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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-08-19 | Pacers v. Cavs UNDER 208.5 | Top | 123-115 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 36 m | Show |
The set-up: The Pacers will be eager to return to form here after a 121-105 road loss to the Raptors on Sunday. The Cavs enter off another loss, a 133-98 setback at home to the Pelicans on Saturday. These teams though have split two games this year, with the Cavs earning the 92-91 road victory in the latest on December 18th. I think a similar hard-fought, lower-scoring battle is in store here as well. Previous to their latest loss the Pacers had won six straight. Overall Indiana averages just 107.7 PPG, which ranks 23rd, but the Pacers make up for it on the other end, allowing just 101.9 PPG. And that’s bad news for the offensively challenged Cavaliers, who are averaging 102 PPG, while allowing 111.4. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Indiana has already seen the total go “under” the number in seven of eight this year after playing two consecutive road games, while Cleveland has seen the total go “under” in four of five already this season when playing with two days rest. This number is high, play the “under.” 10* play |
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01-07-19 | Nuggets v. Rockets OVER 215 | Top | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
The set-up: Two of the best in the West go head-to-head on Monday night and in my opinion, points are going to be plentiful. The Nuggets come in off a 123-110 home win over Charlotte on Saturday, while the Rockets will be eager to get back to their recent winning ways after falling 110-101 in Portland this weekend. Denver plays with revenge here though after a 109-99 home loss back on November 13th to Houston. But the Nuggets come in on top form, having won five straight, they’re averaging 110.6 PPG, while allowing 105.2. Houston’s slow start is now firmly in the rear-view mirror. Houston’s been competitive at home, going 11-6-1 ATS, and it’s also seen the total go “over” the number in 11-6-1- in those contests. The Rockets average 110.3 PPG and they allow 109. The-pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Nuggets have seen the total go “over” the number in eight of 12 already this year after scoring 115 points or more in their previous contest, while Houston has seen the total go “over” in ten of 15 as a home favorite this season. With both teams pushing the pace, look for this one to fly “over” sooner, than later. 10* play |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys OVER 43 | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 105 h 33 m | Show |
The set-up: While Seattle won a lower-scoring 24-13 contest at home over the Cowboys back on September 23rd, I believe this time around we’ll see a much more wide open “shootout.” Both teams have made leaps and strides since the early weeks, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Ezekiel Elliot rushed for nearly 1,500 yards, which allowed Dak Prescott to find his game again. The late season acquisition of Amari Cooper was also a huge boost for the Dallas offense late in the year. Seattle veteran QB Russell Wilson put together arguably his best ever campaign and he also benefited greatly from a strong run game, which finished No. 1 in the league. From a situational stand point in my opinion, this one definitely sets up as a higher-scoring affair. The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Seattle has seen the total go “over” the number in five of eight this year as an underdog, while Dallas as seen the total go “over” in five of eight at home and in four of its last five home games when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 45 points. This number is a low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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01-05-19 | UCF v. Connecticut OVER 143.5 | 65-53 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
The set-up: The UCF Knights are 11-2 and they’ve seen the O/U go 6-6 in lined games, while UConn is 9-5 overall, while seeing the O/U go 8-5. The Knights come in on top form having won five straight and I think they carry that momentum and confidence over here. Overall the Golden Knights are averaging 76.5 PPG and allowing 63.8 (they did give up 73 to Temple in their last game though.) After winning two straight, the Huskies will be eager to get back into the winners circle after two straight setbacks. UConn averages 80.4 PPG and it allows 71.7 (note though that the Huskies have allowed 78.5 PPG over their last two games.) The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but UCF has seen the total go “over” the number in four of its last five following a home victory, while UConn has seen the total go “over” in five of eight at home. This number is low, play the “over.” 8* play |
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01-04-19 | Predators v. Red Wings UNDER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -106 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
The set-up: Nashville comes in off a 4-0 home win over Philadelphia, while Detroit enters off a 5-3 home loss to the Flames. After losing six straight, the Preds have won two in a row, thanks in part to a renewed urgency on the defensive end, winning 6-3 in Washington, before the shutout at home over the Flyers. Nashville goaltender Pekka Rinne has a lifetime 2.58 GAA against the Wings. Detroit though comes in desperate after six straight losses. It’s just 8-14 at home, averaging 2.82 goals and allowing 3.00 in those contests. Wings’ net minder Jimmy Howard though has been sharp against Nashville throughout his career with a 2.38 lifetime GAA. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Nashville has seen the total go “under” the number in 11 of 16 already this season after scoring four goals or more in its previous outing, while Detroit has seen the total go “under” in 11 of its last 17 after playing to three or more consecutive “overs.” This number is high, play the “under.” 10* play |
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01-03-19 | Rockets v. Warriors OVER 225 | Top | 135-134 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
The set-up: Two teams which like to get out and push the pace collide in a big early Western Conference match-up on Thursday night and I think that points are going to be plentiful. It’s a rematch of last year’s West Conf. Finals. Houston most recently enters off a 113-101 home win over the Grizzlies, while the Warriors enter off a 132-109 road win over Phoenix. Golden State plays with revenge here after a listless 107-86 setback in Houston back on November 15th. But the Rockets come in on fire, having won five straight. Both teams have plenty to play for and each is now finally starting to “fire on all cylinders.” From a situational stand point, there’s no doubt this one sets up as a higher-scoring shootout in my opinion. The pick: Note as well that Houston has seen the total go “over” the number in five of six vs. the Pacific Division this year and in seven of 11 following a home victory, while Golden State has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last ten in trying to revenge a blowout loss of 20 points or more vs. an opponent. This one has “shootout” written all over it. Play the “over.” 10* play |
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01-02-19 | Mavs v. Hornets UNDER 223 | Top | 122-84 | Win | 100 | 24 h 59 m | Show |
The set-up: Two teams which like to push the pace first and think about defense second collide on Wednesday night, but I think the conditions are right for a lower-scoring “under.” Dallas looks to return to form after a 122-102 loss at Oklahoma City on Monday. Charlotte enters off a 125-100 home win over the hapless Magic. The Mavs average 110.6 PPG, and they allow 110.4. The Hornets average 113.7 PPG and they allow 111.1. The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Dallas has interestingly seen the total go “under” the number in all four games it’s played vs. the Southwest Division this season and in eight of its last 12 following a blowout loss of more than 20 points, while Charlotte has seen the total dip “under” in three of four already this season after a blowout win by 15 points or more. This number is high, play the “under.” 10* play |
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01-02-19 | Seton Hall v. Xavier OVER 143 | Top | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show |
The set-up: Two of the top teams in the nation collide and I think that points will be plentiful. The Pirates enter off a 76-74 home win over St. John’s, while the Musketeers will be eager to keep the momentum rolling after a 74-65 home win over DePaul. Seton Hall comes in at 10-3 and it plays with “double revenge” here after dropping both contests in the series last year. The Pirates average 75.5 PPG and they allow 69.6. Xavier though is 7-1 at home and it averages 75.4 PPG, while allowing 70.1. The pick: I’m expecting a wide open, faster paced game. Take it for what you will as well, but Seton Hall has seen the total go “over” the number in ten of its last 14 as a road dog or pick, while Xavier has seen the total go “over” in 21 of its last 36 at home. This number is low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-31-18 | NC State v. Texas A&M OVER 58.5 | Top | 13-52 | Win | 100 | 533 h 25 m | Show |
The set-up: Two teams with a ton of momentum collide in the Gator Bowl from Jacksonville Florida on Monday night and in my opinion, points are going to be plentiful. NC State enters on a three-game win streak over Louisville, UNC and ECU, while Texas A&M also posted three straight wins to end the year over Ole Miss, UAB and LSU. NC State will be leaning heavily on QB Ryan Finley here, and he has 3,789 passing yards along with 24 TD’s. The Aggies weakness on defense is against the pass, allowing 262.7 YPG. Clearly Finley will be given the “green light” to air it out from start to finish. The Aggies are also down several defenders, including safety Donovan Wilson. The Aggies feature a potent offensive attack as well, featuring dynamic back Trayveon Williams, who had 1,524 rushing yards and 15 major scores. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but NC State has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last nine non-conference road games as an underdog in the 2.5 to 9.5 points range. This one has “shootout” written all over it, play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-31-18 | Rangers v. Blues OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
The set-up: The Rangers come in with plenty of momentum here after a 4-3 win over Nashville last time out and I think New York carries it over. St. Louis on the other hand is out to atone for a 6-1 loss to Pittsburgh in its latest outing. Blues’ net minder Jake Allen is struggling through his worst campaign as a pro, as he’d let in four goals on 17 shots before getting pulled. From a situational stand point, I definitely feel this one sets up as a higher-scoring affair. The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but New York has seen the total go “over” the number in five of its last six off a home win in which it scored four or more goals in, while St. Louis has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last nine after allowing six or more goals in its previous outing, while scoring one or less of its own. This number is low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-31-18 | Magic v. Hornets OVER 210 | 100-125 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Magic come in off a confidence building 109-107 win over the Pistons at home yesterday afternoon and I think they carry that momentum over here. The Magic have won back-to-back games now after also destroying Toronto. The Hornets will be hungry for a victory here as they enter off a tough 130-126 road loss to Washington on Saturday in the second game of a back-to-back. Orlando though plays with revenge after the Hornets won the first match-up of the season 120-88 back on October 19th. The Magic average 114.2 PPG on the road and they allow 115. Charlotte is an above average offensive tam, ranked seventh in the NBA by averaging 113.4 PPG. The defense though is the Hornets weak point, allowing 111.4 PPG. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Orlando has seen the total go “over” the number in four of five already this year in trying to revenge a blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more, while Charlotte has seen the total go “over” in four of its last five following a divisional contest. This number is low, play the “over.” 8* play |
