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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-31-22 | Ohio State v. Georgia -6 | Top | 41-42 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Bowl Game of the Year Rating: 5 Units This will be Georgia’s third time playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium this season, with the Bulldogs dominating both Oregon and LSU by a combined margin of 99-30. In addition to a virtually impenetrable defense, veteran QB Stetson Bennett is complimented by a three-headed rushing attack featuring RB with Kenny McIntosh, Daijun Edwards, and Kendall Milton, who have all rushed for more than 500 yards in 2022. Meanwhile, OSU receivers Marvin Harrison Jr. and Emeka Egbuka just might be the best receiver tandem in the country for Heisman finalist QB CJ Stroud. Yes, bowlers like UGA who allow fewer than 14.5 PPG that won their conference title game are 19-4 SU and 17-6 ATS all-time, including 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS against foes who allow 14.5 or more PPG. |
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12-31-22 | 76ers v. Thunder +4.5 | 115-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia guard Tyrese Maxey will take some time to return to form after missing more than a month of action, 76ers coach Doc Rivers said. After a nine-point outing in his return on Friday, Maxey may or may not be on the court Saturday as the 76ers visit the Oklahoma City Thunder. Philadelphia lost its second game in a row on Friday, falling 127-116 to the host New Orleans Pelicans. Maxey came off the bench to hit 4 of 10 shots while adding one rebound and one assist in 19 minutes. Consider that the Thunder are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. |
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12-31-22 | Mavs v. Spurs +7.5 | 126-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Spurs have won two of their past three games, including a 122-115 home victory over New York on Thursday. Keldon Johnson scored 30 points and Romeo Langford added a career-high 23 as San Antonio Spurs built a 17-point lead in the third quarter and had all the answers late to send the Knicks to a fifth consecutive loss. Tre Jones scored 13, Jeremy Sochan had 12 and Jakob Poeltl took 12 rebounds for the Spurs, The win was without Devin Vassell, who missed the game with a sore left knee. With Vassell, the Spurs' second-leading scorer this season (19.6 points per game), listed as doubtful for Saturday's game, San Antonio will need to rely on Langford to pick up the slack. He was more than up to the task in Thursday's win. Consider that the Mavericks are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games. |
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12-31-22 | Nets v. Hornets +7 | 123-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hornets opened their homestand with Thursday night's 121-113 victory against Oklahoma City. The Hornets need to start producing in home games. They had lost five in a row on their home court until the result against Oklahoma City. If there's a new surge of excitement stemming from the Hornets it might revolve around point guard LaMelo Ball, who was one assist shy of a double-double Thursday night with 27 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists. The Hornets also are bound to be pumped up about rookie center Mark Williams, who has spent most of the season in the G League. He came off the bench to rack up 17 points (7-for-7 shooting), 13 rebounds, two blocked shots and two steals Thursday night. Consider that the Nets are 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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12-31-22 | West Virginia v. Kansas State -115 | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This one feels like a coin flip. The Mountaineers are arguably a better offensive team, but the Wildcats have enough weapons to contain West Virginia. Kansas State defends the 3-point line well and will have strong support from the stands, so I’m going with the Wildcats. K-State is 1-5 SU and 3-3 ATS in its last six meetings with West Virginia, but the Wildcats beat the Mountaineers 78-73 in their last encounter at Bramlage Coliseum. The Wildcats are undefeated in five straight showings at home. They’ve covered in eight of the last 12 games overall. |
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12-31-22 | TCU v. Michigan -7.5 | 51-45 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units No Alabama, Tennessee, Clemson, Utah, etc, but the only 4 teams in the land with less than 2 losses (Michigan & Georgia, the only perfect squads. When Harbaugh took over the reins at Ann Arbor in '15, great things were expected, & realized with 7 straight bowl seasons, with 42-27, 45-23 wins over archrival Ohio St L2 yrs, but couldn't close the deal: 0-5 SU/ATS (-8, -15½, -30, -11½, -15½ pts) in L5 bowls. TCU Horned Frogs were hosed from the playoffs in '14, despite their 11-1 log, proving it with 42-3 (-3½) Peach Bowl rout of Ole Miss. Frog QB Duggan (2nd in Heisman voting) at 30/4, with Wolves' McCarthy at 20/3. No RB Corum (1,436 yds) for Mich, but note UM's #3 "D" vs Tcu's #74. Take the TD. |
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12-31-22 | Clippers v. Pacers +3.5 | 130-131 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana looks for its third consecutive win and fifth in the last six games as it continues a home stretch. The Pacers are playing the third of four straight at home, a run that will include eight of 10 overall in Indianapolis. They opened this stretch with a pair of high-scoring wins, beating Atlanta 129-114 on Tuesday, and then 135-126 against Cleveland on Thursday. Tyrese Haliburton led the Pacers in scoring with 29 against the Cavs. He dished nine assists to maintain his NBA-leading pace of 10.2 assists per game. Buddy Hield shot 5 of 6 from 3-point range en route to 25 points, Aaron Nesmith scored 22 points and Bennedict Mathurin finished with 23 points off the bench. Finally, the Pacers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games. |
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12-31-22 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas -10 | 67-69 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kansas defense has been the strength of their team, but their offense has been nothing to slouch at either. They are shooting 35.9% from 3-point range and are knocking down 54.5% of their 2-point tries. Their lone weakness on that end of the court has been their free throw shooting, as they are knocking down less than 70% of their tries. This will be a strong test for them, as Oklahoma State is fifth nationally in defensive field goal percentage. Star forward Jalen Wilson leads Kansas with 21.1 points and 9.0 rebounds per game. Freshman guard Gradey Dick (15.4) and senior guard Kevin McCullar Jr. (11.9) are both in double figures as well. Consider that the home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. |
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12-31-22 | Iowa -130 v. Kentucky | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With Levis, who was 17-7 in his starts for the Cats since transferring from Penn State in 2021, having left the team, redshirt FR Kaiya Sheron will fill in. Complicating matters, UK head coach Mark Stoops fired offensive coordinator Rich Scangarello after just one season. He sure as hell won’t hire Iowa OC Brian Ferentz for a replacement, not when Ferentz presided over an offense so horrible in 2022 that one fan showed up for a game holding a sign that read, “I’m only here for the punter.” So how did a 17 PPG offense ranked No. 130 in First Down Offense land a bowl game? A bad-to-the-bone Hawkeyes defense, that’s how. Iowa is tied for No. 2 nationally in Defensive TDs (5) and holds the No. 4 spot in overall Total Team Defense. Jack Campbell won the Butkus Award as the nation’s top linebacker and the ‘D’ held 5 foes to season-low yards. Kentucky’s defense also came to play this season, holding 5 foes to season-low yards. We’ll summon the ‘R’ word to cement our pick: Iowa HC Kirk Ferentz is 6-1 ATS with revenge off a loss of 7 or more points, while Wildcats HC Stoops is just 4-9 ATS versus a foe off a loss. |
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12-31-22 | Kansas State +7 v. Alabama | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Always an unusual season, when the Crimson Tide of Alabama is not a participant in the Final Four Playoffs (just the 2nd time in 8 seasons). Years of excellence continue on, scoring 30+ pts in 46 of their last 53 games, with their only SU losses TY: 52-49 in L0:00 at Tenn, & 32-31 on 2-pt OT conversion at Lsu. Heisman winner Young: just 2/0 & 1/1 in those losses. Can 'Tide prepare properly for this, after such close misses, along with multiple transfer portal cases? Kansas State Wildcats took TCU for Big12 Title in OT. QBs Howard & Martinez are more than capable, as is the 2nd coming of Darren Sproles in Deuce Vaughn. Take the TD. |
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12-31-22 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +1.5 | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There's a lot to like about the Hokies, but how will they respond if they fall behind early? They've played just two road games, at Charleston and Boston College, and lost both times. With upcoming road matchups versus Syracuse, Virginia, and Clemson, it's time for VA Tech to figure it out on the road. They might have to go without Cattoor (9.6 PPG), who is questionable after leaving the BC game with a left forearm injury. With that said, I'll side with the home team in this ACC matchup. |
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12-30-22 | Jazz v. Kings -150 | 125-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Domantas Sabonis is playing through a fracture in his thumb, and the Kings desperately need their best frontcourt player on the floor. Over his last nine games, Sabonis has averaged 21.8 points, 15.8 rebounds, and 7.0 assists, and I’m expecting him to dominate Utah’s fragile interior defense. On the other side, the Jazz will look to take advantage of Sacramento’s 3-point defense. We should see a tight battle between a couple of bad defensive teams, and I’m backing the Kings to win and cover. Sacramento won’t take a ton of shots from downtown. The Kings will attack the rim and try to exploit Utah’s bad defensive rebounding. The Jazz are 28th in the league in defensive rebound percentage, whereas Sacramento paces the NBA in this category. |
