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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-07-21 | Broncos +10 v. Cowboys | Top | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 93 h 8 m | Show |
Rating: 4 UnitInter-Conference Play of the Day For what it’s worth, the most lucrative situation in the NFL this year has been that of road dogs coming off a win of 6 or more points. That’s because these dogs are 12-6 SU and 15-3 ATS season to date. Sure, the resurgent Cowboys are 3-0 ATS at home this year, but they’re still dragging a 3-10 ATS log as non-division home favorites of 10 or fewer points. Will Prescott make it back? Or will Rush be asked to save the day again? We’re ambivalent since we’re backing a Broncos team that’s gone 5-0 ATS as non-division road dogs of 5 or more points. Consider that Denver QB Teddy Bridgewater is 23-5 ATS away as an NFL starter, including 10-0 ATS versus winning opponents. |
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11-07-21 | Patriots v. Panthers +3.5 | Top | 24-6 | Loss | -106 | 92 h 46 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NFL Game of the Week Although Panthers head coach Matt Rhule has been taking a lot of heat this year, he’s still 41-21 ATS as a dog in his CFB and NFL careers, plus he’s 4-1 ATS as a dog with the Panthers against foes coming off consecutive wins. The Pats are just 1-4 ITS (In The Stats) in their last five games, so with or without Darnold behind center, we can’t wait to capitalize on the fact that Pats head coach Bill Belichick is 9-12 SUATS away in games when coming off a SU underdog win, including 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS as a favorite. |
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11-07-21 | Patriots v. Panthers OVER 41 | 24-6 | Loss | -104 | 76 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units All non-division ROAD teams who scored 25 > pts in each of their last 4 games (PATS), when the OU line is less than 56 points is 16-3-1 O/U L4 years. All NFL favorites of < 6 pts who scored 110 > combined points in their last 3 games (PATS), when the OU line is < 47 points is 9-1 O/U since 2010. In addition all game 14 < NFC home teams vs an AFC opponent )PANTHERS vs PATRIOTS), when the OU Line is LESS than ( |
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11-07-21 | Texans v. Dolphins OVER 45.5 | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Unit Total of the Day All teams who scored 22 or less points in each of their last 6 games (HOU) are 7-1 O/U L3 years. The Texans are the worst rushing team in the entire league (only 3.3 yards per rush this year). All game 8 > road dogs of > 4 pts who average 3.5 or less yards per rush on the year (HOU), when the OU line is < 48 points is 9-1 O/U L5 years. With both teams on multi-game losing streaks, we’ll close with the fact that all home favorite of 6 > pts when both teams are off 4+ SU losses in a row (MIA / HOU) are 12-2 O/U since 1990. |
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11-07-21 | Vikings v. Ravens UNDER 50.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Non-Conference games are taking center stage in the NFL this week, with more than half of all games (8) featuring a NFC team taking on a AFC opponent. We’ll be Going low in one of those non-conf affairs, specifically the VIKINGS @ RAVENS game... with an OU line around 49.5 points. All Week 8 AFC home favs of > 3 pts (Bal) vs any NFC opponent (Min), when the OU Line is in the range of 40 to 52 points is 0-8-1 O/U L20 years. This will be the 8th game this season between these two particular divisions. And so far, AFC NORTH vs NFC NORTH games have gone 1-7 O/U, with an average of only 39.1 combined PPG. The host Ravens come in well rested after their Bye Week. They’ve had two weeks to ‘stew’ after getting shocked by the Bengals in Week Seven. Finally consider that All teams AFTER their Bye Week off a SU favorite loss in their previous game (Balt), when the OU line is > 44 points is 5-23-1 O/U since 2012 and 1-10 O/U L4 years. |
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11-07-21 | Bills v. Jaguars UNDER 48.5 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 73 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units All underdogs off a SU loss of 15 > pts (Jacksonville) vs any opponent off a SU win of 15 > pts (Buffalo) is 1-13 O/U last 2 years. Jacksonville allowed 31 points last week while Buffalo allowed only 11 points. All underdogs of 6 > pts after allowing 31 > pts (Jacksonville) vs any opponent who allowed 11 < pts in their previous game (Buffalo), when the OU line is 54 or less points is 1-9 O/U last 2 years: . The clincher: Jacksonville has already gone a perfect 0-5 O/U this season in their non-division games (only 42.4 combined PPG). |
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11-07-21 | Falcons +6.5 v. Saints | Top | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
Rating: 6 Unit Upset of the Year Teams who upset the defending Super Bowl champion as a dog are just 26-36 SU and 24-37-1 ATS versus division foes the following game, including 19-36 SUATS when not favored by 7 or more points. So now the Saints are 5-2 and hoping to have Winston back and healthy to face Brady and the Bucs when it really counts – in January. In addition, the visiting team is 4-2 SUATS of late in this series. Toss in the “beat the Super Bowl champ” letdown factor, as teams in division game who upset the defending champs are just 15-25 SU and13-27 ATS since 1990. The clincher: playing on any .400 or greater NFL division dog playing with triple revenge is 12-0 ATS since 1980. . |
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11-06-21 | UTSA v. UTEP +12 | Top | 44-23 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CFB Upset of the Day UTEP battled back from a 28-10 4Q deficit to fall, 28-25, at Florida Atlantic last week, but at 6-2 this season, the Miners will be bowling for the fi rst time since 2014. Why, you ask? Because they are 7-1 ITS (In The Stats), winning the stats by +100 YPG, and are 4-2 ATS as double-digit pups over the past two seasons. Will another double-digit dog pull an upset this week? A total of 34 FBS games have fallen into that category this season and this has a strong possibility of being another. Consider as well that playing against any 7-0 or greater college football dog road favorite coming off a week of rest if they are facing a .444 or greater opponent that is not coming off a win of 7 or more points is 12-0 ATS since 1980. |
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11-06-21 | Celtics v. Mavs -3 | 104-107 | Push | 0 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The big news surrounding the Celtics is that Jaylen Brown (hamstring) will miss this game. That’s a huge loss given his averages of 25.6 points, 6.1 rebounds and 2.5 assists. Meanwhile, the Mavericks could get back Kristaps Porzingis (back), who practiced Friday. I think Porzingis plays and the Celtics will have a hard time scoring enough to keep this game close on the road. |
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11-06-21 | 76ers v. Bulls -3.5 | 114-105 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls haven’t played since Wednesday, against these same Sixers. That game was played in Philadelphia. The Bulls were down big early and tried to mount a comeback in the second half, but they ultimately lost by five. The big news surrounding the Sixers is their outbreak of COVID-19. Tobias Harris was first to test positive and now Matisse Thybulle was placed inside the health and safety protocols Friday. His defense against Zach LaVine was big in the last game, so with him out and this game being played in Chicago, I’ll roll with the Bulls to win in decisive fashion. |
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11-06-21 | Islanders v. Jets +109 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Eric Comrie has been very good in relief for Connor Hellebuyck while he has been out with a sickness, and the Jets are still undefeated at home. The Islanders are still in the midst of their month-long road trip to start the season and they are 4-2-2. They have allowed just 20 goals all season but they have also only scored 23. This value on the Jets at home is just too good to pass up, I like the value on the Jets. |
