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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-18-16 | Thunder v. Warriors OVER 221.5 | Top | 91-118 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
Even after upsetting the Spurs in six games in the Western Conference semi finals, nobody expected the Thunder to come into Oracle Arena and beat Golden State in Game 1. They may have taken the Warriors by surprise in the series opener, and it's going to be very difficult to duplicate that performance in Game 2. We should see a higher scoring Game 2.  Here are my keys to the game:  1. Previous History - All three meetings in the regular season saw enough points to go over the total for tonight's Game 2. Golden State has gone over in six of it's last eight when playing on one day's rest. The over is 19-9 in Oklahoma City's last 28 playing on one day of rest. 2. Steph Curry - The MVP missed five of six shots in the fourth quarter of Game 1, but still scored 26 points and shot 6-of-14 from beyond the arc. Expect Curry to go off for 30+ points in Game 2. 3. X-Factor - Russell Westbrook has one speed, and it's full throttle! Not only is he scoring more than his share of points in the playoffs, he's wasting no time attacking the basket early in the shot clock, pushing the pace. Selection: This is a play on the Thunder@Warriors to go OVER the total (10*) |
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05-17-16 | Manchester United v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 3 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 106 | 64 h 11 m | Show |
Manchester United could secure Champions League football next season with a win against West Ham on Tuesday, but they ended up a 3-2 loser in an entertaining contest. The season is far from over though as there is still a small chance to overtake Man City for fourth, and they also need to defend their fifth place from West Ham. The crowd at Old Trafford have not been spoiled with entertaining football often this season, but I think this will be a rare occasion in the season-finale.  Here are my keys to the game:  1. Bournemouth's Mentality - Very few thought that newly promoted Bournemouth would stand a chance to stay up in the Premier League ahead of the season, but they've proved their doubters wrong. They've done so with entertaining and offensive football, often to their detriment on the road where they've refused to "park the bus" in front of the goal.  2. Road Woes - Six of Bournemouth's last seven games on the road have seen three goals or more. The way Manchester United defended against West Ham leads me to believe Bournemouth will give Man U plenty of trouble today.  3. X-Factor - Bournemouth have conceded 64 goals this season, only Aston Villa (72) have conceded more. Selection: This is a play on Bournemouth@Manchester United to go OVER the total (8*) |
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05-15-16 | Heat v. Raptors UNDER 189.5 | Top | 89-116 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
Both the Miami Heat and the Toronto Raptors' first round series needed a Game 7, and that is once again the case here in the semifinals as a 103-91 Miami win on Friday forced another a deciding game. Each of the previous six meetings have been fierce defensive battles, and that should be the case once again today. Here are my keys to the game:  1. Situational - Six of the Heat's last eight on the road have gone under the total and the under is 5-2 in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Under is 4-1 in the Raptors last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. 2. Dwayne Wade's Road Woes - The Heat point guard has averaged only 20.3 points per game at Toronto compared to 30 points per game home in Miami. A lot have been asked of Wade who has been forced to carry this Miami team almost on his own since Hassan Whiteside got injured, and that showed in the last game when the 34 year old mustered only 22 points. 3. X-Factor - Miami was shot just 6-of-21 from behind the arc in the last meeting at Air Canada Centre. Selection: This is a play on MIA@TOR 1st Half to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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05-15-16 | Everton v. Norwich City OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
Everton will close out the 2015/2016 Premier League season with a match up against Norwich home at Goodison Park on Sunday. Both teams have had a disappointing season, but I think they'll entertain us with a high-scoring encounter here.  Here are my keys to the game:  1. Motivtional - Everton were expected to compete for the Europa League spots this season, and a 12th place is massive failure. Manager Roberto Martinez has already been sacked, and the players will be eager to showcase themselves for the bigger clubs, in particular Everton striker Romelu Lukaku who is on several big teams' radar. Norwich will play Championship football next season, and their players will be looking to make a case for the Premier League teams to make a bid for them.  2. Everton's Defense - The Toffees have conceded 13 goals in their past five games and three in each of their last two. Norwich are coming off a 4-2 win against Watford as Dieumerci Mbokani scored a brace.  3. X-Factor - Everton's 18 Premier League games at Goodison Park this season have seen an average of 3.4 goals.  Selection: This is a play on Norwich@Everton to go OVER the total (8*) |
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05-15-16 | Stoke City v. West Ham United OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
 West Ham United and Stoke City will end the 2015/2016 campaign with a meeting at Britannia Stadium on Sunday. We saw an uneventful 0-0 draw in the reverse fixture in London back in December, but circumstances would suggest that goals will come easier today.  Here are my keys to the game:  1. West Ham's Motivation - The Hammers are trying to track down Manchester United for the direct spot to the Europa League and put themselves in a great position with a 3-2 win against Man U on Tuesday. They'll come out all guns blazing, and with Stoke having nothing to play for there is no reason for the home team to sit back and deny its fans an entertaining contest to wrap up the season. 2. West Ham's Offense - West Ham have scored 12 goals in their past five games and are unbeaten in five away league games, scoring at least two goals in each of those contests. Each of West Ham's past nine games have seen three goals or more. 3. X-Factor - West Ham's Dimitri Payet has been involved in 11 goals in his last 12 Premier League appearances. Selection: This is a play on West Ham@Stoke to go OVER the total (8*) |
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05-12-16 | Predators v. Sharks UNDER 5 | Top | 0-5 | Push | 0 | 21 h 31 m | Show |
The Nashville Predators and the San Jose Sharks are all tied at 3-3 heading into the winner-take-all Game 7 of this Western Conference Semifinals series Thursday night. This have been a high-scoring series with five goals or more in each game, but I think we're in for a low-scoring encounter tonight.  Here are my keys to the game:  1. Situational - Elimination games often see teams take a more cautious approach as giving your opponent the upper hand could prove extremely costly. With neither team willing to take risks, goals must surely come at a premium. 2. Home Cookin' - The Sharks were not particularly dangerous at home during the regular season, but they've been far more deadly in the playoffs. The team has won all but one of its five postseason games at home, yielding just a total of eight goals in regulation. Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings with the Preds in San Jose.  3. X-Factor - The Predators have converted on just 8.9 percent of their power play opportunities in the playoffs.  Selection: This is a play on the NAS@SJS to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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05-11-16 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 216.5 | Top | 121-125 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
The defending champions are up 3-1 in their second round series versus Portland. Golden State can close out he series in Game 5, and the Warriors are a big favorite. The public money is all over the Warriors here, but I believe the best bet is on the total. We've seen plenty of scoring so far in this series, and I expect a high scoring first half tonight. Selection: This is a10* play on the Warriors@Blazers to go OVER the total (1st Half) |
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05-11-16 | Blues v. Stars UNDER 5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
 The stakes are high at American Airlines Center Wednesday night as the St. Louis Blues and the Dallas Stars clash in a deciding Game 7 of their Western Conference semifinals. The over is 2-0-3 in the last five meetings, but I expect goals to come at a premium in this contest. Here are my keys to the game:  1. Situational - Giving up the first goal in this game could be devastating and neither team can afford to put them in a position to chase the game. Dallas is seeking its first Game 7 victory since the playoffs back in the 2000 Western Conference final, so the home team will be wary to not allow history to repeat itself.   2. Special Teams - There has been a lack of power play opportunities for both teams in the last three games with six chances for the Blues and seven for the Stars. It's a tough but fair series, and both sides will be cautious to give their counterpart a chance to play with a man advantage tonight.  3. X-Factor - The Blues have conceded a total of five goals while taking two of three meetings of this series at Dallas.  Selection: This is a play on STL@DAL to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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05-11-16 | Pirates v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
The Reds won Game 1 of this home series versus Pittsburgh by a score of 3-2, but I think we should see more offense here with a couple of struggling pitchers on the mound in Game 2. Before yesterday's game, Cincinnati had gone over in five of seven during this home stand. Selection: This is a 10* play on the Pirates@Reds to go OVER the total (1st 5 innings). |
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05-10-16 | Capitals v. Penguins UNDER 5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
The Washington Capitals managed to extend their postseason life to at least one more game with a 3-1 win home at Verizon Arena on Saturday. They're still facing elimination though as they travel to Pittsburgh with a 3-2 deficit in the series, and I expect both teams to play lockdown defense in tonight's contest as the Pens definitely don't want to risk going to Washington for a deciding Game 7.  Here are my keys to the game:  1. Goaltending - Washington's Braden Holtby has posted a 1.57 goals against average with a .922 save percentage here in the playoffs, and he has held the Pens' Sidney Crosby scoreless in five games in this series. Pittsburgh's 21 year old rookie Matt Murray has performed above all expectations filling in for Marc-Andre Fleury, compiling a 1.96 goals against average and a .937 save percentage in eight postseason starts.  2. Trends - The Caps won the series opener 4-3 in overtime, but the under is 2-0-2 in the following four matchups. Under is 9-3-2 in Capitals last 14 after allowing two goals or fewer in their previous game. 3. X-Factor - The Caps have almost completely shut down Sidney Crosby and Evegni Malkin with the duo totaling just one goal and three assists in the series. Selection: This is a play on WAS@PIT to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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05-10-16 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 199.5 | Top | 95-91 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
The San Antonio Spurs and the Oklahoma City Thunder face off in Game 5 of this Western Conference semifinals series tied at 2-2. This is a pivotal contest, and in all likelihood the team that wins tonight will go on to win the series. With so much at stake, expect the defense to be tight.  Here are my keys to the game:  1. Kevin Durant in San Antonio - The 27 year old forward was instrumental in Sunday's 111-97 win home in Oklahoma City scoring 41 points  to even the series. He averaged just 22 points through the first two meetings at AT&T Center though, and the Spurs will make sure to shut down Durant again tonight.   2. Home Cookin' - The Spurs have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games, and they've gone under in eight of their last 11 overall. 3. X-Factor - The Spurs are allowing opponents to average just 83 points per game in these playoffs.  Selection: This is a play on the Thunder@Spurs to go UNDER for the 1st Half (10*) |
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05-09-16 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 214 | Top | 132-125 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show |
The defending champions are up 2-1 in their second round series versus Portland, but the Blazers have a chance to draw even with a big home win in Game 4. The public money is all over the Warriors here, but I believe the best bet is on the total. We've seen plenty of scoring so far in this series, and I expect a high scoring first half tonight. Selection: This is a10* play on the Warriors@Blazers to go OVER the total (1st Half) |
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05-08-16 | Rockies v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
The San Francisco Giants will be looking to deny the Colorado Rockies a split in this four-game series at AT&T Park on Sunday afternoon. The Giants pulled off an 13th inning win yesterday, but several factors would suggest that we will see more action over the plate today.  Here are my keys to the game:  1. Pitching - The Giants hand the ball to Jeff Samardzija (4-1, 3.32) who is coming off his best start in a Giants uniform when he tossed eight innings of one-run ball at Cincinnati on Tuesday. The Shark was not quite as successful his last outing in San Francisco when he conceded five runs on five hits in 5 2/3 innings on April 27. Samardzija has made two day starts in 2016, giving up a total of eight runs in 11 innings. The Rockies counter with Eddie Butler (0-1, 6.75 ERA) as the 25 year old is set to make his third start of the year. Butler surrendered five runs on four hits with a pair of homers in a 6-3 loss at San Diego his last start.  2. Taxed Bullpens - The Rockies used six relievers in yesterday's contest while the Giants asked five pitchers to come out of the bullpen in yesterday's marathon game. Hardly ideal for today as both teams bullpens rank in the bottom third of the majors.  3. X-Factor - The over is 13-3 in the Giants last 16 overall and eight of their past 10 home at AT&T Park have gone over the total. Selection: This is a play on COL@SF to go OVER the total (8*) |
