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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-10-24 | Spurs v. Nets -5.5 | 103-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brooklyn dealt away several pieces ahead of the trade deadline but they are still hanging around the fringes of the play-in tournament field in the Eastern Conference standings. The Nets hope that they can find a way to make up ground but it could be tough sledding. Fortunately, they get a soft team here in the Spurs, who have dropped six straight contests and who are just 5-21 on the road this season. San Antonio has struggled defensively, even with the addition of Wembanyama to their rotation. This is the kind of game that the Nets need to win if they have any hopes of making a push for the postseason. Look for Brooklyn to claw out a victory in this one to get back in the win column. |
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02-10-24 | NC State v. Wake Forest -7.5 | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Wake is led in scoring by 6'5 junior guard Hunter Sallis with 17.9 PPG, which is tied for 4th in the ACC. He is a 6'5 junior guard with NBA potential, he is projected to be a second-round pick according to NBADraft.net. Sallis is the top shooter on the team with 48 made threes on 39.0% shooting from deep. Kevin Miller is their playmaking point guard, he is a 6'0 sophomore point guard averaging 16.5 PPG and a team-high 3.8 APG. Miller had a 21-point game in the win over Syracuse. Cameron Hildreth is a 6'4 junior guard with a strong floor game, he averages 14.5 PPG, 4.8 RPG and 2.7 APG. Hildreth had a double-double against Syracuse with 13 points and 12 rebounds. Andrew Carr is their big man inside, he is a 6'10, 220-pound senior center averaging 14.1 PPG and 6.9 RPG. |
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02-10-24 | Detroit v. Northern Kentucky -13.5 | 67-79 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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02-10-24 | Capitals v. Bruins -1.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins square off against the Caps for the first time this season on Saturday. The timing of the meeting couldn't be any better for the Bs. The Caps come into this game with six straight losses and struggling to put the puck in the net. On the season, the Caps are just 30th in the NHL in shots on net. That is not a good recipe against a Bruins team that is second in the league in save percentage. They will square off against goalie Jeremy Swayman, who earned his first-ever All-Star berth after a strong first half of play. The Bruins have scored 13 goals in their last three wins and should have ample opportunity against a Capitals team that is just 22nd in save percentage this season. |
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02-10-24 | Illinois v. Michigan State -160 | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We’re looking at a clash of styles here as Illinois is a high-octane offensive unit that is capable of piling up points against a Michigan State team that grinds out every possession. The Spartans are at home here, where they have gone 12-2 on the year though they did open the season with an overtime loss to James Madison. Illinois has been only 3-3 on the road this season with losses to Tennessee and Purdue along with an OT loss to Northwestern. |
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02-09-24 | Pelicans v. Lakers UNDER 233.5 | 122-139 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lakers don’t lean on 3-point shooting (35.1, 28th in 3-point rate), but they love to pick up the pace (101.0 possessions per 48 minutes, 6th). On the other side, the Pelicans are 25th in the league in 3-point rate (36.5) and 17th in pace (98.7). The total has gone under in four of the Pelicans’ last five outings, and I would ride this betting trend. As mentioned, the Pels have done a great defensive job lately, and I expect to see more of the same when they take on the Lakers. Six of the previous ten encounters between the Pels and Lakers have gone under. |
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02-09-24 | Hawks v. 76ers +3 | Top | 127-121 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The primary difference between these two squads has been their performance in conference play this season where Philly stands 19-11 SU and 18-10 ATS overall, while the southbound and down birds are 13-20 SU and 7-26 ATS (more below). The 76ers were 5-0 SUATS in this series until Atlanta pulled the rug out on them in a 139-132 loss a month ago. Inside this series, Philadelphia is 4-0 SUATS with same-season revenge from a loss of 4 or more points. With the Hawks arriving off a get even rematch at Boston and a puny 3-15 ATS in Celtics follow ups versus avenging opposition. Finally, Atlanta is 0-8 ATS this season versus .400 or greater foes with same-season revenge |
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02-09-24 | Dayton -105 v. VCU | 47-49 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Rams are 0-3 SUATS versus .800 or greater conference foes seeking LTKO (League Tournament Knockout) revenge. Dayton also knows how to cash tickets away from UD Arena, going 7-2-1 ATS in road and neutral site games this season. VCU’s rookie head coach Ryan Odom was not along for the ride in last year’s A-10 title game and is the first “outsider” to take over the tradition-rich program in over a decade. Expect him to get a sour taste of meaningful LTKO revenge tonight. |
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02-08-24 | Iowa -115 v. Penn State | 79-89 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams are tied in the lower half of the Big ten standings at press time, but the Hawkeyes sport the superior record, and after dropping their last meeting with Penn State, 83-79, they will also be out for revenge. As for the 10-11 Lions, they quickly lost their roar after a 4-0 start to the season, going just 5-11 in their next 16 contests (check Saturday result at Indiana). Making matters worse, they are an awful 1-5 SUATS versus avenging opponents this campaign while Iowa stands 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in this series in revenge-seeking mode, including 5-0 SU ATS with a winning record. We like backing winning teams looking to exact revenge from losing opponents. |
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02-07-24 | Pistons v. Kings -12.5 | 133-120 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pistons have done a great job covering the spread lately, but I expect them to slow down at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento. The Kings’ offense will be too much for Detroit. Sacramento is third in the league in 3-pointers per 100 possessions (14.8) and seventh in effective field goal percentage (56.3%). Back on January 9, the Kings cruised past the Pistons 131-110, covering an 11-point spread on the road. Sacramento made 57.4% of its field goals, and Domantas Sabonis went off for 37 points, 13 assists, and ten rebounds. I expect more of the same when the Kings host the Pistons. |
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02-07-24 | Pelicans +7.5 v. Clippers | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pelicans arrive at Los Angeles on a three-game winning streak and will provide a stern test for that Clippers defense while coming off a 138-100 home victory over the Toronto Raptors on Monday. It was New Orleans' fifth-highest scoring game of the season, just two weeks removed from a 153-point game against the Utah Jazz. Brandon Ingram scored a season-high 41 points to go along with nine assists for New Orleans on Monday, while CJ McCollum had 20 points. The Pelicans shot 51 percent from the floor. Ingram's dominant performance included 8-of-11 shooting from 3-point range and no turnovers in 30 minutes. Ingram made five of his 3-pointers during a short burst of the third quarter, when the team went 10 of 14 from distance. While Ingram has averaged 21.8 points in 46 games this season, Zion Williamson leads the team with an average of 22.1 points across 40 games. McCollum posts 19.2 points per contest and has played in 36 games. |
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02-07-24 | Georgia v. Mississippi State -7.5 | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The 5-returning starter Bulldogs from Starkville will be out for revenge tonight knowing they are 3-0 SUATS at home with the revenge chip. They are also a long-term 139-49-9 ATS as conference favorites with revenge in games they win outright. On the flip side, Georgia is 87-189-4 ATS as a conference dog in games it loses straight-up against avenging foes. Throw in a nasty 11-27-1 ATS mark for the Dawgs in games before hooping it up with the Hogs of Arkansas and we see MSU taking UGA behind the woodshed here. |
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02-07-24 | Spurs +8.5 v. Heat | 104-116 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units What a difference a year makes. The new-look Spurs, led by 7’4” rookie phenom Victor Wembanyama, got out of the gates like a turtle stuck in molasses at 5-27 SU and 12-20 ATS in games before the New Year rolled in. They’ve picked up the pace since, though, riding a 5-11 SU and 10-5-1 ATS mark over their next sixteen games. They invade South Beach tonight, where Miami’s fall from grace has been dramatic as they’ve gone from Miami Nice to Miami Vice in the blink of an eye after encountering a 1-7 SU and 0-8 ATS slide in mid-January. The Heat checks in off a revenge contest here against Orlando last night, with another same-season revenge battle on tap with Boston. |
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02-07-24 | Hawks v. Celtics -11.5 | 117-125 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Atlanta Hawks are poor on the road. They only have 10 wins in 24 road games on the season. The Boston Celtics are incredible at home, going 23-3. The Hawks’ defense won’t hold up against this Celtics squad. The Hawks continue to give up a ton of points. They are conceding 120 points per 100 possessions compared to only 110 points per 100 by the Celtics. Also, Boston will shine in the offensive end. They are shooting 37.9% from beyond the arc and the Hawks are pegged 28th in the NBA in three-point defense. Defensively the Celtics remain difficult to solve, allowing an average of only 111 points in their last five games. |
