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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-09-17 | Rice -1.5 v. UTEP | Top | 76-86 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls over Texas El Paso. It's absolutely true that UTEP is red-hot in Vegas, as it's covered 13 straight games. But, generally speaking, hot streaks typically fizzle out in the post-season. Indeed, teams on 10-game (or better) ATS runs have only covered 28% in the post-season since 1991! That doesn't bode well for the Miners today. Also, UTEP falls into a negative 38-89 ATS system of mine which goes against certain team on long ATS win streaks. Take Rice. NCAA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-08-17 | Washington +12 v. USC | Top | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show |
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over Southern Cal. Washington has lost 12 straight games (2-10 ATS), including 98-68 and 74-58 defeats last week. But double-digit dogs off back to back double-digit losses have cashed 71% in the post-season since 1991 vs. foes off a straight-up win. Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-08-17 | DePaul +10.5 v. Xavier | Top | 64-75 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 3 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons + the points over Xavier. Xavier defeated DePaul in both meetings this season. But double-revenging underdogs (or PK) have gone 23-11 ATS in the Big East Tournament. Take DePaul. |
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03-08-17 | Missouri +6.5 v. Auburn | Top | 86-83 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Auburn. Missouri's lost its last six games, but we'll grab the points with the Tigers, as revenge-minded SEC Conference teams have cashed 68% in the post-season over the past 27 years off an ATS loss, if they weren't getting 10+ points, and their opponent is off a SU/ATS win. Take Mizzou. |
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03-08-17 | Duquesne -2.5 v. St. Louis | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes minus the points over St. Louis. The Billikens have covered four straight, while Duquesne has lost its last five games, straight-up. Yet, St. Louis has been installed as an underdog this evening. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on St. Louis, but consider that, in the post-season, teams on a 4-game (or worse) losing streak have covered 69% vs. foes off 4+ ATS wins since 1991, if our 'cold' team wasn't getting 6+ points. Take Duquesne. |
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03-08-17 | Kings +15 v. Spurs | Top | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over San Antonio. The Spurs have won eight straight, but they're not making friends in Las Vegas, as they've dropped their last four to the pointspread. They have also failed to cover each of the last four meetings vs. the Kings. This is a tough situational spot for San Antonio, as it has a big game tomorrow night at Oklahoma City, so if it gets a big lead, I would be surprised to see coach Gregg Popovich extend the minutes for his starters. The Kings are a solid 9-2 ATS their last 11 off 3+ losses, while the Spurs are 2-5 ATS this season vs. foes playing with double-revenge. Take Sacramento. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-08-17 | Jazz v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 115-108 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Utah. The Rockets did everything BUT win in San Antonio on Monday, as they led most of the way, but were outplayed by Kawhi Leonard in the late stages to fall by 2 points, 112-110. Still, Houston covered the spread, which was its third straight ATS win. I look for it to make it four in a row tonight, as it will be playing with revenge from a 19-point loss at Utah earlier this season. And Houston falls into several of my better revenge angles tonight. The Rockets are also 28-11 ATS their last 39 regular season games off a loss, including 9-0 ATS vs. .600 (or better) foes. Even worse for Utah: it's an awful 0-15 SU/ATS as road underdogs priced from +3 to +8.5 points since Dec. 8, 2015! Take Houston. |
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03-08-17 | Nets v. Hawks -9.5 | Top | 105-110 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Brooklyn. The Nets got a rare win in their previous game -- a huge upset, as a 10.5-point underdog at Memphis. But Brooklyn is still just 11-51 on the season. And they've yet to win back-to-back games all year. One of the things I love to do is go against awful teams off wins, and this is a great spot to do just that, with Atlanta coming in off 3 straight defeats. The Hawks fall into a 69.76% ATS system of mine which plays on certain .444 (or better) teams off losses vs. foes off a win. Take Atlanta. |
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03-08-17 | Lehigh v. Bucknell -4.5 | Top | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison minus the points over the Lehigh Mountain Hawks. Bucknell lost both meetings to Lehigh this season, but still had a better conference record, so it earned home court advantage for this Championship game. Going into its semi-final match vs. Navy, the Bison were 6-0 ATS this year. But they failed to cover the spread in their 5-point win. However, home teams playing with double revenge have cashed 69% as favorites in the post-season since 1991 if they failed to cover the spread in their previous game. Take Bucknell minus the points. |
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03-08-17 | Air Force +6 v. Wyoming | Top | 83-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Air Force + the points over Wyoming. Air Force was blown out, 98-70, at home by Boise State in its last regular season game, while Wyoming downed San Jose St., 74-62. Unfortunately for Wyoming, it's a horrid 1-21 ATS in the post-season when not getting 8+ points, if it's matched up against a foe off a loss! That doesn't bode well for the Cowboys. Moreover, Air Force falls into 73-36 and 32-4 ATS systems of mine which play on certain teams off double-digit losses. Take the Falcons + the points. Mountain West Tourney Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-07-17 | Blazers v. Thunder -6.5 | Top | 126-121 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Portland. The Thunder play with revenge from a 114-109 loss at Portland five days ago. Since that game, the Thunder also lost road games at Phoenix and Dallas, so they're on a 3-game losing streak at the moment. Portland, meanwhile, is on a 2-game SU/ATS win streak, as it blew out Brooklyn on Sunday. I love OKC to snap its losing streak tonight, as it's 17-0 SU/ATS as a home favorite in the regular season when playing with revenge against an opponent off a win, provided that opponent did not fail to cover the spread in its previous game. Take the Thunder. Perfect 10 Club Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-07-17 | Pittsburgh -1 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 61-59 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Pitt Panthers over Georgia Tech. The Panthers have dropped four straight (and three straight to the pointspread). Unfortunately for Georgia Tech, it is a woeful 9-36 ATS if it's not getting more than four points, and its opponent is on a 3-game ATS losing streak (including 0-8 ATS its last eight). Take Pitt. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-07-17 | Bethune-Cookman +1 v. Delaware State | Top | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Bethune-Cookman Wildcats over Delaware State. The Hornets went into Daytona Beach earlier this season and defeated the Wildcats, 88-82. But we'll take Bethune-Cookman in the rematch, as revenge-minded teams off a win, have cashed 78.2% in the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Tourney, if they're priced from PK to +8. Take the Wildcats. |