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12-30-22 | 76ers v. Pelicans +1.5 | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans has an adjusted offensive rating of 114.7, which is the eighth-highest rating in the NBA. The 76ers have struggled against top teams and they fell to the Wizards in their last outing. They will struggle in this game, as I don't see them efficiently scoring enough points to cover this spread. Philadelphia is only scoring the 21st most points per game and the Pelicans have the size down low to make it difficult for Embiid. They will challenge him every time he gets the ball, which will hurt the 76ers' offense. New Orleans also has the second-lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are holding their opponents to the second-lowest three-point shooting percentage. They will defend on the perimeter and in the paint, as they won't allow the Sixers to score enough points to cover this spread. The Pelicans are sitting at the top of the Western Conference standings for a reason. |
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12-30-22 | Clemson -5.5 v. Tennessee | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It took Dabo Swinney the entire season to pull the plug on erratic starter D.J. Uiagalelei for Cade Klubnik, a former 5* recruit for the Tigers. Swinney must have informed all parties concerned that the move was permanent, causing Uiagalelei to immediately hit the transfer portal. For the Vols from Rocky Top, backup QB Joe Milton, who transferred in from Michigan, takes over for Hendon Hooker, who was enjoying a marvelous season until suffering an ACL tear against South Carolina. Tennessee does boast the No. 1 ranked offense in the nation (538 YPG), but that was largely behind QB Hooker. In addition, WR Jalin Hyatt, who won the Biletnikoff Award, is undecided. We know the Volunteers have played on some big stages this year, but this sort of thing is ‘been there, done that’ for the Tigers, as Swinney stands 29-9 ATS away off a double-digit SUATS win, including 12-1 ATS the last 13. Both teams have played their share of undisciplined football in 2022, but Tennessee takes the trophy as the nation’s No. 124 team in most Penalties Per Game (8.00). Yes, we know Clemmie is just 3-4 ITS (In The Stats) in its last seven games of the season; however, that’s not enough to keep us off the striped cats. |
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12-30-22 | Wolves v. Bucks -6 | 114-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee is just 22nd in the NBA in offensive efficiency, but that has a lot to do with them being dead last on the road. In-home games, Milwaukee has been more explosive, where they are fourth in offensive efficiency. The Bucks have also won five of their last six games at home, with each of those wins coming by at least nine points or more. Both teams want to snap their four game losing streak, but the home court advantage will make a huge difference tonight. I will take the Bucks to cover. |
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12-30-22 | Devils v. Penguins -110 | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Devils look to snap out of their slump but the Penguins look to bounce back on their home ice and control this game. The Penguins look to build off a four-goal game and pile on the goals with Sidney Crosby, Jake Guentzel, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Penguins should also limit a Devils offense that has only scored four goals in their last two games with Marcus Pettersson, Pierre-Oliver Joseph, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers at the blue line and limiting shots on the net while goaltender Tristan Jarry steps up and blanks the shots on the net. The Penguins should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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12-30-22 | South Carolina +3.5 v. Notre Dame | 38-45 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units First-year coaches favored in bowl games are 16-32 ATS vs. foes coming off a win, including 2-12 ATS against those off a SU underdog win. Uh oh. Then there’s the matter of Notre Dame’s negligent 7-15 SUATS failure in its last 17 bowl games, including 3-14 ATS vs. foes off a win. And we wouldn’t be doing our job if we left out this damning stat: the Irish are ranked No. 129 in Red Zone Defense, worst of all bowler. Head coach Shane Beamer owns a solid 6-1 ATS record vs. non-conference foes and his team won four games SU as underdogs this campaign. Head coach Marcus Freeman will have the Irish back in the thick of it before long, but it’s a little early to back them here considering SC has gone 6-2 SUATS in its previous 8 bowl games. |
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12-30-22 | Pittsburgh v. UCLA -7.5 | 37-35 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Quite a cross country trip for the U.C.L.A. Bruins & the Pittsburgh Panthers, but that didn't keep them from facing each other 14 times, many in season openers, from 1958 thru 1972, with the Bruins holding a 9-5 edge. For Pitt, this makes it 13 bowls in 15 years (4-8 SU, 3-9 ATS), while for the Uclans, this is their first such holiday affair since '17 (35-17 Cactus Bowl loss to Kansas St). Similar seasons for these 2, with Bruins reaching 9th in the polls off their 6-0 start, flattening out, with nary a cover since Nov 5th. Panther in a 4-0 SU (3-1 ATS) windup, but have lost QB Slovis, as well as AA DL Kancey. Simply cannot ignore such significant turns. |
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12-30-22 | Maryland v. NC State | 16-12 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Maryland is staring down some ugly ATS numbers here: 1-6-1 SUATS as a bowler if not favored by 3 or more points, sub .600 bowlers off a shutout win are 1-7 ATS, and head Terrapin Locksley is a back-in-the-shell 3-39 SU and 15-27 ATS versus a foe with the better record. Yikes. The bad news for State is its miserable 1-8 ITS (In The Stats) record versus bowlers in 2022, but with Doeren boasting a 6-0 ATS record in bowl games versus a foe off a SUATS win, and the Pack having cashed a ticket in 10 of its last 13 bowls, we’ll back DD over Mike Locksley any day of the week. |
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12-30-22 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh +6.5 | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The North Carolina Tar Heels are having an inconsistent season and are only 4-4 in their last eight games. They have only won three of their seven games against a power conference opponent. Pittsburgh is one of the hottest teams in the ACC. They are 2-0 in ACC play and have won eight out of their last nine games. Furthermore, the Tar Heels' defense continues to squander too many points. They have conceded at least 76 points in five out of their last six games against a power-conference squad. They gave up 80 against Virginia Tech and 76 against Michigan in their latest action. Also, Pittsburgh has netted at least 82 points in three consecutive games. |
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12-29-22 | Washington v. Texas -146 | 27-20 | Loss | -146 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Washington had a phenomenal season which earned first-year coach Kalen DeBoer a contract extension, winning ten games and seeing QB Michael Penix Jr lead the nation in passing. They have won six in a row, but the best news is that Penix will return for his senior season next year. However, the Huskies find themselves squarely locked inside the fact that Pac-12 bowl teams are 1-23 ATS when facing an opponent coming off a win. Even worse, Pac-12 bowlers who allow more than 25 PPG are 20-42 ATS, including 0-14 ATS in their last 14 bowl appearances. Finally, this is virtually a home game for the Horns, (they posted dominating wins here the 2020 and 2019 editions of the Alamo Bowl), and even if running backs Bijan Robinson and Roschon Johnson opt out, Sarkisian has plenty of weapons to slice through a less-than-stellar Washington defense |
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12-29-22 | Rockets +10.5 v. Mavs | 114-129 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Last Friday, the Mavericks barely outlasted the Rockets 112-106 and failed to cover a 7-point spread at Toyota Center in Houston. Luka Doncic dropped 50 points on the Rockets, but it wasn’t enough for an ATS victory. Dallas will beat Houston once more. However, I’m not sure the Mavs will be able to cover a double-digit spread. They’ll be a bit tired after that wild game against the Knicks, and the Mavericks are only 1-4 ATS in their last five home contests against the Rockets. Dallas has won four games in a row, and none of those victories has come by more than nine points. |
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12-29-22 | Stars +108 v. Wild | 4-1 | Win | 108 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dallas is playing well above average at both ends of the ice as the Stars are fifth in scoring at 10th in goals-against. Dallas has the 5th best power play and the Stars have the fourth-best penalty-kill unit. Dallas is also third-best in faceoffs, winning 55.2% of the time. Dallas has won five of its last 7 overall and the Stars have won four of the last five played on the road. Dallas arrives in this matchup against Minnesota having won two straight, 3 of the last 4 and seven of the last 10. Dallas goaltender Jake Oettinger has a 2.43 goals against average and over the last five games in net, has allowed an average of just 2.35 goals per game. Six of the 18 goals Oettinger has given up over that span were in just one game versus Edmonton. |
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12-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Raptors +3.5 | 119-106 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The game against the Clippers was the first of a stretch of nine of 10 games at home for the Raptors. They have lost four straight in their own building, however. It was a good night for two members of Toronto's 2019 NBA championship team now with the Clippers: Kawhi Leonard and Norman Powell. Leonard, playing his second game in Toronto as a member of the Clippers, was quietly effective with 15 points, seven rebounds and eight assists. Powell, playing his first game in Toronto since being traded to the Portland Trail Blazers in March 2021, scored 22 points. Consider that the Grizzlies are 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings. |
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12-29-22 | Cavs v. Pacers +5 | 126-135 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pacers have covered the spread in eighth of their last 11 home games against teams with a losing road record and deserve more respect here. The Cavs have been dominant at home, but now find themselves on a two game losing streak and have only covered the spread in one of their last 10 games away from home. Two weeks ago the Cavs beat the Pacers by only six points despite making nine less free-throws on 13 free attempts, and also being outshot 45.2% to 30.6% from three-point range. Indiana will fare better at home this time and cover. |
