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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-22-18 | Arkansas State v. Syracuse -20 | Top | 52-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Arkansas State. The Orange come into this home game vs. the Red Wolves off back to back upset home losses to Old Dominion and Buffalo. But I love Syracuse to rebound this afternoon, as it's cashed 100% (10-0 ATS) since 1990 as a favorite of -2.5 (or more) points off back to back upset losses. And ACC Conference favorites of -20 or more points are 39-19 ATS vs. non-conference foes, if our ACC team is off a loss. Take the Orange |
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12-22-18 | CS-Fullerton +19 v. Nebraska | Top | 62-86 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Fullerton State Titans + the points over Nebraska. The Titans have dropped their last five games to the point spread, and have lost their last three games, straight-up. Meanwhile, Nebraska has won and covered its last two games. Since 1990, though, road teams have cashed 59% off 3+ losses and 5+ ATS losses, if their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins. Additionally, Fullerton falls into 141-56 and 74-37 ATS "contrarian" systems of mine based on their recent losing streak. Take the Titans + the points. |
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12-22-18 | Wake Forest v. Memphis -3.5 | Top | 37-34 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Wake Forest. The Tigers come into this game off a 56-41 lost at Central Florida in their conference title game. Meanwhile, Wake Forest put up a whopping 59 points in its season finale at Duke, and defeated the Blue Devils by 52 (59-7). The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on a team which just scored 59 against an opponent which just gave up 56 points, and especially since that team has been installed as an underdog. But favorites (like Memphis), off a loss in which they gave up 44+ points, have covered 86% away from home vs. foes off a win, in which they scored 44+ points. Additionally, Memphis also falls into 206-138 and 24-5 ATS systems of mine, while Wake Forest falls into a negative 7-29 ATS system of mine based on its blowout win over Duke. Take Memphis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-18 | Southern Utah v. USC -11.5 | Top | 49-91 | Win | 100 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Southern Utah. Andy Enfield's Trojans were stunned, 102-92, here at home this past Tuesday by Santa Clara. However, Enfield's teams have cashed 69% in his career off an upset loss. And the Trojans might catch a break tonight, as the Thunderbird's second leading scorer -- Dwayne Morgan (13.0 ppg) -- is questionable to play due to pneumonia. Regardless, we'll lay the points with the Trojans, as they're 34-17 ATS when favored off an upset loss, including 14-2 ATS when priced at -8.5 or higher. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-18 | Oklahoma v. Northwestern -1 | Top | 76-69 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats over Oklahoma. Last year, the Sooners blew out the Wildcats by 26 points in Norman, OK. But tonight's game is in Chicago, and I love Northwestern to avenge last season's defeat. Indeed, Big 10 Conference teams are a perfect 16-0 ATS since 1995 when playing with revenge from a 13-point (or greater defeat) if they're off a 12-point (or greater) win in their previous game, and not getting more than a point in their current game. Take Northwestern. |
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12-21-18 | Wolves v. Spurs -4 | Top | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
AT 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Minnesota. This season, the Spurs are 7-0 SU/ATS when playing with same season revenge. Tonight, they'll be looking to avenge a 128-89 defeat to Minnesota. Lay the points with the Spurs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-18 | Furman v. LSU -8 | Top | 57-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over the Furman Paladins. Furman has been the surprise of this young basketball season, as it's 12-0, and has been ranked among the Top 25 for the last three polls. And prior to this season, Furman had never before been ranked Nationally in its 106-year men's basketball history! But all good things must eventually come to an end. And I expect Furman's undefeated season will vanish tonight in Baton Rouge. Indeed, undefeated teams with a 9-0 (or better) record, priced from +5.5 to +10.5 points, have cashed just 11 of 41 games vs. opponents off a straight-up win. And over the last 22 years, SEC Conference teams have cashed 61.1% at home in non-conference games vs. undefeated foes (with a 3-0 or better record). Take LSU. Shockeer of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-21-18 | Ole Miss v. Middle Tennessee +13 | Top | 74-56 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders + the points over Ole Miss. The Blue Raiders have gotten demolished in each of their last three games, with losses by 28, 22 and 22 points. I look for Middle Tenn to bounce back on Friday, as NCAA teams off three SU/ATS losses by 21+ points have cashed 61 of 98 since 1990. Take Middle Tennessee plus the points. |
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12-21-18 | Oakland +26 v. Michigan State | Top | 69-99 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Grizzlies + the points over Michigan State. Last season, the Grizz lost to their cross-state rival, 86-73, as an 18.5-point underdog. But I love Oakland to come within this large point spread tonight, as it is 22-11 its last 33 revenge games, including 13-3 ATS as an underdog. Take Oakland + the points. |
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12-21-18 | Cal-Irvine v. Butler -8.5 | Top | 54-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Cal Irvine. Since 1990, the Bulldogs are a solid 39-20 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes when priced from -12 to +15 points. And the Bulldogs also fall into 133-54, 290-184 and 167-85 ATS systems of mine. Take Butler. |
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12-19-18 | Ohio v. San Diego State +3 | Top | 27-0 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs + the points over Ohio. The Aztecs come into this game off 3 straight losses, including an upset home loss to Hawaii, as an 18.5-point favorite to end the season. But San Diego State gets a chance at redemption in this game, and has been installed as an underdog vs. Ohio. I love the Aztecs here, as Bowl underdogs have covered 71% over the past 25 years as underdogs of +13 or less points, if they lost outright as a favorite of -13 or more points in their final regular season game. Additionally, Underdogs (or PK'em teams) have covered 64% in the post-season off back to back losses, when matched up against foes off back to back wins! Finally, Mid-American Conference teams (like Ohio) have covered just one of the last seven Bowl meetings vs. teams from the Mountain West Conference, and have failed to cover the point spread by an average of 14.42 ppg. Take the points with San Diego State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-19-18 | Cavs v. Hornets -12 | Top | 99-110 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Cleveland. The Hornets come into this game off back to back SU/ATS Home losses, while Cleveland pulled off a huge upset last night when it went into Indiana and won outright as a 12.5-point underdog. Off that big win, and playing without rest, we'll fade the Cavaliers on the road tonight. A major factor for me in this game is the fact that Cleveland upset these Hornets, 113-89, as an 8.5-point underdog back on November 13. However, rested NBA teams (like Charlotte), off a home loss, are 61.3% ATS since 1990 when playing with revenge from a road upset defeat as a favorite of -6.5 (or more) points. Take the Hornets to blow out Cleveland. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-18 | Texas-Arlington v. Gonzaga -27 | Top | 55-89 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over Texas Arlington. The Mavericks have the unenviable task of playing the Bulldogs immediately after the Bulldogs lost back to back games to Tennessee and North Carolina. Certainly, Texas Arlington was never going to beat this Gonzaga team, even if the Bulldogs hadn't lost its last two games. But the fact that it did will surely add to Gonzaga's intensity tonight. Since 2009, the Zags have cashed 71% off back to back SU/ATS losses. Even better: big NCAA home favorites of -20+ points have cashed 70.8% off back to back SU/ATS losses the past nine years. Lay the points with the Bulldogs. College Hoops Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-18-18 | Northern Illinois v. UAB -1.5 | Top | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over Northern Illinois. Rod Carey doesn't have many blemishes on his coaching resume. But Bowl success has eluded him. Northern Illinois has lost its last five Bowl games (over the previous six seasons), by an average of 25.4 ppg, and they've all been defeats of 7+ points. Not surprisingly, the Huskies went 0-5 in those five Bowl games. It will be more of the same this season. Take UAB to blow out the Huskies. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-18 | North Dakota State v. Montana -11.5 | Top | 53-60 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Montana Grizzlies minus the points over North Dakota St. The Bison come into tonight's game off back to back wins (1-0-1 ATS) vs. Eastern Washington and Missouri State, while Montana checks in off a loss nine days ago vs. Cal Irvine. But Montana's loss was away from home, while North Dakota State's two wins were both at home. Indeed, North Dakota State is 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 ATS on its home court this season. But away from home, it's a completely different story, as it's 1-7 straight-up and ATS. Even worse: the Bison are a horrid 0-20 ATS off back to back wins, when not laying 7+ points! Meanwhile, Montana's a perfect 3-0 straight-up at home this season. And it's 14-0 straight-up and 9-3-1 ATS (with one non-lined game) its last 14 at home. Finally, Montana falls into 50-18 and 59-25 ATS systems of mine, based on its play this season. Take the Grizzlies. Perfect 10 Club Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-17-18 | Kings v. Wolves -8 | Top | 105-132 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Sacramento. The T-wolves had won and covered six of seven to go over the .500 mark. But they've lost their last four games, including an upset loss at Phoenix on Saturday, to fall three games under .500. And one of those four defeats was to this Sacramento Kings club five days ago. Minnesota was favored by 3 points in that game, yet lost by 11, 141-130. The Kings did have to play last night in Dallas, and won outright as a 5-point underdog, so they'll be playing without rest, while Minnesota will be rested. This is a great situation for the T-Wolves, as they're off a huge upset loss, while Sacramento is off a big upset win. And NBA favorites of -6 or more points, off an upset loss, have covered 63% since 1991 vs. foes off an upset win, if our home favorite was also playing with revenge from an upset defeat. Lay the points with Minnesota. NBA Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-18 | Patriots v. Steelers +3 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 1 h 32 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers + the points over New England. Since 1980, home dogs from Game 14 forward, off back to back SU/ATS losses, are 93-59 ATS. Take the Steelers to bounce back off their 3 straight losses. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-18 | Cleveland State v. Illinois State -9 | Top | 77-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Illinois State Redbirds minus the points over Cleveland State. Illinois State is just 6-5, but has played a relatively tough schedule thus far. In their last three home games, they invited teams like BYU (a 92-89 upset win), San Diego State (75-65 loss) and Mississippi (81-74 loss) to Redbird Arena, and were underdogs in all three games. Sandwiched in between the SDSU and Ole Miss games was a road game at Illinois Chicago, which they also lost (as a 2-point underdog). So, yes, the Redbirds are on a 3-game losing streak, but they're also 4-4 in their last eight games, even though they were an underdog in ALL 7 GAMES that had a point spread on it (one game was against a Division II school, and non-lined). Thus, today will be the first time that Illinois State has been a favorite since it played Chicago State in its 3rd game of the season, and just its 3rd game of 12, overall. The Redbirds are 20-10 ATS off back to back point spread defeats, and they also fall into one of my favorite NCAA systems, which is 83-32 ATS since 1990, which plays on certain teams off 3+ ATS losses. Take Illinois State. NCAA Non-Conference Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-16-18 | Dolphins v. Vikings -7.5 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings minus the points over the Miami Dolphins. Last week, the Dolphins won one of the more miraculous games in NFL history, ranking right up there with Pittsburgh's Immaculate Reception (1972) vs. Oakland, and last season's Playoff win by the Vikings over the Saints, when Case Keenum connected with Stefon Diggs on a 61-yard TD pass on the game's final play. Of course, everyone remembers those historic plays, but it's also important to remember what happened to those teams the next week. The Steelers, of course, lost to the Dolphins in the AFC Championship game, while Minnesota was blown out by the Eagles in last year's NFC Title game. Miami's win did place it back in the playoff hunt for this season, but their euphoria should be short-lived, as I expect Minnesota to rout them this afternoon. Since 1980, NFL road teams in non-division games have cashed just 30% off division upset wins when they were a 6-point (or greater) underdog in that upset win. Even worse: if our play-against team (here, Miami) owned a .500 (or better) SU/ATS record, then our negative 30% ATS system crashes to 16% ATS since 1980. This will be a blowout. Lay the points with the Vikings. NFL Non-Division Game of the Month. |
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12-15-18 | Middle Tennessee State +7 v. Appalachian State | Top | 13-45 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders + the points over Appalachian State. This New Orleans Bowl game pits the Sun Belt Conference against Conference USA. We played against Middle Tennessee State in its last game -- the Conference USA Title Game -- which was a horrendous situational spot for it. Middle Tennessee had just defeated UAB, 27-3, to end its regular season (its fifth straight ATS win, at the time), but then had to play UAB in a re-match the very next week for the Conference Title. Not surprisingly, UAB upset the Blue Raiders in that revenge match, so Middle Tennessee comes into this game off a loss. But it's still 5-1 ATS, which compares favorably to Appalachian State's current 3-4 ATS run. Let's go against Appalachian State tonight, as .500 (or better) Sun Belt teams are a terrible 2-25 ATS as favorites vs. non-conference foes, if our Sun Belt team isn't off a SU/ATS win, and it doesn't own a worse W/L record than its foe. Take Middle Tennessee. NCAA Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-15-18 | Browns v. Broncos -2.5 | Top | 17-16 | Loss | -107 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos over Cleveland. Last week, the Broncos were upset on the road by San Francisco, while Cleveland won outright as a home underdog vs. Carolina. Since 1980, NFL home teams have cashed 63% off an upset road defeat if their opponent was off an upset home win. Take Denver to blow out the Browns on Saturday night. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-15-18 | Celtics v. Pistons +2 | Top | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons over Boston. The Celtics have won eight straight, while Detroit has dropped six in a row. Yet Boston is favored by a scant margin in this game. This is a classic example of a sucker bet. Indeed, consider that NBA road teams on win streaks of 5+ games that are not favored by more than 5 points against an opponent on a 5-game (or worse) losing streak have gone just 2-17 ATS over the past 11 years (and just 31% ATS over the past 29 years). Take the points with Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-15-18 | Middle Tennessee +14.5 v. Toledo | Top | 62-84 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders + the points over Toledo. Nick McDevitt's first season as the Blue Raiders basketball coach hasn't gone as smoothly as he had hoped. The Blue Raiders are 3-7 straight-up, and 0-8 ATS following their 22-point loss at Murray St. last weekend. Tonight, they'll travel to Toledo, which is 9-1 SU and 5-4 ATS after its upset win at Marshall last Saturday. Overall, the Rockets have won and covered two straight. But Middle Tennessee is 59-35 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins, if that foe owns a winning point spread mark. And the Rockets are a money-burning 3-11 ATS at home off an upset win in their previous game. Finally, Middle Tennessee State falls into 492-279 and 395-213 ATS systems of mine that play on certain double-digit underdogs off a loss. Take the points with the Blue Raiders. NCAA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-15-18 | North Texas +8.5 v. Utah State | Top | 13-52 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green + the points over Utah State. The Mean Green have lost their last five games to the point spread. But I love them to snap their streak this afternoon. Indeed, since 1980, NCAA underdogs of 3.5 or more points have covered 83% in the post-season if they were on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak. Additionally, North Texas has covered eight of its last 10 vs. non-conference foes (and 19 of its last 28). These two conferences (Conference USA + Mountain West) have met eight times in Bowl games over the past six season, with Conference USA dominating -- 6-2 ATS. Take the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-14-18 | Bucks -10.5 v. Cavs | Top | 114-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over Cleveland. These two teams met earlier this week, and Milwaukee routed Cleveland by 16 points in a game which it never trailed. Giannis Antetokounmpo didn't suit up for that game, but he'll be back on the court tonight. He also played this past Wednesday, but Milwaukee was blown out by Indiana, 113-97, in that game. I love the Bucks to bounce back tonight, as they're 6-2 ATS this season off a loss, while the Cavaliers are an awful 1-5 ATS this season off a win. The Cavs pulled an upset in their previous game, here, at home vs. the Knicks. Unfortunately, double-digit underdogs are a poor 13-39 ATS at home off an home upset win. Take Milwaukee. NBA Roadkill Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-12-18 | Raptors v. Warriors -6.5 | Top | 113-93 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Toronto. In the Steve Kerr era, the Warriors have been terrific at home in the regular season when playing teams off wins, if their opponent had to play the night before, as they've cashed 73%. Even better: the Warriors lost in Toronto to the Raptors last month. But Golden State is 76.1% in the Kerr era when playing with revenge in the regular season vs. a foe off a straight-up win. Take Golden State to blow out Toronto. |
