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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-30-22 | Titans v. Texans +115 | 17-10 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating; 3 Units Not one of Tennessee’s 4 wins this season have been against a team with a winning record. The Titans are 0-6 ITS (In The Stats) this season – although in fairness it should also be noted the Texans are 1-5 ITS, coming off its first stats’ win of the season last week. Hot Houston rookie RB Dameon Pierce leads the league with more yards after contact than any player in the league. Meanwhile, the Texans are 6-0 ATS as division dogs after surrendering 35-plus points and 8-0 ATS after allowing 35 or more points when facing winning foes of .500 coming off consecutive wins. With the Titans a tepid 1-6 ATS after a division home game, look for the Texans to improve on their 4-1 ATS ledger as a division host today. |
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10-30-22 | Pelicans v. Clippers -145 | 112-91 | Loss | -145 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The short-handed Pelicans are playing the middle game of a three-game road trip that began with a 124-111 loss at Phoenix on Friday. New Orleans was missing three injured starters -- Brandon Ingram (concussion), Zion Williamson (hip) and Herbert Jones (knee). Ingram did not make the three-game trip, which concludes against the Lakers on Wednesday. Williamson and Jones are questionable for Sunday. Rookie Dyson Daniels, who helped the Pelicans defeat visiting Dallas 113-111 on Tuesday despite the injured starters, also is questionable because of an ankle injury against the Mavericks. He did not play against the Suns. |
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10-30-22 | Raiders v. Saints +1.5 | Top | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 5 Units Las Vegas has cashed in each of the games, winning two of them on the scoreboard. Like Arizona, they are still on the outside looking in at the current NFL playoff picture. Unfortunately, they’ve struggled against foes coming off a Thursday game going just 4-10-1 ATS. And they’ve also wriggled in this series with a 4-6 SU and 3-7 ATS mark the last ten gatherings. The Saints have won the stats in 5 of their seven games this season, including each of their last three games. As a result, they bring the better offense and the better defense into this fray. They are also 11-4 SU at home when playing off a SU previous home loss. Finally, consider that NFL playoff teams the previous year are 6-22 SU and 7-20-1 ATS away in Game Seven when coming off consecutive ATS wins if not favored by 3 or more points, including 2-15 ATS if the Over/Under total in this game is greater than 40 points. |
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10-30-22 | Patriots -150 v. Jets | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units No questioning the vast improvement of the Jets, who are just a half-game behind the Bills in the AFC East, while ranking 9th in total "D" (8 picks already, as well as 8th in scoring "O". However, beating the Patriots, along with a man named Belichick, is something that they haven' been able to do since 2015. Right: 12 straight losses, & with such a minuscule spread, the outright winner will also be the ATS champ. But loss of Jet RB Breece Hall, is a truly devastating blow. Patriots continue their dominance. To cap it off, New England stands 9-1 ATS in Game Eights and is 7-2 ATS in this series. |
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10-30-22 | Cardinals +4 v. Vikings | 26-34 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units First year coaches playing at home coming off a Bye week have struggled getting their team’s full attention, going just 6-10 SU and 4-10-2 ATS in this role since 2017, including 0-4 ATS behind .600 or greater teams. Making matters worse, the Vikes are 3-8 ATS with rest coming off a SUATS win. When the Cardinals beat New Orleans at home last week, it snapped an 8-game home losing skid back to when they topped Houston on October 24, a year ago. They improved to 9-2 in their last eleven games with WR DeAndre Hopkins in the lineup. With Zona head coach Kliff Kingsbury in his best role as a road dog going 15-5-1 ATS, including 7-1 ATS versus foes coming off a win, the points become the play today. |
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10-29-22 | Phillies v. Astros -134 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Astros now are staring at some adversity for the first time in the postseason. They haven't trailed in any series as of yet and now turn to their ace 1A in lefty Framber Valdez. Valdez has been dominant during the season and dominant in the postseason. He is 1-0 in two starts thus far and has struck out 10.7 batters per nine innings while giving up less than six hits per start. |
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10-29-22 | Pittsburgh v. North Carolina -145 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 32 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Tar Heels’ defensive vulnerability is against the pass, allowing 290.0 yards per game and 18 touchdowns against five interceptions, and while Pittsburgh’s passing attack likely plays up some against that, they simply don’t have the weapons in the passing game to fully exploit an advantage. UNC is equally bad against the run; let’s just call it as it is, their defense is awful. They allow 4.72 yards per carry and 182.3 yards per game on the ground, ranking 109th. That’s absolutely where Pittsburgh will try to attack with star RB Israel Ibanikanda, who has 959 yards (6.1 ypc) and 13 touchdowns to date. There’s a scenario where he puts Pitt on his shoulders, keeps Maye sidelined and limits the Heels’ opportunities. But more likely, UNC can focus on stopping him, stacking boxes, and daring the Panthers to challenge their leaky secondary. That may produce a play or two, but it won’t be sustained. UNC is coming off a bye while Pitt is travelling for the second-straight week, a tough ask for a mediocre team |
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10-29-22 | Ole Miss v. Texas A&M +2.5 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -105 | 83 h 5 m | Show |
Upset of the Day Rating: 4 Units Aggies have won and covered the last three games of this series, but they have gone 9 consecutive FBS games scoring 25 or fewer points – second-longest current streak in the FBS. Things are in crisis mode in College Station, as their fans are not used to seeing three consecutive defeats. Their saving grace is the fact they actually outgained their first FBS foe this season (they’re 1-5 ITS) in last week’s loss to South Carolina. Fisher lost three games in a row once in his career, (in 2011) but won the next game 41-16 at home against Duke. We call for the upset today. To cap it off, Jimbo Fisher is 14-3 SU at home off consecutive losses, including 2-0 SUATS as a dog. |
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10-29-22 | Heat -160 v. Kings | 113-119 | Loss | -160 | 1 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It is a new season in the NBA but it appears to be the same old Sacramento Kings. The Kings are off to an 0-4 start and they will look to get their first win of the season Saturday night against the Miami Heat. The Heat are not off to a great start either at 2-4. |
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10-29-22 | TCU v. West Virginia +7.5 | 41-31 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units TCU has been living on the razor’s edge lately, and that doesn’t bode well for the Frogs today as they enter one of college football’s true house of horrors: Mountaineer Field in Morgantown, West Virginia. Neither does the Frogs’ 0-4 ATS record away with conference revenge and their 1-7 ATS failure before playing Texas Tech. The Mountaineers fare much better, cashing six straight series tickets over the Frogs, and going 10-5 ATS as home dogs versus unbeaten foes, including 3-0 SUATS the last three games and 3-0 ATS with a losing record. Consider that WVU head coach Neal Brown is 6-1 ATS in games versus undefeated foes in which they allow fewer than 30 PPG, including 4-0 SUATS when his team sports a losing record. |
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10-29-22 | Notre Dame +2.5 v. Syracuse | Top | 41-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 31 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Notre Dame has been favored in the last eight matchups in this series since 2003 and even covered when a 33-point favorite in 2020. They are 3-1 ATS in the last four, 4-1 ATS away vs foes .800 or better, and a sturdy 9-3 ATS in ACC road games… PLUS a whopping 5-0 SUATS in the last five ACC battles. Meanwhile the state of the Orangemen must be called into doubt after the Clemson crusher, plus the Dome hasn’t always been a warm home to the football program. SU is a horrible 0-4-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3 or fewer points when coming off a conference contest. Finally, ND is 17-6 ATS as a dog versus an opponent coming off a loss, including 10-1 ATS when the Irish are coming off a win of 4 or more points. |
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10-29-22 | Oklahoma -120 v. Iowa State | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Gabriel returned before Oklahoma’s byeweek against Kansas and was spectacular again, notching 403 passing yards with two TDs and a pick while adding 37 rushing yards and a TD, So the real key for this Sooner team seems to be avoiding teams with good offenses. Their defense doesn’t really fare well in any category, when an opponent can’t score or move the ball with any consistency, they will be a target. And here we have the IowaState Cyclones. ISU can’t score (103rd), can’t rush the ball (122nd), and isn’t efficient (98th in yards per play). They excel at playing slowly, so that’s something. When it’s right, Oklahoma’s offense is fast and explosive, so time of possession likely won’t matter much. Iowa State has lost four straight and to their credit, all of those losses have come within a single score. Of course, if they could score even a little, they’d probably win those games. They have scored more than 25 points just once against FBS opponents and that came against an Ohio team that might have a worse defense than OU. They can’t and won’t win this one. |