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12-30-18 | 76ers v. Blazers OVER 221.5 | Top | 95-129 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
The set-up: I’m expecting very little defense played between these hungry non-conference opponents. Philadelphia comes in having split its last eight games. Overall the 76ers are averaging 114.5 PPG, while allowing 111.6. Big man Joel Embiid leads the nightly charge with 26.5 points and 13.3 boards per game. Philadelphia comes in having won five of its last eight on the road. The Blazers have split their last ten and they’ll be eager to get back on track after a loss to the Warriors at home last night. Portland upset Golden State on its home floor on Thursday, so the visitors were out for revenge last night. Regardless, Portland is averaging 110.9 PPG and allowing 110.8 and it’s led by Damian Lillard with 26.7 points and 5.8 assists per game. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Philadelphia has seen the total go “over” the number in 14 of its last 22 as a favorite and in ten of 17 on the road, while Portland has seen the total go “over” in eight of 11 non-conference contests. This number low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-30-18 | Colts v. Titans OVER 43.5 | Top | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 100 h 13 m | Show |
The set-up: With a playoff spot up for grabs, I’m expecting this total to sneak over the number sooner, rather than later. The Colts come in off a thrilling 28-27 come from behind home win over the Giants last Sunday and I don’t think there’s any reason not to think that they can’t carry that momentum over here as well. The Titans posted a 25-16 home win over the Giants last weekend. Overall the Colts average 26.8 PPG and they allow 21.2. The Titans average 19.5 PPG and they allow 18. In the first meeting this year though, Colts’ QB Andrew Luck had 297 passing yards and three TD’s in a 28 point win. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Indianapolis has seen the total go “over” the number in 12 of its last 20 after playing at home, while Tennessee has seen the total go “over” in five of its last six in trying to revenge a loss where an opponent scored 28 points or more. This number is low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-29-18 | Notre Dame v. Clemson UNDER 55 | Top | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 482 h 51 m | Show |
The set-up: The Irish are 12-0 and the Tigers are 13-0. This is the Cotton Bowl, but the winner of this will move on to face either Oklahoma or Alabama in the National Championship Game. Notre Dame had to hold on for dear life in its regular season finale vs. USC, while Clemson easily steamrolled Pittsburgh in its ACC Championship title. Both teams feature elite defenses and I believe they’ll “steal the show” in this one. The pick: Each team will be trying to establish its run game throughout while on offense. And take it row what you will, but Notre Dame has seen the total go “under” in seven of its last ten after allowing 280 or more passing yards in its previous game and in four of its last five neutral site games, while Clemson has seen the total go “under” in seven of its last nine neutral site affairs on a three weeks or more lay off. This number is a little high, play the “under.” 10* play |
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12-28-18 | Thunder v. Suns OVER 223 | Top | 118-102 | Loss | -107 | 29 h 43 m | Show |
The set-up: I’m expecting a wide open shootout in this one. OKC will be eager to get back on track after a 113-109 road loss in Houston on X-Mas Day. Phoenix on the other hand will be looking to keep the momentum roling after its 122-120 OT win over Orlando on Wednesday. The Suns play with revenge today as well after a 110-100 loss to the Thunder here on November 17th. The Thunder average 111.9 PPG and they allow 105.8. The Suns average 105.1 PPG and they allow 113.6. The Suns have been getting healthier and they’ve been playing lot better of late and there’s no reason not to think that they can’t carry that momentum over here. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but OKC has seen the total go “over” the number in 12 of 20 vs. teams with losing records already this season, while Phoenix has seen the total go “over” in 15 of its last 21 off an upset win as a road dog. This number is low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-28-18 | UC Riverside v. Air Force OVER 129 | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 33 h 28 m | Show | |
The set-up: Two teams hungry for a win collide on Friday night and I think that points will be plentiful. The 5-8 UC Riverside Highlanders have split their last ten games. Overall they’re averaging 62.5 points, while allowing 69.7. Dikymbe Martin is averaging 16.2 points and 2.2 assists for the Highlanders. Air Force has lost five of seven. The Falcons are averaging 65.3 points and allowing 72.1. LaVelle Scottie averages 11.9 points and 1.5 assists per game. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but UC Riverside has seen the total go “over” the number in nine of its last 14 after scoring 60 points or less in its previous contest, while Air Force has seen the total go “over” in six of its last eight off an embarrassing road loss in which it scored 60 points or less in. This number is low, play the “over.” 8* play |
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12-28-18 | Syracuse v. West Virginia OVER 68 | Top | 34-18 | Loss | -110 | 461 h 45 m | Show |
The set-up: No one expected the Orange to finish 9-3 overall and go 5-1 in their last six, but now they’ll look to continue to defy the odds and carry that momentum over into the Camping World Bowl. WVU comes in off back-to-back losses to Oklahoma State and Oklahoma and it’ll be without starting QB Will Grier, who will skip to focus on the draft. That just means that it’s “next man up” for the Mountaineers. And that next man is Jack Allison, who now has a golden opportunity to cement his role next year. WVU is loaded with other offensive weapons though and the Mountaineers will be hungry to finish up strong as well. From a situational stand point, there’s no doubt this one sets up as a “shootout” in my opinion. The pick: Note as well that Syracuse has seen the total go “over” the number in five of seven as a favorite already this year, while WVU has seen the total go “over” in five of six already this season when the total is greater than or equal to 63. This number is a little low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-27-18 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
The set-up: The Avs come out of the X-Mas break hungry after losing six of their last eight games. The Knights will be equally as hungry here as well after a lacklustre first half and back-to-back losses of their own. Both teams remain in the playoff picture, but clearly the need for wins in the second half the season becomes paramount. From a situational stand point, there’s no doubt this one sets up nicely for more of a shootout than a goaltenders battle in my opinion. The pick: Take it for what you will as well by the Avs have seen the total go “over” the number in nine of their last 14 when playing with three or more days rest, while the Knights have seen the total go “over” in its last six home games when the total is set at 6 or higher. This number is a low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-27-18 | Vanderbilt v. Baylor OVER 55 | Top | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 314 h 49 m | Show |
The set-up: I think this one will sneak “over” the number once it’s all said and done. This is the Texas Bowl from NRG Stadium in Houston. Vandy became eligible by winning its final two games of the year over Ole Miss and Tennessee. Baylor’s also looking to cap a 6-6 season a high note after it broke a two-game skid with a bowl eligibility victory over Texas Tech back on November 24th. On offense, Vanderbilt will be leaning on Ke’Shawn Vaughn, who posted 1,001 rushing yards and ten TD’s on 144 carries this season. Baylor is susceptible against the run as well, allowing 172.8 rushing yards per game. Vandy also has a steady presence under center in Kyle Shurmur, who finished with 2,844 yards and 23 passing TD’s. After only one victory last season, clearly the Bears are very happy to be back bowling this year. Baylor’ QB Charlie Brewer finished with 2,635 passing yards and and 17 TD’s. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Vanderbilt has seen the total go “over” in three of its last four when playing with two weeks rest, while Baylor has seen the total go “over” in its last two non-conference games. This number is a little low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-27-18 | UMKC v. Creighton UNDER 155.5 | Top | 53-89 | Win | 100 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
The set-up: The 5-9 UMKC Kangaroos are at Creighton to take on the 8-4 Blue Jays and in my opinion, points are going to be at a premium. The Kangaroos went into the X-Mas break with an impressive 95-59 win over Elon on Saturday, going 16 of 26 from behind the arc. The defensive performance by UMKC was likely even more impressive though. The Blue Jays destroyed sub-division Coe College 110-60 in their latest action. Creighton though faces a much more difficult defensive task today. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Kangaroos have seen the total go “under” the number in seven of their last nine road games after a victory in which they scored 95 points or more in, while the Blue Jays have seen the total go “under” in eight of their last 11 after scoring 105 points or more in a 20 points or more blowout victory in their previous outing. This number is high, play the “under.” 10* play |
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12-25-18 | Thunder v. Rockets OVER 221 | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Thunder look to get back on track here after a 114-112 loss at home to Minnesota on Sunday. It was the second game of a back-to-back and clearly OKC was tired in that one. The Rockets have looked a lot better of late and they enter off a 108-101 home win over San Antonio. OKC has taken two straight in this series, including a 98-80 home win in the first matchup on November 8th. While that contest was a low-scoring defensive affair, I think the overall conditions for this one set it up as a classic “shootout.” Overall OKC averages 112 PPG, while allowing 105.6. The Rockets got out to the slow start and still only averaging 109.2 PPG, while allowing 108.5. The pick: Take it for what you will though, but OKC has seen the total go “over” the number in 14 of its last 23 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 PPG, while Houston has seen the total go “over” in nine of its last 14 as a home favorite. This number is high, play the “over.” 8* play |
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12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks OVER 54.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 34 h 34 m | Show |
The set-up: From a situational stand point, there’s no doubt that this one sets up as a high-scoring shootout. The Chiefs come in off a tough 29-28 home loss to the Chargers on Thursday. The Chiefs remain the highest scoring team in the league, but they’re in the bottom third defensively. KC needs to win this game to keep pace for the top spot in the AFC. The Hawks also come in off a tough 26-23 OT loss in San Francisco last weekend. Both teams feature a couple of the best QB’s in the league in Patrick Mahomes and Russell Wilson. Each will be given the green light here today obviously. As stated off the top, this one definitely sets up as a higher-scoring shootout in my opinion. The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but KC has seen the total go “over” the number in six of seven on the road already this year, while Seattle has seen the total go “over” in ten of its last 15 as an underdog. This number is low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-22-18 | Buffalo v. Troy UNDER 53.5 | 32-42 | Loss | -105 | 321 h 52 m | Show | |