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03-07-17 | Boston College +13 v. Wake Forest | Top | 78-92 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over Wake Forest. Wake Forest is on a 3-game win streak after upsetting Virginia Tech at the end of the regular season. On the opposite end of the spectrum, the Eagles have lost 14 straight games. But I love them as double-digit underdogs this afternoon, as they fall into 99-41 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on losing streaks. BC also falls into 64-25 and 73-35 ATS Tourney systems of mine that play on certain teams off blowout losses (BC lost, 82-68, at Clemson in its final regular season game). Finally, the Eagles are 95-54 ATS away from home off a pointspread defeat, while the Demon Deacons are 9-17 ATS off an upset win. Even worse for Wake Forest: it's 8-22 ATS its last 30 in the ACC Tourney, including 1-10 ATS when favored by more than two points. Take Boston College. |
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03-06-17 | Siena v. Iona -2 | Top | 86-87 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Iona Gaels minus the points over Siena. The Saints pulled a monster upset yesterday when they stunned Monmouth, 89-85, as a 7-point underdog. But off that big win, we'll fade Siena tonight. Iona plays with revenge from a 2-point home loss to the Saints in February. But the Gaels are 16-2-1 ATS (including 7-0 ATS their last 7) when playing with revenge from a home defeat earlier in the year. And the revenger is 10-4 ATS in MAAC Championship Games. Iona's also 9-2 SU and 7-4 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Lay the points with Iona. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-06-17 | Rockets +4 v. Spurs | Top | 110-112 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets over San Antonio. Houston plays this game with double revenge tonight, and falls into a 119-72 ATS 'double-revenge' angle of mine. The Rockets are also 17-6 ATS since 2000 vs. division foes on the road when playing with same-season double-revenge. Take the Rockets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-06-17 | Warriors v. Hawks +6 | Top | 119-111 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Golden State. The Hawks have been one of the few teams to have played Golden State exceptionally well over the Warriors' brilliant last 3 seasons. These two teams have met five times, and the Hawks are 1-4 SU, but 3-2 ATS, and have lost by an average of just six points per game. The last two meetings (both Warriors wins in Oakland) have been by just 4 and 5 points. Here, of course, the game is in Atlanta, and we'll take the points with the home underdog. Both Atlanta and Golden State had to play yesterday but (like our play on Milwaukee on Saturday vs. Toronto), the Warriors were faced with an overnight travel situation, while Atlanta stayed put at home. Atlanta falls into a 64% ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams off home losses. Also, the Hawks are 68-41 ATS at home off a home loss when playing an opponent off a win. Take Atlanta. |
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03-06-17 | Heat v. Cavs -8 | Top | 106-98 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the Miami Heat. We played on the Heat on Saturday night vs. Cleveland, and got the cash in a blowout win by Miami (which was playing with revenge from a 30-point blowout loss to the Cavs). The tables, of course, are turned tonight, and it's now Cleveland which will be playing with revenge from a 28-point loss to Miami. Cleveland falls into a 74-33 ATS revenge system of mine. And it's also worth noting that the Cavs are 23-6 ATS their last 29 home games vs. non-division foes when dressed up in a revenge role (including a perfect 8-0 ATS when they lost by 14+ points in the previous meeting). Take Cleveland. |
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03-06-17 | Youngstown State v. Northern Kentucky -7.5 | Top | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Kentucky Norse minus the points over Youngstown State. The Penguins upset Oakland, 81-80, as a 13.5-point underdog. But Youngstown now falls into a negative 14-39 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams in conference tourneys off upset wins over .751 (or better) foes (Oakland's win pct. was .774). The Norse are 17-8 ATS their last 25, including 14-4 ATS when not getting more than 2 points. Take Northern Kentucky. |
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03-06-17 | Central Michigan v. Kent State -8.5 | Top | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes minus the points over Central Michigan. We played on CMU in its last game, and got the cash when it lost by 8 as a 10 point underdog. Overall, CMU has lost its last seven games (1-6 ATS), and we'll switch gears and go against the Chippewas this evening. Kent is 5-1 SU its last six (4-2 ATS) and plays with revenge from a 7-point loss to the Chips on Jan. 28. The Golden Flashes are 56-28-4 ATS when playing with same-season revenge, including 20-7 ATS off a SU/ATS loss. Take Kent St. |
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03-06-17 | College of Charleston v. North Carolina Wilmington -3.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the NC Wilmington Seahawks minus the points over Charleston. Wilmington is 28-5 on the season, and comes into tonight's game on a six-game win streak. It split the season series, 1-1, with Charleston, but lost the last meeting, on Feb 2, 67-66. Wilmington is 66-47 ATS when running with same-season revenge, including 15-8 ATS in the post-season. And the Seahawks fall into a 150-83 ATS 'revenge' system of mine which plays on certain revengers in Tourney games favored by more than 2 points. Take the Seahawks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-05-17 | Wright State v. Northern Kentucky | Top | 77-82 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Wright State Raiders over Northern Kentucky. Wright State blew out Illinois Chicago, 87-49, last Sunday. And the Raiders now fall into a super 'momentum' system of mine. What we want to do is play on any Tourney team off a SU/ATS win that won by 30+ points in its last regular season game, provided it wasn't favored by double-digits in that previous game, and is now not favored by more than six points. Such teams have rolled on to cover 79% of their Tourney games over the past 27 years. Take the Raiders. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-05-17 | Denver +3 v. South Dakota State | Top | 73-83 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Denver Pioneers + the points over S. Dakota St. Denver comes into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses, while the Jackrabbits have won their last 3, and covered their last four. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on South Dakota State, given that its recent form is better. But consider that, since 1991, teams off 3 SU/ATS losses have cashed 69.2% in Tournament games vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins, provided the game wasn't being played on the "hot" team's home court. Take Denver + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-05-17 | Minnesota v. Wisconsin -7 | Top | 49-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Minnesota. The Badgers have dropped three straight, and were upset as an 11.5-point home favorite on Thursday by Iowa, while Minnesota has won its last eight games. Yet Wisky finds itself installed as a big home favorite on Sunday. We'll lay the points as favorites of more than 3 points, off an upset loss, have cashed 65.1% since 1990 vs. conference foes off 7+ wins. Take Wisconsin. |
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03-05-17 | Illinois-Chicago +6 v. Green Bay | Top | 79-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Illinois-Chicago Flames + the points over Green Bay. The Flames were blown out by 38 points at Wright State last Sunday. But College teams off losses by 35+ points have rebounded to cover the spread in their initial Conference Tournament game when matched up against foes off a win. Since 1990, such teams have gone 67% ATS. Take Illinois-Chicago. |
