't help them either. As for Temple, they are 7-3 on the season with a pair of those losses coming by just 4 points each. Many of the Bulldogs wins this season have been tight ones and the 3 points here for the Owls is offering great value as I expect an outright upset but should Temple fall short I expect it to be by just a single possession. The well-rested Owls are 4-1 ATS when they enter a game with 5 or 6 days of rest between games. Also, Temple is 5-0 SU (and 3-0 ATS) when they enter a game having failed to cover the spread in each of their three prior lined games. The Bulldogs put forth a great effort on defense in their win over the Yellow Jackets and that could leave them a little spent here. Georgia is 4-11 ATS in recent seasons (and 51-80 ATS long-term) when off of a game where they allowed 60 points or less. 8* TEMPLE |
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12-21-17 | Bulls v. Cavs OVER 213.5 | Top | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach NBA Game #503 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:05 ET - Two of the hottest teams in the league match-up here and, yes, one of them is actually the Bulls! With their win last night versus Orlando, Chicago has won 7 straight games. Ever since Nikola Mirotic has come back, the Bulls offense has enjoyed a huge resurgence and this has helped lead the way to 7 straight wins! Chicago is averaging 111.1 points per game during this 7-0 run. Cleveland also comes in red hot as the Cavaliers had won 18 of 19 before their 3 point loss at Milwaukee Tuesday. Amazingly, the Cavs have not been held under 100 points since October! Cleveland has averaged 113 points per game in their 25 games since November 1st. The over is 5-2 this season when the Cavaliers are off of an upset loss as a favorite. Also, the Cavs are 5-1 to the over this season (and 27-11 to the over long-term) when off of a game where they allowed 115 points or more. Cleveland is also 12-5 to the over this season in their games against teams with a losing record. Last but not least the Cavaliers are 30-14 to the over the past 2+ seasons when they face a team that is allowing an average of 106 points or more per game. 10* OVER the total in Cleveland |
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12-21-17 | Tennessee State v. Purdue OVER 133.5 | 48-97 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash Eve Play - Rickenbach CBB Game #553 Thursday 8* OVER the total in Purdue Boilermakers vs Tennessee State Tigers @ 6 ET - The Boilermakers are averaging 85.6 points per game this season and they will dictate the pace in this one. We get some added value here because Tennessee State is off of an ultra low scoring game. The Tigers lost a heart-breaker 47-46 to Texas on Monday. The Boilermakers are off of a big win versus Butler Saturday. After a huge effort from each of these teams on the defensive end in their most recent games, they may not have a lot left in the tank for Thursday's game in terms of defensive intensity. After all, proper defense takes a lot of effort and execution and the Boilermakers and Tigers are also looking ahead to their nice Christmas break that follows this game. Of course you can tell by the big line on this one that Purdue should win easily and I feel that sets this one up well to be a high-scoring match-up as both teams just run and gun to wrap things up before the break. The Boilermakers have had just 3 unders in their last 10 games. 8* OVER the total in Purdue |
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12-21-17 | Alabama State v. Louisiana Tech OVER 146 | Top | 62-74 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator Top Play - Rickenbach CBB Game #541 Thursday 10* OVER the total in Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Alabama State Hornets @ 3:30 ET - The Hornets are one of the weaker teams in D-1 basketball. There is no doubt about that as they are winless on the season and also projected to finish near the bottom of the standings in the Southwestern Athletic Conference which is one of the weaker conferences in the nation. With that said, Alabama State does like to run and gun. It is the nature of their offense and was the game plan of head coach Lewis Jackson coming into this season. The problem with that is the Hornets end up weak on defense and they've allowed 87.6 points per game this season. No doubt the Bulldogs are going to take advantage and put up a ton of points in this one. However, despite being a 20-point dog here, don't be surprised if the Hornets but up a lot of points too. I am expecting a 90-70 type game here. Alabama State comes into this game with some added confidence by virtue of scoring 80 points on 48% shooting (including 39% from three point land) in their game against Winthrop Saturday. Louisiana Tech is off of a loss to Texas that was their lowest scoring game of the season. The Bulldogs will be ready to respond here and put up a ton of points against a weak defensive team. The over is 5-1 in Hornets games with a posted total in the 140s and 5-0 in Alabama State's games against teams with a winning record. The over is a perfect 3-0 when Louisiana Tech is a neutral court favorite of 12.5 points or more. That means we have a combined 8-0 spot favoring the over in this one. Also, the Bulldogs are 9-4 to the over in their games against teams that allow 77 points or more per game on average. At the Convocation Center in New Orleans, look for this one to fly over the total. 10* OVER the total in Louisiana Tech |
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12-21-17 | South Alabama v. Tulane -10 | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash Day Game - Rickenbach CBB Game #512 Thursday 8* Tulane Green Wave (-) vs South Alabama Jaguars @ 1 ET - I realize that the Jags are 7-1 ATS on the season but this line is double digits for a reason! South Alabama has lost all 4 of its road games and averaged just 63 points per game in those contests. The Green Wave have won all 6 of their home games and have averaged an impressive 87.2 points per game in those contests. Tulane also is rolling with momentum after outscoring Nicholls 48-24 in the 2nd half of their game on Monday evening. That was a big comeback win for the Green Wave and they'll be some carryover to this early afternoon game Thursday. Tulane is fully focused on remaining perfect on their home floor heading into the Christmas Break. The Jaguars just don't have the firepower to keep up. The Green Wave have proven difficult to defend early this season and this is a tough match-up for a South Alabama team projected to finish near the very bottom of the Sun Belt Conference this season. 8* TULANE |
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12-20-17 | Kings v. Nets OVER 206 | 104-99 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #703 Wednesday 8* OVER the total in Brooklyn Nets vs Sacramento Kings @ 7:35 ET - The Kings are off of a big upset win at Philadelphia last night that easily stayed under the total. Sacramento is allowing 109 points per game this season when in the 2nd game of a back to back. The Nets are allowing 111 points per game on the season and, after making some progress, they certainly have regressed in recent games with interior defense being of particular concern. As a result, Brooklyn has allowed 113.3 points per game in their last 3 games. Given the above factors, and with the Kings off of that upset win last night, I would not be surprised at all to see both teams have issues on defense throughout this game. That means we should see a game where each team ends up close the aforementioned 110 mark in points in this one. The over is 42-29 when the Nets are off of a loss by double digits. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these games, including both in New York, have gone over the total. More of the same here. 8* OVER the total in Brooklyn |
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12-20-17 | North Texas +9.5 v. Georgetown | 63-75 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash Eve Game - Rickenbach CBB Game #735 Wednesday 8* North Texas Mean Green (+) @ Georgetown Hoyas @ 7 ET - The Hoyas are off of a tough OT loss to Syracuse Saturday and that was their first loss of the season. However, Georgetown is truly nothing special. They have simply played a very weak schedule. In fact, the Hoyas strength of schedule so far this season is weaker than that of the Mean Green. North Texas is rejuvenated under new head coach Grant McCastand. There were some early season growing pains but they've already gotten those out of the way and the Mean Green are off of a big OT win at San Diego on Saturday. While normally one may look to fade a team off of a game like that, keep in mind, this program is in an early growth phase under McCastand and this is their final game until after Christmas. The Mean Green are excited about the opportunity to take on Georgetown in the nation's capital and the points are too much here for the Hoyas. Yes, the home team may "hang on" for the win here but North Texas is very talented and the win at San Diego was a huge confidence builder for this team. The Hoyas schedule has been so weak that 3 games were non-lined and 4 games had them favored by 20 or more. Note that Georgetown's only two challenging games this season saw them lose by 7 and win by 6. This will be another "challenging" game here and I expect it to be decided by single digits. The Mean Green are 5-1 ATS this season. The Hoyas are on a 10-25 ATS run in home games including 0-5 ATS this season. 8* NORTH TEXAS |
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12-20-17 | St. Joe's +8 v. St. John's | Top | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator Top Play - Rickenbach CBB Game #747 Wednesday 10* St Joseph's Hawks (+) vs St John's Red Storm @ 4:30 ET @ Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT in Basketball Hall of Fame Holiday Showcase - The Red Storm are 9-2 this season but the 5-5 Hawks have played the tougher schedule so far this season. Also, St John's really misses guard Marcus LoVett in a game like this. The Red Storm have not been shooting the ball well at all. They've been held under 39.7% from the field in 3 straight games. It is hard to cover a big spread when the shots aren't falling and now this game is being played on a neutral floor. St Joseph's is not without their own issues but certainly they've been ultra-competitive this season and I feel they are being vastly undervalued by the betting markets in this one. 3 of the Hawks last 4 losses have come by 6 points or less. The only exception was a blowout loss versus Villanova and, of course, St John's is no Villanova! Look for scrappy St Joseph's to be in this one all the way and improve to 6-3 ATS when facing a team that allows 64 points or less per game. In the process the Hawks will improve to 21-12 ATS the last 33 times they've been an underdog. St John's is an ugly 3-10 SU and 3-9 ATS in games played on a neutral court! 10* ST JOSEPH'S |
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12-20-17 | Bradley v. SE Missouri State +5 | 75-67 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash Day Game - Rickenbach CBB Game #752 Wednesday 8* Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (+) vs Bradley Braves @ 2 ET - The Redhawks are seeking revenge for a tough loss at Bradley last season. Despite having 13 more shots from the field and winning the turnover battle 15-5, Southeast Missouri State lost to the Braves by 6. I expect payback here at home as Bradley had high hopes for Antoine Pittman coming into this campaign and he is now out for the season. Pittman often covered the opponents best player. Also, JoJo McGlaston (another starter) is currently out due to suspension. I know Bradley has the better record in comparing these two teams early this season but the Redhawks have played just as tough of a schedule as the Braves and Bradley continues to have trouble with turnovers. They are turning it over 17 times a game on the road this season while Southeast Missouri State is averaging just 11 turnovers a game at home. Also, the Redhawks got dominated on the boards by the Braves last season but 6'9 freshmen Justin Carpenter is already having a huge impact for the Hawks early this season and that continues here. Bradley is 5-10 ATS (and 4-11 SU!) in recent seasons in games against teams that average 77 points or more per game. A lot of points expected here and the Redhawks are 22-9 ATS (including 5-1 ATS this season) in games with a posted total in the 140s. 8* SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE |
