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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-23-17 | Mississippi State v. Georgia -4 | Top | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 43 h 32 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Mississippi State Bulldogs. Last week, we played on Mississippi State, and got the $$$ when it upset LSU, 37-7, as an 8-point underdog. Unfortunately for Mississippi State, it's cashed just 25% on the road over the past 25 years off an upset win (including 0-5 ATS its last 5). And NCAA teams are a woeful 0-13 ATS since 2005 off an upset win by more than 28 points, if they were a dog of more than 3 in that upset win, and they're now matched up against a conference foe off back to back wins. Take Georgia. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-23-17 | Syracuse v. LSU -21.5 | Top | 26-35 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 10 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Syracuse. LSU was upset by Mississippi State, 37-7, as an 8.5-point favorite last week, while Syracuse won at home, 41-17, over Central Michigan. But off their defeat -- where they failed to cover by 38.5 point -- I look for the LSU Tigers to rebound in a big way on Saturday evening. Indeed, teams off an upset loss are an awesome 51-20 ATS in the regular season if they failed to cover the spread by 35 or more points in their previous game, and their opponent is off a home win. The Tigers are also a super 13-4 ATS in non-conference games off a pointspread defeat by 14+ points, including 9-1 ATS at home. Take LSU. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-23-17 | San Diego State v. Air Force +3.5 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 33 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Air Force Falcons + the points over San Diego State. The Aztecs pulled a huge upset last week when they won at home, 20-17, as an 8-point underdog vs. Stanford. That was also San Diego State's 2nd straight upset win, as they knocked off Arizona State on the road, 30-20, as a 3-point underdog the previous week. Unfortunately for the Aztecs, road favorites tend to have a difficult time following an upset win as a 6-point (or greater) home dog, as they've covered just 36% since 1980. Even worse: Air Force is 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS vs. conference foes off upset wins, while San Diego State is an awful 13-27 ATS off an upset win. Take the Falcons + the points. NCAA Underdog of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-23-17 | UL-Monroe +7 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 56-50 | Win | 100 | 39 h 23 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks + the points over the Louisiana Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns. The Warhawks lost last year to their rival, 30-3, so they'll be looking for some payback on Saturday. And, like many heated rivalries, the revenge-minded team in this series has gone 12-7 ATS, including 10-2 ATS as an underdog. Even better: the road team in this series is a perfect 15-0 ATS when not laying more than 4 points! Finally, Monroe checks into this game off back to back losses. But it's a sensational 20-5 ATS on the Conference road when it's lost its previous two games. Take Monroe + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-23-17 | TCU v. Oklahoma State -12.5 | Top | 44-31 | Loss | -105 | 62 h 60 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over TCU. The Cowboys blew out Pittsburgh last week in the Steel City, 59-21. And the game wasn't even that close, as Okie State was up 49-7 late in the 2nd quarter before calling off the dogs. The Cowboys have now scored 59, 44, and 59 in their first three games this season. They've also won by margins of 35, 37, and 38 points. Not surprisingly, the Cowboys are a perfect 3-0 ATS. They'll now take on a fellow Top 25 foe in Big 12 Conference rival TCU. The Horned Frogs have lost the last two meetings to the Cowboys, and four of the five meetings since TCU joined the Conference in 2012. Based on their season statistics-to-date, the Cowboys fall into several of my best systems, with records of 111-43, 84-26 and 94-22 ATS. Additionally, Oklahoma State has been terrific following games in which it scored 50+ points, as it's 35-8 ATS since 1987, including 14-1 ATS if the Cowboys are in off back to back SU/ATS wins. The Cowboys are also 44-25 ATS when priced from -10.5 to -24 points. Finally, TCU is 4-10 ATS its last 14 games, while Big 12 Conference teams are a poor 48-78 vs. foes off a win that average 44+ points per game on offense. Take Oklahoma State. Big 12 Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-23-17 | Miami-OH +2 v. Central Michigan | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 64 h 35 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio Red Hawks plus the points over Central Michigan. The Red Hawks lost their third straight game ATS last week when they were upset, 21-17, by Cincinnati. But unlike their first three games (where they were favored), the Red Hawks are an underdog at CMU this Saturday. And Miami's 10-2 ATS their last 12 as an underdog. Even better: Mid-American Conference road underdogs are 60-34 ATS on a 3-game ATS losing streak. Take Miami. |
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09-23-17 | Central Florida v. Maryland -4 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 44 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Central Florida. Both of these teams were off last week (and Central Florida actually hasn't played since August 31, due to the hurricanes). Maryland comes in off impressive wins over Texas (51-41) and Towson (63-17), while the Knights triumphed in their initial game, 61-17, vs. Florida International. Last season, these two teams met in Orlando, and the Terps won, 30-24. I look for them to win again, as home favorites of -10 points or less (or PK) have covered 69.5% in the regular season since 1984 vs. non-conference foes. Additionally, Maryland is 28-13-1 ATS off back to back wins, when favored by more than 3 points. And they also fall into 300-205, 84-26 and 187-89 ATS systems of mine. Lay it. NCAA Non-Conference Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-23-17 | Ohio v. Eastern Michigan -2.5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 6 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michgian Eagles minus the points over Ohio. The Eagles had last week off following their upset win at Rutgers in Week 2. And they're a perfect 2-0 SU/ATS on the season. The Eagles have largely relied on their defense, which is giving up just 10 ppg on the season (Ohio, on the other hand, is giving up 24.67 ppg). We'll lay the points with Eastern Michigan, as home teams that give up 10.5 or less points per game, are 67% ATS since 1990 at Game 3 forward, if they're undefeated both SU and ATS, and not laying 4+ points. Take Eastern Michigan. |
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09-18-17 | Lions v. Giants -3 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants minus the points over the Detroit Lions. Last week, the Giants scored just three points in a 19-3 loss at Dallas, while Detrolt put up 35 points in an upset win vs. Arizona. But I look for the Giants to bounce back at home, tonight, on Monday. Indeed, losing teams off a straight-up loss, and an ATS defeat by 8+ points, have covered 68% when favored (or PK) vs. winning foes off a straight-up win. Moreover, the Giants have cashed 67% as home favorites on Monday Night Football the past 34 seasons, while the Lions are an awful 27% the past 23 years on the road off an upset win, including 0-10 ATS if they covered the spread by more than 11 points in their previous game. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-17-17 | Browns +8 v. Ravens | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Baltimore. Last week, the Ravens stunned the Bengals, 20-0. Though that victory was no doubt impressive, the fact that the Houston Texans also embarrassed the Bengals at home, with a 13-9 victory this past Thursday, combined with the firing of Cincy's offensive coordinator, Ken Zampese on Friday, leads me to believe that Baltimore's victory was primarily a result of Cincy's internal problems. Cleveland, meanwhile, lost by 3 points to the Steelers in Week 1, but covered the point spread. And I look for the Browns to make it two straight covers in a row today. It's true that the Ravens won and covered both meetings last season. Unfortunately, home favorites off an upset division win have covered just 3 of 25 vs. revenge-minded division rivals not off an upset division win. Take Cleveland. NFL Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-16-17 | Troy -6.5 v. New Mexico State | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 64 h 46 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Troy State Trojans minus the points over New Mexico State, as the Trojans fall into 91-23, 165-92, 58-7 and 83-45 ATS Systems of mine. Both Troy St. and New Mexico St. are 1-1 this season after posting wins last last week. The Trojans blew out Alabama St, 34-7, at home, while the Aggies went on the road to upset their cross-state rival, New Mexico, 30-28. Unfortunately for the Aggies, Sun Belt teams are 0-9 ATS in home conference games off an upset win, if they're getting more than 3 points vs. foes also off a win. Additionally, the Aggies have been destroyed each of the last three years by Troy, and have lost by an average of 36 ppg. Take the Trojans. Conf. Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-16-17 | Cincinnati v. Miami-OH -5 | Top | 21-17 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 47 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio Red Hawks minus the points over Cincinnati. To say that Miami will be out for revenge tonight is a massive understatement. That's because the Red Hawks have lost the last 11 meetings to the Bearcats. But they were underdogs in each of those 11 games. Indeed, the last time they were actually favored vs. Cincy was in 2005, and they blew them out, 44-16. They're favored again this year, and I love Miami to register another blowout, as it falls into a 60-28 ATS revenge system of mine. Additionally, it's worth noting the Bearcats are a horrid 28-48-2 ATS since 1984 away from home when installed as an underdog vs. non-conference foes, while Miami's 6-0 ATS its last 6 when playing with revenge vs. non-conference foes. Take Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-16-17 | Clemson v. Louisville +3.5 | Top | 47-21 | Loss | -115 | 41 h 45 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Clemson. The Cardinals and Tigers each recorded big wins last week. Louisville outlasted North Carolina, 47-35, while Clemson defeated Auburn, 14-6. Last year, the Tigers beat the Cardinals, 42-36, en route to a 14-0 Championship season. And the Tigers are off to a 2-0 SU/ATS start this season. But that sets up Clemson in a nasty situation on Saturday afternoon. Since 1981, defending National Champs are a woeful 0-9 ATS away from home, if they're off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, unrested, and not favored by 7+ points. That doesn't bode well for Clemson vs. Louisville. And neither does the fact that it hasn't given up 7+ points in either of its first two games. Indeed, since 1982, teams off back-to-back games where they didn't give up 7+ points, have covered just 9 of 48 road games vs. foes off a SU/ATS win by more than 7 points. Take Louisville. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-16-17 | Bowling Green v. Northwestern -21.5 | Top | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 39 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats minus the points over Bowling Green. The Falcons and Wildcats are both 0-2 ATS on the season following upset losses by each team last week. Northwestern was drilled 41-17, by Duke, while Bowling Green lost, 35-27, to South Dakota. We'll lay the points with Northwestern, as favorites of -21+ points, off 21-point (or greater) upset losses, have covered over 65% of the time since 1983. Take Northwestern. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-16-17 | Tulsa v. Toledo -9 | Top | 51-54 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 32 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Tulsa, as Tulsa falls into a negative 46-102 ATS system of mine which plays against teams with poor defenses. And the Golden Hurricane's defense has been a sieve so far this season, as it's given up over 50 ppg. Unfortunately for Tulsa, teams off wins, that give up more than 43.3 ppg (at Game 3 forward), have covered just 31% since 1980 if they won their previous game. Even worse: Toledo's been one of the best home teams (ATS) in College Football over the years, as it's gone 53-35 ATS its last 88, including 14-2 ATS vs. non-winning teams off a straight-up win. Finally, Toledo has cashed 73.6% vs. non-conference foes when priced as a favorite of 23 or less points. Take Toledo. NCAA Roadkill Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-16-17 | LSU v. Mississippi State +7.5 | Top | 7-37 | Win | 100 | 39 h 45 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over LSU. Mississippi State is averaging 53 ppg after winning (and covering) their first two games by 49-0 and 57-21 counts.  Off those two big wins, we'll grab the points with Miss State, as teams off back to back SU/ATS wins have cashed 66% since 1980 if they average 45+ ppg, are matched up against an opponent off a SU win, and aren't favored by more than 3 points. Take Mississippi State. |
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09-16-17 | Louisiana Tech +7 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 39 h 44 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs + the points over Western Kentucky. These two teams met in the Conference USA Championship game last season, and the Hilltoppers downed La Tech, 58-44. But I look for the Bulldogs to get a measure of revenge on Saturday, as teams playing with revenge from a post-season defeat are 27-11 ATS when priced from -3.5 to +7.5 points. Moreover, the Bulldogs were blown out at home last week, 57-21, by Mississippi State, while the Hilltoppers lost, 20-7, to Illinois. But La Tech is a super 10-0 ATS off a home loss, if they're playing an opponent also off a defeat. Take Louisiana Tech. |
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09-16-17 | Middle Tennessee State v. Minnesota -9 | Top | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Middle Tennessee State, as Minnesota falls into a 112-35 ATS System of mine. The Gophers are off to a 2-0 start this season, under 1st year coach PJ Fleck, following their blowout, upset win at Oregon State last week, 48-14 (as a 2.5-point underdog). And this is the first time in over 60 years that a Gophers squad has started 2-0 under a new head coach. Minnesota has dominated all facets of the game, as they outgained the Beavers last week, 411 yards to 225, and Buffalo, 408-262 the week before that. Now, Minnesota returns home for the last game on its non-conference slate. And the Gophers have excelled at home vs. non-conference foes over the years, and especially when matched up against non-winning foes. In that situation, Minnesota's 28-7 SU and 24-11 ATS. In the Blue Raiders' last game, 3rd year-QB Brent Stockstill (son of Middle Tennessee head coach Rick Stockstill) sustained an injury to his left (throwing) shoulder, but remained in the contest through its conclusion. He underwent an MRI earlier this week, but the results have not yet been made public. I do expect him to play, but don't necessarily expect him to be at full strength, so that's a negative for Middle Tenn. Moreover, even with Stockstill in the lineup, the Blue Raiders' offense has underwhelmed this season. Middle Tennessee is averaging just 18 ppg, on just 289 yards of offense. In contrast, Minnesota is averaging 32.5 ppg, on 409.5 yards per game.  It also doesn't hurt that coach Fleck has experience vs. this Stockstill-led Middle Tennessee squad, as his former team (Western Michigan) defeated Middle Tenn., 45-31, two seasons ago in the Bahamas Bowl. Finally, Conference USA teams are poor 8-41 SU and 18-31 ATS in the regular season vs. Big 10 Conference foes. Lay the points with Minnesota. HIGH ROLLER WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-16-17 | UCLA v. Memphis +3.5 | Top | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 55 h 14 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over UCLA. The Bruins are 2-0 on the season, after crushing Hawaii, 56-23. That was UCLA's 2nd straight home game. The Bruins will take to the road for the first time this season, and they'll have the disadvantage of facing a well-rested Tigers squad, which was off last week after routing Louisiana-Monroe, 37-29, in their first game. I look for the Tigers to register an upset, as UCLA's a wallet-busting 14-34-1 ATS away from home off back to back wins, including 0-7 ATS vs. non-conference foes. And it's 0-9 ATS its last 9 after scoring more than 35 points in a SU/ATS Win the previous week. Additionally, the Tigers fall into a 17-0 ATS system of mine, based on their performance in their first game. Take Memphis + the points. NCAA High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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09-14-17 | New Mexico +15.5 v. Boise State | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos + the points over Boise State, as UNM falls into 195-134, 103-37 and 124-45 ATS Systems of mine. Let's take a look at our 195-134 ATS angle. That plays on road underdogs, priced from +3.5 to +17.5 points in conference games, off upset home losses, that have a win percentage of .333 (or better). Last week, New Mexico fell to 1-1 on the season when it lost at home, 30-28, to New Mexico State, as a 7.5-point favorite. But I love the Lobos to bounce back tonight, as they're 35-17-2 ATS off a home loss, including 10-1 ATS if they were upset in that previous home defeat. Even better: Boise's an awful 5-24 ATS its last 29 at home when laying 11+ points. Take New Mexico. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-10-17 | Giants v. Cowboys -3.5 | Top | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 82 h 28 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over New York. The Cowboys received welcome news when they learned that RB Ezekiel Elliott will be available for this key divisional contest vs. the Giants. And that was a key factor for me to pull the trigger on Dallas in this opener. It's true that the Giants upset the Cowboys in both meetings last season, to hand Dallas two of its three regular season losses. And it's also true that the Giants have won three straight in this series, overall. But NFC East division teams playing with revenge from 3+ losses to division rivals have gone 105-84-3 ATS since 1981, including 59-45-1 ATS at home. That bodes well for Jason Garrett's men on Sunday night. Even better: teams that won more than 10 games the previous season, and playing with revenge, have cashed 71% at home in Week 1 over the past 30 seasons, including 88% vs. division foes. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-10-17 | Colts v. Rams +3 | Top | 9-46 | Win | 100 | 157 h 19 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over Indianapolis. It may seem strange that the Rams -- a team wich won just four games last season -- has been installed as a big favorite. But the Colts will be missing several key offensive players in this season opener. Chief among them, of course, is QB Andrew Luck. But Chester Rogers, Erik Swoope, Ryan Kelly and Ian Silberman are also injured. Frankly, I believe the Rams should be favored by even more points than they are. So, we'll lay the points with Los Angeles, as they also fall into my very best opening week angle, which is 34-12 ATS its last 46. Take the Rams. |