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12-12-18 | Wolves -2 v. Kings | Top | 130-141 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota T-Wolves minus the points over Sacramento. The Kings come into this game off a blowout win over Chicago, while Minny has lost its last two games. However, Minnesota was an underdog in each of those games (road tilts at Portland and Golden State), so those defeats weren't wholly unexpected. Tonight, Minnesota is favored. And the Kings are an awful 18-38 ATS at home when they won their previous game, and their foe is off a loss. Additionally, Minnesota falls into a super 71.05% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses. Take the T-Wolves. |
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12-12-18 | LSU +6.5 v. Houston | Top | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers. Analysis to follow. |
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12-12-18 | Celtics v. Wizards +3.5 | Top | 130-125 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Boston. The Wizards return home tonight off a 2-2 road trip. And Washington is 4-0 SU/ATS its last four home games. We actually played on Washington in two of those four games (vs. Clippers and vs. Nets), and will come right back with the Wizards as a home underdog, tonight. Point guard John Wall has been battling bone spurs in his heel, but he's going to give it a go in this game, so that's good news for the Wizards. Meanwhile, the injury bug has afflicted Boston, as it could be without Aron Baynes, and will definitely play without Al Horford and Gordon Hayward tonight. Finally, Washington falls into 39-19 and 58-31 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams with losing SU/ATS records. Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-11-18 | Blazers v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Portland. The Trail Blazers started the season red-hot, as they won 10 of their first 13 games thru November 11, and were the 2nd best team in the Western Conference. Then, on November 14, we had our NBA Game of the Week on the Lakers against Portland, and I wrote that, "Portland is nowhere near the 2nd best team. Indeed, its gaudy record has more to do with its schedule than its true talent. The primary reason for Portland's record is that it has played nine of its 13 games at home. And three of its four road games were played against teams that currently sport losing records!" Those words were fairly prescient, as the Trail Blazers lost that night to the Lakers, and have now lost eight of their last 13 games to fall to sixth place (tied with Memphis) in the West. Of course, the Rockets would LOVE to be tied for sixth place, as they're currently out of the playoff picture, with an 11-14 record. But by season's end, I wouldn't be surprised if Houston is in the Playoffs, and the Trail Blazers are not. Dating back to December 1996, Houston is a solid 63% ATS as a favorite of -5 or more points, if the Rockets are off back to back losses, while its opponent is off back to back wins. Lay the points with Houston. NBA Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-18 | Vikings v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks minus the points over Minnesota. These two playoff contenders are separated by a mere half-game, as Seattle is 7-5, while Minnesota is 6-5-1. But, for my money, Seattle is the much more impressive team, as it's played a much more difficult schedule. Compare Minnesota's home schedule to Seattle's. Of Minny's 6 home games, four were against creampuffs (49ers, Bills, Cardinals, Lions), and it actually lost to one of them! Seattle, on the other hand, has played just one weak opponent (49ers) so far at home, but has also played three playoff teams (Rams, Chargers, Cowboys) among its five home opponents. And, even though Seattle has had a daunting home schedule, it's only lost both straight-up and ATS to one team (Chargers). Meanwhile, Minnesota has covered just two (Eagles, Jets) of its six road games, though neither of those two opponents will be making the Playoffs this season. Seattle falls into several of my favorite Monday Night Football Systems, with records of 117-55, 95-52, 80-37, 73-32, 68-28 and 57-21 ATS. Lay the small number with the Seahawks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-10-18 | Morehead State v. Marshall -13.5 | Top | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on Marshall (Analysis to follow.) |
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12-09-18 | Rams v. Bears +3 | Top | 6-15 | Win | 100 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over Los Angeles. The Rams will try to make it a 4-0 SWEEP over the NFC North teams, as they defeated Minnesota and Green Bay earlier this year at home, and then downed Detroit on the road last week, 30-16. But winning and covering back to back road games will be difficult for the Rams. The last time they pulled off that trick was in Weeks 3, 4 in 2016. Since then, they've played back to back road games four times, but weren't able to win and cover each of the two games in those successive weeks. I love Chicago in this home underdog spot. The Bears were upset on the road last week, 30-27, as a 3.5-point favorite by the New York Giants. But winning teams have cashed a staggering 82% at home the past 39 years as an underdog (or pk) vs. .670 (or better) foes, if our home team was upset in its previous game as a 3-point (or greater) favorite. Take the Bears. NFC Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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12-09-18 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-29 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 13 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over Dallas. Last week, the Cowboys upset the New Orleans Saints by a score of 13-10. And Dallas is now 7-5 this season, and has the NFC East division lead (by 1 game) over Philadelphia, which is 6-6. Of course, the reason Dallas is one game ahead is because it upset the Eagles earlier this season, 27-20, as a 7.5-point road underdog. I look for Philly to avenge that defeat, as NFL underdogs have cashed 65.7% since 1980 when playing with revenge from a loss where they were favored by 7+ points. Lay the points. NFL Division Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-18 | Lions -2.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 17-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 36 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over Arizona. The Arizona Cardinals had only defeated one other team (San Francisco, twice) before it stunned Green Bay on the road last week, 20-17, as a 13.5-point underdog. So, it was no surprise that the Packers fired head coach Mike McCarthy following that loss. Can Arizona make it two upset wins in a row? It's not likely, as teams that won outright as a 13.5-point (or greater) underdog are 1-18 straight-up and 0-17-2 ATS since December 1995. Detroit, meanwhile, lost 30-16 at home to the 11-1 Rams last week. But Detroit is a super 35-10-3 ATS on the road off a loss by 13+ points. Take Detroit. NFL Perfect 10 Club play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-18 | Steelers v. Raiders +10 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Pittsburgh. The Steelers come into this game off back to back upset losses (at Denver Broncos; home vs. LA Chargers). And the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the AFC North division leaders to bounce back in this critical game. But winning teams have actually burned money on the road off back to back upset defeats, and especially when they've been favored by a touchdown or more, as they've cashed just 33% since 1980. Take the Raiders as a double-digit home dog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-09-18 | Broncos v. 49ers +3.5 | Top | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers + the points over Denver. The 49ers return home after getting walloped by Seattle, 43-16, in their last game. But off that 27-point defeat, I love the Niners to rebound as a home underdog. Indeed, since 1980, home underdogs have cashed 65% off a loss by 27+ points, if they were playing a .500 (or better) opponent off back to back SU/ATS wins. Even better: Denver is an awful 22-38-3 ATS on the road off a double-digit win when playing a non-division foe, including 1-10 ATS if that foe failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in its previous game. Take the 49ers + the points. NFL Roadkill play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-08-18 | Murray State v. Middle Tennessee +5 | Top | 64-42 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders + the points over Murray State. The Blue Raiders have lost each of their last five games -- both straight-up and against the spread -- including a 79-51 blowout at Vanderbilt on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Murray State is riding a four-game ATS win streak. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the "ice cold" Blue Raiders. But consider that NCAA teams on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak have cashed 70.5% since 2004 against foes off back to back covers, including a perfect 9-0 ATS if our team lost by 27+ points in their previous game. Take Middle Tennessee State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-08-18 | Green Bay v. Bowling Green -2 | Top | 68-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons minus the points over Wisconsin Green Bay. The Phoenix come into tonight's game off back to back wins and covers, with home wins over Northern Illinois and Belmont. But Green Bay is an awful 10-28-1 ATS away from home off back-to-back covers, if they were priced as an underdog of +13 or less points, including 0-9 ATS if they covered their previous game by more than 12 points. Take Bowling Green. |
