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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-14-24 | Georgia v. Florida -8 | 80-85 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Gators should come into this game knowing that there isn't anything certain about their NCAA Tournament status so a win here is imperative. The Gators have defeated the Bulldogs in both games, one in overtime, 102-98, and then by just six points, 88-82. The most surprising thing in the two games was the shooting of the Bulldogs. They shot a combined 51% in the two games overall and 36% from 3-point range. The area that should be concerning for the Bulldogs is in the paint. Florida outrebounded Georgia 87 to 58 in the two games and the Gators scored nearly 100 points in the paint combined in the two games. At their best, the Gators are a difficult matchup with tons of length and a top-notch backcourt. |
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03-14-24 | Villanova v. Marquette -4 | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Marquette scored 87 points against the Villanova Wildcats the first time. The Golden Eagles put up 85 the second time. Nova can not keep up with Marquette if they score 80 again. Not based on Wednesday's disastrous performance. So, just like both of January's matchups, Marquette will cover the spread. Turnovers and shooting are clear favorites for the Golden Eagles. This one won't be close, as Marquette dominates shorthanded. |
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03-14-24 | Boston College v. Virginia -4 | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Virginia enters their portion of the ACC Tournament in a tenuous spot for a spot in the March Madness field after their offense disappeared in the second half of the season. The Cavaliers did down Georgia Tech in their finale to finish the regular season 22-9 overall and 13-7 in the conference on the year. Against Georgia Tech, Virginia took control of the game with a 13-3 run midway through the first half to break a 15-15 tie. The Cavaliers were up 14 at the half, saw the lead trimmed to nine briefly early in the second half, but reeled off a 16-5 run to take a 20-point edge before cruising from there. The Cavaliers have the rest advantage, having been off since Saturday while Boston College plays for the third straight day here. |
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03-14-24 | New Mexico State v. Western Kentucky -6 | 69-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Western Kentucky is 42nd in the nation in scoring with an average of 80.2 points per game and shoots 46.7% overall which is 67th in the nation. Western Kentucky gives up plenty of points at 75 per game but that is due in part to having the highest adjusted tempo per Kenpom at 75.2, which creates far more possessions than normal, yet the Hilltoppers are holding opponents to the 50th lowest field goal shooting percentage and 64th lowest three-point shooting percentage. New Mexico State scores only 67.6 points per game, is 299th in field goal shooting percentage and 247th in three-point shooting percentage. Western Kentucky lost by two points on the road to New Mexico State earlier this season but at home defeated the Aggies by 14 points. Western Kentucky covered the spread in both meetings between the two. |
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03-14-24 | Maple Leafs -123 v. Flyers | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Maple Leafs have won four of their last six games and five of their last six road games. They have played well offensively, scoring 15 goals in their last four road games. They have also played well on special teams, converting over 22 percent of their power play opportunities. The Flyers have done a good job of killing penalties, but they’ve struggled defensively in recent games, giving up 10 goals in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Maple Leafs in this game. The Flyers have lost four of their last six home games. They have struggled offensively, scoring only five goals in their last three games. They’ve also struggled on special teams, converting less than 15 percent of their power play opportunities. The Maple Leafs are good at killing penalties and they played well defensively in recent games, giving up seven goals in their last three games, so expect them to keep Philadelphia’s offense in check. |
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03-14-24 | Kansas State +6.5 v. Iowa State | 57-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wildcats kept their NCAA Tournament hopes alive with their comeback win over Texas on Wednesday, but can they beat the Cyclones twice in one week to advance? K-State took down Iowa State last weekend at Bramlage, holding the Cyclones to 43.1 percent shooting, including 5-for-17 (29.4%) from long range. The Wildcats were also inefficient (40.7 FG% and 29.2 3PT%) but scored 20 points off Iowa State turnovers. It was enough on Saturday, but it's doubtful the Cats will be able to overcome poor shooting again on Thursday to move on. That said, Iowa State isn't a great offensive team, ranking 131st nationally in true shooting percentage. It got to the free-throw line a lot in the first meeting between these teams, but it isn't reliable at the charity stripe (69.0 FT%). As long as the Wildcats don't pick up too many cheap fouls, I don't envision the Cyclones winning by enough to cover. Expect K-State to use the atmosphere at T-Mobile Center to its advantage again tomorrow to at least cover the spread in a must win game for Kansas State. |
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03-14-24 | Arkansas v. South Carolina -6.5 | 66-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It has been a resurgent season for South Carolina, which finished 11-21 only a season ago. The Gamecocks are well on their way to their first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2016-17. Despite its upswing, South Carolina carries a chip on its shoulder into the conference tournament. Gamecocks guard Meechie Johnson said he and his teammates are determined to prove their regular-season success was not a fluke. He did not hesitate when asked about his motivation heading into the tournament. |
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03-14-24 | St. John's v. Seton Hall +4 | 91-72 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units St. John's is hot, but Seton Hall has cooled down their offense all season. In game one, the Red Storm finished with 65 points. In the second one, they only mustered 62. The Pirates are strong defensively and will keep St. John's in check yet again. Which is why, if they don't pull off another win, they'll at least keep it within one possession. Seton Hall is more reliable at the free throw line, which helps against the St. John's defense. The Pirates have controlled the glass in both meetings. Expect a Seton Hall to give St. John's fits again. |
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03-14-24 | Xavier v. Connecticut -15 | 60-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In round one, UConn scored 80 on Xavier. In the second meeting, the Huskies ran it up to 99 points. Considering that the Musketeers' defense guided them for most of the season, that's an ominous sign for today's battle. If (when) the Huskies score 80+ again, Xavier's offense won't be able to keep up. UConn has the best defense in the Big East as well. Rebounding and turnovers should favor the Huskies too. They say that the Huskies feel at home in The Garden, and that'll be crystal clear on Thursday. Take UConn to cover the spread comfortably. |
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03-13-24 | Cincinnati v. Kansas +2.5 | 72-52 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kansas Jayhawks, with their impressive season record of 22-9 and standing 6th in the Big 12, exhibit a compelling case for victory in this matchup. Their offensive arsenal, averaging 76.0 points per game with a field goal percentage of 49.4%, is a testament to their efficiency and ability to dominate on the court. Coupled with a solid defense that limits opponents to 68.6 points per game and a formidable 40.5% shooting from the field, Kansas has the depth and skill to control the game's pace. The resilience and tactical acumen shown by key players like Charlie McCarthy and Dajuan Harris Jr., with his 6.4 assists per game, are pivotal to the Jayhawks' success. Even considering potential injury concerns, the depth and quality of Kansas's roster, along with their proven track record and statistical superiority, strongly position them for a win in this high-stakes Big 12 showdown. |
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03-13-24 | Michigan v. Penn State -6.5 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Michigan has some talent, but they have been one of the worst Power 5/6 teams all season. DePaul might be worse and a few others, but when you don't play defense, there's usually something more than just a lack of talent as an issue. Juwan Howard's days may be numbered and maybe he gets the benefit of the doubt due to his health and alum status. Penn State is a year away from making a dent in this league once Rhoades gets his players. Baldwin Jr. is one of his players and he'll be the big difference in this game. |
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03-13-24 | Cavs +7 v. Pelicans | Top | 116-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Cleveland was 7-4-1 ATS this season as a road pick-or dog. The Cavs saw a three-game series win skein snapped in a 123-104 home loss to New Orleans in late December. Meanwhile, on the flip side, the Pelicans arrive off an 18-point same-season avenger against Atlanta with another same-season revenge contest on tap against the Clippers. Finally, New Orleans is 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS in non-conference games after facing Atlanta |
