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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-06-23 | Astros v. Blue Jays -126 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Jays. WE expect the Jays to bounce back after yesterday's 11-4 loss. Note that Toronto is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Previous to yesterday's meltdown, the Jays had won four sraight and six of their last eight. Houston has won four of its last five, but we're finally expecting a small letdown here. The Astros hand the ball to Hunter Brown, who is 5-2 with a 3.61 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Difficult to say too many negative things about Brown, so we won't bother. He's just in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today. He'll be opposed by battle-tested Kevin Gausman, who is 4-3 with a 2.76 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. The overall situation points to TORONTO exacting a little revenge here on Tuesday night. Good luck, TIR |
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06-05-23 | Cubs +1.5 v. Padres | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -134 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Cubs. While we do feel an outright win is possible, in the end we're going to lay this very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The Cubs won't be taking the foot off the gas now with a chance to win their first raod series in nearly two months. The Padres continue to struggle in many facets, but especially at home. Kyle Hendricks gets the nod for the visitors and he's 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA after making his second start after returning from surgery, allowing one run over five innings in a home victory over Tampa: "I felt much more like myself," Hendricks said. "It tells me that I can just do what I do. Get back to being myself again." Hendricks has to be feeling confident here, as he's domianted the Friars throughout his career, going 8-2 with a tiny 2.61 ERA in 13 starts vs. them. Blake Snell is an unremarkable 1-6 with a 4.50 ERA for the Padres. He's 1-1 with a 1.06 ERA in three career starts vs. the Cubs. But in a contest which we see being decided late, or perhaps even in extras, the savvy call is indeed to grab the visiting side on the RUNLINE option (CUBS.) Good luck, TIR |
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06-05-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -131 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knights. We are all contrarian handicappers at heart, but when there are so few games left in a season, at some point, everyone becomes one of the "public." These teams are evenly matched. We could easily come up with a convincing argument to take Florida to bounce back here, but at this price, we just feel that the overall VALUE for sure lies with the home side. The "home ice" was indeed crucial for the Knights in Game 1, and this series could in fact play out like that. That's the way we're seeing this one breaking down, with the Knights taking Game 2 here, and then if that occurs, we'll almost assuredly be on the Panthers in Game 3. So this is 100% purely based upon the fact that we feel we're getting fantastic "line value" on the home side. The play is LAS VEGAS. Good luck, TIR |
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06-04-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Nuggets | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Heat. Do or die here essentially it feels like for Miami. We had a play on the Heat in Game 1, and no matter how good or bad a team is playing, it'll always be difficult to win a contest when you only get to go to the free throw line twice. Despite that though, Miami came just a three-point basket away from covering in Game 1. Suffice it to say, we're expecting a lot more calls to go the Heat's way here in Game 2. Note as well that Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. Denver may win this Game 2, but it's going to be a battle until the final horn. So grab as many points as you can! Good luck, TIR |
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06-04-23 | Braves v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Braves/D-Backs. Yes, these teams have been playing to several lower-scoring affairs of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here in Arizona on Sunday afternoon. The Braves have now seen the total go UNDER in five straight after their 5-2 win here as -237 favorites. That's signficant to note though, as ATL has in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last seven after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. The loss snapped a six-game win streak for the D-Backs. It was also their fifth straight UNDER in a row, which is important to note as well, as Arizona has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. We like Zac Gallen, who is 7-2 with a 2.72 ERA for the D-Backs, but this is just a case of him being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time." We're not sold on Mike Soroka at all for the Braves, as he's 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA. It'll be a bullpen game for ATL as the Braves get ready to leave town after this. All in all, look for this one to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, TIR |
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06-04-23 | Aces v. Fever UNDER 173 | Top | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Aces/Fever. Yes, the Aces are averaging 95.6 PPG, but we're expecting a more methodical pace here in this non-conference matchup, and ultimately we believe that'll push this total well below the posted number. Indiana is just 1-4 to open the season, and it's seen the total go OVER in three straight. That's significant to note though as the Fever have seen the total go UNDER the number in five of their last seven after playing to three or more straight OVER in a row. They're off the 81-78 loss at Connecticut, and the total went OVER the number of 158.5 by just a .5 point. Tonight's total is significantly higher, but we're expecting a similar final combined score here between Las Vegas and Indiana. Only averaging 75.5 PPG, the Fever will look to break their slide and control the tempo of this one. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U trends do indeed make the UNDER the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one in our opinion. Good luck, TIR |
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06-03-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -126 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 99 h 29 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knights. Both teams have been great. With a line like this, the oddsmakers obviously believe these teams are very evenly matched, and for the most part they are. Florida likely gets the small nod in the goaltending department, while Las Vegas gets the nod in the "experience" department. Other than that, these sides truly are evenly matched. Las Vegas comes as the "fresher" team, as it hasn't required more than six games to win a series thus far. Vegas was expected to be here before the season started, while Florida has been riding a "Cinderella Wave" ever since their now legendary seven-game come-from-behind series win over the Bruins in the first round. We say that Fairy Tale comes to an end here though. In Game 1 at least. Look for LAS VEGAS to take advantage of "home ice" and lay this price with confidence. Good luck, TIR |
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06-03-23 | Yankees v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Yanks/Dodgers. The Dodgers have now seen the total go OVER the number in three straight after yesterday's 8-4 series opening victory. Note though that LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row. New York has also seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four off a road loss as an underdog. We have two really solid starting pitchers going head-to-head here and we're definitely expecting them to battle into the latter frames. Gerrit Cole is 6-0 with a 2.93 ERA for the Yanks. Michael Grove will counter for the Dodgers, and while he's only 0-1 with an 8.44 ERA, we look for him to settle down here finally at home. This will be a bullpen game for LA, but the Dodgers pen is solid as well. Regardless, when you add it all up, we absolutely feel this O/U line is a bit too high today. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, TIR |
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06-02-23 | Braves v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the D-Backs runline. Two really good teams here, but Arizona has been red hot and we're expecting that momentum to get carried over in the opener of this interesting three-game series. Arizona has won five straight after taking all four from Colorado over the weekend. Atlanta avoided a sweep on Wednesday with a 4-2 win over lowly Oakland. For arguments sakes, let's call these starters a "wash:" Charlie Morton is 5-5 with a 3.59 ERA for the Braves, while Merrill Kelly is 6-3 with a 2.83 ERA for the Diamondbacks. Note though that Arizona is 7-2 in its last nine as a home dog in the +101 to +115 range. We're bypassing the moneyline though and instead laying the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Lay the price, the play ARIZONA on the RUNLINE option. Good luck, TIR |
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06-01-23 | Heat +9 v. Nuggets | Top | 93-104 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 21 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Heat. The Heat have surprised every team they've played in Game 1 of each series in the Playoffs, and we have every reason to believe that that trend will continue here in the Finals. No one in the World can slow down Nikola Jokic right now, but the rest of the Nuggets are going to have to step up if Denver is truly going to win this series. The Heat are great defenders, and they're efficient outside shooters. We expect Miami to throw its "best shot" at the Nuggets here in Game 1. Will "rest" lead to "rust" for the Nuggets?! The answer is: maybe! Either way, we expect this one to be a lot closer than what the bookmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, the play is MIAMI. Good luck, TIR |
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06-01-23 | Sparta Rotterdam v. Utrecht -117 | 2-1 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on FC Utrecht. Both teams finished off their seasons with victories, but "home field" simply can't be overlooked as a deciding factor in this particular matchup. Sparta may have finished with five more points in the regular season than its host today, but Utrecht has to be feeling confident here due to the recent and long-term head-to-head record: Not only has Utrecht taken both games in this series this year already, but the home team in this particular leg hasn't lost to Rotterdam in 17 straight matches. The play is indeed on FC UTRECHT. Good luck, TIR |
