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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-08-17 | Astros v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach Sunday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros @ 2:35 ET - Very mild air in Boston with a strong southwest wind expected for this afternoon's game. That means the wind will be blowing out to left field at Fenway Park and the ball should be carrying very well. With Doug Fister and Brad Peacock having just faced these opponents in last week's season-ending series, the hitters have a huge edge in getting another second look at them. Also, certainly neither was dominant in those meetings. Also, the over trend simply continues to be the theme here in the post-season. With both of yesterday's games going over the total, the over is now 8-2 in this post-season! By the way, the over is 8-4 in Peacock's road starts this season and also 4-0 in all his starts made against Boston in his career. As for Fister, he wrapped up the regular season by allowing 17 earned runs in 16 and 2/3 innings! The over is 49-28 when the Astros are a road favorite in a range of -125 to -175. Also, the over is 18-6 in Houston's Sunday games this season. In road games with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs, the over is 43-19 in Astros games. The Red Sox trended as an "under team" this season but they did go to 11-4 when playing after a day off. That is the case here and with the weather helping the cause I am looking for another slug-fest here. 10* OVER the total in Boston |
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10-07-17 | Cubs v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs @ 5:35 ET - The calendar says it is October but it will feel like anything but that for this game in DC Saturday. Temperatures in the 80s at first pitch with a south wind blowing out makes this the perfect recipe for a slugfest Saturday. The Nationals Gio Gonzalez has struggled recently with 9 earned runs given up in 9 and 1/3 innings in his final two starts of the season. The southpaw also walked 8 in those two starts. Though the Washington lefty had a solid start versus the Cubs this season, his two prior starts saw Gonzalez allow 8 earned runs in 12 innings versus Chicago. The Cubs send Jon Lester to the mound for this one and the lefty compiled a 4.41 ERA on the road this season. Also, each of his last 7 starts have gone over the total and, overall, the over is on a 9-1 run in Lester's last 10 starts! The over is also 5-2 in the last 7 starts Gonzalez has made. Look for Lester's over streak to reach 8-0 here in ideal conditions for an over in Washington as the Nationals respond after yesterday's shutout loss! 10* OVER the total in Washington |
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10-06-17 | Cubs v. Nationals UNDER 7 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 110 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach Friday MLB 10* Top Play UNDER the total in Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs @ 7:30 ET - Even though this total is low (making the over very enticing of course) the fact is that this is shaping up to be a pitchers duel. Stephen Strasburg gets the start for the Nationals and he has a 0.86 ERA in his 10 starts since the All Star break. Kyle Hendricks gets the start for the Cubs and he returned (from a hand injury) in July. From late July through the end of the season, Hendricks compiled a 2.19 ERA. Also, Hendricks has a 2.67 ERA in his career versus Washington and Strasburg has a 2.08 ERA in his career versus the Cubs. The under went 17-9 in Strasburg's starts this season and Hendricks road starts produced a 9-2 mark in favor of the under this season! Overall, the under is 8-1-1 in Strasburg's last 10 starts and the under is 10-3 in Hendricks last 13 starts including a current streak of 5 straight unders. More of the same here. 10* UNDER the total in Washington |
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10-05-17 | Red Sox v. Astros UNDER 7 | 2-8 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach Thursday MLB 8* UNDER the total in Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox @ 4:05 ET - Of course this total is ultra low (making it enticing to play the over) but don't be fooled. This game has all the makings of 1-0, 2-1, or 3-2 (at most) type of game. The Astros Justin Verlander has simply been phenomenal with only allowing 8 earned runs in his last 8 starts! Not surprisingly totals have gone 7-1 to the under in those 8 games. Verlander has been piling up the strikeouts as has Boston's Chris Sale. Even though the Red Sox southpaw has been a little "touched up" in recent outings, he had not allowed many hits (at least until his final start of the regular season) and is still piling up a ton of strikeouts. That is why there is value here even at a low number with this total. Sale is fully capable of turning things up a notch now that playoff time is here. Also, the Red Sox bullpen is one of the best in baseball and, while the Astros rank merely in the middle of the pack, the fact is that Houston will hardly need a pen in the first game of this series with the way Verlander has been pitching. The under is 29-15 in Red Sox day games this season. Also, Boston is on an 8-2 run to the under in October games. The Astros are a solid 7-1 to the under in home games with a posted total of 7 runs or less. That is why, as noted above, don't let the small total scare you in this one. Look for the under to go to 13-6 in Astros Thursday games this year. 8* UNDER the total in Houston |
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10-04-17 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 8-11 | Loss | -100 | 70 h 41 m | Show |
Wild Card Wednesday Top - Rickenbach MLB 10* Top Play UNDER the total in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies @ 8:05 ET - The Rockies season finale on Wednesday stayed under the total and the under finished up the regular season on a 13-3 (81%) Run in Colorado's games. Though Arizona's regular season finale on Sunday went over the total their 3 prior games all resulted in unders and this Wednesday Wild Card match-up has the makings of a pitchers duel. Jon Gray gets the start for the Rockies and, though he has no playoff experience, he is in fine current form and is also his 3rd year in the majors. Gray has gone 13 straight games without allowing more than 3 earned runs in a start. Also, the two times he faced the Diamondbacks in Arizona this season he allowed just 2 earned runs each time plus he recorded a total of 20 strikeouts in the 13 innings spanning those two sparkling outings. Gray is on a 7-2 run and recorded a 2.57 ERA in September and a 2.30 ERA in August. Of course he'll be opposed by Zack Greinke here whom is the staff ace for Arizona. He is a post-season veteran who only struggled in his first year in the post-season. In subsequent seasons Greinke has been "lights out" in play-off action. Also, the Dbacks veteran right-hander enters this start with a 13-1 record and 2.87 ERA in his home starts this season. He has a 3.15 ERA in his 3 starts hosting the Rockies this season and he allowed only 15 hits in the 20 innings spanning those 3 starts. Only 4 of Greinke's last 18 starts have resulted in an over. This should be quite the pitchers duel here. 10* UNDER the total in Arizona |
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10-03-17 | Twins v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 47 h 40 m | Show |
Wild Card Tuesday Top - Rickenbach MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins @ 8:05 ET - The Twins are going with veteran Ervin Santana. Though I certainly respect the veteran hurler he did allow 7 hits in less than 6 innings versus the Yankees in his most recent appearance versus them and that was only 2 weeks ago. In other words the Yanks just saw him and, keep in mind, they now have 13 hits in their last 10 and 2/3 innings facing Santana. The Twins right-hander has allowed 4 homers in his last 4 starts versus the Yankees. As for the New York starter Tuesday it is Luis Severino. Not only is he only 23 years old but this will be his first ever post-season appearance at any level. This wild card match-up is a lot of pressure for him and he allowed 3 earned runs on 5 hits in 3 innings of work in his first ever start versus the Twins and that was less than 2 weeks ago. That means this Minnesota lineup is getting a quick second look at him. Certainly the Yankees have a solid bullpen but this is a low total considering that both of these starters are likely to "get touched up" in this one. I know it's playoff baseball but two potent lineups here facing two "questionable" starters. This is not likely to be a pitchers duel. Also, a light breeze likely to be blowing out to left field with fairly moderate temperatures too. 10* OVER the total in New York Yankees Tuesday |
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10-01-17 | Reds v. Cubs OVER 9 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Rickenbach MLB 8* OVER the total in Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds @ 3:20 ET - Mild afternoon in Chicago with the wind blowing out toward the left field corner. Final day regular season MLB match-ups can be tricky but wouldn't matter who is pitching, who is in the lineup, this day game situation at Wrigley Field is the perfect situation for an over. Michael Montgomery gets the start for the Cubs and he has a 5.81 ERA at home this season and has allowed 7 earned runs in 7 innings in his last two starts at Wrigley Field. Deck McGuire gets the start for the Reds here and he got completely crushed at Milwaukee earlier this week. The over is 26-11 when the Cubs are a home fave in the -175 to -250 range this season. 8* OVER the total in the Chicago Cubs game |
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10-01-17 | Braves v. Marlins OVER 9 | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
Rickenbach MLB 10* Top Play Sunday OVER the total in Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves @ 3:10 ET - Of course the big story here is Stanton going for his 60th home run and he will actually bat leadoff for the Marlins in this one to get as many plate appearances as possible. He and Miami have a good chance of success against Max Fried. The right-hander got roughed up by the Marlins two weeks ago and he has allowed 13 hits in the 9 innings spanning his last two starts. Miami counters with Jose Urena here and I know he has had a good season and been tough at home. However, this will be the 4th time in about 3 and 1/2 months that the Braves are facing him. Also, Urena did allow 6 earned runs in his most recent start and Atlanta has averaged 9.1 hits per game in their last 9 games against right-handed starters. The Marlins have been on a red hot run at the plate that continued with yesterday's 10-2 win as they've averaged 7.4 runs per game in their last 12 games. The Marlins have won 3 straight and the over is 10-5 when Miami is on a winning streak of 3 games or more this season. The Braves have now lost 6 straight and they're 19-11 to the over this season when on a losing streak of 3 games or more. Look for one more wild one involving the Marlins this afternoon as they help Stanton chase his 60th homer! 10* OVER the total in Miami |
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10-01-17 | Mariners v. Angels OVER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Sunday MLB 8* OVER the total in Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners @ 3:05 ET - The ball carries better in day games compared to night games in Anaheim. The Mariners James Paxton is winless with a 6.97 ERA in his last 3 starts. He allowed a pair of homers in his most recent start. The Angels Parker Bridwell has allowed a pair of homers in each of his last two starts. The over is 4-1 in the Angels last 5 games and 4-0 in the Mariners last 4 games. Bridwell has allowed 7 earned runs in the 12 innings spanning his last two starts and I look for more of the same here as both these starters get lit up. 8* OVER the total in LA Angels |
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09-28-17 | Tigers v. Royals OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach Thursday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers @ 8:15 ET - With "playoff pressure" now gone for the recently eliminated Royals, their bats have come to life. They scored 7 runs yesterday in a 7-4 win and I look for more of the same today. Of course the Tigers are on a long losing streak right now but that has not prevented them from being an "over machine" of late. With yesterday's game totaling 11 runs, the over is now 8-2-1 in Detroit's last 11 games. With Daniel Norris on the mound for the Tigers tonight, I expect those numbers to add another "over" by the time this one is in the books. Norris has a 10.94 ERA in his last 3 starts. Also, the Detroit southpaw has given up 10 earned runs in the 14 and 1/3 innings spanning his last 3 starts versus the Royals. Kansas City will have southpaw Danny Duffy on the mound in this one. The lefty has given up 11 earned runs in the 15 innings spanning his last 3 starts versus the Tigers. Although his overall numbers are good this season, he is not 100% healthy. This is just his 3rd start since returning from the DL and he allowed 8 hits in 6 innings versus the White Sox in his most recent start. The over is 6-1-1 in the 8 road starts Norris has made this season and the over is 12-6 this season in games between these teams. Also, the Tigers are on a 48-27 run to the over in September games and Detroit is 15-3 to the over in Thursday games this season. I'll take advantage of the downward move on this total too as that has opened up even more line value in this one. 10* OVER the total in Kansas City |
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09-28-17 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 9.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach Thursday MLB 8* OVER the total in Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds @ 4:10 ET - The Brewers are still alive in the wild card hunt but I don't foresee Brent Suter slowing down the Reds sticks. Cincinnati won 6-0 yesterday and that was actually the first under this season in 8 meetings between these teams in Milwaukee. Look for the "over trend" to resume here as Suter gave up 3 homers in 5 innings in his lone start against the Reds and that was just last month. Sal Romano gets the start for Cincinnati here and he has allowed 3 homers in 8 innings in his 2 starts versus Milwaukee this season. Also, he comes into this start having been hit hard in 2 of his last 3 starts. The Reds would love to play the role of spoiler just like they did yesterday against a divisional rival and I look for them to again put up some big runs versus Milwaukee. However, the Brewers will enjoy a lot more success at the plate today because of facing Romano. That said, the value here is with the over and I look for the over to improve to 8-1 in the 9 meetings between these teams in Wisconsin this season. 8* OVER the total in Milwaukee |
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09-27-17 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 105 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach Wednesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:10 ET - Though Boston's Rick Porcello has pitched better since the All-Star break he still certainly hasn't been great. He was hit at a .270 clip in August and a .279 clip in September. Also, on the season, Porcello has gone 7-12 with a 5.37 ERA night games while opponents have hit him at a .293 clip under the lights. The Blue Jays pounded him for 7 earned runs in 5 and 1/3 innings the last time they faced him and that was only 3 weeks ago. The Blue Jays Marco Estrada has been pitching well of late but he has allowed a career-high 30 homers this season. It will be a warm evening at Fenway Park with a light breeze blowing out as well. He has a 4.96 ERA on the road this season and a 4.89 ERA in night games this season. Estrada had a great start against the Red Sox earlier this month but he has been "up and down" in starts versus Boston in his career. Also, the Red Sox have averaged 5.7 runs per game in their last 14 games. The Blue Jays are 7-4 in their last 11 games and they've averaged 5.6 runs per game during this stretch! The Red Sox are 3-1 to the over the last 4 times they've been off of a loss. Look for the over to improve to 7-3 in the Blue Jays last 10 games as this one flies over the total. Both bullpens got a little "touched up" last night and that's a good sign for what to expect tonight after each of these starters get a little roughed up too! 10* OVER the total in Boston Wednesday evening |
