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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-17-23 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State -17 | 54-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I think I would be backing Kent State in this matchup regardless of the way these teams played earlier this week, but those outcomes only make me feel even better about the Golden Flashes in this contest. They are coming off one of the best offensive showings of the season, while Eastern Michigan looked lifeless in its blowout loss. The Eagles are one of the worst defensive teams in college basketball, so I am not worried about Kent State’s offense scoring enough points to cover this number. The Golden Flashes have one of the longest active home winning streaks in college basketball (19) and are 15-1 in their last 16 home games against Eastern Michigan. |
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02-15-23 | Rangers -189 v. Canucks | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New York Rangers blue line and goalkeeper Igor Shesterkin will shut down the high-scoring Vancouver Canucks on Wednesday. New York is holding opponents to an average of only 2.62 goals per game. New York scores an average of 3.32 goals per game and added power to its attack when acquiring Vladimir Tarasenko from the St Louis Blues. Tarasheko has scored one goal in two appearances for the Rangers, but has six seasons in the NHL with 30 goals or more. The Rangers have won 20 of their last 27 overall and beat up on weaker opponents, winning 41 in the last 58 versus a team with a losing record. Vancouver is allowing an average of 4.02 goals per game which is next to last in hockey. The Canucks have lost six of the last seven against the team with a winning record. |
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02-15-23 | Lightning v. Coyotes +1.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lightning are having a great season but I like the Coyotes to step up on their home ice and take advantage of a team playing on the second game of a back-to-back. The Coyotes should pile on the goals with Lawson Crouse, Clayton Keller, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with effective puck movement. The Coyotes also look to build off a game where they only allowed two goals and limit the Lightning offense with Troy Stecher, Shayne Gostisbehere, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net while goaltender Karel Vejmelka blanks the shots on the net. The Coyotes should win the game, pull off the upset, and provide great odds in the process as home Underdogs. |
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02-15-23 | Arkansas v. Texas A&M -165 | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Aggies are 7-1 ATS the last 8 games in this series, and 8-2 ATS versus Arky when A&M sports a .656 or fewer win percentage. They’re also 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS this campaign when playing with three-plus days of rest, including 5-0 ATS versus .600 or greater opposition. We’re not going to buck that when the ‘Backs are just 1-5 ATS away in SEC contests this season. Consider the Hogs are a mighty lean 7-47-5 ATS in outright conference losses as an underdog against avenging foes. |
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02-15-23 | Knicks +3.5 v. Hawks | 122-101 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks have had this game circled ever since taking it on the chops in a 15-point loss to the Hawks earlier this season. With both teams in a virtual tie for the 7th seed in the Eastern Conference playoff race, this contest is paramount for New York as far as tiebreakers go concerning playoff positioning. With it, the Knickerbockers bring a studly 24-14 SU and 28-10 ATS road record into the fray since March of last season. They are also 19-11-1 ATS of late in this series, while the Hawks tend to fl y low in games against foes seeking same-season revenge of more than 10 points, going 6-8 SU and 5-9 ATS this campaign. The numbers all point to the points, and we’ll take whatever the books are offering up tonight. |
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02-15-23 | Cavs v. 76ers -105 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is the final game for both of these teams before the all-star break, so it's a great matchup. I expect both teams to go all out to win this one to get some momentum going into the break. These are two teams that could very well meet deep in the playoffs later this season, so they will both be looking to send a message. Both teams matchup well, as they both are among the best defensive teams in the league. I have to go with the home team here as Cleveland has struggled on the road. Also, the Sixers are the second-best free throw-shooting team in the league while Cleveland is 19th and that could decide it. Take the Sixers here to cover. |
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02-15-23 | Pistons +12.5 v. Celtics | 109-127 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I will be picking the Detroit Pistons on the road and I am going to take the points. The Boston Celtics could be without Jayson Tatum in this game and Brown and Smart are already listed as out. I just don't believe the Celtics are healthy enough to cover this spread. If they had their original starting five playing, I would hammer them. But, that isn't the case. Detroit also battled with the Raptors in their last game, as they came up just short. They will come into this game motivated and do everything they can to keep this game within the spread. These two teams also played a week back, as the Celtics won 111-99. They covered the spread, but it was extremely close. Now, they don't have three of their best players on the floor, as this will hurt Boston in this game. If Tatum ends up playing, I like the Celtics. But, he is currently listed as doubtful, so I am going to ride with the Detroit Pistons. They will show up on the road and keep this game within the spread. |
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02-15-23 | Spurs v. Hornets -4.5 | 110-120 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s tough to back the Spurs even though their losing streak will eventually come to an end. The Hornets just broke out of their slump and should win this game, too. With healthy LaMelo Ball, Terry Rozier, and Gordon Hayward in the lineup, the Hornets have an excellent chance of exploiting the Spurs’ horrible defense. San Antonio is dead last in the league in opposing 3-point percentage (39.4%) and 29th in opposing 2-point percentage (57.2%). The Hornets are only 1-6 ATS in their last seven outings, but they’ve gone 4-0 SU and ATS in their previous four encounters with San Antonio. On the other side, the Spurs are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games overall. |
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02-15-23 | Blackhawks v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Looking at the offenses in the last four games, there is a bit of a difference as Chicago is averaging 2.5 goals per game while Toronto is scoring 3.25 goals per game in that stretch. Diving into the power play percentage throughout the season, there is a massive difference with the Blackhawks being 26th in the sport with an 18.5 power play percentage while the Maple Leafs are fourth in all of hockey with a 25.4 power play percentage. All in all, go with the Toronto Maple Leafs to win this game at home. |
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02-15-23 | Alabama +3.5 v. Tennessee | 59-68 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Alabama Crimson Tide have climbed to #1 in the AP Top 25 and remain undefeated in SEC play. The Tennessee Volunteers are stumbling, losing three out of their last four games and the previous two losses were especially weak, losing to Vanderbilt and Missouri. Alabama is the superior team in the offensive end. They are averaging 117.4 points per 100 possessions, marking them 13th in all of DI while Tennessee is posting 112.3 points per 100. The Crimson Tide has an elite defense similar to the Volunteers, but recently it has been the Crimson Tide defense that has looked better. Tennessee allowed Vanderbilt to shoot 40% from deep two games ago and Missouri was able to sink 52% of their field goals against the Vols on Saturday. |
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02-14-23 | Wyoming v. New Mexico -10 | 70-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Mexico pulled off a one-point victory the last time these teams met as Mashburn had 20 points. Wyoming matched New Mexico in almost every area during that game, but the Lobos hit one more free throw than the Cowboys, making that the margin of victory. Wyoming has been in a terrible funk, dropping 14 of 16 games since winning two in a row (December 6-10). They have lost each of their last three games by at least 10 points and have lost seven in a row by at least eight. |
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02-14-23 | Warriors v. Clippers -8.5 | 124-134 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Warriors have been awful on the road this season and they are logging their second game of a back-to-back, not to mention their third game in four nights, in this one. Meanwhile, LA has been off since Friday, giving them three days of rest and a prime opportunity to get their trade acquisitions familiarized with the system. Hyland, Plumlee and Gordon are plugging in, adding some depth at key positions in an effort to bolster the second unit for LA. The Clippers are rested and you never know what Steve Kerr will do in relation to resting guys in a back-to-back situation. With Leonard likely to be on the floor for LA, give the edge to the hosts in this contest. |
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02-14-23 | Kansas v. Oklahoma State +2.5 | 87-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Oklahoma State (16-9, 7-5 Big 12) gets a second chance at beating No. 5 Kansas (20-5, 8-4) on Tuesday night in Stillwater, Okla., after letting a 15-point halftime road lead get away on Dec. 31 and succumbing 69-67 to the then-No. 4 Jayhawks. A chance to force overtime came up short in the final seconds when Kansas' Kevin McCullar Jr. blocked a shot by Oklahoma State's Bryce Thompson. Speaking after Oklahoma State's 64-56 upset win at No. 11 Iowa State on Saturday, Cowboys guard Caleb Asberry reflected on the loss to Kansas. "We lost that game, a close one. We're ready to get that one back, too. Now we're in good contention to win this whole thing," Asberry said. Consider that the home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. |