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09-10-17 | Raiders v. Titans -1.5 | Top | 26-16 | Loss | -110 | 154 h 14 m | Show |
Our selection is on Tennessee. (Analysis to follow.) |
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09-10-17 | Ravens v. Bengals -2.5 | Top | 20-0 | Loss | -115 | 154 h 13 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over Baltimore. The Bengals suffered through a miserable 6-9-1 season in 2016, after winning the AFC North division in 2015. But I love the Bengals to bounce back this season. And they should get the 2017 campaign off on the right foot, as they've won five straight home meetings vs. Baltimore, while the home team in this series is 17-6 SU and 14-8-1 ATS the last 23 meetings. Even better: the Bengals are 23-12-2 ATS as favorites of -3+ points in the regular season, and they also fall into an opening week angle of mine which is 40-22 ATS since 1980. Take Cincinnati. |
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09-09-17 | San Diego State v. Arizona State -3.5 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -105 | 84 h 48 m | Show |
Our selection is on Arizona St. (Analysis to follow.) |
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09-09-17 | South Carolina v. Missouri -2.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 35 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over South Carolina. Last year, the Missouri Tigers suffered through a 4-8 season -- their first year under coach Barry Odom. But Mizzou got Odom's sophomore campaign off on the right foot, as it blew out Missouri State, 72-43, last week. In that game, Drew Lock compiled record numbers for a Missouri QB, as he threw for 521 yards and seven touchdowns, besting the previous marks of 480 yards and five TDs. Now, Missouri will welcome fellow SEC foe South Carolina to Columbia, and the Tigers have been installed as a small favorite. Like Missouri, the Gamecocks won their opener, in upset fashion over the NC State Wolfpack. Unfortunately for South Carolina, since 1980, single-digit road underdogs are an awful 23-39 ATS vs. conference foes that scored 60+ in their previous game, including 0-7 ATS if our road dog was off an upset win. That doesn't bode well for South Carolina this Saturday evening. And neither does the fact that South Carolina is an awful 4-9 ATS off an upset win, including 0-5 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win. Finally, SEC Conference teams are a poor 21.4% ATS since 1980 off an upset win over a non-conference foe, if they're matched up against a rival SEC Conference foe playing with revenge. With Missouri indeed playing with revenge from a 10-point loss to the Gamecocks last season, we'll lay the points with the Tigers. Take Missouri. NCAA Conference Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-09-17 | North Texas v. SMU -13 | Top | 32-54 | Win | 100 | 80 h 47 m | Show |
Our selection is on SMU. (Analysis to follow.) |
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09-09-17 | Marshall v. NC State -24 | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -101 | 88 h 51 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack minus the points over Marshall. NC State was stunned last week when it was upset, 35-28, as a 7.5-point favorite by South Carolina, while Marshall pulled an upset of its own against Miami-Ohio. The good news for NC State is that it generally rebounds at home off losses, as it's 48-34 ATS, including 18-6 ATS vs. foes off a SU/ATS win. More good news: since 1997, College Football teams off season-opening upset losses have cashed 83% vs. foes off season-opening upset wins! Last year, for example, Mississippi State rebounded off its Week 1 loss to South Alabama (as a 27.5-point favorite) to blow out South Carolina, which had upset Vanderbilt to open its season the week before. Finally, since 1996, Conference USA road underdogs off a SU/ATS win have cashed just 30.7% vs. non-conference foes. I look for the Wolfpack to bounce back BIG on this Saturday. Take North Carolina State. NCAA Football Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-09-17 | Buffalo v. Army -16.5 | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -108 | 74 h 49 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Army Black Knights minus the points over Buffalo. Last year, Army went into Buffalo, and was upset, 23-20, as a 13.5-point favorite. I look for the Black Knights to avenge that defeat, as they fall into 153-53 and 295-201 ATS systems of mine. Additionally, since 1980, .500 (or better) teams that lost the previous meeting on the road as a 10-point (or greater favorite), have cashed 80% vs. non-conference foes off a loss. Take Army. High Noon Hanging! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-09-17 | Northwestern v. Duke +3.5 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 73 h 48 m | Show |
Our selection is on Duke. (Analysis to follow.) |
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09-03-17 | Texas A&M v. UCLA -3 | Top | 44-45 | Loss | -128 | 183 h 56 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Texas A&M. The Aggies have long been a much better pointspread team at home than away from College Station. And, perhaps, their worst pointspread role is as an underdog away from home when they're not off back to back losses. Since November 1999, they're a horrid 8-37 ATS, including 0-17 ATS when priced from +2.5 to +8 points. Yikes! That doesn't bode well for A&M on Sunday. And neither does the fact that they defeated the Bruins in College Station last season, 31-24. The Bruins are a solid 57% ATS when playing with revenge and favored by 4+ points. And they're an awesome 30-10 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes over the past 37 seasons when not laying 14+ points (and 9-1 ATS their last 10). Take UCLA. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-02-17 | Vanderbilt v. Middle Tennessee State +5 | Top | 28-6 | Loss | -117 | 159 h 16 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders + the points over Vanderbilt. It's hard to have confidence in a Vandy squad installed as a road favorite in its season opener, given that the Commies have lost five straight season openers (by an average of 8.6 ppg) -- and they were favored in two of those five games. Meanwhile, Middle Tennessee has won its last four openers, by an average of 46.5 ppg. The Blue Raiders certainly hope that the "3rd time will be the charm" on Saturday. And that's because they've lost the past two seasons to the Commodores. Last year, the game was played in Nashville, and Vandy won 47-24, as a 3-point favorite. But that score was somewhat misleading, as the Blue Raiders, behind the arm of Brent Stockstill (the coach's son), actually out-yarded Vanderbilt, 495 to 344. But they lost the turnover battle, and also killed themselves with penalties. I love Middle Tennessee to avenge that loss and upset the Commodores on Saturday, as they fall into 38-18 and 80-43 ATS systems of mine. Take Middle Tennessee St. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-02-17 | Kentucky -10 v. Southern Miss | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -115 | 155 h 25 m | Show |
At 4 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Southern Mississippi. Both of these teams went 7-6 last season. But the Wildcats will be the much better team this season, as they're returning 17 starters, while Southern Miss only returns 12. Kentucky has been installed as a double-digit road favorite in this season opener for both teams. And that doesn't bode well for the Golden Eagles, as double-digit home dogs are an awful 61-84, 42% ATS, in season openers, including 36% ATS if they had a winning record the previous season. These two teams also met in the season opener last year. That game was played at Kentucky, but Southern Miss upset the Wildcats, 44-35, as a 3.5-point underdog. I look for Kentucky to avenge that upset loss, as they fall into 55-14 and 59-30 ATS revenge systems of mine. Additionally, the Golden Eagles are an awful 3-10 ATS as home underdogs, priced from +7 to +20, while Kentucky is 30-2 straight-up, and 20-12 ATS when favored by 8+ points. Finally, since 1990, teams from major conferences (like the SEC) have cashed 58% when playing with revenge vs. foes from minor conferences (like Conference USA), provided our revenger isn't getting 14+ points. Lay the points with Kentucky. NCAA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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09-01-17 | Colorado State +6.5 v. Colorado | Top | 3-17 | Loss | -110 | 136 h 32 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams + the points over the Colorado Buffaloes. We cashed our NCAA Game of the Week on Colorado State -3.5 over Oregon State last Saturday, as CSU blew out the Beavers, 58-27. They'll have a big advantage vs. their cross-state rival, Colorado, as the Buffaloes won't have had any games yet this season to work out any kinks. Indeed, over the past 35 years, teams playing their first game have covered just 41% vs. foes that covered the point spread by 7+ points in their season opener the previous week. Even better: if our team playing its season opener is priced from -3 to -14.5 points, then our angle zooms from 59% to 83% (and 89% if our 'play-on' team (here, Colorado State), is playing with revenge). Speaking of revenge, it's not surprising that this "Centennial State" rivalry has seen the revenge-minded team generally get the cash. These teams have met every season for the past 22 years, and the team that lost the previous year has gone 15-5-1 ATS, including 8-0-1 ATS when priced from -3 to +6.5 points! With the Rams playing with revenge from a 44-7 loss last season, we'll pull the trigger on the underdog, and grab the points with Colorado State. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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08-31-17 | Florida International +17 v. Central Florida | Top | 17-61 | Loss | -115 | 41 h 44 m | Show |
