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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-01-16 | Charlotte v. Louisville -39.5 | 14-70 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show | |
5* play on Louisville. Note that Charlotte is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight on the road, while Louisville is 7-3 ATS in its last ten non-conference games. |
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09-01-16 | Tulane v. Wake Forest -17 | 3-7 | Loss | -106 | 33 h 43 m | Show | |
5* play on Wake Forest. Note that Tulane is a poor 5-7 ATS in its last 12 on the road and 0-4 ATS in its last four vs. the ACC, while Wake Forest is 7-5 ATS in its last 12 at home and 2-1 ATS in its last three Thursday games. |
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08-31-16 | A's v. Astros -200 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Houston Astros. Detwiler has lost three straight, while Fiers has a big opportunity here to end the season strong, note that he owns a 3.46 ERA in front of the home town crowd. Houston has three straight series against some of the best teams in the league after this afternoon’s contest, so I’m expecting the home side to come into this one razor focused as it looks to win this essentially “must win” game. Lay the price with confidence. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-30-16 | Nationals -235 v. Phillies | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 49 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Washington Nationals. This is a mismatch of EPIC proportions. Max Scherzer is 14-7 with a 2.92 ERA and has been particularly awesome in this spot all year, going 9-4 with a 3.35 ERA on the road and an even better 11-4 with a 2.65 ERA in all night games. Counterpart Jerad Eickhoff is only 9-12 with a 3.87 ERA. He’s been decent at home, 5-5 with a 3.27 ERA, but I think he’s completely outclassed tonight. I don’t see the Nationals’ “looking past” this opportunity, so lay the price with confidence. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-29-16 | Twins v. Indians -188 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 15 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Cleveland Indians. After dropping two of three to the Rangers over the weekend, I’m expecting the hard-hitting Tribe to bounce back in this favorable matchup. Trevor Bauer is 9-6 with a 3.88 ERA overall this year and is 6-3 with a 3.61 ERA in all “night” games. Hector Santiago has been all over the map with his consistency this season and owns a pedestrian 4.78 ERA in all “night” games this year. Lay the price with confidence on the Indians. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-28-16 | Royals +1.5 v. Red Sox | Top | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Royals RUN LINE. Neither of these team’s is going to go down without a fight as each looks to earn a victory tonight. In a contest which I think will be decided late or in extra innings, I’m going to lay the reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Despite an up and down season and a 9-9 win/loss record, Yordano Ventura still owns a respectable 4.27 ERA this year. Eduardo Rodriguez though has been all over the map as far as his consistency is concerned this season, note that he’s just 2-5 with a 5.11 ERA. Play on Royals run line. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-28-16 | Bengals +1.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 21-26 | Loss | -106 | 34 h 51 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals are 1-1 in the preseason, while the Jags are 0-2. The preseason is meaningless, but Jacksonville has major issues defensively and on special teams. The Bengals are expected to have starting QB Carson Palmer playing for at least the first half. We think that Bruce Arians lays the hammer down in the first half and that the visitors hold on for a victory in the end. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-27-16 | Phillies v. Mets -220 | 1-12 | Win | 100 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on New York Mets. No need to overthink this one, we’re going to lay the price with confidence as we expect Mets’ ace Noah Synergaard to easily outduel his inconsistent counterpart. Hellickson has been decent this year, but Syndergaard is nearly unbeatable at home. Note that Philly is just 22-26 (-1.6 units) this year vs. the division. Play on New York. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-26-16 | California v. Hawaii OVER 63 | Top | 51-31 | Win | 100 | 36 h 9 m | Show |
10* SUPER TOTAL OVER Cal/Hawaii. This is an important non-conference game for Cal with a tough schedule for the rest of the season. The Bears should be able to move the ball with ease vs. the vanilla Warriors defensive unit. Note that Cal has seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last ten as the fav, while Hawaii has seen the total sail above the posted number in three of its last four as an underdog. Play the OVER. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-26-16 | Patriots +3.5 v. Panthers | Top | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 34 h 33 m | Show |
10* CODE RED BLOWOUT on the New England Patriots. It’s the week that most Patriots fans have been waiting for as backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo will look to continue his strong preseason and get ready for the first four games of the regular season. Garoppolo helped his team edge the Bears last week by a score of 23-22 and finished 16 of 21 and one TD. LeGarrette Blount led the ground attack with 69 yards and a TD on 11 carries. QB Cam Newton led the way for the Panthers last week in a 26-16 win over the Titans, he’d finish 8 for 12 for 162 yards and a TD. But Garoppolo is expected to see a lot more time than Newton this week and I think that’ll be the difference maker. While I won’t be shocked by an outright upset, I’m going to recommend grabbing the points. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-26-16 | Angels v. Tigers -205 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Detroit Tigers. No need to overthink this one, Ricky Nolasco has been horrible for his new team, posting a 5.40 ERA and 1.36 WHIP since coming over to the Angels. Justin Verlander is enjoying a resurgent season and owns a very respectable 3.40 ERA at home. The Angels looked primed for a letdown here after taking two of three from the Jays on the road, while Detroit has suddenly woken up at the plate in winning four straight as it looks to chase down the second wild card spot. Lay the price on the Tigers. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-25-16 | Orioles v. Nationals -220 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Washington Nationals. Washington has now lost four straight, including three in a row to Baltimore. Suffice it to say, I think the Nationals find a way to get the job done in this massive mismatch on the mound. Ubaldo Jimenez has once again been a major disappointment this season, he’s just 5-10 with a 6.94 ERA. Counterpart Max Scherzer is finishing the season strong, he’s 13-7 with a 3.05 ERA. The massive talent discrepancy on the mound combined with the desperation level in which the home side will be playing with today makes this a price that I have no issues at all in laying. Play on Washington. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-24-16 | Cubs -248 v. Padres | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Chicago Cubs. No need to overthink this one. I played Chicago yesterday and it bounced back in fine form after dropping the opener of this three game series to the lowly Friars. The visitors will be looking to take advantage here today as well, Kyle Hendricks is 11-7 with a 2.16 ERA this year, while counterpart Paul Clemens is just 2-2 with a 4.82 ERA. Should be another wire-to-wire blood-bath, lay the price with confidence. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-23-16 | Cubs -245 v. Padres | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
5* FAN APPRECIATION PUNISHER on the Chicago Cubs. No need to overthink this one. I had a play on the Cubs last night and they bounced back after an embarrasing setback to win convincingly vs. the soft-hitting Friars. Here’s another big opportunity to keep the momentum rolling, as ace Jake Arrieta gets ready to battle Christian Friedrich. We all know that Arrieta is by far the superior starter in this matchup and that the Cubs hold a major advantage at the plate as well. The only question is whether the visitors come in focused or get caught looking ahead. I simply can’t see the opportunistic visitors looking past this matchup and will confidenly lay the price. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-22-16 | Cubs -205 v. Padres | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show | |