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06-01-23 | Phillies v. Mets OVER 8.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Phillies/Mets. After back-to-back losses to open up this series, scoring a total of just one run over those first two setbacks, we like the Phillies and the Mets to plate a few more here in the finale of this three game series. Note that Philly has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge two or more straight road loss against an opponent. Taijuan Walker has been the beneficiary of some offense this year, as evidenced by his 4-2, 5.57 ERA record this season. He'll be opposed by the Mets' Max Scherzer, who is 4-2 with a 3.54 ERA. This is just a case of both starters being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today, as the overall situation combined with the above listed ATS O/U stat make the OVER the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one in our opinion. Good luck, TIR |
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05-31-23 | Houston Dynamo v. Vancouver Whitecaps -130 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 52 h 41 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Vancouver Whitecaps. The bottom line here for us for this particular matchup is that the home side's speed and ability to transition smoothly on the quick artificial turf in Vancouver will ultimatley prove to be too much for the visiting Dynamo to handle. And at the same time, the visitors often look overwhelmed and out of sorts when on the back foot away from home. All things considered, we feel this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price, the play is VANCOUVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-31-23 | Yankees v. Mariners -133 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Mariners. After B2B home losses to open this series, we love the Mariners to bounce-back in the finale. Note that Seattle is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses vs. an opponent. Clarke Schmidt is getting the nod for the Yanks out of necessity and he's an unimpressive 2-5 with a 5.58 ERA this season. Schmidt has been a lot better at home as well as he's just 1-4 in New York with a 4.75 ERA, compared to 1-1 on the road to go along with a ballooned 7.37 ERA. We definitely like George Kirby in this matchup, as he's battle tested already this year, now 5-4 with a highly-respectable 3.43 ERA and 51 to 6 strikeout to walk ratio. And finally, this also sets up as a potential LOOK AHEAD spot for the Yanks as well, as they'll have one night off after this game, before a three-game series at the Dodgers, a big prime time matchup that will be carried by all of the networks etc. Great price on revenge-minded SEATTLE. Good luck, TIR |
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05-31-23 | Roma v. Sevilla | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 44 h 20 m | Show | |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on As Roma. When Roma succeeds here, Mourinho will become the most decorated manager in European Competition. He'd also be the only manager to win the Europa League with three different clubs. Yes, Sevilla's form is currently better at the moment, as Roma has lost some of its momentum in Serie A and is giving everything it has to win in Europe. Mourinho's men though are on an entirely different level on the defensive end and they are able to strike effectively from a set-piece. In our opinion, this will be more than enough to secure the victory. The play is ROMA. Good luck, TIR |
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05-30-23 | Royals v. Cardinals OVER 9 | 1-2 | Loss | -117 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Royals/Cardinals. With the Royals victory in yesterday's series opener, KC has now seen the total go UNDER the number in three straight. That's significant to note here though, as the Royals have in fact seen the total go OVER the number in five of their last seven after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. And with yeterday's series opening loss, the Cards have now seen the total go UNDER the number in five straight, which is also important to note here, as St. Louis has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. Zach Greinke gets the nod for the Royals, and he's an unimpressive 1-5 with a a 4.55 ERA. He'll be opposed by Miles Mikolas, who is a respectable 3-1 with a 4.23 ERA. This is just a case of each of these guys being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" though. The overall situation, combined with the above listed Over/Under trends does indeed make the OVER the correct call in this one. Good luck, TIR |
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05-30-23 | Guardians v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Guardians/Orioles. With yesterday's 5-0 series opening victory, the Guardians have now seen the total go UNDER the number in eight straight games. That fact, frankly, has helped in pushing this Tuesday total a little lower than it normally would/should be in our opinion. And with the series opening loss, Baltimore has now seen the total go UNDER the number in three straight, which is in fact significant to note as the Orioles have seen the total go OVER the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. These are decent starting pitchers, but we ultimaltey believe they're in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today (Cal Quantrill is 2-3 with an unremarkable 4.75 ERA for the Guardians, while Kyle Gibson is 6-3 with a 3.82 ERA for the Orioles.) The overall situation and above listed trends do indeed make the OVER the correct call in this one. Good luck, TIR |
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05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 103-84 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 11 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Celtics. We had a play on the OVER in Game 6. That came up short obviously. With nearly 80% of the early money/bets on Miami in Game 7, we're going to go full-on contrarian mode here in Game 7 and go the other way. We've collectively felt that "momentum" in sports is a very real, almost tangible factor, and it's a factor that becomes even more important during the playoffs. It's also one in which we've come to learn that the oddsmakers have a hard time in properly quantifying into a line, and that's definitely the case here in Game 7 in our opinion. Jason Tatum and the Celtics are on the verge of history and the NBA itself would love nothing more than a Boston/Denver Final. Lay the points, the play is indeed on BOSTON. Good luck, TIR |
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05-29-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 37 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Knights/Stars. We've done decently in this series. We had a play on the OVER in Game 5, and while that one did go on to eclipse the posted number, we're expecting more of a defensive affair here in Game 6. Regardless of Jamie Benn returning from his two-game suspension for Dallas, we still look for this Game 6 to set up to be a very tight/defensive affair. Note as well that the Knights have seen the total go UNDER the number four of their last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Everything points to Game 6 staying UNDER the number once the final buzzer blares. Good luck, TIR |
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05-29-23 | Rays v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Rays/Cubs. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end here this afternoon in Chicago. Tampa enters having seen the total go OVER the number in nine straight games after taking two of three from the Dodgers over the weekend, including yesterday's finale by a score of 11-10. Chicago is in dire need of someone to step up here and take control after four straight losses, all of which went OVER the number, including yesterday's second straight 8-5 loss to the Reds. Both starters are battle-tested: Taj Bradley is 3-1 with a 4.44 ERA for the Rays, while Marcus Stroman is 4-4 with a 2.95 ERA for the Cubs. We're expecting a classic "duel" here and as a result, the value as far as the total is concerned has indeed now finally swung to the UNDER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-28-23 | Red Sox v. Diamondbacks -109 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Diamondbacks. We are all contrarian at heart here over at The Insiders Room, however we still like Arizona in this spot. The Diamondbacks have performed well in this spot for bettors, going 4-1 in their last five after three straight losses. They lost the first two games of this series, which is also significant to note here, as Arizona is 8-4 in its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Tanner Houck has been pedestrian for the Sox this year, as he's just 3-3 with a 4.99 ERA. Merrill Kelly has once again led the way for the D-Backs this year, he enters 5-3 with a 2.98 ERA. With a day off before a home series vs. the Reds, we expect the Red Sox to get caught flat-footed here. Lay the short price, the play is Arizona. Good luck, TIR |
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05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 211 | Top | 104-103 | Loss | -108 | 37 h 41 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Celtics/Heat. We've been on Boston over the last two games, but here in Game 6 back in Miami, we're going to avoid a side an instead focus on the total. While the last two games have gone UNDER the number, we're expecting a much more wide-open offensive affair here, as Miami looks to rebound and wrap this series up in South Beach. Note that Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Miami will now have to be the aggressor, and push the pace, and with the Celtics now following suit, everything points to this Game 6 total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later. The play is indeed on the OVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-27-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 36 h 1 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Stars/Knights. We unfortunatley had a play on the UNDER in Game 4, but here in Game 5 we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks. Vegas has seen the total go UNDER in three straight, which is significant to note here, as the Knights have in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. LV has also seen the total go OVER in four of its last six in trying to avenge a loss vs. an opponent. Stars' captain Jamie Benn is suspended for one more game because of his hit on Matt Stone in Game 4, but the Stars can't sit back and wait for Las Vegas to make the first move. With the visitors pushing the pace, we look for this total to easily eclipse the posted number. The play is the OVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-27-23 | Cardinals v. Guardians OVER 8.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Cards/Guardians. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. St. Louis has seen the total go UNDER in two straight now after yesterday's 4-3 series opening loss. Previous to that though the Cards had played to five straight OVERS. Cleveland has now seen the total go UNDER the number in five straight though, which is definitely significant to note, as the Guardians have in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. Jack Flaherty is just 3-4 with a 5.29 ERA for the Cards, while Tanner Bibee is 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA. This is just a case of each starter being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time." In our opinion, this one will eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. The play is the OVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-26-23 | Pirates v. Mariners OVER 7 | 11-6 | Win | 105 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Pirates/Mariners. Each team has been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks in the opener of this three-game series. Pittsburgh has lost four of its last five, including two straight at home to Texas (both went UNDER the number.) Seattle has won five of its last six. It's seen the total go UNDER in three straight though after sweeping the A's at home over the weekend. That's significant to note here though, as Seattle has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. Both Mitch Keller (5-1, 2.44 ERA) of the Pirates, and George Kirby (5-3, 2.62) of the Mariners, have been decent this year, but this is just a case of being in the "wrong place," at the "wrong time." Look for this Interleague battle to be less intense defensively, and more defined by the men stepping into the box. The play is the OVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-25-23 | A's v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER A's/Mariners. Neither team scores a lot of runs, but we're expecting today's total to eclipse this tiny number. Seattle has won the first three games of this four-game series, and the lat two have fallen UNDER the number. Note that Oakland has seen the total go OVER the number though in three of its last four in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. JP Sears is 0-3 with a 4.99 ERA for the A's, while Logan Gilbert is 2-2 with a 3.81 ERA for the Mariners. Decent starters, but they're both in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" here today. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U trend do indeed make the OVER the correct call in this one. Good luck, TIR |
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05-25-23 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Celtics. A chance! A small sliver of hope! That's what Boston needed, and that's what the Celtics produced for themselves in Game 4's blowout 116-99 victory. "Momentum" in sports, especially in the playoffs, is a very real, almost "tangible" factor that we've felt that the oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying. Clearly, Jimmy Butler and the Heat have been the surprise team in the East this year in the Playoffs, but we expect Jayson Tatum and the home side to duplicate their Game 4 performance here at home, and even better it here in Game 5. And finally, with the majority of the public money/bets on the Heat, we're "going the other way" in true contrarian fashion. Lay the points, the play is BOSTON. Good luck, TIR |
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05-25-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars OVER 5.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Knights/Stars. Las Vegas is on the cusp of reaching the NHL Stanley Cup Finals. The Stars are on the ropes and without their captain Jamie Benn, due to a one-game suspension. The last two games in this series went UNDER the number, but we're expecting a faster-paced affair here in Game 4, and ultimately we believe this will help in driving this total OVER the number sooner, rather than later. The odds are against the Stars obviously moving forward, but note that Dallas has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 off a shutout home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. This number is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-24-23 | Red Sox v. Angels OVER 9 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Red Sox/Angels. The Angels have now seen the total go UNDER in four straight. Note though that LA has still seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. Boston has now seen the total go UNDER in five straight, which is significant to note, as the Red Sox have seen the total go OVER the number in ten of their last 13 after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. They've also seen the total go OVER in three of their last four off a shutout road loss vs. an opponent. Off B2B losses to open this series, clearly the Red Sox are out for some revenge here today. James Paxton is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA for Boston, but we feel he's in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Same thing for the home side's Tim Anderson, who is 1-0 with a 5.27 ERA. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U trends do indeed make the OVER the correct call in this one. Good luck, TIR |
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05-24-23 | Marlins -155 v. Rockies | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Marlins. After three straight losses, iincluding the first two in this series as favorites here in Colorado, we like the Marlins to bounce back in the finale of this three-game series with their ace on the mound. Note that Miami is 6-2 in its last eight after three or more straight losses in a row. Sandy Alcantara is just 1-5 with a 5.05 ERA for the Marlins, but we still give him the big nod over Karl Kaufmann of the Rockies, who is 0-1 with an 8.31 ERA and who is being pressed into service here. Look for ALCANTARA and the MARLINS to take advantage. Good luck, TIR |
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05-24-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers OVER 5.5 | 3-4 | Win | 110 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Canes/Panthers. Florida has a chance to go to the Stanley Cup Final here with a victory. Amazingly we think, the Panthers have seen the total go UNDER in eight straight games. Note the Carolina has also seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 12 when trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Can the Canes win at least one game in this series? We're not sure! But we do finally expect some wide-open, high-scoring offensive action in this important contest. The play is the OVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-23-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 216.5 | 116-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER. All three games in this series have gone OVER the number, but we're expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 4. Note that Boston has seen the total go UNDER the number still in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. The C's have also seen the total go UNDER in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. Miami has also seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last ten in the same position. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-23-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars OVER 5.5 | 4-0 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Vegas/Dallas. Game 1 went OVER the number in the Knights' 4-3 OT victory, while Game 2 went UNDER the number in the Stars 3-2 OT loss. Note that Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 though in trying to avenge a loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. With Dallas pushing the pace from start to finish, all signs point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, TIR |
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05-23-23 | Orioles +1.5 v. Yankees | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Orioles. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're laying the small price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Both teams are hot, with Baltimore coming to town off a 3-0 sweep in Toronto, while New York just all three at Cincinnati over the weekend. Kyle Bradish is 2-1 with a 3.90 ERA for the Orioles, while Gerrit Cole is 5-0 with a 2.01 ERA for the Yanks. We feel these guys are a wash. With nearly 85% of the public money on the Yanks here, we feel we're getting supreme value going the other way. Lay the price, the play is BALTIMORE on the RUNLINE option. Good luck, TIR |
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05-22-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -3 | Top | 113-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Lakers. LA is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite at home against an opponent. LA won't be going to the Finals, but it's not going to get swept either. Lay the points, the play is LA. Good luck, TIR |
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05-22-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers OVER 5.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Canes/Panthers. Florida's now seen the total go UNDER the number in seven straight. The Panthers are up 2-0 in this series, but note that Carolina has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 off an upset loss as a favorite at home vs. an opponent. With the shift in venue, look for these two teams to finally open things up and expect this total to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, TIR |
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05-22-23 | Astros v. Brewers +105 | 12-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Brewers. After seven straight victories, we're expecting the Astros to take a step back in the opener of this interleague series. And after snapping a three-game slide with a win in their last outing, we like the home side to buckle down and deliver. Christian Javier is 4-1 with a 3.25 ERA, but we still give the nod to Corbin Burnes at home, who is 4-3 with a 3.48 ERA. Look for Burnes to be the difference-maker in this one. The play is MILWAUKEE. Good luck, TIR |
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05-21-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 214 | 102-128 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Celtics/Heats UNDER. The first two games of this series have flown well OVER the number in the Heat's back-to-back upset victories on the road, but with the shift in venue, we're finally expecting a much tigher, and ultimately more defensive affair in Game 3. Note as well that Boston has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an oppponent. Expect Boston to be risking life and limb today on the defensive end and look for a lower-pace overall. This number is high, the play is the UNDER! Good luck, TIR |
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05-21-23 | Twins v. Angels -143 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Angels. With their "ace" on the mound, we expect the Angels to dig deep here in the finale of this three-game series. LA lost 6-2 yesterday, but note that it's 4-1 in its last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Pablo Lopez is faces his former team here, and he's 2-2 with a 4.00 ERA. Shohei Ohtani though is 5-1 with a 3.23 ERA. Ohtani is underpriced here at home in our opinion. Lay the price with confidence, the play is the ANGELS. Good luck, TIR |