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02-07-24 | Lightning +116 v. Rangers | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tampa Bay's stretch of eight wins in its last nine games resembles what the Rangers achieved in the opening weeks of the season. The Lightning were 14-13-5 following a 4-2 loss at Calgary on Dec. 16. Since then, they are 13-5-0 in their past 18, including a 10-3-0 run since their 5-1 home loss to the Rangers on Dec. 30. Tampa Bay won five straight Jan. 9-20 and entered the break with three straight 6-3 victories. Tampa Bay also is on the verge of getting healthier as it attempts to stay hot. Defensemen Mikhail Sergachev and Erik Cernak are expected to return from injuries as the Lightning start a four-game road trip. |
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02-07-24 | Wisconsin -5 v. Michigan | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Losing 80-72 to ANYONE would be a leap forward for the 7-14 Wolverines, who have dropped 9 of their last ten games, and gone 7-18 SU and 9-16 ATS overall since March of last year. In the process, they’ve turned up the heat on head coach Juwan Howard, who has nearly exhausted the good will he accrued over the years by being a member of Michigan’s iconic Fab Five team. The Wolverines were winners in the last meeting with the Badgers, 87-79, but Wisconsin boasts a solid 13-4-1 ATS record when seeking revenge against Michigan. Bucky took a 4-0-1 ATS mark this season as a revenge-seeker into Sunday’s hoster against the Boilermakers but regardless of that outcome, we’ll look for the woes of the Wolves to continue tonight. |
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02-06-24 | Texas Tech +6 v. Baylor | 73-79 | Push | 0 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Grant McCasland has set Lubbock on fi re with a 16-4 start, including a current run of 10-2. As a result, the No. 15 Red Raiders sit just a half-game back of the top spot in the Big 12. TTRR will be looking to get even tonight with a Baylor squad that annihilated them in their last meeting, 89-62, on February 4 of last year. McCasland’s crew stands 18-10 ATS when seeking revenge in this series and they catch the No. 18 Bears in a bad before-and-after situation: Baylor is off a triple revenger against Iowa State (1-5 ATS post Cyclones) with Kansas revenge on deck (3-7 ATS before Rock Chalk). This is where upsets occur, so grab the points in this classic revenge sandwich. |
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02-06-24 | Dayton v. St. Joe's +2 | Top | 94-79 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units while the Hawks may not be the powerful basketball presence of years gone by (last winning season was in 2015-16), they are 10-5 ATS at home in this series, including 7-2 ATS when seeking revenge. Head coach Billy Lange chips in with a 9-4 ATS record with the Hawks versus .800 or greater foes, including 4-1 ATS with the revenge chip. The fact of the matter is the Flyers have bigger fish to fry on Friday when they visit VCU with LTKO revenge on the their minds, and Dayton is a feeble 2-6 SUATS in its last eight A-10 contests against avenging conference foes. The bottom line is St. Joe’s has won 10 of its 12 games SU at Hagan Arena this season. Finally St. Joseph’s is 9-1 ATS in this series when seeking revenge, including 6-0 ATS at home. |
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02-06-24 | Grizzlies v. Knicks -14.5 | 113-123 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New York Knicks are on the rise and a loss to the Lakers on Sunday will not derail them against this Grizzlies team. The Grizzlies are without their two best players coming into the season as well as Marcus Smart and potentially Jackson on Tuesday night as well. The Knicks have tightened up their rotation since picking up Anunoby and their defense has shown vast improvement as well, particularly in the halfcourt offense. The defense won't be taxed on Tuesday night against a Grizzlies team that is last in the NBA in scoring and field goal percentage. The Knicks' offense isn't as potent as the Celtics', who pup up 131 points against the Grizzlies on Sunday, but the Knicks will easily outpace the Grizzlies at home tonight. |
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02-06-24 | Mavs -135 v. Nets | 119-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Mavericks, who are eighth in the Western Conference, own a 5-8 record since winning three straight Jan. 3-7. Dallas lost four of the six games Irving missed due to a sprained right thumb before he returned Monday and produced 23 points and eight assists in 35 minutes at Philadelphia. The team Irving left is in worse shape, as the Nets are nine games under .500 and in 11th in the Eastern Conference. Both Dinwiddie and Finney-Smith are rumored to be on the trading block ahead of the Thursday deadline, as the Nets are 7-19 in their past 26 games. |
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02-06-24 | Flames v. Bruins -179 | 4-1 | Loss | -179 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins are having a great season and look to control this one from the first period. The Bruins, who average 3.49 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Bruins, who allow only 2.59 goals per game, should limit the Flames offense with Charlie McAvoy, Hampus Lindholm, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Jeremy Swayman to make plenty of big saves. |
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02-06-24 | Stars -145 v. Sabres | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Dallas Stars entered their bye week and the ensuing NHL All-Star break on a high, winning three in a row and collecting at least a point in each of their past five games. The Stars look to pick up where they left off Tuesday when they open a three-game road trip against the Buffalo Sabres. The Stars rank third in the NHL in goals per game (3.69) and faceoff winning percentage (54.4) entering play on Monday. They also possess the league's sixth-best penalty kill (82.9 percent) to remain hot on the heels of the Colorado Avalanche for the top spot in the Central Division and the Vancouver Canucks in the Western Conference. While the Stars are ascending with their play, the Sabres announced disappointing news on Sunday, with defenseman Mattias Samuelsson (upper body) ruled out for the rest of the season and forward Jack Quinn expected to be sidelined 6-8 weeks after he had surgery for a lower-body injury. |
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02-06-24 | Northern Illinois v. Miami-OH -5 | 62-59 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Redhawks have won two of their last three home games. They have played well offensively at home, scoring more than 71 points per game. They’ve also taken advantage of their opportunities at the charity stripe, making over 79 percent of their free throws in their last three games. They rebound the ball well and they’re aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job of protecting the ball and won’t give the Huskies a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Huskies have struggled defensively and they’re giving up more than 84 points per game on the road, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Redhawks in this game. The Huskies have lost 10 of their last 11 games and seven straight road games. They have played well offensively, scoring more than 76 points per game on the road. They’ve struggled at the charity stripe, making less than 70 percent of their free throws. Their ball movement isn’t very good, but their rebounding has been good and it will give them a chance in this game. They’ve been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Redhawks, who average more than six steals per game at home. The Redhawks have done a good job defensively at home, holding opponents under 68 points per game, and will keep the Huskies’ offense in check. Go with Miami (OH) to cover the spread |
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02-06-24 | Buffalo +12.5 v. Bowling Green | 73-87 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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02-05-24 | Kansas v. Kansas State +5 | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units This is a great buy low moment for the Wildcats. K-State has lost their last four games, but this rivalry matchup will have the team ready to go, and playing at home will give them an additional boost. Kansas State still has their top three players available for this game, Carter and Perry can get hot from the perimeter at any time, and Kaluma plays bigger than his 6'7 frame. Kansas State also has McNair to battle Dickinson inside. McNair is 6'11 and 265 pounds, he has the size to matchup with Dickinson and limit his production. McCullar is a strong scoring guard, but Kaluma and Carter can take turns defensively, each with different defensive strengths to slow down the top scorer in the league. The Wildcats have an elite defense, they rank 26th in defensive efficiency and will be able to slow down the Jayhawks at home. |
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02-05-24 | Raptors +11.5 v. Pelicans | 100-138 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New Orleans Pelicans (28-21; 24-21-1 ATS) snapped a three-game skid last Wednesday, outlasting the Houston Rockets 110-99. Two days later, the Pels wrapped up a four-game road trip with a 114-113 victory at the San Antonio Spurs. The Pelicans barely edged the lowly Spurs as firm 8.5-point favorites. |
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02-05-24 | Warriors v. Nets -136 | 109-98 | Loss | -136 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It doesn’t help that a pair of All-Stars – Chris Paul and Draymond Green – are out of the lineup, either. The Nets have problems of their own, yet they own a noteworthy home-road dichotomy this campaign, going 14-9-2 ATS at home as opposed to 8-14 ATS away at press time. With the Warriors likely eyeing the Sixers, up next on Wednesday and 1-6 ATS before facing Philly, and the Nets 5-1 ATS as non-conference home dogs with same-season revenge we're on the Nets. |
