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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-18-17 | Islanders v. Lightning -166 | 5-3 | Loss | -166 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Tampa Bay Lightning continue to cruise along at the top of the NHL and look to extend their winning streak to six games tonight when the improving New York Islanders pay a visit. The Lightning are 6-0-1 since losing in regulation for only the second time this season and eased to a 6-1 victory over Dallas on Thursday with a workmanlike performance for 60 minutes. The Lightning are 18-for-18 on the penalty kill over the last seven games and New York is 1-for-11 on the power play in the past four. |
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11-18-17 | Nebraska v. Penn State -26 | Top | 44-56 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 34 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week Lions seemed to shake off woes of incredible losses to Ohio State & Michigan State, with 35-6 romp of Rutgers, but note just 304 yards, with Bradley now at 33rd in the land in rushing. 'Huskers a 340-rushing yard deficit in 54-21 loss to Minnesota. And note allowing 43.7 points per game in last 9 underdog roles |
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11-18-17 | Panthers v. Kings -139 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Captain Anze Kopitar has continued his production during the scoring slump, notching an assist Thursday to extend his point streak to 10 games (three goals, nine assists). Versatile forward Jussi Jokinen, who was acquired from Edmonton in exchange for Mike Cammalleri recently, recorded an assist on Drew Doughty’s power-play goal in his Los Angeles debut for his second point of the season in 15 contests. Los Angeles G Jonathan Quick is 7-2-0 with 1.72 goals-against average and .937 save percentage in nine career games against the Panthers. |
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11-18-17 | La Salle v. Northwestern -7.5 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Northwestern mentor Chris Collins was highly displeased with his team’s poor defensive effort in 92-88 home loss to Creighton on Wednesday. So, with the Wildcats surely digging in on the stop end, willing to lay single digits vs. LaSalle squad in its toughest test to date. NW’s star 6-7 jr. F Vic Law, who poured in 30 points. vs. Blue Jays, should have another field day vs. the Explorers’ still-shaky interior defense, while marvelous 6-3 sr. G Bryant McIntosh controls the flow from the perimeter. Resilient Wildcats 7-1 vs. spread last 8 following a SU loss |
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11-18-17 | Mississippi State -11.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 28-21 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 15 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit SEC Play of the Day Bulldogs stayed with Alabama, losing in final 0:25. The host has a 255-91 point edge in Mississippi State games this year, but note 'Dogs covering their last road game by 18½. Hogs are barely competitive, with their 2 covers by ½ & 4 points. And they're allowing 39.6 points per game in last their 9 dog role setups. |
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11-18-17 | Rutgers +11 v. Indiana | 0-41 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both of these squads stand at 4-6 SU, with a win here a must if a bowl is to be, thus the importance of it goes without saying. For the Hoosiers, they snapped a 4-game slide with their win over an Illinois squad which has been nothing short of a doormat for just about the entirety of the season, having dropped 8 straight, while covering just twice since week 2. The same can be said of Indy, with its 2 covers since Sept coming bye ½ & 1 point. The Knights are on a 5 game ATS run, & have been competitive vs all opponents, save for Ohio State, as even in their loss to Penn State last week, they had only a 104-yard deficit. Double-digit underdog role just too juicy |
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11-16-17 | Titans +7 v. Steelers | 17-40 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams have won 4 straight games. Old hat for the Steelers, but the Titans hadn't done that since '09. And the best start for this franchise, since '08, when they ended up as the #1 seed in the AFC. Check those 27-15 first down & 180-53 rushing yard edges over the Bengals, taking it on a Mariota TD pass in the final 0:36. Pittsburgh has taken 5 in a row in this series, with their current run made possible by a pair of 2nd half touchdown throws from Ben, who has just 12 touchdowns with 10 interceptions for the season. A quirk shows that the Steelers lost their last non-division home game by 28 points ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-game lead in their division. But this one is going to be tight. Take the points. |
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11-15-17 | Spurs +5 v. Wolves | 86-98 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Rematch of SA’s 107-99 opening night win and cover when Spurs were fueled by a LaMarcus Aldridge double double (25 &10). But still waiting for Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker to get back onto the court. Minny also 7-2 SU thru Nov. 9 in games when Jimmy Butler has made it on the floor, which he’ll have to be if T-wolves are to break recent slump vs. Spurs, who have won all five meetings since LY. |
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11-15-17 | Pistons v. Bucks -4 | 95-99 | Push | 0 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Drummond scored 14 of his 24 points in the third quarter and Harris knocked down three 3-pointers to finish with 13 points as the Detroit beat the Bucks 105-96 snapping a three-game losing streak to their divisional rivals. But the Bucks are a significantly different team than they were Nov. 3. The day after that meeting, the Bucks acquired Eric Bledsoe in a trade with Phoenix and have won three in a row since the veteran guard joined the team. Bledsoe is averaging 13 points despite shooting just 37.8 percent from the floor. Those numbers are pretty good when you consider that Bledsoe had gone two weeks without playing after having a falling out with the Suns. |
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11-15-17 | Wizards +1.5 v. Heat | 102-93 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami had a chance to pull off a winning road trip but dropped a 112-103 decision at Detroit on Sunday to settle for a 3-3 excursion. The Wizards are continuing to get better as well and picked up their third straight win with a 110-92 win over the Sacramento Kings on Monday. Washington will play 11 of its next 14 games on the road. |
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11-12-17 | Patriots -7.5 v. Broncos | 41-16 | Win | 101 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Stick a fork in this squad. It doesn't matter if it's Simien, Brock, or Lynch, the Broncos are done. There is only so much that even this defense can do. Were out gained 419-226, & had a first down deficit of 25-14 in unimaginable 51-23 loss to the Eagles. Hadn't allowed 30 points in a game this year, nor any touchdown runs. And things don't get any easier, now catching the defending champs off their bye. Anything else? This defense (still #1) has forced only 7 turnovers all season. Pats on 4-game winning streak, with Tom at 2,541 passing yards & 16 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions. And with Gronk fully healthy, not about to buck this squad. |
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11-12-17 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Falcons | 7-27 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Twenty-four years ago, the Cowboys came to Atlanta, & won their 2nd of back-to-back Super Bowls vs the Bills. That game was played in the now extinct Georgia Dome. Anytime the 'Boys take the field this year, the question looms: "Will he play?". Obviously the continuing saga that is Elliott's availability has to take its toll, although you would never know it as Dallas is at 31.7 points per game in their last 6 games. 'Boys looked impressive, holding KC's Hunt to 37 rushing yards (entered at 95.4 yards per game). Falcons in off seeing brilliant WR Jones drop a wide open TD with 8:12 left, & have lost their last 2 home games by 14 & 16 points ATS |