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02-14-23 | Bruins -115 v. Stars | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins looked rusty and a bit flat in their first game back after a long layoff. They now face a Dallas team that is coming off a loss themselves and won they beat 3-1 at home way back in October. Dallas won't run and hide from the Bruins with the league's 12th ranked scoring offense but they will defend and keep the game tight. Dallas has scored more than two goals just once in its last six games. Boston has scored 30 goals in its last seven wins. Expect the B's to pull out a close win by pumping in at least three goals on the Stars, which will be enough. |
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02-14-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Jets -140 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jets, who average 3.21 goals per game, should pile on the goals against a Kraken defense that allows 3.11 goals per game, with Kyle Connor, Pierre-Luc Dubois, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with effective puck movement while Josh Morrissey generates shots on the net from the blue line. The Jets, who allow only 2.60 goals per game, should limit the Kraken offense with Josh Morrissey, Brenden Dillon, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Connor Hellebuyck to make plenty of big saves. The Kraken should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice to extend their win streak to three games. |
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02-14-23 | Senators v. Islanders -177 | 3-2 | Loss | -177 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Senators are going to be dealing with fatigue issues with this game being the second game of a back-to-back situation and their third game in four nights here. They have issues in net with Talbot being out for the last three weeks and Forsberg being done for the year, leaving unproven commodities between the pipes. Sorokin, if he played on a team that had any kind of competent offensive firepower, would probably be a Vezina candidate based on his numbers. Instead, he’s a .500 goaltender despite a 2.41 GAA and six shutouts this season. New York needs to string some wins together to make a move in the playoff picture and facing a tired Senators team works in their favor. Look for Sorokin to slam the door and deliver a victory for the hosts in this contest. |
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02-14-23 | Buffalo v. Ohio -190 | Top | 61-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Bobcats are an intimidating 18-4 ATS in this series when both teams sport a .450 or greater win percentage. We also like the fact that Buffi e is staring dead ahead to same season revengers with Akron and Central Michigan, and the Bulls are just 3-8 ATS versus avenging foes before facing the Zips, including 0-3 SUATS away. Yes, Ohio head coach Jeff Boals knows his team has a ways to go if they want to match last year’s 25-win performance, but we love this play so much that we’ve declared it our Valentine’s Day Special! Putting the finishing touch on tonight’s box of chocolates is the Bobcats’ 18-6 SU and 16-8 ATS home in conference contests when looking to settle a score. Additionally, Ohio U is 13-2 SU and 14-1 ATS at home in MAC games when seeking same-season loss revenge. |
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02-14-23 | Creighton v. Providence +1.5 | 86-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Revenge will be on the minds of the Friars in this matchup as well as a chance to climb into the thick of the Big East regular season title race. In the first matchup, Providence shot just above 30% in the first half and fell behind by 14 points before rallying in the second half and falling short. At home this season, Providence is a perfect 13-0 on the season while Creighton is a game under .500 on the road. Providence will come into this game looking to bounce back from a poor shooting performance against St. John's on the road. In the Friars' last three home wins, they have held the opposition to 64 points or younger in each of the outings. Providence will dominate the glass and slow down the red hot Bluejays. |
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02-13-23 | Red Wings v. Canucks -115 | 6-1 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Wings are looking to build off their recent win and sweep the season series but the Canucks look to bounce back on their home ice and control this game. The Canucks, who average 3.34 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Elias Pettersson, J.T. Miller, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Canucks should limit the Red Wings' offense with Quinn Hughes, Luke Schenn, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Spencer Martin to make plenty of big saves. The Canucks should win the game with a much-needed bounce-back performance on their home ice. |
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02-13-23 | West Virginia +7 v. Baylor | 67-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bet on West Virginia to cover the spread Monday at Baylor. The Mountaineers, 20th overall in KenPom's rating database, are 18th in offensive efficiency and 40th in defensive efficiency this season. They're a solid team fighting to make the NCAA Tournament against a Baylor squad that's been tested a lot recently. The Bears will be in another closer game than they hoped to be in on Monday. With consecutive games against Kansas, Kansas State, and Texas looming, it's hard to blame Baylor for overlooking West Virginia. The Mountaineers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight-up loss and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between these programs. Bet on WVU to at least cover in this Big 12 clash. |
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02-13-23 | Magic +5.5 v. Bulls | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units At first glance Chicago finds itself in the middle of a live division avenger sandwich, coming off a same season revenge contest with Cleveland with the same on deck against Indiana. That’s never good news when you’re hosting an avenging mad-as-hell non-division foe. Enter the sizzling hot Disney dolls who, after opening the season 5-19, were 18-14 SU and 23-9 ATS at press time. Finally, Chicago is 3-12 ATS at home in the middle of a division sandwich against non-division foes seeking same-season revenge or 6 or more points, including 1-10 ATS from game 32 out. |
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02-13-23 | Coyotes v. Predators -241 | 4-2 | Loss | -241 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Arizona is the 3rd worst road team in the NHL so far this season, going 6-20-6 away from home thus far, currently riding an 18-game skid on its travels, with eight of those defeats coming by a margin of at least two snipes. In fact, a whopping 11 of the previous 16 overall setbacks of the Coyotes have been by more than one marker, with three of their most recent four losses to the Predators also recording a goal-gap of at least two tallies. The Predators, who have notched six victories in their last eight overall outings, meanwhile, have triumphed by more than one goal in seven of their past 12 wins. |
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02-13-23 | Nets v. Knicks -135 | 106-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nets just traded away Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant, as I don't see this new team having much success this regular season. Yes, the Nets have some great numbers, but they are now missing their two biggest contributors. The Knicks have also been great on the offensive end of the court, as I see them consistently scoring throughout this game. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Knicks have the sixth-highest adjusted offensive rating and they are scoring the 15th most points per game. They will be able to attack the paint and score consistently throughout. Now, I also see the Nets struggling on the offensive end, as the Knicks are holding their opponents to the 12th least amount of points per game and the third-lowest shooting percentage from the floor. They will smother the Nets and keep them from scoring enough points to cover this spread. |
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02-13-23 | Jazz v. Pacers +1.5 | 123-117 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The early betting action has been on Indiana, which is a movement that I agree with. The Pacers might be struggling right now, but they have only had Haliburton back for a few games. He completely changes the outlook of this team, which has created value on Indiana against a bad Utah team. The Jazz have not been good on the defensive end of the court, and they are facing a strong offense on Monday. They have only covered the spread once in their last five games, and they are 4-8 against the spread in their last 12 games against Indiana. |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles -120 | 38-35 | Loss | -120 | 116 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units When it comes to handicapping the Super Bowl, this much we know for sure: winning the NFL MVP award has been the kiss of death for quarterbacks in Super Bowl games. Our all-knowing database confirms the fact that MVP winning quarterbacks have struggled in the big game since the inception of the Super Bowl in 1967. Collectively these NFL MVP Super Bowl quarterbacks are 6-15 SU and 5-14-2 ATS in all games, including 0-8 SU and ATS since 2002. In addition, we love it when the top-ranked defense in the league (read: Eagles) matches up with the No. 1 offense (read: Chiefs) in a Super Bowl. When considering that teams with the better overall defense have won a whopping 46 of the previous 56 Super Bowls, it’s not surprising to learn that the seven previous teams owning the better scoring defense (read: Eagles) are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in head-to-head games. |
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02-12-23 | Grizzlies v. Celtics -165 | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Grizzlies are only (3-7) in their last 10 games played and this Celtics team is extremely tough to beat when they are at home. Boston is currently (22-7) inside TD Garden, as I see them staying hot in this one. They have the advantage on the offensive end of the court, as they have the second-highest adjusted offensive rating and they are scoring the fourth most points per game. The Grizzlies won't get consistent stops, which will allow the Celtics to slowly pull away. Boston has also shown that they can turn it on defensively, as I see the Grizzlies having a hard time scoring against Robert Williams, who protects the paint. Boston has the fifth-lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are holding their opponents to the sixth least amount of points per game. Memphis isn't a great shooting team and they won't be able to consistently score in the paint. This will really hurt them and keep them from covering this spread. |
