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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-03-18 | St Bonaventure v. Dayton +2 | Top | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers + the points over St. Bonaventure. The Flyers blew out UMass, 98-78, on Saturday, while Dayton was upset by Duquesne, 70-62. But I look for the Flyers to bounce back on Wednesday, as St. Bonaventure falls into a negative 25-77 ATS system of mine which goes against certain road teams off blowout losses. Also, the Flyers are a solid 4-1 ATS this season off a loss, and they're 67% ATS over the last 28 years as a home underdog off an upset loss. Finally, the Bonnies are a poor 19% (4-17 ATS) as road favorites of 15 or less points vs. foes off an upset defeat. Take Dayton. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-03-18 | Cavs v. Celtics -2.5 | Top | 88-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland. These two teams met in the season opener, and Cleveland bested Boston, 102-99, as a 3.5-point favorite. I look for the Celtics to avenge that defeat, as they fall into a 191-113 ATS 'revenge' system of mine, which plays on certain winning teams with revenge. Also, the Cavs played last night, but are a miserable 9-22 SU and 9-21-1 ATS on the road when playing without rest. Meanwhile, the Celtics are an awesome 23-3 SU and 19-7 ATS as a revenge-minded home favorite, including a perfect 12-0 SU/ATS when favored by 5 points or less. Take Boston. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-02-18 | Georgetown v. DePaul -4 | Top | 90-81 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons minus the points over Georgetown. The Hoyas take the to the road to play DePaul, and are undefeated ATS in their last four games. Unfortunately, that ATS win streak has triggered a negative 12-50 ATS system of mine that goes against Georgetown, tonight. DePaul covered both meetings last season (by an average of 10.25 ppg), and will blow out the Hoyas today. Lay the points. |
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01-02-18 | Texas Tech v. Kansas -7.5 | Top | 85-73 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Texas Tech. We played on the Red Raiders as our Big 12 Game of the Month in their win over Baylor last Friday. But they've had zero success of late vs. Kansas (18 straight losses in the series). The Red Raiders have struggled on the road, generally, over the years, including 73-103 ATS as an underdog (or PK), so we'll lay the points with the Jayhawks, here, at Allen Fieldhouse. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-02-18 | Spurs -5 v. Knicks | Top | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over New York. The Spurs were upset by the Pistons, 93-79, in their last game. But I look for the Spurs to rebound tonight, as they've cashed 65% ATS as road favorites off a double-digit loss since 1993, if they were playing an opponent off an ATS win. With the Knicks in off a 105-103 upset of New Orleans, we'll lay the points with the Spurs. NBA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-02-18 | Michigan v. Iowa +3 | Top | 75-68 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Michigan. The Hawkeyes have won five straight (4-0 ATS), and fall into a 33-4 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain home underdogs off a SU/ATS win. Iowa's also won and covered the last five meetings in this series, and the last four here at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. Meanwhile, Michigan is a dreadful 3-11 ATS off a double-digit home win. Take Iowa + the points. |
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01-01-18 | Alabama -3 v. Clemson | Top | 24-6 | Win | 100 | 62 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:45 pm, on New Year's Day, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Clemson. Nick Saban (along with Urban Meyer) is one of the two best coaches in College Football. And he excels in competitively-priced games, with point spreads less than five points. In that situation, he's a fantastic 35-17 SU/ATS, including a PERFECT 7-0 SU/ATS in the Post-Season! I won't fade those numbers. Moreover, Alabama is 58-26 ATS since 1984 when playing away from home off a point spread defeat. And teams off upset losses to end their season have cashed 62% in bowl games when not laying 3.5+ points. Finally, defending National Champions (like Clemson) are an awful 9-26-1 ATS off a SU/ATS win when not laying more than 10 points, including 0-7-1 ATS as an underdog. Take Alabama. BOWL FAVORITE OF THE YEAR! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-01-18 | Bucks +6 v. Raptors | Top | 127-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors eliminated the Bucks from the Playoffs last season, and this is the first time the two teams have met this season. We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Bucks, as they fall into a 127-90 ATS Playoff revenge system of mine. Also, the Bucks have won and covered two straight, and Toronto is a poor 0-8 ATS its last eight when priced from -1.5 to -7.5 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take Milwaukee. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-01-18 | West Virginia v. Kansas State +2 | Top | 77-69 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats + the points over West Virginia. Both the Mountaineers and Wildcats got their Big 12 Conference seasons off on the winning note with road wins on Friday. The Mountaineers bested Oklahoma State, 85-79, while Kansas State blew out Iowa State, 91-75. These two teams last met in the Big 12 Conference Tourney last March, and the Mountaineers edged the Wildcats by a single point, 51-50 (after the two teams had traded home wins in the two regular season meetings). I look for the Wildcats to avenge that Tourney loss on this Monday, as they fall into an 82-38 ATS Tourney revenge system of mine which plays on certain home dogs that lost in last year's post-season to their opponent. Also, the Wildcats are an awesome 11-3 ATS since 2003 when playing with Tourney revenge, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when priced from +9.5 to -4 points. That bodes well for Bruce Weber's men on Monday. As does the fact that the Mountaineers are a wallet-busting 44-73 ATS away from home off a Big 12 Conference win, including 0-6 ATS in their six opportunities last season as a favorite! Take Kansas State. BIG 12 GAME OF THE WEEK. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-30-17 | Portland State v. CS Sacramento +7.5 | Top | 75-80 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our BIG SKY GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Sacramento State Hornets + the points over Portland State. The Vikings have opened their season with 10 straight ATS wins. George Mason (2011) and UTEP (2017) both covered 14 straight, which are the longest ATS win streaks on record in my database (since 1990). We'll take the Hornets + the points, as home dogs priced from +2.5 to +11 have covered 62% since 1990 vs. foes off 9+ ATS wins. Additionally, the Vikings are a horrid 10-26 ATS on the road off an ATS win, if they're playing an opponent off a SU loss. Take Sacramento State. BIG SKY GAME OF THE MONTH. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-30-17 | Arizona State v. Arizona -6 | Top | 78-84 | Push | 0 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats (rotation #610) minus the points over Arizona State. The Sun Devils come into this game undefeated, and ranked among the Top 5. But I expect Arizona to blow them out tonight, as Arizona has won each of the last four meetings by an average of 19.75 ppg (and covered each of them, as well). Also, undefeated teams, with a 9-0 (or better) record, have been poor (3-22 ATS) when playing with revenge, and getting more than 5 points. Take Arizona. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-30-17 | Wisconsin v. Miami-FL +6 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -101 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Miami Fla Hurricanes + the points over Wisconsin. The Hurricanes stumbled down the stretch with back-to-back losses to Pittsburgh and Clemson end their season. But I love Miami to rebound here, as Bowl teams off back to back SU/ATS losses have cashed 61% since 1980 when not favored by 3+ points. Take Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-30-17 | SIU-Edwardsville +18 v. Murray State | Top | 63-87 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the SIU-Edwardsville Cougars (rotation #649) + the points over Murray St. The Racers are 9-3, including wins in their last two games -- at Detroit, and vs. Eastern Illinois. Unfortunately, Murray St. is one of College Basketball's worst double-digit favorites as they've gone 15-38-3 ATS in that role, including 4-28 ATS off back to back wins. Yikes! Grab the points with SIU-Edwardsville. |