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05-08-16 | Cavs v. Hawks UNDER 203.5 | Top | 100-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
The Atlanta Hawks are down 3-0 in their second round series versus Cleveland, and the Cavs have been putting on a shooting clinic, raining three-pointers at record pace in the last two games. The Hawks will try to salvage a little respect by avoiding a sweep in Game 4 at home tonight, and I expect to see more defense in this game than in the previous two. Selection: This is a play on the Cavs@Hawks to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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05-07-16 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 211.5 | Top | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
The Trail Blazers dropped both games in Oakland as they return to Portland trailing 2-0 in the series. They've had little trouble to score though, and we should see a high-scoring contest at Moda Center Saturday night.  Here are my keys to the game:  1. Home Cookin' - The over is 11-3 in the Trail Blazers' last 14 home games against a team with a winning road record. They're averaging 107.5 points per game in their own building which can be compared to a 104.6 mark overall, so shooting against a familiar rim is definitely something the Portland players know how to take full advantage of. 2. Previous Meetings - The first two games of this playoffs series have seen an average of 216.5 points and the over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings. Portland handed the Warriors their most lopsided loss of the season when they defeated Golden State 137-105 here at Moda Center on Feb. 19.  3. X-Factor - Portland's point guard Damian Lillard was far from dominant in the first round series against the Clippers, but he has averaged 27.5 points per game in the first two of this series.  Selection: This is a play on GSW@POR 1st Half to go OVER the total  (10*) |
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05-07-16 | Leicester v. Everton OVER 3 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
Leicester City have just completed arguably the biggest upset in European club football by winning the Premier League heading into the season as a 5000:1 dog. They've probably partied and celebrated all week, but I think they'll be ready to put on a show in front of the home fans here against Everton, and we should see plenty of goals in this contest.  Here are my keys to the game:  1. Motivational - Everton have performed way below par and Roberto Martinez is likely to be sacked come the end of the season. Perhaps a couple of impressive performances to finish the campaign can save his job, and the Everton players should be well up to prove their skills against the champions.  2. Jamie Vardy - The Leicester top scorer has missed the past three games due to a suspension, but he's now available for selection again after serving his ban. The Vardy party can continue as he's trying to make up three goals on Harry Kane for the Premier League Golden Boot, so there will be no holding back from the energetic striker. 3. X-Factor - Leicester will be without center back Robert Huth who is suspended after an altercation with Man United's Marouane Fellaini last Sunday.  Selection: This is a play on EVE@LEI to go OVER the total (8*) |
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05-06-16 | Cavs v. Hawks UNDER 199 | Top | 121-108 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
 The Cleveland Cavaliers cruised to a pair of wins home at Oracle Arena to improve to a perfect 6-0 in the playoffs. The Atlanta Hawks have struggled to solve the Cavs defense, and I think we'll see both teams play hard on defense in this must-win match-up for the Hawks.  Here are my keys to the game:  1. Home Cookin' - The Hawks are always upping the intensity on defense in front of the home fans where they allow 96.8 points per game compared to a 99.2 overall average. Five of their past six games at Philips Arena have gone under the total.  2. Road Woes - Cleveland is averaging a league-best 35.7 attempts from beyond the arc during the playoffs and set a record with 25 3-pointers in Wednesday's 123-98 win. Now they'll have to adjust to a new arena and environment though, and their shooting is likely to suffer after such a performance.  3. X-Factor - Atlanta's Jeff Teague is struggling, making just 5-of-19 shots with a total of 22 points and 10 assists over the first two games of the series. Selection: This is a play on CLE@ATL to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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05-05-16 | Brewers v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 106 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a 7-4 win over San Francisco in the final game of a three game set at home, and they will host Milwaukee in Game 1 of a new series tonight. Cincinnati hit four home runs in last night's game, and three of the Reds last four games have seen the total reach double-digits. I expect to see another slugfest in Cincinnati tonight. |
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05-03-16 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 213.5 | Top | 99-110 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 6 m | Show |
The Golden State Warriors took the first meeting of this Western Conference Semifinals series 118-106 on Sunday. The first half saw a total of 116 points, and I think both teams will be off to a quick start in tonight's match-up.  Here are my keys to the game:  1. The Warriors Looking To Prove A Point - Golden State's chances of winning a back-to-back NBA titles was talked down after losing Stephen Curry to a knee injury. The Warriors have not slowed down though, determined to show critics they can manage just fine without their MVP. Klay Thompson has stepped up and buried seven 3-pointers en route to a game-high 37 points in Game 1 of the series while Draymond Green chipped in with 23 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists. The Warriors offense has not suffered without Curry and Portland will likely struggle to get stops tonight. 2. Previous Meetings - Defense is not the top of the agenda when these two teams meet. The over is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings overall and each of the past four meetings at Oracle Arena have gone over the total.  3. X-Factor - Klay Thompson is 21-of-36 from 3-point range in the last three games.  Selection: This is a play on POR@GS 1st Half to go OVER the total (8*) |
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05-02-16 | Hawks v. Cavs OVER 200.5 | Top | 93-104 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
The Cleveland Cavaliers swept the Pistons in their Eastern Conference first round series while the Atlanta Hawks defeated the Celtics in six games. I think we are in for a wild game at Quicken Loans Arena Monday night, and I'm taking the over in this contest.  Here are my keys to the game:  1. Kyrie Irving - The Cavaliers' point guard dominated the series against Detroit with 27.5 points per game while making 47.1 percent of his 3-pointers. Lebron James and Irving combined to score 54.8 points per game in the three against Atlanta during the season and Atlanta's defense will surely have its hands full in tonight. 2. Previous Meetings - Four of the past five meetings overall and six of the past seven meetings in Cleveland have gone over the total. Each of the three regular-season meetings this season went well over the posted total and the over is 4-1 in Atlanta's last five vs. teams with a winning straight up record. 3. X-Factor - Paul Millsap has averaged 24 points per game over the past three games and his presence inside will be key to Atlanta's success.  Selection: This is a play on ATL@CLE to go OVER the total 1st half (10*) |
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05-02-16 | Chelsea v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
Tottenham Hotspur would need to win each of their last three games of the season while hoping that Leicester City lose their remaining two to clinch the Premier League title. They'll take the pitch at Stamford Bridge on Monday with nothing but three points on their mind, and I think this set the stage nicely for a high-scoring encounter against North London rival Chelsea.  Here are my keys to the game:  1. Previous Meetings - The reverse fixture at White Hart Lane this season ended in a 0-0 draw, but previous four Premier League meetings had seen a total of 17 goals between them.  2. Home Woes - Chelsea are winless over their past four games at home at the Bridge with a total of eight goals conceded. They've kept just one clean sheet in their last 10 league fixtures overall.  3. X-Factor - Harry Kane has put on a clinic lately with 13 goals in his last 14 league appearances for Spurs while Chelsea's Pedro has scored five goals in his last seven Premier League appearances.   Selection: This is a play on Tottenham@Chelsea to go OVER the total (9*) |
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05-01-16 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 209.5 | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
 Injuries to key players for the Clippers definitely played a part why the Portland Trail Blazers managed to win four straight after a pair of initial defeats to get past them in their Western Conference match-up. Take nothing away from this Portland team though, and I think the Blazers will give Golden State a tough match at Oracle Arena, with both teams scoring a ton of points.  Here are my keys to the game:  1. Previous History - Both these teams love to run, and play at a high pace. Previous meetings have yielded plenty of scoring, with both team scoring 100+ points in each of the last six. Recent meetings have seen totals over 220, but tonight's total is below 210.  2. No Fear - Much of the Warriors fear factor is gone with Steph Curry on the sideline, and Portland has already proved it can run with the Warriors once this season. The Blazers handed Golden State its most lopsided loss of the season with a 137-105 victory on Feb. 19. 3. X-Factor - These two teams have gone over in six straight meetings, and six of the last seven meetings at Oracle Arena.   Selection: This is a play on the Blazers@Warriors to go OVER (10*) |
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05-01-16 | Leicester v. MANCHESTER UNIT UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 84 h 45 m | Show |
10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK UNDER Leicester/Man U. "The Coach" will have his "Keys To The Game" for this selection posted shortly. Check back soon for more details. |
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04-30-16 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show |
10* play on UNDER Rockies/Diamondbacks. The Arizona Diamondbacks are a half a game back of first place San Francisco in the NL West, and only a half game up on the Colorado Rockies. Arizona lost Game 1 of this home series versus the Rockies by a score of 9-0, but we should see a much different outcome with Arizona sending it's ace to the mound in Game 2. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - Zack Greinke will get the nod for the home team, and he's coming off a shaky performance. Greinke (2-2, 6.10 ERA) gave up seven runs on 11 hits over 6.2 innings in a win over St. Louis in his last start. The veteran has seen plenty of Colorado in recent seasons, and he's 6-2 with a 3.21 ERA in his last 11 starts against them. 2. Batter vs. Pitcher - Colorado slugger Nolan Arenado hit a home run in Game 1 of this series, but he's struggled against Greinke. Arenado is 5-for-27 (.187) with three strikeouts lifetime versus the former Dodger. 3. X-Factor - The Rockies will send Chris Rusin to the mound, and they've failed to reach the total in six of his last eight starts. Selection: This is a play on the Rockies@Arizona to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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04-30-16 | West Bromwich Albion v. West Ham United UNDER 2.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -134 | 61 h 42 m | Show | |
8* TOTAL MASSACRE on on UNDER West Ham United/West Bromwich. "The Coach" will have his "Keys To The Game" for this selection posted shortly. Check back soon for more details. |
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04-30-16 | Stoke City v. Sunderland UNDER 2.5 | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 61 h 41 m | Show | |
Sunderland delivered a strong defensive performance last weekend when they held Arsenal to a 0-0 draw home at Stadium of Light. They're looking to escape relegation and a point here at Britannia Stadium would be a great result. Stoke have shown no urge to attack in recent games and this is likely to be a low-scoring contest. Here are my keys to the game:  1. Sunderland's Recent Games - Only one of the Black Cats' last six games have gone over the total and they have been shut out in three of their past four. They have suffered 1-0 defeats on seven occasions this season, more than any other club in the English top flight. 2. Stoke's Defense - The Potters have allowed four goals in each of their past three games, facing top opponents such as Liverpool, Tottenham and Manchester City. Very uncharacteristic from a team that is usually a very solid side defensively, and they should do better against this weak Sunderland side.   3. X-Factor - Marko Arnautovic has arguably been Stoke's biggest offensive threat this season, but he is questionable for this contest with a hamstring injury.  Selection: This is a play on Sunderland@Stoke to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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04-29-16 | Heat v. Hornets OVER 191 | Top | 97-90 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
10* Total MASSACRE on OVER Heat/Hornets. The Miami Heat are on the brink of elimination after the Charlotte Hornets managed to claim the first road-win in this playoff series with a 90-88 win at Miami on Wednesday. This has been a low-scoring series so far, but the total for this game looks a bit low considering the circumstances and I think the score will push over the set total. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Charlotte's Backcourt - The Hornets put up 90 points in Wednesday's win despite Kemba Walker and Jeremy Lin putting up just 25 between them. They did however go off for a combined 55 points the last game home at Time Warner Cable Arena where the whole Hornets team has a far better shooting percentage. 2. Fouling - The spread would suggest a close game, and if that's the case near the end of the game we could see plenty of fouling and free throws driving up the score. Charlotte's 82.5 conversion rate from the foul-line is the best mark of every team in the playoffs.  3. X-Factor - The over is 5-1 in Miami's last six Friday night games and 4-1 in Charlotte's last five. Selection: This is a play on MIA@CHA to go OVER the total (10*) |
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04-27-16 | Hornets v. Heat OVER 193 | Top | 90-88 | Loss | -102 | 33 h 5 m | Show |