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02-12-23 | Sharks v. Capitals -180 | 4-1 | Loss | -180 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Capitals should find the back of the net at will against the Sharks, who allow 3.74 goals per game, with Alexander Ovechkin, Dylan Strome, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Capitals, who allow only 2.83 goals per game, should limit the Sharks' offense with Erik Gustafsson, Nick Jensen, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Charlie Lindgren to make plenty of big saves. The Capitals should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on their home ice. |
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02-12-23 | Michigan State +3.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 62-41 | Win | 100 | 4 h 0 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Ohio State has put in a dreadful 3-10 SU and 2-11 ATS effort versus Big Ten foes. Yes, the Buckeyes ran out to a solid 10-3 start this campaign, but OSU enters Value City Arena today with a confusion-inducing 1-9 SUATS record in its last ten contests. As a result, Holtmann’s heroes are looking down with only one team – Minnesota – left between them and the bottom of the Big Ten cellar. Here comes more trouble, as the Spartans are 6-1 SUATS away in this series when looking to exact revenge from a loss the previous season, as well as 11-6 SU and 12-5 ATS when seeking anytime revenge and playing on four or more days of rest, including 7-1 SUATS versus sub .740 foes. And with the Buckeyes losing four of their previous five home games, we expect to see a fully energized Izzo today. Finally, playing on Michigan State and head coach Tom Izzo with 3 or more days of rest from Game 20 out if they are seeking same-season revenge against a .700 or fewer conference opponent is 20-4 ATS since 1998. |
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02-12-23 | Temple +9 v. Memphis | 77-86 | Push | 0 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Temple Owls are excelling in conference play where they are 8-4. Temple is one of the better road squads, winning four of their last five AAC road games including the upset win against Houston. The only AAC road loss was a narrow one-point decision. The Memphis Tigers continue to have larger spreads but have only covered in one of their last four home games. The Owls' defense will keep them in this game. They are only conceding 100.5 points per 100 possessions compared to 97.4 per 100 by the Tigers. The Tigers are squandering too many points recently, surrendering at least 80 points in three of their last four games. |
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02-11-23 | BYU +13 v. Gonzaga | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The boys from Provo darn near beat the Zags in their last meeting, falling by just a single point, 75-74, and that sets the table for this payback. BYU is 3-0 ATS when seeking same season revenge from a 1-point conference loss, and head coach Mark Pope owns a glittering 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS record when coming off a loss of more than 10 points (BYU was toppled, 92-80, at Pepperdine on Thursday as -7.5 chalk). The ATS pickings are a bit more slim for the Zags, who are a shocking 3-14 ATS as a favorite after having been a favorite the previous game, including 1-9 ATS when favored by a dozen or fewer points. They’re also just 7-13 ATS when coming off a SUATS win and facing a conference foe seeking same-season revenge. Yes, Gonzaga has already won 20 games this season, but a lackluster 9-15 point spread effort means Few and company are not to be trusted. Finally consider that the Zags are 0-6 ATS this season when coming off a SUATS win of 6 or more points. |
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02-11-23 | Texas A&M v. LSU +7 | 74-62 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units LSU, at 12-12 are still very much alive for a postseason tourney bid, and they’ve had good fortune in games where they own a .500 mark, going 7-2 SU and 5-2 ATS. Plus, there’s the small matter of revenge from Texas A&M’s 69-56 curtailing of the Tigers when they met just over a month ago in College Station. LSU is also catching the Aggies at just the right time in their schedule, with A&M just completing a season sweep over Auburn and owning a weak 2-4 SUATS record after facing Aubbie when taking on .600 or fewer foes during the regular season. Feeling better now? We also can’t ignore the possibility that the Aggies could be looking dead ahead to a same-season revenge affair with Arkansas, and they’re just 1-5 ATS as chalk before Hogs hookups. Enough with this bug business! Join us as LSU begins its road back from infamy tonight. |
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02-11-23 | Coyotes v. Blues -190 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Coyotes have won three of their last five games, but they’ve been terrible on the road, losing their last 16 road games. They have struggled offensively on the road, scoring only five goals in their last five road games. They have also struggled on special teams, converting on 18 percent of their power play opportunities. The Blues aren’t great defensively, but they played better in recent games, giving up 13 goals in their last four home games, and won’t have trouble keeping Arizona’s offense in check. The Blues have struggled in recent games and split their last four home games. They are playing well offensively, scoring 11 goals in their last three home games. They have also played well on special teams, converting over 22 percent of their power play opportunities. The Coyotes aren’t very good at killing penalties and they’re giving up close to four games per game on the road. They are also playing on consecutive nights and will be dealing with fatigue, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Blues in this game. |
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02-11-23 | Heat v. Magic +100 | 107-103 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami is desperately hoping to kickstart a strong finish to the regular season after several inconsistent months, but I am not sold on the Heat right now. Their tendency to play down to their opponents nearly cost them Friday night’s game against the worst team in the NBA, and they have now covered the spread just eight times in their 19 home games. This is not going to be an easy matchup away from home on the second leg of a back-to-back, as Orlando continues to compete. The Magic have gone 17-11 against the spread at home and are coming off a win over the top team in the Western Conference. |
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02-11-23 | Detroit -12 v. Green Bay | 76-71 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Titans are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record, and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. While the Phoenix are 9-27 ATS in their last 36 games overall, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. |
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02-11-23 | 76ers v. Nets +1.5 | 101-98 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Before putting Brooklyn on your fade list remember, they are still the No. 5 seed in the Eastern Conference playoff race and they’ve performed admirably in conference play this season, winning 23 of 34 games outright, while going 7-4 ATS as underdogs. Complicating matters for the invading Sixers’ team is their skinny 2-9 SUATS mark in games without rest after facing the Knicks in games in which Philly was looking to avenge a same-season loss. With another same-season revenger on tap at home against the Rockets for the Sixers, we’re first in line here with Brooklyn looking to brush aside its spring-cleaning image today. Finally the Sixers are 23-36 SU and 21-38 ATS in the middle of a same-season revenge sandwich when facing foes with same-season revenge, including 0-8 ATS the last eight games. |
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02-11-23 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -6 | 64-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oklahoma State took the first meeting between these teams by only two points, but nailed nine three-point shots compared to only two made threes by the Cyclones. Iowa State is a different animal offensively at home, and I see things going their way in this revenge game on their home floor. The Cyclones average 75.6 ppg at home this season, which are 10 points more per game than what they have put up on the road, but Oklahoma State is averaging 67.7 ppg on the road, which are three points less per game in their home production. Iowa State is also knocking down 7.5 threes per game at home, compared to 6.7 threes per road game for Oklahoma State. The favorite has covered the number in nine of the last 12 games played in this rivalry, and I see Iowa State out shooting Oklahoma State in this, and winning by at least seven. |
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02-11-23 | Duke v. Virginia -6 | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Given the stakes and pressure, I like the Cavaliers here. Virginia has the experience advantage, and this will be a difficult matchup for the young Blue Devils, who have five freshmen in their eight-man rotation. Duke is only 1-7 against the spread in their last eight road games and just 1-9 against the spread when facing a winning team. Virginia is 4-1-1 in their previous six games against winning teams and has covered in four straight home games. |
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02-11-23 | Capitals v. Bruins -183 | 2-1 | Loss | -183 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins come into this matchup rested and ready to go. They suffered through the briefest of winless streaks, failing to pick up a win in three straight games prior to the all-star break. The Bruins now will look to further distance themselves from the rest of the pack in the Eastern Conference and will have the benefit of all-star goalie Linus Ullmark taking the net with a week's worth of rest. The Bruins have the edge in every category in this matchup, including health as the Capitals will likely be missing two wings in this game. Look for the Bruins to pick up where they left off in their first game back. |