At 6 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers + the points over Central Florida. Last year, these two teams met in Miami, and UCF blew out the Panthers, 53-14. And that continued the trend in this Sunshine State rivalry where the road team has not covered in of the last four seasons. This game will be played in Orlando, and I look for Florida International to avenge that loss here, as road teams playing with revenge from a game in which they gave up 50+ points have cashed 67% over the past 23 seasons in their season opener. Even worse: Central Florida is a wallet-busting 27% ATS since 1999 when priced between -7.5 and -23 points vs. a foe playing with revenge. Finally, over the past nine years, road dogs have cashed a staggering 72.2% of the time vs. non-conference foes when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 30 points (including 80% ATS if their opponent scored 50+ points in the previous year's meeting)!  Take Florida International + the points. NCAA Football Game of the Month for August. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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08-27-17 | Bengals v. Redskins -3 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Redskins minus the points over Cincinnati. We played against the Bengals last week, and took KC as our #1 Play of the Preseason, and got the cash when the Chiefs ripped the Bengals, 30-12, at Cincy. That dropped the Bengals to 1-1 in the Preseason. Things won't get easier this afternoon, as Washington checks in off back to back upset losses (vs. Green Bay and Baltimore). We'll fade Cincy today, as teams playing away from home, with a W/L percentage less than .750, are a miserable 26% ATS vs. foes off back to back upset losses, including 16% ATS when not getting 4+ points. Even worse: the Bengals are 2-14 ATS in the Preseason vs. foes off back to back losses, including 0-8 ATS when not laying more than 2 points. Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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08-26-17 | Raiders +3 v. Cowboys | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 44 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders over Dallas. The Raiders were upset, 24-21, at home by the Los Angeles Rams last weekend. But I look for the Raiders to bounce back on Saturday, as underdogs off upset home losses have covered 59% in the preseason vs. foes off a SU win. Moreover, Oakland is 8-3 ATS on the road vs. the Cowboys in the Preseason. Take Oakland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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08-26-17 | Chargers +2.5 v. Rams | Top | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 111 h 43 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers over the Los Angeles Rams. The Chargers' defense has given up 30.5 ppg so far, while their offense has mustered just 12 ppg. But I look for the Chargers to cover on Saturday, as teams that have been outscored by 6+ ppg, and have given up 30 ppg, have covered the pointspread 78% in the Preseason, in Game #3. Even better: the Chargers are 11-0-1 ATS vs. the Rams in the Preseason since 1992. Take the Chargers. |
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08-26-17 | Oregon State v. Colorado State -3.5 | Top | 27-58 | Win | 100 | 105 h 18 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over Oregon State. The Rams ended the 2016 regular season on a 7-game ATS win streak (before getting upset by Idaho in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, 61-50). I look for Colorado State to cover the pointspread for their eighth straight regular season game in this, their home opener of 2017. Indeed, the Rams are a perfect 4-0 ATS their last four lined home openers, and they're 9-1 ATS their last 10 home games vs. non-conference foes (and 18-7 ATS their last 25). Meanwhile, the Beavers are a wallet-busting 9-19 ATS on the road vs. non-conference opposition. Finally, Oregon State has lost its last 13 road games, straight-up, which doesn't bode well for covering the pointspread here, given the relatively short number. Take Colorado State. NCAA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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08-25-17 | Patriots v. Lions | Top | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 86 h 52 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the New England Patriots over Detroit. The defending Super Bowl Champs are 0-2, but I love them to get the $$$ on Friday. Indeed, defending Super Bowl Champs have cashed 79% on the road in the preseason since 1983 off a loss when not laying 4+ points, and 86% since 1983 off a defeat when not laying 2+ points. Moreover, New England falls into one of my favorite personal Preseason systems, which is 53-20 ATS since 1983. Take the Patriots. NFL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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08-24-17 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Eagles | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 51 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over Philadelphia. Last week, the Dolphins mustered just seven points in an upset home loss to Baltimore. But off that upset loss, we'll grab the points with the Dolphins, as NFL teams are 38-17 ATS in the Preseason off upset losses, if they scored less than 14 points in that defeat. Additionally, the Dolphins fall into 76-39, 38-7 and 119-70 ATS systems of mine. Take Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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08-21-17 | Giants +1.5 v. Browns | Top | 6-10 | Loss | -115 | 135 h 17 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the NY Giants over the Cleveland Browns. New York was upset in Week 1, 20-12, by the Pittsburgh Steelers, as a 4-point home favorite, while Cleveland knocked off New Orleans, 20-14, as a 3-point home favorite. But I look for the Giants to bounce back on this Monday, at Cleveland, as road teams have cashed 68.3% since 1983 off a loss in their home opener by 7+ points, provided they were favored by 3+ points in that home opener. Additionally, the Giants fall into a 26-5 ATS NFL Preseason system of mine which goes against certain teams (like Cleveland) off wins, and also a 92-47 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road teams, off losses, not favored by 3+ points. Take New York. NFL Preseason Monday Night Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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08-19-17 | Bears +3 v. Cardinals | Top | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 89 h 8 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over Arizona. The Bears were upset, 24-17, by Denver at home last week, while Arizona defeated Oakland, 20-10. But even though Chicago lost, it did outgain the Broncos, but were thwarted by two turnovers (while Denver had none). We'll grab the points with Chicago, as road underdogs have covered 58% in the Preseason off a SU/ATS loss vs. foes off a SU/ATS win over the past 34 years. Take the Bears. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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08-19-17 | Packers v. Redskins -3 | Top | 21-17 | Loss | -125 | 87 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Redskins minus the points over Green Bay. The Packers blew out Philly, 24-9, at home last week, while Washington lost to Baltimore on the road by 20 points, 23-3. However, now, it's Washington which is the home team. And NFL teams have covered 63.1% of the time at home off a SU/ATS loss in Week 1, if their opponent was off a SU/ATS home win in its Preseason opener. Take Washington. |
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08-19-17 | Chiefs +1.5 v. Bengals | Top | 30-12 | Win | 100 | 86 h 19 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs over the Cincinnati Bengals. The Chiefs were upset as a 4-point favorite last week, 27-17, by the San Francisco 49ers, while Cincy downed Tampa Bay, 23-12. The Bengals, though, are generally a poor bet in the Preseason off a win, and especially when they're priced as an underdog of less than three points (or PK), as they're 2-11, 15% ATS. And teams off upset losses -- like Kansas City -- are generally good bets, as they've covered 58% of the time, provided they're not laying more than three points. So, off its upset loss, we'll take Kansas City at Cincy in Week 2. Indeed, one of the things I love to do in the Preseason is take teams on the road that lost their home opener by 7+ points as a 3-point (or greater) favorite. These teams have covered 69% of the time since 1983. Even better: away teams off double-digit losses are a 59% play in the preseason vs. foes off double-digit wins. Additionally, the Chiefs fall into 25-2, 66-36, 20-2 and 120-81 ATS Preseason systems of mine. Finally, Kansas City and Cincy have met five times in the Preseason since 1983, and the Bengals have yet to win, or cover the pointspread. Take Kansas City. Preseason Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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08-19-17 | Panthers v. Titans -3 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 82 h 17 m | Show |