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05-21-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Stars/Knights UNDER. Game 1 flew OVER the number in the Knights' 4-3 OT victory, but we're expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 2. Las Vegas has now seen the total go OVER the number in three straight, which is significant to note as LV has in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Dallas has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. All signs point to a classic, lower-scoring UNDER in this one! Good luck, TIR |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5.5 | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 7 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Lakers. No need to overthink this one. This now becomes the Lakers most important game of the entire season. An 0-3 hole would be too difficult to navigate out of. Home floor advantage will prove crucial here in this one though in our opinions. The Nuggets are a sub-par 21-25 SU/ATS on the road this year. The Lakers are a solid 30-18 SU and 27-19-1 ATS in LA. This is how six out of ten of The Insiders Room crew sees this one unfolding. The play is the LAKERS. Good luck, TIR |
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05-20-23 | Panthers +137 v. Hurricanes | 2-1 | Win | 137 | 30 h 26 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Panthers. The Panthers came out on top in Game 1, and we had a play on them. If you didn't read that analysis, then it's worth doing so now, as the same logic and reasoning behind that winner, directly applies to this Game 2 selection as well in our opinion: This should be a great series. When the Opening line first came out, it was almost a "pick em," but the Hurricanes have slowly been bet up and they're now in the 140 range with nearly 70% of the wagers/money on them. As primarily situational and contrarian style cappers, this automatically makes us really like Florida here. The oddsmakers feel these teams are evenly matched, but now that we're getting some decent "plus money" in return here on the Panthers, we do indeed feel that the best VALUE play here in Game 1 is by taking the underdog. Of course, being successful in the playoffs, both from a handicapping perspective and of the team's playing the actual games is about making adjustments from game to game. And so we'll see what happens here in Game 1, and we'll make some necessary adjustments for Game 2 if we have to, but with these teams being so evenly matched, the value as they say is by grabbing the plus money in our opinion. Florida was an interesting story, favored to come out of the East before the year started, but a lackluster start to the season saw most write off the Panthers as a serious threat. But being successful in the playoffs is a lot about timing, chemistry, and momentum. And there's no question that the Panthers have a ton of that after coming back down 0-2 to the Bruins in their first series to then knock off Boston, which is arguably the biggest NHL Playoff upset in history. After a seven-game series vs. the Bruins, not many gave Florida a chance vs. the Leafs either, myself included. But they destroyed Toronto in five games. They've had almost a week off between games to focus. Carolina has also had a week off to prepare, but the Hurricanes' path to this point has been less impressive I'd say, beating the Islanders in six and then a shaky Devils team in five. Carolina had the better goaltending during the regular season, but these teams are now putting up similar numbers in that department during the Playoffs, so we'll call that area a "wash" in this series. Value, value, value, it's all about that "plus money" return here for us on the Panthers! For all of those same reasons listed above, the play is FLORIDA. Good luck, TIR |
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05-20-23 | Cubs v. Phillies -163 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Phillies. Coming into this series on Friday night, the Phillies have lost four straight. Whether they win or lose on Friday, we think this Saturday matchup absolutely favors Aaron Nola and the home side. Nola is 3-3 with a 4.53 ERA after allowing four runs off six hits over seven innings in a loss to the Rockies in his last outing. Last year Nola was 6-4 with a 3.53 ERA in front of the home town crowd and as we mentioned above, he for sure has the advantage of his counterpart Jameson Taillon, who is 0-2 with a 6.66 ERA after allowing four runs off seven hits over four innings in a loss to the Astros in his last outing. Look for the hungry home side to take advantage of what we feel is a lop-sidedly favorable starting pitching matchup. Lay the price, the play is PHILADELPHIA. Good luck, TIR |
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05-19-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Stars/Knights. Las Vegas has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 when playing with three or more days of rest. These are two very defensive-minded clubs. At least they were during the regular season. The Playoffs though has been a different matter for the most part, as Vegas has seen the total go OVER the number in seven of 11 playoff games thus far, while Dallas has seen it go OVER in nine of its last 12 playoff games. With the extra time off between series, we look for these teams to come out with "fresh legs." This total is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-19-23 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 216 | Top | 111-105 | Push | 0 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Heat/Celtics. While Game 1 flew well "over" the number in the Heat's 123-116 upset win as 8.5-point underdogs, we're expecting a much tigher and overall defensive affair here in Game 2. Note that Boston has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Miami continues to defy the odds, but we're expecting Boston to double-down big time on the defensive end here. While Game 1 flew well OVER the number, all signs point to Game 2 staying well UNDER once it's all said and done. Good luck, TIR |
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05-19-23 | Cubs v. Phillies UNDER 9 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Cubs/Phillies. Talk about two teams in dire need of a "spark." And talk about two teams that need their starting pitchers to go deep here to alleviate some pressure of these taxed bullpens. The Cubs are 19-24, including just 8-13 on the road, while the Phillies are just 20-23 overall, but a more respectable 11-7 at home. Marcus Stroman is 2-4 with a 3.24 ERA for Chicago and has remained a consistent bright spot. Ranger Suarez is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA for the Phillies. Suarez catches a break here though facing an anemic Cubs offense that's been outscored 47-17 over their last five games. Stroman has struggled himself over his last three outings, but he's 4-4 with a 2.45 ERA in ten starts vs. the Phillies. Suarez is in fact 0-1 with a respectable 3.00 ERA in two lifetime starts vs. the Cubs. Look for these two hungry starters to battle deeper than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe, and for that to ultimately help in driving this total UNDER the number once it's all said and done. Good luck, TIR |
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05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Lakers/Nuggets. Denver looked good in its 132-126 win over the Lakers in Game 1. Some won, some pushed and some lost against the closing line on the spread, but obviously the total sailed well "over" the number of 222.5. Now the expectations are here in Game 2 that we'll see another shootout, but we're thinking the opposite here in fact. Tonight's total is almost five points higher than the Game 1 total, so that's significant. Being successful in the playoffs is about making adjustments, and the Lakers will be doubling down defensively here in Game 2, after Denver's frantic pace to open Game 1. LA has also seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss agianst an opponent. Denver only averages 115.8 points per game, which is middle of the pack, whiel allowing 112.5, which ranks eighth. The Lakers have now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is also significant to note, as LA has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. LA averages 117.2 points per game, while allowing 116.8, but thoe averages dip for the Lakers when they're on the road. The Lakers are 22-26 on the road, while the Nuggets are 41-7 at home. The two big men, Nikola Jokic and Anthony Davis were huge for both teams in Game 1. Look for more of the same here in Game 2 obviously, with each team running its offense through its big man. But with that said, we're expecting a more methodical pace here in Game 2, a more defensive affair all around for sure, and because of that we're taking advantage of what we feel is a now overinflated line because of the high-scoring shootout in Game 1. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-18-23 | Panthers +127 v. Hurricanes | 3-2 | Win | 127 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Florida Panthers. This should be a great series. When the Opening line first came out, it was almost a "pick em," but the Hurricanes have slowly been bet up and they're now in the 140 range with nearly 70% of the wagers/money on them. As primarily situational and contrarian style cappers, this automatically makes us really like Florida here. The oddsmakers feel these teams are evenly matched, but now that we're getting some decent "plus money" in return here on the Panthers, we do indeed feel that the best VALUE play here in Game 1 is by taking the underdog. Of course, being successful in the playoffs, both from a handicapping perspective and of the team's playing the actual games is about making adjustments from game to game. And so we'll see what happens here in Game 1, and we'll make some necessary adjustments for Game 2 if we have to, but with these teams being so evenly matched, the value as they say is by grabbing the plus money in our opinion. Florida was an interesting story, favored to come out of the East before the year started, but a lackluster start to the season saw most write off the Panthers as a serious threat. But being successful in the playoffs is a lot about timing, chemistry, and momentum. And there's no question that the Panthers have a ton of that after coming back down 0-2 to the Bruins in their first series to then knock off Boston, which is arguably the biggest NHL Playoff upset in history. After a seven-game series vs. the Bruins, not many gave Florida a chance vs. the Leafs either, myself included. But they destroyed Toronto in five games. They've had almost a week off between games to focus. Carolina has also had a week off to prepare, but the Hurricanes' path to this point has been less impressive I'd say, beating the Islanders in six and then a shaky Devils team in five. Carolina had the better goaltending during the regular season, but these teams are now putting up similar numbers in that department during the Playoffs, so we'll call that area a "wash" in this series. Value, value, value, it's all about that "plus money" return here for us on the Panthers! Good luck, TIR |