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02-11-23 | Kansas v. Oklahoma +3.5 | 78-55 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oklahoma stands 6-2 SUATS at home with same-season revenge in this series, including 6-0 ATS when not laying points, plus the Sooners are 7-1 ATS overall the last eight games when they enter with a dead even .500 win percentage. More bad news for Kansas after their 8-point win over Texas on Monday, as the ‘Hawks are a mediocre 6-12 ATS post-Longhorns when favored against avenging foes, including 0-5 ATS during the regular season when coming off a SUATS win. It’s also a fact that KU doesn’t automatically cash a ticket with every SU win, as they’re just 9-9 ATS this season in games they win on the scoreboard. Tack on Moser’s 10-4 SUATS success at home when his troops are coming off three losses, including 6-1 ATS as a dog of fewer than 7 points, and we see Oklahoma assuming the role of ‘windshield’ here today. |
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02-11-23 | Islanders -200 v. Canadiens | 3-4 | Loss | -200 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New York Islanders are not having the best of seasons, but are tied on points for the 8th and final spot in the Eastern Conference and have plenty of incentive to win on Saturday. In contrast, Montreal is next to last in the Eastern Conference standings as many players are on the injury list and are out for extended periods or for the rest of the season. Montreal has lost 45 of its last 62 when playing against the team with a losing record. The visiting team (NYI) in this matchup has won four of the last five. New York has won four of its last five overall and will be in much better playing shape as they have played twice since the All-Star Game break, while Montreal will be playing its first game in 11 days. New York goalie Ilya Sorokin has posted five shutouts this season and faces a Montreal side that is scoring an average of only 2.55 goals per game. |
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02-11-23 | Canucks v. Red Wings -130 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Canucks look to pull off the upset but the Red Wings look to build off a big win and control this game from the first period. The Red Wings should create plenty of scoring chances against a Canucks defense that allows 3.96 goals per game with Dylan Larkin, Dominik Kubalik, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Red Wings look to build off a game where they allowed only one goal and limit the Canucks offense with Filip Hronek, Jake Walman, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Ville Husso to make plenty of big saves. The Red Wings should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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02-10-23 | Bucks v. Clippers -130 | 119-106 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Giannis Antetokounmpo was listed as probable for Thursday’s clash against the Lakers. He’s dealing with right knee soreness, and the Bucks could decide to rest their best player on the second night of a back-to-back set. Keep tracking the injury report, and if Giannis hit the sidelines, take the Clippers to cover. With both Kawhi Leonard and Paul George healthy, the Clippers have enough firepower to compete against the in-form Bucks, who’ll eventually have to slow down a bit. Just a week ago, Milwaukee barely outlasted LA 106-105 as a 4.5-point home fave, and the Clippers blew a huge 21-point lead. |
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02-10-23 | Mavs v. Kings -125 | 122-114 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Luka Doncic’s status is key, and if he remains on the sidelines, I’m going with the Kings to cover. Both Dallas and Sacramento struggle to defend at a high level, especially in the paint, and the Kings look like a more balanced offensive unit than the Mavericks, who lean on 3-point shooting too much. I’m expecting Sacramento to attack the rim all night long and torture the Mavs in the paint. The Kings are 6-2 ATS in their last eight encounters with the Mavericks, though they haven’t met in 2022-23. Sacramento has only lost two of its previous 12 contests against the Western Conference. |
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02-10-23 | Wolves v. Grizzlies -6.5 | 107-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When it comes to a ‘game set-up’ they don’t get much better than tonight’s clash between the Grizzlies and the Timberwolves. For openers, Memphis returns home with a case of double same-season loss revenge on its mind, while catching the Wolves off a same season revenger with yet another one on deck. The Grizzlies are 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS at home with a win percentage of .589 or better when seeking same-season double revenge, while the Timberwolves enter the den with a 9-19 SUATS record in this series, including 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS away. |
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02-10-23 | Hornets v. Celtics -10 | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Even with a slightly depleted roster, including the loss of all-star Brown, the Celtics have a deeper and more talented team than the Hornets. Charlotte has struggled offensively this season and have lost five straight games, allowing an average of nearly 119 points per game. Boston will likely have both Williams and Horford back which will give the team a decided advantage on the glass against a Hornets team that just dealt away their leading rebounder. The Celtics are 3-0 against Charlotte this season and have defeated the Hornets by an average of 21 points per game. Look for that to continue in this spot. |
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02-10-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Rangers -178 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kraken look to wrap up their road trip on a high note but the Rangers, who have won three games in a row, look to dominate this game on their home ice. The Rangers, who average 3.22 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Artemi Panarin, Mika Zibanejad, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Rangers, who allow only 2.63 goals per game, should limit the Kraken offense with Adam Fox, Ryan Lindgren, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Igor Shesterkin to make plenty of big saves. The Rangers should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice to win their fourth game in a row. |
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02-10-23 | Xavier -6.5 v. Butler | 67-69 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Musketeers, who have won 14 of their last 16 games, stand 13-3 ATS away in this series, including 3-0 ATS with revenge. That’s because Butler made the mistake of knocking Xavier out in the donkey round, 89-82, of last year’s Big East tourney, and the Bulldogs are just 2-5 ATS at home against LTKO opponents. Their 3-40-1 ATS mark in SU conference home losses seals the deal. The Musketeers will skewer these guys. |
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02-09-23 | Bucks -8 v. Lakers | 115-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I’ve already said this before Milwaukee’s comfortable victory at Portland – I’m not going to stand in front of the red-hot Bucks. Milwaukee’s defense has been outstanding over the last few weeks, Giannis Antetokounmpo has dominated his opponents, while Khris Middleton is slowly but surely building up his form following an injury. Antetokounmpo has averaged 37.5 points, 14.5 rebounds, and 5.4 assists during the Bucks’ winning streak. The Lakers hope Anthony Davis will be able to slow Giannis down, but I’m still relying on Milwaukee’s defense to make the difference. The Bucks have allowed 110 or fewer points in four of their last seven outings, whereas the Lakers have yielded 121 or more in five of their previous six games overall. Los Angeles outlasted Milwaukee 133-129 in their first meeting of the season, but it was way back on December 2. |
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02-09-23 | Nuggets -6 v. Magic | 104-115 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Denver presents a nightmarish matchup for most teams but definitely the Orlando Magic. Orlando is banged up down low and now goes against the best big man in the NBA and one that can beat you inside and outside. While Orlando has defended the 3-ball well this season, they haven't run into a big that can pass as deftly as Jokic can out of the post. Jokic's passing is the primary reason Denver is ranked first in the NBA in 3pt shooting; he demands double teams and Denver spaces the floor well. The Nuggets had a hiccup against Minnesota two games ago but that won't happen against this Orlando team that lacks the fire power to run away from the Nuggets. Denver will run through Jokic and get open looks and take the fight out of the Magic in this one. |
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02-09-23 | Oilers -185 v. Flyers | 1-2 | Loss | -185 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units As well as the Oilers have performed on the road lately, the Flyers have done the opposite when skating on own ice. Philadelphia is currently riding a four-game losing skid at Wells Fargo Center, having been beaten by more than one marker in half those contests. Edmonton, on the other hand, has triumphed in five consecutive matchups away from home, posting victories by a margin of at least two snipes on four occasions. In fact, seven of the previous nine road wins of the Oilers have recorded a goal-gap of at least two tallies, while the very last six setbacks of the Flyers against Edmonton have all been by more than one goal. |
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02-09-23 | Iowa v. Purdue -8 | 73-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Purdue is the type of team that I want to back at home, as it features a pair of freshman guards as two of its key players. The Boilermakers are generally going to play better in a comfortable environment. They put together one of their worst halves of the season in the first half at Indiana on Saturday, but they gave themselves some momentum coming into this matchup with a strong second half. Iowa has struggled away from home due to its reliance on its offense as well, going 1-4 in its last five road games. The Hawkeyes have only recorded one win in their last 12 games at Purdue, and they are going to struggle against the motivated Boilermakers. |