10* play on OVER Hornets/Heat. This Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series between the Charlotte Hornets and the Miami Heat is tied at 2-2 with neither team able to claim a road victory yet. We saw plenty of scoring in the first two games of this series, and I expect another high score tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in the previous two games in Miami, and both of those games went way over. History shows that 19 of the last 26 meetings in Miami have gone over the total. 2. Kemba Walker - The Charlotte guard exploded for a playoff career-high 34 points in Monday's 89-85 win and was the deciding factor scoring 11 straight Charlotte points in the last six minutes of the fourth quarter to help his team pull away. 3. X-Factor - Nicolas Batum has missed the last two games with a sprained ankle but is expected to be a game-time decision Wednesday. Great news for Charlotte. Selection: This is a play on the Hornets@Heat (10*) |
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04-27-16 | Yankees v. Rangers OVER 9 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 2 m | Show | |
8* play on the OVER Yanks/Rangers. The Texas Rangers cruised to a 10-1 victory at home versus the Bronx Bombers on Tuesday, and I expect to see another slugfest in Arlington tonight. Neither of tonight's starting pitcher's inspire much confidence, and we could see a few balls leave the park. My money is on the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - C.C. Sabathia will go for the Yankees, and the veteran was roughed up by Tampa in his latest start. Sabathia (1-1, 5.28 ERA) gave up three runs on nine hits while walking three in just 4.2 innings in a no-decision. He's 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA in his last two starts versus the Rangers. 2. Batter vs. Pitcher - The Texas lineup is hitting .308 over a combined 143 at bats versus Sabathia, and Elvis Andrus is 10-for-22 with four RBIs lifetime versus the southpaw. 3. X-Factor - The Rangers have gone over in eight of their last 10 home games, while the Yankees have seen the total go over in eight straight when Sabathia starts. Selection: This is a play on the Yankees@Rangers to go OVER the total (8*) |
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04-27-16 | A's v. Tigers UNDER 8 | 4-9 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 8 m | Show | |
8* play on the UNDER A’s/Tigers. After splitting the first two games of a home series versus Oakland, the Tigers send ace Justin Verlander to mound in the rubber match on Wednesday. Sonny Gray will go for the A's, and with a pair of aces on the mound, we should be in for a pitcher's duel. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - Justin Verlander is coming off a stellar performance in a losing effort versus Cleveland, striking out 10 while giving up a pair of runs on four hits in seven innings. He's 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA in his last three starts versus Oakland. 2. Batter vs. Pitcher - The Tigers are batting just .180 with 13 strikeouts over a combined 50 at bats versus Gray. 3. X-Factor - These two teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight meetings, and the under is 11-5 in Verlander's last 16 starts versus Oakland. Selection: This is a play on the Athletics@Tigers to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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04-27-16 | Reds v. Mets OVER 7.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 7 m | Show | |
8* play on the OVER Reds/Mets. The Reds have lost three straight heading into Game 3 of this series in New York. We saw plenty of scoring in the first two games of the series, and the Reds have been involved in more than their share of high scoring games this season. My money is on the over tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pitching - The Reds will send 24 year old right-hander Jon Moscot to the mound tonight, and he was roughed up pretty good in his last start. Moscot (0-1, 5.06 ERA) gave up four runs on three hits and four walks in just five innings in a loss to the Cubs. Matt Harvey will go for the Mets, and he's 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA so far. 2. Batter vs. Pitcher - The Reds are hitting .333 over a combined 48 at bats versus Harvey, and Joey Votto is 3-for-9 with a home run lifetime versus the right-hander. 3. X-Factor - The over is 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings in this series. Selection: This is a play on the Reds@Mets to go OVER the total (8*) |
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04-24-16 | Leicester v. Swansea City UNDER 2.5 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -141 | 20 h 37 m | Show |
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04-23-16 | AFC Bournemouth v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
No one would have expected Chelsea and Bournemouth to be within three points of each other near the end of the season, but that's the situation heading into Saturday's match-up at Vitality Stadium. The Bournemouth players are still very much enjoying their first season in the top flight while the reigning champions Chelsea are playing with a point to prove after a disastrous start to the season crushed every hope of defending their title, and I think we'll see an action-packed game. |
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04-21-16 | Raptors v. Pacers OVER 193 | Top | 101-85 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 50 m | Show |
10* play on the OVER Raptors/Pacers. The Indiana Pacers have taken the homecourt advantage in the series away from the Raptors with a 100-99 win at Rogers Centre in the series-opener. A 98-87 defeat in Game 2 was pretty expected, but I like the Pacers to have a big night on offense here at home. The total for this game is lower than it was in the first two contests, and I think we could see more scoring here Indiana. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - These two teams have failed to reach the total in both the first two games of this series, but they went over the total in six of the previous eight meetings. Even the the two games that went under during that span both saw more points than the number here in Game 3. 2. Paul George - The Indiana forward has stepped it up and tormented Toronto after putting up just an average of 16.3 points per game over the four regular-season meetings. He's been the dominant scorer in this series by a mile with 61 points spread out over the first two games, 26 points more than the Raptors-best Jonas Valanciunas. 3. X-Factor - The Raptors dynamic duo of DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry have been in a horrible shooting slump. An improved performance is expected here in Game 3. Selection: This is a play on the Raptors@Pacers to go OVER the total (10*) |
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04-20-16 | Panthers v. Islanders UNDER 5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 113 | 30 h 48 m | Show |
10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Panthers/Islanders. The New York Islanders made the playoffs by clinching one of the wild cards in the East, but they're entering Wednesday's contest against the Atlantic Division champions the Florida Panthers with a 2-1 lead in the series. Dropping this game would put Florida in a very tough spot, and I think we'll see them tightening up on defense in order to avoid defeat. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Roberto Luongo - The Panthers netminder has not been at his very best in this series allowing a total of nine goals with a .862 save percentage. "I need the rest," Luongo told the team's official website. "Three games in four nights with an overtime, so I'm pretty exhausted right now. I need a couple days to re-energize here to get ready for Wednesday." The two days rest since Sunday's contest should have the veteran fit for fight again and ready for tonight's game. 2. Jaromir Jagr's Postseason Woes - The 44 year old has yet to score a point in the series and has gone without one for 34 consecutive playoff games. Hardly ideal as he led the team with 66 points during the regular-season. 3. X-Factor - The Islanders' Thomas Greiss has just four postseason appearances under his belt but he has been solid in this series with 106 saves for a .922 save percentage. Selection: This is a play FLA@NYI to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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04-18-16 | Mavs v. Thunder OVER 200.5 | Top | 85-84 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 3 m | Show |
10* play on OVER Mavs/Thunder. The Mavs got their butts handed to them in Game 1 of this series versus the Thunder, and I expect them to come up with a far better performance here in Game 2. The Thunder made a statement in Game 1, and it wouldn't be a shock if they eased up a little here, allowing Dallas to score a few more points here tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Thunder are one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, and they score plenty of points at home. These teams traditionally play high scoring games, going over the total in five of the last seven meetings. 2. Too Much Westbrook - Russell Westbrook is still feeling the hot hand, he totaled 24 points and 11 assists in Game 1. Dallas is going to have a tough time defending him, and expect him to put up big numbers again in Game 2. 3. X-Factor - The Over is 15-6 in Thunder's last 21 games playing on 1 days rest. Selection: This is a play on Mavs@Thunder to go OVER the total (10*) |
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04-18-16 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Stoke City UNDER 2.5 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -119 | 148 h 43 m | Show |
The Totteham Hotspur have a chance to make up some ground on Leicester City at the top of the Premier League table with a win Monday, as the Foxes dropped points against West Ham yesterday. Wins never come easy against Stoke City though, and we should see a tight low-scoring encounter at Britannia Stadium. Â |
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04-16-16 | Mavs v. Thunder OVER 209.5 | Top | 70-108 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 56 m | Show |
10* play on OVER Mavericks/Thunder. The Dallas Mavericks had to play their butts off to get into the playoffs, and they really did a great job on defense in the last few weeks. I expect the Mavs to experience a bit of a let down here in Game 1 in Oklahoma City, and the Thunder's high flying offense should prove to be far too much for the Mavs to handle. My money is on the total to go over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, with the total going over in five of the last six meetings. Oklahoma City has won the last four meetings, scoring an average of 112.5 points in those games. 2. Too Much Westbrook - Russell Westbrook simply can not be stopped. He dominated the season series, averaging 23.7 points, 10.3 assists and 6.7 rebounds in the three (full) games he played against Dallas. 3. X-Factor - The over is 6-2 in Mavericks last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games. Selection: This is a play on the Mavs@Thunder to go OVER the total (10*) |
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04-16-16 | West Bromwich Albion v. Watford UNDER 2 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
8* play on UNDER Watford/West Bromwich. Only two points separates the 14th placed West Bromwich from the 15th placed Watford in the Premier League standings heading into Saturday's clash at the Hawthorns. The first meeting of the season ended in a 0-0 draw and odds are we'll see another low-scoring contest between two evenly matched teams today. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Motivational - West Brom and Watford are 13 and 11 points respectively above the relegation zone, and the risk of either team getting involved in the relegation battle is minimal. I don't think the players will have the motivation necessary to unlock their opponents defense, and the Watford players' minds might wander towards next week's FA Cup semi-final against Crystal Palace. 2. Low-scoring teams - Only last-placed Aston Villa have scored fewer goals than Watford and West Brom who both have scored 31 goals in 32 Premier League games this season. 3. X-Factor - Watford's striker duo Odion Ighalo and Troy Deeney has only four goals between them since the turn of the new year. Selection: This is a play on Watford@West Brom to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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04-16-16 | Newcastle United v. Swansea City UNDER 2.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -135 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
8* play on UNDER Swansea/Newcastle. Swansea defeated Chelsea 1-0 last weekend to all but secure Premier League football next season. Newcastle United suffered a 3-1 defeat at Southampton the second straight game they gave up three goals. I expect them to shore up their defense for this contest as a win is necessary to make up ground in the relegation battle. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Motivational - Swansea will lack motivation while Newcastle will have a ton of it. They're entering Saturday six points back of 17th placed Norwich with Sunderland sandwiched in between as well, but they do have a game in hand on the Canaries. As the fourth lowest-scoring team in the league, Newcastle manager Rafael BenÃtez know his team can not afford to give up a goal if they're to win this game. 2. Swansea's Defense - The Swans have been defensively solid in recent weeks with three clean sheets in their past five games. They've conceded just 12 goals over their past 12 contests. 3. X-Factor - Swansea shut out Newcastle in a 2-0 victory in the reverse fixture back in October. Selection: This is a play on Swansea@Newcastle to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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04-16-16 | Norwich City v. Sunderland UNDER 2.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
8* play on UNDER Sunderland/Norwich City. This is a huge game for both sides as 17th placed Norwich host 18th placed Sunderland Saturday afternoon. Only four points separates the teams and, we should see a nervy low-scoring contest at Carrow Road in this early kick-off in the Premier League. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Tactical - It will be equally important for both sides to deny their opponent a win here as it is to bag the three points, particularly for Norwich who have the four-point advantage. They won't have any incentive to push forward, but Sunderland is not a team all that comfortable taking charge of the games, and this should be a very scrappy contest. 2. Sunderland's Goalscoring Woes - The Black Cats are winless with only four goals scored in their past six games. They've managed four draws in during that stretch though thanks to some solid defending with only six conceded goals. 3. X-Factor - Jermain Defoe has scored 12 of Sunderland's 36 Premier League goals this season. If the Norwich defense can shut him down they'll have nothing to fear. Selection: This is a play on Sunderland@Norwich to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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04-13-16 | Crystal Palace v. Everton UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
