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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-21-18 | Western Kentucky v. Oklahoma State -4.5 | Top | 92-84 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over Western Kentucky. The Cowboys have been among the best teams in non-conference games, and especially when favored. Indeed, dating back to 1991, Oklahoma State is 125-76 ATS as a favorite vs. non-conference foes. But that's not the best part. If our play-against team (here, Western Kentucky) is playing back-to-back road games, then our 125-76 stat zooms to 21-5 ATS. Take Oklahoma State. |
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03-20-18 | Raptors -10 v. Magic | Top | 93-86 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Orlando. The Raptors were upset at home, 132-125, by the OKC Thunder on Sunday. That loss snapped Toronto's 11-game win streak. But the Raptors should get back on track tonight, as they fall into a 338-210 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites in non-division games off losses. Even better: Toronto's an awesome 11-1 ATS its last 12 games as a favorite of -9+ points, and 23-8 ATS its last 31 in this point spread role (6-1 ATS on the road). Lay the points with the Raptors. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-18 | Western Kentucky v. USC -4 | Top | 79-75 | Loss | -106 | 21 h 60 m | Show |
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern Cal Trojans minus the points over Western Kentucky. The Trojans won their opening round NIT Tourney game, 103-98, vs. NC Asheville last Tuesday, while Western Kentucky topped Boston College, 79-62. That bodes well for USC tonight, as Tourney favorites of -2.5 (or more) points, off a post-season win in which they scored 100+ points, have gone 54-26-3 ATS since 1991. Lay the points with the Trojans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-18 | LSU v. Utah -4 | Top | 71-95 | Win | 100 | 18 h 40 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over LSU. Utah's always had one of the best home courts in College Basketball, as it's covered 56% at home over the past 28 seasons. Of course, there's nothing wrong with 56%. But we can greatly improve that number by solely focusing on home games where the Utes own a win percentage greater than .570, and are priced from -3.5 to -10. With those parameters applied, our 56% stat zooms to 67-23, 74.4% ATS. Take Utah. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-18 | Mercer v. North Texas +1 | Top | 67-96 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green + the points over Mercer. The Mean Green had a most impressive opening round game in this CBI Tournament. It was a double-digit road underdog at South Dakota, yet blew out the Coyotes, 90-77. North Texas has now been installed as a home underdog. And home underdogs (or PK) have cashed 65% in the post-season since 1990 off a game where they covered the spread by more than 9 points. Take the Mean Green. |
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03-19-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Sam Houston State +2 | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, in the College Insider Tournament, our selection is on the Sam Houston State Bearkats + the points over Eastern Michigan. The Bearkats were given a bye into this 2nd round of the Insider Tournament, while Eastern Michigan won its opening round game vs. Niagara. The Eagles have won now won eight of their last nine, and have covered their last eight games. But we'll fade Eastern Michigan tonight at Sam Houston St, as teams playing away from home in the non-conference post-season tournaments have cashed just 13 of 44 games when they were on a 6-game (or better) ATS win streak, and their opponent was off a point spread defeat. With Sam Houston State, indeed, off an ATS loss in their final Southland Conference game (a 10-point loss to SE Louisiana), we'll grab the points with the Bearkats. |
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03-18-18 | Blazers v. Clippers -2 | Top | 122-109 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 26 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers over the Portland Trail Blazers. The Blazers have won 12 straight, and covered their last nine. Unfortunately, .676 (or worse) road underdogs of +1.5 or more points, off 7+ ATS wins, are a poor 20-51 ATS in the regular season. Even worse: Portland played at home last night (and beat Detroit), while the Clippers had Saturday off following their loss to Houston. But the Blazers are an awful 17.6% ATS over the past 11 seasons when playing without rest off a home win against a rested opponent off a loss. Take the Clippers. NBA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-18-18 | Marshall v. West Virginia -12.5 | Top | 71-94 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Marshall. This is a huge rivalry, as these two schools are located in the same state, 158 miles apart. They actually played each other for 38 straight seasons, until two years ago, when the series was ended by WVU's administration. We will fade the Thundering Herd, who pulled off an upset to win the Conference USA Tourney, and then another upset against Wichita on Friday. Meanwhile, WVU was upset by Kansas in the Big 12 title game. One of the things I love to do is play on teams in the NCAA Tourney's 2nd round that lost their Conference title game when they're matched up against foes off a SU/ATS win. Such teams have cashed 67% since 1990. Take the Mountaineers minus the points. |
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03-18-18 | Maryland-Baltimore County v. Kansas State -10 | Top | 43-50 | Loss | -113 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats over the Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers. UMBC upset Virginia as a 20.5-point underdog on Friday. That was the 2nd biggest post-season upset of all time (only Missouri's defeat to Norfolk State, as a 21-point favorite in 2012, was worse), and ranked among the 42 greatest upsets of the past 28 years (whether in the regular season or the tournaments). For those who might be curious, the biggest upset since 1990 occurred in 2007 when Gardner-Webb went into Lexington, and upset the #23-ranked Kentucky Wildcats, 84-68, as a 26-point underdog. But off this big emotional win, we'll fade the Retrievers this evening. Indeed, underdogs of 9+ points off an upset win against an .640 (or better) opponent in Round 1, have covered just 23% in Round 2 since 2001! Take Kansas State to blow out Maryland-Baltimore County. 2nd Round Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-18-18 | Clemson v. Auburn -2 | Top | 84-53 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Clemson. It's true that that Auburn Tigers have dropped their last five to the point spread, and are 2-3 in those five games, while Clemson is on a 3-game ATS win streak. But if one looks at the BIG picture, the Auburn Tigers have had a great year, both SU and ATS, as they are 26-7 straight up, and 18-12 ATS. And College Basketball favorites of 14 or less points, off 5+ ATS defeats, that don't have a losing ATS record on the season, have covered 92% since 1990 vs. foes off 3 ATS wins, including a perfect 7-0 ATS the last four seasons. Take Auburn. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-18-18 | Middle Tennessee v. Louisville -5 | Top | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Middle Tennessee St. The Blue Raiders blew out Vermont by 27 to open their NIT Tourney. However, since 2000, NIT Tourney underdogs off a win by 20+ points have cashed just 26.3%. Take Louisville minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-18-18 | Oregon v. Marquette -5.5 | Top | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on Marquette minus the points over Oregon. Marquette falls into one of my best NIT Tourney systems, which is 55-15 ATS since 1991. Also, the Eagles are a super 6-2 ATS at home in the post-season. Take Marquette. |
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03-18-18 | Syracuse v. Michigan State -9 | Top | 55-53 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