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05-18-23 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Guardians/White Sox. Two teams from a poor division. If the AL East is one of the best, then AL Central has to be one of the worst. Minnesota is the only team with a winning record. The White Sox are 16-28, while the Guaridans are 19-23. The firt two games of this series (both ChiSox wins), have gone "over" the numbrer, but with two decent starters going head-to-head in the finale, we're finally expecting more of a "duel" here on Thursday. Logan Allen is 1-1 with a 3.43 ERA for the Guardians, while Dylan Cease is 2-2 with a 4.86 ERA for the White Sox. We're expecting each to go deep and for this total to ultimately stay "under" the number once it's all said and done. Good luck, TIR |
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05-17-23 | Heat v. Celtics -7.5 | 123-116 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Celtics. The bottom line here is that we think the longer lay off for the Heat will ruin their chemistry. With the majority of the public money on the Heat, we love this contrarian play on the Celtics. This is very similar to Game 7 between the 76ers and the Celtics, in which Philly was an 8-point dog and nearly 70% of the public money was on the dog. Of course, Boston went on to win easily by a score of 112-88. We expect a similar style blowout here in Game 1 of the ECF. Lay the points, the play is BOSTON. Good luck, TIR |
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05-17-23 | Angels v. Orioles -133 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
6 OUTÂ OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Orioles. The Angels won the opener 9-5 with Ohtani on the hill, and Baltimore then bounced back with the 7-3 win yesterday. We're expecting the home side to build off yesterday's victory. The Angels are 12-12 on the road, while Baltimore is 14-7 at home. Griffin Canning gets the call for the Angels and he's 2-1 with a 6.38 ERA. He' been nothing special. Kyle Bradish is 1-1 with a 4.56 ERA so far for the Orioles. Baltimore is playing at a much higher level overall than the Angels, and has been more consistent across the board, while playing in a much tougher division. The Angels bullpen has been shaky at best this year, so Baltimore also wins in that department. When you add it all up, we feel that this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Run, don't walk to bet this one. The play is BALTIMORE. Good luck, TIR |
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05-16-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 222.5 | Top | 126-132 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 48 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Lakers/Nuggets. To be succinct with our analysis, we're expecting this series to be dominated by the big men. We're also expecting the Lakers to be ready to guard the perimeter. We also expect a "feeling out" period to open up this Game 1. When you add it all up, we're absolutely expecting a more methodical pace here in Game 1 and a slower-paced affair means less shots and less shots = less points. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-16-23 | Rays v. Mets -153 | 8-5 | Loss | -153 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Mets. We're going to lay the price here and expect New York to lay the hammer down in the opener of this interleague series. The Mets have been trading wins/losses over their last seven games, and off a 10-3 loss at Washington yesterday afternoon, we expect this pattern to continue here in this favorable matchup. The Rays of course have been the talk of the league to open up this year, but they actually have started to regress of late, going just 2-4 in their last six. Off a tough 8-7 win at New York two nights ago, we think that Jalen Beeks will have his hands full on the road today. Beeks is once again starting out of necessity and he's so far just 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA. Justin Verlander counters for the home side and he's 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA. It's our belief that this line could/should be a lot larger. Lay the price with confidence, the play is New York! Good luck, TIR |
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05-15-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Kraken PUCKLINE. This has been a back-and-forth series. It's been very evenly matched. And now here we are in Game 7 and once again we're expecting a highly-competitive affair, one that will very likely be decided late, or even in extra time. Seattle has been at its best on the road this year. The public isn't quite sure what to make of the Kraken, but in our opinion, everything points to Game 7 being a complete "nail-biter" until the end. The play is SEATTLE on the PUCKLINE option. Good luck, TIR |
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05-15-23 | Angels -122 v. Orioles | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Angels. The Angels are 21-20, while the Orioles are 26-14. Baltimore plays in a tough division, but we still say this one will be decided almost entirely be these starting pitchers. At least, we feel that Shoei Ohtani at this price, despite being on the road, and in this matchup, offers fantastic overall value. Ohtani is 4-1 with a 2.74 ERA and 0.91 WHIP, while his counterpart Grayson Rodriguez is 2-0, but with a poor 5.08 ERA. The Angels are desperate for a spark after dropping four of their last five, and we're counting on Ohtani being that torch. Lay the price, the play is LA. Good luck, TIR |
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05-14-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -180 | 5-2 | Loss | -180 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Oilers. We bet underdogs. We bet totals. We bet futures. We bet parlays. We bet half time wagers. We make first half bets. We'll play any type of wager there is if we feel there's "value" in it. And that's the same with playing "favorites." We have no issues at all in laying chalk, especially when we feel that our "play on" side should/could in fact be a larger favorite. And that's the case here in Game 6 for the Oilers in our opinion. Edmonton is a near-perfect 3-1 in its last four in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponet. This series has 7 games written all over it. Lay the price with confidence, the play is EDMONTON. Good luck, TIR |
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05-14-23 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 200 | 88-112 | Push | 0 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER 76ers/Celtics. A big game here obviously, as the winner will move on to face the Heat in the ECF. The total has gone over in four of the six games, and we're expecting a shootout here in the finale as well. Note that Philadelphia has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 90 or fewer points in. We're expecting an efficent offensive outing from each side, and as such, look for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The play is the OVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-14-23 | Braves v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Braves/Jays. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon. ATL has lost three straight, and it's seen the total go UNDER in three straight after back-to-back losses here in TO. Note though that ATL has seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row, and in eight of its last 12 after three or more straight losses in a row. The Braves have also seen the total go OVER the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Jays have seen the total go UNDER in three straight, but note that TO has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last seven after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. The starters have been decent. Collin McHugh is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA for the Braves, but the sample size is just too small and regression feels imminent. Same thing for Yusei Kikuchi of the Jays, who is an unrealistic 5-0 with a 3.35 ERA. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U ATS stats all do indeed point to the OVER as the correct call in this one. Good luck, TIR |
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05-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken +1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Kraken puckline. We're laying the price here for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. We see this contest being decided late, or even in extra time. Note that Seattle is 7-2 in its last nine after two or more straight losses in a row. We're highly contrarian, and with the majority of the early wagers here on Dallas SU to win this contest, we absolutely feel the value swings here to this hungry underdog home side that's fighting for its life tonight. Lay the price, the play is SEATTLE. Good luck, TIR |
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05-13-23 | Royals v. Brewers -151 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Brewers. The Brewers snapped a two-game slide with a 5-1 win here in yesterday's series opener and we like the NL Central leader to keep the foot on the gas here on Saturday in another favorable matchup. The Royals hand the ball to Zack Greinke, who is 1-4 with a 5.18 ERA, while the Brewers counter with Adrian Houser, hwo is 0-0 with a 3.86 ERA. Look for Houser to get the better of his floundering counterpart and lay this price with confidence. The play is MILWAUKEE. Good luck, TIR |
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05-13-23 | Pirates v. Orioles -159 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Orioles. The Pirates were the talk of the town over the first month of the season, but they've since come back down to Earth, having lost ten of their last 11 after yesterday's 6-3 series opening loss here. We say this streak of futility continues in this lop-sided starting pitching mismatch. The Orioles play in the most difficult division in MLB and they've now won three straight. They hand the ball to Tyler Wells, who is 2-1 with a 3.15 ERA. The Pirates counter with the volatile Roansy Contreras, who is 3-3 with a 4.74 ERA. At some point the Pirates will start to offer some value, but at this point we're absolutely expecting their slide back into mediocrity will continue for a while. Lay the price with confidence, the play is BALTIMORE. Good luck, TIR |
