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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-23-17 | Twins v. Orioles -120 | 2-0 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #962 Baltimore Orioles over Minnesota Twins (7:05pm EST) The Orioles had an off game yesterday, but otherwise they've been crushing opponents in Camden Yards. The O's are 15-5 at home this season and 10-13 on the road. Last season they were 50-31 at Camden versus 39-42 on the road. Clearly they have a huge home field advantage with the sluggers in their lineup. Dylan Bundy takes the hill for Baltimore today and he's having a breakthrough year. The young right-hander is 5-2 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 57.2 innings of work. He'll get an improving Twins lineup, but one that still has some holes. Minnesota ranks 13th in the AL in runs scored and is hitting .244 as a team. This line is too short, so we'll play the O's today. |
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05-22-17 | Angels v. Rays -108 | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #912 Tampa Bay Rays over Los Angeles Angels (7:105pm EST) Jake Odorizzi might be one of the most underrated starting pitchers in baseball. The young right-hander has a career 3.71 ERA in four seasons while pitching in a very difficult AL East. He's improved his control this season and is only walking 1.7 batters per nine innings. Today he'll face a subpar Angel's lineup that has a lot of holes after you get past Mike Trout and Albert Pujols. The Angels send J.C. Ramirez to the hill and he's been pretty good so far. However, I don't think he will be able to keep it up as he's been a bullpen guy for over five years. Play the Rays at home here. |
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05-22-17 | Indians -122 v. Reds | 1-5 | Loss | -122 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #915 Cleveland Indians over Cincinnati Reds (7:10pm EST) The Cleveland Indians are coming off of an impressive three game sweep in Houston. It was easily their best series of the season and now they head to Cincinnati to take on the rival Reds. Things in Cincinnati have fallen apart after a nice start to the season. The Reds have dropped eight of nine, as the pitching staff has totally crumbled. This line should be at least 10-15 cents higher, so we're on the Tribe. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-22-17 | Twins v. Orioles -136 | 14-7 | Loss | -136 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #910 Baltimore Orioles over Minnesota Twins (7:05pm EST) Tough spot today for the Twins, as they played a doubleheader yesterday in Minneapolis and then had to jump on a plane and head to Baltimore. The O's have one of the biggest home field advantages in baseball and they're certainly displaying that in 2017 so far. Baltimore is 15-4 in Camden Yards this season versus just 10-13 on the road. Ubaldo Jimenez gets the ball for the Orioles today and he's been a disaster for the most part this season with a 6.52 ERA. However, his counterpart Kyle Gibson has been even worse with an 8.20 ERA in six starts. The offenses will feast today, but the O's definitely have more fire power to take advantage. Play Baltimore today. |
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05-21-17 | Diamondbacks -118 v. Padres | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
10-unit Play Take #963 Arizona Diamondbacks over San Diego Padres (4:40pm EST) This is just another fade of the San Diego Padres. The betting markets don't think they are a terrible team, which they certainly are. You'll see much higher lines against them as the season wears on, but for the meantime there is value on their opponents. Today's starter Clayton Richard doesn't belong in a big league rotation at this point in his career. Richard is 2-5 with a 4.86 ERA and 1.53 WHIP, despite the fact they half of his starts are in pitcher-friendly Petco Park. Take the Arizona Diamondbacks in today's matchup. |
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05-21-17 | Indians v. Astros -108 | 8-6 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #974 Houston Astros over Cleveland Indians (2:10pm EST) You won't get Houston at home at these prices very often. This is the best team in baseball and they have even more potential than they've shown. The Indians haven't been sharp this year, and Danny Salazar is certainly one of the reasons why. The talented right-hander has an ugly 5.66 ERA and his control has been all over the place. He's striking out a magnificent 13.5 batters per nine innings, but he's also walking 4.4 batters per nine. He'll get better, but right now he's someone I want to be betting against. The Astros counter with Joe Musgrove. The 24-year old has put up mediocre numbers thus far, but he's a fast learner and I think we'll see improvement from him as the season wears on. Take Houston at home. |
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05-21-17 | Angels -105 v. Mets | 12-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #979 Los Angeles Angels over New York Mets (1:10pm EST) The injuries for the Mets are well-documented and it's going to be tough for them to score runs until some guys return. They're starting rotation is also banged up and they no longer have their stud closer. It's ugly in New York right now. I think the Angels are an underrated team and could stay in the race longer than people think. Take the Halos at this price. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-20-17 | Diamondbacks -121 v. Padres | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #911 Arizona Diamondbacks over San Diego Padres (10:10pm EST) We haven't faded the San Diego Padres in a while, and shame on us for that. The Pads are going to end up with the worst record in the sport when it's all said and done (in fact they have the worst record right now), and you can count on 100 losses. They are just 2-9 over their last 11 games, including four straight losses. Today they take on the Diamondbacks, who are off to a nice start to the season. Left-hander Robbie Ray gets the ball for the D-Backs. He's been less than stellar this season, but I like Ray's stuff and think he has the potential to be an All-Star pitcher. Ray is striking out 11.7 batters per nine innings, but he needs to limit the walks a bit more to be effective (5.2 per nine innings). He shouldn't have much problem with a weak San Diego lineup today. Play Arizona at the low price. |
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05-20-17 | Angels +109 v. Mets | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #929 Los Angeles Angels over New York Mets (7:15pm EST) The New York Mets are on a 1-7 run and can barely field a major league team. Injuries have devastated this club in a huge way and they're going to struggle until some bodies come back. I'm not sure how they're favored today against the Angels. Zack Wheeler has been mediocre at best and he's not going to get a ton of run support. Alex Meyer hasn't been good for the Angels, but he does have plus stuff and is better than his ERA indicates. And don't forget, the AL has dominated the NL this season. Value is on the Angels as the underdog in this matchup. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-20-17 | Indians v. Astros -127 | 3-0 | Loss | -127 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #918 Houston Astros over Cleveland Indians (4:10pm EST) We missed with the Houston Astros yesterday, but we're coming back with them again here. The Astros have the best record in baseball and they are going to be a very tough out at home this season. I feel like their lineup still has a ton of potential, and they are 2nd in the AL in runs scored already. The Indians haven't been playing great baseball in 2017 yet. They'll eventually come around, but the bats need to wake up and the starting pitching has been all over the place. Mike Clevinger isn't the answer even though he has good numbers in limited work. Take Houston today at home. |
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05-20-17 | Red Sox -106 v. A's | 3-8 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #921 Boston Red Sox over Oakland A's (4:05pm EST) Two struggling pitchers go at it on Saturday afternoon as the A's host the Red Sox. Both Sean Manaea and Drew Pomeranz have had a tough time this season, especially lately. Control has been a big problem for both hurlers, but I think the Red Sox have the lineup that can really take advantage more easily. Boston has a lot of patient hitters and there aren't any easy outs in that lineup. The same can't be said of Oakland's lineup, which ranks 13th in the AL in runs scored. Play the Red Sox at the short price today. |
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05-19-17 | Indians v. Astros -124 | 5-3 | Loss | -124 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #974 Houston Astros over Cleveland Indians (8:10pm EST) The Houston Astros have been on quite a roll. They have the best record in baseball at 29-12 and also own the best run differential. The lineup is so potent, especially at home where they can take advantage of the dimensions in Minute Maid Park with all of their power. This will be a good early season test for the Astros this weekend, as they open up a series with the Cleveland Indians. The Stros have won nine of 10, while the Indians have been mediocre at best this season. The lineup for the Tribe just hasn't been producing, with Edwin Encarnacion struggling a bit in a new uniform. I have no doubt that Cleveland will get rolling at some point, but right now they are showing a hangover from their World Series run last year (incidentally we're seeing the same thing with the Cubs). Charlie Morton has already proven to be a great free agent pick up for Houston, as he's 5-2 with a 3.97 ERA to go along with a 10.7 strikeout rate per nine innings. Many commentators mocked the Astros for giving Morton a two-year deal worth $14 million, but the veteran right-hander has proven his worth thus far. Play the Astros behind Morton in this one. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-19-17 | Royals v. Twins -102 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #972 Minnesota Twins over Kansas City Royals (8:10pm EST) I really like the mojo of this young Twins team. They have a nice group of talented youngsters and a few veterans mixed in to help bring them along. They're probably not quite ready for the postseason, but they are certainly a fun team to watch and could surprise us in 2017. They take on the Royals today, who are just 5-12 away from home. Kansas City is clearly at the start of a rebuild and I don't trust them on the road. Nate Karns and Hector Santiago are set to battle it out on the mound, and that's advantage Twins. I don't think Minnesota is getting enough respect yet, so we'll take them in this spot. |