The set-up: Buffalo enters with a 10-3 record, while Troy finished 9-3. Buffalo averaged 34.8 PPG, behind a strong rushing offense which finished 45th in the country. The Bulls were above average defensively, allowing just 24.7 PPG, ranked 48th (Jared Patterson and Kevin Marks had 1,751 rushing yards combined). Troy only averaged 29.8 PPG, but it made up for it on the other side of the ball by allowing only 21.2 (ranked 23rd.) The Trojans had to make a shift at QB when No. 1 Kaleb Barker went down with injury and backup Sawyer Smith was average at best, finishing with a 10/6 TD:INT over seven games. Troy’s offense revolves around RB BJ Smith, who posted at least 100 rushing yards in five of his last eight games. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Buffalo has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of its last nine after having lost two of its last three games, while Troy has seen the total go “under” in four of its last five following a two weeks or more period of rest. This number is high, play the “under.” 8* play |
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12-20-18 | Lightning v. Flames UNDER 6.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
The set-up: Calgary will be looking to control the pace of this one and as such, I look for this total to sneak under this sky high number once it’s all said and done. Tampa has won nine of its last ten, while Calgary enters off a 2-0 shutout loss in Dallas, after having won three in a row and eight of nine previous. These teams are getting great production on both ends of the ice, but I’m expecting more of a defensive battle between these non-conference foes this evening. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Tampa has seen the total go “under” the number in eight of its last 13 vs. teams with winning records, while Calgary has seen the total go “under” in 14 of its last 24 after playing three straight road games. This number is high, play the “under.” 8* play |
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12-20-18 | Rockets v. Heat OVER 208 | Top | 99-101 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
The set-up: These two teams may not play in the same conference, but each will be hungry for a victory here. Houston started off the season poorly, but it’s since shown signs of its former glory, with Chris Paul and James Harden playing much better. Harden leads Houston with 31.5 PPG, while Paul adds 15.8 points, 8.2 assists and 2.7 steals per game.) Miami enters with a ton of momentum as well after going 4-2 on its most recent road trip. Hassan Whiteside has played much better this season, averaging 13.4 points, 13.3 boards and 2.88 blocks per game. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Houston has seen the total go “over” the number in six of its last nine vs. teams with losing records, while Miami has seen the total go “over” in five of its last seven against teams with winning records. This number is low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-19-18 | Penguins v. Capitals UNDER 7 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 38 m | Show | |
The set-up: I think these two heated rivals will play to more of a lower-scoring goaltenders battle tonight. Washington is 20-12, but Pittsburgh is just 15-18. Pittsburgh is out to atone for a 4-2 home loss to Anaheim, while Washington enters off a 4-3 shootout win over Buffalo. Pittsburgh is averaging 3.36 GPG and allowing 3.21. Matt Murray gets the call in net for the Pens and he’s a solid 3-1 with a 2.47 GAA on the road this season. Washington averages 3.72 GPG and it allows 3.09. Braden Holtby gets the nod between the pipes for the home side and he’s 8-5 with a 2.78 GAA at home. The pick: The stage is now set for these two competent netminders to “steal the show.” Note as well that Pittsburgh has seen the total go “under” in five of eight already this year vs. the division, while Washington has seen the total go “under” in 15 of its last 24 home games when the total in the contest is set at 6 or higher. This number is high, play the “under.” 8* play |
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12-18-18 | Northern Illinois v. UAB UNDER 44 | Top | 13-37 | Loss | -115 | 225 h 2 m | Show |
The set-up: I think this one has defensive battle written all over it. UAB won the C-USA with a 10-3 record, while NIU was 8-5 overall. The Blazers ten wins were a school record and UAB got the job done with stifling defensive play. UAB has a question mark with its starting QB AJ Erdely, but the strength on offense is the run game behind Spencer Brown anyways. The UAB offense would only post 30 points four times this year, but the defense is allowing just 17.3 PPG. NIU also relies on its run game to generate offense, led by Tre Harbison. The Huskies averaged only 20.7 PPG and they allowed just 21.5. The pick: Two defensive minded teams which rely on the run game collide in this one. Also note that UAB has seen the total go “under” the number in four of its last five then the total is set between 42.5 and 49 points, while NIU has seen the total go “under” in ten of its last 15 when the total is set in the same points range. This number is high, play the “under.” 10* play |
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12-17-18 | Rider v. Washington State UNDER 168 | Top | 80-94 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
The set-up: This one has defensive battle written all over it in my opinion. After a slow start, the 4-3 Rider Broncs have won four of their last six. Overall they’re averaging 78.1 PPG, while allowing 74. Jordan Allen is averaging 14 points and 2.9 boards. Rider though won’t be taking anything for granted here as it’s lost three of its last four road games. The Cougars are averaging 83.5 PPG and they’re allowing 75. Robert Franks leads the nightly charge with 24.4 PPG. The Cougars are tough at home and they come in having won eight their last 12 in friendly confines. With the visitors desperate for a victory and not wanting to turn this into a “track meet” with the home side, I think from a situational stand point that it sets up perfectly for a lower-scoring “under.” The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Rider has seen the total go “under” the number in eight of its last ten after failing to cover three of its last four ATS, while WSU has seen the total go “under” in ten of its last 15 after allowing 85 points or more in its previous contest. This number is high, play the “under.” 10* play. |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers OVER 50 | Top | 12-9 | Loss | -111 | 60 h 3 m | Show |
The set-up: This total has dropped since opening and I think the value has definitely now swung to the over. Two teams which hate each other collide on Monday night and I’m expecting more of a wide open offensive affair than a lower-scoring battle. The Saints are 11-2 and are now in top spot in the NFC after LA lost to the Bears last week. New Orleans owns the tie-breaker against the Rams and with a chance to further cement, I expect veteran Drew Brees to be “on point” tonight. And as one of 6-7 teams, Carolina is only one-half game back of the Vikings for the second wild-card berth, so the home side still has everything to play for here as well. From a “situational” stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up a shootout. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New Orleans has seen the total go “over” the number in ten of its last 13 when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 50 points, while Carolina has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last ten as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. This number is a low, play the “over.” 10* |
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12-16-18 | Central Arkansas v. New Mexico UNDER 167 | Top | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
The set-up: Central Arkansas is 4-5 and it’s lost five straight on the road. New Mexico is just 4-4 and it’ll be just as hungry for a victory here. Two hungry teams collide and in my opinion, this one sets up as more of a defensive affair than a high-scoring shootout. Central Arkansas was most recently destroyed 68-55 by Missouri. Eddy Kayouloud was Central Arkansas’ high scorer with 19 points on 7-for-13 shooting. New Mexico comes in off an 87-84 win over the lowly CSUN Matadors. The pick: The Lobos have been decent offensively, but I think they’ll have their hands full today with a Bears team desperate to reverse its fortunes on the road. Take it for what you will as well, but Central Arkansas has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of its last nine following a four games or more road losing streak. This number is high, play the “under.” 10* play |
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12-16-18 | Redskins v. Jaguars OVER 36 | 16-13 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 53 m | Show | |
The set-up: If these two teams could be given a “do over” for the 2018/19 season, clearly each of them would take it. These clubs have struggled at times to put points on the board, but I think the overall conditions point to more of a “shootout” in this one finally. Washington comes in off a humbling 40-16 loss to the Giants and it’ll be eager to reverse its fortunes here. Josh Johnson is the QB in Washington now as he took over for Mark Sanchez last weekend and threw for 200 yards and a TD. The Jags are just 4-9 and while they were blown out by Tennessee last weekend, QB Cody Kessler was a bright spot with 250 yards and a TD. The pick: Both teams will be opening up the playbook, so from a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as a high-scoring game in my opinion. Take it for what you will as well, but the Skins have seen the total go “over” the number in eight of their last 12 as a road underdog, while the Jags have seen the total go “over” in seven of its last 11 non-conference games. This number is low, play the “over.” 8* play |
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12-15-18 | Celtics v. Pistons OVER 211 | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Celtics come in off a relatively simple 129-108 win over the Hawks at home last night and I think that Boston will carry that offensive momentum over here as well. The Pistons could care less about the C’s eight-game win streak, as they come in desperate for a win here after six straight losses, most recently falling 108-107 at Charlotte on Wednesday. The Pistons also play with revenge tonight after falling 108-105 in Boston on Oct. 30th. The Celtics average 111.1 PPG and they allow 103.6. Detroit averages 109 PPG and it allows 110.2. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boston has seen the total go “over” the number in eight of its last 11 in the second game of a back-to-back after winning the first and scoring over 120 points in doing so, while Detroit has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last nine home games in trying to revenge a close road loss to an opponent of three points or less. This number is low, play the “over.” 8* play |
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12-15-18 | SE Missouri State v. The Citadel UNDER 166 | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
I think this one has defensive battle written all over it. Southeast Missouri State will be eager to get back into the winners circle here after falling to 5-5 with an 83-73 defeat to Southern Illinois in their latest action. Ledarrius Brewer of the Redhawks would lead the way with 17 points and four boards. The Citadel comes in having won five straight after crushing sub-division Johnson and Wales 127-93 last time out. But with the step up in the level of competition this week, I think the Bulldogs offense comes back down to Earth tonight. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but SE Missouri State has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last nine road games after a loss in which it gave up 82 or more points in, while The Citadel has seen the total go “under” in six of its last eight after scoring 125 points or more in a win in its latest outing. This number is a little high, play the “under.” 10* play |
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12-14-18 | Knicks v. Hornets UNDER 226 | Top | 126-124 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
