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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-21-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 8 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 in Cincinnati vs Arizona @ 7:10 ET - These teams combined for 23 hits in yesterday's game that resulted in a 5-4 final that eclipsed the total. Another over should easily result tonight as well. Reds southpaw David Holmberg takes to the mound and he was rocked for 7 earned runs in just 2 innings of work in his most recent start. The left-hander allowed 3 homers and walked 4 in that very short stint against the Dodgers. The team is winless in his last 3 starts as walks and home runs continue to be a problem for Holmberg as he struggles to command his pitches. His counterpart tonight is the Diamondbacks Rubby De La Rosa. The right-hander has pitched better of late but his overall struggles on the road this season are too much to ignore. De La Rosa is 7-1 at home this season but he's 3-4 on the road with a 4.66 ERA away from home! His most recent start did stay under the total but, prior to that, the over was 6-2 in De La Rosa's last 8 starts. The Reds are 12-4 to the over this season as a home dog in a price range of +100 to +125. The Dbacks are 9-5 to the over this season when they are on the road and the posted total is 8 or 8.5 runs. Play OVER 8 in Cincinnati as an *8* selection Friday! |
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08-20-15 | Texas Rangers v. Detroit Tigers OVER 9 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 9 runs in Detroit vs Texas @ 7:05 PM ET - The Rangers bats exploded for 7 runs in yesterday's home win over the Yankees. Texas had 11 hits in the victory and they've now won 6 of their last 7 games and have averaged 10 hits per game during this hot streak. The Rangers should have no trouble with the offerings of the Tigers Alfredo Simon in this one. The Detroit right-hander has a 7,27 ERA in his last 3 starts and he's been pounded to the tune of 15 hits in his last 11 and 2/3 innings of work. He's got twice as many walks as strikeouts in his last 3 starts and Simon has allowed 3 homers in his last 3 outings. The Rangers .419 slugging percentage against right-handed pitchers ranks them in the upper third of the majors in that category and Simon allowed 3 homers in less than 2 innings of work in his only career start against the Rangers. Texas will have some pitching "issues" of their own in this one as they send southpaw Martin Perez to the mound in this one. The left-hander allowed 3 homers to the Tigers in his only career start at Detroit and this led to 5 earned runs in less than 6 innings for Perez. The Rangers southpaw comes into this one with a winless mark in his 3 road starts this season. In his starts away from home, Perez has compiled a 4.24 ERA and a concerning 1.71 WHIP. Detroit has a .454 slugging percentage against left-handed pitchers this year and that ranks 2nd in the majors! The Tigers .283 batting average at home this season ranks them 3rd in the majors. With their 15-8 win over the Cubs in Chicago yesterday, the Tigers are now 4-2 in their last 6 games and have averaged 7 runs per game during this hot streak. The over is 9-3 in Simon's last 12 starts and another high-scoring game erupts at Comerica Park tonight. Play OVER 9 runs in Detroit as a *10* Top Play Thursday. |
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08-19-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Boston Red Sox OVER 8.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Boston vs Cleveland @ 7:10 ET - The Red Sox offense has finally "hit its stride" to say the least. With yesterday's 9-1 win, Boston is now averaging 8.6 runs per game in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have averaged 13.5 hits per game during this red hot stretch. This is why, even though they're facing a solid pitcher in Corey Kluber of the Indians, the play here is once again the over. It's tough to shut down hot hitters and note that Kluber was rocked in his most recent road start prior to his domination of the Twins on Friday. The Indians right-hander previously allowed 5 earned runs on 10 hits in less than 6 innings of work in a start against the Angels in Anaheim earlier this month. Kluber is certainly facing another tough "road challenge" in this one. The good news for Kluber though is that he should get plenty of run support in this one. The Red Sox are sending Joe Kelly to the mound and he's 3-0 record his last 3 starts masks the fact that he's been far from unhittable. Yes he had a decent start against the Mariners prior but in his two prior starts Kelly was rocked for 7 earned runs on 16 hits in just 10 and 1/3 innings of work. Kelly also gave up 7 hits in just 5 innings in his only career start against the Indians while Kluber gave up 6 earned runs on 10 hits and 6 walks in the 11 and 2/3 innings of work spanning his last two starts against Boston. The Indians had exploded for 6.3 runs per game in their last 10 games before being held to just one run yesterday. Their bats will come back to life here and the Red Sox offense continues it's rampage as well. The over is 7-4 in the Indians last 11 games and the over is 9-0 in the BoSox last 9 games! Play OVER 8.5 runs in Boston as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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08-19-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Pittsburgh vs Arizona @ 7:05 ET - A lot of bullpen used up in last night's 15-inning 9-8 Pirates victory means that both clubs are hoping for long starts from their starting pitchers tonight. The trouble is, neither team is likely to get a long outing from their starter tonight. The Diamondbacks Robbie Ray is 0-3 with a 5.87 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP in his last three starts and he's averaged just 5 innings per outing. The Pirates J.A. Happ is also winless in his last three starts and he's compiled a 7.62 ERA and a 2.16 WHIP during this stretch. His average innings pitched in these three outings is just 4 and 1/3 per outing! Look for both southpaws to continue to struggle here and early exits from this game will further expose already depleted bullpen resources. The over is 8-3-1 in the Pirates last 12 games. The Diamondbacks Ray last pitched in Pittsburgh last season and he was knocked around for 4 earned runs in just 5 innings of work in that start. More of the same expected tonight. The over is 14-9 in Dbacks games against southpaw starters this season. Additionally, the over is 10-5 in Arizona's last 15 games against teams with a winning record. The Pirates are 9-3 in their last 12 games and have averaged scoring 6 runs per game in those dozen games. The Diamondbacks have averaged scoring 6.6 runs per game in their last 9 games. With two struggling starters as well as depleted bullpens as well as offenses that have been heating up, this one should fly over the total easily. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Pittsburgh as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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08-19-15 | New York Mets v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7.5 runs in Baltimore vs New York Mets @ 7:05 ET - With the Mets 5-3 win going over the total yesterday, the over is now 10-5 in the Mets last 15 games! Though the Orioles were held to just 3 runs yesterday, they came into the game on a 4 game winning streak that saw them score 34 runs! Baltimore will bounce back today against the Mets Noah Syndergaard. Each of his last 3 starts have gone over the total and the long ball continues to be a problem as Syndergaard has allowed 5 homers in his last 3 starts. The Mets right-hander has also struggled in road starts all season long. The Mets are 1-7 in Syndergaard's road outings this season he's compiled an 0-5 record and a 5.44 ERA away from home. The Orioles also send a struggling hurler to the mound in this one. Ubaldo Jimenez, in his last two home starts, has been rocked for 10 earned runs on 15 hits in less than 10 innings of work. Overall, the over is 7-4-1 in the last 12 starts Jimenez has made. The Orioles right-hander has given up 8 earned runs in less than 8 innings of work in his last two starts against the Mets. Similar struggles resume tonight and, at the same time, Syndergaard's season-long road struggles continue. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Baltimore as a *10* Top Play Wednesday. |
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08-18-15 | Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 15-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 10.5 runs in Colorado vs Washington @ 8:40 ET - Both these clubs were off yesterday and the Rockies were off of a 5-0 shutout win Sunday while the Nationals lost 5-0 at San Francisco Sunday. Note that Washington has now lost 6 straight games and the over is 11-2 in Nationals games this season when they enter the game on a losing streak of 3 games or more. The over is also 11-6 this season in Nats games where they are a road favorite in a price range of -125 to -150. Certainly the Nationals should have no trouble with the offerings of David Hale in this one. The Rockies right-hander is returning from a groin strain and brings a 5.83 ERA in home starts into this match-up with the Nationals. The over is 4-1 in Hale's home starts this season. In his most recent three starts, Hale has compiled a 7.02 ERA and he's given up 22 hits (including 4 homers) in just 16 and 2/3 innings of work. The right-hander will be opposed by fellow righty Jordan Zimmerman of the Nationals tonight. Zimmerman is off of a fantastic start in his most recent outing but that came at pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium and tonight he'll be pitching at hitter-friendly Coors Field. In his most recent start in Colorado, Zimmerman was rocked for 4 earned runs on 8 hits (including 2 homers) in just 5 innings of work. His most recent start (at Dodger Stadium) stayed under the total but the over had been 7-3 in his road starts this season prior to that outing. The over is 13-7 the last 3 seasons in Rockies home games where they are a dog in a price range of +125 to +150. Play OVER 10.5 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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08-18-15 | Miami Marlins v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8.5 | 9-6 | Win | 111 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Milwaukee vs Miami @ 8:10 ET - These teams combined for 19 hits in yesterday's game but lack of clutch hitting resulting in a push for over players as the game totaled 8 runs. The teams combined to go a ridiculous 3 for 17 with runners in scoring position. Look for some better hitting in key situations tonight as both of these hurlers just don't have the "stuff" to fool major league hitters. The Marlins are handing the ball to southpaw Adam Conley. The left-hander has been bouncing between the bullpen and a starting role and either way he's getting hit hard. He's compiled a 5.00 ERA in his last 18 innings of work overall. As a starter, he's compiled a 5.59 ERA in 9 and 2/3 innings. The Brewers will also take advantage of facing a southpaw starter on back to back nights and for the fourth time in six games. The Marlins are also set up nicely to do plenty of damage at the plate tonight. Miami is facing Brewers right-hander Tyler Cravy Tuesday. Milwaukee is continuing to give Cravy a chance to earn a starter's role with the club but he's continuing to fall well short of where he needs to be. Cravy is 0-4 this season with a 5.92 ERA at the big league level. Two inexperienced and struggling hurlers matched up in this one and the over is 11-3 this month in Marlins games. Look for plenty of fireworks in this one as the home runs have also been flying in these pitchers' starts. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Milwaukee as an *8* selection Tuesday. |
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08-18-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in Texas vs Seattle @ 8:05 ET - These teams combined for 21 hits in yesterday's game but there was a ridiculous 5 double plays and the game stayed under the total. The Rangers burned me for 2nd day in a row as, on Sunday versus Tampa Bay, Texas led 5-3 after 4 innings and yet not one single run was scored the rest of the way! Is the third time the charm? You better believe it! With all the hype about Hisashi Iwakuma after his no-hitter in his last start, history shows us that it's amazing how hittable a pitcher often is in his next start after throwing a no-no. Look for Iwakuma to get rocked at hitter-friendly Globe Life Park in Arlington tonight. The Rangers have exploded for 32 runs on 53 hits in their last 5 games and they stay red hot at the plate tonight. Iwakuma gave up 7 hits in 5 and 1/3 innings in his most recent start at Texas and he'll get hit hard again here. The Rangers will need all the offense they can get in this one because their own starting pitcher is likely to also struggle. Chi Chi Gonzalez gets the start tonight and he's 0-4 with a 6.03 ERA in his last six starts. He's facing a Mariners club that has exploded for 23 runs on 39 hits in their last 3 games. The over is 7-3 in Seattle's road games with a total of 9 or 9.5 this season. The over is 3-1 in the last 4 starts Gonzalez has made. Play OVER 9 runs in Texas as an *8* selection Tuesday. |
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08-17-15 | Miami Marlins v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8 | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Milwaukee vs Miami @ 8:10 ET - The Brewers erupted for 6 runs in yesterday's game but it stayed under the total as the Phillies were unable to match them. Now the Marlins come to town and Miami is off of a 6-4 win at St Louis yesterday and has won 4 of their last 6 games. The over is 8-2 in the Marlins last 10 games as Miami has averaged a solid 5.1 runs per game during this stretch. Miami is a tough match-up for Matt Garza as the Brewers right-hander has given up 8 runs (7 earned) on 13 hits (including 2 homers) in his last two starts against the Marlins and he only pitched a combined 9 innings in those two outings. Garza comes into this start having allowed a homer in each of his last 3 starts. Though he has pitched better of late, he is facing a very confident Miami lineup tonight and the Marlins have had plenty of pop at the plate in recent games. Garza is an ugly 1-8 with a 5.84 ERA and a .296 BAA in night games this season! The Marlins send Justin Nicolino to the mound this evening. The southpaw has given up 9 earned runs on 15 hits in his last two starts and those haven't even lasted a combined 10 innings. Most of his time has been spent at AAA New Orleans this sesaon and he was hit at a .300 clip down there! Is it any wonder that he's also getting pounded at the major league level? Of course not...and more of the same is on its way tonight. Play OVER 8 runs in Milwaukee as an *8* selection Monday. |
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08-17-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Houston Astros OVER 7.5 | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Houston vs Tampa Bay @ 8:10 ET - Despite pounding out 12 hits in yesterday's game at Texas, the Rays managed just 3 runs. Their offense has been hot for weeks but they just couldn't get the clutch hits they needed in yesterday's game. Those things have a way of quickly sorting themselves out after a frustrating day like Tampa Bay had yesterday with the missed opportunities. That was the 9th time in their last 11 games that the Rays reached double digits in hits. As you would expect with that type of hot hitting, the over was on an 8-2 run in Tampa Bay games before yesterday's surprising under - the game was 5-3 in the 4th inning yesterday and then died! That won't happend again today. The Rays are now in Houston and they will tee off against Scott Kazmir who has struggled some recently and it looks as if his red hot run is coming to an end. The Astros southpaw has given up 7 runs (though a few were unearned) on 13 hits (including 3 homers) in his last two starts spanning just 11 and 1/3 innings of work. Kazmir faced Tampa Bay earlier this season and gave up 3 runs (1 unearned) on 8 hits (including a homer) and was knocked out of the game without completing the 6th inning. Look for Kazmir to struggle some again here and, with the low total being offered on this game, it should easily get over the number. That's particularly true because Rays starter Erasmo Ramirez is likely to get pounded here. He's allowed 4 homers in his 3 career starts against Houston and the Astros are off of a 6-5 win yesterday as they got their sticks going again with 9 hits including a pair of homers and a pair of triples. Though he is off a strong performance in his most recent start, Ramirez did allow 14 runs (11 earned) in his 3 prior starts spanning 19 and 1/3 innings of work. That's a 5.12 ERA and look for more struggles as, just his last two road starts, this start away from home for Ramirez results in another over. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Tampa Bay as an *8* selection Monday. |
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08-17-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Texas vs Seattle @ 8:05 ET - The Rangers were involved in the crazy 5-3 win over Tampa Bay yesterday that was 5-3 after just 4 innings and then not another single run was scored the rest of the way despite numerous fantastic scoring opportunities. Some payback will come today by coming right back with the over in the Rangers game. Texas sends Cole Hamels to the mound and the southpaw has not impressed in his first two starts as a Ranger. The former Phillies southpaw has given up 9 earned runs on 16 hits (including 5 homers) in 13 and 2/3 innings of work as a Ranger. Look for him to get pounded by a red hot Mariners lineup tonight. Seattle comes into this series with Texas off of an insane series at Boston that featured 66 runs scored in 3 games - an insane average of 22 runs per game! The Mariners won the finale 10-8 yesterday afternoon and the over is now 17-7-1 in Seattle's last 25 games. They'll get to Hamels early and often in this one but their own pitching struggles are likely to continue here as well. Tajuan Walker gets the start for Seattle. The right-hander has pitched better of late but Globe Life Park in Arlington is not pitcher-friendly and Walker has a 5.03 ERA away from home this season. He did have a successful start earlier this year in Texas but watch what happens tonight when the Rangers get a second shot at him. Texas comes into this game on a 8-4 run in their last 12 games and the Rangers have averaged 5.6 runs per game during this hot streak. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Texas as an *8* selection Monday. |
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08-16-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 in Kansas City vs LA Angels @ 8:05 ET - With yesterday's 9-4 win the Royals have won 7 of their last 9 games and Kansas City is averaging 5.4 runs per game in their last 10 games. The Royals pounded out 14 hits in yesterday's game and they should have no trouble with the offerings of a struggling Hector Santiago tonight. The Angels southpaw has struggled with command of his pitches and this has led to an inability to work deep into games. This has exposed an Angels bullpen that has a 4.00 ERA on the road this season. Santiago has given up 5 homers in his last 3 starts as "mistake pitches" continue to get left up in the zone. The Royals will have Yordano Ventura on the mound tonight and he's also struggled with homers lately. Ventura didn't allow a homer in his most recent start but he allowed a pair of homers in each of his two prior starts. Even though Ventura is coming off of a solid start against the Tigers in his most recent outing, the 6 walks allowed in 6 innings of work are certainly a cause for concern and the Royals right-hander gave up 11 earned runs in the 12 innings of work that spanned his two prior starts. The Angels are 32-23 to the over this season when they are off of a loss in their prior game. The Royals are 13-8 to the over this season when they are at home with a money line between -100 and -125. Play OVER 8 runs in Kansas City as an *8* selection Sunday night. |
