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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-01-23 | Phillies v. Dodgers -156 | 4-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After recovering from a sprained ankle suffered in spring training, Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Tony Gonsolin is trying to rebuild his mound endurance. That process continues Monday against the visiting Philadelphia Phillies. Gonsolin (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will make his second start of the season in the opener of a three-game series. In his first start, Gonsolin threw 3 1/3 scoreless innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates while allowing two hits and three walks. He threw 65 pitches, 39 for strikes. The Phillies will counter with Taijuan Walker (2-1, 4.97 ERA), who exited his previous start with forearm tightness after throwing 68 pitches over four innings. Walker is 3-3 with a 4.32 ERA in 11 career starts against the Dodgers. He has had trouble with Mookie Betts (5-for-10, two walks, double, RBI) and Chris Taylor (4-for-14, two walks, double, RBI). The Dodgers enter this series after sweeping their weekend set against the St. Louis Cardinals. |
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05-01-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -175 | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Murray forged his playoff reputation in the 2020 Orlando bubble with multiple 50-point games to lead Denver to the Western Conference finals, and this postseason, his first since that run three years ago, he has again become the team's catalyst. He had 34 points -- including six 3-pointers -- to spark the Nuggets' relatively easy win on Saturday night. He has scored 34 or more points in half of Denver's six playoff games this year, taking a lot of the offensive burden off Jokic, who had to carry the team in two short playoff runs in each of the two previous postseason trips. While some might be surprised at how the Nuggets manhandled the Suns on Saturday night, Murray is not. The Suns also have to figure out a way to stop Murray. Contesting shots wasn't a problem in Game 1, so one strategy will be to deny him the ball as much as possible. The Nuggets have been stellar at home, posting a 34-7 record there during the regular season. |
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05-01-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -9 | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Celtics will roll in Monday's matchup and with the advantages across the board, there's no doubt that they'll start this series strong. Being without Embiid is going to be too much for the 76ers to overcome, on both ends of the court. The 76ers will match the scoring to keep pace with Tatum and Brown, let alone one of the deepest backcourts in the league. Their frontcourt will also have the advantage against Paul Reed. Add in a road game and have to shake some rust off, and it makes sense that this one is determined to be a double-digit win for Boston. Additionally, according to covers.com, Boston is 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning straight-up record, are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings against the 76ers in Boston, and is 5-0 ATS against the 76ers in the last five meetings. |
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05-01-23 | Cubs -130 v. Nationals | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago left-hander Drew Smyly (2-1, 3.21 ERA) opposes left-hander MacKenzie Gore (3-1, 3.00) in the series opener. Smyly has been a solid performer early in his second season with the Cubs. After being hammered for seven runs -- six earned -- in his first outing of the season, Smyly is 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA over his past four starts. Last time out, Smyly allowed two runs on four hits over five innings of a no-decision against the San Diego Padres. He struck out four and walked one while throwing 89 pitches. The two runs came on three hits and a walk in the fourth. Smyly is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA in eight games, including six starts, in his career versus the Nationals. Gore lost his only career start against the Cubs, allowing three runs on seven hits over five innings in a game last season. The Cubs have lost four of their last five games, but they’ve won five of their last nine road games. The Nationals have lost four of their last six games and six of their last seven home games. They have struggled offensively, scoring only four runs in their last four home games. |
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05-01-23 | Braves -111 v. Mets | 3-5 | Loss | -111 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Charlie Morton (3-2, 2.76), today's originally scheduled starter, will start the second game in today's double header. Tylor Megill (3-1, 3.96), who was scheduled to oppose Strider on Saturday and Sunday will be on the hill for New York in Game 2. Morton earned the win last Tuesday, when he allowed one run over seven innings as the Braves beat the Miami Marlins, 7-4. Megill will be looking to reverse a trend that's become commonplace over his three seasons. The 27-year-old didn't factor into the decision on April 23 when he gave up four runs over four innings as the Mets fell 5-4 to the San Francisco Giants. Megill is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA in his last two starts after going 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his first three starts. Last season, Megill was 4-0 with a 1.93 ERA in five April starts -- including an outing in which he tossed the first five innings of a combined no-hitter -- but 0-2 with a 9.76 ERA in 10 games (four starts) thereafter. As a rookie in 2021, Megill was 1-0 with a 2.04 ERA in his first seven starts but 3-6 with a 6.13 ERA the remainder of the season. |
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04-30-23 | Reds -145 v. A's | 4-5 | Loss | -145 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Athletics have a 108 OPS+ against the left-handed pitchers and an 81 OPS+ versus the left-handed starters in 2023. On the other side, the Reds own an 88 OPS+ against the lefties and a strong 116 OPS+ versus the left-handed starters. Both teams have hit well of late, so I’m looking for the Reds’ pitching staff to make a difference. Nick Lodolo can only pitch better than he did last week, and the Reds’ bullpen has amassed a sturdy 2.61 ERA, 2.91 FIP, and .250 opposing BABIP over the last seven days and 20.2 innings of work. On the other side, the Athletics’ bullpen has posted a disastrous 8.56 ERA, 6.24 FIP, and .379 opposing BABIP across 27.1 frames in the last seven days. |
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04-30-23 | Guardians +110 v. Red Sox | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Boston Red Sox will turn to left-hander Chris Sale as they look to take a three-game series from the visiting Cleveland Guardians this afternoon. Sale (1-2, 8.22 ERA) has not won since his second start back on April 6 against Detroit, going 0-2 in three decisions since. He allowed nine hits and five runs in five innings Monday at Baltimore. Sale has walked 10 and allowed five home runs across his 23 innings. The veteran lefty's 8.22 ERA is the highest of any five-start span in his career. Sale is 5-8 with a 4.76 ERA in 31 career appearances (20 starts) against Cleveland. Opposing will be Cleveland's talented young southpaw Logan Allen (1-0, 1.50), who struck out eight in six innings of one-run ball last Sunday during his major league debut against Miami. |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks -190 | 108-101 | Loss | -190 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We’re looking at a Miami team that completely flipped the script based on the regular season. The Heat were dead last in scoring offense in the regular season but they lead the postseason field in that department heading into this game. Miami was devastating from beyond the arc against the Bucks but they are facing a Knicks team that turned back the clock defensively in the opening round. New York turned games into rock fights and slowed things down to a ridiculously snail-like pace. The Knicks held the Cavaliers to 44.2% shooting from the floor and 32.7% from three-point range in the opening round. Butler will need more help in this series if the Heat hope to advance. Give the advantage to the Knicks as they prevail in front of an amped-up crowd. |
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04-30-23 | Cubs -160 v. Marlins | 3-4 | Loss | -160 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Marlins will start rookie right-hander Bryan Hoeing (0-1, 9.82 ERA). Hoeing, 26, was Miami's seventh-round pick out of Louisville in 2019. He made his major league debut last year. Since then, he has made nine appearances (two starts) going 1-2 with an 11.57 ERA. He has faced the Cubs just once, pitching one scoreless inning of relief in a game last September. The Cubs will counter Hoeing with left-hander Justin Steele, who is 4-0 and has the best ERA in the National League (1.19). In his 12 most recent starts, dating to back July 22, 2022, Steele is 5-1 with a 1.07 ERA. Armed with high heat and a nasty slider, Steele has blossomed. He has faced the Marlins just once in his career, tossing 4 2/3 scoreless innings while striking out 10 in a 2-1 Cubs victory in August of last season. |
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04-29-23 | Oilers -161 v. Kings | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings are looking to keep their season alive and win the upcoming game on their home ice. However, the Oilers have taken over this series with back-to-back wins and look to close out the series with a win in Game Six. The Oilers, who have scored 20 goals in this series, should pile on the goals with Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick centering and cross-ice passes. The Oilers should limit the Kings' offense with Evan Bouchard, Darnell Nurse, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Stuart Skinner to step up and make plenty of big saves to close out the game. The Oilers should win the game with a strong performance on the road to advance to the Second Round. |
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04-29-23 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -140 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Dodgers have won three of their last five games. They are playing well offensively, scoring 18 runs in their last four games. Expect them to continue playing well in this game because Montgomery has struggled on the mound for the Cardinals, giving up 10 runs in his last three starts. He gave up six runs in his only start against the Dodgers and will have a hard time slowing them down in this game. The Cardinals have lost three of their last four games and five of their last seven road games. They have struggled offensively, scoring only 13 runs in their last four road games. Things won’t get easier for them in this game because Kershaw has looked good on the mound this season, especially at home where he has given up one run in two starts while striking out 18 batters. He gave up four runs in his last five home starts against the Cardinals and will keep their offense in check once again. |
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04-29-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -140 | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Phoenix was clicking on all cylinders offensively in the opening round against the Clippers but they may find a little stiffer challenge here against the Nuggets. The Suns were extremely proficient from the perimeter against LA but the Nuggets held Minnesota to 34.8% shooting from beyond the arc in the series. Booker was electric in the first round but he will have to step up and put those kinds of numbers up again. How the Suns defend Jokic and his versatility is going to be a critical factor in this series. Phoenix went 17-24 on the road this season in the regular season so their two road wins over the Clippers were a bit of a surprise. Meanwhile, Denver was 34-7 at home in the regular season and 3-0 in the postseason. The altitude is a major factor and that carries the Nuggets to a hard-fought win in Game 1. |