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11-06-21 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs -128 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This rivalry gets renewed for the first time since 2019 but this time will be without Tuuka Rask and Nick Foligno for the Bruins. The Bruins are also 1-3-0 on the road this season while the Maple Leafs are 5-1-1 at home. The Leafs have won four straight games and they do tend to win the home games in this series despite getting dominated when in Boston and in the playoffs. Take the Maple Leafs at home. |
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11-06-21 | Avalanche v. Blue Jackets +156 | 2-4 | Win | 156 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blue Jackets are 4-1-0 at home this season and they are 6-3-0 on the season. Elvis Merzlikins is starting, and he is 4-1-0 with a 1.97 GAA on the season. The Aves are just 4-4-1 to start the season including 2-2-0 on the road. The Blue Jackets will be without Patrick Laine, who will be out for 4-6 weeks, but the Aves will be without Cale Makar again, and they could be without Andre Burakovsky and Mikko Rantaanen as well. I like the value in the Blue Jackets at home. |
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11-06-21 | Wild v. Penguins -116 | 5-4 | Loss | -116 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sidney Crosby and Brian Dumoulin are still out for the Penguins but Mats Zuccarello is out for the Wild. Kris Letang returned for the Penguins last game and proved to be a massive addition as he scored the OT goal to win. Both these goalies have been solid but the Wild have lost 6 of their last 7 games in Pittsburgh and 11 of the last 15 games overall, take the Penguins with the cheap home price. |
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11-06-21 | Hurricanes +126 v. Panthers | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers have played three straight OT games. They defeated the Capitals in OT despite getting outshot 42-33. Panthers interim coach Andrew Brunette, who led his team to a 5-4 overtime win over the visiting Washington Capitals on Thursday night, wasn't quite ready to talk about Carolina. "That was an exhausting game," Brunette said after Florida blew a 4-1 lead in the final 22 minutes before scoring in OT. "I can't even think (about Carolina yet). I'm just going to enjoy this one." You better be prepared for the Hurricanes, who sport a +44 shot differential. Carolina is ranked No. 4 in face-off win percentage while Florida is ranked No. 27 this season. I like the road team. |
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11-06-21 | Michigan State v. Purdue +3 | Top | 29-40 | Win | 100 | 71 h 15 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week The 5-3 Boilermakers are 6-2 ITS (In The Stats) this season, winning the stats by an average of 72 net YPG. They beat a Top 10-ranked Iowa team three weeks ago, and are looking to do the same here today. Consider this: the Spartans are 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in post-Michigan meetings in which they managed to score 30 or more points, including 0-4 ATS in games in which MSU allows more than 20 PPG. They are also 1-5 SUATS after taking on UM in games in which they coughed up 30-plus points. Can you spell L-E-T-D-O-W-N? Also consider that playing against any college football road favorite who won SU as an underdog against a 5-0 or better opponent in its last game is o 4-20 ATS in this role from Game Seven out. And if this is a conference game, they drop to 3-18 ATS. |
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11-06-21 | California -11.5 v. Arizona | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -108 | 53 h 29 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Mismatch On the heels of back-to-back wins, call this a crucial game for the 3-5 |
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11-06-21 | Wake Forest +2.5 v. North Carolina | 55-58 | Loss | -103 | 68 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units North Carloina takes the field here with a 22-38 ATS mark versus undefeated opponents, including 0-7 SUATS after allowing 35 or more points in his team’s previous game. The inconsistent Heels have won back-to-back games just once this year, but to their credit, they have not lost two consecutive games, either. That starts today as you consider that Head coach Dave Clawson is 24-12 ATS against conference foes without a winning record, including 5-0 ATS when his team sports a .800 or greater win percentage. |
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11-06-21 | SMU v. Memphis +5.5 | Top | 25-28 | Win | 100 | 68 h 41 m | Show |
Rating: 5 UnitCFB Game of the Week The 44-37 defeat was the first loss of the season for SMU, and Dykes now runs into another prolific passing attack in Memphis, ranked 18th in the nation (296 YPG). He is also 4-11 ATS as conference road chalk, including 0-4 ATS versus greater than .333 opponents. Meanwhile, Memphis had covered six straight times in this series until getting nipped last season, 30-27, on a field goal at the final gun. That sets up a conference revenge situation for the Tigers, a role in which they are 4-1 ATS at home. In addition, at 4-4 on the season, Ryan Silverfield’s squad is battling to earn a bowl bid for the eighth year in a row. A win today will help, and so does the fact that SMU is 2-9 ATS as a conference road favorite of 17 or fewer points, including 0-4 ATS from Game Nine out. Better yet, playing against any CFB favorite who started the season 7-0 or better, coming off its initial loss (as a favorite) in which they scored 28 or more points if they are facing a conference opponent is 10-1 ATS since 1980. |
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11-05-21 | Devils v. Kings -120 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Devils are without their two best players in defenseman Dougie Hamilton and forward Jack Hughes. The former is out long term and has been missing for a while, but Hamilton was hurt Tuesday. He has been great with a co-team-leading six points and a plus-4 rating. The Kings are meh but have won three straight and are at home. This is more fading the Devils, who also are on the front end of a B2B. |
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11-05-21 | Predators v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I generally will not do many Under 5.5s but every model out there has this as easily the lowest-scoring game of the night: SportsLine's has it with 4.9 goals. Neither team is great offensively, especially Vancouver, and the Preds are missing one of their best scorers in Filip Forsberg. Canucks netminder Thatcher Demko has a 2.39 GAA at home. |
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11-05-21 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Ducks | 1-3 | Loss | -165 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I really had no interest in this game but now will take a shot on the winless Coyotes on the puckline at -170, which is the same price as an Anaheim moneyline win. The Yotes have been competitive of late and netminder Karel Vejmelka has a 1.69 GAA and .951 save percentage through his last three starts. He gets no offensive help. Ducks No. 1 goaltender John Gibson has just been ruled out and backup Anthony Stolarz is 0-2-1 with a 3.63 GAA. I smell upset win here but will take the +1.5. If Arizona were home, I would take it outright. |
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11-05-21 | Rangers v. Oilers UNDER 6 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I may come back and play Edmonton on the moneyline, but I'm often going to play Under 6 goals and will do so here. The Oilers obviously can score with anyone, but the Rangers aren't a high-scoring team and netminder Igor Shesterkin has been great with a 1.85 GAA. Edmonton's Mikko Koskinen has a 2.18 GAA and has allowed five combined goals in his past three. A few books had this at 6.5 so if you can get that do it for sure (6.5 is where I'll officially play it even if an alt line), but I can't here and I see it moving down already at those other ones. |