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02-05-24 | Clippers -145 v. Hawks | 149-144 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Even in the second half of a back-to-back, this game is Los Angeles' to lose assuming that they leave Miami without any injuries. Atlanta's defense is not equipped to slow down the Clippers offense. The Hawks also won't have their leading rebounder, Clint Capela, which will hurt them a lot. An Atlanta offense that struggles with efficiency won't fare well against the Los Angeles defense that forces misses everywhere. The Hawks are 7-18-0 ATS at home, so they don't even have that going for them. Take the Clippers to win and cover the spread. |
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02-05-24 | Miami-FL v. Virginia -5.5 | 38-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Virginia Cavaliers have proven to be a top team in the ACC this season, sitting in second place. The Cavaliers have won six consecutive conference matchups and have no signs of slowing down for the Miami Hurricanes. Virginia has the second-best defense in college basketball right now, surrendering 57.8 points per game and allowing opponents to shoot less than 40% from the floor. This will be a game-changer when facing the high-caliber Miami offense. When looking at matchups against other high-scoring offenses, the Cavaliers' defense has not shown any signs of breaking. For example, they shut down the Clemson offense — averaging 79 points per game — keeping them at 65 points on the night. The Cavaliers' defense will win this game and add their seventh consecutive ACC win. |
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02-04-24 | Bucks v. Jazz | 108-123 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee checks in after playing in Dallas last night. It’s also a series in which the Jazz have dominated, winning 132-116 as an 8-point dog in Milwaukee. Meanwhile, the Bucks went into the Big D last night with a sorry 8-14 ATS road ledger this season, including 0-4 SUATS in non-conference clashes. Finally, Utah is 19-2 SU and 17-4 ATS at home against Milwaukee, including 3-0 SUATS when the Bucks arrive without rest. |
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02-04-24 | Stanford v. Arizona -17 | 71-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The main catalyst in this matchup is Zona’s stunning 18-point road loss at Stanford as 12.5-point chalk on the final day of 2023. Wildcats’ head coach Tommy Lloyd has done an outstanding job in his 2-plus seasons in Tucson, currently 77-16 overall but a second loss to the Cardinal tonight would remove a lot of that luster. Don’t look for that to happen, though, as the Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in this series with same-season revenge from a double-digit loss. As for Stanford, the Cardinal arrive off a same-season revenger with Arizona State, and they’re just 1-6 SUATS away versus a conference foe after tangling with the Sun Devils. Arizona has no room for error here, not with road games at Utah and Colorado to follow, so expect the Wildcats to deliver a merciless pummeling at the McKale Center tonight |
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02-04-24 | Raptors v. Thunder -8.5 | 127-135 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Thunder have won two straight games and nine of their last 10 home games. They have played well offensively at home, scoring more than 122 points per game while making over 50 percent of their shots. They’ve also done a good job at the charity stripe, making over 83 percent of their free throws. They rebound the ball well and they’re aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. The Raptors have struggled defensively and they play worse on the road, giving up more than 120 points per game, and will have a hard time slowing down the Thunder in this game. The Raptors have lost six of their last seven games and six of their last seven road games. They have played well offensively, scoring more than 116 points per game on the road. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Thunder and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring chances against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Thunder, who average more than eight steals per game. The Thunder have done a great job defensively in recent games and held their last three opponents under 105 points per game, so expect them to keep Toronto’s offense in check. Go with Oklahoma City to cover the spread. |
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02-04-24 | Clippers -165 v. Heat | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Clippers are a bad matchup for the Heat. Miami does not possess very athletic wings except for Jimmy Butler. Leonard and George will have their way with the Heat on the offensive end much like the Celtics did recently with their high-scoring wing duo of Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum. The Clippers, like Boston, shoot the 3-ball very well also, which will be a problem for the Heat. Leonard is back to playing shutdown defense, healthier than he's been in any of the last few seasons. He will likely have some floor time covering Butler which could slow down the Heat's most prolific scorer. George is also an above-average defender and will likely be tasked with slowing down Tyler Herro. The Heat's two advantages in the game will be through Adebayo and Rozier but Adebayo is not a high-leverage scorer and Rozier has been off to a slow start on the offensive end for the Heat. The Clippers will roll to a win on Sunday. |
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02-04-24 | Providence v. Villanova -4 | 50-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Wildcats have barely kept their heads above water in Neptune’s sophomore campaign, currently 11-10 overall with a five-game losing skid. However, three of those losses came by margins of 1, 7 and 5 points, and the Wildcats will be hungry to avenge a pair of losses to the Friars last season. Meanwhile, 14-7 Providence is 5-12 ATS versus conference foes looking to avenge two losses from the previous season, including 1-9 ATS at home. The Friars also show up today off a double revenger with UConn (5-13 ATS at home after Huskies) with another revenger on deck against Creighton (0-4 ATS before the Bluejays). To guarantee that Villanova will send Providence straight to the bottom of the deep blue sea here, let’s turn to the fact that Villanova is 6-0 ATS home with three-plus days of rest and double revenge-exact from the previous season. |
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02-04-24 | Purdue v. Wisconsin +2.5 | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is an exciting matchup of the elite squads of the Big Ten. Purdue is solid but can be beaten on the road. They are only 3-2 in their last five Big Ten road games including a loss to Nebraska. Wisconsin has won eight out of their last 10 games. Purdue and Wisconsin have each lost to Nebraska. Purdue is one of the best scoring teams in DI but Wisconsin is just behind. Purdue is averaging 126 points per 100 possessions compared to 121 points per 100 by Wisconsin, ranking them seventh in the country. Wisconsin has scored at least 83 points in four of their five Big Ten home games. Purdue is dominant due in part to the rebounding however, Wisconsin has the size to compete. The Badgers are conceding fewer opponent rebounds per game. |
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02-03-24 | St. Mary's +4.5 v. Gonzaga | 64-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units St Marys enters on a 9-game win skein with the best overall and conference record this season. After struggling through a 4-3 December, Gonzaga is playing more like the Zags of old, going 7-1 SU since with that lone defeat coming by just one point at Santa Clara. But even though Mark Few’s Bulldogs are riding a five-game win streak, they’re just 2-5 ATS in this series with the worse record. And when they take on a conference foe off back-to-back wins, the Zags are a weak 5-9 ATS, including 0-3 ATS this season. At 13-6-1 ATS with LTKO revenge, look for the Gaels to keep their foot on the pedal as the better team avenges last season’s LTKO loss. |
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02-03-24 | Lakers +4.5 v. Knicks | Top | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Lakers will be looking to even the score against New York from a five point home loss as five-point home chalk back in December, knowing they are riding an 8-1 ATS streak as non-conference dogs in same-season revenge. The Knicks are 0-8 ATS as a home favorite coming off a same-season revenge win over the Pacers. Finally, playing on LeBron James when his team’s win-loss is .500 is 8-1 ATS. |
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02-03-24 | Mississippi State +9 v. Alabama | Top | 67-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
SEC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Mississippi State is playing with revenge from an 8-point home loss this season, and a pair of setbacks last season – including an LTKO defeat. That should find the five-returning starter Bulldogs chomping at the bit for payback today and we won’t have to worry about a letdown following their in-state rivalry battle with Ole Miss as MSU is often in a celebratory frame of mind after taking on the Rebs (27-14-1 ATS the last 20 years, including 18-7-1 ATS as a dog). The Tide is also one leg up on 6-2 Auburn, who waits on deck, and Bama’s lackluster 2-4 ATS mark in games before Aubbie adds to the Crimson woes here. Finally, MSU is 15-10 ATS versus greater than .666 foes with head coach Chris Jans, including 7-0 ATS during the regular season when the Bulldogs sport a sub .700 win percentage. |
