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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-07-17 | Kings +3 v. Lakers | Top | 94-98 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. Los Angeles has won just 23 games this season, but did win its last two games -- vs. Memphis and San Antonio. But off those two upset wins, we'll fade the Lakers tonight, as they're an awful 11-33 ATS off back to back SU/ATS Wins. And the Lakers also fall into a 68-147 ATS system of mine which goes against certain bad teams off wins. Take Sacramento. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-07-17 | Wolves v. Jazz -10.5 | Top | 113-120 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Minnesota. This is a brutal scheduling spot for the T-Wolves, who will be playing their 3rd game in four nights; fourth game in five nights; and fifth game in seven nights. In contrast, the Jazz had the last two nights off, so will be well-rested. And, late in the season, bad teams, with win percentages less than .400, significantly under-perform (23% ATS) when playing their 4th game in 5 nights and 5th game in 7 nights vs. rested opponents. Take Utah. NBA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-05-17 | Cavs v. Celtics -3.5 | Top | 114-91 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over the Cleveland Cavaliers. In this battle for Eastern Conference supremacy, we'll take the homestanding Celtics. Cleveland won its 3rd straight game last night, at home, vs. Orlando. But the Cavaliers are a miserable 0-14 SU/ATS since Feb. 6, 2015 off back to back wins, if they're on the road, and played the previous day. Take Boston. Perfect 10 Club. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-04-17 | Blazers v. Jazz -6.5 | Top | 87-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Portland. The Trail Blazers had their 6-game win streak snapped last night at Minnesota, but they still managed to cover the point spread in their 1-point loss. That was Portland's seventh consecutive ATS win. But .665 (or worse) teams, playing without rest, have covered just 10.5% as road underdogs of +3 or more points since 1998 off 7+ ATS wins. Take Utah. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-04-17 | Hornets v. Wizards -4 | Top | 111-118 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points vs. Charlotte. The Wizards have dropped their last three games -- both SU and ATS -- while Charlotte is on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak. Washington did lose at Charlotte 17 days ago, but Washington falls into a 75-36 ATS system of mine which plays on certain .375 (or better) teams at home off back-to-back losses, if they're playing with revenge against an opponent off 3+ wins. Also, the Wizards are 37-16-1 ATS their last 54 when playing with revenge, including 9-1-1 ATS when priced from -3.5 to -10 points. Take Washington. |
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04-04-17 | Magic +9.5 v. Cavs | Top | 102-122 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers. It's true that Cleveland has won 16 straight vs. Orlando, which is tied with OKC vs. Philly for the longest active win streak vs. an opponent. But we'll go against the Cavs tonight, as .365 (or worse) NBA teams are 27-4 ATS if they've lost the previous 16 meetings to their opponent. Take the Magic. |
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04-03-17 | Blazers v. Wolves -1.5 | Top | 109-110 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 12 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Portland Trail Blazers. The Blazers have won six in a row -- both SU and ATS -- including a 130-117 victory over Phoenix on Saturday. But we'll fade the Blazers on the road vs. the T-Wolves, as teams off back to back wins, that scored more than 116 points in their previous game, are a poor 47-85 ATS vs. foes off a loss. With the T-Wolves in off an upset loss to Sacramento, we'll lay the points with Minnesota on Monday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-02-17 | Rockets -11 v. Suns | Top | 123-116 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the Phoenix Suns. Houston lost at the Warriors on Friday, and also failed to cover the spread for the 3rd straight game, but Houston is 55-25 ATS on the road off 3 straight ATS losses, if it also lost its previous game, straight-up. Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-02-17 | Hawks -2 v. Nets | Top | 82-91 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over the Brooklyn Nets. The Nets come into Sunday's game off a 121-111 win over Orlando, while Atlanta lost by two points at Chicago. I look for Atlanta to bounce back this evening, as it falls into 147-67, 214-123, 293-184 and 97-42 ATS systems of mine that fade certain bad teams (like Brooklyn) off a win. Also, Brooklyn is an awful 3-25 SU and 10-17-1 ATS off a win. Finally, in the 2nd half of the regular season, road teams that have won at least 25% more of its games than its opponent are 63% ATS off a loss vs. a foe off a win. Take Atlanta. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-02-17 | Hornets v. Thunder -5.5 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Charlotte. We played against OKC on Friday, and got the $$$ with San Antonio, which stormed back from a 20-point deficit to win 100-95. Charlotte, meanwhile, won its second straight game that night, with a 122-114 victory at Denver, as a 2.5-point favorite. This afternoon, we'll switch gears and play on the Thunder, as they're 17-1 ATS as a home favorite in the regular season, when playing with revenge vs. an opponent off a win and an ATS win or tie. Also, teams (like Charlotte) off back to back wins are an awful 46-85 ATS if they scored more than 116 points in their previous game, and their foe is off a loss. Take the Thunder. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-01-17 | Oregon v. North Carolina -4.5 | Top | 76-77 | Loss | -118 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Oregon. The Ducks pulled the upset of the Tournament when they defeated the 31-4 Kansas Jayhawks, 74-60, in Kansas City last weekend. Admittedly, the Ducks' defense was impressive, given that it held the Jayhawks to just 60 points, which was Kansas' lowest offensive output of the season. But I don't foresee Oregon having similar success tonight. Indeed, North Carolina is 8-3-1 ATS this season vs. foes that gave up 66.5 or less points on the season. Even worse for Oregon: Final Four teams are a dreary 0-25 ATS when priced from -2 to +7.5 points, if they're off a win vs. an .833 (or better) foe, and are now matched up against a very good offensive team which averages at least 78.5 ppg. Take North Carolina. NCAA Tournament Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-31-17 | St. Peter's -3.5 v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi | Top | 62-61 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the St Peter's Peacocks minus the points over Texas A&M Corpus Christi, as St. Peter's falls into 126-57, 92-43 and 119-75 ATS systems of mine. Additionally, the Peacocks are 114-73 ATS on the road, including 11-1 ATS when laying 3+ points, and 14-0 ATS their last 14. Lay the points with St. Peters. Perfect 10 Club Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-31-17 | Spurs -2.5 v. Thunder | Top | 100-95 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Oklahoma City. The Spurs come into this game off an upset loss to the Golden State Warriors. And they were also upset by OKC in the last meeting between the two teams. But those two facts lead us to our play tonight, as favored NBA teams, off an upset loss, and playing with revenge from an upset loss, have cashed 94% since 1991 vs. .555 (or better) teams, provided our team's win percentage was at least 14.2 percent better. Take San Antonio. Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-31-17 | Coastal Carolina +8.