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11-12-17 | Texans v. Rams -11.5 | 7-33 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These 2 young & exciting teams looked like they were both heading to the playoffs, prior to Watson's injury, which is a crushing blow, & boy, didn't it show on Sunday vs the Colts. With Deshaun running the offense, Texans set a franchise record by scoring 30 or more points in 5 straight games. But in loss to Indy, nary an offensive TD until the final 6:11. Rams' Goff set career highs with 4 TDs & 311 passing yards in 51-17 rout of the definitely "hapless" Giants. L.A.'s 6-2 start is franchise's best since 2001. Rams are 13-2 ATS as favorites off scoring more than 34 points. Going in opposite directions |
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11-12-17 | Steelers -10 v. Colts | 20-17 | Loss | -104 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Twelve years ago, Pitt came in here & shocked the top-seeded Colts in the Divisionals, on the way to a Super Bowl title. Remember Big Ben's tackle after the "Bus" fumbled? Steelers in off a bye, so note winning their last 2 road games by 19-13 & 20-15 scores, covering their last 3 visiting roles. The Colts halted a 3-game skid, in taking the crippled Texans, 20-14, behind 308 passing yards & 2 touchdowns from Brissett, thereby preventing their first 4-game losing streak under Chuck Pagano. Steelers are 5-0 ATS in the 2nd of 2 road games, & 12-1 ATS vs an opponent with double revenge. It's Pittsburgh |
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11-12-17 | Browns v. Lions -10.5 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The most obvious edge in this contest is the overwhelming 19-turnover advantage enjoyed by the Lions, who are +7, while the Browns are at -12. It continues. Cleveland now stands 1-24 & 2-31 SU. And note that Brownies have allowed 31 or more points in 4 of their last 6 games, while posting a current spread record of 5-15. This is one of those old school NFL matchups. Back to Jim Brown days when they met for the title. No pick for Cleveland's Kizer vs Vikings (1st time all year). Tight games rule Detroit games, with last 3 home games decided by 4, 3, 5 points SU. Won't be anywhere near that here. |
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11-11-17 | Boise State -5.5 v. Colorado State | 59-52 | Win | 100 | 98 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Let's see. In this one, we have a Ram team which is -49½ points ATS in its L2 home games, while piling up an 0-4 spread slide, with its only SU wins in its L4 games coming by 2 & 3 points. The visitor is 22-4 in Bronco games, & Boise has a 1,012-581 yard edge L2 weeks. |
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11-11-17 | Jets -110 v. Coyotes | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Arizona is making a quick stop in the desert as it is in the midst of a stretch that has it playing seven of eight on the road. The club is coming off a 3-2 shootout loss at St. Louis on Thursday in which Brendan Perlini scored twice to double his season total of goals. Winnipeg has split the first two contests of its three-game road trip, defeating Dallas on Monday before falling 5-2 in Vegas four nights later. Adam Lowry and Patrik Laine scored for the Jets, who had their eight-game point streak (5-0-3) snapped. |
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11-11-17 | Tennessee v. Missouri -11 | 17-50 | Win | 100 | 94 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tigers suddenly "money", with 5 straight covers (+85½ points), with balanced 227 rushing yard, 228 passing yards vs Florida. Vols snapped 4 game slide, last week, but rank as nation's 5th worst offense, & can't march Tiger's firepower |
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11-11-17 | Alabama -13.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 50 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week Alabama not all that impressive in win over LSU, with 151-116 rushing yard & 306-299 total yard deficits. But never down for long, with 59-0 & 41-9 wins off L2 ATS setbacks. Bulldogs peeked to this one in 22 point ATS loss to U Mass. Eleventh in rushing, but Alabama defense will be ready. Lay it |
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11-11-17 | Clippers v. Pelicans -6 | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 1 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The slumping Clippers played last night in OKC, and they were just 1-5 vs. the number prior to that game. Note HC Doc Rivers’ crew is just 2-9 vs. the points in last 11 when un rested. New Orleans is rested after visit to Toronto Thursday, and the Pelican front line continues to produce big numbers, with C Boogie Cousins and PF Anthony Davis combining for more than 57 points per game and 26 rebound per game. Davis had made 65% of his shots in the 3 games prior to facing the Raptors, and L.A. is 4-14 vs. the points last 18 trips to New Orleans. |
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11-11-17 | Florida Atlantic -5 v. Louisiana Tech | Top | 48-23 | Win | 100 | 91 h 6 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week Five straight wins for FAU, with a 237-132 point edge (+80½ points ATS). Check Singletary at 140 rushing yards per game & 19 touchdowns. Bulldogs in weekly squeakers, & in off 100-yard deficit vs North Texas. FAU call. |
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11-11-17 | NC State v. Boston College +3 | Top | 17-14 | Push | 0 | 87 h 38 m | Show |
Rating; 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week About time that I jumped on this legitimate train that is BC. Not only 6 straight covers, by a combined 119 points ATS, but check +98½ points in their last 3 games, including upsets of Louisville, Virginia, & Florida State, with the latter 2 by 31 & 32 points SU! Are rested, to boot, while facing a Wolfpack outfit that is in off no less than #3 Notre Dame, & #4 Clemson. No questioning the fact that NC State QB Finley is the real deal, but check a 542-203 rushing yard deficit past 2 weeks. Climbing off the carpet vs this oncoming train, is unlikely |
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11-10-17 | Nets +9 v. Blazers | 101-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Portland is just 1-5 as Moda Center favorite this season, and Brooklyn covered in Phoenix and Denver on back-to-back nights in last 2 games on this road trip. Head coach Kenny Atkinson is getting increased production from backup C Tyler Zeller of late, as he’s scored 14 points per game on 71% shooting in past 3 games, and G D’Angelo Russell has scored 21 points per game on 46% shooting in his last 4. Portland leader Damian Lillard has been missing his threes (just 19% last 3 games), while opponents shot 49% in last 3. |
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11-10-17 | Hurricanes v. Blue Jackets -135 | 3-1 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Rookie Pierre-Luc Dubois scored in his NHL debut but then muddled through a 14-game goal drought before wowing his teammates with the lone tally against Nashville after stripping perennial All-Star defenseman P.K Subban of the puck. Atkinson played more than 23 1/2 minutes and had four shots on goal in his return from a four-game absence. Blue Jackets G Sergei Bobrovsky is 9-5-0 with a 2.11 goals-against average versus the Hurricanes./p> |
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11-08-17 | Eastern Michigan -2 v. Central Michigan | 30-42 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Eagles keep on doing it, with current 17-3-1 ATS run, not affording another slip, with bowl game still a shot. Central Michigan in off 21-0 edge in 4th to take Western Michigan, but 6-12 ATS |
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11-05-17 | Raiders -3 v. Dolphins | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 33 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Raiders have lost for the 5th time in 6 games, so the much awaited return of Carr has resulted in a pulse-stopping win over the Chiefs, & a sloppy, 4 turnover, 34-14 loss to the Bills, with a 166-54 rushing yard deficit. After scoring on their opening drive, the Raiders' next 7 possessions ended with 4 punts, 3 turnovers, & a failed bid to score at the end of the 2nd quarter. The weather in Buffalo was horrendous, but won't be here. Miami in off their 2nd shutout loss in their last 5 games, managing a mere 196 yards, with 3 sacks & 2 picks from Moore. Miami 1-10 ATS off giving up over 34 points. Must win for Raiders. |