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12-30-17 | Temple +7.5 v. Houston | Top | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls (rotation #521) + the points over Houston. The Owls stumbled in their last game when they fell by 10 points, at home, to Tulane. But the good news for Temple is that it's a strong 12-3 ATS off a double-digit home loss. Take the Owls + the points. |
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12-30-17 | Davidson -5 v. Richmond | Top | 58-69 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats (rotation #583) minus the points over Richmond. Last year, the Wildcats were upset not once, but twice by the Spiders. But you know what they say about 'Payback.' And Davidson will get it this afternoon, as it's 189-138 ATS in Conference play since 1997, while Richmond has dropped 13 of its last 18 home games ATS. The Wildcats also fall into a super 23-3 ATS 'revenge' system of mine. Lay the points with Davidson. |
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12-30-17 | St. Mary's v. BYU +1.5 | Top | 74-64 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars (rotation #620) over St Marys. BYU lost to St Marys, 81-50, in last year's West Coast Conference Tourney. But I love BYU to avenge that defeat, as the Cougars are 103-69 ATS at home off a SU win. And they also fall into a 121-84 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with revenge from a Tourney loss by 14+ points. Take BYU. |
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12-30-17 | Iowa State v. Memphis -3.5 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Iowa State. The Tigers ended their season with a loss at Central Florida in the American Athletic Conf. Championship game, while ISU fell by a point, at Kansas State. But even though Memphis lost in the American Athletic Conf. Title game, just playing in that sort of atmosphere generally is of great benefit to teams in the Bowl games. Indeed, if one plays on a Bowl team which made its Conference Championship game, one would have cashed 55% in the Bowls, including 62% if our team wasn't favored by more than 4 points. That bodes well for the Tigers this afternoon. As does the fact that the Tigers will be playing at home, in the Liberty Bowl. And home teams off losses have cashed 63.1% in Bowl games since 1980. Take Memphis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-30-17 | Louisville v. Mississippi State +7 | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Louisville. The Cardinals and Bulldogs both finished the season with solid 8-4 records, though Miss State owned the better ATS mark (7-5 ATS compared to Louisville's 5-7 ATS). The Bulldogs, though, were upset in their last game, 31-28, by Ole Miss, while Louisville blew out Kentucky, 44-17. Unfortunately for Louisville, teams off SU/ATS wins have been dreadful away from home in Bowl games vs. foes off upset losses, when favored by 3+ points, as they've cashed just 20.5% over the last 37 years. Take Mississippi State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-29-17 | Mavs v. Pelicans -6.5 | Top | 128-120 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Dallas. The Mavericks come into tonight's game off back to back upset wins. But I look for the Pels to blow out Dallas tonight, as New Orleans has won and covered its last three games -- scoring at least 109 points in each game, and winning each by 14+ points. Since 1990, NBA teams off three straight double-digit wins, are 174-109 ATS if they also scored 105+ points in each of their three previous games. Take the Pelicans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-29-17 | Pacers +2.5 v. Bulls | Top | 107-119 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Chicago Bulls. Indiana comes into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS losses (at Detroit; at home vs. Dallas), while Chicago is off back to back SU/ATS wins (at Milwaukee; home vs. New York). And those results set up our play tonight on the Pacers, as Indy falls into a 95-33 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off back to back losses, if they're on the road against a division foe. Also, Indiana is a solid 28-15 vs. division rivals the last three seasons, and 24-11 ATS off a home loss. Meanwhile, the Bulls are a poor 93-126 ATS at home off back to back ATS wins. Take the Pacers. NBA DIVISION GAME OF THE MONTH. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-29-17 | Baylor v. Texas Tech -6.5 | Top | 53-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Baylor. The Red Raiders have had the last six days off. And that bodes very well for them, as they're 22-6 ATS at home when playing with at least the previous five days off, including a perfect 11-0 ATS as a favorite of more than 5 points. Take the Red Raiders on Friday. Big 12 Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-29-17 | Bucks v. Thunder -8.5 | Top | 97-95 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Milwaukee. The Thunder are starting to come together, as a team. They've won six straight (and eight of nine), and have covered the point spread in each of their last three games. We played on Milwaukee last night, and got the cash when they downed the T-Wolves by six points. But the Bucks are a poor 36-62 ATS as unrested road underdogs, when they played at home the previous day, if their opponent is rested. And Milwaukee's also 11-22-1 ATS vs. the Thunder since 2001. Take Oklahoma City. |
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12-29-17 | Hawks v. Raptors -11 | Top | 98-111 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Atlanta. These two teams met earlier this season, and the Raptors pummeled the Hawks, 112-78, for the Hawks' worst (and Toronto's best) defeat of the season. I look for a similar result tonight, as Toronto will be in an ornery mood following two losses in its last two games. Coincidentally, the Raptors were also off back to back losses when they played the Hawks in that first meeting. And the Raptors are 2-0 SU/ATS this season when playing off losses in their two previous games. Meanwhile, Atlanta's 8-20 ATS when playing a foe off back to back losses. Take the Raptors. |
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12-29-17 | Kentucky +8 v. Northwestern | Top | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 51 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Northwestern. Kentucky was 7-5 on the season, but finished its regular season with back-to-back losses, at Georgia, and at home vs. Louisville. However, those two opponents were superior to Kentucky, which as installed as a double-digit underdog in each game, so there was no great shame in losing each of them. In contrast, Northwestern ended its regular season with two dominant defensive performances: a 39-0 shutout of the Golden Gophers, and a 42-7 blowout of Illinois, and finished the season with a 9-3 record. But it must be noted that neither of Northwestern's last two opponents was very good this season. Illinois was 2-10, and finished the year on an 10-game losing streak (and averaged just 13.1 ppg over its last nine games). Minnesota was better than Illinois, but it still only won five of its 12 games (and only won two of its nine Big 10 Conference games). It also ended the season with back-to-back shutout losses, and scored 10 points or less in four of its final five games. So, all of this puts Northwestern's last two defensive games in a better perspective. We'll fade Northwestern, as .900 (or worse) Bowl teams have gone 0-15 ATS over the last 21 years if they didn't give up 13+ points in each of their two previous games, and they were not playing an opponent with a better record. Also, underdogs off back to back losses have covered 69% in the Bowls over the last 38 years vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take Kentucky. NCAA FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-28-17 | Michigan State v. Washington State +2 | Top | 42-17 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Michigan State. Wazzu has been installed as the underdog in this match-up vs. the Spartans. But we'll grab the points, as rested Pac-12 Conference teams have gone 21-0 ATS since 1980 vs. non-conference foes off a win, if our Pac-12 team owned a W/L percentage of .600 (or better). Take Washington State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-28-17 | Wolves v. Bucks -2.5 | Top | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Minnesota. The Bucks have dropped two straight, but they're an awesome 36-10 ATS at home off back to back losses.  