At 3 pm, on the NFL Network, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans minus the points over Carolina. The Titans only scored three points in Week 1 vs. the Jets. That's the bad news. But the good news is that they only gave up seven points. In contrast, the Panthers won, but also gave up 17 points to the Texans. One of the things I like to do is take losing teams off losses in the Preseason, if their defensive average is more than 7 points better than their opponent's, and their opponent is also off a win. Since 1983, our teams with the better defense have covered 82.6% of the time when not laying more than 5 points. Take Tennessee. |
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06-12-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -9 | Top | 120-129 | Push | 0 | 66 h 10 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Warriors. Analysis to follow. |
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06-09-17 | Warriors v. Cavs +6.5 | Top | 116-137 | Win | 100 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Golden State. The Cavs put up a valiant effort in Game 3, but fell apart in the game's late stages to fall by five points, 118-113. That puts LeBron James & Co. in a "do-or-die" situation tonight. It's true that many teams "roll over" when they're down 3-games-to-none (which is why this pointspread is significantly higher than Game 3's line), but I believe the Cavs will fight just as hard in this game as they did on Wednesday (which is all one can ask for in an elimination game). Also, consider that .750 (or better) teams are an awful 0-16 ATS since 1995 as favorites of -8 or less points vs. .530 (or better) teams when our favored team is up 3-0 or 3-1 in a Playoff series (including 0-5 ATS in an NBA Finals). Take the Cavaliers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs +4 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Golden State. It's true that I've been predicting for the past 11 months, in interviews, articles, and via twitter, that Golden State would go 16-0 in these Playoffs. But the pointspread for this instant game confers value on the side of the underdog. Indeed, just six days ago, the advance pointspread for this Game 3 was Cleveland -2 points. However, following Golden State's wins in Games 1 + 2, that pointspread has shifted 5.5 or 6 points. In my estimation, that shift has been too great. And for those who might be concerned that the line is still too short, given Golden State's current 15-game win streak (including 14 Playoff games), then consider that NBA teams that have won 11+ games in a row are a poor 43-67 ATS when not favored by 4.5+ points. Take Cleveland. NBA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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06-04-17 | Cavs +9 v. Warriors | Top | 113-132 | Loss | -105 | 53 h 4 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Golden State. We played on the Warriors in Game 1 as our NBA Game of the Month, and were rewarded with a 113-91 victory. The Warriors were favored by 7 points in Game 1, but the line has ticked up much higher for Game 2. Admittedly, there are reasons for that (e.g., Golden State was just 21-for-49 on uncontested shots, so it can play better on offense). Of course, Cleveland can execute better as well, and I believe it will. Indeed, road teams off a loss by 22+ points in the NBA Finals are a perfect 8-0 ATS since 1991. That bodes well for a more competitive game on Sunday. As does the fact that LeBron James' teams are 5-1 ATS in the Playoffs off Blowout losses by 22+ points, and 21-7 ATS in the Playoffs off a game where they failed to cover by more than 11 points. Finally, at the quarterfinal round forward, underdogs of more than 7 points off a loss to start a Playoff series are a stellar 63.4% since 1991. Take Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -7 | Top | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 68 h 49 m | Show |
At 9:00 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Cleveland. I've been on record (both in articles and in interviews) for the last 11 months saying that Golden State was going to go 16-0 in this season's playoffs. For the entire season, people told me I was nuts. Admittedly, it was a longshot (an initial 1000 dollar bet on the Warriors to sweep each of their four Playoff series would profit $179,000 if it does indeed happen). Even now, Golden State rates just an 11.1% chance to sweep Cleveland (though I would place the percent chance much higher). But we're now just four games away from the Warriors pulling off the improbable. This first game should set the tone of the series. It's true that Cleveland has rolled through the Eastern Conference, and won its last two games by 13 and 33 points. Unfortunately for the Cavaliers, road teams are a dreadful 0-9 ATS off a win by 9+ points to clinch their Conference Finals. It also must be noted that Cleveland was the beneficiary of a very week Eastern Conference this season. So much so that coach Tyronn Lue rested his best players late in the season since he could not have cared less about securing home court advantage through the Eastern Conference. He knew it would not make a whit of difference. But where it has made a difference is in the NBA Finals. And Eastern Conference teams are an awful 0-9 SU/ATS in Game 1 of the NBA Finals, if they started the series on the road! Golden State blew out Cleveland by 35 points here in Oakland in the previous meeting this season. More of the same on Thursday. Lay the points. NBA Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-22-17 | Warriors v. Spurs +12 | Top | 129-115 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on San Antonio. The Spurs are down 3-0 in the series, and have failed to cover the spread in the last two games. But home dogs (or PK) that are down 3-0 in a 7 game series, from the quarterfinal round forward, have covered 90% since 1991 if they also failed to cover the spread in Games 2 + 3. Take the Spurs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-20-17 | Warriors v. Spurs +6.5 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -102 | 82 h 44 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Golden State. San Antonio was blown out in Game 2, 136-100. Unfortunately for Golden State, teams not off a straight-up and ATS loss are an awful 0-18 ATS at San Antonio since 1990, if they're not getting more than 5 points, and the Spurs are off a 15-point (or worse) defeat. Look for San Antone to bounce back on Saturday. Take the points with the Spurs. NBA Western Conference Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-19-17 | Cavs v. Celtics +6 | Top | 130-86 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Cleveland. The Cavaliers blew out the Celts, 117-104, on Wednesday. But Cleveland had a huge advantage in terms of "rest" in that game, as it was playing with 9 days off. That won't be the case this evening. I look for Boston to get the ATS win, as home teams are 101-68 ATS in Playoff games off a Straight-up and ATS home playoff defeat, if they’re trailing in the series by exactly one game, including 21-12 ATS as home underdogs. Likewise, in Game 2 of a Playoff series, home dogs are 7-1 ATS since 1991 including a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS off a loss to open the series. Take Boston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-16-17 | Spurs +13.5 v. Warriors | Top | 100-136 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Golden State. It's absolutely true that the Spurs are wounded tonight, without their best player, Kawhi Leonard, in uniform. But it's dangerous to lay this many points to any playoff team. And especially when the favored team is off a playoff win, and not trailing in the series. Indeed, our NBA teams are an awful 1-10 ATS their last 11 in this situation when laying 12+ points. More ammunition for backing San Antonio: this is the most points the Spurs have received in any game since drafting Tim Duncan in 1997. The Spurs have been solid as big dogs, too, as they're 75% ATS as dogs of more than 8 points since 2002. Finally, San Antonio falls into 18-0, 80-37, and 39-11 ATS Systems of mine. Take the Spurs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-11-17 | Spurs +8.5 v. Rockets | Top | 114-75 | Win | 100 | 1 h 50 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Houston. The Rockets lost Game 5 in Overtime, 110-107, to San Antonio on Tuesday, and now trail 3-games-to-2 in this Best-of-7 series. It’s true that Houston has home court advantage tonight, but that hasn’t proven to be a meaningful factor over the years, as home teams down 3-games-to-2 in a series are an awful 42-65 ATS since 1991, including 27–50 ATS if their opponent was seeded in the Top 2 of its conference. In the first round of this year’s Playoffs, we saw this situation four times where the road team took a 3-2 series lead into Game 6, and all four times, the road team prevailed. One of those, of course, was this Spurs team vs. Memphis, and the others were Toronto/Milwaukee, Washington/Atlanta and Boston/Chicago. Moreover, since 1991, San Antonio has gone 12-4 straight-up and 11-5 ATS when leading 3-games-to-2 in a Playoff series. And coach Gregg Popovich is 19-5 straight-up and 15-7-2 ATS vs. Mike D’Antoni in the Playoffs, including 9-2 straight-up and 8-2-1 ATS on the road. Take San Antonio. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie. |