5* FAN APPRECIATION PUNISHER on the Chicago Cubs. No need to overthink this one. Jon Lester has allowed one or no earned runs in 14 of his 24 starts this year and owns a 2.47 ERA in all “night” games. Edwin Jackson has been consistently inconsistent all year and is in for a long day vs. this Cubs lineup which was embarrased in a loss in Colorado last night. I think the hard-hitting Cubbies come into tonight’s game with a chip on their shoulder. Lay the price with confidence. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-21-16 | Twins v. Royals -155 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Kansas City Royals. The Royals are rolling, they’re coming off back-to-back victories over the Twins and have won seven in a row overall. Ervin Santana has been consistently inconsistent all season, while Danny Duffy is easily putting together the finest campaign of his entire career. In my opinion, Kansas City should be a much larger fav in this spot, I have no issues laying the price. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-20-16 | Saints +3 v. Texans | Top | 9-16 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 32 m | Show |
10* CODE RED BLOWOUT on New Orleans Saints. Despite this only being a meaningless Week 2 preseason game, the ATS stats highly favor the visitors today! Note that New Orleans is 12-8 ATS in its last 20 as a road dog in the +3 to +6 range, while Houston is just 8-12 ATS in its last 20 as a home fav of 3 points or less or pick. Play on the Saints. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-20-16 | A's v. White Sox -200 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show | |
5* FAN APPRECIATION on the Chicago White Sox. No need to overthink this one, Ross Detwiler is just 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA and is a complete “gas can.” Chris Sale is 14-6 with a 3.30 ERA and will be eager to finish the season strong after a tumultuous season off the field. Sale has to be feeling pretty confident today as he’s 9-4 with a 3.22 ERA in all night games to date. Sale is on a personal mission after the issues with management last month and I think he’ll find a way to get the better of his inconsistent counterpart, lay the price with confidence. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-19-16 | Nationals -138 v. Braves | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 24 h 17 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Washington Nationals. These two starters are pretty evenly matched, but I think the prolific Nationals’ offense will prove to be the difference at the end of the night. Tanner Roark is 13-6 with a 2.81 ERA, while Julio Teheran is 3-9 with a 2.81 ERA. Teheran has been the victim of terrible run support this year and I simply can’t see that changing tonight vs. the razor-sharp Roark. In my professional opinion, this is great line value, play on the Nats. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-18-16 | Bears v. Patriots -190 | 22-23 | Win | 100 | 29 h 55 m | Show | |
8* SIDE WINNER on New England Patriots. The Bears looked brutal in losing 22-0 at Denver last week. Chicago will complete its second road game of the preseason and then enjoy the final two in front of the home town crowd. Week 3 is the week that team’s start the majority of their starters, a “test run” for the real thing so to speak. Suffice it to say, I think Chicago will simply go through the motions today as it gets caught “looking ahead” to that important Week 3 game and to friendlier confines. New England on the other hand will still be trying to give backup QB Jimmy Garopolo as much time as possible as they ready him for the first four games of the regular season. I think the home side opens up the playbook today as it looks to take advantage of home field tonight. No need to overthink this one, all signs point to a lop-sided destruction. Play on the Patriots. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-18-16 | White Sox v. Indians -178 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 4 m | Show | |
5* FAN APPRECIATION PUNISHER on the Cleveland Indians. No need to overthink this one, Carlos Rodon is just 3-8 with a 4.32 ERA this year, while Danny Salazar is 11-4 with a 3.38 ERA. Salazar has struggled a bit of late, but comes in refreshed after being on the 15 day DL because of fatigue. I expect the hard-hitting Tribe to take full advantage here, lay the price. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-17-16 | A's v. Rangers -205 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Texas Rangers. No need to overanalyze this one. Sean Manaea has looked a lot better since a rocky start to his MLB career, but he’s been horrible on the road with a ballooned 6.49 ERA. Yu Darvish on the other hand has gotten progressively better after each start since returning from injury mid way through the season. Note that Darvish has a 2.39 ERA in front of the home town crowd thus far. I’m fully expecting the home side to complete the series sweep. Play on Texas. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-16-16 | Milwaukee Brewers - Game #2 v. Chicago Cubs - Game #2 -240 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 6 m | Show | |
5* FAN APPRECIATION PUNISHER on the Chicago Cubs. This is a massive mismatch. Chase Anderson is just 7-10 with a 4.93 ERA, including only 1-6 with a horrible 5.96 ERA on the road. The home side counters with Jason Hammel (12-5, 2.90) who has been reactivated from the bereavement list to continue his solid season, he’ll be looking to improve upon his stellar 7-1. 1.99 ERA in front of the home town crowd. Play the Cubs. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-15-16 | A's v. Rangers -155 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Texas Rangers. No need to overthink this one. Ross Detwiler looked fantastic his 2016 season debut, going seven scoreless vs. the Orioles. He’d been brutal in Triple A though and during his time with the Indians. The Rangers counter with Martin Perez, he’s 6-1 with a 2.26 ERA at home. All things considered, I think this line should in fact be a lot larger as I expect Detwiler to stumble in this tough matchup. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-14-16 | Cardinals v. Cubs -175 | 6-4 | Loss | -175 | 28 h 31 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Chicago Cubs. Mike Leake is just 8-9 this year and has struggled on the road with a 4.89 ERA. Lackey has for the most part been incredibly consistent all season and he’s been particularly effective at home, posting a tiny 2.94 ERA. I have no issues laying the price in this monster mismatch. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-14-16 | Texans v. 49ers -3 | Top | 24-13 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on San Francisco. Houston beat the 49ers 23-10 in the first preseason game of 2015. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting San Francisco to return the favor tonight. Chip Kelly has two experienced QB’s battling it out for the No. 1 spot this preseason in Blaine Gabbert and Colin Kaepernick. The Texans know who their No. 1 QB will be in the recently signed Brock Osweiler, who comes over from the Broncos in the offseason. I’ll take a common sense approach to this one: Kelly is expected to help turnaround a disastrous 2015/16 season for San Francisco and I think the gridiron “mastermind” will be looking to start off his tenure with a convincing winning effort in his debut. Play on San Francisco. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-13-16 | Tigers v. Rangers -177 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -177 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Texas Rangers. Here is a mismatch of Titanic proportions. The visitors hand the ball to Matt Boyd (3-2, 4.69 ERA), he’s been much better at home (3-1, 3.06) than on the road (0-1, 6.94). The home side counters with ace Cole Hamels (12-3, 2.89), he gave up two runs over six innings in a no-decision vs. Colorado on Monday and hasn’t allowed more than three runs since early July spanning a five start stretch. Note that Hamels is 8-2 with a 2.74 ERA in all “night” contests this season. I don’t foresee the Rangers “looking past” the struggling Tigers today, everything points to a lop-sided victory. Play on Texas - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-13-16 | Seahawks v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 17-16 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 34 m | Show |