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08-16-15 | San Diego Padres v. Colorado Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado vs San Diego @ 4:10 ET - A lot of clutch hitting in yesterday's game helped to get it over the total. Amazingly there were no homers hit at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Look for the clutch hitting to continue Sunday as both lineups have been playing with plenty of confidence due to hot hitting of late and another key Sunday will be the return of the long ball. The Padres starter today is Ian Kennedy and his 25 homers allowed rank among the most allowed in the majors this season. Colorado has gone over the total in each of their last 6 home games and the Rockies wil be ready to bounce back after losing each of the first two games in this series. While there is every reason to believe they get to "homer-prone" Kennedy in this one, the problem for Colorado will be starting pitcher Chris Rusin's inability to stop hot hitting San Diego. The Padres have averaged 4.7 runs this season in games when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. Rusin has a 5.62 ERA and an ugly 1.88 WHIP in his last 3 starts. San Diego is 11-3 to the over in the month of August. The over is 12-5 in Padres road games where they have a money line between -100 and -125. The over is 23-11 in San Diego day games so far this year. The over is 34-20 this season in Padres games when they are coming off of a win. The Rockies are 11-6 to the over this season in games where they have a money line of -100 to -125. The over is 30-16 in Rockies divisional games this year. Colorado is also 42-24 to the over this season when off of a loss. The Rockies also have one of the worst bullpens in baseball. Play OVER 11 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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08-16-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 in Texas vs Tampa Bay @ 3:05 ET - Rays southpaw Drew Smyly will be making his first start since coming off of the disabled list after dealing with a torn labrum on his throwing side. One should not expect him to just come back and start mowing hitters down and a chief concern for Smyly here is the fact he is facing a powerful Rangers lineup in hitter-friendly Globe Life Park in Arlington. Texas is one of the top hitting teams in the league when they are in their home park. Smyly is 0-2 with an 8.44 ERA in his 3 starts at the AAA level this year and now tries to come back at the MLB level after the labrum injury. This does not shape up to go well for him. His counterpart this afternoon should also be expected to struggle. Yovanni Gallardo gets the start for the Rangers. The Texas right-hander has been inconsistent since the All Star break as he's struggled in many of his outings and has produced a 6.57 ERA in his five starts since mid-July. Gallardo is facing a Rays team that, with their ten hits in yesterday's game, has now reached double digits in hits in 8 of their last 10 games. As you would expect with that type of production at the plate, the over is 8-2 in the Rays last 10 games. The Rays offense will stay hot here but the Rangers will match them run for run as Texas has produced an average of 6.3 runs per game in their last 11 home games! Hot hitting in hot weather continues Sunday for the Rangers and Rays. Play OVER 9 runs in Texas as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-16-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8 | 1-6 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 in Milwaukee vs Philadelphia @ 2:10 ET - Yesterday's 4-2 Brewers win stayed under the total but both teams return to their hot-hitting ways in this one. Milwaukee will be able to pound a struggling Aaron Harang in this one. Note that Harang has an 8.10 ERA since June 4th - a span of nine starts! So, as you can see, this is no fluke. The veteran right-hander is simply struggling badly for Philadelphia right now. Harang has a ridiculous 2.28 WHIP in his last 3 starts and putting too many base-runners on can get dangerous in a hurry at hitter-friendly Miller Park in Milwaukee. The Phillies were on a 6-1 run to the over before the bats went quiet in the first two games of this series. The Brewers have gone over the total in each of Taylor Jungmann's last two starts. In his last 3 outings, Jungmann has compiled a 1.50 WHIP and left-handed bats this season are hitting 51 points higher than right-handed sticks against Jungmann. The Phillies can absolutely load up from that side of the plate as they have a number of switch-hitters as well as solid left-handed bats. The Phils will do some damage as Jungmann is shaken by coming off an outing in which he couldn't even complete 3 innings. At the same time, look for Harang's horrible struggles to continue. The result should be an easy over in this one. Play OVER 8 runs in Milwaukee as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-15-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-12 | Win | 106 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 or 8.5 runs in Texas vs Tampa Bay @ 8:05 ET - The Rays had 12 hits in yesterday's game but they wasted too many opportunities and ended up with a 5-3 loss. Tampa Bay will again hit the ball well today but this time they'll have much more to show for it. The Rays will be able to "tee off" against the Rangers Colby Lewis who is known for getting rocked at home. Lewis has a 5.27 ERA in his 11 home starts this season and the over is an incredible 9-1-1 in those 11 outings. There is no reason to expect that trending to come to a stop today. The Rays have reached double digits in hits in 7 of their last 9 games and the over was 9-2 in their last 11 games prior to this series. As for the Rangers, they do face a "tougher test" than do the Rays as Tampa Bay will send Chris Archer to the mound. However, the key here is that the few times Archer has been roughed up this season have been confined to road starts against good teams. In his three road starts against Baltimore, Kansas City, and Washington, Archer allowed a combined 16 earned runs on 26 hits and 8 walks in 17 innings of work. Yes that equates to a 2.00 WHIP and note that Globe Life Park in Arlington is not a friendly venue for pitchers. Look for Archer to have another rough road outing here while Lewis also gets pounded on another hot Texas evening. The over is 5-2 this season in Archer's starts on grass fields this season. Out of Tampa Bay, Archer gets rocked by the Rangers tonight. Play OVER 8 or 8.5 runs in Texas as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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08-15-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9 | 1-4 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in Minnesota vs Cleveland @ 7:10 ET - Yesterday's series opener narrowly missed going over the total but the Indians came into this series on a 5-1 run to the over and the Twins came into Friday's game on a 7-1 run to the over. The hot hitting will quickly resume today. This pitching match-up means it's all about the sticks today in Minneapolis. The Indians are sending Josh Tomlin to the mound and he's making his first start since coming from shoulder surgery. The right-hander, in preparing for this start, has already shown the velocity on his pitches is not what it once was. This is certainly a concern for Tomlin while, at the same time, being a delight for Twins hitters who will have no problem turning on his pitches quickly! The Indians, off of the 6-1 win yesterday, have now scored at least 5 runs in 6 of their last 7 games. Cleveland pounded out 14 hits in Friday's victory and they've now reached double digits in hit totals in 7 straight games and 8 of their last 9 games! The Tribe will stay hot at the plate against Minnesota right-hander Tyler Duffey. The young pitcher got rocked in his MLB debut earlier this month against Toronto and he faces another tough challenge here with facing a red hot Indians lineup. Though he's pitched well in the minors this season, his start against the Blue Jays 10 days ago shows just how tough the jump is to come up to the majors from the minors. The Indians will show him the same thing tonight. Play OVER 9 runs in Minnesota as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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08-15-15 | New York Yankees v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8 | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Toronto vs New York Yankees @ 1:05 ET - These two pitchers just squared off in the Bronx on Sunday and that was a pitchers' duel with the Blue Jays coming out on top in a 2-0 win over the Yankees. Quite often, in a quick rematch like this, the second result is nothing like the first. In other words, look for a slugfest to erupt in Toronto this afternoon. The hitters are getting a quick "second look" at the same pitchers they just saw less than a week ago. Oftentimes these leads to runs early and often in the rematch and that's what can be fully expected here. The Yankees Masahiro Tanaka has allowed 3 homers in his last 12 innings of work. The Blue Jays Marco Estrada was rocked by the Yanks in his only other home start against them this season. On May 5th the Toronto right-hander gave up 5 runs (4 earned) on 8 hits in a start in which he was unable to complete 5 innings. Prior to Tanaka's 2-0 loss to the Blue Jays on Sunday, the over was 5-1, 83% this season in his starts against AL East foes. In Yankees games on Saturdays this season the over is 11-6. Play OVER 8 runs in Toronto as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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08-14-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Houston Astros OVER 8 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Houston vs Detroit @ 8:10 ET - Tonight should mark the return of Miguel Cabrera to the powerful Tigers lineup. This is a Detroit team that pounds left-handed pitchers. The Tigers .277 batting average against lefties ranks them 3rd in the majors in that category while their .434 slugging percentage against southpaws ranks them 4th in the majors in that category. Though the Astros Dallas Keuchel has put together some strong numbers so far this season, the left-hander has given up double digits in hits in two of his last three starts. Look for Keuchel to get hit hard once again here as he now faces one of the most powerful lineups in MLB that is expected to be further bolstered by the return of the powerful stick of Cabrera after he was out for 6 weeks. The fact that Keuchel has solid numbers on the season is helping to keep the posted total low on this one. That is significant because the over is 36-21 this season in Tigers games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. The over is 17-7 this season in Detroit's road games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. The over is also 17-11 this season when the Tigers are facing a left-handed starter and 32-20 this season when they are off of a win. Both Detroit and Houston were off yesterday and the over is 7-2 in Astros games this season when they were off the prior day. Look for Houston to "tee off" tonight against the Tigers Alfredo Simon. The over is 8-3 in Simon's road starts this season. This is largely due to his 5.64 ERA and 1.58 WHIP away from home this season. Even though his most recent start was at home, Simon again got pounded with 6 earned runs allowed in less than 7 innings of work. He's allowed 3 homers in his last two starts and the Astros have a powerful lineup that leads the league in home runs. Don't be surprised when this Friday evening match-up turns into a "slugfest". Play OVER 8 runs in Houston as an *10* Top Play Friday. |
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08-14-15 | Chicago Cubs v. Chicago White Sox OVER 8 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs @ 4:10 ET - With yesterday's 9-2 win the Cubs are now a red hot 13-1 in their last 14 games. The Cubbies have averaged a solid 5 runs per game in these 14 games and their offense should stay hot here. Jeff Samardzija gets the start for the White Sox and each of his last 4 starts has resulted in an over. He's been rocked in his last 3 outings as Samardzija has compiled a 10.38 ERA and given up 3 homers in his last 3 starts. The Cubs will counter with Kyle Hendricks on the mound in this afternoon match-up Friday and the over is 3-1 in his last 4 starts. The Cubs right-hander has allowed 13 earned runs on 23 hits and 9 walks in the 23 and 1/3 innings spanning those 4 starts. Like the Cubs, the White Sox come into this game having been hot at the plate. The ChiSox have averaged 5.7 runs per game in their last 20 games! The over is 13-3 in the White Sox last 13 games and it's 6-2 in the Cubs last 8 games. Play OVER 8 runs in Chicago as an *8* selection Friday. |
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08-13-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Kansas City vs LA Angels @ 8:10 ET - The Royals are off of a 7-4 home loss yesterday but that snapped a 5 game winning streak for Kansas City. With the 4 runs they scored in yesterday's loss to the Tigers, the Royals have averaged 5 runs per game in their last 7 games. The offense will remain hot here as Kansas City is one of the top hitting teams in the league when in their home ball park. The Royals .278 batting average in home games ranks them 4th out of 30 teams in the majors! The issue for Kansas City today is going to be their pitching. Jeremy Guthrie gets the start for the Royals tonight and he's been getting absolutely clobbered. The Royals struggling right-hander has an 8.50 ERA in his last three starts and Guthrie has given up 31 hits in the 18 innings spanning those 3 outings. The Angels lineup should have no trouble with the offerings of Guthrie. In fact, they've hammered him for 15 runs in 21 innings in his last 3 starts against them. As for the Angels starting pitcher tonight, Garrett Richards gets the call. The right-hander has quite a home/road dichotomy because his home starts are in pitcher-friendly Anaheim. Note that on the road this season, Richards is an ugly 4-6 with a 4.84 ERA. The over is 7-3 in his 10 road starts this season and both he and Guthrie are having trouble with giving up too many long balls in recent starts. Richards has given up 4 homers in his last 3 starts and Guthrie has given up 6 homers in his last 3 starts. On another very warm evening in Kansas City, the ball will be carrying very well. One final important note here, the Angels had to use 7 innings worth of relief work in their extra-innings loss to the White Sox last night. Play OVER 8 runs in Kansas City as a *10* Top Play Thursday. |
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08-12-15 | Atlanta Braves v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 7 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7 runs in Tampa Bay vs Atlanta @ 7:10 ET - Jake Odorizzi has had a fantastic season for the Rays but the Braves have already seen him once this season and that is a key to this play. Odorizzi, as strong as he's been this season, has been much more hittable the second time a team sees him. The Yankees got to him for 4 runs on 9 hits in 6 innings when they saw him for a second time on April 28th. The Red Sox got to Odorizzi for 14 hits in 13 innings in their 2nd and 3rd shots at him this season. The Orioles got to him for 4 earned runs on 7 hits (including 3 homers) in 6 innings in their second time against him on May 31st. Toronto got to him for 6 runs in just 4 innings on July 17th in their second shot at Odorizzi. You can clearly see the pattern here and I look for that to continue tonight as the Braves will do more damage against him than you might expect. Yesterday's 3-1 Rays win stayed under the total but the over was 7-1-2 in the Braves 10 prior games and the over was 8-1 in the Rays 9 prior games. This over trend will quickly resume tonight, especially with the way the Braves Matt Wisler has been struggling. The rookie right-hander hasn't been able to control his slider nor command his fastball in recent outings. The result for Wisler has been a 7.04 ERA since the All Star break. His last two starts have been particularly awful as he's given up 12 earned runs on 17 hits in just 10 innings of work. Don't be surprised when he gets pounded again here by a Rays lineup that has been surging with confidence thanks to Tampa Bay going 6-2 in their last 8 games with plenty of hot hitting. 3 of Wisler's last 4 starts have gone over the total and the same is true of Odorizzi's last 4 starts. Play OVER 7 runs in Tampa Bay as a *10* Top Play Wednesday. |
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08-12-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7 | 0-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7 runs in Seattle vs Baltimore @ 3:40 ET - With yesterday's 6-5 Mariners victory, the over is now 6-2 in Seattle's last 8 games. The over is a solid 7-4-1 in the Orioles last 12 games. The hot hitting will continue on a hot afternoon in Seattle Wednesday. Temperatures are expected to approach the 90 degree mark this afternoon and instead of the thick, heavy air often seen in the Pacific Northwest the ball will actually be able to carry quite well in this weather. The Mariners hitters should have no trouble with the offerings of Kevin Gausman. The Orioles right-hander has struggled in his road starts this season as he's gone 0-3 with an 8.41 ERA in his four starts away from home. That includes his most recent outing where he got roughed up in Anaheim by the LA Angels. Facing a surging Mariners lineup on a warm afternoon in Seattle certainly won't do Gausman any favors. His counterpart this afternoon. to the surprise of many, is also likely to get hit hard here. Yes, Hisashi Iwakuma has strung together some strong starts at times this season but he's off a game where he threw a career-high 118 pitches on Friday. Only twice previously this season has Iwakuma reached triple digits in pitches. He labored in his next start each time and was knocked out without completing the 6th inning each time. His combined numbers in those two starts show 8 earned runs allowed on 15 hits in 11 and 1/3 innings of work. Against a potent Orioles lineup, look for Iwakuma to have similar struggles this afternoon. The Mariners right-hander has a 5.35 ERA and has been hit at a .283 clip in home games this season. Play OVER 7 runs in Seattle as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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08-11-15 | Texas Rangers v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 8.5 runs in Minnesota vs Texas @ 8:10 ET - The Rangers send Yovani Gallardo to the mound tonight and, with his current struggles, I had no doubt I was going with this as my Top Play Tuesday. Gallardo has allowed 18 earned runs on 27 hits and 10 walks in 19 innings spanning his last 4 starts. That equates to very nearly a 2.00 WHIP and allowing two base runners per inning gets a hurler in trouble very quickly. Of course this type of trouble is evident with Gallardo as he's compiled an 8.53 ERA in his last four starts. Gallardo allowed 2 homers in his most recent start at Minnesota. He also allowed 2 homers and was crushed for 6 earned runs in 5 innings of work when he hosted the Twins in his most recent start against Minnesota last June. The Twins come into this game on a streak of 5 straight overs. Though their sticks have been held a check in some of their recent games that's largely been due to facing some tough starting pitchers. Tonight they can pound a struggling Gallardo. A big key for the Twins recent runs of overs is their own pitching has struggled and with Kyle Gibson on the mound tonight those struggles are likely to continue. Gibson is 0-2 with an 8.47 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's facing a Rangers team that will be fired up to get back on track on offense after their 4-2 loss at Seattle Sunday. Prior to that defeat, Texas was on a 8-2 run in their last 10 games and they produced 6.1 runs per game in that 10 game stretch. 3 of Gallardo's last 4 starts have gone over the total. The over is 9-4 in Minnesota home games this season where the Twins money line is in a range of -100 to -125. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Minnesota as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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08-11-15 | Oakland A's v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Toronto vs Oakland @ 7:05 ET - After opening up at a 9 this total has dropped to an 8.5 and it was already offering great value at 9 runs. The Blue Jays send Drew Hutchison to the mound tonight. He's compiled a 7.07 ERA with a 1.86 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Even though his overall numbers are excellent at home this season, Hutchison has not pitched well in Toronto in recent starts. Each of Hutchison's last two starts have come up at home and he's allowed 11 runs (6 earned) on 14 hits in just 10 innings of work. Tonight the Blue Jays right-hander faces an A's team that has won 6 of their last 9 games and has some confidence at the plate after getting 5 runs on 12 hits against the Astros on Sunday. The over is 38-26 in A's night games this season. The Blue Jays, like the Athletics, also had yesterday off. The over is 7-4 this season in Jays games after a day off. Toronto is 11-1 their last 12 games and they've averaged 5.6 runs per game during this hot streak. The Blue Jays should have no trouble staying hot at the plate against the A's Kendall Graveman tonight. Oakland is winless in Graveman's last five starts as he's given up 17 earned runs in just 24 and 2/3 innings of work. Though he has a 3.10 ERA on the road this season, Graveman has produced a 1.52 WHIP away from home and all those base-runners catch up with you when you're facing a potent offense like Toronto possesses. The Blue Jays are one of the most powerful offenses in the majors, and this is especially true when they are at home. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Toronto as an *8* selection Tuesday. |