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04-29-23 | Pirates -148 v. Nationals | 16-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Washington starter Chad Kuhl will take the mound for the fifth time of the season. Kuhl exited after allowing one run in 3.2 innings against the Twins last weekend, resulting in a no-decision in a game the Nats won by a 10-4 score. The veteran has not looked good, squandering at least four runs in three of his four performances, and has reported a 7.36 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP in 18.1 innings. Kuhl has conceded one run in 4.1 career innings against his old Pirates team. Pittsburgh starter Vince Velasquez will take the mound for the sixth time of the year today. Velasquez was brilliant in his previous start, completing seven shutout innings against the Reds, striking out ten batters in a 2-0 win. The veteran has struggled in recent years but has rebounded nicely this year, posting a 3.76 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP accompanied by a 3-2 record in 26.1 innings pitched. |
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04-29-23 | Phillies v. Astros -120 | 6-1 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Zack Wheeler (2-1, 4.73 ERA) is the scheduled starter for the Phillies on Saturday. He has won consecutive starts despite allowing seven runs on 11 hits and three walks in 11 innings against the Chicago White Sox and Colorado Rockies. He struck out 16 in those two outings. While Wheeler will make his first career regular-season start against the Astros, he faced Houston twice in the World Series. He allowed seven runs (six earned) on nine hits and four walks with eight strikeouts over 10 1/3 innings while taking the loss in both Game 2 and Game 6. Right-hander Cristian Javier (2-0, 3.21) has the starting assignment for the Astros today. He struck out a season-high 10 batters -- including seven consecutively -- against the Atlanta Braves on Sunday. Javier allowed two runs (one earned) on three hits and two walks over six innings in a 5-2 victory. Javier has faced the Phillies just once in his career, and it was a historic outing. He threw the first six innings of a combined no-hitter in Game 4 of the World Series, recording nine strikeouts and walking two in a 5-0 victory. |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -200 | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Grizzlies had the second best record in the West while the Lakers needed a late run to even make the play-in tournament. Yet, it seems like most people are favoring the Lakers. Maybe they are right as the Lakers are up 3-2 and have a chance to close it out at home. I think, ultimately, they get it done here. I just cannot see James letting this series go back to Memphis with an opportunity to end it in LA. Also, the Grizzlies are 0-4 against the spread in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles and 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 meetings with the Lakers overall. Take the Lakers here. |
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04-28-23 | Angels v. Brewers -132 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Milwaukee Brewers will turn to veteran left-hander Wade Miley when they welcome the Los Angeles Angels for the first time since 2016 today in the opener of a three-game series. Miley (3-1, 1.96 ERA) will be opposed by left-hander Tyler Anderson (1-0, 7.20 ERA). Miley, limited to 37 innings in nine games with the Cubs last season due to injuries, has been the Brewers' most effective starter. In his last start, he allowed two runs in five innings to get the victory in a 5-4 win over the Red Sox. Miley has not allowed a run in two of his four starts, and opponents are batting just .209 against him. Miley is 5-1 with a 3.30 ERA in eight career starts vs. the Angels, the last time in 2019 when he was with Houston. Anderson, 15-5 with a 2.57 ERA as an All-Star last season with the Dodgers, will be making his fifth start. He has not won since his first start when he allowed four hits over six scoreless innings in a 6-0 victory at Oakland on April 2. In three starts since then, Anderson has allowed 17 runs, 16 earned, on 22 hits in 14 innings, allowing five home runs. Anderson kept the ball in the park in his last start, but was tagged for six runs, five earned, on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings with just one strikeout. He did not get the decision in an 11-8 loss to the Royals. Anderson is 2-2 with a 5.82 ERA in four career starts against the Brewers. He is 1-2 with an 8.59 in three starts at American Family Field, allowing 14 runs in 14 2/3 innings. |
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04-28-23 | Kings +7.5 v. Warriors | 118-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I just don't think the Kings are ready to go down, and they certainly won't go down without a fight. They showed that they can go toe to toe with the Warriors in the Chase Center, as they should have won game 4 but blew it late. That near miss will be top of mind Friday night. Of the five games played thus far, three of them have been decided by less than 7 points and another has been decided by 8 points. So these games have pretty much all been close, with all going down to the wire. Fox should be ready to go and I like the Kings to keep it close enough to cover. Take the Kings getting the points. |
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04-28-23 | Bruins -171 v. Panthers | 5-7 | Loss | -171 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers hope to force a Game Seven and win on their home ice but the Bruins look to bounce back from an overtime loss and control this game on both ends of the ice. The Bruins, who have scored 19 goals in this series, should pile on the goals with Brad Marchand, Taylor Hall, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes to the face-off circles and the slot. The Bruins should limit the Panthers' offense with Charlie McAvoy, Hampus Lindholm, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Linus Ullmark to step up and make plenty of big saves. The Bruins should win the game and advance to the Second Round with a strong win on the road. |
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04-28-23 | Braves -132 v. Mets | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The pitching matchup for the series opener features New York left-hander David Peterson (1-3, 7.36 ERA) against Atlanta southpaw Max Fried (1-0, 0.60). Peterson lost to the host San Francisco Giants in his most recent start on Saturday. He pitched five innings and was roughed up for seven runs on seven hits and one walk with eight strikeouts. He remains in the rotation because of injuries to Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer's 10-game suspension for use of a foreign substance on the ball. Peterson is 3-3 with a 4.50 ERA in eight career appearances, seven starts, against the Braves. His last appearance vs. Atlanta was on Oct. 1, when he worked two-thirds of a scoreless inning. Fried has retained the form that made him runner-up in the 2022 NL Cy Young Award voting. After sustaining a left hamstring strain in the season opener and ending up on the injured list, Fried has returned to work two scoreless stints. In his latest outing, against the Houston Astros on Sunday, he received no decision after tossing 6 2/3 scoreless innings and yielding three hits and three walks. He struck out five. In 21 career appearances (16 starts) against the Mets, Fried is 7-5 with a 2.78 ERA and 101 strikeouts in 97 innings. Last season, he was 3-2 with a 2.79 ERA in five starts against New York. |
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04-27-23 | Celtics v. Hawks +7 | 128-120 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hawks are riding a wave of momentum from the game five win and even if they don't win game six, they have all the tools and confidence to take it to within one possession. Not only are they at home but they also welcome Murray into the fold as well, which will give them plenty of offensive options beyond just Young. The Celtics have been solid but with the frontcourt struggling, the Hawks have been able to dominate on the offensive and defensive glass, which is a trend bound to continue in this close one. Additionally, the Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last four Thursday games. |
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04-27-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -147 | 4-2 | Loss | -147 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Maple Leafs haven't won a playoff series since 2004 and are 0-10 in elimination games since then, making it easy to think that the Lightning will win this game and start the series comeback. However, the Maple Leafs have controlled this series and look to close things out on their home ice. The Maple Leafs, who have scored 19 goals in the series, should pile on the goals with Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with great puck movement and strong passes to the face-off circles and the slot. The Maple Leafs should limit the Lightning offense with Morgan Rielly, Jake McCabe, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Ilya Samsonov to make plenty of big saves to close out the game. The Maple Leafs should win Game Five to win the series with a decisive victory on their home ice. |
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04-27-23 | Orioles -143 v. Tigers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I expect the Orioles to win convincingly on Thursday. Despite the Tigers playing well against the Brewers, the Orioles have a huge edge in the starting pitching advantage, including a slightly stronger bullpen. Baltimore also has a superior offense, ranking in the top-11 in scoring, home runs, and OPS, while the Tigers are in the bottom five in those categories. The Orioles have won six straight games over losing ball clubs, and I will take them to come out on top and end up with another victory over the Tigers. |
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04-27-23 | A's v. Angels -1.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Angels have won three of their last five games and five of their last seven home games. They are playing well offensively, scoring 19 runs in their last five games. They will play well offensively in this game because they have done a great job against left-handers this season and Sears has struggled on the mound, especially on the road where he gave up seven runs in two starts. He gave up two runs in his only start against the Angels and with Oakland having the worst bullpen in the league, they will have a hard time slowing down the Angels in this game. The Athletics have lost three of their last five games and four of their last six road games. With the exception of the first game of the series, they have struggled offensively, scoring more than four runs twice in their last five games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because they don’t hit the ball well against right-handers and they haven’t had a lot of success against Ohtani, who gave up two runs in his last five starts. He gave up only one run in his last four starts against the Athletics and will keep their offense in check once again, so go with Los Angeles to cover the run line. |