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10-28-22 | Penguins -164 v. Canucks | 1-5 | Loss | -164 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Pittsburgh had enough time to rest, while Vancouver will be playing the second of back-to-back games. They didn’t have to travel a lot, though, as they returned from nearby Seattle, but still, the Penguins have the advantage in that regard. That’s not the only upper hand the Penguins had. Pittsburgh has the highest-scoring offense in the NFL and will face one of the worst defensive teams. After scoring just four goals in total in two losses to Edmonton and Calgary, I expect the visitors to bounce back with at least four in this one. That’s shouldn’t be a problem as the Canucks allowed 4+ goals in six of their eight games this season. |
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10-28-22 | Phillies v. Astros -160 | 6-5 | Loss | -160 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While the Astros have a formidable lineup with experienced hitters, pitching has gotten them to this point. They have a team ERA of 1.88 in the playoffs thus far and have struck out 11.1 batters per nine innings. Houston’s top two pitchers matchup very well with the Phillies' top-two pitchers. Justin Verlander and Framber Valdez have gone a combined 2-0 in the playoffs with Valdez particularly effective with a 1.42 ERA in two starts. Verlander survived a rough first start to strike out 11 Yankees in six innings in the ALCS opener. Houston can easily go four deep in the World Series with Christian Javier now likely to get the game three start after his dominant performance in game three against New York. The Houston bullpen is as good as any in baseball. They had the best bullpen ERA in the regular season and that has carried over into the playoffs, with a playoff-leading 0.82 ERA. Their bullpen has struck out 42 batters and has a 0.73 WHIP. |
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10-28-22 | Avalanche -130 v. Devils | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units The offense has been great but the defense hopes to improve, allowing 3.14 goals per game. Ryan Graves and John Marino have combined for 1.2 defensive point shares and 14 blocked shots to lead the top two pairings but the rest of the defense has struggled, allowing opponents to easily find open shots on the net. Furthermore, goaltender Mackenzie Blackwood has struggled in the net with a .871 save percentage and a 2.81 goals-against average on 101 shots. |
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10-28-22 | Islanders v. Hurricanes -184 | 6-2 | Loss | -184 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hurricanes are off to a great start to the season with their offense stepping up and scoring 3.33 goals per game. Andrei Svechnikov, Martin Necas, and Stefan Noesen have scored 10 goals and 11 assists to lead the top two lines but the rest of the offense has also stepped up. Seth Jarvis, Teuvo Teravainen, and Jordan Martinook have combined for three goals and five assists while defensemen Brent Burns and Brady Skjei have added a goal and six assists from the blue line to overwhelm opposing defenses. |
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10-27-22 | Ravens v. Bucs +105 | Top | 27-22 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 13 m | Show |
TNF Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Tom Brady is 10-0 SUATS in his NFL career with a losing record and coming off a loss. On the other side of the field, the Ravens are certainly not hitting on all cylinders either going 0-3-1 ATS in their last four contests. And with it, Baltimore brings a 0-5-1 ATS mark in Thursday road games. ultimately, NFL teams coming off three consecutive losses as a favorite of 7 or more points in each game are 3-1-1 ATS since 1980. In addition, the Bucs are 5-0 SUATS the last five games as an underdog with Tom Brady behind center, while Brady is 6-0 ATS as a dog versus AFC North foes in his NFL career. Lastly, Bucs QB Tom Brady is 41-17-2 ATS as an underdog in his NFL career, including 11-1-1 ATS at home. |
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10-27-22 | Canadiens v. Sabres -160 | 3-2 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Canadiens have lost four of their last six games and both road games they have played. They have struggled offensively so far, especially on the road where they are averaging 0.5 goals per game. They’ve also struggled on special teams, converting only 4.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Things won’t get easier for them in this game because the Sabres have played well defensively, especially at home, and they’ve done a great job killing penalties, so don’t expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Canadiens. |
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10-27-22 | Red Wings v. Bruins -215 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Wings are off to a great start but the Bruins have looked like one of the best teams in the NHL and I see them controlling the game in all three zones. The Bruins, who average 4.14 goals per game, should pile on the goals with David Pastrnak, Patrice Bergeron, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with great centering passes while Hampus Lindholm generates shots on the net from the blue line. The Bruins, who allow only 2.86 goals per game, should also limit the Red Wings' offense with Hampus Lindholm, Connor Clifton, and the rest of the unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing Jeremy Swayman to step up and make plenty of easy saves. |
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10-26-22 | Lightning -135 v. Ducks | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Anaheim and coach Dallas Eakins are off to a slow start in their fourth season together: The Ducks have one win and three points after six games. They also own the NHL's worst goal-differential mark at minus-14, a pace that comes out to minus-191 over the 82-game season. Since beating the Seattle Kraken on home ice to open the new campaign, the Ducks are 0-4-1 and have lost the scoring battle 23-9. After Anaheim fell 5-1 against the Detroit Red Wings to close out a five-game road trip on Sunday, first-year Ducks center Ryan Strome said he recognizes the problem but added it's up to him and his new teammates to fix it. |
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10-26-22 | Nets v. Bucks -160 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The problem for Brooklyn is that they have struggled to stop teams in the early going as both the Pelicans and Grizzlies hung at least 130 points against them. That’s dangerous when you’re facing a Milwaukee team that just dropped 125 on the Rockets without Middleton in the mix. Now, he won’t be back for this contest but the fact remains that Antetokounmpo is a force all by himself, as the Rockets found out Saturday. The Bucks feed off the home crowd and they find the cracks in the Nets’ half-court defense to deliver a victory to the hosts. |
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10-26-22 | Rangers v. Islanders -130 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Islanders have the rest factor, which is always important in hockey. The Isles are also 4-0 their last 4 playing on two day's rest. They are also 6-2 in the last 8 in this series. This game is also about goaltending and the Islanders have the edge with Sorokin in net, who has been much sharper this season. |
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10-26-22 | Magic v. Cavs -8.5 | 92-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Orlando is trying to cobble together a team that is playing a lot of young guys in an effort to find a cohesive group to build around going forward but it’s safe to say that they aren’t expecting to contend. Cleveland has that young nucleus and made the big move to acquire Mitchell from Utah before the season started to give them a premiere scoring option in crunch time. The Cavaliers have a good group of pieces around him and will only get better once Garland is back to full speed after his eye injury. Cleveland has won two straight and seeing how Orlando has yet to get in the win column this season, you have to fade them accordingly. |
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10-24-22 | Nuggets -180 v. Blazers | 110-135 | Loss | -180 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Trail Blazers lack weapons to compete with Nikola Jokic, who averaged 18.7 points, 11.7 boards, and 9.0 assists in just 27.5 minutes on the floor against Portland in 2021-22. The Nuggets are 7-2 SU and ATS in their last nine meetings with the Trail Blazers, and their previous three victories over Portland have come by 29 or more points. |