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09-27-17 | Mariners v. A's OVER 9.5 | 5-6 | Win | 110 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash Total - Rickenbach Wednesday MLB 8* OVER the total in Oakland A's vs Seattle Mariners @ 3:35 ET - Even though Erasmo Ramirez is off of a strong start, his best of the season, I look for him to struggle here. In his most recent road start he allowed 6 earned runs in just 4 innings. Also, in his most recent start versus the A's, Ramirez was rocked for 10 hits in just 5 and 1/3 innings of work. On the season he is 1-5 with a 7.50 ERA in his road starts. Oakland will have Kendall Graveman on the mound and, though he is having a solid September, he got rocked for 4 runs (3 earned) in just 5 and 1/3 innings in his lone start versus the Mariners this season. Even though he has a low ERA in day games this season, Graveman has been hit at a .289 clip in afternoon action so he's been fortunate to say the least. Last year he had a 4.58 ERA in day games and the prior season it was a 5.08 ERA in afternoon action. With yesterday's 6-3 win, the Mariners are 5-3 in road games this month and have averaged 6.3 runs per game so they step to the plate with plenty of confidence in this one. Though the A's have lost the first two games of this series, they had previously won 7 straight and averaged 5.6 runs per game in those victories. Look for the Athletics sticks to bounce right back against a hurler who has struggled on the road this season while the M's sticks also continue her their red hot road success this month. The result should be an easy over. The over is 6-3 in the 9 road starts that Ramirez has made this season. The A's are 36-24 to the over in day games this season. 8* OVER the total in Oakland Wednesday afternoon |
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09-26-17 | Twins v. Indians OVER 9.5 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 35 m | Show |
Earliest Cash Triple Play - Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Cleveland Indians vs Minnesota Twins @ 7:10 ET - Not sure how much longer Bartolo Colon will be pitching at the MLB level but, while he still is, I want to continue to take advantage. Colon has a 13.09 ERA in his last 3 starts. Even when it "looked" like he was pitching better (August stats), he did get hit at a .292 clip for the month so he was basically a "fortunate" pitcher. That good fortune ran out this month as he is 0-4 with a 9.17 ERA in September. The Indians are still trying to lock up home field for the AL playoffs while the Twins are still trying to lock down a wild card spot so there is plenty to play for here. That said, the offenses are likely to rule in this one as Cleveland's Josh Tomlin has a 5.35 ERA at home this season. Even though he's allowed just 2 earned runs in each of his last 3 starts, he has allowed 13 hits in the 11 innings spanning his 2 most recent starts. The Twins are seeing Tomlin for the 4th time already this season and the repetition has paid off for Minnesota hitters as they really pounded him when they most recently faced him. The Twins have won 8 of their 13 games and they've averaged 6.5 runs during this hot stretch. Of course the Indians recently wrapped up an epic winning streak and they're at it again. They've won 7 of their last 8 and averaged 6 runs per game in the 7 victories. The over is 9-3 in Colon's last 12 road starts. I expect another crazy slugfest here. He gave up 3 homers in his last start versus the Tribe and he comes into this outing having given up a pair of homers in each of his last two starts. 10* Top Play OVER the total in Cleveland |
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09-26-17 | Nationals v. Phillies OVER 9 | 1-4 | Loss | -113 | 24 h 16 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash Triple Play - Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 8* OVER the total in Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals @ 7:05 ET - Admittedly this is certainly a contrarian play but, from experience, this is the kind of stuff that cashes long-term. When you look at this game it is a national league match-up and involves pitchers with low ERA numbers and yet the total is a 9. Something is "up" here is my point and the reality is you're like to see the Gio Gonzalez whom gave up 5 earned runs in 5 innings versus the Braves two weeks ago. Also, you're likely to see the Jake Thompson whom gave up 5 earned runs in 5 innings versus the Nationals earlier this month. Thompson has had command issues and has walked 7 in his last 10 and 1/3 innings at home. The over is a perfect 4-0 in Thompson's home starts and the over is a perfect 3-0 in the last 3 road starts Gonzalez has made. Entering Monday, the scrappy Phillies were 7-3 in their last 10 home games and they averaged 5.6 runs per game during this hot stretch. The Nationals were 5-2 in their last 7 games overall and averaging about 5 runs per game. I am looking for at least a 6-5 type game here as the double perfect "over streaks" involving these pitchers remain intact. 8* OVER the total in Philadelphia |
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09-25-17 | Nationals v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach Monday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals @ 7:05 ET - I am well aware of the fact that the Nationals just clinched home field in the NLDS yesterday. However, I am also aware that Bryce Harper is coming back and even if he does not end up being in the lineup tonight, Washington is getting a boost with the good news that Harper is back. Ryan Zimmerman is also expected to be back in the lineup for the Nats Monday. Though they've clinched their playoff position these top hitters need to be in top form as the post-season approaches so don't be surprised if the Nationals are fielding a strong lineup tonight. Although Aaron Nola has been fantastic for the Phillies, he has given up 20 hits in his 16 and 1/3 innings versus Washington this season. Also, the Nationals are starting AJ Cole whom allowed 10 baserunners in 6 innings (6 hits and 4 walks) in his lone start at Philly this season. Also, when Cole faced the Phils last season he gave up 4 earned runs in 5 innings. The right-hander has a 1.74 WHIP in his road starts this season so his ERA away from home could easily be much higher than it is. The Phillies are off of a shutout win and in the 25 times they've been off of a shutout win the past 3 seasons combined, they've had just 9 unders. Odds makers had this total set at a 9 for a reason and the markets have pushed it down. I'll take advantage of the added value now being offered. 10* OVER the total in Philadelphia |
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09-25-17 | Royals v. Yankees OVER 9 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach Monday MLB 8* OVER the total in New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals @ 1:05 ET - Jakob Junis gets the start for the Royals. Though he has pitched very well, his road ERA (4.50) is a full run higher than his home ERA. Also, he has been hit at a .287 clip by left-handed hitters this season. That is significant here because it is likely that more than half of the Yankees lineup today will have guys stepping into the left-hand batters box. Certainly the Yankees also have some dangerous hitters on the right-hand side of the plate as well. Although Junis has a low ERA since the All Star break, he has been getting hit harder this month. He has been hit at a .284 clip in September and, in his first 3 starts this month he allowed 22 hits in 17 innings! The Royals rookie will be opposed by veteran southpaw C.C. Sabathia. The Yankees left-hander has a home ERA (4.55) that is nearly a run and half higher than his road ERA. Also, in the month of September Sabathia has been hit at a .308 clip. The over is 7-3 in the Yankees last 10 games and they've averaged scoring 6.3 runs per game during this stretch. The Royals got throttled 8-1 yesterday but they had averaged scoring 7.5 runs per game in their 4 prior games. Those KC games went 3-1 to the over and I expect the hot hitting to resume here. Warm afternoon in the Bronx means the ball will carry very well here. Won't be surprised to see a slugfest break out in this one. 8* OVER the total in the New York Yankees game |
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09-24-17 | Angels v. Astros OVER 9 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
ESPN Smash Pass Top Play - Rickenbach MLB 10* OVER the total in Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels @ 8:05 ET - The Astros Lance McCullers has not been healthy for some time now. He has only made one start since late July and it was not "smooth" to say the least. Overall, McCullers has an 8.40 ERA in his last 3 starts and, as he is trying to work out the kinks before the post-season I would not be surprised to see him struggle against a solid Angels lineup. While it is true that McCullers has been solid against the Angels in recent meetings, this situation is different with him "tuning up" for the post-season and truly not 100% healthy. As for the Los Angeles starter, Tyler Skaggs, he recently faced the Astros and enjoyed success. However, that start was at home and now he faces them in Houston and I look for the Astros to enjoy success in what is a quick "second look" at Skaggs. Note that the Angels southpaw is winless in his 7 road starts this season. The over is 17-5 in Astros Sunday games this season and I look for another one here. Even though Skaggs gave up just 2 earned runs in his most recent start he only struck out 1 while allowing 8 hits in just 5 and 1/3 innings. In other words, he was quite hittable and wasn't missing many bats. Look for more of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Houston |
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09-24-17 | Rangers v. A's OVER 9.5 | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach Sunday MLB 8* OVER the total in Oakland A's vs Texas Rangers @ 4:05 ET - This play embarrassed me yesterday as the game ended up being a 1-0 final. I'll come right back with it today and you can expect much different results in this one. This is an afternoon game and it will be quite warm this afternoon in Oakland with the wind blowing out to right field as well. As for the pitchers, the Rangers Martin Perez has a 5.40 ERA and has been hit at a .314 clip in day games this season. The A's Jharel Cotton has a 3-2 record since the All-Star break but note that he has a 6.85 ERA in those 9 starts and has been hit at a .293 clip during this stretch. The point is that both these pitchers are likely to struggle in this one. I know the Rangers bats haven't been getting the job done lately but Cotton has allowed 7 homers in his last 14 innings and he'll bring out the best in them today. Also, the A's bats (prior to yesterday) had certainly been red hot at home with averaging 8 runs per game in their 8 home games this month (prior to yesterday's 1-0 win). Look for the over to improve to 16-8 in A's home games this season. 8* OVER the total in Oakland |
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09-23-17 | Rangers v. A's OVER 9.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
NOTE: Raul Alcantara now getting the start for Oakland. This is still a play for me and it still a 10* Top Play. Alcantara is 1-4 with an 8.03 ERA in his 11 MLB appearances including 7 starts. MLB hitters have hit .305 against him in his career and this year in the minors (AAA level) Alcantara was hit at a .273 clip and mostly worked out of the bullpen. He certainly fits the bill as an "emergency starter" whom I am happy to fade. Game on! Total Annihilation - Rickenbach Saturday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Oakland A's vs Texas Rangers @ 9:05 ET - Sean Manaea gets the start for the A's. The Oakland southpaw has given up 10 runs (8 earned) on 17 hits in the 8 and 2/3 innings spanning his last two starts. Also, against the Rangers, Manaea has given up 13 runs (12 earned) in the 16 and 1/3 innings spanning his last 3 starts versus Texas. The Rangers will have a pitching "concern" of their own in this one as Miguel Gonzalez gets the start for Texas. The Rangers right-hander has given up 7 earned runs in 10 and 2/3 innings spanning his two starts at Oakland in his career. Also, Gonzalez has a 10.45 ERA and a 1.94 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Yesterday's game easily stayed under the total but the over had been 6-1 in Oakland's last 7 home games. The fact is that the A's have been hitting the ball very well at home. The Athletics have won 6 straight home games and they've averaged scoring 8 runs per game in their 8 home games this month! The over is 44-29 in Oakland's home games this season. Also, when off of a win, the A's are 42-26 to the over this season! 10* OVER the total in Oakland |
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09-23-17 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach Saturday MLB 8* OVER the total in Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals @ 7:10 ET - Danny Duffy had a great outing at Cleveland in his first start since coming off of the disabled list. However, he now faces a team that has given him all sorts of trouble this season. Duffy has given up 17 earned runs in his 16 innings versus the White Sox spanning his last 3 starts against them. As for the ChiSox starter tonight, Dylan Covey get the call. He is 0-6 with an 8.23 ERA as a starter this season. In his last two starts against the Royals, Covey has been rocked for 10 earned runs in 12 and 1/3 innings! You can see why I am expecting another wild one tonight after last night's 7-6 Chicago win. Also, temperatures in the 80s (very warm for late September in Chicago) means it will be another very hitter-friendly inning on Saturday. As a road favorite of -125 to -175, Kansas City is 6-1 to the over this season and an incredible 21-7 to the over the last 3 seasons combined! 8* OVER the total in Chicago White Sox |
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09-22-17 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
Contrarian Game of the Year - Rickenbach Friday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees @ 7:05 ET - This is a contrarian play because, on the surface, this would appear to have potential to be a pitchers duel. Of course that is also why this total dropped from a 9 to an 8.5 which is also why there is exceptional line value on the over in this one. The Yankees are sending Masahiro Tanaka to the mound. The over is 10-4 in his road starts this season as Tanaka has compiled a 6.14 ERA away from home. Tanaka's most recent start at Toronto, early last month, saw him walk 5 in just 4 innings of work as his road struggles continued. Tanaka also has given up 3 homers in his last 3 starts against the Blue Jays and he enters this start having allowed 3 homers in his last 2 starts overall. The Jays got shutout yesterday and the over is 3-1 the last 4 times that Toronto has been held to 1 run or less in their prior game. Also, the Blue Jays had averaged 6 runs per game in their last 4 games prior to yesterday's tough day at the plate. The Jays will send Marco Estrada to the mound for this one. The Toronto right-hander had a strong outing when he last faced the Yankees but, in his two prior starts versus the Yanks (also this season), he allowed a total of 13 earned runs in just 8 and 1/3 innings. New York got to him for a pair of homers in each of those starts. Also, Estrada enters this start having allowed 3 homers in his last 3 starts. The Yankees sticks are heating up again as they've won 10 of their last 12 games. The Yanks have averaged scoring 7 runs per game in their last 11 games! Estrada has hit a recent "under" stretch in his last 3 starts but, prior to that, the Blue Jays were 11-4 to the over in his 15 prior starts and now Estrada is facing a lineup that has given him some problems this season! Of course that is why the Yankees are priced significantly as a road favorite here and note that the over is 34-21 the last 55 times the Yanks have been a road fave in the -125 to -175 range. 10* OVER the total in Toronto |
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09-21-17 | Twins v. Tigers OVER 10 | Top | 12-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Total Annihilation - Rickenbach Thursday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins @ 7:10 ET - The Tigers Jordan Zimmerman has given up 30 hits in 15 innings while compiling a 9.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Twins Adalberto Mejia has allowed 19 hits in 10 innings while compiling a 9.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. Also, Zimmerman has a 13.11 ERA in his 3 starts versus Minnesota this season. As you would expect, all 3 of those starts went over the total. Also, the over was 4-0 in Detroit's 4 games prior to yesterday's low-scoring match-up with Oakland. The over is 14-3 this season in Tigers Thursday games. Detroit is also 43-23 to the over this season when they enter a game on a losing streak of 3 games or more. The Twins are on a long-term run of 120-83 to the over in their games against teams with a losing record. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER the total in Detroit |