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11-05-21 | Rangers v. Oilers -154 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Well, I got burned on the total because reports this morning were that No. 1 Rangers netminder Igor Shesterkin was starting but now comes word that it's Alexandar Georgiev instead. He's still very capable but not as good. Maybe we still get lucky on the total but now I am on the Oilers moneyline, which has risen about 15 cents. |
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11-05-21 | Clippers -2 v. Wolves | 104-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These teams just played in Minnesota on Wednesday and the Clippers won by 11 points. D’Angelo Russell (ankle) did not play and won’t take the floor Friday, either. As good as Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards have been, the loss of Russell puts the Timberwolves’ offense in a tough spot. Take the Clippers to cover. |
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11-05-21 | Blackhawks v. Jets UNDER 6 | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jets apparently will stick with backup Eric Comrie in net because No. 1 Connor Hellebuyck is sick, but Comrie has been quite solid. Chicago's Marc-Andre Fleury has allowed just one goal in two of his past three. The Hawks are near the bottom in scoring at 2.27 per and remain without top-six forward Tyler Johnson. I was leaning the Jets on the ML, but it's a bit steep at -170 without Hellebuyck so I'll take the shot on the total and believe we will do no worse than a push. |
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11-05-21 | Grizzlies +2 v. Wizards | 87-115 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After a 5-1 start to the season, the Wizards have lost back-to-back games. First, they fell to the Hawks by seven points on the road. Then, they lost by nine points to the Raptors at home. Those were two tough matchups and Friday brings another one against the Grizzlies. They are 6-2 ATS, including 4-1 ATS as an underdog. They won three of those games, outright. With Ja Morant rolling, I like them to continue their success as underdogs. |
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11-04-21 | Sabres v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 5.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Second of a back-to-back for Buffalo, which will be without top-line forward Victor Olofsson for a second straight game due to injury. He has five goals and four assists. The Sabres are using backup Dustin Tokarski in net, but he has a 1.92 GAA this year in three appearances. Seattle, meanwhile, is just not a great offensive team -- no surprise as an expansion club -- but netminder Philipp Grubauer is more than capable of blanking short-handed Buffalo. He has a 1.77 GAA at home. |
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11-04-21 | Stars v. Flames -140 | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Flames burned us in their last game at home in OT to move to 1-0-2 at home this season. Jacob Markstrom has still been one of the best, if not the best, goalie so far this season while the Stars have been struggling to score. They have scored just 18 goals in 9 games and they are 2-3-1 on the road this season. The Stars have lost 4 straight games while the Flames have started 6-1-2, take the Flames at home. |
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11-04-21 | Jets v. Colts -10 | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Colts are in must-win mode as they enter a two-game stretch of games against the lowly Jets and Jacksonville Jaguars. Indianapolis lost 34-31 in overtime to the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. Quarterback Carson Wentz threw one interception with less than two minutes left in regulation and another in overtime. The Jets come into this one off a big win but that euphoria may be short-lived, as they arrive in Indianapolis with an 0-3 ATS mark in Thursday action, and a 1-7 SUATS failure when coming off a win as a 7-point or larger dog. The Colts counter with a 14-4-1 ATS effort on Thursdays, and a near-perfect 5-0-1 ATS mark after tangling with the Titans. |
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11-04-21 | Celtics v. Heat -6.5 | 95-78 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Heat look like they are on a mission this season. They are 6-1, with their only loss coming on the road to the Pacers in their second game. At home, they are 3-0 with all three wins coming by at least 15 points. The Celtics will be playing the second game of a back-to-back set and have been underwhelming out the gate, posting a 3-5 record. This will also be their third game in the last four days, two of which will be on the road. Despite this large number, I still like the Heat to cover Thursday. |
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11-04-21 | Flyers v. Penguins -119 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We went 0-3 on Penguins plays last week and all three losses were at home, but they can’t lose 4 straight at home can they?? The Penguins are currently last in the Metropolitan Division with their losing streak, so I think they finally put together a good game tonight. Carter Hart has been playing well to start the season but so has Tristan Jarry. Take the Pens at home. |
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11-04-21 | Islanders v. Canadiens +120 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Islanders are now playing their 8th straight road game out of 13 straight road games the Islanders will play before they play their home opener. I don’t think the Canadiens are very good, but they are 2-3 at home and they picked up a win most recently at home. The Canadiens also have trouble scoring, but so do the Islanders with just 17 goals in 7 games, so that should wash out. Take the value in the Habs at home. |
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11-04-21 | Golden Knights v. Senators +105 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Matt Murray is healthy again, and the Senators have been playing solid at home dating back to last season. The Golden Knights are just 2-2 on the road this season and they are in the middle of an East Coast road trip right now. Robin Lehner is just 3-5-0 with a 3.13 GAA on the season. William Karlsson broke his foot and will be out 6 weeks. Add that on to Alex Tuch, Mark Stone, and Max Pacioretty who are all already out for the Knights, and there is good value on the Senators at home. |
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11-04-21 | Islanders v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -133 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
The Under is pretty juiced here at -135 (we won't see a total of 5, though) but these are two of the lowest-scoring teams in the NHL. The Habs we understand because they have been obliterated by injury and another key forward, Jonathan Drouin, will not play here. He took a puck to the head Tuesday and has seven points on the season. Montreal netminder Jake Allen comes off a shutout and has been better at home in 2021. Isles goaltender Ilya Sorokin has a 2.26 GAA on the season. |
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11-03-21 | Blue Jackets +1.5 v. Avalanche | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Colorado will be for sure without top winger Mikko Rantanen and stellar young defenseman Cale Makar, plus another key forward, Andre Burakovsky, is in question. Even more important, shaky backup Jonas Johansson already has been named the starter in net. Not ready to back Columbus at +175 to win outright on the road, although I thought about it, so we'll take the Jackets at -130 on the puckline. |
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11-03-21 | Hurricanes -145 v. Blackhawks | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The one-win Blackhawks aren't as bad as they've looked and the Hurricanes obviously aren't going 82-0, so would a Chicago win here totally shock me? No, but getting the Canes at just -145 is too good of value to pass up. Top-six Chicago forward Tyler Johnson remains out, and I tend to think No. 2 Kevin Lankinen starts in net. This ML is going to rise … |