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03-04-17 | Montana State v. Weber State -7.5 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Weber State Wildcats minus the points over Montana State. Weber has lost its last four games, straight-up, and has failed to cover its last nine ATS. But those losing streaks has set up the Wildcats in several of my favorite NCAA systems, with records of 52-20, 146-94 and 67-31 ATS systems. Moreover, the Bobcats have won their last five. But .500 (or better) underdogs off 3+ wins have covered just 22% since 1990 as dogs of more than 7 points, if they're playing a conference foe off 3+ losses. Take Weber St. Big Sky Game of the Month. Good luck as always....Al McMordie. |
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03-04-17 | Mercer v. East Tennessee State -6 | Top | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers minus the points over Mercer. ETSU had its 6-game win streak snapped last Monday by NC Greensboro. But I look for the Bucs to start a new streak this evening, as they fall into 58-18 and 85-27 ATS systems of mine. Even better: East Tennessee is a perfect 10-0 ATS off an upset loss, provided it wasn't laying 7+ points. Take East Tennessee. Good luck, as always....McMordie. |
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03-04-17 | Cavs v. Heat +1.5 | Top | 92-120 | Win | 100 | 2 h 35 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat over Cleveland. Miami was drilled by the Cavs, 114-84, in the rpevious meeting. But NBA teams are 67% ATS the past 27 years when playing with revenge from a 30-point (or worse) defeat, and favored against a foe off a SU/ATS win. Take Miami. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, Al McMordie. |
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03-04-17 | Raptors v. Bucks +1.5 | Top | 94-101 | Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over Toronto. Both of these teams scored upset wins last night. Milwaukee won at home last night, 112-101, over the LA Clippers, while Toronto went into Washington and stunned the Wizards. But even though each played last night, Toronto will have the disadvantage of having to travel overnight, while Milwaukee stayed put, at home. We'll take the Bucks on Saturday, as they now fall into a strong 98-56 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain home teams off double-digit home wins the previous night. Take Milwaukee over Toronto. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-04-17 | Jacksonville State v. Tennessee-Martin +2 | Top | 66-55 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Martin Skyhawks + the points over Jacksonville St. The Skyhawks have been installed as a small underdog. And the underdog has barked loudly in the Ohio Valley Conference title games over the years, as they've gone 8-2 ATS, including 6-0 ATS the last six years. Additionally, Tennessee Martin lost to Jacksonville State in the teams' one meeting this season. And i have two great revenge systems, with records of 29-8 and 14-1 ATS that are on Tennessee Martin tonight. Finally, the Skyhawks are 11-3 ATS as a Tourney underdog. Take the points with Tennessee Martin. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-04-17 | Washington +15.5 v. USC | Top | 58-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over the USC Trojans. USC snapped its four game SU/ATS losing streak with a 23-point win (and cover) vs. Washington State earlier this week. But USC is an awful 15-45 ATS at home off a pointspread win, if it's not off 2+ wins overall. Take Washington. |
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03-03-17 | Nets v. Jazz -13.5 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz over the Brooklyn Nets. The Nets finally won a game their last time out, with an upset of Sacramento. That ended Brooklyn's 16-game losing streak. But faithful followers know I love going against bad teams off wins, and I'll once again do that tonight. Even worse for Brooklyn: it has to play the Jazz after they suffered an upset home loss, in which they failed to cover by 33.5 points. But home teams are a solid 94-69 ATS in the regular season after failing to cover the spread by more than 25 points at home in their previous game, including 45-26 ATS vs. foes off a win. Take the Jazz. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-03-17 | Thunder -4 v. Suns | Top | 111-118 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Phoenix. Both of these two teams played last night. The Thunder were upset by the Trail Blazers, while the Suns upset the Hornets. But over the past 21 seasons, unrested home dogs off upset wins have covered just 32% vs. unrested foes off upset losses. Take the Thunder to bounce back. NBA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-03-17 | Youngstown State +4 v. Cleveland State | Top | 84-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Youngstown St. Penguins + the points over Cleveland St. Youngstown comes into this game off back to back blowout losses (by 29 and 14 points). However, NCAA teams off back to back losses by 14+ points have covered 67.6% of Conference Tourney games since 1990 when matched up against an opponent off a SU/ATS win. Take the Penguins. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-03-17 | Central Michigan +10 v. Western Michigan | Top | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas over Western Michigan. The Broncos have won and covered seven straight. Unfortunately, teams on 7-game SU/ATS win streaks have only covered 30.4% of the time in Conference Tourneys since 1994. Take Central Michigan. |
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03-03-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee +2 v. Detroit | Top | 85-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on Wisconsin Milwaukee + the points over Detroit. The Panthers have dropped 9 straight games, but fall into a 134-63 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on losing streaks. Moreover, Milwaukee was upset by Detroit a week ago, 81-74. But teams off SU/ATS losses, and playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, have cashed 62.2% in Conference Tourneys since 1990 when not installed as a dog of more than 2 points, provided they're not playing on their opponent's home court. Take the Panthers. |
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03-03-17 | Loyola-Chicago -3 v. Southern Illinois | Top | 50-55 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Chicago Ramblers over Southern Illinois. The Ramblers were upset by the Salukis in Carbondale in the final regular season game for each team. But we'll take Loyola Chicago in the rematch, as teams off upset losses have cashed 64.8% of the time in Conference Tournaments the past 27 years, if the game is a rematch from the final regular season game of each team, and our revenger is not playing on its opponent's home court. Take Loyola. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-02-17 | Manhattan +6.5 v. Rider | Top | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Manhattan Jaspers + the points over Rider. Manhattan falls into 27-2, 39-6 and 90-50 ATS Tourney systems of mine. Moreover, underdogs off a SU/ATS loss have cashed 67% in the post-season vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins that also have a winning ATS record, provided our dog is playing on a neutral or home court. Take Manhattan. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-02-17 | Drake +3.5 v. Bradley | Top | 58-67 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs + the points over the Bradley Braves. Bradley's covered its last seven games, while Drake is on an 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS run. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice-cold Bulldogs and on the red-hot Braves. But I wouldn't do that if I were you. Bradley falls into several negative systems of mine, based on its 7-game ATS wins streak (with records of 11-41, 58-102 and 22-42 ATS). Even worse: the Braves are off 3 straight upset wins, and that fact has also triggered several negative angles, with records of 22-37, 50-81, and 8-21 ATS. Take Drake + the points. Missouri Valley Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-02-17 | Arkansas State v. Troy State -2.5 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Troy State Trojans minus the points over Arkansas State. The Trojans fall into a 149-85 ATS system of mine. Additionally, the Red Wolves have covered just 35 of 84 games away from home following a game at home. Take Troy State. |