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12-29-22 | Red Wings v. Sabres -159 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There's a lot of unpredictability surrounding the Sabres as they haven't played in 10 days. However, I like them as a well-rested team to step up on their home ice and take over this game. The Sabres, who average 3.94 goals per game, should find the back of the net at will with Tage Thompson, Alex Tuch, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with great puck movement and passes near the net. The Sabres should also limit the Red Wings' offense with Rasmus Dahlin, Mattias Samuelsson, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Craig Anderson to step up and make plenty of big saves in the net. The Sabres should win the game with a dominant performance on their home ice. |
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12-29-22 | Senators v. Capitals -169 | 4-3 | Loss | -169 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Senators have looked promising this season and can easily pull off the upset and provide great odds in the process. The problem is the Capitals look like one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference and look to control this game from the first period. The Capitals, who average 3.11 goals per game, should find the back of the net at will with Alexander Ovechkin, Evgeny Kuznetsov, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with effective passes. The Capitals, who allow only 2.70 goals per game, should also limit the Senators' offense with Nick Jensen, Dmitry Orlov, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Darcy Kuemper to make plenty of big saves. The Capitals should win the game with a dominant performance on their home ice to win their sixth game in a row. |
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12-29-22 | Iowa -185 v. Nebraska | 50-66 | Loss | -185 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This matchup will come down to the Hawkeyes' offense versus the Cornhuskers' defense. Nebraska is giving up just 65.9 points on 42.0 percent shooting, while Iowa scores nearly 84 points and boasts a top-ten offensive efficiency rating. That said, Nebraska ranks just 60th in defensive efficiency, adjusted for schedule. Iowa was held under 65 points earlier this year by Duke, but the Blue Devils' defense is in a different class than Nebraska's. Iowa's Kris Murray (19.4 PPG and 10.1 RPG) and Connor McCaffery (7.5 PPG and 4.0 RPG) are dealing with injuries, but both are expected to suit up on Thursday. As long as Murray can go, the experienced Hawkeyes should be game-ready for a test in Lincoln. I expect Nebraska will challenge them, but Iowa will outlast the Huskers to cover the four-point spread. |
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12-29-22 | Oklahoma v. Florida State -9.5 | 32-35 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units These 2 powers meet for the 8th time; first since '11, & 5th in a bowl, including the '00 Orange, when the Oklahoma Sooners (+10) beat the Florida Sate Seminoles 13-2, for the National Championship (Stoops' first year). By the way, the 'Noles entered that one with a 42-10 ppg edge. This makes it 26 straight bowl years for the Sooners (4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS L10), while the Sems entered TY off 4 consecutive losing seasons. But 18 returning starters have turned it around, with a 5-0 windup (43.6 ppg), ranking 13th & 14th in total "O" & "D". Last 3 of Okies' 6 losses have come by just 3 pts, but cannot hide a "D" which ranks 120th in the land. 'Noles! |
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12-29-22 | Minnesota v. Syracuse +11 | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For P.J. Fleck, it was also a tale of two cities, especially on offense, as they averaged 543 YPG in their first four games of the season and 335 YPG in their last eight. However, his stop unit held up their end of the bargain, finishing 5th in the nation in Team Defense. Still, we feel this number is a bit too high, since Syracuse is 13-3-1 SU and 13-4 ATS in bowl games since 1988. For head coach Dino Babers, there will be some adjustments with OC Robert Anae leaving for NC State, but quarterbacks’ coach Jason Beck has been promoted to the position after doing a great job overseeing QB Garrett Schrader this season. Besides that, the most interesting match-up at Yankee Stadium will be the running backs, with Sean Tucker recording his second straight 1,000-yard season for the Orange and Minnesota’s Mohamed Ibrahim notching over 100 in each of his first 11 games. QB Tanner Morgan was always the weak link on the Gopher offense, but with Athan Kaliakmanis taking over, Minny should be in good shape. Finally, here is an obscure fact you might consider: Bowl favorites off a win of 7 or more points are 0-6 ATS on Thursdays. |
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12-28-22 | Flames v. Seattle Kraken +103 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Flames will have to deal with fatigue after a tough battle against Edmonton. They’ve only won one of their last six games played on the second night of a back-to-back. On the other side, the Kraken will be well-rested and ready to bounce back from a tough loss against Vancouver, so I’m going with Seattle to win. The Kraken’s defense hasn’t impressed at all, but their offense has been one of the best in the league in 2022-23. Seattle is 6-2 in its previous eight showings on the home ice and 6-1 in its last seven games against the Pacific Division. |
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12-28-22 | Golden Knights -175 v. Ducks | 2-3 | Loss | -175 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Ducks are the 2nd worst team in the NHL at the moment behind the Chicago Blackhawks, having amassed just 22 points from 35 games, posting a measly .314 points percentage and a league-worst minus-63 goal differential. So, tonight presents a great opportunity for Vegas to win for the third time in its last four fixtures and get back on the winning column on the road, where the team has already snatched 12 triumphs on the most recent 15 trips. The Golden Knights have already beaten Anaheim in a whopping 21 of their previous 25 meetings, triumphing by a margin of at least two snipes on 13 occasions. The Ducks, meanwhile, have lost by more than one goal in 19 of their 26 defeats this season. |
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12-28-22 | Ole Miss -3 v. Texas Tech | 25-42 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A 1-4 finish with losses to LSU, Alabama, Arkansas and rival Mississippi State in the Egg Bowl showed Lane Kiffin he still has plenty to accomplish in Oxford. Bowlers coming off 3 SU losses are 13-3 SU and 12-4 ATS versus a foe off back-to-back SUATS wins. Conversely, TTRR enters on a 3-0 SUATS win skein to close the season. That’s the good news. The bad news is, like a grim reaper, that bowlers coming in on 3-0 SUATS win skein are 9-27 SU and 8-28 ATS when facing an opponent coming off a SU favorite loss. Worse, the Techsters were outgained in all three of the wins, and not to pile on, Texas Tech is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 bowl games. |
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12-28-22 | North Carolina +13 v. Oregon | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We feel like this is a lean to the Heels, since the underdog is 7-0-2 ATS in Tar Heels/Pac-12 contests and conference title game losers are 8-2 ATS as double-digit bowl dogs. However, be aware that UNC is 0-4 SUATS in bowl games when they allow more than 25 points. Oregon’s recovery from that pounding they took from Georgia in the opener was remarkable, but the campaign lost its luster after losing to Washington in November and a total collapse against the Beavers in the Civil War finale. That drives us into a take here. |
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12-28-22 | Nets -6.5 v. Hawks | 108-107 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nets are (9-1) in their last 10 games. I don't see the Hawks being able to slow down their offense, as Brooklyn is scoring the 13th most points per game. But, they also have the highest three-point and overall shooting percentage. They can score from anywhere on the floor and the Hawks aren't going to be able to slow them down. According to dunksandthrees.com, Atlanta has the 16th lowest adjusted defensive rating in the league and they are allowing the 17th most points per game. Durant and Irving will continue to attack and they will score enough points to cover this spread. Brooklyn has also been elite defensively during this run, as they are surrendering the ninth least amount of points per game and they are holding their opponents to the fifth-lowest shooting percentage in the NBA. They will contest shots near the basket and force the Hawks to beat them from the outside. This won't happen, though. The Hawks are only shooting 33.2% from deep, which is the 27th-lowest three-point shooting percentage in the league. |
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12-28-22 | Villanova +12.5 v. Connecticut | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UConn has been a machine all season, but Villanova is showing steady improvement under their new head coach and won't go down without a fight. The Wildcats have been extremely efficient offensively and have faced a slightly tougher schedule than UConn this season. The Wildcats are also the best free-throw shooting team in the country and have been undefeated since Cam Whitmore has been active. Villanova has also won six of the last seven games against UConn head-to-head. Take Villanova to cover. |
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12-28-22 | Kansas v. Arkansas -131 | 53-55 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Kansas had a brilliant 5-0 start but lost 6 of their last seven games after the tough Big 12 schedule kicked in (4th toughest schedule in the nation). The Razorbacks had an even tougher row to hoe, with opponents sporting a combined win percentage of 62.4%, which was the country’s second-toughest slate. Keep in mind that when two .500 bowl teams meet like this, the underdog is 0-5 ATS if coming off consecutive losses. That said, we feel that the combination of facing such an extremely tough schedule and coming off an upset loss fi gures to bring the Razorbacks in fully focused here. Across the fi eld, the Jayhawks are bowling for the fi rst time since 2008 and are just happy not to be home for the holidays. The future is bright for both teams with the two quarterbacks both returning next season, but as for today, we think this game has the look of a serious crushing written all over it. |