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 59-83 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 29 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on Coastal Carolina + the points over Wyoming, in Game 3 of the Best of 3 Championship series. Since 2002, teams playing with revenge from a tournament loss are 9-0-1 ATS on the road vs. non-conference foes. Also, Wyoming is 0-22 ATS in the post-season vs. foes off a loss, if Wyoming wasn't getting 6+ points, and the Cowboys didn't fail to cover the spread by 15+ points in their previous game. Take Coastal Carolina. NCAA Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-30-17 | Cavs -5.5 v. Bulls | Top | 93-99 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the Chicago Bulls. It's absolutely true that the Cavaliers have been playing horrid basketball since the All-Star Break, as they're 8-10 SU and 6-11-1 ATS. But I love them to bounce back off their embarrassing defeat at San Antonio on Monday. One reason is that Cleveland has major revenge tonight after losing all three meetings to Chicago this season. But LeBron James' teams, in his career, have gone 87-58-3 ATS as a favorite when playing with revenge vs. a foe off a win, including 17-6 ATS if LeBron James' team was off back to back losses. Even better: when favored and playing with revenge from three losses suffered earlier in the season, LeBron James' teams have gone 10-1 ATS in his career. And another reason is that NBA teams are 405-322 ATS on the road in the regular season off a straight-up and against the spread loss, if their opponent is off a win, and our road team isn't getting more than 6 points. Take Cleveland. NBA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-29-17 | Coastal Carolina v. Wyoming -8 | Top | 57-81 | Win | 100 | 26 h 7 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Coastal Carolina. This best-of-3 Championship series opened in Carolina, on Monday, and the Chanticleers upset the Cowboys, 91-81, as a 1-point home underdog. The series now shifts to Wyoming for tonight's game (and Game 3, if necessary). We'll lay the points with Wyoming, as teams off an upset loss on the road, with an winning ATS percentage on the season, are 79% ATS in the post-season since 1991 if they're favored by 7+ points, and their opponent is off a win. Additionally, since 1995, the Cowboys are a super 88% ATS in the post-season off a loss, if their opponent is off a win! Take Wyoming. NCAA HIGH ROLLER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-29-17 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Maryland-Baltimore County -2.5 | Top | 79-61 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers minus the points over Texas A&M Corpus Christi. The Islanders earned the #2 seed in the Southland Conference Tournament, and made it to the Finals, but fell, 68-65, to New Orleans. They've won all three games in this College Insider Tourney thus far, but had the benefit of playing at home in each. That won't be the case tonight, as they have to travel to Baltimore to play the Retrievers. And road teams, off 3 home tourney wins, have covered just 33% of the time over the past eight years. We saw that situation just two nights ago when Wyoming was drilled on the road at Coastal Carolina after winning three home games to earn a berth in the CBI Tourney Championship series. For additional technical support, consider that Southland Conference teams have generally been poor in these post-season tourneys, as they're 23-34 ATS since 1991. Also, Corpus Christi's covered just 20% of its games since 2007 off back to back wins. Meanwhile, UMBC's cashed 78% since 2008 vs. foes off a win, and the Retrievers also fall into 126-57 and 92-43 ATS Tourney systems of mine. Lay the points with the Retrievers. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-28-17 | Nuggets +2 v. Blazers | Top | 113-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over the Portland Trail Blazers. Both the Nuggets and Trail Blazers come into this game with identical 35-38 records, as they battle for the last playoff spot out west. Portland owns a 2-1 series lead, and also owns a better conference record and a better division record, so it will win any tie-breaker vs. Denver. So, with just nine games remaining for each team, this game is, by far, the most important game left on the schedule for each. We'll take the points with Denver, as it falls into a 93-31 ATS NBA system of mine which plays on certain teams in division games off SU losses (Denver lost by 25 at home to the Pelicans on Sunday). But the Nuggets are 24-12 ATS off a loss this season, including 13-2 ATS since January 12, and 10-1 ATS in 'win situation' games where the line was 3 points or less. Portland, meanwhile, is 13-22 ATS this year vs. foes off a loss, including, 4-10 ATS in 'win situation' games. Take Denver. NBA Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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03-28-17 | TCU -2.5 v. UCF | Top | 68-53 | Win | 100 | 129 h 39 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs minus the points over Central Florida. Both of these teams earned a berth in the Semi-Finals with 2 home wins sandwiched around a road victory. Central Florida bested Colorado and Illinois at home, and upset Illinois State on the road. Meanwhile, TCU defeated Fresno and Richmond at home, and upset Iowa on the road. TCU's been installed as a favorite in this game, and falls into one of my favorite NIT Tourney systems, which is 29-10 ATS since 1991. Additionally, Central Florida falls into negative 13-26 and 13-28 ATS systems of mine. Finally, TCU is 15-4 ATS in the post-season when the point spread was single-digits, while Central Florida is a poor 10-27 ATS away from home off a win vs. foes off wins by 5+ points. Take TCU. NIT Tourney Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-26-17 | Blazers -6 v. Lakers | Top | 97-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. On Friday, the Lakers won a rare game when they upset the Minnesota Timberwolves, in overtime, 124-115. But that was just the 2nd win for Luke Walton's men in their last 16 games. So, we'll fade Los Angeles on Sunday night, as the Lakers haven't won back-to-back games since January 8 (a span of 31 games (12-18-1 ATS)). Indeed, one of my favorite systems, with a record of 212-123 ATS since 1990, goes against certain awful teams off straight-up wins. Portland, meanwhile, is 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS over its last 12 games, and is 3-0 vs. the Lakers this season, with wins by 9, 21, and 7 points. Even better: dating back to April 2014, the Blazers have won 11 straight games vs. Los Angeles, by an average of 14.07 ppg (9-2 ATS).  Take the Trail Blazers minus the points. NBA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-26-17 | Kentucky v. North Carolina -2.5 | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Kentucky. The #2-seeded Wildcats upset UCLA in the Sweet 16 Round to advance to the Elite 8. Can Kentucky make it two upsets in a row? Well, not if past history is any indication, as #2-seeded teams off upset wins are an awful 1-13-1 ATS since 1991 vs. foes not off an upset win! Moreover, North Carolina plays with revenge from a loss suffered earlier this season vs. Kentucky and falls into several of my better Tourney revenge systems. Lay the points with the Tar Heels. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-25-17 | Oregon v. Kansas -6.5 | Top | 74-60 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Oregon. We played on the Jayhawks in each of the first 3 rounds, and were rewarded with point spread wins by 15, 12.5 and 27 points. So, that's a combined ATS margin of victory of 54.5 points through the Sweet 16 round. Kansas' last game was perhaps its most impressive, as it won by 32 points, as a 5-point favorite vs. Purdue. And NCAA teams have cashed 63% in the post-season over the past 27 years after winning by 30+ points, provided they weren't favored by double-digits in that 30-point win, and their opponent was also off a win. Take Kansas. NCAA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-25-17 | Xavier +8.