10* CODE RED BLOWOUT on the Kansas City Chiefs. Let’s forget about getting too in depth into analysis today. Both teams have plenty to work on after decent seasons a year ago and neither of their starters will see much playing time today. Seattle though has always had a hell of a time at Arrow Head Stadium and I think that trend continues tonight. Note that the Hawks are 1-7 ATS in their last eight vs. KC and 0-4 ATS their last four at Arrow Head. Conversely, this is a spot that the Chiefs have excelled in for bettors, going 7-3 ATS in their last ten games played on grass and 4-0 in the their last four preseason contests overall. Lay the points on Kansas City. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-12-16 | Browns v. Packers -3 | 11-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 21 m | Show | |
8* PUNISHER on the Green Bay Packers. Cleveland was just 3-13 last year and will be hoping that Robert Griffin III will be the catalyst to a better record this season. The Pack finished 10-6 and would seem primed for a big season if their key members can stay healthy this season. It’s going to take time for the III and company to build any chemistry and the unit draws a tough opening matchup in having to play at Lambeau (note that Cleveland was just 1-3 in the preseason a year ago). The home side’s O-Line was a shambles last season due to inury, so that will be a big focus for the Green Bay throughout the preseason. Green Bay did win its preseason opener vs. the Patriots by a score of 22-11 last year and I think we’ll see a similar result tonight. Lay the points on the Packers. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-12-16 | Diamondbacks v. Red Sox -240 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show | |
5* FAN APPRECIATION SPECIAL on Boston Red Sox. This is a mismatch of epic proportions. Arizona’s Patrick Corbin has for the most part been horrible this year and is just 4-11 with a ballooned 5.37 ERA this season. Corbin has been awful in all night contests as well, going 2-5 with a 5.97 ERA. Counterpart David Price (9-8, 4.34) gave up six runs in a loss to the Dodgers in his last start. Price has struggled with consistency this season, but he’ll be looking to bounce back and impove upon his respectable 6-3, 4.33 ERA in front of the home town crowd. Boston’s big bats should bounce back in fine fashion vs. Corbin and that makes this a price in which I have no issues at all in laying. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-11-16 | Angels v. Indians -220 | 4-14 | Win | 100 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Cleveland Indians. Here is a mismatch of epic proportions. Jhoulys Chacin is 3-7 with a 5.27 ERA and will make his first start (out of necessity) since July 1st. Note that Chacin has been particularly horrible in this spot this year, going just 1-5 with a 5.83 ERA. Indians’ ace Corey Kluber (11-8, 3.22) went seven scoreless vs. the A’s on Sunday and will now look to improve upon his very respectable 2.95 ERA in front of the home town crowd. Lay the price with confidence and expect a rocking chair victory. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-11-16 | Redskins v. Falcons -2.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 32 h 8 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Atlanta Falcons. Washington played in Atlanta in the 2015 regular season and the home side would win in OT to improve to 5-0. After that though the Falcons fell off the map and failed to make the postseason. I think this will be an Atlanta team focused throughout the preseason. In fact, Atlanta has not put together a winning preseason since 2007, a stretch that includes 0-4 marks in both 2011 and 2013. I think the home side uses that fact as motivation and gets the 2016/17 season started off on the “right foot.” Lay the points. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-10-16 | Rays v. Blue Jays -190 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Toronto Blue Jays. Toronto fell 9-2 to the Rays yesterday, but is 109-90 (+14.7 units) in its last 199 following a loss, while Tampa is already 12-14 (-3.1 units) this season vs. left-handed starters. Blake Snell has been great for Tampa, but so to has JA Happ been for Toronto, now 9-0 with a 2.69 ERA in his last ten outings. I’m expecting a big response from the Jays after yesterday’s lacklustre effort, lay the price with confidence. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-09-16 | Rays v. Blue Jays -182 | 9-2 | Loss | -182 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
8* PUNISHER on Toronto Blue Jays. Drew Smyly is just 3-11 with a 5.14 ERA this year. He’s also just 2-5 with a 5.83 ERA on the road this season. Counterpart Marco Estrada (7-4, 2.92) is coming off a gem vs. the Astros on Wednesday and owns a tiny 2.69 ERA in front of the home town crowd this year. I simply can’t see Estrada not coming on focused today and that make the Jays the correct call in this one. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-08-16 | Giants v. Marlins -144 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -144 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Miami Marlins. Jose Fernandez is 26-2 with a 1.62 ERA at Marlins Park for his career. Giants’ starter Johnny Cueto is enjoying likely the finest campaign of his career thus far, but note that after winning 16 of his first 18 starts, San Francisco has since dropped three of his last four. San Fran leads the NL West, while Miami is in a tight battle with the Mets and Cards for the second Wild Card spot. I’m banking on Fernandez and the hungry home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-07-16 | Cubs -165 v. A's | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Chicago Cubs. No need to overthink this one in my opinion, all signs are pointing to the hard-hitting Cubbies building off yesterday’s 4-0 win. Kyle Hendricks now owns the best ERA in the rotation, which is obvioulsy saying something with the likes of Jake Arrieta and Jon Lester in the mix. Hendricks has been particularly effective in all “day” games, going 6-2 with a 2.08 ERA. Sean Manaea has been consistently inconsistent this year and owns a poor 4.98 ERA in front of the home town crowd. Lay the price on Chicago. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-06-16 | Cubs -181 v. A's | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Chicago Cubs. Chicago smashed Oakland 7-2 yesterday and I’m expecting a similar final result in this afternoon’s game as well. The visitors hand the ball to Jake Arrieta (12-5, 2.75 ERA), who gave up two earned runs over eight innings in an unfortunate 4-1 loss to the Mariners on Saturday. Arrieta will be feeling pretty confident today obvoiusly and he’ll now be looking to improve upon his already impressive 8-2, 3.66 ERA road record. Counterpart Sonny Gray (5-10, 5.84) was shelled for seven runs off eight hits over just 3.1 innings in a setback to the Tribe on Sunday. In six July starts Gray would post a brutal 7.79 ERA and note that he’s a very poor 3-5 with a 5.98 ERA in front of the home town crowd. Lay the price with confidence. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-05-16 | Angels v. Mariners -180 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 32 h 41 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Seattle Mariners. Both of these veterans has struggled this year, but Tim Lincecum has been absolutely brutal. I think Felix Hernandez will find a way to outduel his counterpart this evening. Lincecum (2-5, 8.49 ERA) has been particularly horrible on the road this year as well, going 1-2 with an 8.66 ERA. Hernandez (5-4, 3.46) gave up two runs and struck out eight over five innings in a no-decision vs. the hard-hitting Cubs in his last start. Note that he owns a respectable 3.46 ERA at home this year. Play on the Mariners. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-04-16 | Red Sox -140 v. Mariners | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Boston Red Sox. Drew Pomeranz has so far struggled for the Red Sox since coming over from the Padres, two poor starts sandwiched around one good one. He’ll be looking forward to leaving Boston behind and there’s no question that he has a favorable matchup here. Miranda gave up three runs over two innings in his only appearance in the majors for the Orioles earlier in the season. He owns a 4.00 ERA in Triple-A Norfolk. I think Pomeranz and the league’s best offense should be much bigger favs tonight, play on Boston. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-03-16 | Nationals -225 v. Diamondbacks | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 47 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Washington Nationals. Why overthink this one? Max Scherzer owns a 2.97 ERA on the road, while Godley was just shelled for five runs in his last three starts and who has posted a horrible 5.97 ERA over his last three outings combined. I do not foresee a letdown here and expect Scherzer to easily outduel his inconsistent counterpart. Take Washington. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-02-16 | Rangers -111 v. Orioles | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -111 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Texas Rangers. I think the value is simply too good to turn down in this matchup. Yu Darvish (2-2, 3.09 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, he gave up two runs off four hits in a quality outing vs. the A’s on Wednesday. Darvish will now look to improve upon his solid 2-1, 2.93 ERA “night game” record. The home side counters with Dylan Bundy (3-3, 3.46) who gave up three runs over five innings in a loss to the Rockies on Wednesday. For the most part MLB handicapping comes down to the starting pitching and in my opinion, Darvish has the clear advantage tonight. Play on the Rangers. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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08-01-16 | Twins v. Indians -210 | 12-5 | Loss | -210 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Cleveland Indians. A huge mismatch here, making the home side worth the price of admission. The Twins send Jose Berrios (1-1, 10.20 ERA) to the hill, he’s been recalled from the minors to make this start. His 1-1, 10.20 ERA record is completely indicative of his overall performance in his limited time in the big leagues. The home side counters with Danny Salazar (11-3, 2.97) who is 5-1 with a 3.36 ERA at home and an even better 7-1 with a tiny 2.69 ERA in all night games. I’m laying the price and expecting a blowout from start to finish. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-31-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -159 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -159 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Toronto Blue Jays. Toronto has captured the first two games of this series and I think the home side will keep the pedal to the metal this afternoon and find a way to get the job done in the finale as well. The visitors hand the ball to Chris Tillman, who has been great this year, but who comes in off a dud vs. the Rockies in his last start, getting rocked for six runs off nine hits over five innings. Aaron Sanchez (11-1, 2.72 ERA) is 4-1 with a very respectable 3.56 ERA at home and a perfect 3-0 in all “day” games. Look for the Jays to build off yesterday’s victory and lay the mid-sized price. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-30-16 | A's v. Indians -180 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Cleveland Indians. Dillon Overton (1-1, 8.40 ERA) made a brief appearance in the minors last week and was rocked for five earned runs over seven innings of work. In three MLB starts this season, he owns a horrible 8.40 ERA. Josh Tomlin has struggled a bit in July, but he’s been good at home and great in all “day” games, posting a 4-1, 3.62 ERA in such instances. I think Tomlin takes full advantage of this favorable matchup, play on Cleveland. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-29-16 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -130 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Toronto Blue Jays. Gausman owns a poor 5.00 ERA on the road, while Estrada has a 2.65 ERA in front of the home town crowd. A great “scheduling” situation to take advantage of here though as Baltimore was forced to play a make-up game in Minnesota yesterday, while Toronto has had a day off to prepare for this ultra important AL East divisional battle. Play on the BLUE JAYS. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-28-16 | Royals v. Rangers -160 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
8* PUNISHER on Texas Rangers. Yordano Ventura lost to the Rangers last week and owns a poor 5.47 ERA on the road. Hamels beat the Royals last week and is 7-1 with a 2.74 ERA in all “night” games this year. I don’t think you need to overthink this one, lay the price with confidence on the superior home starter. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-27-16 | Rays v. Dodgers -174 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -174 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on LA Dodgers. I think the Dodgers will build off yesterday’s 3-2 win. The Rays turn to Matt Moore (6-7, 4.31 ERA) who has been better of late, but who is just 1-4 with a 5.63 ERA on the road this year. The home side counters with Brandon McCarthy (2-0, 1.61) who gave up one earned run off one hit while striking out four over 6.1 innings vs. the Cardinals in his last outing. McCarthy has a big advantage today clearly and he’ll now be looking to improve upon his 2-0, 2.70 ERA record in front of the home town crowd. Play on the Dodgers. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-26-16 | Tigers v. Red Sox -190 | 9-8 | Loss | -190 | 25 h 53 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Boston Red Sox. No need to overthink this one today gentlement. Steven Wright has been on fire all season and he’s been particularly sharp at home going 7-1 with a 3.20 ERA. Wright now has nine victories in his last 12 trips to the hill while posting a sub 3.00 ERA in the process. Counterpart Mike Pelfrey (3-9, 4.78 ERA) has been better of late, but has obviously struggled with consistency all year, he’s in tough today with a poor 2-7, 4.94 ERA in all “night” games this season. Play on the Red Sox. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-24-16 | Braves v. Rockies -180 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on Colorado Rockies. I had Colorado yesterday and I think the home side will once again find a way to get the job done this evening. Jenkins is a rookie, he lost ot the Phillies in his first start and received a no-decision vs. the Reds in his last one. Clearly the sample size is way too small on Jenkins to get a firm read and while it’s one thing to do well against Philadelphia and Cincinnati, I have a hard time seeing Jenkins doing so well at hitter friendly Coors Field. Tyler Chatwood has been great on the road and poor at home. He owns a 2.75 ERA in all “day” games though and I think he has a big advantage in this matchup. I’m expecting Chatwood to reverse his fortunes at home and to find a way to the job done once it’s all said and done. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-23-16 | Braves v. Rockies -170 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Colorado Rockies. Matt Wisler (4-9, 4.67 ERA) has been consistently inconsistent this year, he’s just 3-3 with a poor 5.23 ERA on the road. Which obviously doesn’t bode well throwing at hitter friendly Coors Field tonight. The home side counters with Tyler Anderson (2-3, 3.43) who continues to get the job done and exceed expectations. He’ll now look to improve upon his very impressive 2-1, 3.26 ERA home record. This is a matchup which greatly favors the hard-hitting Rockies and southpaw Anderson, lay the price with confidence. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-22-16 | Padres v. Nationals -232 | 5-3 | Loss | -232 | 25 h 57 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER Washignton Nationals. This is a pitching mismatch of Titanic proportions, so much so that I have no issues at all in laying this larger price. The visitors hand the ball to Luis Perdomo (3-4, 7.36 ERA) who was rocked for three runs off eight hits over four inings in a loss to the Giants on Saturday Perdomo is just 1-2 with a 6.39 ERA on the road this year. The home side counters with Tanner Roark (9-5, 2.82) who comes in off a gme vs. the Pirates, allowing five hits while striking out five over eight shutout frames. Roark has been particularly awesome at home by posting a tiny 2.32 ERA to date. I’m banking on Roark to easily outduel his inconsistent counterpart. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-21-16 | Rays v. A's -140 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -140 | 25 h 45 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Oakland A’s. Tampa Bay comes off a satisfying 11-3 win at Colorado last night, but I think will have a predictable letdown here. The visitors hand the ball to Matt Moore (5-7, 4.33 ERA) who has been all over the map this season as far as his game-to-game consistency is concerned. Moore has been brutal on the road as well, 0-4 with a poor 5.93 ERA (also 0-6 with a 5.64 ERA in all “night” contests). The home side counters with Sonny Gray (4-8, 5.12) who comes in off a victory over the hard-hitting Jays on Saturday, giving up three runs over six innings. I’m banking on the A’s ace to outduel his volatile counterpart. Play on Oakland. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-20-16 | Giants v. Red Sox -184 | 7-11 | Win | 100 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