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12-08-18 | UC Davis v. Eastern Washington -10 | Top | 29-34 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 13 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Washington Eagles minus the points over Cal Davis. Faithful followers know I love playing on College Football teams that can score. And Eastern Washington has been doing just that -- in spades. Last week, EWU put up 42 points in a 42-21 home win over Nicholls State. And it scored 74 points in a 74-23 blowout win over Portland State two games back. Then, three games back, it was a match-up against its opponent this afternoon -- Cal Davis. The two teams entered that game ranked among the Top 10 in the FCS, and Eastern Washington rolled up 669 yards to defeat Cal Davis for the seventh straight time, 59-20 (after trailing 10-0 to start the game). I don't see much changing, here in Cheney, Washington, this afternoon. Lay the points with Eastern Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-08-18 | Louisville v. Indiana -6 | Top | 67-68 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Louisville. Over the last four years, these two teams have met three times, and the favorite has covered each of the three games. And, dating back to 1990, they've met seven times, with the favorite covering each of the seven. I look for Indiana to blow out the Cardinals this afternoon to stretch this streak to eight games in a row. Key stat: Indiana is 25-5 ATS at home when favored between -5.5 and -12.5 points vs. non-conference foes, including 8-0 ATS since 2010. Lay the points. |
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12-07-18 | Nuggets v. Hornets +1 | Top | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets over the Denver Nuggets. The Hornets will look to snap their 3-game SU/ATS losing streak tonight, as they come into this game off losses to Utah, New Orleans and Minnesota. And the Hornets failed to cover the spread in each game by 10+ points. Meanwhile, Charlotte's opponent tonight -- Denver -- currently has the Western Conference's #1 record, and the league's 2nd best record, overall. And the Nuggets have been red-hot in Vegas, with seven straight point spread covers (as well as seven straight wins). Unfortunately, NBA teams on a 7-game (or greater) point spread win streak have cashed just 17 of 68 regular season games vs. foes that failed to cover their previous game by more than nine points, including 1-13 ATS when the point spread was 3 points or less! Take Charlotte tonight. NBA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-06-18 | Jaguars v. Titans -4.5 | Top | 9-30 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans minus the points over Jacksonville. The Jacksonville Jaguars snapped their seven-game losing streak last week when they shut out Indianapolis, 6-0. But with a 4-8 record, it's definitely a case of "too little, too late," as Jacksonville has virtually no chance to make the playoffs. QB Cody Kessler will make his second start for the Jaguars this Thursday night. But even though Kessler led the Jaguars to victory last week, he's still just 1-8 as a starter in his career. And his team will also be facing a much better defensive club in the Titans than it did last week vs. the Colts. Indeed, Tennessee ranks among the Top 10 in total defense, pass defense and scoring defense. I look for the Titans to blow out Jacksonville, as losing NFL teams are an awful 9-29 ATS off a home shutout victory, including 1-12 ATS as underdogs of less than 7 points. Take Tennessee. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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12-05-18 | Utah State v. BYU -1.5 | Top | 80-95 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars minus the points over Utah State. The Cougars are 5-4 this season and have lost their last three games (both SU and ATS). But three of their four losses came on the road, where BYU is 0-3 on the season. At home, BYU is a solid 5-1 straight-up and 2-1 ATS. Utah State, meanwhile, is 6-1 this year, but only one of its wins (Cal Irvine) came on its opponent's home court. Tonight, the Aggies will travel to Provo to battle its Beehive State rival, BYU. Unfortunately, BYU has dominated this rivalry, of late, with wins in each of the last six meetings (and point spread wins in each of the last five). Also, the revenge-minded team in this series is a poor 3-13 ATS as an underdog, and 1-8 ATS on the road, so each of those stats does not bode well for Utah State tonight. Admittedly, Utah State has looked great over its last two games, with blowout wins over Cal Irvine (89-65) and Northern Iowa (71-52). However, the Aggies are a money-burning 0 for 12 since 1995 after winning their previous game by double-digits, if they're off back to back SU/ATS wins, and their opponent is off back to back SU/ATS losses.  And, finally, BYU is an awesome 31-0 straight-up, and 20-11 ATS as a home favorite, if it is off back to back losses (and it's 8-1 ATS its last nine as a home favorite off 3+ losses). Take BYU. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-04-18 | St. Peter's v. Clemson -21.5 | Top | 60-65 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over St Peters. The Tigers started out with five straight wins, but stumbled in their last two games vs. Creighton (87-82 loss) and Nebraska (68-66 loss). But Clemson will bounce back on Tuesday, as it's 100-59-4 ATS off back to back losses, including 56-26 ATS vs. an opponent off a straight-up win! And the Tigers also fall into 56-18 and 101-45 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off losses. Finally, ACC Conference teams are an awesome 41-0 SU and 31-10 ATS off a loss, when favored by 20+ points vs. a non-conference opponent. Take Clemson. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-18 | Redskins v. Eagles -6 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 88 h 19 m | Show |
At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the points over Washington. The Eagles come into this game with a losing record (5-6, .454), and on a 3-game ATS losing streak, after defeating the NY Giants, 25-22. Meanwhile Washington is a game better at 6-5 (.545), following its 31-23 loss to Dallas. With the Cowboys leading the division with a 7-5 record, this game is ultra-critical for both clubs. We'll lay the points with Philly, as defending Super Bowl Champs, not off a SU/ATS win, have cashed 68.9% at home since 1984 against division opponents off a loss. Even better: in weekday football games, favorites off back to back ATS losses have cashed 58.2% since 1980. Finally, no team has performed worse than Washington on Monday Night Football. The Redskins are 15-39 SU and 16-37-1 ATS on Mondays since 1980, including 2-14 SU the past 11 years, and 0-6 SU/ATS since 2015. Philly also falls into 61-19 and 91-33 ATS Monday Night Football systems of mine. Take Philadelphia. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-18 | Rockets v. Wolves +2 | Top | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Houston. Minnesota's 4-game SU/ATS win streak was snapped here, at home, vs. Boston on Saturday. But I love the T-Wolves to bounce back and upset Houston, tonight. Minnesota will be looking to avenge its Playoff series defeat last Spring at the hands of the Rockets, and fall into a 74-43 ATS revenge system of mine. Minnesota is 28-10 straight-up and 24-13-1 ATS its last 38 home games, while Houston is a poor 4-11 ATS its last 15 off back to back wins. Take the T-Wolves. |