At 2:40 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans minus the points over Syracuse. The Orange pulled off a big upset against Texas Christian on Friday. And that was Syracuse's 2nd straight upset win in the Tournament, as they also downed Arizona State in the "First Four" play-in game. Unfortunately for Syracuse, teams off back to back upset wins have been horrid in Round 2 over the years, as they've cashed just 27% since 1990. Lay the points with Michigan State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-18 | Pistons +8.5 v. Blazers | Top | 87-100 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Portland. The Blazers have won 11 in a row, and have covered their last eight. But don't be surprised if Detroit gives them a run for their money on Saturday night. Detroit has won and covered five straight vs. the Blazers (by an average of 13 ppg), including a 20-point blowout win 40 days ago in Motown. Even worse: Portland falls into a negative 64-132 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off 7+ ATS wins. Take Detroit + the points. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-18 | Buffalo v. Kentucky -5.5 | Top | 75-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Buffalo. The Bulls upset Arizona, 89-68, as a 9-point underdog on Thursday, 89-68. Unfortunately for the Bulls, underdogs of more than 3 points that covered the pointspread by 25+ points in Round 1, have covered just 25% in the NCAA Tourney since 1990. Take Kentucky. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-18 | College of Charleston v. Auburn -9 | Top | 58-62 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
At 7:25 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Charleston. Auburn dropped its last four games to the point spread (and lost three of those four, straight-up). And its SEC Tourney loss to rival, Alabama, was its worst defeat of the season, as it was blown out by 18, 81-63, and failed to cover by 24.5 points. It also was its worst loss as a favorite in more than 10 years. We'll lay the points with Auburn, as NCAA Tourney teams have cashed 79.1% over the past 10 years after failing to cover the spread by 21+ points in their previous game. Take the Tigers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-18 | Bucknell v. Michigan State -14 | Top | 78-82 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans minus the points over Bucknell. This will be a tough venue for the Bison, as the game's being played in Detroit, so the crowd will be firmly in Michigan State's corner. The Spartans were upset by their rival, Michigan, in the Big 10 Tourney semi-finals. However, Tom Izzo's men typically bounce back off losses, as they're 176-71 straight-up, and 124-96-4 ATS off a loss the past 28 seasons (including 11-5-1 ATS after losing in the Big 10 Tourney). Meanwhile, Bucknell easily won the Patriot League this season, by a whopping four games over its closest competition (Colgate). And that lack of competition won't serve Bucknell well this evening, as it makes a huge step-up in class by playing Michigan State, which is one of the country's best teams. Bucknell has won just 2 of its previous 23 meetings vs. a Big 10 Conference member school, while MSU is 23-13 ATS off a loss when playing a foe off back to back ATS wins. The Spartans also fall into a 52-22 ATS system of mine which plays on certain top-level teams to bounce back from conference tourney losses. Take Michigan State. NCAA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-18 | Murray State v. West Virginia -10 | Top | 68-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Murray State. The Mountaineers were upset by Kansas in the Big 12 Conference title game, while the Racers pulled off an upset vs. Belmont to win the Ohio Valley Conference. That bodes well for WVU, here, as teams off an upset loss in their Conference championship game have bounced back to cover 70% of the time since 1990 when they were matched up against a foe which pulled off an upset to win its conference championship. Take WVU. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-18 | Lipscomb v. North Carolina -19.5 | Top | 66-84 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
At 2:45 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Lipscomb. The Tar Heels lost the ACC Conference championship game to #1-ranked Virginia, but I look for them to bounce back this afternoon. Indeed, the losers of the ACC Title game have done well in their initial game following that loss, as they've cashed 62% since 1997. Even worse for Lipscomb: it topped 100 points in its win at Florida Gulf Coast to win the Atlantic Sun tourney. But underdogs (or PK) have covered just 40% over the last 28 years in the 1st Round of the NCAA Tourney after scoring 100+ points. Take North Carolina. |
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03-16-18 | Georgia State v. Cincinnati -13.5 | Top | 53-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Cincy Bearcats minus the points over Georgia State. The Panthers have won and covered four straight games heading into this match-up in Nashville, while Cincinnati's on a 3-game ATS losing streak. The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the double-digits with the red-hot Panthers. But over the last 28 years, teams on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak have actually burned money in the NCAA Tourney when playing a foe off back to back ATS defeats, as they've covered just 33%. Lay the point with the Bearcats. |
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03-16-18 | Marshall v. Wichita State -11.5 | Top | 81-75 | Loss | -117 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Wichita State Shockers minus the points over Marshall. The Thundering Herd upset Western Kentucky, 67-66, as a 6-point underdog to win their Conference. But that upset win has placed Marshall in a nasty 6-64 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams that got the $$$ as underdogs. Moreover, Wichita is on a six-game ATS losing streak, but favorites off 6 ATS losses have covered 83% in the NCAA Tourney vs. foes off back to back wins. Take Wichita. Opening Round Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-18 | CS-Fullerton v. Purdue -20 | Top | 48-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
At 12:40 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Cal Fullerton. The Titans upset Cal Irvine, 71-55, to win the Big West Conference Tournament, while Purdue was upset, 75-66, by Michigan in the Big 10 Title game. And that was the 3rd straight ATS loss by Purdue. The good news, though, for the 2nd-seeded Boilers is that Top 2-seeded teams, off 3 ATS losses, have cashed 75% in the NCAA Tourney as double-digit favorites vs. foes off upset wins. Lay the points with Purdue. NCAA High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-15-18 | Montana +11 v. Michigan | Top | 47-61 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
At 9:50 pm, our selection is on the Montana Grizzlies + the points over Michigan. The Wolverines upset Purdue to win the Big 10 Title, and have been installed as a double-digit favorite in this 1st round game vs. Montana. We'll fade Michigan, as top 4-seeded teams have gone 1-10 ATS as favorites of -11 or more points in the NCAA Tourney since 2000 off an upset win.  Take Montana. Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-15-18 | St Bonaventure v. Florida -5 | Top | 62-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over St Bonaventure. The Bonnies upset UCLA in the play-in game on Tuesday, to run their season record to 26-7, while Florida was upset by Arkansas last Friday, and dropped to 20-12. We'll lay the points with Florida, as teams off upset wins (like St Bonaventure) have cashed just 39 of 96 games in the NCAA Tournament vs. foes off upset wins, including 7 of 28 if our play-against team (here, St Bonnie) owned a better win percentage than its opponent. Take the Gators. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-15-18 | South Dakota State v. Ohio State -7.5 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over South Dakota State. Ohio State was upset by Penn State in the Big 10 Tourney, while South Dakota State punched its ticket to the Big Dance with an upset win over rival, South Dakota, in the Summit League Championship game. However, since 1990, Big 10 teams have cashed 79% in the post-season, if they were off an upset loss, and their opponent was off an upset win. Lay the points with the Buckeyes. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-15-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Miami-FL -1.5 | Top | 64-62 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Loyola-Illinois. The Ramblers have won 10 in a row, but have been installed as an underdog vs. the Hurricanes. Unfortunately for Loyola, teams on 9-game (or better) win streaks that are underdogs in the first round of the NCAA Tourney, are a soft 32-54-1 ATS since 1990. Take Miami. |