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03-13-24 | Predators v. Jets -146 | 4-2 | Loss | -146 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This will be a great game between two of the top teams in the Central Division. The Predators look to pull off the upset but the Jets have been rolling and look to take over this game from the first period. The Jets, who average 3.06 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Kyle Connor, Nikolaj Ehlers, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Jets, who allow only 2.38 goals per game, should limit the Predators offense with Dylan DeMelo, Josh Morrissey, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shooting lanes, allowing goaltender Connor Hellebuyck to make plenty of big saves. The Jets should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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03-13-24 | Kings -154 v. Blues | 1-3 | Loss | -154 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blues look to step up on their home ice but I see the Kings controlling this one from the first period. The Kings, who average 3.05 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Kevin Fiala, Anze Kopitar, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Kings, who allow only 2.59 goals per game, should limit the Blues offense, which averages only 2.78 goals per game, with Drew Doughty, Matt Roy, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Cam Talbot to make plenty of big saves. The Kings should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
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03-13-24 | Kansas State +5 v. Texas | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wildcats will be desperate and motivated, as they're playing close to campus and need a win to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive. They ended their regular season with a crucial win over Iowa State, riding their stingy defense to the upset. The first matchup between these teams was a dogfight. Kansas State, 20th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, defends well both inside and outside the arc. Its opponents shoot 40.6 percent overall and 31.3 percent from three-point distance. |
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03-13-24 | Vanderbilt +6 v. Arkansas | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Razorbacks never lived up to their recent success this season. They were rarely consistent on either end and were one of the worst defensive teams in the SEC. In the first matchup, they allowed the Commodores, ranked last in the SEC in scoring and field goal percentage, to shoot over 50% from the floor and dominate the paint. The Commodores finished with 44 points in the paint and dominated the weak interior defense of the Razorbacks. Arkansas had just 26 points in the paint in the first game and the team likely would have been blown out save for a 36-point performance from Battle. The Razorbacks shot just 40% as a team in the game against statistically the worst defense in the SEC. The Razorbacks can and probably should win this game but 6.5 points is too much for them to give up at this point. |
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03-13-24 | Rutgers v. Maryland -3 | 51-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Terps have been the better team and I do expect Reese to play. It sounds like Kevin Willard sacrificed the Penn State game to have Reese ready for the tournament since that's the only way they are making the NCAA Tournament. Rutgers wants to grind this one out, but when you look at tournaments, it's nice to have one difference-maker on the floor on offense who can carry you. Maryland has that in Jahmir Young, who can at least get them past one round, but probably not much further than that. |
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03-13-24 | Florida International v. Sam Houston State -7 | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sam Houston State’s defense, which allows an average of only 69.6 points per game on 42.9% shooting overall and 31.6% shooting from long distance will be too much for FIU. The Bearkats have covered the spread in each of their last seven games while winning each of the seven straight up. Sam Houston’s offense, while playing at an adjusted tempo of 67.8 per Kenpom, which is 167th, is able to score an average of 72.3 points per game despite only a slightly above average pace. The Bearkats grab 9.6 offensive boards per game which is 83rd in the nation, giving them plenty of second look opportunities which helps to offset a below average field goal shooting percentage. Sam Houston State split its regular season two-game series with FIU, losing the first 68-61, but bouncing back to win the second on the road in South Florida 70-56. FIU was able to shoot well against Jacksonville State in its opening round victory, hitting 50% of its 3-point attempts but will be hard pressed to do the same against a tough Sam Houston State perimeter defense that is 62nd in the nation in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 31.6. |
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03-13-24 | Oklahoma v. TCU -2.5 | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Neither team finished the regular season with any momentum, as both dropped their season finales and three of their last four overall. The Sooners were dominated by Texas, while the Horned Frogs dropped a winnable game on senior day to UCF. Which squad will "get right" today? I'm betting the answer to that question is TCU. The Horned Frogs defeated the Sooners 80-71 in their lone regular-season meeting (Jan. 10). TCU was outshot and outrebounded but took better care of the basketball (+7 turnover margin) and scored 25 points off of Oklahoma's 14 turnovers. Senior forward Emanuel Miller paced the Horned Frogs with 27 points on 11-of-17 shooting in the home win. I feel confident TCU, winners of four of the last five in this series, is due to bounce back. This game impacts both squads' NCAA Tournament resumes, but the Horned Frogs are better positioned to take advantage. OU has been without junior forward John Hugley IV (8.4 PPG) since early February and senior guard Rivaldo Soares aggravated an ankle injury in the Sooners' loss to the Longhorns. He averaged 17.6 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 1.3 assists per game on 73.5 percent shooting in Oklahoma's last three games, so his availability will be crucial to the Sooners' success. TCU is experienced and deep enough to take advantage, especially beyond the arc (36.4 3PT%). Miller is a consistent scorer, having reached double figures in 19 straight games. The Horned Frogs' tournament resume is less complete than the Sooners' is — they'll make the necessary plays to win and cover. |
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03-13-24 | Notre Dame v. Wake Forest -8.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Notre Dame took the only meeting between the teams this season and they have been better offensively down the stretch than they were most of the year. The problem for the Fighting Irish is that they sputtered defensively, giving up 80 points to Georgia Tech in their first-round victory. Notre Dame has to find a way to defend the Demon Deacons, who have a variety of weapons on the offensive end of the floor. Wake Forest is stellar at the charity stripe and they know they need at least one, if not two, victories, to improve their resume for the tournament committee. The Demon Deacons take advantage of a fatigued Notre Dame squad to pick up a win and advance to the quarterfinals. |
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03-13-24 | UCF v. BYU -5.5 | 73-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units BYU's 90 points on Feb. 13 were the most UCF allowed this season and the most the Knights have surrendered since Miami scored 88 points in November last season. Central Florida's hot shooting kept it alive in that game, but it can't count on another performance like that tomorrow. If the Knights are going to win or cover, they'll need to live up to their billing as one of the nation's best defensive squads. |
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03-12-24 | Golden Knights v. Seattle Kraken +130 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Golden Knights got a solid performance in their victory over Detroit. However, this is a team that is not playing very good hockey right now. The victory came after four straight losses, and they have lost seven of their last nine. The most disturbing part of that is that they have given up 42 total goals in those nine games. Seattle was shut out by Winnipeg, but that came after back-to-back wins on the road. They are 3-3-0 in their last six games at home, giving up 15 total goals in all six games. Look for a rebound opportunity for Seattle, who have already proven that they can beat the Golden Knights in Seattle this season. |
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03-12-24 | Celtics v. Jazz +6.5 | 123-107 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units A nasty 126-97 loss in Beantown, the worst by Utah in this series since at least 1990, dropped the Jazz to 7-4 ATS of late in this series. And it sets up nicely as well, with Boston wrapping up a 5-game west coast road wing here tonight. Consider that Utah is 119-37 SU and 89-65-2 ATS at home against non-rested non-conference foes since 1990, including 9-3 ATS as a dog. |
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03-12-24 | Panthers +101 v. Stars | 4-3 | Win | 101 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This will be a great game between two of the best teams in the NHL. The Stars look to step up on their home ice but the Panthers are rolling and look to take over this game from the first period. The Panthers, who average 3.31 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Matthew Tkachuk, Sam Reinhart, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Panthers, who allow only 2.34 goals per game, should limit the Stars' offense with Gustav Forsling, Aaron Ekblad, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
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03-12-24 | 76ers v. Knicks -6 | 79-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks are not losing back to back games at home against a team that doesn't have their star player. Coach Thibodeau will have his troops ready for this game. Maxey will likely return for the 76ers, but the Knicks should also be getting their best perimeter defender in Anunoby back for this game. The Knicks are too small in the backcourt to put Anunoby on Maxey all game, but if Philly's All-Star gets hot, they have an answer in Anunoby to slow his production. Brunson had an off game, he will bounce back here, he only shot 1-9 from three in the game, while he is shooting over 40% from three on the year. Brunson will get back to his averages and help lead the Knicks to a victory here. A win here would also give the Knicks the tiebreaker over the 76ers, which can be very important come playoff time, especially if the 76ers get hot when Embiid returns. The best unit in this game in terms of analytics is the Knicks' defense that ranks 9th in efficiency, they were able to hold the 76ers to 79 points, the defense will show up again, while the offense gets back on track with a win here. |