10* TOP TOTAL on UNDER Everton/Crystal Palace. Both Crystal Palace and Everton were off to a strong start this season. Things have changed throughout the seasons and only two points separates the teams in the bottom-half of the table heading into this clash. With neither team running any immediate risk of relegation, I think we'll see a dull game between two teams wishing the season was over already.  Here are my keys to the game: 1. Road Warriors - Everton are sitting 14th in the league overall, but they have the fifth best road record and have solid defending to thank for that. The Toffees have lost just two of 15 road games in the Premier League this season with a total of 15 conceded goals, and defense is likely to be highest priority in this contest too. 2. Home Woes - Conversely, only Aston Villa have scored fewer goals on their own ground that Crystal Palace who have 17 tallies in 17 games at Selhurst Park. They've been shut out in each of the last two when hosting Everton and lost 1-0 in last season's meeting here in London. 3. X-Factor - Everton have a congested schedule with four games between today and April 23 due to a deep run in the FA Cup. Don't expect them to put in more of an effort than to get a respectable result today. Selection: This is a play on EVE@CRY to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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04-13-16 | Atletico Madrid v. Barcelona UNDER 2.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 28 h 7 m | Show | |
Barcelona head into Wednesday's second leg of their Champions League quarter-final tie with Atletico Madrid with a 2-1 lead from last week's meeting at Nou Camp. I think we'll see fewer goals as two tactically astute managers will try to outmaneuver each other at Madrid today.   Here are my keys to the game:  1. Patience Is Key - Atletico Madrid are far from done and dusted with an important away-goal from the first meeting. A single goal scored combined with a clean sheet would see them through, while giving up a goal would put them in a rough spot so they'll come into the game with a cautious approach- 2. Leo Messi's Goalscoring Woes - The Barcelona superstar has gone 362 minutes without a goal for his club, his longest drought in his career. Goals will surely not come easy here against an Atletico Madrid side that has allowed only 16 goals in 32 games in the domestic league this season.  3. X-Factor - Fernando Torres tallied Atletico's goal at Nou Camp but was sent off later in the game and will be suspended for this clash.  Selection: This is a play on BAR@ATL to go UNDER the total (5*) |
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04-12-16 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 205 | Top | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
10* Total DOMINATION on UNDER Thunder/Spurs. The San Antonio Spurs are coming off three straight losses, most recently a 92-86 home loss to the Warriors. It was the Spurs first home loss of the season, and they should be highly motivated to snap this losing skid in their final home game tonight against Oklahoma City. The Thunder are expected to rest their starters, and that could lead to a low scoring game here at the AT&T Center. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Thunder have lost three of their last four trips to San Antonio, scoring an average of just 88 points in those three losses. The Spurs have failed to reach the total in six of their last eight home games against teams with a winning record. 2. Spurs Defense - San Antonio is the best defensive team in the NBA by a country mile, allowing opponents to average just over 92 points per game. The Thunder scored just 85 points on 38.3 percent shooting in their last visit to San Antonio. They hit just 2-of-18 three-point shots in that game. 3. X-Factor - The under is 13-5 in Spurs last 18 versus teams from the Western Conference. Selection: This is a play on the Thunder@Spurs to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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04-12-16 | Real Madrid v. VfL Wolfsburg OVER 3.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -130 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
Real Madrid will play the second leg of their Champions League tie versus German side Wolfsburg on Tuesday. The Germans won the first match at home by a score of 2-0, leaving the Spaniards with a daunting task here at home. Madrid needs to win, and they need to score early, so I expect to see plenty of scoring here in this match. Selection: This is a play on Wolfsburg/Madrid to go OVER the total (5*) |
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04-11-16 | Hornets v. Celtics UNDER 208.5 | Top | 114-100 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
10* TOTAL MASSACRE on UNDER Hornets/Celtics. The Charlotte Hornets and the Boston Celtics are in a tight four-team race for 3rd-6th place in the Eastern Conference. Both teams have their eyes on home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs, and we should see a low-scoring competive game tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. The Celtic's Recent Games - Boston had won four straight behind some solid defending prior to a 118-107 loss at Atlanta Saturday. The under is 7-3 in the Celtics last 10 overall and 6-1 in their last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 2. Charlotte's Most Recent Game - The Hornets are off a disappointing 113-98 against the Wizards last night. They allowed their opponent to shoot 52.5 percent from the field and my assumption is they'll step up their defending in a major way tonight like they had in their previous three games when holding Toronto, New York and Brooklyn to fewer than 100 points. 3. X-Factor - Boston's Isaiah Thomas struggled to find his shot Saturday going 6-of-19 from the floor. Selection: This is a play on CHA@BOS to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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04-10-16 | Ducks v. Capitals UNDER 5 | 2-0 | Win | 125 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
8* O/U SPECIAL on UNDER Ducks/Capitals. The Anaheim Ducks and the Washington Capitals will face off in a make up game for a January contest that was postponed due to to a storm. Both teams played last night, and I think we'll see a low-paced low-scoring contest at Verizon Center tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Situational - The Caps have had the President's Trophy wrapped up for quite some time already so they'll have no incentive to do anything but avoid injuries and fatigue. The Ducks can overtake the Kings for the Pacific Division title with a win, so I think they'll put in an effort on D but will also be concerned about staying healthy and reserve energy for the playoffs. 2. Previous Meetings - The Ducks defeated the Caps 2-1 in a shootout home in the Duck Pond earlier this season and low-scoring games have been the norm in this series in recent seasons as only one of the last five meetings has gone over the total. 3. X-Factor - Washington is expected to rest three-time Hart Trophy winner and captain Alex Ovechkin plus several other key players. Selection: This is a play on ANA@WAS to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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04-08-16 | Blue Jackets v. Sabres OVER 5.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 60 m | Show | |
8* TOTAL SPECIAL on the OVER Jackets/Sabres. The Buffalo Sabres and the Columbus Blue Jackets will do battle in Friday's lone NHL match-up. While hardly a marquee match-up, the two teams have played some positive offensive hockey lately and I think we'll see this game fly over the total. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Road Warriors - The Blue Jackets have won each of their last two on the road, tallying five goals in each game. The over is 4-0-1 in Blue Jackets last five road games and 5-0-2 in their last seven overall. 2. Special Teams - Buffalo has gone 4-for-13 on the man advantage in their last four games, and while the club is in the bottom third for points this season, its power play unit ranks in the top half of the NHL. 3. X-Factor - Columbus' Brandon Saad has scored five times in four games. Selection: This is a play on CBJ@BUF to go OVER the total (8*) |
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04-07-16 | Wolves v. Kings UNDER 221 | Top | 105-97 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show |
10* Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH UNDER Wolves/Kings. The Minnesota Timberwolves are coming off their best performance of the season when they opened a three-game trip with a 124-117 overtime win at Golden State Tuesday. They might find it hard to match that energy here against the Sacramento Kings, and this total looks a bit too high to me. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Minnesota's Recent Games - The Wolves had averaged 80.6 points per game through three consecutive losses prior to breaking out offensively against the Warriors. With no point to prove in this game they're likely to see them playing with less urgency on the offense again. 2. Previous Meetings - This is the fourth meeting of the season and the previous three have seen an average of only 201 points per game, well under the set total for tonight's game. 3. X-Factor - Four of the Kings' last five when hosting a team with a road winning % of less than .400 have gone under the total. Selection: This is a play on MIN@SAC to go UNDER the total  (10*) |
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04-06-16 | Rockets v. Mavs OVER 207.5 | Top | 86-88 | Loss | -107 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
10* Total DOMINATION on OVER Rockets/Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will host in-state rival the Houston Rockets for a massive game at American Airlines Center Wednesday night. The Mavs enter Wednesday's play seventh in the East, and they would pull two games ahead of the Rockets, who are currently ninth in the conference, with a win tonight. I think we'll see a high-paced rivalry game between two teams desperate to record the win. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Home Cookin' - The Mavs score an average of 105.1 points per at American Airlines Center which can be compared to a 102.8 points per game overall. The over is 10-4 in the Mavericks last 14 home games, 4-1 in their last five vs. a team with a losing straight up record and Houston has a 38-39 straight up record this season. 2. James Harden - Only Steph Curry has a better points per game average than the Houston superstar's 28.7 points per game, and he's off yet another massive performance with 41 points and nine assists in Sunday's 118-110 win against the Thunder. Harden's critics will be quick to point out that his offensive numbers come at the expense of his defense, as he's known to be one of the league's laziest defenders. 3. X-Factor - Seven of the Rockets' last nine against Southwest division rivals have gone over the total. Selection: This is a play on HOU@DAL to go OVER the total (10*) |
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04-04-16 | Villanova v. North Carolina OVER 150 | Top | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 31 h 1 m | Show |
10* TOTAL OF MONTH OVER Villanova/UNC. The Villanova Wildcats are coming off a pair of impressive wins over Kansas and Oklahoma, but I think it's going to be a different story when they meet the Tar Heels in the Final. The bookmakers have North Carolina listed as just a slight favorite, and I just don't think they are giving enough respect to the ACC champs. The total for this game also looks a little too low, as I don't think the Wildcats will be very successful stopping North Carolina from scoring. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - Villanova dominates against opponents in the Big East, but they've failed to cover the spread in five of their last seven versus the ACC. The Tar Heels are rolling, and they've averaged a whopping 88 points per game while going over in four of their five games. 2. Scoring Depth - The Wildcats were successful in shutting down Buddy Heild in their win over Oklahoma (he scored nine points), and they held Perry Ellis to just four points on 1-of-5 shooting in their win over Kansas. The problem here is, even if they shut down North Carolina's leading scorer Brice Johnson, that leaves Kennedy Meeks, Marcus Paige and Joel Berry who are all capable of carrying the load. 3. X-Factor - The Tar Heels have gone over in seven of their las eight non conference games, and six of their last seven NCAA Tournament games. The Wildcats have gone over in 11 of their last 14 overall. Selection: This is a play on Villanova@UNC to go OVER the total (10*) |
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04-02-16 | Syracuse v. North Carolina OVER 146 | Top | 66-83 | Win | 100 | 125 h 22 m | Show |
The Syracuse Orange have developed a reputation as giant killers, coming off consecutive upset wins over Gonzaga and Virginia. It's important to remember though, they were down by double-digits early in both of those games. So while you have to give them credit for playing strong defense late in games, you can't say that luck didn't play a role in both of their last two wins. Unless the game plan was to get badly outplayed in the first half, and then come charging back in the final 20 minutes? I don't think the Orange will get away with playing the same way here in the Final Four. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Tar Heels have won nine straight, covering the spread in seven of those games. All of their wins in the tournament so far have been decided by double-digits, and they have scored an average of 83.6 points on 51.4 percent shooting in their last five. The Over is 5-1 in Tar Heels last six NCAA Tournament games. 2. Three-Point Shooting - The Orange know they will need to hit a few three-pointers to keep this game close, but they were just 6-of-18 from beyond the arc against Virginia, below their average of 39.4 percent over their last five games. The Tar Heels proved they can also shoot the three-ball, hitting 11-of-20 from beyond the arc against Indiana. Marcus Paige is has hit 13-of-27 three-point attempts in the tournament so far. 3. X-Factor - The Over is 12-4-1 in Orange last 17 neutral site games. Selection: This is a play on Syracuse@UNC to go OVER the total (10*) |
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04-02-16 | Villanova v. Oklahoma OVER 146 | Top | 95-51 | Push | 0 | 123 h 32 m | Show |