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 59-83 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers + the points over Gonzaga. Xavier upset Arizona as a 7.5-point underdog. And that bodes well for them today against the #1-seeded Bulldogs. Since 1991, teams off an upset win in the Sweet 16 Round as an underdog of +4.5 (or more) points are a perfect 17-0 ATS in the Elite 8 Round when matched up against a top-3 seeded team. Take Xavier. Perfect 10 Club Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-25-17 | Furman -6 v. Campbell | Top | 79-64 | Win | 100 | 48 h 26 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over Campbell. The Fighting Camels shocked their Big South Conference brethren when they won three games in their conference's tournament, as a #7 seed, to reach the finals. But they lost to top-seeded Winthrop, 76-59, so they didn't advance to the NCAA Tourney. Thus, they received a bid to the College Insider Tournament, and have won their first two games -- both at home -- vs. Houston Baptist and Tennessee-Martin, even though they weren't favored to win either game. The Tournament committee granted Campbell a 3rd straight home game, but this time it will be facing its toughest opponent yet in the Furman Paladins, out of the Southern Conference. Furman went 14-4 in league play this season, and earned the #2 seed in the Southern Conference tourney, but was upset by Samford in the quarterfinals. Still, Furman was a solid 16-8 ATS this season, including a 22-point blowout of South Carolina Upstate, on the road, in its sole Insider Tourney game so far (it was one of three teams to receive a "bye" into this quarterfinal round). Once again, Campbell isn't favored, and I look for its win streak to end this afternoon, as home dogs of +2 or more points have covered just 41% in the Tourneys off a win as a home dog (or PK) since 1991. Even worse for the Camels: Furman is a jaw-dropping 52-23 ATS its last 75 games as a favorite, including 8-2 ATS as a road favorite of -4 or more points. Take the Paladins. Insider Tourney Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-24-17 | Wolves -6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 119-130 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Los Angeles. Minny has dropped four straight games, but gets a breather tonight vs. Los Angeles, which has lost six straight, and 14 of 15. And road favorites of -5+ points have cashed a super 62% over the last 27 years off 4+ losses. Take Minnesota. NBA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-24-17 | South Carolina v. Baylor -3 | Top | 70-50 | Loss | -115 | 86 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:25 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over South Carolina. The Gamecocks were on a 1-9 ATS run prior to breaking out with big wins vs. Marquette (93-73) and Duke (88-81). But those two big victories have actually triggered several negative Tourney systems of mine, with records of 58-99, 73-134, 26-72, 64-113, 97-160 and 48-116 that apply to South Carolina. One of the biggest doubts I have with South Carolina will be its ability to sustain the offensive production (90.5 ppg) it mustered in its first two tournament games. After all, this is a team that averaged just 73 ppg this season. And in its 29 lined games prior to the Tourney, it had scored 88+ points in just two of them! For technical support, consider that Tourney teams seeded #2 (or worse) that averaged 13+ points more per game (above their offensive average) in their two previous Tournament games combined have covered just 26.3% in the Tournament since 1991 -- and just 14% if their opponent gave up 65 or less points per game. Baylor, of course, gives up just 63.5 ppg, and I look for the Bears to shut down South Carolina on Friday night. Lay the points with Baylor. Sweet 16 Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-24-17 | Butler v. North Carolina -7 | Top | 80-92 | Win | 100 | 86 h 19 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Butler. UNC survived a tough game vs. Arkansas last Sunday. The Heels won by seven, but failed to cover the 11-point spread. I look for North Carolina to have an easier time of it on Friday vs. Butler, as UNC falls into 79-30, 195-96, 234-146 and 317-228 ATS systems of mine. Additionally, it's worth noting that #1 seeded teams have cashed 84% since 1991 off a game where they didn't cover the spread, if they're favored from -6 to -9 points against an opponent off a SU/ATS win, which is seeded #6 or better. And the Tar Heels are a perfect 10-0 ATS since 1991 when priced from -6.5 to -9 points in the post-season vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take the Tar Heels. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-23-17 | Purdue v. Kansas -5 | Top | 66-98 | Win | 100 | 65 h 51 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Purdue. Kansas was my selection to win this Tournament. And the Jayhawks were also my favorite play of the 1st Round, as well as my favorite play of the 2nd round. As my mom used to teach me, "if it ain't broke, don't fix it." So, we'll once again play on the Jayhawks minus the points in this 3rd round game vs. Purdue (though the Jayhawks aren't my favorite play of this Sweet 16 round -- that game will go on Friday). But the Jayhawks fall into several of my favorite Tourney systems, with records of 110-51, 53-23, 81-46, 23-5, 114-66, 50-25, and 104-60 ATS since 1991. The Jayhawks have piled up 190 points in their two games, thus far (38-point and 20-point blowouts). And #1 seeds are an awesome 58-34 ATS in the Tourney after scoring 90+ points in their previous game. Furthermore, teams priced from +1.5 to -7.5 in the Sweet 16 round are 22-8 ATS since 1997 off back to back double-digit covers. Finally, Purdue's a wallet-busting 0-6-1 ATS in the post-season off back to back wins, if its foe is off a win by 15+ points. And it's 6-13 ATS in the 3rd round (or later stages) of a post-season tournament, including 0-5 ATS vs. .850 (or better) opposition. Take Kansas. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-23-17 | Hurricanes v. Canadiens | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -185 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Montreal Canadiens over the Carolina Panthers. The Canadiens lost, 2-1, at home to Detroit their last time out. But Al Montoya started in goal for the Habs, as Carey Price played back-to-back nights in their two previous games. Price will be back between the pipes in this one, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on Montreal, as it's won seven straight home games (and 10 of the last 11 home games) vs. Carolina. Meanwhile, the 'Canes are a poor 9-28 off a road win, including 1-8 this season. And they're also 20-55 on the road when the over/under was not higher than 5 goals. Take Montreal. |
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03-22-17 | CS Bakersfield v. Texas-Arlington -6.5 | Top | 80-76 | Loss | -104 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Arlington Mavericks minus the points over Cal Bakersfield. The Roadrunners upset California (as a 6.5-point road dog) and Colorado State (as a 4.5-point road dog) to advance to this quarterfinals match-up against Texas Arlington. Unfortunately, though, for Bakersfield, road underdogs of +5 or more points are a poor 36.7% ATS in the NIT Tourney off a road win, including 1-12 ATS their last 13. And the Mavericks are 19-5 ATS since Dec. 2014 vs. non-conference foes, including a perfect 6-0 ATS at home. Take Texas Arlington. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-22-17 | 76ers v. Thunder -10.5 | Top | 97-122 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Philadelphia. The 76ers have covered the point spread in seven straight games, and have the best ATS win percentage in the league (45-25, .642). But this is a horrid spot for the Sixers, as Oklahoma City was blown out by Golden State on Monday, and will be in an ornery mood tonight. The Thunder are 6-1 ATS at home off a loss by more than 15 points. And they're a sensational 18-0 ATS since Feb. 24, 2016 when priced from -4 to -13.5 points vs. foes with a winning ATS percentage on the season. Take the Thunder. NBA Non-Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-17 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 82-95 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies come into tonight's game at the Smoothie King Center off back to back upset wins over Atlanta and San Antonio, and four straight victories overall. But those two upset wins have triggered one of my better NBA systems that goes against such teams. It's record is 173-92 ATS since 1990. Also, New Orleans is playing good basketball right now. It's won six of 10 (7-2-1 ATS), and has blown out both Houston (128-112) and Minnesota (123-109) on this 3-game home stand, which concludes tonight. And home teams off back to back wins, in which they scored 115+ points, have cashed 65% since 1990 vs. foes off an upset win, provided our home team was not off an upset win. Take New Orleans. NBA Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-20-17 | Boise State v. Illinois -7 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 60 h 56 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Boise St. The Broncos stunned Utah, 73-68, as a 12-point road underdog to win their opening round NIT game. But that was just Boise's 2nd ATS win it its last 10 games. And teams off wins as dogs of +7 or more points have cashed just 42% of Tourney games. Meanwhile, Illinois drilled Valpo, 82-57, on Tuesday to advance to this round. And single-digit favorites are 20-9 ATS in the NIT Tourney off a win by more than 20 points. Take Illinois. NCAA ELITE INFO. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-20-17 | Warriors v. Thunder +2.5 | Top | 111-95 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder over Golden State. The Thunder have won and covered five straight games, and play with revenge from three losses earlier this season to the Warriors. Of course, Golden State had the services of Kevin Durant for those games, but not tonight. We'll take the Thunder, as we note that OKC is a super 41-19 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge vs. an opponent off a SU/ATS win. Take the Thunder. NBA HIGH ROLLER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-17 | Cincinnati v. UCLA -3 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 36 h 31 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Cincinnati. The Bruins won on Friday, 97-80, vs. Kent State, but made no friends in Las Vegas, as they failed to cover by a bucket. That was the fourth straight ATS defeat by UCLA. Meanwhile, the Bearcats covered by double-digits in their blowout win over Kansas State, and have cashed five of their last six at the betting window. However, underdogs of more than 2 points, off a pointspread win, have covered just 28% away from home in the post season since 1991 against foes off 4+ ATS defeats! Take UCLA to blow out the Bearcats. NCAA High Roller Winner. As always, good luck, Al McMordie. |
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03-19-17 | Oakland v. Richmond -4 | Top | 83-87 | Push | 0 | 34 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Oakland. The NIT committee didn't do the Golden Grizzlies any favors with the schedule, as they put team on the road at Clemson to start the tourney, and now have them traveling to Richmond for tonight's game. And teams playing back to back road games in the NIT Tourney have been awful of late, as they've gone 2-17 SU and 3-15-1 ATS. Take Richmond minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-17 | Rhode Island v. Oregon -4.5 | Top | 72-75 | Loss | -113 | 34 h 60 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Rhode Island. Yes, the Rams have won nine straight games, and have covered their last four. But I love to fade such teams in the NCAA Tourney, as teams off 4 SU/ATS wins are a money-burning 17-39 ATS in Round 2 against opponents not off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take Oregon. |
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03-19-17 | Arkansas v. North Carolina -10.5 | Top | 65-72 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 58 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Arkansas. The Tar Heels blew out Texas Southern by 39 on Friday. And I love taking top 2-seeded teams off big wins of 23+ points to open the tourney, provided they lost two games back. Such teams are 70.9% ATS since 1991 in the Tourney. Take North Carolina. |
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03-19-17 | Blazers v. Heat -6 | Top | 115-104 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Portland. The Trail Blazers are off back to back road upset wins over Atlanta (last night) and San Antonio (Wednesday). But both Atlanta and San Antonio are in funks right now. The Hawks are 0-3 ATS their last three, and 3-11 ATS their last 14, while San Antonio is 0-2 ATS its last two, and 2-8 ATS its last 10. Not so with the Miami Heat, which has covered its last seven game. More bad news for Portland: Unrested teams are 28% ATS off back to back wins as underdogs (or PK), if they're matched up against an opponent also off back to back wins. Take Miami. NBA Roadkill. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-17 | Pacers +3 v. Raptors | Top | 91-116 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 18 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers plus the points over Toronto. When these two teams last met, it was the 7th game of the Eastern Conference Playoffs' opening round. Toronto won that game, 89-84, and advanced, while Indiana was sent packing. In an odd scheduling quirk, these two team have not played yet this season, even though it's Game 69 for the Pacers and Game 70 for the Raptors! But they'll meet 3 times over the next 17 days. Generally speaking, underdogs playing with revenge from a playoff defeat have covered more often than not, and Indiana falls into a 72-38 ATS Playoff revenge system of mine. Of course, that won't be Indy's great motivating factor this evening. Instead, with just 14 games left on its schedule, it will need to win to remain among the Top 8 teams (Indy's just 2.5 games ahead of the 9th-place Pistons). Take the Pacers. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-17 | Michigan State v. Kansas -8 | Top | 70-90 | Win | 100 | 31 h 55 m | Show |
At 5:15 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Michigan State. We not only had Kansas as our top-rated play of the first round, but we also tabbed Kansas to win this entire Tournament. So, it was with great pleasure that we watched the Jayhawks blow out Cal Davis, 100-62. That big win has triggered several of my best 'momentum' systems, with records of 46-16, 23-3 and 49-19 ATS since 1991. That's one reason why I love Kansas on Sunday. Another is that I want to go against Michigan State following its 20-point upset win vs. Miami. Indeed, underdogs of +4 or more points, off 20-point (or better) wins in the NCAA Tournament, have cashed just 20% of the time since 2000.  Finally, these two teams met last season, and the Spartans upset the Jayhawks, 79-73, as 4.5-point underdogs. But teams playing with revenge from an upset loss as a 4-point (or bigger) favorite, have cashed 77.2% in the NCAA Tourney since 1998, including 9-1 ATS if they were seeded #3 or better, and 6-0 if their opponent was off an upset win. Take Kansas. NCAA 2nd Round Game of the Year. |
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03-19-17 | TCU +2.5 v. Iowa | Top | 94-92 | Win | 100 | 32 h 51 m | Show |
At 5 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Iowa. The Hawkeyes were bounced quickly out of the Big 10 Tournament, as they lost by 22 points to the Hoosiers. Iowa did win its initial NIT Tourney game, but the fact remains that it's been awful in the Tournaments, of late, as it's covered just two of its last 11, including 0-6 ATS off a win. Take TCU. |
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03-19-17 | Michigan v. Louisville -2.5 | Top | 73-69 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Michigan. The Wolverines stunned the basketball world when they reeled off four victories to win the Big 10 Tournament as a #8 seed. Unfortunately, for the John Beilein's men, this 2nd round of the Tournament is usually when the Cinderella slipper is smashed. And that's because since 1991, teams that won their Conference Tourney as a #5 seed (or worse) are 0-8 SU and 0-7-1 ATS when not laying 2 or more points. With the Wolves installed as an underdog, we'll fade Michigan on Sunday. |
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03-18-17 | Spurs -3.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 96-104 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 53 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Memphis. The Spurs lost at home to the Portland Trail Blazers (as double-digit favorites) on Wednesday, and fell a game back of Golden State for the top spot in the Western Conference. Tonight, the Spurs will look to bounce back from that loss, and they'll also look to avenge a defeat to Memphis in the season's previous meeting. The good news for San Antonio is that NBA revenge-minded teams are 20-1 ATS in the regular season off an upset loss, if they're favored over a .555 (or better) opponent, and their win percentage is at least .142 better than their opponent's win percentage. Take the Spurs. NBA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-18-17 | Virginia +2 v. Florida | Top | 39-65 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Florida. Virginia's off back to back ATS losses, but that's actually a good thing, as underdogs have gone 32-14 ATS in the Tourney at Round 2 forward, if they weren't favored by 4+ points. Take the Cavaliers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-18-17 | Middle Tennessee v. Butler -3.5 | Top | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Middle Tennessee St. The Blue Raiders enter the weekend's action as the hottest ATS team (along with Xavier and Duke), as they've covered their last five games. And they also haven't lost straight-up in their last 11. Unfortunately, teams off 4 SU/ATS wins are a wallet-busting 17-38 ATS in Round 2 against opponents not off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take Butler minus the points. |