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11-05-17 | Pacers v. Knicks | 101-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New York beat the Pacers in 3 of 4 meetings a year ago, reversing a trend that had seen the Pacers win 10 of the previous 11 games in the series. Both teams famously lost all-star forwards to Oklahoma City in offseason trades, as first Paul George of Indiana (in July) and then Carmelo Anthony of the Knicks (in late September) were dealt to the Thunder. Now the Knicks are rebuilding around Kristaps Porzingis and the Pacers are pinning their hopes on G Victor Oladipo (24 ppg) and C Myles Turner (out with concussion). |
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11-05-17 | Canadiens v. Blackhawks -155 | 2-0 | Loss | -155 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Crawford, who leads the league in shutouts (two), goals-against average (1.75) and save percentage (.945), has allowed fewer than two goals in seven of his 12 appearances this season. Brandon Saad leads the team with six goals despite entering Sunday with an eight-game drought and also tops the club with four game-winning tallies. Patrick Kane leads the Blackhawks in scoring with 14 points despite failing to record a power-play goal in the early season. The Blackhawks look to complete a sweep of the season series after posting a 3-1 victory at Montreal on Oct. 10. |
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11-05-17 | Celtics v. Magic +3.5 | 104-88 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Orlando has already claimed some impressive scalps this season, including Cleveland and San Antonio in a hot start that saw the Magic win 6 of its first 8 SU prior to hosting Chicago Friday. Now the foe is the sizzling Boston Celtics, who’d won and covered 6 straight prior to visiting Oklahoma City two nights ago. Celtics won all 4 meetings with the Magic last season, covering 3 behind the play of then-guard tandem Isaiah Thomas and Avery Bradley. Those two are gone, as are Jae Crowder and C Kelly Olynyk. Those players were 3 of the Celts top 4 scorers in the series and all shot 50% or better. This is a different (and better) Magic team than the one that covered just 14 of 41 at home last year. |
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11-05-17 | Chiefs v. Cowboys -140 | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Some pretty cool sidebars here. This will be Romo's first time broadcasting a Cowboys game, while it's Andy Reid's first time back in Dallas since he coached the Eagles back in 2012. By the way, the 'Boys (-10½) won that one, 38-33. Dallas RB Elliott is once again looking pretty dominant, with 147 & 150 rushing yards the past 2 weeks, including a pair of touchdowns in each game. Cowboys blocked a field goal & forced 3 turnovers in win over the Redkins. Dallas seems in the groove |
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11-05-17 | Rams -4 v. Giants | 51-17 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rams have been a great surprise this season, currently sitting atop the NFC West, with only 1 team (Eagles) having more wins. L.A. has topped 32 points 4 times, behind the vastly improve Quarterbacking of Goff, while Gurley is the perfect complement. A couple of weeks ago, I pegged the Broncos as a near "can't miss" choice, when hosting the Giants' punchless overhead game of NY. But it didn't work out, thanks to Denver's equally inept offense. As noted above, that isn't the case with the Rams. And L.A. is in off its bye week |
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11-05-17 | Bengals v. Jaguars -6 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Obviously, the Jaguars are at their best when taking to the road, as the visitor is 6-0 both SU & ATS this year. A 4-3 start for Jacksonville, scoring 29, 44, 30, & 27 points in those wins. Are in off a bye, following Bortles season-high 330 yards, which ended a 4-game losing streak at Lucas Oil Stadium. Jags set franchise record with 10 sacks, recording first shutout win since Oct, of '06, with a 518-232 yard edge over Indy. Cincinnati is in off 1-point win over Indy, rushing for just 58 yards vs a team that allowed the Jacksonville to score on their first 4 possessions, just a week earlier. Took Indy thanks to a pick-6 in the final 6:58. Jacksonville is 6-1 ATS off a bye, & Cincinnati is 2-8 vs an opponent who is off a bye. |
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11-05-17 | Falcons -133 v. Panthers | 17-20 | Loss | -133 | 25 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Matchup of the last two teams to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. Falcons in off snapping 3-game losing streak vs Jets, all to other AFC East teams. So 0-4 ATS to that division. And Ryan had all kinds of trouble with the inclement weather, fumbling 4 snaps, & losing 2 of them. The Panther defense didn't allow a touchdown for the 2nd straight week, helping Carolina snap a 2-game losing streak, putting away its win over Tampa Bay away in the 4th, by intercepting Winston twice. The Falcons have Dallas & Seattle on deck, but note that Atlanta won 33-16 here a year ago. Carolina is 0-5 in division play, when taking on an opponent off a non-division contest. |
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11-04-17 | Penguins -135 v. Canucks | 2-4 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Vancouver failed to score at all in its last contest as it dropped a 2-0 decision to New Jersey on Wednesday to fall to 1-1-1 on its five-game homestand. The defeat put an end to a five-game point streak (4-0-1) for the Canucks, who have yet to have a player reach double digits in points. Brock Boeser, a 20-year-old rookie right wing, tops the club with nine - including a team-leading five that have come on the power play. Evgeni Malkin had his three-game goal-scoring streak snapped in Calgary but notched an assist to give him a point in four straight contests. The 31-year-old Russian shares the team lead in tallies (six) and points (15) while topping the club in power-play goals (four) and game-winners (three). Phil Kessel also has registered 15 points. |
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11-04-17 | Sabres v. Stars -165 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tyler Seguin has recorded five goals and six assists in the last nine games to build his total to 13 points overall - one behind team-leader Jamie Benn, who has just one in the last three games. Goalie Ben Bishop has dominated the Sabres in his career (10-0-1, 1.61 goals-against average, .940 save percentage). Dallas could use more production through the lineup and forward Mattias Janmark, who missed all of last season to injury, has points in his last three games (one goal, two assists). |
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11-04-17 | Avalanche v. Flyers -163 | 5-4 | Loss | -163 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Michal Neuvirth turned aside all 33 shots he faced versus the Blues as he, like Varlamov, rebounded from an abysmal performance (five goals) in his previous outing. The 29-year-old has yielded two tallies or fewer in four of his five starts this season, with impressive work being supplied by 20-year-old Ivan Provorov as he presides over a relatively green defense. Provorov tied a franchise record with 10 blocked shots on Thursday and logged 27:08 of ice time, marking the fourth straight game that he has eclipsed 27 minutes. |
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11-04-17 | Oregon State v. California -7 | Top | 23-37 | Win | 100 | 93 h 46 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day Home team in California games is 7-0 ATS (+125 points), but Bears just 288 passing yards per game in their L3 home games, while the Beavers suddenly an offensive force (833-607 yard edge vs Colorado & Stanford). However, I am going to the perfect ATS mark for the home team. |
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11-04-17 | South Carolina v. Georgia -24 | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sure, the Gamecocks sit at 6-2 SU so far, missing cover vs Vanderbilt in final 4:50, but rank just 105th in rushing, with QB Bentley undependable. Georgia keeps rolling: 8-0 SU, & 7-1 ATS (4 points). Try 85-43 first down & 1,379-368 rushing yard edges the L4 weeks. Number 3 in scoring & total offense. Georgia call in this one. |