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09-21-17 | Dodgers v. Phillies OVER 9 | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach Thursday MLB 8* OVER the total in Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 1:05 ET - The Phillies have won 8 of 11 games and this young team is playing with a ton of confidence as a result. In their last 12 games, Philadelphia has averaged 5.8 runs per game. Though Kenta Maeda gets plenty of respect - well deserved I might add - Philadelphia hasn't cared who they are facing of late. They've been pounding out big hits including the first ever grand slam Clayton Kershaw had allowed in his career. Note that Maeda has allowed 2 homers in a game twice in his last 3 starts overall and also twice in his last 3 starts versus the Phillies. As for the Phils Mark Leiter, he knows all about trouble stemming from the long ball. He has allowed 2 homers in a game in each of his last 3 starts! Overall, Leiter has a 9.39 ERA this month and I expect him to struggle again here as the Dodgers look to avoid the sweep. At the same time, Maeda will find this Phillies lineup to be operating at peak performance once again this afternoon as their power surge continues. The over is 11-5 this season when the Dodgers enter a game on a losing streak of 3 games or more. Also, the over is 13-4 in Thursday games for Los Angeles this season. 8* OVER the total in Philadelphia |
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09-20-17 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Total Annihilation - Rickenbach MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Cincinnati Reds vs St Louis Cardinals @ 7:10 ET - With last night's extra innings 8-7 Cardinals win, St Louis has averaged 7.8 runs per game in their last 5 games versus the Reds. The issue tonight for the Cards won't be their bats though. What will surprise some people is that the Cardinals Luke Weaver is likely to struggle. Don't get me wrong, the young hurler's performance has been solid this season no doubt. However, the key here is a little bit of a hidden nugget. He's facing the Reds for the 2nd time in a week and the significance in that is that when teams get a second look at a young, inexperience pitcher it often goes much differently in round 2 than it did in round 1. For Weaver, the 2nd time he faced Milwaukee this season he gave up 8 hits in 5 and 2/3 innings and the second time he faced Pittsburgh he gave up 7 hits in 5 and 2/3 innings. As you can see, there is plenty of reason to believe that the Reds will have a bit of a "hit parade" versus the Cardinals young pitcher tonight. I know his numbers are great this season but those numbers above don't lie and this is still a guy who went 1-4 with a 5.70 ERA in his rookie season last year. As for Reds starter Rookie Davis, he is 1-2 with a 7.71 ERA in his 5 starts at the MLB level this season. Even at the minor league level he was not impressive as he got hit at a .282 clip. With the Reds he has been hit at a .367 clip. You can see why I am expecting a slugfest in this one. 10* OVER in Cincinnati |
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09-20-17 | Mets v. Marlins OVER 9 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach Wednesday MLB 8* OVER the total in Miami Marlins vs New York Mets @ 1:10 ET - Yesterday's game just missed going over the total as the Mets bullpen (very poor on the road this season) caved in once again and blew a late lead. The starters pitched very well in yesterday's game but I don't expect a repeat of that here. The Mets have Rafael Montero on the mound for this one and he is getting hit at a .298 clip this season. Also, in day games this season Montero is 2-5 with a 5.77 ERA and has been hit at a .314 clip. In his last 11 and 2/3 innings versus the Marlins he has given up 21 hits! Miami will have Jose Urena on the mound here and he has lasted 5 and 1/3 innings or less in 5 of his last 7 starts. Overall, walks have been an issue in 3 of his last 4 starts and, in terms of his home starts, he has been hit hard in 3 of his last 4 in Miami. Prior to yesterday's under, the over was 10-1-1 in the Marlins last dozen games and the Mets were 13-5 to the over in their last 18 games. Look for the OVER trend to resume early this afternoon on Wednesday. New York is 46-27 to the over in road games this season. 8* OVER the total in Miami |
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09-19-17 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Cincinnati Reds vs St Louis Cardinals @ 7:10 ET - The Reds are starting Jackson Stephens in this one. It will be his 2nd big league start and he allowed 3 earned runs in 5 innings against the Cubs in July in his only other MLB start. Though he has been pitching out of the bullpen (3 September appearances) and has had some success, there are a couple of keys as to why he is likely to get pounded here. One is that he just faced the Cardinals for 3 innings out of the bullpen last week. They'll now take advantage of getting a quick second look for him. Another edge for the Cards at the plate here is the simple fact that Stephens minor league numbers tell the full story. This season was his first above the AA level and he got rocked quite often. Stephens ended up with a 7-10 record, 4.92 ERA, and AAA hitters got to him to the tune of a .281 batting average against! The Cardinals are fighting to stay alive in the Wild Card race and they'll give him trouble here. As for the Cards starter, Jack Flaherty gets the call. He is winless with a 6.08 ERA in his 3 MLB starts and the most recent one was against Cincinnati. The Reds got to Flaherty for 3 earned runs in just 4 and 1/3 innings and now they get a quick second look at him. This time its at home where they are very dangerous at the plate. Flaherty has already thrown a lot of innings this season and this is the first year he has pitched above the single A level in the minors. Look for the Reds to jump all over him in this one. The over is 9-5 in Cincinnati's games after a day off. Also, the Reds are 15-4 to the over in Tuesday games this season. St Louis is 13-7 to the over when playing after a day off and the Cards are a solid 28-19 to the over in road games where the money line ranges from -125 to +125 for St Louis. 10* OVER the total in Cincinnati |
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09-19-17 | Brewers v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 8* OVER the total in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 7:05 ET - This is the only pick I lost with yesterday but I'll come right back with it today. The teams combined for 18 hits in yesterday's game but only 3 runs. Look for a much different outcome today. Even though Chase Anderson has a low ERA on the season he did give up 7 hits in just 5 and 1/3 innings in his most recent start. That was against the Pirates so Pittsburgh is now getting a quick 2nd look at him here. Also, the Brewers right-hander has been hit hard in 2 of his last 3 road starts. Milwaukee is making a push for a playoff spot but the Pirates would love to play the role of spoiler. The Bucs will respond at the plate after getting shutout yesterday. The issue for Pittsburgh will be their starting pitcher, Trevor Williams, in this one. The Pirates right-hander has a 1.56 WHIP in his last 3 starts so he has been fortunate he has not given up more earned runs recently. That string of luck ends here as the Brewers have reached double digits in hits in 4 of their last 5 games and they pound him here. Look for the over to move to 5-1 in Milwaukee's last 6 games. 8* OVER the total in Pittsburgh |
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09-18-17 | Mets v. Marlins OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
Rickenbach Monday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Miami Marlins vs New York Mets @ 7:10 ET - A game between two teams out of playoff contention and two struggling starting pitchers matched up. I love these types of late season match-ups for overs and this one looks like a beauty. The Mets Matt Harvey has given up 18 hits in less than 10 innings of work spanning his last two starts versus the Marlins. The New York right-hander enters this start with a 12.20 ERA in the month of September and Harvey has been absolutely crushed in his two road starts. As for the Marlins Daniel Straily, he also is having a very rough time. Straily is 2-5 with a 5.74 ERA since the All-Star break. Also, the Miami right-hander has an 8.44 ERA in September and has allowed 29 hits in the 16 innings spanning his 3 starts this month. The over is 19-5 in Mets road games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs this season. The over is 7-0 in the Marlins last 8 games (one push in there) and I look for their over streak to reach a perfect 8-0 here! 10* OVER the total in Miami |
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09-18-17 | Brewers v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Monday MLB 8* OVER the total in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 7:05 ET - The Brewers are on a 4-0 run to the over. The Milwaukee bats are finally heating up again as they've scored an average of 7.4 runs per game in going 4-1 in their last 5 games. The Brewers have collected at least a dozen hits in 4 of their last 8 games. Milwaukee is 7-2 in their last 9 games thanks in part to an offense that has averaged 6.3 runs per game during this hot streak. The Brewers will take advantage of facing the Pirates Jameson Taillon whom gave up 6 earned runs in less than 5 innings in his most recent start. Overall, since the All-Star break, Taillon has a 7.11 ERA in his starts. The Brewers are starting Brent Suter here and the southpaw just faced Pittsburgh in his most recent start so the Pirates get a quick second look at him. Not only that, the left-hander is still working to get his pitch counts back up. Suter is returning from a rotator cuff injury. The Pirates did not hit well in their recent road trip but they're happy to be back home and they've got 10 hits in less than 8 innings spanning two Suter starts this season. Look for the over to improve to 5-0 in Milwaukee's last 5 games. 8* OVER the total in Pittsburgh |
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09-18-17 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 9 | 10-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Monday MLB 8* OVER the total in Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox @ 7:05 ET - The Orioles have gone over the total in 4 straight games. Baltimore starter Dylan Bundy allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings in his most recent home start. Boston starter Doug Fister gave up 6 earned runs in 4 innings in his most recent start. The Red Sox have scored 6.3 runs per game in their last 10 games. The Orioles are off of a lengthy road trip but their last 3 home games have all gone over the total too. Overall, look for the over to make it 5-0 the L5 Orioles games. 8* OVER the total in Baltimore |
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09-17-17 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 9 | 4-2 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach Sunday MLB 8* OVER the total in Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers @ 3:35 ET - Last night's game ended up being a pitchers duel and the Rangers were shutout for only the 5th time this season. So far this year Texas has gone 3-1 to the over when they are off of a shutout loss. Look for them to respond here against Garrett Richards. Though the Angels right-hander has good numbers he has seen limited action this season. Richards has made only 3 starts and, by the way, in his last 3 starts versus the Rangers he has given up 20 hits in less than 17 innings of work. The Rangers will do some damage with their bats here on a mild afternoon at Anaheim (ball carries better in day games than at night out west). However, the issue for Texas is that Miguel Gonzalez gets the start and he is 3-7 with a 5.49 ERA on the road this season. Also, he is winless in his last 3 starts and has compiled an 11.12 ERA in those outings. Gonzalez also has allowed 12 earned runs in 16 and 1/3 innings spanning his last 3 starts at Los Angeles. The over is 13-5-2 in the Rangers last 20 games and the Texas sticks respond this afternoon but the struggles of Gonzalez continue. 8* OVER the total in the Los Angeles Angels game |
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09-16-17 | Cardinals v. Cubs OVER 9 | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach Saturday MLB 8* OVER the total in Chicago Cubs vs St Louis Cardinals @ 4:05 ET - Day game at Wrigley Field. Mild temperatures. Wind blowing out. Look for another over in this one. With yesterday's over in the books, the over is now 4-0 in the Cubs last 4 games. The Cardinals Michael Wacha has allowed 11 earned runs in just 10 and 1/3 innings in his two starts at Wrigley Field this season. Chicago's Kyle Hendricks gave up 4 earned runs in only 4 innings in his lone start versus St Louis this season. The over is 6-3 in Hendricks' starts versus the Cards in his career. The over is 11-1 in Wacha's starts versus the Cubs in his career. I am happy to test that combined 17-4 (81%) mark today on another hitter-friendly afternoon at Wrigley Field. The Cubs have scored 47 runs in their last 4 games! The Cards have averaged 6 runs per game in their last 9 wins. This one has the makings of a slugfest. 8* OVER the total in the Chicago Cubs game in afternoon action Saturday |
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09-15-17 | A's v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach Friday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Philadelphia Phillies vs Oakland A's @ 7:05 ET - The Phillies, led by slugger Rhys Hoskins, have been knocking the cover off of the ball of late. With their 10-0 win last night, there have been just 3 unders in the Phillies last 12 games. Philadelphia has reached double digits in hits in 8 of those 12 games and they've averaged scoring 6.5 runs per game during this solid stretch of work at the plate. The A's have gone 9-2-1 to the over in their last 12 games. Oakland has scored 7 runs or more in 7 of its last 10 games. The A's are starting Daniel Mengden here and he has a 7.07 ERA in his 3 starts this season. The Phillies are starting Mark Leiter and he has given up 24 hits in his last 16 innings. Also he has allowed a total of 4 homers in his last two starts. The over is 34-17 in Phillies inter-league games the past 3 seasons combined. The over is 40-23 in Oakland's September games the past 2+ seasons. Look for more of the same here as both these teams are just playing for pride at this point and that means a very relaxed approach at the plate and that has led to big success for both of these lineups of late. That continues Friday. 10* OVER the total in Philadelphia |
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09-15-17 | Cardinals v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
Network Top Play - Rickenbach Friday MLB 10* OVER the total in Chicago Cubs vs St Louis Cardinals @ 2:20 ET - The wind will be blowing out at Wrigley Field this afternoon and temperatures will be very warm for mid-September in Chicago. The fact that two respectable pitchers (John Lackey and Carlos Martinez) take the mound for this one helped to keep the opening total lower than it should be. This line opened up at an 8.5 but many signs point to a slugfest here. The Cardinals are 10-3 this month and have averaged scoring 6.4 runs per game in those 10 wins. The Cubs are heating up again and have been on fire at the plate which helped lead the way to a 3-game sweep of the Mets which wrapped up yesterday. The Cubs have averaged 9.1 runs per game in their 7 wins this month. The Cards Martinez gave up 10 hits in 6 innings in his most recent start at Wrigley Field. The Cubs Lackey is off of back to back solid starts but prior to that had back to back rough outings that saw him allow 10 earned runs in 10 innings spanning two starts! The over is 3-0 in the Cubs last 3 games and I expect another slugfest at Wrigley this afternoon. 10* OVER the total in the Chicago Cubs game |