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08-10-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in Arizona vs Philadelphia @ 9:40 ET - The Phillies remain one of the hottest teams in MLB since the All Star break and their bats continue to provide much of the momentum for the surge. The Phils won 5-3 at San Diego yesterday sending that game over the total. Philadephia is now 7-3 in their last 10 games and they've averaged 5.7 runs per game during this solid winning stretch. They will be facing Rubby De La Rosa of the Diamondbacks today. The key here is that De La Rosa is rock solid against right-handed batters but he's struggled to get left-handed hitters out throughout his career. This year alone, note that De La Rosa is getting crushed at a .305 clip and has a 1.64 WHIP against left-handed bats. The Phillies active roster, among position players, has 5 left-handed batters and 3 switch-hitters. Philadelphia will be stacked from the left side of the plate tonight and their hot hitting will continue. Speaking of hot hitting, the Dbacks should have no trouble with the offerings of Aaron Harang. The Phillies right-hander has been getting hit hard for many weeks now. After great performances in April and May, Harang turned in an 0-5 June with a 7.28 ERA and he was hit at a .291 clip for the month. In July and August combined (he spent some time on the disabled list), Harang has made 3 starts and he's produced a 7.80 ERA and a 2.47 WHIP. Ugly numbers and Harang is facing an Arizona club that is playing with confidence as they've won 10 of their last 15 games. The Dbacks have averaged 5.4 runs per game in those 10 victories and with how hittable Harang has been of late, they should no trouble getting on the board early and often in this one. Two hot teams, two pitchers likely to get hit hard, and neither team has an overly impressive bullpen (the Phils pen struggles on the road). Play OVER 8.5 runs in Arizona as a *10* Top Play Monday. |
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08-09-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7.5 | 6-13 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Pittsburgh vs LA Dodgers @ 8:05 ET - These teams keep lighting up the scoreboard. They've combined for 20 runs so far in this series and in the finale of the 3 game set the runs will again be plentiful. The Dodgers have averaged 5.3 runs per game in their last 9 games. The Pirates have averaged 5.2 runs per game in their last 10 games. Pittsburgh sends Charlie Morton to the hill tonight. Though Morton is off of a strong outing in his most recent start, don't lose sight of the fact that - prior to defeating the Reds - he had allowed 30 earned runs in his last 37 innings of work! That equates to an ugly 7.30 ERA over Morton's most recent 7 starts prior to facing Cincinnati. Look for his struggles to quickly resume against a potent Dodgers lineup. LA will send southpaw Alex Wood to the mound tonight. He had a relatively solid start in his Dodgers debut but still allowed 4 earned runs in his 6 and 1/3 innings of work. The left-hander gave up 8 hits in that outing and he's been hit at a .290 clip on the season. Wood will continue to be very hittable tonight as the Pirates lineup steps in the batter's box with plenty of confidence. Pittsburgh has won 10 of their last 14 games and this has the team firing on all cylinders right now. The over is 9-4-1 in those 14 games for the Pirates and the Dodgers are going for their 4th straight over tonight. The over is 12-5 in the Pirates last 17 games against teams with a winning record and this series with a strong Dodgers team has already produced plenty of offense. More of the same tonight. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Pittsburgh as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-09-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. San Diego Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 7.5 runs in San Diego vs Philadelphia @ 4:10 ET - The surprising Phillies did it again yesterday with their 4-2 win as they remain one of the hottest teams in the league here in the second half of the season. They have now scored 4 runs or more in 7 of their last 9 games. The Phillies will remain hot at the plate as they face Andrew Cashner of the Padres. The San Diego right-hander has struggled in his last two starts with 9 runs (7 earned) allowed on 14 hits (including 2 homers) and 6 walks in 11 and 1/3 innings. Lefties are hitting .290 against Cashner and the Phillies have some dangerous left-handed bats and switch-hitters that will be in their lineup for this afternoon match-up. The problem for Philadelphia though will be the fact that their own pitching situation is a big question mark in this one. Jerome Williams gets the start for the Phillies and he's 0-6 on the road this season with an 8.01 ERA and a 1.90 WHIP in his 9 starts away from home. Williams is coming off of an outing where he allowed just 1 earned run but he only lasted 5 innings and was constantly in trouble as he gave up 7 hits and walked 3 in that short stint. That start was at home and his prior two starts came on the road where he continues to get pounded just as he has all season long. The over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these clubs in San Diego. The over was 9-1 in the Padres last 10 games prior to yesterday's poor effort where they managed just 2 runs of offense. Facing the Phillies "road adverse" Williams will help the Padres offense to get right back on track Sunday! Play OVER 7.5 runs in San Diego as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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08-09-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Cleveland Indians OVER 7 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7 runs in Cleveland vs Minnesota @ 1:10 ET - These teams have combined for 40 runs in the first two games of this three game set. There is no reason to expect the hot hitting to stop and I'll take advantage of the low total posted in the series finale. The low total on this game is because both Phil Hughes and Corey Kluber have posted some solid numbers so far this season. The key here is that both have shown signs of weakness recently and with the confident lineups they are facing at the plate today, there is every reason to believe that the "breakdowns" continue and some more big innings are again the storyline in today's match-up. The Indians Kluber has allowed at least 5 earned runs in 2 of his last 3 starts. The over is 6-3 in his day game starts this season as Kluber has been hit at a .272 clip in day games (compared to his solid .229 BAA in night games). The Twins Hughes has allowed two homers in each of his last two starts and he's compiled a 6.75 ERA in these two outings. The Minnesota right-hander has allowed 4 earned runs in each of his last 3 starts against the Indians and Hughes has been rocked for 28 hits in the 20 innings spanning those 3 starts against the Tribe. Like Kluber, Hughes day game starts have trended over with the over going 6-3 as well in his day game outings this season. Look for another wild one at Progressive Field this afternoon. Play OVER 7 runs in Cleveland as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-08-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Kansas City vs Chicago White Sox @ 7:10 ET - The White Sox lost the series opener yesterday by a 3-2 count and that was the first under they have recorded since 26 July! The ChiSox had gone over the total in 10 straight games before yesterday's pitchers' duel resulted in their first under in nearly two weeks! The hot hitting resumes tonight. The White Sox had averaged 6 runs per game during their 10 game win streak and they will be "teeing off" against a struggling Jeremy Guthrie tonight. The Royals right-hander has been getting absolutely crushed of late. Guthrie is winless in his last 3 starts and he's produced a 7.27 ERA and a 1.96 WHIP during this very rough stretch. In his most recent start Guthrie gave up 3 homers and he now faces a White Sox lineup that has been "feeling it" at the plate in recent weeks. The Royals will also certainly get their fair share of runs tonight. They are one of the top hitting teams in the league when on their home field and Kansas City had scored 5 runs or more in 4 of their last 6 games before putting up just 3 yesterday. They catch White Sox right-hander Jeff Samardzija at a good time as he got rocked in his most recent outing. Samardzija gave up 9 earned runs in less than 5 innings of work against the Yankees Sunday. He's now given up 13 earned runs in his last 12 and 2/3 innings of work and, like Guthrie, he's also been plagued bythe long ball as he's allowed 3 homers in those two outings. Samardzija has also given up 3 homers in his last two starts against the Royals and he's winless with a 5.59 ERA in 3 career starts against Kansas City. Play OVER 8 runs in Kansas City as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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08-08-15 | Houston Astros v. Oakland A's OVER 7.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Oakland vs Houston @ 4:05 ET - Yesterday's 3-1 Oakland win stayed well under the total but the value is on the over in Saturday's match-up. Houston sends Collin McHugh to the mound and don't be fooled by his 3-0 mark in recent starts. In his last two starts, the Astros right-hander has given up 15 hits while also walking 5 batters in 12 innings of work. That equates to a 1.67 WHIP which is far from impressive! Going even further back, note that McHugh has given up a total of 33 hits in his last 4 starts which have spanned 25 innngs. The fact he's been so hittable of late is definitely going to catch up with him and I look for that to be this afternoon in Oakland. The A's won't be the only club pounding out hits today. The Astros powerful lineup should have no trouble with the offerings of a struggling Jesse Chavez of Oakland. The A's right-hander is winless in his last 3 starts with a ridiculous 10.03 ERA and a 2.40 WHIP. Facing Houston is unlikely to help the Athletics hurler. He gave up 6 earned runs with 3 homers doing a lot of damage in his last starts against the Astros. Overall, Chavez has given up 13 runs (12 earned) on 17 hits and 7 walks in his last 16 innings against Houston. That translates to a 1.50 WHIP and the home run ball could certainly be a weapon in an afternoon game in Oakland. The over is 28-16 in A's divisional games this season. The over was 4-0 in the first 4 match-ups in Oakland between these teams this season. Consider yesterday's under an aberration and look for plenty of runs from the Astros and Athletics in this one. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Oakland as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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08-08-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. New York Yankees OVER 8 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in NY Yankees vs Toronto @ 1:05 ET - Taking advantage of a low total here and over-reaction by the betting markets. There is a lot of hype about David Price right now and how he dominated in his first start with the Blue Jays on Monday. What is being forgotten is that the start came at home and was filled with emotion and energy. Now Price takes to the road and faces a team that, to say the least, has been a nemesis lately. The Yankees have absolutely pounded Price in recent meetings. The Blue Jays southpaw was roughed up for 8 earned runs on 10 hits in less than 3 innings of work earlier this season. If you think that is completely a fluke, Price's prior start against the Yankees was in August last season and he also allowed 8 earned runs in that game and gave up 12 hits in just 2 innings of work. Certainly I don't expect those types of numbers today but I do expect Price to give up much more than what many are expecting here. Let's not forget that in Price's most recent road start he allowed 5 earned runs in just 6 innings of work. The Yankees are 11-5-2 to the over in Saturday games this season. The Blue Jays are 27-16 to the over in games not played on artificial turf this season. Toronto also is 13-4-1 to the over in games the last 3 seasons where they are a road favorite of -125 to -150. The Jays are facing Ivan Nova today and the Yankees right-hander has given up 10 earned runs on 20 hits and 6 walks in his last 13 and 1/3 innings against the Blue Jays. Toronto's sticks were relatively quiet last night but previously they had scored 57 runs in their last 9 games. They possess one of the most potent lineups in baseball and they get right back on track offensively this afternoon. These are the two highest scoring teams in the majors and they return to their hot hitting ways under the afternoon sun today. The pitching match-up is simply offering great value by keeping this total very low. Take advantage of it! Play OVER 8 runs in the NY Yankees game as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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08-07-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Cleveland Indians OVER 8 | Top | 10-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Cleveland vs Minnesota @ 7:10 ET - The Indians Cody Anderson was on a fantastic run earlier this season but he's truly come back down to earth after putting up some phenomenal numbers. Anderson has an 8.40 ERA in his last 3 starts and the Twins come into this game off of back to back games that each easily flew over the total. Minnesota is facing an Indians right-hander who has allowed 4 homers in his last 3 starts and has gone winless after making some headlines with early success. Look for the Twins to take advantage of his recent struggles. The probelm for Minnesota tonight is going to be their own pitching situation. They send Mike Pelfrey to the mound and his most recent win was two months ago to the date as it's been since June 7th that Pelfrey has notched a W. The veteran right-hander is off of a strong start against Seattle but he's struggled mightily on the road this season. Away from home, Pelfrey is 2-5 this season with a 5.67 ERA and a 1.80 WHIP. The Indians are happy to be back home after losing 4 of their last 5 games on their recent 7 game road trip. Cleveland's most recent home game saw them pile up 12 runs on 18 hits and their bats come back to life tonight in their return home as Pelfrey's season long road struggles continue. All 3 match-ups between these clubs in Cleveland went over the total this season. That trend continues here. Play OVER 8 runs in Cleveland as a *10* Top Play Friday. |
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08-07-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. New York Yankees OVER 9 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in NY Yankees vs Toronto @ 7 ET - Although R.A. Dickey has shown good form recently, most of that strong work came at home. Remember that, as a knuckleballer, he performs well in controlled conditions such as pitching his home games often "indoors" in Toronto. This season, Dickey has struggled away from home as evidenced by his 1-7 mark and 5.14 ERA away from home. Those struggles will continue tonight as the Yankees get their bats right back on track after a couple of quiet games at the plate. The Bronx Bombers had been one of the hottest teams in the league at the plate in recent weeks before getting shutdown by Boston pitching the last two nights. Seeing the knuckle-baller Dickey for the third time already this season will help their sticks return to their hot-hitting ways. As for the Yankees starter tonight, Nathan Eovaldi gets the call. The Yanks right-hander has been hit at a .300 clip this season and he now faces one of the strongest lineups in the majors. Couple that with the fact that the Blue Jays are also one of the hottest teams in the league right now and you have the recipe for some big numbers from the road team in this one. The over is 8-0 this season in Toronto road games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs. The over is 12-4 this season in Yankees Friday games this season. Another Yankees weekend series gets underway with plenty of offensive fireworks, as has happened so often already this season. Play OVER 9 runs in the New York Yankees game as an *8* selection Friday. |
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08-06-15 | Houston Astros v. Oakland A's OVER 7.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *7* OVER 7.5 runs in Oakland vs Houston @ 10:05 ET - Oakland is 27-15 to the over in divisional games this season. The A's are also a solid 37-25 to the over in night games this year. With yesterday's over (a 7-3 home loss to Baltimore), the Athletics are all set to explode over the total again tonight but, this time, a little more of the offense comes from their sticks. That's because Scott Feldman gets the start for the Astros. The veteran right-hander has been roughed up in two of his three starts since returning from the disabled list and I look for more of the same tonight. Feldman's team has gone 6-13 in his career starts against Oakland and he's compiled an ugly 6.16 ERA in those career outings against the A's. The hope for the Astros tonight however is that they just might be able to outhit the A's. Yes, Oakland starter Aaron Brooks had a fantastic start in his first MLB appearance this season but you often see a young starter struggle in his second start when off of such a stellar debut. Let us also not forget that his most recent start prior to shutting down Cleveland on Saturday was an ugly outing last year at Toronto where Brooks couldn't even make it out of the first inning! The Astros are off of a 4-3 loss at Texas last night but had averaged 6 runs of offense per game in their 8 prior games. They certainly possess a dangerous and powerful offense fully capable of providing Brooks with some problems tonight. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Oakland as a *7* selection Thursday. |
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08-06-15 | Miami Marlins v. Atlanta Braves OVER 7.5 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *7* OVER 7.5 runs in Atlanta vs Miami @ 7:10 ET - The Marlins lost 8 to 6 yesterday and they've now allowed 5 runs or more in 6 of their last 8 games. Not surprisingly, that has resulted in a 6-2 run to the over in Miami games and I look for more of the same tonight. The Marlins send Jose Urena to the mound and he struggled in his first start since being called back up to pitch in the bigs after being away for about five weeks. Urena allowed 5 runs (4 earned) on 8 hits in just 5 innings of work. At the MLB level, he's gone 1-5 this season and has often struggled with command of his pitches which has led to an inability to pitch deep into games. This, of course, has further exposed a subpar Marlins bullpen. As for the Braves, they have some pitching concerns of their own tonight. Matt Wisler gets the ball for Atlanta and he's coming off another rough outing as he allowed 7 runs to the Phillies in an outing in which he was unable to complete 5 innings! Trouble with command of his slider is a bad sign as Wisler enters this match-up with a Marlins team that has been swinging the bats better than usual in recent games. Wisler has a 6.62 ERA in his last 3 starts and the over is 27-17 this season in Braves divisional games. The Marlins are 23-15 to the over in divisional games this season. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Atlanta as a *7* selection Thursday. |