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12-28-22 | Central Florida v. Duke -160 | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 25 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Blue Devils were 3-1 ATS and ITS (In The Stats) versus fellow bowlers this season. On the flip side, the Knights went just 4-3 this season after a 5-1 start, and limp into bowl season following a beating in the AAC title game, losing to Tulane 45-28 while allowing 648 yards of offense. Teams who won a bowl game last year straight up as underdogs of a TD or more are 14-28 ATS when coming off an ATS loss. These two schools meet for the first time, and the coaching match-up today is intriguing: veteran Gus Malzahn has taken his teams to the post-season in all 11 years at the helm, while Elko and his players are finding a completely new experience ahead of them. We look for the Dukies to complete a dream season with a victory. |
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12-27-22 | Oklahoma State v. Wisconsin -185 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units All indications are that senior Chase Wolf (just 31 passes thrown) will start in place of Graham Mertz for the Badgers. That brings this match-up down to defense, where Wisconsin has always been strong – their 3rd ranked overall defense in games versus fellow bowlers this season has held 3 foes to season low yardage in 2022. Both teams present good numbers here, including Mike Gundy’s 15-8-1 ATS record off a SU favorite loss and 12-5 spread mark off back-to-back losses. He has also covered the number in six straight bowl games. Meanwhile, Wisky is 8-2 ATS as a bowler versus a foe coming off SUATS loss, and Big Ten bowlers are 22-12 ATS against Big 12 bowlers, including 5-0 ATS when coming off a SU favorite loss. Badgers get the win in their 21st straight bowl appearance. |
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12-27-22 | Sharks v. Canucks -138 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both San Jose and Vancouver have struggled to keep the puck out of their net so far this season. It’s tough to make the case for either side, though the Canucks seem a better offensive team than the Sharks. I’m backing the hosts to win only because they’ve dominated San Jose over the last few years. Vancouver is undefeated in seven straight meetings with San Jose including four encounters in 2022. The Canucks are 6-3 in their last nine games overall, while the Sharks have dropped ten of their previous 14 games at any location. San Jose is 1-4 in its last five showings on the road. |
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12-27-22 | Wild v. Jets +108 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Winnipeg is hoping the holiday break cured an illness that was circulating through the team and had been hampering starting goalie Connor Hellebuyck. Hellebuyck has been the Jets' MVP this season. In 25 starts, Hellebuyck has a 16-8-1 record, a .928 save percentage (second in the NHL), 761 saves (second) and a 2.36 goals-against average (fifth). Because of the NHL collective bargaining agreement rules, Minnesota will have to travel to Winnipeg on the day of the game. The Wild had won six in a row before losing 5-2 to the San Jose Sharks on Thursday. In that matchup, the Wild were on the receiving end of a dominant performance by Sharks defenseman Erik Karlsson, who had a goal and three assists. Consider that the Jets are 19-9 in their last 28 overall. |
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12-27-22 | Clippers v. Raptors -200 | 124-113 | Loss | -200 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units LA has struggled in the second half of back-to-back situations this season, having dropped each of their last four such contests. While the team is relatively healthy, the fact remains that they are the league’s worst offensive team despite a solid collection of talent. Toronto seems to have righted the ship with wins over the Knicks and Cavaliers on the road in their last two games. Siakam exploded against New York, hanging 52 points in the game, and followed that up with 26 points against the Cavaliers. Playing at home with a rest advantage here, you have to give the upper hand to the Raptors as they make it three straight wins. |
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12-27-22 | 76ers -183 v. Wizards | 111-116 | Loss | -183 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Philadelphia 76ers travel to Washington to take on the Wizards on Tuesday night. Philadelphia is 20-12 SU overall this year while Washington comes in with a 13-21 SU overall record on the season. Washington is 1-6 SU and 1-5 ATS this year against Atlantic division opponents. Washington is 5-13-2 ATS last 20 games overall. Washington is 6-21-2 ATS last 29 games after a SU win. Washington is 1-6 ATS last 7 home games. Washington is 0-3-1 ATS last 4 games after a SU win of more than 10 points. Philadelphia has now won 8 games in a row and covered 7 of those 8. Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS last 5 games when playing on 1 days rest. |
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12-27-22 | Bruins -185 v. Senators | 2-3 | Loss | -185 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins come in with four straight wins and well-rested. The Senators are also well-rested but have lost three straight games. This is the first of a back-to-back for Boston as they return to New Jersey on Wednesday night. The Bruins dropped their only game to Ottawa this season, 7-5, back in October. Jeremy Swayman got the start in net in that game and had his worst performance of the season, letting up six goals before being relieved by Ullmark. Both goalies are fresh and ready to go in this one. Swayman is 3-1 with a 2.38 goals against average in his last five starts and would certainly like a chance at redemption against the Senators. Boston's high scoring offense should be able to exploit Ottawa for 5+ goals again and I don't foresee the Bruins giving up anywhere near 7 goals in the rematch. |
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12-27-22 | East Carolina v. Coastal Carolina +7.5 | 53-29 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For the Pirates, fifth-year senior QB Holton Ahlers completed 67.1 percent of his passes this season for 3,408 yards, tossed 23 touchdowns compared to fi ve picks, and he also rushed for 5 TDs. The Pirates will not have NFL prospect TE Ryan Brown for this game, as he has opted out to prepare for the draft, but Ahlers will not be without his top two targets: wide receiver Isaiah Winstead recorded 82 catches for 1,012 yards, while C.J. Johnson will enter the bowl game 67 yards away from his first 1,000-yard receiving campaign. The Chanticleers’ rough finish may be of concern to some, but it might work to their advantage, as conference title game losers are 8-2 ATS as double-digit bowl dogs. Take the points |
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12-27-22 | Utah State +7.5 v. Memphis | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Looking back, we realize that the Aggies go from the top of the mountain after capturing the Mountain West title and winning the Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl game to this minor bowl game. Their star player this season was speedy RB Calvin Tyler, Jr, who rushed for over 1,000 yards and 7 TDs. Keep in mind that Mountain West bowl teams are 5-0 SUATS against the AAC and Anderson is 4-1 ATS himself on the road versus AAC foes. We don’t figure them to win this game, but the points are simply too good to pass. |
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12-27-22 | Georgia Southern v. Buffalo +4.5 | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bulls were a “mission team” in 2022 after last season’s 4-8 effort snapped a three-year bowl skein. Following an 0-3 start, they went on to win their next 5 games before hitting the skids again with another 3-game losing streak. They literally rallied back with a late 23-22 win over Akron to cement this bid, a game that was postponed by the 6 feet of snow that fell on Buffalo in mid-November’s monumental storm, then rescheduled due to its importance for the Buffalo program. Comparing spread records this season versus bowl teams, Buffy was 5-1 ATS, while GSU was 1-4 ATS against bowlers. Our money is on the Bulls |
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12-26-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. Blazers | 113-124 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Charlotte is 2-2 on the excursion after outlasting Los Angeles Lakers 134-130 on Friday. The Hornets have won two of their last three games after losing their previous eight contests. Gordon Hayward scored the tiebreaking points with 6.3 seconds left and P.J. Washington added two free throws to seal it. Portland is returning home from a 2-4 road trip in which it dropped its last three games. The Trail Blazers lost a pair of games to the Oklahoma City Thunder before finishing the trip with a 120-107 loss to the Denver Nuggets. Consider that the Hornets are 25-12-2 ATS in their last 39 road games. |
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12-26-22 | Jazz v. Spurs +4.5 | 122-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Thursday's game was the only home contest for Utah in a stretch of six of seven games away from home. The Jazz's three-game road trip includes stops in San Francisco and Sacramento to play the Warriors and Kings on Wednesday and Friday. The Spurs (10-22) head home after a 133-113 loss at Orlando on Friday. Consider that the Jazz are only 9-24-1 ATS in the last 34 meetings in San Antonio. |
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12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts +4 | 20-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We realize things are looking rosy for the Chargers, who close out the campaign against three 4-win lightweights in the Colts, the Rams and the Broncos. The Bolts are 4-0-1 ATS away Mondays, and 12-2-2 ATS away versus AFC South. On the other side of the bed, the Colts are 0-3 ATS home on Mondays, 1-7 ATS after scoring 35-plus points, and 1-7 ATS as home dogs 4 or fewer points. However, while it all looks like an avalanche of evidence working against the Colts, the Chargers are still a team that cannot blow out opponents, only winning one game all year by more than six points, and that came back in Week 4 against the awful Texans. Look for the Horseshoes to toss a surprise ringer tonight. |