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03-12-24 | Miami-FL v. Boston College +2.5 | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami had high expectations heading into the season but vastly underperformed when all was said and done. Nine straight losses to end the season hardly inspire confidence heading into the conference tournament either. Boston College won their final two games of the regular season and they won a pair of meetings against Miami, including one six days ago on the road. While the Eagles are nothing great this season, they at least have momentum, not to mention having had success against the Hurricanes this season. With nine straight defeats, it’s impossible to back the Hurricanes here, especially as a favorite. Take the Eagles and the points but don’t hesitate to sprinkle on the moneyline as well. |
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03-11-24 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga -9 | 77-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Will the third time be the charm for San Francisco? The Dons have Cinderella qualities, but if they're going to make a statement in March, they need to slay the Zags. USF is a combined 0-4 against WCC darlings Gonzaga and Saint Mary's, as everyone but leading scorer Jonathan Mogbo (14.7 PPG and 10.3 RPG) has struggled to play up to their potential. The Dons are at their best when their guards get in a rhythm, as they space the floor and create mismatches for Mogbo. They attempt nearly 40 percent of their shots from beyond the arc, but those shots have been difficult to hit against the Bulldogs and Gaels. Gonzaga is among the top teams in the nation in opponent two-point shooting percentage, forcing the Dons into off-rhythm shots. I won't expect that to change in today's semi-final game, as the rested Bulldogs haven't forgotten their identity. USF is a fun team to watch when it's at its best, but I don't expect too much cheering from the Dons' sideline tonight. |
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03-11-24 | Celtics -9.5 v. Blazers | 121-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It will be very likely that Boston wins this game, but many will question if 14 is a bit of a stretch. There is no denying that they have dominated the Trail Blazers of late, winning three of the last four games, and winning each of those games by at least 14. Plus, Portland has been terrible of late. However, in their last 15 losses, only three of those were by more than 13. That would make it seem like Portland could keep this game close. However, Boston is too talented at both ends of the court. They have dominated Portland in the past and will do so as well here. Boston is 7-2-1 against the spread in their last 10. |
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03-11-24 | Islanders +145 v. Kings | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I know the Islanders played the night before, but it was in Anaheim. That's a quick trip for the New York squad as Ilay Sorokin gets the start and he's been solid this season at 22-13-11 with a 3.01 goals against average and a .909 save percentage. In their six-game-winning streak, Sorokin has been sensational as has the offense. He's been in net in five of those victories. The Islanders are 14-12-5 on the road and face a team that is just mediocre at home. |
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03-11-24 | Mavs v. Bulls +4.5 | 127-92 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls return home after an impressive 3-1 run through the West Coast. They are still within striking distance of the Miami Heat, Indiana Pacers, and Philadelphia 76ers who are ahead of them in the standings. The Bulls are 24th in the NBA in points per game. They are 23rd in field goal percentage and 19th in 3-point field goal percentage. The Bulls are 25th in the league in 3-point field goals made per game. On the defensive end, the Bulls are 13th in scoring defense. They are 11th in field goal defense and 16th in 3-point defense. The Bulls are also 16th in total rebounds per game and second in fewest turnovers per game. |
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03-11-24 | Devils v. Rangers -145 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New Jersey Devils have not been able to find a groove all season and resorted to trading a key player in Tyler Toffoli. They have lost four of their last five games. The New York Rangers continue to shine. They have issued a 7-3 record in their last ten games and are 22-8 on home ice. The Devils continue to struggle defensively and in the net. They have squandered four or more goals in four of their last five games. The Rangers are piling on the goals against the Devils this season, netting 10 goals in the two wins, while only allowing three goals. I recommend the puck line as four of the Rangers' last five wins have occurred by at least two goals |
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03-10-24 | 76ers +7 v. Knicks | Top | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The fact that the Sixers were nicked 110-96, at home three weeks ago, gets their attention, especially given the fact that Philly is 10-4 ATS of late with same season revenge from a double-digit loss, including 4-0 ATS as a dog of more than three points. New York is 0-6 ATS at home since February when hosting avenging foes. Finally, Philadelphia is 12-5 ATS in this series with same-season revenge from a loss of 14 or more points, including 6-0 ATS away. |
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03-10-24 | Pacers v. Magic -130 | 111-97 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Orlando is playing solid basketball of late, even with their loss to the Knicks Friday night, and have pushed into the top spot in the Southeast Division race. The Magic have struggled offensively this season but they have played good defense all year long. Indiana is the exact opposite as they lead the league in offensive output, ranking 1st in points per game and field goal percentage. Their problem has been trying to stop other teams from piling up points against them. Indiana losing Mathurin is going to be a problem for them down the stretch of the season and hurts them here. Look for Orlando, who is a solid 21-8 at home on the year, to come up with the victory in this contest. |
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03-10-24 | SMU v. UABÂ -1.5 | Top | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units UAB will be gunning to join SMU in the 20-win club, which would be a major accomplishment for head coach Andy Kennedy considering they welcomed zero returning starters this campaign. The Blazers are 13-2 ATS as either a dog or a favorite of fewer than 4 points this season. Battling tough opposition is no problem either, as the fi re-breathers are 10-5 SU and 12-2-1 ATS versus winning opposition this season. Finally, UAB is 9-2 SU in Last Home Games, including 5-0 SUATS the last five games. |
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03-10-24 | Oilers -160 v. Penguins | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Edmonton Oilers are clicking. They have won five of their last seven games entering Saturday. The Pittsburgh Penguins are a demoralized squad. They are 10 points out of a playoff spot and traded a few key players this week. They have lost four of their last five games. Edmonton has been stellar in the defensive end, conceding two or fewer goals in five of their last seven games. The Penguins are slumping. They have only scored 10 goals in their last five games entering Saturday night's game. The Oilers just beat them by a 6-1 score last week and I expect another convincing win. |
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03-10-24 | Wisconsin v. Purdue -9.5 | 70-78 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Purdue Boilermakers are going to be the #1 seed in the conference tournament. Purdue has won the Big Ten season title. They are 16-3 in conference play this season. Purdue was dealt an upset road loss by Ohio State last month and has replied by winning four games in a row propelled by the scoring. They beat Michigan State 80-74 this past weekend and were marked as 2.5-point dogs in a 77-71 road win against a ranked Illinois squad on Tuesday. The Boilermakers have covered the spread in two of their last five bouts. |
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03-10-24 | Nebraska -5.5 v. Michigan | 85-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nebraska Cornhuskers are attempting to conclude a successful regular season with a road win. Nebraska has issued a solid 11-8 conference record, placing them third in the Big Ten. Nebraska is in a groove, recording the win in five of its last six games. The only defeat in that span was in a road loss against Ohio State. Nebraska was a nine-point favorite in a 67-56 home win against Rutgers on Saturday. The Scarlet Knights have covered in four of their last five games. |
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03-09-24 | Stars +110 v. Kings | 4-1 | Win | 110 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings have been very good this season, but they have not played particularly well at home. While they are 4-1-1 in their last six games at home, those four victories came against Columbus, Anaheim, Ottawa, and New Jersey, not exactly the heavyweights of the league. Dallas caught fire after a tough stretch that saw them lose six of seven games. They are fighting for the top record in the Western Conference and the fact that they have played so well on the road (19-9-5) should put the Stars in the driver’s seat in this game. Dallas has won the last two meetings between these teams and is 7-3-0 in the last 10 meetings. |