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02-08-23 | San Diego State v. Utah State -1.5 | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Aztecs have gone 10-2 in their last 12. However, USU looks to have an easier bout on the weekend’s undercard, taking on cellar-dweller Colorado State. The Aztecs face a much sterner test as Boise State comes to town in a race for the MWC lead. Utah State has fashioned a nice 11-1 SU and 7-4 ATS record at home this season, and the series host is riding a 6-0 ATS skein. The Aggies lost to SDSU by 10 points at home earlier this season and the Aztecs are guilty of a poor 4-19 SU and 7-15-1 ATS effort versus foes with same-season revenge. Bear in mind that San Diego State’s scrap with Boise last Friday was a triple-revenge game for the Aztecs, so they may not have much left in the tank tonight. Aggies throw another wrench in the race. |
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02-08-23 | St. Joe's +3 v. Loyola-Chicago | 83-71 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Statistically, this is a fairly evenly matched game, although St. Joe’s seems like the team that is a little better offensively. The clubs are allowing about the same number of points per game, so the question becomes whether Loyola-Chicago has enough of an advantage by playing this contest at home. The Ramblers have won their last two games at home, but that came after three straight home losses and they are 2-8 in the conference while the Hawks are 5-6. When these clubs met earlier this season, St. Joseph’s absolutely blew out Loyola-Chicago, winning by 31. That was just three weeks ago, and not a lot has changed for either team since then. No one should expect a 31-point victory here for the Hawks, but do not be surprised if they win by at least 15. |
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02-08-23 | Wild v. Stars -131 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The very last four overall contests of Dallas, two of the previous three outings of Minnesota and the most recent two trips of the Wild to American Airlines Center have all gone past regulation. So, a draw on a 3-way moneyline (+335) is the most obvious choice here! Still, do also consider backing the home team in this one! Despite the visitors dominating this series of late, triumphing on the very last four occasions (two wins apiece for each side), the Stars have still notched 30 victories in their previous 41 head-to-head matchups against Minnesota in Texas. Dallas has also performed well versus opponents from the Central Division, banking four wins on the last five tries. The Wild, meanwhile, have dropped six of their most recent eight road contests, currently riding a four-game losing skid on their travels. |
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02-08-23 | Wisconsin v. Penn State -4.5 | 79-74 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Penn State is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games vs. a team with a losing road record and Wisconsin is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record. The Badgers are also 1-9 ATS in their last ten games following an ATS loss and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games overall. These teams are in a similar position right now in terms of NCAA tourney seeding, as both are currently among the "Next Four Out" in ESPN's Bracketology prediction. That said, I view the Lions and Badgers as teams on different trajectories. |
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02-08-23 | Spurs +11 v. Raptors | Top | 98-112 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units Greg Popovich takes on a Toronto team that handed him the WORST LOSS of his career in a 143-100 ass whooping in San Antonio on November 2 earlier this season. If that’s not enough of a hair-raising beat down, then it doesn’t exist in Pops’ world. Making matters even worse for the Raptors is that they enter this game off a double-revenge affair of their own at Memphis with another payback on deck here against Utah on Friday. With the Spurs 11-9 SU and 12-8 ATS overall in this series, including 4-1 ATS when Toronto is coming off two days of rest. Finally playing on San Antonio head coach Greg Popovich from Game 55 out when he is seeking revenge from a same-season loss of more than 25 points when the Spurs own a sub .690 win percentage 11-0 since 1998. |
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02-08-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -4 | 99-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Philadelphia 76ers are only 2-2 in their last four games after losing games to the Magic and Knicks within the last week. The Boston Celtics will be ready for this game as they look to build on their first-place lead against a 76ers squad that is only three games behind them. Boston has won three out of their last four games. 76ers are giving up an increase in points. They have squandered 119 or more points in five out of their last seven clashes. This is key as Boston is second in the NBA in adjusted offensive efficiency, averaging 115.3 points per 100 possessions compared to 113.8 per 100 by Philly. Boston won the first meeting by nine points and I expect another convincing win. Also, Joel Embiid is questionable with a foot injury. |
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02-08-23 | Pacers +7 v. Heat | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Neither team has been a good betting option over the past few weeks, but I feel much better about Indiana being undervalued coming into this game. The Pacers finally have a chance to be competitive again after getting their best player back on the court. He scored a career-high 43 points against Miami in December, and he has had time to rest coming into this matchup. The Pacers have covered the spread in eight of their last 12 games in Miami, and the Heat are dealing with multiple key injuries right now. I expect this game to be a toss-up down the stretch, which provides plenty of value on Indiana as a 7-point underdog. |
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02-08-23 | Syracuse -160 v. Florida State | 76-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Even though they'll be taking to the road in this game, there's no doubt that the Orange will cover the spread in this one and come away with the win. Their 2-3 zone is bound to force Florida State into settling for three-point shots, which has been a massive issue for this group. Adding to that is a lack of depth for the Seminoles in the frontcourt, which is certain to haunt them. For Syracuse, their offense is one of the more efficient ones in the ACC, and considering their defense doesn't expect to be an issue in this one, their experience will be crucial. Additionally, according to covers.com, the road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between these two teams. |
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02-08-23 | Creighton v. Seton Hall +3.5 | Top | 75-62 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units Pirates have gone 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS, and should add to those figures with a game against pitiful DePaul last weekend. In yet another case of biting the hand that feeds us, we’ll fade Creighton off what we think will be a big win over Villanova. Yes, we know we talked up the Bluejays last Saturday but one of the deciding factors was the game location: Creighton is a great home team but a lousy road team. Not to mention the Jays are just 14-22-1 ATS against foes seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 20-plus points, including 3-8 ATS versus .550 or greater foes. Meanwhile, the Pirates can boast a 5-0 SUATS record at home this season with a sub .700 win percentage. Finally consider that Seton Hall is 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in this series when the Blue Jays fly in with a sub .700 record, including 8-0 SU and 7-0-1 ATS when the Hall boasts a winning record. |
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02-07-23 | TCU v. Kansas State -4 | 61-82 | Win | 100 | 24 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units I have to look at Kansas State in this spot. The Wildcats are undefeated this season when listed as favorites and will be highly motivated to get revenge for that 14-point defeat at TCU in January. Also, the Wildcats want to avoid a three-game losing streak, so I’m backing them to beat TCU by four or more points. Both teams defend the 3-point line very well, and the Wildcats are a more dangerous 3-point shooting team than the Horned Frogs. This could be a decisive factor, as K-State plays at home, and TCU has gone 1-3 SU and ATS in its previous four showings on the road. The Wildcats are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played on Tuesday. |
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02-07-23 | Bulls +9.5 v. Grizzlies | 89-104 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Grizzlies have continued to slide in the wrong direction and they look like a completely different team without Morant or Adams on the floor. Morant is currently listed as questionable, but the Bulls are good enough defensively to keep this game within the spread. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Bulls have the 11th lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are (6-4) in their last 10 and they've won two straight. They are playing good basketball right now and I just can't say that about the Grizzlies. They are currently (2-8) in their last 10 games played and they've lost three in a row. They've struggled on the offensive end of the court and I see that trend continuing in this one. The Bulls are also a better overall shooting team, as I see them being able to maneuver around this Memphis defense. They are scoring the 15th most points per game and they have the fifth-highest team shooting percentage. They will take advantage of their open looks and keep this game close. |
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02-07-23 | Oilers -155 v. Red Wings | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Winn look to win on their home ice but the Oilers are looking to build off a strong first half of the season and control this game from the first period. The Oilers, who average 3.74 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes near the net. The Oilers should also limit the Red Wings' offense, which was shut out in their previous game, with Darnell Nurse, Cody Ceci, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Stuart Skinner to make plenty of big saves. The Oilers should win the game with a dominant performance on the road. |