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05-19-17 | Rockies +102 v. Reds | 12-6 | Win | 102 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #957 Colorado Rockies over Cincinnati Reds (7:10pm EST) New Rockies manager Bud Black has this team believing that they can be contenders. I'm not convinced they can stay in the race all season long, but for right now they can do no wrong. Colorado is 25-16 and atop the NL West division. Tyler Anderson gets the ball for the Rockies today and he's thrown the ball much better than his 6.43 ERA indicates. He's been plagued by the home run ball (10 homers allowed in just eight starts), but is striking out a batter per inning. Part of his struggles has been due to Coors, but he strangely has a worse road ERA than he does at home. Last season Anderson was amazing over his 19 starts, and I think that sample is more representative of the pitcher we're going to see for the rest of 2017. His last two starts were really good in Coors against the Diamondbacks and Dodgers, so I think he's onto something. The Reds have started to crumble after a really nice start to the 2017 campaign. They've dropped six straight games and one of their worst pitchers takes the mound in this one - Lisalverto Bonilla. Take Colorado at this very short price. |
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05-18-17 | Phillies v. Rangers -138 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #922 Texas Rangers over Philadelphia Phillies (2:05pm EST) The Texas Rangers have ripped off eight straight wins as they go for the series sweep against the Phillies this afternoon. Texas has scored at least four runs in each of those victories and has been getting solid pitching as well. Left-hander Martin Perez has been solid so far in 2017 with a 3.89 ERA, but the peripheral numbers are a little shaky. He doesn't need to be too fine against a weak Phillies lineup, especially considering how well the Rangers are swinging the bats. Nick Pivetta makes his fourth career start today for Philadelphia and he's scuffled thus far. Pivetta owns a hefty 6.14 ERA and has given up five home runs in 14.2 innings of work. The Rangers should jump all over him today and get the win. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-18-17 | Orioles v. Tigers +125 | 5-6 | Win | 125 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #910 Detroit Tigers over Baltimore Orioles (1:10pm EST) The Detroit Tigers welcomed back J.D. Martinez last week, and he's injected some life into an already dangerous lineup. Martinez is batting .467 with four home runs and eight runs batted in just five games. The Tigers beat the Orioles 5-4 yesterday to get themselves to the .500 mark on the season. If Detroit can stay healthy, they'll be in the thick of things in the AL Central. I don't think this aging roster can avoid the disabled list, so they'll likely tail off at some point. However, right now they're working with close to a full deck and that makes the Tigers a team on want to be on. Baltimore isn't nearly as good away from Camden Yards (just 10-12 on the road versus 13-3 at home), so this line is a gift for Tigers backers. Play Detroit here. |
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05-17-17 | Orioles +141 v. Tigers | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #964 Detroit Tigers over Baltimore Orioles (7:10pm EST) The Detroit Tigers cost us last night with a blown lead in the ninth inning that led to a 11-8 loss in 11 innings. We're coming right back with them today, and a lot of it has to do with J.D. Martinez. He's been on a tear since coming off the disabled list (including two home runs yesterday) and the Tigers lineup is so much better with him in it. The Orioles are missing stud closer Zach Britton, and that's a much bigger loss than it appears. Britton was the team's MVP last season and could have won the Cy Young if voters weren't so dead set on voting for a starting pitcher. Big starting pitching edge for Detroit today (Ubaldo Jimenez versus Michael Fulmer) and that's where we've got our money. |
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05-17-17 | Mets v. Diamondbacks -129 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #952 Arizona Diamondbacks over New York Mets (3:40pm EST) The New York Mets have lost six straight and there's a sense that things aren't going to get much better. The Mets have been absolutely ravaged by injuries this season, with none bigger than Yoenis Cespedes. He's the straw that stirs the drink for the Mets, and their lineup just isn't the same without his presence. The pitching has been terrible for New York this year, as they have the worst team ERA in baseball at the moment. We've faded the Mets with success this season, and today we'll do it again. Matt Harvey goes for the Mets and is another issue that the team has been dealing with. He's been a disaster on and off the field in 2017. The Diamondbacks are off to a really nice start this season and look much better with A.J. Pollock in the lineup every day. Play Arizona as a small favorite in this one. |
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05-16-17 | Yankees v. Royals +106 | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #916 Kansas City Royals over New York Yankees (8:15pm EST) We'll be on the Kansas City Royals a lot this year. Too many people are completely writing this team off despite all of their success over the last few seasons. Yes they no longer have the nasty bullpen with Wade Davis, but the Royals can still play - especially at home. The Royals are 11-9 at Kaufman Stadium this year and still have a strong home field advantage. The New York Yankees have been a nice early season surprise, but I see them cooling off in a hurry. There are still a lot of young guys that are being counted on too heavily for the Bronx Bombers. Play Kansas City at home today. |
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05-16-17 | Red Sox -107 v. Cardinals | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #929 Boston Red Sox over St. Louis Cardinals (8:15pm EST) Eduardo Rodriguez is making a name for himself with the Red Sox. The left-hander has a 2.80 ERA and 1.13 WHIP to go along with a 10.7 strikeout rate per nine innings. He gets overshadowed a little bit with Chris Sale, Rick Porcello and David Price (last year) ahead of him in the rotation, but Rodriguez has the potential to be an ace-like pitcher. He'll face the St. Louis Cardinals today, who have won eight of their last nine games. The Cardinals send out Lance Lynn to the hill, who is having a nice season as well with a 2.75 ERA. However, Lynn's peripherals haven't been good as he has a 4.69 FIP and has been fortunate in allowing a low .240 BABIP so far. I think Rodriguez is the better pitcher, and the Red Sox certainly boast a better lineup. The bullpens are a wash, and that leads us to the Red Sox in this matchup. Take Boston at an underdog price here. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-16-17 | Rockies v. Twins -114 | 7-3 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #928 Minnesota Twins over Colorado Rockies (8:10pm EST) Two surprise teams go at it on Tuesday as the Twins host the Rockies. I don't think either of these teams is for real, but I like the pitching matchup for the Twins today as well as their home field advantage. Take Minnesota in this one. |
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05-16-17 | Orioles v. Tigers -114 | 13-11 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #914 Detroit Tigers over Baltimore Orioles (7:10pm EST) The Detroit Tigers got a big boost when J.D. Martinez came back to the lineup recently. He's been a hugely underrated player over the last couple of years. Martinez has 60 home runs over the last two seasons despite missing a big chunk of 2016. He's also hit over .300 with the Tigers and adds some really nice protection behind Miguel Cabrera. The Orioles own a nice 22-14 record, but all of their damage has been done at home. The O's are 13-3 at Camden Yards, against 9-11 on the road this season. They're also missing stud closer Zach Britton, who was so crucial to the Baltimore bullpen last year. We think this line is about 10-15 cents short, so go with the Tigers here. |
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05-16-17 | Nationals v. Pirates +156 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #902 Pittsburgh Pirates over Washington Nationals (7:05pm EST) The Pittsburgh Pirates are in last place in the NL Central and people continue to weight that more heavily than what they've done over the last four or five years. The Pirates are better than their 16-22 record indicates and I am confident they will be above the .500 mark at some point. They get a tough matchup against the Nationals on Tuesday, but this line is just too high. Go with Pittsburgh in today's matchup. |
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05-16-17 | Braves v. Blue Jays -138 | 9-5 | Loss | -138 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #922 Toronto Blue Jays over Atlanta Braves (4:05pm EST) We missed badly with the Blue Jays yesterday, but we're coming right back with them today. Toronto has been much better over the last few weeks, and they a decided advantage on the mound with Marco Estrada going up against Jaime Garcia. Play the Jays. |
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05-15-17 | Dodgers v. Giants +141 | 4-8 | Win | 141 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #956 San Francisco Giants over Los Angeles Dodgers (10:15pm EST) It hasn't been a good season for the San Francisco Giants. They are just 15-24 on the young season, but they showed some signs of life in sweeping the Reds this weekend. Today they go up against their rival the Dodgers, and that always seems to bring out the best in the Giants. We'll take San Francisco as a home underdog today. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-15-17 | Mets v. Diamondbacks -107 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #952 Arizona Diamondbacks over New York Mets (9:40pm EST) Things just keep getting worse for the New York Mets. Not only do they keep accumulating devastating injuries, but most of their healthy guys are slumping. New York has lost four straight and have given up 35 runs over that stretch. After getting swept in Milwaukee, now they head to Arizona to take on the Diamondbacks. The Snakes have cooled off a bit after a fast start, but this team looks miles ahead of last year's group that underperformed. The lineup is so much better with A.J. Pollock in it and Paul Goldschmidt looks better than ever at the plate. They also have a couple of underrated baseball players in Brandon Drury and David Peralta. Both are hitting above .300 this season and they have some pop in their bats. I also think today's starter Zack Godley has the potential to be a solid middle-of-the-rotation starter. He's only made two starts this season, but has a 2.25 ERA and struck out 12 batters in 12 innings of work. Arizona is the better team right now and we get a good price here. Play the D-Backs. |