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02-03-24 | Iowa State +4.5 v. Baylor | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bears got whacked three times by ISU last season – all as a favorite – and it was capped off when the Clones sent the Bears packing in the first round of the Big 12 tourney. Even so, Baylor owns a 17-3 outright record as a host in this series and is 4-0 ATS coming off a win when seeking LTKO revenge. Iowa State has not fared well on the conference road after beginning play in early January, losing SU to BYU by 15 points and to Oklahoma by 8 points, and edging TCU by a single point to avoid a three-game road losing streak. Things get worse when we look strictly at conference road games versus LTKO avenging foes, where Iowa State is a paltry 0-10 SU and 2-8 ATS. |
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02-03-24 | Nets v. 76ers -170 | 136-121 | Loss | -170 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams are dealing with some injury issues but the 76ers have been better suited to working through those issues. Maxey comes in off a career-high 51 points in their win over the Jazz as he was named an All-Star for the first time in his career. The 76ers have capable scoring options to work around the Embiid injury with Harris and Oubre Jr. looked at to step up and contribute. Brooklyn has sputtered and got Simmons back for all of one game before he was injured again, which doesn’t help matters at all either. The Nets are just 7-15 on the road this season and the 76ers have dominated this series of late with nine straight wins. Playing at home, you have to back them to make it 10 straight triumphs as they take care of business. |
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02-03-24 | Utah State +5.5 v. San Diego State | 67-81 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The bad news for Utah State first-year head coach Danny Sprinkle is he knew it would take some time to build a team with zero returning starters from a 26-9 squad. The good news is it took only two games. After opening the campaign 1-1, USU has gone 18-1 since as they enter tonight’s targeted triple revenger, and as a result they reside atop the MWC standings. San Diego State took a different path to today’s clash: following a 13-2 start to the season, the Aztecs have become little more than a middling squad, going just 2-3 since. They have also fallen two full games behind the Aggies in the conference race and must face a Utah State team that’s 3-0 SUATS with LTKO revenge when owning a greater than .750 win percentage. |
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02-02-24 | Hornets v. Thunder -15.5 | 106-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units OKC's most glaring flaw on both ends of the floor is rebounding. The defense also tends to send opponents to the free throw line. The Hornets are a subpar rebounding team and the worst team at getting to the free throw line. They aren't equipped to take advantage of the Thunder's weaknesses. That is why this game should be a blowout, especially since it's in Paycom Center where OKC is a much better squad. The Thunder are 18-6 (16-8-0 ATS) at home. That, paired with all of the other clear edges, won't make for a competitive game. Take OKC to cover the spread. |
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02-02-24 | Suns -150 v. Hawks | 120-129 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams come in with win streaks going for them but the fact remains that one team is solidly in the playoff picture while the other is hanging on for dear life. The Suns, when they are healthy, have a dangerous unit led by the trio of Durant, Booker and Beal, though that’s been a challenge this season. Atlanta is in a dicey situation as it’s unclear as to whether the team will be a buyer or a seller at the trade deadline. The Hawks have not been great at home this season, posting a 10-13 mark entering this game. Atlanta has a little bit of a rest advantage at this point but the Suns are the better team. Look for Phoenix to take care of business here as they take advantage of an unimpressive Atlanta squad to put this game in the win column. |
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02-02-24 | Ohio State v. Iowa -5 | 77-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ohio State was ice-cold in the point spread department, riding a 1-6 ATS skein before a pair of games against Northwestern and Illinois on Saturday and Tuesday. Turns out the Buckeyes are just 1-5 ATS after taking on the Illini, plus they’ve got a same-season revenger up next against the Hoosiers (1-6 ATS before IU). OSU’s most grievous sin was beating Iowa in the ‘donkey’ round of last year’s Big Ten tourney: The Hawkeyes are 23-10 ATS with revenge in this series, including 16-3 ATS when OSU sports a .750 or fewer win percentage. We close the book with the Buckeyes’ alarming 0-4 ATS mark as a visitor this season. |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units NFL playoff dogs with the better win percentage (Lions) are 31-21-2 ATS since 1980 – but only 6-22 SU and 11-15-2 ATS when taking more than three points, featuring 0-15 SU and 3-11-1 ATS since 1996. On the other side of the field, the 49ers’ trip to the NFC title game will mark their 19th since the AFL-NFL merger in 1970. That number is a record, and it’s four more than the next closest team in the NFC. It is also San Francisco’s third straight trip to the NFC title game and fourth in the past five seasons. Today’s win would give them an NFL-best 38th postseason win, one more than the Patriots and the Packers. For now, Frisco is 24-6 SU and 21-9 ATS from Game Ten out the past three seasons, while NFC No. 1 seeds in the championship round arriving off a win-no-cover are 10-5 SU and 9-5-1 ATS. And don’t forget that 49ers’ coach Kyle Shanahan is now 5-0 at home in the playoffs. |
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01-28-24 | Suns v. Magic +1.5 | 98-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Suns are 16-27-2 against the spread as they come into this game. Likewise, they are 9-10-1 against the spread on the road. The Suns are just 8-16-1 against the spread when they have equal rest. Moreover, they are 3-9-2 against the spread against nonconference teams. While The Magic are 28-17 against the spread. Additionally, they are 13-7 against the spread at Amway Arena. The Magic are 17-4 against the spread when they have had equal rest. Also, they are 9-6 against the spread against nonconference teams. The Magic are almost finally healthy again with Wagner back. Therefore, they can play to their full potential. Banchero is their best player. Currently, he is averaging 22.5 points per game while shooting 45 percent from the field. Wagner is averaging 20.7 points per game while shooting 46.8 percent from the field. Thus, he will be a focal part of the team. |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs +4 v. Ravens | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 74 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In four career stats against the Ravens Mahomes stats are: 98 for 139, 1,253 yards, 12 TDs, and 2 INTs. All of which is good for a prodigious 122.1 Quarterback Rating. Not to mention Mahomes’ 9-3 SU and 12-1 ATS dog log in his NFL career. . The AFC Championship will be Patrick Mahomes’ 17th playoff game. With it, he has almost an entire regular season’s worth of experience. At 28, he has played in nearly as many playoff games (16) as Jared Goff, Lamar Jackson, and Brock Purdy combined (17). He is also 13-3 in his postseason career, including 4-0 SUATS versus .777 or greater foes and 4-0 SUATS against teams with an equal or better record. Meanwhile, Jackson is 1-3 SU in his career against the Chiefs and 0-3 SUATS in the postseason, coming off a win of 24 or fewer points. And then there is Andy Reid and his 3-0 SUATS record in head-to-head games with John Harbaugh when Kansas City enters off a pair of outright wins, scoring 33-plus points in each contest. |
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01-28-24 | Purdue v. Rutgers +10.5 | 68-60 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Scarlet Knights’ fast 5-1 start to the season has cooled off (they ride a 5-7 skein into this fray) but these guys are Jonesing to put a Tony Soprano-style hit on the Boilers to make amends for their first-round loss to Purdue in last season’s Big Ten tourney. The Boilermakers are 1-9 ATS in this series, including 0-7 ATS the last seven meetings. They’re also staring dead ahead to a double revenge affair with pesky Northwestern, who handed Purdue one of its two losses this campaign in a 92-88 OT upset at Evanston. That’s not particularly good news for the Boilers, who own a 5-9 SU and 4-8 ATS ledger in games before facing the Wildcats. In this latest episode of The Zach Edey Show, the big guy gets his stats, but the Scarlet Knights pocket the cash. |
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01-27-24 | Lakers +1.5 v. Warriors | 145-144 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lakers have won four of their last six games. They have been on a roll offensively in recent games, scoring more than 130 points per game in their last three games while making over 54 percent of their shots and 46 percent of their three-pointers. They’ve done a good job rebounding the ball and they’re aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. The Warriors have struggled defensively this season and they gave up more than 120 points per game in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Lakers in this game. The Warriors have lost three of their last four games and four of their last six home games. They have played well offensively at home, scoring more than 117 points per game at home. Their rebounding has been good and it will keep them in this game, but they’ve been careless with the ball, which will give the Lakers, who averaged more than nine steals per game in their last three games, easy-scoring opportunities. The Lakers aren’t great defensively, but they’ve done a better job in recent games and will keep Golden State’s offense in check. Go with Los Angeles to cover the spread. |