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05-10-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 62 h 7 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Washington. The 4th-seeded Wizards come into this game off back-to-back blowout wins over Boston, by 27 and 19 points. Unfortunately for Scotty Brooks' men, NBA teams are an awful 0-12 ATS since 1991 off back to back playoff wins by more than 10 points, if they're matched up against a #1 seed with a win percentage of .745 (or worse). And #4 seeds are a dreadful 27-56-2 ATS off a SU/ATS win by 12+ points. Take Boston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-09-17 | Rockets v. Spurs -6 | Top | 107-110 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 13 m | Show |
Our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs. Analysis to follow. |
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05-07-17 | Spurs v. Rockets -5.5 | Top | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets over the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs started rookie Dejounte Murray at point guard in Tony Parker's stead on Friday. And, though Murray was shaky early on with two turnovers, the Spurs survived to take a 2-1 series lead. Much has been written about the Spurs defense the past two games. San Antonio held the Rockets to under 100 points in back to back games, and that was the first time this year the Rockets failed to reach the century mark in two consecutive games. The Spurs also just held Houston to two of its three lowest-scoring games (of the 90 games it has played) this season. But before one gives ALL the credit to San Antonio, one needs to look further into the data. And one of the primary reasons for Houston's demise in Game 3 was its inability to convert open looks into points. Indeed, the Rockets were a miserable 6-for-35 on uncontested looks in Game 3. Part of that, of course is defense, as the Spurs' defensive strategy was geared toward getting the Rockets to take shots that wouldn't be their first option. But a large part of Houston missing 82.8% of its uncontested looks was just random bad luck. And I'm willing to bet that Houston will convert a much higher rate of its uncontested looks this evening. The Spurs are also a poor 1-9-1 ATS since 2004 when leading 2 games to 1 in a playoff series vs. teams seeded #3 or better. Take Houston minus the points. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-07-17 | Celtics +4.5 v. Wizards | Top | 102-121 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 1 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Washington. The Wizards blew out Boston on Thursday, 116-89. But we'll back the Celtics to upset Washington on Sunday, as #1-seeded teams are a sensational 21-4 ATS as underdogs off a double-digit playoff loss to foes seeded #3 or worse. Meanwhile, the Wizards are 0-8 SU/ATS vs. Boston in the last 8 meetings where the pointspread was between 2 and 5 points. And NBA teams are 65.3% ATS on the road off Playoff losses by 22+ points. Take Boston. NBA Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-06-17 | Warriors v. Jazz +5 | Top | 102-91 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 7 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over Golden State. The Warriors have had their way with most teams over the past several years. But Utah's been competitive, and is 10-9 ATS the last 19 meetings, including 5-3 ATS at home. It's true that Golden State hasn't lost yet this post-season. And that it's won five of its six games by 11+ points. Unfortunately for the Warriors, .587 (or better) teams are an awesome 22-0 ATS in the Playoffs since 1991, if they are matched up against .753 (or better) foes off back to back wins by more than 10 points, and our 'play-on' team (here, Utah) is not facing elimination. Take Utah. NBA ELITE INFO WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-05-17 | Spurs v. Rockets -4.5 | Top | 103-92 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs. We played on San Antone in Game 2, and the Spurs rewarded us with a 121-96 victory. However, the Silver and Black suffered a massive blow when Tony Parker's quadriceps tendon ruptured late in the game to end his season. It's true that Gregg Popovich is the league's best coach. But one negative situation for the Spurs in the Playoffs is how they perform as underdogs off 20-point (or better) blowout wins. They've covered just 22% in this role since 2000. Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-05-17 | Cavs v. Raptors +3 | Top | 115-94 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Cleveland. Cleveland comes into tonight's game with a 2-0 series lead, and has done it with back to back blowout wins. Unfortunately for LeBron James & Co., teams up exactly 2 games in a playoff series have covered just 35% of the time if they won each of their two previous games by more than 10 points. Take Toronto + the points. |
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05-04-17 | Jazz +12.5 v. Warriors | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 35 h 58 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over Golden State. The Warriors won Game 1, as expected, by double-digits. And they've yet to lose in the Playoffs. But this Game 2 will be closer than most expect. Indeed, home favorites of -12 or more points have covered just 26% of the time the past 28 years if they're off a Playoff win, and are not trailing in their series. Meanwhile, Utah's a solid 79% since May 9, 1991 as underdogs of more than 8 points in the Playoffs. Finally, #1-seeded teams are a horrid 39-68 ATS as favorites in Game 2 of a series off a win in Game 1. Take Utah. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-04-17 | Celtics v. Wizards -5 | Top | 89-116 | Win | 100 | 38 h 44 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Boston. The Celtics held serve at home, and now lead this Best-of-Seven series 2 games to none. But we'll go against the Celtics, as they scored more than 115 points in each of their two previous games. And teams off a Playoff win, in which they scored 116 or more points, are an awful 32% ATS since 1991 if they also scored 116 points two games back, including 0-8-1 ATS the past two seasons. Take Washington. |
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05-03-17 | Rockets v. Spurs -5 | Top | 96-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Houston. The Spurs were blasted in Game 1, and lost by 27 points, as a 6-point favorite. And it wasn't even that close. The Rockets could have won by 40 had they not called off the dogs. But it's a new day, and a new game, and we'll back the Silver and Black tonight. Since 1991, in the NBA Playoffs, road underdogs of +3 or more points are a miserable 66-120 ATS off a win, if they're matched up against a .600 (or better) foe off a double-digit loss. And NBA teams that failed to cover by 33+ points are 90% ATS in the Playoffs since 1991 when the line has been less than 9 points. Take San Antonio. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-02-17 | Jazz v. Warriors -13.5 | Top | 94-106 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Utah. The Warriors won their first series 4 games to none vs. Portland, and I've been predicting since the preseason that the Warriors would go 16-0 in these Playoffs. Tonight is Game 1 vs. Utah, and the Warriors will have the distinct advantage of playing this series with seven days off since their last game. And that's a big advantage, as teams off 4-0 series sweeps have covered 73% of the time the past 26 years in Game 1 vs. foes off a series which went the distance. Utah did win the last regular season meeting between these teams, but it's still just 2-13 vs. the Warriors the past four seasons (6-9 ATS). And the Warriors are a super 20-3 SU and 19-4 ATS at home when playing with revenge vs. .428 (or better) teams. Take Golden State. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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05-01-17 | Rockets v. Spurs -5.5 | Top | 126-99 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Houston. A lot will be made of the MVP Runner-up match-up between Kahwi Leonard and James Harden. But this is also a series which pits two long-time coaching rivals, Gregg Popovich and Mike D'Antoni. And coach Popovich has dominated their 4 playoff series match-ups, as his Spurs have gone 16-4 SU and 13-5-2 ATS vs. D'Antoni's teams. And this dominance has occurred even though D'Antoni's teams were the higher seed in two of the four series. The Spurs won all four Game 1s in those series (including two outright upset wins), and were 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS in Games 1, 2 and 3 combined! That doesn't bode well for Houston tonight. Certainly, one of Popovich's greatest strengths is his ability to game-plan. And that is best evident in his team's success in the opening game of a Playoff series. The Spurs are currently on a 14-1 SU and 11-4 ATS run over the past six years in the first game of a series. And, in the 2nd round of the Playoffs, since 1998, the Spurs are 11-4 SU/ATS in the first game of a series, including a perfect 6-0 SU/ATS when priced from -4.5 to -8.5 points. It's true that the Spurs franchise has never defeated the Rockets franchise in the post-season. Indeed, the Spurs have had more futility against the Rockets (0 wins in three post-season series) than against the other five franchises they've faced in the Playoffs, but never defeated. However, the Spurs have never faced the Rockets in the Gregg Popovich Era, so this will be a great opportunity for the Spurs to finally notch a post-season series win vs. their Texas rival. San Antonio also falls into a super 66-26 ATS Playoff system of mine. Take the Spurs minus the points to win Game 1. NBA ELITE INFO WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-28-17 | Clippers +6 v. Jazz | Top | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers. The Clips were upset in Game 5 by the Jazz and now trail 3 games to 2. But road dogs of +2.5 or more points, off an upset loss in Game 5, are 8-0 ATS in Game 6 if they trail in the series, and their opponent's win percentage is .667 or worse. Take Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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04-28-17 | Wizards +3 v. Hawks | Top | 115-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over Atlanta. The home team has won all five games in this series, but road teams are 9-0 SU/ATS their last nine in the Playoffs in Game 6 if the home teams had won the first 5 games of the Playoff series. Take the points with Washington. |