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09-14-17 | A's v. Red Sox OVER 10 | 2-6 | Loss | -118 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach Thursday MLB 8* OVER the total in Boston Red Sox vs Oakland A's @ 1:35 ET - Even when Oakland doesn't get a lot of hits they've still piled up a good amount of runs. The A's put up 7 runs on 9 hits last night. They've now scored at least 7 runs in 7 of their last 9 games. It is hard to fade a team that is that hot at the plate and this is especially true on a warm afternoon with the wind blowing out at Fenway Park. For early players yesterday's over was a winner at over 9.5 and that makes the over 10-1 in Oakland's last 11 games. Drew Pomeranz gets the start for Boston and he is off of a solid start but had been hit hard in each of his two prior outings. The A's will have Daniel Gossett on the mound and he is 3-5 with a 5.17 ERA on the road this season. Also, Oakland is 40-22 to the over this season when off of a win and 36-20 to the over in day games this season. 8* OVER the total in Boston |
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09-14-17 | White Sox v. Tigers OVER 10 | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach MLB Thursday 8* OVER the total in Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox @ 1:10 ET - James Shields is off of a solid start but he allowed 4 earned runs in each of his 2 prior starts. Also, in his last two starts at Detroit, Shields has given up 8 earned runs in 11 innings of work. The Tigers Chad Bell has had a rough go of it so far with 7 earned runs in 8 and 2/3 innings in his first two starts. The over is 21-11 in Detroit's home games where their money line ranges from -125 to +125. The over is 13-3 in their Thursday games this season. Also, the Tigers are 16-6 to the over this season when they enter a game on a losing streak of 3 or more games. The White Sox are 33-22 to the over when they face a team with a losing record this season. 8* OVER the total in Detroit |
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09-13-17 | A's v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
Rickenbach Wednesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics @ 7:10 ET - Doug Fister is only 3-5 with a 4.17 ERA in his home starts this season. Also, he has been hit 84 points higher at home compared to on the road this season. Lefties have hit 108 points higher than righties against Fister and the A's will certainly have a few lefties and/or switch-hitters in their lineup ready to do some damage here. Oakland's starter Jharel Cotton is likely to see his struggles continue. He is 1-7 with a 8.00 ERA in his night games this season with opponents hitting an insane .341 against him in those outings. Boston scored 11 runs in yesterday's win and they've now scored 6 runs or more in 4 of their last 5 games. Though Oakland was shutdown at the plate yesterday, they previously had scored 7 runs or more in 6 of their last 7 games. 10* OVER the total in Boston |
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09-13-17 | Marlins v. Phillies OVER 9 | 1-8 | Push | 0 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Wednesday MLB 8* OVER the total in Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins @ 7:05 ET - Not only were 17 runs scored in last night's game but it went 15 innings which certainly doesn't do the bullpen any favors. That said, the fact that both these starting pitchers are likely to struggle and that they are supported by depleted bullpens means that there is great value with this over. Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies and he is 0-3 with a 10.85 ERA against Miami this season! Daniel Straily gets the start for the Marlins here and the Phils have already seen him 3 times since the All Star break and Straily has a 6.19 ERA versus Philadelphia in those 3 starts. The over is 3-0 in Nola's starts versus Miami this season and the over is 5-0 in Straily's 5 career starts versus the Phillies. 8* OVER the total in Philadelphia |
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09-13-17 | Yankees v. Rays OVER 8 | 3-2 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Wednesday MLB 8* OVER the total in Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees @ 1:10 ET - Even though this is a "home game" for the Rays, it is not truly at home. This series has been played at Citi Field in New York due to the effects of Hurricane Irma in Florida. The significance in that is that Chris Archer is a much better pitcher at home compared to on the road and, again, though this will be consider a home start it is not his home mound. Archer has a 4.68 ERA on the road this season and had a 5.44 ERA away from home last season. The Yankees are starting Jaime Garcia and the southpaw has a 5.11 ERA and has been hit at a .286 clip in his 5 starts as a Yankee. He also hasn't pitched yet this month and, of course, it's already mid-September. Trying to shake the rust off on a mild afternoon with the wind blowing out is unlikely to go well for Garcia. After low-scoring games began this series look for it to finish off with a lot of offense in the finale this afternoon. The over was 6-1 in the Yankees 7 games prior to this series. 8* OVER the total in Tampa Bay |
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09-13-17 | Tigers v. Indians OVER 9 | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Wednesday MLB 8* OVER the total in Cleveland Indians vs Detroit Tigers @ 12:10 ET - Warm in Cleveland this afternoon with the wind blowing out. Perfect weather for an over. Of course the Indians have been red hot at the plate as part of their 20-0 winning streak. They're averaging 6.5 runs per game in September. The over was 7-1 in the Tigers last 8 games prior to last night's loss. After getting shutout (2-0 yesterday) for the 2nd time in two nights, look for the Detroit sticks to respond here. I know Clevinger has been pitching well but his ERA at home is 1.58 runs higher than on the road this season. Also, lefties are hitting 73 points higher than righties against him and the Tigers lineup last night included 3 lefties and 2 switch-hitters. Detroit starts Buck Farmer here and he has a 6.32 ERA in his 7 starts this season. He had an awful start versus Cleveland that began the month. 8* OVER the total in Cleveland |
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09-12-17 | A's v. Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Boston Red Sox vs Oakland A's @ 7:10 ET - The over is on a 12-3 run in Oakland's last 15 games. The A's have averaged scoring 8.6 runs per game in their last 9 games as their lineup has been red hot. The Red Sox are off of a 4-1 loss but previously had won 3 straight games and scored an average of 8 runs per game. Both these teams were off yesterday and the over is 10-3 this season in Boston games when they're playing after a day off. The A's are 39-22 to the over when playing after a win, 39-24 to the over when facing a team with a winning record, and 14-6 to the over in Tuesday games. The Red Sox are 13-7 to the over in Tuesday games this season. Boston will have Eduardo Rodriguez on the mound and he has a 6.11 ERA in his last 3 starts. Oakland will have Sean Manaea on the mound and he has an 11.73 ERA in his 2 starts versus the Red Sox in his career and that includes getting crushed at Fenway Park. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER the total in Boston |
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09-12-17 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 8* OVER the total in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:05 ET - With premium picks in all sports yesterday this was my lone loss. I won't hesitate to come right back with the over in this match-up. The Blue Jays Joe Biagini has an 8.62 ERA in his last 7 starts overall. Also, he has gone 1-6 at home this season. The Orioles Dylan Bundy had been pitching very well but he is coming off of a rough start versus the Yankees and, on the season, he has not pitched as well on the road as he has at home. Look for the over to improve to 8-4 in Bundy's 12 road starts this season. 8* OVER the total in Toronto |
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09-12-17 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:05 ET - Not many will want the over here because Gio Gonzalez has been pitching very well. However, he's off of a big win against his hometown team (Miami) and has been known for success against the Marlins. However, the same can not be said about the Braves. Look for a letdown here from Gonzalez and the fact is that Atlanta has got to him for 13 earned runs in the 16 innings spanning his last 3 starts versus the Braves. Also, Atlanta comes into this one swinging the bats quite well as they've averaged scoring 6 runs per game in their last 9 games and the over has gone 6-2-1 in these 9 games. As for the Nationals, they are one of the top hitting teams in the majors and the Braves Julio Teheran has a 4.50 ERA versus the Nats this season. Washington is 6-1 their last 7 games and they've averaged scoring 5.6 runs per game during this solid stretch. The over is a long-term 42-25 when the Nationals are a home favorite in a price range of -175 to -250. The over is 27-12 this season when the Braves are a road dog of +125 or more. 10* OVER the total in Washington |
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09-12-17 | White Sox v. Royals OVER 10 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 8* OVER the total in Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox @ 1:15 ET - With yesterday's 11-3 win flying over the total, the White Sox are now on a 4-0-1 run to the over their last 5 games. The ChiSox have averaged scoring 10.7 runs per game their last 3 games as they've been red hot at the plate. Chicago's Dylan Covey though is 0-4 with an 8.13 ERA in his 8 starts this season. The Royals are likely to pound him as they're on an 8-3 run to the over and have averaged scoring 6.5 runs per game their last 6 games. Sam Gaviglio gets the start for KC here and he is winless with a 7.47 ERA in his last 3 starts. The over is on a 44-21 run in Royals September games the past 2+ seasons and I expect that trend to continue here. 8* OVER the total in Kansas City |
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09-11-17 | Tigers v. Indians OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
Rickenbach Monday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Cleveland Indians vs Detroit Tigers @ 7:10 ET - The Tigers are starting Myles Jaye. He has limited MLB experience and it's been out of the bullpen. This season he has mostly pitched at AA and AAA in the minors. Now he takes a major step up in competition to make his first ever start at the MLB level. He got hit at a .270 clip at the AA level this season and a .298 clip at the AAA level so I don't expect him to enjoy success against the hottest team in the majors. The Indians have won 18 straight and should pound Jaye in this one. However, don't be surprised if Carlos Carrasco gets a little "touched up" here too! He has been phenomenal of late but has thrown a lot of pitches in his last two starts. This season, the games where Carrasco has ended up getting hit harder than usual have come after he has thrown a lot of pitches in his two prior starts. That is the case here and I expect the Tigers to do some damage in this one while the Tribe certainly should rough up Jaye early and often. The over is a long-term 52-26 in Detroit's road games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. The over is also a perfect 6-0 in Carrasco's last 6 home starts. I am happy to test that 6-0, 100% mark with a Top Play in this one! 10* OVER the total in Cleveland |
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09-11-17 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 10 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Monday MLB 8* OVER the total in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:05 ET - The Orioles Ubaldo Jimenez is 0-2 with a 12.75 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Blue Jays Marco Estrada gave up 6 earned runs on 10 hits in only 5 innings of work when he most recently faced the Orioles and that was less than 2 weeks ago. Baltimore had 47 hits in their recent 4-game set with Toronto. The Blue Jays have tallied 12 hits or more in 4 of their last 6 games. Estrada's most recent start stayed under the total but prior to that the over was a perfect 4-0 in his last 4 starts. 8* OVER the total in Toronto |
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09-09-17 | Twins v. Royals OVER 9 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins @ 7:15 ET - Yesterday's game went over the total and the over is now 7-4 in the Twins last 11 games. Also, the over is 6-2 in the Royals last 8 games. Jake Junis gets the start for Kansas City here and he did face the Twins earlier this season and he couldn't make it out of the 5th inning. Even though Junis has some decent numbers, he has been hit hard in 2 of his last 3 starts. The Twins will have Jose Berrios on the mound and they are 0-4 in his starts versus KC in his career as the Royals have been a bit of a nemesis for Berrios: 8.19 ERA in his career versus Kansas City. Berrios also has not been the same pitcher on the road as he has at home this season. Minny is 4-8 in his road starts and he has compiled a 5.43 ERA away from home. The over is 117-78 in Twins games versus teams with a losing record. The over is 42-20 in Royals September games. More of the same expected here on a hitter-friendly evening at Kauffman Stadium. 10* OVER the total in Kansas City early Saturday evening |
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09-08-17 | Orioles v. Indians OVER 9 | 0-5 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
8* OVER in Cleveland - The big story here is the Indians 15 game winning streak but I don't totally trust Mike Clevinger. He gave up 6 hits and 4 walks in just 5 innings in his most recent start versus the Orioles. The Indians should stay red hot at the plate though. With yesterday's 11-2 win they've averaged 7.3 runs per game in their last dozen games. The Orioles will have Wade Miley on the mound and he gave up 8 hits and 2 walks in just 5 innings when he opposed Clevinger in that June 22nd meeting. Miley also gave up a ridiculous 9 hits plus walked 4 in less than 4 innings of work in his most recent start at Cleveland. |
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09-08-17 | Rays v. Red Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
10* Top OVER in Boston - Drew Pomeranz has looked "off" in his last two starts. The Red Sox southpaw has given up 7 earned runs on 15 and 7 walks in just 11 and 1/3 innings of work. He also has a 6.08 ERA versus Tampa Bay this season with way too many walks allowed. That said, this is one of those rare gems that looks like a pitchers duel on the surface but should prove to be anything but that. Chris Archer gets the start for the Rays and he exited very early in his most recent start after allowing 2 homers and not recording an out. He said he had tightness in the back of his right arm but he has been proclaimed as "okay" for this start. No doubt concerns about his arm are in the back of Archer's mind right now. He's given up 21 hits (including 3 homers) in 18 and 1/3 spanning his last 3 starts versus Boston. Each of Archer's last 2 starts versus Boston have gone over the total and each of the last 3 starts Pomeranz has made versus the Rays have resulted in an over. |
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09-07-17 | Cubs v. Pirates OVER 8 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Thursday MLB 8* OVER the total in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs @ 7:05 ET - After yesterday's 1-0 pitchers duel this one flies over the total. Though it will be a little cool in Pittsburgh this evening the wind will be blowing out to left. Also, Jameson Taillon has a 4.92 ERA at home and a 5.23 ERA in night games. Jon Lester had a 7.85 ERA in August and then started September by allowing 4 earned runs in 5 innings. Also, he has given up 9 earned runs in 6 and 1/3 innings in his last two starts versus the Pirates. 8* OVER the total in Pittsburgh |
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09-07-17 | Reds v. Mets OVER 9 | Top | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher Top Play - Rickenbach Thursday MLB 10* OVER the total in New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:10 ET - In my opinion, neither one of these pitchers can be trusted. The Mets Matt Harvey recently returned from the disabled list and he picked up right where he left off before going on the DL. Indeed it was another ugly outing for Harvey as he got rocked by the Astros in a very short outing. As for the Reds, they hand the ball to rookie Tyler Mahle whom has decent numbers in his first two starts at the MLB level. However, this is still a 22 year old hurler that has already hit 3 batters in just 11 innings of work spanning his two starts. Also, his pitch counts have been rather high and he did walk 4 in just 5 innings in his MLB debut. The Mets have scored 6 runs or more in 4 of their 6 games this month. The Reds are averaging 5.6 runs per game in their last 9 games. More of the same expected here as both teams should get to 5 or 6 runs in this one. 10* OVER the total in New York Mets |