The Villanova Wildcats stunned #1 ranked Kansas in the Elite 8, and they are a slight favorite in their Final Four matchup versus Oklahoma. The Sooners though have been scoring a ton of points, and I think we could have a shootout on our hands in Houston. The total for this game looks way too low, and my money is on the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Wildcats score plenty of points themselves, and they've gone over in 10 of their last 13 overall. They've scored an average of 79.2 points on 52.4 percent shooting over their last five games. The Sooners aren't far behind, averaging 78.6 points on 48.6 percent shooting during the same span. 2. Buddy Hield - The senior guard is feeling the hot hand, coming off a 37 point performance against Oregon. He was 8-of-13 from beyond the arc in that game, and he's 19-of-40 from three-point range in the tournament. With his confidence high, he's likely to be throwing up plenty of threes here on Saturday. 3. X-Factor - The Wildcats have been money from the free throw line, hitting 82.7 percent over their last five games. They hit over 80 percent from the charity stripe on the road this year. Selection: This is a play on the Wildcats@Sooners to go OVER the total (10*) |
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04-01-16 | 76ers v. Hornets UNDER 206.5 | Top | 91-100 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
The Charlotte Hornets are one of the hottest teams in the NBA, coming into tonight's home game against the Sixers as winners of 19 of their last 24 overall. The Sixers are in familiar territory, in fact they still have a chance to match their own futility record. They need at least one more win to avoid finishing 9-73 (again), but I don't like their chances of avoiding another defeat here in Charlotte. The total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated, and my money is on the under. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Hornets have failed to reach the total in four straight home games, while the Sixers have gone under in four straight overall. Philly ranks dead last in the league in scoring, and has scored an average of just 99.4 points during a 10 game losing streak. 2. Hornets Defense - The Hornets boast the NBA's 8th ranked defense, with an opponent's scoring average of just 100.6 points per game. They've won six of their last eight overall, and they've allowed an average of just 98.4 points in those games. 3. X-Factor - The under is 16-7 in Hornets last 23 games playing on two days rest. Selection: This is a play on the Sixers@Hornets to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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03-31-16 | Clippers v. Thunder OVER 212 | Top | 117-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
The Oklahoma City Thunder return home from a tough Eastern Conference road trip that ended with an 88-82 loss at Detroit. Russell Westbrook wasn't pleased with the outcome, and he might just take out his frustrations on the visiting Clippers tonight. I expect to see plenty of offense in this game, and I think the total looks a little on the low side. My money is on the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - These are two of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, so it's not surprising that they have a history of playing high scoring games. The total has gone over in nine of the Clippers last 12 visits to Oklahoma City, and the over is 13-5 in Thunder's last 18 games playing on 1 days rest. 2. Kevin Durant - The Thunder's leading scorer will be well rested after sitting out in Detroit (rest). He scored a whopping 65 points in the previous two games, and he dropped 30 on the Clippers in a 120-108 home win at the beginning of March. 3. X-Factor - Doc Rivers plans to rest stars Chris Paul and DeAndre Jordan, and they might be missed more on defense than anything else. Selection: This is a play on the Clippers@Thunder to go OVER the total (10*) |
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03-29-16 | Sabres v. Penguins OVER 5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
The Buffalo Sabres had recorded back-to-back 3-2 wins against Carolina and Winnipeg prior to a loss at Detroit by the same scoreline last night. I think they'll struggle to hold off the surging Pittsburgh Penguins here the very next night and we should see plenty of goals. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Pittsburgh's Recent Games - An 8-1-0 stretch has seen the Penguins reclaim third place in the Metropolitan Division from the Islanders and they've scored 10 goals in the last two games alone. Sidney Crosby has had a terrific month with seven goals and 12 assists in 14 appearances and he has three assists in two match-ups against the Sabres this season added to his 48 points in 30 career meetings with Buffalo. 2. Previous Meetings - Pittsburgh has already defeated Buffalo twice this season. both by a 4-3 scoreline. Patric Hornqvist has five goals while setting up another five during a six-game point streak against the Sabres. 3. X-Factor - Pittsburgh will play its third game in four nights, a situation where the over is 8-2-3 in Penguins last 13. Selection: This is a play on BUF@PIT to go OVER the total (10*) |
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03-27-16 | Syracuse v. Virginia OVER 123.5 | Top | 68-62 | Win | 100 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
The Virginia Cavs will face the Syracuse Orange in an Elite 8 battle on Sunday, and the Cavs come in as the undisputed favorite. These are two of the top defensive teams in the country, but unlike Syracuse, The Cavs can also score with the best of them. They lit up the Iowa State Cyclones for 84 points on 56.1 percent shooting in the Sweet 16, and I think the bookmakers have been a little too conservative with a low number in tonight's game. My money is on the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Cavs have won the last three meetings in this series, and two of those three wins came by double-digits, and two of three games went over the number. The most recent meeting was a 73-65 home win for Virginia, shooting 56.8 percent from the field and 44.4 percent from three point range. 2. Three-Point Shooting - The Cavs shot better than 40 percent from beyond the arc this season, and they won nine of 10 neutral site games, hitting 42.8 percent of their three-point attempts. Junior guard London Perrantes is shooting 48 percent from beyond the arc this season, and he's 7-of-15 from three-point range in the tournament so far. The Orange are also a good three-point shooting team, hitting over 40 percent from beyond the arc on neutral sites this season. 3. X-Factor - The Orange have gone over in six of their last eight versus division rivals, and the over is 11-4-1 in Orange last 16 neutral site games. Selection: This is a play on the Orange/Cavaliers to go OVER the total (10* |
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03-26-16 | Villanova v. Kansas OVER 145.5 | Top | 64-59 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
Kansas came into the NCAA Tournament as the favorite, and they still appear to be the team to beat heading into this Elite 8 match-up versus Villanova. The Jayhawks are just a slight favorite in this game, as Villanova also looks quite impressive. Both these teams have plenty of scoring prowess, and I expect to see a high scoring battle in Louisville on Saturday. My money is on the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - Villanova has gone over in 10 of it's last 12 overall, and they come in shooting red hot from beyond the arc. The Wildcats are shooting a staggering 47.1 percent from three-point range over their last five games. They scored a whopping 92 points on a very good Miami team in the Sweet 16, and they put on a clinic in that game. Villanova shot 62.7 percent from field, and 66.7 percent from beyond the arc in the win over the Hurricanes. 2. Perry Ellis - The Senior forward is the epitome of consistency for the Jayhawks. When in doubt, give Ellis the ball in the post. He's a disciplined player that takes only high percentage shots. He's been money in the tournament so far, scoring an average of 23 points per game on 66 percent shooting. He's also money from the free throw line, and he's hit 13-of-16 at the charity stripe during the tournament. 3. X-Factor - Both teams have averaged 81.6 points per game over their last five. One of the reasons they've been so successful, is that neither team misses much from the free throw line. The Jayhawks are shooting 78 percent from the charity stripe over their last five games, and during that same span the Wildcats have hit 77.3 percent of their free throw attempts. Villanova was 18-of-19 from the free throw line in it's win over Miami. Selection: This is a play on the Wildcats@Jayhawks to go OVER the total (10*) |
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03-25-16 | Wisconsin v. Notre Dame OVER 131 | Top | 56-61 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
The Wisconsin Badgers escaped with an upset win over Xavier, thanks to a three-point buzzer beater by Bronson Koenig. They'll face the Notre Dame Irish in the Sweet 16, and it's asking a lot of Wisconsin to shut down another offensive powerhouse. The bookmakers might have over-adjusted here, with the Badgers as a pickem and a total that looks a bit too low. My money is on the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Irish have gone under in seven of their last 10 overall, but the total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in any of those contests. In fact only three of those games would have failed to reach tonight's number. 2. Three-Point Shooting - Bronson Koenig will come in with an extra swagger in his step after making six three-pointers against Xavier (He was 6-of-12 for the game). The Irish have plenty of guys that can hit threes as well, in fact Notre Dame is hitting 39.2 percent of it's three-point attempts over it's last five games. 3. X-Factor - The Irish shot 75% from the free-throw line in their win over Stephen F. Austin, and they are shooting a solid 75.6 percent from the charity stripe over their last five games. Selection: This is a play on the Badgers@Irish to go OVER the total (10*) |
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03-24-16 | Miami (Fla) v. Villanova OVER 140 | 69-92 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
The Miami Hurricanes crushed Wichita State in the first half of their last game. After holding the Shockers to 19 points in the first half, they were out-scored 38-33 in the second half. Watching Miami blow a 21 point lead doesn't inspire a lot of confidence that they can hold off a Villanova team that blew out Iowa in it's last game. My money is on the total to go over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Wildcats shot out the lights in their win over the Hawkeyes, going 32-of-54 (59.3%) from the field. They have been extremely accurate over their last five games, scoring an average of 79.4 points on 52% shooting. The Wildcats have gone over the total in nine of their last 11 overall. 2. Three-Point Shooting - Villanova was on fire from beyond the arc against Iowa, hitting 10-of-19 three-point attempts. They are averaging a staggering 47.2 percent from three-point range over their last five games. Miami can shoot the three-ball with the best of them as well, hitting a whopping 47.7 percent from beyond the arc at neutral sites this year. 3. X-Factor - The over is 9-4 in the Hurricanes last 13 non-conference games. Selection: This is a play on Miami/Villanova to go OVER the total (10*) |
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03-22-16 | Red Wings v. Lightning OVER 5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
The Atlantic Division foes Detroit Red Wings and the Tampa Bay Lightning will square off in the fourth and last game of the season-series. The previous three have been low-scoring affairs, but I think we'll see the scoreboard light up plenty tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Detroit's Last Game - The Red Wings coach Jeff Blashill liked what he saw in Detroit's 5-3 win over division-leading Florida on Saturday, the first game they scored more than three goals since Feb. 27.  "I’d say it's the kind of game that we’re going to continue to need. I liked a lot of things." With Detroit trying to hold onto the second wild-card spot in the Eastern Conference we can expect Blashill to have his team pumped up for this contest as well. 2. Jimmy Howard - The 31 year old is slated to start tonight but he's had a rough month of March, posting a 2.65 GAA with .906 SV% through four appearances and he has compiled a 2.90 GAA on the road this season. 3. X-Factor - Detroit's rookie sensation Dylan Larkin tallied one goal and assisted another Saturday. He's now just one point behind team-leading Henrik Zetterberg's 44 points. Selection: This is a play on DET@TB to go OVER the total (10*) |
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03-20-16 | Clippers v. Pelicans OVER 212.5 | Top | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
The New Orleans Pelicans have lost nine of their last 11 overall, and it won't get any easier without Anthony Davis at home to the Clippers Sunday. The Clippers haven't had much success in the Big Easy, going 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings in New Orleans. They could be catching the Pelicans at a good time though, and I expect to see plenty of scoring here in this game. My money is on the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - New Orleans has gone over in seven of it's last eight overall, and terrible defense has been mostly to blame. During that span they've surrendered an average of more than 114 points per game. The over is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings in New Orleans. 2. Jrue Holliday - The Pelicans PG scored 30 points on 11-of-19 shooting in a loss to Portland Friday. He was 4-of-4 from beyond the arc in that game, and he's shooting better than 40 percent from three-point range at home this year. 3. X-Factor - The over is 19-6-1 in Pelicans last 26 games playing on one days rest. Selection: This is a play on the Clippers@Pelicans to go OVER the total (10*) |
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03-20-16 | Iowa v. Villanova UNDER 145.5 | Top | 68-87 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
The Villanova Wildcats will take on Iowa in the second round of the NCAA Tournament Sunday, and the Big East champs are favored to advance to the Sweet 16. Villanova was particularly impressive defensively in their first round win over UNC Ashville, and I think the total for this match-up looks a little inflated. My money is on the under. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Hawkeyes are struggling, shooting just 39.8 percent over their last five games. They shot just 34.8 percent in their overtime win over Temple in the first round, and they were just 7-of-28 (25%) from beyond the arc. The under is 10-4 in the Hawkeyes last 14 neutral site games. 2. Jarod Uthoff - Iowa's leading scorer really struggled against Temple, going 7-for-21 from the field, and a woeful 2-of-10 from beyond the arc. It's not going to get any easier against the Wildcats. 3. X-Factor - The under is 11-4-1 in Wildcats last 16 neutral site games. Selection: This is a play on the Hawkeyes@Wildcats to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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03-20-16 | Southampton v. Liverpool UNDER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -147 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