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10-24-22 | Bears v. Patriots -8.5 | 33-14 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bears' offense has been terrible this season as they have struggled with an inexperienced offensive line and a young receiver group. Chicago has the 31st-ranked scoring offense in the NFL thus far this season. They are the #2 ranked rushing offense but are dead last in passing offense. In the red zone, the Bears are equally inept, ranking 28th in the league in red zone offensive efficiency. The Patriots' defense seems to be hitting its stride as they once again shut down an opponent. New England held the Browns #1 rushing attack to just 70 yards on the day. Overall, New England gave up 328 yards of total offense and had two interceptions and two fumble recoveries on the day. The Patriots had four sacks on the day and a whopping nine quarterback hits. They also had two tackles for loss in their second straight win. |
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10-24-22 | Capitals v. Devils -125 | 6-3 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Jersey has gotten solid goaltending work out of Blackwood, who is 3-1-0 with a 2.02 GAA in the early going this season. The Devils have a lot of young talent along with the infusion of veteran leadership in the form of Ondrej Palat. Washington can’t afford to go down multiple goals in this game because it will be a challenge to get back in the game. Give the upper hand to the Devils at home as they make it four straight wins. |
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10-23-22 | Steelers v. Dolphins -7 | Top | 10-16 | Loss | -120 | 52 h 11 m | Show |
Inter-conference Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units After starting 3-0 SUATS this season behind the lefty, the Fish ride a 0-3 SUATS skid entering this contest. The Dolphins have plummeted from being ranked fi rst in points per drive with Tagovailoa, to 29th without him. Tua, though, brings a lofty 16-9 SU and 15-9-1 ATS career mark into this battle, including 10-4 SUATS at home. Nonetheless, concussions take center stage in this contest with new rookie QB Kenny Pickett currently in concussion protocol. Steelers’ backup QB Mitchell Trubisky completed nine of 12 passes for 144 yards and a TD in relief of Pickett who left last week’s game woozy with a concussion. Another side bar issue today will be the return of former Miami head coach and current Pittsburgh defensive assistant Brian Flores, who’s has had run-ins with Fish owner Stephen Ross over reported ‘tanking’ issues. However, .500 or greater NFL teams, 0-3 SUATS in their last three games, are 14-1 SUATS since 2000 when facing a foe coming off a SU underdog win. |
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10-23-22 | Islanders v. Panthers -188 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units The New York Islanders face the Florida Panthers with both teams heading in opposite directions to start the season. The Islanders are 2-3 and have lost back-to-back games while the Panthers have a 3-1-1 record and look like one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference. The two teams met earlier this season with the Panthers winning 3-1 but the Islanders are looking to even up the score and return to .500 on the season. |
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10-23-22 | Chiefs v. 49ers +2.5 | Top | 44-23 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 8 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Kansas City is 8-18 ATS as a favorite when coming off one loss when facing a foe coming off a loss, including 3-14 ATS versus avenging foes. The bottom line, though, the Niners’ No. 1 ranked defense is 101 YPG superior to that of the Chiefs. That being the case, Frisco head coach Kyle Shanahan is 14-6 ATS as a dog with a win percentage of .333 or more, including 6-0 ATS versus .714 or fewer opponents. |
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10-23-22 | Padres v. Phillies -134 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Right-hander Zack Wheeler is expected to start for Philadelphia in Game 5. He was dominant in Game 1 of the NLCS, throwing seven scoreless innings in the 2-0 win. Wheeler needed just 83 pitches to mow down the Padres, getting five of his six first-pitch outs via the fastball. He has allowed three runs and nine hits through 24.1 innings of work this month. Wheeler has been fantastic at home all year, posting a 1.85 ERA. He is 3-1 with a 2.06 ERA and 53 strikeouts in seven appearances against San Diego in his career. |
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10-23-22 | Giants +3 v. Jaguars | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 45 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units It’s been another year of frustration for the Jags, whose shortened nickname seems apropos. At the helm is QB Trevor Lawrence who after setting an NFL record for most fumbles in a game (4) two weeks ago, comes off the best effort of his NFL career last week after he completed 20-of-22 passes for 165 yards and a touchdown while adding two more TDs on the ground. But it wasn’t enough as the Colts scored the game winning touchdown with 23 seconds remaining to win 34-27. In the process, though, he also set another NFL record when he became the first quarterback in league history to complete over 90% of his passes on 20-plus attempts, score three touchdowns, commit no turnovers, and yet still lose the game. So, our question is why is Jacksonville suiting up as the favorite in this contest against the G-Men? However, the Jaguars 0-18 SU and 2-16 ATS in their last eighteen games against NFC competition. |
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10-23-22 | Bucs -13 v. Panthers | 3-21 | Loss | -106 | 45 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units If the playoffs began this week, the 3-3 Bucs would surprisingly be the No 3 seed in the NFC, based on the fact they sit on top in the NFC South. The Panthers situation continues to worsen with each passing week. After WR Robbie Anderson was kicked off the sidelines following an altercation with coaches on Sunday against the Rams, he was traded to Arizona on Monday. What the Panthers really need is a quarterback. An ugly 1-8 ATS log in games before facing a division foe, coupled with the fact that not only is Tampa 6-1 ATS in this series, but also Brady’s 22-6-1 ATS away record after his team was upended as a favorite in its previous game, makes this a one-way look. |
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10-23-22 | Colts +2.5 v. Titans | 10-19 | Loss | -104 | 45 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating; 3 Units The huge comeback win by the Colts last week vaults them back into contention in the wide-open AFC South where suddenly, if the NFL playoffs were to start this week, Indy would be the 7th and final seed from the AFC. Their counterpart Titans, by virtue of leading the AFC South, would hold down the No. 3 seed. Teams 3-2 teams after a 0-2 start (Tennessee) are 17-11-1 ATS in Game Six, but 0-3 SUATS when coming off a Bye week. In addition, the Titans are winless, 0-5, ITS (In The Stats) this season. Yes, we’d call them a false favorite in this matchup, especially with the Colts playing with a triple revenge chip on their shoulder. With the Nashville Cats 3-12 ATS in the first of consecutive division games, and the Colts 7-1 ATS versus opponents coming off Bye week. |
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10-22-22 | Kansas State +3.5 v. TCU | 28-38 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Despite the Frogs’ unbeaten winning streak, they’re just 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten Big 12 battles, and 2-7 ATS as favorites of 7 or fewer points. TCU is also 2-9 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games, 1-4 ATS with conference revenge the last two years, and 1-6 ATS home versus a conference foe with rest. That’s a lot of money burning, folks, and it gets worse when we see that the Wildcats are on a 4-0 ATS skein versus the Frogs, and 5-1 ATS record of late when playing in Fort Worth. We’re not done: K-State is 6-0 ATS in the second of consecutive Big 12 road affairs, and 10-1-1 ATS in the last twelve versus foes playing with conference revenge. Finally, the Wildcats are 6-1 ATS after scoring 10 or fewer points (beat Iowa State, 10-9) and if you think that scoreboard drought will be a problem, the last time Chris Klieman’s crew was held to 10 points, they dropped 41 on Oklahoma the following week. Finally consider that KSU head coach Klieman is 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS against undefeated opponents coming off a win of 3-plus points, including 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS as a dog. |
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10-22-22 | Mississippi State +21 v. Alabama | Top | 6-30 | Loss | -100 | 51 h 26 m | Show |
SEC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Bama’s 40 straight appearances in the Top 5 ends as they fall to No. 6 entering this contest. However, before knee-jerking and deciding to back Bama here, you need to know that Nick Saban is just 6-13 ATS in his CFB head coaching career, including just 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS at home when coming off a SUATS loss and facing an FBS opponent. Mississippi State HC, Mike Leach is 30-15 ATS after a double digit loss, including 15-4 ATS in the last 19 games. Additionally playing against any unrested double-digit conference favorite from Game 7 out off its first loss of the season as a conference favorite of more than 7 points if they’re facing a greater than .333 conference foe off a loss is 15-1 ATS since 1980. |
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10-22-22 | Astros v. Yankees -138 | 5-0 | Loss | -138 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Back home with a righty on the mound, the Yankees will have Matt Carpenter available for a full game in front of that short right field porch for the first time in the playoffs. While Javier has pitched extremely well to close the season and against the Yankees as well, pitching at Yankee Stadium in the playoffs is a different animal. Cole has proven to be a true stopper in the playoffs and he will continue that role in this huge spot. Look for the Yankees to chip away for enough runs and Cole to get them into the 8th inning to close this one out. |