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08-06-15 | Boston Red Sox v. New York Yankees OVER 9 | 1-2 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *7* OVER 9 runs in NY Yankees vs Boston @ 7:05 ET - The Yankees had won 7 of their last 10 games before yesterday's disappointing 2-1 defeat. They had averaged 9 runs of offense per game in those 10 games and they'll get right back on track tonight. Facing Red Sox southpaw Eduardo Rodriguez will help their sticks get healthy as he's struggled in 2 of his last 3 outings. The left-hander has been giving up far too many homers recently as he's allowed 5 homers in his last 4 outings and that's over a span of just 19 innings. Look for the powerful Yanks to get to him early and often and they'll need all the runs they can get because C.C. Sabathia takes the mound tonight and he's allowed 5 earned runs in each of his last two starts. Like Rodriguez, he's been struggling with allowing too much of the long ball lately as he's given up 5 homers in his last two starts. That's bad news for him tonight because, like the Yankees, the Red Sox also have a potent lineup that has been red hot at the plate lately. Boston has averaged 6 runs per game in their last 10 games and they've won 4 of their last 6 games after yesterday's tight, low-scoring win. The hot hitting resumes for both clubs tonight. The over is 7-3 this season in Yankees games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs. The Red Sox have played 12 Thursday games this season and only a third of those (4) have managed to stay under the total. Play OVER 9 runs in the New York Yankees game as a *7* selection Thursday. |
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08-05-15 | San Francisco Giants v. Atlanta Braves OVER 7 | 6-1 | Push | 0 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7 runs in Atlanta vs San Francisco @ 7:10 ET - The Giants won 8-3 at Atlanta yesterday and the over is now 34-16 (68%) in San Francisco road games this season. The Giants are installed as a big road favorites for this Wednesday evening match-up and the over is a long-term 48-25 in Giants road games where they are a -150 to -175 favorite. With yesterday's result, the over is now 4-0-1 in the Braves last five games. Atlanta has averaged 6 runs per game in their last 3 games and they are catching Madison Bumgarner at the right time. The Giants southpaw struggled in the month of July. He's coming off of another tough outing where he allowed 6 earned runs in 7 innings of work at Texas and this included giving up two homers. He's also struggled recently versus Atlanta with 7 earned runs allowed in his last 11 and 1/3 innings of work against the Braves. Atlanta will have pitching issues of their own here as well. Williams Perez recently made his return from the disabled list and the results were not pretty. He gave up 9 earned runs in 4 and 1/3 innings and had more walks that strikeouts in that outing. Perez has a 9.00 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In his home starts this season the over is 3-1. Take advantage of the low total posted on this game as the hot hitting continues for both clubs - the Giants have scored 8 runs or more in 3 of their last 4 games! Play OVER 7 runs in Atlanta as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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08-05-15 | Boston Red Sox v. New York Yankees OVER 9 | 2-1 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in New York Yankees vs Boston @ 7:05 ET - With yesterday's 13-3 Yankees win, the over is now 10-2 in the Yanks last 12 games. The Red Sox have been trending just as hot as the over is now 8-1 in Boston's last 9 games. I am well aware of the fact that New York's Luis Severino comes into tonight's start with a lot of hype. But that's a lot of pressure for a young hurler making his MLB debut. Yes, he's known for attacking hitters and has put up some phenomenal numbers in the minors, but Severino will now face a much tougher test. He's facing major league hitters and, if he attacks them too aggressively there could be a lot of trouble for the young hurler. That's because the Red Sox lineup has a lot of confidence from having erupted for 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The BoSox will pressure Severino early and often in this one. The good news for Yanks fans though is that their epic scoring explosion should continue. The Bronx Bombers have scored 100 runs in their last 12 games and it's highly unlikely that Steven Wright can slow them down. The Red Sox right-hander is winless in his three road starts this season and that 0-3 mark is no fluke as Wright has produced an ugly 6.32 ERA away from home this season. With 4 homers allowed in his last 3 starts, Wright is facing the wrong team at the wrong time! Play OVER 9 runs in the New York Yankees game as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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08-05-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 8 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Philadelphia vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 7:05 ET - With yesterday's 6-2 win, the Phillies are an amazing 13-3 since the All Star Break. They have surprisingly been one of the hottest teams in the league in the 2nd half of the season and it's thanks in part to a resurgent offense. The Phillies have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 16 games. Philadelphia has averaged nearly 6 runs per game in their last 11 games. They'll get their fair share against southpaw Brett Anderson. The Dodgers left-hander is winless in his last 3 starts and he's allowed 3 homers in those outings. His most recent road start was a disaster at Atlanta as Anderson didn't even make it out of the third inning in that one. Now he faces a Phillies lineup that is loaded with confidence right now. The Phils will need all the offense they can get because they send a struggling Aaron Harang to the mound. He's been so hittable of late that it's amazing the damage hasn't been even worse. Harang has given up 32 hits in his last 3 starts and that's a span of just 16 innings. Yes, your math is right, that's 2 hits per inning and folks, that's a lot of trouble in a hurry. Facing a potent Dodgers lineup won't help matters for Harang. He took the loss and was rocked in both starts against LA last season. The Phillies just saw Anderson a month ago and they got to him for 4 runs (3 earned) in just 5 innings of work. The Phillies are 7-2 to the over this season as a home dog of +150 to +175. Play OVER 8 runs in Philadelphia as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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08-04-15 | Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7 runs in Pittsburgh vs Chicago Cubs @ 7:05 ET - Although Jake Arrieta is having a fantastic season for the Cubs he did struggle with command of his pitches in his most recent outing. In his last two starts Arrieta has compiled a 3.75 ERA but has allowed 11 hits and 6 walks in 12 innings of work for a 1.42 WHIP. The Pirates will be seeing him for the third time this season and Pittsburgh comes into this game with plenty of confidence at the plate. That's because the Pirates have won 7 of their last 10 games and has averaged 5.4 runs per game in these 10 games. Look for Pittsburgh to stay hot at the plate in this one but they'll have some pitching issues of their own in this one. That's because J.A. Happ makes his debut in a Pirates uniform after coming over from the Mariners due to his slumping ways. I don't expect a change of scenery to magically transform Happ to top form again and that would be expecting a lot as he's winless in his last 3 starts with a 9.00 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP. Happ has walked 5 and given up 10 hits (including 3 homers) in his last 5 innings of work! The Cubs have won 6 of their last 7 games and have averaged 5 runs per game in those 6 victories. That said, take advantage of the low total posted on this game and look for runs early and often in this one. The over is 9-4 in the Pirates last 13 games against teams with a winning record. The over is 3-0 in the Cubs last 3 games against teams with a winning record. Big NL Central battle in this one and it's no pitchers duel! Play OVER 7 runs in Pittsburgh as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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08-04-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in Toronto vs Minnesota @ 7:05 ET - The Twins came into yesterday's game on a 6-3 run to the over but they were shut down by David Price and the Blue Jays in that afternoon affair. Facing Marco Estrada today, the Minnesota sticks will quickly come back to life. Estrada has allowed 7 earned runs in his last 2 starts and those outings have totaled a combined 9 and 2/3 innings. Look for his struggles to continue in this match-up as he's winless in four career outings against the Twins. In his career against Minnesota, Estrada has compiled an ugly 6.00 ERA. The Blue Jays also were on a 6-3 run to the over before yesterday's series opener stayed under the total. Toronto did score 6 runs in yesterday's game and they are now averaging nearly 6 runs per game over their last 9 games. The Blue Jays sticks are tough at home and they stay hot against the Twins Phil Hughes. The Minnesota right-hander has allowed 23 hits (including 3 homers) in his last 19 innings of work. In his career against the Blue Jays he's gone 6-7 with a 4.85 ERA. Hughes has struggled on the road this season with a 2-4 mark compared to his 8-2 record at home. He's also known for giving up the long ball and the Blue Jays possess one of the most dangerous lineups in the league. The ball did carry well in yesterday's game and I look for more of the same tonight and also take advantage of this posted total dropping from 9 down to 8.5 runs as of Tuesday morning. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Toronto as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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08-03-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9.5 | Top | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 9.5 runs in Colorado vs Seattle @ 8:40 ET - Felix Hernandez has never faced the Rockies. Facing them in Colorado for his first ever outing against them is not the ideal choice. The Rockies are hitting over .300 at home this season and they are happy to be back home at hitter-friendly Coors Field after struggling to score runs at St Louis this weekend. Home field will cure what was ailing them. The Rockies also catch Hernandez at a good time because he's off a poor start where he allowed 7 earned runs on 12 hits in less than 7 innings of work. For Hernandez, making his Coors Field debut after such an ugly start in his prior outing is certainly not ideal. The good news for the Mariners though is that they should definitely be able to match the Rockies run for run in this one. Eddie Butler gets the start for the Rockies and he's 1-3 with a 5.96 ERA and a 1.95 WHIP in his home starts this season. Though he's pitched a little better since returning from a stint in the minors, Butler still allowed 3 earned runs in each outing and plus gave up a pair of homers in his most recent start and that was on the road! At home this season, Butler has given up 37 hits in less than 26 innings of work! The over is 9-2 in Rockies Monday games this season. The over is 9-4 in Rockies games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs this season. The over is 7-3 the last 3 years in Mariners road games where they are a favorite of -150 to -175. Seattle also is 4-2 to the over this season in games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs. Play OVER 9.5 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Monday. |
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08-03-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Washington Nationals OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Washington vs Arizona @ 7:05 ET - Zach Godley will be making just his third start at the MLB level for the Diamondbacks this evening. Though he has been successful in his first two outings, Godley certainly was hit a lot harder in the 2nd outing in comparison with his debut start. The Dbacks right-hander allowed 3 earned runs on 7 hits (including 2 homers) and 3 walks in 6 innings of work. That start was on the road and Godley is again on the road tonight and he's facing a Nationals team that is happy to be home after some struggles with scoring runs on the road. The Nats are 10-3 to the over this season in games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. Also, Arizona is 8-4 to the over this season in road games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. The over is 7-3 this season in Diamondbacks Monday games this year. The Dbacks will be "teeing off" against Washington right-hander Doug Fister tonight. Though he's off a quality start at Miami in his most recent outing, Fister had struggled in his prior two starts with 4 earned runs allowed on 9 hits in 5 innings in each of those two starts. Each of Fister's last two starts have gone over the total and both of Godley's starts have also gone over the total. Those trends continue tonight. Play OVER 8 runs in Washington as an *8* selection Monday. |
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08-02-15 | Washington Nationals v. New York Mets OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 6.5 runs in New York Mets vs Washington @ 8:05 ET - With yesterday's 3-2 loss, the Nationals have stayed under the total in 3 straight games now. Only twice this entire season have the Nats stayed under the total in 4 or more consecutive games. That's quite significant considering four months of the season are already in the books. Look for Washington to snap this string of unders with a strong performance at the plate tonight. Though the Mets Noah Snydergaard has produced rock solid numbers this season he was fortunate to allow just one earned run in his lone career outing against the Nationals. That start took place just a week and a half ago when Snydergaard faced the Nats in Washington and he allowed 5 walks and gave up 5 hits in just 5 inning of work in that outing. That equates to a WHIP of 2.00 and the Nationals will cash in some of those same opportunities tonight with plenty of base runners expected again. The Nats send Jordan Zimmerman to the mound tonight. The over is 6-3 in his road starts this season with a 4.65 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP. He enters this start with a winless record in his last 3 outings. Even though the Mets had just 6 hits in yesterday's game, 5 of them went for extra bases including 2 homers and they will do plenty of damage against Zimmerman as recent form has shown him being more hittable than he was early this season. On a warm summer evening in New York the ball will be carrying well and there is exceptional line value in this match-up. Yes the pitchers have great overall numbers but these pitchers just squared off in Washington and neither hurler was able to dominate the opposing lineup. Play OVER 6.5 runs in the New York Mets game as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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08-02-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Oakland A's OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 6.5 runs in Oakland vs Cleveland @ 4:05 ET - These teams stayed under the total again yesterday. Each of the first three games in this series have now stayed under the total and the result is tremendous line value in the fourth one. This total has dropped to a 6.5 and the value is huge for the over. The A's have not recorded four straight unders this ENTIRE season! The Indians have had a few four game under streaks this season and one streak that even reached five but that is truly the exception rather than the nrom and Cleveland's sticks will get back on track against Sonny Gray this afternoon. The A's right-hander is off of a complete game shutout on the road in interleague action but his prior two starts were at home against AL clubs and Gray gave up 7 earned runs on 14 hits (including 3 homers) in 13 innings of work spanning those two outings. The fact that the Indians just faced Gray three weeks ago will help the hitters "hone in" on his offerings this afternoon. As for the A's hitters, look for them to do a lot more damage against Trevor Bauer than many are expecting. Bauer is off of a complete game effort in his most recent start but, prior to that, he allowed 11 earned runs in his last 10 innings of work! Addtionally, Bauer has allowed 6 homers in his last 3 starts. The ball does carry better in day games in Oakland and the A's have shown plenty of pop in their sticks at home this season. Also, the Indians are 9-4 to the over this season in road games with a posted total of 7 runs or less. Play OVER 6.5 runs in Oakland as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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08-02-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Houston Astros OVER 8.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Houston vs Arizona @ 2:10 ET - With Houston's 9-2 win yesterday the over is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 games and 4-1 in the Astros last 5 games. Houston has averaged 6.4 runs per game in their last five games while the Diamondbacks had won 6 straight and averaged 5.2 runs per game in their six games prior to yesterdays 9-2 loss. The Arizona offense will get right back on track against a struggling Astros hurler today. Collin McHugh gets the start and the right-handers 3-0 mark in his last 3 starts is quite deceiving. He's been "lucky" to say the least as McHugh has given up 25 hits in his last 18 innings on the mound. The right-hander also walked 4 batters in just 5 innings of work in his most recent start. All the base-runners he has been allowing is going to catch up with him here. Arizona's lineup was red hot before being held to just two runs in yesterday's game and they resume the hot hitting here as McHugh gets pounded again. The Diamondbacks send southpaw Robbie Ray to the mound this afternoon and he's winless in his last 3 starts with a 4.32 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. He's been far from unhittable and the Astros have plenty of confidence at the plate right now with the way they've been pounding the ball. The over is 10-1 in Astros interleague games this season. The over is 9-4 in Dbacks road games this season with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Houston as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-02-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Toronto vs Kansas City @ 1:05 ET - Great line value here with this total dropping from a 9 down to an 8.5 this morning. With yesterday's 7-6 Royals win, the over is now 4-2 in Kansas City's last 6 games and all 4 of those overs totaled 13 runs! With the Blue Jays scoring 6 runs in yesterday's defeat, Toronto has now scored at least 5 runs in 6 of their last 7 games. The over is 6-2 in the Jays last 8 games. The hot hitting continues this afternoon. The over is 6-2 in road starts for Edinson Volquez this season. His 2.70 ERA in his last 3 starts is deceiving as he has compiled a 1.50 WHIP in those 3 outings and putting too many baserunners on in Toronto can get hurlers into trouble very quickly. The Blue Jays have an ultra dangerous lineup as Volquez knows all too well. He's 0-3 with a 7.30 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in his career outings against Toronto. The Blue Jays send R.A. Dickey to the mound this afternoon. Though the knuckle-baller has enjoyed success in recent outings, the last time he faced the high-powered Royals he was rocked for 5 earned runs on 10 hits in just 5 innings of work! The over is 10-5 in Blue Jays Sunday games this season and another one flies over today. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Toronto as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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08-01-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Oakland A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Oakland vs Cleveland @ 9:05 ET - Back to back low-scoring pitchers duels have opened up this series but that all changes today. Let's not forget that the over was 8-3 in the Indians last 11 games prior to visiting Oakland. Additionally, the over is 36-23 in A's night games this season. The key tonight is the pitching match-up. The Indians send Cody Anderson to the mound and the young right-hander has quickly come back down to earth after his phenomenal start to his career. Anderson has allowed 11 earned runs on 18 hits in his last 8 and 1/3 innings of work. He's not a big strikeout guy either and his numbers are down in that department with just 4 punch-outs in his last 15 innings of work. Each of his last two starts have flown over the total and, with the current form he's been displaying, the A's bats will come back to life tonight. However, Oakland will have a "pitching situation" of their own tonight as well. The A's send Aaron Brooks to the mound tonight and he's only made one career MLB start and that was a disastrous outing in his MLB starting debut last May. As for this season he's seen limited action out of the bullpen and he's produced an unimpressive 6.23 ERA so far. In the minors this season Brooks has a respectable 3.71 ERA but we're talking about facing minor league hitting and, on that note, his .282 BAA this season when facing minor league hitters is certainly not impressive. The Indians had been hot at the plate coming into this series and they resume the hot hitting by facing an outclassed foe on the hill tonight. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Oakland as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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08-01-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 in Minnesota vs Seattle @ 7:10 ET - These teams combined to stay under the total yesterday but, previously, the over was on a 8-1-1 run in the Mariners last 10 games and a 6-0 run in Twins games! Those hot "over trends" will quickly resume here with this pitching match-up leading to runs early and often in this one. The Mariners Mike Montgomery had a great start to this season but the rookie's fade has been on since the calendar hit July. The Seattle southpaw is winless with a 7.09 ERA in his last four starts. The Twins have averaged 5.1 runs per game this season in games where they faced a left-handed starter and Montgomery has allowed 4 homers in his last 3 starts plus he's struggled with command of his pitches. Montgomery has walked 12 batters in his last 15 and 1/3 innings of work. Another rough outing is on tap for him here but his counterpart will also struggle this evening. The Twins are sending Kyle Gibson the mound tonight. The Minnesota right-hander has been crushed for six earned runs in each of his last two starts! The Mariners, striking for another 6 runs in yesterday's win, have averaged 5 runs per game in their last 11 games. They will pound Gibson who continues to struggle with letting the leadoff man in an inning get on base way too often. He's then forced to pitch out of the stretch and this has been a key part of the struggles for Gibson recently. That continues here against a red-hot Mariners lineup. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Minnesota as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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07-31-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Houston Astros OVER 8 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Houston vs Arizona @ 8:10 ET - The Astros are off of a 3-0 shutout win yesterday and have now won 8 of their last 10 games. Though yesterday's game easily stayed under the total, Houston has now averaged 6.25 runs per game in the 8 wins during this 8-2 hot streak. They certainly should have no trouble with the offerings of the Diamondbacks Rubby De La Rosa in this interleague match-up on Friday. The Arizona right-hander is 2-4 with an ugly 5.04 ERA in road starts this season. He's also been crushed in both of his career starts against the Astros as De La Rosa has compiled an ugly 11.42 ERA and 2.54 WHIP in those two outings against Houston. He's facing a red hot and confident team tonight and the results will not be pretty! The only hope for the Dbacks here is to out-hit the Astros and they just might do that. The reasoning for this is that Scott Feldman gets the start for Houston and he's 2-4 with a 5.62 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP in his home starts this season. Also, Feldman has faced the Diamondbacks 4 times in his career and the over is a perfect 4-0 in those 4 starts. In his most recent home start Feldman was rocked by the Rangers including allowing two homers in that start. Arizona, like Houston, also comes into this game with plenty of confidence as they've won 6 of their last 7 games and the Dbacks have averaged 5.5 runs per game in those victories. The over is 8-1 in Astros inter-league games this season. The over is 8-1 this season in Diamondbacks games this season when they enter a game on a winning streak of 3 games or more. Play OVER 8 runs in Houston as a *10* Top Play selection Friday. |
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07-31-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 108 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Toronto vs Kansas City @ 7:05 ET - Johnny Cueto makes his first start in a Royals uniform. His welcome to the American League could be tarnished by having to face one of the top hitting lineups in the league. In interleague action Cueto did face the Blue Jays twice and his only career outing at Toronto was an ugly one with 5 earned runs allowed in six innings of work. Though Cueto is coming off of a strong start at Colorado in his most recent outing, he previously had given up 7 runs (5 earned) on 11 hits and 7 walks in his two previous starts and those covered a total of just 9 innings. That equates to a 2.00 WHIP and the over was 5-2-1 in the Blue Jays last 8 games before yesterday's 5-2 win over the Royals stayed under the total. Toronto sends Drew Hutchison to the mound tonight. The over is 7-2 in his 9 home starts. The Blue Jays right-hander has a 6.60 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Hutchison has allowed 3 homers in his last 2 starts and the Royals have pounded right-handed pitching this season. Hutchison has faced Kansas City twice in his career and he's compiled a 6.57 ERA in those two starts. The over is 11-5 in Blue Jays Friday games this season and this one flies over the total to welcome us into the first weekend of August. Play OVER 8 runs in Toronto as a *10* Top Play Friday. |
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07-30-15 | New York Yankees v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 102 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 9 runs in Texas vs NY Yankees @ 8:05 ET - The Rangers have lost 3 of the last 4 starts that Yovani Gallardo has made and it's no surprise as the Texas right-hander has been struggling badly. Gallardo has given up 14 earned runs on 29 hits and 15 walks in his last 19 and 1/3 innings of work. That equates to a 2.28 WHIP and allowing an average of 2 base runners per inning against a powerful lineup such as the one the Yankees possess can get a hurler in trouble in no time. Gallardo's struggles continue here as the Yanks were 7-3 to the over before yesterday's low-scoring result. The over trend quickly resumes here as the Rangers will also enjoy plenty of success at the plate. They'll be teeing off against the Yankees Michael Pineda. The Yanks right-hander is 0-3 with a 5.04 ERA in his career starts against the Rangers and Texas has nailed Pineda for 5 homers in their last 3 match-ups with him. Texas is 9-1 their last 10 games and they've averaged 6.6 runs per game in those 10 games. Pineda continues to be victimized by the long ball as he's given up 4 homers in his last 3 starts heading into this one. Also, in his last two starts combined, Pineda has been rocked for 9 earned runs in 11 and 2/3 innings. The Rangers will continue to pound the long ball against Pineda but watch Gallardo also get pounded in this outing as he's showing no signs of returning to early season form. Last, but certainly not least, the Rangers 4.70 bullpen ERA ranks them dead last in the majors! Play OVER 9 runs in Texas as a *10* Top Play. |
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07-30-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in Baltimore vs Detroit @ 7:05 ET - Both of these clubs are off of tight, low-scoring wins yesterday but tonight the hot hitting resumes for each club. These are undoubtedly two of the most powerful lineups in the league and the Orioles are asking for trouble with the pitcher they are sending to the mound tonight. Miguel Gonzalez, in four career starts against the Tigers, has compiled an ugly 7.65 ERA and has a horrific 1.95 WHIP in those outings. Also concerning for O's fans here is the fact that Gonzalez has been rocked for 4 homers in his last 3 starts against Detroit. The right-hander got absolutely crushed by Washington in his most recent home start and he continues to be "homer-prone" which is a concern against a powerful lineup like the Tigers possess. Detroit will have pitching issues of their own in this one as Alfredo Simon takes to the mound. The right-hander finally had a solid start at Boston in his most recent outing but that doesn't completely erase the recent form he's been putting on display. Prior to that quality start against the Red Sox, Simon had given up 32 earned runs in his 6 prior starts which spanned just 28 and 1/3 innings. Yes, your eyes are not deceiving you, that equates to a horrible 10.16 ERA. Even including the solid start in Beantown, Simon has given up 58 hits in his last 34 and 1/3 innings of work. The Orioles will pound him as both powerful lineups enjoy a great night at the plate in this one. The Tigers are 27-8-1 (77%) to the over in their last 36 games. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Baltimore as a *10* Top Play Thursday! |
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07-29-15 | Washington Nationals v. Miami Marlins OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7.5 runs in Miami vs Washington @ 7:10 ET - The Nationals managed just one run in yesterday's 4-1 loss at Miami. The over was 5-1-1 in Washington's L7 games before struggling at the plate in Tuesday's game with the Marlins. Look for the Nationals to bounce right back here. Though Miami's Tom Koehler has some impressive numbers on the season, he allowed 5 earned runs on 7 hits (including 3 homers) in his last start against the Nationals! Washington had averaged a solid 5 runs per game in their last 6 games before now struggling in their last two games. They step into the batters box with plenty of confidence after what they did to Koehler two months ago in Washington. As for the Marlins sticks, they should have no trouble with the offerings of a struggling Doug Fister. The Nats right-hander is 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and a 2.10 WHIP in his last two starts. In his last 3 road starts, Fister has been hammered for 15 earned runs in just 13 innings of work. Look for more of the same this evening. The over is 29-20 in Nationals road games this season. The over is 20-13 in Marlins divisional games this season. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Miami as a *10* Top Play selection Wednesday. |
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07-29-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Cleveland Indians OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-12 | Win | 102 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7.5 runs in Cleveland vs Kansas City @ 12:10 ET - After yesterday's 2-1 pitchers duel, look for the offense of each club to get back on track in this one. The Indians will take advantage of facing a struggling Jeremy Guthrie. The Royals right-hander has a 5.35 ERA on the season and he's been rocked for 28 hits in his last 18 innings of work. Guthrie has a 7.19 ERA and a 1.79 WHIP on the road this season and the over is 5-2 in his starts away from home this year. The Indians have been in a bit of a slump at the plate and it's an 0-6 run for the Tribe coming into this game. However, Guthrie will provide the perfect remedy for what has been ailing Cleveland as he gets hit hard once again in this early afternoon match-up at Progressive Field. The Indians send right-hander Corey Kluber to the mound and he's 5-11 on the season. Kluber has a 5.52 ERA in his last two starts and the Royals have had his number this season. The Cleveland right-hander has a 5.85 ERA in his 3 starts against Kansas City this season and they've gotten to him for 26 hits in 20 innings of work. The over was 7-2 in Cleveland's last 9 games before yesterday's low-scoring affair. The over is 24-16 in Royals games against teams with a losing record this season. The over was 7-2 this season in match-ups between these clubs heading into Tuesday's action. The high-scoring ways quickly resume here. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Cleveland as a *10* Top Play Wednesday. |
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07-28-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in Minnesota vs Pittsburgh @ 8:10 ET - Mike Pelfrey pitched "over his head" for quite awhile this season and that surprising result has led to even more line value as his fade continues here in the 2nd half of the season. The veteran right-hander is 0-2 with a 4.58 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP for the Twins in his last 3 starts. His strikeout numbers are down and he seems to be getting more and more hittable with each outing he makes. Now he must battle a Pirates lineup that, despite some low scores on the board, has averaged 10 hits per game in their last 7 games and they are ready for a breakout game at the plate tonight. The issue for Pittsburgh this evening is their own starting pitcher. It will be Charlie Morton taking the mound for the Pirates and he's 2-3 with an ugly 7.81 ERA in road starts this season. The right-hander has made two starts since the All Star break and he's given up 9 earned runs in less than 13 innings of work. The Twins are crushing the ball at home this season and should have no trouble with the offerings of Morton as his road struggles continue. The over is 3-1 in the Pirates last 4 games and the over is 3-0 in the Twins last four games. The over is 7-3 this season, and an impresive 27-16 the last 3 seasons, in Pirates games after a day off. Both teams have solid lineups that are rested and ready for this one after yesterday's off day. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Minnesota as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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07-28-15 | New York Yankees v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 | Top | 21-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 9.5 runs in Texas vs NY Yankees @ 8:05 ET - This game just missed going over the total last night as it stalled out after the top of the 7th. I won't hesitate in coming right back with it. Especially with the season marks these two pitchers have in the key category of WHIP - Walks + Hits per Innings Pitched. Base runners eventually lead to runs and this especially true in hitter-friendly venues like the Ballpark in Arlington. Chris Capuano has a 1.74 WHIP and Martin Perez has a 1.91 WHIP as starters this season. Granted Capuano has made just 3 starts this season and Perez only two but the point is that the form of each pitcher has not impressed. Capuano has been knocked around for 18 hits in 12 and 2/3 innings of work as a starter and Perez has been hammered with 15 hits allowed in his 11 innings of work. Before last night's under resulted, the over was 6-2 in the Rangers last 8 games and 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 games. The Yankees did get 6 runs last night but the Rangers stranded 9 men as they couldn't come through in clutch situations. Against the soft-tossing Capuano, the result will definitely be different for the powerful Texas lineup tonight. Since the All Star Break, the over is 5-0 in Rangers games against southpaw starters. Play OVER 9.5 runs in Texas as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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07-28-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9 | 3-2 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in Toronto vs Philadelphia @ 7:05 ET - Who is the hottest team in the league in the 2nd half of the season? The Phillies are an insane 8-1 since the All Star break! Philadelphia has averaged 6 runs per game in those 8 victories and their offense will stay hot here against the Blue Jays Felix Doubront. The Toronto southpaw is struggling mightily with 10 runs (8 earned) allowed on 17 hits in his last two starts and those outings have spanned a total of just 9 and 2/3 innings of work. The left-hander will be opposed by a fellow lefty tonight as Adam Morgan takes the mound for the Phillies. The Philadelphia southpaw has an ugly 6.14 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Morgan is unlikely to have success against a powerful Blue Jays lineup that has pounded left-handed pitching this season and that also has been extremely strong at the plate in home games. Toronto comes into this game with a mark of 4-1-1 to the over in their last 6 games. The Jays have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of their last 6 games. Toronto is 7-3 to the over when playing with a day off. The Phllies are 12-1 to the over in Tuesday games this season. Also, when the Phillies are priced as a big underdog of +200 to +225, the over is on a long-term run of 30-13. Play OVER 9 runs in Toronto as an *8* selection. |
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07-27-15 | New York Yankees v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 9 runs in Texas vs NY Yankees @ 8:05 ET - Both of these clubs have been red hot at the plate. The Yankees won 7-2 at Minnesota yesterday and the over is now 4-0 in their last 4 games. Yesterday's game marked the 3rd time in their last 4 games that the Yanks have scored at least 7 runs. Tonight the Bronx Bombers are visiting a Texas club that was just involved in a 13-7 game in Anaheim yesterday afternoon. That was the 6th over in the last 8 games for the Rangers. That also was the 6th time in their last 8 games that Texas has scored at least 7 runs. Look for the Rangers lineup to stay hot against Ivan Nova. The Yankees right-hander is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA in his two road starts this season. Also, in his last 3 starts against the Rangers, Nova was reached for 11 earned runs on 21 hits and 11 walks in 18 and 2/3 innings of work. The way Texas is swinging the bats right now, and with their return back home, they will pound Nova tonight. The Rangers send Matt Harrison to the mound tonight. Although the southpaw is off of a strong outing in his most recent start, he was crushed in his only other start this season and that was at home against Arizona. Like Nova (who is coming off a Tommy John surgery), Harrison has pitched very little so far this season at the MLB level. In fact, Harrison has been pounded at the minor league level this year. Couple that with the fact that his strikeout numbers at the MLB level are down so far since returning to the bigs and you can see that his most recent start may have indeed been a fluke. Now Harrison must face a surging Yankees team that is red hot at the plate and this will not be a good match-up for the left-hander. Play OVER 9 runs in Texas as a *10* Top Play Monday. |
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07-26-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-11 | Win | 105 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 9.5 runs in Boston vs Detroit @ 8:05 ET - Yesterday's game between these club was 5-1 in the top of the 6th and then it died. These strong lineups will make up for that disappointment for over players today. The Red Sox send Eduardo Rodriguez to the mound and the over is 4-1 in his starts at Fenway Park this season. Overall, the southpaw has compiled a 6.41 ERA in his home starts this season. His most recent start came on the road at LA against the Angels and he was roughed up for 7 earned runs in less than 2 innings of work. He's allowed 4 homers in his last 8 innings on the mound. Rodriguez also has walked 4 while striking out just 2 during this poor two-start stretch. With his overall numbers at home this season, recent struggles, and the fact he's facing a Tigers lineup that is one of the most dangerous in the league, there is no hesitation in expecting him to get pounded tonight. As for the Tigers starting pitcher tonight, it's Shane Greene. The right-hander is 2-4 in his 7 road starts this season and he's been roughed up to the tune of an 8.43 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP away from home. Recent starts are not showing any signs of Greene turning this around as the Tigers are 0-3 in his last 3 starts with Greene posting an awful 12.40 ERA and ugly 2.11 WHIP in these 3 outings. The over is 10-3 in Red Sox Sunday games this season. The over is 11-4 in Tigers Sunday games  this season. Play OVER 9.5 runs in Boston as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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07-26-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. Colorado Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 11 runs in Colorado vs Cincinnati @ 4:10 ET - Warm afternoon at Coors Field in Colorado. After being held to just 2 runs on Saturday by Cueto I look for the Rockies offense to explode on Sunday against Michael Lorenzen. The young right-hander has an unimpressive 5.40 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He also will be making his first ever start at Coors Field, a venue known for being unkind to pitchers in their first visit here. The Rockies had scored at least 6 runs in 3 of their last 4 games before yesterday's disappointing result and they will surely bounce right back on offense in this one. The problem for Colorado this afternoon will be their own pitching as Kyle Kendrick takes to the mound for this afternoon match-up. Kendrick has been rocked for a 6.90 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP in his home starts this season. His recent starts would not offer much of hope for him to do any better here. He's compiled a 6.55 ERA with a very dangerous 2.00 WHIP. That WHIP is "dangerous" because at Coors Field, base runners can equal "major damage" in a hurry! Kendrick has allowed 4 homers in his last 3 starts agiainst the Reds and it will be "hitter-friendly" weather today in Colorado. The Rockies are 31-21 to the over this season when they are off of a loss. The Reds lineup has produced an average of 6 runs per game in their last 4 games and they have pounded out 61 hits in their last 5 games. It's all about the "O" for each team in this one Sunday. Play OVER 11 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play. |