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12-03-18 | Clippers +2 v. Pelicans | Top | 129-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over New Orleans. Los Angeles has been the NBA's most pleasant surprise this season. At the start of the year, most believed the Clippers would not make the playoffs. But 22 games into the season, L.A. is not only firmly entrenched in the Playoff mix, but it owns the league's 2nd best record (tied with Denver and Boston). Tonight, L.A. will look to avenge a rare loss when it travels to New Orleans. The Pelicans upended the Clippers, 116-109, in October. But New Orleans was extremely well-rested (3 days) for that game. Here, they will be playing without any rest, as they battled in Charlotte last night. For technical support, consider that the Pelicans have covered just 7 of 37 games vs. .620 (or better) teams playing with revenge, if that opponent was off a straight-up loss. Additionally, LA falls into a very good 101-42 ATS revenge system of mine. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-03-18 | Nuggets v. Raptors -6.5 | Top | 106-103 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Denver. The Nuggets have won (and covered) their last five games. But road underdogs of more than 6 points have cashed just 14 of 46 games vs. .610 (or better) foes. Take Toronto. |
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12-02-18 | Jets +9.5 v. Titans | Top | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 65 h 31 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Tennessee. The Jets have lost their last five games -- both straight-up and ATS. Meanwhile, Tennessee hasn't been much better, as it's off back to back blowout losses. So, each team will attempt to right the ship on this Sunday afternoon. We will side with the road underdog Jets. One of the things I love to do is play on teams that are on long (5+ games) SU/ATS losing streaks, as one often gets good point spread value. Indeed, NFL teams have cashed 66 of 101 non-division games when they've lost (both SU/ATS) their last five games. Take the Jets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-02-18 | Cardinals +14.5 v. Packers | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 61 h 25 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over Green Bay. The Packers, at 4-6-1, have their proverbial backs against the wall, as they will need to win their last five games of the season if they are to have a chance at the post-season. Arizona, of course, doesn't have that problem, as it is 2-9, and won't be playing in January. The problem for Green Bay has been its defense. Since shutting out the woeful Bills in Week 4, the Packers have given up 31, 30, 29, 31, 12, 27 and 24 points, for an average of 26.3 ppg over their last seven. For the season, their number is not much better, at 24.3. It's dangerous to lay a lot of points with bad defensive clubs, no matter the opposition. Indeed, since 1980, favorites of -8 or more points, with a defensive ppg. average of 23.67, have gone 39-80 ATS at Game 6 forward. Arizona's 10-1 ATS its last 11 off back to back losses, if it owned a losing record. Take the points with the Cardinals. |
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12-02-18 | Rams v. Lions +11 | Top | 30-16 | Loss | -128 | 60 h 57 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams have scored 54, 36 and 35 points in their three previous games. In contrast, the Lions have scored just 16, 20 and 22 points in their last three games — a total of 58 points, or 67 points less than the Rams’ aggregate total of 125 points.  Unfortunately for Los Angeles, NFL teams that scored 123 or more points over their three previous games have gone 0-9 ATS on the road since 2001 vs. opponents off a loss. Even better: Detroit's been installed as a double-digit home underdog. And home dogs of +10 or more points have gone 70-34 ATS since 1982 vs. opponents off a home win. Take the Lions + the points. NFL Shocker of the Month! |
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12-02-18 | Bills v. Dolphins -3.5 | Top | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 59 h 45 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins minus the points over Buffalo. The Dolphins are off back to back SU road losses to Green Bay and Indianapolis. But they were big underdogs (+9 vs. Indy; +11.5 vs. GB) in those two road games. That's not the case here, as Miami is favored at home. Meanwhile, Buffalo enters off back to back upset wins at the New York Jets, and at home vs. Jacksonville. But before one congratulates the Bills for those two wins, it's worth noting that the Jets are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, while Jacksonville has lost its last 7 games! Since 1980, NFL home favorites of -3 or more points, off back to back road losses, have covered 72% vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. This season, the Dolphins 5-6 SU and 6-5 ATS. But all six of Miami's losses came when they were an underdog of +3 or more points. When Miami hasn't been an underdog of 3+ points, then it's 3-0 SU/ATS this season, and 10-3-2, 77% ATS its last 15. Take the Dolphins to blow out Buffalo. NFL Division Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-18 | California v. St. Mary's -11.5 | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels minus the points over California. The Gaels are on a 4-game losing streak, including back to back home losses as favorites of -7 and -9 points. I love the Gaels to snap their slide tonight, as NCAA home teams have cashed 73% in non conference games as favorites of -5 (or more) points, off back to back losses where they were favored by more than 4 points. Lay the double-digits with St. Mary's. |
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12-01-18 | Northwestern +14.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 3 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Ohio State. Last week, the Buckeyes rolled over their rival, Michigan, with a 62-39 upset win. But off that huge upset win, we'll fade Ohio State on Saturday, as the Buckeyes fall into a negative system which is 0-21 ATS. What we want to do is play against any 8-point (or greater) favorite off an upset win, if they won that game by more than 10 points, and are now matched up against a .666 (or better) foe. Ohio State also falls into negative 27-66, 10-46 and 6-40 ATS systems. Take Northwestern + the points. NCAA Title Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-18 | Florida International v. Arkansas -16 | Top | 89-121 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Florida International. The Razorbacks have long been one of the best point spread-covering teams at home, including 59-42 ATS vs. non-conference foes, and 72-44 ATS on Saturdays. Florida International, meanwhile, has been poor vs. non-conference foes, including 4-16, 20% ATS as dogs of more than 11 if their foe was off an 11-point (or greater) win. This season, Arkansas is 4-1 ATS, and its only point spread defeat came when Montana State sank a 3-pointer to with 21 seconds left to end that game's scoring to cover by two points. Otherwise, it would be 5-0 ATS this season. Finally, the Razorbacks fall into a great 134-62 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites vs. foes off a SU win. I look for Arkansas to move its point spread record to 5-1 with a blowout win tonight. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.   |
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12-01-18 | Nets v. Wizards -5 | Top | 88-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Brooklyn. The Wizards have started to turn the corner, somewhat, from their disastrous 2-9 SU/ATS start, as they've gone 6-5 SU/ATS since November 10. But you wouldn't know it from their last two games. The Wizards were blown out by 21 in New Orleans, and by 25 last night at Philly. However, those two games were on the road. Washington's won and covered its last three home games. And each was against very good teams (Rockets, Clippers, Pelicans). So, I look for Washington to rebound tonight against a Brooklyn team which also played last night, but which had to extend itself for an additional two overtime periods vs. Memphis. Moreover, the Wizards play with revenge from a loss suffered to these Nets just 15 days ago, and fall into a super Revenge system of mine. Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-18 | Northern Colorado v. Wyoming +1 | Top | 85-80 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys over Northern Colorado. Last season, the Bears went into Laramie, and upset Wyoming, 91-84, as a 9-point underdog. But that loss has triggered a great 70-31 ATS revenge system of mine. Also, the Cowboys are 29-11-1 ATS off a straight-up loss when not laying double-digits. Take Wyoming to blow out Northern Colorado. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-18 | UAB +1.5 v. Middle Tennessee State | Top | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 62 h 45 m | Show |
At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers + the points over Middle Tennessee State. The Blazers and Blue Raiders actually met last week (also here in Murfreesboro), and the Blue Raiders won, 27-3, as a 3-point home underdog. That was also the 2nd straight defeat suffered by UAB, as it lost out of conference to Texas A&M two weeks ago. I look for UAB to avenge last week's loss, as winning teams have cashed 61% the last 39 years off 21-point (or worse) SU/ATS losses, if they're on the road against a Conference foe off a SU/ATS win. And if our team is off back to back SU/ATS losses, then our 61% system zooms to 77%. Take UAB. NCAA Payback Payday! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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12-01-18 | Gonzaga v. Creighton +6.5 | Top | 103-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays + the points over Gonzaga. The Gonzaga Bulldogs upset then-No. 1 Duke, 89-87, 10 days ago, in Maui, to ascend to the #1 ranking. But the Blue Jays are in a great position to hand the Bulldogs their first loss of the season. Creighton's on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak, and also plays with revenge from a 17-point loss suffered at Gonzaga last season. I love playing on great teams with revenge and strong home courts, and Creighton meets the criteria for all three, as they're 6-1 this season, and have won 35 of their last 42 home games (23-15 ATS). Take the Blue Jays. |