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05-15-17 | Braves v. Blue Jays -126 | Top | 10-6 | Loss | -126 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
10-unit Play Take #968 Toronto Blue Jays over Atlanta Braves (7:05pm EST) After a horrible 1-10 start to the 2017 campaign, the Toronto Blue Jays have found their groove. The Jays have won five straight and seven of eight games against some pretty good competition. The offense is missing some key guys, but the pitching staff has clearly stepped it up in recent weeks. Today Mark Bolsinger makes his second start of the year for Toronto. He's coming off of a forgettable year with the Dodgers, but Bolsinger was great in Triple-A this season and looked good against the Indians last week. Today he faces a slumping Braves offense. Atlanta has lost eight of 11 and heads to Toronto for a rare series with the Jays. The American League has dominated the National League once again this season, with a 35-21 record thru Sunday. That win percentage equates to a 101-win team over 162 games. Bartolo Colon gets the ball for the Braves and he's been horrific so far in 2017. Colon comes in with a 7.22 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in seven starts. His control isn't as sharp as it's been in recent years and location is the entire key to Colon's game. I look for the red hot Jays to bounce Colon early and gain an early advantage that they should hold onto. Play Toronto in our MLB Game of the Year. |
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05-14-17 | Houston Astros - Game #2 v. New York Yankees - Game #2 -114 | 10-7 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The following selection is for Game #2 of the doubleheader 4-unit Play Take #926 New York Yankees over Houston Astros (7:35pm EST) I like the Yankees in Game 2 of the doubleheader with Luis Severino on the mound. The 23-year old right-hander owns a solid 3.40 ERA and 0.91 WHIP to go along with an impressive 45-7 K-BB ratio over his first six starts. The Yanks are also 12-5 at home in 2017 and have the best run differential in the AL. The Astros lineup has a ton of talent, but its better suited for Houston's home ballpark and they won't be as good on the road this season. Mike Fiers is slated to go in this second game, and I don't think he's a major league starter. Play New York here. |
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05-14-17 | Reds v. Giants -138 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #912 San Francisco Giants over Cincinnati Reds (4:05pm EST) The San Francisco Giants need to get their confidence back, and that could easily happen after stringing together a few wins. This roster isn't that much different than it was from last year's playoff team, and you can argue its better with the addition of closer Mark Melancon. Before the season, the price for this matchup would have been -170 or -180. We get a much lower price today due to the slow start for San Francisco. Don't expect it to continue and we're backing the Giants today. |
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05-14-17 | Orioles v. Royals +130 | 8-9 | Win | 130 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #928 Kansas City Royals over Baltimore Orioles (2:15pm EST) The Baltimore Orioles got off to a hot start, but now they've lost three straight - all on the road. The O's are an impressive 13-3 at home this season. But away from Camden Yards, they are just 9-10 and today they close out a series in Kansas City. The Royals are 15-21 on the season, but have won three in a row and are above .500 at home. They are closer to rebuilding than they are to winning, but I like them in this spot today. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-14-17 | Mets v. Brewers +135 | 9-11 | Win | 135 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #906 Milwaukee Brewers over New York Mets (2:10pm EST) We'll reiterate what we said yesterday about the New York Mets. They are an absolute mess right now because of their injury situation. Half of their everyday lineup is banged up and now closer Jeurys Familia is out for an extended period. The starting rotation isn't faring much better in the health department, but today's starter Jacob deGrom has managed to stay on the mound. However, he probably won't get much support in today's contest. The Brewers are also swinging red hot bats and should give deGrom more than he can handle. The Brewers are a much better team at the moment and we'll gladly take the underdog price on them this afternoon. |
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05-14-17 | Rays v. Red Sox -170 | 11-2 | Loss | -170 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #922 Boston Red Sox over Tampa Bay Rays (1:35pm EST) We get the better team in Boston, with the better starting pitcher in Drew Pomeranz, and we still think there is some value at this price. Take the Red Sox. |
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05-13-17 | Dodgers -114 v. Rockies | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #963 Los Angeles Dodgers over Colorado Rockies (8:10pm EST) The Dodgers have won six of seven and look like they could be the most complete team in the National League this year. The Rockies are off to a very nice start under Bud Black, but I don't see it continuing. Play Los Angeles tonight. |
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05-13-17 | Pirates +150 v. Diamondbacks | 4-3 | Win | 150 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #961 Pittsburgh Pirates over Arizona Diamondbacks (8:10pm EST) Despite what the records and statistics say, the Pittsburgh Pirates are better than the Arizona Diamondbacks. I have confidence that the Buccos will figure it out as they have always been able to piece things together with a low-end payroll and good management. Taijuan Walker gets the ball for the D-Backs today and he's been pretty good in 2017. However, he's been very inconsistent over his career and I don't trust him laying this big of a price against a team that is better than people think. Take the Pirates in this one. |
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05-13-17 | Orioles v. Royals -111 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #972 Kansas City Royals over Baltimore Orioles (7:15pm EST) The Royals are off to a slow start, but they've played reasonably well at home this season. The opposite is true for the Orioles. Take Kansas City in this one. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-13-17 | Mets v. Brewers -109 | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #960 Milwaukee Brewers over New York Mets (7:10pm EST) The New York Mets are an absolute mess at the moment. Their disabled list is a mash unit with several key players missing. The offense has taken the biggest hit with Yoenis Cespedes, David Wright, Lucas Duda and others out of the lineup. In addition, closer Jeurys Familia is now out for an extended period after surgery for a blood clot. The market has definitely made an adjustment for the injuries, but I don't think it's big enough. The Milwaukee Brewers are off to a very respectable start and are clearly the better ball club right now. Take the Brew Crew in this one. |
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05-13-17 | Reds v. Giants -119 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #956 San Francisco Giants over Cincinnati Reds (4:05pm EST) The San Francisco Giants have been here before. But just when you think this team is down and out, they always bounce back and play like the Giants we've been accustomed of seeing. That will happen at some point, and tonight I like their chances. Matt Moore hasn't been very good so far this season, but his numbers are skewed by a couple of really bad outings. He matches up well with Cincinnati's lineup and I think we see a solid outing from Moore here. The Reds send Lisalverto Bonilla to the hill for his first MLB start of the season. Bonilla hasn't exactly been tearing it up in the minors, so this promotion is a bit curious. The Giants haven't been swinging the bats particularly well, but they'll get some good swings on Bonilla today. Take the Giants at a more than fair price. |
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05-12-17 | Braves +120 v. Marlins | 8-4 | Win | 120 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #901 Atlanta Braves over Miami Marlins (7:10pm EST) The Miami Marlins have a few guys banged up, including Martin Prado and Adeiny Hechavarria. Those are bigger losses than they look like, and that gives us a little value on their opponent the Atlanta Braves today. Both of these teams have been struggling mightily, but I think the Braves get this one today. They have starting pitching edge with Mike Foltynewicz against Jose Urena. Go Atlanta. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-12-17 | Astros v. Yankees +107 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
10-unit Play Take #916 New York Yankees over Houston Astros (7:05pm EST) The New York Yankees are for real. Not only are they 21-11, but they are backing it up with the best run differential in all of baseball at +55 runs. Much of their damage has been done at home, where the Yanks are an impressive 12-4. Today they're in Yankees Stadium versus the first place Houston Astros. Jordan Montgomery gets the ball for New York and has been impressive in his five starts, posting a 3.81 ERA in 28.1 innings of work. He's also a left-hander, which is a nice advantage at home with the short dimensions out in leftfield. The Astros counter with right-hander Lance McCullers. It's hard not to like what McCullers has done this season. He owns a nice 3.40 ERA and has some exceptional peripherals, including a 10.6 strikeout rate per innings. He's a future ace, but there's going to be some bumps along the way. The Yankees lead the American League in runs scored and will give McCullers all he can handle today. This should be a good, but I think the Yankees come out on top in our MLB Game of the Week. |