The set-up: The Knicks are not a very good team, but they’ll be eager to get back into the winners circle here after a 113-106 road loss at Cleveland last time out. New York also plays with revenge here after falling 119-107 in the first matchup in this series at home just this past weekend. The Hornets on the other hand broke a three-game slide with a tough 108-107 win at home over Detroit on Wednesday. The Knicks come in averaging 108.3 PPG and allowing 114.9. Enes Kanter averages 15 points and 11.5 boards per night. The Hornets average 113.9 PPG an they allow 110.7. Kemba Walker averages 26 points and 6.3 dimes per contest. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New York has seen the total go “under” the number in four of its last five off an upset loss as a road favorite, while Charlotte has seen the total go “under” in three of four already this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. This number is high, play the “under.” 10* |
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12-13-18 | Lakers v. Rockets OVER 222.5 | Top | 111-126 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
The set-up: The Rockets won 124-115 in LA back on October 20th and I’m expecting another high-scoring shootout this time around as well. Since then though, these teams have essentially moving in opposite directions, with the Lakers slowly improving on both ends of the court, while Houston has struggled for the most part to re-gain its form from season’s past. Both teams come in off victories though (Lakers won 108-105 over the Heat, while Houston snapped a losing streak with a convincing 111-104 win over Portland). LA plays with revenge and will be pushing the pace. Houston will be out to build off its recent victory. From a situational stand point, I definitely think this one sets up as a high-scoring affair. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last nine in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 120 or more points in. This number is a little low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-12-18 | Portland State v. BYU UNDER 165 | Top | 66-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
The set-up: Two hungry teams collide on Wednesday night and I think points will be at a premium. Portland State is 5-3 and BYU is 7-4. In the Vikings most recent win over Portland, Holland Woods posted 27 points and six assists in the eventual 87-78 win over the Pilots. BYU comes in off a hard-fought win over Utah, led by 31 points and 11 boards from Yoeli Childs. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Portland State has seen the total go “under” the number in both of its “true” road games this year, while BYU has seen the total go “under” in 15 of its last 24 after a win by 15 points or more. This number is a little high, play the “under.” 10* |
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12-12-18 | Pistons v. Hornets UNDER 219 | Top | 107-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
The set-up: Two teams hungry for victories collide on Wednesday night and in my opinion, this one has defensive battle written all over it. The Pistons are 13-12, but they come in having lost five straight. Most recently the Pistons fell 116-102 in Philadelphia. The Hornets broke a two-game slide with a 119-108 victory against the Knicks most recently. Overall Detroit is averaging 109.1 PPG and allowing 110.3, while Charlotte is averaging 114.2 PPG and allowing 110.8. The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Detroit has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of 12 as an underdog this year and in both games that it’s played in revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite, while Charlotte has seen the total go “under” in six of nine already this year after scoring 115 points or more in its previous contest. This number is a little high, play the “under.” |
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12-11-18 | Blazers v. Rockets OVER 219.5 | Top | 103-111 | Loss | -114 | 16 h 42 m | Show |
The set-up: From a situational stand point, this one sets up great as a higher-scoring shootout in my opinion. And I base that mostly on the fact in that I believe Houston is going to be pushing the pace of this contest from start to finish. The Rockets play with revenge here after falling 104-85 in the first meeting. The Rockets come in off a 107-104 road loss in Dallas, their third straight setback and seventh in their last nine games. Clearly Houston is out to “right the ship” tonight. Portland won’t be going down without a fight though as it comes in with plenty of momentum with back-to-back victories. As mentioned off the top, from a situational stand point it sets up great as a shootout. The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Portland has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last nine Western Conference road games following a two games or more unbeaten streak, while Houston has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last nine home games in trying to revenge a blowout in-season loss to an opponent of 15 points or greater. This number is low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-10-18 | Vikings v. Seahawks OVER 45.5 | Top | 7-21 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
The set-up: Clearly this is a big game for both NFC playoff hopefuls. The Vikes are in rebound mode after falling 24-10 in New England last weekend, while the Hawks are rolling now, most recently destroying the 49ers 43-16. The Vikes average 22.9 PPG and they allow 22.5. Note though that Kirk Cousins has the Vikes’ offense ranked sixth in the league with 276.3 YPG. The Seahawks are averaging 26.6 PPG behind the league’s No. 1 rushing offense. The defense is allowing 21.6 PPG. From a situational stand point, I definitely feel this one sets up as a higher-scoring affair. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Minnesota has seen the total go “over” the number in four of six on the road this year, while Seattle has seen the total go “over” in 11 of its last 16 as a home favorite. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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12-10-18 | Wizards v. Pacers UNDER 216.5 | 101-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
The set-up: Washington comes to town off a 116-101 road loss to Cleveland, while the Pacers enter off a 107-97 home win over the Kings on Saturday. The Wizards average 112 PPG and they allow 116.7. Bradley Beal had 27 points in the upset loss to the Cavs. Indiana comes in on top form having won three straight. The Pacers average only 106 PPG, ranked 26th overall, but the Pacers make up for it on the other end by allowing only 101.5, which is ranked 1st. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Washington has seen the total go “under” the number in five of seven already this year following a blowout loss by 15 points or more, while Indiana has seen the total go “under” the number in eight of ten as a home favorite this year already. This number is a little high, play the “under.” 8* |
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12-10-18 | Morehead State v. Marshall UNDER 168 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
The set-up: Morehead State is 3-5 and Marshall is 5-4. Two hungry non-conference sides collide on Monday night and in my opinion, points are going to be at a premium. Morehead State comes in off a blowout of lowly Chillicothe, but it’ll have its hands full with a much more talented Herd side. In the win for the Eagles, Djimon Henson had 23 points, three boards and three assists. Marshall’s struggled against the “better” competition it’s faced and in its most recently loss to Toledo, Jon Elmore was a bright spot with 21 points. From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up great as a lower-scoring defensive battle between these two focused sides. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Morehead State has seen the total go “under” the number in its last two games when playing with seven or more days worth of rest, while Marshall has seen the total go “under” in seven of its last ten after allowing 75 points or more in three straight outings. This number is high, play the “under.” 10* |
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12-09-18 | Rams v. Bears UNDER 52 | Top | 6-15 | Win | 100 | 104 h 52 m | Show |
The set-up: The Rams posted a tough 30-16 road win in Detroit last weekend they’ll have their hands full again this week on Sunday night at Soldier Field. Chicago is out to atone for a 30-27 OT loss to New York last weekend, so from a situational stand point, I definitely feel this one sets up as more of a lower-scoring defensive battle, where field position and time of possession are key to victory. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA has seen the total go “under” the number in four of six on the road already this year, while Chicago has seen the total go “under” in seven of its last ten as a home dog. This number is a little high, play the “under.” 10* |
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12-09-18 | Ball State v. Evansville UNDER 152 | Top | 77-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
The set-up: Ball State is 6-3, while Evansville is 4-4. The Cardinals enter red hot having won five straight, most recently a 75-69 win over Loyola Chicago. Ball State is averaging 81.1 PPG, while Evansville averages 77.8. While these two hungry sides don’t normally have a difficult time scoring, the numbers suggest a competitive defensive battle today. The pick: As note that Ball State has seen the total go “under” the number in its last two games after scoring 75 points or more in five straight contests, while Evansville has seen the total go “under” in nine of its last 14 vs. good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per contest. This number is high, play the “under.” 10* play |
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12-08-18 | Navy v. Army OVER 39.5 | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 41 m | Show |
The set-up: Navy dominated this match-up for over a decade, but the Army Golden Knights come into this year’s match-up having won two straight. Army is 9-2 in 2018 and enters on top form, having won seven straight. Navy is just 3-9 and it’s gone only 1-8 in its last nine overall. The Midshipmen live for this game though and I’m expecting the underdog to push the pace from start to finish. This is the first time since 2002 that Navy will finish with a losing record, so it’ll have one last shot at redemption here as it looks to play spoiler on Army’s great overall campaign to this point. With both teams pushing the pace, from a situational stand point, there’s no doubt this one sets up as a higher-scoring shootout. The pick: Note as well though that Navy has seen the total go “over” the number in three of its last four as a neutral field underdog, while Army has seen the total go “over” in 14 of its last 20 as a favorite. Play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-06-18 | Suns v. Blazers OVER 216 | Top | 86-108 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
The set-up: Two struggling teams collide in this one and with each pushing the pace, I expect this one to fly “over” the number once it’s all said and done. The Suns fell 122-105 at home to the Kings in their last game, while the Blazers fell 111-102 on the road in Dallas on Tuesday. Phoenix is desperate for a win, so far it’s only 1-11 on the road this year. Phoenix averages 103 PPG and it allows 114. Portland’s lost three in a row and six of its last seven. Overall the Blazers average 112.5 PPG and they allow 111.7. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Phoenix has seen the total go “over” the number in five of its last six after playing two consecutive divisional contests, while Portland has seen the total go “over” in 12 of its last 20 after two or more consecutive road losses. This number is low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-05-18 | Nuggets v. Magic OVER 207 | 124-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The set-up: I’m expecting a wide-open affair between these two hungry non-conference opponents. The Magic come in off a confidence building win in Miami just last night and there’s no reason not to think that the young and healthy home side can’t carry that momentum over here as well. The Nuggets are rolling as well, 16-7 on the year and off an impressive 106-103 road win in Toronto. Orlando won’t be rolling over here either as it plays with revenge after a 112-87 loss in Denver on November 23rd. The Nuggets average 110.2 PPG and they allow 102.7. The Magic average 105.8 PPG and they allow 108.1. The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Denver has seen the total go “over” the number in 15 of its last 22 after successfully covering the spread in three straight games, while Orlando has seen the total go “over” in three of four already this year in trying to revenge a blowout loss of 20 points or more vs. an opponent. This number is low, play the “over.” 8* |