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07-26-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 7 | 5-2 | Push | 0 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7 runs in Tampa Bay vs Baltimore @ 1:10 ET - The Rays will bounce back after scoring just one run yesterday but their southpaw, Matt Moore, whom is taking the hill early this afternoon is likely to get pounded. That spells "O-V-E-R" in this one. Moore has a 7.07 ERA and a 1.93 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The left-hander also had one of the worst starts of his career against the Orioles the last time he faced them. Moore gave up 8 earned runs on 12 hits in 5 innings of work. The southpaw is likely to get pounded here again as the Orioles finally got some confidence back with yesterday's 5-1 win. The Rays offense should do plenty of damage agianst the Orioles starter today. It's Wei-Yin Chen getting the start and he's given up 18 hits in his last 14 and 1/3 innings of work. Also, he's allowed 4 homers in his last 3 starts against the Rays. This is a bit of a contrarian play to say the least as neither team has been scoring a lot of runs of late. But these are the types of situations where you also can often some of the best value on the board and that is the case here. The over is 9-4 in Rays games this season where their money line price is a home dog range of +100 to +125. Also, the over is 16-9 in Tampa Bay home games with a posted total of 7 runs or less this season. Play OVER 7 runs in Tampa Bay as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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07-25-15 | Texas Rangers v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7.5 runs in LA Angels vs Texas @ 9:05 ET - Yovani Gallardo is not right. The Rangers right-hander is lucky his ERA is not higher in his last 3 starts. He's 0-3 in his last 3 outings with a 5.28 ERA but even more alarming is the fact that he's allowed 21 hits and 12 walks in the 15 and 1/3 innings that have spanned these last 3 starts. With the Angels looking to bounce back off of two straight losses where they have managed to score a combined two runs, Gallardo provides the perfect remedy to heal their lineup! The Angels had won 7 straight games before this little two game mini-skid and their offense responds tonight. That said, why is the play here the over rather than the Angels? It's because there is plenty of reason to believe that the Rangers will do some damage against the Angels Hector Santiago. The southpaw allowed just one earned run in his most recent start but note that he gave up 8 hits in his 5 innings of work in that outing. Santiago has now allowed 16 hits in 12 innings spanning his last two starts. Though he's had success against the Rangers this season it's an added benefit that they just recently saw him - July 4th. It's also a huge benefit that they are seeing him for the fourth time already this season! The Rangers come into this game with 4 wins in their last 6 games and their offense has led the way with an average of 11 hits per game in their last 7 games. The over is 7-4 this season in Texas games when they are on a winning streak of 3 games or more. The over is 6-3 this season in match-ups between these clubs! Play OVER 7.5 runs in the LA Angels game as a *10* Top Play selection Saturday. |
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07-25-15 | Houston Astros v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Kansas City vs Houston @ 7:10 ET - Scott Feldman's first start after coming off of the DL was not impressive. He gave up 4 earned runs on 9 hits in less than 6 innings of work. He also allowed 2 homers in that start and now faces a Royals lineup known for knocking the cover off of the ball in home games. That said, a rare home shutout loss for Kansas City yesterday means a big bounce back today. The Royals will be happy to face against a right-handed starter today as they have struggled against southpaws this season but have a solid 40-21 record against right-handers. The reason the play here is the over rather than the Royals is because I also look for the KC starter to get clocked as well. Kansas City sends southpaw Danny Duffy to the mound this evening. He's off his deepest start of the season as he pitched into the 9th inning and threw 113 pitches in his win over the White Sox Sunday. Therein lies the key, the amount of pitches thrown. Each time Duffy has thrown at least 100 pitches this season in a start, he's been hammered in his next outing. The combined numbers of those two starts: 5 earned runs on 14 hits in just 5 and 2/3 innings of work! The Astros have won five straight games and they have averaged 6 runs per game in their last 6 games. They remain red hot against Duffy as he fatigues early in this one after the lengthy outing Sunday. Play OVER 8 runs in Kansas City as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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07-25-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9 | 5-1 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in Boston vs Detroit @ 4:05 ET - The Tigers surprisingly played another low-scoring game yesterday. They have now had back to back unders but are still on a 25-6 run to the over in their last 31 games. By the way, Detroit has not recorded a stretch of 3 straight unders in two months! You have to go all the way back to late May to find a run of three straight unders involving the Tigers. This afternoon's pitching match-up tells me this is not the time for a third straight under for sure. The Red Sox send Steven Wright to the mound and the knuckleballer continues to bounce between the bigs and AAA. In his last 3 MLB starts, Wright has given up 5 homers and has compiled a 6.48 ERA in those outings. He's facing a powerful Tigers lineup today so the long ball could again be his nemesis. Detroit sends Alfredo Simon to the mound this afternoon and the right-hander has been awful of late. He's compiled a 9.22 ERA and a 2.27 WHIP in his last three starts. Looking even further back, the numbers still do not improve for Simon. He has allowed 34 runs, 32 of them earned, on 53 hits over 28 1/3 innings in his last six starts. The Tigers streak of never having more than two straight unders in a row in the past two months is safe! This one flies over this afternoon at Fenway Park. Play OVER 9 runs in Boston as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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07-24-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. Colorado Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 5-6 | Push | 0 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 11 runs in Colorado vs Cincinnati @ 8:40 ET - Both of these clubs had yesterday off. The Reds enter this series having gone over the total in 7 of their last 9 games. The Rockies have gone over the total in 4 of their last 6 games. On a warm summer evening in Denver tonight the ball will be carrying very well and, couple that with a match-up of two struggling hurlers, you have the perfect recipe for a "slugfest" to erupt at Coors Field this evening. Anthony Desclafani gets the start for the Reds and he's given up 4 homers in his last 3 starts. In these 3 outings the Reds right-hander has compiled an ugly 7.27 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. Now he must contend with a Rockies team in his first-ever start at hitter-friendly Coors Field where the Rockies are hitting over .300 this season. Colorado hurler Eddie Butler will be facing the Reds for the first time as a host and, that said, if his start at Cincinnati in May is any indication it should be a rough night for Butler. He gave up four earned runs on 9 hits including two homers when he faced Cincy back in May. Now Butler must face them in hitter-friendly mile-high air and he comes into this start with a 1-3 record and 6.41 ERA with ridiculous 2.09 WHIP in his four home starts this season. His most recent MLB start was at home on June 5th and he gave up 6 earned runs on 11 hits in 5 and 1/3 innings of work. Butler did make a start on Sunday (after returning to the big leagues for the first time since early June) but the game got rained out and erased his 4-inning stint from the record books. Even in AAA this season Butler has been hit hard with a 6.27 ERA and hitters knocking him around at a .289 clip! The over is 10-5 in Reds games this season when they had the prior day off. The over is 31-21 in Rockies games this season when they are off of a loss. Play OVER 11 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Friday. |
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07-24-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9 | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in Boston vs Detroit @ 7:10 ET - A rare under for the Tigers yesterday, the over is still 25-5 in Detroit's last 30 games. With the pitching match-up for tonight's series opener at Boston, there is every reason to believe that the hot "over" trend quickly resumes for Detroit. The Red Sox are off of a 5-4 loss at Houston yesterday that went over the total. The over is now 4-1 in Boston's last five games. Rick Porcello is expected to get the start tonight for the Red Sox and he's 1-2 with a 7.62 ERA and a 1.77 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Included in this ugly stretch for Porcello is 5 homers in just 11 innings of work! Now he must deal with a powerful Tigers lineup ready to bounce back from a 3-2 home loss yesterday. Detroit will have some pitching issues of their own in this one as Justin Verlander is expected to get the start tonight for the Tigers. He's made six starts so far this season and he remains winless and the over is 6-0, 100% this season in Verlander's starts! He has a 1.50 WHIP on the season and an ugly 8.26 ERA in his last three starts. The over is 9-5 this season in Boston's home games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs. The over is 11-6 this season in Red Sox home games when they are priced at a money line of -100 to -125. Play OVER 9 runs in Boston as an *8* selection Friday. |
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07-23-15 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in Arizona vs Milwaukee @ 9:40 ET - The Diamondbacks are starting Zach Godley in this one and it's hard to imagine what they're thinking. He's only made 3 starts above the single A minors in his entire career. So not only is he jumping up all the way from AA ball to make this start, he's only made 3 starts at the AA level and looking at those outings he certainly wasn't dominant. Now Godley will have to face major league hitters and he'll be facing a Brewers lineup that has produced an average of 6 runs per game in their last 7 games. Milwaukee lost 7-5 yesterday and the resulting "over" was the third in the last four Brewers games. Arizona's 5-3 loss to Miami yesterday also resulted in an over and the over is 24-15 in Diamondbacks games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs so far this season. Arizona does tend to produce better at home and they over is now 27-18 in Dbacks home game this season. As for the Brewers, the over is 20-11 this season in their games against teams with a losing record on the season. Michael Fiers has been pitching well for Milwaukee but his most recent start against Arizona is not a good sign of what to expect here. He was pounded for 6 earned runs on 9 hits in just five innings of work. Look for the Dbacks to again get to him early and often. Fiers, as well as he has pitched, has given up 3 long balls in his last two starts and the ball does carry well at Chase Field. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Arizona as a *10* Top Play Thursday! |
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07-23-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Cleveland Indians OVER 7.5 | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Cleveland vs Chicago White Sox @ 7:10 ET - Cleveland won 7-5 at Milwaukee in interleague action yesterday. The over is now 4-0 in the Indians last four games as their offense continues to heat up just like the July weather. Even the White Sox offense, one of the worst in the league so far this season, has begun to show signs of life in recent games as Chicago has 45 hits in their last 5 games. After yesterday's 3-2 home loss to the Cardinals in interleague action, look for the ChiSox lineup to bounce back against the Indians Trevor Bauer this evening. The right-hander was pounded for 5 earned runs in just 4 innings of work against the Reds in his most recent start. This is also the 4th time this season that the White Sox are getting a shot at Bauer and, after struggling in the early season match-ups, their sticks are much hotter now and they certainly have seen plenty of Bauer already this year. Bauer has been weaker at home than on the road this season as he has a 5.82 ERA in home outings this season. As for the ChiSox starter tonight it's Jeff Samardzija who gets the call. In his 10 road starts this season the over has gone 7-2-1 as Samardzija has a 5.29 ERA away from home this season. The Tribe lineup will take advantage of a hurler who took the loss and gave up two homers against Kansas City in his most recent start. That start was at home and it's on the road where the White Sox right-hander has really struggled with the long ball with 9 allowed in his 10 starts away from home. This series has been all about the under so far this year but both the offense are clicking much better now then they were earlier this season and I'll take advantage of the low total posted here. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Cleveland as an *8* selection Thursday. |
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07-22-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. New York Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8.5 runs in NY Yankees vs Baltimore @ 7:05 ET - The Yankees Ivan Nova is 0-3 in his last 3 starts and he's compiled a 4.76 ERA and an ugly 1.59 WHIP in those starts. Too many hits in all 3 outings. Not enough strikeouts in the last two outings. Nova has been pitching to contact and the Orioles have the potent lineup to take advantage. In fact, Nova has been crushed for 11 earned runs on 16 hits in his last 9 and 2/3 innings of work against Baltimore. The over is 11-6 this season in Yankees games where the Yanks money line ranges from -100 to -125. Kevin Gausman gets the start for the Orioles after he was sent down to AAA Norfolk before the MLB All Star Break. Gausman got crushed at Minnesota in his most recent start (July 7th) and he's compiled an ugly 9.40 ERA in road outings this season. His only career start at the Bronx (last September) resulted in an over and another one can be expected here after a surprisingly low-scoring game opened up this series yesterday. There were 18 hits in yesterday's game but only 5 runs scored. I'll take advantage of that dichotomy by grabbing the line value it offers today. In other words, the 3-2 final yesterday wasn't truly reflective of the way the hitters were swinging the bats yesterday. Additionally, the Orioles came into this series having at least 10 hits in 4 of their last 5 games. The Yankees have pounded out 78 hits in their last 9 games. Take advantage of the low posted total here as two unproven hurlers square off in the Bronx. Play OVER 8.5 runs in the NY Yankees game as a *10* Top Play Wednesday. |
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07-22-15 | Texas Rangers v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | 10-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 10.5 in Colorado vs Texas @ 3:10 ET - The Rockies were shut out on their home field yesterday and that is certainly not something you will see often. Though the game ended up with 25 hits, it stayed under the total. Look for Colorado to respond with an offensive onslaught after that ridiculous result yesterday. The Rockies are hitting better than .300 at home this season and they will be "teeing off" this afternoon against a pitcher who is only a year removed from Tommy John elbow surgery. Though Rangers starter Martin Perez only allowed 3 earned runs in his 5-inning stint last week that marked his return from a 14 month absence, the southpaw did give up 9 hits and 2 walks in those 5 innings. Perez was fortunate the damage was not worse. It will be today! Perez has made one career appearance against Colorado and he was rocked for 5 earned runs in 5 innings of work in that outing last May. The Rockies also are sending a southpaw to the mound as Jorge De La Rosa gets the start this afternoon. He's struggled at home this season with a 6.29 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP. De La Rosa has allowed 5 homers in his last 3 starts and Perez gave up 2 homers in his lone career start at Coors Field. On a warm afternoon in Colorado the ball will be carrying extremely well today. The Rangers have erupted for 7 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games and De La Rosa continues to be bothered by a cut on his pitching hand. Play OVER 10.5 runs in Colorado as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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07-21-15 | Texas Rangers v. Colorado Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 10.5 or 11 runs in Colorado vs Texas @ 8:40 ET - The Rangers hand the ball to southpaw Matt Harrison tonight. Though he is 2-0 in his two career appearances against the Rockies (and did not allow a run in either start) neither one of those starts occurred at Coors Field. This will be his first ever appearance in the thin air of the Mile High city and Harrison is not likely to fare well at all. Most first-time starters at Coors Field do struggle and the problem for the Texas southpaw is that's not the only strike against him in this one. The other concern is that he's struggling to return to form after back surgery. This is just his 2nd start since returning the bigs but the fact he allowed 6 earned runs in just 4 innings against Arizona in his first start back is certainly concerning for Rangers fans. The only good news for Texas today is the lineup should be able to "tee off" against the Rockies Kyle Kendrick. The right-hander must be questioning his decision to come to Colorado as he's 1-4 with a 6.54 ERA in his 8 home starts this season. He's been ripped for 17 hits in his last 12 and 1/3 innings on the mound. Kendrick also has given up 13 homers in just 42 and 2/3 innings at Coors Field this season. Without a win since June 23rd, Kendrick's best chance at a victory tonight is if the Rockies win an absolute slugfest. Last night's game went over the total in the top of the 5th inning. With two struggling hurlers taking the mound at Coors Field, it could be a repeat tonight. Play OVER 10.5 or 11 runs in Texas as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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07-21-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Detroit Tigers OVER 9 | 11-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in Detroit vs Seattle @ 7:05 ET - I had this play yesterday as well as I continue to ride the hot streak of overs involving Tigers games. Though yesterday's game was only a push for those who played it early, the overall trending is still a strong one. There were three homers hit in yesterday's game and it will be another beautiful evening for baseball in Detroit with the ball once again carrying very well. The last time the Mariners Taijuan Walker faced the Tigers was just two weeks ago and he allowed 3 homers in that game even though it was played in pitcher-friendly Seattle. As for the Tigers Shane Greene, he's allowed 3 homers in his last two starts combined. Overall, Greene has been awful recently as he's allowed at least 4 earned runs in each of his last five starts. In his most recent 3 starts, he's produced a 12.00 ERA and has compiled an ugly 2.33 WHIP. Even his recent time at Triple A Toledo has not seemed to help as he came back up to the bigs after the All Star Break and he promptly got rocked by the Twins. The Mariners Walker also comes into this outing struggling as he's allowed 11 earned runs in his last 11 innings of work. The fact that the Tigers just saw him two weeks ago in Seattle is also a big advantage. Even with yesterday's game failing to go over the total, the over is still on a 23-4 run in the Tigers last 27 games and the home run ball will be flying tonight at Comerica Park. Play OVER 9 runs in Detroit as an *8* selection Tuesday. |