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05-12-23 | Warriors v. Lakers -140 | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Lakers. Would the NBA like to see this series go 7 games? Maybe, but I think what they'd rather see is a couple "new faces" in the Finals this year. And that's about to happen in the Western Conference in our opinion, as we expect LA to dig deep here and to find a way to deliver here at home. So far, the home floor advantage has proved good for the Lakers. Golden State was terrible on the road all year and we think it'll once again struggle. The Lakers are also 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. For this play however, six out of then of The Insiders Room crew are steering clear of an actual against-the-spread wager, but instead bypassing that and taking LA to win this game straight-up on the money-line option. Good luck, NP |
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05-12-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Panthers/Leafs. We had Toronto throughout this series, so haven't done that well in it obviously, coming off our first winner in Game 4. The Leafs will have to push the pace from start to finish here to try and push the series back to Florida, and because of that, we expect this total to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Florida has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. All four games in this have gone UNDER the number, but this Game 5 sets up to be an explosive, high-scoring affair by six out of ten of The Insiders Room group. THe play is the OVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-12-23 | Mariners -115 v. Tigers | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Mariners. Seattle is 8-7 on the road, while Detroit is 8-7 at home. Despite that, we feel this is one that favors Marco Gonzales and the visiting side. Gonzales is 2-0 with a 4.70 ERA for the Mariners this season and he's 2-3 with a 3.89 ERA in seven career starts vs. Detroit. The Tigers' Matt Boyd is just 2-2 with a 5.28 ERA. He's 2-1 with a 3.52 ERA in six career appearances vs. Seattle, but the current form of these starters does favor Gonzales here. We think Detroit takes a step back here after a successful six-game road trip which saw them go 4-2. The play is SEATTLE. Good luck, TIR |
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05-11-23 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Suns | Top | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Nuggets. If Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets are going to finally take the next step and get over the hump, they're going to have to find a way to win on the road in the Playoffs. Denver's achilles heel all year has been its play on the road, but we're finally expecting the Nuggets to deliver here. Phoenix is just too thin after their starters, and does not have the depth anymore at this point of the series to compete in our opinion. So far the home floor advantage has proved critical in this series, but we expect that trend to end here. Jokic has won the MVP in B2B years, but here is a moment for him to once again take center stage and show the World why he is in fact the best player on the planet. While we feel the outright win is possible, the official play will be to grab the points. The play is DENVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-11-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | 2-5 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Kraken puckline. This has been a back-and-forth series, and we're expecting another competitive battle here in this all-important Game 5. Seattle took Game 1 here by a score of 5-4 in OT, and we're expecting a similar competitive battle that could also see extra time here in Game 5. Note as well that Seattle is still 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. Neither team has the advantage here, and that swings the value to this undervalued underdog. The play here though is to grab SEATTLE on the PUCKLINE option. Good luck, TIR |
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05-11-23 | Giants -126 v. Diamondbacks | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Giants. Both teams need a win, but we'll argue that San Francisco is the hungrier club in the opener of this three-game series. The Giants are 16-20, and the D-Backs are 20-17. San Francisco has lost three of its last four, including two of three in the Nation's capital this week. Arizona has also lost three of its last four, including two in a row at home as a favorite vs. Miami. Alex Cobb is 2-1 with a 2.01 ERA for the Giants, while Tommy Henry is 1-0 with a 5.17 ERA for the D-Backs. The sample size is still just too small for Henry here, but we feel he's in over his head. Overall, the line value is really good here considering the talent discrepancy between these starters. The play is SAN FRANCISCO. Good luck, TIR |
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05-10-23 | Heat v. Knicks -3.5 | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knicks. It's do or die, time to put up or shut up. The Heat and Jimmy Butler are feeling confident and talking trash. Butler recently called himself the best player on Earth, who isn't bothered by either double OR triple teams. Miami is cocky now after going 9-2 ATS in the Playoffs (including the Play-In Tournament), including win seven straight ATS. Those facts though have only helped in driving this spread a little lower than it normally would be though in our opinion. New York has lost four straight ATS, and two straight SU (but note that the Knicks have responded well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses in a row vs. an opponent.) We're expecting the home side to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire, so grab the points. The play is NEW YORK. Good luck, TIR |
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05-10-23 | Maple Leafs -117 v. Panthers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Leafs. Toronto finished ahead of the Panthers in the regular season and they were favored to win this series. But here the Leafs are down 0-3 heading into Game 4. We haven't written Toronto off yet though. We can in fact envision a World where the Leafs win the next two games, before Florida wins back here at home in Game 6. Clearly, the Panthers have exceeded expectations after coming from behind against the Bruins to win that series, and now be just one win away from the ECF. Note though that Toronto is a near-perfect 5-1 in its last six in trying to avenge three or more straight losses against an opponent. The mental "letdown" finally occurs here for Florida. Lay the price, the play is TORONTO. Good luck, TIR |
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05-10-23 | Dodgers v. Brewers +1.5 | 8-1 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Brewers RUNLINE. Off a 6-2 loss yesterday, we like the Brewers and their ace Wade Miley to, at the very least, keep this one competitive until the very end. Milwaukee won the opener of this series by a score of 9-3. The Dodgers go with Clayton Kershaw, who is 5-2 with a 2.53 ERA, while the home side does indeed go with Miley, who is 3-1 with a 2.31 ERA. Note that Milwaukee is 3-1 in its last four in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. The outright is possible, but great overall value here with the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The play is MILWAUKEE on the RUNLINE option. Good luck, TIR |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -5.5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Nuggets. In the playoffs, when it gets down to just a few games, at some point even the most contrarian capper will be on a public side or total. And that's the case here for sure, but it's warranted. After back-to-back SU/ATS losses in a row, we think the "thin air" of Denver will favor the Nuggets. They're deeper and more acclimated. The Nuggets are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Everything points to Nikola Jokic and company finally bouncing back in a big way. Lay the points, the play is DENVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-09-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken +120 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Kraken. If you're new to betting, this may come as a surprise, or it may not, but the bookmakers' job when releasing a line ultimately is to have half the public bet on one side of the wager, and have half the public wager on the other side (or total, etc.) The bookmakers do not care whatsoever who wins or loses, their entire goal is to try their best to get all of the action on a wager to be split down the middle. The house always wins with the vigorish. The Kraken are still a bit of an unknown to the general betting public though, so the majority of the money in Game 4 is on Dallas, as the Stars are once again favored. But we're not buying into Dallas being the better team in this matchup. The Kraken are the better value here at home getting the "plus-money" return, and that's the main part/reason why 6 out of 10 of us are on Seattle this evening. Good luck, TIR |
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05-09-23 | Astros v. Angels -130 | 3-1 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Angels. Two good teams that we're all familiar with. Two really good starting pitchers, but we think that Ohtani at this price at home is well worth the cost of admission. Houston continues to struggle, almost entirely due to injury issues here early on in the season. The Angels took the opener yesterday by a score of 6-4 and the can hand Houston a fourth straight series loss with another victory today. Framber Valdez is 2-4 with a 2.60 ERA, while Ohtani is 4-0 with a 2.54 ERA. LA has won six of eight and with Ohtani getting the slight nod over Valdez in this matchup, purely because of the "home field advantage," we're expecting the momentum to continue here. Great value overall, the play is LA. Good luck, TIR |
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05-08-23 | Golden Knights +1.5 v. Oilers | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knights PUCKLINE. These teams are evenly matched. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're going to lay what we deem to be a very reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. These teams are all tied up at 1-1, as LV won Game 1 by a score of 6-4, before falling 5-1 in Game 2. Note though that the Golden Knights are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to one or less goals in. The Oilers were 25-12-4-3 SU at home, but a less impressive 24-20 on the puckline in Edmonton. Vegas was a superb 28-7-5-3 on the road this season, including 28-15 on the puckline. Outright is possible, but the official call will be to grab the 1.5 goals. The play is LAS VEGAS on the PUCKLINE option. Good luck, TIR |