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03-15-18 | Pennsylvania +14 v. Kansas | Top | 60-76 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Pennsylvania Quakers + the points over Kansas. The #1-seeded Jayhawks enter this Tourney on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak, including an upset of WVU in the Big 12 Championship game. Unfortunately, Big 12 Conference teams (or Big 8 Conference before that) have been dreadful in the 1st round of the NCAA Tourney off an upset win in the Conference Title game. Since 1990, they've cashed just 28%. Meanwhile, Ivy League teams have cashed 69% in the post-season since 1990 vs. foes off upset wins. Take Penn + the points. |
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03-15-18 | Wright State v. Tennessee -12 | Top | 47-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
At 12:40 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Wright State. The Raiders have won and covered four straight games. But that hot streak sets them up in several of my negative situations, including two angles that are 83-45 and 34-15 ATS going against Wright State. Meanwhile, Tennessee was upset by Kentucky in its previous game, and that defeat has triggered a solid 51-22 ATS system on the Volunteers. Also, Tennessee's covered 14 of its last 18 games away from home vs. non-conference foes, while the SEC Conference has covered 83% vs. the Horizon League since 1990 as a double-digit favorite when the SEC team was off a loss. Lay the points with Tennessee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-14-18 | Boise State v. Washington +1 | Top | 77-74 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies over Boise State. The #4-seeded Broncos are the higher seeded team in this NIT Tournament, but #5-seeded Washington will enjoy home court tonight, since Boise's court is being used by the NCAA Tournament this week. Boise was upset, 78-75, by Utah State in the Mountain West tourney last week. And that doesn't bode well for the Broncos tonight, as road favorites off an upset loss have cashed just 33% in the post-season the past 28 years, including 1-10-1 ATS the past four year. Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-13-18 | Wagner v. Baylor -15 | Top | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Wagner. The Bears dropped their last two games to end their Big 12 Conference campaign, but have still earned a #1 seed in this NIT tournament. We'll lay the points with Baylor, as #1-seeded teams have cashed 80% since 1992 in the post-season when favored by 9+ points. Even better: Baylor's 41-13-3 ATS at home off back to back losses vs. .785 (or worse) foes. Take the Bears minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-11-18 | 76ers -6 v. Nets | Top | 120-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets. Brooklyn's a poor 21-45 on the season, but did pull off an upset win in its previous game, 125-111, at Charlotte. One of the things I love to do is play against bad teams off wins. And Brooklyn's upset win has placed Kenny Atkinson's men in a negative 36-94 ATS system of mine which fades certain bad teams off upset wins. Meanwhile, Philly's off an upset loss to the Miami Heat. But the Sixers have cashed 75% ATS over the past five seasons off an upset road loss. And they're also 54-29 ATS the last three seasons off any road defeat. Take the 76ers minus the points. NBA Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-11-18 | Houston v. Cincinnati -4.5 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Houston. Cincinnati's a fantastic 29-4 this season, and earned the #1 seed in this AAC Tournament. The Bearcats won by double-digits in each of their first two tournament games, and that's a good sign for them today, as #1 seeds have gone 73-50 ATS in the Championship round off back to back double-digit wins, when not favored by 9+ points. Moreover, Cincy's playing with revenge from a loss earlier this season to Houston. And the Bearcats are 11-2 ATS as a favorite when playing with revenge. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-11-18 | Kentucky v. Tennessee +1 | Top | 77-72 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers over Kentucky. It's true that Kentucky is off an impressive 86-63 blowout of Alabama. However, the Vols won both meetings with Kentucky this season, and that bodes well for Tennessee to win the title, today, on Sunday. Indeed, since 1991, .692 (or better) teams (like Kentucky) playing with double revenge from two losses earlier in the season, have been a wallet-busting 82-114 ATS in the Conference Tourneys. Even worse: teams off 18-point wins (and 18-point covers) in the semi-final round have covered just 40% of Title games when not getting double-digits. Take Tennessee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-10-18 | North Carolina v. Virginia -3.5 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over North Carolina. Yesterday we played on North Carolina in its upset win as a 4-point underdog vs. its rival, Duke. But off that upset win, I expect a letdown tonight vs. Virginia. Indeed, North Carolina falls into negative 5-40, 14-34 and 3-19 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams in the tourneys off upset wins. And the Tar Heels are also a poor 1-6 ATS vs. Virginia when not favored in the game. Take the Cavaliers minus the points. ACC Tourney Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-09-18 | Texas State v. UL-Lafayette -11.5 | Top | 54-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Texas State. We played on the Bobcats in their opening game of this tournament, and were rewarded with a 73-66 upset win over Coastal Carolina. But off that upset win, we will fade Texas State in this game vs. the #1-seeded Rajin' Cajuns, who are off an upset loss to end their regular season. However, #1-seeded teams off an upset loss have cashed 68% in the Tournaments over the past 28 years vs. foes off upset wins. And, since March 2015, the Cajuns have covered 11 straight away from home off an upset loss! Take Louisiana Lafayette minus the points. Sun Belt Conf. Tourney Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-08-18 | Cal Poly +11.5 v. UC-Santa Barbara | Top | 53-75 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 55 m | Show |