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12-19-17 | Northern Kentucky +14.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 58-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach CBB Game #523 Tuesday 10* Top Play Northern Kentucky (+) @ Texas A & M @ 8 ET - Not a lot of respect being given here to a Northern Kentucky team that made a huge run last March and returned most of that team this season. I realize the Norse have played a weaker schedule than the Aggies have. I also realize that Northern Kentucky is off of a disappointing loss at Maryland-Baltimore County. However, the Norse were likely looking ahead to this special opportunity tonight where they have a chance to knock off a top ten ranked team. Of course I am not forecasting an upset win here but I certainly do expect Northern Kentucky to stay within single digits in this one. Texas A & M has a size edge of course but the loss of guard Admon Gilder for this one is significant plus big man Robert Williams is questionable for this game. The Aggies still have enough depth to get the win here but I don't expect it to be a blowout. Keep in mind, the Norse loss to Kentucky in March came by just 9 points! In games with a posted total in the 140s Northern Kentucky is 5-1 ATS this season and 16-6 ATS all-time! As a road dog of 12.5 points or more, the Norse are 7-3 ATS all time! As a home fave of 12.5 points or more, the Aggies are 2-5 ATS in recent seasons and 18-28 ATS long-term. Too many points! Grab the value with the big dog for a big play. 10* NORTHERN KENTUCKY |
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12-19-17 | Kings +8.5 v. 76ers | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #503 Tuesday 8* Sacramento Kings (+) @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:05 ET - Tough scheduling spot for the Sixers. Yes, Joel Embiid rested last night (he didn't even make the trip to Chicago) but the rest of his 76ers teammates gave all they could in a loss to the Bulls. Now off of back to back tight losses (lost in crazy multi-OT game to OKC Friday), Philadelphia is in a tough spot here. The Kings are playing for just the 2nd time since Thursday while the Sixers are playing for the 2nd time in 2 nights! Sacramento, like Philly, is off of back to back losses but the Kings are the more rested team and they haven't lost 3 straight in over a month. The Sixers have lost 6 of their last 7 and they are on a 2-9 ATS run! By the way, Philadelphia has not won a game by more than 6 points in over 3 weeks! I'll gladly grab the generous points being offered here. The Kings are 14-7 ATS in Tuesday games and, even though the Sixers are in bounce back mode, they are 0-6 ATS this season when off of an upset loss as a favorite. 8* SACRAMENTO |
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12-19-17 | Marshall v. Xavier OVER 175 | 77-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #507 Tuesday 8* OVER the total in Xavier Musketeers vs Marshall Thundering Herd @ 6:30 ET - I am well aware of the injury situation with J.P. Macura and Kaiser Gates for Xavier. The fact is that the Musketeers have plenty of depth and I look for this one to be a shootout. Marshall is a tough team to defend against and the Thundering Herd are averaging 90.2 points per game this season. Xavier is off of a dismal effort versus East Tennessee State where the Musketeers had to rally from 22 down for a last second win. Even though the Musketeers only scored 68 in that game, they are still averaging 88.4 points per game on the season. Also, the over was 7-2 in Xavier's games this season prior to that under. The over is 3-1 in Marshall's road games this season and also on a 23-10 run the past 2+ seasons. Also, in games with a posted total of 170 points or more, the Thundering Herd have gone 16-8 to the over so don't let the big number scare you. Marshall is also 28-14 to the over when off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more. Xavier is 23-14 to the over in home games including 5-2 this season. Also, the Musketeers are 6-2 to the over this season when facing a team with a winning record. 8* OVER the total in Xavier |
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12-18-17 | Celtics v. Pacers +3 | 112-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #704 Monday 8* Indiana Pacers (+) vs Boston Celtics @ 7:05 ET - The Pacers are in a back to back spot here but one could argue they have quite a few edges here, including scheduling. Even though it is a back to back for Indiana they are at home playing with revenge and they catch the Celtics playing their 6th game in 9 days. Also, Boston is off of a win but has not won back to back games the past two weeks. The Pacers have revenge from a 10 point loss to the Celtics in late November where Indiana blew a 13 point 3rd quarter lead. The key to the rematch is that the Pacers will have Victor Oladipo and they did not have him in the first meeting. Indiana is 8-4 SU and ATS when playing with revenge this season and 3-1 SU and ATS when playing with home loss revenge. Boston is off of a win and cover at Memphis but they have definitely cooled off since their red hot start to the season. Prior to the win over the Grizzlies, the Celtics had failed to cover 5 of their last 6 games. The Pacers have won and covered 11 of their last 16 games and they continue their hot run here! 8* INDIANAÂ |
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12-18-17 | Idaho v. Western Michigan OVER 139.5 | 82-52 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #743 Monday 8* OVER the total in Western Michigan Broncos vs Idaho Vandals @ 7 ET - These are two quality teams that have plenty of experienced players and that means a ton of confidence in terms of ability to put up big points. The Broncos certainly will have fresh legs as they've been off since the 9th. The Vandals got a nice tune up with a win over Simon Fraser University Friday. Idaho was totally flat in the first half but responded with 43 points in the 2nd half and the Vandals were likely already looking ahead to this game. Idaho will carry momentum right into this game but Western Michigan is a tough team that can push the pace and I look for a great tempo to this game. Tempo of course is a key to the over as well as solid shooting and the Vandals have knocked down 40.4% of their three pointers this season. The Broncos have a solid 36.3% shooting percentage from beyond the arc and they're averaging 78 points per game this season while Idaho is averaging 73.2 per game. Western Michigan is 3-0 to the over when playing with 7 or more days of rest between games. The Broncos are a long-term 18-7 to the over in home games. In non-conference games, Western Michigan is 14-9 to the over. In December games, it is an 8-3 run to the over for the Broncos. More of the same here. 8* OVER the total in Western Michigan |
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12-17-17 | UC-Santa Barbara v. USC OVER 148.5 | 87-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
PAC-12 Annihilation - Rickenbach CBB Game #821 Sunday 8* OVER the total in USC Trojans vs UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos @ 8 ET - New Gauchos coach Joe Pasternack admitted before the season that he wasn't sure if Santa Barbara had the personnel on hand to run the type of defense he wanted to. Certainly the transition is going to take time and the early evidence is that the D has a long way to go. The over is 6-3 this season in all of the Gauchos games and that includes 5-1 in UCSB games with a posted total in the 140s. Against quality opponents the UC-Santa Barbara defense has certainly proven vulnerable. However, the key to some early season success has been offensive production that is averaging 76.7 points per game this season. The Gauchos are shooting 47% from the field and 39% from three point land. The Trojans overall numbers on offense on the season don't look ultra impressive but, keep in mind, they had two tough games against SMU and Texas A & M where points were hard to come by. That certainly won't be an issue against a UCSB team that will struggle to guard them! That said, USC averaged 84.2 points per game in their other 6 games this season. Last year these teams combined for 168 points. The over is 6-3 when Southern Cal is off of a game where they allowed 60 points or less. The over is 12-6 when UC-Santa Barbara is a road dog of 12.5 points or more. 8* OVER the total in USC |
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12-17-17 | Pacers v. Nets OVER 216.5 | 109-97 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #805 Sunday 8* OVER the total in Brooklyn Nets vs Indiana Pacers @ 6:05 ET - The pacing of recent games involving the Nets has been conducive to an over and yet they've been trending under. The same holds true for the Pacers. The result here is solid line value on the over. Indiana is averaging 90 field goal attempts per game and allowing 90.4 FGA/game their last 7 games. The Nets are allowing 92.9 field goal attempts per game their last 7 games. Keep in mind the Lakers (at 89.4 FGA/game) lead the NBA in pace. In other words, you can see from the numbers above that both these teams are trending toward good pacing for overs and yet their games have been falling under. That has resulted in solid line value here and I'll take it. Yes this total is a rather big one but it is certainly justified and the over is 31-19 when Brooklyn is facing a team that allows 106 points or more per game. Also, the Nets are 42-28 to the over when off of a loss by 10 points or more plus they are 8-4 to the over in home games this season. Indiana is 8-5 to the over in road games this season. 8* OVER the total in Brooklyn |
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12-17-17 | Cavs +2 v. Wizards | 106-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Game #807 Sunday 8* Cleveland Cavaliers (+) @ Washington Wizards @ 6:05 ET - Everyone is taking Washington here as the line has made a big move. I understand this is a back to back for Cleveland but here is no denying that LeBron James and company are in the zone right now! The Cavaliers win versus the Jazz last night makes them 17-1 their last 18 games and I am happy to take them as a dog here after they opened up as the favorite. The Cavs are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS as an underdog this season! The Wizards are only 5-12 ATS as a favorite and I find it hard to trust a team that is only 6-5 SU against teams with a winning record this season. By comparison, the Cavaliers are 7-3 both SU and ATS against teams with a winning record on the season. Washington is only 4-9 ATS in home games this season and they are getting too much respect here. The Wizards are off of back to back wins but faced the struggling Grizzlies and Clippers. Prior to those two wins Washington had lost 8 of 13. Also, the Wizards are on a 6-9 ATS run and now taking on the hottest team in the league. 8* CLEVELAND |
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12-17-17 | San Francisco v. Stanford -7 | 59-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
ESPN Smash Pass - Rickenbach CBB Game #820 Sunday 8* Stanford Cardinal (-) vs San Francisco Dons @ 6 ET - The Dons are 6-3 on the season while the Cardinal have a losing record. However, Stanford has played a much tougher schedule. Couple that with the fact that Stanford is at home for this one and coming off of a win and I look for the Cardinal to get a big win here and build some momentum heading into much tougher games up ahead. Stanford is motivated to get back to .500 on the season before facing Kansas before Christmas and then starting their Pac-12 schedule immediately after the Christmas break. The Dons are 9-29 SU long-term when they are a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points while the Cardinal are 36-11 SU long-term when they are a home fave of 6.5 to 9 points. With that said, a home win is likely but, what about the cover? San Francisco's 3 losses this season have all come by 7 points or more with an average margin of defeat of 12.3 points. As for Stanford, all 6 of their wins this season have come by 9 points or more and only 1 of their 7 defeats came by less than 8 points. As you can see, odds favor a home win and a big margin. I'll take it. 8* STANFORD |
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12-16-17 | Clippers v. Heat -6 | Top | 85-90 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Top Play Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #508 Saturday 10* Miami Heat (-) vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 8:05 ET - The Heat and Clippers are both in a back to back spot here but Miami certainly has the advantage of being at home while the Clips are playing their 3rd straight road game and have a big Western Conference match-up with the Spurs at San Antonio on deck. The Clippers have covered 4 straight games but they've done it with some smoke and mirrors as they were held under 38.9% from the field for the 2nd time in 3 games yesterday. As for the Heat, they have shot 50.5% from the field in their last 5 games. The Clippers have a number of injury issues while the Heat have certainly had to grow use to playing without Hassan Whiteside so that adjustment has already taken place as he has missed a lot of time this season. The Heat have played the tougher schedule on the season which makes their superior record even that much better than the Clippers losing record. By the way, Miami is 9-0 SU (and 7-2 ATS) in games against teams with a losing record this season. Also, the Heat are on a 21-13 ATS run when playing the 2nd game of a back to back. Los Angeles is 0-4 SU (and 1-3 ATS) this season when playing the 2nd night of a back to back. The Clips are 3-11 SU as an underdog this season and that holds plenty of significance here as the Heat have failed to get the cover just ONCE (and that was by HALF A POINT) when they get a SU win. In other words, when the Heat have won, odds are strong they also cover. More of the same here. 10* MIAMI |