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12-04-18 | Capitals v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 110 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
The set-up: If you wager on the NHL, then there needs to be no break down of this one. This is a rematch of last year’s NHL finals. The Knights won Game 1, but then the Capitals would roll to four straight victories. Washington took the first game between the clubs this year 5-3 at home and I’m expecting a similar high-scoring, wide open affair here as well. Washington averages 3.6 GPG and it allows 3.2. Vegas averages 2.9 GPG and it allows 2.8. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Las Vegas has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it gave up five or more goals in. This number is low, play the “over.” 10* |
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12-04-18 | West Virginia v. Florida OVER 142.5 | Top | 56-66 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
The set-up: This is a battle of the SEC for the Big 12 in the Jimmy V Classic and while these teams are very adept defensively, I think this one will sneak “over” the number once the final horn sounds. The Gators come in off a 98-66 beatdown of North Florida, while WVU enters on top form having won four straight. Florida averages 71.7 PPG and it allows 62.4. WVU averages 86.4 PPG and it allows 75.9. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but WVU has seen the total go “over” the number in its last four vs. the SEC and in four of its last five neutral court games when the total is set between 140 to 144.5, while Florida has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last 11 after a cover as a double digit favorite. Play the the “over.” 10* |
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12-03-18 | Oilers v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
The set-up: Neither team can rest on its laurels. The Oilers are a disappointing 13-13 so far, while the Stars are a poor 14-13. Both teams come in off lower-scoring 2-1 victories, but I believe we’ll see a much more wide open affair here. The Stars play with revenge here after falling 1-0 in OT in Edmonton in the first matchup this year. Edmonton averages 2.69 GPG and it allows 3.04. Dallas averages 2.74 GPG and it allows 2.63. The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Edmonton has seen the total go “over” the number in six of its last nine vs. teams with winning records, while Dallas has seen the total go “over” in five of seven home games this year when the total is set at 5.5. This number is low, play the “over.” 10* |
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12-03-18 | Redskins v. Eagles OVER 45 | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 19 m | Show |
The set-up: This is a big game for both teams. The winner of this divisional contest will remain on the fringes of the wild card spot, while the other will officially be eliminated from contention. With so much on the line, I’m expecting each side to open up the playbook The Redskins lost starting QB Alex Smith to injury and Colt McCoy was unable to to lead Washington to a win on Thanksgiving Day, eventually falling 31-23 to the Cowboys. Philadelphia’s stagnant offense will have its opportunities today against a Redskins unit which allowed Dallas to score three of its four TD’s by covering at least 16 yards. The Eagles kept their slim hopes alive in last week’s come from behind 25-22 win over the Giants and I think they carry that confidence and momentum over here. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Washington has seen the total go “over” the numb run eight of its last 11 as a road underdog, while Philadelphia has seen the total go “over” in ten of its last 15 vs. the division. This number is low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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12-03-18 | Rockets v. Wolves OVER 222 | 91-103 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
The set-up: Two hungry Western Conference opponents collide on Monday night and in my opinion, points will be plentiful. Neither team can be happy with its record (Rockets 11-11, Wolves 11-12). The Rockets average 112.2 PPG and they allow 111.8. The Wolves average 107.9 PPG, while allowing 108.9. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Houston has seen the total go over the number in four of five already this year in a road contest when the total is greater than or equal to 220, while Minnesota has seen the total go over 13 of its last 21 home games when the total is greater than or equal to 220. This number is low, play the “over.” 8* |
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12-02-18 | Jazz v. Heat UNDER 211 | Top | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
The set-up: From a situational and also from a trend based stand point, I think this one sets up great as more of a defensive contest. Utah’s won two straight on the road, including a 119-111 road win at Charlotte on Friday. The Jazz average 105.9 PPG and they allow 108.2. The Heat average 108.5 PPG and they allow 110 PPG. Two hot teams collide and I think this one has defensive battle written all over it. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Utah has seen the total go “under” the number in 14 of its last 23 off an upset win as an underdog, while Miami has seen the total go “under” in nine of its last ten off an upset win as a home underdog. This number is high, play the “under.” |
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12-02-18 | Vikings v. Patriots OVER 49.5 | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 32 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Vikes remain in the NFC playoff picture after last weeks win over the Packers. Kirk Cousins had a big game with 342 passing yards, three TD’s and no INT’s. I think the veteran carries that momentum over here. Overall the Vikes are averaging 24.1 points and allowing 22.1. New England is averaging 27.9 PPG and it’s allowing 22.6. The Pats are getting healthier and I think they’ll put the foot on the gas from start to finish. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Minnesota has seen the total go “over” the total in four of five on the road already this year, while the Patriots have seen the total go “over” in 13 of its last 17 vs. teams with winning records. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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12-02-18 | Ducks v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams have shown hot overall form of late and I think that gets carried over here. The Ducks have won five of their last six, most recently a 2-1 OT win over Carolina on Friday. The Capitals though have been even hotter, having won seven straight, most recently a 6-3 blowout victory over the Devils. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Anaheim has seen the total go “over” in three of its last four after playing to three or more consecutive “unders,” while Washington has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last ten after scoring four or more goals in its previous game. This number is low, play the “over.” 10* |
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12-01-18 | Celtics v. Wolves OVER 213.5 | 118-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
The set-up: I think these two non-conference opponents will push the pace from start to finish. Boston enters off a 128-95 win over the Cavs last night, while the Wolves enter refreshed after most recently destroying the Spurs 128-89 on Wednesday. Note that when these teams played here on March 8th last year, Boston left with the 117-109 road victory. Boston is averaging 108.1 PPG, while allowing 103.9. Minnesota is averaging 109.9 PPG and it’s allowing 110.2. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boston has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last nine following a win by 20 points or more, while Minnesota has seen the total go “over” in eight of its last 12 home games following a victory by 20 or more points. This one has high-scoring “shootout” written all over it. |
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12-01-18 | Memphis v. Central Florida OVER 70.5 | 41-56 | Win | 100 | 142 h 6 m | Show | |
The set-up: It’s the AAC Championship between Memphis and UCF. The Tigers finished 8-4 overall, while the Knights come in at 11-0. UCF may be without its starting QB McKenzie Milton, but I think that Darriel Mack Jr. is “the next man up,” and will fill in seamlessly. The Tigers will be relying on the legs of RB Darrell Henderson, who had 24 carries for 178 yards and two TD’s in last week’s high-scoring 52-31 win over Houston. The pick: Mack is out to prove himself and he will be given the green light to air it out all night long. Memphis will be pushing the pace as well as it tries to pull off the upset. When you add it all up, this one has high-scoring “shootout” written all over it. 8* play |
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11-30-18 | Kings v. Flames OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
The set-up: LA is 9-15-1 and it’s averaging 2.2 GPG and allowing 3.1. Jon Quick has allowed 27 goals on 352 shots. Calgary is averaging 3.4 GPG and allowing 2.9. Mike Smith has allowed 43 goals on 367 shots faced. The pick: This is the second game of a back-to-back for LA and it’ll be desperate to avoid another loss after a 3-2 loss in Edmonton. Take it for what you will as well, but LA has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last nine road games in the second game of a back to back in which it lost the first one and scored two goals or less in the process. This number is low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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11-30-18 | Bulls v. Pistons UNDER 216.5 | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Bulls come in off a disheartening 116-113 road loss in Milwaukee on Wednesday and off that “oh-so-close” setback, I believe Chicago has a predictable mental letdown here. The Bulls average 104 PPG and they allow 112.9. The Pistons average 111.8 PPG and they allow 110.7. Detroit’s won three straight coming into this one and I think it’ll look to control the pace of this one in this favorable home matchup. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Chicago has already seen the total go “under” the number in 12 of 16 vs. good offensive teams that score 106 plus points per contest this season, while Detroit has seen the total go “under” in nine of its last 14 after two or more SU wins. This number is high, play the “under.” 8* play |
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11-29-18 | Wild v. Blue Jackets OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams come in with identical records (14-8-2). The Wild are looking to bounce back here after a 4-3 loss to Arizona in their last outing. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk fell to 9-5-2 on the year after allowing three goals in a span of five minutes in the third. The Blue Jackets enter off a momentum building 7-5 win over Detroit. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky let in five goals on 32 shots. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Minnesota has seen the total go “over” the number in four of five non-conference games, while Columbus has seen the total go “over” in six of ten after allowing four goals or more. Look for these two hungry teams to push the pace and play the “over.” 10* play |
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11-28-18 | Cavs v. Thunder OVER 215 | Top | 83-100 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