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11-03-21 | Predators v. Oilers -215 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is about the limit of where I will go on the moneyline. Nashville is on the second of a back-to-back after burning me last night in Calgary with an overtime victory. Top-line winger Filip Forsberg (undisclosed) was injured in the third period and is in question for this one. The Preds also presumably will turn to No. 2 netminder Connor Ingram. |
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11-03-21 | Blazers v. Cavs +5.5 | 104-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Trail Blazers are only going to go as far as Damian Lillard can carry them. He’s only shot 34.9 percent from the field this season, including 23.1 percent from behind the arc. That’s played a big role in their 3-4 start. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have been more competitive than last season, using an improved defense to go 5-3 ATS. After finally returning home from a long road trip, look for the Cavaliers to put up a good fight. If Lillard remains cold, they could even win outright. |
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11-03-21 | Bulls +2 v. 76ers | 98-103 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls mounted a furious comeback in their last game against the Celtics, erasing a 19-point deficit in the second half to win by 14. Not only do they have a 6-1 record this season, but they are also 6-1 ATS. Although the Sixers are expected to get Joel Embiid back for this game, Tobias Harris (health and safety protocols) and Ben Simmons will remain out. This is a favorable opportunity for the Bulls to remain hot. |
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11-02-21 | Sabres v. Sharks UNDER 6 | 3-5 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Jose has fallen off quite a bit offensively of late with six goals in its past four games. Sabres goaltender Craig Anderson is off to the best start of his career with a 1.98 GAA. Offensively, Buffalo is without three of its top centers due to injury. This has 3-2 written all over it. |
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11-02-21 | Sabres +135 v. Sharks | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sabres have started the season 5-2-1 and they have allowed just 17 goals in 8 games, mostly in part due to Craig Anderson in the net. The Sharks have also started well at 5-3-0 and they have allowed just 19 goals in 8 games. However, I don’t think either of these teams is that great, so I think it is more of a toss up between the teams. I will take the underdog in the Sabres. |
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11-02-21 | Pelicans +11.5 v. Suns | 100-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units At 1-6, the Pelicans have had issues with players being in and out of the lineup. Uncertainty lingers around several of them, including Devonte' Graham, Brandon Ingram and Garrett Temple. Yet, New Orleans has kept games close as it has lost each of its three games by fewer than seven points. Take the value here on the double digits with the Pelicans. |
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11-02-21 | Kings v. Jazz -9 | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jazz will be facing the Kings for the second time this season. In their prior matchup on Oct. 22, Utah outscored Sacramento by 15 points in the second half to win 110-101 on the road. Expect the Jazz to put on an even better performance at home and improve to 6-1. |
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11-02-21 | Predators v. Flames -144 | 3-2 | Loss | -144 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Calgary enters on a six-game winning streak and won all those but one by multiple goals. Jacob Markstrom stopped 93 of the 94 shots he faced last week and was named the NHL's No. 1 star. He has a 1.33 GAA overall this year. It's the front end of a back-to-back for the Preds so maybe they don't use No. 1 goaltender Juuse Saros here -- I still like Calgary regardless but this moneyline would jump a good 25 cents if it's not Saros. Nashville is 1-6 in its past seven as a road dog. |
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11-02-21 | Braves +122 v. Astros | 7-0 | Win | 122 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units : I picked both the Astros to win the series and the Astros in 7 games on Early Edge before the World Series, so you could consider this play a bit of a hedge, but I also think if the Braves are gonna win the World Series they need to do it in Game 6. Max Fried has struggled his past couple outings and I think he will struggle again against one of the best lefty hitting teams in the league. However, Snitker was able to save Matzek, Jackson and Smith to give them 2 days off before Game 6. Two days rest and playing in the AL Park means he will extend his relievers to try to get 4, 5 or even 6 outs each if he needs to. Luis Garcia is pitching on 3 days rest for just the second time in his career and the Astros top relievers didn’t get the luxury of Game 5 off. The Braves add the DH while the Astros don’t really get an offensive boost adding someone like Chas McCormick before Maldonado in the lineup. Take the Braves to win the World Series tonight |
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11-02-21 | Stars v. Jets -120 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jets are 2-0 at home this year and averaging 5.5 goals per game in them. They likely will get star center Mark Scheifele back from COVID protocols for this one as he's out of them and did practice Monday. Just a matter of conditioning. Dallas has lost three straight and totaled four goals in them. It's a bad offensive team. The Stars are 5-12 in their past 17 as road dogs. |
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11-02-21 | Heat -2 v. Mavs | 125-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami's Bam Adebayo (knee) and Dallas' Kristaps Porzingis (back) are listed as questionable, so both teams could be without a key frontcourt member. Porzingis has missed three straight games and the Mavericks play again Wednesday, so there might be a better chance that he sits out. Meanwhile, Adebayo was a full participant in Monday’s practice. Even with him sidelined for their last game, the Heat smoked Memphis by 26 points on the road. Not only are they 5-1, but all five of their victories have come by at least 13 points. I’ll take Miami to cover this small number. |
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11-02-21 | Bucks v. Pistons +4.5 | 117-89 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pistons aren't very good, but the Bucks are down three starters, including Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday, while Detroit looks healthy -- rookie No. 1 overall pick Cade Cunningham will play. Milwaukee enters on a three-game skid and while the Greek Freak apparently will play, he's not 100 percent, either. Dating to last season the Bucks are 1-7 ATS in their past eight vs. teams with a losing record. |
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11-02-21 | Golden Knights v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Vegas is absolutely gutted by injuries at forward so I don't see how the Knights are scoring more than maybe two goals in Toronto. The Leafs, meanwhile, really haven't gotten going yet scoring wise in averaging 2.33 goals and Auston Matthews with only one. Again, we may push here but hard to see seven goals. The Under is 10-3-2 in Maple Leafs' last 15 games following a win. |
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11-02-21 | Red Wings +127 v. Canadiens | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Wings started 4-3-2 while the Canadiens have started 2-8-0. Most importantly, the Canadiens have only scored 19 goals this season and they are just 1-3-0 at home. The Red Wings have looked like an above average team to start the season and I just don’t see how the Canadiens can be this heavily favored against anyone right now. The Canadiens are also playing their first home game after a long West Coast road trip, so I like the value in the Red Wings. |