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12-16-17 | Oregon +2 v. Fresno State | Top | 68-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Non-Conf Game of the Month - Rickenbach CBB Game #557 Saturday 10* Top Play Oregon Ducks (+) @ Fresno State Bulldogs @ 6 ET - The Bulldogs top player, Jaron Hopkins, is dealing with a back injury. Even if he plays he won't be as effective as usual and he led Fresno State in scoring, assists and steals last season plus he was on the MWC all-defensive team. Suffice to say he is a very important player. Even though Oregon has dropped off from last season's level they are still projected to rank among the top five teams in the Pac-12 when all is said and done. By comparison, Fresno State WITH a healthy Hopkins is projected to finish in the top five of the Mountain West Conference. Of course I'll take the Pac-12 over the MWC any day of the week and I also like the fact that the Ducks have been the much better team on defense early this season. Oregon is allowing only 37.8% from the field and 29.3% from three point land while the Bulldogs are allowing 43.5% from the field and 37.7% from beyond the arc. There have only been 3 games this season where Fresno State was "challenged". In the two games they were favored by less than 7 points they failed to cover each time plus lost one of them outright. In the one game where the Bulldogs were an underdog they lost by 8. The gap may have closed on these teams but, especially with Hopkins hurting, there is still a gap and the Ducks will prevail. 10* OREGON |
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12-16-17 | Butler +7 v. Purdue | 67-82 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #595 Saturday 8* Butler Bulldogs (+) @ Purdue Boilermakers @ Noon ET - A lot of pressure on the Boilermakers here as they haven't been able to get over the hump against the Bulldogs. Maybe this indeed will be the year they finally do it but this line is still a generous one that is offering great value on big dog Butler. In other words, a non-covering win for Purdue would not surprise. The Bulldogs shooting has been red hot in December and that makes for a very dangerous dog. Both teams have been hot but the Boilermakers have not been covering at the rate that Butler has. What says a lot about Purdue is that this will be their toughest challenge since they faced Maryland as a 3.5 point favorite. Though the Boilermakers did get the cover, they only won the game by 5 points despite shooting 51% from the field while the Terrapins shot just 35% from the field. That says a lot right there! Also, Purdue is on a 1-5 ATS and SU run versus Butler. The Bulldogs are an incredible 77-37 SU (and 73-37 ATS) long-term in neutral court games. 8* BUTLER |
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12-15-17 | Dartmouth v. Illinois-Chicago -7 | 60-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #824 Friday 8* Illinois-Chicago Flames (-) vs Dartmouth Big Green @ 8 ET - Both teams have disappointed early this season but this looks like the perfect spot for the Flames to turn it around. The Big Green annually are one of the worst teams in the Ivy League and, once again, they are projected to finish dead last this season. On the other hand, the Flames are projected to be one of the top teams in the Horizon League this season. Though UIC is currently without point guard Tarkus Ferguson, they have a lot more depth than Dartmouth does. That is significant here because the Big Green being without forward Evan Boudreaux and guard Guilien Smith is absolutely a big deal. Illinois-Chicago has yet to cover a game this season but they certainly have played a tougher schedule than Dartmouth. In fact, nearly of the games for the Big Green have been non-lined match-ups. UIC is 6-2 ATS in recent seasons (and 41-25 ATS long-term) when they enter a game with rest of 5 or 6 days between games. Dartmouth is 2-10 ATS in recent seasons (and 6-18 ATS long-term) in games with a posted total in the 140s. The Big Green simply won't be able to keep with the hungry Flames here. 8* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO |
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12-15-17 | Thunder v. 76ers OVER 212 | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
ESPN Smash Pass - Rickenbach NBA Game #809 Friday 8* OVER the total in Philadelphia 76ers vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:05 ET - The Thunder are off of a big win over the Pacers. They wanted that game badly for Paul George in his return to Indiana. That said, Oklahoma City really turned up the heat on defense in that game as they held the Pacers to just 95 points. Now the Thunder will put forth the typical lackluster effort in the defensive end that follows a game like that. As for Philadelphia, they are happy to run and gun as their average score per game this season is a total of 217.5 points. Also, the 76ers are off of a big upset win at Minnesota. That holds significance here as the Sixers are 3-1 to the over this season when they are off of an outright win as an underdog. Also, when playing with 2 days of rest between games Philly is 3-1 to the over this season. The 76ers are also 9-5 to the over this season when off of a non-conference game. Look for the over to improve to 5-2 this season in OKC's Friday games. Oklahoma City's game at Indiana stayed under the total but, prior to that, the Thunder were on a 4-1 run to the over in true road games. That pattern resumes here! 8* OVER the total in Philadelphia |
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12-14-17 | Kings v. Wolves OVER 203 | Top | 96-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Game #507 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings @ 8:05 ET - The Kings have allowed an average of "only" 101 points per game their last 3 games but opponents have averaged 89 field goal attempts in those 3 contests. The point is that the proper pace for high-scoring games has certainly been there but the results simply haven't followed as 2 of the 3 games stayed under the total. Now Sacramento faces a Minnesota team that won't hesitate to "run and gun" here. The Timberwolves have gone 8-4 to the over in their last 12 games as they've averaged 107 points per game during this stretch. The over is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings between these teams including a perfect 2-0 in games played in Minneapolis. The Timberwolves are 44-25 to the over when off of a non-conference game. Also, in this particular case the Wolves were upset by the Sixers! That holds significance here as Minnesota is 5-1 to the over this season (and on a long-term 24-8 run to the over long-term) when they enter a game off of an upset loss as a favorite. In other words, look for the Timberwolves to be very aggressive in the offensive end Thursday! 10* OVER the total in Minnesota |
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12-14-17 | Valparaiso +10.5 v. Northwestern | 50-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #511 Thursday 8* Valparaiso Crusaders (+) @ Northwestern Wildcats @ 8 ET - Northwestern just absolutely destroyed Chicago State 96-31 Monday. As for Valparaiso, they started the season 8-0 but have now lost 2 straight including a blowout defeat at Purdue by 30 points. As a result, it is no surprise that the Wildcats have gone from an opener of -8 to as high as a -10.5 in most spots as of early Thursday morning. Even though the Crusaders are without Tevonn Walker, they still have plenty of firepower to hang around in this one against a Northwestern team that will be feeling a little too good about themselves after their win by a ridiculous 65 point margin to begin this week. Keep in mind, the Wildcats have played 10 games this season and only 1 of them was a lined game that was decided by more than 9 points. That being the blowout win over Chicago State this week. In other words (and especially with a game at DePaul on deck for Saturday), the Cats are getting way too much respect from the betting markets here. Northwestern is on a 6-10 ATS run in home games with a posted total between 140 and 144.5 points. Also, this season, the Wildcats are a poor 1-5 ATS when off of a non-conference game. Valparaiso is 5-2 ATS this season and certainly use to winning. Off of back to back losses I expect them to respond in a big way here! The Crusaders are 28-15 SU against teams with a winning record and I am glad to grab the double digits here! 8* VALPARAISO |
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12-13-17 | Blazers +3 v. Heat | Top | 102-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
Game of the Month - Rickenbach NBA Game #709 Wednesday 10* Top Play Portland Trail Blazers (+) @ Miami Heat @ 7:35 ET - The Trail Blazers are hungry as they have lost 5 straight games. Portland has played better in their last 2 games and covered both of those. In fact, the Blazers are now 16-8 ATS when they enter a game on a losing streak of 3 or more games. Miami is off of back to back SU wins but they are 0-4 ATS when they enter a game on a winning streak of 2 or more games this season. Also, the Heat are also 0-3 ATS this season when they enter a game on an ATS winning streak of 2 games or more. Miami has not fared well at home this season as they've covered just 2 of 11 games as a host this season! The Heat were a small dog at Memphis Monday and they got the outright win. Miami is 1-4 ATS this season when off of an upset win as an underdog. The Heat have covered only 3 of 10 as a favorite this season. Miami also has a divisional game on deck at Charlotte and could look right past this non-conference match-up. Portland will absolutely not look past the Heat here as the Blazers are hungry to end their longest losing streak of the season. The road team is 24-15 ATS long-term in the meetings between these teams and the hungry road dog gets the cash again here! 10* PORTLAND |
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12-13-17 | Thunder +1.5 v. Pacers | 100-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #705 Wednesday 8* Oklahoma City Thunder (+) @ Indiana Pacers @ 7:05 ET - The Thunder have failed to cover 9 games in a row and are 3-10 SU away from home this season while Indiana is 10-4 SU at home. That said, how is that the odds makers opened this one up at Oklahoma City -1? Exactly! Don't be fooled ladies and gentlemen. The odds makers know what they are doing and yet the betting markets are already helping us with the line move now having the Pacers as the favorite by 1.5 points. Of course this is the return of Paul George to Indiana and you know Russell Westbrook and all of his Thunder teammates are going to do everything they can to help the return to be a victorious one! Even though OKC defeated Indiana in late October in the first meeting between these teams, George only played 19 minutes due to foul trouble and ended up fouling out in just 19 minutes of action. Even with that, the Thunder still won that game by 18 points and they are hungry again tonight for another big win due to having lost 7 of their last 12 games overall. The Pacers are off of a big win and that holds significance here as they are 2-5 ATS when off of a win by a double digit margin this season. Indiana is also on an 8-16 ATS run against Northwest Division opponents. OKC is off of an ugly loss and they are 20-11 SU and 19-12 ATS when off of a loss by double digits. Also, the Thunder are 3-0 SU this season (30-13 SU long-term) when off of a game where they allowed 115 points or more. Look for the Thunder to improve to 5-1 SU against Central Division foes on the season. 8* OKLAHOMA CITY |
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12-13-17 | NC-Wilmington v. NC-Greensboro -7.5 | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #728 Wednesday 8* UNC Greensboro Spartans (-) vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks @ 7 ET - Both these teams were projected to fall from their usual respective positions near the top of their conferences. However, the Seahawks returned just 1 starter and have clearly fallen even further than the Spartans who returned 3 starters from last season's team. UNC Wilmington has a little more name recognition since they play in the Colonial Athletic Association. That said, the odds makers certainly weren't stupid when they made UNC Greensboro, a Southern Conference opponent, a double digit fave in this one. Yet the markets have clearly over-reacted as they've been pounding the Seahawks and driving this line all the way down to as a low as a -7 for the Spartans as of early gameday morning. UNC Wilmington's defense has been atrocious this season with 92 points per game allowed on 50% shooting from the field. Conversely, UNC Greensboro is allowing only 59 points per game on 40% shooting from the field. Also, the Seahawks are allowing 41% three pointers while the Spartans are allowing only 28% from downtown! UNC Wilmington is 0-4 ATS this season overall. Also, as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points, the Seahawks are a long-term 12-27 ATS! As for UNC Greensboro, they are 4-0 ATS overall this season plus on a 6-3 ATS run when off of a game where they allowed 60 points or less. Also, in Spartans games with a posted total in the 160s, they are 4-1 ATS long-term. 8* UNC Greensboro |