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05-08-23 | White Sox -130 v. Royals | 5-12 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the White Sox. The Royals are one of the worst teams in MLB, while the White Sox have started to turn the corner with their play over the last two weeks. We're expecting both of these trajectories to continue for these team's tonight in Kansas City. Chicago is only 12-23, but it's won five of its last seven, including taking two of three at Cincinnati over the weekend. That includes yesterday's 17-4 destruction of the Reds. KC is just 9-26 this year, including only 3-16 at home. Dylan Cease is 2-1 with a 4.58 ERA for the White Sox, while Zach Greinke is 1-4 with a 5.25 ERA for the Royals. Cease is 4-3 with a 2.58 ERA in 12 career starts vs. KC, while Greinke is 10-10 with a 3.81 ERA in 31 career appearances vs. Chicago. But the "current" form of both Cease, and the surging White Sox make them worth the price of admission today in a nutshell. Lay the price with confidence, the play is CHICAGO. Good luck, TIR |
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05-08-23 | Knicks +4.5 v. Heat | 101-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knicks. We've been surprised, like most, at how well the Heat have played to this point. New York though has responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 90 or less points in. The Knicks have lost three straight ATS, and that's also significant to note here, as New York is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. We think this'll be a battle until the final buzzer, so grab the points. The play is indeed on NEW YORK. Good luck, TIR |
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05-07-23 | Maple Leafs -130 v. Panthers | 2-3 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Leafs. We gave out the Leafs to win the Stanley Cup before the season started. Now here they are down 0-2 in the second round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs to the Florida Panthers. Toronto got the monkey off its back with its first playoff series victory since 2004, but note that the Leafs are in fact a near-perfect 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge back-to-back losses against an opponent. Toronto was great on the road in the regular season, and it's do-or-die time here. 6 of 10 Insiders agree that Toronto stands up and draws the line in the sand in Game 3. Lay the price, the play is TORONTO. Good luck, TIR |
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05-07-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +3 | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the 76ers. Philadelphia upset the Celtics 119-115 as a 10.5-point dog in Game 1 in Boston without Joel Embiid, but the 76ers now find themselves in a 2-1 hole after B2B losses, including a 114-102 home loss here in Game 3. Note though that Philly is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses in a row vs. an opponent. The strengths and weaknesses of each of these teams is reflected in this line, but we often find that bookmakers have a hard time properly quantifying certain factors into their process when releasing them. And that's the case here, as the 76ers will be risking life and limb to avoid the 3-1 hole and heading back to Boston. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. The play is PHILADELPHIA. Good luck, TIR |
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05-07-23 | Blue Jays -120 v. Pirates | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Blue Jays. "Momentum" in sports, can be a very real, almost tangible factor. It's often a factor in which we've found that the oddsmakers have a hard-time properly quantifying into a line. Toronto has snapped a five-game slide with back-to-back blowout wins here in Pittsburgh, winning 4-0 in Game 1 and 8-2 yesterday and we're expecting this "momentum" from the Jays to continue here on Sunday. The Pirates got out to the unrealistic start to the 2023 MLB season and have already now started to come back down to Earth. We say that regression continues here. Yusei Kikuchi is 4-0 with a 4.02 ERA for the Jays, while Roansy Contreras is 3-2 with a 4.09 ERA for the Pirates. With Pittsburgh continuing to deal with injuries to key players, we look for TORONTO to contiue to build its "momentum." Good luck, TIR |
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05-06-23 | Dodgers +102 v. Padres | 2-1 | Win | 102 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Dodgers. For this three-game report, we're going to keep our analysis very succinct. The Dodgers six-game win streak came to an end in yesterday's 5-2 series-opening loss here in San Diego last night. The Padres have won five of their last six, but we think that LA is the correct call here on Saturday, considering the talent discrepancy between these starters. Dustin May is 3-1 with a 3.15 ERA for the Dodgers, while Blake Snell is 1-4 with a 5.28 ERA for the Padres. Great value here on LA to bounce back. Good luck, TIR |
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05-06-23 | Red Sox v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Red Sox/Phillies. For this three-game report, we're going to keep our analysis very succinct. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring outcomes of late, but that's only helped in driving today's total a little higher than it normally would be. The Red Sox have seen the total go OVER the number in four straight before yesterday's 5-3 win, which wound up being a "push." Regardless, Boston is arguably the hottest team in MLB with seven straight victories. The Phillies saw the total go OVER in three straight before yesterday's "push." The Phillies enter on the other end of the spectrum, desperate for a decent start from Bailey Falter here to help stop a five-game slide (it's interesting to note though that the Phillies have seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 after five or more losses in a row.) To this point, these starters have struggled, but that just adds fuel to the fire here for both Falter and Red Sox' starter Corey Kluber. While 1-4 with a 6.44 ERA this year, Kluber is 1-0 with a 3.46 ERA in two career outings vs. the Phillies. Falter, who is 0-5 with a 5.01 ERA, faced the Red Sox last ear and three two scoreless innings of relief. The need a win here badly, and that motivation helps us out overall as well. This number is a little high considering everything, so the play here is the UNDER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-06-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights +110 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knights. With a line like this, clearly the oddsmakers feel these teams are very evenly matched. And for the most part they absolutely are. Vegas however is on a roll now after losing its opening game vs. the Jets and at this price at home, we feel the value for sure in Game 2 is on the undervalued home underdog. With the majority of the early money on the Oilers, that pushes the scales in favor of the Knights for us here in the value department. The play is VEGAS. Good luck, TIR |
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05-06-23 | A's v. Royals -163 | 5-4 | Loss | -163 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Royals. For this three-game report, we're going to keep our analysis very succinct. These are two of the worst teams in the league, but the A's opened up the series with a 12-8 victory. Note that Oakland is just 2-7 in its last nine after scoring ten or more runs in a victor in its previous outing. Also note that the Royals are 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Singer gets the big nod on the bump as well over Waldichuk by six of the ten Insiders. Lay the price with confidence, the play is KANSAS CITY. Good luck, TIR |
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05-06-23 | Knicks +4 v. Heat | Top | 86-105 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knicks. Tied up 1-1, we're expecting a very tight battle here in Game 3. Yes, the Heat were 30-15 SU at home, but just 17-25-1 ATS. THe Knicks were 26-18 SU on the road and 28-15-1 ATS. New York won Game 2, perhaps because the Heat were without Jimmy Butler, who is now dealing with an ankle injury. He won't be at 100% health moving forward for the rest of the playoffs. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. The play is NEW YORK. Good luck, TIR |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -4 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Suns. For all intents and purposes, it's do or die for Phoenix today, as clearly an 0-3 hole to open this second round series would be just too big of a hole to climb out of. Denver utilized home-court advantage for two solid wins and covers, but the Nuggets are just 20-23 SU/ATS on the road this season. The Suns are 30-14 SU at home and 24-20 ATS. Phoenix though is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge back-to-back losses vs. an opponent. We think that KD and Booker lead their team to a win and cover here in Game 3. Lay the points, the play is PHOENIX. Good luck, TIR |
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05-05-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -110 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Hurricanes. We had a play on Carolina in Game 1, and we felt that the value lay with the "home ice advantage," as it was priced identically to this Game 2 line. And that's once again the case here in Game 2. These teams are evenly matched, so in cases like that, looking for external factors is key in helping find an advantage one way or the other. The Devils were great on the road this year, but that was during the regular season. The Playoffs is an entirely different thing. We expect "home ice" to continue to be a deciding factor in this series, so the play is on CAROLINA. Good luck, TIR |
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05-05-23 | Yankees v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Yanks/Rays. The Yankees have plenty of ground to make up in the AL East, so what better time than now to try and do that? Tampa is an amazing 17-2 at home and won't have any mercy here. Regardless of who wins this first game, we're expecting some offensive fireworks. Jhony Brito is 2-3 with a 5.56 ERA for the Yanks. He's dropped three straight decisions overall. The home side counters with Yonny Chirinos, who is 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA. He's made four appearances out of the bullpen and has looked great, but the sample size is still really small. Look for these two starters to get chased early and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, TIR |
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05-04-23 | Lakers +6 v. Warriors | 100-127 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Lakers. We had a play on the OVER in Game 1, and that cashed by a single bucket. Off that close victory, we'll now focus on a side here in Game 2. The Lakers are getting even more points here in Game 2 vs. this revenge-minded Warriors side that's struggling with depth. The Warriors got a boat load of three-point production from their top players, but it still wasn't enough. I think Golden State is going to have a hard time slowing down the Lakers moving forward, who will be even more confident here in Game 2. The Warriors defense has taken a major step back and we think the visiting side can once again take advantage. Grab as many points as you can though. The play is LA. Good luck, TIR |