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03-18-17 | Xavier v. Florida State -6 | Top | 91-66 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Xavier. The 11th-seeded Musketeers upset Maryland on Thursday, 76-65. But teams seeded #11 or worse have been awful as underdogs in the Tourney off an upset win, as they've gone 48-69-1 ATS since 1991. Take Florida State. |
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03-17-17 | Kent State v. UCLA -18.5 | Top | 80-97 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 13 m | Show |
At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Kent State. The Golden Flashes were the #6 seed in the MAC Conference Tourney, but bested top-seeded Akron last Saturday, 70-65, as a 3.5-point underdog. Unfortunately for Kent, teams that won their tourneys as a #4 (or higher) seed have gone 30.2% ATS in round 1 of the NCAA Tourney when matched up against foes off a SU/ATS loss. Take UCLA. |
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03-17-17 | Marquette v. South Carolina -1.5 | Top | 73-93 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
At 9:50 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks over Marquette. Though not on their home court in Columbia, the Gamecocks must be happy to be playing within their own state, in Greenville (just 104 miles away from campus). I expect the significant home court advantage to be helpful. And I also like the fact that South Carolina comes into tonight's game off back to back upset losses. Generally speaking, teams off back to back upset losses have delivered in the NCAA Tourney, and especially when not favored by 6+ points, as they've cashed 78% in that situation over the last 27 years. Take South Carolina. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-17 | Michigan State v. Miami (FL) -2 | Top | 78-58 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Michigan St. The Hurricanes were annihilated by North Carolina eight days ago in the ACC Tourney, 78-53. But the good news for Miami is that good teams, with a win percentage of .625 or better, have rebounded to cover their initial NCAA Tourney game 10 straight times off blowout losses of 24+ points. Take Miami. |
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03-17-17 | Kansas State v. Cincinnati -3.5 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:25 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Kansas State. The Wildcats won their "play-in" game on Wednesday vs. Wake Forest, which was their fifth straight ATS win. But now the Wildcats fall into a negative 13-42 ATS Tourney system of mine which goes against certain teams off 5+ ATS wins. Even better for Cincy: it lost its conference final to SMU, and falls into a 57-29 ATS system of mine which takes certain teams off losses in their Conference final. Take the Bearcats. |
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03-17-17 | Celtics -9 v. Nets | Top | 98-95 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over the Brooklyn Nets. Yesterday, the Nets upset the Knicks, 121-110, but they'll be hard-pressed to follow that up with another win on Friday. Indeed, one of the things I love to do is go against bad teams off wins. And the last time the Nets won back to back games was March 26 of LAST SEASON -- 78 games ago! That doesn't bode well for Brooklyn tonight. Here, the Nets fall into a negative 67-144 ATS system of mine, which goes against certain bad teams off wins. And Boston should be well-motivated as it's in a tight battle with Washington for the #2 seed in the Eastern Conference. Take the Celtics. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-17 | Wichita State v. Dayton +6.5 | Top | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers + the points over Wichita St. The Flyers were the #1 seed in their Conference tourney, but got stunned by the #8 seed, Davidson, in the quarterfinals. However, teams that were upset as the #1 seed in their conference tourney do very well in the NCAA's opening round, as they've cashed 61% over 27 years. Take Dayton + the points. |
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03-17-17 | UC-Davis v. Kansas -23.5 | Top | 62-100 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
At 6:50 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Cal Davis. The Jayhawks lost in the quarterfinals of their Big 12 Conference Tourney, 85-82, to TCU. And Kansas was seeded first in that tourney! But teams that lost in their conference's quarterfinal round -- as a #1 or #2 seed -- have been awesome in the NCAA Tourney over the years vs. foes off SU/ATS wins. We saw that yesterday with both Florida and Butler, and such teams have cashed 78.1% over the past 25 years. Take Kansas. NCAA 1st Round Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-17 | Texas Southern +26.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 64-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers + the points over North Carolina. The Tigers won their conference Tournament, but were 0-3 ATS in winning those three games. However, teams that played at least 3 Conference Tourney games, and didn't cover the spread in any of them, have cashed 67% of the time in their initial NCAA Tourney game over the past 27 years. Take the Tigers + the points. |
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03-17-17 | Jacksonville State v. Louisville -19.5 | Top | 63-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
At 2:45 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Jacksonville State. After a 1-year ban from participating in the NCAA Tournament, the Cardinals will no doubt be excited to be back in the Tourney this season. And over the past two years, they've been a very profitable 15-5 ATS vs. non-conference foes. The Cards did get upset in their last game, 81-77, vs. Duke. But they've cashed 60% over the past 15 years as favorites of -9+ points off an upset loss. And, finally, NCAA Tourney teams (like the Gamecocks) off 4+ SU/ATS wins are a money-burning 38% ATS the past 27 years vs. foes off an upset loss. Take Louisville. |
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03-17-17 | Iona v. Oregon -14.5 | Top | 77-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Iona. Oregon was upset in its Pac-12 Conference Final, 83-80, by the Arizona Wildcats. And the Ducks were the Pac-12's number 1 seed. But teams that got upset in the Conference finals as the top-seeded team generally bounce back to cover their NCAA Tourney opener. Since 1991, they've won 61% of the time. Take Oregon. |
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03-17-17 | Oklahoma State +2.5 v. Michigan | Top | 91-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
At 12:15 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys + the points over Michigan. The Wolverines won their conference Tournament as the Big 10's #8 seed, which doesn't bode well for them in this opening game of the NCAA Tourney. Indeed, since 1991, teams that won their tourneys as a #4 (or higher) seed have gone 13-30 ATS in round 1 of the NCAA Tourney when matched up against foes off a SU/ATS loss. Take Oklahoma State. |