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal Santa Barbara. The Mustangs have dropped their last seven games to the point spread, and have covered just one of their previous 15. And, for the season, they're 7-19 ATS. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Cal Poly tonight. But consider that, over the past 28 years, NCAA teams whose ATS records were more than 10 games below .500, have actually covered 67% in the Conference Tourneys vs. foes off a SU/ATS win! Moreover, double-digit dogs with a losing record have cashed 68.1% since 1990 in the post-season if they were off back to back SU/ATS losses, and their opponent was off a SU/ATS win. Finally, Cal Poly also falls into 37-20, 80-27, 503-351 and 62-28 ATS systems of mine, so we'll grab the points with the Mustangs. Big West Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-08-18 | UAB v. Western Kentucky -4 | Top | 70-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers over UAB. There aren't many teams with a better post-season resume than Western Kentucky. Dating back to 1993, the Hilltoppers have gone 43-23 SU and 46-19-1 ATS in their 66 post season games! They've also dominated the Blazers over the years, including a perfect 7-0 ATS at home or on a neutral court. It's true that the Hilltoppers dropped their final two regular season games by 18 and 28 points, respectively. But NCAA teams have cashed 74% in the Conference Tourneys off back to back losses by 18+ points, if they were playing a winning opponent. Take Western Kentucky. Conf. USA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-08-18 | East Carolina +13.5 v. UCF | Top | 52-66 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over Central Florida. The Pirates have lost five straight games to end their regular season, and have also failed to cover their last four. In contrast, the Knights are off back to back ATS wins. Unfortunately for Central Florida, favorites of 8+ points, off back to back ATS wins, have been dreadful in the post-season vs. foes off three ATS losses, including 20.9% ATS since 1990 vs. conference foes off a SU loss. Take East Carolina. AAC Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-08-18 | LSU v. Mississippi State -2 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over LSU. These two teams met five days ago in Baton Rouge, and LSU got the better of the Bulldogs that day, with a 78-57 win. LSU, though, was at home in that game, and was favored. Here, it's an underdog, and the Tigers are a poor 17-30 ATS their last 47 as a dog, and also 0-6 ATS off a double-digit SEC Conference win. Meanwhile, Miss State is a super 17-6 ATS when playing with revenge from a road loss, and is 57-36 ATS when playing with revenge from a double-digit defeat. The Bulldogs are also 10-2 ATS off back to back ATS losses, and they fall into a 72-32 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off double-digit losses. Take the Bulldogs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-08-18 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas -3 | Top | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Oklahoma State. The Jayhawks play this game with revenge from an 82-64 loss to the Cowboys. And that bodes well today, as Oklahoma State is an awful 16-35 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, provided Okie State wasn't favored by more than 2 points. Even worse: if the Cowboys won the season's previous meeting by 14+ points, then our 16-35 stat crashes to 1-11 ATS. Finally, the Jayhawks fall into several of my best Tourney systems, with records of 46-13, 202-120 and 82-41 ATS since 1990. Take Kansas. Big 12 Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-08-18 | UC Riverside +7 v. UC-Davis | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on Cal Riverside + the points over Cal Davis. Cal Riverside plays this game with double-revenge, and also falls into a 43-8 ATS 'bounce-back' system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses. With Riverside in off an 18-point loss at Long Beach last Saturday, we'll grab the points with the revenging Highlanders. |
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03-08-18 | South Florida v. Memphis -9 | Top | 77-79 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over South Florida. These two teams met a week ago in Memphis, and South Florida stunned the Tigers with a 75-51 win, as a 13.5-point underdog. But you know what they say about 'Payback!' And I love Memphis today, as it falls into a 71-25 ATS post-season revenge system of mine. South Florida's also 0-7 ATS off back to back ATS wins. Take Memphis. |
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03-08-18 | Boston College v. Clemson -5.5 | Top | 82-90 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Boston College. BC is off an upset win over NC State yesterday, but will be hard-pressed to make it two in a row this afternoon, as Clemson has an advantage of not having to play yesterday. BC falls into a negative 26-68 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins. Lay the points with Clemson. |
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03-08-18 | Alabama +3.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide + the points over Texas A&M. Alabama has lost five straight games, but did cover both meetings this season vs. Texas A&M. We'll grab the points, as Bama falls into a 40-15 ATS 'contrarian' system of mine which plays on certain teams in the Tourneys off 4+ losses. |
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03-07-18 | Southern Miss v. Florida International -1 | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers over Southern Miss. The Golden Eagles pulled off an upset, at home, against La Tech in their final regular season game. But Southern Miss has lost (both SU and ATS) their four previous games before that upset win. And it's an awful 19-36-3 ATS off an upset conference win since 1990, including 1-13 ATS their last 14 when priced from PK to +8.5. Take the Panthers minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-07-18 | California +9.5 v. Stanford | Top | 58-76 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Stanford. The Cardinal upset Arizona State, 84-83, as an 8.5-point underdog to end their regular season. Unfortunately for Stanford, favorites of -8+ points, off an upset win as an underdog of +6 or more points, have gone 0-for-15 ATS in the post-season over the past 16 years! Take California. |
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03-07-18 | Texas State +2 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 73-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats + the points over Coastal Carolina. Both of these teams come into this game with identical 14-17 records. But they've taken much different routes to that record. Coastal Carolina finished the season by winning seven of its last 11 games, while Texas State was 1-10 its last 11, including 0-9 its last nine. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against a team in the Conference Tourney off nine straight losses. But as we saw yesterday with Pittsburgh (which had lost 18 straight games), such 'cold' teams are often very good bets in the Tourneys. Indeed, since 1990, teams off 9+ losses have covered 58% in the Conference Tournaments. Take Texas State. |
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03-06-18 | BYU v. Gonzaga -9.5 | Top | 54-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over BYU, as Gonzaga falls into 50-17, 43-6 and 84-32 ATS tourney systems of mine. Gonzaga has completely dominated this tournament. It's won the WCC crown each of the last five seasons. And it's gone a perfect 5-0 ATS in each of the Title games. And none of those games were close, as the Zags won each by double-digits, and covered by an average of 8.6 ppg.  Gonzaga's also 19-6 ATS in the WCC Tourney when favored by 12 points or less. And BYU has covered just one of 12 games vs. Gonzaga (whether in the regular season or tournament) when BYU's been installed as an underdog of less than 12 points. Take Gonzaga. WCC GAME OF THE YEAR. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-06-18 | Jackson State v. Southern -5 | Top | 60-62 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern U. Jaguars minus the points over Jackson State. The Jaguars lost their last two regular season games -- both at home -- and will look to rebound tonight in their opening game of the Southwestern Athletic Conference tourney. The good news for Southern is that favorites of -4+ points have covered 67% in the tournaments off back to back home losses to end the regular season. Take the Jaguars minus the points. |