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12-13-17 | Villanova v. Temple +9 | Top | 87-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
Philly Insider - Rickenbach CBB Game #720 Wednesday 10* Top Play Temple Owls (+) vs Villanova Wildcats @ 7 ET - The Owls returned 4 starters from last season's team. The Wildcats are currently the #1 team in the nation. Temple would love nothing more than to get the upset of a Philly rival and #1 ranked team tonight at home at the Liacouras Center. While I feel the Owls will likely fall short in terms of that endeavor, I expect their defeat to be by only a bucket or two. With that said, tremendous home dog value here. Keep in mind, Temple has played a tough early season schedule. In fact, their strength of schedule so far this season does rank higher than that of the Wildcats. Villanova has dominated this match-up recently, including winning by 18.5 points per game in the past two meetings. However, it is with good reason that the odds makers opened this one up at "only" a -7 and yet the markets are driving this one higher which means even more value as the Owls are now available as high as a +9 as of gameday morning. Temple's defense has been solid and that will prove to be a key here against the high-flying Wildcats. The Owls are actually on a 12-2 ATS run in their games against teams that average 77 points or more per game! The Owls are on an overall 20-11 ATS run as an underdog while Villanova is on a 4-10 ATS run in Wednesday games. While Temple has a Saturday game on deck, the Wildcats are off until NEXT Friday the 22nd after this game. Could the undefeated Cats get caught looking ahead to their long break that starts tomorrow? Absolutely! 10* TEMPLE |
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12-12-17 | Michigan v. Texas OVER 129.5 | Top | 59-52 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
ESPN Top Play - Rickenbach CBB Game #529 Tuesday 10* OVER the total in Texas Longhorns vs Michigan Wolverines @ 9 ET - The Longhorns are off of a huge win versus Virginia Commonwealth. Why was the win over the Rams so big? Because that is where head coach Shaka Smart was from 2009 to 2015 and he and the Horns wanted that game badly. It was a dog-fight to the finish as VCU rallied in the 2nd half after being down big. Had the Horns lost the game it might have left them a little hungrier for this one. However, after that big effort on the defensive end, and hanging on to beat the Rams, I expect the Wolverines to put up plenty on a still-celebrating UT team tonight. The difference though will be that the Longhorns are at home and certainly capable of better shooting and up bigger points when they are at home at the Frank Erwin Center in Austin. The over is a long-term 16-6 when the Wolverines are a road dog of 3.5 to 6 points. Overall, in recent seasons, Michigan is 18-6 to the over in all road games. The Longhorns are averaging 78.2 points per game this season. The Wolverines are averaging 75.5 points per game this season. I know each team has some solid defensive numbers too but the UT defense will be somewhat sub-par after the huge effort against the Rams and then the long lay-off. Also, the Wolverines have allowed 69 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games and have allowed 73.7 points per game in their 3 true road games this season. 10* OVER the total in Texas |
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12-12-17 | Nuggets +7 v. Pistons | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #503 Tuesday 8* Denver Nuggets (+) @ Detroit Pistons @ 7:05 ET - The Pistons have lost 6 straight games. Detroit is also an ugly 4-9 SU this season when facing teams with a winning record. We're getting line value here with the Nuggets because they haven't performed well on the road overall. I am glad to grab the big points being offered with a Denver team that is 8-4 SU in non-conference games this season. The Nuggets are also 5-1 SU this season after allowing 115 points or more and 7-1 SU this season when off of a loss by a double digit margin. Denver will be fired up after Sunday's loss at Indiana and the Nuggets have been shooting the ball much better than the Pistons. Detroit has been held under 44.4% from the field in 6 straight games and under 41.5% in four straight games! 8* DENVER |
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12-12-17 | Lakers +3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
ESPN Top Play - Rickenbach NBA Game #505 Tuesday 10* Los Angeles Lakers (+) @ New York Knicks @ 7:05 ET - The Lakers are off of back to back wins plus playing for just the 3rd time in 9 days! Fresh legs and confidence are both on the side of Los Angeles in this one. They've had 2 full off days since winning by double digits at Charlotte Saturday. As for the Knicks, they barely hung on for a tight win Sunday versus Atlanta and they now will be playing for the 3rd time in just 4 days! Certainly New York's situation is much different than the favorable scheduling situation of LA here. Also, the Knicks have a divisional game against city rival Brooklyn on deck! NY is 1-4 ATS this month. Also, the Knicks are on a 26-44 SU run against Western Conference teams and also 13-33 SU run against teams that average 106 points or more per game. The Lakers are 42-29 ATS against Eastern Conference foes in recent seasons. Also, this season, Los Angeles is 3-0 ATS when off of a win by a double digit margin and LA is also 4-1 ATS when they enter a game on an under streak of 3 games or more. 10* LOS ANGELES LAKERS |
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12-12-17 | Columbia v. Boston College -11.5 | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #520 Tuesday 8* Boston College Eagles (-) vs Columbia Lions @ 7 ET - The knee-jerk reaction from most here will be to fade the Eagles since they just topped the #1 team in the nation (Duke) on Saturday. However, the key to the value here is the line has already been adjusted for that and the fact is that Columbia is annually one of the worst teams in the Ivy League. This is just their second season under coach Engles and he is a good coach but it is often not until the 3rd season that even a good, quality coach can get a poor team like the Lions turned around. Now, with their annual long Christmas break on deck, Columbia could get caught sleep-walking through this game. They are an ugly 1-9 on the season and the Eagles hot shooting against Duke is unlikely to cool here. Boston College has Central Connecticut State on deck so there is certainly no lookahead here. Look for the Eagles to build off the big win over the Blue Devils with another dominant win tonight. Columbia is 2-4 ATS in December games. The Eagles improve to 7-3 ATS in their last 10 lined Tuesday games. 8* BOSTON COLLEGE |
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12-11-17 | Heat +1.5 v. Grizzlies | 107-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #703 Monday 8* Miami Heat (+) @ Memphis Grizzlies @ 8:05 ET - Even though the Heat are off of a game at Mexico City Saturday, this will be just the 3rd game in the past 8 days for Miami. They do have fresh legs. As for Memphis, they will be playing their 3rd game in just 4 days and things have not been going well for the Grizzlies. Memphis has lost 3 straight games and 14 of their last 15 games! The Heat are a small dog here and that is certainly noteworthy as they are a PERFECT 7-0 SU this season in games against teams with a losing record. Memphis is 1-7 SU and ATS in their games against teams with a losing record this season. 8* MIAMI |
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12-11-17 | Hornets v. Thunder OVER 206 | Top | 116-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #707 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Charlotte Hornets @ 8:05 ET - The Thunder are off of a couple poor shooting efforts but both those games were away from Oklahoma City. With OKC back home tonight and averaging 104 points per game in their last 8 games on their home floor, the Thunder offense gets back on track in this one. Additionally, their opponent tonight certainly has no hesitation in terms of being happy to push the pace. The Hornets games this season have averaged about 211.5 points and I look for another fast-paced shootout here. Charlotte has averaged 108 points per game in their last 4 road games. The Thunder have trended under this season but I love this situation in terms of them returning home off of a rather low-scoring road win and now facing a team that trends over. The Hornets are 4-1 to the over this season when off of a loss by 10 points or more in their prior game. Also, Charlotte is 7-2 to the over when off of a non-conference game. 10* OVER the total in Oklahoma City |
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12-11-17 | Florida International v. South Florida OVER 124.5 | 65-53 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Game #713 Monday 8* OVER the total in South Florida Bulls vs Florida International Panthers @ 7 ET - Both of these teams lost a lot of key players from last season. Making matters worse for USF is that they have a new coach plus have already lost a couple of key players they had high hopes for this season because one was one of their few key returnees and another was their most highly touted freshman. With the loss of Troy Holston and David Collins indefinitely with knee injuries, the Bulls are even having to go through more of an adjustment phase than originally projected. As for FIU, they lost all 5 starters from last season. The reason this helps with an over is that neither team is particularly sound in terms of solid team defense in terms of the proper switches and rotations required to be a strong defensive unit. This is a low total and South Florida is actually 11-0 to the over in games with a posted total in the 120s the past two seasons. Florida International is 24-13 to the over as an underdog. Also, the Panthers are off of a rare game where they allowed less than 61 points. That holds significance here as the over is 5-2 when FIU is off of a game where they allowed 60 points or less. 8* OVER the total in South Florida |
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12-10-17 | Gonzaga v. Washington OVER 155 | Top | 97-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Dominator Top Play - Rickenbach CBB Game #527 Sunday 10* OVER the total in Washington Huskies vs Gonzaga Bulldogs @ 8 ET - The Huskies are off of their huge upset win versus Kansas. It's hard to worry too much about defense when you just beat one of the top teams in the country and you're offense has not been held below 70 points in your first 9 games of the season. Simply put, the Huskies are a very confident team right now. That is a key here as they feel they can score with (keep up with) Gonzaga in this big regional rivalry. Look for the Huskies to be on the attack early and often in this game. The trouble for Washington is they catch the Bulldogs off of a bad loss to Villanova. It was the first time this season that Gonzaga has been held to less than 76 points in a game. With the Bulldogs averaging 90.6 points per game and the Huskies averaging 80.6 points per game, I feel we're getting some solid line value here with this total in the mid-150s. When the Bulldogs are off of a bad game they generally respond with their offense. That is why the over is 4-0 when Gonzaga is off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more. Also, Washington is 3-1 to the over this season as an underdog and the Huskies are hosting a Bulldogs team that has gone over the total in 4 straight games. More of the same here! 10* OVER the total in Washington |
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12-10-17 | Hawks v. Knicks -5 | Top | 107-111 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Situational Slam - Rickenbach NBA Game #512 Sunday 10* Top Play New York Knicks (-) vs Atlanta Hawks @ 7:35 ET - Both teams are in a back to back but the Knicks will prove to the be hungrier team. The Hawks are off of a home win (albeit against an Orlando team that doesn't travel well) while New York is off of a tight 2-point road loss at Chicago and will be ready to respond here. The Knicks also have additional motivation as they lost at Atlanta earlier this season. Also, New York lost each of the final 3 meetings versus the Hawks last season by an average margin of only 2.7 points per defeat. Time for payback here and Atlanta is 0-5 SU in the 2nd game of back to backs this season. Also, the Hawks are 0-4 SU this season when off of a game where they scored 115 points or more. The Knicks are 6-1 SU (and ATS!) as a favorite this season. Also, New York is 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS in their home games this season. The Knicks are hungry after the way yesterday's game ended and we'll see the response here. 10* NEW YORK KNICKS |