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04-27-17 | Raptors v. Bucks -1.5 | Top | 92-89 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Toronto. The Bucks dropped Games 4 and 5 to the Raptors to fall behind in the series, 3 games to 2. And neither game was close, as the Bucks lost Game 5 by 25 points, and Game 4 by 11. But we'll look for Jason Kidd's men to even up the series tonight, as they're 35-9 ATS at home off back to back losses, including a perfect 9-0 ATS if they failed to cover the point spread by more than 11 points in their previous game. Even better: NBA teams off a pointspread loss in the Playoffs by 15 or more points have covered 57% since 1991. And Toronto's an awful 0-6 ATS in the Playoffs the past four seasons off back to back wins. Take Milwaukee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-26-17 | Hawks v. Wizards -5.5 | Top | 99-103 | Loss | -105 | 39 h 43 m | Show |
At 6 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Atlanta. The Wizards dropped Games 3 + 4 by 18 and 10 points, respectively. But home favorites priced from -4.5 to -12 points, off a loss by 7+ points, are an awesome 60-23 ATS in the playoffs vs. division rivals since 1991. And the Wizards are 6-1-2 ATS their last nine games at home vs. Atlanta when playing with revenge. Take Washington. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-25-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -9.5 | Top | 103-116 | Win | 100 | 42 h 54 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Memphis. The Spurs and Grizzlies are tied at 2-games apiece, so Tuesday's Game 5 will be pivotal in the determination of the ultimate winner. Memphis upset the Spurs, in Overtime, on Saturday, but that doesn't bode well for David Fizdale's troops on Tuesday. And that's because the Spurs, under Gregg Popovich, are 21-3 ATS vs. foes off an upset win, if the series is tied, and the Spurs have a better won/loss record. Take San Antone. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-24-17 | Bucks +6 v. Raptors | Top | 93-118 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over Toronto. We played on the Raptors on Saturday, as our NBA Game of the Month, and cashed when the Raptors upset Toronto, 87-76, as a 2.5-point underdog. But we'll switch gears and take the points with Milwaukee today, as road dogs priced from +3.5 to +9 points, that failed to cover by more than 13 points in their previous playoff game, are 63% ATS since 1991. Even better: the Bucks are 7-2 their last 9 off a loss, while Toronto is an awful 13-31-2 ATS in the Playoffs since 2007, including 1-4 ATS off an upset win, and 4-16-2 ATS as a favorite. Take Milwaukee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-23-17 | Rockets +1.5 v. Thunder | Top | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets over Oklahoma City. The Rockets lost Game 3, but are still up 2 games to 1 in this series. We'll take the Rockets as .620 (or better) underdogs off a loss, and up 2 games to 1 in a series, have cashed 68.4% since 1991. Take Houston. |
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04-23-17 | Cavs v. Pacers +4 | Top | 106-102 | Push | 0 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Cleveland. The Pacers blew a huge lead in Game 3, and now trail the Cavaliers 3 games to none. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the Pacers under the belief that they'll have nothing left following their collapse in Game 3. But teams down 3 games to none are 6-1 straight-up, and a perfect 7-0 ATS since 2013 when priced as an underdog of 6 points or less. Take Indiana. |
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04-22-17 | Warriors v. Blazers +6 | Top | 119-113 | Push | 0 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Golden State. The Blazers lost by double-digits in each of the first two games of this series, including a 110-81 defeat on Wednesday. But, as we saw with Memphis in its Game 3 vs. San Antonio, teams often bounce back from back to back blowout losses. Indeed, since 1991, teams off back to back losses by more than 10 points have cashed 74% if they failed to score 83 points in their previous game. Take Portland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-22-17 | Spurs -3.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 108-110 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Memphis. We played on the Grizzlies in Game 3, and were rewarded by an 11-point upset victory. However, the Spurs typically bounce back off bad games, which is why they've had so much success over the past 28 years. Indeed, since 1990, the Spurs are a fantastic 91% ATS on the road in the Playoffs when favored (or PK) if they failed to cover the spread by more than five points in their previous game. Take San Antone. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-22-17 | Raptors +2.5 v. Bucks | Top | 87-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Raptors took three of the four regular season meetings vs. Milwaukee, but were stunned in Game 1, at home, and then also lost Game 3 in Milwaukee, 104-77. Thus, today's Game 4 is critical for the Raptors if they wish to advance to the quarterfinal round. We'll take the points with Toronto, as Playoff teams priced from PK to +6 are 12-0 ATS off back to back ATS losses (but not back to back straight-up losses), if they failed to cover the point spread by 14+ points in their previous game. Additionally, Milwaukee falls into a negative 1-24 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off blowout wins, while Toronto falls into 102-67 and 202-154 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off blowout losses. Take the Raptors. NBA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-21-17 | Celtics +2 v. Bulls | Top | 104-87 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over Chicago. The top-seeded Celtics are in a 'must-win' situation, as they are down 2 games to none following two home losses to start this series. But the good news is that teams (like Chicago) off back to back upset wins in the playoffs have covered just 16 of 47, including 0 of 6 if their win percentage was less than .520. Take Boston. |
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04-20-17 | Spurs v. Grizzlies +4 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over San Antonio. The Spurs are up 2 games to none after routing Memphis by 29 and 15 points in the Alamo City. Unfortunately for the Spurs, NBA teams up exactly 2 games in a Playoff series are an awful 15-39 ATS since 1991 if they won their two previous games by more than 10 points each, and weren't favored by 5+ points in the current game. Take Memphis + the points. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-19-17 | Blazers +15 v. Warriors | Top | 81-110 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Golden State. Kevin Durant has been listed as questionable for this Game 2 tonight vs. Portland. These two teams also met last season, and the Blazers put a scare into Golden State in Game 2, as they led by 11 entering the 4th quarter before eventually succumbing to a 110-99 loss. Portland also played very well in Game 1 of this series, and easily covered the number. I expect another great effort by Terry Stotts' men tonight. Indeed, #1 seeds off a win to open a Playoff series, but ATS defeat, have covered just 9 of 27 games since 1991, including 0-9 ATS when priced from -11 to -14 points. Take Portland. NBA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-19-17 | Thunder +8 v. Rockets | Top | 111-115 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder + the points over Houston. The Rockets piled up 118 points in a 31-point blowout win over OKC in Game 1. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the Rockets as a single-digit favorite tonight. But NBA teams off a win in which they scored more than 116 points, are 53-89 ATS if they also won two games back, and their foe is off a loss. Moreover, road teams off a road playoff loss by 25+ points are a super 37-18 ATS in their next game. Take the Thunder. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-18-17 | Jazz v. Clippers -8 | Top | 91-99 | Push | 0 | 44 h 12 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Utah. The Clippers lost Game 1 of this series, but .610 (or better) NBA teams are a super 107-70 ATS off a loss to open a series. Lay the points with Los Angeles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-18-17 | Bulls v. Celtics -6 | Top | 111-97 | Loss | -105 | 42 h 33 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Chicago. The Bulls upset the Celtics in Beantown to take Game 1 of this series. And Chicago's won 3 straight, overall. Unfortunately for the Bulls, teams off an upset win to open a 1st Round series are just 16% ATS since 1991 in game 2 vs. .580 (or better) foes, if they're off back to back wins, and not getting double-digits. Take Boston. |