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03-09-24 | Jets v. Canucks -140 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Winnipeg Jets have dominated Vancouver in recent history, winning the last four meetings. It has been more brutal than that, however, as they have won all four games by at least two goals, outscoring Vancouver, 20-9. The Jets have had the Canucks number, but not in this game. The Canucks are red hot, winning three straight, and now they return home to begin a big homestand. This is the Canucks chance to put the rest of this conference in the rearview mirror and the Jets will be the first victim. The Canucks have allowed a single goal in each of their last three games. |
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03-09-24 | Jazz v. Nuggets -12.5 | 121-142 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nuggets are 10-4 ATS in games when seeking revenge from a 13-point point loss when facing .484 or fewer foes. In addition, the Jazz are caught in the middle of a same season revenge sandwich, coming off an avenger with the Bulls with yet another same-season revenge affair on tap with the Celtics while sporting a 9-19 ATS ledger in road games before battling Boston. The feeling here is you do not want to be wearing a Jazz uniform tonight. |
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03-09-24 | Minnesota v. Northwestern -3.5 | 66-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams have struggled in recent games, with Northwestern on a 0-2 slide and the Gophers winning just one of their last four contests, but the Wildcats are one of three teams tied with 8 conference losses this season, and a win here helps them clear the pack. NU lost 75-66 as -1.5-point chalk at Minnesota in early February and besides being 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS with revenge this season, the purple Cats are also 11-4 ATS with revenge in this series, including 7-1 ATS at home. Minnesota tried and failed in its most recent game to gain a measure of revenge against Indiana, and the Gophers are a disturbing 10-38 SU and 17-31 ATS after facing the Hoosiers. Sure, it’s tough going against the biggest moneymaker in college hoops this season but no risk it, no biscuit. Senior Day in Evanston seals the deal. |
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03-09-24 | Celtics -5.5 v. Suns | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Booker has been the heart and soul of the Suns over the last few weeks and without him in this one, Phoenix will struggle to pull away, let alone get the win. The Celtics could be without Brown but have depth that they've been missing in past years that they can lean on heavily. Boston won in Phoenix last year and has that confidence to draw from, as well as absolute need to get out of the loss column. In the end, Boston's defensive tenacity will be the difference, as they have the scoring to build off of their ability to get stops against a Booker-less Suns team. Boston has covered the spread in two of the last three against this team, while the Suns have only covered once in their last five games, as those trends carry over into this one. |
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03-09-24 | Connecticut v. Providence +10 | Top | 74-60 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The timing is right with UConn hitting the road off a No. 1 seed-clinching home win over Marquette, especially since they own a dismal 0-5 ATS record in the Last Game of the Season versus .600 or greater foes. Not so for Providence, who is 11-2 SU in Last Home Games, including 4-1 SUATS the last five contests. The Friars have been a strong underdog this season, going 9-3 ATS, including 3-0 ATS at home, and they just so happen to own a perfect 5-0 SUATS mark as a dog of more than 1-point in Last Home Games. With Providence primed to get even with the Huskies for a 9-point loss on the last day of January, finally Providence is 10-1 SUATS as a home dog since 2021, including 4-0 SUATS versus .800 or greater foes; and 4-0 SUATS when seeking revenge |
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03-09-24 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia -8.5 | 57-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Virginia has to have this game to avoid dropping in the ACC standings as the Tournament gets set to kick off on Wednesday. A win assured the Cavaliers of the third seed in the ACC Tournament. A loss could drop them as low as the fifth seed which would force the Cavaliers to play on Wednesday rather than earning a two-game bye right into the quarterfinals as either a third or fourth seed. The Cavs won the first matchup on the road with a nine-point victory over the Yellow Jackets. The key to beating the Cavs is a top-flight offense. Their most recent losses include games against North Carolina and Duke, both with a top-five offense in the ACC. The Yellow Jackets don't have the firepower to do that and the Cavs are far more comfortable in a defensive struggle. |
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03-09-24 | Clemson v. Wake Forest -3.5 | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Wake Forest Demon Deacons (18-12, 10-9 ACC) have carved a niche in the Atlantic Coast with dynamic play. The defeat to Georgia Tech in the last outing demonstrated the team's fighting spirit, despite the unexpected setback at home. With an offense that averages 78.6 points per game, Wake Forest slightly edges out Clemson in scoring. The Demon Deacons excel in shooting efficiency, boasting a 47.5% field goal percentage and an impressive 37.4% from three-point range. Free-throw shooting is among the best in the country, with an 80.0% success rate, showcasing the ability to capitalize on all scoring opportunities. |
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03-09-24 | Boston College v. Louisville +4.5 | 67-61 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Louisville Cardinals are playing for nothing more than pride and the chance to build some momentum heading into Tuesday's opening-round matchup in the ACC. The Cardinals fell to Virginia Tech at home on Tuesday night, 84-60. The loss ensures the Cardinals the 15th seed in the upcoming ACC Tournament and a date with the 10th seed. On Tuesday night, the Cardinals gave up 13 3-point field goals to fall behind early and never fully recovered. Brandon Huntley-Hatfield led the Cards with 19 points while Mike James chipped in with 16. |
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03-09-24 | Colorado v. Oregon State +8 | 73-57 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Oregon State Beavers picked up a huge upset win on Thursday night, picking up a 92-85 win over Utah on the road. Jordan Pope had a huge night with 25 points in 7-of-13 shooting while going 10-of-11 from the free-throw line. Tyler Bilodeau also had a big night with 20 points and six rebounds. Dexter Akanno rounded out the double-digit scoring for the Beavers with 18 points. As a team, the Beavers shot 51 percent from the floor overall and over 40 percent from the line. |
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03-09-24 | South Carolina v. Mississippi State -5 | 93-89 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units SC has been quite the surprise this season, going from 11-21 / 4-14 last year to 24-6 / 12-5 this campaign. Meanwhile, Mississippi State sits in mid-pack with an 8-9 conference ledger and a loss here tags head coach Chris Jans with his second straight 8-10 effort in two seasons in Starkville. Even so, we’ve got some good stuff in our corner with the Bulldogs today. For openers, MSU is 27-12- ATS at home coming off a previous home loss, including 22-6-1 against foes that are not coming off a loss of more than 7 points. Next, it’s Senior Day at The Hump, and with five starters who returned from last year’s squad being honored, the cowbells should be at full volume. And finally, there’s a matter of revenge, as the Bulldogs look to even the score for a 68-62 defeat in Columbia back on January 6. All of this leads to max value on this payback rematch, in addition the Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS with revenge in this series. |
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03-09-24 | Hurricanes -146 v. Devils | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hurricanes have won three of their last four games and four of their last five road games. They are playing well offensively and scored nine goals in their last three road games. They have also played well on special teams, converting over 26 percent of their power play opportunities. The Devils are good at killing penalties, but they’re not playing well defensively, giving up 15 goals in their last four games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Hurricanes in this game. The Devils have lost three of their last four games and two of their last three home games. They have struggled offensively and scored eight goals in their last three games. They’ve done well on special teams, converting over 22 percent of their power play opportunities. The Hurricanes are great at killing penalties and they’re playing well defensively, giving up eight goals in their last four road games, so expect them to keep New Jersey’s offense in check. Go with Carolina to cover the money line. |
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03-08-24 | Red Wings -130 v. Coyotes | 0-4 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Wings are putting together a promising season and look to take over this game from the first period. The Red Wings should constantly find the back of the net against the Coyotes, who allow 3.32 goals per game, with Lucas Raymond, Alex DeBrincat, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Red Wings should limit the Penguins offense, which averages only 2.90 goals per game, with Olli Maatta and Jake Walman creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Alex Lyon to make plenty of big saves. The Red Wings should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
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03-08-24 | Magic v. Knicks +1.5 | 74-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New York finds themselves just two games ahead of the No. 8 seed Orlando in the Eastern Conference playoff race. They’ll take the floor tonight with a case of same-season triple revenge on their minds against the suddenly capable Magic, sporting a 3-0 SUATS record in this series when playing with the aforementioned same season ‘hat-trick’ revenge. With Orlando just 12-18 ATS against same-season triple avengers, we're taking the Knicks. |