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11-04-17 | Grizzlies v. Clippers -6 | 113-104 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Memphis, which lost PF JaMychal Green in the opener, could be without star PG Mike Conley. Conley is very iffy after missing the Orlando game with an Achilles problem. The Grizzlies have covered just 1 of last 5 games, while the Clippers are off to a strong start behind all-star play of F Blake Griffin (23 ppg, 8 rpg, 5 apg) and team defense limiting opponents to 100 ppg and 43%. Lean to Clippers side that’s 4-1 as a favorite this season. |
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11-04-17 | Wake Forest v. Notre Dame -13.5 | Top | 37-48 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 30 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week The Irish are cementing their place by the week. Check 318-50 rushing yard edge over North Carolina State, on the heels of a 377-76 rushing yard edge over Southern California. Deacon QB Wolford blitzed Louisville with 461 passing yards along with 5 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, with TD passes of 32, 25, 52, 55 yards. No team has topped 20 points vs Notre Dame this year. Give the points. |
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11-04-17 | Stanford v. Washington State -2.5 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 91 h 23 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week Washington State doesn't fool around when they lose, with setbacks of 34 & 21 points. However, they bounced back from 1st loss with 18-point home cover. 32 first downs & 602 passing yards for naught: 58-37 loss at Arizona. Stanford lucked out (fumble recovery & touchdown in L0:20) vs Oregon State, & lost to Washington State last year. |
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11-04-17 | UMass v. Mississippi State -28 | 23-34 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulldogs have been absolutely superb, as far as dominating lesser opponents, is concerned, covering their 4 previous favorite roles by 26½, 2, 26, & 18½ points. In their last 3 games, they have a 115-31 point edge, while ranking 13th in run offense, as well as 6th in the land in total defense. The Minutemen have been decent plays, but are simply out of their league |
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11-04-17 | Auburn -15 v. Texas A&M | 42-27 | Push | 0 | 85 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A week ago, I had the notion that the Aggies would stay with Mississippi State, as slight home dogs, having competed favorably vs Alabama & Florida. Well, it wasn't to be, as the Bulldogs simply wore A&M (+2½) down, in a 35-14 beat down (35-7 in 4th). Must now run into a squad that sits at 6-2 SU, with margins of 49, 36, 30, 25, 38, & 21 points. I backed off the Tigers, after they failed to improve on a 35-3 halftime lead over Ole Miss. But a major bowl awaits, if they can run the table. Series rife with huge road wins & covers. |
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11-03-17 | Hornets v. Spurs -4 | 101-108 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The San Antonio Spurs aren't playing like an elite team and attempt to halt a four-game losing streak when they host the Charlotte Hornets on Friday. San Antonio was outclassed 112-92 by the Golden State Warriors on Thursday and looks to rebound against the Hornets, who have dropped 10 straight in San Antonio since posting a 92-85 victory on Nov. 15, 2006. |
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11-03-17 | Bulls v. Magic -8 | 105-83 | Loss | -103 | 1 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Aaron Gordon raised his level of play right along with the red-hot Orlando Magic and the former fourth-overall pick looks to continue his resurgence when the struggling Chicago Bulls pay a visit on Friday night. Gordon, who scored a career-high 12.7 points per game last season, is averaging 20.7 early on in 2017-18 and drained a decisive 3-pointer with 52 seconds remaining in Wednesday’s 101-99 victory at Memphis. The Bulls are in rebuilding mode and their record shows it with one victory in the first six games and 100 or fewer points scored in five of the contests. |
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10-29-17 | Pistons v. Warriors -13.5 | 115-107 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Golden State has had a stranglehold on the Pistons for years, winning 11 of the last 12 meetings. However, Detroit is a bit better set to fight back against Golden State this season with the return to full health of Reggie Jackson and the acquisition of defensive specialist G Avery Bradley. Those two will play key roles against the Warrior all-star backcourt of Klay Thompson and Steph Curry. Up front, F Tobias Harris is having by far his best season, scoring 24 ppg on 52% shooting, and at 6-9, he’ll make Kevin Durant work on the stop end. Points worth taking with live dog. |
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10-29-17 | Magic v. Hornets -3 | 113-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Charlotte HC Steve Clifford has had Orlando’s number the last few years, winning 9 of last 10 meetings vs. the Magic and covering 8 of those. The Magic have started much better than expected, winning 3 of first 4 games (including a win at Cleveland!). Orlando has a poor man’s “big three” with Fs Evan Fournier, Aaron Gordon and C Nikola Vucevic all scoring more than 21 ppg in the early going, and Gordon and Vucevic are both taking down double-digit rebounds. Still, Charlotte has allowed just 97 ppg and is 3rd in defensive efficiency, compared with Orlando’s 112 ppg. |
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10-29-17 | Wizards v. Kings +5 | 110-83 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings are trying to usher in a similar culture. Fox, the 19-year-old rookie, will start his first game, with the team announcing Saturday that forward Zach Randolph and point guard George Hill will sit out to rest. Fox has averaged a team-best 14.8 points and 5.0 assists in about 27 minutes a game in Sacramento's first five contests, four of which Sacramento had a chance to win. Fox had 14 points and five assists in Thursday's 114-106 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans. He's also developed a chemistry with 25-year-old rookie guard Bogdan Bogdanovic in the two games since the Serbian rookie returned from injury. Bogdanovic has scored 22 points in two games and made 9 of his 22 shots. Skal Labissiere also is expected to get his second start of the season. Labissiere is averaging 12.2 points and 5.2 rebounds in five games this season. Guards Buddy Hield (12.2 points) and Garrett Temple (10.0) and center Willie Cauley-Stein (11.2) also are all are averaging double-digits in scoring for Sacramento. |
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10-29-17 | Cowboys -125 v. Redskins | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Are the 'Boys back? They were in a funk, off a pair of 35-point defensive showings, with Zeke & Dak performing below '16 levels. But check 147 rushing yards (5.7 yards per rush), & 2 TDs from Elliott, along with 219 yards from scrimmage, while Prescott was 3/0 (14/4 for the year), in 40-10 rout of the Niners. And Dez tied Bob Hayes' franchise record with his 71st career TD. The Cowboys are 4-10 ATS vs the Redskins, but they did win by 4 & 5 points SU in their 2 meetings of last year. Washington has allowed 20+ points in 24 of its last 26 games, so this one should provide plenty of fireworks. Cowboys offense getting in gear |
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10-29-17 | Texans +7.5 v. Seahawks | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 21 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Can the Texans make another playoff run, without J.J. Watt again this year? Were smoking hot, before their bye, with a 39.25 points per game average in their last 4 games. Watson continues to amaze, as he has thrown for at least 3 TDs in his last 3 games, becoming the first rookie to perform such a feat in NFL history. Now 15 TD passes, the most by a rookie in his team's first 6 games. Oh, Texans set a franchise record by scoring 30+ points in 4 straight tilts. Seahawks an enigma since blowing that Super Bowl. Did their thing vs the Giants: 7 points, 14 first downs, 46 rushing yards. I'll call for the upset here |