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12-26-22 | Pacers +3.5 v. Pelicans | 93-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Zion Williamson (25.2 PPG, 7.2 RPG) is the Pelicans’ leading scorer and a huge part of New Orleans’ defense, so his absence is a massive blow for Willie Green’s team. The Pels have won their last two games without Zion, but the Pacers are arguably a better team than San Antonio and Oklahoma City, so I’m going with Indiana to cover. The Pacers are healthy and Tyrese Haliburton has been outstanding as of late. Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall and 3-1-1 ATS in its previous five contests against New Orleans. On the other side, the Pelicans have covered twice in their last six outings at any location. |
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12-26-22 | Nets +2.5 v. Cavs | 125-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Because of what unfolded Friday night, the Nets can match the Bucks and Celtics for the NBA's longest winning streak of the season. Brooklyn also can get its first nine-game winning streak since a franchise-record 14-game run in 2006. Brooklyn's two most recent wins also did not require heavy lifting from Kevin Durant. Durant scored 24 points Friday after finishing with 23 Wednesday but also had plenty of help. Irving scored 14 of his 18 in the fourth when the Nets kept Milwaukee star Giannis Antetokounmpo scoreless. The Nets are 12-1 in their past 13 games and Cleveland has been nearly as hot lately. Since their five-game losing streak last month, the Cavaliers are 14-6 in their past 20 but are also attempting to avoid consecutive losses for the first time since that skid. On Friday, Cleveland saw its five-game winning streak stopped with a 118-107 loss to the Toronto Raptors. Cleveland shot 51.3 percent but despite shooting over 50 percent for the 15th time, it allowed a season-high 19 3-pointers to the NBA's worst 3-point shooting team and trailed by as many as 26 early in the third when coach J.B. Bickerstaff benched his starters. Consider that the Cavaliers are 26-58-4 ATS in their last 88 games following a ATS loss. |
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12-26-22 | Clippers -5.5 v. Pistons | 142-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pistons' defense is not good around the rim or at defending the three-point shot, which will be a cause for concern against the Clippers, who are top ten in three-point shooting percentage and rebounds per game. Last game versus Atlanta, the Pistons gave up 66 points in the paint and 21 fast-break points. I'm expecting LA to have similar success. Los Angeles' defense is elite, ranking third in points allowed, fourth in field goal and three-point percentage, and fifth in opponent free-throw percentage. In other words, it's challenging for good offense squads to score against the Clippers, which the Pistons certainly are not. I'll bet on the Western Conference betting favorites, who may be rounding into shape, over a fading Pistons squad growing more irrelevant by the game. |
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12-26-22 | New Mexico State +3 v. Bowling Green | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 29 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Like NMSU, the Bee Gees closed like a racehorse, winning four of their six games to earn a bowl bid for the first time since 2015. They dropped 4-touchdown losses early in the season to UCLA and Mississippi State, but once MACtion got underway, the Falcons went 6-2 in conference play. To be quite honest, if you look at the statistical ranking of the Falcons, you might be surprised to find out that they actually qualified for a bowl game, since the Bee Gees rank 105th in offense and 106th in the nation on D. We also look at Kill’s excellent record versus MAC foes: 20-7 SU and 16-10-1 ATS, including 18-2 SU if that opponent is .500 or below. With that, we’ll look for the Aggies to notch a win in only their second bowl game since 1960. |
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12-25-22 | Bucs v. Cardinals +7.5 | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bucs’ six wins this season, the last five have been against losing teams a 26-44 winning record combined. Through it all, the GOAT who refused to hang ‘em up when he had the perfect opportunity, leads a team that is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games as a favorite, 1-7 ATS last eight games on Sundays, 1-5-1 ATS versus NFC West foes and 1-5 ATS versus sub .400 opponents. Sheesh. While the Cardinals may be going thru the motions, at least they bring a 9-1 ATS log as home dogs of more than 2 points, and a 4-0 ATS record in this series. |
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12-25-22 | Grizzlies v. Warriors +6.5 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With a 10th straight Christmas Day game on the schedule, the Warriors return home after a 1-5 trip that ended with 38- and 30-point drubbings at New York and Brooklyn, respectively. Golden State played the final four games of the trip without Curry, who remains out with a slightly dislocated left shoulder and will miss at least two more weeks. They also were missing Wiggins (strained adductor) for the entire trip and key reserve Donte DiVincenzo (illness) for the last two losses, but both practiced during the Warriors' three days off and are expected to face the Grizzlies. The Warriors have beaten their last two opponents in NBA Finals -- Boston at home and Toronto on the road -- for the only wins in their last nine games, and Draymond Green believes it's time for him and his mates to start taking a disappointing 15-18 start more seriously. |
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12-25-22 | Packers +3.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 26 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units For the first time in over two-and-half months the Pack finally have a winning streak. The Cheese Heads are the No. 10 seed in the NFC, currently 1.5 games behind the Commanders for the NFC’s final wild-card spot. Green Bay enters 6-1 ATS as a dog in games when favored last game. Miami returns home off a winless three game road trek knowing they are 0-4 ATS coming off three straight road games, as well as 0-4 ATS when coming off three losses. And that’s not to mention the fact they are 1-5 ATS as a host in this series. With Rodgers suddenly smelling playoff blood, know that he is 9-4-1 ATS as a dog from game 15 out, including 6-0-1 ATS when the Packers own a win percentage of .666 or less. |
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12-25-22 | 76ers v. Knicks +2 | 119-112 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After an impressive eight-game winning streak, the Knicks have dropped consecutive games to the Toronto Raptors and Chicago Bulls. RJ Barrett scored 44 points and, Julius Randle added 29 points and 12 rebounds, but the Knicks fell 118-117 to the Bulls on Friday. DeMar DeRozan's jumper with 0.4 seconds remaining was the difference, and the loss left Barrett deflated. The Knicks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall while the 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. |
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12-24-22 | Raiders v. Steelers -125 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 30 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In the cold, cold confines of Pittsburgh, on a Saturday night with Santa set to take off on his annual snow covered Christmas Eve delivery run, expect the fair-weathered dome protected Raiders to succumb to another Mike Tomlin push here tonight. For openers, QB Kenny Pickett is back for the Black and Gold where he stands 3-0 SUATS in his NFL career against sub .500 foes while the Burghers are 6-2 ATS on Saturdays. With Vegas just 3-12 ATS versus losing foes, look for the Tomln tribute to continue tonight. |
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12-24-22 | Middle Tennessee State v. San Diego State -6.5 | 25-23 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Aztecs (7-5) were two different teams this year -- one before Mississippi State transfer Jalen Mayden took over at quarterback and another after he got the job from Virginia Tech transfer Braxton Burmeister. Prior to Mayden's insertion, San Diego State went 2-3 and averaged just 19 points per game with an inefficient passing attack. With Mayden running the offense, the Aztecs posted a 5-2 mark and scored 23 points per game. Mayden has completed 62.9 percent of his passes for 1,721 yards and 10 touchdowns, giving the offense some big-play potential it didn't have in recent years. He has thrown seven interceptions. Aztecs coach Brady Hoke said the bowl trip is a reward for his team and also a chance to win the last game of the year. To cap it off, MTSU was mugged in games against fellow bowlers this season (0-3 SUATS and In The Stats). |
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12-24-22 | Eagles +4.5 v. Cowboys | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Cowboys, who have clinched a playoff berth, are 6-12 outright in Prescott’s NFL career in games in which he has more turnovers than touchdown passes, including 0-3 SUATS this season. The problem today for the Cowboys, though, is Dallas is just 2-10 ATS and 4-8 ATS at home in this series when Philly sports the better record. Yes, there are a lot of back-and-forth numbers bandying about in this fray, but until Dallas improves its to 8-25-1 ATS mark as a home favorite when coming off a loss, we’ll be flying with the Eagles. Especially knowing that Dallas is 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 ATS at home on Saturdays during the regular season since 1980. |
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12-24-22 | Giants +4 v. Vikings | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Vikes have clinched the division and a playoff spot s0 can they thwart the path of others looking to earn their playoff stripes? Owning the league’s 32nd-ranked (worst) defense, they concede all of the defensive numbers to the Giants in this contest. Minny has been out-yarded in 5 of their last 6 games and are 1-5-1 ATS in the last seven games against NFC East opponents. With the G-Men barely clinging to the No. 6 spot in the NFC playoff pictures, and 7-1 ATS on Saturdays, look for Big Blue to improve on its 7-2 ATS mark as a dog under rookie head coach Brian Daboll. Grab the points. |