The Timberwolves, meanwhile, are off five straight wins, including a 121-104 blowout of the Lakers on XMas Day, and a 128-125 win vs. Denver last night. Unfortunately, NBA teams off back to back wins are a poor 76-115 ATS, if they scored more than 116 points in their previous game, and they're playing a foe off a loss. Take Milwaukee. NBA HIGH ROLLER WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-28-17 | Virginia v. Navy +1 | Top | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Naval Academy over Virginia. There are two things that I try to not do when betting the Bowl games. One is to go against a Service Academy. As I mentioned last weekend in my write-up for my NCAA Game of the Week Winner on Army, the Service Academies have excelled in the Bowls. They're now 32-14 ATS (following Army's win) since 1980. And the other thing I will rarely do in Bowl games is go against a team playing at home. This game, of course, is being played in Annapolis, at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. And that's a big disadvantage for Virginia, which is 7-27 ATS on the road when priced from +1 to -11 points vs. .375 (or better) foes. Take Navy. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-17 | Jazz +12 v. Warriors | Top | 101-126 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz over Golden State. The Jazz lost 4-games-to-none in last year's Playoffs to the Warriors. But one of the things I love to do is play on certain underdogs with revenge from a playoff series defeat. Utah falls into a 74-40 ATS Playoff revenge angle of mine. Take the Jazz + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-17 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -2.5 | Top | 109-99 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
The Lakers are in the midst of a 4-game home stand, while Memphis is on a 5-game road trek. Last night, the Suns won by two points, with a game winning alley-oop at the buzzer, to beat Memphis. Meanwhile, the Lakers were off last night, so they will be well-rested. Los Angeles falls into a super 128-83 ATS system of mine which plays on certain losing teams, at home, off home losses. Take the Lakers. |
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12-27-17 | Cavs -9.5 v. Kings | Top | 95-109 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Sacramento, as the Cavs fall into 192-111 and 332-205 ATS systems of mine which play on certain road favorites off straight-up defeats. Also, the Cavs have dropped three in a row to the point spread. But LeBron James & Co. is 9-3 their last 12 off 3 ATS defeats. And LeBron's teams are 64% ATS in his career as rested road favorites off SU/ATS losses. Take Cleveland to blow out Sacramento. NBA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-17 | San Jose State v. Utah State -12 | Top | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over San Jose State. The Aggies have dropped their last four games to the pointspread, but fall into an 82-34 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 4+ losses in a row to the spread. Also, the Aggies have owned the Spartans over the years, as they are 20-0 straight-up in the last 20 meetings (15-5 ATS), and have covered the last nine in a row. Take Utah State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-17 | Knicks +1.5 v. Bulls | Top | 87-92 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks over the Chicago Bulls. Chicago upset the Bucks in Milwaukee last night, and now come home to take on New York which is rested. The Bulls fall into a negative 57-111 ATS system of mine which fades certain unrested teams off upset wins, while the Knicks are 34-18 ATS off a pointspread defeat. Take New York |
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12-27-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Syracuse -12.5 | Top | 47-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Eastern Michigan. Both of these teams are off to good starts this season: Syracuse is 10-2 while Eastern Michigan is 8-3. The Orange did lose their last game, 60-57, as a 6.5-point home favorite. But I look for the Orange to bounce back off that upset defeat, as the Orange have cashed 59% over the last 28 years as a double-digit favorite off an upset loss. And Syracuse also falls into an 84-34 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses. Lay the points with Syracuse. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-27-17 | Boston College v. Iowa -2.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Boston College. The Iowa Hawkeyes' senior class has lost Bowl games each of the past three seasons, so I expect the Hawkeyes to be extremely motivated this afternoon to break their losing streak in the Bowls. Iowa falls into 135-84, 36-25 and 89-38 ATS systems of mine. Take the Hawkeyes. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-26-17 | Northern Illinois +6 v. Duke | Top | 14-36 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over Duke. The Huskies were upset, 31-24, as a 2.5-point favorite in their final regular season game by Central Michigan. Meanwhile, Duke stunned Wake Forest, 31-23, as a 10.5-point underdog to end its regular season. Unfortunately for the Blue Devils, teams have covered just 34.7% in the Bowls since 1980 off an upset win, if they covered by more than 10 points in that upset, and they're now matched up against an opponent off an upset loss. Additionally, the Huskies are 7-0 ATS since 2012 vs. foes off an upset win. Take the Huskies + the points. |
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12-25-17 | Wolves v. Lakers +5 | Top | 121-104 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over Minnesota. The Lakers have certainly had an up-and-down season. They're 11-20 straight-up, and 15-16 ATS. But they've been sensational against the elite teams in the league this season, as they have covered nine of 11 when matched up against .600 (or better) foes. Meanwhile, the T-Wolves are 4-16 ATS as road favorites vs. .360 (or worse) teams. Moreover, Minnesota's been favored each of the last three meetings here, in Los Angeles, but has been upset each time. Same result on Christmas. Take the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-25-17 | Wizards +5 v. Celtics | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
At 5:35 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Boston. The Celtics have cooled off considerably since their hot 22-4 start to the season. Boston is just 5-5 over their last 10 games (coincidentally, the same record as the Wizards in their last 10). Washington plays this game with revenge from last season's 7-game Series loss to the Celtics, and falls into a 72-40 ATS playoff revenge system of mine. Take the Wizards + the points. |
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12-25-17 | Steelers v. Texans +9.5 | Top | 34-6 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, on Christmas Day, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Pittsburgh. The Texans were walloped by Jacksonville last week, 45-7. And that was Houston’s fourth straight loss. But this is a perfect spot to take Houston to bounce back, and I think they’ll easily cover vs. the Steelers. Last week, Pittsburgh suffered, perhaps, the most brutal loss of the entire season, as they seemingly scored the game winning touchdown vs. New England, but had it overturned on a technicality by the replay officials. I’ve always found that close losses are more difficult to bounce back from than blowout losses, and the way the Steelers lost will surely affect them emotionally. The other big factor here is that Houston is at home, and getting points, while the Steelers are laying points on the road. And home underdogs generally bounce back off blowout losses. Indeed, for technical support, consider that NFL home underdogs of +4 or more points, off a loss by 28 or more points, are 20-1 ATS their last 21 vs. opponents also off a loss. Take Houston. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie. |
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12-25-17 | Akron v. Davidson -9.5 | Top | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over Akron. Bob McKillop's Wildcats returned 4 starters from last year's 17-15 team, but have gotten off to a slower-than-expected 4-6 start this season. In their last game -- a 79-71 upset loss, here, at Hawaii to the homestanding Rainbow Warriors -- they shot a season-low 38% from the floor. But the last time the Wildcats were upset this season was at Appalachian State, when they shot just 40%, and fell, 78-62, as a 10-point favorite. They rebounded nicely from that defeat with a 15-point blowout of Charlotte (while shooting 51.6%) in their next game. I expect a similar rebound this afternoon vs. Akron, as the Wildcats are 59% ATS since 1990 off an upset loss. And they also fall into a 53-13 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off ATS defeats. Take Davidson. NCAA High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-25-17 | 76ers +3 v. Knicks | Top | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