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03-16-17 | Virginia Tech v. Wisconsin -5.5 | Top | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Virginia Tech. The Badgers' defense is much better than Virginia Tech's defense. Wisky allows just 61.4 ppg, while the Hokies give up 74.4. And that's key, as teams that don't give up more than 62.5 ppg have cashed 65% the past 27 years in the opening round of the Tourney vs. foes that give up 12.5 more points a game. Take Wisconsin. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-17 | Florida Gulf Coast v. Florida State -12 | Top | 80-86 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Florida Gulf Coast. The Eagles were impressive in their Atlantic Sun Conference Tourney, as they went 3-0 SU/ATS, and won each game by double-digits. But it's surely worth noting that Florida Gulf Coast had a huge advantage in its Tourney, as each of its three games were played at home. The NCAA Tournament is a different story, of course, as no team gets to play on its home court. And teams off upset losses away from home have cashed 62.7% in the opening round of the NCAA Tourney vs. foes off a home game. Take Florida State. |
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03-16-17 | Jazz v. Cavs -7 | Top | 83-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Utah. The Jazz defeated the Cavs by 8 points earlier this season in Salt Lake City. But we'll take Cleveland at home, as it falls into several of my best revenge systems, with records of 194-114, 232-145 and 129-70 ATS since 1990. Even worse for Utah: it's an awful 0-16 ATS as a road underdog when priced from +3 to +8 points. Take Cleveland. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-17 | Xavier v. Maryland -2 | Top | 76-65 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
At 6:50 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins over Xavier. On the surface, you have two teams going in opposite directions. The Terrapins had a great season, as they went 24-8, but did get upset by Northwestern in the Big 10 Tourney. The Terps have now lost back to back games to the pointspread, and five of their last six, while Xavier has covered four straight. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Musketeers. But that's generally been the wrong move in the NCAA Tournament, as teams on 4-game (or better) ATS win streaks have covered just 31% vs. superior foes off upset losses. Take Maryland. |
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03-16-17 | Vanderbilt v. Northwestern +2.5 | Top | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Vanderbilt. The Wildcats' Big 10 season came to an end last Saturday when the Wisconsin Badgers drilled them by 28 points. But good teams, with a win percentage of .625 or better) have bounced back off blowout losses (of 24+ points) very well in the NCAA Tournament. Since 2003, they're a perfect 9-0-1 ATS. Take Northwestern. |
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03-16-17 | Middle Tennessee v. Minnesota +1 | Top | 81-72 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers over Middle Tennessee St. The Gophers have dropped 2 of their last 3 games (both SU and ATS), while Middle Tenn has won its last 10 games, and covered its last 10. But teams that have lost at least two of their three previous games to the pointspread have been profitable in the NCAA Tourney, and especially when priced as a single-digit underdog (or PK) against foes off 3 SU/ATS wins, as they've covered 66% of the time since 1991. Take Minnesota. |
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03-16-17 | East Tennessee State v. Florida -10.5 | Top | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over East Tennessee State. The Gators were upset by Vanderbilt in back-to-back games to end their SEC Conference season. But we'll lay the points with Florida on Thursday, as favorites of more than 9 points are 89% ATS in the post-season in the past 25 years off back to back upset losses, if our team has a winning ATS record on the season (Florida's covered 57% this year). Take the Gators. NCAA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-17 | Bucknell v. West Virginia -13.5 | Top | 80-86 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
At 2:45 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Bucknell. The Mountaineers have always performed well against the spread in post-season (non-conference) tournaments. And they've been especially good (11-1 straight-up and 12-0 ATS) vs. .770 (or worse) foes off an ATS win. Take West Virginia. |
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03-16-17 | Winthrop v. Butler -11 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Winthrop. Since 1990, Butler's a super 96-42 ATS vs. non-conference foes, provided Butler's not getting 13+ points, and its foe's scoring margin is greater than +5.5 ppg (Winthrop's margin is +9.53). Take Butler. |
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03-16-17 | North Carolina Wilmington v. Virginia -7.5 | Top | 71-76 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
At 12:40 pm, our selection is on Virginia minus the points over NC Wilmington. The Cavs were upset by Notre Dame last week in the ACC Tourney, but favorites off a loss, priced from -6.5 to -19.5 points, are 60.9% ATS in the NCAA Tourney since 1991 vs. foes off an ATS win. Take Virginia. |
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03-15-17 | Cal-Irvine v. Illinois State -10.5 | Top | 71-85 | Win | 100 | 39 h 8 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Illinois State Redbirds minus the points over Cal Irvine. The Redbirds lost by 20 points in their Missouri Valley Conference championship game, but home teams off 20+ point losses have rebounded to cover 68.9% of the time in the NIT since 1991 provided they weren't favored to win their previous game. Also, Missouri Valley teams are a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS vs. Big West Conference teams in the post-season since 1991. Take Illinois St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-15-17 | Akron v. Houston -8 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 9 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Akron. The Zips had a great year, as they were 26-8, but lost to Kent State in their conference championship game, 70-65. Now, they have to go on the road to face Houston, but I expect a letdown tonight, as .735 (or better) teams have covered just 20% of the time on the road in NIT Tourney games following an upset loss in their conference championship game. Take Houston. |
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03-15-17 | Belmont +7.5 v. Georgia | Top | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 37 h 41 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins + the points over Georgia. The Bruins lost to Georgia in this same tournament last season, and that game was also here, in Athens. I like the Bruins to avenge that defeat, as they fall into a 26-9 ATS revenge system of mine. Additionally, the Bruins are 6-1 ATS their last seven road games, while Georgia is 2-8 ATS its last 10 as a favorite. Take Belmont. |
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03-15-17 | Utah Valley v. Georgia Southern -4 | Top | 74-49 | Loss | -115 | 37 h 40 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles minus the points over Utah Valley. The Eagles come into Wednesday night's game off 3 straight losses. But home favorites off 3+ losses are a solid 65.2% ATS in the post-season vs. foes off a loss. Take Georgia Southern. |
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03-15-17 | North Carolina Central v. UC-Davis +4 | Top | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 36 h 22 m | Show |
At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Cal Davis Aggies + the points over NC Central. The Aggies held Cal Irvine to 47 points on 38% shooting to win the Big West Conference championship. And that was the third straight game the Aggies held their foes to less than 40% shooting. We'll grab the points with Cal Davis as teams not laying 2+ points are 65% ATS since 1998 if they didn't give up 55+ points in their previous game. Take the Aggies. |
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03-14-17 | 76ers v. Warriors -16.5 | Top | 104-106 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 20 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Philadelphia. The Warriors have lost five of seven, and are also 1-9 ATS their last 10 games. But seven of those 10 games were away from home. And none of those three previous home games involved a situation where Golden State was in off a loss, as it is tonight. Since April 13, 2011, the Warriors are a sensational 70-30-1 ATS off a loss if their opponent is off a win, including a perfect 11-0 ATS as a home favorite of more than 9 points. Take the Warriors. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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03-14-17 | College of Charleston v. Colorado State -4 | Top | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over Charleston College. The Rams come into tonight's game on a 15-6-1 ATS run, including 11-1-1 ATS vs. foes not off a SU/ATS win. And Charleston is not off a SU/ATS win, as it lost to NC Wilmington in the Colonial Athletic Ass'n title game eight days ago. Also, Mountain West Conference home favorites of 5 or less points are 15-1-1 ATS since 2000 vs. non-conference foes in the post-season. Take Colorado State. As always, good luck, Al McMordie. |