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12-24-22 | Bengals v. Patriots +3 | Top | 22-18 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Currently the Pats are the No. 8 seed in the AFC playoff picture but they must close out the season against the likes of these 10-4 Bengals, 8-6 Miami, and 11-3 Buffalo. Thus, it starts today against a Cincinnati squad who enters just 7-29 SU and 12-22-2 ATS away against the AFC East, including 1-6 SU and 0-6-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit win. Yes, the Hoodies need to roll up their sleeves and get to work against a Joe Burrow-led Bengals’ bunch on an AFC best 6-game win skein. However, consider that playing against any NFL team that is 6-0 SUATS in its last six games if they are facing a sub .700 non-division opponent is 10-1 ATS since 1980. |
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12-24-22 | Lions -140 v. Panthers | 23-37 | Loss | -140 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Meet the Lions, who are at the precipice of becoming the first NFL team to make the playoffs after starting the season 1-6. They are currently riding the arm of Jared Goff, the only QB in the league with no turnovers the last six games. Winners of six of its previous seven games, while going 7-0 ATS, they are on a major roll, and we’re not interested in stepping in front of them with a team that is 3-11 SU and 4-10 ATS in games when coming off one loss exact. Additionally Carolina is 0-6 ATS in Last Home Games and the Lions are 5-2 ATS on the NFC South road. |
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12-23-22 | Hornets v. Lakers -155 | 134-130 | Loss | -155 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lakers have to win the games like this one if they want to stand any chance of reaching the postseason in the crowded Western Conference. The Hornets are arguably one of the worst teams in the league. Charlotte could be without Terry Rozier once more, so I’m going with the Lakers to win and cover. LeBron will lead the way for Purple-and-Gold, and the Lakers should improve defensively after a couple of tough matchups against Phoenix and Sacramento. Los Angeles is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in its last seven meetings with Charlotte. The Lakers have covered in four of their last five showings on Friday, while the Hornes are 2-5 ATS in their last seven contests overall. |
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12-23-22 | Flames -200 v. Ducks | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Ducks have only won four of their last 18 games overall. On the other side, the Flames are winless in five consecutive outings on the second night of a back-to-back, so something’s got to give in this matchup. Calgary will have to deal with fatigue, but the Flames are arguably a much better team than Anaheim. The Flames have dominated the Ducks over the last few years, winning six of their previous seven encounters. Four of Calgary’s last five victories over Anaheim have come by two or more goals. |
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12-23-22 | George Washington v. Pepperdine -150 | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams struggled in two critical areas in their respective openers, 3pt shooting and rebounding. While George Washington shot the ball poorly, however, they are not particularly adept at outside shooting so their poor shooting from outside was a bit more understandable. The Colonials are also just 182nd in the country in rebounding so being held in check on the glass is not out of character for this team. Pepperdine, however, has one of the nation's top 3pt shooting percentage in the country and the team is 42nd in the country in rebounding. Look for Pepperdine to bounce back in this matchup and get back more towards their season averages and take advantage of the Colonials' struggles. |
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12-23-22 | Canucks v. Oilers -196 | 5-2 | Loss | -196 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Canucks have looked promising and look to pull off the upset and provide great odds in the process. The problem is that they face an Oilers team that is coming off a dominant win and looks to control this game on both ends of the ice. The Oilers, who average 3.65 goals per game, should find the back of the net at will with Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Oilers should also limit the Canucks offense with Darnell Nurse, Cody Ceci, and the rest of the defensive unit stepping up at the blue line and cutting off angles to the net on the rush while goaltender Stuart Skinner makes plenty of big saves in the net. |
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12-23-22 | Pacers v. Heat -6.5 | 111-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana relies more on Haliburton than just about any team in the NBA relies on one player. He is not only the team’s leading scorer, but he also leads the league in assists. His questionable status for this game makes me want to stay completely away from the Pacers, especially since they are facing one of the top defensive teams in the league. Miami has started to round into form and should have its best player back from an illness on Friday night. The Heat have gone 11-5 in their last 16 games against Indiana and have covered the spread at a 10-5 clip in the last 15 meetings between these teams. |
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12-23-22 | Mavs v. Rockets +6.5 | 112-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Dallas Mavericks have not been a reliable team to back on the road as of late, losing three out of their last four road games. This marks the end of a four-game road trip. Dallas has also dropped five out of their last eight games overall. The Rockets have been competitive recently, especially at home. They recently beat the Bucks and Suns on the current homestand. Furthermore, the Mavericks have not been at their best offensively. They have only averaged 103 points in their last three games and that includes an overtime game in that span. The Rockets already beat the Mavericks in the lone meeting this season by nine points and are a strong play in this one. |
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12-23-22 | Bucks v. Nets -140 | 100-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Brooklyn Nets earned the first six wins of their winning streak by making plays down the stretch in the fourth quarter. Their seventh victory was among the NBA's most dominant offensive performances of the season, and the Nets are curious to see what the follow-up showing looks like Friday night when they host the league-leading Milwaukee Bucks. During their seven-game winning streak, the Nets are averaging 125.1 points, shooting 55.9 percent and making 42.6 percent of their 3-point tries. Brooklyn also is averaging 28.1 assists to go along with 6.9 steals and 5.9 blocks since its last loss on Dec. 4 against the Boston Celtics. Brooklyn's numbers during the streak significantly increased Wednesday thanks to a flawless showing in a 143-113 rout of the visiting Golden State Warriors, who were without Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins. |
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12-23-22 | Bulls v. Knicks -5 | 118-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks have won eight of their last 10 games and four of their last five home games. They are playing well offensively, especially at home where they have scored over 115 points per game in their last three games while making over 51 percent of their shots. They are one of the best rebounding teams in the league and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, grabbing more than 13 offensive boards per game at home, which will lead to extra scoring opportunities. The Bulls aren’t very good offensively and they played worse in recent games, giving up more than 120 points per game in their last three games, and will have a hard time slowing down the Knicks. The Bulls have lost four of their last six games and five of their last seven road games. Despite their recent run, they continue to play well offensively, scoring more than 115 points per game in their last three games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Knicks and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities against them. They’ve also been very careless with the ball, which will be a problem against the Knicks, who are averaging seven steals per game. With New York holding opponents under 105 points per game in their last three games, they will keep Chicago’s offense in check, so go with New York to cover the spread. |
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12-23-22 | Panthers -116 v. Islanders | 1-5 | Loss | -116 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Well rested, with no shortage of determination to enter the Christmas break on a positive note and having already beaten the Islanders in their most recent five head-to-head clashes, the Panthers look more than promising ahead of their trip to Long Island. They have triumphed in just two of their past seven matchups, but have still split their last six travels and have been largely impressive when facing off against teams from the Metropolitan Division, winning on 24 of the past 33 occasions. The most recent record of the Islanders when playing the second part of their back-to-backs is a decent one (4-1). Still, New York has managed to bank just three victories in its previous 11 fixtures overall, winning just twice in its last 11 encounters against the Atlantic Division. Besides, the prospect of the Isles going with Cory Schneider, a goalie that has started just a single NHL game since the beginning of the 2021-22 season, definitely plays into the hands of the Cats. |
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12-23-22 | Clippers v. 76ers -155 | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia is just as good as the Clippers on the defensive end of the court and they have been more efficient on the offensive end. The Clippers aren't going to be able to score enough points to cover this spread. They are averaging the least amount of points scored per game and the 23rd-highest shooting percentage from the field. They won't be able to handle Philadelphia's pressure and they will slowly fall behind in this game. I also see the Clippers struggling to stop Embiid, as he continues to dominate. He will control the paint and carry his team to victory. Embiid and Harden look deadly right now and I just don't see the Clippers slowing them down on the road. Philadelphia will also contest shots near the rim and on the perimeter, as they will continue to pull away throughout this game. Philadelphia still has the fourth-highest three-point shooting percentage and they are scoring the 19th most points per game. They will find different ways to score and cover the spread in this game. |