Liverpool and Southampton are tied for eight place in the Premier League with the latter holding the goal-differential advantage. The last meeting ended with a 6-1 Liverpool win at St. Mary's in the League Cup back in December, but we should see way fewer goals in today's contest. Here are my keys to the game:Â 1. Liverpool's Defense - The Reds are undefeated in regulation-time through their last 10 games with five clean sheets and only a total of six goals conceded in that span. They'll have central defender Jose Fonte back from suspension for this clash. 2. Southampton's Goalscoring Woes - The Saints have only two defeats through their last eight games, much because of solid defense as they've managed only seven goals in that span. Liverpool might struggle for goals as well as reports suggest that Roberto Firmino won't make the trip due to injury. 3. X-Factor - If Southampton's goalkeeper Fraser Forster can deny Liverpool to score in this contest, he'll be the fourth quickest keeper to reach 20 clean sheets in the history of the Premier League. Selection: This is a play on Liverpool/Southampton to go UNDER 2.5 (10*) |
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03-19-16 | Butler v. Virginia OVER 130 | Top | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
The Virginia Cavs opened the Tournament with an 81-45 win over Hampton. They should be in for a tougher test Saturday against the Butler Bulldogs. The total for this game is particularly low, and I think the bookmakers might be overlooking the fact that Butler tends to score plenty of points. My money is on the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Bulldogs have gone over in five of their last seven overall, and five of their last six versus the ACC. They score an average of 80.3 points on 46.6 percent shooting. 2. Free Throw Shooting - Both these teams are excellent at the charity stripe, with Butler shooting 73.2 percent, and Virginia hitting 75.2 percent. Butler was 12-of-16 from the free throw line in their win over Texas Tech in the first round. 3. X-Factor - The Bulldogs were on fire from beyond the arc in their win over the Red Raiders, hitting 9-of-17 three-point attempts. Selection: This is a play on the Bulldogs@Cavs to go OVER the total (10*) |
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03-18-16 | Senators v. Sabres UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
The Ottawa Senators will be looking to carry the momentum of sweeping a two-game home-stand against Toronto and Minnesota to Buffalo Friday night. The Sabres have have struggled to find the net lately and I think we'll see a low-scoring encounter between these two Atlantic Division rivals. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Home Woes - Buffalo has lost three of its last four home at First Niagara Center while scoring only a total of eight goals in regulation. The home fans are used to seeing their beloved Sabres struggle to light the lamp as Buffalo is averaging only 2.30 goals at home this season. 2. Previous Meetings - This is the fourth meeting of the season and the previous three have seen an average of just four goals per game. The under is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings in the series and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Buffalo. 3. X-Factor - Buffalo is 1-for-16 on the power play in four games while Ottawa is 0-for-17 over its past seven. Selection: This is a play on OTT@BUF to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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03-17-16 | Gonzaga v. Seton Hall OVER 145.5 | Top | 68-52 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 24 m | Show |
The Gonzaga Bulldogs and the Seton Hall Pirates are two of the hottest teams in the country, and they will meet in the first round of the NCAA Tournament at the Pepsi Center in Denver on Thursday. Both teams come in averaging close to 50% shooting over their last five games, and we should expect a high scoring contest in Colorado tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - Gonzaga has gone over in four of it's last five overall, and the Bulldogs have scored 83.6 points per game during that span. They are hot, hitting 51.5 percent from the field and 39 percent from beyond the arc. 2. Free Throw Shooting - Gonzaga hasn't missed many free throws lately, hitting an incredible 81.1 percent from the charity stripe over it's last five games. They hit 21 of 22 free throw attempts in the WCC Championship game against St. Mary's. 3. X-Factor - The over is 25-10 in Bulldogs last 35 NCAA Tournament games, while the over is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 NCAA Tournament games. Selection: This is a play on the Pirates/Bulldogs to go OVER the total (10*) |
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03-15-16 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Florida Gulf Coast UNDER 152.5 | Top | 65-96 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
College basketball minnows Fairleigh Dickinson and Florida Gulf Coast will play in a first four match-up tonight, with the winner moving on to the tournament. With such high stakes, I don't expect either team to give up any easy buckets. This should be a defensive battle, and I think the total looks a little too high. My money is on the under. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Eagles have failed to reach the total in two of their last three games, with the one exception coming in an 80-78 overtime win over Stetson. The under has been a good bet in FGCU games lately, as the Eagles have gone under at a rate of 12-5-1 in their last 18 overall. 2. Defense - Both these teams have stepped up the defensive intensity over their last five games, with the Knights allowing opponents to score 71 points per game on 40.8 percent shooting. The Eagles have allowed just 68 points per game on 41.2 percent shooting during the same span. 3. X-Factor - The Knights have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven games at neutral sites. Selection: This is a play on the Knights@Eagles to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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03-11-16 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 226.5 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
Ladies and gentlemen, children of all ages... buckle up, we have a marquee matchup in the NBA tonight with the Portland Trail Blazers taking on the defending champions at Oracle Arena. If you're a fan of offense, you're going to love this game between two of the league's highest scoring teams. My money is on the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - These teams have gone over in each of the last four meetings. Those games didn't just go over, they went way over. Portland won the most recent meeting by a score of 137-105. We should expect the Warriors to execute a little revenge here at home. 2. Home Cookin' - The Warriors are still perfect at Oracle Arena (28-0), and they've scored plenty of points at home. The Warriors last home game was a 115-94 win over the Orlando Magic, and they've scored an average of 117 points over their last five home games. The Blazers are 3-3 in their last six road games, scoring an average of 105 points in those games. 3. X-Factor - The over is 4-0-1 in Warriors last 5 home games versus teams with a losing road record. Selection: This is a play on the Blazers@Warriors to go OVER the total (10*) |
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03-10-16 | Hurricanes v. Bruins OVER 5 | Top | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
The Carolina Hurricanes are coming off back-to-back overtime games, both decided by a score of 4-3. They are on the road at Boston tonight, and the Bruins have won four of their last five. Boston has won six of the last seven in this series, and the Bruins are a big favorite in tonight's game. My money is on the total, as I think the number looks a little low considering the Bruins are among the highest scoring teams in the league. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The over is 6-3-1 in the Hurricanes last 10 games against teams with a winning record. Boston is 53-23 in it's last 76 home games versus teams with a losing record. Boston should be able to put a few pucks past the Canes netminder tonight. 2. Cam Ward - The 32 year old goaltender is 6-8 with a 2.54 GAA on the road this year, but he's struggled in previous matchups with Boston. Ward is 0-5-1 with a 3.37 GAA in his last six starts against the Bruins. 3. X-Factor - The Bruins rank 3rd in the NHL averaging three goals per game, and they boast one of the league's best power-plays converting on better than 20 percent of their man-advantage opportunities. Selection: This is a play on the Hurricanes@Bruins to go OVER the total (10*) |
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03-08-16 | Hawks v. Jazz UNDER 192 | Top | 91-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
The Utah Jazz snapped a six game losing streak with win on the road in New Orleans on Saturday, and they return home to host the red hot Hawks. Atlanta has won four of five, with the one loss coming at Golden State by a score of 109-105. Both these teams have been playing great defensively of late, and we should see a low scoring battle in Salt Lake City. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Hawks have been a good bet in previous trips to Utah, covering the spread in four of their last five. The majority of those games were low scoring, and the under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Salt Lake City. 2. Defense - While it's Utah that is known to be the defensive powerhouse, Atlanta has actually held opponents under 90 points over their last five games. Utah boasts the NBA's 3rd ranked defense, allowing an average of 97.2 points per game. They've held opponents under 100 points in nine of their last 10 home games. 3. X-Factor - The Jazz have gone under in 24 of their last 35 games against Eastern Conference teams. Selection: This is a play on the Hawks@Jazz to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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03-02-16 | Blackhawks v. Red Wings OVER 5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
*10* TOTAL SURE SHOT on OVER Hawks/Wings. The Chicago Blackhawks will be on the road at Detroit tonight, coming off a big win over the NHL leading Washington Capitals. The Wings have won three straight, and they've won four of their last five home meetings with Chicago. My money is on the total, as both these teams have been putting their fair share of pucks in the net lately. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - Chicago has seen at least five goals scored in six of it's last seven overall. The Hawks have gone over in four straight road games, and they are just 3-5 in their last eight overall. 2. Goaltending - Corey Crawford has not been particularly sharp lately, losing five of his last seven starts. His goals against average on the road is pretty swollen (2.89), in comparison with a 1.77 GAA at home. 3. X-Factor - The Hawks are extremely dangerous with the man advantage, with the 2nd best power-play in the league. They scored once on the power-play in the win over Washington Sunday, but allowed the Caps two score twice while short-handed. Selection: This is a play on Chicago@Detroit to go OVER the total (10*) |
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03-01-16 | Virginia v. Clemson UNDER 125.5 | Top | 64-57 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
*10* ACC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on UNDER Virginia/Clemson. Two of the best defensive teams in the country will meet tonight when Clemson host's Virginia in it's final home game. The Cavs have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and I expect to see another low scoring battle tonight. My money is on the under. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Tigers have won seven of their last eight home games, and they held their last two opponents below 60 points at home. These teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last six meetings at Clemson. 2. Home Cookin' - The Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games, and eight of their last 11 home games have gone under. The Cavs have gone under in six straight road games against teams with a winning record. 3. X-Factor - Clemson is super stingy on defense on it's home floor, holding opponents to an average of just 57.8 points on 38.2 percent shooting. Selection: This is a play on the Cavs@Tigers to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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02-28-16 | Kings v. Ducks OVER 5 | 2-4 | Win | 109 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
*8* play on OVER Kings/Ducks. The Anaheim Ducks have won seven straight overall, and six straight at the Duck Pond. Their last home loss came against the L.A. Kings by a score of 3-2 back in mid January. The Kings have won four straight, and they've surrendered just three goals in those games. We see an extremely low total in this game, and we should expect both teams to put a few pucks in the net. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Ducks have won four of the last five meeting in this series, and these two teams have failed to score a combined five goals just once in the last eight meetings. The over is 4-0-2 in the Kings last six trips to the Duck Pond. 2. Special Teams - The Kings have one of the more potent power-play units in the league, converting on 22 percent of their chances. The Ducks are not far behind, ranking 8th overall in the league with a 21.1 percent conversion rate. Anaheim is 10-for-24 (41.7 percent) on the man-advantage over their last seven games. 3. X-Factor - The Ducks are an NHL best 14-1-1 in their last 16 games, and they've averaged 3.81 goals per game during that span. Selection: This is a play on the Kings@Ducks to go OVER the total (8*) |
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02-28-16 | Arsenal v. Manchester United UNDER 2 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 116 h 57 m | Show |