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03-02-17 | Warriors -7.5 v. Bulls | Top | 87-94 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors over the Chicago Bulls. The Warriors, of course, lost in more ways than one at Washington, on Tuesday night. They lost on the scoreboard, and they also lost their best player, Kevin Durant, to injury for the next few weeks. There's no doubt that his absence creates a void on the Warriors. He's a versatile defender. And without his size on the court, the Warriors are really small. But the last time the Warriors were defeated in two straight regular season games was back in April of 2015 when they lost to the Spurs and Pelicans in back to back games. Of course, it's possible that the Chicago Bulls could turn the trick tonight, and upset Golden State. But I wouldn't bet on it. The Warriors have now played 146 regular season games without losing two straight. And they're also 76-48 ATS off a loss since February 18, 2012. Moreover, rested, single-digit NBA road favorites, off an upset loss on the road, are 219-161 ATS in the regular season. We played on Golden State when these two teams met in Oakland, on February 8, and the Warriors rewarded us with a 31-point win. Coincidentally, they also won by 31 points the last time these two met here, at the United Center, a little over a year ago. Take Golden State. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-02-17 | Florida International +18 v. Middle Tennessee | Top | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers + the points over Middle Tennessee St. The Panthers fall into one of my favorite systems, which is 492-339 ATS since 1990. Also, double-digit underdogs off 3 SU/ATS losses are 58% ATS away from home if they failed to cover by double-digits in their previous game. Take the Panthers. |
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03-01-17 | Utah State v. UNLV +5 | Top | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over Utah State. The Rebels are 0-9 SU and 1-7-1 ATS their last nine games, but we'll take them in this home underdog role tonight, as they fall into a 99-44 ATS system of mine that plays on certain teams on long losing streaks. Additionally, this will be UNLV's final home game of the season. And teams are 64% ATS since 1990 in their final home games, if they're off 3+ losses and their foe is off a win by more than 16 points. With Utah State in off an 89-58 win over Air Force, we'll take UNLV on this Wednesday. |
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03-01-17 | Washington University +24 v. UCLA | Top | 66-98 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over UCLA. The Bruins upset the Arizona Wildcats, 77-72, in Tucson last week, for their seventh straight win. And they now return home to face a reeling Washington club, off 10 straight losses. I expect UCLA to have a big letdown tonight, and will take the points with the Huskies, as UCLA falls into negative 124-222 and 130-237 ATS systems of mine that play against certain double-digit favorites off upset wins. Take Washington + the points. |
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03-01-17 | Cavs v. Celtics +1 | Top | 99-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over Cleveland. The Celtics were upset by the Hawks in their last game, and also play with revenge from two losses to Cleveland earlier this year. That's all the ammunition we need to pull the trigger on Boston tonight, as winning teams, off upset losses, and favored at home vs. winning conference foes, are 106-64 ATS in the regular season if they have revenge, and their opponent is off a win. Take Boston. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-01-17 | Richmond v. Massachusetts +1.5 | Top | 75-64 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the UMass Minutemen over Richmond. The Minutemen blew out La Salle, 84-71, as a 1.5-point home dog in their last game, and have been installed, once again, as a home underdog tonight vs. the Spiders. We'll grab the points with UMass, as home dogs of less than 9 points are a solid 59% ATS since 1990 off double-digit upset home wins. Take UMass. |
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02-28-17 | Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois -2 | Top | 70-56 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Western Michigan. The Broncos have won and covered their last six games. But four of those six were home games, while their two road wins were against Miami-Ohio (3-13 in Conference games) and Toledo (8-8 in Conference games). The Broncos have a great home record this season (11-2), but have been horrid away from home (2-13). That doesn't bode well for them in DeKalb tonight. Moreover, the Broncos fall into negative 95-153 and 69-121 ATS systems of mine that go against teams on long ATS win streaks. Finally, Northern Illinois does come into this game off a 16-point loss at Eastern Michigan. But NIU falls into a great 46-8 ATS angle of mine which plays on certain favorites in conference games off a double digit loss when matched up against teams off back to back wins. Take Northern Illinois. Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-28-17 | Florida State v. Duke -6.5 | Top | 70-75 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Florida State. Duke comes into this game on a rare 2-game losing streak, as it was upset by both Syracuse and Miami. So the Blue Devils should be in an ornery mood tonight. Making matters worse for Florida State is that it already defeated Duke in Tallahassee by 16 points earlier this year. And Duke is an awesome 78% ATS since 1995 as a favorite when playing with same season revenge vs. a foe off back to back wins. Finally, this is Duke's final home game of the season. And teams playing their final home game are 63.2% ATS since 1999 off back to back upset losses! Take Duke. Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-27-17 | Pacers v. Rockets -10.5 | Top | 117-108 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets over the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers defeated Houston at the end of January, 120-101. But Indy was playing much better basketball at that time, as it was in the midst of a 7-game win streak. Not so, at the moment, as the Pacers have lost seven of their last eight games (3-5 ATS). In contrast, Houston was not playing well at the time of the previous meeting, as it was on a 5-8 run (4-9 ATS). But it is now in fine form, with wins in six of its last seven games (4-3 ATS). The Rockets fall into a 232-142 ATS system of mine which plays on certain top-level teams with revenge. And Indiana has covered just nine of 40 games if it defeated its opponent in the season's previous meeting, and the Pacers scored 107+ in that win (and just 1 of 19 if its foe won its previous game). Take Houston. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-25-17 | Bulls v. Cavs -11 | Top | 117-99 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Chicago. The Bulls handed the Cavs two losses in their two meetings this season, including a 106-94 upset here in Cleveland in the most recent affair. But you know what they say about "paybacks," and Cleveland falls into several of my favorite NBA revenge systems, with records of 38-7, 56-25, 64-24, and 194-111 ATS. Moreover, double-digit favorites that lost the season's first two meetings have cashed 72% since 1990 in the 3rd meeting, if their opponent was off a win. And the Cavs are 22-11 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss earlier in the year. Take Cleveland. NBA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-25-17 | San Diego State +2 v. Colorado State | Top | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs + the points over Colorado State. The Rams have won and covered five straight, but fall into negative 49-120 and 339-492 ATS systems of mine. Even worse for Larry Eustachy's troops: they're a horrid 2-13-1 ATS at home off back to back wins. And they've won just five of the previous 28 games vs. the Aztecs, straight-up. Take SDSU + the points. Mountain West Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-25-17 | Pacers +4.5 v. Heat | Top | 95-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Miami. The Heat pulled another upset last night, in Atlanta, and that was the 2nd straight upset road win for Erik Spoelstra's men. But those two upsets have triggered a negative 41-88 ATS system of mine. Even better: the Pacers lost the first meeting between these two clubs (also here, in Miami), 95-89, back on Dec. 14. But Indy is a super 261-206 ATS when playing with revenge from a road loss earlier in the year. Take the Pacers. NBA Road Warrior Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-25-17 | The Citadel +14 v. Samford | Top | 102-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on The Citadel + the points over Samford. The Citadel was 9-9, but has dropped its last 11 games to slip to 9-20 on the season. I look for Citadel to get the $$$ this evening, as it falls into a 438-273 ATS system of mine which plays on certain double-digit dogs off back to back losses. Meanwhile, Samford's a poor 25-44 ATS home (or neutral) court favorite. Take The Citadel. |
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02-25-17 | LSU +12 v. Georgia | Top | 80-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Georgia. The Bulldogs upset Alabama, as a 5.5-point underdog, on Thursday. But I look for a letdown this evening, as Georgia falls into negative 124-219 and 130-234 ATS systems of mine that fade certain double-digit home favorites off upset road wins. Take LSU. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-25-17 | Baylor v. Iowa State -1.5 | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Iowa St. Cyclones minus the points over Baylor. ISU has been installed as a small home favorite. And it's a spectacular 21-0 ATS when playing with same season revenge, and priced from +1 to -5.5 points. Take Iowa State. |
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02-25-17 | Virginia -7.5 v. NC State | Top | 70-55 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over North Carolina State. UVa has dropped its last four games (both SU and ATS), but is a fantastic 79% ATS since 1994 off an upset home loss, if it also lost two games back. And the Cavs also fall into a 65-27 ATS system of mine which plays on certain .643 (or better) teams off 4+ losses. Take Virginia. |
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02-25-17 | Tulane v. Temple -10.5 | Top | 76-86 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Temple Owls minus the points over Tulane. The Owls are playing their final home game of the season, and they're also off back to back upset losses. But teams off 2 upset defeats are a solid 64.2% ATS in their final home game of the season the past 10 years. Lay the points with Temple. |
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02-25-17 | Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan -5 | Top | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles minus the points over Northern Illinois. EMU has dropped its last seven games (both SU and ATS), yet finds itself installed as a favorite vs. the Huskies. Faithful followers know I love playing on teams on losing streaks. Indeed, we had a big play on NC State this past Tuesday vs. Georgia Tech when the Wolfpack were on a 7-game SU/ATS skid. Coincidentally, the Eagles fall into one of my systems that also tabbed NC State five days ago, and that angle has now cashed 14 in a row, and is 98-44 ATS since 1990. Take Eastern Michigan. MAC Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-24-17 | Spurs -3.5 v. Clippers | Top | 105-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
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02-24-17 | Jazz -3 v. Bucks | Top | 109-95 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. Milwaukee and Utah met earlier this month, and the Jazz rolled to an easy 104-88 victory at home. Utah actually led by 25 at one point in the 3rd quarter. Even worse for the Bucks: that game was before Jabari Parker's season-ending injury. Milwaukee has gone 3-1 in its four games since Parker went down, including 3-0 its last three before the All-Star break. Unfortunately, the Bucks are an awful 6-42 ATS at home off 3+ wins, if their opponent is not playing its 3rd game in four nights (including 0-18 ATS in the final 35 games of the season). That doesn't bode well for Jason Kidd's men on Friday. Finally, Utah should get Rodney Hood back for this game, and it would mark the first time all season that the Jazz were completely healthy. Take Utah minus the points. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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02-23-17 | St. Mary's v. Pepperdine +19 | Top | 78-49 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves + the points against St. Mary's. The Gaels are off back to back blowout wins and covers, while the Waves have lost SU/ATS by double-digits in each of their last two games. But .888 (or better) double-digit favorites, off back to back double-digits SU/ATS wins are a poor 34.7% ATS the past 27 years vs. foes off back to back double-digit SU/ATS losses. Take Pepperdine. |
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02-23-17 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State +5.5 | Top | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes + the points over Wisconsin. The Buckeyes have dropped their last four games, and also play with revenge from a 23-point loss in Madison, in January. But we'll take Ohio State in this home dog role tonight, as OSU is a super 78% the past 27 years off back to back losses, if it is getting more than 2 points, and lost earlier in the season to its opponent (including a perfect 8-0 ATS its last eight). Take Ohio St. |
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02-23-17 | Rockets -3 v. Pelicans | Top | 129-99 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over New Orleans. Immediately before the All Star Break, the Rockets laid an egg at home, as they fell, 117-109, as a double-digit favorite to the Miami Heat. But I look for Houston to come back strong tonight, as it is 106-65 ATS on the road off an upset loss. It's also 14-7 ATS its last 21 following an upset loss, including a perfect 7-0 ATS when not favored by 4+ points. Meanwhile, the Pelicans upset Memphis in their last game before the break, but they're a poor 8-18 ATS off an upset road win, including 0-6 ATS when priced from +3 to +7. Finally, the Rockets fall into a 92-31 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off upset losses. Take Houston. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-23-17 | UTEP v. Florida Atlantic +1 | Top | 60-55 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls + the points over Texas El Paso. The Miners have been a streaky team this season. Earlier this year, they dropped 12 straight games. They're now on a 9-2 run, and have also covered their last nine ballgames. But it's tough to back the Miners tonight, and especially given that they're off back to back road wins, and the game is competitively-priced. For technical support, consider that UTEP is 0-15 ATS following back to back wins away from home when the line was single-digits. Take the Owls. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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02-22-17 | Oregon v. California +3.5 | Top | 68-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