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03-08-24 | Pelicans -8.5 v. 76ers | 103-95 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New Orleans Pelicans stand atop the division. They continue to shine, winning three of their last four games. The Philadelphia 76ers have not been reliable at home, going just 2-3 in their last five home games after a home loss to the Grizzlies. The Pelicans are the stronger defensive squad here, allowing 111.9 points per 100 possessions compared to 114.5 points per 100 by the 76ers. This matters because Philadelphia is playing without Joel Embiid and has not been scoring nearly as many points. Also, Tyrese Maxey has missed the last two games and is questionable. The Pelicans have conceded an average of only 105.8 points in their last five games. |
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03-08-24 | Missouri State v. Indiana State -11.5 | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Missouri State is playing for the second straight day here as they take the floor looking to advance to the semifinals. The problem for the Bears, other than potential fatigue, is that they have to deal with an Indiana State team that can pile up points in a hurry. We’ve seen Indiana State do a ton of damage on the offensive end as they are deadly inside the arc, from the perimeter and at the charity stripe. While the Bears put up a stellar defensive showing in their win over Murray State, expecting them to slow down the Sycamores the way they handcuffed the Racers is foolhardy. Look for Indiana State to take care of business and punch their ticket to the semifinals with a win here. |
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03-07-24 | Arizona v. UCLA +9.5 | 88-65 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sitting way back on the ‘Bubble’, the 14-win Bruins (at press time) need every win they can muster, and one or two against ranked foes like the Wildcats. At least UCLA is 9-3 ATS as a dog this season, including 7-1 ATS in Pac12 contests, plus Mick Cronin’s crew is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home dog. There’s also a revenge factor at work here in favor of the Bruins: Arizona edged UCLA at home earlier this season, and the desert Cats are a flimsy 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS the last six games in the series when UCLA has same-season revenge. Yep, we’ll be on the take tonight. |
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03-07-24 | Raptors v. Suns -10 | Top | 113-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Raptors enter off a same-season revenge rumble at New Orleans while standing 6-12 SUATS in post-Pelican performances, including 0-5 ATS when Toronto owns a sub .540 win percentage. Making matters worse for the dinosaurs, they have another same-season get-even affair on deck against Portland, knowing they are 1-6 SUATS in games before the Blazers’ battles. We sign off, though, with Finally, Phoenix is 7-1 ATS with same-season revenge in this series, including 5-0 ATS in games in which Toronto owns a sub .700 win percentage. |
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03-06-24 | Bucks v. Warriors -3.5 | 90-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This game comes down to Giannis Antetokounmpo's health primarily. He's battling an Achilles injury, so Antetokounmpo may be out again. If that's the case, Golden State should be favored and will beat the spread. Giannis Antetokounmpo had 33 points, nine rebounds, and five assists in the first game against Golden State. Nobody on the Bucks can replace that production. Milwaukee's defense doesn't force enough turnovers to stress Golden State's offense, which will allow them to get the shots that they want. Injuries and the venue change will help the Warriors end the Bucks' winning streak comfortably. |
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03-06-24 | BYU v. Iowa State -7 | 63-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Iowa State is ranked No. 2 in the nation in Turnover Margin (+6.8), No. 8 in Defensive Points Per game (62.9), and No. 9 in overall Scoring Margin (+15). BYU arrives in Ames off a Saturday homer versus TCU, and the Cougars could still have their heads in the clouds following their monumental road upset of Kansas last Tuesday. The boys from Provo are 1-3 SUATS in this series, and after beating Iowa State in an earlier meeting at home, 87-82, they will likely pay the price tonight. |
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03-06-24 | Indiana v. Minnesota -5 | 70-58 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm going with the better record against the spread and the home record in this one. Let's face it, Indiana is not making the NCAA Tournament unless they win the Big 10 Tourney, so this game doesn't mean a whole lot. Minnesota needs to keep winning to have a shot at an at-large bid. This is also a revenge game where Minnesota shot just 3-of-20 from 3-point range and 13-of-24 (54%) from the free-throw line in that first meeting that ended up in a 12-point loss. At home, Minnesota shoots 35.6% from the three-point line and 70% from the free throw line. Indiana struggles to defend the three-point shot (34.8%) on the road. |
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03-06-24 | Clippers -6.5 v. Rockets | 122-116 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This young Rockets team is on the tail end of a back-to-back, and they gave everything they had last night to beat the Spurs. Sengun, Van Vleet, Green and Brooks all played 36 or more minutes in the game, the stars for the Rockets did not rest. Sengun is coming off a career game, but he played 37 minutes, took 32 shots, and was all over the floor, he will not be at full strength tonight for the Clippers. Los Angeles is rested, and coming off a loss in a game where they played the Bucks without Giannis. The Clippers will be hungry to get back on track in the tightly contested playoff race at the top of the Western Conference. The Clippers covered the spread in their last two wins, and have Leonard, George and Harden all healthy for this game. The loss of Russell Westbrook will not be as impactful here, as the Rockets do not have a strong bench and rely on their starters for the majority of their production. The last time the Rockets played a back to back, they lost the second game to the Hawks and did not cover the spread. The same will happen here. |
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03-05-24 | Suns v. Nuggets -9.5 | 117-107 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nuggets have been playing tough defense lately, so I have to lay 7.5 points with the reigning champs. The Suns will miss Devin Booker a lot in this matchup. They lack a proper point guard, and the Suns will be in trouble should the Nuggets continue to impress on the defensive side of the ball. Denver has gone 8-2 ATS in its last ten encounters with Phoenix. The Nuggets are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their previous five home tilts versus the Suns, and I expect Denver to extend its home dominance over Phoenix. Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall. |
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03-05-24 | Kansas State v. Kansas -11 | Top | 68-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Kansas stands 31-1 SU and 17-11 ATS at home off a previous home loss by an average win margin of 20.1 PPG, including 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS with same-season revenge. The No. 7 Jayhawks have the weapons to do the job again tonight, ranking No. 4 in the land in Offensive Field Goal Percentage, just a bit under 50%. That fits just right with Kansas State’s 2-5 ATS record versus revenge-seeking foes this season (Kansas lost to K-State by 5 points in early February). Consider that Kansas State is 1-14 SUATS in its series against Kansas when the Jayhawks sport a sub .770 win percentage. Finally, Kansas is 5-0 SUATS in this series when seeking revenge from a same-season loss, by an average win margin of more than 15 PPG |
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03-05-24 | Celtics v. Cavs +8.5 | Top | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The young Cavs were on a major roll at the All-Star break, claiming 18 wins in over 20 games. The Break did them no good, though, as the momentum was chilled, and they dropped 3 of 5 games heading into Friday night’s visit to Motown. However, their best achievement this season has been a super sturdy 10-7 SUATS mark in games against quality opposition (.589 or greater foes), including 7-3 at home. To top it off, they will carry a same-season double revenge chip on their shoulder into tonight’s contest. Meanwhile, the Celts arrive off a same-season revenge tussle with the Warriors, bringing a 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS log in this role into this affair. And be sure to check this line, as Boston has proved to be a bust when laying points after Golden State gatherings, just 10-25-1 ATS overall since 1990. To top it off, the Beantown bunch is staring dead ahead to another same-season revenger with Denver on tap. Finally, Cleveland is 4-0 ATS in this series when playing with same-season double revenge. |
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03-05-24 | Panthers -110 v. Devils | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Devils look to step up on their home ice but the Panthers are having a remarkable season and look to control this game on both ends of the ice. The Panthers should find the back of the net at will against the Devils, who allow 3.49 goals per game, with Sam Reinhart, Matthew Tkachuk, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Panthers, who allow only 2.36 goals per game, should limit the Devils' offense with Gustav Forsling, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Anthony Stolarz to make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
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03-05-24 | Purdue v. Illinois -135 | 77-71 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Fighting Illini stormed back against Purdue in the first game, only losing by five. This Purdue team has been flirting with danger on the road against multiple conference rivals this season. Tuesday will end with one of college basketball's best teams on the losing end. The Boilermakers dip to 45.5% shooting and "only" 77.1 points per game. While that will be enough to win against a lot of teams, Illinois is one of the few teams in the country averaging more points than Purdue. The Fighting Illini allow 80+ points but still pull out a win, keeping them alive for the Big Ten regular season title. |