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04-27-23 | Padres -126 v. Cubs | 2-5 | Loss | -126 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Seth Lugo (2-1, 2.78 ERA) will make a fifth start to open his season for the Padres on Thursday. A prime reliever the past five years for the New York Mets, the right-hander started 18 games for New York in 2017, and amid injuries in San Diego's rotation to open 2023, he is delivering in that role for the time being. Lugo allowed two runs and six hits while walking one and striking out six over six innings on Friday at Arizona. However, the Padres' offense managed just two hits and the Diamondbacks pulled away late to make him a hard-luck loser.Hayden Wesneski (1-1, 6.23 ERA) is scheduled to take the mound for the Cubs in the series finale. The rookie right-hander has had his issues thus far in 2023, and he allowed three runs and five hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 9-4 loss to the Dodgers on Saturday. Wesneski, who has completed five innings just once in his four 2023 starts, will face the Padres for the first time. He will get his first look at Xander Bogaerts, who is batting .326 and has reached base in 28 straight games dating to 2022. |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks -11.5 | 128-126 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After Monday's disheartening and shocking loss, I fully expect to see an angry, focused Bucks team. They have no choice, because a loss ends their season -- and that would be embarrassing as they are the top seed and had the best record in the NBA. Giannis was great on Monday and that's a great sign. There is no way he lets his team lose at home. Middleton and Holiday were subpar and you can bet that Giannis will light a fire under them and they will bounce back with big games at home. This one has all the earmarks of a Milwaukee blowout, as Miami focuses on the game 6 closeout at home. Take the Bucks here giving up the points. |
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04-26-23 | Padres v. Cubs -104 | 5-3 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Smyly (2-1, 3.13 ERA) took a perfect game into the eighth inning Friday against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The bid for history ended when Smyly and catcher Yan Gomes collided trying to field David Peralta's slow roller that barely made it halfway to third base. It was the only hit and runner Smyly allowed over 7 2/3 innings, as he struck out 10 in the Cubs' 13-0 win at Wrigley Field. After yielding seven runs (six earned) and nine hits in 4 2/3 innings at Cincinnati in his 2023 debut, Smyly has given up two runs and seven hits over 18 1/3 innings over his past three starts. Armed with a balanced approach of fastballs and curveballs, plus other off-speed options, Smyly has found an early rhythm in his second season with Chicago. In his past seven home starts, Smyly is 3-1 with an 0.89 ERA. Scheduled San Diego starter Michael Wacha (2-1, 7.08 ERA) allowed four runs and eight hits over 12 innings while winning his first two starts this season. However, he has yielded 12 runs and 21 hits in 8 1/3 innings over his past two outings. The right-hander is 4-8 with a hefty 6.50 ERA in 20 career outings (18 starts) against the Cubs, but he last faced them in 2019 when he was with the St. Louis Cardinals. |
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04-26-23 | Lakers +4.5 v. Grizzlies | 99-116 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Grizzlies might be at home but the Lakers have already shown that they can muster up a performance strong enough to win on the road. Add in Lebron and Anthony Davis dominating on both ends and it's asking far too much of the Grizzlies to match that expected output. Morant is elite but without a ton of help in the scoring department, it's difficult to see an avenue where they keep pace with the Lakers. Add in injuries to the frontcourt and it's clear they are missing that advantage on the offensive and defensive glass. Additionally, according to covers.com, the Lakers are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between these two teams. |
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04-26-23 | Marlins v. Braves -155 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Alcantara (1-2, 5.47 ERA) will be matched up against Atlanta's Bryce Elder (2-0, 1.14) in the third game of a four-game series. The Braves won the first two games, 11-0 and 7-4. Alcantara missed his last scheduled start, on Saturday against the Cleveland Guardians, due to biceps tendinitis. Alcantara has been roughed up in the early portion of the season aside from the shutout he threw on April 4 against the Minnesota Twins. Over his two most recent starts, he allowed 14 runs (12 earned) in 10 innings. He gave up five runs (three earned) in his latest outing, on April 16 against the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks, but had a season-high nine strikeouts. Elder has pitched at least 5 1/3 innings in each of his four starts this year, and he held the opposition without an earned run three times. He hasn’t given up a run in two home starts and gave up only five runs in his last three starts against the Marlins. |
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04-26-23 | Mariners v. Phillies +114 | 5-6 | Win | 114 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This has the makings of what should be a solid pitching matchup. Gilbert has faced Philadelphia just one time, giving up four earned runs in 5.0 innings back in May of last year. Walker has never faced Seattle, so there is just a limited amount of history to make a prediction of how the starters will perform. However, both have looked good this season and are getting solid performances from their bullpens of late which should keep their teams in the game. The big advantage for Philadelphia is that they have been much better offensively of late, and they are starting to drive the ball better. While the Phillies have hit only 26 home runs this season, they have hit 14 over their last 10 games. That will prove to be the one edge they need to earn a narrow victory in this contest. |
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04-25-23 | Clippers v. Suns -12 | 130-136 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units What exactly do the Clippers have left to play for? With Kawhi Leonard out and Paul George still sidelined, LA doesn't have a fighter's chance of advancing. The motivation to keep the score respectable isn't there, even in a closeout game. Russell Westbrook's hustle will go unappreciated if he's asked to carry too much of the offensive load, which isn't his forte. Phoenix has been on its A-game since dropping game one, beating Los Angeles inside-out. In game four, the Suns scored 48 points in the paint and outrebounded the Clippers 49-33 with 14 offensive rebounds. They also hit 9 of 22 shots from three (40.9%). While this is a large spread, I believe it's just. The Clippers, 5-23 ATS in their last 28 games playing on two days of rest, aren't suited for a battle in the valley on Tuesday. If this game's even close for more than a quarter, I'll be surprised. The Suns have the killer instinct required to put away a down and desperate Clippers team. |
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04-25-23 | Wolves +10 v. Nuggets | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota won't win this game but this series has shown that they'll at least be able to keep thing interesting and close in this game four showdown. The big men on Minnesota have had their way the last few games and their ability to improve this group's rebounding on both ends is sure to help. Anthony Edwards is the top scorer in this game and his ability to be explosive gives them another dimension towards keeping things close. Additionally, according to covers.com, the Timberwolves are 29-7 ATS in the last 33 meetings in Denver. |
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04-25-23 | Tigers v. Brewers -165 | 4-3 | Loss | -165 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee's starter today, left-hander Eric Lauer, is coming off his two best outings of the young season. Lauer (3-1, 4.30 ERA) held the San Diego Padres to one run and five hits in six innings on April 14, then limited the Seattle Mariners to two runs and four hits in 7 2/3 innings on Wednesday. Lauer isn't a hard thrower by major league standards. His fastball topped out at just over 91 mph his latest start, but he used his cutter effectively. He will be opposed by right-hander Spencer Turnbull (1-3, 7.85 ERA). In his latest outing on Wednesday, Turnbull gave up three runs and three hits while walking three in 5 1/3 innings against the Cleveland Guardians. |
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04-25-23 | Yankees v. Twins -120 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Twins have lost three of their last five games, but they’ve won five of their last nine home games. They struggled offensively in recent games, scoring only nine runs in their last three games, but they will play well in this game because they hit the ball well against right-handers and they hammered Brito in Yankee Stadium less than two weeks ago, scoring seven runs in less than one inning against him. With New York’s bullpen also struggling in recent games, they will have a hard time slowing down the Twins in this game. The Yankees have lost two of their last three games. They struggled offensively during that stretch, scoring only five runs. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because Gray has been dominant on the mound for the Twins, giving up only two runs in four starts. |
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04-25-23 | Islanders v. Hurricanes -150 | 3-2 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Islanders are looking to keep their season alive but the Hurricanes have controlled this series and winning nine of their last 10 home playoff games, they look to control this game from the first period. The Hurricanes look to build off a five-goal game and constantly find the back of the net with Sebastian Aho, Seth Jarvis, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with cross-ice passes and great puck movement while defensemen Brent Burns and Jaccob Slavin generate shots on the net from the blue line. The Hurricanes, who have only allowed 11 goals in this series, should also limit the Islanders' offense with Burns, Slavin, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shooting lanes, allowing goaltender Antti Raanta to make plenty of big saves to close out the game. The Hurricanes should win Game Five to advance to the next round with a strong performance at home. |
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04-25-23 | Rangers -144 v. Reds | 6-7 | Loss | -144 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cincinnati looks to take the three-game series on Tuesday behind Luke Weaver (0-1, 6.00 ERA). The right-hander got off to a rough start in his Reds debut last Thursday against the Pittsburgh Pirates after missing the first three weeks of the season with a right elbow flexor strain. Weaver allowed four first-inning runs before following with five shutout innings in a 4-3 loss. He finished with eight strikeouts against two walks and four hits. Texas, which is coming off just its second loss in its past eight games, will turn to left-hander Martin Perez (3-1, 3.38). He allowed three runs on eight hits with three strikeouts and no walks over 5 2/3 innings in a 12-3 win over the host Kansas City Royals last Wednesday. Perez will pitch against the Reds for the first time in nearly a decade and for just the second time in his 12-year major league career. Perez threw 6 2/3 shutout innings, allowing just six hits with three strikeouts and a walk, in a 4-0 win in June 2013. The Rangers are averaging 8.75 runs per game over their past eight contests. |
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04-24-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -190 | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lakers are excelling on defense in this series, anchored by Davis. Los Angeles is giving up only 106.0 points per 100 possessions to Memphis through three games, and the Lakers lead the playoffs with 8.7 blocked shots per game. The Lakers are also securing almost 73% of available defensive rebounds and yielding only 19.0 free throw attempts per game. Los Angeles is allowing 42.4% shooting from the field and 33.3% from 3-point range, and the Lakers have been operating at a high level on defense for an extended period. Los Angeles was a top-five defensive team in the NBA after the All-Star break, giving up only 1.11 points per possession, and the Lakers led the league in free throw prevention (20.8 attempts per game) during the regular season. In addition, the Lakers finished No. 2 in the NBA in 3-point defense (34.4%) in 2022-23, with top-10 marks in defensive rebound rate (72.3%) and field goal percentage allowed (46.9%) for the season. |