At 12:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over New York. The Sixers have lost their last five games -- both SU and ATS -- but NBA teams are 57-32 ATS since 1990 on the road off 5 SU/ATS losses when playing a division rival. Take Philly. |
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12-24-17 | Houston -2.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 137 h 49 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars over the Fresno State Bulldogs. The Bulldogs have had no success in the Bowl games over the past nine years. They've played in six Bowl games and are a horrid 0-6 SU/ATS. And they've lost by an average of 19.5 ppg! Even worse: since 1980, Fresno State has made 16 bowl games, but it is 0-8 ATS in the Bowls when it wasn't getting 3+ points. We'll take Houston tonight, as it falls into several of my favorite systems, with records of 112-56, 53-17 and 89-37 ATS. Take the Cougars. NCAA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-24-17 | Giants +3.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 0-23 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Arizona. We played on the Giants last week, and got the $$$, even though New York lost outright, 34-29, to the Eagles (but covered as a 7-point underdog). The Giants have dropped their last four games, straight-up, and are 2-12 on the season. But I love them to pull the outright upset this afternoon vs. the 6-8 Cardinals, as they fall into a 102-42 ATS system of mine. Even better: NFL road teams off 4+ losses, and not getting more than 4 points, have covered 81% since 1980 if they're matched up against a foe whose W/L percentage is more than 25% better. Take New York. Underdog Shocker. Good luck, as always, Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Vikings v. Packers +9 | Top | 16-0 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers + the points over Minnesota. The Packers lost at Carolina last week, but they're back home at Lambeau Field for this game against their NFC North division rival. And NFC North division teams are 58-30 ATS off a loss vs. a division foe off a win! Even better: Green Bay plays with revenge vs. Minnesota from an upset loss earlier this season. And teams from the NFC North (or its forerunner, the NFC Central) are 29-6 ATS as underdogs of more than 6 points when playing with revenge vs. a division foe. Take Green Bay. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Bulls v. Celtics -7 | Top | 92-117 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Chicago. After starting the season 22-4, Boston's gone 4-5 since, including back to back upset losses to the Heat and Knicks in their last two games. The Celtics were also blasted by the Bulls, 108-85, earlier this month. But Kyrie Irving didn't play in that game. We'll lay the points with the Celtics in this rematch, as they're 43-24 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge, including 14-4 ATS when they lost the previous meeting by more than 10 points. And they're 8-0 ATS off back to back losses since Jan. 25, 2017. Take Boston. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Appalachian State v. Toledo -6.5 | Top | 34-0 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Appalachian State. These two teams met in last year's Camellia Bowl. The Mountaineers were favored by a point, and won that game, 31-28. Thus, Toledo will look to avenge that defeat. And I think they'll get it, as teams playing with revenge from a loss in the same, or previous season, have generally performed well in Bowl games. And especially if they didn't lose the previous meeting by 17+ points. In that situation, they're 13-1-1 ATS since 2008. Lay the points with Toledo. NCAA Bowl Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Idaho State v. CS-Northridge -1.5 | Top | 67-55 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors (rotation #578) minus the points over Idaho State. The Bengals won Round 1 when these two teams met in Pocatello 17 days ago. Idaho State was favored by 3 in that ball game, and cruised to a 74-66 victory. Unfortunately for Idaho State, it's a horrid 16-34 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, including 9-31 ATS when it didn't win the previous meeting by 12+ points. Finally, Northridge falls into a 101-45 ATS Revenge system of mine. Take the Matadors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Colts v. Ravens -13 | Top | 16-23 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Indianapolis. The Ravens blew out Cleveland, 27-10, last week, while Indy fell to the Broncos, 25-13. We'll lay the points with the Ravens, as they are 17-0 ATS at home off a win by more than 15 points, when playing an opponent off a loss. Take Baltimore. NFL High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Army +7 v. San Diego State | Top | 42-35 | Win | 100 | 108 h 13 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over San Diego State. The Service Academies (Army, Navy and Air Force) have always excelled in the Bowl games, no doubt due to the extreme discipline and preparedness that permeate the programs. Indeed, dating back to 1980, the three academies are 31-14 ATS in the Bowl games, with Army leading the pack at 5-1, 83% ATS. And they're a combined 14-3 ATS when getting more than six points. That bodes well for the Black Knights on Saturday. As does the fact that the Aztecs are 2-5 ATS their last seven as a favorite in the post-season.  Finally, Army led the nation with 356 rushing yards per game, and also was among the Top 5 in yards per rush, with 6.1. And over the last 22 seasons, underdogs of more than four points have cashed 100% (10-0 ATS) in the Bowls if they average at least 5.75 yards per rush. Take Army. NCAA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-23-17 | Wagner v. Dayton -10 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers (rotation #584) minus the points over Wagner. The Seahawks have been a generally poor bet over the last few years, as they're 4-11 ATS their last 15 lined ball games. Meanwhile, Dayton's a solid 28-16 ATS its last 44 as favorites of more than 9 points. And it also falls into an 81-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites of 5+ points. Take the Flyers. |
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12-23-17 | Alabama Aandamp;M +26.5 v. Georgetown | Top | 49-89 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Alabama A&M Bulldogs (rotation #581) plus the points over Georgetown. We played on Georgetown in its last game, a 75-63 win over North Texas. And the Hoyas rewarded us with a point spread cover. But that ATS win snapped Georgetown's 5-game ATS losing streak, and it's just 2-5 ATS on the season. Even worse: the Hoyas are an awful 0-8 ATS when laying 15+ points over the past three seasons. Take Alabama A&M. |
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12-22-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Oakland -7 | Top | 81-86 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies minus the points over Eastern Michigan. These two schools met 16 days ago in Ypsilanti, and the Eagles upset Oakland, 95-89, as a 2-point home underdog. But I love Oakland to avenge that defeat as college basketball home favorites of -5 or more points have cashed 85% over the past 15 years vs. non-conference foes, if our team was playing with revenge from an upset loss away from home earlier in the season. Even better: Oakland is 20-5 ATS since 2015 when playing with revenge, including 14-1 ATS off a straight-up win, while Eastern Michigan is 18-42 as an underdog (or PK) vs. a revenge-minded foe, including 0-11 ATS since 2014. Take Oakland. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-22-17 | Central Michigan v. Wyoming -2.5 | Top | 14-37 | Win | 100 | 85 h 43 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Central Michigan. Wyoming ended its season with two straight defeats. It lost 13-7, at home, to Fresno State. And then was upset, 20-17, as an 18-point favorite at San Jose St. But QB Josh Allen didn't play in either game. He's expected to be back under center this afternoon, and that will greatly help the Cowboys' offense. Meanwhile, Central Michigan upset Northern Illinois, 31-24, as a 2.5-point underdog in its last regular season game. Unfortunately, since 1980, teams off upset wins to end their regular season have cashed just 36% in Bowl games away from home vs. foes off an upset loss. Take Wyoming. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-17 | Portland State v. California -5 | Top | 106-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over Portland State. The Vikings are 9-3 straight-up and 9-0 ATS to start the season, while California is a pedestrian 6-6 SU and 4-5 ATS. But the Vikings' red-hot start "in Vegas" has set them up in an awful point spread situation, as College Basketball teams on a 7-game (or better) ATS win streak, with a .900 (or better) ATS win percentage, are 1-16 ATS as underdogs of +3 or more points in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes. Take California. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-17 | Bulls v. Cavs -10.5 | Top | 112-115 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Chicago. The Bulls won again last night, and that was their 8th straight cover (and 7th straight outright win). They'll now take on LeBron James & Co., in Cleveland. And the Cavs have won 18 of their last 20. Unfortunately for the Bulls, non-winning teams, off 7+ ATS wins, are an awful 0-17 ATS since 1996 as road underdogs of +7.5 or more points. Take Cleveland minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-20-17 | North Texas v. Georgetown -9.5 | Top | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas minus the points over North Texas. These two teams have had "mirror opposite" seasons against the point spread. North Texas lost against the spread in its first lined game, but has covered five in a row since. Meanwhile, the Hoyas covered the spread in their first lined game, but then failed to cover each of their next five. I look for both teams to reverse course on this Wednesday, and will lay the points with Georgetown. For technical support, consider that NCAA teams off five ATS losses have covered 71% since 1990 as a favorite vs. foes off five ATS wins (including 9-0 ATS the last three years). Take Georgetown. NCAA ROADKILL WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-19-17 | CS-Northridge +6.5 v. CS Sacramento | Top | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors + the points over Sacramento State. Northridge comes into this game on a nine-game losing streak (and seven-game ATS losing streak). But we'll grab the points, as the Hornets have only covered 33% of their non-conference games the past 11 years when installed as a favorite. Also, Northridge falls into a 142-63 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 5+ ATS losses. Take the Matadors + the points. |
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12-19-17 | Southern Utah v. Iowa -18.5 | Top | 64-92 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Southern Utah. The Thunderbirds are 6-4 straight-up and 8-0 ATS to start the season. But their hot start has set them up in an awful situation, as College Basketball teams on a 7-game (or better) ATS win streak, with a .900 (or better) ATS win percentage, are 1-15 ATS as underdogs of +3 or more points in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes. Take Iowa. |
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12-19-17 | Northern Colorado v. Wyoming -7.5 | Top | 91-84 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Northern Colorado. Wyoming is 9-3 on the season, and has yet to lose at home. And they're a solid 18-11 ATS as a home favorite. Wyoming also falls into a fantastic 79-23 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites of -5+ points. Take the Cowboys. |
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12-19-17 | Cavs v. Bucks +2 | Top | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over Cleveland. Jason Kidd's Bucks have largely been great since the acquisition of guard Eric Bledsoe from Phoenix on November 7. With Bledsoe in the lineup, Milwaukee won 11 of its first 15 games. But it stumbled last week, and lost all three games. Still, the glass is more than half-full for the Bucks' franchise, as the team is 15-13 this season. And Giannis Antetokounmpo currently ranks as the league's 2nd best player in PER, behind LeBron James. Tonight, the Bucks will attempt to snap their losing streak, and will host Cleveland, which defeated Milwaukee twice earlier this season. But winning NBA teams, playing with double-revenge in the regular season, and also off back to back losses, have covered 63% at home vs. foes off back to back wins. That bodes well for Milwaukee on Tuesday. As does the fact that the Bucks have gone 35-10-1 ATS their last 46 at home off back-to-back losses, including 10-1 ATS if they were playing with more rest than their opponent (which Milwaukee is). Take the Bucks on Tuesday. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-19-17 | Troy State -1.5 v. Austin Peay | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Troy State Trojans over Austin Peay. The Trojans were blown out, 88-63, by Arkansas on Saturday. But Troy has generally bounced back from blowout defeats, as it's 23-10 ATS off a loss by 20+ points. Even better: Troy falls into a 94-36 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take the Trojans. |
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12-19-17 | Marshall v. Xavier -22 | Top | 77-81 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers minus the points over Marshall. Marshall has been a double-digit underdog just once before this season. And we went against Marshall in that game, and got the $$$ with Illinois. We'll go against Marshall as a double-digit underdog again tonight, in this game at Xavier. The Musketeers are the nation's 3rd best field goal shooting team, so Marshall's up-tempo style plays right into the hands of the Musketeers. Xavier's 9-2 ATS this season, while Marshall is a wallet-busting 83-121 ATS as a road underdog (or PK). Lay the points with Xavier. |
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12-18-17 | Nuggets v. Thunder -5 | Top | 94-95 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Denver. The Thunder were upset by the Nuggets earlier this season. But OKC will avenge that loss tonight, as it's an awesome 65-38 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset defeat. Additionally, the Thunder fall into a division revenge system of mine which is 130-64 ATS since 1990. Finally, OKC is also 11-3 SU and 9-4-1 ATS its last 14 meetings vs. Denver. Lay the points. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Cowboys v. Raiders +3 | Top | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Dallas, as Oakland falls into a 124-55 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs. Dallas does come into this game off back to back blowout wins, as it defeated Washington, 38-14, two weeks ago. And it smashed the Giants, 30-10, last Sunday. Unfortunately for the Cowboys, unrested NFL road teams off back to back SU/ATS wins, in which they scored 30+ points in each game, have gone 121-162 ATS. That doesn't bode well for the Cowboys at Oakland. And neither does the fact that, late in the season, NFL home underdogs have excelled, as they've cashed 57.4% off a straight-up loss, at Week 14 forward. Finally, Dallas is 7-6 SU/ATS this season. But it's a woeful 24-41 ATS as a road favorite if it owned a winning SU/ATS record. Take the points with the Raiders. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Cavs v. Wizards +1.5 | Top | 106-99 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavaliers won at home last night, 109-100, over the Utah Jazz. And that was Cleveland's 17th win in its last 18 games. We actually had a big play against Cleveland in the one game it lost over this stretch, and that was when it played at Indiana nine days ago. One of the reasons I loved Indiana was that Cleveland's gaudy record, of late, is primarily due to a very soft schedule. Indeed, of the Cavs' 17 wins, only 3 have come against teams with an average margin of victory greater than 0. And the most difficult road game was the one at Indiana, and Cleveland failed that test. Sunday's game at Washington will also be a staunch test for the Cavs, as it comes on the heels of a game last night. This will be Cleveland's second road game this season when it had to play without rest. The other game was at Brooklyn back on October 25, which followed a home game vs. Chicago. Not surprisingly, Cleveland was upset by the Nets, 112-107, as an 8-point favorite. The Cavs are a dreadful 1-15 ATS their last 16 when playing on the road without rest, if they're off back-to-back wins! Take Washington over the Cavs. NBA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Vanderbilt +10.