The set-up: This one has “shootout” written all over it. OKC is just 1.5 games back of LA, while the Cavs come in having won two of their last three. Cleveland though comes in hungry to get back on track after its two game win streak was snapped in a 102-95 home loss to Minnesota. Note that since joining the starting line-up Colin Sexton has averaged 18.6 points and 3.0 assists per game over his last five. The Cavs average 107 PPG and they allow 113.6. OKC won’t be taking anything for granted here after a tough home loss to Denver broke a two-game win streak. OKC averages 107.8 PPG and it allows 102.6. The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Cleveland has seen the total go “over” the number in both games it’s played this year in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while OKC has seen the total go “over” in six of ten at home already. This number is low, play the “under.” |
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11-28-18 | Blues v. Red Wings OVER 5.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Blues come in off an 8-4 loss to Winnipeg, while the Wings enter off a 7-5 home win over Columbus. These teams have been putting the “biscuit in the basket” at a prodigious rate of late and I believe that trend carries over here. St. Louis is averaging 3.05 GPG and allowing 3.32. Detroit is averaging 2.75 GPG and it’s allowing 2.75 as well. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but St. Louis has seen the total go “over” the number in all three games already this year when playing with three or more days rest, while Detroit has seen the total go “over” in four of five already this year after three or more consecutive losses. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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11-27-18 | Senators v. Flyers UNDER 7 | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
The set-up: These teams aren’t known for their defensive prowess, but I believe the conditions are right for more of a lower-scoring defensive battle this evening. The Sens enter off a 4-2 road loss to the Rangers, while the Flyers come in off a humbling 6-0 loss at Toronto. Clearly neither side can be happy with its performance of late. Note that Ottawa plays with the added incentive of “revenge” as well after the Flyers took the first meeting of the year on the road earlier. As mentioned off the top, I understand that these teams are both horrible on the defensive end, but from an overall situational stand point, I believe each doubles down on that side of the ice after their recent blowout losses. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Ottawa has seen the total go “under” the number in five to its last seven road games after giving up four or more goals in a road loss in its previous outing, while Philly has seen the total go “under” in seven of its last nine home games after giving up five or more goals and getting shutout in its previous outing. This number is high, play the “under.” |
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11-26-18 | North Dakota State v. Gonzaga OVER 152 | Top | 60-102 | Win | 100 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
The set-up: North Dakota State is 2-4 and Gonzaga is 6-0. Most recently the Bison fell 79-61 to East Tennessee State this weekend. Overall NDSU is averaging 71.8 PG and allowing 72.5. The Bulldogs are a whopping 97 PPG and allowing 76. The pick: The Bulldogs are allowing teams to score points, only because they’re dominating on the offensive end this season. I look for that trend to continue here. Take it for what you will as well, but Gonzaga has seen the total go “over” the number in 14 of its last 20 as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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11-25-18 | Packers v. Vikings OVER 47.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 1 m | Show |
The set-up: For all intents and purposes, this is a “must win” game for both teams. The Packers are just 4-5 and they’ve lost three of their last four after a terrible loss to Seattle last weekend. The only hope Green Bay has is with QB Aaron Rodgers, so expect the visitors air it out early and often. The Vikes come in off a brutal loss to the Bears last weekend and they’ll also be hungry to reverse their recent offensive struggles with a break out performance. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as a “shootout” in my opinion. The pick: Note as well that Green Bay has seen the total go “over” the number in six of its last eight “dome” games, while Minnesota has seen the total go “over” in four of its last five as a home fav of three points or less. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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11-25-18 | Devils v. Lightning UNDER 6 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Devils are out to atone for a 4-3 OT loss to the Islanders. Tampa enters off a 5-2 home win over Chicago. The Devils are 7-4 at home, but just 2-8 on the road. NJ is averaging 3.00 GPG and it’s allowing 3.19. The Lightning are averaging 3.74 GPG and they’re allowing only 2.87. I expect the visitors to try and control the pace of this one from the start and because of that, I do definitely feel this one sets up as more of lower-scoring defensive battle. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but NJ has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of its last nine road games after allowing four or more goals in an OT loss in its previous outing, while Tampa has seen the total go “under” in five of its last seven after a win by three or more goals in its previous outing. This number is a little high, play the “under.” |
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11-25-18 | Magic v. Lakers OVER 218 | Top | 108-104 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
The set-up: Orlando is out to atone for a 112-87 loss in Denver on Friday. A date against the improving Lakers is not what the doctor ordered to get back on track though, as LA enters off an impressive performance, beating Utah 90-83 on Friday night. Note as well that the Lakers play with revenge here after falling in Orlando 130-117 on November. 17th. From a situational stand point, I definitely think this sets up as more of a higher-scoring shootout. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Orlando has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last ten non-conference road games in which it was held to 88 points or less in its previous outing, while LA has seen the total go “over” the number in 11 of its last 17 after holding its previous opponent to under 85 points. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks v. Panthers UNDER 47.5 | 30-27 | Loss | -109 | 96 h 45 m | Show | |
Analysis posted shortly! |
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11-24-18 | Canucks v. Kings OVER 5.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Kings will be eager to take advantage of a tired Canucks team which played on Friday night. The Kings are also out to atone for a 7-3 loss at home to Colorado on Wednesday. Vancouver has lost two in a row and it’ll be eager to get back on track as well obviously. Both sides have struggled with offensive consistency this season, but the conditions now finally set up perfectly for a wide open contest in my opinion. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Vancouver has seen the total go “over” the number in four of its last six vs. division opponents, while LA has seen the total go “over” in four of six already this season when playing with two days of rest. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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11-24-18 | Utah State v. Boise State UNDER 66 | Top | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
The set-up: This is an important game for both teams. The winner plays in the Big West title game. Utah State has won ten in a row and it plays with revenge after falling in this contest last year. The Aggies have a difficult task ahead of them and they were almost caught “looking ahead” to this one with a “close call” against Colorado State last weekend. Utah State has its eyes on a big bowl game, but it’ll have to take it one game at a time: “Survive and advance. Just like in the NCAA Tournament,” Utah State head coach Matt Wells said after the game, according to the Associated Press, via ESPN.com. “You know, I’m going to celebrate after a win like this. I’m going to let the players celebrate all the way until Monday. We have a special season going.” Boise State looked decent offensively against a weak New Mexico defense last week, but the Broncos looked great defensively, holding the Lobos to only 14 points. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Utah State has seen the total go “under” the number in four of its last six vs. teams with winning records, while Boise State has seen the total go “under” in four of five already this year after two or more consecutive SU victories. This number is high, play the “under.” |
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11-23-18 | Oklahoma v. West Virginia OVER 81.5 | Top | 59-56 | Win | 100 | 98 h 25 m | Show |
The set-up: This is an important game for both teams and that fact alone is the reason why I predict a high-scoring shootout. The Sooners will be playing in the Big 12 Championship Game next week no matter what, but clearly Oklahoma would like to win out with the hopes of somehow making it into the Playoff Championship. WVU needs to win this game and have Texas lose for its opportunity to play in the Conference championship and while the deck is stacked against them, clearly the Mountaineers are going to leave everything they have on the field on Seniors night. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up as a high-scoring game in my opinion. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Oklahoma has seen the total go “over” the number in eight of its last ten as a road favorite, while WVU has seen the total go “over” in five of its last eight as an underdog. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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11-22-18 | Falcons v. Saints OVER 60 | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -102 | 35 h 39 m | Show |
The set-up: This is a great “situational” play. Atlanta can’t sit back and hope for the Saints to make the first mistake today. The Falcons’ season has been de-railed by injury, but veteran QB Matt Ryan will be given the green light to air the ball out early and often. The Saints only need two more victories to earn a first round bye. Clearly Drew Brees is going to have the foot on the gas here from start to finish this weekend. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Atlanta has seen the total go “over” the number in four of its last five after two or more SU losses, while New Orleans has seen the total go “over” in 14 of its last 22 at home. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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11-22-18 | Tulsa v. Nevada OVER 152.5 | Top | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
The set-up: Tulsa is 4-0. Nevada is also 4-0. These two surging teams collide in the Las Vegas Holiday Invitational on Thursday afternoon and in my opinion, points will be plentiful. The Wolfpack enter off a 90-55 win over California Baptist. Jordan Brown led the way in that one with 16 points. Overall Nevada is averaging 86.5 PPG. The Golden Hurricane are averaging 79.2 PPG, led by Martins Igbanu with 15 PPG. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Tulsa has seen the total go “over” the number in 12 of its last 17 vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest, while Nevada has seen the total go “over” in eight of its last 12 tournament games. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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11-20-18 | Oilers v. Sharks UNDER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -135 | 29 h 22 m | Show |
The set-up: Edmonton plays with revenge here having already dropped three of four in this season series. The Oilers will be motivated to get back on track after an embarrassing 6-3 loss to the Knights. That may be easier said than done though against the Sharks, who come in off an impressive 4-0 home victory over the Blues. Edmonton is averaging 2.85 GPG and it’s allowing 3.30. San Jose is averaging 3.24 GPG ad it’s allowing 2.95. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Edmonton has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of ten after allowing four goals or more, while San Jose has seen the total go “under” in six of its last eight after shutting out its opponent in its previous game. Play the “under.” |