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10-22-22 | Vanderbilt v. Missouri -14 | 14-17 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 units Defensively, Missouri has allowed 26 points or less in four straight, including a near miss at home against Georgia (26-22), and a road trip to Florida, where they fell by seven as double-digit underdogs. QB Brady Cook looks to be evolving, completing 67.7 percent of his passes over the last two weeks, while running backs Nathaniel Peat and Cody Schrader are both averaging at least 5.0 yards per carry, which should play well against Vandy’s 87th-ranked rush defense that’s allowing 4.7 ypc and 10 touchdowns in conference. Missouri is winless in conference, and have to get on track, another reason we should expect max effort from a rested side |
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10-22-22 | UCLA +6.5 v. Oregon | 30-45 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating; 3 Units Amazingly OU West is terrible at defending their turf in a triple revenge match, going 0-4 ATS against a foe seeking to finally win one. Oregon is also on shaky ground in this series when coming off an ATS win of 13 or greater, going 0-5 ATS. The Bruins have a large stack of good numbers: 6-1 ATS as dogs of 6 or fewer points, 3-1 ATS off a home dog win – and Chip Kelly’s gambling numbers are even more intimidating. He’s 20-4 SU and 18-6 ATS away off a win as a college coach. Consider as well that 6-0 dogs are 17-5-1 ATS when facing an opponent coming off a win of 10 points or more. |
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10-22-22 | Wild v. Bruins -109 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units The Bruins are starting to get some players back, including Grzelcyk who should help the defensive pairings. Thus far, the Bruins seem to be generating offense despite the absence of 2021-22 leading scorer Marchand. David Pastrnak and Patrice Bergeron have led the way with eight and six points respectively and Jake DeBrusk has three goals and five points since returning from injury. The Wild have struggled on the defensive end, allowing 5.75 GAA and saving just .833% of shots on their net. Meanwhile, the Wild are only converting on 10% of their shots on goal compared with 12% for the Bruins. Boston has better special teams, is better off the draw and stronger defensively. |
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10-22-22 | Toledo v. Buffalo +7.5 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 46 h 32 m | Show |
MAC game of the Month Rating: 5 Units After a slow 0-3 start, the Bulls have kicked their heels and ride a 4-0 SUATS win skein entering this contest. The offense has averaged 36.5 PPG in those four games, while the defense has held its last two opponents to just 7 points apiece. Buffalo in this series is 5-1 ATS of late, including 3-0 ATS at UB Stadium. Buffalo is also 12-4-1 ATS as a home dog, including 5-0-1 ATS versus greater than .700 opposition. Head coach Maurice Linguist, had sunk to 4-11 with the Bulls until they went on their recent 4 game rampage. Buffalo is 7-2 SU and 8-0-1 ATS versus foes coming off a SUATS favorite win. Also, consider that playing on any college football home dog who is 4-0 SUATS in its last four games if they were favored in their last game is 22-9 ATS since 1980, including 20-4 ATS if they are facing a foe coming off consecutive wins.. |
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10-21-22 | Suns -5 v. Blazers | 111-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Suns have won six of their last seven contests against the Trail Blazers and are 9-3 ATS in their previous 12 meetings with Portland. The Trail Blazers have only covered twice in their last nine showings at Moda Center. |
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10-21-22 | Raptors +2.5 v. Nets | 105-109 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This contest will be interesting as the Nets looked lackadaisical for long stretches of the game against the Pelicans. Sure, New Orleans got a boost from the return of Zion Williamson but the fact remains that the Nets were hammered right out of the gate. Toronto had their struggles against a Cleveland squad that added Donovan Mitchell in an offseason trade but came up with the clutch plays down the stretch to earn the victory. The Nets still have Durant and Irving to lead the way though their showing against the Pelicans is cause for concern. Given what we saw from Brooklyn on both ends of the floor, it’s tough to like them here, even at home. Take the points and the Raptors here as they claw out a win on the road. |
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10-21-22 | Pistons v. Knicks -7 | 106-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks lost their opener, but there is a lot to like there. They came back, on the road, and sent it to overtime against a good team. Now, they play their home opener and I would be shocked if they did not win it in front of a pumped up home crowd at Madison Square Garden. Detroit is going to be a team to be reckoned with, this season, with loads of top young talent. But this scene at MSG will be a lot to handle for a young team not used to winning on the road. Barrett was awful in game 1 and I expect a bounce back, and look for Brunson to put on a show in his home opener in front of the new fans. |
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10-21-22 | Padres -109 v. Phillies | 2-4 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Diego has a very clear pitching advantage on Friday night, so I do not know why this line is a pick’em. Musgrove has been one of the best starters in the majors this season, and he has turned it up another notch in the playoffs. He has a 1.38 ERA across his two starts this postseason and has a strong history against Philadelphia during his career. Suarez struggled to find the strike zone during his first career playoff start last week and does not have nearly as much big-game experience to draw upon as Musgrove does. The Phillies have the advantage of playing at home, but that is not nearly as meaningful as it is in other sports. |
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10-21-22 | Lightning v. Panthers -105 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lightning are off to a slow start with their offense scoring only 10 goals in their first four games. While Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov, and Brayden Point have combined for seven goals and seven assists to lead the top two lines, the rest of the offense has struggled. The Panthers are having a great start to the season with their offense stepping up and scoring 3.50 goals per game. Matthew Tkachuk, Colin White, and Sam Bennett have scored five goals and nine assists to lead the top two lines but the rest of the offense has also stepped up. Aleksander Barkov, Eetu Luostarinen, and Carter Verhaeghe have combined for three goals and six assists while defensemen Gustav Forsling and Radko Gudas have added one goal and five assists from the point to open up the offense. |
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10-20-22 | Saints v. Cardinals -140 | 34-42 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Saints have struggled mightily on Thursdays in non-division clashes going 0-6-2 ATS. Looking inside the stats, Arizona has out yarded each of its last five opponents. So, while New Orleans is 5-0 ATS away off back-to-back home games, and 7-1 ATS in its last eight games as a road dog, and the Cards are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight overall home games, we’re banking on Hopkins’ shot-in-the-arm return to be the magic elixir the Redbirds so desperately need. |
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10-20-22 | Yankees v. Astros -133 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Astros as a team are hitting just .220 in four games but have nearly as many home runs as the Yankees with 9 in two less games. The Astros have yet to lose in the postseason despite the fact that Jose Altuve is now 0-for-16 in the postseason. Simply put, the Yankees have far too many outs in their lineup and have scored solely on the long ball. Until they get some production from the likes of Torres and Donaldson among others, it is impossible to lean the Yankees way. Valdez will give the Astros six to seven innings while Severino will likely leave after five innings. I like my chances much better with the back end of the Astros bullpen than I do with the Yankees. |
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10-20-22 | Devils v. Islanders -149 | 4-1 | Loss | -149 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Devils are looking to build off a strong win and pull off the upset in the upcoming game. The problem is that the Islanders have played great recently and look to control this game from the first period. The Islanders, who have scored 12 goals in the last two games, should pile on the goals with Brock Nelson, Anders Lee, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes while Noah Dobson fires shots on the net from the blue line. The Islanders also look to limit the Devils' offense with Adam Pelech, Ryan Pulock, and the rest of the defense creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Ilya Sorokin to make plenty of big saves. The Islanders should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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10-19-22 | Blues -120 v. Seattle Kraken | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blues, who opened with a 5-2 victory against visiting Columbus on Saturday by scoring three unanswered goals in the third period, will return to the ice tonight in Seattle, opening a three-game trip that includes stops in Edmonton and Winnipeg. The Blues won all three games against the expansion Kraken last season, outscoring them 11-2. The Kraken opened the season by taking three of a possible four points on a Southern California swing to Anaheim and Los Angeles, but have struggled since returning home to Climate Pledge Arena. They fell behind by five goals in a 5-2 loss to Vegas on Saturday, then dropped a 5-1 decision to Carolina on Monday. |
