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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-01-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Oklahoma -20 | Top | 14-63 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report |
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08-30-18 | New Mexico State +23 v. Minnesota | Top | 10-48 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
John Ryan Sports Research Report New Mexico State (137) NEW MEXICO ST (7 - 6) at MINNESOTA (5 - 7) Week 1 Thursday, 8/30/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Aggies using the line, which currently prices them as 20.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Aggies to allow less than 27 points and allow no more than 150 rushing yards. When the Aggies have met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS and covering (ATS margin) by an average of 10 points. In road games installed as a minimum dog of 14.5 points and allowing 27 or fewer points, they are a perfect 9-0 ATS. NMST had one of the most improved defenses in the nation last year having been one of the worst in 2016 allowing 497 yards per game. In 2017, they improved to allowing 401 and allowed just 336 over their last three games in 2017. They also return 9 of the 11 defensive starters. Teams in this position entering the next season are almost always undervalued by the betting public and this is reflected in this game where the line opened at 17.5 and now is at 20.5. So, teams that improved their defenses by 90 or more yards per game and had more wins last season than the season prior are a solid 33-15 ATS for 69% ATS winners over the past 25 seasons.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's, such as Bayesian networks. Also, we have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and measurable increases in total rate of returns in all sports.
The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms applied to the NFL have enhanced our NFL performance with a 46-24 ATS 65.7% record for the 2017 NFL season. College Basketball went 81-63 ATS for 56.3% winners. NCAA Tournament Plays went 13-6 ATS for 63%. NCAA Basketball record from March 1. 26-12 ATS for 68.4% 14-5 ATS mark for Top-Rated 10-Star College Hardwood Titans. NBA since March 1 33-18 ATS for 64.7%. NBA Playoffs 21-10 ATS 68%. NBA Season 10-Star plays 12-5 ATS for 71%. MLB 10-Star plays 10-5 or $5,730.00 based on $100 per ‘star’ unit wager. MLB 2018 7-Star 69-68 and 6.33 units x $700 = $4,4310 MLB 2018 5-Star 13-11 and 4.61 units x $500 = $2,305 MLB Overall 2018 $12,486.00 CFL 4-2 10-Star and $1,800 NFLX 4-2 ATS 7-Stars and $1,260 2-0 ATS 10-Stars and $2,000 |
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02-04-18 | Eagles v. Patriots -175 | Top | 41-33 | Loss | -175 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: New England Money Line and 5 star UNDER The Matchup: PHILADELPHIA (15 - 3) vs. NEW ENGLAND (15 - 3) Start Time: Week 21 Sunday, 2/4/2018 6:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the the Patriots using the money line. The Money Line is at -200 at the majority of books. The current total line shows the total installed at 48 points.
There are many alternative wagers available for this game and William Hill has published 948 prop bets for this Super Bowl. The alternative line shows NE - 7 ½ +155, -10 ½ +210, -14 ½ +350 and -17 ½ +475.
So, an alternative wager would be to place a 5 star amount on the line at - 4 ½ and then add a 5 star amount on the Patriots -10 ½ paying +210.
Prop bets: Play ‘YES” there will be a score in the first 6:00 paying -110. Play Yes, game lands on 14 point differential paying 15:1 ($1500 for $100 wager) Brady scores first Patriots TD (Yep QB draw) at 22:1 Total points scored 50 to 56 inclusive paying 3:1 Elliott 4th quarter FG paying +135 Patriots win by 14 to 17 inclusive paying 8:1 Malcolm Butler MVP at 90:1
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics The letters R, P, and O, will be said no fewer than 20 times during this Super Bowl. It’s the newest NFL buzzword and Collinsworth won’t simply be saying it to sound cool though, it’s likely a concept that will decide the outcome of Super Bowl LII on the field of play. The Eagles have run more RPO plays this season than any other team in the NFL. They ran 207 RPOs (league average was 66) on the season and gained 981 yards on those plays. They aren’t incredibly efficient though, averaging just a shade over the league average of 4.70 yards per play, but when you consider it as an extension of their running game, it goes a long way in keeping an offense on the field and moving the chains. JAX gashed the Patriots in the first half last week with four RPO plays. However, the Jaguars run play action pass far more than any other team in the NFL, so the RPO for them was extension of the play action scheme. You defend the Eagles version of the RPO by playing man coverage and forcing the handoff. League-wide, the completion percentage in man coverage on an RPO play is 69%, but when in zone defense the completion rate soars to an an incredible 89% rate. The play works to isolate a defender in conflict between the pass and run option reads and responsibilities. When playing in man coverage these conflict players do not exist or if they do they have far more specific reads and assignments. Keep an eye in Patriots Stephon Gilmore as he will be unfazed by any run fake in an RPO play. He will break on the pass every time and odds are quite high, then, that the play will produce a minimal gain. The Patriots already do play man coverage at the second-highest rate in the NFL (51.7 percent of snaps). I’d expect them to play even more against the Eagles considering the struggles the Patriots had when trying to play zone last week against Jacksonville. The Patriots target the opponent’s best weapon and that just might be Foles. Sok they rather put pressure on their defensive line to stop Ajayi than allow Foles to get into a sustainable rhythm. Moreover, the Patriots have two of the best interior defensive lineman in the NFL. THis entire scheme supports the Patriots and the UNDER.