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02-07-23 | Suns -5.5 v. Nets | 116-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This could be a very weird game. As you know, the trade deadliner is this week and the Nets have already seen their roster rocked with the trade of Kyrie Irving to Dallas. Now, we don't know if the haul they got back, Dinwiddie and Finney-Smith, will even be suited up for this game -- and even if they are, they probably won't play much or be effective given that they are joining a new team and had to travel. Plus, the Nets just played a game Monday night at home against the Clippers, so they could not only be short handed, but the players they have on the court will be running on fumes. This all points to a Phoenix win. Take the Suns here to cover. |
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02-07-23 | Knicks v. Magic +1.5 | 102-98 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New York Knicks have not been strong on the road where they have dropped three out of their last four games including losses to the Hawks and Raptors. The Magic have been tough to beat on their home floor. They have won three of their last four home clashes highlighted by a win against the Celtics. Orlando is flourishing in the offensive end. They have collected 119 or more points in three out of their last four games including 119 points against the 76ers in that span. Also, the Knicks like to attempt many threes, averaging 34.9 three-point attempts per game and it will be a challenge to have success when considering the Magic rank 6th in the NBA in three-point defense. |
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02-07-23 | Toledo +2.5 v. Akron | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toledo is 16-6, riding a 6-game win skein, while 16-6 Akron had ripped off 7 straight wins before a Friday game against Kent State, so something’s gotta give. The ATS archives suggest the Rockets are the right side. Not only do they own a 19-7 ATS edge in this series of late, but they’re also 5-2 ATS with LTKO revenge, including 3-0 ATS away. That’s a few light years better than the Zips’ 3-7-1 ATS mark versus foes seeking LTKO revenge, including 0-5-1 ATS when Akron sports a sub .777 win percentage. These two go at it again in two weeks, so pay close attention to this matchup. While grabbing the points, of course. |
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02-07-23 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest +1.5 | 85-92 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wake Forest narrowly covered as 11.0-point underdogs in the first game, and playing at home I think they cover again. UNC's last two trips to Winston-Salem were blowout losses, and this UNC team has been pretty inconsistent this season. Wake Forest has performed almost identically to UNC this season, albeit with a weaker out-of-conference schedule. Wake Forest hit 47.6% of their threes against them in January, and their three-point shooting will keep them alive all night this time around too. Wake Forest covers against the Tar Heels again. |
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02-06-23 | Mavs v. Jazz -8.5 | 124-111 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Mavericks could possibly be without Luka Doncic in this game, as I simply don't trust them when he isn't on the floor. He does everything for them on the offensive end of the court. Dallas has also struggled to consistently score, as they are only averaging the 24th most points per game. The Jazz will be able to get consistent stops throughout this one and slowly pull away. Dallas hasn't impressed me on the defensive end of the court either. They are surrendering the 24th-highest shooting percentage from the field, as the Jazz will find open looks throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage. Utah is currently scoring the fourth most points per game and they have the fourth-highest adjusted offensive rating. They will efficiently score throughout this game and slowly pull away. Dallas isn't the same team without Doncic and I like this Jazz offense. |
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02-06-23 | Texas v. Kansas -185 | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jayhawks are rarely rattled, but that wasn't the case on Saturday. The loss was a tough pill to swallow for KU and one it can't afford to obsess over with Texas looming. There's enough talent on this squad to play with anyone on any given night, but they can't be overly reliant on Wilson to do his thing. Turnovers aside, that's the main focal point coaches will demonstrate to players on Sunday. The Longhorns covered up a poor first-half showing with a second-half rally versus Kansas State. That will not be enough at Allen Fieldhouse against an impassioned Jayhawks squad. If they want to win or cover, the Horns will have to take better care of the ball and shoot much better from three (4-of-16 vs. KSU). Texas has proven itself in conference play, but the Big 12 race is far from wrapped up. In this game, I expect the Jayhawks players to run like their hair is on fire and rebound like linebackers hitting the hole to stop a running back on third and goal. There's no saying how well they'll take care of the ball, but I would be shocked if they turn it over a lot early in the game, as they did versus the Cyclones. If it's going to take this type of effort, Jalen Wilson needs support. Bet on him getting plenty of it, resulting in a Kansas cover. |
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02-06-23 | Clippers v. Nets +7.5 | 124-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Los Angeles Clippers are at the end of a difficult five-game road trek. They lost to the Bucks on Thursday and needed overtime to beat the Knicks on Saturday. The Nets are winning games, logging the victory in three of their last four games. Durant and Simmons did not play in those games. Furthermore, the Nets are the better offensive squad here. They are averaging 114.2 points per 100 possessions compared to only 110.5 points from the Clippers while defensively they are even. The Clippers have only averaged 111 points in their last four games and that included an overtime game. The Nets were able to score 125 points without Durant, Simmons, and Irving on Saturday and I expect a victory in this one. |
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02-06-23 | Canucks v. Devils -240 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Canucks are looking to turn around their season but the Devils are having a great season and look to dominate this game from the opening puck drop. The Devils, who average 3.47 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances against a Canucks defense that allows 3.92 goals per game, with Jack Hughes, Jesper Bratt, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes near the net. The Devils, who allow only 2.65 goals per game, should limit the Canucks offense with Dougie Hamilton, Ryan Graves, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Vitek Vanecek to make plenty of big saves. The Devils should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on their home ice. |
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02-06-23 | Cavs v. Wizards +2.5 | 114-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cavs enter off a revenge affair of their own last night at Indiana and they stand 3-9 ATS in post-Pacer performances. Consider that Cleveland is 1-11-1 ATS as a road favorite without rest. |
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02-06-23 | Celtics -9.5 v. Pistons | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 1 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Celtics are already 2-0 against the Pistons this season with an average margin of victory of 12.5 points. Boston's high-powered offense should get right back on track against the Pistons' porous defense that is near the bottom of almost all defensive categories. In addition, the Celtics' defense has made a major uptick since the return of Williams. They should have their way against a Detroit offense that has struggled to put up points at times this season and has limited weapons. The Celtics won't overlook this game as the Bucks and Sixers close in on the top of the Eastern Conference and will come in rested with a full roster. |
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02-06-23 | Lightning -117 v. Panthers | 1-7 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Even though the recent road escapades of Tampa Bay have not brought in too many reasons for celebration, as the team has managed to muster just four victories on its past 10 trips, a game away at the Panthers is more than likely to extend the current win run of the Lightning to four fixtures. Despite a decent domestic form, which has seen Florida win four of its previous five home outings, the Cats have still dropped three of their last four matchups overall. They are a disappointing 1-5 in their most recent six Monday contests and have been beaten by opponents with a winning percentage above the .600 mark on five of the past seven occasions, losing to the Bolts in their previous four head-to-head encounters in Sunrise. |
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02-05-23 | 76ers v. Knicks +4.5 | Top | 97-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units Knicks look to even the score from a 119-112 Christmas Day home defeat to Philly. With it they bring along a strong 10-5-1 ATS record in games with a .444 or greater mark as a division home dog with revenge, including 5-1-1 ATS when coming off a home game. They also pile on with a 12-8 SUATS mark this season with same-season loss revenge of 7-plus points. The 76ers are coming off a same-season revenge contest with the Spurs, (3-7 ATS away after facing San Antonio) with another same season revenge affair up next against Miami (3-9-1 ATS before Miami, including 0-3 ATS away). Finally, consider that the Knicks are 15-8 SU and 14-7-1 ATS series with same-season loss revenge if .428 or greater, including 7-1 ATS as a dog. |
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02-05-23 | Houston -11.5 v. Temple | 81-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Temple is on a solid 4-0 SU run of late overall, but only 4-11 SU and 6-9 ATS in this series, including 3-8 ATS when Houston sports a sub .925- win percentage. In addition, head coach Aaron McKie owns a weak 5-10 ATS with a winning record with the Owls versus foes with revenge, and worse, Temple is 10-100-1 ATS in games they lose outright at home, including 0-38-1 ATS versus avenging foes. Remember, Sampson’s Cougars are a perfect 8-0 SUATS away this season, plus they get added backing from the fact that Houston head coach Kelvin Sampson is 36-17 SUATS with same season conference loss revenge, including 5-0 SUATS when coming off one win. |