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03-06-18 | Heat v. Wizards -5 | Top | 113-117 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Miami. The Wizards play this game with revenge from a 3-point home loss to their division rival earlier this season. But I love them to avenge that defeat tonight, as the Wizards come into this game off an upset loss here, at home, to the Indiana Pacers. And Washington is a spectacular 10-0 ATS off an upset loss when matched up against an unrested foe. With Miami having to play last night vs. Phoenix, we'll take Washington tonight to blow out the Heat. Lay the points. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-06-18 | Long Island +8 v. Wagner | Top | 71-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Blackbirds + the points over Wagner. The Seahawks defeated Long Island, 78-74, in the previous meeting. But we'll grab the points with Long Island, as the underdog has covered 82% of Northeast Conference tourney championship games, including 88% ATS when playing with revenge. And Long Island also falls into an 84-45 ATS conference tourney revenge system of mine Take the Blackbirds + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-06-18 | Northeastern v. College of Charleston -2.5 | Top | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on Charleston minus the points over Northeastern. The Huskies have won nine straight entering this CAA Tourney Final. Unfortunately for the Huskies, underdogs of more than 2 points, that have won their previous nine games, have covered just 23% in the Conference Tourneys the past 15 years. Take Charleston to blow out Northeastern. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-06-18 | Montana State +1.5 v. North Dakota | Top | 74-76 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
At 3 pm, in the Big Sky Tourney, our selection is on the Montana State Bobcats + the points over North Dakota. This is primarily a contrarian play, as the Bobcats enter the game off 6 straight losses. But this losing streak has triggered a 74-34 ATS system of mine which plays on certain cold teams.  Even better: the Bobcats are playing with revenge from a 1-point loss at North Dakota in February. But the revenger in Montana State tourney games has gone 13-2 ATS, including a perfect 8-0 ATS if they didn't lose the previous meeting by double-digits. Take the Bobcats. |
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03-05-18 | Bowling Green +8.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons plus the points over Central Michigan. The Falcons were blown out, 100-70, in their final regular season game. And Bowling Green has also lost five straight, overall, and has failed to cover its last two. Notwithstanding its current cold streak, we'll grab the points with the Falcons, as teams off back to back SU/ATS losses have covered 59% in the post-season over the last 28 years, if they gave up 100+ points in their previous game. Take Bowling Green. |
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03-04-18 | Furman v. East Tennessee State +2 | Top | 52-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the East Tennessee St. Buccaneers + the points over Furman. The Paladins have won and covered seven straight games. But we'll fade Furman, as they fall into negative 65-109 and 26-74 ATS 'contrarian' systems of mine that go against certain 'hot' teams. Additionally, in the semi-final round of the Conference Tournaments, teams off 7+ wins have gone just 24-47 ATS vs. foes off exactly one win, including 8-28 ATS as a favorite off an ATS win. Take East Tennessee + the points. Southern Conf. Tourney Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-04-18 | Michigan v. Purdue -3.5 | Top | 75-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Michigan. The Wolverines upset Michigan State, 75-64, yesterday. But we'll fade John Beilein's men this afternoon, as teams off double-digit semi-final wins over .759 (or better) foes have crashed in the finals, as they've covered just 37% over the past 28 years. Take Purdue. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-04-18 | Illinois State v. Loyola-Chicago -9 | Top | 49-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Chicago Ramblers minus the points over Illinois State. The Ramblers have won nine straight, and 16 of their last 17. They've also covered 13 of those 17 games, including yesterday's 62-54 win over Bradley, as a 6.5-point favorite. These two teams met twice this season, and the Ramblers beat the Redbirds twice, by identical 68-61 scores. That bodes well for Loyola this afternoon, as favorites have cashed 63% in Conference Tourney finals if their win percentage was .750 (or better), and they already defeated their opponent twice in the regular season. Take Loyola. |
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03-04-18 | Drexel v. College of Charleston -9.5 | Top | 59-66 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 30 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Charleston College Cougars minus the points over Drexel. We played on Drexel yesterday, and were rewarded with a 70-62 upset win over James Madison. Unfortunately, the Dragons now have to play the #1 seed, Charleston, in its home city. And #1-seeded teams off a loss have cashed 77% in the Conference Tournaments the past 28 years, if they're playing in their home city against a foe off a win. Lay the points with the Cougars. |
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03-03-18 | Western Illinois +15 v. South Dakota State | Top | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Illinois Leathernecks + the points over South Dakota State. Western Illinois was upset at home by Denver to end its regular season. But I love the Leathernecks to bounce back on Saturday vs. the Jackrabbits, as they fall into 19-1, 41-14 and 52-29 ATS Tourney systems of mine. Additionally, NCAA underdogs have cashed 69% since 1990 in Tourney games off an upset home defeat, if they're matched up against a foe off back to back SU/ATS wins. With the Jackrabbits in off 4 SU/ATS wins, we'll grab the points with Western Illinois. Summit League Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-02-18 | Wolves v. Jazz -7 | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Minnesota. Utah lost the first two meetings this season to its division rival. But I love the Jazz to avenge those defeats, as it falls into a 96-41 ATS revenge system of mine. Additionally, Utah is 48-27 ATS at home when playing with double-revenge, provided it was not an underdog of +4 or more points in the current game. Take the Jazz. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-02-18 | Portland +2.5 v. Loyola Marymount | Top | 72-78 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots plus the points over Loyola Marymount, as Portland falls into 69-28 and 79-38 ATS Conference Tourney systems of mine. Moreover, Portland has lost its last six games. But teams off 6+ losses have actually done well in NCAA Post-season Tourneys, as they've cashed 56% since 1990. Even better: if our team was off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, and its opponent was off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, then our 56% stat zooms to 81%. Take Portland + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-02-18 | Youngstown State +1.5 v. Cleveland State | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on Youngstown St. + the points over Cleveland St. It's true that the Penguins are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. But they're an awesome 63.1% since 2002 off 3 SU/ATS losses, including 73% ATS when playing with revenge. With Youngstown, indeed, playing with revenge from a 99-94 loss, we'll grab the points with the Penguins. |