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03-14-17 | Thunder -6 v. Nets | Top | 122-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Brooklyn. The Nets won a rare game this past Sunday when they defeated New York, 120-112. But Brooklyn still hasn't won back-to-back games this season, and they'll be hard-pressed to do it tonight, as they fall into a negative 66-144 ATS system of mine which goes against certain awful teams off wins. Even better: the Thunder are a powerful 33-11 ATS when priced from -4 to -13 points, including 14-2 ATS vs. foes off a win. Take the Thunder. |
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03-14-17 | Pistons v. Cavs -8 | Top | 96-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Detroit. These two teams met five days ago, and the Pistons handed the Cavaliers a 5-point defeat, as a 5-point underdog. Unfortunately for the Pistons, Cleveland comes into this game off another loss, as Houston also beat Cleveland by five points, 117-112, on Sunday. We'll lay the points with Cleveland as revenge minded home favorites are 90-49 ATS vs. .500 (or better) division rivals, if our home team is off a loss, and was also upset by its opponent in the previous meeting. Take Cleveland. |
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03-13-17 | Bucks v. Grizzlies -4 | Top | 93-113 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Milwaukee. We played on the Bucks on Saturday, and were rewarded with a win vs. Minnesota. That was Milwaukee's 6th straight win and cover. But five of those six games were at home. And the lone road game was at Philadelphia, which is 24-42 on the season. We'll fade the Bucks on the road vs. Memphis tonight, as Milwaukee is an awful 44-90 ATS off 3+ wins when not getting 6+ points. And road dogs of more than two points, off 5 SU/ATS wins, have covered just 40.4% in the regular season since 1991 vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss. Take Memphis minus the points. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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03-12-17 | Cavs v. Rockets -5 | Top | 112-117 | Push | 0 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets over Cleveland. The Cavaliers will visit the Toyota Center on Sunday to take on James Harden & Co. But it's a brutal scheduling spot for Cleveland. The Cavs will be unrested, and also playing their third game in four nights. Meanwhile, Houston will be rested, and playing with revenge from an eight-point loss in Cleveland. The Rockets are 17-7 ATS in the last 24 meetings vs. Cleveland, and also 11-2 SU/8-5 ATS their last 13 vs. unrested foes. And they fall into 232-144 and 129-69 ATS revenge systems of mine. Meanwhile, Cleveland is 0-9 SU/ATS on the road when playing without rest since April 6, 2016. I expect the Rockets to blow out the Cavs. Take Houston. |
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03-11-17 | Hawks v. Grizzlies -5 | Top | 107-90 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks won, 105-99, last night at home vs. Toronto, while Memphis had last night off following its 16-point upset loss to the Clippers on Thursday. But Atlanta is a poor 10-32 ATS as a road underdog priced from +3 to +12.5 points, if it played at home the previous day, and its opponent is off a loss, including 3-18 ATS if its foe failed to cover by 8+ points in its previous game. Meanwhile, Memphis falls into an 83-46 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams off home losses. Take Memphis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-11-17 | Wolves v. Bucks -2 | Top | 95-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over Minnesota. The Timberwolves upset the Warriors at home last night, while Milwaukee also won a home game vs. Indiana. To the extent that Minnesota had to travel overnight, while Milwaukee did not have to travel, puts Minnesota in a negative situation. And I have a super 65-28 ATS system on the Bucks tonight which fades certain unrested road teams off a win. Moreover, last night's win was the Timberwolves' 8th straight ATS win. But .665 (or worse) teams off an upset win, and 7+ ATS wins, are a poor 34-69-1 ATS in the regular season the past 26 years. Take Milwaukee. |
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03-11-17 | Iowa State v. West Virginia -3.5 | Top | 80-74 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Iowa State. West Virginia defeated the Cyclones both times in the regular season -- by 11 points last week in Morgantown, and by 13 on the road in Ames. Some folks will bet attracted to the Cyclones for the "Double Revenge" motive, but really good teams actually are poor bets when playing with double-revenge. Indeed, teams with a ..680 (or better) win percentage are a wallet-busting 98-119 ATS when playing with double-revenge, including 71-94 ATS off a pointspread win. The Mountaineers have won and covered the last four meetings with Iowa State. And the favorite has gone 8-1 ATS in the Big 12 Title game since 2008. Take WVU. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-11-17 | Creighton v. Villanova -10 | Top | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Creighton. Villanova is 30-3 on the season, and comes into this game off a 55-53 win vs. Seton Hall (as an 11.5-point favorite). I look for Villanova to blow out the Blue Jays in this Championship game, as .901 (or better) teams, favored by -4 or more points, are 16-1 ATS in Title games off an ATS loss in the Conference semi-finals. Take Villanova. Big East Conf. Tourney Game of the Year! |
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03-11-17 | Connecticut +10 v. Cincinnati | Top | 71-81 | Push | 0 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the UConn Huskies + the points over Cincinnati. The Huskies have the advantage of playing this game at home, and .300 (or better) home dogs of +5.5 or more points in the Conference Tourneys have cashed 76.4% vs. foes off a win over the past 27 years (and 83% if playing with double revenge). Take UConn. Elite Info play. |
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03-11-17 | Knicks +6 v. Pistons | Top | 92-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Detroit. The Pistons upset the Cavaliers on Thursday and have another game vs. the Cavs on deck, so this game tonight is a classic sandwich situation.  I look for a letdown by Detroit, as it falls into a negative 124-196 ATS system of mine which goes against certain home teams off upset wins when matched up against foes off a loss. Additionally, New York is 20-10 ATS this season off an ATS loss, while Detroit is 12-19 ATS off a win. Take New York. |
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03-11-17 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin -4.5 | Top | 48-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over the Northwestern Huskies. Northwestern got, perhaps, the biggest win in its history yesterday when it upset Maryland. So, this is the furthest the school has ever advanced in the Big 10 Tourney. And it virtually ensures that the school will earn a trip to the NCAA Tournament for the first time ever when the teams are announced tomorrow. This, though, will be a tough game for Chris Collins' men, as Wisky plays with revenge from a home loss to the 'Cats earlier this season. And that sets Wisky up in a 161-88 ATS Revenge System of mine. Take Wisconsin. Big 10 Conf. Tourney Game of the Year. |
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03-10-17 | Warriors -5 v. Wolves | Top | 102-103 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Minnesota. (Analysis to follow.) |