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03-04-24 | Texas v. Baylor -7 | 85-93 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bears are 15-5 SUATS in this series, including 14-2 ATS when Texas sports a greater than .555 win percentage, plus they’re 11-3 SUATS in games versus sub .720 foes this season, including 4-0 SUATS in Big 12 games. Yes, the Longhorns are an 18-win squad, but they’ve been major money burners this year, going 9-18-1 ATS at press time. NOTE: Texas owned a 3-14 ATS record this season in games following a win before hosting Oklahoma State on Saturday, and if Bevo banished the Cowboys, tonight’s game becomes an even stronger play on UT. The bottom line is Baylor has the look and feel of a team ready to make a lot of noise during March Madness. It starts tonight. |
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03-04-24 | Clippers v. Bucks -5 | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bucks are playing their best basketball of the season and will have the advantage of rest as they take on the Clippers, who will be playing their second game of a back-to-back on Monday night. The Bucks are second in the NBA in scoring this season but, more importantly, have held six of their last nine opponents under 100 points. The recent defensive prowess of the Bucks has improved their scoring defense to 19th in the NBA. The Clippers will have difficulty with the length of the Bucks, especially at the rim. The Clippers are just 19th in the NBA in total rebounding and that will be amplified against the Bucks. Additionally, without Westbrook there to help defensively, Dame Lillard should have his way with the Clippers guards on the offensive end. Look for the Bucks to keep rolling on Monday against the Clippers. |
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03-04-24 | Panthers -115 v. Rangers | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rangers are having a great season and look to step up on their home ice. The problem is that the Panthers are having a great season and look to control this game from the first period. The Panthers, who average 3.28 goals per game, should find the back of the net at will with Matthew Tkachuk, Aleksander Barkov, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Panthers, who allow only 2.36 goals per game, should limit the Rangers offense with Gustav Forsling, Aaron Ekblad, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
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03-03-24 | Stanford v. Colorado -12 | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This seems like a big spread, but Colorado dominated Stanford the last time these teams met in Colorado (February 5, 2023) when they earned a 22-point victory. In addition, not only have they defeated Stanford in eight of the last 10 meetings, but they are 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The Cardinals have lost five straight games, and they have lost each of those contests against the spread as well. The Buffaloes have not been great against the spread recently as well (2-6-0), but they have proven they can handle Stanford. |
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03-03-24 | Knicks v. Cavs -6.5 | 107-98 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I will take the Cavaliers even if Donovan Mitchell remains on the sidelines. Cleveland will torture New York in the paint on the back of Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen, who combine for 20.8 rebounds and 2.7 blocks per game this season. The Knicks just got outscored in the paint by the Warriors. I don’t see them containing the Cavaliers’ big men. Cleveland should torture New York at the low post, and the Cavs have enough weapons to slow Jalen Brunson down. The Cavaliers boast the second-best defensive rating in the NBA (111.2 points allowed per 100 possessions). |
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03-03-24 | Jets -113 v. Sabres | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sabres have won three games in a row but the Jets are having a great season and look to take over this game from the first period. The Jets, who average 3.05 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Kyle Connor, Nikolaj Ehlers, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Jets, who allow only 2.38 goals per game, should limit the Sabres offense with Josh Morrissey, Dylan DeMelo, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Connor Hellebuyck to make plenty of big saves. The Jets should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
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03-03-24 | Rutgers v. Nebraska -8.5 | 56-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units At first glance, this seems like a big number, but Nebraska has been taking care of business at home recently and winning by double digits. Their last three home games included an 18-point win against Minnesota, a 19-point win over Penn State and a 20-point win over Michigan. Rutgers is another unranked team playing on the road, and their 275th-ranked offense will not be able to produce much against Nebraska's 30th ranked defense. Rutgers' offense is by far the worst-ranked unit in the game, Jeremiah Williams doesn't shoot from the outside, and Omoruyi can only score around the bucket. Nebraska has four players averaging 11.9 PPG or more, they can score inside and out, especially with Tominaga on the perimeter and Mast inside. Rutgers looked good against Michigan, but so has every team in the league, in their previous game they lost by 17 to Maryland and only managed 46 points on offense. Nebraska has more to play for as they will find their way into the tournament and will win comfortably here. |
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03-03-24 | Michigan v. Ohio State -11.5 | 61-84 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ohio State is heating up, motivated for revenge against their rivals, and desperate to win this game for any chance of dancing. Michigan is 2-8 on the road and amid a six-game losing streak. Each defeat during this slide came by double figures. The Wolverines allow 81.7 points per game on the road, so the Buckeyes will feast offensively. Michigan has only reached 70 points once during this losing streak. Ohio State's season average for points allowed is 69.9, so that stretch should continue. Expect the Buckeyes to beat Michigan by at least 15. |
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03-03-24 | Clippers v. Wolves -2.5 | 89-88 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Clippers have been a good road this season, particularly since December, but I like the Wolves to pick up the win here. The Clippers will need to make some adjustments in their rotation with Westbrook's absence and that will take a bit of time. The team will certainly not look to extend either Leonard or George's minutes given both of their injury histories. The Wolves will also likely welcome back Edwards after missing him for the second half of the Kings game. Edwards' presence will force the Clippers to account for him all over the floor and should open things up for the likes of Mike Conley Jr. and Towns. The Wolves should now have a significant advantage with the league's best defense going up against a depleted Clippers' offense. |
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03-03-24 | Devils v. Kings -116 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings have won three of their last four home games. They have played well offensively, scoring nine goals in their last three home games. They have also played well on special teams, converting over 22 percent of their power play opportunities. The Devils are good at killing penalties, but they haven’t been as good defensively, giving up 12 goals in their last three road games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Kings in this game. The Devils have lost two of their last three road games. They have played well offensively, scoring 12 goals in their last three road games. But seven of those goals came in one game. They have also played well on special teams, converting over 22 percent of their power play opportunities. The Kings are great at killing penalties and they’re playing well defensively, giving up seven goals in their last four home games, so expect them to keep New Jersey’s offense in check. Go with Los Angeles to cover the money line. |
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03-02-24 | Tennessee v. Alabama -3 | 81-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This should be fun, but the Crimson Tide get their revenge at home where they are 13-1. Alabama shot just 4-of-21 (19%) from beyond the arc in that first meeting. Their backcourt of Sears and Estrada shot just 11 of 21 and turned the ball over nine times combined. Expect Alabama to shoot much better considering they are at home, where they shoot 41.1% from beyond the arc. Tennessee struggles to defend the three-point shot on the road (37.2%) and will lose their first game in March. |
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03-02-24 | Michigan State +10.5 v. Purdue | Top | 74-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units As we’ve alluded to previously, MSU was ranked No. 4 in the AP Preseason Top 25 poll, its highest ranking since 2020. And at 17-11 and residing in sixth place in the Big Ten entering this contest, they’ve certainly underperformed this campaign. That makes them a dangerous ‘Bubble Team’ here, playing with a double revenge chip on their shoulder from a pair of losses laid on them by the Boilermakers last season. No doubt that Purdue is one of the nation’s most talented teams and that head coach Matt Painter’s troops want to make amends for last year’s embarrassing first-round exit in the NCAA Tournament, but the Boilers are just 0-3 SUATS in this series when MSU is seeking double revenge from the previous season. Purdue has not performed well this year against avenging Big Ten foes coming off a loss, going just 3-6 ATS, and the Boilermakers might be looking ahead to Tuesday night’s huge road trip to Illinois. Finally, playing on the Michigan State Spartans from Game 20 out if they're coming off an ATS loss of 9 or more points and are seeking revenge in a conference game is 13-1 ATS. |