At 9 pm our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Oregon. We played on the Ducks on Saturday in their final home game of the season, and were rewarded with a 28-point blowout win over the Colorado Buffaloes. But off that emotional victory, we'll fade the Ducks on Wednesday in Berkeley. Oregon's won and covered three straight, but road favorites off back to back SU/ATS wins are a dismal 30.8% ATS since 1990 vs. .685 (or better) foes off an upset road loss. With California in off an upset loss at Stanford, we'll grab the points with California tonight. NCAA Roadkill. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-22-17 | St. Louis +22 v. VCU | Top | 50-64 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the St Louis Billikens + the points over Virginia Commonwealth. The Billikens come into tonight's game off back to back double-digit SU/ATS losses. But those two blowout defeats set up our play tonight, as St. Louis falls into 92-34, 114-58 and 172-100 ATS systems of mine. Additionally, .250 (or better) underdogs of more than 20 points have cashed a whopping 84.3% in regular season games since Feb. 10, 1991 off back to back double-digit losses, when matched up against conference foes off back to back double-digit wins. Take St. Louis. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-21-17 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -1.5 | Top | 87-82 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 38 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Ole Miss. The Bulldogs have dropped four straight games, but have been competitive in their last five, as they're 4-1 ATS, with their only ATS loss by a mere point. Miss State is a super 47-25 ATS at home off back to back losses, and is also 7-0 ATS its last 7 at home with same-season revenge vs. .640 (or worse) foes. And SEC Conference home teams, off back to back losses, are 262-196 ATS vs. conference foes if our home team's conference record is worse than its opponent's, and its opponent is NOT off back to back losses. But that's not the best part. If our home team is favored, and also playing with same season revenge, then our 262-196 stat zooms to 35-14 ATS. Take the Bulldogs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-21-17 | NC State +5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina State Wolfpack + the points over Georgia Tech. The Wolfpack are on a 7-game SU/ATS losing streak. But NC State was inferior to each of those seven opponents; it's not inferior to Georgia Tech, as my numbers actually rate NC State as the slightly better club. However, NC State's long losing streak has caused the pointspread to be somewhat inflated. We'll grab the points with (lame duck coach) Mark Gottfried's men, as NC State falls into 97-44, 99-55 and 77-42 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams on SU/ATS losing streaks. Meanwhile, the Yellow Jackets are a dismal 2-12 SU and 0-14 ATS when favored by less than 13 points, if they're playing an opponent off 3+ ATS losses. Take the Wolfpack. |
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02-21-17 | Oklahoma v. Baylor -12 | Top | 54-60 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Oklahoma. The Bears lost a heartbreaker, at home, to Kansas on Saturday, as they were outscored 8-0 down the stretch to fall by two points to the Jayhawks. That was the 2nd straight loss by the 22-5 Bears. But I look for Baylor to rebound on this Tuesday, and blow out the Sooners, as Baylor is 50-21 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses, including a perfect 7-0 ATS vs. .460 (or worse) opponents! Even better: .800+ teams, at Game 25 forward, have cashed 63% at home over the past 27 seasons off back to back losses. Lay the points with Baylor. |
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02-20-17 | Boston College v. Florida State -19 | Top | 72-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Boston College. Florida State comes into this game off back to back losses -- at Notre Dame and at Pittsburgh. But FSU will catch a breather tonight, as Boston College has lost 10 straight games, and is an awful 1-9 on the road this season, and 2-12 in ACC play. Meanwhile, Florida State is 16-0 SU at home (10-4 ATS), and falls into a super 71.7% ATS system of mine, which plays on certain home favorites of -12.5 (or more) points, off back-to-back losses, that are undefeated at home. This will be a roast. Lay the points with the Seminoles. NCAA High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-20-17 | Texas-Arlington v. Georgia Southern +6.5 | Top | 81-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles + the points over Texas Arlington. The Mavericks are 20-6 on the season, and are 10-3 in Sun Belt Conference play. But Georgia Southern is just a half-game behind, at 10-4. The Eagles are 10-1 at home this season, with their only loss by 3 points, 85-82, to Florida Gulf Coast (a defeat they avenged nine days later with a 72-59 win at Florida Gulf). This will be Georgia Southern's final home game of the season, and teams playing their final home game of the season have cashed 62.3% as home dogs of +5 or more points since 1991, if their home W/L percentage was .770 (or better). Additionally, the Eagles fall into a 138-64 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home dogs with strong home courts. Take Georgia Southern. NCAA Roadkill. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-18-17 | St. Mary's v. BYU +4.5 | Top | 70-57 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over St. Mary's. BYU comes into this game with a 19-9 record. It is 14-2 at home, but 5-7 away from Provo (including a 13-point loss at St. Mary's on January 5). Within West Coast Conference play, it is 7-1 at home, with its only loss being an 85-75 defeat to #1-ranked Gonzaga. It is also 30-5 its last 35 conference home games, including 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. So, with that as a backdrop, we'll back the home underdog Cougars against St. Mary's tonight. One of the things I love to do is play on home underdogs with strong home courts. With 36 wins in its last 40 home games, BYU certainly qualifies. And the Cougars fall into a 153-100 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home dogs with strong home courts against .876 (or better) foes. Also, this will be BYU's final home game of the season, and it falls into a 300-226 ATS "Last Home Game" system of mine which takes certain teams in their final home game with strong home records. Take the Cougars + the points. NCAA Roadkill play. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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02-18-17 | North Dakota v. Weber State -5.5 | Top | 77-68 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 37 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Weber State Wildcats minus the points over North Dakota, as Weber falls into 78-21, 162-77 and 285-173 ATS systems of mine that play on certain home favorites in conference games. Moreover, the Wildcats have dropped five straight games to the spread, while North Dakota has won and covered four in a row. But the Fighting Hawks' 4-game ATS win streak has set it up in a negative 71-123 ATS system of mine. These two teams met back on January 19 in Grand Forks, and the Hawks won by six, 83-77, as a 1.5-point underdog. However, Weber State is an awesome 68-25 ATS in the regular season since 2004 when playing with revenge vs. .251 (or better) foes, including 9-0 ATS when priced from -4 to -6 points. And North Dakota is a poor 3-8 ATS in the regular season off a win, when playing an opponent it defeated earlier in the season. Take Weber State. Big Sky Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-18-17 | UTEP v. Rice -8 | Top | 79-71 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls minus the points over Texas El Paso. The Miners have covered eight straight games, including a 77-71 win at North Texas on Thursday. But this extended ATS win streak has placed UTEP in a negative 36-89 ATS system of mine.  