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois +3.5 v. Buffalo | Top | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 44 h 13 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over Buffalo. The Bulls are 10-2 this season, while the Huskies are 7-5. But one team Buffalo has not been able to beat, of late, has been Northern Illinois. Indeed, the Huskies have won the last 11 meetings, including all 10 since the Bulls joined the MAC in 1999. (Buffalo did defeat the Huskies once, back in 1968). Even worse for the Bulls: in the MAC Conference Championship games, teams with a win percentage greater than .800 have gone 1-10 ATS vs. foes with a win percentage of .800 (or less). Finally, Northern Illinois enters this game off back to back upset losses, including a 28-21 defeat at Western Michigan 10 days ago. But NCAA teams off road upset losses have cashed 64% in Conference Title games. Take Northern Illinois + the points. NCAA Football Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +8 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over New Orleans. The Saints have won their last 10 games. Even more improbably, they've covered the point spread in their last nine. Even with 9 ATS wins in a row, they're far away from the 14 straight games that the Patriots covered up until getting blown out by the Bears in the Super Bowl 33 seasons ago. Tonight, they'll face the Cowboys. And while Dallas isn't on a 9-game SU/ATS win streak, it is playing well, and is on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak. And home underdogs (or PK) on a 3-game (or better) SU/ATS win streak are 49-33-1 ATS since 1980. Meanwhile, road favorites (or PK) on a 5-game (or better) win streak are 12-22 ATS vs. foes off a straight-up win. The Saints also fall into negative 24-69, 4-17 and 38-68 ATS systems based on its recent results. Take Dallas + the points. NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Month. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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11-28-18 | Cal-Irvine v. St. Mary's -6.5 | Top | 80-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels minus the points over Cal Irvine. Randy Bennett's Gaels come into this home game off a rare home loss, 74-68, to Harvard. But the Gaels are an awesome 65-46-2 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes, including 9-0 ATS their last nine off an upset loss, if the Gaels were favored by 6 or more points in the current game. Take St. Mary's. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-28-18 | Portland v. Colorado -15.5 | Top | 69-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Portland. The Pilots were blown out by Texas State, 91-68, as a 2-point home underdog on Saturday. But that's been "par for the course" for Portland as it's an awful 13-34-1 ATS as underdogs of 19.5 or less points vs. Non-Conference foes (and 2-16 ATS when priced from +9.5 to +19.5). Colorado routed Air Force, 93-56, and falls into a 101-48 ATS system of mine based on that victory. Take the Buffaloes. |
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11-28-18 | Virginia v. Maryland +3.5 | Top | 76-71 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Virginia. The Cavaliers were my preseason pick (at 22-1 odds) to win the College Basketball championship this season. But this is a great spot to fade Virginia and take the home underdog Terrapins. Maryland enters off a momentum-building, 37-point blowout win over Marshall (as a 9-point favorite). And the Terrapins are a terrific 60% ATS at home off wins by 15+ points over the last 29 seasons, including 7-1 ATS as a home underdog! Take the Terps. |
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11-27-18 | Raptors v. Grizzlies +5.5 | Top | 122-114 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Toronto. The Raptors are 17-4 and are outscoring their foes by 8.95 ppg. But Memphis has excelled over the years vs. foes with an average margin of 6.10 (or better). Indeed, in the regular season vs. such teams, Memphis is a superb 56-21 ATS when the Grizzlies entered with a winning record, and their opponent was off a straight-up win. And, although, there's certainly nothing wrong with 56-21, we can improve our mark to 47-11 ATS by not going against teams playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season (which Toronto is not). The Grizzlies are 10-2 ATS their last 12 home games, and 21-9 ATS their last 30 as home dogs vs. an Eastern Conference foe. Take Memphis. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-18 | Bucks v. Hornets +5 | Top | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Milwaukee. These two teams actually met on Opening Night, and the Bucks eked out a 1-point victory, 113-112, here in Charlotte. However, Charlotte covered the 3-point spread. Tonight, they're getting more than that. And we will grab the points, as Charlotte is 6-3 SU and 6-3 ATS at home this season. Even better: none of its three home losses has come by more than 4 points. Last night, the Hornets suffered an embarrassing 124-123 defeat at the hands of the league's worst team, the Atlanta Hawks. Atlanta had lost its previous nine games. But NBA teams upset by opponents on a 7-game (or worse) losing streak, when they were favored by 6+ points, generally bounce back in their next game, and have covered 92 of 154. Take Charlotte as a home dog tonight. NBA Payback Payday! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-26-18 | Wofford v. South Carolina -7.5 | Top | 81-61 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Wofford. The Gamecocks snapped their four-game ATS losing streak with a 90-55 win over George Washington.  And that blowout win has triggered a very good 'momentum' system of mine which has cashed 63% over the last 29 years. The Terriers are 4-2, but this will be just Wofford's second road game vs. a Division 1 school. It failed to cover its first one vs. the Sooners, back on November 18. And it's a poor 8-20 ATS its last 28 road games vs. teams from major and mid-major Conferences on the regular Vegas rotation (as opposed to schools on the Added board). Meanwhile, South Carolina is a solid 26-10 ATS as favorites of -6 (or more) points vs. teams from minor conferences NOT in Vegas' regular rotation, including 12-1 ATS vs. foes that had a .500 (or better) record. Take South Carolina. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-25-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -4.5 | Top | 104-100 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Los Angeles. The Clippers are 12-6 this season, but all of their profit has been at home, where they are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS. On the road, the Clippers are a pedestrian 4-5 SU/ATS. Likewise, the Blazers are 7-2 SU/ATS at home, but just 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS on the road. So, it wasn't much of a surprise when the Trail Blazers ended their 6-game road trip with back to back blowout losses at Milwaukee (143-100) and Golden State (125-97). But .630 (or better) home favorites are 95-55 ATS off back to back losses by more than 8 points. Coincidentally, this angle also applied to the Warriors in their 125-97 win over Portland this past Friday, as Golden State entered that game off double-digit losses to the Spurs and Thunder. I look for Portland to bounce back this evening. Take the Trail Blazers. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-25-18 | Knicks v. Grizzlies -8.5 | Top | 103-98 | Loss | -104 | 1 h 42 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the New York Knicks. The Knicks just pulled off back to back upsets. They earned the biggest upset yet this season when they knocked off Boston, as a 14.5-point underdog. Then they followed that up with a 114-109 win over New Orleans. But New York likely would have lost that game vs. the Pelicans had Anthony Davis not gotten injured in that game's 3rd quarter, and had been able to finish. Still, New York rides into Memphis on a 2-game win streak. But NBA teams off back to back upset wins as 8+ point underdogs have cashed just 36% since 1990. Take Memphis minus the points. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-25-18 | Steelers v. Broncos +3 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Pittsburgh. The Steelers snatched victory from the jaws of defeat last week, in Jacksonville. But the Jags have been in a death spiral, with six straight losses. Denver, on the other hand, comes into this game off an upset win over the LA Chargers, and have covered four of their last five. Denver's also 31-17-3 ATS as a home underdog (or PK), including 24-11-1 ATS vs. non-division foes. Finally, teams (like Pittsburgh) on a 6-game (or better) win streak, have been poor on the road as favorites vs. non-division foes, going 33-54 ATS since 1980. Take the Broncos. AFC Conference Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-18 | Celtics v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Boston. The Mavericks have been awesome over the last couple of seasons at home vs. opponents off a win, as they're 33-16-1 ATS their last 50 in this situation. The Celtics, on the other hand, have been dreadful on the road lately. Admittedly, Boston did win by 18 on the road last night in Atlanta. But the Hawks are the league's worst team, with a 3-16 (.157) record. And, speaking of 3-16, the Celtics are an awful 3-16 ATS their last 19 road games vs. opponents with a .200 (or better) win percentage. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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11-24-18 | Nuggets v. Thunder -5 | Top | 105-98 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Denver. The Nuggets had to play last night, at home, and then travel to take on the Thunder tonight. Unfortunately, Denver has covered just 76 of 179 road games off a home game the previous night. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is an awesome 24-9 at home vs. opponents that played a home game the previous night, including 10-0 ATS vs. .600 (or better) opponents off a win. Take Oklahoma City. |