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12-23-22 | Wake Forest -125 v. Missouri | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Tigers finished strong after getting thumped by the Vols, and an earlier October win on the road at South Carolina looks even better now when you consider that the Gamecocks beat both Tennessee and Clemson in their fi nal two games. Unfortunately, SEC bowlers coming off a SU underdog win are 3-9-2 ATS versus a foe coming off a SUATS loss, and Mizzou is 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS as a bowler coming off a win. Mizzou HC Eliah Drinkwitz is also 1-5 SUATS against an opponent coming off a SUATS loss if he has the better record. |
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12-23-22 | Houston -7 v. UL-Lafayette | 23-16 | Push | 0 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It has been a wildly uneven year in Lafayette, LA, but give props to Coach Michael Desormeaux for holding together the shards left by Billy Napier’s departure to Florida. UH triumphs if Clayton Tune is hitting the scales and avoiding the sour notes. The Cougars QB has 37 TD passes, tied with the top two Heisman candidates – winner Caleb Williams and third-place CJ Stroud, but has thrown a pick in his last four games. UL’s offense is more balanced, having 15 players with 100 or more scrimmage yards this season, tied with SMU and Texas Tech. Discipline (sometimes) and emotion versus balance makes for an intriguing matchup. |
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12-22-22 | Pepperdine v. Hawaii -190 | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a great spot for the host Rainbow Warriors to flex their defensive muscles against a Pepperdine team that wants to run and wants to launch 3pt shots. Hawaii's defense is amongst the best in the country, particularly at stopping long-range shooting teams. The 22nd-ranked Hawaii 3pt defense will pressure Pepperdine along the perimeter and challenge all their shots. In addition, Hawaii should be able to capitalize on Pepperdine's sometimes sloppy play with the ball to steal some easy baskets. Pepperdine has yet to win a game away from home this season. Finally, don't discount the advantage Hawaii has being home in this tournament and treating this as just a game and less of an event. |
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12-22-22 | Wild -160 v. Sharks | 2-5 | Loss | -160 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Filip Gustavsson has emerged victorious in six straight starts. Minnesota is undefeated in six straight showings on the second night of a back-to-back, so I’m not going to overthink this game. Of course, the Sharks are capable of beating the Wild. They’ve already done it this season, but the Sharks’ defense has been awful as of late. San Jose has only won three of its previous 13 games overall. Over their last six defeats, the Sharks have surrendered a thumping 31 goals. They are 2-5 in the last seven meetings with the Wild, who have recorded 11 wins in 14 games before Wednesday’s battle against Anaheim. |
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12-22-22 | Illinois -6.5 v. Missouri | 71-93 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Missouri has an excellent record, but they have only faced the 346th-rated schedule according to KenPom and only one team in the Coaches Poll Top 25. Illinois is much more battle-tested having faced the 135th-rated schedule, and four top-25 teams, with wins over two top-10 teams. Illinois has the offensive firepower to match Missouri and also loves to play at a fast tempo. The Fighting Illini do have a huge advantage on the defensive end and also on the boards, where they are outrebounding foes +7.1 per game. At the same time, Missouri is dead even in rebounding margin on the season. I will lay the points and take Illinois. |
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12-22-22 | Jaguars +1.5 v. Jets | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 7 m | Show | |
Trevor Lawrence is a kind of unhinged Justin Herbert with a more imaginative offensive coordinator, making them extremely dangerous behind a head coach whose been there and done that. Since Week 9, Lawrence leads the NFL in passer rating (111.2) and completion percentage, having thrown 14 touchdowns and just one interception. Those are numbers Jets’ head coach Robert Saleh would die for these days. And speaking of dying, Saleh completely blew last week’s game when he mismanaged a full array of three timeouts with under two minutes remaining in last week’s puzzling loss against the Lions. Despite the Jags’ putrid road record (2-21 SU in their last 23 away games), we’ll rely instead on playing against any NFL .500 favorite off a loss in Game Fifteen of the season, that's because teams in this situation are 16-45-4 ATS in this role dating back to 1980. Worse, send these .500 choke artists home off a loss and they fall to 7-28-2 ATS. And if these same teams are facing a sub .500 opponent they are a heart-stopping 2-19-1 ATS in this role since 1980. So look for the Jags to continue their winning ways at the expense of the league’s biggest quarterback bust since the days of JaMarcus Russell: Zach Wilson. |
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12-22-22 | Spurs v. Pelicans -8 | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans has beaten the Spurs twice this season, both by double digit scores. The Spurs catch a break without Williamson playing in this matchup but they will be playing their second straight game without their own leading scorer in Johnson. New Orleans is 12-4 on the season at home and have played a number of games without key players and showed off their depth. They have shown the ability to protect the basketball and, even without Williamson, they can control the boards in this matchup. |
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12-22-22 | Air Force +4.5 v. Baylor | Top | 30-15 | Win | 100 | 78 h 15 m | Show |
Bowl Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units The military teams take advantage of success, going a combined 29-9 ATS when coming off a win. AFA is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 bowl games and in addition to being stingy at giving the ball back, they carry the top overall defense in the country. This bowl game is to honor the military and they give back by going 6-3 ATS in the last 9, including 4-1 ATS as the dog. Meanwhile, Da Bears are a sub-standard 0-3 SUATS as single digit favorites while the Big 12 has been small ATS versus military teams, going 0-3. If you are a trend lover, BU is 3-14 ATS on Thursdays plus this game is at TCU’s home field, where Baylor has lost five of the last seven, both SU and ATS. If that’s not a strong persuader, consider that Playing on any greater than .667 college military team in a bowl game that scored fewer than 50 points in its last game if they are not off a loss and their team’s overall net Yards Per Rush is greater than 1.0. is 17-0 ATS since 1980. |
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12-22-22 | Islanders v. Rangers -152 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New York Rangers are tough in goal, as Igor Shesterkin has a 2.42 goals-against average and a .918 save percentage. Overall this season the Rangers are allowing an average of only 2.71 goals per game and New York is scoring an average of 3.24 goals per game. The Rangers have won seven of the last 8 overall and five of the last 6 when playing against a team with a winning record. The Islanders have lost four out of the last 5 and when playing on 2 days rest, the Islanders are 1-5 in the last six. The Rangers are 7-6-4 at home but have won each of the last three played on their home ice. The Islanders are 1-3 in their last four on the road. |
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12-22-22 | Jets v. Bruins -230 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Since 2016, .600 to .700 NHL underdogs off a home win in the first half of the regular season are just 14-51 versus teams with a winning record, losing by an average margin of 1.3 goals. These teams are an even worse 8-37 as road underdogs, losing by an average of 1.6 goals, and 6-33 if their win at home was by two or more goals., losing by an average margin of 1.87 goals. Since 1997, NHL underdogs off 15 or more wins in their last 20 games are just 284-366 (43.7%) with limited rest over their previous four games, including 51-82 (38.3%) since 2020 and 35-57 (38%) since 2021. |
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12-22-22 | Louisville v. NC State -17 | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cardinals have one of the country's most under-whelming teams this season and there's little reason to think that things will change as they hit the road in this one. They only have two wins on the season as a whole and without a win away from home, this isn't an opponent that they match up well with. The Wolfpack have one of the ACC's best scoring duos and Louisville will not only not be able to stop them, nor will they be able to come close to matching the scoring punch. Additionally, according to covers.com, Louisville is 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, while NC State is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. |
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12-21-22 | Lakers v. Kings -6 | 120-134 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Los Angeles Lakers and Sacramento Kings hope to get back on winning tracks when they square off Wednesday night in the California capital. The Lakers had won two in a row before opening a three-day, two-game trip without LeBron James and absorbing a 130-104 drubbing in Phoenix at the hands of the Suns on Monday night. At the same time, the Kings, also seeking a third consecutive win but doing so on their home court, saw the Charlotte Hornets come to town and walk away with a 125-119 victory. L.A. and Sacramento met once earlier this season, with the Kings winning 120-114 on the road in November in a game in which the Lakers were also missing James. This time, they'll be without Anthony Davis, who injured his right foot in a 126-108 home win over the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Consider that the Lakers are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. |