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11-19-18 | UC-Irvine v. Texas-San Antonio UNDER 140 | Top | 65-56 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
The set-up: UC Irvine enters this tournament game with a 4-0 record, while UTSA will be desperate to get off the schneid after an 0-3 start. UC Irvine comes in off a strong win over Texas A&M. The Anteaters have all five starters back from last year, led by Tommy Rutherford with 10.1 points and six boards per game. UTSA has three returning starter, led by Keaton Wallace with 11.4 PPG. The pick: From a situational stand point, I definitely think this one sets up as a lower-scoring affair, as UTSA can ill afford to turn this into a “track meet” and expect to hand with the high-flying Anteaters. UC Irvine comes in complacent in this neutral site affair and it all adds up to a lower-scoring “under.” |
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11-18-18 | Titans v. Colts UNDER 48 | 10-38 | Push | 0 | 144 h 51 m | Show | |
The set-up: Both teams come in on win streaks, but in this important divisional battle, I’m expecting more of a defensive affair. The Titans enter off a confidence building 34-10 rout of the Patriots, looking very impressive defensively. The Colts have won three straight, but I think Luck and company will have their hands full with this under-the-radar Titans’ defense. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Tennessee has seen the total go “under” the number in its last four “dome” games, while Indianapolis has seen the total go “under” in four of its last five home games when the total in the contest is greater than or equal to 49.5. This number is high, play the “under.” 8* play |
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11-17-18 | Syracuse v. Notre Dame UNDER 62.5 | 3-36 | Win | 100 | 115 h 51 m | Show | |
The set-up: It’s the No. 13 Syracuse Orange vs. the No. 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish from Yankee Stadium in New York on Saturday and in my opinion, this one has defensive battle written all over it. The Orange enter off a high-scoring 54-23 victory over Louisville, while the Irish come in off a 42-13 home beatdown of FSU. Overall Syracuse is averaging 44.4 PPG and allowing 27.6. Notre Dame needs to win today and next week against USC and it’ll be going to the College Football playoff. Overall the Irish average 34.5 PPG and they concede only 18.7. The pick: Take it for what you will, but Syracuse has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of its last nine road games after scoring 52 points or more in a victory in its previous outing. The neutral site affair helps turn this into a lower-scoring “under.” 8* play |
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11-16-18 | Bruins v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 4 m | Show |
The set-up: I’m expecting these non-conference opponents to push the pace from start to finish and I look for this total to fly “over” sooner than later. Boston will be eager to get back on track here after a two-game losing streak ended in a 6-3 setback at Colorado on Wednesday. Dallas is also eager to get back on track after a listless 2-1 loss to Columbus on Monday. In fact, Dallas has lost four of its last five. The pick: From a situational stand point, there’s no doubt this one definitely sets up as a higher-scoring affair in my opinion. But it also sets up great from a trend based stand point, as note that Boston has seen the total go “over” in 18 of its last 28 road games when the total in the contest is set at 5.5, while Dallas has seen the total go “over” the number in five of six already this year at home when the total in the contest is set at 5.5. Play the “over.” |
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11-16-18 | Raptors v. Celtics OVER 214 | Top | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
The set-up: Toronto comes in off back-to-back home losses, most recently falling 106-104 to Detroit. The Raptors will be eager to get back on track here and they’ll be feeling confident here, because when they faced Boston at home on October 19th, they left with a convincing 113-103 victory. Toronto is averaging 116.5 PPG, while allowing 109.1. The Celtics are averaging 105.6 PPG and they’re allowing 101.9. The pick: It’s definitely interesting to note though that Boston has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last nine in trying to revenge and in-season road loss to an opponent in which it fell by ten or more points. With each team pushing the pace, look for this total to fly “over” sooner than later. |
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11-15-18 | Hawks v. Nuggets OVER 220 | Top | 93-138 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
The set-up: After an unreal start the Nuggets come into this one desperate for a win after four straight losses. Denver’s lost its offense of late, but a date vs. the defense-less Hawks is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track in my opinion. And with a tough road trip starting in New Orleans on Saturday, the home side will definitely be pushing the pace from start to finish to try and take advantage of the Hawks “vanilla” offense. Clearly Atlanta won’t go down without a fight after five straight losses and with another tough upcoming game in Atlanta. The pick: The conditions are definitely right for a higher-scoring shootout tonight. But note as well that Denver has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last nine home games following a four games or more unbeaten streak. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks OVER 49 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 80 h 38 m | Show |
The play: For all intents and purposes, this is a “do or die” game for both teams. Green Bay kept its hopes alive with a 31-12 home win last weekend, while Seattle came up just short in a 36-31 setback to the Rams on Sunday. The Packers won’t be just sitting back on their heels and looking for the Hawks to make the first mistake. Green Bay is just 2-2 on the road this year and it’ll have to do what it does best and that’s give the ball to QB Aaron Rodgers and let him go to work. The Hawks looked terrible defensive last week against the “gun-slinging” Rams’ QB and I think the defense is going to have its hands full here as well. The pick: Note that Green Bay has seen the total go “over” in five of six against conference opponents this year and in its last six as a road dog of three points or less, while Seattle has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last ten following a divisional contest. This number is low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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11-15-18 | Toledo v. Kent State OVER 58.5 | 56-34 | Win | 100 | 71 h 40 m | Show | |
The set-up: Toledo enters off a 38-15 road loss to Illinois last Wednesday, while Kent State comes in off a 48-14 loss to Buffalo on the road last Tuesday. Toledo has won three in a row in the series, including a 38-7 victory at home last year. Toledo is averaging 38.6 PPG and it’s allowing 31.5. QB Mitchel Guadagni has 1,053 passing yards and 13 TD’s, while also adding 423 on he ground and another four TD’s. Kent Tate is averaging 23.3 points and it’s allowing 35.6. QB Woody Barrett has 1,932 passing yards with ten TD’s and eight INT’s with another 422 rushing yards and six TD’s on the ground. The play: Note that Toledo has seen the total go “over” the number in two of its last three as a favorite, while Kent State has seen the total go “over” in eight of its last 14 at home. Both teams hungry for a win. This number is a low, play the “over.” |
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11-14-18 | Marquette v. Indiana OVER 149 | Top | 73-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
The set-up: Two teams hungry for a win collide on Wednesday night and I believe points are going to be plentiful. Both teams come in with confidence after two straight wins to open the year. Marquette was picked to finish second in the Big East behind Villanova. Markus Howard had 37 points in the Golden Eagles’ 92-59 win over Bethune-Cookman. Indiana destroyed Montana State 80-35 in its most recent action. Romeo Langford is averaging 15.5 PPG. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Marquette has seen the total go “over” the number in 22 of its last 30 non-conference games, while Indiana has seen the total go “over” in seven of its last eight home games when the total is set between 145 to 149.5. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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11-14-18 | Bulls v. Celtics OVER 210 | Top | 82-111 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
The set-up: Two teams which can struggle with offensive consistency collide on Wednesday night, but in my opinion, I believe we’re going to see more of a “shootout” than a “chess match.” Boston took three of four in the series last year. The Bulls come in averaging 105.9 PPG and allowing 112.4. Zach LaVine leads the way with 27.1 PPG. The C’s average 105.2 PPG an they allow 103.2. Kyrie Irving averages 21 points and 5.4 assists per game. The pick: Take it for what you will as well but Chicago has seen the total go “over” in 50 of its last 87 vs. teams with winning records, while Boston has seen the total go “over” in three of four already this season when playing with two days rest. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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11-13-18 | Maple Leafs v. Kings OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
The set-up: Toronto lost its very first road game of the year in a 5-1 setback in Boston most recently. It’ll look to get back on track here and continue its road success against a Kings team which is just 5-11 overall and which enters off back-to-back losses. Clearly the Kings can’t be happy with where they sit and with the home side desperate to get back into the winners circle and also forced to match the pace of the high-tempo visitors, I believe this one has “shootout” written all over it. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Toronto has seen the total go “over” the number in 23 of its last 38 when playing with two days of rest, while LA has seen the total go “over” in 21 of its last 34 in the same position. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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11-13-18 | Hornets v. Cavs UNDER 218.5 | Top | 89-113 | Win | 100 | 23 h 7 m | Show |
The set-up: Charlotte enters off a strong 113-103 road win over Detroit and I’m expecting a similar type defensive performance here as well. Cleveland comes in off a listless 99-98 road loss to Chicago. The Hornets are averaging 116.5 PPG and they’re allowing 109.2. The Cavs are averaging only 103.3 PPG and they’re allowing 113.1. The pick: Take it for what you will, but Charlotte has seen the total go “under” the number in five of six already this year against teams with losing records. The Cavs have difficulty scoring on the best of days, but with the visitors looking to control the pace of this one, I expect this total to fall “under” once it’s all said and done. |
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11-12-18 | Giants v. 49ers OVER 45 | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
The set-up: Clearly these are two teams that would take a “mulligan” on the season if given the chance. The Giants come out of their bye week looking to avoid a 1-8 start, while the 49ers enter at 2-7. San Francisco won’t be going down quietly either, it enter off a confidence building 34-3 win over Oakland. Each team has plenty of issues on both sides of the ball and up and down the line, but from a “situational” stand point, I absolutely feel that this one sets up as a “shoot-out.” The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New York has seen the total go “over” the number in its last two following its bye week, while San Fran has seen the total go over in five of its last eight as a favorite. This number is low, play the “over.” 10* play |