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07-20-15 | Texas Rangers v. Colorado Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 11 runs in Colorado vs Texas @ 8:40 ET - The Rangers Nick Martinez will be making his first MLB appearance in nearly 3 weeks. He was last in action on July 1st and that wrapped up a stretch of 3 starts where the right-hander went 0-3 with a 6.27 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP. Those are ugly numbers and, in his first start after being recalled from AAA Round Rock he gets a tough assignment. Facing the Rockies in Colorado is a start that no hurler looks forward to. For Martinez, this will be his first appearance there and those "rookie outings" at Coors Field tend to be the toughest of them all for pitchers. Colorado is hitting an incredible .305 at home with a stellar .484 slugging percentage at Coors Field. The Rockies will get to Martinez early and often in this one but certainly Colorado is likely to have some pitching issues of their own in this one. Chris Rusin gets the start and the southpaw has not made a start since July 8th. Now he deals with a tough assignment as the Rangers have been strong at the plate recently with an average of 12 hits per game in their last 7 games. Rusin has a 2.45 ERA in his last 3 starts but that's a bit deceiving as he's allowed 21 hits (including 4 homers) in 18 and 1/3 innings of work. As you can see, based on those numbers, he's been fortunate to escape without more damage done in those starts. Rusin hasn't recorded a win since June 21st and he faces a red hot Texas lineup in this one. The over is 7-2 in Rockies games on Mondays this season. The over is 7-3 in Rangers games where they are priced in the +100 to +125 money line range. Play OVER 11 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Monday. |
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07-20-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Detroit Tigers OVER 9 | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in Detroit vs Seattle @ 7:05 ET - With their 9-3 loss to Baltimore easily flying over the total yesterday, Detroit has now produced an incredible 23-3 run to the over in their last 26 games. With the pitching match-up slated for Monday evening, there is no reason to jump off of this strong trend. Alfredo Simon gets the start for the Tigers and he's been so bad lately that he's produced this unenviable statistic: Simon is the only starting pitcher in MLB this year that has allowed 5 earned runs or more in 5 straight appearances! The Tigers right-hander brings that trend into this match-up with the Mariners. Simon has given up 28 earned runs in his last 5 starts spanning just 22 and 2/3 innings. In his last 3 starts, Simon has given up 33 hits in just 13 and 2/3 innings of work. The hit barrage continues today against Simon. The good news for Tigers fans though is the fact that Detroit has one of the best offenses in the league and they should match Seattle run for run in this one. This is especially true because the Mariners are sending a struggling J.A. Happ to the mound. The Seattle southpaw has a 5.82 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 5.59 ERA on the road this season. The over is 6-3 for the Mariners in Happ's road starts this season. The most recent start for Happ was July 8th and that did come against the Tigers. Even though that particular outing was in pitcher-friendly Seattle, Happ was rocked for 4 earned runs on 7 hits in just 4 innings of work. More of the same this evening in Detroit. The over is 7-0 in Simon's last 7 starts! Play OVER 9 runs in Detroit as an *8* selection Monday. |
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07-19-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Oakland A's OVER 8 | 1-14 | Win | 114 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 or 8 runs in Oakland vs Minnesota @ 4:05 ET - The Twins Tom Milone has been pitching surprisingly well in recent starts. Even in day games he's enjoyed success this season. The reason I say "even in day games" is because historically that's been a struggle for him and I am not going to let some succcess in a few day game outings this season totally wipe out what I have seen from Mione under the sun in much of his career. From 2012 to 2014, Milone went 8-11 with a 4.71 ERA and was hit at a .276 clip in day games. Also, over that same three year period he was hit at a .287 clip away from home. Milone was much stronger at home and in night games than he was on the road or in day games. Look for him to get hit hard by an Athletics team that hits the ball quite well at home with a .265 batting average so far this season in home games. As for the Twins, they will be teeing off against a struggling A's hurler this afternoon. Oakland sends Jesse Chavez to the mound and he's 0-3 with a 5.82 ERA in his last 3 starts. His last two outings have been particularly ugly with 8 earned runs on 16 hits (including 3 homers) in just 9 and 1/3 innings of work. With each of the first two games in this series totaling just 5 runs apiece, look for an offensive explosion this afternoon! Play OVER 7.5 or 8 runs in Oakland as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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07-19-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8.5 | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs in Detroit vs Baltimore @ 1:05 ET - The Tigers got shutout yesterday. Prior to that shocking result on their home field yesterday, Detroit has been one of the hottest offenses in the league for the past month. Of course this is a big part of the reason the over is 22-3 in their last 25 games. The Tigers powerful offense will bounce right back after being shutout Saturday afternoon. Facing the Orioles Miguel Gonzalez will surely help the cause. He's gone 1-2 with a 7.63 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP in his last 3 starts. All 3 starts went over the total. As for the Tigers starting pitcher this afternoon, Justin Verlander gets the call. In his five starts this season, the over is 5-0, 100% perfect this season. The Tigers right-hander has particularly struggled at home where he's compiled a 6.19 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP in his 3 home starts this season. Verlander has allowed 8 earned runs in just 11 innings of work in his last two starts against the Orioles. Gonzales is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and a 2.07 WHIP in his three career outings against the Tigers. This one is flying over as the over stays PERFECT in Verlander's starts this season! Play OVER 8.5 runs in Detroit as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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07-18-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 7.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7.5 runs in LA Angels vs Boston @ 9:05 ET - I love coming in strong with an over in a series where the first game is a 1-0 pitchers' duel. Yesterday's game didn't even get 8 hits, let alone 8 runs! That said, no one will expect the bats to come to life today but there is every reason to believe that it is exactly that which will occur. Red Sox starter Rick Porcello has an ugly 7.71 ERA and 1.86 ERA in his last 3 starts. Also, on the season, the Boston right-hander has gone 1-5 on the road with an ugly 7.16 ERA. Porcello faced the Angels once already this season and that did not go well at all as he allowed 7 earned runs in less than 5 innings of work in Boston. Before yesterday's 1-0 win, the Angels were on a 7-2 run and had scored 65 runs in those 9 games. That's an average of 7 runs per game and the Halos should have no trouble with the offerings of Porcello tonight. The Angels starter tonight is Garrett Richards and he got crushed for 12 hits in less than 6 innings of work in his final start before the All Star Break. Facing the Red Sox is unlikely to spark a turn-around for the right-hander. He's given up 7 earned runs on 14 hits in less than 8 innings of work in his last two appearances against the BoSox. Overall, Richards has a 5.14 ERA against the Red Sox in his career and Porcello has a 7.07 ERA against the Angels in his career. The over was 7-2 in the Angels last 9 games before yesterday's 1-0 win and the over is 5-1 in Angels games this season when they are off of a shutout win. Play OVER 7.5 runs in the LA Angels game as a *10* Top Play Saturday. |
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07-18-15 | Texas Rangers v. Houston Astros OVER 7.5 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Houston vs Texas @ 7:10 ET - These teams combined for 24 hits in yesterday's match-up but, amazingly, only 5 runs were scored. That's a big part of the reason I have no problem coming right back with the same play in Game 2 of this series. The Rangers are sending Colby Lewis to the mound in this one. The over is 12-5 in the right-handers starts this season. Since May 1st, the over is 11-2-1 in Lewis' starts. Lewis has an 8.47 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP in his last three starts. The Astros will be getting their third look at him this season and they did get to him for 4 earned runs when they saw him for the first time this season back in April. As for the Houston starter tonight, Scott Feldman takes the mound. He got crushed for 6 earned runs on 9 hits in just 3 innings of work in his most recent start against the Rangers - back on May 5th. Feldman is coming off of a strong start at Baltimore in his most recent outing but, prior to that, the Astros right-hander had compiled a 5.70 ERA in his last 8 starts dating all way back to mid-April. Lewis has allowed 5 homers in his last 3 starts and there will be some big extra base hits coming today after yesterday's game had no business staying under the total - 24 hits in the game! Play OVER 7.5 runs in Houston as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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07-18-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8 | 3-0 | Loss | -122 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Detroit vs Baltimore @ 7:05 ET - These teams combined to go over the total in the 5th inning yesterday as the Tigers amazing run of high-scoring games continues. Not even the All Star Break could stand in the way of that. The over is now 22-2 in Detroit's last 24 games. Even with David Price on the hill for the Tigers, the trend of high-scoring games should continue today. Price did not allow an earned run in 8 innings in his most recent start (at Minnesota on July 9th). However, prior to this outing Price had given up 23 hits in his 3 prior starts spanning 19 and 2/3 innings. The southpaw is facing an Orioles lineup that has produced a .261 batting average and .405 slugging percentage against left-handed pitching this season. Both of those marks rank Baltimore among the tops in the league in each category. The Orioles will be sending Chris Tillman to the mound tonight. Though he's allowed just two earned runs in each of his last two starts, Tillman has given up 18 hits in just 10 and 2/3 innings as he was hit quite hard in each outing. The O's right-hander faces a Tigers team that has produced an incredible .290 batting average in home games this season. Play OVER 8 runs in Detroit as an *8* selection Saturday. |
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07-17-15 | Texas Rangers v. Houston Astros OVER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 8 runs in Houston vs Texas @ 8:10 ET - Martin Perez gets the start for the Rangers and this is the first MLB start for the southpaw in 14 months. He has been on the shelf after having Tommy John surgery. Perez did not impress in his rehab starts in the minors and this included getting hit quite hard at Round Rock in his AAA outings. Now he must face MLB hitting and, in his last 3 starts at the MLB level, Perez got rocked for 19 earned runs in 13 and 1/3 innings. Based on all of the above, I do not expect the left-hander to return to the MLB level and be mowing down hitters tonight. As for his counterpart tonight, Colin McHugh gets the start for the Astros. The right-hander lost each of his last two starts before the All Star Break. Those both came on the road but McHugh hasn't exactly dominated at home this season. In fact, he's compiled an ugly 4.89 ERA in his home outings this season. This will be the 3rd time in the past 11 months that Texas has seen McHugh and this will be the 4th time in the past 2 years that the Astros are seeing Perez. The familiarity helps as does the fact that neither starting pitcher is "on top of their game" right now. Couple that with the fact that this total dropped from an opener of 8.5 down to an 8 and it's "go time" with this one. Play OVER 8 runs in Houston as a *10* Top Play Friday. |
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07-17-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Detroit vs Baltimore @ 7:05 ET - The Tigers finished up the first half of the season with an incredible run of overs. The over is 21-2 in Detroit's last 23 games. I will gladly jump right back on board this strong trend as the second half resumes. Ubaldo Jimenez gets the start for the Orioles this evening. It will be a warm, muggy, breezy evening in Detroit and the ball will be carrying very well. Although Jimenez managed to pitch 5 innings of shut-out ball in his final outing before the All Star break, he did allow 7 hits and 3 walks for 10 baserunners in those 5 innings of work. A potent lineup like the Tigers have will take advantage of getting "ducks on the pond" and have the power to clear the bases early and often. Jimenez is 5-9 with a 5.21 ERA in his career starts against the Tigers. The Orioles are just 3-7 in his road starts this season as he has not been as strong on the road as he has been at home. As for the Tigers starter tonight it's Anibal Sanchez who gets the ball. He's allowed 4 homers in his last 3 starts and that included an outing at home where he gave up 3 longballs in that start. Sanchez has had some issues with command of his pitches recently as he's walked 8 in his last 2 starts. Overall, in his last 4 starts, he's posted a mediocre 4.55 ERA. The powerful Orioles lineup can take advantage and has a lot of pop against right-handed pitchers. Two powerful lineups and two starting pitchers who haven't been at their sharpest of late will square off on a muggy evening in Michigan tonight. A lot of offense can be expected and I'll take advantage of the low total here. Play OVER 8 runs in Detroit as an *8* selection Friday. |
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07-12-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 112 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 6.5 or 7 runs in Pittsburgh vs St Louis @ 8:05 ET - The Pirates 6-5 win over the Cardinals yesterday went 14 innings. Of course that did no favors for either team's bullpen and that means an early exit for either starting pitcher tonight could be very taxing to the Bucs or Cards bullpen. With a low total posted on this game, it's easy to step in large with confidence on this match-up. It's a battle of southpaws tonight in Pittsburgh and the Pirates Francisco Liriano has made 5 starts so far this season where he was opposed by a fellow left-hander. The over is 4-1, 80% in those five starts. As for the Cardinals Tim Cooney, he has made 3 starts so far this season and the over is 3-0, 100% perfect in those three starts. Though Cooney has some decent numbers in his limited action so far this season, he's faced some weaker hitting teams. On the road and facing a solid Pirates lineup on national TV will be the biggest challenge Cooney has faced yet this season when you consider that his first three starts have come against the Phillies, Padres, and Cubs. Those 3 clubs have team batting averages that rank them near the bottom of the majors. Even with facing that weaker opposition not the Cooney did allow 3 homers in just 8 and 1/3 innings of work spanning his first two starts this season. There were 4 homers hit in last night's game and the ball should continue to carry well tonight in Pittsburgh. The Pirates Liriano gave up 5 earned runs in 6 and 1/3 innings of work the last time he faced the Cardinals and that included allowing 2 long balls. The over is 5-1 in the Cards last six games overall. The Pirates last game against a lefty saw them pile up 8 runs in a game that flew over the total. More of that tonight! Play OVER 6.5 or 7 runs in Pittsburgh as a *10* Top Play Sunday night. |
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07-12-15 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *7* OVER 7.5 runs -105 in LA Dodgers vs Milwaukee @ 4:10 ET - The Brewers Kyle Lohse is about as "hittable" of a pitcher as you'll ever see at the MLB level. In his last nine starts he's given up 39 earned runs on 70 hits in 49 and 1/3 innings of work. Lohse has given up 20 homers in his 18 starts this season and he now faces a Dodgers lineup that has been especially dangerous with the long ball in home games this season. Of course LA is known to be kinder to the pitchers than the hitters but the ball does carry better in afternoon games here in comparison with the sometimes chilly evening air of LA summers. Lohse will get pounded (again) here as his 6.29 ERA this season shows you just how consistently hittable he's been this season. The Dodgers send Brett Anderson to the mound this afternoon. He got hit hard by the Phillies in his most recent home start and, in fact, the over is now 6-3 in Anderson's 9 home starts this season. With yesterday's game going over the total, the over is now 7-2-1 in the Brewers last 10 road games. As for LA, the over is 31-17 in Dodgers home games this season. Play OVER 7.5 runs in the LA Dodgers game as a *7* selection Sunday. |
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07-12-15 | Atlanta Braves v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 | Top | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 10 runs -115 in Colorado vs Atlanta @ 4:10 ET - The Braves Alex Wood will be making his first ever start at Coors Field. If he's once again struggling to have proper command of his curveball it's going to be an ugly outing for the young southpaw. Wood tried to start the first game of this series but was only able to throw two pitches in the bottom of the first inning before a lengthy rain delay then pushed him back to this start on Sunday. As for the Rockies, they start Chad Bettis in this one. He's been struggling mightily of late. Bettis has compiled an ugly 10.29 ERA with a 2.00 WHIP in his last three starts. His most recent start was a nightmare here at Coors Field as he allowed 4 homers in less than 3 innings of work. Bettis only career start against the Braves was also a nightmare as he allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings and he gave up two long balls in that one. The first three games of this series have all stayed under the total but the teams have combined for 62 hits. On a very warm afternoon in the mile high air of Denver, the ball will be carrying very well. Look for an absolute slugfest to erupt this afternoon. Play OVER 10 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Sunday. |