Even worse: the Miners are a wallet-busting 19-29 ATS off back to back SU/ATS wins when playing a conference foe off a win, while the Owls are 18-7 ATS off a pointspread defeat when matched up against a conference opponent off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take Rice. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-18-17 | Middle Tennessee v. Marshall +5 | Top | 97-86 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on Marshall + the points over Middle Tennessee St. The Thundering Herd are 12-1 at home this season, and have won 28 of their last 33 home games (22-7 ATS) since January 24, 2015. I love playing on teams with strong home courts when they're installed as home underdogs, and Marshall falls into 125-51 and 138-62 ATS systems of mine that play on such teams. It's true that Middle Tennessee is 22-4 on the season, and comes into today's game off a 26-point win at Western Kentucky. But the Blue Raiders are a horrid 0-18 ATS off a 22-point (or greater) victory, if they covered by 10+ points in that win, and are now priced from -2 to -12 points. Take Marshall. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-18-17 | Rhode Island -3 v. George Mason | Top | 77-74 | Push | 0 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Rhode Island Rams minus the points over George Mason. The Rams are looking to bounce back off back-to-back home losses to Dayton and Fordham, and fall into a 39-16 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back home losses. This afternoon, they'll face a George Mason squad in off an upset win over Richmond. Unfortunately for the Patriots, they're an awful 0-13-2 ATS since 2004 in conference games off an upset win! Take Rhode Island. |
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02-18-17 | UCF v. East Carolina +4.5 | Top | 61-58 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over Central Florida. ECU upset Temple, 78-64, as a 6.5-point home underdog this past Wednesday, which has triggered a solid 96-38 ATS 'momentum' system of mine on the Pirates this afternoon. East Carolina is 29-18 ATS as a dog of +3 or more points off an upset win, while Central Florida is a poor 18-27 ATS on the road off an 8-point (or greater) win. Take East Carolina. |
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02-18-17 | Eastern Michigan +2 v. Western Michigan | Top | 80-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles + the points over Western Michigan. The Eagles have dropped five straight games -- both SU and ATS -- but that sets them up in one of my favorite systems, which is 99-54 ATS. That angle plays on certain teams off 5 SU/ATS losses. Moreover, the Eagles are a fantastic 32-10 ATS away from home off back to back losses, if they're matched up against .556 (or worse) conference opponents. Take Eastern Michigan. |
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02-18-17 | Colorado v. Oregon -11 | Top | 73-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Colorado. The Buffaloes upset the Ducks in Boulder three weeks ago, but I look for Dana Altman's men to avenge that defeat today. This will be Oregon's final home game of the season, and the Ducks are an awesome 10-1 SU and 9-1-1 ATS in their final home games since 2006. Meanwhile, Colorado is an awful 1-8 SU and 1-7-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded opponent, which is playing its final home game of the season. And it's just 10-24 ATS off back to back wins, including 0-12 ATS on the road when priced from -4 to +11.5 points. Take Oregon. |
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02-18-17 | Texas-Arlington v. Georgia State +2 | Top | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers + the points over Texas Arlington. The Panthers come into this game off back to back upset losses, at Appalachian State, and at Coastal Carolina. But those two defeats have triggered a 78-32 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back upsets. Additionally, the Panthers are a super 26-14 ATS at home (or on a neutral court) when playing off back to back losses, including 13-4 ATS when installed as an underdog vs. a conference foe. Take Georgia State. |
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02-18-17 | Kansas v. Baylor -1.5 | Top | 67-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Kansas. The Bears were upset, 84-78, by Texas Tech on Monday. But we'll back them to bounce back and avenge their 5-point loss at Kansas earlier this month, as the Bears are 9-0-1 ATS after giving up 74+ points in their previous game. And they also fall into a 162-98 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams off upset losses. Take the Bears. |
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02-17-17 | Arkansas-Little Rock +8.5 v. Arkansas State | Top | 58-67 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on Arkansas Little Rock + the points over Arkansas St. The Trojans blew a 14-point lead, and lost at home to the Red Wolves, 77-72, back on January 14. That was the first time in six seasons that UALR lost to Arkansas State in Little Rock. But I like the Trojans to avenge that defeat as they're 6-0 ATS their last six roadies when playing with revenge. Additionally, Little Rock falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 320-186 ATS. That angle plays on certain teams away from home vs. .400 (or better) conference foes, if our team is off a SU loss. Finally, it's true that Arkansas State is one of 17 teams that are unbeaten at home this season (the Red Wolves are 10-0). But A-State also comes into this game off back to back road losses. And it had one of its worst offensive performances of the season in its last game, when it shot just 37% from the floor, and lost 62-58 to Texas State, as a 1-point dog. That leads us to our final angle, as we'll note that teams with a 10-0 (or better) home record are a dismal 66-122-3 ATS at home in conference games, if they own a winning SU/ATS record, but lost SU/ATS in their previous game. Take Arkansas Little Rock. ELITE INFO PLAY. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-16-17 | Middle Tennessee v. Western Kentucky +8.5 | Top | 78-52 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 14 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on Western Kentucky + the points over Middle Tennessee St. The Hilltoppers have been installed as a big home underdog on Thursday night against the 22-4 Blue Raiders, notwithstanding the fact that Western Kentucky owns a strong home court, with 32 wins in its last 40 home games. And I'll always look to back such teams at home if I can get at least 5.5 points, as they're 57% ATS since 1993, including a super 62% ATS vs. conference foes off a win. And Middle Tennessee has covered just 11 of 30 as a road favorite, if the Blue Raiders are off a win, while their opponent is off a loss. Take Western Kentucky + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-16-17 | Elon v. Towson -1 | Top | 66-85 | Win | 100 | 28 h 23 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on Towson minus the points over Elon. The Phoenix upset NC Wilmington, as a 6-point underdog on Saturday. But I look for a letdown on the road at Towson, as Elon falls into a negative 53-95 ATS system of mine which fades certain road teams off upset wins. Moreover, Towson lost by 11 at Elon back on January 7, so it will be playing with revenge this evening. And, since that loss, Towson has gone 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS. The Tigers are 19-8 ATS off a SU win, when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. Take Towson. |