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11-02-21 | Red Wings v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Montreal is averaging just 1.90 goals per game and almost every good offensive player the Habs have is either out tonight or a game-time call. The Wings have been solid offensively so far but two of their leading scorers, Todd Bertuzzi and Dylan Larkin, will miss this one. As it is Canadiens goaltender Jake Allen held Detroit to one goal on Oct. 23, also in Montreal. How about a 2-2 game at the end of 60 minutes? |
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11-01-21 | Giants v. Chiefs UNDER 52.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 126 h 23 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Inter-Conference Total of the Week This week’s Primetime ‘bookend’ concludes with the Monday Nighter, as the reeling KC Chiefs host the Giants in Kansas City. It’s an ideal time to go low... with the Chiefs currently in an offensive funk... and taking on one of our favorite ‘Under’ teams in the G-Men (Giants: 1-9 O/U L2Y in non-div games w/ an OU of > 43 pts). At last look, KC was favored by 10 pts with an OU line of 52. Consider that Monday Night double-digit non-division home favorites (Chiefs) have gone 5-23-1 O/U (and 0-7 O/U In L5 years) when the OU line is 54 or less points. |
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11-01-21 | Giants +10.5 v. Chiefs | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Chiefs give up an NFL-high 6.6 yards per play. Even though we can expect a bounceback from the K.C. offense -- it helps that Giants safety Jabrill Peppers is out -- the Chiefs' defense will leave the backdoor open. New York has already covered at Washington and New Orleans (outright win). The Giants got blown out at Dallas but that was a game in which Daniel Jones got knocked out early. Back New York to improve to 23-7 in its last 30 as a road dog. |
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11-01-21 | Magic v. Wolves -8.5 | 115-97 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Timberwolves won at Milwaukee last week and were dominating Denver at home three days later before falling apart in the fourth quarter. Karl-Anthony Towns did not score in the fourth, and that game is a huge learning lesson for a team that has a ton of talent. Orlando, we have a problem! |
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11-01-21 | Senators +125 v. Blackhawks | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ottawa has been impressive to start the season. They can seemingly hang with anyone and are 3-4 which is better than most thought they'd be with their schedule. They've had the 7th hardest schedule in the league so far. Chicago, on the other hand, is 0-7-2 while all the offseason hype caused many to think this team was legitimate. Granted, they also had a tough schedule (9th hardest), but that's no excuse for being winless at this point. |
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11-01-21 | Senators v. Blackhawks UNDER 6 | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 1 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago is near the bottom of the NHL in goals at 1.89 per game but will get star Patrick Kane back from COVID protocols tonight. Not sure that will help all that much as he can't be 100 percent with so much time away from the club. Hawks netminder Marc-Andre Fleury has been terrible but comes off his best outing Saturday in St. Louis so maybe he figured something out. Ottawa gets back its No. 1 goaltender in Matt Murray. He was very good in his two starts before the injury. I really have a hard time seeing seven goals scored in this one to lose, but we might push. |
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11-01-21 | Bulls v. Celtics -134 | 128-114 | Loss | -134 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm not quite buying the Bulls yet, especially with Patrick Williams' major injury and Coby White yet to make his season debut off surgery. Boston will get back two starters in Marcus Smart and Robert Williams after they missed Saturday with non-COVID illnesses. The Celtics are the much deeper club because of those two Chicago guys being out. |
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11-01-21 | Blazers +2 v. 76ers | 103-113 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There are rumors out that that Sixers star Joel Embiid will sit this one out simply for rest. He is quite banged up. Thus, we'll take a shot that it's true as I think Portland could now win outright since Ben Simmons still isn't around for Philadelphia, either. |
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11-01-21 | Cavs v. Hornets -5 | 113-110 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s been a grueling road trip for the Cavaliers, who will be playing their fifth straight game away from Cleveland. They won the first two contests of the trek but have dropped each of the last two by at least nine points. The Hornets finally are at full strength with Terry Rozier back. He’s only played in two games this season, one of which was an 11-point win at Cleveland. To complicate matters for the Cavaliers, Kevin Love (health and safety protocols) will be out for this rematch. |
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11-01-21 | Spurs +3 v. Pacers | 118-131 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Spurs are 3-0 against the spread on the road, and Indiana is dealing with some significant injuries. Malcolm Brogdon (hamstring) was considered questionable in today's first injury and has only rested for one game. Caris LeVert (back) is questionable after logging 16 minutes in his season debut. If both players are ruled out or at least one is limited, the Pacers' backcourt will be at a disadvantage. I'm rolling with the Spurs team that beat the shorthanded Bucks by nine points over the weekend as the road team. |
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11-01-21 | Capitals +130 v. Lightning | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Caps are missing many key players including TJ Oshie and Nicklas Backstrom, but Alex Ovechkin is leading the league in goals with 9 and the Caps have still yet to lose a game in regulation time. These two teams played the other week in DC and the Lightning picked up an OT win in a close game. The Caps were also the best road team in the league last season. There are only 3 games across the NHL tonight so not many options, but we will ride with the underdogs to get some action. |
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10-31-21 | Rangers v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 5.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Two meh offensive teams both missing at least one top forward due to injury. Rangers netminder Igor Shesterkin has a 1.81 goals-against average and .944 save percentage, while Seattle counterpart Philipp Grubauer has been terrific in back-to-back starts. |
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10-31-21 | Cowboys v. Vikings OVER 54.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 39 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NFC Total of the Day We’re certainly aware that Dallas is on a very hot 4-game SU, ATS, and ‘OVER’ streak in a row. the sample size is small, but significant: NFL road teams (DAL) off 4+ SUATS wins and 4+ ‘OVERS’ have gone 6-0-1 O/U since 2004 when the OU line is < 57 points. With amazing offensive point totals of 35, 44, 36, and 41 in their last 4 games, our next query tells us that, Non-Division teams who scored 35 > pts in each of their last 4 games (DALLAS) have gone a perfect 6-0 O/U since 2000 when the OU line is 46 > points. |
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10-31-21 | Cowboys v. Vikings +2.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -114 | 102 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating; 3 Units Minnesota head coach Mike Zimmer is still frothing following last season’s 31-28 home loss to Dallas as 7-point chalk, a loss to backup QB Andy Dalton that snapped a 3-game Vikings win streak, as well as a 4-game Dallas losing skid. In the end it eventually cost the 7-9 Vikings a losing season. Now back at the scene of the crime, Minny will look to improve on its 10-2 ATS series ledger, while Zimmer looks to pad his 16-3-1 ATS career mark at home against .500 or greater non-division foes. The Boys’ 11-17 SU and 9-19 ATS record against NFC North foes since 2009 adds another log to the fire. In addition, consider that 5-1 NFL teams in Game Seven, coming off five wins in a row, are 3-13 SU and 4-12 ATS since 1980 if not favored by more than 3 points, including 0-6 SUATS versus sub .600 opponents. |