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02-05-23 | Cavs v. Pacers +5 | 122-103 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pacers snapped a four-game losing streak with a 107-104 win over the Sacramento Kings on Friday. Buddy Hield made five 3-pointers and scored 21 points, Aaron Nesmith added 17 points, and Myles Turner had 14 points and 13 rebounds. Indiana coach Rick Carlisle was encouraged by his team's defensive effort after causing 19 turnovers and holding Sacramento to 43.0 percent shooting. Indiana split its first two games against Cleveland this season, including a 135-126 victory on Dec. 29. Tyrese Haliburton and Hield combined for 11 3-pointers and 54 points in the win. The Pacers' frontcourt received a boost earlier this week with the season debut of center Daniel Theis, who was out while recovering from right knee surgery. Consider that the Cavaliers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win. |
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02-05-23 | Magic v. Hornets -120 | 119-113 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Hornets guard Terry Rozier has scored 20 or more points in five consecutive games. In a late October game, Orlando picked up its first victory of the season after five losses by defeating the visiting Hornets 113-93. Charlotte won a rematch, 112-105 on Nov. 14 at Orlando. In those two matchups, the Hornets didn't have a player reach the 20-point mark. Gordon Hayward was the team's top scorer in the first game and Mason Plumlee led the scoring in the second meeting. In each case, those players scored 18 points. This marks the first visit of the season for the Magic to Charlotte. Clifford is a former Orlando head coach. For Charlotte, Sunday's game will be the only home appearance during a six-game stretch. Consider that the Hornets are 48-19-2 ATS in their last 69 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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02-05-23 | Ohio State v. Michigan -150 | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last five and 2-8 ATS in their last ten. I don't want to trust them to cover in this spot after they played well below their talent level against Wisconsin, losing a winnable game at home as seven-point spread favorites. While the Wolverines haven't been trustworthy this season, at least they woke up against Northwestern, taking down an NCAA Tournament-bound Wildcats team by double digits after getting blown out at Penn State. Michigan might not have the star power college hoops fans are accustomed to seeing in the maize and blue, but they're talented enough to defend their home court against the underwhelming Buckeyes. This likely won't be the best edition of the rivalry game, but it should be competitive for at least 3/4 of the afternoon. That said, by the time the final whistle blows, Michigan will be the school with the bragging rights. |
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02-04-23 | Wyoming v. San Jose State -115 | 64-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When diving into KenPom’s adjusted efficiency margin, there is a large difference between these programs as San Jose State is 113th in the country with a +4.84 rating while Wyoming is 153rd in college basketball with a +1.11 rating thus far. A huge reason is the ability to grab rebounds as there is a massive difference with the Cowboys being 275th in the sport with 32.5 total rebounds per game while the Spartans are 116th in the nation with 35.7 total rebounds per game thus far. All in all, go with the better program that covers the spread more effectively to do just that. |
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02-04-23 | Rockets v. Thunder -9.5 | 121-153 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When one team dominates another as the Thunder do the Rockets, a pesky loss such as the one Oklahoma City suffered at Houston as 6-point road chalk on Wednesday only serves to bring them back around to full focus. That’s what we expect to find tonight, as the Thunder will look to improve on their 10-2 ATS mark in this series, taking the floor sporting a 5-0 ATS record in their last five games when coming off a SU favorite loss. Meanwhile, the Rockets arrive off a home revenger against Toronto last night while standing 0-5 SUATS after the Raptors, and 0-5 SUATS the last five without rest. Making matters worse, Houie has another home revenger waiting on tap Monday night against the Sacramento, owning a 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS log in post-Kings’ contests. |
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02-04-23 | Blazers v. Bulls -4 | 121-129 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago has covered the spread in 6 of its last nine at home. The Bulls will be well rested having played on Thursday while Portland will play its third straight road game and its second game in as many nights after facing Washington on Friday. The result is the Trail Blazers will be playing their third game in four nights, all of which were on the road. Portland has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games played on the road and the Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in eight of the last nine games played on the road against the team that has a winning record at home (Chicago 14-11 at home). Portland struggles against teams with a losing record, failing to cover the spread in five of seven in that situation. Jerami Grant, who averages 20.1 points per game for Portland, is out on Friday in the first half of the back to back and could miss Saturday against Chicago. |
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02-04-23 | Villanova v. Creighton -9.5 | 61-66 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units From a squad that was a permanent fixture in the Top 25 poll under Wright, this year’s Wildcats still haven’t found their footing, standing 10-12 overall after losing 7 of their last 10 contests. They also bring along an 8-16-2 ATS log in games when sporting a losing record, including 1-5-2 ATS in conference play. Look, we’ll be the first to admit it’s not often you’ll find the Bluejays dressing up as favorites against the Wildcats (just 3 times in 20 meetings since they joined the Big East) but when they do, there is certainly provocation. It starts with last year’s 54-48 loss to Villanova in the finals of the Big East tourney, and with that Creighton brings a 5-1 SUATS record into tonight’s affair when looking to exact LTKO revenge, including 5-0 SUATS when they face sub .900 opponents. Greg McDermott’s troops have been a tough out at home this season, going 10-1 SU and scoring an average of over 81 points per game, and we think they’ll heap a little more misery on Nova here. |
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02-04-23 | Suns v. Pistons +5 | 116-100 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This feels like a good spot to put some money on the Pistons. Both of these teams come into this game playing the second half of a back to back so I have to think that the Suns will be overlooking the lowly Pistons, thinking they could go through the motions and get a win before gearing up for tougher games ahead. And they may well escape with a win, but I think this is a game the Pistons could possibly steal and win outright, or at least play close enough to cover the spread. They are 3-7 in back to backs this season, which is better than their overall winning percentage. Take the Pistons here to cover the spread. |
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02-04-23 | Clippers -155 v. Knicks | 134-128 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I do not have any interest in backing New York right now, as the Knicks have been extremely inconsistent and overvalued in the betting market. They have only covered the spread three times in their last nine games, and they have gone 4-8 against the spread in their last 12 home games. Los Angeles is going to be undervalued after losing a game to Milwaukee that it clearly should have won. The Clippers have covered the spread in six of their last seven games, including five of their last six road games. They are a different team with George back on the court, but the market has not fully accounted for that, which has made them a profitable option. |
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02-04-23 | Lakers -113 v. Pelicans | 126-131 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I will be riding with the Los Angeles Lakers in this game. Los Angeles has been trending in the correct direction, as they are (6-4) in their last 10 and they've won two straight. They also have James and Davis back on the floor, as this has been a huge boost for their team. Now, the Pelicans have continued to slide. They are (0-10) in their last 10 and they don't seem to be warming up. The Lakers will dominate on the offensive end of the court, as they are scoring the sixth most points per game and they have the ninth-highest team shooting percentage. The Pelicans will allow them to find consistent open shots throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage. New Orleans has also struggled on the offensive end of the court, as they won't score enough points to cover this spread. The Lakers have been great at defending the perimeter and the Pelicans just haven't looked good enough for me to trust them. |
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02-04-23 | Purdue v. Indiana +1 | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Hoosiers have won five of their last six games and four of their last five home games. They are very good offensively, especially at home where they are scoring more than 83 points per game while making over 53 percent of their shots. They do a good job finding the open man and they were very aggressive on the offensive glass in their last three games, grabbing more than 10 offensive rebounds per game in their last three games, which will give them more scoring opportunities. They also do a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Boilermakers a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Boilermakers have played well defensively, but they aren’t as efficient on the road and will have a hard time slowing down the Hoosiers in this game. The Boilermakers have won nine straight games. They have played well offensively, but they’re not as good on the road where they are scoring more than 72 points per game. They struggled at the free throw line in their last three games, making less than 68 percent of their shots. They also didn’t rebound the ball as well as the Hoosiers in recent games and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities against the Hoosiers. The Hoosiers are very good defensively and do a better job at home where they are holding opponents under 65 points per game and will keep Purdue’s offense in check. Go with the Hoosiers to cover the spread. |