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04-24-23 | Tigers v. Brewers -152 | 4-2 | Loss | -152 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Milwaukee Brewers will be out to remain the only team in the majors that has not lost consecutive games this season when they host the Detroit Tigers today in the opener of a three-game series. Right-hander Colin Rea (0-0, 4.22 ERA), summoned from Triple-A Nashville after Brandon Woodruff went on the injured list, makes his third start for Milwaukee, while left-hander Matthew Boyd (0-1, 4.50) gets the nod for Detroit. Brewers are facing a team that has put up six runs in their last five games. The Tigers are also the lowest-scoring team in the majors. Milwaukee is top-10 in pitching and offense right now, something that should be on full display against a lackluster Detroit team. |
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04-24-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning +102 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Maple Leafs look to take a 3-1 lead back to Toronto but the Lightning look to step up on their home ice and control Game Four. The Lightning should constantly find the back of the net with Nikita Kucherov, Corey Perry, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes to the face-off circles and the slot. The Lightning look to bounce back after allowing four goals in their last game and limit the Maple Leafs' offense with Victor Hedman and Mikhail Sergachev creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy to make plenty of big saves. The Lightning should win Game Four to even up the series with a strong win at home. |
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04-24-23 | White Sox v. Blue Jays -155 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both pitchers have had their struggles this season but Bassitt’s real issues came in his first start of the year. He’s pitched well in his last three starts, turning in a sub-two ERA, and is coming off a stellar outing in Toronto’s win over Houston. Meanwhile, Lynn has been roughed up repeatedly this season, posting an ERA north of nine in his last three starts, and was tagged by Philadelphia in his previous outing. The White Sox entered Sunday losers of eight of their 12 road games on the season. Those numbers don’t bode well for the Pale Hose and with Bassitt pitching well, coupled with the depth in the Blue Jays’ lineup, you have to lean toward the hosts in this contest. |
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04-24-23 | Rangers -108 v. Reds | 6-7 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The high-octane Rangers recorded their 10th win in 13 outings with a 5-2 victory over the Oakland Athletics on Sunday. Texas is no stranger to lighting up the scoreboard, with the team's loud bats going a long way toward providing great comfort to the club's pitching staff. Conversely, the ice-cold Reds have lost six in a row following Sunday's 2-0 setback to the Pittsburgh Pirates. They mustered just four hits en route to being shut out for the third time during that stretch. Texas right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (2-2, 5.40 ERA) snapped a two-start losing skid by tossing six strong innings in a 12-2 victory over the Kansas City Royals last Tuesday. He allowed two runs on seven hits while striking out five in that outing. Eovaldi, 33, is 1-0 with a 0.60 ERA in two career appearances (both starts) versus the Reds. He will be opposed by Cincinnati left-hander Nick Lodolo (2-1, 4.98), who is looking to turn the corner following a disastrous outing in his last trip to the mound. Lodolo, 25, yielded eight runs on 12 hits -- including three homers -- in 4 2/3 innings in a 10-0 shellacking by the high-powered Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday. |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves +4 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The big game for Denver was game 3 to essentially put the Timberwolves away. Since an 0-3 deficit is virtually a death knell for a team, Denver may take the foot off the gas a bit here while Minnesota will be focused on not being swept and getting at least one win. Make no mistake Denver will end this in 5 back in Denver, but Minnesota finds a way to win here at home on Sunday night. Also, the Timberwolves are 18-8 against the spread in their last 26 Sunday games. Take the Timberwolves here getting the points. |
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04-23-23 | Oilers -154 v. Kings | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings are looking to win on their home ice but the Oilers look to even up the series and control this game from the first period. The Oilers, who averaged 3.96 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Oilers, who have only allowed nine goals in the series, should limit the Kings' offense with Darnell Nurse, Cody Ceci, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Stuart Skinner to make plenty of big saves. The Oilers should win Game Four with a strong performance on the road to even up the series. |
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04-23-23 | Mets -106 v. Giants | 4-5 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With right-hander Tylor Megill (3-1, 3.00 ERA) slated to start the series finale for the Mets, the Giants could elect to activate Joc Pederson (sprained right wrist) from the injured list. San Francisco already saw the return of former Met Michael Conforto (tight left calf) earlier in the series. Megill won each of his first three starts, limiting the Miami Marlins (twice) and San Diego Padres to a total of four runs on 12 hits in 16 innings. The visitors will test their mettle on Sunday against Giants right-hander Ross Stripling (0-1, 7.30), who will be making his second start of the season. Stripling was in the Giants' opening rotation, albeit for only for one start -- a 6-0 loss to the New York Yankees in which he allowed four runs in five innings. He since has made three relief appearances, serving up six runs in 7 1/3 innings. The 33-year-old has made just one previous start against the Mets. He's 0-0 with a 3.52 ERA in three career appearances against them. |
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04-23-23 | Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a great opportunity to lean heavily on a Celtics team that has a huge talent edge over the Hawks. Boston spent far too much of game three trying to outscore the Hawks rather than dig in defensively. Atlanta dominated the glass against what appeared to be a disinterested Boston front line. Boston failed to record a blocked shot for the first time in the series and the league's fifth-best defensive unit allowed Atlanta to shoot 56%. Look for Boston to make the necessary adjustments in game four to gain back control against an Atlanta team that was given free rein to drive to the basket for easy buckets in game three. I expect to see a heavy dose of Celtics defense in game three and a comfortable Boston win. |
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04-23-23 | Red Sox v. Brewers -161 | 12-5 | Loss | -161 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Milwaukee Brewers hope to see a healthy Corbin Burnes on the mound Sunday when they play the rubber match of a three-game series against the visiting Boston Red Sox. Burnes (2-1, 4.76 ERA) left his most recent start Monday at Seattle in the sixth inning with a left pectoral strain. The right-hander reported no issues following his bullpen session on Friday, however. Right-hander Brayan Bello (0-1, 16.88) will make his second start for Boston since coming off the injured list. Burnes got the victory in his start against the Mariners, allowing two runs on three hits in 5 1/3 innings before exiting with the injury. In his previous start, he gave up just three hits over eight scoreless innings in a 7-1 win at the Arizona Diamondbacks on April 11. Opponents are batting .207 this season against Burnes, who has yet to face the Red Sox in his career. Bello, who posted a 2-8 record with a 4.71 ERA last season as a rookie, will make his second start after coming off the injured list. He was tagged for five runs on eight hits in 2 2/3 innings in his first outing on Monday, leaving following a rain delay in a 5-4 loss to the Los Angeles Angels. |
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04-23-23 | Blue Jays -132 v. Yankees | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After battling against the Yankee ace Saturday, I see the Blue Jays hitting Yankee starter Clarke Schmidt early and often Sunday. Schmidt is yet to make it past four innings in a start, and has allowed at least three runs in each outing. Runs will be harder to come by for the New York offense against Kevin Gausman. Gausman has been the opposing pitcher at Yankee Stadium 14 times in his career. Although he took some lumps earlier in his career with the Orioles, he posted a 1.42 ERA in two starts in New York last season. Gausman also is 9-5 with a 2.52 ERA in his last 19 road starts dating back to last season. |
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04-22-23 | Avalanche -140 v. Seattle Kraken | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kraken host the first-ever playoff game, and the atmosphere in Climate Pledge Arena will be electric. However, the Avs are used to a hostile environment, so I’m looking for the defending champions to step up and get the home-ice advantage back. Colorado has played exceptionally well over the last few weeks. The Avs have won 16 of their final 19 games in the regular season and are undefeated in 11 consecutive showings on the road. Their defense has improved a lot lately, so I’m looking for the Avalanche to slow down the Kraken, whose 5-on-5 offense has been outstanding all season. |
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04-22-23 | Padres -140 v. Diamondbacks | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Musgrove will be making his first start of 2023 and will likely be on a pitch count. However, Musgrove will be turning the game over to the fifth-best bullpen ERA in the middle to late innings. Kelly, on the other hand, will turn the game over to the third-worst bullpen ERA in the later innings. Keep an eye on Kelly's ability to throw strikes with the right-hander averaging three walks per outing. San Diego is 13th in baseball with nearly four walks per game and will certainly try to make Kelly work. The Padres now possess arguably the best lineup in baseball with all-stars Tatis, Juan Soto, Manny Machado and Xander Bogaerts highlighting a dominant top half of the lineup. The Diamondbacks have lost two straight games heading into game two of this series while the Padres have won two straight. The Padres have now won four straight games in Arizona heading into Friday night. Look for the Padres to gain more ground in their chase to the top with a win here. |
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04-22-23 | Dodgers -128 v. Cubs | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dodgers' starter Dustin May has not pitched a whole lot due to injuries but has great stuff. He has accrued a 3.22 career ERA and a 1.06 career WHIP and has conceded two or fewer runs in three of his four starts on the season. He has great command as well and will issue very few walks. Cubs’ starter Hayden Wesneski is still learning what it takes to be an effective big league starter. The rookie surrendered eight runs in his first two outings spanning only six innings which occurred against the Reds and Mariners. While he silenced the Athletics last time out, they have the worst lineup in baseball. I expect the Dodgers' veteran lineup to get to the rookie. |