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10-29-17 | Bucks -5 v. Hawks | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta needs to regain services of PG Dennis Schroder and PF Ersan Ilyasova before I take a look at the Hawks. Sure, Atlanta has covered 5 straight against the “Greek Freak” Antetokounmpo, and this Hawk contingent bears little resemblance to the teams of recent seasons. Giannis has a better efficiency rating than LeBron James or Kevin Durant, and he’s powered the Bucks to a solid start. Conversely the Hawks had lost 3 straight with no covers prior to the Thursday-Friday back-to-back set with Chicago and Denver. |
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10-29-17 | 49ers v. Eagles -12.5 | 10-33 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right, I rarely step out with an NFL double digit favorite, & with good reason. However, the Niners just may have run out of weekly squeaking losses, as the Cowboys did more than expose San Francisco, with that 40-10 romper, running for 265 yards, while totalling more than 500 yards. Philly, of course is in off its Monday war with the Redskins, but has only been bested once this season, by the Chiefs. Niners' Beathard was sacked five times in his debut, while losing 2 fumbles. Eagles covered their last HG (prior to Monday Nighter) by 33½ points, while Wentz a comfortable 13/3 entering that one. Eagles' 3rd-ranked offense vs Niners' 28-rated defense. Philly follows in Cowboys' footsteps. |
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10-29-17 | Raiders +3 v. Bills | 14-34 | Loss | -135 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These 2 met in this very same stadium for the 1990 AFC title, only to see the Bills destroy the Raiders, 51-3, the week before "Wide Right". Raiders snapped 3-game slide with final play TD pass from Carr to Crabtree, on 85-yard drive vs the Chiefs. Carr: 29-of-52 for 417 yards & 3 TDs (no picks). We'll see what happens to BeastMode, after getting tossed for shoving a ref. After all, he did start his career here with the Bills in '07. For Buffalo, this marks just the 4th time that it has won 4 of its first 6 games, during its 17-year playoff drought. Bills 0-7 ATS as single digit favorite in the 2nd of 2 home games |
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10-29-17 | Vikings -10 v. Browns | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Remember the "Miracle at the Met", when Ahmad Rashad caught Tommy Kramer's "Hail Mary" at the gun to beat the "Kardiac Kids" back in 1980? Check Latavius Murray rushing for 113 yards & a TD while Forbath kicked six FGs in backing another suffocating from the Viking "D" in LW's win over the Ravens. Sacked Flacco 5 times, in allowing just 208 TYs. Keenum 20-of-31, & a pick (5/2 for year). Brown "D" did its part LW, holding Titans to zero TDs, but Cleveland "O" also didn't reach the end zone, losing FG contest, 12-9. Browns 1-23 & 2-30 SU, with a 5-14 spread run. And now they've lost Pro Bowl tackle Joe Thomas. A Viking call. |
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10-28-17 | USC v. Arizona State +3.5 | 48-17 | Loss | -115 | 75 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Trojan defense continues as their bane, with 301-rushing yard deficit in Notre Dame debacle (28-0 at half). So have come from a 15-6 ATS run, to 1-7. Multiple turnovers in all 8 games, & Darnold has just 17 touchdowns with 10 interceptions. Arizona State came from 120th defense to giving up 14 & 18 first downs in upsets of Washington & Utah. Yet another "upset" for the Sun Devils. |
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10-28-17 | Suns v. Blazers -11.5 | 107-114 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Phoenix brass fired Earl Watson just three games (all losses, including which was the worst in team history) into the season, replacing him with assistant Jay Triano. Then G Eric Bledsoe (2nd-leading scorer last year at 21 points per game) popped off, was essentially kicked off the team, and they will trade him ASAP. The result was Phoenix beating Sacramento and Portland, reinforcing the knee jerk reaction. Home games against the Kings and Jazz are one thing, going in to the Moda Center and coming out with a victory is a different matter. The Trail Blazers (3-1 SU, 3-0-1 vs. the points through Oct. 25) have picked up where they left off last season, with CJ McCollum and Damian Lillard combining for 47 points per game, and Lillard in particular garnering kudos for his defensive play. The Blazers lead the league in “efficiency differential” and 2nd in defensive efficiency. |
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10-28-17 | Lakers +11 v. Jazz | 81-96 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Lots of hate between these two fan bases dating back to the days of Karl Malone and John Stockton. Utah has won 8 of the last 9 meetings with the youthful Lakers (only loss in Kobe farewell game), and catch L.A. coming off a home game against Toronto last night. Heading up to the altitude of Salt Lake City can be a difficult adjustment, and this will be the first such trip for key Laker rookies Lonzo Ball and Kyle Kuzma. This will be a battle of tempo, as the Lakers set the second-fastest pace in the NBA, while the Jazz play at the second-slowest. It’s more likely the Lakers slow down and play the speed Utah prefers. |
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10-28-17 | 76ers -110 v. Mavs | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For all the hoopla surrounding Philly’s young bucks, the cold reality is that the Sixers were off to the same 1-4 SU start as “tanking,” aging Dallas, which ranks 29th in defensive efficiency. The Mavs have tortured Philly in the last 10 years, winning 18 of the last 22 meetings (12-9-1 vs. the points), but believe the table has turned for the Sixers, whose SU win at Detroit and competitive effort hosting Houston in its last two games are encouraging. Also, star Philly C Joel Embiid (and the rest of the Sixers) have had two days off since facing Houston Thursday and have a day off tomorrow, so it should be all hands on deck vs. the Mavs. |
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10-28-17 | Rockets v. Grizzlies -1 | 89-103 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These two just met Monday in Houston, where Memphis scored a 98-90 upset win. Rocket Gs James Harden and Eric Gordon combined to make just 7 of 23 three-pointers that night, and only one other Rocket cracked double-digits. Memphis C Marc Gasol was too tough for Houston counterpart Clint Capela, leading the Grizzlies with 26 points, and Rocket Fs Trevor Ariza (out with a foot injury) and Ryan Anderson were a combined 2 of 12, scoring just 7 points. The Rockets are now down two starters (PG Chris Paul & Ariza) and playing the 2nd night of back-to back sets. |
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10-28-17 | Mississippi State v. Texas A&M +1.5 | 35-14 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mississippi State rolled (stat wise) over the Aggies last year, & are in off combined 80-17 point edge in their last 2 games. However, the home team in the last 5 Mississippi State games holds a 197-37 point edge (+166 points ATS). Texas A&M are 2 points from being 6-0 ATS this year |
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10-28-17 | Flyers v. Maple Leafs -144 | 4-2 | Loss | -144 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Auston Matthews increased his point total to six (three goals, three assists) in his past four games with a goal and an assist on Thursday, but the 20-year-old took issue with his team's lackluster start out of the gate. Toronto has been remarkably consistent in allowing shots on goal, as its 34.2 per game average is contributing to Frederik Andersen's less-than-stellar goals-against average (3.54) and save percentage (.893) - albeit with a strong 6-3-0 mark. |
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10-28-17 | Ducks v. Lightning -145 | 4-1 | Loss | -145 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Captain Steven Stamkos and Nikita Kucherov look to continue their historic streaks as the Tampa Bay Lightning go after a fifth straight victory when the injury-plagued Anaheim Ducks pay a visit tonight. Kucherov leads the league with 12 goals while Stamkos boasts a league-best 21 points, and they are the seventh duo for one team in NHL history to start a season with 11-game point streaks - the first since 1992-93. The Lightning own the league’s best record (9-1-1) while earning a point in nine consecutive games and are 8-0-5 in the last 13 meetings with the Ducks, who are licking their wounds after an 8-3 loss at Florida on Thursday night. |