8* PUNISHER on Boston Red Sox. No need to overanalyze this pick, Matt Cain (1-5, 5.34 ERA) returns from a stint on the DL to face the hard-hitting Red Sox. Cain made one rehab start vs. High-A competition and was shelled for nine earned runs. Pomeranz (8-7, 2.47) makes his debut for his new club. Despite going 0-2 vs. the Giants this year while with the Friars, Pomeranz owns a 2.47 ERA vs. his old division rivals this season. I think the Red Sox give their new hurler enough support and also expect Pomeranz to outduel his outclassed counterpart. Lay the price. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-19-16 | Blue Jays -175 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Toronto Blue Jays. I think the talent discrepancy on the mound today absolutely justifies in laying this larger price. The hard-hitting Jays turn to ace Aaron Sanchez (9-1, 2.97 ERA), he’d finish with a 1.19 WHIP and 103 strikeouts through 18 starts (118.1 innings) in the first half of the 2016 campaign. Sanchez has been particularly effecitve on the road by going 6-0 with a highly respectable 2.20 ERA. The home side counters with Zack Godley (2-0, 5.28) who will be called upon to make the spot start; note that Godley owns a poor 5.54 ERA in all “night” games this year. I don’t think there’s any need to overthink this one, Sanchez is on a whole different level than Goldley and I expect him to make the most of this favorable matchup. Lay the price on Toronto. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-18-16 | White Sox -140 v. Mariners | 3-4 | Loss | -140 | 27 h 59 m | Show | |
8* PUNISHER on the Chicago White Sox. No need to overthink this one. Chris Sale stumbled into the break, but he remains one of the elite pitchers in the league, owning a 2.50 ERA on the road this year. Wade LeBlanc is filling a void in the M’s rotation until ace Felix Hernandez returns. After getting stomped in LA over the weekend, going 0-3 and losing by a combined 16-1, I think Sale returns to form and finds a way to help his team secure the victory. Lay the price. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-17-16 | Dodgers -157 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -157 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on LA Dodgers. This is a mismatch of Titanic proportions. The visitors hand the ball to Kenta Maeda (8-6, 2.95 ERA) who would strike out 13 Padres on Sunday, giving up just one earned run off two scattered hits over seven innings of work. It was the fourth time in seven starts that Maeda has given up only a single earned run. The home side counters with Robbie Ray (4-8, 4.81) who comes in off a loss to the Giants on Saturday. Ray is just 1-3 in his last four starts to go along with a poor 6.04 ERA and note that he’s a deplorable 2-4 with a 5.92 ERA at home. No need to overthink this one, I think the Dodgers bounce back here after letting yesterday’s series opener slip away late. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-16-16 | Giants -163 v. Padres | 6-7 | Loss | -163 | 31 h 47 m | Show | |
5* PUNISHER on San Francisco. After their ace Madison Bumgarner fell 4-1 in yesterday’s series opener, I think the Giants will find a way to get the job done at the end of this one. Luis Perdomo (3-4, 7.48 ERA) gets the call for the home side, he’s been serviceable since coming over from the bullpen, but note that he owns an atrocious 9.70 ERA in front of the home town crowd. Jeff Samardzija (9-5, 3.91) has looked brilliant at times this year and very pedestrian in others. He beat Arizona in his final start in the first half and owns a very respectable 5-3, 3.96 ERA on the road. I think Samardzija outduels his inconsitent counterpart. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-15-16 | Indians -147 v. Twins | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Cleveland Indians. Carlos Carrasco (5-3, 2.47 ERA) has dominated in this spot all season, going 3-2 with a tiny 1.82 ERA on the road. His counterpart Ervin Santana (3-7, 4.06) comes in off his best outing of the year, posting a shutout while striking out ten in a victory over Oakland. Santana has been a bit better of late, but he’s just 2-4 with a 4.14 ERA in front of the home town crowd. The Indians will look to make an example of the Twins to open the second half, I also think Carrasco gets the slight nod in this matchup, despite Santana’s recent shutout. Play on the Tribe. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-10-16 | Angels v. Orioles -200 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
5* BOOKIEKILLER on Baltimore Orioles. No need to overanalyze this one in my opinion, this is a pitching mismatch of titanic proportions. Tim Lincecum returned to the majors and threw a gem in his debut for the Angels, but has since lost three in a row, he comes into this matchup with a brutal 1-2, 7.50 ERA record. The home side counters with ace Chris Tillman (11-2, 3.35) who comes in off a dominant outing vs. the Dodgers, holding LA to just a single run in the victory. He’ll now look to improve upon his 7-0, 3.45 ERA record at home. Lay the price on the O’s. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-09-16 | Yankees v. Indians -152 | 7-6 | Loss | -152 | 25 h 5 m | Show | |
8* PUNISHER on Cleveland Indians. This is a mismatch of Titanic proportions. CC Sabathia looked great over the first month, but has steadily regressed and is backing his way into the All Star break. The veteran most recently allowed five runs in a loss to the White Sox, his third straight start that he’s given up at least five runs. The home side counters with Danny Salazar (10-3, 3.26 ERA) who is 5-1 with a tiny 2.05 ERA at home. I think Salazar outduels his struggling counterpart. Lay the price on Cleveland. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-08-16 | Twins v. Rangers -209 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show | |
8* PUNISHER on Texas Rangers. This is obviously a huge pitching mismatch. I like the home side to bounce back after yesterday’s 14-1 drubbing at the hands of the Twins. Minnesota sends Kyle Gibson (2-5, 4.82 ERA) to the hill, he was shelled for four runs off five hits with two walks over six innings vs. these very Rangers on Sunday. Gibson has been brutal on the road this year, just 1-2 with an atrocious 6.60 ERA. Texas counters with ace Cole Hamels (9-2, 2.93) who comes in off a loss vs. these very Twins, giving up five runs off ten hits. No need to hit the panic button though in my opinion if you’re a Hamels’ fan, the veteran has been very solid all season and has been particularly tough in this spot, going a near-perfect 6-1 with a 2.41 ERA in all night contests. Hard to imagine the home side looking past the lowly Twinkies today after getting embarrassed yesterday, I’m going to lay the price. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-07-16 | Yankees v. Indians -159 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -159 | 29 h 24 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Cleveland Indians. Ivan Nova (5-5, 5.06 ERA) looked horrible vs. Texas on Monday, giving up four runs over five innings in the no-decision. Nova has struggled in the rotation and had a brutal June, posting just one quality start and failing to complete six innings in any of his last three trips to the mound. He’s also given up at least one home run in each of his last ten starts and note that he’s been particularly horrible on the road, going 2-3 with a dispicable 6.17 ERA. Trevor Bauer (7-2, 3.02) is putting together perhaps his best campaign of his career and is a spectacular 5-0 with a 2.47 ERA in all “night” contests this season. I think Cleveland bounces back after yesterday’s 12-1 defeat and will recommend to lay the price. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-06-16 | Marlins v. Mets -174 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
8* PUNISHER on New York Mets. The Fish send Justin Nicolino (2-4, 5.34 ERA) to the hill, he was most recently destroyed for four runs off seven hits in a fortunate no-decision vs. the Braves on Friday. Nicolino has failed to register a victory in any of his last nine outings and he’s been particularly horrible on the road this season, just 1-2 with a poor 5.73 ERA away from friendly confines. The home side counters with ace Jacob DeGrom (4-4, 2.64) who allowed one earned run off three hits over five innings in a 10-2 setback to the Cubs on Friday, also striking out seven. DeGrom now looks to keep the momentum rolling and improve upon his already impressive 3-2, 2.44 ERA at home. This is a mismatch of epic proportions, lay the price with confidence on the Metropolitans. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-05-16 | Orioles v. Dodgers -146 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -146 | 30 h 30 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on the LA Dodgers. Baltimore has lost five straight, while LA has won five straight. Tillman has been excellent to this point, but he does come in off a loss to the Mariners on Thursday in which he was blasted for four runs over four innings. Maeda has improved with each start this year and comes in off a commanding performance vs. the Brewers in which he gave up a single run over six innings. Hard to imagine the struggling Orioles offense mounting much of an attack vs. the red hot Maeda. In my opinion, the DODGERS offer great value in this matchup. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-04-16 | Royals v. Blue Jays -175 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