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11-24-18 | Notre Dame v. USC +12 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans + the points over Notre Dame. The Trojans are off back to back SU/ATS losses, but they're an incredible 8-0 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, if they also lost 2 games back. Grab the points with the Trojans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-18 | Rockets -10 v. Cavs | Top | 108-117 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on Houston minus the points over Cleveland. The Cavaliers stunned the 76ers as a 13-point underdog last night. But that was just their 3rd win of the season. And bad teams rarely win back to back games. Indeed, double-digit home underdogs have cashed just 33% since 1995 off wins as double-digit dogs. Take Houston. |
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11-24-18 | North Texas -24.5 v. UTSA | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Texas San Antonio. The Roadrunners have scored a sum total of 10 points over their last three games. Unfortunately for the Roadrunners, home underdogs have cashed just 38 of 116 games over the past 24 years if they didn't score more than 23 points over their three previous games (and just 1 of 13 if they didn't score more than 10). Lay the big number with North Texas. |
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11-24-18 | Kansas State v. Iowa State -12 | Top | 38-42 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over Kansas State. This is a major revenge spot for Iowa State, which has lost the last 10 meetings to KSU. And the Cyclones fall into a 64-34 ATS revenge angle of mine which plays on certain big favorites with revenge. Additionally, the Cyclones are 7-1 ATS off a road loss, while K-State is a poor 1-5 ATS off an upset win over a Big 12 Conference rival. Lay the points. |
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11-24-18 | Illinois +16.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over Northwestern. Last week, Illinois was thoroughly embarrassed by Iowa, in a 63-0 beatdown. But off that whitewash, I look for Illinois to bounce back in their final game of the season. Indeed, since 1998, teams that failed to cover the point spread by 35+ points in their penultimate game of the season, have rebounded to cash 68% in their final game. Take Illinois. Big 10 Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-18 | Pittsburgh v. Miami-FL -5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Pittsburgh. The Hurricanes were 10-0 last season, and ranked #2 in the country, when they went into Pittsburgh last season. The Panthers roiled Miami's season with a 24-14 upset win. The 'Canes then proceeded to lose their next two games, as well, including the ACC Title game to Clemson, and the Orange Bowl vs. Wisconsin. This season, it's Pittsburgh which has ACC Championship hopes, as the Panthers will play Clemson in the ACC Title game next week. So, even if Miami wins today, the Panthers can still win the Conference next week. Regardless, I love Miami in this revenge match, as the 'Canes fall into a 53-27 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams that were winning clubs the previous season. Even worse for Pitt: It's covered its last six games, and falls into a 51-23 ATS "Last Road Game" system of mine which goes against certain teams off ATS wins. Lay the points with Miami. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-18 | Georgia Southern v. Georgia State +10.5 | Top | 35-14 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers + the points over the Georgia Southern Eagles. The Panthers have lost their last six games SU and their last five games ATS. But Georgia State falls into a 99-58 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off SU/ATS losses vs. foes off SU/ATS wins. Moreover, teams on a 5-game (or worse) point spread losing streak have gone 42-13 their last 55 vs. opponents on a point spread win streak (and home teams have gone 24-5 ATS their last 29 in this situation)! Take the Panthers + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-18 | Marist v. Buffalo -17 | Top | 49-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Marist. The Bulls are ranked #22 in the country, with a 4-0 SU record and a 3-0 ATS mark. Not to be outdone, Marist is now 4-0 ATS (though 1-3 straight-up) after covering the 7.5-point spread in a 64-60 loss at Stephen F. Austin. So, something will have to give today, with both teams entering the game with 100% ATS records. We will fade Marist, which is an awful 12-34-2 ATS as underdogs of more than 8 points off a point spread win. Meanwhile, Buffalo is a solid 21-7 ATS its last 28 as a favorite of more than 10 points, including a perfect 13-0 ATS if the Bulls won their two previous games. Lay the points with Buffalo. Perfect 10 Club Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-24-18 | Detroit v. Eastern Michigan -10 | Top | 78-74 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles minus the points over Detroit. Eastern Michigan was blown out on the road, 63-36, by Rutgers, as a 7-point underdog, on Monday. But the good news for the Eagles is that they are back home this afternoon. And teams playing at home, or on a neutral court, have cashed 61% the past 29 years off a 23-point (or worse) defeat in which they scored 36 or less points. Take Eastern Michigan minus the points this afternoon. Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-23-18 | Pelicans -7 v. Knicks | Top | 109-114 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the New York Knicks. New York pulled off the biggest upset yet this season when it won, 117-109, as a 14.5-point dog on Wednesday. And that was New York's second straight ATS win. Unfortunately for the Knicks, NBA teams off upset wins as dogs of more than 14 points, and also an ATS win two games back, have cashed their next game just 33% of the time. Take New Orleans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-23-18 | South Alabama v. Texas A&M -13 | Top | 62-74 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over South Alabama. The Aggies have dropped four straight games. But three of those losses were on the road to #3-ranked Gonzaga (which just beat #1-ranked Duke), or at neutral sites against quality clubs from Power Conferences like Washington and Minnesota. This evening, then, will represent a major step-down in class for Texas A&M, and it should be able to re-enter the win column, here at home. The Aggies have done really well vs. non conference foes when playing at home (or on a neutral court) off a loss. And if Texas A&M was favored, or getting less than 9 points, then they've cashed 26 of 31 since Dec. 21, 2001. The Aggies also fall into 82-48 and 56-19 ATS systems of mine which play on certain favorites of more than 8 points off a defeat. Take the Aggies. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-23-18 | Rockets v. Pistons +4.5 | Top | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Houston. These two teams met on Tuesday in Houston, and the Rockets came away with a 2-point victory. Since 1990, in regular season home-and-home (i.e., "back-to-back") meetings between winning teams, underdogs have cashed 62.1% if they lost the first of the 2-game set. Take Detroit. |
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11-23-18 | Central Florida v. South Florida +14.5 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points over Central Florida. The Knights have won their last 23 games, dating back to last season, while South Florida has dropped four straight (following a 7-0 start). I love the Bulls as a two touchdown underdog on Friday, as underdogs of +19 or less points have cashed 67.5% since 1980 in their final home game of the season, if they were playing a conference foe off back to back wins. Take the Bulls as the home dog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-23-18 | Grizzlies v. Clippers -3.5 | Top | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the LA Clippers minus the points over Memphis. The Grizzlies have won their last five games -- both straight-up and ATS. But this game will likely end the win streak. The Clippers are a super 7-1 at home this season, including 7-0 after their loss to Denver on Opening Night. And road underdogs of more than 2 points, off 5+ wins and covers, have cashed just 63 of 150 games. Take the Clippers. |