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10-31-21 | Astros -112 v. Braves | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Braves are now 7-0 at home in the World Series and they are just 1 game away from their first World Series since 1995. But they are starting Tucker Davidson today instead of pushing Max Fried up on short rest, so I think they are kinda punting on this game. The Astros lineup is still a big mystery as to when, or if they will break out, but I think today will be the best chance they have. If they take the lead early, they will avoid all Snitker’s big bullpen arms. Snitker also wouldn’t mind that scenario because then all his best guys have 2 days off and Max Fried is on normal rest. Valdez struggled in his first outing, but I think he will have more success the second time around like he did against the Red Sox. Take the Astros to force a Game 6. |
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10-31-21 | Astros v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 9-5 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These teams have been putting runners on base and threatening the over the past couple games, but they just haven’t been able to get that big hit. Both bullpens have been really good, but this is the third game in a row so everyone’s gonna be pretty sore at this point. However, I think one of these lineups will be shut down but I am not sure which. Valdez struggled in his first outing, but I think he will be much better the second time around. I could see a lot of hits like yesterday but the score staying low because it’s an elimination game. I could see a 5-2, 6-2 finish but I think one of these offenses gets shut down. |
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10-31-21 | Blazers v. Hornets +1.5 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Trail Blazers are off to a 3-2 start with all three wins coming at home. They’ve only played one road game, which they lost by 30 points to the Clippers. The Hornets should get Terry Rozier (ankle) back for this game with him being listed as probable. That would provide a significant boost for their offense. Add in stellar play from LaMelo Ball and with Miles Bridges averaging 25.5 points per game, and I think the Hornets take care of business on their home floor. |
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10-31-21 | Jazz -125 v. Bucks | 107-95 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This might be the last time -- barring injury -- that Milwaukee is a home dog all season. The Bucks will not have injured starters Jrue Holiday or Brook Lopez, while Utah will have Mike Conley after he sat out the front end of a B2B on Saturday (Bucks also played Saturday). |
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10-31-21 | Blue Jackets v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Devils have scored 18 goals in 6 games and allowed just 17 goals. The Blue Jackets have allowed 19 goals in 7 games and allowed just 19. Both these teams play defense first, and neither team scores much. Jack Hughes is still out and neither team really has that star power. Elvis Merzlikins has been hot to start the season, so although the Devils have questions at goalie, I think the Blue Jackets defense could still keep this under. |
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10-31-21 | Bucs v. Saints +5.5 | Top | 27-36 | Win | 100 | 98 h 44 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NFL Game of the Week The Brady numbers become dizzying, and at some point we anticipate seeing some degree of regression. It actually happened in his final season with New England when he concluded the season with a career-low 55.7 QBR. But the move to Tampa was akin to finding the Fountain of Youth. Today, though, he takes on a team he knocked out of the NFC playoffs last season, and for that, we expect him to pay the piper. For openers, the Saints are 10-3-1 ATS as home dogs dating back to 2006, including 6-1-1 ATS with head coach Sean Payton. The Bourbon Street gang is also 5-0 SUATS in its last five regular season meetings with the Bucs. And if that’s not enough, consider that Payton is an annuity when it comes to exacting revenge in division games, going 23-12 SU and 24-11 ATS, including 18-2 ATS as a favorite or dog. |
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10-31-21 | Panthers v. Falcons UNDER 46 | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 95 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The OU line opened at 48 points, and has been bet down to 46.5 to 46.0. With Christian McCaffrey out for the Panthers, they’re pretty much lost on offense these days (only 20.9 ppg this year). When you only manage three points against the league’s #30 scoring defense (NY Giants), you’re in real trouble. But they still playing great defense, allowing only 307 yards per game and less than 21 points per game. So we’ll go with the flow, as this Carolina / Atlanta series has gone 1-4 O/U in the last 5 meetings. |
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10-31-21 | Bengals v. Jets UNDER 42.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 1 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit AFC Total of the Week The fact that Cincy is a huge road favorite plays right into our hands, as NFL road favs of 9 > pts (Cin) have gone 73% under since 2011 (17-47-2 O/U), when the OU line is 41 > pts. Yes, we’re aware that the Bengals just scored 41 points against the Ravens last week. All ROAD teams who scored 40+ pts on the division road the previous week (Cin) are 0-9 O/U L4 years. This will be Cincy’s 3rd straight road game in a row. Consider that all teams in 3rd straight road game after allowing 17 < pts in last two games (Cin) are 0-9 O/U L4 years. |
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10-31-21 | Titans v. Colts -120 | 34-31 | Loss | -120 | 75 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 5 Units NFL Mismatch of the Week The key to this contest will be how the Titans respond following a pair of home underdog wins the past two weeks against the Chiefs and Bills. Tennessee 0-4 ATS in games after coming off consecutive SU underdog wins. In addition, the Tennessee is just 5-15 SU and 6-13-1 ATS the past twenty games in this series, including 2-9-1 ATS in games in which the Colts own a greater than .400 win percentage. In addition, playing on any 3-4 NFL team in Game Eight as either a dog or a favorite of 3 or fewer points if they were a playoff team last season and are facing a .666 or greater foe coming off consecutive wins if the foe allowed a combined 20 or more points in its last two games is 10-0 ATS since 1980. |
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10-30-21 | Washington +2.5 v. Stanford | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 80 h 5 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day The Huskies have taken care of business in this series, going 4-1-1 ATS off a win when Stanford is coming off a loss of 3 or more points. Washington is also 4-1 ATS as a conference dog coming off a SU win and a double-digit ATS loss. Those situations were all set up by an embarrassing first half (65 total yards and zero points) against Arizona, one of the very worst teams in the nation. This, very irritated Washington fans have been calling for back-up QB Sam Huard, but the truth is Dylan Morris got his act together just in time to pull out the win over the Cats. Still, this year’s 3-4 SU record indicates that Jimmy Lake is not the answer in Seattle. With the Huskies looking to avenge a pair of losses to Stanford over the past two seasons as double-digit favorites, we hand it off to the clincher where playing on any 17 or more returning starter college football dog with revenge coming off consecutive ATS losses if they are facing a sub .450 opponent coming off consecutive losses is 19-1 ATS since 1990. |