8* PUNISHER on the Toronto Blue Jays. Edinson Volquez (7-7, 4.98 ERA) has been consistently inconsistent all season. He comes into this one after throwing six scoreless vs. the Cards on Wednesday, but had given up 12 runs in one inning vs. the Astros previous. Volquez is just 2-4 with a 5.67 ERA on the road this year. The home side sends its ace Aaron Sanchez (8-1, 3.16) to the hill, he dominated the Rockies in Colorado in his last start, allowing just one run over eight innings and is 5-1 with a 2.52 ERA in all night games this year. I think the Jays build off yesterday’s commanding blowout win over the Indians, while the Royals struggle in this clear pitching mistmatch. Play on the Jays. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-03-16 | Brewers v. Cardinals -182 | Top | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 23 h 22 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on St. Louis Cardinals (2:15 EST). Chase Anderson is coming off back-to-back blowout losses to the Dodgers. Anderson has been particularly horrible on the road this year going 1-5 with 6.30 ERA. Michael Wacha has started to turn the corner after a slow start to the year and enters off his second straight win. Note that he owns a very respectable 3.60 ERA in all “day” games this year. I think Wacha continues his climb back to prominence and the home side chases Anderson early. Play on the St. Louis Cardinals. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-02-16 | Yankees v. Padres -130 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
10* CODE RED BLOWOUT on San Diego Padres After back-to-back walk off victories at home, New York would have to transition across the country to play a late night West Coast game in San Diego and would come up just short in the 7-6 setback. I think we’ll see another letdown this evening as well. Ivan Nova has been consistently inconsistent all year and is just 2-3 with a brutal 6.98 ERA on the road. The home side counters with ace Drew Pomeranz who owns a very respectable 2.88 ERA in front of the home town crowd. The oddsmakers are giving the Yankees much too much respect in this matchup, the value is on San Diego. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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07-01-16 | Reds v. Nationals -200 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Washington Nationals. Anthony DeScalfani is coming off a gem, going eight scoreless vs. the Padres in his last outing. Tanner Roark also comes in off a commanding effort, holding the Brewers scoreless over seven innings. DeSclafani has not been very consistent in his short time on the mound this season though, while Roark is one of the most battle tested starters in the league. Roark also owns a tiny 2.35 ERA in front of the home town crowd this year. No need to overthink this one, lay the price with confidence on the “better” team. Play on the Nats. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-30-16 | Reds v. Nationals -185 | 4-13 | Win | 100 | 28 h 54 m | Show | |
8* BLOWOUT SPECIAL on Washington Nationals. Brandon Finnegan (3-6, 3.83 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, he most recently allowed three runs off five hits while walking three over 6.2 innings in a loss to the Friars on Saturday. Finnegan has been decent, not great on the road, going 2-4 with 3.82 ERA, unfortuante to be on one of the worst offensive clubs in the league. The hard-hitting home side counters with Gio Gonzalez (3-7, 4.73), who after a great start to the year, has fallen on difficult times, losing six straight coming into this one. Gonzalez though has to be feeling pretty confident he can bounce back here against the Reds’ anemic offense and improve upon his respectable 3.70 ERA record in all “night” games. Gonzalez is the superior starter in this spot, lay the price with confidence. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-29-16 | Rangers v. Yankees -193 | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 25 h 53 m | Show | |
5* CODE RED BEATDOWN on New York Yankees. Here’s a monster mismatch. Nick Martinez was shelled for four runs off six hits and three walks over six innings in a no-decision vs. the Red Sox on Friday. Martinez owns an uninspiring 1-1, 5.14 ERA on the road. Yanks’ ace Mashiro Tanaka (5-2, 3.01 ERA) has won two straight and owns a very respectable 2.96 ERA in all “night” contests this season. I think the home side answers after yesterday’s blowout defeat. Lay the price with confidence. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-28-16 | Pirates v. Mariners -137 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Seattle Mariners. Both starters have struggled over the last month. Jon Niese has lost three straight, while Hisashi Iwakuma was just rocked for five runs in his last start. Niese owns a poor 5.03 ERA on the road and his team has struggled mightily with offensive consistency in the month of June. This is a difficult series for Pittsburgh, playing on the West Coast and in the PST time zone. I think Iwakuma and the Mariners offer great value in this spot. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-27-16 | A's v. Giants -175 | 8-3 | Loss | -175 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
8* play on San Francisco Giants. Daniel Mengden (0-3, 3.00 ERA) is coming off a hard-luck loss vs. the Brewers in his last start and won’t find things to be any easier in throwing in this National League park vs. the hard-hitting Gitans. Jeff Samardzija has the clear advantage today, he’s 3-1 with a tiny 3.06 ERA in front of the home town crowd this year. Play on San Francisco. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-27-16 | Cubs -222 v. Reds | 11-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
8* play on Chicago Cubs. No need to overthink this one, it’s a pitching mismatch of epic proportions. Jake Arrieta (11-2, 1.74 ERA) is 7-1 with a 1.84 ERA on the road and 4-0 with a minuscule 0.24 ERA in all “night” games. His counterpart Dan Straily (4-4, 3.83) has been shelled for 10 runs in his last 10.1 innings, and his K:BB (now 72:37) remains cause for major concern. I’m banking on the hard-hitting Cubs to take full advantage tonight. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-27-16 | Indians -161 v. Braves | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
8* play on Cleveland Indians. Here’s another massive mismatch. Trevor Bauer (5-2, 3.20 ERA) comes into this one throwing the best in his entire career, most recently striking out ten in a complete game vs. the Rays on Wednesday. Counterpart Gant has been decent for Atlanta, but sports a poor 5.70 EA in front of the home town crowd. Everything points to the Indians continuing their hot surge. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-26-16 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -147 | 24 h 39 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER Dodgers RUN LINE. The talent discrepancy on the mound today absolutely justifies in laying the 1.5 runs for the very reasonable mid-sized price. Simply put, Clayton Kershaw (11-1, 1.57 ERA) is the best pitcher on the planet, most recently he gave up one run off six scattered hits while striking out eight over seven innings in a victory over the hard-hitting Nationals on Monday. Kershaw has gone at least seven innings in all but one start this year. Note that Kershaw is 4-0 with a 1.87 ERA on the road this year too. Pittsburgh counters with Chad Kuhl, who after a great stretch to open the minors, has cooled off considerably, over his last five starts, allowing 16 earned runs in 24 Triple-A innings. I think the writing is on the wall and an absolute blowout is in the cards, play the LA Dodgers Run-Line. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-25-16 | Blue Jays -125 v. White Sox | Top | 10-8 | Win | 100 | 21 h 31 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER on Toronto Blue Jays. RA Dickey hasn’t received much support this year, but I think he’ll get a ton of it today as Toronto looks to break a slide in which its last four in a row overall and six straight to the White Sox after yesterday’s series opening setback. Dickey has done well in this spot all year, going 4-3 with a 2.98 ERA on the road. Miguel Gonzalez is coming off a decent outing for the Orioles, but had given up seven runs over 3.1 innings in his previous start. Gonzalez has been all over the map with his game-to-game consistency and has a poor 4.86 ERA in all “day” games. Take the Jays. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-24-16 | Phillies v. Giants -220 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