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10-28-17 | Coyotes v. Devils -151 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Arizona Coyotes make their 11th attempt at becoming the last team in the NHL to gain a victory this season when they visit the surging New Jersey Devils tonight. The Coyotes got another tally from prized rookie center Clayton Keller before dropping a 5-2 decision against the New York Rangers on Thursday, allowing at least four goals for the fourth straight time and eighth in 10 games. The Devils, who have missed the playoffs the last five seasons, edged Ottawa 5-4 in a shootout Friday after enjoying a week off for their seventh win in nine games to start the campaign. |
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10-28-17 | Utah -3 v. Oregon | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Time for the Utes to regroup, after suffering their third straight loss, & first ATS miss, in shocking 30-10 upset at the hands of an underrated Arizona State outfit. For some reason, Utah plays its best ball away from home, covering all 6 of their last half-dozen shots, including a 12-point cover at Southern California, on the heels of a late 3-point setback vs Stanford. Thus, last week's failure could easily be due to the aftershocks of a pair of demoralizing setbacks. The Ducks have been complete flops, since losing QB Herbert. Check a 113-31 point deficit the past 3 weeks, while on 5-14 ATS run. |
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10-28-17 | Florida Atlantic -6.5 v. Western Kentucky | 42-28 | Win | 100 | 44 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The drop in offensive production from the Hilltoppers, who have lost 7 offensive starters from last year's team, is patently obvious. Note ranking 1st & 6th in scoring & total offense in '16, while checking at 79th & 85th in those categories this season. Just 2 covers this year, with 1 by of those 2 by 1½ points, The Owls, on the other hand, have been smoking, with a combined 165-79 point edge in their last 3 games, including a 447 rushing yard, 804 total effort last week. They well remember last year's 52-3 embarrassment. |
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10-28-17 | NC State v. Notre Dame -7 | Top | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 68 h 52 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Inter-Conference Game of the Week The Irish sure came through in annihilation of Southern California, with 377-76 rushing yard edge, behind both Adams & Wimbush (191, 106). Now at +114½ points ATS this year. But NC State is on 6-0 SU run, ranking 6th in rushing defense. However, no team has scored more than 20 points vs the Irish this year. The Irish keep on winning. |
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10-28-17 | Kansas State -24 v. Kansas | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 24 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week This is one that Kansas State rarely let get away, with 7-1 & 18-5 ATS margins. Enter off 3 straight losses (2-of-3 in OT, & in L0:07). Check 263 rushing yards vs Oklahoma. Kansas has a 153-19 point deficit in their last 3 games, managing 9 first downs & only 83 yards combined in their last 2 games. Blowout! |
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10-28-17 | Air Force +10 v. Colorado State | 45-28 | Win | 100 | 42 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units - Rams last week, three 2nd quarter touchdowns, but just 6 points in the other 3 (27-24 escape at New Mexico). The Underdog is now 13-1 ATS in Air Force games, & Falcons at 956 rushing yards the past 2 weeks. They won at final gun last week. |
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10-28-17 | Wisconsin -25.5 v. Illinois | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 57 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day Lucky 1-point cover for Badgers last week, with just a 215-143 rushing yard edge. But they have the horses, with Taylor 3rd-rated runner, & Hornibrook 9th-ranked passer. Wisconsin just 12 points from a 19-4 ATS run. Illinois stayed with Minnesota, despite 292-121 rushing yard deficit (cover in L0:23). Maybe last week, but not here. |
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10-27-17 | Predators v. Blackhawks -118 | 2-1 | Loss | -118 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blackhawks have lost three of four since posting a 2-1 overtime win over Nashville on Oct. 14, while the Predators have dropped back-to-back contests and mustered just five goals in their last three games. Filip Forsberg scored his team-leading seventh goal in Nashville's 3-2 shootout loss to Calgary on Tuesday and also tallied in the first encounter with Chicago. Blackhawks G Corey Crawford owns a 16-9-1 record and 2.45 goals-against average in 26 career contests versus the Predators. While the Predators have been flat away from Music City, losing four of their five games (1-3-1). |
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10-27-17 | Nets v. Knicks -2 | 86-107 | Win | 100 | 1 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brooklyn is 3-1 SU and 4-0 vs. the points since season-opening loss at Indiana, but much of the Nets’ success has been due to sparkling play of G D’Angelo Russell (23 ppg, 47%), and Russell is out for this game with a balky knee. Winless New York is dropping in class after losing to OKC, Detroit and Boston, so Knicks will be thirsty for a victory with Cleveland coming up next. |
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10-27-17 | Blues +102 v. Hurricanes | 2-1 | Win | 102 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The St. Louis Blues play away from home for the final time during a road-heavy first month of the season when they visit the Carolina Hurricanes on Friday. St. Louis had eight of its first 11 games of 2017-18 scheduled away from Scottrade Center, where it made a rare appearance on Wednesday and improved to 3-0-0 with a 5-2 triumph over Calgary. |
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10-27-17 | Spurs v. Magic +5.5 | 87-114 | Win | 100 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Magic have their own big-time post scorer in Nikola Vucevic, who is averaging 23.8 points on 59.7 percent shooting and 10.3 rebounds. Vucevic and frontcourt mate Aaron Gordon will try to make Aldridge work hard on the defensive end and lead Orlando to a fourth win in its first five games. |
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10-26-17 | Dolphins +3 v. Ravens | 0-40 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Two consecutive comeback wins for the Dolphins, who overcame a 17-point deficit in the 2nd half at Atlanta, following that up by erasing a 14-point fourth quarter deficit to beat the Jets, 31-28, this week, with Moore (for injured Cutler) throwing 2 touchdown passes in the final 12 minutes. So 3 straight Miami wins, off that horrid 40-6 combined deficit in their 2nd & 3rd games. Note that the Dolphins hadn't allowed more than 20 points, previously. Two straight losses for the Ravens, & 4 of last 5, after opening at 2-0 (Bengals & Browns). Remember, Dolphins covered their last road game by 16 points, while Ravens are 1-11 ATS vs opposition off a pair of SU/ATS wins. So Miami, as the dog, seems a bit juicy. |
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10-25-17 | Wizards -5 v. Lakers | 99-102 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Washington Wizards look to open 4-0 for the first time in 39 years when they continue a four-game road trip at the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday. The Wizards are the only Eastern Conference team without a loss after beginning their trip with a 109-104 win at Denver, riding 83 points from a starting five that has found an early rhythm. |
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10-25-17 | Raptors +12 v. Warriors | 112-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Golden State dropped two of its first three games and was struggling on the defensive end before holding the Mavericks to 39.6 percent shooting in Monday's win. The Warriors, who led the NBA in defensive field-goal percentage last season, allowed their first three opponents to shoot a combined 47.1 percent from the floor but locked down in the second half in Dallas, when they limited the Mavericks to 41 points while running away with the win. The Raptors promise to be a much tougher team to guard and began their six-game road trip with a 101-97 loss at San Antonio on Monday. Toronto is restructuring its offense a bit this season to encourage more shooting and ball movement, and it struggled to 10-of-37 from 3-point range against the Spurs. |