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04-22-23 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -162 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Yankees are trying to avoid their first series loss after Toronto recorded a 6-1 victory on Friday. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit a two-run homer in the first inning and Brandon Belt later added a two-run homer and a two-run double. Cole (4-0, 0.95 ERA) heads into today as the first pitcher in team history to record at least 30 strikeouts with a sub-1.00 ERA through his first four outings since earned runs were first recorded in 1913. He notched 10 strikeouts on Sunday when he threw a 108-pitch two-hitter in a 2-0 home win over the Minnesota Twins for his 23rd double-digit strikeout game as a Yankee, tying Ron Guidry's team record. Cole also has yet to allow a homer after leading the AL with 33 yielded last year, when he also racked up a major-league-best 257 strikeouts. Toronto starter, Manoah (1-1, 6.98 ERA) has been tagged for 15 runs while allowing four homers and 15 walks in 19 1/3 innings. Manoah has struggled to get deep into games and that means the Yankees will get a good look at a Blue Jays' bullpen that has an ERA of 4.20 to start the season. |
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04-22-23 | 76ers -125 v. Nets | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nets blew their best opportunity to make a series of things as they had the 76ers on the ropes only to let it slip away. After all, Embiid was floundering, Harden was ejected and they led by six after three quarters before falling apart. That 11-1 game-ending run that Brooklyn gave up was the continuation of a trend that we saw all too often in the regular season from the Nets. Philadelphia showed their grit with their tough play down the stretch as Maxey willed them to rally down the stretch, scoring 10 of his points in the fourth quarter. That loss has to deflate the Nets a bit and it’s impossible to back a team that is 0-7 against their opponent this season. Give this one to the 76ers as they close out the series and advance to the second round. |
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04-21-23 | Nuggets -130 v. Wolves | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nuggets have won three straight games and four of their last five games against the Timberwolves. They are playing well offensively, scoring more than 113 points per game in their last three games while making 50 percent of their shots. They rebounded the ball aggressively during that span and averaged more than 11 offensive boards per game, so expect them to get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities. The Timberwolves have struggled defensively this season and they’re giving up more than 114 points per game at home, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Nuggets in this game. The Timberwolves have lost three of their last four games. They struggled offensively during that stretch, scoring less than 105 points per game. Their rebounding also dropped off, so don’t expect them to get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities against the Nuggets. They’ve also been careless with the ball at home, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Nuggets, who average more than seven steals per game. The Nuggets are playing very well defensively, holding opponents under 100 points per game in their last three games, and won’t have trouble keeping Minnesota’s offense in check. Go with Denver to cover the spread. |
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04-21-23 | Cavs v. Knicks -115 | 79-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New York Knicks are led by Tom Thibodeau, who has a career 26-37 playoff record. Although the record may not seem overly impressive, that's 63 games of playoff experience and eight appearances under his belt. On the other side, the playoffs are still relatively fresh territory for Cleveland Cavaliers head coach JB Bickerstaff. Bickerstaff's only other head coaching playoff experience was in 2016, when his Houston Rockets lost to the Warriors in five games in the first round. Bickerstaff lost two play-in tournament games last season with the Cavs and overall is 0-3 in road playoff games in his career. Donovan Mitchell has playoff experience, but this will still be a tough spot for young Cavs teams entering Madison Square Garden. Cleveland was 3-13 straight up as a road underdog this season, and I don't see that translating over well in their first road playoff test here. |
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04-21-23 | Red Sox v. Brewers -159 | 5-3 | Loss | -159 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Boston starting pitcher Nick Pivetta gave up six runs on five hits in four innings with three walks and served up one home run when facing the Los Angeles Angels last Saturday. Pivetta has allowed three runs or more in two of his three starts. Boston will play without Adam Duvall who, before being injured, was leading Boston with four home runs and 14 RBIs through the first eight games. Milwaukee starter Freddy Peralta is coming off a poor outing but prior to that had two strong outings in which the right hander allowed only one run on six hits through 12 innings. Milwaukee's pitching staff has the third best team ERA, the 5th best WHIP and is holding opposing hitters to the fifth lowest batting average. Boston has lost each of its last four interleague games and the Red Sox have lost 35 of the last 51 played on the road. |
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04-21-23 | Astros v. Braves -110 | 6-4 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Pitching and defense were especially strong in the series against the Padres, in which the Braves gave up a combined two runs in three games. Right-hander Bryce Elder (2-0, 1.53 ERA) gets the start on Friday, looking to continue Atlanta's excellent pitching into the homestand. Elder has struck out 17 in 17 2/3 innings over three starts thus far in 2023. Friday's contest is Elder's first against the Astros in his career. The series also is the first meeting between the winners of the last two World Series since Atlanta took two of three games at home last August. Elder is also facing a Houston offense that's not as dangerous as Atlanta's, even ignoring any inconsistency. Maybe if Jose Altuve or Michael Brantley were playing for the Astros I'd consider differently, but neither player is healthy. |
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04-21-23 | Hurricanes +112 v. Islanders | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Islanders are desperate to come back in this series but the Hurricanes have had their number and I see them once again stepping up and controlling Game Three. The Hurricanes look to build off a four-goal game and constantly find the back of the net with Sebastian Aho, Martin Necas, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes while defensemen Brent Burns and Jaccob Slavin generate shots on the net from the blue line. The Hurricanes, who allowed only 2.56 goals per game this year, should continue to limit the Islanders' offense with Brent Burns, Jaccob Slavin, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shooting lanes, allowing goaltender Antti Raanta to make plenty of big saves. The Hurricanes should win Game Three to take a commanding 3-0 series lead. |
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04-21-23 | Dodgers -168 v. Cubs | 0-13 | Loss | -168 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Los Angeles Dodgers always have a great chance to win when Julio Urias is on the hill. They have won three of the four games that the ace has started this season. He has been on his game, limiting his opponent to two or fewer runs in all four performances. The Dodgers have won 21 of the last 24 games started by Urias. Cubs’ starter Drew Smyly has not been effective. The veteran has conceded 15 runs in his 9.1 innings of work. He has recorded a poor 4.66 ERA in his career against LA. He does not strike out many betters and has a FIP of 4.69 on the season which suggests his 4.70 ERA is justified. |
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04-20-23 | Suns -150 v. Clippers | 129-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Suns swept a pair of road games against the Clippers this season and they'll grab the win in this one as well. Injuries will be the difference between the two sides, especially as the Clippers continue to be without George. The Suns core continues to get more and more time together and considering they have two of the most electric scorers in the league at their disposal, that is likely to help them lead the way. Add in plenty of length on the perimeter and size in the frontcourt, and there isn't much reason to think that they can't dominate both ends. Additionally, according to covers.com, the Suns are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the two in LA and are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings overall. |
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04-20-23 | Jets v. Golden Knights -156 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Golden Knights can only play better than they did in Game 1. Vegas swept a three-game regular-season set against Winnipeg (5-2, 2-1 in OT, and 6-5), so I’m expecting the Golden Knights to bounce back and tie the playoff series against the Jets. Winnipeg leans on its defense and Connor Hellebuyck, who’s one of the best goaltenders in the NHL. However, their offense is far away from an elite level, and I don’t trust the Jets despite that five-goal performance in the opener. The Golden Knights will be way more aggressive in Game 2. They have a lot of experienced players who’ll know how to deal with huge pressure, as avoiding a two-game hole is a must for Vegas. |
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04-20-23 | Kings +6 v. Warriors | 97-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Draymond Green just can't keep his emotions in check and that has cost the Warriors throughout his career, as he has been absent before from big games like this one because of his actions on the court. I think the Warriors will hold on here for the win, just because I have complete faith in Steph Curry to not let his team down. Plus, the Warriors are like night and day when playing at home and on the road. They are great at home and awful on the road. The home crowd here will push them to a win, but the scrappy Kings will cover. Take Sacramento getting the points. |
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04-20-23 | Mets -123 v. Giants | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New York enters this contest rolling, while San Francisco finally ended a four-game losing streak. The Giants got a sensational performance out of the bullpen, but they have been rather mediocre through the first few weeks of the season. This is one area where New York has a significant advantage. The starting pitchers should give New York a slight edge, but it is in the bullpen where the Mets will close out this game. San Francisco has the better power production, but they have struggled to produce runs over their last five, averaging 3.71 per game. New York is just slightly better than that number over the last five (3.91), but one can understand the struggles when they were facing the Dodgers in Los Angeles for three games and, yet, they still scored 13 runs in those three games. Right now, New York clearly looks like the better team, and it makes sense to go with them in this contest. |
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04-20-23 | Reds v. Pirates -155 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pirates, who host the Reds for four games starting today, have won 11 of 16 since that opening set, including sweeps at Boston and Colorado. Cincinnati, meanwhile, has lost 10 of 15 and hasn't won a series since. The Pirates just completed that second sweep, winning all three against the Rockies in Denver, including a 14-3 win Wednesday. They outscored Colorado by a whopping 33-9. They have won four of their past five overall. In fact, Pittsburgh has not lost two straight games since dropping the final two games of that opening series against Cincinnati. Pirates starters have gone at least six innings and turned in a quality start in nine games in a row. In the series opener today, Cincinnati right-hander Luke Weaver is scheduled to make his season debut against Pittsburgh right-hander Roansy Contreras (1-1, 6.00 ERA). In his third start of the year, Contreras got a no-decision Saturday in St. Louis, giving up two runs in six innings. Contreras did not face Cincinnati in the earlier series but is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three career starts against the Reds, all in 2022. |