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 64-76 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Arizona State. The Sun Devils come into this game off an upset win last week at Kansas. That extended ASU's streak to start the season to 9-0 straight-up and 8-0 ATS. In contrast, the Commodores are 3-6 this season, and 0-8 ATS. Thus, this is the rarest of games with respect to two teams going in opposite directions against the spread. Indeed, my basketball database goes back to 1990. There have been 78,660 games played over the past 28 years (with pointspreads), including 61,176 games played where each team had at least eight games under its belt, and it has NEVER before happened that one team had been on an 8-game ATS win streak, while its opponent was on an 8-game ATS losing streak! Of course, one thing that isn't quite rare is a team, by itself, going on a 5-game ATS losing streak. And such teams have actually done quite well as double-digit road underdogs when matched up against foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Since 1990, they've covered 66%. Even worse for the Sun Devils: they're a horrid 15-39 ATS off an upset win since February 2001. Take Vanderbilt + the points. NCAA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Bengals +11 v. Vikings | Top | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 51 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Minnesota. The Bengals' 4-game point spread win streak was snapped last Sunday by the Chicago Bears, as Cincy lost, 33-7, as a 6-point favorite. But underdogs of more than 3 points, off a double-digit loss as a favorite of -6 points (or more), have cashed 63.3% over the last 30 years. And the Bengals also fall into a 140-62 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses. Finally, Cincinnati is 19-5 ATS as an underdog of more than 6 points vs. non-division foes off a loss (including 9-0 ATS their last nine), while the Vikings have covered just 10 of 37 as a 7-point (or greater) favorite off a loss. Take Cincy. NFL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Ravens v. Browns +7.5 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Baltimore. It's true that the Browns are 0-13 on the season (and 1-28 the past two seasons). But it's also a team which is still playing hard. Last week, it fought gamely against a Green Bay team still in the Playoff hunt, and lost in overtime, 27-21. The week before, it played a Chargers squad that's currently won 7 of 9, yet lost by just nine points, 19-10. This week, it will take on the Baltimore Ravens, who lost, 39-38, at Pittsburgh last week. And the fact that Cleveland has yet to win means that it will continue to fight hard for that maiden victory. Indeed, 0-13 (or worse) teams have gone 8-2 ATS in the season's final three weeks. Even more impressive is the fact that those teams went 5-5 straight-up, notwithstanding the fact that they were underdogs in each game (with an average point spread of +9.15). Finally, the Ravens have covered just six of 24 games off back-to-back point spread wins. Don't be surprised if Cleveland wins, straight-up. Take the points with the Browns. NFL Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-17 | Eagles v. Giants +7.5 | Top | 34-29 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles. Certainly, Philadelphia caught a tough break last week when its 1st string quarterback, Carson Wentz, was lost to injury for the remainder of the season. So, now, the Eagles will turn to their 2nd string QB, Nick Foles. Interestingly, the NFC’s top two teams — Minnesota and Philadelphia — both have backup quarterbacks as their starter, so it may be premature to shovel dirt on the Eagles’ grave, as the Vikings are clearly proving that you can have extreme success with a back-up QB. That being said, I’m still going to take the points with the New York Giants on Sunday. One reason is that this will be the Eagles’ third straight road game. And NFL teams are a wallet-busting 71-121 ATS when playing their 3rd straight road game, provided they’re not off back to back losses in the previous two. That bodes well for the Giants. As does the fact that home underdogs (or PK) are 169-123 ATS at Week 14 forward, if they’re off a SU/ATS loss. Take New York. |
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12-17-17 | Jets +16.5 v. Saints | Top | 19-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the New Orleans Saints. The Jets were shutout, 23-0, in an upset loss last week at Denver. But teams off a 21-point (or worse) upset shutout loss have covered 63% over the past 25 years. Take the New York Jets. |
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12-17-17 | Cardinals v. Redskins -4 | Top | 15-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Redskins minus the points over Arizona. The Redskins return home off back to back road losses at Dallas, and at the Chargers. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are off an upset win over Tennessee. But .260 (or better) teams have gone 48-22 ATS off back to back road losses, when matched up against foes off upset wins. Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-17 | Celtics -5.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 102-93 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Memphis. The Grizzlies come into tonight's game off a win over the Atlanta Hawks. And that was just Memphis' 9th win on the season. I love playing against bad teams off a win (as they rarely win back to back games), and we'll pull the trigger on the Celtics tonight, especially since Boston -- a very good team -- is off an upset loss to the Jazz. And, since 1990, .666 (or better) teams off a loss are 68.1% ATS on the road vs. .333 (or worse) non-division foes off a win. Moreover, Boston's 4-1-1 ATS off a loss this season, while Memphis has gone 0-4 ATS after its last 4 wins. Take Boston minus the points. NBA ROAD WARRIOR. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-17 | NC-Greensboro v. NC State -8 | Top | 81-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack minus the points over NC Greensboro. The Spartans are 7-3 SU and 4-0-1 ATS this season, but I look for NC State to hand them their first point spread defeat on Saturday afternoon. Long-term, the Spartans have been dreadful off a point spread win (63-97 ATS since 1990), including 25-44 ATS as a single-digit underdog. They're also a soft 17-24 ATS vs. the ACC Conference, including 0-4 ATS when they owned a winning point spread record. NC State falls into a 131-52 ATS system of mine which plays against certain underdogs off ATS wins. Take the Wolfpack. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-15-17 | Thunder v. 76ers -1.5 | Top | 119-117 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers over Oklahoma City. The Thunder are currently installed as a small underdog on the overnight line. And, should this point spread hold, it will be the very first time the Thunder have been an underdog on the road this season. They were favored in each of their first 14 road games, and have gone 4-10 straight-up and 3-11 ATS in those 14 road games. The other interesting thing to note about this game is that Oklahoma City has defeated Philadelphia 16 straight games. Unfortunately, teams that have won 16 (or more) straight games in a row vs. their opponent have gone just 24-50 ATS, including 0-7 ATS as an underdog! The 76ers are a solid 33-20 ATS at home the past two seasons, and will win and cover tonight. Take Philly. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-13-17 | Portland State v. Oregon -13 | Top | 84-95 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
At 10 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Portland State. The Vikings have ripped off eight straight point spread wins to start the season. But that streak should come to an end, in Eugene, tonight. Indeed, since 1990, College Basketball teams on a 7-game ATS win streak, with a .900 (or better) ATS win percentage, are 0-15 ATS as underdogs of +3 or more points in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes. Take Oregon. NCAA Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-13-17 | Jazz -5 v. Bulls | Top | 100-103 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Chicago. The Bulls come into tonight's game off 3 upset wins, while Utah is off 3 losses. But we'll lay the points with the Jazz, as NBA road favorites of -5+ points, off 3+ losses, have gone 99-65 ATS since 1990. Take Utah. |
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12-13-17 | Thunder v. Pacers | Top | 100-95 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder over Indiana. There's no doubt that the Thunder are underperforming right now. They're 12-14 on the season, and are 7-18-1 ATS, including 0-9 ATS their last nine. But they still have outscored opponents by an average of 2.15 ppg. Interestingly, that's better than Indiana's margin of victory (+1.52), and the Pacers are 16-11 on the season (and 17-10 ATS). But the fact that OKC is underperforming, and Indiana is overperforming has created line value for us in this game. And, for further technical support, consider that teams off 9+ point spread defeats are 48-24-1 ATS. Take the Thunder. |