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10-19-22 | Yankees v. Astros -169 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In the four starts after his return, Verlander went 2-1 with a 1.17 ERA and 31 strikeouts over 23 innings -- stellar statistics but an overall performance that, according to Verlander, paled compared to the roll he was on prior to the setback. In the 11 starts before the DL stint, Verlander went 8-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 73 strikeouts in 69 2/3 innings. Verlander is 9-7 with a 3.44 ERA in 23 career regular-season starts against the Yankees, 4-1 with a 2.75 ERA in eight career postseason starts. The Yankees will arrive in Houston late off their elimination of the Cleveland Guardians in the AL Division Series on Tuesday night, providing the Astros an edge. |
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10-18-22 | Kings v. Predators -150 | 4-3 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Predators are coming off back-to-back losses and are looking to make a statement on their home ice and as a result, look to control this game from the opening puck drop. The Predators' offense looks to step up and pile on the goals against a Kings’ defense that allows 4.67 goals per game with Nino Niederreiter, Ryan Johansen, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and finds open shots on the net while Roman Josi steps up and fires shots on the net from the blue line. The Predators also look to step up on the defensive end of the ice with Roman Josi, Dante Fabbro, and the rest of the unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Juuse Saros to step up and make big saves throughout the game. The Predators should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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10-18-22 | Phillies +110 v. Padres | 2-0 | Win | 110 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Phillies rank third out of the 12 playoff teams offensively, batting at a .237 clip. Designated hitter Bryce Harper leads the team with 10 hits and six RBIs, including three home runs. He is facing a San Diego pitching staff that is No. 5 this postseason with an ERA of 2.80. Right-handed pitcher Zack Wheeler is expected to start for Philadelphia on Tuesday. He has pitched in 12.1 innings this postseason, going 0-1 with a sparkling 2.19 ERA. Wheeler has been excellent against San Diego during his career, posting a 2.06 ERA and striking out 53 batters across seven appearances. He threw seven scoreless innings against San Diego in May, allowing four hits and no walks while striking out nine. |
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10-17-22 | Broncos v. Chargers -4 | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units This one is a matchup of a team that can’t score against one that has had major issues keeping the opposition off the scoreboard this season. Denver is second-worst in the league in scoring and their inability to put the ball in the end zone proved too much to overcome against a Colts team that is dead last in scoring offense. That puts Wilson and company in a tough situation here as the Chargers are in the upper echelon of scoring offenses in the league. Denver’s defense has been solid and kept them in games this season though they face a stiff challenge here. Ekeler has been on fire the last couple of weeks and Herbert is getting healthier after suffering that rib injury back in week two against the Chiefs. Playing at home with the potential of having Allen back in the mix here makes the Chargers too dangerous for the Broncos to handle. |
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10-17-22 | Kings v. Red Wings UNDER 6.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Jonathan Quick is definitely better than the beginning of the season has show shown while Ville Husso is every bit as good as his first game indicated. Quick still has a .903 save percentage, which is decent but needs to be better. Neither team has been aggressive in order to get shots up as the Kings are attempting 30.3 shots per game, which is 19th in this young season while the Red Wings are shooting 31 shots per game, which ranks 18th. The under has hit in each of the previous four Kings games against Eastern Conference opponents as well as being 7-2-1 in the last 10 Red Wings Monday games. |
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10-16-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles -6.5 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The stat that jumps out in this contest is that both teams rank No. 1 and 2 in Net Turnover Margin, with Philly +1.8 and Dallas +1.0. For what it’s worth, the Eagles are 2-5 SU and 1-5-1 ATS under Nick Sirianni in games in which they lose the TOs, while the Cowboys are 4-9 SU and 3-10 ATS the same way under Mike McCarthy. Meanwhile, where Sunday night home teams coming off consecutive wins tend to struggle, there is no refuting the fact that teams who just upset the defending Super Bowl champions are close to no shows the following game. The Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in games after Rams, and the Eagles seeking triple revenge it's important knowing America’s Team is a meager 1-9 SUATS away versus .428 or greater foes seeking triple revenge. Finally, playing against any NFL away team who upset the defending Super Bowl champion in their last game by 7+ points and scored 28+ points if they’re facing a .400 > foe and the O/U total in this game is < 44 is a PERFECT 15-0 ATS since 1980. |
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10-16-22 | Yankees v. Guardians +165 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cole will be under immense pressure to get deep into this game as the Yankees have taxed some of their key bullpen pieces, namely Peralta and Jonathan Loaisiga each of whom has pitched in all three games of the series thus far. Yankees closer Clay Holmes was not available to close out game and has only made two appearances of 2/3 of an inning each. Cleveland does an excellent job of extending at bats and their game plan tonight will certainly be to push Cole near 100 pitches as early as possible. Cleveland starter, Quantrill is 9-0 at home this season. He has allowed 14 home runs in 19 home starts this year and that will be the key, keep the Yankees in the yard. He will and the Guardians will close this series out. |
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10-16-22 | Bills v. Chiefs +3 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -120 | 49 h 4 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units It starts with KC QB Patrick Mahomes’ 12-1 SU mark versus .777 or greater foes, as well as his 4-1 SUATS record at home versus the AFC East during the regular season. On the flip side, Bills QB Josh Allen has struggled away in his NFL career against .700 or better foes, going just 2-5 SUATS. Digging deeper, the Bills are 1-12 ATS in the 2nd quarter of the season (Games 5-8) with a .500 or greater win percentage when coming off a SUATS win and facing an opponent coming off a home game. Head coach Andy Reid brings in a 28-9-1 ATS dog log into this prime time showdown when coming off consecutive wins, including 4-0-1 ATS at home. Consider also that the Chiefs QB Mahomes is 9-0 ATS as a dog in his NFL career. |
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10-16-22 | Bucs v. Steelers +10 | 18-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Tomlin has been at his best taking points at home, going 12-2-5 ATS in his career, including 5-0-2 ATS since 2018. And for what it’s worth, he is 10-3 SUATS overall when coming off a loss of 17 or more points – including 4-0 ATS as a dog. Tampa enters just 2-6 ATS as road chalk of 4 or more points, and 1-5 ATS the last six games in this series. Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last five games against NFC South. Finally, consider that NFL non-division road favorites off three straight home games are 1-16 ATS when facing foes coming off consecutive losses, the last by 13 or more points. |
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10-16-22 | Jaguars +1.5 v. Colts | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jacksonville out gained Houston by 174 yards in last week’s 13-6 loss. The Jags are also 9-1-1 ATS the last eleven games in this series, as well as 4-1-1 ATS against foes coming off a Thursday contest. On the other side of the field, Indy is on a 0-4 SUATS losing slide when coming off a SU underdog win, while head coach Frank Reich is only 12-22-2 ATS against sub .500 opponents, including 3-10-1 ATS when coming off a win. Finally, Indy is a dismal 1-7 ATS in their last eight division home games. |
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10-16-22 | Jets v. Packers OVER 45 | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Over is 6-1 in Jets last 7 vs. a team with a winning record, 6-2 in Jets last 8 games following a straight up win, 6-2 in Jets last 8 road games and 13-6 in Jets last 19 games overall. While the Over is 7-2 in Packers last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. |