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01-27-24 | VCU v. Davidson +1.5 | 63-58 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The younger McKillop has gotten his team off to a decent 12-7 record this campaign but he can regain major credibility if he manages to halt VCU’s 3-game series win streak (one of those losses came to the top-seeded Rams in the first round of last year’s A-10 tourney). Virginia Commonwealth sits in third place in the conference race and is riding a 4-game win streak entering tonight’s contest. Unfortunately for the horned ones, they’ve gone 1-5 ATS in this series of late, including 0-3 ATS when going into revenge. First-year head coach Ryan Odom inherited a team devoid of experience (zero returning starters), so we look for Davidson to improve on its 4-0 SUATS mark at home with a sub .615 win percentage when playing off a previous home loss and facing a foe coming off a pair of SUATS wins. |
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01-27-24 | Devils v. Lightning -145 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Devils come in losers of four of their last six games after falling Thursday night against the Hurricanes. Now they have to go to the Amalie Arena and face a Lightning team that has won seven of their last eight games. The Lightning, after their slow start to the season, have gotten into gear and with Vasilevskiy back between the pipes, have been clicking. New Jersey has sputtered with Jack Hughes on the shelf and their goaltending has been mediocre at best most of the season. They have rotated between Daws, Vanecek and Akira Schmid with none of that trio standing out as the #1 netminder. Give Tampa Bay the upper hand here as they put up another big offensive showing. |
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01-27-24 | Rockets v. Nets -175 | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston is playing the second game of a back-to-back situation here, which has been a tough spot for them this season. The Rockets entered Friday losers of five of their previous six and they have gone just 4-15 on the road entering the game with the Hornets. Brooklyn has dropped three straight and seven of their last eight games coming into this one. The Nets do have the rest advantage, having played Thursday at home before having Friday off, while Houston had to play Friday and then fly in after the game against Charlotte. Even with a young team like Houston, that can take a toll on you. The Rockets have been grounded on the road and in the second game of a back-to-back set, you can’t have a ton of enthusiasm about them here. Lean toward the Nets in this contest. |
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01-27-24 | 76ers +5.5 v. Nuggets | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The fact that the Nuggets struggle mightily in this series is an influencer, too, given their naughty 6-20-1 ATS mark. And yes, the gold-diggers return home off their worst loss of the season in a 122-84 beatdown at the Knicks, yet they are a paltry 2-5 ATS as home chalk of more than 4 points when coming off a 5-plus road trip. On the other side of the court, Philly has won six of its last seven games and is 8-2 ATS against greater than .600 foes this season, as well as a stellar 15-5 SU and 4-6-1 ATS this campaign when coming off a win and facing a foe coming off a loss. Finally, Denver is 0-10 ATS in this series with revenge from a single-digit same-season loss. |
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01-27-24 | Iowa +2 v. Michigan | 88-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The regression has continued this season as Michigan currently owns an embarrassing 7-12 record, including a 1-7 SUATS disaster in the last eight overall contests. Remember, this display of futility is set against the backdrop of the Wolverines football program winning the College Football Playoff championship on January 8, so every loss by Howard means the scrutiny intensifies. Following a 2-point loss at home to Maryland on Wednesday, Iowa finds itself going 3-3 in January after a 3-3 effort in December. However, the deuces are wild in this matchup where the Hawkeyes limp in off a pair of home losses seeking revenge from a double-digit loss suffered at Hawkeye-Carver Arena last season in the only meeting between these two Big Ten rivals. Iowa head coach Fran McCaffrey excels at getting even, going 9-4 ATS in this series with same-season revenge from a loss of 3 or more points and 7-4 ATS away with revenge versus a foe coming off a pair of losses. More trouble for the Wolves looms on the horizon with a trip to Michigan State to face the hated Spartans, as Michigan brings a 1-4 ATS mark into this showdown in games before MSU. Finally, Iowa is 8-1 SUATS with conference revenge under head coach Fran McCaffrey in games in which Iowa owns a winning record and its opponent owns a losing record. |
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01-27-24 | Predators v. Oilers -209 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Predators are putting together a promising season but they run into the Oilers who are riding a 15-game winning streak and look to dominate this game at home. The Oilers, who average 3.50 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes. The Oilers, who allow only 2.80 goals per game, should limit the Predators offense with Mattias Ekholm, Evan Bouchard, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Stuart Skinner to make plenty of big saves. The Oilers should win the game and cover the spread in another dominant showing on their home ice. |
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01-27-24 | Utah State v. Boise State -140 | 90-84 | Loss | -140 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Today’s clash is a battle of the conference bears with both teams tied atop the MWC standings at 5-1 and like many contests this time of year, there’s an element of revenge involved. Boise State lost to the Aggies in the semifinals of last season’s MWC tournament. No. 18 Utah State stands 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS as a dog versus foes seeking LTKO revenge (League Tourney Knock Out). Boise backers have cashed like crazy in the last eight meetings between these two with the Broncos going on a 7-1 ATS regular season run, including 5-0 ATS at home. Another headache for USU is an on-deck revenger versus San Jose State, as the Aggies are a miserable 2-8 ATS away before the Spartans, including 0-5 ATS when USU is coming off a win. |
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01-27-24 | Kansas v. Iowa State -4.5 | Top | 75-79 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
CBB Conference Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units If you’ve been an ISU backer this season, you probably think there’s a printing press in Hilton Coliseum that cranks out the bucks after a home game as the Cyclones are 12-2 ATS on this floor. They’ll also be looking to square things up from a loss to KU in the semifinals of the Big 12 tournament last season. No. 7 Kansas is loaded with talent like most Jayhawks squads under head coach Bill Self, but they’ve had two uncharacteristic stumbles of late, losing on the road to UCF and West Virginia. That’s music to our ears considering the Jayhawks have not dominated this series, going 7-12 ATS, including 0-5 ATS when ISU sports a .777 or greater win percentage. The Cyclones have performed well taking points at home, going 5-1 ATS the last half dozen games and will look to lean on their 4-0 ATS success at home with conference tourney revenge against .800 or greater opponents. Finally, Iowa State head coach T.J. Otzelberger is 9-1 ATS at home with the Cyclones as either a dog or a favorite of 3 or fewer points, including 7-0 ATS with a win percentage of .777 or greater. . |
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01-27-24 | Bruins -154 v. Flyers | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is the Bruins' first game against the Flyers this year after sweeping Philly in three games last season. The Bruins should have the advantage in this one against a Flyers team that has trouble putting up multiple goals. The Flyers typically get their share of shots on net but the Bruins are one of the top teams in the NHL at preventing shots on net, ranking 8th in the NHL in shots against. The Flyers, even when they do get shots on net, are not among the most accurate shooting teams in the league, ranking 29th in shooting percentage. That will not bode well against a Bruins defense that is fifth in the NHL in goals against and second in save percentage. I expect the Bruins' offense to be opportunistic get a lead and slow down the Flyers' offense to pick up a low-scoring win. |
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01-27-24 | Georgia +8.5 v. Florida | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Following a 2-3 start that had fans reaching for their brown paper head sacks, UGA suddenly caught fire to go on a 12-2 winning run. However, the O’Connell Center will be revved up and rabid today considering it was their Mike White who left Gainesville to take the job at Georgia last year “due to a toxic environment created by the fanbase and fear it would begin to affect his five young children” (we shudder to see some of the signs in the stands). As a result of White’s departure, the Gators were forced to hire Todd Golden and the arranged marriage produced a 16-17 record. He’s off to a better start this season, going 13-6 overall but Florida has split its last six games on the scoreboard and has this standing in its way here: the series host is currently on an incredible 1-14 ATS slide, including 0-11 ATS the last eleven games! That’s all we need to know in this bad blood slugfest. |
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01-26-24 | Kings v. Avalanche -132 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Avalanche are having a great season and I see them controlling this game from the first period. The Avalanche, who average 3.81 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Avalanche should limit the Kings' offense with Cale Makar, Devon Toews, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Alexandar Georgiev to make plenty of big saves. The Avalanche should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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01-26-24 | Magic -5 v. Grizzlies | 106-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units One weird thing about Memphis this season is that they're worse at home. The Grizzlies have a 4-15 record (5-14-0 ATS) in FedEx Forum. Although their recent road wins were nice, fading them on their home court is the smart play. Especially since Orlando does everything that the Grizzlies do better. The Magic rely on their defense, which is stronger, and have a struggling offense that outperforms Memphis'. Orlando will earn a much-needed win, covering the spread in the process. |