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12-12-17 | Michigan v. Texas -6 | Top | 59-52 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Michigan. We played on the Wolverines in their last game -- a 78-69 overtime win vs UCLA. That victory moved Michigan to 8-3 on the season. But the Wolverines are 0-2 SU/ATS this year when they had to play on their opponent's home court, with losses at North Carolina and at Ohio State. And they're 6-20 ATS off a home win, including 0-7 ATS their last seven. Meanwhile, Texas is 6-2, but is a perfect 4-0 straight-up at home this season, with an average margin of victory of 27.75 points. These two teams did meet last season in Ann Arbor, and the Wolves came away with a narrow three-point win (as a 10-point favorite). But Michigan is a poor 38% ATS over the past 28 years vs. revenge-minded non-conference foes. And the Longhorns also fall into a 285-174 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites of -5+ points. Take Texas. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-17 | Nuggets v. Pistons -7 | Top | 103-84 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Denver. The Pistons sprinted out to a 14-6 start, but have dropped six straight to fall to 14-12. But take a look at the six opponents that defeated Detroit over the previous 11 days: Washington, Philly, San Antonio, Milwaukee, Golden State and Boston. There isn't a losing team among them. And their combined record is 106-55. Moreover, four of the six games were on the road. So, tonight's home game against the 14-12 Nuggets -- though Denver is also a winning team -- will be a much more winnable game than those last six. Also, for technical support, consider that NBA home favorites of -5+ points have gone 81-54 ATS if they lost their six previous games. And Denver is 0-5 SU/ATS this season as an underdog of +2.5 (or more) points. Take the Pistons. NBA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-17 | Mississippi State v. Cincinnati -11 | Top | 50-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are 8-0 on the season, but have had a diet of creampuffs so far. Indeed, this will be the Bulldogs' first game played away from home this season. And just their 3rd game against a school from a major or mid-major conference (Dayton and Green Bay were the other two). But even though Mississippi State defeated Dayton and Green Bay, it didn't cover the point spread in either game. And neither was particularly close. Miss State failed to cover by 10.5 points vs. Green Bay, and it failed to cover by 8 points vs. Dayton. The Bulldogs did win their most recent game, 95-62, vs. North Georgia. Unfortunately, the Bulldogs are an awful 0-7 ATS off a win by 18+ points. Take Cincinnati. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-17 | Celtics -7 v. Bulls | Top | 85-108 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Chicago Bulls. Fred Hoiberg's men haven't won many games this season -- they're just 5-20 -- but they have won their last two games. However, I love playing against bad teams off wins. And especially off back to back wins, as .300 (or worse) teams have covered just 38 percent at home since 1990 off back to back wins when matched up against an opponent off a win. Boston plays hard every night, as evidenced by its 25-8 ATS record on the road off a point spread win the past two years. Lay the points with Boston. NBA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-17 | Ravens v. Steelers -4.5 | Top | 38-39 | Loss | -105 | 42 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over Baltimore. Pittsburgh was our preseason pick (at 12-1 odds) to win the Super Bowl, and it has done nothing to disappoint thus far. Mike Tomlin's men are 10-2 straight-up, including 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS here at home. And Pittsburgh has long had tremendous success at home, especially in this price range, as it is 89-27-1 SU and 72-44-1 ATS when priced between -3.5 and -7 points! That bodes well for Pittsburgh on Sunday night. As does the fact that the Steelers are 18-7-1 ATS as a home favorite of -2.5 (or more) points vs. Baltimore, including 10-1-1 ATS if the Ravens were off a point spread win. Finally, Baltimore comes into this game off a 44-20 blowout win over Detroit. But the Ravens are a woeful 8-25-4 ATS on the road off a win by more than 18 points, including 0-11 ATS when getting more than 3 points. Take Pittsburgh. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-17 | Seahawks v. Jaguars -2.5 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 36 h 28 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over Seattle. Last week, we had a big play on the Seattle Seahawks as a home underdog vs. Philadelphia. And Seattle rewarded us with an upset win at home. Unfortunately, they now have to go on the road. And winning teams are a dreadful 39-74 ATS on the road vs. other winning teams, if our road team was off an upset win at home in its previous game. Take Jacksonville. Good luck as always…Al McMordie. |
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12-10-17 | Jets v. Broncos +1.5 | Top | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 37 h 20 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos over the NY Jets. Last week, the Denver Broncos were favored by 1.5 points at Miami, but lost, 35-9. Meanwhile, the New York Jets upset Kansas City, 38-31, as a 4-point home underdog. Now, Denver has been installed as a home underdog, and we'll grab the points, as NFL home teams have cashed 80% over the past 17 years off an upset road loss if they're now matched up against an opponent off an upset win, and are not favored by 3+ points. Also, Denver's 27-14-2 ATS its last 43 as home underdogs. Take Denver. NFL Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-17 | Vikings v. Panthers +3 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 33 h 2 m | Show |
At 1 pm our selection is on the Carolina Panthers over Minnesota. This will be Minnesota’s 3rd straight road game. And NFL teams have gone a poor 71-120 against the spread since 1980 if they were playing their 3rd straight road game, and weren’t off back to back losses in the other two games. Even worse for the Vikings: they’ve won eight straight games, and covered their last seven. But as we saw with the Philadelphia Eagles last week in their upset loss to the Seahawks, road teams that are favored (or PK em) off 7 straight point spread wins have covered just 35% over the last 38 years. Take Carolina. |
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12-10-17 | Charlotte +5 v. Tenn Chattanooga | Top | 50-64 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Tennessee Chattanooga, as Charlotte falls into 141-62, 80-18 and 116-55 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off a SU/ATS loss. The 49ers come into this game off a 23-point SU/ATS home loss to Wake Forest, while Chattanooga lost (but covered) as an 8-point road dog to Marshall. Unfortunately for Chattanooga, it's a wallet-busting 20-44-3 ATS off a pointspread win vs. an opponent off a pointspread defeat, including 3-15-1 ATS as a home favorite of -4 or more points. Take Charlotte + the points. NCAA Hoops Underdog of the Week! |
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12-09-17 | Portland State v. Santa Clara -2.5 | Top | 87-84 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos minus the points over Portland State. The Vikings are 7-2 straight-up this season, including an upset win at Loyola Marymount on Wednesday. Even better: the Vikings are a perfect 7-0 ATS on the year. But this 7-0 point spread win streak has set up the Vikings in a negative 39-90 ATS system of mine which goes against certain "hot" teams. Moreover, Portland State is a wallet-busing 35.7% ATS on the road off back to back wins, if it pulled an upset in its previous game, while Santa Clara is an awesome 67% ATS at home since 1990 vs. non-conference foes off upset wins. Lay the points with the Broncos. NCAA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-17 | Thunder -5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Memphis. The Thunder have dropped their last seven in a row to the point spread, which may keep a lot of bettors away this evening. But road teams favored by more than three points, off 7+ ATS losses, have covered 70.8% since 1993. I look for Russell Westbrook & Co. to blow out the hapless Grizzlies on Saturday night. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-17 | Coppin State v. Connecticut -24 | Top | 59-72 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Coppin State. The Eagles are 0-9 on the season, so they should be a welcome sight for a 6-3 UConn team which has gone 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS over its last five games (after starting the season 4-0). But .800 (or worse) teams, favored by more than 18 points, off 5+ ATS losses, have covered 70.3% over the past 28 years. Take the Huskies. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-17 | UCLA v. Michigan -4.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on Michigan minus the points over UCLA. The Wolverines lost their previous game, 71-62, at Ohio State. But U-M is 53-31 ATS off a loss. And .500 (or better) teams are 49-22 ATS at home in games between the Big 10 and Pac-!2 Conferences, including 11-1 ATS off a loss. Take Michigan. |