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02-04-23 | Texas v. Kansas State +1.5 | 69-66 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This has the makings of a fantastic matchup, as Texas is atop the Big 12 (7-2) with Kansas State right behind (6-3). This means a lot is on the line, especially for the Wildcats, who want to keep their home winning streak alive while also ensuring that Kansas, TCU, and Iowa State, who are also 6-3, do not have a chance to jump over the Wildcats in the standings. So, look for Kansas State to play this game like it is a tournament game. They have been absolutely dominant at home while Texas is just 2-3 on the road. The Wildcats have covered the spread it in four of their last five games and eight of their last 10. |
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02-04-23 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -119 | 78-74 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Miami is 0-12 SU on this floor since entering the ACC. Folks, that’s some bad ju-ju, made even worse by the fact that when the Hurricanes lose a game under head coach Jim Larranaga, they usually don’t cash a ticket. The offi cial results are 84-724 ATS in outright conference losses with the Canes, including 7-41 ATS versus avenging foes. Did that shift your perspective? How about Clemson’s perfect 12-0 record this season at Littlejohn Coliseum, where the Tigers average a 12.7-point win? Brad Brownell’s boys have not lost back-to-back games this campaign and we don’t look for it to happen here. Finally, Clemmie stands 5-1-1 ATS in this series when coming off consecutive ATS losses – which blends in with the fact that Clemson is 16-5 SU and 14-7 ATS as single-digit home chalk off a SU favorite loss, including 6-0 SUATS when coming off consecutive point spread losses. |
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02-04-23 | Butler v. Marquette -15 | 52-60 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Butler is going the wrong direction with six losses in seven games and their offense has been stuck in neutral for the most part. The Bulldogs have scored more than 61 points just once in their last seven games and have hung 58 or less in five of those matchups. That doesn’t bode well against a Marquette team that is in the top 20 in the nation in scoring offense and who leads the nation in two-point shooting. Butler is a decent defensive team but their inability to scare anyone on the offensive end, coupled with their road woes, is too much to ask for in this one. Take Marquette at home as they prevail in this contest. |
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02-04-23 | Kansas v. Iowa State +1.5 | 53-68 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units ISU looks to get even for their recent 2-point setback to KU. We like the Cyclones’ chances to do just that: they own a 5-0 ATS series record versus Kansas when playing with same season revenge from a loss of fewer than 20 points, plus the Jayhawks have cashed just a single ticket in their last six games after clashing with K-State. Keep a close eye on the line today, too, as Iowa State stands 5-0 ATS as home dogs of 7-plus points if .666 or greater. Also keep in mind that Iowa State has won the rebound battle in its last 8 straight contests and won’t be overpowered here. With Kansas possibly looking ahead to a bigger game at Texas on Monday, we expect the Cyclones to keep their fans satisfied in this high-noon showdown |
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02-03-23 | Boise State +6 v. San Diego State | 52-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between BSU and SDSU. Give me the Broncos at +7 following a solid road win over Air Force. Boise will have a shot to assume complete control of the Mountain West, especially with a home rematch versus San Diego State in a few weeks. These two teams should determine the conference champion in those games. With its stellar defense, Boise State will cover the spread and give itself a shot at an outright win. The stats don't paint the entire picture, but they give a glimpse into BSU's defensive dominance. Ranked 9th in the country in defensive efficiency with a top 5 three-point defense, the Broncos will make life difficult for the home squad on offense. |
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02-03-23 | Magic +5 v. Wolves | 127-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota enters after looking to avenge a same season-defeat to Golden State (5-10 SUATS post Warrior workouts) with yet another same-season avenger on tap with Denver. After checking off all the boxes, consider that Orlando is 20-8 SUATS in this series, including 8-0 ATS when seeking same-season revenge. |
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02-03-23 | 76ers -9.5 v. Spurs | 137-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I know this spread is massive, but I am going to take the 76ers on the road. The Spurs are (1-9) in their last 10 games and they are one of the worst defensive teams in the league. They won't be able to stop the Sixers, as Philadelphia will slowly pull away throughout this game. The Spurs are currently allowing the most points per game and they have the highest adjusted defensive rating. Philadelphia will be able to score from anywhere on the floor, as they are averaging the 13th most points per game and they have the third-highest three-point shooting percentage. Philadelphia also has the 10th highest adjusted offensive rating and they are (8-2) in their last 10 games played. Now, the Spurs won't be able to consistently score either, as the 76ers have the seventh-lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are holding their opponents to the fourth least amount of points per game. They will contest shots near the rim and on the outside, as the Spurs won't score enough points to cover this spread. |
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02-03-23 | Suns v. Celtics -9.5 | 106-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I might be interested in backing Phoenix once Booker returns next week, but I am going to stay away from the Suns on Friday night. They are coming off one of their worst performances of the season, getting blown out by Atlanta in a game where they never competed. Phoenix is now having to go on the road for just the second time in the last two weeks to face a Boston team that is coming off a spectacular showing. The Celtics had everything working in their win over the Nets, and they are 9-1 in their last 10 home games. Phoenix simply does not have the firepower necessary to hang with Boston right now. |
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02-03-23 | Hornets v. Pistons -110 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams have been turnstiles on the defensive end of the floor this season. The Hornets are playing the second game of a back-to-back set here. They’ve been brutal on the road this season and they haven’t had much in the way of success in back-to-backs this year. Detroit has their own issues as injuries have taken a toll on them this season, as will the stress of the travel issues that led to the postponement of Wednesday’s contest. With that said, the Pistons do have a rest advantage going for them and they are at home. Given how poor the Hornets have looked as the visiting team this season, you have to give the slight edge to Detroit in this contest. |
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02-01-23 | New Mexico +4.5 v. Utah State | 73-84 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Aggies are one of the most dangerous offensive teams in the country. They heavily lean on 3-point shooting and pace the nation in 3-point percentage, but the Aggies’ defense is far away from an elite level. That’s going to be an issue in this matchup, as New Mexico owns one of the best scoring trios in college basketball. Jamal Mashburn Jr, Jaelen House, and Morris Udeze will torture the Aggies’ D and help the Lobos to keep it close down the stretch. The Lobos defend the 3-point line well and love to get to the free-throw line. They are 17th in the country in free-throw rate. I’m backing the Lobos, who are 5-2 ATS in their previous seven outings on the road. The Aggies, on the other side, are 1-4 ATS in their previous five games overall. |
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02-01-23 | LSU v. Missouri -10 | 77-87 | Push | 0 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units LSU’s 12-1 start to the season came to a grinding halt with seven straight losses for the Bengal Cats, and as a result they find themselves in a 3-way mess with both of the Mississippi’s at the bottom of the SEC totem pole. They also have to face off against a Missouri team tonight that remembers its season-ending loss to LSU in the Donkey Round of last year’s SEC tourney, and that sets the table here as they check in with a sparkling 3-0 SUATS log in home games when seeking LTKO revenge. The Tigers from COMO have lost just two games in Mizzou Arena this season, against Kansas and Alabama – two squads that are head-and-shoulders above the troubled Tigers from the bayou. With only one conference win in his pocket this season, we don’t see anything changing soon for first-year LSU head coach Matt McMahon. |
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02-01-23 | Thunder -5 v. Rockets | 106-112 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is the type of game that the Thunder have to win if they truly want to compete for a play-in spot -- or more. They are on the road facing a lesser team and that lesser team is banged up with some key players questionable. It helps that they have the two best players on the floor in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey, while Houston may be missing their two best players -- Green and Alperen. Also, the Thunder have been great against the spread, going 31-18-1 against the number this season. Houston, on the other hand, is just 20-29-1 against the spread. Take Oklahoma City here to cover. |
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02-01-23 | Indiana State -13.5 v. Evansville | 83-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana State won the first head-to-head meeting by 28 points, and I expect another dominating performance here. The Purple Aces' rank in the bottom 40 in the nation in field goal percentage, three-point percentage and scoring on both offense and defense. On the other end, Indiana State is 46th in field goal percentage, scoring and free-throw shooting on offense. The Sycamores are also much better defensively. There's always a chance that Indiana State overlooks Evansville here or falls victim to a late backdoor cover, but the Sycamores are the smart play here. |
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