8* play on San Francisco Giants. Despite his up and down season, Jake Peavy is clearly the superior starter in this matchup. The visitors hand the ball to Zach Eflin (0-2, 10.80 ERA) who has really struggled in his two starts in the bigs and who is 0-1 with a 27.00 ERA on the road. The home side counters with Peavy (3-6, 5.47) who went six strong on Sunday, giving up just one run off four hits and a walk while striking out eight on an unfortunate no-decision vs. the Rays on Sunday. It was his fifth quality start in his last seven trips to the hill. Lay the price. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-24-16 | Nationals -160 v. Brewers | 3-5 | Loss | -160 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
8* play on Washington Nationals. Max Scherzer (8-4, 3.29 ERA) has excelled in this spot all year, going 5-3 with a 2.98 ERA on the road and an even better 6-2 with a 2.73 ERA in all “night” games. His counterpart Zach Davies (5-3, 3.62) has also been sharp this year, but note that he’s posted a pedestrian 4.10 ERA in all “night” contests. This matchup favors the hard-hitting Nationals, lay the price. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-24-16 | Twins v. Yankees -220 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show | |
8* play on New York Yankees. This is a major mismatch obviously, the Twins turn to Tommy Milone (0-1, 5.79 ERA) who has been recalled to make this start. Milone has struggled on the road and in night contests, but his counterpart Masahiro Tanaka (4-2, 2.91) comes in off a gem, giving up one run over eight innings vs. these very Twins. Also note that he’s posted a highly respectable 2.80 ERA in all “night” games this year. Lay the price with confidence. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-23-16 | White Sox v. Red Sox -218 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
5* CODE RED BLOWOUT on the Boston Red Sox. James Shields (2-9, 6.28 ERA) clearly has issues right now and there’s no way he’s just going to “flip a switch” and suddenly start pitching like an All Star again. Just continuing to throw him out on the mound and hoping that something will “click” isn’t going to work either. I’m not sure what the answer is, but I do definetly expect Shields to get destroyed again today, most recently he was shelled for eight runs off seven hits over just 1.2 innings in a loss to the Tribe on Saturday. Shields has now given up 21 earned runs over his 8.2 innings spanning three starts for his new team, giving him a ludicrous 21.81 ERA. Rick Porcello on the other hand is 8-2 with a 3.76 ERA and comes in off a victory over the Mariners on Saturday. Note that Porcello has been particularly dominant in this spot all year, going 6-0 with a very respectable 3.03 ERA in front of the home town crowd. Lay the price. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-22-16 | Reds v. Rangers -192 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
8* play on Texas Rangers. Dan Straily has been a bit all over the map with his game to game consistency, most recently shelled for six runs by the Braves on Thursday. It was a big step back and note that he’s just 2-3 with a ballooned 5.08 ERA on the road. The surging Rangers turn to ace Cole Hamels (7-1, 2.88) who comes in off a gem vs. the hard-hitting Cardinals on Thursday, holding them to just three hits over eight scoreless innings. All signs point to another lop-sided outcome, lay the price with confidence. |
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06-22-16 | Diamondbacks v. Blue Jays -165 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
8* play on Toronto Blue Jays. Toronto lost the opener of this two game mini interleague series on Tuesday, but all signs point to a bounce back effort this afternoon. Robbie Ray (4-5, 4.44 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, he owns a poor 3-4, 4.61 ERA in all “night” gamest his year. The home side counters with JA Happ (8-3. 3.41) who comes in off a gem vs. the Phillies on Thursday, allowing one run in the 13-2 beatdown. Note that Happ is 4-1 at home this year. Big pitching and motivational mismatches makes this a price I can living with paying. |
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06-22-16 | Royals v. Mets -183 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
8* play on New York Mets. Obviously this is a big pitching mismatch. Noah Syndergaard (7-2, 1.91 ERA) was supposed to pitch yesterday, but Bartolo Colon went instead. In his last start he struck out 11 over 8.1 innings, allowing just two runs off five hits in the victory. Danny Duffy (2-1, 3.17) also comes in off a great start, striking out ten White Sox in a 4-1 victory on Saturday. However, Syndergaard is just too tough in front of the home town crowd, this is a matchup that favors the home side. Lay the price. |
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06-21-16 | Diamondbacks v. Blue Jays -172 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -172 | 24 h 21 m | Show |
10* INTERLEAGUE GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Blue Jays. Patrick Corbin has a 5.58 ERA in all “night” games this year, while Marco Estrada leads the AL in WHIP and is third in ERA. Arizona is coming off a series sweep of Philadelphia and is now primed for a classic letdown in having to travel North of the border to play an interleague contest. Look for TORONTO to take full advantage as a lop-sided destruction is imminent. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-20-16 | Angels v. Astros -139 | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 28 h 23 m | Show | |
8* play on Houston Astros. Jhoulys Chacin is just 3-4 with a 5.00 ERA and has failed to pitch through five innings in each of his last three starts. His counterpart Doug Fister is 7-3 with a 3.26 ERA and has excelled in this spot all year, going 6-3 with a 3.73 ERA in all “night” games. Play on the ASTROS. |
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06-20-16 | Rays v. Indians -122 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show | |
8* play on the Cleveland Indians. Drew Smyly is just 2-7 with a 4.75 ERA, while Josh Tomlin is 8-1 with a 3.27 ERA. Tampa Bay has struggled on the road with consistency, all signs point to the INDIANS taking full advantage of this matchup. All things considered, I think this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the INDIANS. |
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06-20-16 | Giants -183 v. Pirates | 0-1 | Loss | -183 | 27 h 18 m | Show | |
8* play on San Francisco Giants. No need to overanalyze this pick, the Giants’ ace Madison Bumgarner is 8-2 with a tiny 2.01 ERA. His struggling counterpart Jeff Locke is just 5-5 with a 5.92 ERA. We’re banking on Bumgarner to continue his dominant ways and for Locke’s inconsistent ways to once again be his downfall. Play on the GIANTS. |
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06-19-16 | Cavs v. Warriors -4.5 | Top | 93-89 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 15 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER Golden State Warriors. No need to overanalyze this one. Cleveland has put together a couple of awesome games, but no team in NBA finals history has ever come back from a 3-1 deficit and suffice it to say, we definitely don’t expect that extremely strong trend to get broken today. The Warriors earned home court advantage throughout the playoffs for this exact reason and now they’ll look to cash in. There’s no way that Golden State loses three straight games to end the year. And note that the Cavs are just 8-11 ATS this year when playing with two days rest, while Golden State is 15-10 ATS in the same position. |
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06-17-16 | Yankees -160 v. Twins | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show | |
8* SUPER PUNISHER on New York Yankees. Masahiro Tanaka (3-2, 3.08 ERA) gave up two runs in an unfortunate no-decision vs. the Angels over seven innings in his last start. Tanaka has been dominant in this spot all season, going 2-1 with a tiny 1.36 ERA. Counterpart Pat Dean (1-2. 4.17) is 0-0 with a 4.19 ERA at home and has posted an even worse 4.32 ERA in all “night” games. Look for New York to build off yesterday’s series opening victory in this extremely favorable matchup. |