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10-15-22 | Clemson -3.5 v. Florida State | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 33 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units FSU is 1-4 ATS at home in a conference revenge game, 1-4 ATS before the Bye week, 2-7 ATS in Game 7. Tigers haven't posted those eye-popping winning margins as was a weekly happening in the Watson & Lawrence glory years, but just keep getting it done, with QB Uiagalelei improving by the week, standing at a sweet 14/2 TD/INT ratio. Clemson is 4-0 ATS in the last four of this series. Clemson is clearly improving and a groggy bunch of Seminoles hungover from last week is just what the Tigers should munch on to remain unbeaten. |
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10-15-22 | Lightning v. Penguins -140 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The offense carried the Penguins but the defense also stepped up, allowing only two goals in the opening night win. Kris Letang and Brian Dumoulin led the top pairing but the entire unit stepped up with Jeff Petry, Marcus Pettersson, and the rest of the defense creating turnovers in the neutral zone and defensive zone while also limiting shots on the net. Additionally, goaltender Tristan Jarry looks to build off a start where he saved 26 of the 28 shots he faced. |
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10-15-22 | LSU +2.5 v. Florida | Top | 45-35 | Win | 100 | 74 h 29 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units The bottom line is that Brian Kelly will need to do a better job or his one-game deficit in the SEC West will be blowing in the wind. At least he helps himself by bringing along a 21-12 ATS record as a road dog, including 9-1 ATS off an ATS loss of 9 or more points. LSU has also held its own in the last nine series contests with Florida, going 6-2-1 ATS overall and 3-1 SUATS away. New Gators head coach Billy Napier looks to be behind the 8-ball here, as the host team has gone 1-4 ATS in five lined games under Napier this season. Florida also hasn’t fared well of late in home games when playing with SEC revenge, going just 1-4 ATS. Consider finally, that Napier stands 5-11-1 ATS as a conference home favorite, including 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS versus .666 or greater opponents. |
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10-15-22 | Arkansas v. BYU | Top | 52-35 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units First, BYU in the favorite role at home is 2-6 ATS when the spread is under 6 points. Second, Arkansas is 5-1 ATS as a dog of 6 or less. Third, the Razorbacks are a sharp 4-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games. Even better, or worse depending on whom you’re rooting for, a top-notch SEC underdog coming off losses to Bama and Texas A&M finds itself 7-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in this situation. Consider that the Cougars have not faired well versus the SEC going 1-8 ATS versus SEC foes since 1990. |
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10-15-22 | Braves -119 v. Phillies | 3-8 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I was happy to back Philadelphia as a slight home favorite on Friday afternoon in the team’s first playoff game in more than a decade. However, I am equally as happy to back the Braves in an elimination game on Saturday. They have faced plenty of challenges over the past few seasons en route to winning the World Series last year and the NL East for the fifth straight year. Morton has a ton of playoff experience to rely on heading into this start, while Syndergaard is winless in his career against Atlanta. Morton is 4-0 with an 0.95 ERA in playoff elimination games. The Braves have too much talent and experience to lose this series in four games. |
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10-15-22 | Penn State +7 v. Michigan | 17-41 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Penn State has gone 2-0 SUATS so far in road trips this season while Michigan’s sole cover in three home games came against pitiful Connecticut. Penn State is also 4-1-1 ATS as dogs versus an undefeated conference opponent, and head coach James Franklin chips in with a money-making 37-18-1 ATS mark when coming off consecutive wins. Additionally the Lions bring in a 21-4 SU and 17-6-1 ATS record when undefeated, including 14-2-1 ATS when facing winning foes. To Cap it off, Michigan head coach Jim Harbaugh is 2-11 ATS in his CFB career in games involving undefeated opponents, including 0-9 ATS the last nine games. |
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10-15-22 | Iowa State +16.5 v. Texas | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Texas is a miserable 1-8 ATS as double-digit chalk in conference games. On the flip side, the Cyclones are 6-0 ATS as dogs of 3-plus points when coming off a loss, and following a tough 1-point loss at home against Kansas State last week, the Cyclones suddenly find themselves with their backs to the college bowl wall. That’s where head coach Matt Campbell comes to the rescue, as he is 10-1 ATS as a double-digit dog in conference games, including 10-0 ATS versus .500 or greater foes. |
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10-15-22 | Auburn v. Ole Miss -14.5 | 34-48 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Ole Miss doesn't have any reason to look past Auburn despite the Tigers' .500 record and struggling offense. The meat of the Rebels schedule awaits them after this game with matchups at LSU, at Texas A&M and finally at home against Alabama. The Rebels need a convincing win against Auburn as they ready for a make-or-break run in the SEC. Ole Miss's ground game should easily overwhelm Auburn's 62nd ranked rushing defense and the new wrinkle of a solid passing attack will likely be unveiled yet again when Auburn attempts to stack the box. Kiffin has never been known for his modest goals so don't expect the Ole Miss taskmaster to take his foot off the gas in this game. |
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10-14-22 | Rangers +113 v. Jets | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New York played well defensively, giving up one goal in their win over the Lightning. They also did a good job on special teams, killing 83.3 percent of their penalties. They will need another solid defensive effort if they want to get the win. In his last start, Igor Shesterkin saved 25 of the 26 shots he faced, finishing the game with a 1.01 GAA and a .962 save percentage. He is 3-0-0 in three games against the Jets with a 0.69 GAA and a .983 save percentage. |
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10-14-22 | Navy +12.5 v. SMU | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units SMU is only 1-6 ATS in Weekday games and 1-4 ATS versus opponents with double revenge, but they’re also 0-7 ATS as conference home favorites when coming off consecutive losses. That’s a perfect set-up for Navy’s mind boggling 15-0-1 ATS as a dog off a win versus losing foes. |
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10-14-22 | Braves v. Phillies +100 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia did not compete with New York and Atlanta in the NL East this season, but the Phillies can be the lone team to advance to the NLCS this year. They were underdogs against St. Louis in the NL Wild Card round, spoiling the going away party for Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina in a two-game sweep. The Phillies got off to a strong start in this series, racing out to a 7-1 lead before giving up some late runs on Tuesday. Their offense went cold on Wednesday, but they are now going home to what will be a raucous environment today. It will be either veteran Charlie Morton (9-6, 4.34 ERA) or star rookie Spencer Strider (11-5, 2.67 ERA). Morton struggled over the final month of the regular season, posting a 5.40 ERA in 31.2 innings. Strider was questionable to even make the NLDS roster due to an oblique injury that he suffered in mid-September. He posted a 1.27 ERA in 21.1 innings against Philadelphia this year, but he would likely only be available for a few innings in this game due to load management. |
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10-13-22 | Stars v. Predators -130 | 4-1 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While the offense has stepped up, the defense has been dominant early on this year, allowing only three goals in the first two games. Roman Josi and Alexandre Carrier have led the top pairing but Ryan McDonagh, Mattias Ekholm, and Dante Fabbro have also stepped up to help round out the defense. Moreover, goaltender Juuse Saros had a remarkable first start of the season where he saved 30 of the 31 shots he faced. |
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10-13-22 | Temple v. Central Florida -23 | 13-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Owls are just 1-4 ATS in this series and riding a 0-6 SUATS losing skein in their last six road games. Ugh. Meanwhile, UCF’s program continues to live the high life (nine bowls in last ten seasons), though fans were somewhat disappointed in Gus Malzahn’s 9-4 debut last year after finishing 41-8 the previous four seasons. They were also quite upset when the Knights took the biggest fall in the AP Poll two weeks ago, snapping a 33-week streak of being ranked. However, UCF has won three straight and with an extra week to prepare, should be in a salty mood here tonight. Since they’ve beaten the Owls by 109 points in the last three meetings, we look for more of the same this evening. |