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07-12-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8.5 | 10-11 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 runs -105 in Kansas City vs Toronto @ 2:10 ET - Excessive heat in Kansas City on Sunday afternoon and the pitchers could easily wear down early in this one. Note that southpaw Felix Doubront of the Blue Jays is making just his second start of the season. He had a great first start but that was against the punch-less White Sox lineup. He faces a much more powerful lineup this afternoon and he's compiled an ugly 5.87 ERA with a putrid 1.83 WHIP in his 3 career starts against the Royals. Kansas City is likely to have some pitching issues of their own here as well. Although Edinson Volquez has produced strong numbers this season he's not happy about seeing Blue Jays uniforms stepping into the batters box today. Volquez is an ugly 0-3 with an 8.85 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in his four career starts against Toronto. The over is 8-4 in Jays Sunday games this season. The over is 10-6 this season in Royals home games this season where they have a money line in the range of -100 up to -125. This line is right around a "pick'em" today and the reason this game is forecast to be "anybody's game" is because neither pitcher is going to enjoy success on the mound. That is what the odds makers are telling you with this line coupled with the career stats these two pitchers have against their respective opponents that they are facing today. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Kansas City as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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07-12-15 | New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs -101 in Boston vs NY Yankees @ 1:35 ET - This match-up barely stayed under the total yesterday and that won't be repeated today. Not with this pitching match-up. Nathan Eovaldi gets the start for the Yankees and he's compiled a 5.17 ERA with a 1.70 WHIP in his 9 road starts this season. The Red Sox are also seeing him for the 3rd time already this season and the BoSox already produced 15 hits in the first 12 innings against him. As for Boston's starter today, Wade Miley gets the ball. The southpaw is giving the Yankees a third look at him this season and he comes into this outing with some significant struggles in his last two outings. Miley has given up 14 hits and 9 walks in his last 11 and 2/3 innings of work. That's about 2 base-runners per inning folks and the Bronx Bombers will take advantage of having "ducks on the pond" by clearing the bases a few times on this very hot afternoon Sunday in Boston. The weather is right and the pitching match-up is right for expecting plenty of fireworks on this warm July day game Sunday at Fenway Park. The over is 23-15 in Yankees games when they are off of a loss this season. The over is 9-3 in Red Sox Sunday games this season. Play OVER 9 runs in Boston as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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07-12-15 | Houston Astros v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 7 | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7 runs +106 in Tampa Bay vs Houston @ 1:10 ET - The Astros are already concerned about the workload of young southpaw Lance McCullers workload so his start today was the result of being pushed back a little in the rotation. Don't be surprised if this throws his rhythm off a bit. As for the Rays, they are starting Matt Moore who is trying to return to form after Tommy John surgery. However, in his first two starts since coming back he's been unable to make it out of the fifth inning! Moore has compiled an ERA of 8.00 with an ugly 2.11 WHIP in his first two starts this season. The Astros lineup is hungry to bounce back after doing very little in the first two games of this series. That said, a struggling Moore will be the perfect remedy for the Houston sticks. McCullers has produced just one win in his five road starts this season and he allowed 7 hits in just 5 innings at Boston in his most recent start. The over is 8-4 in Astros road games with a posted total of 7 runs or less this season. The over is 16-7 in Rays home games with a posted total of 7 runs or less this season. The over was 10-1-1 in Tampa Bay's 12 games prior to this series. The first two games easily stayed under but that is simply giving more line value for a huge Rays over today on Sunday with this pitching match-up being a key component to plenty of offense. Play OVER 7 runs in Tampa Bay as an *8* selection Sunday. |
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07-11-15 | San Diego Padres v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 8.5 runs in Texas vs San Diego @ 9:05 ET - The Padres James Shields hasn't notched a winning decision in any of his past six starts and now faces a Rangers lineup that is always dangerous at Globe Life Park in Arlington. Colby Lewis gets the start for Texas and he was rocked for 10 earned runs in just 4 innings in his most recent start. In his start prior to that disaster, Lewis allowed 3 homers and 5 runs (3 earned) in just 6 innings of work. Lewis has made 7 home starts this season and ALL SEVEN have resulted in overs. The over is a perfect 7-0 in home outings for Lewis this season. As for Shields, he has pitched well in pitcher-friendly Petco Park in San Diego but he's struggled some on the road this season. Shields has a 4.85 ERA on the road this season and Lewis has a 5.11 ERA in home games this season. The over is 12-5 in Shields starts this season! The over was 4-1 in the Rangers last 5 games before yesterday's game stayed just under the total. The over is 17-10 in Padres games against teams with a losing record this season. The over is also 6-3 in San Diego's games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs this season. Seeing this total at an 8.5 is a great value considering neither one of these starters is likely to dominate. Also, the later start time reduces any concern of shadows on a hot summer evening in Arlington where it will be perfect conditions for more big extra-base hits just like yesterday's game where there were 6 of them including 3 homers. Look for even more fireworks from the lineups in this one tonight. Play OVER 8.5 runs in Texas as Rickenbach's *10* TOP PLAY INTERLEAGUE *GAME OF THE YEAR* Saturday. |
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07-11-15 | New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8.5 or 9 runs in Boston vs NY Yankees @ 7:15 ET - Red Sox southpaw Eduardo Rodriguez gets the start against the Bronx Bombers today and it's unlikely to go well for him. The left-hander is making his first ever start against the Yankees but other starts against AL East foes (known for their strong lineups) have not gone well. Rodriguez is 1-2 with a 7.08 ERA in his career outings against AL East opposition. The Yankees won yesterday's game 5 to 1 and it was their third straight win and they've scored at least five runs in each victory. They will take advantage of Rodriguez who has a 7.52 ERA at Fenway Park this season. In fact, all 4 of his home starts this season have resulted in overs. As for the Yankees, they send Ivan Nova to the mound. Nova is trying to come back from Tommy John surgery and he's struggling to get back on track. His first start was solid but that was against the pathetic Phillies. In his next two starts he gave up a combined 14 hits and 5 walks in 10 and 1/3 innings of work. His low ERA so far in his three outings this season is deceiving. Nova has struggled and today those struggles lead to plenty of runs for the Red Sox. In Boston's six games prior to yesterday's loss they had gone 5-1 and averaged 7 runs per game. Their offense gets right back on track on a warm evening in Boston tonight. The over is 10-6 in Red Sox games this season where they are small home favorite (up to -125). The over is 9-3 in Yankees' Saturday games this season. Play OVER 8.5 or 9 runs in Boston as an *8* TOTAL SLUGFEST selection Saturday. |
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07-11-15 | Atlanta Braves v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 10 runs in Colorado vs Atlanta @ 4:10 ET - Matt Wisler gets the start for the Braves. He gets a lot of his outs through the air and that's bad news when pitching in the thin air of Colorado. The ball carries well here and this will be especially true in a warm afternoon game setting like today is offering. Wisler will struggle to keep the ball down and the Rockies powerful lineup will take advantage. If he struggles with command of his slider again today, things will be especially troublesome for the young right-hander. So far the 22 year-old rookie has pitched well in home starts but he's been rocked in both of his road outings including his only day game start so far this season. Wisler is likely to get pounded, as many rookie pitchers do, when making a first ever appearance at Coors Field. As for the Rockies starter this afternoon, Jorge De La Rosa has been hit at a .301 clip in his home starts this season. In eight outings at Coors Field, the Rockies southpaw has compiled an ugly 6.81 ERA and he also has an ugly 8.04 ERA and 1.85 WHIP in career outings against the Braves. The over is 11-2 in Atlanta's Saturday games this season. Yesterday's game stayed under the total but today's goes "Over Easy". Play OVER 10 runs in Colorado as an *8* OVER EASY selection from Rickenbach on Saturday. |
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07-10-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 or 8.5 runs in Kansas City vs Toronto - Marco Estrada gets the start for the Blue Jays and he's only lasted 7 and 1/3 innings in his last two starts. The Toronto right-hander has walked 5 plus given up 8 hits (including 2 homers) in his last 7 innings on the mound. Now Estrada must face a Royals team that is surging with 5 straight wins. Kansas City has averaged 7.2 runs per game during this hot streak at the plate and each of the last 4 victories has flown over the total. The Blue Jays will also do plenty of damage at the plate tonight too. The Jays were shutout yesterday but were averaging 6 runs per game in their 8 prior games. The offense will be bounce back tonight as Toronto will be "teeing off" against the mediocre offerings of Danny Duffy. The Royals southpaw is 0-2 with an 11.42 ERA in three career games against the Blue Jays. He also comes into this game struggling a bit as he's allowed six earned runs in his last 13 innings and Duffy only registered one strikeout in his most recent start. The over is 10-3 in Blue Jays Friday games this season. As a road dog of +100 up to +125 the over is 14-6 in Toronto's games this season. In Blue Jays games on grass fields this season the over is 22-13. Play OVER 8 or 8.5 runs in Kansas City as an *8* selection Friday. |
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07-10-15 | San Diego Padres v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 9 runs in Texas vs San Diego @ 8:05 ET - Wandy Rodriguez is winless in his six home starts this season and he's compiled an ugly 7.42 ERA in Arlington. The Rangers southpaw is facing a Padres team that has struggled to score runs of late. However, Rodriguez has allowed a ridiculous 28 hits and 8 walks in his last 14 innings of work. San Diego will take advantage of facing a struggling left-hander who has produced an awful 2.57 WHIP in his last 3 starts! As for the Padres starter tonight, Ian Kennedy gets the nod and he's been roughed up away from pitcher-friendly San Diego this season. In his road outings this season, Kennedy has been hit at a .282 clip. Tonight he must contend with a Rangers team that had a day off yesterday to think about their current (and very unusual) 5 game home losing streak. Texas is 6-3 to the over this season when they enter a game on a losing streak of 3 games or more. The over is 12-6 this season in San Diego's games as a road dog of +100 to +125. The over is 5-2 in Padres games this season when they are coming off of a day off. The over is also 13-7 this season in San Diego's games against left-handed starters. Last, but certainly not least, the over is an impressive 17-9 this season in their games against teams with a losing record. Play OVER 9 runs in Texas as an *8* selection Friday. |
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07-10-15 | Oakland A's v. Cleveland Indians OVER 7.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Cleveland vs Oakland @ 7:10 ET - Indians starter Danny Salazar hasn't even made it out of the 5th inning in 3 of his last 4 starts heading into this outing against the A's. The longball has been a problem for Salazar this season and the A's rank in the top third of the league for home runs hit in road games. Getting away from pitcher-friendly Oakland, the Athletics have had plenty of pop in their bats this season. Kendall Graveman has pitched quite well this season for the A's but the Indians lineup has plenty of confidence at the plate right now as they have surged with 8 wins in their last 11 games. Cleveland has averaged scoring 5 runs per game in those 8 victories. The over is 9-5 this season in Indians games this season where they are a home favorite of -125 up to -150. The over is 32-17 in A's night games this season and, though I am not big on day of the week trends, the over is 9-2 in Oakland's Friday games this season. Looking forward to the weekend, the A's sticks come to the party again tonight! Play OVER 7.5 runs in Cleveland as an *8* selection Friday. |
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07-09-15 | Atlanta Braves v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* OVER 10.5 runs in Colorado vs Atlanta @ 8:40 ET - The Braves lost 6-5 at Milwaukee yesterday but showed some pop at the plate and have now averaged 10 hits per game in their last 10 games. Atlanta is finally back on a bit of an offensive surge and there is every reason in the world to believe that it continues tonight. The Braves will be "teeing off" against struggling Colorado hurler Kyle Kendrick. The right-hander has quickly found out why so many pitchers avoid coming to the Rockies! Pitching at Coors Field is a nightmare. Kendrick is 1-4 with a 6.70 ERA in home starts this season. Also, even though two of his last three starts have been on the road, things have been awful for Kendrick of late. The veteran righty has compiled a 6.23 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Braves have seen plenty of him in his career as he previously spent many seasons with the division rival Phillies. Atlanta has rocked the former Philadelphia hurler two of the last three times they have seen him. As for Braves hurler tonight, it's Alex Wood whom gets the start. The southpaw has been rocked for 10 hits in 2 of his last 3 starts and he's making his first ever career start at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Many first starts at Coors Field end up being nightmares. Note that the Rockies are hitting a ridiculous .298 as a team in home games this season. Yes, that includes pitcher at-bats too! That's an insanely strong hitting performance for the Rockies at home this season and the over is 5-2 in Kendrick's home starts this year. Play OVER 10.5 runs in Colorado as a *10* Top Play Thursday. |
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07-09-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 8 runs in Minnesota vs Detroit @ 8:10 ET - Yesterday, Detroit's game at Seattle went over the total in the 4th inning as their amazing run of overs continues. It's now a 19-0 run to the over for the Tigers in their last 19 games. There is no reason to not expect the streak to continue tonight. Detroit is now in Minnesota and the Twins are sending a struggling Mike Pelfrey to the mound. He's compiled a horrific 9.94 ERA with a ridiculously bad 2.76 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In Pelfrey's most recent start against the Tigers he was rocked for 5 runs (4 earned) on 10 hits in an outing in which he didn't even complete 5 innings! As for Detroit, they do send a big name pitcher to the mound tonight as David Price gets the start. However, the big southpaw has been quite hittable of late. Price has given up 23 hits in his last 19 and 2/3 innings of work. Each of Price's last four starts have gone over the total. The left-hander's last start at Minnesota saw him allow 3 runs on 6 hits in 6 and 1/3 innings so it's not like he was unhittable. In fact, the Twins have scored 122 runs against left-handed pitching this season and that ranks them 2nd in the majors for runs scored against southpaws. Look for the Tigers run of overs to reach 20 straight with another slugfest tonight. Play OVER 8 runs in Minnesota as an *8* selection. |
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07-08-15 | Miami Marlins v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 9 runs in Boston vs Miami @ 7:10 ET - Prior to yesterday's under the Marlins had gone over the total in 4 of their last 6 games and the Red Sox had gone over the total in 5 of their last 7 games. The high-scoring action resumes tonight. There will be some storms rolling through the Boston area late this afternoon but all should be out of the area by this evening and it should end up being a beautiful night for plenty of "fireworks" in Boston tonight. With the two hurlers involved in this pitching match-up the big hits should come early and often. Boston's Rick Porcello is simply having a nightmare of a time recently. He's compiled an 11.08 ERA and a 2.08 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In his last 8 starts, Porcello has given up 40 earned runs in 44 innings of work. That equates to an 8.18 ERA and he's been hit particularly hard in recent outings. Conversely, Miami's Tom Koehler has pitched decently of late but his year-to-date stats on the road tell the real story. Away from home so far this seaosn, Koehler has compiled a 5.77 ERA in 8 starts and only 2 of those 8 outings resulted in unders! Now he faces a strong American League lineup. In fact, Boston's .277 batting average at home ranks 4th in the majors so far this season. The Red Sox also have extra confidence at the plate because they've won 7 of their last 9 games and have averaged 5.4 runs per game in the process. Their surge on offense continues tonight but their pitching won't match that success as Porcello's struggles continue on the mound. That said, this one is all about the offense tonight! Play OVER 9 runs in Boston as a *10* Top Play Wednesday. |
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07-08-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB *8* OVER 7.5 runs in Seattle vs Detroit @ 3:40 ET - With yesterday's 7-6 loss at Seattle, the Tigers are now on an absolutely incredible 18-0 run to the over. It simply won't stop! No matter who has been on the mound, Detroit continues to get involved in high-scoring games each and every day. Look for more of the same on Wednesday afternoon. It will be another unusually warm afternoon in Seattle and that will help the ball carry even better than it usually does at Safeco Field. JA Happ gets the ball for the Mariners and he gave up 8 hits in 6 innings in his most recent start. As for his most recent home start, Happ allowed 7 hits in just 5 innings of work. Now the Seattle southpaw must contend with one of the hottest lineups in baseball and he won't slow down this Tigers offense. Detroit got to him for 7 hits in 6 and 1/3 innings the last time they saw him and he wasn't fooling many hitters as Happ registered just two strikeouts in that game. Amazingly there were 7 homers hit at "pitcher-friendly" Safeco Field last night. The fact the game went 11 innings also required a lot of exta bullpen work and this was especially true for the Tigers. That could present a problem too because Detroit sends Anibal Sanchez to the mound this afternoon and, although he's off a successful outing, he allowed 5 homers in his prior two starts! If the long balls are flying again at Seattle this afternoon (quite likely) it could be a short stint for Sanchez which would require the Tigers fatigued bullpen to get involved early in this one. No matter how you look at it, an 18-0 run to the over coupled with the key variables noted above is a play that demands being made. Play OVER 7.5 runs in Seattle as an *8* selection Wednesday. |
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07-07-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 107 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB *10* Top Play OVER 7.5 runs +107 in Seattle vs Detroit @ 10:10 ET - Detroit's insane run of overs continues. It's now 17 IN A ROW with last night's 12-5 win at Seattle making overs 17-0 in the Tigers last 17 games. It has not mattered who is pitching or what the weather conditions are like or who is umpiring. Detroit just continues to get involved in high-scoring games night after night after night. Riding this streak once again tonight with a big top play on the Tigers game OVER the total. Detroit hands the ball to southpaw Kyle Ryan for the start tonight. The left-hander is making just his fifth start of the season and he's struggling with command issues. He's walked 7 while striking out just 4 in his last two starts. Ryan is only averaging 5 innings per start and, in his last two outings has not made it out of the fifth inning in either one. I am not big on "day of the week" trends but the over is 8-4 this season in Tuesday games for the Mariners this season and it will be another very warm day in Seattle Tuesday with high temperatures running about 10 degrees above average leading to a very mild evening in the Pacific Northwest for this game. The Mariners send Taijuan Walker to the mound tonight. He's pitched very well of late but no pitcher in the entire majors wants to be facing the red hot Tigers lineup right now. Detroit has averaged 6.1 runs per game in their last 10 games and their lineup is showing no signs of slowing down after exploding for 12 runs in last night's game. Since their big slugger, Miguel Cabrera, went on the DL on July 3rd the Tigers have scored 33 runs in 4 games! Play OVER 7.5 runs in Seattle as a *10* Top Play Tuesday. |
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