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03-02-24 | Bruins -127 v. Islanders | 1-5 | Loss | -127 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Islanders have won back-to-back games, making it easy to think they can pull off the upset on their home ice. The problem is that the Bruins are having a great season and look to control this game from the first period. The Bruins, who average 3.34 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Bruins, who allow only 2.72 goals per game, should limit the Islanders offense, which averages only 2.95 goals per game, with Charlie McAvoy, Brandon Carlo, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Jeremy Swayman to make plenty of big saves. The Bruins should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
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03-02-24 | Rangers +110 v. Maple Leafs | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New York has won 11 of its last 12 games and is receiving excellent play between the pipes from Igor Shesterkin, who has 26 victories in 39 appearances with a 2.65 goals against average and .911 save percentage. New York has won each of the last nine games that the Russian has been in goal. Shesterkin was in goal on December 19 when New York defeated Toronto 5-2. New York has won five of the last six played on the road. Toronto has struggled against Eastern Conference opponents, losing seven of the last eight in that situation. New York's goals against average is fourth best in the NHL, while Toronto has a goals against average (3.15) that is 20th. |
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03-02-24 | Senators v. Flyers -124 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Senators look to pull off the upset and turn their season around but the Flyers look to step up on their home ice and take over this game from the first period. The Flyers should create plenty of scoring chances against a Senators defense that allowed 3.30 goals per game in February with Travis Konecny and Joel Farabee controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Flyers, who allow only 2.92 goals per game, should limit the Senators offense with Nick Seeler, Sean Walker, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Samuel Ersson to make plenty of big saves. The Flyers should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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03-02-24 | Jazz v. Heat -7.5 | 120-126 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Heat should have the majority of the players back that missed out on the final game of their six-game trip. Herro and Richardson certainly look more than likely to be back for this game and that should give a boost to the Heat in this matchup. The Jazz seem unlikely to get Kessler back on Saturday and that will make their matchup against the Heat all the more difficult. Kessler's presence helps the Jazz on the glass and at the rim. Without him, I expect a big night from Adebayo and for Butler and the Heat wings to be able to slash to the basket without fear of being slowed down. The Jazz are in the final game of a highly unsuccessful trip and look like a team that is fading from the Western Conference playoff picture. Miami, on the other hand, is in a dog fight with Orlando and Indiana trying to get out of the play-in round. The Heat will be more motivated on Saturday and have the advantage in the paint. |
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03-02-24 | Mississippi State v. Auburn -9 | 63-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The No. 11 Tigers (21-7, 10-5) led No. 4 Tennessee by eight points midway through the second half before losing 92-84 in a road game that featured 12 lead changes on Wednesday night. The Tigers are tied for fourth in the SEC with Kentucky and Florida, two games ahead of Mississippi State. Auburn has alternated wins and losses in its last six games. The last time it had consecutive wins or losses was a three-game winning streak that began after a 64-58 loss at Mississippi State on Jan. 27. |
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03-02-24 | Delaware v. Stony Brook -1 | 56-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Stony Brook Seawolves, with a 16-14 overall record and positioning seventh in the Coastal Athletic Association, have displayed a resilient and competitive spirit throughout the season. Their recent clash against Drexel, although ending in a 90-86 road loss, was a hard-fought battle that highlighted the Seawolves' tenacity and skill. Despite the defeat, Stony Brook's performance in this game underscored their offensive capabilities and their never-say-die attitude, as they pushed a higher-ranked team to the brink. This game served as a microcosm of their season, reflecting their ability to compete at a high level, even in the face of adversity. |
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03-02-24 | Duquesne v. George Mason -3 | 59-51 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units George Mason head coach Tony Skinn is aware that the Patriots are 17-6 SU and 12-7 ATS at home when coming off a pair of losses, including 10-2 ATS in games in which Georgie sports the better record. Duquesne won 20 games last year and went to the CBI Tournament, and the Dukes just avenged a conference tourney loss when they beat La Salle 75-63 on Wednesday. unfortunately, they are just 2-9 ATS when coming off a win of 6-plus points this season. The Pats are a solid 13-2 at EagleBank Arena with an average winning margin of 12.2 PPG |
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03-02-24 | Fordham v. St. Joe's -8 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units St. Joe’s did not qualify for postseason play last year following an exit in the conference tourney quarterfinals and the Hawks finished the campaign at 16-17, no thanks to a pair of losses laid on them by Fordham. The Rams won 24 games last season under promoted first-year head coach Keith Urgo but have felt the cold sting of reality this year, going 12-16 and just 3-8 SUATS when coming off a win. The Rams’ highly distasteful 1-14 ATS ledger the past two seasons in outright conference losses as an underdog is also a major concern. We’ve always been fans of 5-returning starter teams looking for revenge. Finally, St. Joseph’s is 18-3 SU and 14-7 ATS in this series, including 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS when Joe’s owns a .500 or better win percentage. |
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03-02-24 | Villanova v. Providence -2.5 | 71-60 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Providence is 10-2 with an average winning margin of 10.4 PPG. The Friars will also be looking for some payback from Villanova after the Wildcats rolled in their first meeting earlier this season, 68-50, and they take the court today boasting a 12-1 ATS record with same-season revenge from a loss of 9-plus points in this series, including 9-0 ATS at home. Nova is only 3-7 SU and 3-6-1 ATS away this campaign. |
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03-01-24 | Fresno State v. Nevada -14.5 | 66-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Fresno State has lost four straight games, while Nevada has won four straight games. There is a time to fade the trends, but there is also a time to realize why the trends are happening in the first place. Fresno State is down this year, the Mountain West is a tough conference, and they are struggling to keep up. Fresno only won four league games so far this season, and San Diego State just beat them by 32 points in a game played on Fresno's home court. The Bulldogs are started to sense the end of the season, as one loss in the conference tourney will wrap up their year. Nevada has everything to play for, they are on the right side of the bubble, and need every convincing win they can get at this point to strengthen their case for the Big Dance. It looks like Fresno will be without their big man Boakye, which will leave a huge hole in the middle defensively. Nevada has the best player in this game in Lucas, and has the most motivation as their season is far from over. |
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03-01-24 | Devils -1.5 v. Ducks | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
The goal is to make as much money as possible, so giving up the 1.5 goals and taking New Jersey is definitely to your advantage. The Ducks may have defeated the Devils the last time these teams met, but they have lost four of the last six meetings. In addition, New Jersey is coming off a decisive victory over San Jose where they defeated the Sharks by five goals. Anaheim is terrible on both ends of the ice. They have given up four goals or more in five of their last eight games, and have been held to three goals or fewer in seven of the last 10. |
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03-01-24 | Dayton -1 v. Loyola-Chicago | 72-77 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a small line for the much better team to cover. Dayton is ranked 25th overall in KenPom, 21st in the AP Top 25, and are the only team in the A-10 who looks like a lock for the NCAA Tournament. Dayton also has something else Loyola Chicago doesn't; a 6'10 future NBA player in their frontcourt. Holmes is a problem for all Atlantic 10 teams, he leads the conference in scoring and is third in rebounding, and will look to put on a show on national television. Dayton took two unexpected losses recently, but that will only refocus this team that still ranks 16th in the nation in offensive efficiency. Loyola Chicago will have a difficult time keeping up, as their offense is the worst unit in the game ranking in at 183rd in the country. Loyola Chicago had a winning streak against some of the weaker teams in the conference, but they are now running into a powerhouse. Dayton is motivated to improve their league record, because they want to ensure that if they do not win the A-10 Tournament, they still get a spot in the Big Dance. |