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05-11-17 | Twins +105 v. White Sox | 7-6 | Win | 105 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #915 Minnesota Twins over Chicago White Sox (8:10pm EST) We cashed an easy winner with the Minnesota Twins yesterday and will go there once again today. The White Sox are getting way too much respect after a decent start, and the Twins are going to get better as the season wears on with all of their young talent. Take the Twins as the underdog here. |
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05-11-17 | Red Sox -137 v. Brewers | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #967 Boston Red Sox over Milwaukee Brewers (1:10pm EST) The Boston Red Sox haven't hit their stride yet, but it's early. Milwaukee is playing over their collective heads at the moment and will cool off. I like the pitching matchup (Eduardo Rodriguez versus Jimmy Nelson) for Boston in this one. Take the Red Sox. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-11-17 | Royals v. Rays -110 | 6-0 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 58 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #962 Tampa Bay Rays over Kansas City Royals (1:10pm EST) Jake Odorizzi makes his sixth start of the season for Tampa Bay as they host the Royals this afternoon. Odorizzi is one of the more underrated pitchers in the league. He has a career 3.71 ERA in a difficult American League East and this season he's been brilliant thus far. Odorizzi owns a 2.88 ERA and 0.76 WHIP in 2017 and has been masterful with his control. The Rays also are playing some great defense this season, as they are near the top in defensive team metrics. The Royals are just 4-12 on the road this season and are entering rebuilding mode soon. That dominant bullpen is no more, as Wade Davis was shipped off to the Cubs in the offseason for Jorge Soler. This line should be 20 cents higher, so we're all over the Rays in this matchup. |
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05-10-17 | Pirates +192 v. Dodgers | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #907 Pittsburgh Pirates over Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10pm EST) The Los Angeles Dodgers have a great pitching staff, but I don't think Kenta Maeda is one of their stronger hurlers. Maeda had a very nice rookie season, but it's going to be really tough for him the second time around. The Pirates are currently in last place in the NL Central, but they aren't a last place team. This line is way too high, so we'll roll the dice with Pittsburgh here. |
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05-10-17 | Red Sox +115 v. Brewers | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
10-unit Play Take #923 Boston Red Sox over Milwaukee Brewers (8:10pm EST) The Boston Red Sox haven't hit their stride yet in 2017, but they will. The roster is loaded and it's only a matter of time. Meanwhile, the betting markets are treating the Sox like they're an average team. Today in Milwaukee they are an underdog. Kyle Kendrick gets the ball for Boston and he had an excellent audition this spring with a 2.18 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 33 innings of work. The team has been working with him on his secondary stuff and I think Kendrick could be an asset for this club. The Brewers haven't been hitting as much lately and I think there are potential problems with their bullpen. This series is going to be a good measuring stick for this team, but I think Boston gets this one. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-10-17 | Cardinals -107 v. Marlins | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #905 St. Louis Cardinals over Miami Marlins (7:10pm EST) The St. Louis Cardinals have been on a tear, winning five straight and are 15-5 over their last 20 games. They look to keep the momentum going today in Miami against the Marlins. Lance Lynn will take the ball for the Cards and he's been brilliant through his first six starts, posting a 2.04 ERA. Lynn is one of the more underrated arms in the league and the betting markets definitely don't give him enough due. The Marlins counter with Tom Koehler, who has struggled mightily in 2017. Koehler owns a 5.40 ERA and has a horrid 23-13 K-BB ratio. The way the Cardinals are swinging their bats, I wouldn't expect Koehler to get thru the fifth inning today. Take St. Louis to keep the momentum going. |
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05-10-17 | Indians v. Blue Jays +141 | 7-8 | Win | 141 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #912 Toronto Blue Jays over Cleveland Indians (7:05pm EST) Francisco Liriano of the Blue Jays hasn't had a great 2017 so far, but he's a guy I like backing in an underdog role. Liriano has amazing stuff and when he's on, he can dominate. I think he rises to the occasion against a loaded Indians lineup. Play Toronto. |
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05-09-17 | Pirates +181 v. Dodgers | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #957 Pittsburgh Pirates over Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10pm EST) Julio Urias is going to be a star in this league, but he's not there yet. The Pirates started off slow this season and are now back on track. Ivan Nova has transformed his career in Pittsburgh and I think he's got a good shot of helping the Pirates win this one. |
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05-09-17 | Twins -102 v. White Sox | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #963 Minnesota Twins over Chicago White Sox (8:10pm EST) The Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins have nearly identical records, but I expect the two squads to diverge onto different paths soon. The Twins are a young talented team that should get better as the season wears on. The White Sox situation, on the other hand, is going to get worse before it gets better. They'll be unloading some more veterans before the trade deadline, and the club's first focus isn't winning games in 2017. Mike Pelfrey has somehow found another home in Chicago, and that spells trouble. Pelfrey has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the last three or four seasons, yet continues to get deals. The Twins send Hector Santiago to the hill and I think he checks in with a nice 2.78 ERA in 35.2 innings of work. Take Minnesota at the very nice price here. |
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05-09-17 | Giants +102 v. Mets | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #953 San Francisco Giants over New York Mets (7:10pm EST) Yes the Giants have been playing horrible baseball and we've paid for that early on. However, I still believe strongly in this team and its manager Bruce Bochy. The New York Mets are a mess right now with injuries and controversy surrounding Matt Harvey. Jeff Samardzija gets the ball for San Francisco today and he's pitched far better than his 5.03 ERA indicates. His xFIP is at 2.92, which is a variation of fielding independent pitching and a better predictor of future success than plain ERA. Samardzija has a wonderful 46-10 K-BB ratio this season and he should be able to dominate a banged up Mets lineup today. Go with the Giants. |
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05-09-17 | Royals v. Rays -156 | 7-6 | Loss | -156 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #962 Tampa Bay Rays over Kansas City Royals (7:10pm EST) The Kansas City Royals are 3-11 on the road this season - the worst record in the sport. They don't have that dominating bullpen anymore after trading away Wade Davis (the best closer in baseball) to the Cubs in the offseason. Their defense also isn't as good as it has been in the past. The window for the Royals to win has passed and I think this will be the beginning of a new rebuild by season's end. Tampa Bay is off to a solid start and I really think their lineup is underrated. Today's starter Matt Andriese also is under the radar a bit with a 3.09 ERA in his six starts. This line should be about 10 cents higher, so we're on Tampa. |
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05-08-17 | Giants +144 v. Mets | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #903 San Francisco Giants over New York Mets (7:10pm EST) The San Francisco Giants are a league-worst 11-21 and have cost bettors, including us, quite a few units in the early going. However, I don't think this team is as flawed as it may appear. The roster isn't that different from last year's 87-win team that went to the playoffs. But the Giants have been outscored by 63 runs this season, which is the worst mark in all of baseball. So there is some reason for concern, but the market may be giving up on the Giants a little too early. Today they travel to New York to take on a banged up Mets team. Everything has gone wrong for the Mets this season, yet they've still managed to stay around the .500 mark. Today's starter Jacob deGrom is the only starter in the rotation that is completely healthy and the lineup is missing some big bats, including superstar Yoenis Cespedes. Left-hander Matt Moore has had a tough start to the 2017 campaign with a hefty 6.75 ERA. But his stuff is still above-average and his peripherals aren't horrible. This line is a bit too high, so we're on the underdog Giants today. |
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05-08-17 | Royals v. Rays -142 | 7-3 | Loss | -142 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #912 Tampa Bay Rays over Kansas City Royals (7:10pm EST) Times have been tough for the Kansas City Royals on the road this season. They are a league-worst 2-11 away from home and have the worst overall run differential in the AL this season. Today they head to Tampa Bay, where the Rays are 11-7 at home. I like this Rays team, especially their team defense. Kevin Kiermaier is amazing in centerfield and they are saving their pitchers tons of runs. Play Tampa here today. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-07-17 | Yankees v. Cubs -127 | 5-4 | Loss | -127 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #980 Chicago Cubs over New York Yankees (8:05pm EST) This is the ESPN Sunday Night Game of the Week, featuring two storied franchises. The New York Yankees are flying high atop the AL East and the Chicago Cubs are struggling a bit just barely above the .500 mark. However, today you can grab Jon Lester and the Cubs at home laying a very reasonable price. You're not going to see the Cubs this cheap very often, especially against a team with the inferior pitcher. Luis Severino has been solid so far in 2017, but he's been aided by a low .238 BABIP against that is unsustainable. The Cubs need to salvage this series and I think they get the job done behind Lester. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-07-17 | Giants -111 v. Reds | 0-4 | Loss | -111 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #961 San Francisco Giants over Cincinnati Reds (4:10pm EST) We missed badly yesterday with the Giants but we're not going to let that prevent us from coming right back with them today. Johnny Cueto gets the ball here and they are laying a ridiculously low price here. The Reds have played well, but this is still a mismatch. This line would have been 40 cents higher in early April. Take the Giants. |