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11-12-18 | Jazz v. Grizzlies UNDER 205.5 | Top | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 25 h 43 m | Show |
The set-up: Utah enters off a high-scoring 123-115 win over Boston at home on Friday, while Memphis enters off a 112-106 OT home victory over Philadelphia on Saturday. Memphis has already gone 2-0 in the season series, including a 110-100 road victory in the most recent. Utah averages 111.6 PPG and it allows 109.9. Memphis averages only 103.1 PPG and it allows only 101.1 (that’s tops in the NBA!) The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Memphis has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of its last nine home games following an OT victory in which it scored 110 points or more in. This number is a little high, play the “under.” 10* play |
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11-11-18 | Falcons v. Browns UNDER 51 | 16-28 | Win | 100 | 142 h 37 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Falcons opened 1-4, but they’ve since clawed their way back to a 4-4 record with four straight wins. Last week ATL won 36-14 in Washington. Matt Ryan and company have been playing at an extremely high level for weeks now and winning on the road is never easy. This does indeed set up as a letdown spot for the Falcons finally. Thankfully the ATL defense faces a Browns offense averaging only 20.7 PPG. Cleveland’s been decent defensively this season and that the last thing the home side can do is to turn this into a “track meet” and expect to hand with the high-flying Falcons. The pick: Note as well that Cleveland has seen the total go “under” the number in nine of its last ten home games as an underdog in the 3.5 to seven points range. This number is a little high, play the “under.” |
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11-10-18 | Michigan v. Rutgers OVER 44.5 | Top | 42-7 | Win | 100 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
At 3:30pmET, my selection is one Michigan/Rutgers to finish OVER the total. As one of the lowest totals on the board, I believe that this game gives everyone great value on the OVER. Michigan may even enough to score higher than the total themselves as they average 37 PPG this season so far. The last time the Wolverines played in HighPoint.com Stadium, they scored a total of 78 points. Look for another high scoring game. Take the OVER. |
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11-10-18 | Knicks v. Raptors UNDER 219 | Top | 112-128 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 41 m | Show |
The set-up: The Knicks come in off a 112-107 road win over the Hawks, while the Raptors moved to 11-1 after a 114-105 victory at Sacramento to cap off a perfect 5-0 West Coast road trip. New York is averaging 107.3 PPG and it’s allowing 109.9. Toronto is averaging 117.1 PPG and it’s allowing 107.8, which is ranked seventh and ninth respectively. The pick: Kawhi Leonard has been dealing with an injury and Toronto has still found ways to win. But there’s no doubt this one sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for Toronto with the lowly Knicks coming to town. This number is high, play the “under.” 10* |
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11-10-18 | Predators v. Stars OVER 5.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
The set-up: Nashville is 12-3 overall, including 7-0 on the road. Dallas is 9-6-1 overall, including 6-2-0 at home. The Predators come in on top form as they’ve won four straight. The Stars broke a two-game slide with a 4-3 win at home over the Sharks and I believe we’ll see another wide-open/competitive affair between these two surging sides as well on Saturday. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Dallas has seen the total go “over” the number in seven of its last nine after scoring four goals or more in a victory in its previous outing. This number is a little low, play the “over.” |
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11-09-18 | Celtics v. Jazz UNDER 207.5 | Top | 115-123 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
The set-up: Boston enters off an epic come from behind OT win in Phoenix just last night, overcoming a 22-point second half deficit. Kyrie Irving exploded for 39 points. This is the finale of a tough Western swing and in my opinion, I believe the Celtics will be focusing on the defensive end of the floor tonight after Thursday’s marathon victory. The C’s themselves are allowing just 100.7 points per 100 possession on the defensive end of the floor for the league’s best defensive rating. Offensively though the Celtics are ranked 27th with a 103.7 rating. Utah has uncharacteristically struggled on the defensive end of the floor to open the year, but clearly the home side catches a break facing the “gassed” Celtics. The pick: Note that Utah has seen the total go “under” in five of its last seven after scoring 115 points or more in a victory in its previous outing. This number is high, play the “under.” |
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11-09-18 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals OVER 6 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
The set-up: Columbus comes in off a 4-1 home win over Dallas and it’ll look to keep the offensive pressure dialled up in the Nation’s capital facing a Capitals team who enters off a 2-1 home victory over Pittsburgh. This is a big time revenge game for Columbus, who I expect to push the pace here. Washington took three of four in the regular season series last year and then took four of six in the first round of the playoffs. Columbus goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky is just 4-6 with a 3.09 GAA and overall the Jackets are allowing 3.47 GPG, ranked 24th. The pick: Washington is No. 1 in scoring at 3.64 GPG and first on the power play with a 34 percent conversation rate. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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11-07-18 | Predators v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
The set-up: Nashville enters off a 1-00 home win over Boston, while Colorado will look to get back on track after a 7-6 OT road loss to Vancouver. Nashville has had the Avs “number” of late, winning all four regular season games last year, and then going on to knock off Colorado in six games of the first round of the playoffs. Nashville is the top defensive team in the league, allowing only 2.14 GPG. Pekka Rinne is 5-1 with a 1.68 GAA and he’s 2-0 with a 2.18 GAA on the road. Colorado is ranked second in scoring with 3.71 GPG, but it’s been decent defensively as well by allowing 2.79. Avs’ net minder Semyon Varlamov is 2-2 with a 1.76 GAA at home thus far. The pick: Take it for what you will, but Nashville has seen the total go “under” in 15 of its last 23 road games when the total is set at six or higher, while Colorado has seen the total go “under” in 13 of its last 21 after playing three consecutive road games. Play the “under.” |
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11-07-18 | Ohio v. Miami-OH OVER 62.5 | Top | 28-30 | Loss | -113 | 51 h 18 m | Show |
The set-up: Ohio is on a roll and that’s not going to stop this weekend facing the RedHawks, who just lost 51-42 to Buffalo. The Bobcats are rolling across the board, , most recently winning 52-14 and 59-14 over WMU as a three-point dog last weekend. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Ohio has seen the total go “over” the number in both games that it’s played so far this season as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range and in three of its last four off a win against a conference rival, while the RedHawks have seen the total go “over” in four of five as an underdog already this year (and in four of their last five as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range). The RedHawks desperately need a win here to keep their bowl hopes alive. With each team pushing the pace, I’m expecting this one to soar “over” sooner, rather than later. |
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11-05-18 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 220 | Top | 101-117 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
The set-up: Memphis is expected to rest some starters in Phoenix on Sunday night, so that it’ll be more fresh for this important game in Golden State on Monday night. After a slow start the Grizzlies have looked a lot a better of late. The Warriors though will look to take advantage of this potentially tired visiting side, while also building on their seven game win streak. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Memphis has seen the total go “over” the number in nine of its last 13 as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Golden State has seen the total go “over” in four of five already this season following a loss by ten points or more. With the home side pushing the pace, look for this one to fly “over” sooner, rather than later. |
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11-05-18 | Flyers v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
The set-up: Philadelphia is just 6-7-1 overall, but it’s 4-3-1 on the road. Arizona is 7-5-0 overall and 4-2-0 at home. The Flyers have seen the O/U going 6-4 so far this season, while the Coyotes have seen it go 4-6. Off a 4-3 OT loss at San Jose and playing the first game of a home and home set before returning to Philadelphia, I’m expecting the Flyers to push the pace here. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Coyotes have seen the total go “over” in seven of their last nine following a four games or more unbeaten streak. This number is a little low, play the “over.” |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys UNDER 40 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -103 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams come off their bye weeks. Tennessee lost 20-19 in England in its final game before its bye, while Dallas fell 20-17 in Washington in Week 7. Both teams need a win and I think each will be looking to establish the run from the “get go.” As a result, expect this total to sneak under the number at the end of the night. The pick: Both teams feature a couple of QB’s who are better at “managing” the game, than “blowing it wide open.” They also feature two very strong RB’s in the Titans’ Derrick Henry and the Cowboys’ Ezekiel Elliot. Take it for what you will as well, but Tennessee has seen the total go “under” the number in four of six already this year as an underdog, while Dallas has seen the total go “under” in six of its last nine non-conference games. This number is a little high, play the “under.” |
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11-04-18 | Blue Jackets v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 26 m | Show |
The set-up: The Blue Jackets come to town off a 4-1 loss to LA on the road, while the Ducks come in off a listless 3-2 home shootout setback to the lowly Rangers. With both teams pushing the pace and looking to get back into the winners circle, the overall situation of this contest sets up as more of a high-scoring “shootout,” than a lower-scoring goaltenders battle. The pick: Note that Columbus has seen the total go “over” the number in four of six already this year against teams with losing records, while Anaheim has seen the total go “over” in four of its last six in the same position. This number is low, play the “over.” |
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11-04-18 | Kings v. Bucks UNDER 236 | Top | 109-144 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
The set-up: After their 146-115 road rout in Atlanta, I think the surging 6-3 Kings take a step back on the offensive side today. Milwaukee enters off its first loss of the season in a tough 117-113 road setback in Boston and it’ll now look to avoid a letdown here. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Sacramento has seen the total go “under” the number in five of its last six after three or more consecutive SU wins and in nine of its last 15 following a victory by ten points or more, while Milwaukee has seen the total go “under” in its last three when the total in the contest is greater than or equal to 230. These are two young teams which like to get out and push the pace from start to finish and while this can still be a high-scoring affair, I look for this total to say “under” this sky-high number in the end. |
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