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03-10-17 | TCU v. Iowa State -4 | Top | 63-84 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over TCU. Yesterday, the Horned Frogs upset the 28-3 Kansas Jayhawks, as 9-point underdogs. Unfortunately for TCU, teams off wins over .801 (or better) foes in Conference Tourney games generally fall flat in their next game, as they've gone 54-81-2 ATS since 1991. Take Iowa State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-10-17 | Vanderbilt v. Florida -6 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Vanderbilt. This will be the second straight game for the Gators vs. the Commodores. Vanderbilt upset Florida last weekend, 73-71, as a 3.5-point underdog, and then followed that win up with a win yesterday vs. Texas A&M. Unfortunately for the Commodores, SEC Conference teams are 0-11 ATS in the post-season off a win by more than 10 points, if they're matched up against a revenge-minded foe, which is not getting 3+ points, and also not off a SU/ATS win. Additionally, Florida falls into a 91-37 ATS Conference Tourney system of mine which plays on certain top 3-seeded teams off upset losses. And Vandy is 32-50 ATS when getting more than 6 points away from home off a win. Take Florida minus the points. SEC Tourney Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-10-17 | Indiana v. Wisconsin -5 | Top | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Indiana. The Hoosiers walloped Iowa yesterday, 95-73, and came within 2 points of the highest-score posted in a Big 10 Tourney contest. Will Indiana be able to play another great game? It's not likely, as it's just 18-14 on the season, and also just 14-14-2 ATS (including 5-7-2 ATS away from home, and 4-9 ATS when the line was 5 points or less). The Hoosiers also lost both meetings to the Badgers this season, and Indiana's an awful 0-6 SU/ATS as an underdog of +1.5 or more points in the Big 10 Tourney when playing with revenge vs. a rested opponent. Finally, the Hoosiers fall into a negative 28-74 ATS system of mine which fades certain .710 (or worse) teams off blowout wins. Take Wisconsin. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-10-17 | Alabama v. South Carolina -3.5 | Top | 64-53 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Alabama. The Crimson Tide played on Thursday, and defeated Mississippi St., 75-55, while South Carolina earned a bye into the quarterfinals. We'll take the Gamecocks on Friday, as rested SEC Conference teams are 71-35-1 ATS in the SEC Tournament vs. unrested opposition, including 23-5-1 ATS when playing with revenge! Alabama upset South Carolina, 90-86, on February 7 in Columbia, so let's lay the points with the Gamecocks. |
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03-10-17 | Memphis +1.5 v. UCF | Top | 54-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Central Florida. The Tigers were routed in their last game, 103-62, by SMU. But teams generally bounce back strong in the post-season off blowout losses, and especially when they're matched up against an opponent off a win. Indeed, teams off losses by more than 25 points have covered 66.2% since 1991 in the post-season vs. foes off a win (and 13-2 ATS when the game was competitively priced with a line less than 3 points). Memphis has also won 18 of the last 20 meetings vs. UCF (14-5-1 ATS). Take the Tigers. AAC Tourney Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-10-17 | Coastal Carolina v. Texas-Arlington -8 | Top | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Arlington Mavericks minus the points over Coastal Carolina. The Mavericks were the class of the Sun Belt Conference in the regular season. But one team which handed them a loss was Coastal Carolina. The Chanticleers defeated UT-Arlington, 72-70, back on January 30, as a 6.5-point home underdog. But Arlington rebounded very well off that defeat, as it then proceeded to win eight straight games (5-3 ATS) before dropping its final regular season game six days ago, at LA-Lafayette. We'll lay the points with Arlington, as it is 35-19 ATS off a loss, and 6-0 ATS this season when playing with revenge. Take Arlington. |
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03-09-17 | Kansas State v. Baylor -4.5 | Top | 70-64 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Kansas State. The Wildcats upset Baylor in Waco earlier this season. Unfortunately for Kansas State, revenge-minded top 5 seeds in the Big 12 Tournament have gone 15-0 SU and 13-1-1 ATS in the quarterfinal round when priced as a favorite of -7 points or less. Take Baylor. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-09-17 | UC Riverside +11.5 v. UC-Irvine | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on Cal Riverside + the points over Cal Irvine. Irvine comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins, while Riverside is on a 7-game SU/ATS losing streak. But I love playing on cold teams. Indeed, Riverside falls into a 101-55 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on 5-game (or worse) SU/ATS losing streaks. Even better: teams off a pointspread loss have covered 60.4% in the Big West Conference Tourney since 1991 vs. foes off a pointspread win. Take Riverside. |
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03-09-17 | Marshall v. Old Dominion -3.5 | Top | 64-63 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Marshall. The Thundering Herd opened the Tourney with a 15-point win vs. Florida Atlantic, but I don't see them making it two Tourney wins in a row, especially with Old Dominion coming into this game off a loss. The Monarchs stumbled in their final regular season game at Texas San Antonio, as the Roadrunners upset them as 8-point underdogs. But I love Old Dominion to bounce back on this Thursday, as it falls into 195-146, 59-19 and 91-35 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off upset losses. Moreover, Marshall's been dreadful (82-112 ATS) away from home vs. conference foes over the years, including a money-burning 37-58 ATS off a conference win. Take Old Dominion. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-09-17 | Cavs -5 v. Pistons | Top | 101-106 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Detroit. This is a tough spot for the Pistons, who had to play last night in Indiana, while Cleveland has been resting for the last two days following its loss on Monday vs. Miami. The Cavaliers were favored by 9.5 points in that game vs. the Heat, but lost outright by eight. I love Cleveland to bounce back tonight, as rested road favorites off an upset loss as a 9-point (or greater) favorite have covered the spread 64% of the time over the past 27 years provided their opponent is not off an upset loss. Even worse for Detroit: it defeated the Cavaliers by 16 points in the most recent meeting. But Cleveland is 22-13 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss earlier in the season. Take the Cavaliers. NBA Game of the Month! Good luck, as always…Al McMordie. |
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03-09-17 | Tulane v. Tulsa -5 | Top | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane minus the points over Tulane. Tulane's won just six games this season, but one of those six wins came at home, as a 3-point underdog, against this Tulsa team last weekend.  I look for Tulsa to avenge that defeat, and rout the Green Wave on Thursday, as teams that lost their final regular season game as a road favorite of -2+ points have cashed 64.9% in Conference Tourneys over the past 27 years vs. foes off a SU win. Take Tulsa. |
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03-09-17 | CS-Northridge +2.5 v. CS-Fullerton | Top | 68-81 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors + the points over Cal State Fullerton. The Matadors have lost their last five games (and last two ATS), while Fullerton is off back to back SU/ATS wins. However, in the post-season, favored teams off back to back SU/ATS wins are a wallet-busting 55-89 ATS when playing away from home against a foe off a SU/ATS loss, including 34-62 ATS when going into revenge. Take Northridge. |
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03-09-17 | Montana -3 v. Idaho | Top | 77-81 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Montana Grizzlies minus the points over Idaho. The Grizzlies were upset at home by idaho earlier in the season, but that upset loss has triggered a very good 78-34 ATS Tourney revenge system of mine. Additionally, revenge-minded favorites have cashed 58% in the Big Sky Tournament since 2002. Take Montana. |
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