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02-16-17 | SIU-Edwardsville +14 v. Murray State | Top | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 28 h 19 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on SIU Edwardsville + the points over Murray State. Faithful followers know I love to play on bad teams, and Edwardsville certainly fits the bill, as it's lost 13 in a row. But long losing streaks like this work to create line value, and we'll happily grab the points with the Cougars, as they fall into 111-60 and 131-61 ATS systems of mine (including a 22-1 ATS subset in that 131-61 ATS angle) that play on certain teams on losing streaks of 5+ games. Even better: the Racers have covered just 16 of 67 games since 2006 when priced from -10.5 to -18 points (including just 9 of 46 at home)! Take Edwardsville. |
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02-15-17 | Kings v. Warriors -17 | Top | 86-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Sacramento. The Warriors were upset, 109-106, by these Kings just 11 days ago. But Steve Kerr's men are 14-2 ATS when playing with revenge in the regular season vs. .376 (or better) foes. Moreover, Golden State is also 38-10-1 ATS its last 49 regular season games vs. foes off a win. Take the Warriors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-15-17 | San Jose State v. Fresno State -7 | Top | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over San Jose State. The Bulldogs have lost 5 straight games ATS, while San Jose has won and covered four straight. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'hot' Spartans. But San Jose falls into negative 127-197, 71-122 and 98-160 ATS "contrarian" systems of mine that fade certain 'hot' teams. Also, Fresno plays this game with revenge from an earlier defeat this season. And the Bulldogs are 12-4 ATS their last 16 regular season games when playing with same-season revenge. Take the Bulldogs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-15-17 | Knicks v. Thunder -7 | Top | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over the New York Knicks. New York played one of its best games of the season this past Sunday, when it defeated the league's 2nd best team (the Spurs), 94-90. Unfortunately for New York, that win has triggered a negative 57-109 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins over strong foes, if they're now matched up against an opponent off a SU/ATS loss. And that win vs. San Antonio was more the exception than the rule, as New York had dropped its four previous games (both SU and ATS) prior to Sunday's win. Even better: the Thunder are 28-15-1 ATS their last 44 following a game in which they failed to cover by 10+ points, if their opponent covered the pointspread, itself, by 10+ points in its previous game. Take OKC. |
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02-15-17 | Tulane +23.5 v. SMU | Top | 75-80 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over SMU. The Green Wave lost by 29 to Houston in their last game. But Tulane generally rebounds off bad defeats, and especially on the road, as it's 11-3 ATS off 20-point (or worse) defeats when playing on the road. Also, underdogs of more than 19 points, off double-digit home losses, are 130-84 ATS since 1990 vs. foes off back to back wins. Take Tulane. |
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02-15-17 | North Carolina v. NC State +10.5 | Top | 97-73 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina State Wolfpack + the points over North Carolina. The Wolfpack were blown out 107-56 in Chapel Hill, in January. But we'll take NC State to avenge that embarrassing defeat, as ACC teams have cashed 78% at home over the past 26 years when playing with revenge from a 34-point (or worse) defeat earlier in the season. Take NC State. |
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02-15-17 | Creighton v. Seton Hall +1.5 | Top | 81-87 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates over Creighton. The Blue Jays are 21-4 this season, and already bested the Pirates, 89-75, back on Dec. 28. However, Seton Hall falls into a 76-25 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams against .876 (or better) foes off wins by 18+ points. Additionally, Seton Hall is a super 21-6 ATS as an underdog off an ATS loss. Take the Pirates |
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02-15-17 | Bucks v. Nets +5.5 | Top | 129-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. As the NBA teams enter this weekend's All-Star Break, a few teams, like Brooklyn, will be looking to snap losing streaks. The Nets, of course, have the league's worst losing streak, which is currently at 13 games following their 112-103 home loss to Memphis on Monday. But the good news is that .310 (or worse) teams playing their final game before the All-Star Break, are a super 15-0 ATS as home dogs of more than 2 points if they're off a home defeat in their previous game. Take Brooklyn. |
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02-15-17 | Wichita State v. Southern Illinois +14 | Top | 87-68 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Illinois Salukis + the points over Wichita State. The Shockers won Round 1 between these two Missouri Valley rivals when they thrashed the Salukis, 87-45, back on Jan. 24. But with 42-point revenge, we'll grab the points with the home underdog tonight. Indeed, teams playing with revenge from a 32-point (or worse) loss to their opponent earlier in the season are an awesome 13-1 ATS at home when getting 6+ points, if they're also off a SU/ATS loss in their previous game. Take Southern Illinois. |
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02-14-17 | LSU +13 v. Ole Miss | Top | 76-96 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
Our selection is on the LSU Tigers. |
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02-14-17 | Ohio v. Eastern Michigan -2.5 | Top | 79-71 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
Our selection is on Eastern Michigan. |
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02-14-17 | St. Joe's +16 v. VCU | Top | 81-91 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
Our selection is on St Joes. |
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02-13-17 | Clippers v. Jazz -8 | Top | 88-72 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz over the LA Clippers. Utah plays this game with revenge from a 13-point loss at Los Angeles earlier this season. But I look for the Jazz to avenge that defeat, as favorites of -8+ points, off a SU/ATS loss, are 73-32 ATS when playing with revenge against a .453 (or better) opponent off an ATS win. Take Utah to bounce back from its upset loss at home two nights ago to the Celtics. Lay the points with Utah. NBA Elite Info. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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02-13-17 | Celtics v. Mavs +2 | Top | 111-98 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks over the Boston Celtics. Boston comes into this game off back to back upset wins, as road underdogs (at Portland and at Utah). But now, it's been installed as a road favorite against the red-hot Dallas Mavericks -- winners of two straight, and also eight of 11. And the Mavericks are 13-3 ATS their last 16, to boot. Unfortunately for the Celtics, road favorites (or PK) have covered the spread in just 28% of their games the past 27 seasons off back to back upset road wins, if they're playing an opponent also off back to back wins! Take Dallas. NBA Roadkill Winner. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-12-17 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech +7.5 | Top | 78-80 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Virginia. The Hokies lost 11 days ago by 23 to the Cavaliers. But Virginia is a poor 13-43 ATS away from home if its opponent is playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. Take Va Tech + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-12-17 | Oregon State +28 v. UCLA | Top | 60-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over UCLA. The Bruins have won 3 straight, while the Beavers find themselves 0-12 in Pac-12 play. But Oregon State falls into a 40-7 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 5+ losses. Take the Beavers. |
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