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09-07-17 | Phillies v. Nationals OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Thursday MLB 8* OVER the total in Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 7:05 ET - Aaron Nola's great run of stellar starts from mid-June to mid-August now seems like a distant memory. The Phillies right-hander has been roughed up in 3 of his last 4 starts and now faces one of the top teams in the league. Nola, in those 3 starts, gave up 18 earned runs in 16 and 1/3 innings. As for Tanner Roark, the Nationals right-hander has been hit at a .283 clip by left-handers and that is significant here as the Phillies lineup has a number of solid left-handed sticks and switch-hitters. They are seeing him for the 4th time this season and the repetition has helped them as they hit him quite well in the 3rd start and that one also was at Washington. Roark in only 4-6 with a 5.07 ERA in home starts this season. Look for both pitchers to get roughed up here on a pleasant evening in DC. 8* OVER the total in Washington |
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09-06-17 | Royals v. Tigers OVER 9.5 | Top | 13-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher Top Play - Rickenbach Wednesday MLB 10* OVER the total in Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals @ 7:10 ET - Even though the weather is cooling off in Detroit it certainly is not yet "cold" and the fact is that these teams have been trending over. Yesterday's game featured plenty of Tigers homers and the over is now 4-1 in the last 5 games for each of these clubs. Also, Detroit entered yesterday's game having allowed 14.4 hits per game in their 5 prior games. As you can see the Tigers hurlers have struggled overall and now Matt Boyd takes the mound for Detroit. The southpaw is off of a rare solid start as he had compiled a 9.67 ERA in his 5 starts prior to a decent outing versus Cleveland. Now Boyd faces a Royals team that has got to him for 11 earned runs in less than 10 innings of work spanning his last 3 starts versus KC. The Royals are also likely to have some pitching problems tonight as Jason Hammel takes the mound. The Kansas City right-hander has a 6.91 ERA in his 9 career starts versus the Tigers. Also, has given up 4 homers in his last 2 run starts and the Tigers were knocking the ball out of the park with regularity last night. As a road fave of -125 to -175, the over is on a 19-7 run in Royals games. Also, Kansas City is on a 40-19 run to the over in September games. KC is 14-7 to the over in Wednesday games this season. The Tigers are 19-10 to the over as a home dog of +125 to +175. Look for another wild one at Comerica Park tonight. 10* OVER the total in Detroit early Wednesday evening. |
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09-06-17 | Angels v. A's OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Earliest Cash Top Play - Rickenbach MLB Wednesday 10* OVER the total in Oakland A's vs Los Angeles Angels @ 3:35 ET - The A's and Angels combined for 15 runs yesterday as the hot hitting continued. The over is now 8-1-1 in the Angels last 10 games. Los Angeles has averaged scoring 7.4 runs per game during this hot streak. The A's and Angels have gone over the total in each of their last 4 match-ups and the A's have now scored 6 runs or more in 8 of their last 13 games. The ball carries better in West Coast day games compared to night games. Also, the wind will be blowing out toward right-center field for this one. The A's Sean Manaea is winless with a 6.38 ERA in his 5 career starts versus the Angels. Los Angeles will have Tyler Skaggs on the mound for this one and he is winless with a 6.75 ERA in his 4 career starts versus Oakland. The over is 8-3 in Manaea's home starts this season. Skaggs has a 9.49 ERA in his last 3 starts overall so he comes into this one in poor current form. The Angels are 4-0 to the over as a road fave in a range of -125 to -175 this season. The A's are 33-19 to the over in day games this season. More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Oakland in afternoon action Wednesday. |
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09-06-17 | Brewers v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach Wednesday MLB 8* OVER the total in Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 12:35 ET - Even though Luis Castillo has some impressive stats on the season one can't ignore his 2-7 record. Also, he has only lasted 4 innings on the mound in 2 of his last 3 starts. Prior to a strong home start versus Pittsburgh, he had allowed 3 earned runs or more in 4 straight home starts. The Reds aren't exactly known for a stellar bullpen either. With that said, I expect the Brewers to score their fair share here on a hitter-friendly afternoon in a hitter-friendly ballpark. The wind will be blowing out for this one and that spells trouble for the Brewers Matt Garza. The Milwaukee right-hander has a 7.82 ERA in his last 3 starts and, included in that stretch, he allowed 3 homers in an ugly effort at Coors Field. In his most recent start Garza walked 5 and gave up 6 runs (3 earned) in only 3 and 1/3 innings of work. Garza is 1-5 in road starts this season and Castillo is 0-4 in home starts this season. Looks like a great day for the hitters at Great American Ball Park in Cincy. The Reds are 11-4 to the over this season when they are a home favorite in a range of -125 to -175. Yesterday's game totaled 12 runs and I expected a similar total to be reached today! 8* OVER the total in Cincinnati very early Wednesday afternoon |
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09-05-17 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -122 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 8* OVER the total in Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:10 ET - Cooler air will be spilling into New England as the week goes on but it's not there yet. That said, Tuesday evening is set up to be a mild evening in Boston with the wind blowing out to left field at Fenway Park. These teams combined for 14 runs yesterday and I look for another wild one on Tuesday. The Blue Jays are 14-5 to the over this season when they are a road dog in a money line range of +125 to +175. The Red Sox are 13-6 to the over in Tuesday games this season. Boston sends Eduardo Rodriguez to the mound and they are 0-3 in his last 3 starts. The Red Sox southpaw has given up 17 earned runs in the 22 and 2/3 innings spanning his last 4 starts. Marco Estrada gets the start for Toronto here. The Blue Jays right-hander has allowed 18 earned runs in the 21 and 1/3 innings spanning his last 4 starts. The over is a perfect 4-0 in this stretch and I look for 5 in a row by the time tonight's game is in the books! 8* OVER the total in Boston |
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09-05-17 | Twins v. Rays OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins @ 7:10 ET - The Rays are 11-3 to the over in the last 14 starts that Jake Odorizzi has made. The Tampa Bay right-hander has a 9.48 ERA in his last 3 starts including getting absolutely crushed in the lone home start he made during this stretch. The Twins will have Bartolo Colon on the mound and he has given up 24 hits (including 5 homers) in the 17 innings spanning his last 3 starts at Tropicana Field. Colon also has seen his form regress recently after a surprisingly rare, strong stretch of starts for him. The right-hander has given up 33 hits in the 23 and 2/3 innings spanning his last 4 starts. Colon has been fortunate he hasn't allowed many earned runs in this stretch and that is helping to offer line value here as it has kept this total low despite the fact both hurlers should struggle badly. With yesterday's 11-4 Twins loss, Minnesota is now 116-77 to the over the past 3 seasons in their games against teams with a losing record. The Rays have gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 home games versus a right-handed starter. 10* OVER the total in Tampa Bay |
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09-04-17 | Cubs v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-12 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach Monday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs @ 4:05 ET - Warm temperatures and wind blowing out to left field will help our cause here. The total is on the move from 8 to 8.5 but this is still a great value on the over on what should be a very hitter-friendly afternoon game in Pittsburgh. Even though Jake Arrieta had success against the Pirates just last week, look for the immediate "second look" opportunity to pay dividends for Pittsburgh at home. Having just seen him will help the Pirates lineup and Arrieta's prior two starts against Pittsburgh did see him allow 7 runs (5 earned) in just 10 and 1/3 innings spanning those two outings. Chad Kuhl gets the start for the Pirates here and he did not look sharp against the Cubs last week. He allowed 7 hits in just 5 and 1/3 innings and is now 0-4 with an 11.07 ERA in his career starts versus Chicago. The right-hander has a 4.86 ERA at home this season and the Cubs were averaging nearly 8 runs per game their last dozen games before being held to just 1 run in yesterday's loss. In other words, don't be surprise when the bats quickly come back to life for Chicago. The over is a long-term 25-13 in Cubs games where they are a road favorite of -175 or more. Also, the Pirates are 12-6 to the over when they are a road dog in a range of +125 to +175. Look for a wild one in very hitter-friendly afternoon conditions here. 10* OVER the total in Pittsburgh |
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09-04-17 | Phillies v. Mets OVER 8.5 | 7-11 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach Monday MLB 8* OVER the total in New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 1:10 ET - Wind blowing out, warm afternoon, low total. Look for an easy over here. With the Mets losing 8-6 yesterday at Houston, their bats are coming back to life and their last two games have totaled 34 runs. They should have no trouble with the offerings of Mark Leiter. He has been hit hard in 2 of his 3 starts since returning to the rotation with a combined 16 hits allowed in the 11 and 2/3 innings spanning those two outings. As for the Mets Rafael Montero, he has gone 1-6 with a 5.58 ERA in his home starts this season. He also has a 6.30 ERA in his two career starts against the Phils including one outing less than 2 months ago. The Mets are 26-12 to the over in games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs this season. New York is also 18-9 to the over as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Prior to yesterday's under, the Phillies were on a 6-3-1 run to the over in games against a right-handed starter and averaged scoring 5 runs per game in those 10 games. Look for that type of production to resume here on a hitter-friendly afternoon at Citi Field. 8* OVER the total in New York Mets |
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09-03-17 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 110 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach Sunday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 4:40 ET - Both games of yesterday's double header went over the total. On the surface, today's match-up looks like it has the potential for a pitchers duel but once you dig a little deeper you see the reality. Alex Wood is not 100% right now. He's returning from a trip to the disabled list and he did allow 3 homers in his most recent start. Also, an interesting item of note is that, amazingly, all 20 of his starts this season have been night games. Now he's pitching in a day game and he struggled badly in both 2016 and 2015 in day game action as Wood got hit hard. The Padres have confidence from yesterday's sweep and are likely to enjoy surprising success against Wood. As for San Diego starter Jhoulys Chacin, he has struggled with being inefficient with pitches lately. The result is far too many walks and having to consistently pitch out of jams. That could prove problematic against a Dodgers team looking to respond after being swept yesterday! Note that the over is 5-1 in the Dodgers last 6 games. Also, the over is a solid 60% (39-26) this season in Los Angeles' games against teams with a losing record. The over is 34-20 in Padres divisional games this season. 10* OVER the total in San Diego |
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09-03-17 | Indians v. Tigers OVER 9.5 | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach Sunday MLB 8* OVER the total in Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Indians @ 1:10 ET - Day Game. Wind blowing out. Two starting pitchers with question marks. Should be an easy over. The Indians Josh Tomlin is returning from the disabled list. Also, Cleveland has lost each of Tomlin's last two starts versus the Tigers as Detroit has hammered him for 12 runs (9 earned) in just 9 and 1/3 innings spanning those two outings. The Tigers Chad Bell is only getting this start because of Michael Fulmer being injured. The Detroit southpaw has been working out of the bullpen and certainly has not impressed. Bell has a 5.48 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, and opponents have hit .287 against him. After yesterday's 5-2 game, look for the bats to come back to life in a big way here. The Indians are 6-3 to the over this season as a road fave of -175 or more. The Tigers are 14-5 to the over in Sunday games this season. 8* OVER the total in Detroit |
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09-02-17 | Angels v. Rangers OVER 11 | Top | 7-4 | Push | 0 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
10* OVER the total in Texas - The Rangers and Angels were involved in a slugfest last night and I would not be surprised to see another one today. Ricky Nolasco has had some dreadful starts against the Rangers in his career (including his lone start at Arlington this season) and has a 7.33 ERA in his career versus Texas. AJ Griffin has allowed 11 earned runs in just 12 and 2/3 innings against the Angels spanning his last 3 starts versus Los Angeles. 3 of the last 4 games between these teams have resulted in an over. Overall, each of these teams is on a 5-1 run to the over their last 6 games. The Angels lineup has been boosted with the acquisition of Justin Upton and this should fly over the total. Yes it is a big number but yesterday's 19 runs scored also showed that both bullpens are vulnerable here as well. |
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09-01-17 | Reds v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Friday MLB 8* OVER the total in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:05 ET - With these pitchers having just faced off last week in Cincinnati (a 1-0 pitchers duel) many will expect the same type of match-up here. That is why this total opened up at an 8 and already dropped to a 7.5 in most spots. In typical contrarian fashion I will back the over here. When teams get a 2nd quick look at a pitcher it often favors the hitters. Also, Gerrit Cole had allowed 9 earned runs in 12 and 1/3 innings before that strong outing versus the Reds last week. The over was on a 3-0 run in his 3 prior starts. As for the Reds Luis Castillo, he lasted just 4 innings in his most recent road start and he has been unable to complete 6 innings in the majority of his starts away from home this season. That is a significant factor because Cincy has had bullpen issues this season. This total opened up at an 8 and the over is 13-5 this season in Reds games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. Also, the Pirates are 13-7 to the over in Friday games and 8-4 to the over when playing with a day off. 8* OVER the total in Pittsburgh |
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09-01-17 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
Rickenbach Friday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox @ 7:05 ET - I got burned with this total last night as I had a big play on the over and the teams came up just short of the number because they combined to leave a ridiculous 23 men on base. I won't hesitate to come right back with this play tonight as another top play. Boston sends Doug Fister to the mound and he gave up 6 earned runs on 9 hits in less than 5 innings of work when he most recently faced the Yankees. New York's Sonny Gray gave up 7 hits while recording 0 strikeouts in 5 innings when he most recently faced the Red Sox. Gray's home starts this season (started the year with Oakland) have gone 8-4 to the over. More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in the New York Yankees game |