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10-30-21 | Cavs +10 v. Suns | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cavaliers burned me Friday, but I’m going to give them another chance. The Suns have not been playing well, posting a 1-3 record that has included a 29-point loss to the Trail Blazers and a three-point loss at home to the Kings. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have impressive road wins over the Nuggets and Clippers. I expect them to put up a good fight here. |
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10-30-21 | Oilers -140 v. Canucks | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Oilers are coming off their first loss of the season so they should be looking for a bounce back win after their 5-1-0 start. The Oilers won 6 of the 10 games between these teams last season, but the Oilers won 4 of 5 games in Vancouver. The Canucks have also started 0-2 at home this season and they lost to the Oilers in Edmonton already this season. I like the Oilers to bounce back from their loss. |
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10-30-21 | Astros v. Braves -104 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating" 2 Units Dylan Lee is starting for the Braves in what should be a majority bullpen game. It should also be mostly left handers with Minter, Matzek and Smith available for the Braves after Lee. Zack Greinke is starting for the Astros and he has really struggled lately. In his only postseason start, he only recorded 4 outs while allowing 2 ER. The Astros were one of the best teams in the league at hitting left-handed pitching during the regular season, and they should get a steady dose of them today. I don’t think Dusty will hesitate to bring in his relievers with Framber Valdez expected to start tomorrow, and Snitker also has said he will play to win today. However, the Braves have yet to lose at home this postseason and I think they will have the pitching advantage today so I will side with them at home. |
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10-30-21 | Jets -103 v. Sharks | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jets started slow, but they have now won 4 straight games while the Sharks went the exact opposite route. They won their first 4 games and have now lost 3 straight. Blake Wheeler is expected to be back in the lineup and Connor Hellebuyck should be back in net after a night off last game. |
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10-30-21 | Magic +6 v. Pistons | 103-110 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pistons are 1-3 against the spread and 0-4 straight up. They've lost every game by at least six points and their average margin of defeat is 13.25 points. While Cade Cunningham's NBA debut could make things interesting, I don't think he's enough to warrant backing the NBA's worst scoring offense. The Magic are 2-2 against the spread on the road and have covered against the Knicks and Raptors. I trust their established rotation and pesky, young defenders against a winless team. |
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10-30-21 | Devils v. Penguins -143 | 4-2 | Loss | -143 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Penguins were shutout in their last game against the Flames but they actually outshot the Flames, they just ran into a brick wall in Jacob Markstrom. That won’t happen tonight as they are expected to face Scott Wedgewood. The Penguins won 6 of the 8 meetings between these teams last season and they have won 5 straight games. The Penguins are banged up but so are the Devils, take the Penguins at home. |
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10-30-21 | Panthers v. Bruins -125 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This will be the Panthers' second straight road game and third game in four nights. They defeated the Red Wings in overtime to remain undefeated. Boston is 0-2 in its past two games despite out-shooting both foes by a combined 64-49 mark. The Bruins dropped one of those games at Florida on Wednesday, despite winning 66 percent of the face-offs (37-19). Boston is ranked No. 7 in face-off win percentage, while the Panthers are ranked No. 26. The Bruins are 13-4 in their past 17 meetings in Boston. They were shut out in their last game and now return home for this revenge spot. |
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10-30-21 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State +1.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 77 h 42 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit SEC Game of the Week Kentucky is 1-4 ATS coming off a bye week, and after this Starkville trip, they must still face Tennessee and Louisville, so any hopes of a Top 10 finish after that 6-0 start (last accomplished in 1977) are quickly fading away. As for the Starkville Bulldogs, last year’s horror show in Lexington came in the midst of a 4-game losing skid, as the Dogs dropped a 24-2 decision to the Cats, the second-lowest point production by a Mike Leach team in his career. Revenge is tasty, but so is the Halloween candy that the Mad Professor munches on yearly, |
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10-30-21 | Georgia -13.5 v. Florida | 34-7 | Win | 100 | 24 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Florida had lost three straight in this rivalry until a big 44-28 win last year in Jacksonville. Both teams have had a bye to prepare this year, and I don’t think top-ranked Georgia is very happy about last year's loss. I also don’t think Florida is as bad as it showed in a 49-42 upset at LSU two weeks ago. I’m expecting the Gators' two QBs to have trouble, turn the ball over and the Dawgs to capitalize. Georgia has the nation's No. 1 defense, allowing only 6.6 ppg. |
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10-30-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State +4 | 33-37 | Win | 100 | 70 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Big-12 Game of the Week Yes, Jim Harbaugh can call on revenge from last year’s 27-24 loss to the Spartans as 21-point home chalk, but the fact is Michigan has covered just once in its last five tries when playing with conference revenge. While the Wolverines have taken exceptional care of the football this season with only four turnovers in seven games, we look for a flying-all-over-the-field MSU ‘D’ to force a few key errors that turn the tide in their favor. With that, consider that Wolverines head coach Jim Harbaugh is 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS away versus undefeated opponents. In addition playing on any 5-0 or greater college football dog coming off a SUATS win if they are facing an undefeated opponent that is coming off a win of 24 or more points if they defeated the undefeated opponent ni their most recent meeting is 12-0 ATS since 1980. |
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10-30-21 | Cincinnati -24.5 v. Tulane | 31-12 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Tulane comes in ranked 128th in three important defensive categories – Total D (493 YPG), Scoring D (42.9 PPG) and Passing Defense (300 YPG). Pretty horrible since there are only 130 teams! In fact, it’s been a very long time since the Green Wave traveled to Norman to open the season and gave the Sooners everything they could handle in a 5-point loss. Now they have dropped five straight contests, with a tidal wave of points allowed (40 or more in four of the five defeats), along with season high – or 2nd high – yards in those games. Consider that Tulane is 1-11 ATS at home coming off a conference loss of more than 28 points. |
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10-29-21 | Cavs +7.5 v. Lakers | 101-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units LeBron James is questionable after missing the past two games, but even if LeBron plays why are the Lakers this heavily favored? Have oddsmakers not seen them this year? Cleveland, meanwhile, might be the most improved team in the NBA and enters off wins over the Hawks, Nuggets and Clippers. I expect this spread to drop regardless and certainly will quite a bit if James is ruled out. |