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12-21-22 | South Alabama v. Western Kentucky +4.5 | 23-44 | Win | 100 | 56 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units WKU has scored 45+ points in four bowl games since 2014, most in FBS during that span. WKU QB Austin Reed, who turned down new Louisville Head Coach Jeff Brohm’s request to transfer, meaning Reed is returning to the Hilltoppers with his 4,247 pass yards and 36 TDs. While Reed may not know this, sticking with Coach Tyson Helton can pay off, since Tyson often puts foes in a corner, going 18-5 SU and 16-6-1 ATS vs. a team off an ATS defeat. WKU is generally good at putting money in people’s pockets with a 3-0 SUATS mark versus the devilish .666-win percentage types and 13-2 ATS as a dog vs. the Fun Belt. Meantime, South Alabama is seeking the first bowl win in program history. The Jaguars are a toothless 0-2 SUATS in bowl games and have also struggled versus C-USA, going 1-3 SUATS against .500 or better. |
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12-21-22 | St. Mary's -8 v. Wyoming | 66-54 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Saint Mary's Gaels’ defense, which is allowing an average of 57.7 points per game and 39.9% shooting will be too much for the Wyoming offense. Wyoming is shooting a below average 44.4% overall and will get very few second look opportunities as St Mary's is allowing an average of only 25.8 rebounds per game including just 5.6 offensive rebounds, which is third best in the country. St. Mary's has covered the spread in six of the last seven games played on a Wednesday on the road. Wyoming has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 16 games overall. The Cowboys are scoring a respectable 73.6 points per game but are shooting just 44.4% and rely on a more up-tempo game and St. Mary’s will take the wind out of the sails as the Gaels will use as much of the shot clock as possible on each possession. |
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12-21-22 | Blazers v. Thunder +4 | 98-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City. Additionally the Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. While the Thunder are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 43-19-3 ATS in their last 65 games following a ATS win, and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. |
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12-21-22 | Magic v. Rockets +1.5 | 116-110 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Rockets are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points, and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 Wednesday games. While the Magic are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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12-21-22 | Mavs v. Wolves +3.5 | 104-99 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Naz Reid continued his strong play in the absence of Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns by contributing 27 points and 13 rebounds. Gobert has missed three straight games with a sprained left ankle, while Towns has been sidelined since sustaining a calf injury on Nov. 28. Jaylen Nowell scored 18 points off the bench and Austin Rivers added 16 for the Timberwolves, one night after Minnesota set a franchise record for points (150) and field goals (57) in a rout of the Chicago Bulls. Consider that the Mavericks are 7-16-2 ATS in their last 25 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. |
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12-21-22 | Canadiens v. Avalanche -255 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Colorado has battled through a slew of injuries this season to push back into striking distance in the playoff picture in the Central Division race. The Avalanche will get Gabriel Landeskog, Nathan MacKinnon, Darren Helm and others aback on the ice in the next few weeks. Meanwhile, they are still having success as other guys step up and contribute on each end of the ice. Georgiev has been stellar between the pipes and that’s something that we haven’t seen from Montreal this season. Goaltending is something that can make or break you in the NHL, as we’ve seen repeatedly over the years. The Canadiens struggle in their own end, they are dismal with the man advantage and they have offensive issues. |
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12-21-22 | Bulls v. Hawks -6 | 110-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games on the road. They are 2-3 in the second half of back-to-backs thus far this season. They are also just 2-7 ATS overall in their last nine games prior to Tuesday night's game. The Bulls defense is struggling to slow down their opponents and will have a difficult time against a Hawks team that has Murray and Collins back to support the offense. The Hawks should control the tempo and flow of the game with their ability to protect the basketball, they are 8th in the NBA in assist-to-turnover ratio. Additionally, the Bulls are just 4-11 on the road this season while the Hawks are 10-5 at home. Atlanta defeated Chicago two weeks ago in Atlanta. |
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12-21-22 | Raptors v. Knicks -125 | 113-106 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In their six-game losing streak, the Raptors are scoring under 110 points per game and shooting under 45% from the floor. All season, the Raptors have struggled from long range as they are 29th in the NBA in 3pt field goal percentage. The Raptors are typically one of the best assist-to-turnover teams in the NBA, ranking fifth in the league. However, they have turned the ball over 27 times combined in their last two losses. Consider that the Knicks are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 0 days rest. |
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12-21-22 | Lightning -155 v. Red Wings | 4-7 | Loss | -155 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In the Wings' first meeting with the Lightning, Ville Husso made 44 saves and they scored three third-period goals, including a pair of empty-netters. The matchup today will be the second of four between the Atlantic Division teams, but they won't face each other again until Feb. 25. Tampa Bay had a five-game winning streak halted at Toronto on Tuesday. The Lightning were outshot 40-19 in the 4-1 loss, although two of the goals they gave up were empty-netters. Vladislav Namestnikov scored the lone Lightning goal. During the winning streak, Tampa Bay outscored the opposition 24-7. The Bolts have snatched 11 victories on their past 14 visits to Motor City, winning the very last three. |
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12-21-22 | Michigan v. North Carolina -5 | 76-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I know bettors are going to be wary of backing North Carolina after its slow start to the season, but the Tar Heels have started to round into form and were able to gain some confidence with an overtime win against a ranked opponent. They also match up very well in this game, as they have the size to counter Dickinson along with the guard play to match Howard. Neither team has been good on the defensive end of the court, but North Carolina has more firepower offensively. Michigan needs Dickinson to play a perfect game today, while the Tar Heels have numerous high-level scoring options. |
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12-20-22 | Ducks v. Kings -257 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Ducks have been awful on both sides of the ice since the opening week. They’ve won two straight contests, but I highly doubt their chances to make it three in a row even though the Kings are far away from a solid defensive team. Los Angeles possesses a lot of offensive weapons and should deal with the Ducks’ struggling defense, so I’m backing the Kings to beat the puck line because the money line odds are not attractive at all. Anaheim has gone 3-7-2 over its last 12 games overall. Each of the Ducks’ last four losses has come by two or more goals. Also, they are 3-7 in the last ten games against the Kings and 1-11 in their previous 12 encounters with the Western Conference. |
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12-20-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets +1.5 | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nuggets have plenty of talent, but the one name circled on every scouting report is two-time MVP Nikola Jokic. He is playing well again this year and is coming off a historic game against Charlotte on Sunday night. Jokic finished with 40 points, a career-high 27 rebounds and 10 assists to join Wilt Chamberlain as the only players to compile those numbers in one game. Jokic had a franchise-record 20 rebounds in the first half of the 119-115 win. Consider that the Grizzlies are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 road games and 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Denver. |
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12-20-22 | Wizards v. Suns -6 | 113-110 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I am going to take the Suns and I am going to lay the points (-7.5). As long as Booker and Ayton play, I believe this team can beat anybody. Make sure to check the injury report before placing your wager. On the offensive end of the court, the Suns have the third-highest adjusted offensive rating and they are scoring the 10th most points per game. They can score from anywhere on the floor and the Wizards won't be able to slow them down. Washington has now lost 10 games in a row, as they can't do anything right. They are struggling on the defensive end of the court and they can efficiently score either. They are only scoring the 23rd most points per game and they haven't been able to defend the three-point shot. The Suns will find consistent open shots throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage. Phoenix has also been elite defensively, as they are surrendering the seventh least amount of points per game and they have the 10th lowest adjusted defensive rating. They will get the job done on both ends of the floor, as I see them slowly pulling away in this game. |
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12-20-22 | Senators v. Jets -124 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Senators are looking to rebound from a rough loss and pull off the upset in the upcoming game. The problem is that the Jets have looked like one of the best teams in the Western Conference and look to control this game from the opening puck drop. The Jets, who average 3.32 goals per game, should constantly find the back of the net against a Senators defense that allows 3.16 goals per game with Kyle Connor, Pierre-Luc Dubois, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes. The Jets, who allow only 2.58 goals per game, should also limit the Senators' offense with Josh Morrissey, Brenden Dillon, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Connor Hellebuyck to make plenty of big saves. The Jets should win the game with a dominant performance on their home ice. |
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