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03-02-18 | Warriors -12.5 v. Hawks | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Atlanta. The Hawks upset the Indiana Pacers, here at home, on Wednesday, but have a big step-up in class tonight. Golden State owns the 2nd best record in the league, and will be motivated to blow out the Hawks, as they're fighting Houston for the overall #1 record. Since 1990, double-digit home underdogs have covered just 12 of 51 games off an upset home win. Take the Warriors. NBA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-02-18 | Missouri State v. Southern Illinois +2.5 | Top | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Illinois Salukis over Missouri State. Southern Illinois comes into this Missouri Valley Conference quarterfinal game off back to back SU/ATS losses. But the Salukis are 19-3 ATS as an underdog of +6 or less points (or PK) off back to back ATS losses when matched up against foes off a point spread win! Additionally, Southern Illinois falls into 78-39, 51-29 and 18-1 ATS Tourney systems of mine. Take the Salukis. MISSOURI VALLEY GAME OF THE YEAR. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-02-18 | Penn State v. Ohio State -4.5 | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Penn State. The Buckeyes only lost three games in Conference play this season, but two of those were to these Nittany Lions. So, Ohio State will surely want to avenge those two defeats this evening. And i believe the Buckeyes will do just that, as they fall into an 81-38 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams in Conference Tourneys with revenge. Moreover, Ohio State is 35-19 ATS when playing with double-revenge. Lay it. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-02-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Toledo -5 | Top | 71-69 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Eastern Michigan. The Eagles defeated Toledo, 85-79, on February 20, in Ypsilanti. Unfortunately for Eastern Michigan, it's an awful 21-42 ATS as an underdog (or PK) vs. a revenge-minded opponent off a win. With the Rockets, indeed, off a win (97-67 at Northern Illinois), we'll lay the points with the Rockets this evening. |
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03-02-18 | Detroit +3.5 v. Green Bay | Top | 81-93 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Titans plus the points over Wisconsin Green Bay. The Phoenix enter this Horizon League Tourney off back to back upset wins, while Detroit is off back to back SU/ATS losses. The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the 'hot' Phoenix, and go against the 'cold' Titans. But since 1990, NCAA teams have cashed just 29% in Conference Tournaments as a favorite off 2 upset wins, if their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Detroit. |
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03-02-18 | VMI v. The Citadel -4 | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on The Citadel Bulldogs minus the points over VMI. These two teams met less than two weeks ago at The Citadel, and the Bulldogs were upset, 75-71, as an 8.5-point favorite. The Citadel also dropped their last two regular season games. But those facts set up our play this evening, as College Basketball favorites off back to back SU/ATS losses, and playing with revenge from an upset home loss, have cashed 67% since 1990 in Conference Tourney games. Lay the points with The Citadel. |
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03-01-18 | Marist +7.5 v. Fairfield | Top | 57-71 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Marist Red Foxes + the points over Fairfield. It's true that Marist won just six of its 30 games this season. But one of its six wins was against this Fairfield squad, when it triumphed, 95-89, as a 5-point home underdog in January (the Stags did win the second meeting, in February). And Fairfield also had an overall losing record on the season, which sets up our play tonight. Since 1990, in conference tournament games between two losing teams, underdogs with a .200 (or worse) win percentage have covered 62%. That bodes well for Marist on Thursday. As does the fact that Fairfield is an awful 9-24 ATS as a favorite of -3 or more points, while Marist is 27-15 ATS off a loss when playing with revenge. Take Marist. MAA Conference Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-01-18 | Texas-San Antonio v. North Texas -5 | Top | 62-80 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Texas San Antonio. The Mean Green enter tonight's home game off five straight losses. But they were an underdog in four of those five games. And they were only favored by a meager 1.5 points in the lone game they were installed as a favorite. Here, they're favored by more than that, and I love North Texas to blow out UTSA, as North Texas falls into a 240-153 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses. Even better: North Texas is 12-2 ATS at home off back to back losses, while Texas San Antonio is an awful 33% off back to back ATS wins (and 16% off 3+ ATS wins). Take North Texas. |
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03-01-18 | Virginia v. Louisville +4 | Top | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Virginia. The Cardinals lost by 10, 74-64, at Virginia, in January. But I love them to avenge that defeat this evening, as Virginia is a horrid 15-45 ATS away from home vs. opponents playing with same-season revenge. And if UVa was priced from -2 to -5.5 points, then the Cavs' stat drops to 1-16 ATS. Take Louisville. |
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03-01-18 | Lafayette v. Colgate -7.5 | Top | 54-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Colgate Raiders minus the points over Lafayette. The Leopards won in the opening round of this Patriot League Tournament, 93-86, vs. American, while Colgate earned a bye, as the #2 seed. Unfortunately for Lafayette, it falls into a negative 38-80 ATS system of mine, which goes against certain teams against revenge-minded foes. Moreover, teams playing with revenge from a double-digit loss have covered 55% in Conference Tourneys since 1990 when favored by more than 3 points (and 62% if they were playing with same-season double revenge). Take Colgate. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-28-18 | Rockets -8 v. Clippers | Top | 105-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. Last night, the Clippers went into Portland, and upset the Nuggets, 122-120. Unfortunately, they won't have the benefit of a night off when they take on the high-octane Rockets tonight. And unrested home teams, off upset road dog wins, have cashed just 33% since 1990 vs. rested foes off back-to-back SU/ATS wins. Take Houston to win its 14th straight game, and to blow out Los Angeles. NBA ROAD WARRIOR WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-28-18 | Robert Morris +7 v. Mount Saint Mary's | Top | 60-56 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Robert Morris Colonials + the points over Mount St. Marys. Robert Morris lost just six days ago to Mount St. Marys, 72-53, so it will be looking to avenge that blowout defeat, tonight. And Northeast Conference Tourney teams have cashed 24 of 35 if they were playing with revenge, and installed as an underdog in the Tourney game. Take the Colonials. |
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02-27-18 | Presbyterian +10.5 v. Charleston Southern | Top | 51-68 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Presbyterian Blue Hose + the points over Charleston Southern, as the Blue Hose fall into one of my favorite Conference Tourney systems, which is 68-26 ATS since 1990. Moreover, Presbyterian's been installed as a double-digit underdog. And double digit road underdogs have cashed 69.2% since 1990 in Conference Tourneys if they were off 2 SU losses, and their opponent was off 2 SU wins. Take Presbyterian. Big South Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-26-18 | Rockets v. Jazz +2.5 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -116 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz over the Houston Rockets. The Rockets have won 12 straight, but that streak will be put to the ultimate test tonight. And that's because Houston will be on the road against a Jazz club which has won 12 of its last 13 games. And Utah's hot stretch has included victories against Golden State, Toronto and San Antonio so it's stepped up against the best opponents. Tonight, the Jazz will get the additional benefit of playing with rest, while Houston will be unrested