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04-20-23 | Twins v. Red Sox -111 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Kenta Maeda (0-2, 4.09 ERA) is scheduled to start on the mound for Minnesota today. The Red Sox will counter with right-hander Tanner Houck (2-0, 4.50 ERA). Maeda exited his first start of the season due to arm fatigue, and then allowed eight hits and four runs in six innings during latest outing, on April 10 against the Chicago White Sox. Maeda skipped his next turn in the rotation and will enter the Thursday game with extra rest. He is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA in two career starts against the Red Sox. Houck won his first two starts of the year, then gave up two runs on four hits in four innings against the Los Angeles Angels during a no-decision on Friday. Houck has a 1-0 record with a 2.61 ERA two career starts vs. the Twins. In his most recent meeting with Minnesota, he threw 5 2/3 scoreless innings en route to a victory on April 16, 2022. |
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04-19-23 | Heat v. Bucks -6 | 122-138 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With all eyes glued to the status of Giannis, it's actually the injury woes for Miami that will make this game fall in Milwaukee's favor. The Heat will be without their top perimeter threat in Herro and could be without one of their most experienced backcourt pieces in Lowry. For the Bucks, the supporting cast isn't going to be a shocked in Wednesday's showdown to have carry much more of workload, though if Giannis can go, that'll only increase their likelihood to win with ease anyway. The Bucks were one of the best teams in the league at home, while Miami was one of the worst road teams of the playoff teams, which will further ensure things swing back into Milwaukee's favor in this one. |
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04-19-23 | Blue Jays +105 v. Astros | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Luis Garcia (0-2, 7.71) will start the series finale for Houston. Despite recording a season-high seven strikeouts against the Texas Rangers on Friday in his most recent outing, Garcia was the pitcher of record in the Astros' 6-2 loss after allowing five runs on six hits and two walks over five innings. He has yet to log more than 15 outs in a start this season. Garcia is 1-1 with a 4.00 ERA over three career starts against the Blue Jays. He went 0-1 with a 5.25 ERA in two outings against Toronto last season, including a home start on April 24 during which he allowed five runs on five hits and one walk with six strikeouts over six innings but did not factor into the decision of the Astros' 8-7 victory. The Astros' lineup still is trying to find its foothold without Altuve at the top of the order. Toronto played very well against Houston last season, sporting a 4-2 record against the World Champs. |
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04-19-23 | Islanders v. Hurricanes -168 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New York Islanders were not particularly threatening late in the season when they were battling for their playoff lives. They went 3-3 in their last six games and did not clinch until the last regular season game. The Carolina Hurricanes were in first place for a good portion of the season. They have a lot more firepower than the Isles. NYI only managed 25 shots in game one on Monday. The Hurricanes have dominated the Islanders all season. They have won each of the last four meetings against the division rivals including Monday's win, outscoring them 12-4 in that span. New York did not have much offensive zone time in game one and isn’t going to win if they can’t manage more than 25 shots on net. |
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04-19-23 | Mets -122 v. Dodgers | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It's difficult to bet against Max Scherzer ever, especially not in a park where he's had extensive success pitching in. Noah Syndergaard is by no means a bad pitcher, but he hasn't been sharp in the past two starts, which he'll need to be to duel with Scherzer. Both offenses are capable of scoring in bunches, as evidenced by last year, this year, and game one of this series. When it comes to pitching in this game, the Mets have the better starter and the bullpen that's been more reliable. The Mets should take this game. |
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04-19-23 | Rangers +101 v. Royals | 12-3 | Win | 101 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Texas deluged Kansas City with five runs in the sixth inning and another four in the eighth en route to a 12-2 win on Tuesday. The rout improved the Rangers to 4-1 against the Royals on the season and marked Kansas City's eighth loss in its last nine outings. A win today gives Texas its first sweep since opening the season with three wins over reigning National League champion Philadelphia. Left-hander Martin Perez (2-1, 2.87 ERA) takes the mound for Texas on Wednesday. Perez scored the win his last time out, striking out four and giving up two earned runs on five hits and four walks in the Rangers' 6-2 win at Houston on Friday. Perez has a 5-1 record in 12 appearances against Kansas City dating back to 2013. He has posted four straight victories against the Royals, including in each of his last two starts at Kauffman Stadium -- the most recent a six-inning performance with six strikeouts, seven hits and four earned runs last June 27. Right-hander Brady Singer (1-1, 7.88) starts for the Royals. After an impressive first start to the season (one earned run on two hits with three strikeouts and three walks over five innings in an April 3 win against Toronto), Singer has struggled in his last two appearances. Singer gave up eight hits and five earned runs over six innings April 8 at San Francisco, then took the loss on Friday with 10 hits and eight earned runs surrendered to Atlanta over five innings. Singer is 0-2 all-time against Texas, with both starts coming in 2021. |
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04-18-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Avalanche -185 | 3-1 | Loss | -185 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The road team won each of the three meetings between the teams this season but that was in the regular season. There is a vast gulf between the teams when it comes to postseason experience, especially when you consider that the Avalanche are the defending champs. Sure, Colorado will miss Gabriel Landeskog, who was ruled out for the postseason recently, but they have plenty of other weapons to work with offensively. After all, this is a team that came back from 14 points down in the standings in mid-January to win the Central Division crown. Grubauer has had postseason success in his career but the majority of that came with the Avalanche. It’s safe to say that if any team knows the strengths and weaknesses of a goaltender, it’s his former teammates. The Kraken will hang around but the talent plus experience factors are clearly point to the Avalanche as they take the opener of this series. |
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04-18-23 | Brewers v. Mariners -149 | 6-5 | Loss | -149 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These two teams have headed in opposite directions since the Padres took three of four in Atlanta April 6-9. The Braves have won six straight since that rough series, while the Padres have dropped five of seven games since that point. Snell has struggled this season and has continued to have problems with his control. Meanwhile, Strider has been striking out hitters at a prodigious rate and if he can be a bit more efficient as far as pitch count goes, he’ll be even more dangerous as the season goes forward. Right now, the Braves are hitting while the Padres are struggling at the dish despite their star-laden lineup. Strider doesn’t make it any easier for San Diego and that gives Atlanta the upper hand in this contest as they earn the win. |
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04-18-23 | Cubs -162 v. A's | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While the Oakland offense has been getting better and they got much better pitching in the final two games against the Mets over the weekend, they have a real challenge in Stroman. The right-hander is 1-1 with a 4.21 ERA in six appearances against Oakland, but all of that damage was done against him during his time with Toronto, and he looked great against Oakland in his final two outings, both in 2019 when he allowed one run in 15.0 combined innings. Waldichuk looked “better” in his last outing, but how could he not? He had been crushed through his first two outings of the year, and he is facing a Cubs team that is not lighting up the offense. However, he has his work cut out for him facing Stroman, so Chicago will win this game easily. |
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04-18-23 | Blue Jays v. Astros -108 | 4-2 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Jose Urquidy (1-0, 2.35 ERA) is the scheduled starter for the Astros on Tuesday. He tossed six scoreless innings in a 7-0 victory over the Pirates on Wednesday, allowing two hits and three walks while recording two strikeouts. Urquidy is 2-1 with a 5.73 ERA over four career starts against the Blue Jays. He finished 1-0 with a 5.06 ERA in two appearances against Toronto last season. In a home start against the Blue Jays last April 23, he allowed two runs on six hits and one walk with three strikeouts over 5 2/3 innings. He finished with a no-decision in the Astros' 3-2 loss. Six days later, Urquidy got the win as Houston prevailed 11-7. He gave up four runs on seven hits in five innings, with one walk and six strikeouts. Right-hander Chris Bassitt (1-2, 7.63 ERA) has the starting assignment for Toronto on Tuesday. He is coming off a loss his last time out, although it was his best outing of the season. On Thursday, he surrendered two runs on four hits and three walks with seven strikeouts over six innings in a 3-1 setback to the visiting Detroit Tigers. It marked the first start of his three this season in which he didn't give up a home run. Bassitt is 3-3 with a 4.30 ERA over 11 career appearances (10 starts) against the Astros. |
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04-18-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -152 | 7-3 | Loss | -152 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lightning look to steal a game on the road but the Maple Leafs look to make a statement in Game One and control this game on their home ice. The Maple Leafs, who average 3.39 goals per game, should constantly find the back of the net with Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Maple Leafs, who allow only 2.68 goals per game, should limit the Lightning offense with Mark Giordano, Justin Holl, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shooting lanes, allowing goaltender Ilya Samsonos to make plenty of big saves. The Maple Leafs should win Game One with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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04-18-23 | Knicks +6 v. Cavs | 90-107 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With how New York has performed this season in this matchup, there's no reason to think that they won't at least keep things competitive in this one. Their balance in the frontcourt and backcourt is crucial, especially when compared to Cleveland's struggles last game. New York's depth seems to be an advantage but having to win two games in a row overall might be too much to ask. Expect the Knicks to focus on the defensive end and slowing the game down, which might not serve them well in the result but will allow them to stay right within striking distance as the game comes to a close. Additionally, according to covers.com, the Knicks are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS win, while also sitting 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings with Cleveland overall and 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings in Cleveland. |