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05-07-17 | White Sox v. Orioles -111 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #968 Baltimore Orioles over Chicago White Sox (1:35pm EST) The Baltimore Orioles are off to a quick 19-10 start and their offense hasn't hit stride yet. The O's are ninth in the AL in runs scored and we all know that's going to improve. Baltimore is especially dangerous at home, where their power hitters can take advantage of the favorable dimensions. Last season the Orioles were 50-31 in Camden Yards, and this year they're starting even stronger at 10-3. Chris Tillman makes his 2017 debut today, so the O's aren't going to push him very far. He'll likely go five innings (maybe six) and then turn it over to their dynamic bullpen. The White Sox are playing respectable ball in what is year one of a rebuild. But they've gotten production from some unlikely sources and I don't see it continuing much longer. This line is about 10-15 cents too short, so we're on Baltimore. |
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05-06-17 | Yankees v. Cubs -129 | 11-6 | Loss | -129 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
5-unit Play Take #930 Chicago Cubs over New York Yankees (7:15pm EST) The New York Yankees are off to a red hot 18-9 start to the season. Coming into the season, many were worried about their starting rotation and about the depth of their lineup. So far all of those worries have subsided. However, they will resurface again as the Yanks still have deficiencies. Today's starter Jordan Montgomery makes his fifth start of the season today in Wrigley Field against the Cubs. Montgomery was impressive over the last three years in the minor leagues, but critics weren't sure he was quite ready for the big leagues. So far he has been solid with a 4.15 ERA, but the 1.48 WHIP is probably a better predictor of his future success. Montgomery is walking too many batters and that could get him in an awful lot of trouble against a patient Cubs lineup. Chicago is second in the NL in bases on balls and led the way last year by a wide margin. Brett Anderson gets the ball for the Cubs today as he looks to redeem himself after a rough outing against the Phillies in which he gave up seven earned runs in 1.1 innings of work. Anderson doesn't have the stuff that he once did, but I think he's capable of being an above-average starter for this team. The line on this game is a little bit too low, mainly due to the hot start by the Yankees and a mediocre start for the Cubs. It won't continue for either club, so we're on the Cubs today in our MLB Game of the Week. |
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05-06-17 | Marlins +125 v. Mets | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #907 Miami Marlins over New York Mets (7:10pm EST) We played the Marlins last night in a game they were leading 7-3 late. They let it slip away and fell 8-7, but I think Miami is the better team at the moment. The Mets have way too many injuries to endure, including superstar Yoenis Cespedes. Play the Marlins today. |
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05-06-17 | Giants +113 v. Reds | 2-14 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #909 San Francisco Giants over Cincinnati Reds (7:10pm EST) The San Francisco Giants come into today's action with the worst record in the National League. But this is a gritty team that always finds a way to figure it out. There's no way that they should be this big of an underdog to the Cincinnati Reds today. The pitching matchup is fairly even (Ty Blach versus Amir Garrett), so this line is inferring that the Reds are the better team. That's simply not true and we're on the Giants at a great price. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-05-17 | Rangers v. Mariners +113 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #978 Seattle Mariners over Texas Rangers (10:10pm EST) The Texas Rangers were the luckiest team in baseball in 2016 with a 36-11 record in one-run games. So far in 2017, Texas is just 2-6 in one-run affairs. Karma has finally come and the true Rangers are now here. The Rangers have been horrible on the road this season and 4-9 and they are favored in Seattle today. The Rangers clearly have the better starting pitcher going, but Seattle gets the check mark everywhere else. Play the Mariners as the home underdog today. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-05-17 | Astros v. Angels +118 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #976 Los Angeles Angels over Houston Astros (10:05pm EST) The Houston Astros aren't nearly as good on the road as they are at home. This Angels team is a little bit underrated and are off to a solid .500 start to the season, and we go with them today at a decent price. |
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05-05-17 | Marlins -102 v. Mets | 7-8 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #957 Miami Marlins over New York Mets (7:10pm EST) The New York Mets are the walking wounded at the moment. No team in baseball has been hit harder with injuries than the Mets have been so far in 2017. The entire starting rotation is banged up outside of Jacob deGrom and the hitters have taken their lumps too. Lucas Duda, David Wright and Yoenis Cespedes are currently on the disabled list. That's an important trio, especially Cespedes. He can carry this offense at times and without him they are near the bottom of the National League as far as lineups go. Rafael Montero gets the ball for the Mets today in his first start of the campaign. Montero has been pitching out of the bullpen so far and the results haven't been good. In fact, they've been terrible. Montero has a whopping 9.45 ERA and is walking 10.8 batters per nine innings. Why the Mets are giving him a crack as a starter is a little perplexing, despite all of the injuries. He'll face the Marlins today, and I'd be surprised if Montero makes it through the fourth inning. Tom Koehler gets the ball for Miami. He'll be facing a depleted Mets lineup and he doesn't have to be perfect. The Marlins should give him plenty of run support and win this one easily. |
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05-04-17 | Brewers +138 v. Cardinals | 5-4 | Win | 138 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #903 Milwaukee Brewers over St. Louis Cardinals (7:15pm EST) We've played the Brewers quite a bit early in the season and it's paid off so far. Today we'll look their way again as they face the St. Louis Cardinals. Milwaukee is right at the .500 mark thru 28 games and there are several big bright spots. Eric Thames is having a terrific resurgence after coming over from Japan and the Brewers lineup has been great overall. Unlike many others, I think the Brewers can keep this going. They face Adam Wainwright today. He's really struggled thus far with a 6.12 ERA. This is coming off of a year where he posted a 4.62 ERA. He may eventually settle down, but at age 35 he's going to be a shell of his former self. I look for the Brewers to chase Wainwright out of this game early. Play Milwaukee here. |
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05-04-17 | Phillies +175 v. Cubs | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #905 Philadelphia Phillies over Chicago Cubs (2:20pm EST) The Chicago Cubs haven't been as sharp early in the season as they were last year. Part of the problem has been the starting pitching. The Cubs starters have been slow out of the gate in games this season, posting an 11.00 ERA in the first inning so far this season - worst in baseball. That will get better, but I think the starting rotation is suffering a bit from all of the innings they pitched over the last two postseasons. John Lackey gets the ball for the Cubs today and his stuff hasn't been as lively in 2017. Lackey owns a 5.10 ERA and 1.33 WHIP through five starts and have been victimized by seven home runs in just 30 innings of work overall. He'll go up against the Phillies today, and they are an improving offense that could give him some trouble. This line is too high given Lackey's struggles, so we'll take the big underdog Phillies. |
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05-04-17 | White Sox v. Royals -130 | 8-3 | Loss | -130 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #920 Kansas City Royals over Chicago White Sox (2:15pm EST) The Kansas City Royals are off to a slow 8-17 start this season. However, all of the pain has come on the road where the Royals are a lousy 2-11 (versus 6-6 at home). Kansas City has one of the better home field advantages in baseball over the last few seasons. They are a better club than the White Sox and we think this line should be about 10 cents higher. Play Kansas City. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-03-17 | Marlins +114 v. Rays | 10-6 | Win | 114 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #979 Miami Marlins over Tampa Bay Rays (7:10pm EST) The Battle of Florida bragging rights goes today in Tampa. I like the Marlins because of their edge in the bullpen and the better overall lineup. Play Miami. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-03-17 | Orioles v. Red Sox -140 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #968 Boston Red Sox over Baltimore Orioles (7:10pm EST) The Baltimore Orioles are on top of the American League East right now, but I don't expect it to continue. The O's only have a +1 run differential on the season and have done most of their damage at home. Today they head into Fenway Park to go up against the Red Sox. Boston is off to a mediocre start, but there's no question they'll hit their stride at some point. This roster is just too talented not too. I like the pitching matchup for the Red Sox today and we'll play them here. |
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05-02-17 | Rockies -108 v. Padres | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