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09-01-17 | Cleveland Indians - Game #1 v. Detroit Tigers - Game #1 OVER 9 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach Friday MLB 8* OVER the total in Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Indians @ 1:10 ET (Game 1 of DH) - The Tigers Matt Boyd is winless with a 10.29 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Indians Carlos Carrasco gave up 9 hits in his most recent start versus Detroit. The over is 7-1 in Carrasco's last 8 starts since mid-July. As a road fave of -175 or more, the over is 6-2 in Cleveland's games this season. The over is 30-18 in Tigers divisional games this season and 10-5 when they are playing after a day off. 8* OVER the total in Detroit in Game 1 of DH |
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08-31-17 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
Rivalry Rout - Rickenbach Thursday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox @ 7:05 ET - Boston's Eduardo Rodriguez is struggling badly with a 6.11 ERA in his last 3 starts. Though the Yankees CC Sabathia has had success versus the Red Sox this season, they will be getting their 4th look at him since early June! Look for Boston to break through here as they're facing a southpaw starter for the 3rd straight game and 4th time in their last 5 games! These types of repetition help hitters. The Red Sox enter this series with plenty of confidence after sweeping the Blue Jays and scoring at least 6 runs in 2 of the 3 games plus averaging 10.3 hits per game in the series. The Yankees got swept versus Cleveland but the Yanks have averaged 5.9 runs per game in their 9 games. The over is 6-3 in those 9 games. Sabathia has a 5.08 ERA in home starts this season and Rodriguez is likely to see his recent struggles continue here as he has produced only 2 quality starts in his last 9 starts! 10* OVER the total in the New York Yankees game |
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08-31-17 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach Thursday MLB 8* OVER the total in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 3:40 ET - Two solid starting pitchers has combined to keep this total low. The fact is that there is a match-up issue here for each hurler and that means plenty of runs can be expected. The Dodgers Kenta Maeda has a 7.07 ERA in his 3 starts versus the Diamondbacks this season. The Dbacks Zack Greinke has a 6.17 ERA in his 2 starts versus the Dodgers this season. With yesterday's game going over the total as the Dodgers rallied some in the later inning, there has been just 1 under in the last 5 meetings between these teams. The over is also 6-2-1 in Maeda's 9 career starts versus Arizona. The over is 11-4 in Thursday games involving the Dodgers this season. 8* OVER the total in Arizona |
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08-30-17 | Tigers v. Rockies OVER 12 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers @ 3:10 ET - Yesterday's game fell just short of going over the total as it got to 10 by the 7th inning but ended that way. Justin Verlander gets the start for the Tigers today and, though he is off of a solid road start it came against a White Sox team that has been struggling at the plate in recent weeks. That said, I like the fact that Detroit is 3-11 in Verlander's road starts this season and I expect his struggles away from home to continue as he faces a Rockies team that has averaged 6.6 runs per game in its last 7 home games. On the season Colorado is hitting .301 at home and averaging 6.1 runs per game. Detroit has a great shot of matching the Rockies run for run in this one as the face Colorado's Chad Bettis. He has only made 3 starts since returning to the rotation but each one has gotten progressively worse and he has allowed 8 earned runs in 12 innings spanning his last two starts. He gave up 3 homers in those 2 starts and note that Verlander has allowed 4 homers in his last 2 road starts. Detroit's day games are 26-15 to the over this season and 93-61 to the over the last 3 seasons combined. The Tigers bullpen has a 6.33 ERA in road games this season while the Rockies pen has a 5.36 ERA in home games on the year. 10* OVER the total in Colorado |
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08-29-17 | Tigers v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Colorado Rockies vs Detroit Tigers @ 8:40 ET - Yesterday's game was 4-3 Tigers by the top of the 3rd inning and, inexplicably, the game ended a 4-3 final. Very unusual for a game to go scoreless the rest of the way in Colorado and the teams did combine for 22 hits yesterday so its not like there were not opportunities. Today look for the teams to cash in more of those opportunities and, certainly, the chances should be there. The Rockies German Marquez has great numbers on the season but he has allowed 22 hits in the 16 innings spanning his last 3 starts. Also, Marquez has been rocked for 5 homers in his last two starts alone! His strikeout numbers trended down in his most recent start (versus a Royals team that hasn't scored a run since!) so this is also a bad sign for the Rockies right-hander. The Tigers start Michael Fullmer who also has some good numbers on the season but he's truly not 100% right now. That showed in his most recent start, allowed 4 earned runs in just 6 innings, and that was at home. Note that, on the the road this season, he is just 4-7 and Fullmer has been absolutely crushed for 16 earned runs in less than 14 innings of work spanning his last 3 starts away from home. The over is 23-14 this season in Tigers road games with a money line between -125 and +125. Also, Colorado has averaged 11.3 hits per game in their last 6 road games. Look for tonight to see plenty of runs early and often as both hurlers recent struggles continue. 10* OVER the total in Colorado |
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08-29-17 | White Sox v. Twins OVER 9 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 8* OVER the total in Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox @ 8:10 ET - Although the White Sox have not been hitting that well overall of late, they did put up 7 runs in a big win Sunday. Also, the ChiSox have averaged 5.2 runs per game in their last 5 road games and 3 of the 5 went over the total. With this total dropping from a 10 to a 9 and with the Twins likely to pound Chicago's James Shields, I see great value with the over in this one. Shields is winless in his 7 road starts this season and he has compiled a 5.63 ERA on the season. The White Sox right-hander is facing a Twins team that has won 8 of its last 12 games and averaged 6.4 runs per game in doing so. In other words Minnesota will have plenty of confidence at the plate and should hit Shields hard. The Twins send Ervin Santana to the mound and though he pitched very well in his last start at Chicago, he did get roughed up for 6 earned runs in 5 innings the last time he hosted the White Sox. The over is 9-5 this season (and 30-18 the past 3 seasons) when the ChiSox are playing after a day off. The over is 34-25 this season (and 111-75 the last 3 seasons) when the Twins are playing against a team with a losing record. 8* OVER the total in Minnesota |
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08-28-17 | Mariners v. Orioles OVER 11 | 6-7 | Win | 110 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Monday MLB 8* OVER the total in Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners @ 7:05 ET - Very big total posted on this game but it is absolutely justified and is still not big enough! Marco Gonzales gets the start for the Mariners and the southpaw has a 7.40 ERA and has been hit at a .352 clip this season. Also, he has made 5 starts this season and has never completed 5 innings. One of his starts was against the Orioles and he allowed 4 earned runs on 9 hits in 4 and 1/3 innings in that outing. The fact that Baltimore has already faced, and had success against, Gonzales certainly doesn't bode well for the left-hander as he now matches up with them in their home at Camden Yards. The Orioles will have Chris Tillman on the mound this evening and he is having a very tough year. Baltimore hope that a bullpen stint would help him but when he returned from a couple appearances in relief duty his struggles as a starter quickly resumed. Tillman, in 18 games (16 starts) this season has been hit at a .342 clip and has gone 1-7 with a 7.75 ERA. The over is 4-1 in the 5 starts Gonzales has made this season. Also, in road games with a posted total of 11 or 11.5 runs, the Mariners are 5-0 to the over the past 3 seasons combined. 8* OVER the total in Baltimore |
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08-28-17 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Rickenbach Monday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox @ 7:05 ET - Good line value here with a low total thanks to the pitching match-up in this one. Since Drew Pomeranz and Marcus Stroman have good overall numbers on the season there is a low posted number here. The Blue Jays Stroman only allowed unearned runs in his most recent start versus the Red Sox but prior to that he allowed 6 earned runs in EACH of his two prior starts versus Boston. The Jays right-hander also allowed 5 earned runs in just 5 and 1/3 innings in his most recent start. Boston's Pomeranz gets plenty of run support on the road and his road starts have gone 8-4 to the over. He has walked 15 in his last 23 innings on the road and the southpaw, prior to allowing no earned runs in his most recent road start, did allow 6 earned runs in less than 12 innings of work spanning his two prior starts away from home. Even though the Blue Jays only had one big game in terms of runs scored in their series with Minnesota this past weekend, Toronto did tally an average of 10 hits per game in the series. The Red Sox will be ready to bounce back at the plate after rare tough weekend series with the Orioles. Boston enters this series having averaged 7 runs per game in their last 3 road games. The over is 19-9 this season in Red Sox road games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. 10* OVER the total in Toronto |
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08-27-17 | New York Mets - Game #2 v. Washington Nationals - Game #2 OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
ESPN Smash Pass - Rickenbach Sunday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Washington Nationals vs New York Mets @ 8:05 ET (Game 2 of double header) - The Nationals Tanner Roark has some good numbers versus the Mets in his career but he is 3-6 at home this season with a 5.09 ERA in those starts. I just don't trust him here to shut down New York and the fact is that this is a low total posted on this game considering it is the 2nd game of a double header so the bullpens could be a little "stretched out" for this game as well. Note that the Mets have scored 4 runs or more in 6 of their last 8 games. That is significant here because a 4-4 game guarantees us of no worse than a 5-4 final and 9 runs scored puts us in the win column here. Certainly the Nationals should have no trouble scoring big in this one. The Mets Seth Lugo has given up 10 runs (9 earned) on 17 hits in less than 12 innings of work spanning his two starts versus the Nats this season. The over is 8-3 in Lugo's starts this season and he has a 7.31 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Nationals have scored 4 runs or more in 4 of their last 6 games and their bats got going in a big way in yesterday's 9-4 win. The over is 55-26 in New York Mets night games this season and that incredible run should add another W here! 10* OVER the total in Washington in Game 2 of double-header Sunday night |
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08-27-17 | Astros v. Angels OVER 9.5 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach Sunday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros @ 3:35 ET - Very warm weather this afternoon in Anaheim. High temperatures will approach 90 degrees and the winds, though not strong, will be blowing out toward center. The ball tends to carry better in day games (compared to at night) on the west coast and this is particularly true when the weather conditions are like this. The Angels got the 7-6 win yesterday and have now scored 5 runs or more in 6 of their last 9 games. They should enjoy success against Charlie Morton as he has not been quite as strong on the road as he has been at home this season and this is just his 3rd road start since the All Star break. As for the Astros sticks, look for them to "tee off" against Ricky Nolasco. The right-hander has been "shaky" recently for the Angels and, keep in mind, Nolasco is 6-12 with a 4.80 ERA in his starts this season. Also, he's facing the Astros for the 3rd time this season and he's has been fortunate to allow just 2 earned runs in each of the first two starts as he has given up 16 hits in 13 innings. Look for the "3rd time to be the charm" for Houston as they pound Nolasco who appears to be tiring a bit here late in the season. The over is 5-1-1 in Nolasco's last 7 starts. Also, the over is 14-6 this season (and 36-15 the last 3 seasons) when the Astros are on the road in a game with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs. Houston is 14-4 to the over in Sunday games this season. 10* OVER the total in the Los Angeles Angels game Sunday afternoon |
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08-27-17 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 10.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach MLB Sunday 8* OVER the total in Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers @ 2:10 ET - Certainly the White Sox have not been pounding the ball of late but their bats should have plenty of life against the Tigers Matt Boyd today. The Detroit southpaw has found the ChiSox to be a bit of a match-up issue for him. They've gotten to Boyd for 11 earned runs on 21 hits (including 3 homers) in 14 innings spanning his 3 starts versus them this season. In his two starts at Chicago, Boyd has more walks than strikeouts. Lucas Giolito gets the start for the White Sox here and he gave up 3 homers in his start versus the Twins Tuesday. In his prior start at the MLB level he gave up 2 homers versus the Rockies last August. Giolito has allowed 8 earned runs in 11 innings spanning his last 2 MLB starts and the damage could have easily been even worse as he has been homer-prone! The over is 8-1 in Boyd's last 9 starts overall and also 3-0 in his 3 starts versus the White Sox this season and the over is 6-0 in his last 6 road starts! More of the same expected in this one. 8* OVER the total in the Chicago White Sox early Sunday |
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08-27-17 | Twins v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach MLB Sunday MLB 8* OVER the total in Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins @ 1:05 ET - The Twins Kyle Gibson is off of a strong start but it came against a struggling White Sox lineup. Prior to that outing Gibson had given up 9 earned runs in 14 innings spanning his last 3 starts and I expect more struggles early today. The Blue Jays will have Joe Biagini on the mound and he has given up 20 earned runs in the 17 and 1/3 innings spanning his last 4 starts. In other words, he's been awful of late. Yesterday's game totaled 19 runs and another wild one can be expected here. The over is 14-7 in Minnesota's Sunday games this season and 3-1 in Biagini's last 4 starts. I'll test the combined 17-8, 68% run here. 8* OVER the total in Toronto early Sunday |
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08-26-17 | Cubs v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 17-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Rickenbach Saturday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs @ 7:05 ET - The Phillies stayed hot at the plate yesterday but the Cubs surprisingly did not match them run for run. The result was an under that certainly had the feel of an over as the game was 6-1 by the bottom of the 2nd. It was another tough loss for me with that game not going over the total. My season has been filled with games like that as well as tight one-run losses or late game big hits that always seem to come for my opponents even when I have got the edge. But I digress. The key point here is that we should get some payback coming right back with the over in this match-up and I am also confident that the rest of the MLB season as well as the rest of the calendar year 2017 in all sports is going to produce an epic run for me after the most non-sensible run of bad beats and tough losses ever seen for me in this MLB season. As for this Saturday evening match-up Ben Lively gets the start for the Phillies and he is 0-4 with a 4.25 ERA in his 5 home starts while getting hit at a nearly .300 clip in those outings. In my opinion, how hittable he has been is going to catch up with him here and his rather low ERA (given the BAA he has) means a "correction" is coming. Look for Lively to get rocked as the Cubs respond after some recent frustration at the plate. As for the Chicago starter, Kyle Hendricks, he has had an ERA over a full run higher on the road compared to at home throughout his career. Also, the red hot Phillies lineup (led by Rhys Hoskins on a power-hitting tear) has averaged 7.4 runs per game in their last 7 games. More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Philadelphia |