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12-09-17 | William & Mary v. Ohio State -14.5 | Top | 62-97 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over William & Mary, as Ohio State falls into 284-174, 78-2 and 130-50 ATS systems of mine. William & Mary comes into this game off an upset win at George Mason, and is 6-2 SU and 4-0 ATS on the season. However, the Buckeyes are 69-45 ATS at home vs. foes with an ATS win percentage of .333 (or better), while William & Mary is an awful 18-35-1 ATS away from home as a dog of +5 or more points, if it won and covered its previous game. Take Ohio State. |
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12-08-17 | Cavs v. Pacers +3.5 | Top | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavaliers have won 11 straight games. But the primary reason for their win streak has been the dreadful level of competition. Of the Cavs' 11 victories, only TWO were against teams that currently own a winning record: Detroit (14-10) and Philadelphia (13-11). Indeed, the Cavs' schedule has actually been pretty easy thus far, as it's only played nine games (of its 25 games) against the 14 other NBA teams that currently own a winning record. Cleveland's schedule will toughen up over the next several weeks, as 11 of its next 18 games will be against foes that currently own a winning record. Indiana is a solid 57-41-1 ATS vs. winning teams, including 30-19-1 ATS at home. And it's 17-8-1 ATS its last 26 vs. Cleveland. Finally, Cleveland is an awful 5-17-1 its last 23 as a favorite. Take the Pacers. NBA High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-17 | Pacific +5.5 v. UC-Davis | Top | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Cal Davis. These two teams met earlier this season at Pacific. The Tigers were favored by 5.5 points in that game, but were upset, 62-58. But Pacific has won five of its last six games. And it's a solid 32-15 ATS when playing with revenge from a home upset loss. Finally, the Tigers fall into a 93-54 ATS NCAA revenge system of mine. Take Pacific. NCAA ELITE INFO. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-17 | Mavs +9 v. Celtics | Top | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Boston. We went against the Celtics last week in their game vs. the Suns (and cashed). And one of the points I made in my analysis for that game was that the Celtics had only been favored by more than eight points once before in this season. Well, Boston failed to cover that big point spread. And now it is favored again by more than 8 points vs. Dallas (just Boston's 3rd time to be favored by this many points in its 26 games this season), notwithstanding the fact that the Mavericks are off back to back blowout wins of 17+ points. And NBA road underdogs with a losing record have cashed 62% since 1990 off back to back home 17+ point wins! These two teams met earlier this year in Dallas, and the Mavericks lost in overtime, 110-102, after leading by as many as 13 points in the 4th quarter. But Dallas is a super 27-11 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 10-1 ATS when getting 6+ points. Take the Mavericks. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-17 | Northern Kentucky v. East Tenn State +1.5 | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers over the Northern Kentucky Norse. These two clubs met in the season opener, and the Norse came away with an 81-63 home victory, as a 5-point favorite. Now, East Tennessee State has been installed as a home underdog, and we'll grab the points, as the Buccaneers fall into a 49-16 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams with a winning record, as well as a 33-14 ATS angle which plays on certain revengers that lost by more than 15 points earlier in the season. East Tennessee is also 11-4 ATS when playing with revenge from a double-digit road defeat, while the Norse are a poor 40% ATS as a road favorite of 6 or less points. Take East Tennessee. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-05-17 | Jazz v. Thunder -7 | Top | 94-100 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Utah. The Thunder play with revenge from an upset loss to the Jazz back in October. Utah won that game, 96-87, as a 4-point underdog. However, the Thunder are 65-37-2 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, while the Jazz are a horrid 3-22 ATS as regular season road underdogs priced from +3 to +8.5 points. Take the Thunder. NBA Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-17 | Steelers v. Bengals +6 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Pittsburgh. These two division rivals met earlier this season in the Steel City, and the Steelers blew out the Bengals, 29-14. Pittsburgh's 9-2 on the season, while Cincy's just 5-6, but we'll fade Mike Tomlin's men on Monday. And that's because NFL teams with a .750 (or better) record, that won the season's first meeting, have cashed just 30% on the road vs. losing foes. That bodes well for the Bengals on Monday. As does the fact that NFL home dogs of 6 or less points are a super 85-48 ATS in the season's final five weeks, if they're within one game of .500 (whether 1 game above .500, 1 game below .500 or exactly .500). Take the Bengals. Monday Night Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-17 | Missouri State -1.5 v. North Dakota State | Top | 71-58 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears minus the points over North Dakota State. The Bears and Bison met earlier this season, in November, and Missouri State was upset in Springfield, 57-54, as a 9.5-point favorite. Since that defeat, however, the Bears have won five of six games to move their season record to 7-2. In sports, revenge can often be sweet, and I expect the Bears to get some payback on this Monday night. Indeed, NCAA road teams with a .625 (or better) win percentage, have cashed 71% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a loss, as a favorite of more than 6 points, to a non-conference foe. Additionally, North Dakota State has covered just 11 of its last 34 non-conference games, and 14 of its last 40 as underdogs. Take Missouri State. NCAA Hoops Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-17 | Nets +2 v. Hawks | Top | 110-90 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over Atlanta. These two teams met on Saturday, in Brooklyn, and the Hawks snapped a 2-game losing streak with the 114-102 upset win. That was a rare victory for Atlanta, which owns just a 5-17 record. But off that victory, we'll fade the Hawks, as .333 (or worse) teams off upset road wins are a poor 18-48 ATS as home favorites since 1990 vs. foes off a double-digit loss. Take Brooklyn. NBA Payback Payday! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-17 | Detroit v. UCLA -21 | Top | 73-106 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Detroit. The Titans are one of the highest scoring teams (#6) in the nation, as they average almost 94 points per game. But their offensive efficiency is below average, as they rank 197th in that category. So, the fact that they score such a high number of points relates to their pace of play. Detroit's average possession lasts less than 15 seconds. That won't bother UCLA, as the Bruins like to play EVEN FASTER than Detroit. UCLA actually ranks 9th in the country in pace of play. So, I expect a track meet tonight, which will play into the hands of UCLA, which is much more efficient on offense (#32) than Detroit. The Titans are currently on a 3-game ATS win streak. Unfortunately, the Titans are a poor 16-36 ATS when on a 3-game ATS win streak, while UCLA is 60-42 ATS vs. foes on a 3-game ATS win streak, including 43-26 ATS as a favorite or PK. Take the Bruins. NCAA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-17 | Panthers v. Saints -4.5 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over Carolina. This NFC South division matchup is between the two teams that currently are atop the standings, as each comes in with an 8-3 record. The Panthers are on a 4-game SU/ATS run. Unfortunately, unrested NFL road teams, with a winning record, off 3 SU/ATS wins, are a poor 52-95 ATS vs. foes not off back to back SU/ATS wins. The Saints blew out Carolina by 21 points in the first meeting this season, and they're 11-2 their last 13 NFC South division contests. Lay the points. NFC South Division Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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