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12-09-17 | Rockets -9 v. Blazers | Top | 124-117 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
Dominator Top Play - Rickenbach NBA Saturday 10* Houston Rockets (-) @ Portland Trail Blazers @ 10:05 ET - The Rockets lost by 10 in their last visit to Portland so it is time for a little payback here. The Blazers are hurt (literally) by the ankle injury to Jusuf Nurkic here as he is likely to miss this game and he is tied for the team lead in rebounds, leads the team in blocked shots, and is also their 3rd leading scorer. Portland has lost 3 straight games and the average margin of defeat has been 11 points even though all 3 games were at home. That said, I don't see them shutting down a Rockets team that has won 14 of 15 games! What has been most impressive about this win streak for Houston is that only 1 of those 14 wins has come by less than 11 points. The Rockets aren't just winning, they are dominating teams! That is why this has been an 11-4 ATS run for Houston and I don't see them slowing down here. They remember what happened in their last visit to Portland. The Trail Blazers also have the defending champion Warriors on deck! Though the Blazers are off of an upset loss as a favorite that doesn't mean they'll bounce back here. In fact, Portland has just 1 cover in 7 games when playing in that situation. The Rockets are a stellar 9-3 ATS on the road this season. 10* HOUSTON |
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12-09-17 | Minnesota v. Arkansas OVER 165 | Top | 79-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Top Play - Rickenbach CBB Game #787 Saturday 10* OVER the total in Arkansas Razorbacks vs Minnesota Golden Gophers @ 6:45 ET - This is one of the biggest totals on the board Saturday but the big number is absolutely justified. The Golden Gophers are coming off of an ugly loss where they were held to just 32.4% from the field. Minnesota will be ready to respond here. Last year's match-up with Arkansas so the Gophers score at least 42 points in each half while the Razorbacks scored 46 points in the 2nd half after a dismal first half performance. This season, playing at home and seeking revenge, Arkansas will hit the floor firing on all cylinders proving to be very much unlike last year's dismal first half performance at Minnesota. As a result (and as you can see by the spread of just 3.5 points on this game) look for a close game all the way through with these teams trading buckets. Also, speaking of trading baskets, both these teams have solid outside shooting capability and have been hitting a high percentage of their threes on the season. The Razorbacks are hitting 40% of their three pointers and the Golden Gophers are hitting 37% from beyond the arc this season. The fact Minny has allowed 38% shooting from downtown and that the Hogs are allowing 75 points per game tells you why you can expect this one to turn into an absolute shootout! The Golden Gophers loss at Nebraska stayed under the total but they previously were 7-1 to the over this season! The Razorbacks are 4-2 to the over as a favorite this season and 5-2 to the over as a home fave of 3.5 to 6 points the past 2 seasons. Each of these teams is averaging 87 points per game this season so, again, don't let the big O/U here scare you! These teams are likely to get close to 180 points! 10* OVER the total in Arkansas |
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12-09-17 | Cincinnati -120 v. Florida | 60-66 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #807 Saturday 8* Cincinnati Bearcats (-) vs Florida Gators @ 6 ET from Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey - This is a neutral site game and yet the lower-ranked team is favored over the higher-ranked foe. That, of course, is always intriguing and I am certainly not fooled by this line. The fact is that the Bearcats are currently the better team and the Gators are enduring some early season growing pains. Florida followed up a tough loss to Duke by getting blown out by Florida State. This was then followed by an embarrassing loss to Loyola (Ill.) and a team like the Gators that relies on outside shooting is quickly finding out how painful the old adage can be. Live by the 3, die by the 3 and that is exactly what is plaguing Florida right now. Now they play in a neutral court setting which means unfamiliar sight-lines and I expect the Gators shooting struggles to continue. What won't help Florida is the fact they are facing a Cincinnati defense that is allowing just 61 points per game and only 36% shooting from the field early this season! The Bearcats also have had a full week off to digest their loss to Xavier in their Crosstown Rivalry game and Cincy, suffice to say, will be amped up to respond in this game! Florida is 1-17 SU and 4-13 ATS as an underdog! The Bearcats are 10-0 SU against teams that allow 77 or more points per game! 8* CINCINNATI |
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12-09-17 | Wichita State v. Oklahoma State +5.5 | 78-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #764 Saturday 8* Oklahoma State Cowboys (+) vs Wichita State Shockers @ 4 ET - The markets are making a push toward the Shockers here. The result is excellent line value with the underdog Cowboys. While it is true that this is a revenge spot for Wichita State and that they are a ranked team that has played a tougher schedule than Oklahoma State, it is also true that the Gallagher-Iba Arena in Stillwater is not too friendly for visitors! Also, this O/U opened up in the 150s and the Shockers are 0-5 ATS the past 3 seasons in games with a posted total in the 150s. The Cowboys have a long-term mark of 15-4 SU in home games with a posted total between 150 and 154.5 points. Both teams are playing well early this season but the Cowboys have allowed just 40% from the field in their last 3 games combined while the Shockers have allowed 49% from the field in 2 of their past 4 games. Grab the value with the home dog here that is very fired up for this opportunity hosting a ranked foe on a Saturday afternoon. 8* OKLAHOMA STATE |
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12-09-17 | Wizards v. Clippers +2.5 | 112-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Saturday 8* Los Angeles Clippers (+) vs Washington Wizards @ 3:35 ET - The Los Angeles Clippers have been struggling as they've been beaten by the injury bug (Patrick Beverley and Blake Griffin). However, they have a couple of key edges here against the Wizards. The Clips have the home court edge and they also catch Washington playing an early game after enjoying the Friday "night life" of LA. Even though the Wizards have won 2 of 3 on this road trip, those victories came against the slumping Blazers and a bad Suns team. With the Clippers playing just the 2nd time in 6 days and the Wizards playing for the 4th time in 6 days (each game in a different city), this is a big scheduling edge for LA. Of course we get line value here with the Clips as a home dog due to their recent struggles as well as the corresponding injury situation. The Clippers are 19-4 SU against Southeast Division opponents. The Wizards are 5-8 ATS as a favorite this season. 8* LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS |
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12-08-17 | St. John's +5 v. Arizona State | 70-82 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach CBB Game #521 Friday 8* St John's Red Storm (+) vs Arizona State Sun Devils @ 8 ET @ Staples Center in Los Angeles, California - This game is part of the Basketball Hall of Fame Classic. The Sun Devils are a ranked team. Even though this game is considered a neutral site game, the location certainly favors Arizona State. Also, the Red Storm are expected to still be without Marcus LoVett. With all that said, how can the Sun Devils have opened up as just a 4.5 point favorite? Exactly! You think the odds makers are stupid? They know that the aggressive defensive style that St John's plays is going to really test the high-powered Sun Devils offense here. Also, as nice as it would be for the Red Storm to have LoVett back on the floor for this one, the fact is that he had made only 9 of 34 shots in his past two games and, arguably, was hurting more than helping. So a ranked ASU team with the location edge for this game and an undefeated record on the season opens up as a very small favorite. I am not buying it! Going contrarian here and telling you that the Red Storm are going to surprise a lot of folks here. Looking for the upset but if St John's does fall short I expect it to be by a single possession. The Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest between games, 4-8 ATS in neutral court games, 3-8 ATS against Big East foes, and 0-4 ATS in neutral court games with a posted total between 155 and 159.5 points. The Red Storm are 8-4 ATS in games with a posted total in the 150 to 159.5 point range. 8* ST JOHN'S |
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12-08-17 | Cavs v. Pacers +3.5 | Top | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
Earliest Cash Top Play - Rickenbach NBA Friday 10* Indiana Pacers (+) vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:05 ET - The Pacers just played a Bulls team that has the longest losing streak in the NBA. Clearly Indiana was looking ahead to this match-up with the team that has the longest winning streak in the NBA. After barely getting by the Bulls (and with Myles Turner listed as questionable due to his knee) we are getting a nice home dog spot here on the Pacers. Indiana is 8-4 SU at home this season and 65-34 SU at home the past 3 seasons combined. Keep in mind, the Cavs (even with their current hot streak) have been money burners at the betting window as a fave. Cleveland is 4-15 ATS as a favorite this season! Also, the Cavaliers are on an ugly 16-28 ATS run versus division opponents. The Pacers are a fantastic 27-13 ATS their last 40 versus divisional foes. Indiana has failed to get the cash only ONCE in their last SIX games versus the Cavs. There is a reason the odds makers but such a low number on the favorite here even though they've won 13 in a row. Don't be fooled by it. Upset time here. 10* INDIANA |
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12-07-17 | Lakers v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 107-104 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
TNT Explosion Top Play - Rickenbach NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76'ers (-) vs Los Angeles Lakers @ 8:05 ET - The Lakers have lost 5 straight and 10 of their last 13. Also, 7 of those 10 losses have come by 8 or more points. When the Lakers lose (often) they generally lose big and the Sixers are in a good spot to take the Lakers behind the woodshed and lay the lumber on Los Angeles! Philadelphia is angry off of a home loss to Phoenix where they were lethargic from the opening tip onward. The 76'ers are 3-1 SU and ATS when off of a game where they allowed 115 points or more this season. Also, the past 3 seasons combined, Philly is 14-5 ATS in games with a posted total of 220 points or more and also 50-21 ATS in non-conference games including a fantastic 19-7 ATS in games against Pacific Division opponents. The Lakers are 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in road games this season. The Sixers, off of a loss and with a road trip on deck that will take them away from Philly for a week, are going to make the most of this home game. The 76ers have had two full off days since the loss to the Suns so anger and frustration has built up and is ready to be unleashed on the slumping Lakers. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA |
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12-07-17 | Valparaiso v. Purdue -15 | Top | 50-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Earliest Cash Top Play - Rickenbach CBB Game #710 Thursday 10* Purdue Boilermakers (-) vs Valparaiso Crusaders @ 6:30 ET - Long-time followers know I rarely lay big points in basketball. However, this play easily fits in as a rare exception. Purdue is ranked, at home, and loaded with veteran players. Valparaiso has their attention as an in-state foe with an undefeated record. The Crusaders are 8-0 but they are a young team as most of their minutes come from freshmen and sophomores whereas most of the Boilermakers minutes come from underclassmen. Not only has Valparaiso played a weak schedule, they now face a team that can not only match their size but exceed. Purdue is loaded with size in the paint including a 7'3 freshman that is one of the nation's top shot-blockers. One of the big keys here is that the Crusaders have not played in over a week. As I have always said, too much rest can lead to rust and Valparaiso is really not that great of a shooting team to begin with. I know some of their overall stats this season will lead you to believe otherwise but the fact is that Valpo has been held under 35.8% from three point land in 6 of their 8 games. By comparison, Purdue has shot 43% or better from three point land in half their games this season. The Boilermakers won't overlook the Crusaders because the 8-0 record means Purdue wants to make sure they hand this in-state foe their first loss and I expect them to do it in an emphatic way. I realize that Valparaiso has some impressive numbers on defense this season but they truly have not played anyone of real significance. They're going to be tested in a big way with this veteran Boilermakers team and I sense a huge blowout win. Purdue also has a 9-man rotation and their bench will do just fine when called upon in this game even if it is mop-up / garbage time late in the game which is another reason I am comfortable laying the big number here. The off-time for Valpo won't help their shooting and neither will playing at a tough venue, Mackey Arena. The Crusaders are 1-5 ATS when they enter a game after a lay-off of 7 or more days. Purdue is on a 16-1 SU run (and 13-3 ATS) in December games! Also, the Boilermakers are 13-4 ATS when facing a team that allows 64 points or less per game. Lay the big points in this one! 10* PURDUE |