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04-18-23 | Hawks v. Celtics -10 | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Until they got sloppy in the second half, the Celtics' offense was able to get whatever they wanted. Brown and Tatum's drives to the basket went unchallenged and the Celtics consistently found themselves with open looks from long range. Atlanta's inability to consistently shoot the three will ultimately do them in against a Celtics team that shoots the 3pt shot at the second-highest rate in the NBA. The Hawks, for their part, shoot the highest percentage of two-point shots in the NBA. Unfortunately for Atlanta, Boston's Al Horford, and Rob Williams III consistently met players at the rim and altered their shots on Saturday. The pair combined for three of Boston's seven shot blocks in the game. Look for Boston to establish both Brown and Tatum going to the basket, which will again open up their shooting from long range. |
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04-17-23 | Wild v. Stars -138 | 3-2 | Loss | -138 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wild stumbled down the stretch, posting a 2-3-2 mark in the final 7 games. That might not seem like a big deal, but Minnesota was in the mix for the Central Division until the final few games. Instead of winning the division, it not only didn’t finish 1st, it fell to 3rd, losing home-ice advantage in this opening series. The Stars missed out on the Central Division title by a single point. Dallas won each of its final 4 regular-season games, while going 7-3 in the final 10 games against winning teams. The Stars won 6 in a row to close out the season, too. These teams split the 4 regular-season meetings, with the home team winning the final 2 battles. |
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04-17-23 | Pirates v. Rockies -135 | 14-3 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Rich Hill (0-2, 7.20 ERA) will take the mound against Colorado's Kyle Freeland (2-0, 0.96). Hill is 1-4 with a 5.68 ERA in seven career starts against Colorado, with his only win coming at Coors Field on Sept. 9, 2018, when he was with the Los Angeles Dodgers. It was his last start against the Rockies. Pittsburgh has been struggling to score runs without Cruz in the lineup. With him in the lineup, the Pirates averaged 4.7 runs a game, but have posted an average of just 3.4 since he's been out. The challenge is replacing Cruz's bat atop the order. Ke'Bryan Hayes and Ji Hwan Bae have platooned at leadoff for the past week. Freeland has looked like he did in 2018 when he finished fourth in National League Cy Young Award voting. He started this season by not allowing a run in his first 13 innings and left his last start with a lead before St. Louis rallied to win. Freeland is making his eighth career start against the Pirates and is 3-2 with a 3.75 ERA in his previous outings against them. Freeland has learned from his struggles the past few seasons as he tries to recapture the form that saw him go 17-7 with a 2.85 ERA in 2018. |
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04-17-23 | Nets v. 76ers -10 | 84-96 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nets simply don't have the star power to keep up with this 76ers team, especially not on the road. They have some fantastic players, but nobody on that team is going to take over a game the way that Joel Embiid or James Harden can. Playing on the road against a 76ers team that's superb at home, the Nets don't stand a chance. We've seen them fall to Philly five times already between the regular season and game one, and this game should go the same way. The 76ers control the game and take a 2-0 lead in the series. |
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04-17-23 | Giants v. Marlins -117 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The San Francisco Giants have not looked good early this season. They only have one series win all season and have lost six of their last eight games after a series loss in Detroit. The Miami Marlins are playing well, collecting the victory in four of their last five games. Giants’ starter Logan Webb has not been effective. The right-hander has surrendered four runs in two of his three outings including four home runs in that span. This is not ideal considering the Giants are also having problems with the bullpen. They stand 27th with a poor 6.08 ERA. Marlins’ starter Jesus Luzardo has been outstanding, conceding only four runs in 18.2 innings pitched on the season, good for a minuscule 1.93 ERA. |
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04-17-23 | Rays -137 v. Reds | 1-8 | Loss | -137 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Reds, who have lost five of their last seven, will be looking to rebound from their worst loss of the season, a 14-3 thrashing at the hands of the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday. The Reds surrendered 23 hits and had their starting third baseman Spencer Steer leave in the ninth inning holding his side after diving for a ground ball. Tampa just rocked All-Star Alex Manoah, and bring their powerful bats to the most home run-happy venue in MLB, Great American Ball Park. The Rays' offense should feast this series, and their pitching staff is too good to allow Cincinnati to string hits together. The Reds haven't proven they can consistently take pitchers out of the park. Expect the Rays to jump on Hunter Greene, who has been shaky in 2023, and take this game comfortably. |
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04-16-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets -7.5 | 80-109 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota has at least sharpened their edge as they have played twice since the end of the regular season. That is a double-edged sword as it has helped keep the rust off but it has added extra wear and tear to key players in the rotation. Denver was on cruise control over the final month or so of the season as they held the advantage for both the Northwest Division and the top spot in the Western Conference. That gave the Nuggets the ability to rest some of their key players, like two-time reigning MVP Jokic, and prepare for the postseason run. Denver was a sparkling 34-7 at home this season while the Timberwolves were 20-21 as the road team on the year. Give the Nuggets the upper hand in this contest as the rest factor works in their favor. |
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04-16-23 | Heat v. Bucks -9 | 130-117 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It will be interesting to see how the Heat chooses to defend Antetonkoumnpo. They could defend him with Adebayo but that might force the team's best rebounder to the bench with foul trouble. Butler, arguably the Heat's best defender, doesn't have the length to cover the Greek Freak and I'm not sure Spoelstra will want to wear out his best offensive player by covering Antetonkoumnpo all night. With that in mind, I like the Bucks to dominate the first game. Milwaukee exposed the Heat's other defenders this season on the perimeter, nailing over 18 3pt field goals per matchup. Miami will adjust but that adjustment will likely come after a substantial game-one loss. This will be the first time all season that the Heat will face the Bucks at full strength and the combination of Antetonkoumnpo and Middleton will be too much for them. Don't discount the ability of Holiday to take his man in the paint for easy buckets as well. Beyond Adebayo and Butler, the Heat do not possess quality man-to-man defenders. |
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04-16-23 | Orioles v. White Sox -141 | 8-4 | Loss | -141 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The White Sox are without Tim Anderson and Yoan Moncada but there's still enough firepower in this Chicago offense to win, especially with ace Dylan Cease on the bump. The veteran right-hander is 2-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 33 strikeouts in four starts (23.1 innings) against Baltimore in his career. The Orioles are hitting left-handed pitching much better than righties this season, too .370 OBP, .866 OPS, and 27 K-rate versus left-handers and a .332 OBP, .757 OPS, and a 29% K-rate versus right-handers). |
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04-16-23 | Pirates +1.5 v. Cardinals | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pirates will start right-hander Mitch Keller (1-0, 3.57 ERA) in the series finale. Keller has delivered two quality stars in April, allowing just three runs on 10 hits in his last 13 innings. He is 2-1 with a 3.38 ERA in eight career starts against the Cardinals. Tommy Edman (5-for-16, double, three walks, three RBIs) and Lars Nootbaar (4-for-8, double, three walks) have had success against him. St. Louis will counter with struggling veteran Miles Mikolas (0-1, 10.05 ERA). In his last start, the right-hander allowed six runs on 10 hits, including three homers, in five innings of a 9-6 victory at Colorado. Mikolas is 5-5 with a 3.05 ERA in 19 career appearances against the Pirates, including 16 starts. Bryan Reynolds (9-for-28, four doubles, three RBIs) and Ke'Bryan Hayes (4-for-10, double) have hit well against him. St. Louis has only won three of its last 10 games against divisional opponents. |
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04-16-23 | Twins v. Yankees -155 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Gerrit Cole held the distinction of leading the major leagues in strikeouts while also allowing the second-most home runs last season. This season, Cole is off to one of the best starts of his career, partially due to his ability to avoid allowing homers. He seeks a fourth straight win Sunday afternoon when the New York Yankees attempt to get a split of a four-game series with the visiting Minnesota Twins. Cole (3-0, 1.40 ERA) has won three straight starts to begin a season for the third time in his career (2013, 2020). Last year, Cole allowed three of his 33 homers and had a 6.35 ERA through his first three outings. So far, Cole has allowed 11 hits -- no HRs -- through his first 19 1/3 innings while beating the San Francisco Giants, Philadelphia Phillies and Cleveland Guardians. Cole is 4-0 with a 3.21 ERA in five career starts against the Twins. He struck out 14 in 6 2/3 innings Sept. 7 in New York. |
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04-15-23 | Warriors v. Kings -110 | 123-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This game is basically a pick 'em, with the Kings installed as only a 1 point favorite. So, I really can't see the Kings, who have not been in the playoffs since 2006, not winning this first game. The fans, not having had a playoff game in their building in 17 years, will be raucous, particularly since it is against their biggest rival, the Warriors. They will like nothing more than to see the Kings "light the beam" on top of the Golden 1 Center. These teams know each other, so there won't be any surprises, and they play similar styles, so I have to go with the home team. Take the Kings to cover the spread. |
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04-15-23 | Braves -133 v. Royals | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Bryce Elder (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will make his third start of the season for the Braves on Saturday. In his most recent outing, a no-decision against the Cincinnati Reds on Monday, Elder allowed six hits through 6 1/3 scoreless innings. He walked one and struck out seven. Elder has never faced Kansas City. Left-hander Kris Bubic (0-1, 1.64) will get the nod for the Royals after pitching well in a no-decision against the San Francisco Giants on Sunday. Bubic surrendered just two hits through six scoreless innings without issuing a walk. He also matched his career high with nine strikeouts. The Braves are destroying left-handed pitching this season. Ahead of this series, the Braves owned a .336/.411/.478 slash line in 113 at-bats against lefties. |