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08-26-17 | Orioles v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 7-0 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Saturday MLB 8* OVER the total in Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles @ 4:05 ET - The Orioles Kevin Gausman gave up 4 homers in his most recent start and has a 6.06 ERA in his last 3 starts combined. He also has not fared well at Fenway Park in his career. Boston sends Eduardo Rodriguez to the mound for this one and he has struggled since he came back from the disabled list as he has a 4.78 ERA in his last 7 starts. He got rocked for 7 earned runs in his most recent start versus the Orioles. By the way, Gausman has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 12 and 2/3 innings versus the BoSox. This should be another slugfest just like yesterday's game. 8* OVER the total in Boston |
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08-25-17 | Pirates v. Reds OVER 9 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Friday MLB 8* OVER the total in Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 7:10 ET - The Pirates and Dodgers combined to leave 24 men on base in yesterday's game and I got burned. I'll get a little back today with this one as Pittsburgh now travels to Cincinnati and this one should fly over the total. The Reds send Robert Stephenson to the mound and even though he has a decent ERA in his limited action as a starter he has 12 walks against just 9 strikeouts in his 3 most recent starts and he got hit hard in his lone home start this season. Add in the fact that the Pirates just recently faced him and this one sets up well for Pittsburgh to have a big day at the plate. The issue for the Pirates will be their own starting pitcher as Ivan Nova has a 5.00 ERA (and has been hit hard) in his 3 most recent starts. Also, Nova has given up 9 runs (8 earned) on 20 hits in the 9 innings spanning his two career starts at Cincinnati. The Reds game versus the Cubs stayed under the total yesterday but previously Cincy was on a 14-3 run to the over. Also, the Pirates game stayed under the total but Pittsburgh previously was on a 6-2 run to the over. The hot hitting resumes this evening in a hitter-friendly venue with two starting pitchers likely to struggle. 8* OVER the total in Cincinnati |
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08-25-17 | Orioles v. Red Sox OVER 10 | 16-3 | Win | 105 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Friday MLB 8* OVER the total in Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:10 ET - The Red Sox Rick Porcello comes up with some strong outings from time to time but this is still a guy whom is getting hit at a .298 clip at Fenway Park this season with a 6-8 record and a 4.89 ERA. Also concerning for Porcello is the fact that the Orioles lineup has been proven to give him trouble. The Boston right-hander is 0-2 versus the Orioles this season and they've hit 3 homers against him in those 2 starts plus the O's got to him for 8 hits in just 6 innings of work in the most recent match-up. The only good news for Porcello here is that he should get plenty of run support in this one as Jeremy Hellickson is likely to get pounded. The Baltimore right-hander is 0-2 with a 9.19 ERA in his last 3 starts. Also, Hellickson has allowed 12 runs (11 earned) on 17 hits in his last 7 and 1/3 innings against the Red Sox. That includes a start earlier this season as well as his most recent start at Fenway Park which was a few years ago. The Red Sox are averaging 6.3 runs per game in their last 9 games and the Orioles are averaging 6 runs per game in their last 11 games. Yes this is a big total posted on this game but it is absolutely justified! 8* OVER the total in Boston |
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08-25-17 | Cubs v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Friday MLB 8* OVER the total in Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs @ 7:05 ET - As Phillies rookie Rhys Hoskins has been heating up (3rd MLB player in history to hit 8 homers in first 15 games of career) so too has the Phils offense. Though Philadelphia fell short on the scoreboard yesterday, they are averaging 7.5 runs per game in their last 6 games as they pushed 8 across the plate yesterday. The over is now 8-3 in the Phils last 11 games. As for the Cubs, they are off of a rare loss and a rare low-scoring game so I look for them to bounce back at the plate tonight. Chicago had gone over the total in 6 of their last 7 games and had averaged 7.9 runs per game in their last 10 games prior to yesterday's tough performance at Cincinnati. Jerad Eickhoff gets the start for the Phillies and he has walked 5 in less than 10 innings in his last 2 starts plus he has allowed 22 hits in his last 16 and 1/3 innings. The Cubs counter with Jose Quintana whom is off of a strong home start versus Toronto but had allowed 12 runs (10 earned) in just 16 innings of work spanning his 3 prior starts. The over is 24-12 in Cubs road games where they are a favorite of -175 or more. Also, the over is on a 43-28 run in Phillies August games. 8* OVER the total in Philadelphia |
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08-24-17 | Padres v. Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach Thursday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in St Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres @ 7:15 ET - The over is 6-1 in the last 7 starts that Luis Perdomo has made. The Padres right-hander has given up 63 hits in the 49 and 1/3 innings spanning his last 9 starts. As you can see, Perdomo has been very hittable and now he faces a Cardinals team that has been crushing the ball. That is why St Louis was 13-2 to the over in their last 15 games before yesterday's game fell just short of going over the total. St Louis will have Carlos Martinez on the mound in this one and the over is 8-2 in his last 10 starts. The Cards right-hander continues to get tremendous run support. However, its not like Martinez has been unhittable either as he has given up 60 hits in the 55 innings spanning his last 9 starts. Also, he has been roughed up for 18 earned runs in the 22 innings spanning his last 4 home starts! The over is 40-26 this season when the Padres are off of a loss. Also, in August games, San Diego is on a 46-26 run to the over. The over is 48-32 in Cardinals night games this season. 10* OVER the total in St Louis |
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08-24-17 | Dodgers v. Pirates OVER 9 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach Thursday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 4:05 ET - After yesterday's crazy 1-0 Pirates win, look for the red hot lineups of each of these teams to resume their recent hitting surge this afternoon. Pittsburgh had scored 5 runs or more in 7 straight games prior to yesterday's low-scoring victory. The over was 6-1 in those 7 games. The Dodgers had scored 5 runs or more in 7 of their last 9 games before getting shutout yesterday. The over was 6-3 in those 9 games for Los Angeles. The Dodgers are 11-3 to the over in Thursday games this season and 37-24 to the over in their games against teams with a losing record. The over is 12-5 in Pittsburgh's games the last 3 seasons when they are a home dog in a price range of +125 to +175. Chad Kuhl gets the start for the Pirates and he has a 4.88 ERA in his home starts this season. He gave up 4 earned runs in 5 innings when he faced the Dodgers earlier this season. Hyun-Jin Ryu gets the start for the Dodgers this afternoon and he is 2-4 in road games this season and also has been hit at a .283 clip in his 6 day game starts this year! 10* OVER the total in Pittsburgh |
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08-23-17 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 10 | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach Wednesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs @ 7:10 ET - The Reds and Cubs combined for 22 runs yesterday. The Cubs have now won 7 of their last 9 games and they've averaged 7.8 runs per games during this hot stretch. The Reds have also been on fire at the plate as Cincinnati has averaged 6.9 runs per game in their last 13 games. More of the same can be expected here as Chicago is starting Michael Montgomery only because Jon Lester is on the disabled list. Montgomery has an 8.53 ERA in the last 3 starts he made and all 3 flew over the total. The Reds are starting Asher Wojciechowski because Scott Feldman is on the disabled list. Wojciechowski has allowed 10 earned runs in less than 10 innings of work spanning his last two starts and he gave up a pair of homers in each start. Both these starting pitchers have had rough times against the lineups they will be facing this evening. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 starts that Wojciechowski has made. The over is 12-5 this season in Cincinnati's home games where they are a dog of +125 to +175. The over is 31-17 in Reds divisional games this year. The over is 12-6 in Chicago's Wednesday games this season. 10* OVER the total in Cincinnati early Wednesday evening. |
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08-23-17 | Brewers v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach Wednesday MLB 8* OVER the total in San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 3:45 ET - Yesterday's game stayed just under the total but each team had 10 hits. That's a good sign of what to expect this afternoon at AT & T Park in terms of plenty of hits. Yes it will be cool, as is typical of San Francisco this time of year, but the wind will be blowing out and the ball does carry better in day games than at night. That said, note that the Brewers Matt Garza has been rocked for 7 homers in his last 2 road starts. Overall he has more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts combined and he has compiled an ugly 12.47 ERA in these 3 outings. Matt Moore gets the call for the Giants here and he is off of a strong start but that came versus the league-worst Phillies. The San Francisco southpaw previously allowed 49 hits in the 40 and 2/3 innings spanning his 7 prior starts. Though yesterday's under was the 3rd in a row in a Giants game, San Francisco had gone 7 straight games without an under prior to this 3-game run of unders. The over is 15-10 this season (and 61-46 the last 3 seasons combined) in Milwaukee's games versus left-handed starters. 8* OVER the total in San Francisco Wednesday afternoon. |
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08-22-17 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 10.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
Total Crusher - Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins @ 8:10 ET - Certainly the White Sox have not been hitting the ball well. Even though both games of yesterday's double header went over the total the fact is the ChiSox tallied very few hits. However, facing Kyle Gibson should bring out the best in the White Sox lineup. I am well aware of the fact that Gibson has great career numbers versus the ChiSox but the last time he faced them he allowed 5 earned runs in less than 6 innings of work. Also, he has a 6.05 ERA on the season and has given up 39 hits in his last 31 and 1/3 innings heading into this start. The over is now 8-3 in the Twins last 11 starts and Minnesota has been swinging hot bats. Minny has averaged scoring 6.9 runs per game in going 13-3 in their last 16 games. That said, young Lucas Giolito is in trouble here. The right-hander is highly touted but he has gone just 6-10 with a 4.48 ERA in the minors this season. Also, last season in his only major league appearances thus far, Giolito compiled a 6.75 ERA in 6 games (4 starts) and was hit at a .295 clip. Facing the red hot Twins should mean more struggles at the MLB level for Giolito here. The White Sox sticks, though they haven't been great as noted above, have averaged 5 runs per game in their last 14 games. This one should fly over the total as the bullpens also had to put in extra work yesterday due to the double header so this situation clearly favors the over today. The over is 17-8 in Chicago's home games this season where their money line is in a range of -125 to +125. Also, the over is 33-20 in Minnesota's games against teams with a losing record this season. 10* OVER the total in the Chicago White Sox game Tuesday evening |
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08-22-17 | Miami Marlins - Game #1 v. Philadelphia Phillies - Game #1 OVER 8.5 | 12-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach Tuesday MLB 8* OVER the total in Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins @ 4:05 ET (Game 1 of double-header) - Both these pitchers have solid numbers on the season but there are plenty of signs pointing to struggles for each hurler this afternoon in Philly. Great line value here for this total as it has been held down to an 8.5 based on long-term numbers for these two pitchers. The key in the value with the over here is that Aaron Nola is off of a start where he struggled and it was against the light-hitting Giants. Giving up 5 earned runs in 5 innings at San Francisco is a bad sign for Nola as he now faces a Marlins team that got to him for 4 earned runs in just 3 innings of work when he faced them earlier this season. As for Miami starter Daniel Straily, the Phillies have proven to be a tough match-up for him. Straily has faced Philadelphia twice already this season and he has been rocked for 18 hits in less than 12 innings of work. He was fortunate enough to work out of some jams in those starts because he escaped with a total of only 5 earned runs allowed in the 2 outings. However, the fact is that the Phillies have hit the ball very well against him and he comes into this outing with a 4.63 ERA in his road starts this season. Overall, the over is 5-1-1 in Straily's 7 starts since the All-Star break. Also, the over is 45-32 in Miami's night games this season and 10-4 in their Tuesday games. The Marlins are also 31-18 to the over this season in their games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs. More of the same expected here. 8* OVER the total in Philadelphia in Game 1 of the double-header Tuesday afternoon. |
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08-21-17 | Mariners v. Braves OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
Rickenbach Monday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners @ 7:35 ET - The Braves Mike Foltynewicz has been roughed up in 3 of his last 4 starts. The Atlanta right-hander has struggled to command his curveball and slider and the results have been rough. Foltynewicz has allowed 5 earned runs or more in 3 of his last 4 starts and none of those 3 poor outings saw him log more than 4 innings! Now he faces a fired up Seattle team off of a shutout loss. The Mariners have a solid lineup and they had scored 7 runs in each of their prior 3 games before being shutdown yesterday. The over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 starts that Foltynewicz has made and I expect another over here because the M's Andrew Albers is unlikely to enjoy success. The southpaw has pitched in the minors for much of his career and this will be just his 2nd start this season. Keep in mind he has been hit at a .286 clip at the major league level in 18 appearances (13 starts) in his career. The left-hander also has been hit at a .279 clip in his entire minor league career including getting hit at .305 or better in 2 of his last 3 years in the minors at the AAA level. The Braves have averaged 7.3 runs per game in their last 4 games and they'll stay hot at the plate tonight. Yesterday's 8-1 Atlanta win barely stayed under the total but the over was 6-3 in Braves games heading into that one. Seattle is 14-9 to the over after getting shutout and also 34-19 to the over in interleague games. The over is on a 19-9 run in Atlanta's games versus teams with a winning record this season and also the Braves are 9-5 to the over in inter-league action this season. 10* OVER the total in Atlanta early Monday evening. |