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06-16-16 | Warriors +2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 101-115 | Loss | -109 | 60 h 52 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER Golden State Warriors. This selection is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics, as note that Golden State is an amazing 2-0 ATS this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent and 9-3 ATS this season off an upset loss as a favorite, while Cleveland is just 18-24 ATS this season after a victory by ten points or more. Draymond Green is back and the Warriors now look to close, I’m grabbing the points. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-15-16 | Tigers v. White Sox -169 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
5* CUSTOMER APPRECIATION PUNISHER on Chicago White Sox. Confirmed “gas can” Mike Pelfrey is 1-6 with a 4.68 ERA this season and just 0-4 with a 4.39 ERA in all “night games.” His counterpart Chris Sale is 10-2 with a 2.87 ERA and is 7-1 with a 2.93 ERA in all “night” games. This is a mismatch of epic proportions, lay the price with confidence on the best pitcher on the planet. |
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06-14-16 | Reds v. Braves -128 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -128 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
10* play on Atlanta Braves. Brandon Finnegan is 2-4 with a 3.77 ERA. He’s been decent on the road this year, but like Julio Teheran (2-6, 2.85) he’s been the victim of poor run support. These are a couple of hte worst offenses, but Teheran gets the nod because of home field here, we’re laying the short price on the crafty veteran. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-14-16 | Pirates v. Mets -127 | 4-0 | Loss | -127 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
8* play on New York Mets. Jameson Taillon faced the Mets before getting optioned back to Triple-A last week and gave up three runs off six hits and two walks, ultimatley not factoring into the decision. It was a decent outing. Taillon draws a tough matchup throwing opposite Jacob DeGrom (3-2, 2.80) who is coming off a tough luck loss vs. the Pirates on Tuesday, giving up three runs while striking out nine over six innings. DeGrom’s 11.9 K/9 rate over his last four starts is impressive to say the least. DeGrom has been playing at a very high level of late and there’s no reason not to think that his commanding play won’t continue here, note that he’s 2-0 with a tiny 2.03 ERA in front of the home town crowd this season. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-14-16 | Phillies v. Blue Jays -215 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
8* play on the Toronto Blue Jays. The visitors hand the ball to Zach Eflin (0-0, 0.00 ERA) who is thrown to the wolves in his major league debut. Eflin was 5-2 with a 2.90 ERA in 68.1 innings of work in Triple-A Lehigh Valley. The home side counters with ace Marcus Stroman (5-2, 4.94) who has had some difficulty of late, most recently getting rocked for six earned runs over five innings in a 6-4 loss to the hard-hitting Red Sox on Saturday, striking out four. Stroman struggled, but there were a couple of sliver linings as he would induce 11 swinging strikes. Here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against. Eflin is in over his head here, after Toronto’s struggles in yesterday’s series opener, I’m expecting the heavy hitters from the home side to tee off on this rookie. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-13-16 | Twins v. Angels -138 | 9-4 | Loss | -138 | 28 h 20 m | Show | |
8* play on the LA Angels. Ricky Nolasco (2-4, 5.17 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, he was most recently shelled for five runs off 11 hits in a loss to the Fish on Wednesday. Nolasco remains one of the most hittable starters in baseball and is a deplorable 0-3 with a ballooned 6.82 ERA in all night games. The home side counters with Jered Weaver (5-5, 5.56) who came into his last start in New York having posted three straight quality appearances, but the veteran would come up short in a venue that he’s historically struggled in, giving up six runs. Weaver has been the more consistent and clearly benefits in throwing at home, in my opinion, the line value is simply too good to turn down here. Play on the Angels. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-13-16 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks -166 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show | |
8* play on the Arizona Diamondbacks. This is a massive mismatch, the value is clearly on the home side in my opinion. Mike Bolsinger (1-3, 5.75 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, he was most recently rocked for six runs off seven hits and two walks with five K’s over 5.1 innings in a setback to the Rockies on Monday. Bolsinger gave up a pair of hom eruns and had already given up three home runs in as many starts prevoius to that. Note that Bolsinger has been particularly horrible in this spot this year, going 0-2 with a 4.82 ERA on the road. The home side counters with ace Zack Greinke (8-3, 3.84) who has now fully turned the corner after a horrible start to the season, most recently throwing a complete game shutout in a victory over the Rays on Tuesday. Greinke hasn’t given up a run in 16 innings and has held the opposition to one run or fewer in three of his past four starts. Get down on this one quick before the line climbs. Play on the Diamondbacks. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-13-16 | Cavs v. Warriors -7 | Top | 112-97 | Loss | -104 | 57 h 1 m | Show |
10* BOOKIEKILLER Golden State Warriors. With or without Draymond Green in the line-up, we like the Warriors to close out this series and get the job done in front of the home town crowd. Clearly Green is a big part of the team, but just like in Football, it’s “next man up” for the home side. We can expect the “Splash Brothers” to reign 3’s (GS had a league Finals record 17 in Game 4) and I simply can’t see LeBron James winning this one on his own. The Warriors incredible depth has shut down the rest of Cleveland’s role players and things aren’t going to get any easier for them in Oakland. Note that Cleveland is just 1-2 ATS this year when trailing in a playoff series and only 2-5 ATS this season in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Play on the Warriors. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-13-16 | Phillies v. Blue Jays -200 | 7-0 | Loss | -200 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
5* play on Toronto Blue Jays. Jerad Eickhoff (3-8, 3.68 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, he’s coming off a decent outing but is a deplorable 0-5 with a 6.41 ERA on the road this season (compared to 3-3 with a 2.12 ERA at home). Veteran RA Dickey (4-6, 4.15) gets the call for the hard-hitting home side, he most recently gave up two runs over six innings in a victory over the Tigers on Wednesday. Dickey has actually been better on the road than at home this season, but clearly he’s the superior starter in this particular matchup. And the Jays get the big nod at the plate as well, making this a price that I can live with paying. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-12-16 | Penguins v. Sharks UNDER 5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 109 | 55 h 9 m | Show |
10* GAME 6 CODE RED SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER. The first four games of this series either “pushed” or went under the number. Game 5 would see the teams score five goals in the first period. An “over” was supposed to be never in doubt at that point, but it wasn’t until the final minutes of the 3rd period that San Jose managed to post its fourth goal and finally push the total over the number. I think these teams return to the norm and am expecting a hard-hitting, lower-scoring goaltenders battle once again. With the extra day off to prepare, expect scoring to be at a premium, play on the UNDER. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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06-12-16 | Phillies v. Nationals -245 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 45 m | Show | |
5* play on Washington Nationals. This is a major mismatch. The visitors hand the ball to Adam Morgan (1-5, 6.70 ERA) who comes in off one of his better starts to the season after giving up three runs over six innings in a loss to the Cubs on Monday. Previous to that Morgan had given up 12 total runs over two outings. Morgan has been particularly horrible in this spot all year, going 0-3 with a 9.88 ERA in all “day” games. The home side counters with Joe Ross (5-4, 2.92) who is coming off an outing to forget vs. the White Sox, but who must be feeling confident he can bounce back today as he’s a sparkling 2-1 with a 2.41 ERA in all day games. Play on Washington. - The BookieKiller Crew |
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