*10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on UNDER Arsenal/Manchester United. Manchester United will host Arsenal at Old Trafford Sunday in this week's most anticipated game in the Premier League. The Gunners won the first meeting of the season 3-0 home in London, but I think goals will come at a premium for both teams this time around. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Man United's Tactics - Few teams in the league are playing at a slower pace than Manchester United as they seem to care more about ball retention than actually scoring goals. They're not easy to score on though with only 24 conceded goals in 26 Premier League games, Arsenal are one of only two teams with fewer conceded.  2. Injuries - Louis Van Gaal's Manchester United side is plagued with injuries and could miss up to 14 first-team regulars for this clash. The striker options are few and far between as both Wayne Rooney and Anthony Martial are expected to miss out, leaving the team without a fit out-and-out striker. 3. X-Factor - Arsenal have scored more than one goal in just one of their 23 Premier League matches at Old Trafford and they have just four goals in their last five games overall. Selection: This is a play on ARSENAL@MAN U to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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02-27-16 | North Carolina v. Virginia OVER 136 | Top | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show |
*10* ACC TOTAL OF THE MONTH on OVER UNC/Virginia. The Virginia Cavaliers will put their perfect 13-0 home record to the test on Saturday, but they face a North Carolina team that will be their toughest opponent to date. This game features one of the nation's best offensive teams versus one of the top defensive teams in the country. My money is on the over, as I think this number is a little too low. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Tar Heels have won six of the last 10 meetings in this series, and half of those wins came at Virginia. They beat the Cavs 71-67 in Virginia last year, and I expect a similar result here this time around. 2. Tar Heels Scoring - North Carolina has scored an average of over 80 points on better than 50 percent shooting over their last five games. The Cavs on the other hand have averaged just 65.4 points over their last five. They might have more success against a North Carolina team that allows opponents to average almost 75 points on the road. 3. X-Factor - North Carolina is hitting over 78 percent from the free throw line over it's last five games. Selection: This is a play on UNC@UVA to go OVER the total (10*) |
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02-27-16 | Roma v. Empoli UNDER 2.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 95 h 54 m | Show | |
*8* Total DOMINATION on UNDER Roma/Empoli. "The Coach" will have his "Keys To The Game" for this selection posted shortly. Check back soon for more details. |
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02-26-16 | Magic v. Knicks UNDER 206.5 | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
*8* Total DOMINATION on UNDER Magic/Knicks. The New York Knicks have dropped nine of their last 10, but they are the favorite at home to Orlando tonight. The Magic have won five of the last seven in this series, and two of those wins came at the Garden. Low scoring games have been the trend in previous meetings, and I expect that trend to hold true again tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - None of the previous 10 meetings in this series saw a total as high as 200 points, but tonight's number is well above 200. The Knicks have been futile offensively in recent meetings, scoring fewer than 100 points in five of the last six. 2. Home Cookin' - The Knicks have failed to cover in six straight home games, and the total has gone under in five of their last seven at Madison Square Garden. The Magic have gone under in four of their last five road games against teams with a losing home record. 3. X-Factor - Carmelo Anthony was ice cold in the loss to Indiana, scoring just 14 points on 5-of-20 shooting. He looks like a guy who's heart isn't it any more, at least not here in New York. Selection: This is a play on the Magic@Knicks to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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02-25-16 | Rockets v. Blazers UNDER 223 | Top | 119-105 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
*10* WESTERN CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH on UNDER Rockets/Blazers. The Portland Trailblazers are one of the league's hottest teams, coming into tonight's game against Houston as winners of six straight, and 11 of their last 12. The Rockets have lost four of their last five, and they play their fifth straight road game in Portland tonight. My money is on the under with an inflated total. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Blazers have won four of the last five meetings in this series, and they've covered the spread in all five of those contests. The Rockets scored more than 100 points in regulation in just one of those five games. 2. Home Cookin' - The Blazers boast a home record of 19-11, and they've covered the spread in seven of their last 10 home games. The Rockets have lost five of their last seven road games, one of those a 116-103 loss at Portland. 3. X-Factor - Both teams have been trending over lately, and because of that the total in tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Selection: This is a play on the Rockets@Blazers to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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02-25-16 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 216 | Top | 107-112 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
The reeling Winnipeg Jets are coming to American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Stars as losers of four straight and five of their last six. The Stars won the first game of this home-and-home series 5-3 at Winnipeg two days ago, and I have no doubt that they'll complete the sweep tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Recent Meetings - Not only are the Stars going for a sweep of this home-and-home series, they're looking to sweep the season series after already defeating the Jets four times, outscoring their opponent 17-10. 2. Road Woes - The Jets have lost three consecutive road games and they're 2-9 in their last 11 when visiting a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Stars have among the best home records in the NHL at 20-8-0. 3. - X-Factor - Dallas' Jamie Benn scored twice Tuesday to make it three goals and two assists in his past three games. Selection: This is a play on the Dallas Stars (5*) |
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02-24-16 | Canadiens v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
*8* play on UNDER Habs/Capitals. The Montreal Canadiens were a little unfortunate to lose in a shootout at home versus Nashville on Monday, but they did pick up a valuable point in their quest to get back into the playoff race. They did get great goaltending from Mike Condon, who has surrendered just three goals on 67 shots in his last two starts. The Habs have played three straight one-goal games, and I expect another close, low scoring affair here in Washington. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Washington Capitals have won five of their last seven versus Montreal, but five of those games were decided by just one goal. Four of those games went to overtime, and eight of the last 10 meetings in this series saw five goals or fewer. 2. Special Teams - These are two of the best teams in the league at killing penalties. The Caps rank 4th, with a kill rate of 85 percent, while the Habs are not far behind with an 84 percent kill rate, ranking 6th. 3. X=Factor - The under is 17-5-5 in the last 27 meetings in Washington. Selection: This is a play on the Habs@Caps to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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02-22-16 | Iowa State v. West Virginia UNDER 158 | Top | 87-97 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
*10* TOTAL MASSACRE on UNDER Iowa State/WVU. The West Virginia Mountaineers will host BIG12 rivals Iowa State Monday, and only one game separates these two teams in the standings. The Mountaineers will be a favorite at home, where they have won 11-of-13 games this season. My money is on the total to go under. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Home Cookin' - The Mountaineers have been a good bet at home in recent seasons, covering in 13 of their last 17 games in Morgantown. They are dominant defensively on their home floor, allowing opponents to average just 58.4 points on 39.1 percent shooting. 2. Lack of Depth - The Cyclones are really thin on the bench, especially with a banged up Jameel McKay. Their bench has not contributed a single point in their last two games, and McKay fouled out with no points in the loss to Baylor on Tuesday, and then sat out against TCU on Saturday. 3. X-Factor - These teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four meetings, while the Mountaineers have seen the total go under in eight of their last nine home games. Selection: This is a play on the Clyclones@Mountaineers to go UNDER the total (10*)  |
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02-22-16 | Warriors v. Hawks UNDER 223.5 | 102-92 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show | |
*8* Total DOMINATION on UNDER Warriors/Hawks. The Golden State Warriors have been on a bit of a roller coaster ride since the All Star break, getting blown out at Portland on Friday, and then they nearly blew a 16 point lead in the final minute of a 115-112 win over the Clippers on Saturday. I think they will emphasize playing better defense here at Atlanta tonight. My money is on the total to go under. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last nine meetings, and tonight's number is significantly higher than it was in any of those prior contests. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 13 games against Western Conference teams. 2. Hawks Struggling - Atlanta is in a bit of an offensive funk, and an injury to PG Jeff Teague isn't going to help. He may still play tonight, but Atlanta attempted 41 three-point shots in the loss to Milwaukee, and hit just nine of them. They are a little out of sorts. 3. X-Factor - The Under is 8-3 in Hawks last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Selection: This is a play on the Warriors@Hawks to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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02-21-16 | Roan Carneiro v. Derek Brunson UNDER 2.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 0 m | Show | |
*8* play on UNDER 2.5 rounds between Roan Carneiro and Derek Brunson. The 37 year old journeyman fighter Roan Carneiro has worked his way back into the UFC after a mostly unsuccessful start to his career in 2007-2008. He will face 32 year old Derek Brunson in Fight Night 83, and I think this fight will be short and sweet. Here are my keys to the fight: 1. Brunson's Power - The younger Brunson has a record of 14-3, six of his wins have come by way of knockout. His last two fights were first round knockout victories. 2. Carneiro's Chin - The older Carneiro has a record of 20-9, and six of his nine losses have come by either knockout or submission. He appears to be over-matched here in this bout versus Brunson. 3. X-Factor - We expect this fight to be a stand up war, as it's unlikely Carneiro will be able to get Brunson on the ground. Selection: This is a play on Carneiro vs. Brunson to go UNDER 2.5 rounds (8*) |
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02-21-16 | Grizzlies v. Raptors OVER 202 | 85-98 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 2 m | Show | |
*8* play on OVER Grizzlies/Raptors. The Raptors will host Memphis north of the border on Sunday, and Toronto is looking to snap out of a bit of a funk. The Raptors have given up an average of 116.5 points while losing back-to-back games at Minnesota and Chicago. The Grizzlies are coming off back-to-back wins, scoring 109 points in each of those games. My money is on the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - The Grizzlies have a reputation as a defensive team, but they've gone over the total in four straight, and six of their last seven. The Raptors are also on an over trend, surpassing the number in six of their last seven. 2. Home Cookin' - The Raptors have won eight straight at home, and they've scored 100+ points in all eight of those games. The Grizzlies have been involved in some high scoring games on the road lately, with the total going over in five of their last six. 3. X-Factor - The Raptors rank 3rd overall in the NBA with a three point-percentage of .393.  They are averaging 9.3 made three-pointers per game at home. Selection: This is a play on the Grizzlies@Raptors to go OVER the total (8*) |
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02-20-16 | Jets v. Panthers OVER 5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -135 | 23 h 3 m | Show |
*10* Total MASSACRE on OVER Jets/Panthers. The Winnipeg Jets will conclude a four-game trip with a stop at Florida Saturday night. They're coming off a 6-5 shootout loss at Tampa Bay two days ago, and I think we'll see another high-scoring contest tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Winnipeg's Power Play - The Jets were 2-for-4 on the man advantage Thursday and they have eight power play goals in their last 10 games. 2. Recent Meetings - This will be the first meeting of the season but the Jets defeated the Panthers 8-2 in Florida on Jan. 13 last year in the most recent meeting. Each of the last five head-to-head meetings have gone over the total. 3. X-Factor - The Panthers' Jaromir Jagr has moved within one goal of Brett Hull for third place on the NHL's all-time list and he's had decent success against the Jets in previous match-ups. Selection: This is a play on WIN@FLA to go OVER the total (10*) |
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02-19-16 | Mavs v. Magic UNDER 201.5 | 104-110 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
*8* play on the UNDER Mavs/Magic. The Orlando Magic have quietly put together a solid winning record at home, and one of the reasons for that has been an above average defense. They will host the Dallas Mavericks tonight, and both these teams might be shaking off some rust after the long layoff. My money is on the under. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - Orlando has been a good bet to go under in previous meetings with Western Conference teams, going under in six of their last eight such contests. They've also gone under in five of their last seven at home versus teams with a losing record. 2. Mavs Scoring Woes - Dallas lost four of five before the break, and it failed to score 100 points in three of those four losses. The Mavs rank 18th in the NBA averaging just 99.3 points per game on the road. 3. X-Factor - An extended layoff could hurt both team's efficiency, and the under is 7-3 in Magic last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Selection: This is a play on the Mavs@Magic to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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02-19-16 | Sabres v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