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01-26-24 | Michigan State +3 v. Wisconsin | Top | 66-81 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Spartans fell 70-57 as a -5.5-point home favorite to the Badgers in an earlier meeting back on December 5. What would make this win even sweeter for Izzo is the fact that Wisconsin will still be sitting atop the Big Ten should they defeat Indiana and Minnesota before facing Sparty, so knocking off the conference leader would look really good for a Michigan State squad that struggled to a 4-5 start to the season. The Badgers have not fared well in this series recently, going 8-17 SU and 9-16 ATS, including 1-7 ATS as a favorite. Finally, playing on Michigan State from Game 20 out when they are seeking conference revenge with 3 or more days of rest is 34-12-1. |
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01-26-24 | Clippers v. Raptors +7.5 | 127-107 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Raptors catch the Clippers in an ideal scheduling spot tonight, and they’ll be happy to oblige. For openers, the Clips arrive off a monster double revenge showdown at home against the Lakers on Tuesday, with yet another same-reason avenger on tap at Boston tomorrow from a 37-point home loss they suffered against the Celtics two days prior to Christmas. Hence, it’s no surprise to learn they are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in post-Laker operatives, while just 18-26 SU and 18-24 ATS away before Beantown bashes. With the Dinosaurs 16-8-1 ATS as a host in this series, including 5-1 ATS when taking points, we’re all over this. |
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01-26-24 | Mavs -130 v. Hawks | 148-143 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams are struggling at the moment as each team comes in with three straight losses on the books. There are injury issues on both sides with the Hawks missing a pair of starters in Hunter and Young while Irving is a question mark for Dallas here. Atlanta has been brutal on the defensive end of the floor, giving up an average of 124 points in their last three games, which is slightly worse than their season-long number, which is third-worst in the league. The Hawks are at home, so they have that going for them, but they are just 8-12 as the hosts this season. Trying to stop Doncic is a tough task for anyone, much less a team that is seemingly checked out on that end of the floor. Look for this game to go to the visitors. |
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01-26-24 | Panthers -129 v. Penguins | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Penguins look to pull off the upset on their home ice but the Panthers are having a great season and look to take over this one. The Panthers, who average 3.23 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring opportunities with Sam Reinhart, Matthew Tkachuk, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Panthers, who allow only 2.60 goals per game, should limit the Penguins offense, which averages only 2.98 goals per game, with Gustav Forsling, Aaron Ekblad, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
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01-25-24 | Kings -123 v. Warriors | 134-133 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings have only won two of their last eight encounters with the Warriors. Sacramento is only 1-9 SU in its past ten trips to Chase Center, but the Kings have covered the spread in six of their previous seven road contests against the Warriors, who’ll play on the second night of a back-to-back today. I like the Kings in this spot. Domantas Sabonis, who posted a 14-point, 21-rebound double-double against the Hawks last Monday, will torture the Warriors at the low post. Golden State’s interior defense has been pretty bad so far this season (22nd in opposing 2-point percentage, 55.5%), and the Warriors will have to improve a lot if they want to beat the Kings. |
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01-25-24 | San Francisco +9.5 v. Gonzaga | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Coming into this game are the 15-4 San Francisco Dons, who have almost become an annual call selection when clashing with the Zags. This year Frisco checks in with a 15-8-1 ATS log in conference tourney revenge losses (fell to the Zags in the semis of last year’s West Coast conference event) and they’re currently riding a red hot 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS train. A concern is USF’s 0-2 SUATS slide in this series when they own the better record, but they are 12-1 SU and 9-4 ATS in games this season in which they boast the better record. With the Zags 8-1 SU at home this season, we can’t call for an outright win but their 1-5 ATS effort against foes coming off consecutive wins this campaign says you should grab the points with an avenging squad that just may be the better team. |
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01-25-24 | Predators v. Wild -113 | 3-2 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Minnesota Wild will target their fourth win in a row when they host the Nashville Predators tonight in Saint Paul, Minn. The Wild are coming off a 5-3 win on home ice over the Washington Capitals on Tuesday night, which followed victories on the road over the Florida Panthers and Carolina Hurricanes. Now, Minnesota is looking for its first four-game winning streak since Dec. 19-27. The Predators will likely turn to Juuse Saros in net today. Saros is 18-18-1 with a 2.94 goals-against average and a .904 save percentage this season. In nine career games against Minnesota, he is 6-3-0 with a 2.26 GAA and a .930 save percentage. The Wild expect to counter with Filip Gustavsson between the pipes. Gustavsson has faced the Predators three times in his career. He is 2-0-1 with a 2.63 GAA and a .905 save percentage in those contests. Eriksson Ek will look to stay hot against Nashville. He notched his team-leading 20th goal on Tuesday, which marked the third season in a row that he has reached the 20-goal plateau. |
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01-25-24 | Nuggets v. Knicks +2.5 | 84-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks are now 10-2 since acquiring Anunoby from Toronto. They hope to keep the wins coming on Thursday against the Nuggets. The Knicks are 16th in the NBA in scoring offense this season. They are 20th in field goal percentage and 11th in 3-point shooting. The Knicks do rely heavily on the 3-point shot, ranked 10th in the NBA in 3-point field goals made per game. New York is third in the NBA in scoring defense this season. They are 15th in field goal defense and 15th in 3-point defense. Despite not having a dominant center, the Knicks are second in the NBA in rebounds per game. They are just 18th in the NBA in turnovers per game. |
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01-25-24 | 76ers -5.5 v. Pacers | 122-134 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sixers will take the court with a 21-7 ATS mark as a favorite this season. With the Pacers in the middle of a brutal stretch in their schedule – off Denver and Phoenix with Phoenix and Memphis coming up, don’t be surprised to see them ‘rode hard an put away wet’ during this span. |
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01-25-24 | Bruins -127 v. Senators | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A night after having their nine-game point streak snapped, the Boston Bruins will visit the Atlantic Division rival Ottawa Senators for the first time this season tonight to begin a two-game road trip before the All-Star break. Fortunately for the Bruins, there is no time to dwell on their 3-2 home loss to the Carolina Hurricanes on Wednesday. Brad Marchand's two third-period goals were not enough for the Bruins. Jordan Martinook's breakaway with 2:27 remaining gave Boston its first regulation setback since Jan. 4, ending a five-game winning streak and a 6-0-3 run. |
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01-25-24 | Georgia Southern v. Appalachian State -16 | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A visit to the Sun Belt Conference finds us on the 5-returning starter Mountaineers, who arrive with a lofty 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS mark in this series when they own a winning record. They’ve also been red hot, winning 13 of their last 15 games on the scoreboard to improve to 14-4. As for Georgia Southern, first-year head coach Charlie Henry’s Eagles appear to be anything but the ”sleeper team’” they were tabbed to be. Instead, they look anything but, after nodding off to a dreadful 3-15 record this season at press time (0-15 outside the Sun Belt). |
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01-24-24 | Hawks v. Warriors -6.5 | 112-134 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I expect the struggling Warriors to play this game for their late assistant coach. They are not a great defensive team by any stretch of the imagination, but the Hawks are arguably even worse, so I like the Warriors in this spot. The Hawks struggle to defend the 3-point line, so keep your eyes on Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson. When it comes to covering the spread, Atlanta has been a complete disaster so far this season, and I expect to see more of the same when the Hawks take on the Warriors. The Hawks are 4-12 ATS in their past 16 games overall. |
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01-24-24 | Thunder v. Spurs +7.5 | 140-114 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units San Antonio is averaging 112.8 points per game. They scored 133 points in their last game, making 46.2 percent of their field goals and 31.7 percent of their three-pointers. Victor Wembanyama led the Spurs with 33 points and seven rebounds. Devin Vassell finished with 22 points, four rebounds, and nine assists, while Jeremy Sochan added 14 points, eight rebounds, and four assists. |