following a game in Denver. And unrested teams are an awful 137-172 ATS vs. the Utah Jazz in Salt Lake City, when Utah's rested. Even worse, the Rockets are playing two games in two nights in two high-altitude cities (Denver, Salt Lake City). And NBA teams that played in those two cities back to back games, have covered just 23% in the 2nd game, if they were off a win, and playing a rested opponent. Likewise, the Jazz are 78-53 ATS at home when rested, and playing an unrested foe off a win, including 27-14 ATS as an underdog. Take Utah. Western Conference Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-26-18 | Duke v. Virginia Tech +6 | Top | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Duke. The Hokies were upset by Louisville here at home on Saturday, 75-68, while Duke has won and covered five straight. One of those five wins was less than two weeks ago in Durham, when the Blue Devils blew out Va Tech, 74-52. But with revenge from that 22-point loss, we'll jump all over the Hokies tonight, as they fall into a 93-33 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost by 20+ points earlier in the season. Moreover, Virginia Tech is 12-1 ATS its last 13 as a home underdog, and 37-14 ATS at home or on neutral courts when playing with same-season revenge vs. a conference foe, including 5-0 ATS off an upset loss, and 27-7 ATS as a dog/PK. Take the Hokies. NCAA Hoops High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-25-18 | 76ers v. Wizards -1.5 | Top | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Philadelphia. The Wizards were upset by Charlotte in their last game. But Washington is a terrific 89% ATS at home the past three seasons at home off an upset loss by double-digits. Even better: the Wizards are playing tonight with double revenge from losses in November + February to the Sixers. And NBA favorites have cashed 62% in the regular season since 1990 off upset losses, if they were playing with double-revenge. Take the Wizards on Sunday. High roller winner. |
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02-25-18 | Colorado State +17.5 v. Nevada | Top | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams + the points over Nevada. Nevada is 24-5 and is riding a 4-game win streak. Unfortunately, Mountain West underdogs of more than 13 points are 92-44 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins. Take Colorado State + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-25-18 | Northern Kentucky v. IUPU-Indianapolis +8.5 | Top | 75-56 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Northern Kentucky. IUPUI has won and covered its last three games, and will play its final home game of the season this afternoon vs. the Horizon League-leading Norse (21-8 overall; 16-10 ATS; 14-3 in Conference). Since 1990, home dogs off 3 SU/ATS wins have cashed 65% vs. foes off ATS wins, if such foes also were .500 or better ATS. Additionally, IUPUI is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog or PK over the last three seasons. Take IUPUI plus the points. |
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02-25-18 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin +8.5 | Top | 68-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over Michigan State. The Badgers enter this game with a losing record, at 14-16 (and 7-10 in the Big 10). But they've won and covered three straight. And they're also an awesome 48-26 ATS in Big 10 play when they entered the game with a .500 or worse Big 10 record. Take Wisconsin. |
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02-24-18 | Thunder v. Warriors -9.5 | Top | 80-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Oklahoma City. The Thunder upset Golden State in each of the two previous meetings this season. But with double-revenge, I look for the Warriors to rout OKC tonight, as Golden State's 11-0 ATS its last 11 when playing with same-season double revenge vs. .700 (or worse) foes. Take the Warriors. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-24-18 | Auburn v. Florida -2 | Top | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Auburn. The Gators are off three tough losses to rival SEC foes. They fell by 3 to both Georgia and Vanderbilt, before losing by five, on Wednesday, at Tennessee. The good news, though, for Gator fans is that SEC Conference teams are an awesome 69-38 ATS off 3 SU/ATS losses, if they were favored (or PK) vs. rival SEC teams. Take Florida. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-24-18 | Murray State v. Austin Peay +6 | Top | 73-64 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors + the points over Murray State. The Racers are on a 10-game win streak. But we'll go against Murray State as road teams off 10+ wins have covered just 120 of 288 conference road games as single-digit favorites. Take Austin Peay + the points. |
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02-24-18 | Old Dominion v. Western Kentucky -1.5 | Top | 66-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Old Dominion. The Monarchs and Hilltoppers are tied for second place in Conference USA with 13-2 records (behind Middle Tennesse (14-1)), so this game will likely determine the upcoming Tourney's #2 seed. Also, it's Senior Day at Western Kentucky tonight, as the Hilltoppers will be playing their final home game of the season. And WKU has won and covered each of its last three games. That bodes well for Western Kentucky tonight, as teams playing their final home game, off 3 SU/ATS wins, have covered 60% since 1990 vs. conference foes with a winning conference record. Lay the points with the Hilltoppers. |
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02-24-18 | Harvard v. Pennsylvania -4.5 | Top | 71-74 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Pennsylvania Quakers minus the points over Harvard. Penn entered this weekend's 2-game home stand off five straight road games vs. Ivy League foes. It held its own, as it went 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in those five road games. And it started off its 2-game home stand with a 74-46 win last night vs. Dartmouth. Penn's now won all six of its home games vs. Ivy League foes this year, and will play its final home game of the season tonight. We'll lay the points, as Penn has cashed 73% at home since 1990 when playing with revenge vs. an Ivy League foe off a win. Take Penn. |
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02-24-18 | Charlotte +16 v. Marshall | Top | 75-103 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Marshall. The Thundering Herd lost SU/ATS as a home underdog to Old Dominion in their last game, and have now been installed as a favorite vs. Charlotte, which is 0-2 SU/ATS its last two games. Unfortunately for Marshall, NCAA home favorites off a SU/ATS home dog loss have covered just 126 of 303 games vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Charlotte. |
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02-24-18 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma -4 | Top | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over Kansas State. The Wildcats beat the Sooners by 18 in Manhattan, Kansas back in January. But I love Oklahoma to avenge that defeat this evening. Since 1990, NCAA revengers are 76% ATS off 3 double-digit SU/ATS losses vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS double-digit wins. Take Oklahoma. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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02-24-18 | Georgia State v. Texas-Arlington -1.5 | Top | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas Arlington Mavericks minus the points over Georgia State. This is the Mavericks' final home game of the season, and they come into the game off a momentum-building 83-63 win over Georgia Southern (as a 5-point favorite). We'll lay the points with the Mavs, as home favorites with a winning record are 133-98 ATS in their final home game of the season off a game where they covered by more than 14 points. Take Arlington |