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11-23-18 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati -17 | Top | 6-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over East Carolina. Cincy was blown out, 38-13, last week by Central Florida. But I love them to bounce back as a double-digit home favorite today, on Friday. Indeed, since 1988, teams playing their final home game of the season have cashed 66.0% if they were favored by 16+ points, and lost their previous game by 16+ points. Lay the points with the Bearcats. |
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11-23-18 | Nebraska v. Iowa -8 | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Nebraska. The Cornhuskers have won their last two games, but each of those were at home. And the Huskers were favored in both games. Now, they have to travel to Iowa City to take on the Hawkeyes in Iowa's final home game of the season. And Nebraska's an ugly 0-13 SU and 3-9-13 ATS as road underdogs of +3 or more points off back to back wins as a favorite. The Hawkeyes exploded for 63 points last week, in a 63-0 win at Illinois. And single-digit home favorites (or PK) have covered 62.8% since 1980 after scoring 60+ points in a win the previous week. Take Iowa. |
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11-22-18 | Falcons +13.5 v. Saints | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -115 | 38 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons + the points over New Orleans, as Atlanta falls into my best NFL system, which is 216-128 ATS. That angle is 4-1 this season, though it did lose last week on the Eagles against these Saints. New Orleans made a mockery of the defending Super Bowl champs last week, with a 48-7 blowout win. I'll go against the Saints as a double-digit favorite, as NFL teams that scored more than 85 points over their two previous games have cashed just 31% since 1980 vs. foes that weren't off an ATS win, including an awful 0-12 ATS in division contests against revenge-minded opponents. With Atlanta off an upset loss to Dallas last week, and also playing with revenge from a 43-37 loss to the Saints in September, we'll grab the points with Matt Ryan & Co. Take the Falcons. NFL Division Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-18 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss +11.5 | Top | 35-3 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 9 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels + the points over Mississippi State. The Bulldogs blew out Arkansas, 52-6, last week, while their rival, Ole Miss, lost its fifth straight to the point spread, 36-29, at Vanderbilt. But the point spread has taken into account the poor play of Ole Miss, and it's already moved four points higher from the opening number on Sunday. We'll grab the points with the underdog, as we note that .200 (or better) home underdogs of +19 or less points have cashed 76% off 5+ ATS defeats, if they were playing an opponent off a SU/ATS win. Take the points with the Rebels. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-18 | Florida -6 v. Stanford | Top | 72-49 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Stanford. The Gators were upset, 65-60, by Oklahoma last night in this Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament. But that upset loss has triggered a very good 66% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses. Additionally, that was the 2nd straight ATS defeat suffered by Florida. But the Gators are 71-39-4 ATS off back to back ATS losses, including 14-0-1 ATS away from home vs. non-conference foes! Lay the points with Florida. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-22-18 | Villanova -13 v. Canisius | Top | 83-56 | Win | 100 | 1 h 22 m | Show |
At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Canisius. Jay Wright's men don't look like they will be defending their national championship this season. Last season, the Wildcats lost just four games the entire year. This season, after starting 2-0, they proceeded to lose their next two games. And they failed to cover the spread in those games by an average of 28.75 ppg! But off those two defeats, we'll play on Villanova, as they're 11-3 ATS their last 14 off an ATS loss. And Villanova also falls into a 62% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with a negative point spread differential. Take the Wildcats. NCAA High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-21-18 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -2.5 | Top | 104-103 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Memphis. The Spurs have completely dominated this series over the last nine seasons, as they're 34-8 straight-up and 26-15-1 ATS since the 2011-12 season. San Antonio did lose its previous game, 140-126, to the Pelicans. But that wasn't a surprise to us, as we had our strongest play this month on New Orleans in that game. San Antonio is a solid 78-49 ATS off a loss when not installed as an underdog of more than 2 points, while the Grizzlies fall into a negative 6-32 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off 3+ ATS wins. Take the Spurs. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-21-18 | Blazers v. Bucks -6 | Top | 100-143 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Portland. The Blazers had to play last night in New York, while Milwaukee was resting at home. This will also be Portland's 3rd game in four nights. And Milwaukee will be playing with revenge from a loss in Portland on November 6. Portland's covered just 15 of 42 road games off back-to-back wins, if it's matched up against a revenge-minded foe with a .625 (or better) record. And the Bucks fall into a super 237-152 ATS revenge system of mine. Take the Bucks minus the points. |
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11-21-18 | Pistons v. Rockets -9 | Top | 124-126 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Detroit. This will be the first of a home-and-home series with the Pistons (they'll play in Detroit in Friday). The Rockets are finally playing up to their expectations, with four straight wins and covers. I look for them to make it five in a row, as home favorites off three straight double-digit wins, in which they scored 105+ points in each victory, are 109-69 ATS including 64-31 ATS vs. winning opponents. Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-21-18 | Pelicans v. 76ers -4 | Top | 120-121 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over New Orleans. Dating back to last season, the 76ers are 35-4 straight-up and 27-12 ATS at home, including 15-0 SU and 13-2 ATS vs. foes with a losing ATS record (New Orleans is 8-9 ATS). Meanwhile, New Orleans is 3-20 ATS off a double-digit division win, if it's on the road, and not favored by 3.5. Take Philly minus the points. |
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11-21-18 | Pacers v. Hornets -2.5 | Top | 109-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Indiana. The Pacers come into this game off an upset win as a 4-point underdog over Utah, 121-94, at home on Monday. But off that big win, we will fade the Pacers as a road dog tonight. Since 1990, underdogs have covered just 36.1% in the regular season after an upset win in which they covered the spread by more than 30 points, if they were on the road vs. an opponent also off a win. Take Charlotte. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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11-20-18 | Raptors v. Magic +6.5 | Top | 93-91 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Toronto. The Magic won their 3rd straight game (both SU and ATS) on Sunday, when they blew out the Knicks, 131-117. And that followed a 130-117 upset win over the Lakers, on Saturday, and an upset win over Philly, on Wednesday. I look for Orlando to get its fourth straight cover, as .500 (or better) home underdogs (or PK) are 59-28-2 ATS off back to back double-digit SU/ATS wins.  And Toronto is an awful 1-7 ATS on the road vs. foes off back to back wins. Take the Magic. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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11-20-18 | Clippers v. Wizards -1 | Top | 118-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the LA Clippers. The Clippers are outperforming expectations this season, as they are 11-5, including a 32-point blowout win over these Wizards in Los Angeles last month. This will be the 3rd game of a 3-game road trip for L.A., which won SU/ATS last night at Atlanta. L.A.'s been installed as a small underdog. But, unfortunately for the Clippers, .500 (or better) underdogs off a SU/ATS win are 16-40 ATS vs. foes playing with revenge from a 30-point (or worse) defeat. Meanwhile, Washington is an awesome 28-8 ATS at home when playing with revenge, and not favored by more than two points. Take the Wizards. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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