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01-24-24 | Mississippi State v. Florida -165 | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UF is 12-5 ATS away with LTKO revenge, including 9-1 ATS against foes coming off a win. Mississippi State counters with a feeble 1-4 SU record the last five versus SEC foes with LTKO revenge. The Starkville Bulldogs also have a quintuple revenger with No. 13 Auburn on deck and they’re an ineffective 1-5 ATS before facing Aubbie. We rest our case by noting that Florida averages 85 points per game (MSU 75 PPG) and the Gators have cashed in 5 of the last seven matchups in this series. |
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01-24-24 | Villanova +3.5 v. St. John's | 50-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wildcats are in a desperate situation and with the spread now at 4.5, I feel confident backing them to cover today at MSG. Nova has lost three of its last four and has only beaten two Big East teams not named DePaul, so it has some work to do if it hopes to earn a bye for the conference tournament. It has faced a tough schedule, 15th per KenPom, including an average offense ranked 20th and an average defense ranked 10th. With wins over North Carolina, Texas Tech, Maryland, Creighton, Memphis, and Xavier, there's no denying the Cats can play but will their shooters show up tomorrow? When Nova shoots over 37 percent from deep, it's 7-1, and when its opponent shoots under 29 percent, it's 5-0. St. John's ranks 212th in three-point percentage and its perimeter defense isn't elite. With one guard sidelined and another currently dealing with COVID, I'm not confident the Red Storm guards will outplay the Wildcats' guards. |
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01-24-24 | Cavs +6.5 v. Bucks | 116-126 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland is one of the hottest teams in the league as they come in on an eight game win streak. The streak is impressive, but they were listed as the favorite in every game in the stretch, including wins over the Spurs, Nets, Hawks, Magic and two games against the Wizards. Included in the stretch was a win over Milwaukee, they were two point favorites but ended up winning the game by 40. In their most recent game, the Cavs were led by Sam Merrill who knocked down eight threes off the bench and finished with 26 points in the win over Orlando. |
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01-24-24 | Hurricanes v. Bruins -127 | 3-2 | Loss | -127 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hurricanes are looking to bounce back from a rough loss but the Bruins have won five in a row and look to dominate this game on their home ice. The Bruins, who average 3.48 goals per game, should pile on the goals with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Bruins, who allow only 2.61 goals per game, should limit the Hurricanes' offense with Brandon Carlo, Hampus Lindholm, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Jeremy Swayman to make plenty of big saves. The Bruins should win the game with a dominant performance on their home ice. |
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01-24-24 | Wolves -10.5 v. Wizards | 118-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Minnesota Timberwolves are not happy after a home loss against the Hornets and will rebound here. The Washington Wizards continue to stumble. They have just one victory this month. They have lost to the Pistons and Spurs within the last week. Minnesota is the best defensive squad in the entire NBA while the Wizards are the worst. Minnesota is only conceding 109 points per 100 possessions, ranking them 1st in defensive rating while the Wizards are squandering 120.8 points per 100, pegging them 29th. Minnesota has conceded 105 or fewer points in three of their last five games. Three of the Timberwolves' last five wins have occurred by at least 15 points. |
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01-24-24 | LSU v. Georgia -165 | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Georgia is in the midst of an extraordinary 11-1 SU run over the last 12 games, with the only loss coming to Tennessee by 6 points (Dawgs cashed the ticket at +7.5). The Tigers are on a nice 5-1 run of their own but they’re 0-3 SUATS the last three years against SEC LTKO seeking avengers. LSU is coming off a game with Texas A&M and the Tigers are just 1-7 ATS after facing the Aggies, UGA is 9-5-1 ATS in this series, including 5-1-1 ATS with a .575 or greater win percentage. With that, we know that Georgia is 11-4 ATS with SEC tourney revenge, including 5-1 ATS with a .667 or greater winning percentage. |
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01-23-24 | Lakers v. Clippers -8.5 | Top | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units When James Harden joined the Clippers in November, Erik Spoelstra said he didn’t know exactly how Harden would fit alongside Paul George, Kawhi Leonard, and Russell Westbrook, but had faith Lue would find a way. And he has. As a result, they are now the T-Lue Clippers, currently resting a game behind the Denver Nuggets for the third sport in the Western Conference playoff chase. Despite dropping the last two games in the series to King James and company, the Clips bring an 11-3 SUATS overall mark in Lakers showdowns the past four seasons. Finally, the Clippers are 9-0 ATS at home in this series when taking the court with same-season double revenge. |
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01-23-24 | Blue Jackets v. Oilers -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Oilers have looked unbeatable in recent games and look to dominate this game on their home ice. The Oilers, who average 3.50 goals per game, should pile on the goals against the Blue Jackets, who allow 3.73 goals per game, with Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Oilers, who allow only 2.90 goals per game, should limit the Blue Jackets offense with Darnell Nurse, Mattias Ekholm, and the rest of the defensive unit forcing turnovers in the neutral zone and defensive zone while goaltender Stuart Skinner blanks the shots on the net. The Oilers should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on their home ice. |
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01-23-24 | Xavier v. Creighton -8.5 | 78-85 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This has not been a vintage season for the X-men. Despite winning 3 of their last five games, they were just 9-8 this season and must pay the piper here for knocking the Bluejays out in the semifinals of last year’s Big East Tournament. That’s because Creighton stands 5-1 SU and 5-2 ATS with LTKO revenge while Xavier is just 2-4 ATS against foes with LTKO. The Jays also own a 5-2 ATS mark in the series with the Musketeers when playing with revenge. The killer, though, is that Xavier is 4-38 ATS in games they lose on the scoreboard as underdogs against avenging conference foes. |
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01-23-24 | Nuggets v. Pacers +5 | 114-109 | Push | 0 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pacers raced out to a strong start this season thanks to outstanding point guard play from All-Star Tyrese Halliburton. Halliburton leads the team in points per game and assists but has been sidelined in six of the past seven games with a hamstring injury. The Pacers are just 2-4 with Halliburton out but he appears to be returning tonight. For the season, the Pacers rank first in the NBA in scoring offense. They are second in field goal percentage and fifth in 3-point field goal percentage. The Pacers are also sixth in the league in 3-point field goals made per game. |
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01-23-24 | Kentucky -190 v. South Carolina | 62-79 | Loss | -190 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s never hard for us to get behind Coach Cal when it comes to his team on a humiliating revenge prowl and losing as -19.5-point chalk at home to the Gamecocks last year certainly qualifies. The high from that upset has long since faded – South Carolina finished the season 11-21 after getting bounced in the first round of the SEC Tournament – but the Columbia Cocks are 14-3 this campaign (check Saturday’s result at Arkansas) and dangerous. They seem a little less dangerous, though, after Calipari trots out his 95-68-4 ATS when seeking revenge, including 14-5-2 ATS versus greater than .750 opponents. Meanwhile, South Carolina is just 8-19 SU and 11-16 ATS home of late, including 0-3 SUATS with a win percentage of .800 or greater. |
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01-23-24 | Ohio State +3.5 v. Nebraska | 69-83 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ohio State is averaging 76.4 points per game. They scored 79 points in their last game, making 45.8 percent of their field goals and 16.7 percent of their three-pointers. Roddy Gayle Jr. led the Buckeyes with 16 points, four rebounds, and five assists. Evan Mahaffey finished with 16 points and five rebounds, while Jamison Battle added 11 points and six rebounds. Ohio State has played well defensively, giving up 66.6 points per game. They gave up 67 points in their last game and will need a similar effort if they want to win this game. |
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01-22-24 | Idaho State v. Montana State -195 | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Montana State is scoring an average of 74.1 points per game and is shooting an above average 45.9% overall and in a close game, which this likely will be, the Bobcats are shooting 75.3% from the free throw line which gives them an advantage as Idaho State is shooting just 69.2% from the charity stripe. Idaho state is allowing opponents to shoot 47.5% overall. Montana State has covered the spread in two of its last three, while Idaho state has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last 10. Montana State's top five scorers are shooting between 46.6% and 66.7% and averaging between 10.0 points and 15.9 points per game, giving the Bobcats plenty of options on the offensive end of the court and making it more difficult for the Idaho State defense. |