10-unit Play Take #913 Colorado Rockies over San Diego Padres (10:10pm EST) The Colorado Rockies sit atop the National League West division and I think they have a chance to stay there for a bit. New manager Bud Black has these guys believing that they can win and the everyday lineup will strike fear in even the most confident of pitchers. One of the reasons the Rockies have been successful this season is due to their winning ways on the road. They've really struggled away from Coors Field historically, but they are off to a nice 9-4 road record so far in 2017. Right-hander Tyler Chatwood gets the ball for Colorado today as the team faces the Padres. Chatwood hasn't been sharp so far this season but if he can limit the damage from home runs, he'll be just fine. So far this season he has given up seven home runs in five starts. Some of that is Coors Field (five homers allowed at home and just two on the road), so I think he'll be fine today in San Diego. The Padres go with Trevor Cahill, who came over from the Cubs in the offseason. I think Cahill is much better suited for the bullpen, but he'll get a long look in San Diego. His peripheral numbers are actually quite good right now, but I'll be surprised if he can keep it up. Take the Rockies to get this one. |
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05-02-17 | A's +122 v. Twins | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #923 Oakland A's over Minnesota Twins (8:15pm EST) You don't see the Minnesota Twins laying a price like this very often - especially against an opposing pitcher the caliber of Sonny Gray. This will be Gray's first start of the season. He turned in an awful 2016 campaign with an ugly 5.69 ERA. I look for a big comeback season for Gray and it starts with a good effort in Minnesota. Take Oakland as a nice underdog play. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-01-17 | Rangers +196 v. Astros | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #967 Texas Rangers over Houston Astros (8:10pm EST) The Texas Rangers have owned the Houston Astros over the last few seasons. Last season it was why Texas won the AL West. They were 15-4 against the Astros in 2016 and are an amazing 72-28 versus Houston over the last 100 meetings. That is ownage, and at this point it's probably in the heads of the Astros players. Clearly Houston is the better team right now, but this line is way too big given how these teams have matched up in recent seasons. Play Texas. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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05-01-17 | Mets v. Braves -110 | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #952 Atlanta Braves over New York Mets (7:35pm EST) The New York Mets are coming off of a stunning 23-5 loss to the Nationals on Sunday afternoon. Just about everything that could have gone wrong did in that game, including an injury to the already hurting Noah Syndergaard. The Mets have been hit harder by injuries that anyone in 2017, especially offensively. The big one is Yoenis Cespedes, who has carried this Mets offense on his back for long stretches over the last couple of seasons. Without him, they are a below average team without an identity. Today they head to Atlanta to take on a Braves team that has won four of five. Atlanta has a really nice mix of youngsters and veterans and I wouldn't be surprised if they stay in the hunt a little bit longer than everyone expects. Their ace Julio Teheran gets the ball today versus the Mets #5 starter Robert Gsellman. Huge edge there for Atlanta and it's a bit surprising that they aren't bigger favorites here. Play the Braves. |
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05-01-17 | Pirates -110 v. Reds | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #953 Pittsburgh Pirates over Cincinnati Reds (7:10pm EST) The Pittsburgh Pirates are close to getting fully back on track after a tough opening to the season. They've won three of four and head to Cincinnati to start a four-game set. Pirates ace Gerrit Cole gets the ball in this one in his sixth start of the season. Cole has been pretty sharp with a 3.60 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 30 innings of work. The Reds counter with Amir Garrett, who comes in with a bloated 5.09 ERA and has had trouble with the home run ball. This line is at least 10 cents too short, so we're all over the Pirates in today's contest. |
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05-01-17 | Blue Jays +155 v. Yankees | 7-1 | Win | 155 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #961 Toronto Blue Jays over New York Yankees (7:05pm EST) Everyone is excited. The Yankees are back on top, for now. This team has looked like a reincarnation of the 1927 Yankees at times this season, but regression is in certainly in order. Aaron Judge is not Babe Ruth and he'll come back down to earth too. I think we get some value on Toronto in this one after their slow start. However, they have been playing much better the last couple of weeks. Take Toronto in this spot. |
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04-30-17 | Padres v. Giants -128 | 5-2 | Loss | -128 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #908 San Francisco Giants over San Diego Padres (4:05pm EST) Once again we're fading the Padres at a great price. The Giants haven't been playing well, but they are FAR better than San Diego regardless. Take the Giants with confidence. |
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04-30-17 | Twins v. Royals -121 | 7-5 | Loss | -121 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #974 Kansas City Royals over Minnesota Twins (7:15pm EST) This same matchup was rained out yesterday, so we're sticking with our selection. It's been a horrid season so far for Kansas City, but most of those woes have been on the road (2-11 on the road this season). At home the Royals have always had a pretty big advantage - especially in the outfield as they have some speed to cover that huge ground. The Twins are playing solid baseball at 11-11, but I still think the Royals are the better team. Jason Hammel is also one of the more underrated arms and was a nice pickup for the team in the offseason on the cheap. Take the Royals here. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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04-30-17 | Angels v. Rangers -101 | 5-2 | Loss | -101 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #924 Texas Rangers over Los Angeles Angels (3:05pm EST) The Texas Rangers were fraudulent last year, mainly due to an extraordinary 36-11 record in one-run games. This season the luck has evaporated as the Rangers are just 2-5 in one-run decisions in 2017. The betting market has been sour on Texas for quite some time, and I think they've over-adjusted a bit on them. Yes the Rangers were fortunate last year, but I think they're still a nicely built roster. They are clearly better than the Angels in my eyes, so there's value with them today at home. I like the pitching matchup for Texas as well. |
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04-30-17 | Mets v. Nationals +104 | 5-23 | Win | 104 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #902 Washington Nationals over New York Mets (1:35pm EST) The Washington Nationals are looking to avoid the sweep today at the hands of the New York Mets. They'll face Mets ace Noah Syndergaard - a scary proposition. Syndergaard, however, has been battling some bicep issues lately. He refused an MRI on Friday after a throwing session and said he was ready to go for today. Being a competitive guy, Syndergaard clearly wants a shot at their arch rivals today. However, who knows what kind of stuff he has. And you can be sure that manager Terry Collins will be ready for a quick hook at the sign of any issue. The Nats have been absolutely mashing the ball this season. Ryan Zimmerman, Daniel Murphy and Bryce Harper have all been wrecking machines, and now Trea Turner is back in the everyday lineup after missing the first couple of weeks. Joe Ross is slated to go for Washington and he if off to a slow start with a 6.17 ERA in his first two outings. He posted a solid 3.43 ERA last season and I'm confident he's going to be fine. I don't see the Mets getting the sweep today. We're playing the Nationals here. |
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04-30-17 | White Sox v. Tigers -116 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #922 Detroit Tigers over Chicago White Sox (1:10pm EST) The Chicago White Sox are in the first phase of a long rebuilding plan and it's going to get worse before it gets better. They traded away Adam Eaton and Chris Sale in the offseason, and Jose Quintana and others will be shopped around before the trade deadline. The White Sox are off to a great start to the season, sitting atop the AL Central at the moment - but it won't last. Remember last season they had the best record in the American League for most of the first two months, only to completely fall apart and finish with just 78 wins overall. The Tigers are missing Miguel Cabrera right now, but they still have more to work with than Chicago does. Add in a big pitching edge today (Jordan Zimmermann versus Miguel Gonzalez) and I'm surprised that the Tigers are bigger faves at home. Play Detroit in this matchup. |
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04-29-17 | Phillies +201 v. Dodgers | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #963 Philadelphia Phillies over Los Angeles Dodgers (9:10pm EST) If you've watched the Philadelphia Phillies at all this year, it's not hard to notice that this team is playing with a little spark. They finally are fielding a competitive team and have a lot of the young pieces in place to compete for a long time. Right-hander Zach Eflin is one of those young guys that have fans excited and he gets the chance to show us why today. He owns a nifty 2.25 ERA this season and has shown that he knows how to pitch at the tender age of 23. He doesn't have dominating stuff, but Eflin can work the corners and induce plenty of weak contact. The Dodgers may be the best team in the National League this year, but this is a big price to lay with Brandon McCarthy on the hill. McCarthy has been very good in the early going, but for his career he owns a mediocre 4.12 ERA. The price is just too high here, so we're on Philadelphia. |
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04-29-17 | Padres v. Giants -123 | 12-4 | Loss | -123 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #962 San Francisco Giants over San Diego Padres (9:05pm EST) The San Francisco Giants are off to a really slow start at 9-15. But we've seen these kinds of slumps from them before, and every time the Giants have responded. Today they are a small home favorite against a terrible San Diego Padres team. We've faded the Pads with success this season, and that's what we'll do again here. Play San Francisco in a game that should be 20 cents higher. |