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04-15-23 | Guardians -165 v. Nationals | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Chad Kuhl (0-0, 8.10 ERA) will be Washington's starter on Saturday. He has gone five innings in both his outings this season, with the Nationals losing each time. Cleveland will have right-hander Zack Plesac (0-0, 9.00 ERA) as its starter. He worked seven innings and gave up two runs in a no-decision against the Seattle Mariners on Sunday. Plesac, who has surrendered a home run in both of his starts, was the starter in two games that went to extra innings this season. He has made one career appearance against Washington, when he gave up two runs in a five-inning start as a rookie near the end of the 2019 season. The Guardians will have their bullpen intact behind Plesac after their Friday starter, Cal Quantrill, tossed six innings of three-run ball. The Nationals have now lost 14 of their last 18 games, including seven of their last eight home games. Cleveland has won five of its last six road games and is the much better team in this matchup. |
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04-15-23 | Hawks v. Celtics -9.5 | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Celtics provide several difficult matchups for a Hawks' team that struggles against athletic wings. Both Tatum and Brown will be able to get what they want both going to the rim and on the perimeter and that will force the Hawks to send help to both matchups. This will create tons of good looks from long range for a Celtics team that has thrived on the 3pt shot. The Celtics averaged over 22 3pt field goals per game against Atlanta this season, shooting over 46%, which indicates the Hawks' difficulty with keeping up with the Celtics' inside-out offense. Young will get his points in this series but Boston is one of the few teams in the NBA that can match up multiple players, Marcus Smart and White, to make him work for those points. Murray was not as effective against the Celtics this year thanks to Boston's length at the wing position. Williams III can neutralize Capella on the glass as well and the Hawks simply don't have the depth to match Boston. |
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04-15-23 | Orioles -113 v. White Sox | 6-7 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Since allowing four runs in five innings on Opening Day, Baltimore right-hander Kyle Gibson (3-0, 3.44 ERA) has been especially sharp. Gibson enters the matinee against Chicago with victories in his first two April starts, having struck out nine and yielded three runs in 13 1/3 innings. He is coming off a Monday home win against the Oakland A's, when he yielded one run and five hits in 6 1/3 innings. Gibson will oppose Chicago right-hander Michael Kopech (0-2, 6.75 ERA) as the White Sox try to even the series. Kopech is a prime example of what has gone wrong for the White Sox. He couldn’t throw strikes in his season debut and was roughed up by the Giants, giving up five homers in a 12-3 loss. |
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04-14-23 | Rockies v. Mariners -170 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I’m going with the Mariners only because of their bullpen. The starting duo will have a tall task in this matchup, and I’m expecting Seattle’s relievers to make a difference down the stretch. Marco Gonzales won’t miss a lot of bats, for sure, and it’s hard to trust Austin Gomber, too, as the Rockies’ lefty has been pretty much awful over the last two years. The Mariners are not hitting the lefties well in 2023 (.607 OPS), but that could easily change when they meet Gomber. The Rockies’ bullpen is struggling early in the season, and I’m expecting to see more of the same at T-Mobile Park. |
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04-14-23 | Guardians -153 v. Nationals | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Quantrill has been inconsistent in his two starts but should have success against the Nationals' soft-hitting lineup. The Nationals are last in baseball in home runs thus far. In addition, they have just one win at home this season compared with five losses. The Guardians are just 29th in the league in home runs but they are exceptional at playing small ball; advancing runners, stealing bases, and timely hitting. While Williams has done a nice job getting the Nats into the middle innings in each of his first two starts, he turns the ball over to one of baseball's worst bullpens. This game will be one in the late innings by the more opportunistic Guardians. |
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04-14-23 | Diamondbacks +145 v. Marlins | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Diamondbacks have won five of their last six games and three of their last five road games. They’ve been on a roll offensively in recent games, scoring 22 runs in their last four games. Expect them to continue playing well in this game because they have been great against left-handers and they’re going up against Rogers, who has struggled on the mound through two starts, giving up seven runs in his first two starts. He gave up five runs the last time he faced the Diamondbacks. The Marlins also have a bullpen that has been one of the worst in the league so far, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Diamondbacks in this game. The Marlins split their last six games, but they’ve lost four of their last seven home games. They have struggled offensively at home, scoring only seven runs in their last three games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because they haven’t had a lot of success against Bumgarner, who gave up seven runs in his first two starts, which isn’t bad considering he was facing the Dodgers in both games. He gave up four runs in his last four starts against Miami and will keep their offense in check. Go with Arizona to cover the money line. |
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04-13-23 | Pirates v. Cardinals -1.5 | 5-0 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jordan Montgomery (2-0, 2.25 ERA) will start the series opener against the Pirates. He allowed three hits in seven innings in his latest start, a 6-0 victory at Milwaukee on Saturday. He struck out nine batters and walked two. The Pirates will turn to Vince Velasquez (0-2, 9.82 ERA) as they open a seven-game road trip. The right-hander lasted just 2 2/3 innings in his latest start, an 11-5 loss to the Chicago White Sox on Saturday. He allowed five runs on six hits and four walks with one strikeout. Velasquez is 1-3 with a 5.67 ERA in seven career appearances against the Cardinals, including six starts. |
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04-13-23 | Twins v. Yankees -140 | 11-2 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Yankees have owned the Twins at Yankee Stadium over the past five seasons with 13 wins in 15 games. Rookie right-hander Brito has gotten off to a strong start with two straight wins and an ERA of 0.90. Ryan, however, was hit hard in his only start against New York last season and allowed over a run more per game on the road than at home. Ryan is not a high-volume strikeout pitcher which could lead to a big night for the Yankees' powerful bats. Heading into Wednesday's game, the Twins scored a total of six runs in their last five losses. Look for the Yankees to continue their dominance over the Twins at home. |
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04-13-23 | Phillies v. Reds -120 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Philadelphia Phillies have struggled on the road in the early going of the season, losing five of their six road decisions. They have scored three or fewer runs in four of the games in that span. The Cincinnati Reds have won three out of their last four home games. Reds’ starter Nick Lodolo has been outstanding, conceding only two runs in his 12 innings of work. He just sailed through seven shutout innings against this Phillies squad last week. He has been incredible when pitching against Philly in his young career, sporting a minuscule 1.86 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP in 19.1 innings, and has allowed zero home runs. |
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04-12-23 | Stars -155 v. Blues | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Stars are looking to secure the top spot in the Central Division and I see them controlling this game from the first period. The Stars, who average 3.44 goals per game, should pile on the goals against the Blues, who allow 3.65 goals per game, with Jason Robertson, Joe Pavelski, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick puck movement. The Stars, who allow only 2.66 goals per game, should limit the Blues' offense with Esa Lindell, Miro Heiskanen, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shooting lanes, allowing goaltender Jake Oettinger to make plenty of big saves. The Stars should win the game to extend their winning streak to five games with a strong performance on the road. |
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04-12-23 | Red Sox v. Rays -130 | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rays moved to 18-4 against Boston in the past 22 contests in the domed park. With No. 2 starter Zach Eflin (back tightness) going on the 15-day injured list Tuesday, the Rays called up No. 1 prospect Taj Bradley to make his major league debut. The right-handed Bradley, 22, is considered the No. 18 prospect by MLB Pipeline, No. 42 by Baseball America and No. 60 by ESPN. When Boston's Chris Sale (1-0, 11.25 ERA) returns to the mound near the town where he grew up, the veteran left-hander will look for a better start than the one in Detroit last Thursday. Boston's staff desperately need a return to form by Sale, who has looked shaky in his first two outings. Across eight innings against the Baltimore Orioles and Detroit, the lanky lefty has given up 11 hits and 10 runs with 13 strikeouts and five walks. He also has surrendered four homers. |
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04-12-23 | A's v. Orioles -177 | 8-4 | Loss | -177 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Orioles have won four of their last seven games. They are playing well offensively, scoring 16 runs in their last four games. They scored five runs in the first game of the series and won’t have trouble scoring once again because they have been great against left-handers and Waldichuk hasn’t looked good on the mound so far, giving up 14 runs in his first two starts. He has given up 19 runs in his last four road starts and is backed up by one of the worst bullpens in the league, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Orioles in this game. The Athletics have lost eight of their last 10 games and four straight road games. They have one of the worst offenses in the league and they played worse in recent games, scoring only one run in their last three games. Even though Kremer struggled on the mound in his first two starts, the Athletics’ offensive struggles will continue in this game because they have been terrible against right-handers, batting under .200 against them. They also struggled when they faced Kremer last season, scoring only two runs in six innings against him. Baltimore’s bullpen has also done a good job in recent games, so don’t expect them to have a hard time keeping Oakland’s inept offense in check. |
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04-12-23 | Astros -162 v. Pirates | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Astros have crushed lefties early on, with .292/.354/.542 slash line through 72 at-bats. That includes four of their 10 team home runs in a quarter of the at-bats. Hill also hasn't been pitching well and Father Time may have finally come to collect on a long career. Opposing him, Urquidy gets to face an offense that's not nearly as threatening, outside of Bryan Reynolds. Houston has picked up a pair of comfortable wins recently, and this will probably be another one. |
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