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12-06-17 | New Mexico +8.5 v. Colorado | Top | 57-75 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher Top Play - Rickenbach CBB Game #561 Wednesday 10* New Mexico Lobos (+) @ Colorado Buffaloes @ 9 ET - The Lobos haven't won a game away from home this season and the Buffaloes haven't lost a game at home this season. Couple that with the fact that Colorado is projected to move up some in the Pac-12 this season while New Mexico is projected to drop down some in the MWC this season and you can see why most will be enticed to back the Buffs here. I am going contrarian in this spot and would not be surprised to see the Lobos get the outright win which is why I certainly love them plus the big points here. Colorado is off of their first loss of the season and it was at rival Colorado State. Not only does that give the Buffaloes unbeaten letdown here it is also a flat spot scheduling-wise as they just faced the rival Rams and they have a huge game on deck with a highly-ranked Xavier team! Look for New Mexico to prove to be the hungrier team here. They just lost by double digits at UTEP Saturday but simply shot the ball very poorly. Overall, in comparison with the Buffaloes, the Lobos have played the tougher schedule this season. Also, New Mexico is 4-1 ATS as a road dog in a range of 6.5 to 9 points and the Lobos are 4-0 ATS in road games with a posted total in a range of 150 to 154.5 points. Colorado is 1-5 ATS against Mountain West opponents. 10* NEW MEXICO |
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12-06-17 | Heat v. Spurs -7.5 | Top | 105-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Top Play Dominator - Rickenbach NBA 10* San Antonio Spurs (-) vs Miami Heat @ 8:35 ET - The Spurs are always up for the Heat. Of course the back to back battles in 2013 and 2014 and the fact these non-conference foes only meet twice a season helps make these match-ups special. The Spurs are at home and getting healthier. The Heat are on the road and continuing to struggle without Hassan Whiteside. Miami has lost 3 of 4 SU and ATS while allowing opponents to hit a ridiculous 53.3% from the field. The Spurs have failed to cover their last 3 home games but the margin those 3 games failed to cover by was a COMBINED 2.5 points and San Antonio had started the season 8-2 ATS in home games! In other words, a big home win for the Spurs would not surprise in the least in terms of this match-up. Each of Miami's last 7 losses have come by at least 9 points and the average margin of those 7 defeats was 18.3 points. I sense another blowout here as the Heat also could be distracted by their Mexico City trip on deck as they face Brooklyn there on Saturday. The Spurs are a long-term 24-9 ATS in December games and 90-52 ATS in games against teams from the Southeast Division. Look for Miami to drop to 4-8 ATS this season in their games against teams with a winning record. 10* SAN ANTONIO |
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12-06-17 | Pistons v. Bucks UNDER 206 | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Wednesday NBA 8* UNDER the total in Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons @ 8:05 ET - 8 of the Pistons last 9 road games have stayed under the total. This is a divisional game so defensive intensity tends to be up for games like this. Both meetings this season have stayed under the total and with the upward movement on this total early today we're now getting even more line value with the under. Even though the Bucks most recent home game went over the total, that was just the 2nd over in Milwaukee's last 8 home games and I expect a strong effort here on the defensive end here as they look to duplicate last month's effort in Detroit where the Bucks held the Pistons to just 35% from the field. The Pistons are wrapping up a lengthy road trip and that is significant here as Detroit is 15-8 to the under when they enter a game having played each of their three prior games on the road. The Pistons are 8-3 to the under in road games this season. More of the same expected here. 8* UNDER the total in Milwaukee |
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12-06-17 | Hawks +6.5 v. Magic | 106-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Wednesday NBA 8* Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic @ 7:05 ET - Sure the Hawks have had their share of struggles this season but anytime I can get significant points like this and go against a team (Magic) that has lost 11 of 13 straight-up, I am in! Only ONE time in their last 13 games has Orlando won a game by more than 5 points. As for the Hawks, they are 8-2 ATS the last 10 times they have allowed more than 105 points in a game and they're angry again here as they are off of an ugly 110-90 loss to Brooklyn. The Magic were held by the Hornets to just 94 points in a 10 point loss on Monday. Orlando is on a 2-7 ATS run when they are off of a game where they were held to 105 points or less! Also, this is the 3rd game in 4 nights for the Magic while the Hawks are playing for just the third time this month. Atlanta does have revenge from a 19 point loss at Orlando in their most recent match-up. While it is true that the Hawks have not played well this season, the Magic aren't great either and are known for playing down to the level of their competition. Orlando is 18-31 ATS against teams allowing 106 points or more per game. Also, the Magic are 2-5 ATS (and SU!) this season against teams with a losing record. 8* ATLANTA |
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12-06-17 | Northern Kentucky -130 v. East Tenn State | 71-84 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #577 Wednesday 8* Northern Kentucky Norse (-) @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers @ 7 ET - Even though this is a revenge game for the Bucs (lost at N. Ky. last month), oftentimes revenge gives you value in going AGAINST it and that is precisely the case here. The fact is that revenge tends to be one of the most over-played angles and therefore sometimes gets played in the wrong spots. In my opinion, that will prove to be the case here for all bettors backing East Tennessee State. Yes, the Buccaneers finished at the top of the Southern Conference last season but they lost 4 starters from that team! Also, the Bucs are now without 6'6 forward David Burrell who was a significant contributor last season as a non-starter and they were counting on him this season. ETSU was also hoping for Jeromy Rodriguez to be a key contributor this season but he was lost for the season with a shoulder injury. As for Northern Kentucky, they returned 4 starters and they finished near the top of the Horizon League last year and have a great shot at finishing in the top spot this season. The Norse numbers are much better than that of the Bucs on BOTH ends of the floor. Also, Northern Kentucky is on a 14-5 ATS run in games with a posted total in the 140s. East Tennessee State is 2-10 ATS in home games with a posted total between 145 and 149.5 points. 8* NORTHERN KENTUCKY |
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12-06-17 | Wisconsin v. Temple -4 | 55-59 | Push | 0 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #526 Wednesday 8* Temple Owls (-) vs Wisconsin Badgers @ 7 ET - The Badgers lost 4 starters from last season's team while the Owls return 4 starters. Temple's starters play a lot of minutes but that is not a problem in a scheduling situation like this where they are playing just their 2nd game this month. Also, the Owls are finally playing their first home game of the season and I expect them to make the most of it. They do have revenge here from an ugly loss at Wisconsin two years ago. The Badgers are a much different team now compared to that team of two years ago and the Owls veteran players will be the difference-maker in this match-up. Temple has shot 48% or better from the field in 3 straight games and 4 of their last 5. Keep in mind this is without having played on their home floor. Wisconsin is off of a very tight 1-point win at Penn State but that was preceded by losses in 5 of their 6 prior games. Prior to the win over the Nittany Lions the Badgers had been held to 41% or less from the field in 4 of their 6 previous games. As a road dog of 3.5 to 6 points Wisconsin has a SU record of 13-30. Given those strong odds of a Badgers loss here, I like my chances with the hungry Owls (off of a loss) in terms of covering this short number at home. Temple is 15-5 SU in games against teams with a losing record and also 18-10 ATS in games against non-conference opponents. 8* TEMPLE |
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12-05-17 | Texas A&M v. Arizona +1.5 | Top | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach CBB Game #728 Tuesday 10* Top Play Arizona Wildcats (+) vs Texas A & M Aggies @ 9 ET - Here you have the #7 ranked team in the country with a 7-0 record and a 4-2 ATS mark facing an unranked foe that is only 5-3 SU this season and also an ugly 2-6 ATS and yet the line opened up in the pick'em range. Even more remarkable about this opening number is that this isn't even a true home game for Arizona as it will be played at the same arena as the NBA's Phoenix Suns use. The point is that this is absolutely a "trap line" in my opinion. Now, when I say "trap line" I don't mean that the odds makers intentionally set trap lines, I just mean that public opinion can absolutely make a line a trap and that is the case here. Public players will look at this game and say "wow...I can get an undefeated highly ranked team that is undefeated and playing on a neutral floor and facing an unranked 3-loss foe". That will be the prevailing wisdom and, of course, I feel strongly that this mindset will prove to be wrong in a big way. That is what my contrarian plays are all about and it also why I am raising the level of this play to my highest level. The Wildcats are ticked off. They are fired up and starting to turn the corner after those 3 losses in the Thanksgiving Tourney. After those 3 straight losses they got the type of big win a team needs to get swagger back as they crushed Long Beach State. The Wildcats then faced UNLV and got a hard-fought OT win which is the type of win a team that has struggled early absolutely needs to get over the hump. Remember the Wildcats were highly touted coming into the season and they are extremely well coached. They are a bargain in this spot and I'll grab them as they get the marquee win they have needed to prove they are for real. Those 3 losses Thanksgiving Week will prove to be the best thing that could have happened to a team that many projected to be in the final four coming into this season. They'll start leaving up to the hype no doubt. 10* ARIZONA |
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12-05-17 | Suns v. Raptors OVER 224.5 | 113-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Tuesday 8* OVER the total in Toronto Raptors vs Phoenix Suns @ 7:35 ET - The Suns are off of an upset win at Philadelphia last night but the 76'ers simply had an awful shooting night. Philly only made 7 of 30 three pointers and that was the difference in the game. That also is what helped the game stay under the total and I don't expect a repeat here. The Suns are scoring a ton of points but, as usual, their defense leaves a lot to be desired and the well-rested Raptors can take advantage. Toronto has been off since a big win Friday versus Indiana. That game went over the total and the Raptors are a solid 6-3 to the over in home games as they are averaging an incredible 115 points per game at home this season. The Suns give up 115 points per game so you can see why this match-up is indeed set up well for a ton of points. The Raptors have shot 51.7% from the field in their last 4 games. Also, the over is 9-3 in Suns non-conference games this season and Phoenix is 34-16 to the over the past 3 seasons combined when they are facing a team that allows 106 points or more per game. The past 3 seasons combined Toronto is 23-15 to the over when off of a game where they scored 115 points or more and 65-42 to the over in home games. I see every reason to expect another one here as the Suns are on a 3-0 run to the over when they are playing the 2nd game of a back to back and that 2nd game is on the road. 8* OVER the total in Toronto |