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10-25-17 | Astros -104 v. Dodgers | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Verlander has a stellar 11-5 postseason record, but none of those victories occurred in the World Series, where he went 0-3 with a 7.20 ERA in three career starts for the Tigers. The 34-year-old's arrival in Houston changed the complexion of the rotation, providing the team with a second ace alongside Dallas Keuchel as well as raising the stature of the organization. Hill is 1-2 with a 3.96 ERA in six career postseason starts and is making his World Series debut. |
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10-25-17 | Wolves +3 v. Pistons | 101-122 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Minnesota Timberwolves will try to rebound from an ugly home loss when they visit the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday. Two days after an impressive win at Oklahoma City, the Timberwolves returned home to sustain a 130-107 loss to the Indiana Pacers on Tuesday, allowing the Pacers to shoot a franchise-record 66.7 percent from the floor and getting outscored 69-46 after halftime. Karl-Anthony Towns scored 28 points in the loss for Minnesota, which played without swingman Jimmy Butler (illness). The Pistons have exchanged wins and losses through their first four games and suffered through their worst offensive showing in Monday's 97-86 loss to Philadelphia. Langston Galloway made 3-of-4 3-pointers off the bench while the rest of Detroit's roster combined to hit 3-of-26 from beyond the arc. |
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10-25-17 | Rockets v. 76ers +4 | 105-104 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rockets are dealing with an injury to one of their point guards as well in Chris Paul, who went down in the season opener with a knee bruise originally suffered in training camp and is expected to miss at least another week. Paul watched as his teammates failed to reach 100 points for the first time on the young season and suffered their first loss, 98-90 at home to the Memphis Grizzlies, on Monday. |
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10-24-17 | Flames v. Predators -137 | 3-2 | Loss | -137 | 23 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While the Calgary Flames have enjoyed most of their success this season on the road, the Nashville Predators have yet to be beaten at home. Both teams look to continue their trends today as Calgary visits Nashville in the opener of its set of back-to-back road games. Nashville has only played three games at home but won them all, outlasting Philadelphia 6-5 on Oct. 10 before posting 4-1 triumphs over Dallas and Colorado. |
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10-24-17 | Oilers v. Penguins -148 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Last season, Connor McDavid pried away some of the hardware that typically has been the property of Sidney Crosby, but the NHL's reigning MVP and his team have work to do if they hope to hoist the sport's ultimate trophy. McDavid and the Edmonton Oilers have a measuring-stick game on deck when they visit Crosby and the Pittsburgh Penguins tonight. McDavid won both the Hart Trophy and Art Ross Trophy last season as the NHL's leading scorer - Crosby tied for second - and enters his third career matchup against Pittsburgh's resident superstar with the Oilers having dropped five of their last six. Stunningly, Edmonton ranks last in the Western Conference in scoring with an average of 2.00 goals per game despite the presence of McDavid, who has three goals and eight points in the first seven games. |
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10-24-17 | Lightning +100 v. Hurricanes | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Two-time Rocket Richard Trophy winner Steven Stamkos is showing a new side to his game as a setup man and the Tampa Bay captain hopes to continue an early-season point barrage when the Lightning visit the Carolina Hurricanes today. Stamkos, who has recorded 324 goals in 595 NHL games, boasts league-bests of 15 assists and 18 points in nine games after missing most of 2016-17 with a knee injury. The Lightning have points in seven straight games (6-0-1) with Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov (10 goals overall - tied for the NHL lead with Alex Ovechkin) and goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy (.933 save percentage on the season) leading the way |
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10-23-17 | Redskins v. Eagles -5 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units About time I jumped on this smoking squad, which has only a loss at Kansas City, to prevent perfect 6-0 start, although their 5-1 record is the best mark in the NFC. QB Wentz in Thursday win at Carolina had 222 passing yards & 3 touchdowns, so now at 1,584 passing yards & all-important 13 touchdowns with only 3 interceptions. Philadelphia has had Thursday to Monday. An extra 4 days to prepare for this. Peterson is 6-0 ATS at home off a SU win, while Philadelphia is 9-1 ATS on Monday, off a SU win. Consider that the Redskins are 2-9 ATS vs an opponent off a double digit cover. Eagles just keep it going. |
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10-22-17 | Cardinals +3.5 v. Rams | 0-33 | Loss | -120 | 63 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Check "has-been" Peterson's 134 rushing yards & 2 touchdowns in his Arizona debut. That's 47 more yards than the 87 he had in 4 games with the Saints. So 160 Arizona rushing yards, after entering at 52 rushing yards per game. A huge help for Palmer, who completed his first 14 passes vs the Tampa Bay. Rams came in nicely for us last week, but they're 1-11 ATS vs an opponent off SU dog win. |
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10-22-17 | Saints -4 v. Packers | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 63 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Packers without Rodgers so they went with Hundley vs Minnesota, but just 10 points, 14 first downs, & 227 yards, & 3 interceptions, about what Aaron would toss over the course of the year. So, what was supposed to be the ultimate QB matchup, is no more. Check running backs Ingram & Kamara combining for 237 yards vs the Lions, while Saint defense forced 5 turn overs, scoring on a fumble return & a pair of pick-sixes. Only 9th time since '92, that neither Favre nor Rodgers will be under center for the Packers. |
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10-22-17 | Jets +3.5 v. Dolphins | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 63 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Even though the Jets lost at home to the Pats, that was a game for 60 minutes. Seferian-Jenkins losing control of the ball at the goal line, resulting in a touch back was a stomach punch to the Jets. McCown: 31-of-47 for 354 yards with 2 touchdowns (also 2 interceptions). Dolphins came from 17-0 deficit, for 20-17 win at Atlanta. Remember, this is the team which had just 3 offensive touchdowns coming into that game. Jets are 11-2 ATS vs a .500+ division opponent who is off a pair of SU/ATS wins. Division road dog in this one |
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10-22-17 | Jaguars -3 v. Colts | 27-0 | Win | 100 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Yes, I know that the host team is 5-0 ATS in Colt games, entering previous Monday Nighter vs Tennessee. The Jags got 130 rushing yards from Fournette, in last week's 27-17 loss to the Rams, when they allowed a pair of special team touchdowns (kick off & blocked punt returns). That one marked Jacksonville's 9th loss in their last 10 home games. Fournette, by the way, scored on a 75-yard run on Jags 1st play from scrimmage. And remember, his previous carry was 90 yarder, that sealed their win at Pittsburgh. Note that Colt home games this year have been decided by 3, 3, & 3 points SU. I'll call for a halt to that trend. |