Game Intelligence Analytics Any team (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season. 169-97 since 1983 for 63.5%, making $6230 per $100 wagerd.
Play on favorites using the money line (NEW ENGLAND). After 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers. And is now facing an opponent after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers. 26-4 for 87% winners making $2,040 per $100 wager since 1983. SIM Matching Game Situations Patriots 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons. 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games over the last 2 seasons. 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards per game over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017 and also 21-12 ATS for 64% winners in College Hoops and on a 9-5 ATS run in the NBA and 9-3 NHL run.
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01-21-18 | Vikings v. Eagles OVER 38.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: ‘OVER’ Philadelphia-Minnesota The Matchup: MINNESOTA (14 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (14 - 3) Start Time: Week 20 Sunday, 1/21/2018 6:40 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the ‘OVER’ using the line. The current toal is lined at 38 ½ and there will be alternate lines for the Championship games. You will see a line for ‘over’ 46 ½ and paying back +250. So, you can consider adding an optional 2 star amount on this added opportunity.
We also have a 5 star play on the Eagles. So, wager a 5 star on the Eagles and then consider adding an optional reverse action parlay with the Eagles using the MONEY LINE and the ‘OVER’.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Mike Zimmer has developed one of the best defenses in recent years in Minnesota. Specifically, no team since 2000 has been more stingy on third-down conversions than the 2018 Vikings. They have allowed only 25.2% conversion of opponent third down situations and is better than the great defenses of the 2000 Ravens, 2002 Bucs, 2013 Seahawks, and 2015 Broncos. The scheme is the LB defend the sticks and in longer than 10 yards situations, the safeties will be added to that scheme. This will allow for Foles to take some big chances down the field and over the top of the ‘sticks’ defense that will be in man coverage. We also believe the Eagles will do a great job in minimizing the third-and-long situations by suing a pounding ground attack mix of Ajai and Blounte. This too will allow Foles to have far easier third and short situations to convert - and he may convert with his legs. In the Falcons game, Foles saw safety Rodney McCloud about 20 yards of the line of scrimmage and still gaining depth in a third-and-11 situation. In a similar third-and-11 situation against the Panthers, Andrew Sendejo is 15 yards of the LOS and creeping backwards mostly and is nearly flat footed NOT looking to get depth. On almost every single third-and-long this season, you’ll see Minnesota’s safeties planted at or just behind the first down markers. Whether it’s one safety in a single-high coverage or both in a split-safety look, they know precisely where the first down markers are at. This is especially evident when they run cover-4 or their variation of 2-man, which is not really a cover-2, but rather man coverage with two robbers. The Vikings dialed up quarters coverage on 15 third-and-longs this year (third-most in NFL) and 2-man coverage 14 times (fifth-most in NFL). Foles may not be Wentz and have his mobility to extend plays when pressured, but he does have a rifle and can be extremely accurate in tight windows. The aforementioned Vikings schemes do allow for a QB, like Foles, to hit receivers in the open areas of these schemes. There may not be many yards after the catch, but it will move the chains. The Eagles also execute the most unique rushing attack in the NFL. The Steelers goal is to punch you in the mouth with power, the Rams want to run you ragged from sideline to sideline, but the Eagles will want to keep you off balance and hammer you and then exhaust you. Time of possessions is projected to be heavily in favor of the Eagles and is a critical metric for them to get the win tonight. Game Intelligence Analytics Play on home teams (PHILADELPHIA). Off a upset win as an underdog. In a game involving two top-level teams winning at least 75% of their games. 26-8 since 1983 for 76.5% and has made $1720 per $100 wager. SIM Matching Game Situations Philadelphia is : 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons. 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when they rush for 100 to 125 yards over the last 2 seasons. 43-11 ATS for 80% winners when rushing for more than 125 yards and having more than 35 minutes TOP. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017 and also 12-3 ATS for 80% winners in College Hoops and on a 5-2 ATS run in the NBA.