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08-21-17 | Diamondbacks v. Mets OVER 9 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Monday MLB 8* OVER the total in New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 7:10 ET - The Dbacks Taijuan Walker has a 5.62 ERA and has allowed 4 homers in his last 3 starts. Arizona has lost each of his last 7 starts and he has allowed at least 3 earned runs in each of his last 4 starts and the over is a perfect 3-0 in Walker's last 3 starts. The Mets send Robert Gsellman to the mound for this one and the Mets have lost each of his last 4 starts. Gsellman has compiled a 9.68 ERA in those 4 outings. The over is 10-4-1 in his 15 starts this season. Though neither one of these teams has been tearing the cover off of the ball of late, the Diamondbacks have scored 4 runs or more in 4 of their last 6 games. New York has scored 4 runs or more in 7 of their last 11 games. Of course a 4-4 scored guarantees us no worse than a 5-4 final and I like the line value as this total has dropped to a 9 and the over is available at plus money. Keep in mind, Arizona is on a 46-26 run to the over in August games and the Mets are an incredible 54-23 to the over in night games this season. 8* OVER the total in the New York Mets game early Monday evening. |
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08-20-17 | Cardinals v. Pirates OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
ESPN Game of the Year - Rickenbach Sunday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Pittsburgh Pirates vs St Louis Cardinals @ 7 ET - The Cardinals are on a 12-1 run to the over in their last 13 games after yesterday's 6-4 loss went over the total. Both of these teams continue to have bullpen issues and are swinging the bats quite well. The Cardinals have averaged scoring nearly 8 runs per game in their last 13 games! The Pirates have averaged scoring 7 runs per game in their last 4 games. Really the only question than for this one than comes down to the starting pitcher. The fact is that this is perhaps the strongest edge of all when it comes to this play! The Cardinals are starting Mike Leake and he has an 8.81 ERA in his last 3 starts and has given up 28 hits in the 15 and 1/3 innings spanning those 3 outings. He'll be opposed by Ivan Nova who is off of a solid outing at Milwaukee but had gone into that game having compiled a 6.67 ERA in his 5 starts since the All Star break. As you can see from these numbers, neither one of these pitchers has been getting the job done recently. Additionally, the Pirates lineup will be facing Leake for the 4th time already this season and they've had 20 hits in 17 and 1/3 innings against him thus far. Based on his current form, this could really be a breakout game for the Pittsburgh bats. As for the Cardinals, though they didn't fare well against Nova earlier this season at least that means they have seen him already and their lineup is truly one of the hottest in baseball right now. Couple that with Nova's recent struggles and St Louis should stay red hot at the plate in this one. Not only is the over 12-1 in the Cards last 13 games, STL is also 13-4 to the over in Sunday games this season. That means we're testing a combined 25-5 (83%) mark here! Count me in! 10* OVER the total in Pittsburgh |
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08-20-17 | Brewers v. Rockies OVER 12.5 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach Sunday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 3:10 ET - Yesterday's 6-3 Brewers win stayed under the total but the teams did combine for 21 hits. Overall Milwaukee has now averaged 6.1 runs per game in their last 7 games. The Rockies, prior to the loss last night, had averaged 9.7 runs per game in their last 3 games. As you can see, both these teams have been swinging the bats quite well and that should result in plenty of runs on a warm and very dry afternoon in Denver. The ball will be carrying extremely well at Coors Field, even though the wind will not be blowing out, as a result of the weather conditions. Kyle Freeland gets the start for the Rockies and he has given up 4 homers in his last 17 and 1/3 innings on the mound. He has been hit quite hard in many of his starts since mid-June and I expect more of the same here. As for the Brewers, Chase Anderson is returning from the disabled list and he got rocked in his rehab start at the AAA level in the minors. Also, this will be the 3rd time in the past 12 months that the Rockies are seeing Anderson and it is the first time at Coors Field. Anderson had allowed 4 earned runs in 3 of his last 5 road starts before lasting just 1 inning at Cincinnati on June 28th and then landing on the DL. The over is 15-9 in Brewers games versus left-handed starters this season. Also, the over was 5-1 in Anderson's last 6 road starts before he lasted just 1 inning against the Reds and went on the shelf. His road struggles resume here but his teammates stay hot at the plate. The expected result is a slugfest! 10* OVER The total in Colorado Sunday afternoon |
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08-20-17 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach Sunday MLB 8* OVER the total in Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees @ 1:30 ET - The Yankees will have Sonny Gray on the mound and he got rocked for 7 earned runs in less than 4 innings of work in his most recent start in Boston. It will be a warm afternoon with the wind blowing out toward right field at a good clip for this one. Definitely a hitter-friendly afternoon and the Red Sox have averaged 6.1 runs per game in their last 9 games and will give Gray trouble again here. Boston has their own pitching "concern" here as Rick Porcello gets the ball for the Red Sox in this one. The right-hander has a 5.13 ERA and has been hit at .307 clip in his 14 starts at Fenway Park this season. Porcello also has given up 17 hits (including 3 homers) in the 12 and 1/3 innings spanning his last two starts versus the Yankees. The Yanks will be seeing the Red Sox right-hander for the 4th time already this season. Repetition leads to success for the hitters and they also feature buoyed confidence after getting the big upset win over Chris Sale yesterday in a 4-3 final. The Yankees are now 5-1 in their last 6 games and have averaged 5.2 runs per game during this stretch. As you can see, this game should easily get to double digits in runs scored. 8* OVER the total in Boston early Sunday afternoon. |
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08-19-17 | A's v. Astros OVER 9.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
Total Crusher - Rickenbach Saturday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Houston Astros vs Oakland A's @ 7:10 ET - After scoring 9 runs in back to back games, the Astros bats have been rather quiet the past two games. Facing the A's Kendall Graveman should help them wake up in a hurry. Oakland is 1-4 in Graveman's 5 road starts this season and he has compiled a 7.20 ERA in those outings. Being divisional foes, these lineups have familiarity with the pitchers they're facing today and Collin McHugh is also likely to struggle here. The Astros are only 1-4 in his 5 starts since he returned from an elbow injury that kept him out for the first half of this season. McHugh has allowed 9 earned runs in just 11 innings spanning his last two starts. He's facing an A's team that had averaged 6.2 runs per game in their last 6 games before being held to just 1 run yesterday. The A's had gone over in 4 of their last 5 games prior to yesterday's pitchers duel and they had reached double digits in hits in 4 of their last 6 games. Oakland's 38 doubles in the month of August is 2nd out of all 30 MLB teams and they've been one of the better hitting teams this month. Of course the Astros are one of the top teams in baseball and loaded with plenty of hitting prowess. The over is 31-19 in Athletics games against teams with a winning record this season. The over is 16-9 in the Astros last 25 games against teams with a losing record on the year. 10* OVER the total in Houston |
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08-19-17 | Mariners v. Rays OVER 9 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach Saturday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners @ 6:10 ET - Certainly the Rays have been struggling at the plate overall and they had a rough time yesterday with just 1 run on 4 hits. However, Tampa Bay had started to show signs of turning the corner before yesterday's poor effort as they had tallied 31 hits in their last 3 games. The key to the value in today's play is that the Rays can resume the turnaround at the plate because they are facing a hurler that is struggling. Ariel Miranda gets the start for the Mariners here and the southpaw is winless with an 8.21 ERA in his last 3 starts. Also, he has given up 5 homers in his last two road starts. Seattle also should have no trouble at the plate today either. The Mariners have scored 7 runs in back to back games and Jake Odorizzi has struggled with location of his pitches in recent starts and this has resulted in shortened outings and some overall ineffectiveness. The way the M's are swinging the bats they could make him pay in a hurry here and they have gotten to Odorizzi for 13 runs (8 earned) in the 8 innings spanning his last two starts versus Seattle. The over is 6-0 in his last 6 home starts this season and odds are favoring another one here! 10* OVER the total in Tampa Bay early Saturday evening. |
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08-18-17 | Cardinals v. Pirates OVER 8 | Top | 11-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
Total Crusher - Rickenbach Friday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Pittsburgh Pirates vs St Louis Cardinals @ 7:05 ET - With two starting pitchers on good runs and that have strong overall numbers, this total is being held lower than it should be. The fact is that, with yesterday's 11-7 slug-fest win, the Cardinals are 10-1 to the over in their last 11 games. Also, none of the 11 games have totaled less than 9 runs so, with a posted total at 8 runs (like today's currently is), the Cards would be on an 11-0 run to the over! They should have no trouble with the offerings of the Pirates Trevor Williams. They just saw the right-hander last month and, although they managed only 2 runs against him, the Cardinals pounded Williams to the tune of 10 hits in 5 and 2/3 innings. As you can see from those numbers, there were simply some wasted opportunities. Even though the Cardinals Carlos Martinez was strong in his start versus the Pirates last month, the fact that Pittsburgh is getting another look at him just a month later should help them. Though Martinez has been pitching well he did allow 2 homers in his most recent road start. He has been more susceptible to the long ball away from home this season and the wind is expected to be blowing out for this one. Martinez is 6-3 at home this season but only 3-6 on the road and the Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 home games and have averaged scoring 5.6 runs per game in those 7 games. With both teams having shaky bullpen work of late as well, this one should easily get over the low number. 10* OVER the total in Pittsburgh early Friday evening |
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08-17-17 | Cardinals v. Pirates OVER 9 | Top | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Total Crusher - Rickenbach Thursday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Pittsburgh Pirates vs St Louis Cardinals @ 7:05 ET - In 8 innings spanning his last two starts, the Cardinals Adam Wainwright has walked 8 while striking out just 1. That doesn't bode well for the Cards right-hander as he faces the Pirates Thursday evening. Pittsburgh scored 6 runs yesterday to get their offense back on track and they'll take advantage of facing a struggling right-hander whom they are very familiar with because St Louis is a division rival. The issue for the Pirates here will be their own pitching as James Taillon has endured some recent struggles. Taillon has a 9.95 ERA in his last 4 starts and he has allowed 45 hits in his last 29 and 1/3 innings. The righty is giving the Cardinals a 3rd look at him in a span of less than 2 months and he has a 4.91 ERA in the first two outings. The Cards hit him harder when they just faced him last month and St Louis comes into this game on a 9-1 run to the over! St Louis has averaged scoring 7.5 runs per game in these 10 games and I look for another big day at the plate from them in this one. Look for bullpen struggles to continue for each of these teams tonight as well as it was their downfall again in their respective games yesterday as well. 10* OVER the total in Pittsburgh |
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08-17-17 | Diamondbacks v. Astros OVER 9.5 | 4-0 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach Thursday MLB 8* OVER the total in Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 2:10 ET - Yesterday's game totaled 14 runs as both bullpens got rocked. The Astros seem to have their sticks finally going again as they've erupted for 9 runs in back to back games now. They should stay hot against Pat Corbin today as the Diamondbacks left-hander is 2-8 with a 6.95 ERA in his road starts this season. The over is 8-3 in Corbin's starts away from home. The Astros will have Mike Fiers on the mound and the over is 4-0 in his last 5 starts and he has hit a particularly rough patch in his last 3 starts. Fiers is winless with an 8.82 ERA in his last 3 outings. The over is 8-4 in Houston's inter-league games this season and the Astros are also 18-11 to the over in day games this year. As for the Diamondbacks, they are 10-3 to the over as a road dog of +125 to +175 this season. Arizona is also on a 44-24 run to the over in August games. Look for more of the same as both these pitchers struggle early and often Thursday. 8* OVER the total in Houston |
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08-16-17 | Cardinals v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach Wednesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Boston Red Sox vs St Louis Cardinals @ 7:10 ET - With yesterday's 10-4 win, Boston is now 10-2 in the month of August and they've averaged 6.2 runs per game during this hot stretch. The Cardinals have now lost 2 straight but that was after winning 8 in a row and yesterday's high-scoring loss was their 9th straight over! Thanks, in part, to an offense that has averaged 7.9 runs per game in their last nine games, St Louis is on a perfect 9-0 run to the over. In interleague games this season the Cards are an incredible 14-2 to the over. The Red Sox, the last 3 seasons combined, are now 31-21 to the over in interleague action. Lance Lynn gets the start for the Cardinals and he has allowed 16 homers in his 13 road starts this season and has an ERA that in nearly a full run higher on the road compared to at home. Eduardo Rodriguez gets the start for Boston and the Cardinals did see him in May which should help them tonight. Of course it also helps that they've been red hot at the plate and are seeing the ball very well right now. The Red Sox lefthander has a 5.57 ERA in his last 6 starts. That said, even though he's off of a strong start, Rodriguez still hasn't been the same pitcher overall since he came off of the disabled list. Also, his ERA in night games is more than a full run higher than in day games this season. Look for the over to improve to a 10-0 run in St Louis games. 10* OVER the total in Boston |
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08-16-17 | Royals v. A's OVER 9 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
Rickenbach Wednesday MLB 8* OVER the total in Oakland A's vs Kansas City Royals @ 3:35 ET - The Royals entered Tuesday's action ranked among the hottest teams in the majors in recent weeks. The over was 7-2-1 in their last 10 games and Kansas City averaged scoring 6.1 runs per game during this hot run at the plate. Certainly KC should stay hot against the A's Paul Blackburn. The right-hander has a 6.00 ERA in his last 3 home starts and he has been particularly hit hard in his last two. Over his last two home starts Blackburn has given up 9 earned runs on 18 hits in just 12 innings of work. Oakland's bats have a good chance at matching the Royals run for run in this one. The A's do hit better at home than on the road and they did enter Tuesday's action having averaged 5.4 runs per game in their last 10 games. They'll be facing Danny Duffy whom comes into this one having given up 12 runs (8 earned) on 14 hits (including 3 homers) in his last 12 innings on the mound. The over is 27-18 in Athletics day games this season. The over is 12-6 in Kansas City's Wednesday games on the year. Duffy is 1-4 with a 4.63 ERA in day games this season and I expect more struggles for him here. 8* OVER the total in Oakland |
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