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10-13-22 | Mariners +150 v. Astros | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units The Seattle Mariners mounted a spectacular comeback against the Blue Jays and this time they were the team squandering a big 7-3 lead late in game one on Tuesday and could not hold on for the win. Fortunately, the Mariners have Luis Castillo on the mound in this one. The right-hander was spectacular in the Wildcard, breezing through 7.1 shutout innings against the Blue Jays. Castillo has allowed just one run in his 12.2 career postseason innings. Framber Valdez wasn’t at his best late in the season. He posted a 3.90 ERA in the month of September. I also like the fact Seattle is slightly more productive against lefties, recording a .713 OPS against left-handed starting pitchers compared to .702 against right-handers. Valdez was horrible in the playoffs last year, surrendering 17 runs in 19.2 innings, resulting in a 7.78 ERA. |
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10-12-22 | Phillies v. Braves -135 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Kyle Wright is set to start for Atlanta in Game 2. He picked up a win against New York 10 days ago, allowing two runs on seven hits while striking out three. Wright led the majors with 21 wins this season, finishing with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. He has a 2-3 record and a 3.86 ERA in six appearances against Philadelphia, allowing six earned runs in three outings this season. Wright was instrumental during Atlanta’s World Series run last year, allowing one run in 5.2 innings out of the bullpen. The Braves scored five consecutive runs late in Tuesday’s game, giving them some momentum coming into this game. They are 11-4 in their last 15 games against Philadelphia. |
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10-12-22 | Bruins v. Capitals -131 | 5-2 | Loss | -131 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams come in banged up but the Bruins will have more to overcome in this one without their #1 defenseman in McAvoy and arguably their best winger on both the power play and penalty kill in Marchand. Montgomery wants to instill a defensive mindset for the Bruins but losing two key pieces that protect the back line will impact the Bruins for much of the first month of the season. Washington comes in banged up as well but has the firepower to do damage against the depleted Bruins' defense. Expect a fairly tight game but one that will be controlled by the Capitals. The Caps have a number of key veterans on expiring deals that will come out with something to prove this season. The first team to face their wrath will be Boston. |
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10-11-22 | Padres v. Dodgers -220 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In his last three starts, Urias has no record with a 1.10 ERA, a 1.04 WHIP, four walks and 14 strikeouts over 16.1 innings of work. Urias makes his 16th career appearance and 11th start against the Padres in this contest. He comes in 6-1 with a 2.19 ERA, a 0.989 WHIP, 22 walks and 59 strikeouts over 61.2 innings of work against them. Urias is 20-7 with three saves, a 2.95 ERA, a 1.082 WHIP, 80 walks and 283 strikeouts over 293 innings in 67 career appearances, 49 starts, at Dodger Stadium. |
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10-11-22 | Phillies v. Braves -195 | 7-6 | Loss | -195 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta is not only the reigning World Series champions, but they also erased a 10.5-game deficit in the NL East this season, coming back to take down New York last weekend. Atlanta has won 13 of its last 14 home games and has its rested ace on the mound, while Philadelphia is having to manage its rotation after playing two games this past weekend. The Braves won the season series against the Phillies and are primed to get off to a strong start on this afternoon. |
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10-10-22 | Raiders v. Chiefs -7 | 29-30 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Playing On any Monday night home team coming off back-to-back away games if they are facing a foe coming off a home game. That’s because these MNF hosts are 33-13 ATS in this role when coming off a SUATS win. Tie in the Raiders’ 1-7 ATS mark in games when seeking triple revenge, and their 1-4 ATS record in their last five division road games, and we certainly don’t want to go against Mahomes here, not when he sports a 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS record under the Monday Night lights. |
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10-09-22 | Bengals +3 v. Ravens | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 96 h 51 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Baltimore has been outgained in all four games this season. Cincinnati’s strength this season has been its defense as they rank No. 8 in points allowed and No. 11 in overall yards allowed. They are also one of five teams that have been installed as a favorite in every game this year – yet dress up as a dog today. Finally, consider that Cincinnati is 12-1 ATS against foes seeking double revenge. |
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10-09-22 | 49ers -6.5 v. Panthers | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 30 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Francisco is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games overall. The 49ers have only covered the spread twice in their last nine meetings with Carolina, but the Panthers have gone 1-10 ATS in their previous 11 contests overall. San Francisco is scoring just 17.8 points per game (tied-27th), but the Niners’ defense could easily add to the scoreboard while shutting down Baker Mayfield and Christian McCaffrey. Baker Mayfield had a bad day in the office against Arizona’s defense, going 22-of-36 for 197 yards, a TD, and a couple of interceptions. He also lost a fumble, so it’s no strange Baker was booed by the home fans. Christian McCaffrey posted eight totes for 27 yards while catching all of his nine targets for 81 yards and a TD, and DJ Moore added six receptions for 50 yards. |
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10-09-22 | Dolphins v. Jets +3.5 | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 89 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 units Wilson’s late 81-and-65-yard drives to defeat the Steelers last week and with it they bring a Top 10 ranked offense and defense in this game. That makes them a dog with the better offense and the better defense, and that tells us, we’d better take the points. The Dolphins are just 1-7 ATS in this series. To cap it off, playing against any .545 > NFL away team off a loss, that was preceded by three wins, who won 9 or fewer games last season if they are facing a division foe off a win is 16-1 ATS since 1980. |
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10-09-22 | Falcons v. Bucs -8.5 | Top | 15-21 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 50 m | Show |
NFC South Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Brady is 12-4 ATS in his NFL career when his team is coming off consecutive losses, as well as 23-7 ATS when his team is coming off a double-digit loss. To clinch it, Brady is 7-1 ATS when his team is coming off a double-digit home loss, including 7-0 ATS the last seven games. |
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10-09-22 | Steelers +14.5 v. Bills | 3-38 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Tomlin is 5-0 SUATS the last five games overall when riding a losing streak of three or more games. All of which ties into his terrific 34-9 SU and 28-12-3 ATS mark in games without a winning record from Game Five out in his career – including 11-3 SU and 12-1-1 ATS as a dog. Meanwhile, the Bills return home off a gift at Baltimore where head coach John Harbaugh fell asleep at the wheel while allowing Buffalo to escape with a win. It doesn’t help knowing Buffalo is just 3-7 ATS when coming off back-to-back travelers as well as 3-5 ATS when hosting AFC North guests. |
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10-08-22 | Phillies v. Cardinals +113 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miles Mikolas is as reliable as it gets. The right-hander posted a stifling 2.32 ERA in his five September starts. Mikolas contained the Phillies in the two meetings this season. He held them to four runs (only two earned) in 5.1 innings on the road in the first encounter and limited them to one run in 7.1 innings in a 6-1 win at Busch Stadium. I also like the fact that Mikolas has postseason experience. He has only allowed two runs in 12 career postseason innings. |
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10-08-22 | Washington State +13.5 v. USC | Top | 14-30 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 1 m | Show |
PAC-12 Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Washington State is 7-2 ATS as the visitor in this series and 12-3 ATS in Game One of back-to-back road games. Looking up another Washington State stat yields: 7-0 ATS on the road against double-digit unbeaten favorites. USC makes this decision easier by being 2-11 ATS in Game 6, 1-6 ATS home versus conference triple vengeance, and 2-6 ATS in game two of a back-to-back conference affair at home. Add to that the risk of SC looking ahead to a big-time revenge matchup with Utah next week and the LA crowd might be distracted. |
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10-08-22 | North Carolina +3.5 v. Miami-FL | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 69 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mack Brown is a soothing 7-2 ATS with the Heels against rested foes, including 5-0 ATS the last five. Word out of Coral Gables is there is more wrong with this Miami team than just QB Tyler Van Dyke, who has lost a ton off his fastball and is missing wide receivers at an alarming rate this season. The honeymoon appears to be over with 1st year head coach Mario Cristobal after the shocking loss to Middle Tennessee, which won’t be helped by his 4-8 ATS record when coming off a SU favorite loss. Most important, playing against any college football favorite coming off an upset loss as a favorite of 20 or more points if they’re facing a .400 or greater foe is 44-25-2 ATS. |