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04-29-17 | Braves v. Brewers -113 | 11-3 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #958 Milwaukee Brewers over Atlanta Braves (7:10pm EST) The Brewers let one get away against Atlanta last night, blowing two separate four-run leads. But we're not going to get discouraged as Milwaukee has put a lot of money in our pockets in the early going. Their bats have been red hot lately as they've scored eight or more runs in each of their last four contests. Left-hander Jaime Garcia will try to slow them down today, but I don't see it happening. The veteran southpaw hasn't been sharp this season and is striking out just 5.4 batters per nine innings. That simply won't get it done. The Atlanta bullpen also has some major question marks, so expect more of the same from Milwaukee tonight. |
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04-29-17 | Cubs v. Red Sox +110 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
10-unit Play Take #980 Boston Red Sox over Chicago Cubs (4:05pm EST) Great matchup today in Boston as the Red Sox host the Cubs in a potential World Series dream matchup. I mentioned yesterday how familiarity could be a big issue for the Cubs, who rarely travel to Fenway Park for a game. It's not an easy stadium to adjust to and it definitely impacts the game for unfamiliar opponents. John Lackey will get the ball for the Cubs as he goes up against his old team. Lackey has yet to get comfortable in 2017, posting a 4.88 ERA in his four starts. He's gotten a little wild at times and the home run ball has been an issue. That's not a good combination against a dangerous Red Sox lineup. Boston goes with knuckleballer Steven Wright today. Wright has been horrid so far this season with an ugly 8.66 ERA and 2.09 WHIP, but he will figure it out at some point. Last season he posted a 3.33 ERA and was an All-Star. He'll have a leg up on the Cubs today, who haven't seen a knuckler in quite some time. The Red Sox are 8-4 at home and I think they should be the favorite in this one. It's not often they are an underdog at home. Take Boston in our MLB Game of the Year. |
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04-29-17 | Rays v. Blue Jays -116 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #968 Toronto Blue Jays over Tampa Bay Rays (1:05pm EST) We're betting on another team off to a slow start here with the Toronto Blue Jays. Almost everything has gone wrong so far in Toronto as the team comes in with a league-worst 6-17 mark. The Jays have some issues, but they're not this bad. Toronto has a big edge on the mound today with Francisco Liriano against Matt Andriese of the Rays. Add in the home field advantage and I think this line should be at least 10-15 cents higher. Play Toronto. |
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04-28-17 | Reds v. Cardinals -144 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #908 St. Louis Cardinals over Cincinnati Reds (8:10pm EST) Things have been a little rocky in St. Louis so far and that allows to get in at a very good price today against the Reds. The bats have been quite for the Cardinals but they've started to awake over the last few games. The Cards are 8-2 over their last 10 games and seem to be on track now. Cincinnati has had some major issues on the mound recently and it probably won't get better with today's starter Tim Adleman. The Cardinals counter with Lance Lynn, who has shaken off the rust nicely after missing last season. He owns a nice 2.70 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over his four outings in 2017. St. Louis is the much better team here and we get some value on them at home today. |
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04-28-17 | Braves v. Brewers -118 | 10-8 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #906 Milwaukee Brewers over Atlanta Braves (8:10pm EST) We've played the Brewers often in the early going and it's paid off handsomely so far. In fact, we are a perfect 6-0 when backing the Brewers so far in 2017. We're also 3-0 when going against the Brewers, to make it 9-0 in games involving Milwaukee this season. Needless to say, we have a strong read on this club. Today they're at home versus the Atlanta Braves. The Brewers mashed the ball in their last series at home versus the Reds, and I think we'll see more of the same in this series. Eric Thames has been a HUGE difference maker for this team and is probably the early season MVP in the National League. Add him to Ryan Braun and some decent table-setters and you have a nice offensive unit. Chase Anderson goes today for Milwaukee and he's been brilliant through his first four starts. Anderson is 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 1.04 WHIP to go along with a nice K-BB ratio. Bartolo Colon gets the ball for Atlanta. Colon hasn't gotten comfortable yet in a Braves uniform, posting a 4.50 ERA so far over 24 innings of work. He'll eventually settle in, but I like Milwaukee's red hot bats to touch him up today. Play the Brewers. |
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04-28-17 | Pirates -102 v. Marlins | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #901 Pittsburgh Pirates over Miami Marlins (7:10pm EST) We documented the Marlins crazy travel schedule over the last couple of weeks yesterday. They traveled from Miami to Seattle, from Seattle to San Diego, San Diego to Philadelphia, and now Philadelphia back to Miami for this series (all in the last two weeks). The first game back home after a long trip is always a tough one, so I think the Pirates have the edge here. I also like the pitching matchup for Pittsburgh with the youngster Jameson Taillon going up against Adam Conley. Play the Pirates here. |
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04-28-17 | Cubs v. Red Sox +103 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 103 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
10-unit Play Take #930 Boston Red Sox over Chicago Cubs (7:10pm EST) The Chicago Cubs head into Boston for a rare meeting with the Red Sox. This is a potential World Series matchup and it will get a lot of fanfare over the weekend. Ballpark familiarity could play a big role today as Fenway Park isn't the easiest place to play for opponents - especially for teams that don't see it on a regular basis. The Cubs are favored with Jake Arrieta on the mound against Drew Pomeranz. I don't like what I've seen from Arrieta this season and during the second half of last season. His numbers are solid, but he hasn't been nearly as dominant as he was during his Cy Young campaign. The Red Sox will give him some problems and I think they win as a home underdog today. |
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04-27-17 | Astros v. Indians -159 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #964 Cleveland Indians over Houston Astros (6:10pm EST) We're playing Cleveland once again today against the Astros for many of the same reasons. The Astros also could be without Jose Altuve, who is their team leader and a huge loss at the top of the lineup. Corey Kluber gets the ball for the Tribe today and he's been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the last few years. Mike Fiers goes for Houston and it's somewhat surprising that the Astros have stuck with the right-hander after a tough year in 2016. Things haven't gotten any better as Fiers comes in with a bloated 5.40 ERA over his first three starts. Cleveland gets this one at home today. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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04-27-17 | Marlins v. Phillies -102 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #952 Philadelphia Phillies over Miami Marlins (1:05pm EST) The Miami Marlins have to be exhausted right now. They traveled from Miami to Seattle, from Seattle to San Diego, and San Diego to Philadelphia - all over the last 10 days. This is the last game of the high-mileage road trip for the Marlins as they look forward to sleeping in their own beds soon. They take on the Phillies today and I like the pitching matchup for Philadelphia. Jeremy Hellickson is still underrated and has a 1.88 ERA in four starts in 2017. He's pitching to contact more often and so far it has played to his strengths. Edinson Volquez is still trying to get comfortable in a Marlins uniform. He owns a hefty 4.82 ERA this season after registering an ugly 5.37 ERA last season in Kansas City. Take the Phillies to get the job done at home today. |
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04-26-17 | Cubs v. Pirates +145 | 5-6 | Win | 145 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #904 Pittsburgh Pirates over Chicago Cubs (7:05pm EST) The Pittsburgh Pirates aren't playing great baseball at the moment. But they're priced like a horrible baseball team today, and that's simply not the case. Pittsburgh is a legitimate playoff contender and they're no easy out at home. I expect them to get it going very soon. The Cubs aren't exactly playing great baseball right now either. The offense has been sporadic and there are several guys on the pitching staff who don't look comfortable out there yet. Jon Lester gets the ball for Chicago today. He's coming off of a shaky performance in Cincinnati and still isn't in a groove. The Cubs are obviously the better ballclub, but they don't deserve to be this big of a favorite on the road. Take the Pirates. |
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04-26-17 | Astros v. Indians -101 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #916 Cleveland Indians over Houston Astros (6:10pm EST) We missed yesterday with the Indians, but we're giving it another shot today. Once again the Astros have the pitching edge, but Cleveland is the better all-around club. We also have a big home field edge here as we described in our write-up yesterday. Play the Tribe here as home underdogs. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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04-26-17 | Reds v. Brewers -124 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #902 Milwaukee Brewers over Cincinnati Reds (1:40pm EST) We played the Milwaukee Brewers in the first two games of this series and were able to collect two easy winners. Today we'll go for the trifecta as the Brewers look to sweep the Reds today. We'll reiterate what we've said over the last two days - the Brewers are miles ahead of the Reds are in their rebuilding efforts. Add in a game changer like Eric Thames to your lineup, and the Brew Crew is going to give opposing pitchers fits all season long. He already has 11 home runs in the team's first 22 games. Milwaukee has put up 20 runs in the first two games of this series, and today should be more of the same. Tim Adleman is the Cincinnati starter in this one and he owns a fraudulent 2.70 ERA that isn't supported by the underlying numbers. He owns a ridiculously low .150 BABIP and hasn't allowed any baserunners to score. The Brewers hot bats will carry them once again today in Milwaukee. |