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02-24-18 | Kansas v. Texas Tech -1.5 | Top | 74-72 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Kansas. Both teams come into this game with identical 22-6 records. In Big 12 play, Kansas holds a 1-game edge, however, at 11-4, while the Red Raiders are 10-5, notwithstanding the fact that Kansas lost earlier this season, at home, to the Red Raiders. Texas Tech did lose its two previous games -- both as a favorite -- at Baylor, and at Oklahoma State. But those two upset losses have triggered a great 117-58 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back upset losses. Moreover, Texas Tech is an awesome 16-3 ATS at home off back to back ATS losses, while Kansas is 5-12 ATS on the road off back to back SU/ATS wins vs. an opponent off back to back ATS defeats. Take Texas Tech. NCAA ELITE INFO WINNER! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.. |
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02-24-18 | Pacific -1.5 v. Loyola Marymount | Top | 71-74 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 29 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers minus the points over Loyola Marymount. The Lions upset Santa Clara as a 4-point underdog earlier this week, and have been installed as a home underdog vs. the Tigers who are off back to back home upset losses vs. Santa Clara and San Francisco. I look for the Tigers to bounce back today, as road favorites off back to back home upsets, are a sensational 75% ATS over the past 28 years vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS win. Lay the points with Pacific. NCAA Road Warrior! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-24-18 | Villanova v. Creighton +8 | Top | 83-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Bluejays + the points over Villanova. The Bluejays have lost their last three lined games, including a 23-point blowout loss at Butler on Tuesday. But Creighton is a super 14-2 SU and 8-6 ATS at home this season. And over the last three seasons, it's 41-11 SU and 29-18 ATS at home, including 15-2 off a point spread defeat, and 9-0 ATS its last nine off a straight-up loss. Take Creighton. |
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02-23-18 | Harvard v. Princeton +1 | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Princeton Tigers over the Harvard Crimson. These two teams are heading in opposite directions. The Crimson have won five straight, while the Tigers are on a 6-game losing streak. The opening odds have established this as a 'Pk 'em' game, which might raise an eyebrow given the current form of the two teams. Notwithstanding Princeton's poor play of late, we'll back the Tigers, as .500 (or worse) favorites (or PK) off 4+ straight losses have cashed 84% over the past 24 years vs. .500 (or better) conference foes off 4+ straight wins. Take Princeton. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-22-18 | Clippers v. Warriors -10.5 | Top | 127-134 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. These two teams met here in Oakland back on January 10, and the Clippers upset the Warriors, 125-106, as a 12-point underdog. But that was a rare win for Doc Rivers’ squad against Golden State, as the Clippers had lost the previous 12 meetings, and gone 4-8 ATS in those games. I look for things to get back to normal on Thursday, and for the Warriors to blow out the Clippers, as Golden State is 18-7 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge vs. a foe whose win percentage is greater than .415. Additionally, the Clippers are on a two-game win streak, including a 129-119 upset win over the Celtics before the All-Star Break, while the Warriors lost to Portland in their last game. That doesn’t bode well for Los Angeles, as NBA teams off back to back wins that scored more than 116 points in their previous game are a poor 95-134 ATS vs. foes off a loss.  Finally, in their first game after the All-Star Break, home teams off a loss that were playing with revenge have gone 63-42 ATS since 1991. Take Golden State. NBA TV Game of the Month! Good luck, as always…Al McMordie. |
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02-22-18 | Charlotte +18.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 55-93 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Western Kentucky. It's true that the Hilltoppers are off back to back SU/ATS wins, while the 49ers are currently riding a 12-game losing streak. But the second-best game the 49ers played during this losing streak was against these Hilltoppers, in Charlotte. The 49ers were 13.5-point underdogs in that game, yet lost by only 10, and covered the 13.5-point spread. That was the 3rd straight time the 49ers have covered vs. the Hilltoppers, and I expect the 49ers to once again cover vs. Western Kentucky. Charlotte falls into three of my very best College Basketball systems, with records of 503-347, 379-234 and 328-193 ATS since 1990. And Western Kentucky is an awful 17% ATS as a favorite since 1990 off back to back ATS wins, if its opponent is off a SU/ATS loss. Take the points with the 49ers. Conference USA Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-22-18 | NC-Wilmington +7.5 v. William & Mary | Top | 83-96 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the NC Wilmington Seahawks + the points over William & Mary. Wilmington stumbled at home its last time out when it lost to Charleston. But it had covered four straight prior to that defeat. I expect Wilmington to resume its winning ways (in Vegas), as it's gone 64-41-3 ATS since 1993 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season (Bill and Mary beat Wilmington by 3 on Jan. 27). Take NC Wilmington + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-22-18 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern -3 | Top | 70-64 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats minus the points over Wisconsin. This will be the Wildcats' final home game of the season. And I expect them to snap their 4-game losing streak, and blow out the 13-16 Badgers. Since 1990, Big 10 Conference teams have gone 45-25 ATS as a favorite in their final home game of the season, if they were matched up against an opponent with a losing record. And if their foe was also off a SU/ATS win, then our 45-25 stat zooms to 10-1 ATS. Take the Wildcats. |
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02-22-18 | Connecticut v. Cincinnati -19 | Top | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Connecticut. Cincy was upset in each of its last two games -- at Houston, and at home vs. Wichita. But Cincy should bounce back on this Thursday evening, as they will face a 13-14 UConn squad which has lost eight of its last 10 games vs. the point spread. Since 1990, Cincy has covered 86% as a big favorite of more than -17 points off an upset loss. And it's 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS its last seven vs. UConn, as well as 3-0 SU/ATS at home vs. the Huskies the last three seasons. Lay the points. |
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02-21-18 | San Jose State +22.5 v. Nevada | Top | 67-80 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Jose St. Spartans + the points over Nevada. Nevada comes into this game off three SU/ATS wins. But we'll fade the Wolf Pack, as Mountain West Conference favorites of 14+ points, off back to back wins, have gone 20-40 ATS vs. conference foes. Additionally, San Jose falls into several of my favorite systems, with records of 185-88 and 401-240 ATS since 1990. Take San Jose. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-21-18 | Bradley v. Missouri State -6 | Top | 82-78 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears minus the points over Bradley. The Bears stumbled in their last game, which was here at home vs. Drake. Missouri State was favored by 7, but lost outright, 67-63. However, the Bears generally bounce back at home off a home loss, as they've covered 58.9% since 1990, including 10-1 ATS their last 11 when priced as a favorite of less than 7 points. Take Missouri State. |
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