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10-22-17 | Titans -5.5 v. Browns | 12-9 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Titans are coming in off their Monday game with the Colts. Browns now on 1-22 & 2-29 SU runs, averaging 13.2 points per game in 13 of their last 14 games, & are currently on a 4-14 ATS slide. Went with Hogan over Kizer vs the Texans: 1 touchdown pass, with 3 interceptions, in 33-17 loss. So Browns win less, with head coach Jackson's record in Cleveland now 1-21 SU. Hogan, by the way, became the Browns' 28th starting QB since 1999, when they had a chance to draft Donovan McNabb, instead of Tim Couch. |
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10-21-17 | Blackhawks -144 v. Coyotes | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Chicago Blackhawks have cooled off after a fast start but have a good chance to get back on track when they visit the an opponent they have dominated of late. The Blackhawks have dropped two in a row and four of six entering today's road contest against the skidding Arizona Coyotes, who are the only team in the league that has yet to record a victory. The Blackhawks have won their last seven contests against the Coyotes, including their past four visits to Arizona. |
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10-21-17 | Blazers v. Bucks -3 | 110-113 | Push | 0 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee has held an edge over Portland, covering 10 of the 12 meetings over the last six seasons, and last year the Bucks won and covered both games with accuracy from beyond the arc, making 43% of their treys. Milwaukee G Malcolm Brogdon (LY’s Rookie-of-theYear) shot 67% in the two games, and F Giannis Antetokounmpo stuffed the stat sheet against the Blazers (19 ppg, 10 rpg, 7 apg, 3 bpg) as usual. Portland was not a good road dog last season (11-17 vs. the points), so recommend home team and motivational specialist HC Jason Kidd. |
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10-21-17 | Hurricanes v. Stars -125 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dallas entered play Friday with the third best penalty-killing percentage (88.9) in the league, including 10-for-10 effort during the winning streak, after owning the NHL’s worst mark last season (73.9). Klingberg’s seven points match Benn and Seguin for the team lead after registering a pair of assists in Thursday’s victory and boasts a plus-3 rating during the win streak. Bishop, a two-time Vezina Trophy finalist who was signed as a free agent in the offseason, has won four of his five decisions and sports a .929 save percentage and 1.93 goals-against average in six contests. The Stars have won five straight meetings with the Hurricanes, outscoring them 8-2 in a pair last season. |
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10-21-17 | West Virginia -8.5 v. Baylor | 38-36 | Loss | -120 | 94 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units An emphatic exclamation point to 0-6 SU log of Bears (first 0-6 start since 1969), with 59-point, 747-yard allowance at Oklahoma State, although they did cover their last home game by 20. West Virginia overcame 35-17 3rd quarter deficit, for 46-35 win over Texas Tech. Another 5 Grier touchdown passes and now has 21 touchdowns with 5 interceptions for the year. |
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10-21-17 | USC v. Notre Dame -3.5 | Top | 14-49 | Win | 100 | 94 h 31 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Inter-Conference Game of the Week Another win, another spread loss for the Trojans, who are in off stopping Utah's 2-point try in the L0:42, for a 28-27 win. Check Darnold in that one: 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. A rarity this year as he has 15 touchdowns with 9 interceptions for the season. The Irish come in 1 point from perfection and are +63 points ATS, holding all opponents below 21 points. I'll lay small spot. |
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10-21-17 | Panthers v. Capitals -139 | 4-1 | Loss | -139 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units One day after becoming the first player in the league to reach double figures in goals, captain Alex Ovechkin looks to continue his success against Florida when the Washington Capitals host the Panthers today. Ovechkin increased his total to 10 goals when he scored in overtime to beat Detroit 4-3 on Friday and has torched the Panthers for 35 goals and 38 assists in 57 career meetings. Florida goaltender, Reimer is 1-2-0 with an .880 save percentage and 4.11 goals-against average in three appearances (two starts) this season. |
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10-21-17 | Central Florida -7 v. Navy | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 89 h 15 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day Again-&-Again. Check Central Florida's 253-84 point edge so far (+88½ points ATS). Nicely balanced, behind #2 ranked QB Milton (37-of-46 in the last 2 weeks). Navy got the bacon with touchdown & 2-point conversion in last 3:25 at Memphis, despite 5 turn overs. The number 1 rushing offense in Navy, but no matching defense. |
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10-21-17 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 41 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Eagles of Eastern Michigan have been one of our pet plays over the past 2 years, & with good reason, as they are now on a 15-3 ATS run, with the dog on a profitable 14-2 spread run. The only reason that this one wasn't placed higher is the fact that, although they keep paying off, they are in off an excruciating 28-27 loss, to Army, failing to convert a 2-point try, in the final 0:49. The Broncos of Western Michigan aren't the same squad as last year, having lost 10 starters (including brilliant QB Terrell), along with their head coach. |
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10-21-17 | Maryland v. Wisconsin -24 | Top | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 86 h 4 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week Maryland has had their moments, to be sure (29 & 20 point covers vs Texas & Minnesota), but were mauled in each of their 3 losses (32½, 18, 13 point ATS misses), with a 769-177 rushing yard deficit. That being the case, the Badgers (264-79 rushing yards per game edge) could and should have a field day |
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10-21-17 | Oklahoma State v. Texas +7 | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 40 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Many an expert figured that it was going to be a long season for the Steers, when they opened as a 19-point favorite, hosting a mediocre Maryland squad, only to lose outright, 51-41, for a 29-point ATS loss. But that would be their only spread setback, winning 4-of-5 vs the points (+52½ points), slipping only in an OT loss to USC, & in last week's narrow 29-24 setback to mighty Oklahoma, after overcoming a 20-point deficit. Cowboys, behind QB Rudolph, RB Hill, & WR Washington are another true test. But 'Horns are proving themselves by the week. |
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10-20-17 | Colorado State -7 v. New Mexico | 27-24 | Loss | -132 | 72 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Rams needed super comeback to take Nevada, thanks to Stevens' 384 passing yards and 4 touchdown with 0 interceptions, & Dawkins' 191 rushing yards. Still an 8-1 ATS road play. Lobos in off embarrassing 38-0 loss, with 109 rushing yards (were at 267 per game). Managed 14 & 16 points off first 2 losses, so no bounceback here. |
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10-20-17 | Warriors -8 v. Pelicans | 128-120 | Push | 0 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Reigning NBA Defensive Player of the Year Draymond Green collected nine points, 13 assists and 11 rebounds on Tuesday but left before the start of the fourth quarter with a knee strain. Green underwent an MRI on Wednesday that came back clean, but he is not expected to play today. New Orleans' Davis collected 33 points and 18 rebounds on Wednesday while Cousins contributed 28 points, 10 boards and seven blocks, but New Orleans managed only 57 points in the final three quarters after coming out strong with 34 in the first. The Pelicans are missing their best ball mover in point guard Rajon Rondo, who is not expected back until late next month after undergoing hernia surgery. Golden State took the last 11 meetings in the series, including a first-round sweep in the 2015 playoffs. |
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