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12-05-17 | Evansville v. Bowling Green OVER 141.5 | 91-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #707 Tuesday 8* OVER the total in Bowling Green Falcons vs Evansville Purple Aces @ 7 ET - The Aces games with posted totals this season - all 5 - have stayed UNDER the total. However, the reason this total is quite lofty is certainly no mistake. Evansville got their confidence back with a 98-56 win over a smaller school Saturday. The Purple Aces took advantage of facing the nearby Oakland City University Mighty Oaks and Evansville certainly got their shooting stroke back. That will do wonders for them here at Bowling Green and they're facing a Falcons team that love to play uptempo fast-paced games. The AVERAGE score of a Falcons game this season is 167 points and that is why I feel we're getting phenomenal line value here with the truly (considering BG's numbers) rather low total posted on this game. The over is 7-4 in Evansville's games against the MAC and 7-2 in their Tuesday games. The over is 17-8 when Bowling Green is a home fave in range of 3.5 to 6 points. Also, the Falcons are 9-4 to the over when they are off of a game where they scored 80 points or more. 8* OVER the total in Bowling Green |
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12-05-17 | Ball State +18 v. Notre Dame | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #711 Tuesday 8* Ball State Cardinals (+) @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ 7 ET - The Cardinals are the perfect type of team to play as a huge dog. They have a lot of depth. So that means that even when they're making use of their bench they can hang around in a game and that is precisely what I expect them to do in this spot. The Fighting Irish have a 7-1 record on the season but Ball State has actually played a tougher schedule on the season than Notre Dame. Also, the Cardinals did get embarrassed at Oklahoma and Oregon and they are ready to make up for those two ugly losses here. I expect this one to end much closer than many are expecting. The Cardinals have the added confidence of 3 straight wins and hot shooting coming into this game. The past 3 seasons combined the Cards are 20-11 ATS as an underdog. Also, as a road dog of 15.5 to 18 points, Ball State is 7-3 ATS long-term. As a home favorite of 12.5 or more points, Notre Dame is a long-term 27-45 ATS! Also, in a home game with a posted total in the 150 to 154.5 range, the Irish are an ugly 6-14 ATS long-term including 1-4 ATS the past 3 seasons. Against MAC opponents, the Fighting Irish are a long-term 3-9 ATS and I fully believe they'll again prove to be over-priced in this spot. 8* BALL STATE |
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12-04-17 | Pistons v. Spurs OVER 198 | 93-96 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Monday 8* OVER the total in San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons @ 8:35 - Nothing like a 14-14 fourth quarter performance to ruin your play when you're on an over! Suffice to say the Spurs are fired up after losing by just 3 points last night thanks in part to a 14-point 4th quarter. Also, I am fired up too as I had the over in their game at Oklahoma City and I was done in by a dreadful fourth quarter from both teams. I'll look to get retribution right away by coming back with the Spurs over here as I do expect LaMarcus Aldridge and Tony Parker to be back in the lineup after they were each rested in the front-end of this back-to-back situation. The Spurs are off of back to back unders and so too are the Pistons. However, Detroit is averaging 110.8 points per game their last 4 games and San Antonio was averaging 105 points per game in their 4-game winning streak that preceded last night's ugly performance. The Spurs are a perfect 3-0 to the over this season when playing an Eastern Conference foe in the 2nd game of a back-to-back situation. Look for another one here as they'll push the pace at home off of a loss and the Pistons are scoring 105 points per game this season but Detroit also allows an average of 103 points per game. 8* OVER the total in San Antonio |
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12-04-17 | Michigan +2.5 v. Ohio State | 62-71 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Monday 8* Michigan Wolverines (+) @ Ohio State Buckeyes @ 6:30 PM ET - The Buckeyes upset the Wolverines as a 9 point dog in Michigan last season and they also defeated them when they most recently met at Ohio State 2 years ago. Payback is in order here and I love the fact that everyone is jumping on the home team (in early wagering action here) as if it is some type of gift that the odds makers opened with a line of very nearly a pick'em in this game even though the game is in the Buckeye State. Don't be fooled ladies and gentlemen, the Wolverines are the better team and are poised to get their revenge here. Early season projections have Michigan slated in the top five of this 14-team conference while Ohio State was projected to finish near the bottom. The fact that the Buckeyes are off of their huge win over Wisconsin Saturday where they shot a ridiculous 66% from the field including 54% from beyond the arc does not mean Ohio State is suddenly a top team. The Buckeyes had lost 3 of their 4 prior games and are now facing a 7-2 Michigan team with 1 of those 2 Wolverines losses coming by just 2 points. The Wolverines are off of a win versus Indiana but defense keyed that win and they've had the better overall defense in comparison with the Buckeyes so far this season. Also, Michigan is 10-4 ATS when playing with 1 day or less of rest while Ohio State is 2-4 ATS with 1 day or less of rest. The Buckeyes also are 6-13 ATS when off of a win against a conference rival. The Wolverines also are 13-2 SU in December games while Ohio State is 5-10 SU when facing teams that allowed 64 points or less per game! 8* MICHIGAN |
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12-03-17 | Maryland v. Illinois OVER 145 | 92-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Big Ten Network Smash - Rickenbach CBB Sunday 8* OVER the total in Illinois Illini vs Maryland Terrapins @ 8 ET - The Illini are off of an OT loss that stayed under the total despite overtime. However, there were only 14 points total scored in OT and Illinois only had 5 of those. That said, the Illini are averaging 83.75 points per game this season even when you remove the OT points from Friday's game. The Terrapins are averaging 77 points per game on the season. With both teams playing on short rest, I look for plenty of offense in this one. With both teams coming off of tight losses, they'll push the pace to get "over the top" in this one. As you can also see from the line, we're dealing with a small number on the spread in this game. A close game late (likely!) leads to plenty of late fouling and late "scramble points" and I'll gladly take advantage of the downward move on this total that the markets have driven this morning. The over is 15-9 when the Illini are a home dog of 3 points or less. Look for the over to improve to 6-3 when Maryland is off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more. 8* OVER the total in Illinois |
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12-03-17 | Spurs v. Thunder OVER 198 | 87-90 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
NBA TV Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Sunday 8* OVER the total in Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:05 ET - The over is 3-1 this season in Oklahoma City's games against teams from the Southwest Division. The over is 19-10 when San Antonio is an underdog. Also, the over is 13-7 in the Spurs last 20 Sunday games. Also, the last 8 times the Spurs were off of a game where they held their opponent under 100 points and the game stayed under the total, the over is 6-2 in their next game! The Thunder have allowed their last 4 opponents to hit a combined 51.4% from the field! The Spurs have won 11 of 14 games and averaged 108.2 points per game in those 11 wins. The Thunder have scored 101 points or more in 7 of their last 10 games. 8* OVER the total in Oklahoma City |
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12-02-17 | San Francisco v. Arizona State -16 | Top | 57-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Top Play Dominator - Rickenbach CBB Game #592 Saturday 10* Arizona State Sun Devils (-) vs San Francisco Dons @ 9 ET - Not only is Arizona State 6-0 SU and undefeated ATS on the season, the Sun Devils have scored at least 90 points in all 6 games. They were down by 15 points in the 1st half against Xavier last Friday and yet stormed back won the game by 16 points. Keep in mind that is a quality Musketeers team and that says an awful lot about just how explosive this Sun Devils offense is this season! As for San Francisco, they are averaging 70.7 points per game in lined games. Right away, just from pure numbers alone, you can see why ASU should win this game by at least 20 points! But what is also concerning for the Dons is that, when you take out their non-lined games against sub-par competition (Sonoma State and St. Francis, PA) they have been held under 37.4% from the field in all three of their lined games! That kind of shooting performance just isn't going to get it done against a Sun Devils team that is averaging 95.7 points per game on the season and has shot over 50% from the field in all 6 games! Also, ASU has played the much tougher schedule and all 6 of their games have been lined games! San Francisco is 1-6 ATS in games with a posted total in the 150s. The Sun Devils have too much depth, too much scoring from all over the floor, and they will dominate the paint in this game too. 10* ARIZONA STATE |
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12-02-17 | Pistons +5 v. 76ers | 103-108 | Push | 0 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Saturday 8* Detroit Pistons (+) @ Philadelphia 76'ers @ 7:35 ET - The Sixers are off of a loss and they catch the Pistons playing the 2nd night of a back to back. That said, on the surface, this looks like a great spot to back Philly. However, digging deeper shows there is actually great value with Detroit in this match-up. The Pistons are fired up after what happened last night. They were up by 6 points at the half at Washington but then began the 2nd half like they already had the game won. No energy, little effort, and Detroit got outscored by 20 points in the 3rd quarter. Of course that was the difference in the game and the Pistons now come into this game angry and ticked off. Remember they also already had extra motivation for this game because the 76ers beat them in Detroit early this season in a late October match-up. Now the Pistons get a shot at revenge and, keep in mind, the Pistons have won each of their last 3 visits to Philly. In fact the road team has won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams and the average margin in the last 4 games has been 19 points. With that said, don't be surprised if this one turns into a road rout! Before last night's loss, the Pistons had won 12 of 16 since the home loss to the Sixers earlier this season. Detroit is 7-2 ATS as an underdog this season. Philadelphia is just 7-23 SU (and has covered just 33%) in their last 30 December games. 8* DETROIT |
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12-01-17 | Boise State +7 v. Oregon | Top | 73-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher Top Play - Rickenbach CBB #725 Friday 10* Boise State Broncos (+) @ Oregon Ducks @ 9:30 ET - The Ducks have been a fantastic team in recent seasons but Oregon did lose 4 of 5 starters entering this season. After starting this season 4-0 SU and 3-0 ATS against weaker competition, the Ducks have struggled with an 0-3 ATS mark their last 3 games as the foes they faced were tougher opponents. They certainly face a tough one in this match-up as you know Boise State will be up for this opportunity to knock off a Pac-12 foe from a neighboring state. The Broncos schedule has been just as strong, if not stronger, than the Ducks and Boise State is rolling with confidence right now. They have won 6 of 7 games this season including two straight by an average margin of 27 points even though their average line in those two games was just a 6.5 point favorite! I look for another huge cover here as they either win this one outright or lose by just a single possession. The Broncos returned 3 starters from last season. As for the Ducks, they just lost starter Troy Brown to a concussion (out for tonight's game) and he is their leading rebounder and one of their top scorers. The forward will be sorely missed tonight as Boise State's weakness is their frontcourt but Brown's absence hurts the Ducks ability to take advantage of that. The Broncos beat the Ducks at home two years ago and then last season easily covered in a 5 point loss at Oregon. The Ducks have covered just once in their last six games versus Mountain West Conference opponents. The Broncos are 8-4 SU and ATS when off of a game where they allowed 60 points or less. 10* BOISE STATE BRONCOS |