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04-25-17 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -143 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #962 Arizona Diamondbacks over San Diego Padres (9:40pm EST) We've been playing against the San Diego Padres a lot so far this season, and so far it's paid off. The Pads are the worst team in baseball and I don't think the market is pricing them as low as they should. Arizona clearly has a much better lineup, a huge edge on the mound today (Patrick Corbin vs. Clayton Richard), and a better bullpen. We'll continue to fade San Diego until the lines are adjusted. Play Arizona. |
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04-25-17 | Reds v. Brewers -114 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #958 Milwaukee Brewers over Cincinnati Reds (7:40pm EST) We nailed our big National League Game of the Year with the Brewers last night, and tonight we ride them once again. Most people are grouping these two teams together at the bottom of the NL Central, but I see a marked difference between the two squads. Milwaukee has a dangerous lineup with the addition to Eric Thames to provide protection for superstar Ryan Braun. They also have some undervalued arms on their pitching staff, including today's starter Zach Davies. If you like what you saw from Kyle Hendricks of the Cubs last season, you'll be a fan of Zach Davies too. They have similar approaches and I think Davies has the potential to be an All-Star pitcher at some point. However, he's off to a bad start with an 8.24 ERA in his first four starts. A lot of his struggles have been due to misfortune, as Davies owns a .388 BABIP and is stranding only 60% of his runners. Those numbers will improve and his ERA obviously will adjust downward accordingly. Scott Feldman goes for Cincinnati today and he's been the anti-Davies so far. Feldman owns a magical 2.38 ERA that he clearly doesn't deserve in the early going. His peripherals are mediocre and there's no way that Feldman is going to improve at the age of 34. He owns a career 4.36 ERA and that's probably better than where he'll end up with this season. Take Milwaukee at home in this contest. |
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04-25-17 | Cubs v. Pirates +130 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #954 Pittsburgh Pirates over Chicago Cubs (7:05pm EST) The Chicago Cubs are showing a little bit of a hangover after long postseason runs in consecutive seasons - and a busy offseason after bringing home the World Series trophy for the first time in 108 years. What's interesting is that all of the Cubs' starting pitchers are showing a pretty big dip in fastball velocity so far this season. Today's starter Kyle Hendricks is throwing his fastball about 3 mph less than last year and that's a huge deal. Generally speaking, a 1 mph decline leads to about 0.75 to 1.00 increase in ERA. So in Hendricks' case, he's looking at about two or three more earned runs per nine innings at this rate. So far he's been much worse than that, sporting a horrid 6.19 ERA in his first three starts of the campaign. Right now he's an auto-fade, and I think we get a generous price on the Pirates today at home. Gerrit Cole gets the ball for the Buccos and he's a legitimate ace that doesn't get much attention in a small market. The Pirates are off to a sluggish start to the season as well, but they did sweep the Cubs in Chicago about a week ago. The first game of that series featured the exact same pitching matchup as today - a 4-2 win for the Pirates. Take Pittsburgh once again here. |
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04-25-17 | Rays v. Orioles -155 | 2-0 | Loss | -155 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #968 Baltimore Orioles over Tampa Bay Rays (7:05pm EST) The Baltimore Orioles are playing tremendous baseball right now and own the best record in baseball at the moment at 13-5. Their power bats play well in Camden Yards and I believe in Wade Miley more than the betting public does. The O's have found a way to get more out of their pitchers than they should, and a lot of that has to do with manager Buck Showalter. The Tampa Bay Rays send Erasmo Ramirez to the mound in this one. He's nothing special and has been particularly prone to the home run ball in recent years. That doesn't bode well for him in Camden, so we're all over Baltimore today. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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04-25-17 | Astros v. Indians +115 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #966 Cleveland Indians over Houston Astros (6:10pm EST) The Cleveland Indians just missed taking home the World Series trophy last season. This year their roster is even better and it's only a matter of time before they start clicking. Today's starter Josh Tomlin showed that he knows how to pitch in last year's postseason. He's off to a horrid start in 2017, but the good news is he isn't walking many batters and has been extremely unfortunate with a .417 BABIP and 41% strand rates. His peripheral numbers are line with prior years, so it's only a matter of time before we see some better numbers from Tomlin. The Houston Astros are off to a very nice start to the season as they own one of the best records in baseball. However, they aren't nearly as good on the road over the last few seasons. Both of these teams have built their rosters for their respect home ballparks, making this a big advantage for Cleveland today. Play the Tribe in this one as the home underdog. |
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04-24-17 | Blue Jays +122 v. Angels | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
3-unit Play Take #917 Toronto Blue Jays over Los Angeles Angels (10:05pm EST) The Toronto Blue Jays are starting to get back on track after a dismal 1-9 start. The Jays are just 4-4 over their last eight, but the panic button has been put away for the moment as they look to take three of four from the Angels in today's series finale. Francisco Liriano gets the ball for Toronto has an ugly 5.11 ERA in his first three outings this season. But that's extremely misleading, as Liriano has been unfortunate in yielding a .367 BABIP and a weak 68% strand rate. His peripheral numbers are strong and I think Liriano could be a sub-4.00 ERA guy with a great defense behind him. The Angels send Ricky Nolasco to the bump in today's game. Nolasco has good stuff but has never really lived up the expectations placed on him. He owns a career 4.53 ERA and seems to be steadily declining as the years go by. I don't expect that to change in Anaheim, where the team doesn't have a lot of support behind a talented starting rotation. The Jays are the better team here and deserve some action as an underdog. Best of Luck - Doc's Sports |
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04-24-17 | Twins v. Rangers -132 | 3-2 | Loss | -132 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #914 Texas Rangers over Minnesota Twins (8:05pm EST) The Texas Rangers were the most fortunate team in baseball last season with a 36-11 record in one-run games. There was no question that they were coming back down to earth this season, but I think the market is over-adjusting right now. The Rangers are laying a small price at home today versus a pretty weak Minnesota Twins team. The pitching matchup is fairly even, with Phil Hughes squaring off against Martin Perez. Yes Adrian Beltre is still out for Texas, but they are still considerably better than the Twins without him. Texas is coming off of a four-game sweep against the Royals and should carry that momentum into tonight's contest. Yu Darvish also gave the Texas bullpen some rest yesterday as he went eight strong innings in a 5-2 Rangers win. Take Texas to get the job done here. |
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04-24-17 | Reds v. Brewers -102 | Top | 7-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
10-unit Play Take #904 Milwaukee Brewers over Cincinnati Reds (7:40pm EST) The Cincinnati Reds got off to a hot start to the 2017 season and they're now getting a lot more respect from the betting markets. However, they've cooled off considerably over the last 10 games going 3-7 with some really bad losses. That included three of four losses at home versus the Brewers last weekend. Now they head to Milwaukee to match up against the Brewers once again. Cincinnati is rebuilding for the future, as is Milwaukee. However, the Brewers seem to be much further along in their rebuilding efforts and most of the credit for that goes to the front office. Milwaukee General Manager David Stearns came over from the Astros organization and brought over a similar blueprint for success to the Brewers. They've brought in some underrated players including this year's big surprise Eric Thames. The big slugger spent the last three years in Japan and didn't seem to be getting much interest from other teams despite putting up some huge numbers. The Brewer scouted him extensively and now it appears that Thames could be a perennial All-Star. Smart organizations make these kinds of moves and I think the Brewers are going to be better than people think this season because of it. I like the pitching matchup today for Milwaukee, as veteran Matt Garza tries to make a strong first impression in 2017 after making a couple of mediocre minor league starts. The Reds counter with rookie Amir Garrett, who comes in with a sparkling 1.83 ERA in his first three starts. Garrett's minor league numbers have been nothing more than mediocre over the last five years, so don't expect him to become a strong starting pitcher out of nowhere. He needs time to develop and the league will start to hit him now that they have some more video to dissect. Take the Brewers at home in our National League Game of the Year. |
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04-23-17 | Marlins -110 v. Padres | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
4-unit Play Take #961 Miami Marlins over San Diego Padres (4:40pm EST) The San Diego Padres are clearly the worst team in the sport, but the lines against them so far this season have been reasonable. I don't think the betting markets are appreciating just how bad this roster is. I like the pitching matchup for Miami today with Tom Koehler going up against Luis Perdomo. But the big difference in this game is the offenses, where the Marlins clearly outpace the Pads. This one should be an easy winner and the price is right. Go Miami. |
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