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01-22-24 | Florida A&M -5.5 v. Mississippi Valley State | 81-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-22-24 | New Orleans -147 v. Houston Christian | 80-88 | Loss | -147 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-22-24 | Cavs -105 v. Magic | Top | 126-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Following a lethargic 13-11 SU and 10-13-1 ATS start to the season, Cleveland has rebounded and will carry an 11-3 SU and 10-3-1 ATS mark into Orlando, where they will look to extract a healthy measure of revenge from a 10-point loss in Orlando when they last met in mid- December. They bring the league’s No. 2 Scoring Defense and No. 5 Defensive Field Goal Percentage into this fray; knowing they catch the Magic off a double revenger from the night before on the same floor against Miami. On the other side of the court, the Magic bring a measly 1-4 SUATS record in the game as an unrested host coming off a home contest. Finally, Cleveland is 6-1 SUATS this season in games with same-season revenge this season, including 5-0 SUATS versus sub .770 foes |
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01-22-24 | Spurs v. 76ers -14.5 | 123-133 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units San Antonio is a team that is going nowhere this season as they continue on their rebuilding project. The Spurs are well outside the playoff picture and are the worst team in the Western Conference. San Antonio is just 5-18 on the road and they stand 23rd in field goal percentage defense (48.7%), 28th in threes allowed per game (14.1) and 28th in three-point defense (38.8%) this season. Embiid has run his streak of 30-point games to 20 after hitting that mark against Charlotte Saturday night. The 76ers are always tough at home and they should have enough firepower to take down the Spurs in this contest. |
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01-22-24 | Jets v. Bruins -127 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is one of those matchups that is as entertaining as it gets in the regular season. Winnipeg is the third-best team in the league while Boston is second in that department as far as points in the standings go, heading into Sunday’s action. The Jets lead the league in goals against this season while the Bruins are tied for fourth in that department. In this game, the big difference between the teams really comes down to special teams. Boston is in the top five in the league in both power play and penalty killing success this season. Meanwhile, Winnipeg is in the bottom 10 in the league in both those departments. While both teams are good five-on-five, those advantages, along with playing at home, gives the Bruins the advantage in this contest. |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs +3 v. Bills | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 81 h 39 m | Show |
Divisional Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Interestingly, of the eight teams arriving in this round of the playoffs, four of them rank in the Top 10 in both offense and defense. The Bills and the Chiefs are two of them. It’s our educated guess that two of the four defensively staunch squads will be meeting in Super Bowl LVIII, with the Chiefs looking to repeat. Patrick Mahomes is 2-0 in the postseason against Josh Allen – both wins coming at Arrowhead – but this will mark the first road playoff game in his career. So, how will he and the Chiefs respond against the hottest team in the league? That’s the question. What we know for sure is the Mahomes is also 11-1 ATS in his NFL career as an underdog, winning eight of the games outright. Head coach Andy Reid has a 7-4 ATS career mark as a playoff dog, and a 9-4 SUATS career mark in postseason games between the 3s (+3 to -3). The points are tempting for a team that owns the best ‘In the Stats’ record (13-4) at this stage of the playoffs. |
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01-21-24 | Bucs +7 v. Lions | 23-31 | Loss | -120 | 69 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lions scored TDs on all three of its visits to the Red Zone last Sunday, while all three of the Rams’ trips to the Red Zone resulted in field goals. In the process, QB Jared Goff set a Detroit record for completion percentage in a game. Meanwhile, the Bucs jumped all over a deflated Philadelphia squad that flatlined, going 0-for-11 on 3rd and 4th down conversions to finish the season 1-6 following a scintillating 10-1 start. In the meantime, Tampa finished its campaign on a roll, currently riding a 6-1 SUATS and ITS (In The Stats) skein. Between the Lions likely partying like it was 1999, and the surging Bucs on a free roll and playing with house money, look for Divisional Round dogs off back-to-back wins to improve to 6-1 ATS of late. |
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01-21-24 | Oregon +6.5 v. Utah | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Utes after watching their promising 11-2 start to the season dissipate by dropping three of their last four contests entering this game. That’s not good news for a Utah team that’s forgotten how to win a game in this series as they are 1-20 SU against Oregon since 2013, including 0-5 SUATS as a favorite. Neither are the Utes’ 1-7 ATS failures after squaring off against Stanford and their 6-17 SU and 6-15-2 ATS mark against foes that own the better record. Must give a coaching edge to Oregon here as Utah’s 3rd-year HC Craig Smith has to match wits with the veteran Dana Altman, now in his 14th season with the Ducks and the 39th year of his career. Altman is 3-0 ATS off a loss this season, so you know the state and the team we’ll be lining up with today. Ducks get off the mat to hand Utah its first home loss of the campaign. |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers -9.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Teams advancing to the Divisional Round of the playoffs, coming off a Wild Card win as an underdog, are just 13-50 SU and 35-38 ATS overall. Worse, if these same teams won 5 or fewer games the previous season, they fall to 1-14 SU and 4-11 ATS. Enter the team favored to win this year’s Super Bowl, the 49ers. With it, Frisco head coach Kyle Shanahan brings a 4-0 ATS career mark into this contest as a playoff favorite by an average win margin of 15 points per game. In addition, the Niners are winning the stats on an average of 95 net yards per game this season, tops in the league. And it certainly doesn’t hurt knowing that San Francisco is 21-3 SU and 19-5 ATS since last season in games where they won the yardage battle. Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in the playoffs when coming off consecutive SUATS wins – with the last as a dog. |
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01-20-24 | Thunder v. Wolves -140 | 102-97 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The top two teams in the Western Conference lock horns in the Twin Cities tonight, where the Timberwolves will be anxious to make amends from a 23-point beatdown they suffered in Oklahoma the day after Christmas. Minnesota is 5-1 ATS at home when looking to even up a 20-point same-season loss. With it, the Wolves enter with the top-scoring defense in the loop, while also ranking No. 5 in Defensive field Goal Percentage. Given the Thunder’s paltry 0-9 SU and 2-6-1 ATS mark in road games after usurping Utah, we’ll ride the Big KAT – Karl-Anthony Towns - to the pay window. Finally, Minnesota is 12-3 SU and 10-5 ATS this season with same-season revenge, including 4-0 SUATS versus .600 or greater foes. |
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01-20-24 | Cavs -135 v. Hawks | 116-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland has won each of its last six games and the Cavaliers are 5-1 against the spread over that same span. Cleveland has moved up to 2nd in points allowed in the NBA at 110.3 points per game and is scoring enough though their second and third leading scorers are sidelined with injuries. Atlanta is giving up far too many points, allowing an average of 123.0 points per game on 50.1% shooting. Atlanta also has its share of injuries as DeAndre Hunter is out and Hunter is 4th in scoring. Atlanta's Dejounte Murray has been named in several trade rumors for Atlanta which could cause the talented guard to be distracted as well as his teammates. Atlanta will be playing the second half of a back-to-back and the Hawks have failed to cover the number in 10 of their last 13 overall. When playing against a team from the Eastern Conference, Atlanta has failed to cover the spread in 10 of the last 11. |
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01-20-24 | Canadiens v. Bruins -276 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Despite leading the Eastern Conference standings and ranking second in the NHL, the Boston Bruins have endured three winless streaks of at least three games since November. Second-year head coach Jim Montgomery, however, believes that things just may be turning the corner again as his Bruins carry a three-game win streak into hosting the Montreal Canadiens tonight. The Bruins' latest effort was a 5-2 win over the Colorado Avalanche on Thursday in which star winger David Pastrnak scored his first hat trick of the season and the 16th of his NHL career. Boston's lineup is also trending healthier. Goaltender Linus Ullmark is available again, while defensemen Derek Forbort (undisclosed) and Brandon Carlo (upper-body) could also be options for Saturday's game. |
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01-20-24 | College of Charleston v. NC-Wilmington -140 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Cougars dropped the hammer on Wilmington three times last season, including a win in the CAA title game. Charleston was tripped up as double-digit chalk on Thursday night against Towson, and the Cougars are a weak 3-8 ATS coming off SU favorite loss, including 0-3 ATS this season when coming off a SU favorite loss. Considering that the Seahawks have not lost on their home court this campaign, we look at the fact that UNCW is 19-4 ATS in this series, including 14-1 ATS when they sport a sub .750 win percentage. |
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