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05-04-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -183 | 3-2 | Loss | -183 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Leafs. We are going to lay the price and expect Toronto to risk life and limb to secure a victory here in Game 2. The Leafs have in fact responded well in this spot for bettors in the past, going 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Florida suprirsed us in Game 1, as we felt the Panthers would have a letdown after an exhausting seven game upset win over the mighty Bruins. That didn't happen in Game 1, but now we're expecting that to finally happen here. But it's do or die for the Leafs, as this now becomes the most important game of the entire season. A great situational play, and it makes it so we have no issues at all in laying this larger price. That's the read/call in Game 2 here, the play is TORONTO. Good luck, TIR |
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05-04-23 | Blue Jays -160 v. Red Sox | 5-11 | Loss | -160 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Jays. After four straight losses, including the first three of this four-game series here in Boston, we like Toronto to bounce back big with Kevin Gausman on the hill. Note that the Jays are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge three or more straight losses against an opponent. Guaman hasn't been perfect this year (2-2, 2.33 ERA), but he has a big advantage over Brayan Bello (0-1, 6.75.) Bello has been bouncing back and forth to the minors/majors and clearly, he's been thrown to the wolves in this matchup. Considering the talent discrepancy between these starters, and taking into account these other situational and trend-based factors listed above, we actually feel that this price should/could, in fact, be a LOT larger. The value swings to the desperate Jays. The play is TORONTO. Good luck, TIR |
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05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 217 | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER 76ers/Celtics. Boston has seen the total go OVER the number in five straight playoff games now after dropping the opener of this one 119-115 as a 10.5-point favorite. Note though that the Celtics have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight OVERs in a row. The 76ers got the job done last time out without Joel Embiid somehow, but we can expect Boston to double-down on the defensive end here now in Game 2. Previous to the Game 1 "over," the 76ers had seen the total go UNDER in three straight vs. the Nets, and we're now expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 2 finally as well. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-03-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -115 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Hurricanes. These teams finished No. 1 and 2 in the Eastern Conference. These teams split four games in the regular season, each winning on the other's ice. Clearly, with a line like this, the oddsmakers feel these teams are very evenly matched. And that's true, so instead of trying to break down individual player matchups, or the strengths and weaknesses of each club (as that's already reflected in this moneyline), we have to find other external factors to work with, and for us, that's going to be the "home ice advantage" here in Game 1. Yes, the Devils were great on the road, but now here in the second round of the playoffs, we feel we're getting great value here on the home side. In our professional opinions, this is in fact the very definition of "great line value." The play is CAROLINA in Game 1. Good luck, TIR |
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05-03-23 | Twins v. White Sox -117 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the White Sox. The biggest disappointment in all of MLB right now is the White Sox, as they're just 9-21 overall. The Twins are 17-13 overall, and just 7-7 on the road after dropping the opener here yesterday by a score of 3-2. If you'd have told us that we could get Dylan Cease at this price at home in this matchup before the season stared, we'd have called you crazy. Chicago won't be lacking motivation today as it faces its division rival. We think that Cease does in fact have a much bigger advantage in this matchup than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. He's 2-1 with a 4.15 ERA this season and who is 4-4 with a 4.83 ERA in ten career starts vs. the Twins. He'll be opposed by Louis Varland, who makes his second big league start of the season here today in a spot start for the injured Tyler Mahle. The advantage here for sure lies with the veteran Cease and the undervalued home side. The play is the WHITE SOX. Good luck, TIR |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knicks. Clearly, New York will be risking life and limb to get into shooting and passing lanes today to avoid the 0-2 hole and then heading to South Beach for the next two in this second round Eastern Conference series. The Heat won outright in Game 1, but an expected "letdown" is about to happen here. In fact if you recall, Miami had an immediate letdown in Game 2 in their first round in Milwaukee after pulling off the upset in Game 1 as well. The Heat were in fact terrible on the road this year and we think that star Jimmy Butler is likely playing on fumes at this point after carrying much of the offensive load over the last three games. It's a perfect storm for the revenge-minded home side. Lay the points, the play is NEW YORK. Good luck, TIR |
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05-02-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -155 | 4-2 | Loss | -155 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Leafs. Yes, the Leafs finally got the monkey off their backs with a 4-2 series win over Tampa Bay, securing Toronto its first playoff series victory for the first time since 2004, but they were expected to do so. Toronto was favored in that series. Florida's seven-game upset of the Bruins could go down as one of the biggest NHL upsets of all time. Florida comes in fatigued and ready for letdown here. Toronto has had time to absorb its big win and now refocus. Considering all of the situational factors working in favor of the home side today, our belief is that this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price, the play is TORONTO. Good luck, TIR |
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05-02-23 | Guardians v. Yankees OVER 7 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Guardians/Yanks. The MLB season is a long one. For teams or individuals to maintain long-term runs of success OR failure is difficult. We believe that all good things do come to an end, and that long-term streaks of success become more and more unrealistic the longer it goes on. Here are two teams in dire need of a victory and for some offense. The Guardians are 14-15 this year and the Yankees are 15-15. New York will be desperate to snap a four-game slide, including yesterday's 3-2 setback. And so regression does seem imminent at some point for both of these starting pitchers in our opinions. The visitors go with Tanner Bibee, who is 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA, while the home side counters with Gerrit Cole, who is 5-0 with a 1.11 ERA. This O/U line is now a bit TOO low though in our opinions. The play is the OVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-01-23 | Rangers v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Rangers/Devils. We're expecting a tight battle until the end here between these evenly matched clubs. So far the total has gone 3-3 in this series. After three straight UNDERS (all New Jersey wins,) Game 6 went OVER the number in the Rangers 5-2 home victory. All three Rangers victories flew OVER the number. We anticipate the home side dictating the pace of Game 7. These teams are on fumes right now for sure, and that's also going to lead to a more methodical pace in our opinion. 6 out of 10 agree the UNDER is the correct call. Good luck, TIR |
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05-01-23 | Giants v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Giants/Astros. Both sides have been playing to lower-scoring affairs, but we're expecting some offensive fire-works here on Monday night. The Giants had won five in a row, before now dropping three straight. Note that San Francisco has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last ten after losing three or more straight games in a row. Houston lost two of three to Philadelphia over the weekend, but salvaged the finale yesterday by a score of 4-3. Houston has now seen the total go UNDER the number in five straight. Note though that the Astros have seen the total go OVER the number in three of their last four after playing to five or more straight UNDRES in a row. The starters have been nothing to "write home about," as Ross Stripling is a poor 0-1 with a 6.89 ERA for the Giants, while Luis Garcia is a pedestrian 2-2 with a 4.00 ERA for the Astros. Everything points to this one flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, TIR |
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05-01-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -10 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Celtics. Why is this line so large? The 76ers are expected to be without star center Joel Embiid in Game 1, and that's going to be the difference-maker in the end for us. He's so crucial to everything that Philadelphia does, and Boston will absolutely have no mercy here in trying to send an eary message. A blowout win here in Game 1 puts pressure on the 76ers to perhaps bring back Embiid earlier than they would have wanted. Who knows. But the 76ers would have the luxury to rest Embiid again in Game 2, if they can somehow find a way to win in Game 1. But that's not going to happen in our estimation. This is a golden opportunity that we expect the C's to take advantage of, so lay the points, the play is Boston! Good luck, TIR |
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04-30-23 | Phillies v. Astros -136 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
6 OUF OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Astros. Off two straight losses to open this series, we're expecting Houston to bounce back in the finale. Neither starter has been very good this season. Bailey Falter is 0-4 with a 4.50 ERA for the Phillies, while Jose Urquidy is 1-2 with a 5.64 ERA for the Astros. Houston though is 6-2 in its last eight in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. The Astros are still down Altuve, but the Phillies are still down Harper. We finally expect Philadelphia to take a step back here as it gets caught looking ahead to its much more high-profile series starting a Chavez Ravine tomorrow night. Lay the price, the play is HOUSTON. Good luck, TIR |
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