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10-08-22 | Rays v. Guardians -107 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The upstart Guardians will now turn to right-hander Tristan McKenzie to lead them out of the wildcard round. McKenzie won 11 games this season and had an ERA of 2.95. At home, he is 5-3 with a 2.77 ERA this season. In addition, McKenzie has a 1.50 ERA against the Rays this season in one start. He went six innings, allowed three hits and one run while striking out six batters. He will have a fresh bullpen behind him as only Clase was called upon in game one. Like Bieber, McKenzie was dominant down the stretch with an ERA of 1.91 and a 2-0 record while striking out 9.82 batters per nine innings. |
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10-08-22 | Tennessee v. LSU +3 | Top | 40-13 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 21 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Kelly has been a home hero, going 18-7 SU at home versus undefeated foes, including 13-3 in games in which his troops allow fewer than 21 PPG. LSU is also 5-1 ATS versus conference opponents with rest, and 15-8 ATS as a home dog when coming off an ATS loss, including 4-0 SUATS over the last four. Last week’s win over Auburn was ugly, as Kelly’s team fell behind early, 17-0, before getting it into gear. Tennessee has solid wins against Florida and |
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10-08-22 | Texas v. Oklahoma +7 | 49-0 | Loss | -107 | 76 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Texas is 1-3 ATS in quadruple revenge games. Also, the Horns have been the dog in each of the last 13 games in this series, which makes the Sooners a dog and we simply can’t ignore these ill-at-ease underdogs as the Oklahoma Sooners are 19-1 SU in games off a loss in which they allowed 36 or more points when facing sub .750 opponents. Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian is 2-10 ATS as a favorite in his career off a SUATS win when facing a .500 or greater foe, including 0-8 ATS If his team scored fewer than 50 points in the win. |
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10-08-22 | Purdue +3 v. Maryland | 31-29 | Win | 100 | 68 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Purdue head coach Jeff Brohm is back in his groove as a dog of 4 or more points where he stands 21-6 ATS. Meanwhile, Maryland’s 4-1 SU start under head coach Mike Locksley is no mirage, as the Terps are the only team to actually threaten Michigan with defeat this season. Unfortunately for Maryland, coach Locksley has an 0-13 SU and 2-11 ATS mark in his career versus foes coming off consecutive wins. We liked the way Brohm’s bunch handled the pressure of the big stage against Minnesota, and with 77 YPG the better defense, we’re back on the beat with the Boilermakers this week. |
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10-08-22 | TCU v. Kansas +7 | 38-31 | Push | 0 | 68 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Teams who beat Oklahoma are 4-12-1 ATS the following game as a favorite versus opponents coming off consecutive wins. KU is also 6-2 ATS in its last eight series meetings with the Frogs, and the series host has cashed five of the last six tickets. Consider that 5-0 teams in Game Six tend to do well as dogs, going 56-35-2 ATS overall. Additionally, when they take on an opponent that scored 48 or more points in its last contest, they skyrocket to 16-3-1 ATS. With TCU just 2-6 ATS of late as a Big 12 road favorite or road dog of 4 or fewer points, We'll take Kansas. |
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10-07-22 | Padres v. Mets -144 | 7-1 | Loss | -144 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Yu Darvish hasn't had much postseason success through 7 games, and I'm a bit concerned for him here on the road. Yes, none of those games were with the Padres, but Darvish has a history of folding in pressure situations. Max Scherzer is about as solid as they come, he's won a world series, has a title under his belt and has a 3.22 ERA with 1.10 WHIP. At home this season, Scherzer has a 1.67 ERA and .200 allowed batting average. You can't name 5 pitchers you'd rather have on the mound in the postseason over Scherzer. You also don't get him at prices this cheap very often. |
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10-07-22 | Rays v. Guardians -109 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland, which won four of the six meetings against Tampa Bay in the regular season, will send right-hander Shane Bieber (13-8, 2.88 ERA) to the mound on Friday. He will be opposed by Tampa Bay left-hander Shane McClanahan (12-8, 2.54). Bieber, like his team, finished the season with a flourish. The 2020 AL Cy Young Award recipient improved to 5-0 in his past six outings on Sunday after allowing one earned run in five innings of a 7-5 victory over the Kansas City Royals. McClanahan, 25, struggled in his lone career outing versus Cleveland, surrendering five runs on seven hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 5-3 setback on July 31. |
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10-06-22 | Colts v. Broncos -170 | 12-9 | Loss | -170 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units A record 23 NFL games have been decided by a field goal or less this season and once again this has all the earmarks of the same. The 1-2-1 Colts are the most disappointing team in the league at this stage of the season (their win-total was 10 entering this season) and now stand 0-2-1 in AFC South contests this year. They have been outscored 65-23 in the fi rst half of games this season and are tied for 30th in turnover differential (-6). Sure, they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven underdog roles, but until the not-solucky horseshoes iron things out, look for the Broncos to extend their streak to 4-0 ATS in this series, as the wild horses improve on their 4-0 SUATS all-time mark at home on Thursdays against non-division foes tonight. |
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10-04-22 | Giants +139 v. Padres | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Francisco might not have anything tangible to play for, but that has not stopped the Giants from playing great baseball over the past few weeks. They have won six of their last seven games coming into this series, and 11 of their last 13 overall. San Francisco is also 8-1 in its last nine road games. Rodon has been an excellent starting pitcher for them this season, while Manaea has struggled since the All-Star break. The Padres have been resting players and getting ready for the postseason, so their full attention will not be on San Francisco. |
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10-04-22 | Diamondbacks -112 v. Brewers | 0-3 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Brewers have lost five of their last seven games and four of their last six home games. They have struggled offensively, scoring only seven runs in their last three games. Things won’t get easier for them in this game because Gallen has done a good job on the mound for the Diamondbacks, giving up eight runs in his last five starts. He gave up three runs in three career starts against the Brewers and will keep their offense in check. The Diamondbacks split their last four games, but they are playing very well offensively, scoring 20 runs in their last four games. Even though Lauer has pitched well for the Brewers, he struggled in recent starts, giving up 11 runs in his last four starts. He gave up six runs in his last three starts against the Diamondbacks. |
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10-04-22 | Cubs +104 v. Reds | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cubs starter Javier Assad logged five shutout innings against the Phillies last time out and features a stellar 2.81 ERA in his four road outings. The Reds are slumping, going 1-6 in their last seven games. Reds' starter Luis Cessa has squandered seven runs in nine innings against the Cubs this season. |
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10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers -120 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The 49ers and their mad-genius Coach Kyle Shanahan have now had two weeks to shape the team's game plan back towards an offense featuring Garoppolo at QB. I expect the Niners to feature Samuel more this week against the Rams, primarily on screens. In the playoff game against the Rams last season, Samuel ran for 45 yards and caught six passes for 95 yards. |
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10-03-22 | Braves -148 v. Marlins | 0-4 | Loss | -148 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Braves view this as a must-win game as they look to secure a division title. They have dominated the Marlins, winning 12 of the 16 meetings this season. The Braves earned the sweep in the previous series against the Marlins, outscoring the fish by a 17-3 margin. The Braves have won seven out of their last eight games after sweeping the Mets. Braves’ starter Bryce Elder has been dominant. The rookie has allowed just one run in his three starts this month spanning a total of 20 innings. He tossed six shutout innings against the fish in that span and has held them to only three runs in 17.2 innings. Marlins’ starter Jesus Luzardo has not fared well against the Braves, conceding nine runs in 13 career innings. |
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