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04-18-17 | Bucks v. Raptors -7.5 | Top | 100-106 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 33 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Milwaukee. The Raptors were favored by 7 in Game 1, but fell by 14 points, 97-83 (so they failed to cover by 21.5 points). But home teams that failed to cover the spread in a Playoff game by 19+ points are 17-0 straight-up, and 13-2-2 ATS, provided they own a better win percentage than their opponent. Take Toronto. |
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04-17-17 | Grizzlies +11 v. Spurs | Top | 82-96 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over San Antonio. The Grizzlies were blown out, 111-82, on Saturday by San Antone. But .646 (or worse) NBA Double-Digit underdogs have cashed 19 in a row if they didn't score 90+ points in the opening game of a Playoff series, and their opponent's W/L percentage wasn't .807+. Take Memphis. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-15-17 | Jazz v. Clippers -5 | Top | 97-95 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 14 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Utah Jazz. The Clippers have completely dominated the Jazz, as they were 3-1 SU/ATS this season, and covered by an average of 8.62 ppg. Even better: Los Angeles has won 18 of the last 20 meetings, straight-up, including a 13-point win three weeks ago. The Clippers are firing on all cylinders right now, as they're on a 7-game win streak. And NBA home teams off 3+ wins to end the regular season are 28-9 ATS against revenge-minded foes in Game 1 of the Playoffs. Finally, Utah is a wallet-busting 0-18 ATS on the road when priced from +3 to +8 points. Take Los Angeles. PERFECT 10 CLUB PLAY. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-15-17 | Pacers v. Cavs -8.5 | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 30 m | Show |
At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the Indiana Pacers. It's absolutely true that the Cleveland Cavaliers have played awful (especially on defense) since February. And their current 4-game losing streak enabled the Boston Celtics to leapfrog them for the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference. But I don't think the Cavs mind, as the only two Eastern Conference teams that gave them fits this season were the #5-seeded Atlanta Hawks and the #8-seeded Chicago Bulls. Thus, by being the #2 seed, they likely will never have to play either the Hawks or Bulls if they're fortunate enough to advance to the Conference Finals. We'll lay the points with Cleveland, as teams with a win percentage between .586 and .715 are a super 26-4 ATS at home in Games 1 + 2 of the NBA Playoffs if they're off back to back losses, including a perfect 10-0 ATS if their opponent is playing with revenge. Take Cleveland. NBA ELITE INFO WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-12-17 | Kings v. Clippers -15.5 | Top | 95-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Sacramento. The Clippers have won six straight games since falling to these Sacramento Kings back on March 26. And their six wins have been against some very good teams (Spurs, Rockets, Wizards). Los Angeles has excelled on the offensive end during this stretch, as it has shot at least 50% in each of its last six games. And, tonight, it will have an advantage in that it had last night off, while the Kings played at home vs. Phoenix. I look for Los Angeles to rout Sacramento, and clinch the #4 seed tonight, as .600 (or better) rested teams off back to back wins have cashed 87% in their final game of the season since 1991 vs. unrested foes. Take the Clippers. NBA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-12-17 | Mavs v. Grizzlies -7.5 | Top | 100-93 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Dallas. The Grizzlies last played on Sunday, while the Mavericks played last night. And this 2-day advantage, with respect to days off, is key, as .500 (or better) teams have covered 64% in their final home game of the season since 1991 if they played with at least two more days of rest than their foe. Take Memphis. |
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04-12-17 | Hawks v. Pacers -13 | Top | 86-104 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Atlanta. The Pacers are on a 4-game win streak (and 5-game ATS win streak), and can sew up a Playoff berth with a victory tonight. Fortunately, the Hawks are not incentivized to win, as they clinched the #5 seed last night when they routed the Hornets, 103-76. And since 2002, teams favored by 11+ points have cashed 80.7% in the final two games of the regular season, if they're off a SU/ATS win. Take Indiana. |
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04-12-17 | Nets v. Bulls -15 | Top | 73-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets. These two teams met last weekend, and the Nets upset the Bulls, 107-106. But with their season hanging in the balance, we'll lay the points with Fred Hoiberg's men tonight. The Bulls rebounded off that loss to Brooklyn by blowing out Orlando, 122-75. That bodes well for them tonight, as NBA teams are 27-7 ATS in their home finale off a cover by 19+ points. Take Chicago. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-12-17 | Pistons v. Magic -1.5 | Top | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Detroit. The Magic were blown out by 47 points by Chicago on Monday. However, non-winning teams are 28-8 ATS off a loss by 40+ points, if they're not getting 2+ points. Take Orlando. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-10-17 | Jazz +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over Golden State. When these two teams last met, the Jazz were blown out by 30, 104-74. But we'll grab the points with Utah tonite, as .465 (or better) clubs are 65% ATS in the regular season since 1990 if they're playing with revenge from a 30-point (or worse) defeat, and also lost their previous game, straight up. Even better: if they're catching double-digits, then our 65% ATS system zooms to 78% ATS. Take Utah. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-10-17 | Spurs -4.5 v. Blazers | Top | 98-99 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Portland. The Spurs will play everyone tonight, as Coach Gregg Popovich wants his team to get into rhythm before the playoffs. And, with the Spurs off a loss on Saturday, we'll lay the points with San Antone, as it's 71-38 ATS as road favorites of -4+ points off a loss, including 9-3 ATS when playing with revenge. Take San Antonio. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-09-17 | Wolves -5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 109-110 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the LA Lakers. Minny has dropped the first three games of its four game road trip. But road favorites of -5+ points, off 3+ losses, are 99-61 ATS in the regular season since 1990. And the Lakers also fall into a negative 125-214 ATS system of mine which fades certain bad teams off wins. Take the T-Wolves. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-08-17 | Pelicans +14 v. Warriors | Top | 101-123 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Golden State. The Warriors have won 13 games in a row, and have clinched the #1 seed throughout the Playoffs, so there's not much on the line tonight. Thus, Steph Curry will sit tonight (though Kevin Durant will play). We'll take the points with the Pelicans, as the Warriors fall into a negative 50-87 ATS system of mine which fades teams off back to back wins who scored more than 116 in their previous game, and are now matched up against a foe off a loss. Take New Orleans + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-08-17 | Clippers +3.5 v. Spurs | Top | 98-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over the San Antonio Spurs. The Clippers are the only NBA team to own a winning record vs. San Antone this season, as they've won two of the first three meetings. And their only loss came in Chris Paul's first game back after missing five weeks with a torn ligament in his left thumb. Tonight, the Clippers will enjoy a significant advantage, as they had the two previous days off, while the Spurs had to play last night. And unrested teams off a win are a poor 32% ATS since 1991 in the season's final five games, if they're playing a revenge-minded foe which had the previous two days off. Take the Clippers. |
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04-08-17 | Celtics v. Hornets +1.5 | Top | 121-114 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets over the Boston Celtics. The Hornets are still alive for a playoff berth, but will need to win their remaining three games, and also receive a lot of help. Tonight, the Celtics will pay Charlotte a visit. And the Hornets will be playing their final home game of the season. We'll take Charlotte, as teams playing their final home game are 89-55 ATS since 1991 if their W/L percentage was .333 (or better) and their opponent's W/L percentage was at least .625. Take the Hornets. |
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