*10* Total DOMINATION on UNDER Sabres/Blue Jackets. Two with some of the worst records in the NHL will clash at Nationwide Arena Friday night when the Columbus Blue Jackets will entertain the Buffalo Sabres. I think we'll see a low-scoring contest between two teams with little to play for. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Ineffective Power Play Units - The Sabres have failed on 13 straight power-play chances over the past four games and they're 2-for-23 with the man advantage in the past seven. The Blue Jackets have scored on 2-of-18 opportunities in their last seven games. 2. Road Woes - The Sabres have lost three straight on the road, tallying only one goal in each game during that span. The under is 7-2-2 in their last 11 when visiting a team with a home winning % of less than .400. 3. X-Factor - The Blue Jackets have allowed just 11 non-shootout goals in the last six games as rookie Joonas Korpisalo has posted a 1.76 GAA while starting each with Sergei Bobrovsky injured. Selection: This is a play on BUF@CBJ to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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02-18-16 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State UNDER 136 | 57-69 | Win | 100 | 25 h 2 m | Show | |
*8* play on UNDER Wisconsin/Michigan State. The Michigan State Spartans have won five of their last six overall, and they host BIG10 rivals Wisconsin tonight in East Lansing. These two teams have a history of playing close, low scoring games, and I think that trend will continue here in tonight's contest. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Home Cookin' - Michigan State is 11-2 at home, and the Spartans are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games. They have really been strong on defense, holding opponents to just 57.8 points on 35 percent shooting. 2. Previous History - The under is 6-1 in Badgers last seven road games, and they've failed to reach the total in six of their last eight visits to East Lansing. The under is 6-2 in Badgers last 8 games following a straight up win. 3. X-Factor - The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Michigan St. Selection: This is a play on the Badgers@Spartans to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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02-18-16 | Bulls v. Cavs UNDER 207 | Top | 95-106 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
*10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH on UNDER Bulls/Cavs. The Chicago Bulls are in shambles coming out of the All Star break. They've lost four straight, and six of their last seven, and the injuries are piling up. They won't have leading scorer Jimmy Butler for at least three weeks, and they are rumored to be shopping Pau Gasol. I think they are going to get clobbered in Cleveland. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Home Cookin' - The Cavs own the Eastern Conference's best home record (22-4), and they've scored an average of 114 points in their last six home wins. They've gone under in five of their last seven home games versus Chicago. 2. Injuries - The Bulls are in really rough shape, in addition to the injury to Jimmy Butler, they are also without Joakim Noah, Nikola Mirotic, and Taj Gibson is questionable. The ever frail Derrick Rose could go down at any moment. 3. X-Factor - The under is 16-4-2 in Bulls last 22 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Selection: This is a play on the Bulls@Cavs to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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02-18-16 | Capitals v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show |
*10* Total DOMINATION on UNDER Capitals/Islanders. The New York Islanders will host Metropolitan division foe and NHL-leading Washington Capitals at Barclay Center Thursday night. We usually see low-scoring contests when these two teams clash, and I expect that to hold true tonight as well. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Superb Defenses - The Caps are allowing just 2.27 goals per game, the second best mark in the NHL. The Islanders defense have impressed lately as well though with the team allowing only 2.4 goals per game over a 4-1-0 span.  2. Previous Meetings - The Capitals have won each of previous two meetings this season, 4-1 and 3-2. The under is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings in the series. 3. X-Factor - Washington's Braden Holty was rested in Tuesday's 3-1 win against the Kings, but he figures to be back in net tonight and he's won five of his last six meetings with the Islanders behind a 1.30 GAA. Selection: This is a play on WSH@NYI to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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02-17-16 | Wild v. Flames OVER 5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
*10* Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on OVER Wild/Flames. The Calgary Flames will host the Minnesota Wild for the first of three games in this season-series Wednesday night. Only one of the last eight meetings have failed to reach the total, and I think we'll see another high-scoring encounter this time around. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Hollow Defenses - Each of Calgary's last five games have seen five goals or more and they've allowed a total of 15 goals in their last three games. The Wild had surrendered four goals or more in six consecutive games prior to a 5-2 win at Vancouver Monday. 2. Special Teams - The Wild have scored on the man advantage in six of their last seven games and must like their chances of staying effective as the Flames have surrendered three shorthanded goals in each of their last three games. 3. X-Factor - The Flames are averaging 3.00 goals per game home at the Saddledome where the over is 16-10-2 this season. Selection: This is a play on MIN@CGY to go OVER the total (10*) |
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02-17-16 | Canadiens v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
*10* Total DOMINATION on UNDER Canadiens/Avalanche. The Colorado Avalanche will welcome Atlantic division foe the Montreal Canadiens to Pepsi Center Wednesday night. The Habs have struggled to keep the puck out of their net in recent weeks, but I expect to see this game staying under the total. Â Here are my keys to the game:Â 1. Home Woes - The Avs have lost four straight home at Pepsi Center with only a total of seven goals scored. The under is 6-2 in their last eight in front of the home-town crowd. Â 2. Semyon Varlamov - The Avs netminder Semyon Varlamov was pulled after conceding goals on each of the first two shots he faced in Sunday's 4-1 loss at Buffalo. We can expect him to come out eager to set the record straight tonight. 3. X-Factor - The Habs' Max Pacioretty is leading the team with his 20 goals this season but the captain has just one goal and two assists in his last 11 games. Selection: This is a play on MTL@COL to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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02-16-16 | Flyers v. Devils OVER 4.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show | |
*8* play on OVER Flyers/Devils (no play if line is 5). The New Jersey Devils are coming off a 1-0 shutout win over Los Angeles Sunday, and low scoring games have been the norm for New Jersey this season. Because of that we see an extremely low total in tonight's home game against the Flyers. My money is on the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Previous History - These two teams have combined to score at least five goals in six of the last seven meetings. The Devils haven't had any trouble scoring against Philly, totaling a whopping 26 goals in the last seven meetings. 2. Special Teams - New Jersey's power play is firing on all cylinders, scoring on 12 of 28 chances over it's last 10 games. The Devils are 5 for 11 on the power play in three games against Philly this season. 3. X-Factor - The over is 4-1-3 in Flyers last 8 games playing on 1 days rest. Selection: This is a play on the Flyers@Devils to go OVER the total (8*) |
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02-15-16 | Maple Leafs v. Blackhawks OVER 5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
*10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on OVER Leafs/Blackhawks. The Toronto Maple Leafs have been involved in several high-scoring match-ups of late, and that's a trend I expect to hold true when they visit the Chicago Blackhawks Monday night. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Breakout Game - The Blackhawks have lost each of their first three of a four-game homestand with only a total of four goals scored. They still hold an average of 2.87 goals per game scored  home at United Center this season though, and this looks like a great opportunity to get back on track against a Toronto team that has surrendered 17 goals in its last four games. 2. Road Woes - The Leafs will conclude a five-game road-swing tonight and each of the first four on the trip have gone over the total. 3. X-Factor - Patrick Kane recorded a hat trick in a 4-1 win at Toronto on Jan. 15 and has six points in his last seven games. Selection: This is a play on TOR@CHI to go OVER the total (10* ) |
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02-15-16 | Ducks v. Flames UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -137 | 18 h 38 m | Show |
*10* Total DOMINATION on UNDER Ducks/Flames. The Anaheim Ducks are entering the Saddledome Monday night aiming for a third consecutive win against the Calgary Flames this season. The last meeting ended with a 1-0 win at home at the Duck Pond, and I think we'll see another low-scoring encounter in Alberta tonight. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Anaheim On The Road - The Ducks have split the first four of a seven-game road-trip, scoring a total of 10 goals. They average a lowly 2.00 goals per game on the road this season. 2. Fredrik Andersen - An upper-body injury forced Anaheim's John Gibson to leave Saturday's game at Chicago after two periods. Fredrik Andersen who is 7-0-1 with a 1.83 GAA in his last nine games replaced Gibson and is expected to get the nod tonight. 3. X-Factor - The Flames have a tendency of playing low-scoring games against conference foes as the under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 against Western Conference teams. Selection: This is a play on ANA@CGY to go UNDER the total (10*) |
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02-14-16 | Liverpool v. ASTON VILLA UNDER 2.5 | 6-0 | Loss | -143 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
*8* Total MASSACRE on UNDER Liverpool/Aston Villa. Premier League-worst Aston Villa will host a reeling Liverpool team home at Villa Park Sunday afternoon. Goal-scoring have been an issue for both teams lately, and I think we'll see a low-scoring contest. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Liverpool's Offensive Woes - The visitors are winless over their last five league and cup games with only a total of four goals scored in that span. They'll have strikers Daniel Sturridge, Christian Benteke and Divock Origi back from injuries, but they all probably need a couple of games to get up to speed. 2. Previous Meetings - Liverpool have kept a clean sheet in five of their last seven league trips to Villa. 3. X-Factor - Aston Villa's 20 goals scored in 25 games is the lowest tally in the Premier League this season. Selection: This is a play on Liverpool@Aston Villa to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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02-14-16 | Leicester v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
*8* Total DESTRUCTION on OVER 2.5 Leicester City/Arsenal. Leicester City is sitting five points clear of Arsenal in the top spot in the English Premier table, and yet they are still an enormous underdog on the road at Emirates this Sunday. The Foxes are coming off three straight wins, scoring eight goals during that span. I think we'll see both teams find the net in this match, and my money is on the over. Here are my keys to the game: 1 Jamie Vardy - The Premier League's leading scorer has tallied three goals in his last three matches, and he scored a real cracker in the win over Liverpool. He and Riyad Mahrez have combined for 32 league goals and 13 assists this season. 2. Previous History - Leicester City has scored a total of eight goals in their last three Premier League matches, and they've scored in all of their last three meetings with Arsenal. The two teams have combined to score 12 goals in the last three meetings, and the most recent match was a 5-2 win for Arsenal. 3. X-Factor - The Foxes have scored 26 goals in 13 away matches, five more than they've tallied at home. Selection: This is a play on the Foxes@Gunners to go OVER the total (8*) |
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02-13-16 | ATHLETIC BILBAO v. Real Madrid OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 73 h 43 m | Show |
*10* Total DOMINATION on OVER Athletico Bilbao/Real Madrid. A win is of the essence for Real Madrid who have dropped four points back of Barcelona in Primera Division with a game in hand for the Catalans as well. They're extremely strong home at Santiago Bernabéu, and we should see an entertaining and high-scoring game when they host Athletico Bilbao Friday. Here are my keys to the game: 1. Home Cookin' - The Madrid crowd is hard to please and it's not enough for Real Madrid to win, they have to do it in style. So far this season Los Blancos have not disappointed averaging 3.75 goals scored per game home in Madrid while allowing just under one goal per game. That gives a total average of 4.58 which is well above the set total for this contest. 2. Gareth Bale's Injury - The Welshman is likely to miss the rest of the season with a calf injury, but perhaps that's a blessing in disguise as it will give Cristino Ronaldo (even more) time on the ball. Ronaldo has scored five goals in his last two games at Santiago Bernabéu but has been visibly annoyed having to share the immediate spotlight with Bale, and I think he'll elevate his game even further from now on. 3. X-Factor - Real Madrid won last season's meeting at Santiago Bernabéu 5-0 and none of the last seven meetings in Madrid have seen less than four goals scored. Selection: This is a play on Real Madrid/Athletico Bilbao to go OVER the total (10*) |
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02-12-16 | Flames v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show | |
*8* play on UNDER Flames/Coyotes. The Calgary Flames recorded a third consecutive win last night when they defeated the Sharks 6-5 in a shootout. I think we'll see a much lower scoring contest when they visit the Arizona Coyotes here the next day. Here are my keys to the game: 1. The Coyotes Goalscoring Woes - Arizona has lost five straight with only a total of 11 goals scored in that span. 2. Situational - The Flames will most likely lack energy to drive up the tempo here as they played last night and this will be their third game in four nights. The under is 4-1-1 in the Flames last six in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation and each of the last four meetings with the Coyotes have gone under the total. 3. X-Factor - Calgary is the second worst team for power play goals in the league with 0.5 per game. Selection: This is a play on CGY@ARI to go UNDER the total (8*) |
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