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03-01-24 | Kings v. Wolves -6.5 | 124-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Defense can still win games in the NBA, and the defenses will set the tone in this one. Minnesota has the best defense in the league in terms of efficiency, and no one on Sacramento's defense can stop Anthony Edwards. De'Aaron Fox is excellent, but Sabonis is equally important to this Sacramento offense. Minnesota's frontcourt defense is the best in the league, Sabonis will have to go up against the likely Defensive Player of the Year in Gobert, while also contending with Towns and Naz Reid on the inside. The claim about not being able to stop Edwards is proven in the numbers. Ant-Man scored 35 in their first matchup against the Kings, and 34 in the second game. They have shooters on the wing, not defenders. Edwards will have his way while, Gobert and Towns control the paint on both ends. Timberwolves have won seven of their last eight, and match up well with this Sacramento team. |
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03-01-24 | Mavs +10 v. Celtics | 110-138 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Mavs headed into the All-Star break brimming with confidence while riding a 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS win skein, only one game back of 5th-seeded Denver and New Orleans. With it, they’ll carry a 16-9 ATS road record this season into Beantown, where they’ve managed to cash just nine of the last thirteen games inside this series. At the same time, Boston has been busy burning backers’ money this season, going just 3-6 ATS when hosting Western Conference foes. More importantly, the shamrocks arrive off a bigger battle with Philadelphia, standing only 4-4 SU and 3-5 ATS in post-Philly follow ups. Grab the points with the money earner against the money burners. |
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02-29-24 | Kings v. Canucks -139 | 5-1 | Loss | -139 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is an interesting battle as it pits a Los Angeles team that is playing better on the road and a Vancouver team that has been very good at home. Los Angeles has dropped their last two games on the road, however, that comes on the heels of three straight victories on the road. The Canucks have lost two of their last three games at home, yet they still hold one of the top home records in the league. The big difference maker is that the Canucks same to have the Kings number of late. They are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these teams, with two of the victories for Los Angeles coming in shootouts. Vancouver could easily be 9-1 against Los Angeles. |
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02-29-24 | Penguins +103 v. Seattle Kraken | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Penguins have won three straight games and two straight road games. They are playing well offensively and scored nine goals in their last three road games. They have also played well on special teams, converting 15 percent of their power play opportunities. The Kraken have killed 78 percent of their penalties, but they’re not playing well defensively, giving up 10 goals in their last three home games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Penguins in this game. The Kraken split their last four home games. They have played well offensively at home, scoring 11 goals in their last three home games. They have also played well on special teams, converting over 20 percent of their power play opportunities. The Penguins are very good at killing penalties and they’re playing well defensively, giving up six goals in their last three road games, so expect them to keep Seattle’s offense in check. |
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02-29-24 | Heat +4.5 v. Nuggets | 97-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units After a slow start to the 2023-24 season, Miami entered the All-Star break on a 7-1 ATS run, and now, with most of the starters back intact, they appear poised to make another second-half run this season. On the opposite side of the court, Denver closed just 4-10-1 ATS before the All-Star break. Worse, they enter tonight’s game off a same-season triple revenger last night on this court against the Kings. At just 5-10 SU and 4-11 ATS after Sacramento, we’re more than happy to take the dog. Finally, since 1994, Denver is just 55-108-1 ATS at home without rest, including 0-7 ATS when coming off a game in which they were playing with revenge. |
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02-29-24 | Rockets v. Suns -8.5 | 105-110 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Suns already have a 16-point win over the Rockets and that came in Houston. Now, Phoenix, with a long winning streak at home, gets to host Houston. This year's Rockets are 5-23 (10-18-0 ATS) on the road, so they don't travel well at all. Which is why Phoenix will beat the spread in this game. Houston's weak offense is much worse on the road, barely scratching 110 points. Their defense allows 117.1 points on the road, nearly eight points more than their home average. The Suns have held this team under 115 points twice already. They've also outrebounded the Rockets in both matchups. Expect the Suns to keep the Rockets' offense in check, leading to a double-digit victory when their offense shines as always. |
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02-29-24 | Stanford v. Utah -8.5 | 68-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Utes will certainly be glad be back in Salt Lake City after a trio of road games, and also to make amends for a pair of previous losses at the Huntsman Center where they are 9-4 SU and 8-4-1 ATS in this role since 2016. And when we see that Utah dropped a 79-73 contest to Stanford as small road chalk earlier this season – and were also sent packing from the Pac-12 tourney two seasons ago – we think head coach Craig Smith has had just about enough. It helps Utah’s cause that the Cardinal are 2-7 SU and 2-6-1 ATS in this series, including 0-3-1 ATS when the Utes are playing with the revenge chip. It also helps that Stanford has a revenger with Oregon State on deck and the Cardinal are just 1-7 ATS away before the battling the Beavers. Two teams that were neck and neck in the conference race should shake out with the Running Utes gaining the upper hand. |
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02-29-24 | Wild v. Predators -110 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This will be a great game between two evenly matched teams. The Wild look to pull off the upset but I see the Predators stepping up on their home ice and taking over this one. The Predators, who average 3.10 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Filip Forsberg, Ryan O'Reilly, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Predators should limit the Wild offense with Roman Josi, Ryan McDonagh, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Juuse Saros to make plenty of big saves. The Predators should win the game with a strong performance on thier home ice. |
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02-29-24 | Golden Knights v. Bruins -151 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Vegas Golden Knights are struggling. They have lost three of their last four games. The injuries keep piling on. They are playing without Mark Stone and Jack Eichel. The Bruins are back home after a road trek. The squad has earned at least one point in six straight games. Vegas isn’t scoring as many goals due to the injuries, scoring three or fewer goals in three of their last four games. This is not ideal considering the Golden Knights continue to be exploited defensively. They have squandered 18 goals in their last four games. Boston is generating more offense, recording a solid 17 goals in their last five bouts. I recommend taking the Bruins to win in regulation for added value. |
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02-28-24 | Arizona v. Arizona State +12 | 85-67 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Talk about instant karma: this is just who the No. 4 Wildcats need to be crossing paths with at this time of the season as they bring an 0-10 ATS series log into contests in games after they beat the Sun Devils by 17 or more points. Bad ‘before and afters’ sound the alarm on the visitors, too, as they arrive off a Saturday game against Washington (2-6 ATS in U-Dub follow-ups) with dangerous Oregon on deck after tonight’s clash (1-5 ATS in games before going Duck hunting). The desert Devils ain’t much, standing 13-13 and tied with three others sporting 7-8 records in conference play, but they are rested with this being the third of a three-game homestand (25-15 ATS as a dog in this role). Realistically, ASU will need a deep run into the Pac-12 tourney to even sniff an invite to the Big Dance, so this becomes their championship game of the year. The Sun Devils are 2-0 ATS as home dogs this season and 10-5 ATS as a home dog of 6-plus points. |
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02-28-24 | Kings v. Nuggets -7.5 | Top | 96-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The defending champs hold the triple revenge card this evening. They are 7-2 ATS in their last nine same-season triple revenge contests, as well as 10-3 ATS as a home favorite with a similar revenge motive. Sacramento supports that position going 10-18 SUATS away in the series in games in which Denver is looking to get even from an earlier loss. Finally, the Nuggets are 15-2 SU and 12-5 ATS as a host in this series when seeking same-season revenge, including 6-0 SUATS when the Kings own a .570 or greater win percentage. |
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02-28-24 | South Carolina +5 v. Texas A&M | 70-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After upsetting Tennessee 85-69 on February 10, the Aggies took a three game losing skein into Knoxville on Saturday as they continue to unravel after a smart 5-0 start to the season. South Carolina is 6-1 SUATS the last seven games in this series – the loss coming in their final meeting last season – and this 21-win squad has come a long way since winning only 11 games behind first-year head coach Lamont Paris last year. The former UT-Chattanooga mentor brings a super-sharp 18-8 ATS log this season into this payback while A&M can muster only a 2-7 ATS record against avenging conference opponents during the same time span. A win tonight by the Cocks keeps them hot on the heels of current SEC leaders Alabama, Tennessee and Auburn. |
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