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12-01-17 | Warriors v. Magic OVER 227 | Top | 133-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
Earliest Cash Top Play - Rickenbach NBA 10* OVER the total in Orlando Magic vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:05 ET - This total opened up at a 230 and so, of course, under players got very excited with seeing such a big total and have pounded this thing down early. With it down to a 227 as of the time of this posting, I am rolling with the over in this one. This is a non-conference game and both teams are coming off of wins. As a result, there is very little incentive for either team to play much defense in this one. The Magic are off of a 13 point upset win where they shot "lights out" but they did allow 96 field goal attempts for the Thunder. In other words the pace was certainly there for a high-scoring game and they're not going to slow down the Warriors whom have both Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry listed as probable for tonight's game. Orlando has gone over the total in 5 straight games and Golden State has gone over the total in 5 of its last 7. The Warriors are 6-2 to the over in their games against teams with a losing record this season plus 6-2 to the over in road games with a posted total of 220 points or more. The Magic are 11-6 to the over in games with a posted total of 220 points or more the past 3 seasons combined. 10* OVER the total in Orlando |
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11-30-17 | Missouri v. UCF +4 | Top | 62-59 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Rickenbach CBB Game #524 Thursday 10* Top Play Central Florida Golden Knights (+) vs Missouri Tigers @ 9 ET - This line has jumped strong toward Missouri today. Of course that is often what happens when you have a team averaging 80 points per game laying a very small number against a team averaging 64.5 points per game. However, here you have a Central Florida team off of back to back dreadful shooting performances and they catch the Tigers off of a very tight loss to West Virginia that is absolutely going to leave Missouri emotionally spent here. Off their only other loss this season they followed it up with a 5 point win over a team called Emporia State. Not exactly an impressive response against a Division II basketball team that has had only 1 winning season the past 6 seasons under Shaun Vandiver. Now the Tigers take on an angry UCF team that is anxious to erase the bitter taste of averaging just 44 points per game their past 2 games! This game is played at the CFE Arena in Orlando and Missouri is an incredible 0-21 SU in road games the past 2+ seasons. The Tigers are also 4-17 SU in games with a posted total in the 130s while the Golden Knights are 21-9 ATS in games with a posted total in the 130s. Already 3-0 SU at home this season and on a 10-2 ATS run in November games the past 2+ seasons. 10* CENTRAL FLORIDA |
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11-30-17 | Cavs v. Hawks +8 | Top | 121-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Earliest Cash Top Play - Rickenbach NBA 10* Atlanta Hawks (+) vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:35 ET - The Cavaliers are a popular choice here because they have revenge from a tight home loss versus the Hawks earlier this season. However, Atlanta is always up for facing LeBron James and Company because they got swept out of the playoffs by the Cavs in the 2015 Eastern Conference finals and then again were swept in the 2016 Eastern Conference semifinals. Of course when it is playoff time and every game is critical things are different. However, in a regular season situation lets not forget all the distractions for road teams in Atlanta. Yes, this is a city known for its nightlife catering to visiting players! In other words it is much different from a road game in say, Salt Lake City Utah! The point is that maybe it should come as no surprise that the Hawks have played the Cavs tough including here at home. The last two meetings here saw Atlanta win one outright and lose the other one by just 5 points. Also, the Hawks have won each of their last 3 visits to Cleveland so there is something about facing Atlanta that seems to bring down the Cavs level of play a notch or two in regular season action! I know this Hawks team is a bad team this season but, off of a total beatdown at home against the Raptors, they will respond here. Atlanta had previously won 2 of its last 4 home games and the home game prior to that was a loss by just 3 points to the Celtics! After losing by 34 points to Toronto, the angry Hawks are going to hang around in this one and they are expected to have forward Luke Babbitt back for this one. The Cavaliers are on a winning streak of 9 games but they have gone just 3-12 ATS as a favorite this season and Cleveland is also only 2-7 ATS this season against teams with a losing record. This is the Hawks finale of a 4-game homestand and they are 11-6 (SU and ATS) when they enter a game having played each of their three prior games at home. 10* ATLANTA |
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11-30-17 | Notre Dame v. Michigan State UNDER 139 | 63-81 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #512 Thursday 8* UNDER the total in Michigan State Spartans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ 7 ET - Both these teams have trended under this season with Notre Dame having stayed under in all 3 games with a posted total this season and Michigan State having stayed under in 3 straight games. Additionally, this situation is perfect for another under because the Spartans are off of a huge win versus North Carolina Sunday that absolutely leaves them in a flat spot here emotionally. As for the Fighting Irish, they have not played a game in over a week. That is the type of layoff that leads to fresh legs but also cold shooting as teams timing is off after long layoffs like this. The past 3 seasons combined, the Irish have stayed under all 3 times they have had a layoff of 7 or more days. The Spartans are known for slow starts to the season on offense as they've had 11 of 17 November games stay under the total the past 3 seasons combined. Look for yet another one here! 8* UNDER the total in Michigan State |
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11-30-17 | Texas Tech +3 v. Seton Hall | 79-89 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #529 Thursday 8* Texas Tech Red Raiders (+) @ Seton Hall Pirates @ 6:30 ET - Seton Hall has played the tougher schedule and are at home and yet they opened up as a dog here. Of course the markets jumped all over the Pirates here and you know what I am doing. In typical contrarian fashion here I am rolling with a Red Raiders team that is 6-0 SU this season and also 13-4 ATS the past 3 seasons combined when off of a game where they scored 80 points or more. Seton Hall is a long-term 0-6 SU against Big 12 opponents! 8* TEXAS TECH |
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11-29-17 | Evansville +7 v. New Mexico | Top | 59-78 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
Game of the Month - Rickenbach CBB Game #759 Wednesday 10* Top Play Evansville Purple Aces (+) @ New Mexico Lobos @ 9 ET - Do people really think the odds makers are stupid? The very first "soft" number that was posted on this game was the Lobos -2. The line has since been driven all the way up to a -7! I'll gladly grab the value here on the underdog side. Of course Evansville is not a great team but they're solid and also have a tendency to play fundamentally sound basketball. As for the Lobos, what has driven this line is they have so much positive history at home. Yes indeed New Mexico is tough to play at "The Pit" but, keep in mind, this team has a new coach and has undergone major changes from last season. Many preseason pundits have them slated to finish dead last in the MWC. 4 straight losses entering this contest certainly have done little to squash those predictions. The point is that the Runnin' Rebels, even though they did face some tough competition, have underachieved as it is an 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS run. The Purple Aces schedule has been very nearly as tough as UNLV's and yet Evansville enters this game with a 5-1 SU and 4-0 ATS mark on the young season. The Purple Aces are off of their first loss of the season and that defeat came by just a bucket. I am happy to grab the big points being offered here. Evansville is without Ryan Taylor (foot) but it's not like the cupboard is bare for the Purple Aces. They also are 5-1 ATS against MWC opposition. New Mexico is 0-3 SU this season against teams with a winning record. 10* EVANSVILLE |
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11-29-17 | UNLV v. Northern Iowa +1 | 68-77 | Win | 102 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #746 Wednesday 8* Northern Iowa Panthers (+) vs UNLV Runnin' Rebels @ 8 ET - As a general rule, I always like to investigate games like this where the team that opened up as the favorite is now the dog and that is what we have here with Northern Iowa. I completely understand the move as UNLV is a perfect 6-0 this season so everyone loved the undefeated Panthers getting points in this match-up. It seemed too easy of course so everyone grabbed it. As you know, it's never that easy! Yes UNLV is off to a great start but Northern Iowa has played the much tougher schedule. This is a big part of the reason UNLV is 6-0 on the season and Northern Iowa is "only" 5-2 and, as a result, we are getting exceptional value with the battle-tested Panthers here. UNI, in home games with a posted total between 140 and 144.5 points, have gone 8-3 ATS and an incredible 10-1 SU! I look for another huge win here on Wednesday! UNLV is 5-15 ATS and 4-19 SU in road games. 8* NORTHERN IOWA |
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11-29-17 | Heat -1 v. Knicks | 86-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Rickenbach NBA Wednesday 8* Miami Heat (-) @ New York Knicks @ 7:35 ET - The Heat got beaten so badly in the first half in Cleveland last night that their starters were able to get quite a bit of rest. That said, this is a good spot to back an angry Miami team as they're fired up off of that loss and the 5 starters averaged only 24 minutes of playing time against the Cavaliers. The Knicks have lost 3 straight games. The Heat had won 3 straight games before losing to the Cavs. The road team has won 6 of the last 7 meetings between these teams SU and ATS. Even though New York looks better this season they have still gone just 3-5 against teams with a winning record. The past 3 seasons combined the Knicks are an ugly 27-65 against teams with a winning record. 8* MIAMI |
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11-29-17 | Clemson +5.5 v. Ohio State | 79-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rickenbach CBB Game #739 Wednesday 8* Clemson Tigers (+) @ Ohio State Buckeyes @ 7:15 ET - The Buckeyes are at home and getting a ton of attention here as the money move has been Ohio State early on in this one. That said, I love the value in fading the Buckeyes as they have a huge game on deck with Wisconsin Saturday - the same day OSU and the Badgers also meet in Football. Suffice to say that is the talk on campus right now rather than this match-up with an ACC foe in the ACC/Big 10 challenge. The result here is solid underdog line value with Clemson. The Tigers have only UNC-Asheville on deck and they'll most certainly be "all in" for the upset tonight in Columbus. Clemson really got rolling on offense in their most recent win and they have shot well in most all of their games this season. The Tigers are 13-4 SU when coming off of a game where they scored 80 points or more. Ohio State is only 10-17 ATS in games with a posted total in the 140 to 149.5 range. 8* CLEMSON |
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11-29-17 | Thunder -5.5 v. Magic | 108-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Rickenbach NBA Wednesday 8* Oklahoma City Thunder (-) @ Orlando Magic @ 7:05 ET - After the huge highly coveted win for Russell Westbrook's Thunder over Kevin Durant's Warriors last week, Oklahoma City fell flat versus Detroit and lost outright as an 8.5 point favorite. That wasn't a huge surprise. What was a huge surprise is that OKC followed it up by shooting just 36.2% at Dallas and losing to the Mavericks as a 6 point favorite. Now, after that ugly performance made it back to back losses for the Thunder, you can expect a huge response tonight! The road team covered both meetings between these teams last year and Oklahoma City has covered each of their last two trips to Orlando. I look for the road dominance to continue here. The Magic come into this game having lost 9 straight games. The average margin of defeat has been 15 points and none of those 9 losses came by less than 5 points. That makes this small road chalk the way to go in this one! Orlando is 18-27 ATS when off of a game where they allowed 115 points or more. The Thunder are 19-10 ATS when off of a loss by a double digit margin. 8* OKLAHOMA CITYÂ |
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