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10-29-21 | Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 218.5 | 75-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I don't believe that Nuggets star Nikola Jokic is going to play with a knee injury, and that obviously massively downgrades Denver offensively. The team is struggling to score as it is -- both the Mavs and Nugs are in the bottom 10 in scoring but Top 10 in scoring defense. If/when Jokic is ruled out, I may come back and take Dallas ATS, although it is in the second of a B2B so not a lock I will do so. |
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10-29-21 | Clippers v. Blazers -148 | 92-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Clippers just aren't that good without Kawhi Leonard and with Marcus Morris and Serge Ibaka also on the shelf -- but not long term like Kawhi. Yes, they just blasted these Blazers 116-86 in LA on Monday, but that was a fluke and will fuel Damian Lillard for payback (he and Paul George have a major rivalry). Portland followed that loss with an impressive win over Memphis and might get Norman Powell back from injury tonight. |
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10-29-21 | Senators v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Let's hit the Under between two bad offensive teams in the Sens, who average 2.50 goals per game (skewed by 5 in one) and the Stars, who average just 1.86 and have not topped 3. How about a 2-2 tie at the end of regulation? Works for me. The Under is 7-0 in the Stars past seven overall. |
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10-29-21 | Astros v. Braves -106 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ian Anderson has yet to allow more than 2 ER in a start in 7 starts in his postseason career. He has a 1.47 ERA in 30.2 IP, as long as he can get out of the first inning, he should have success. Luis Garcia is coming off easily his best postseason outing, but that was also his only good postseason outing in 4 starts. The Braves head home for their first home World Series game since the 90s and it will be loud. The Braves top relievers will have had 2 days off after working hard in Game 1 and I think they have the starting pitching advantage with Ian Anderson’s deadly changeup. Luis Garcia is still just 24 years old, and he was hit hard in his only road postseason start against the White Sox. Yordan Alvarez should play in the OF instead of DH meaning he will add offense, but that means the Astros will also be giving up defense. I also think pitchers will be pulled earlier than normal in the NL Park, meaning we should get a lot of bullpen innings. I think the Braves have the bullpen advantage as well, so I am taking the Braves at home. |
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10-29-21 | Navy +11 v. Tulsa | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tulsa shows up with a below .500 record, after five consecutive losses, both SU and against the spread. Tulsa has also dumped four straight ATS decisions on this field to Navy, and the series host is on an unlucky 1-7 ATS slide. Now in his 14th year with Navy and pulling down a salary of $2.3 million per season, Niumatalolo knows he can hang onto his job if the Midshipmen continue to play with the same intensity they displayed against the Bearcats. It won’t be easy: after tonight, Navy plays three of its final four games away from Annapolis versus Notre Dame, Temple, and Army. Regardless, we think Tulsa shouldn’t be laying double digits to the Middies here, especially with a playoff revenger against No. 2 Cincinnati waiting on deck. Take the points. |
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10-29-21 | Blackhawks v. Hurricanes -190 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Canes are still undefeated while the Hawks are still defeated, so I am not sure why this line isn’t higher. The Canes played yesterday but with their style of play and both games being at home, they shouldn’t have a problem. They have allowed just 8 goals in 6 games this season while the Blackhawks are an absolute mess right now. They are 0-5-2 and they have to answer questions about the sexual abuse report from 2010 that just came out. They have also allowed 30 goals in 7 games despite trading for Marc-Andre Fleury. They have also only scored 14 goals and it won’t get any easier against the Canes at home. |
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10-29-21 | Blue Jackets v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both these goalies have been dominant to start the season and neither team has allowed or scored more than 20 goals yet this season. The Rangers have allowed 18 goals in 7 games while scoring just 15 goals, and the Blue Jackets have allowed just 15 goals in 6 games and scored 19. Defense has been a focus for both these teams early this season and with the strong goalie play between these teams, I like the under. |
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10-28-21 | Canadiens v. Sharks -123 | 4-0 | Loss | -123 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sharks aren't exactly Stanley Cup favorites, but they are off to a very nice 4-2-0 start with all but one of those games on the road. They won in Montreal 5-0 on Oct. 19. So why is San Jose only -135 for Thursday at home against a Habs team that is 1-6-0 and down several injured players? I have no idea but will happily take this number now. |
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10-28-21 | Jets v. Kings -112 | 3-2 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jets are the better team overall but down two of their best forwards in Blake Wheeler and Mark Scheifele and are starting journeyman backup Eric Comrie in net. He of the 4.08 goals-against average and .873 save percentage in nine career NHL appearances. I won't back the Kings often but will at basically a pick'em here at home. |
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10-28-21 | Sabres v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both these teams haven’t been scoring much this season, and both these teams have had very good goaltender play so far. The Ducks have only allowed 20 goals in 7 games and they have only scored 24 goals. The Sabres have allowed just 11 goals in 6 games, and they have scored just 19. This should be a low scoring game, so I will go with the under. |
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10-28-21 | Spurs +6.5 v. Mavs | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Yes, the Spurs have lost three games in a row. However, they were all tough foes in the Nuggets, Bucks and Lakers. They lost two of those games by six points or fewer, so they at least held their own. Doug McDermott (knee) is out, but that might actually be a blessing as it could force the Spurs to give the more dangerous Devin Vassell added minutes. On the Mavericks side, Kristaps Porzingis (back) is listed as questionable. The Mavericks also play Friday, so they could take the cautious route and sit him out. Even if he plays, though, I still think the Spurs can keep this close. |
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10-28-21 | Packers +6.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 30 h 50 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit TNF Game of the Week The Cardinals, the league’s sole unbeaten team, and currently 7-0 for the first time since 1974 under head coach Don Coryell (why isn’t he in the NFL HOF?). As always, in matters of great importance like this game, we note the Packers are 5-0 ATS versus undefeated NFC West opponents. On the flip side, NFL 7-0 favorites are 0-3 SUATS in Game Eight versus .700 or greater non-division opponents since 1980, while Arizona QB Murray is 1-5 ATS as a non-division home favorite of fewer than 7 points. In conclusion, take the points and relax. Also consider that Green Bay QB Rodgers is 10-4 SU and 10-3-1 ATS on Thursdays, including 6-0 SUATS versus foes coming off a win. |
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10-28-21 | Knicks v. Bulls -118 | 104-103 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units At 4-0, the Chicago Bulls are off to their best start since 1996-97. On Thursday, they’ll get their first true test against a legitimate playoff contender, the Knicks. While the Knicks have the chemistry of a full season of their roster together, I expect the new-look Bulls to rise to the occasion. Take Chicago on the small number. |
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