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01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots -7.5 | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: New England (312) The Matchup: JACKSONVILLE (12 - 6) at NEW ENGLAND (14 - 3) Start Time: Week 20 Sunday, 1/21/2018 3:05 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on New England using the line. The line opened at 9 and 8 ½ at some other spots. and JAX money came in on news of Brady’s injured hand. The line went to -7, and now has risen to 7 ½ , which is the level we believe that an equilibrium will take place. The injury has now been determined and reported to be a cut on the hand and that Brady practiced in full Friday and threw well. We noted in the reports that never were the fingers of the hand mentioned. Injured fingers are far more important than a cut to any other part of the throwing hand. Brady is known for his strong arm and amazing spin that pierces through headwinds with ease. The fingers of the hand are what puts spin on the football, just like on a baseball and any sphere that is connected to the hand and figers. So, we feel very confident, that Brady will be as close to 100% as any 40-year QB can possibly be for this game.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics The Jaguars have used play action 44% of their pass plays ranking highest in the NFL this season. The Eagles and Patriots have used play action 32% of the time by comparison. In play action,. Bortles has attained a strong 105.6 passer rating, which is third-best among qualifying QB. In the two playoffs games, JAX has used play action in 24 of their 49 pass attempts. Bortles has completed 13 of those 24 play action pass plays, 176 passing yards, and both TD’s. The Patriots are known to take away the strength of their opponent and make the opponent somehow defeat them by using their weaker assets. DT Flowers is the Patriot that can disrupt the ground attack with Fournette and also get immense pressure up the middle making it difficult for Bortles to have any wide passing lanes to complete pass plays. His colleague is LDT Malcolm Brown, who is also one of the best in the league and the two DTs combined are arguably the best pair in the NFL. The interior OL is weak for the Jaguars. RG AJ Cann has graded quite low against his peers and will be overwhelmed in run blocking and especially pass protection. LT Cam Robinson is struggling as well and he may become a target for corner blitzes. However, we believe the more that JAX has to call plays directed to the left, the more it will play into the strengths of the Patriots defensive scheme. Further, the Jaguars do not have the elite WR that will even challenge Stephon Gilmore or Malcolm Butler. This in turn, then forces Bortles to go to more 3-WR sets on second and more than 6 yards, where play action is essentially useless against the Patriots defense. So, we strongly believe that the tandem DT will not need any help to clog the passing and running lanes on early downs forcing Bortles into long down situations where he has struggled. Brady has the best passer efficiency rating in the NFL by a large amount and a monumental amount over Bortles. Brady also has the best TE in the NFL by a large amount based on yards-per-route-run. Brady also has a favorable matchup on the perimeter using Cooks and RB Dion Lewis. We would not be surprised to see 4 WR sets on the first Patriot possession that will serve to spread the Jaguars defense and make the middle of the field open for Gronk and also power running plays between the tackles with Birkhead and/or James White. The media talks about the Jaguars best-ranked NFL defense, but it is actually the Patriots defense that deserves and has earned that recognition. Since giving up 33 in a loss to Carolina October 1, only the Dolphins have scored more than 16 points (17 points) in 6 home games.
Game Intelligence Analytics Play on any team (NEW ENGLAND). After leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. And is now facing an opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. 32-8 over the last 5 seasons for 80% and has made $2320 wagering $100 per play. SIM Matching Game Situations New England 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when they allow 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. Brady is 22-10 ATS when facing good defenses allowing between 14 and 20 PPG. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017 and also 12-3 ATS for 80% winners in College Hoops and on a 5-2 ATS run in the NBA. |
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01-14-18 | Jaguars +7.5 v. Steelers | Top | 45-42 | Win | 100 | 1 h 29 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Jacksonville (305) The Matchup: JACKSONVILLE (11 - 6) at PITTSBURGH (13 - 3) Start Time: Week 19 Sunday, 1/14/2018 1:05 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the Jaguars using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 245 to 255 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics The Jaguars became only the third team since 2000 to have 4 or fewer wins in the previous season and then win a playoff game the next season. They accomplished that feat last week in their win over Buffalo and now find themselves with an even greater test against Pittsburgh. Of the 17 teams that lost their playoff game, none had the power and dominating defense that the Jaguars possess. Many of them did not have a veteran QB either. It is very probable that the Steelers will put a ‘spy’ on Bortles given his recent scrambling ability and rushing yards in recent games. Bortles ranks 12th in the NFL in QB Run threat and had 71 of his 88 rushing yards scrambling in last week’s win. The ‘spy’ will be William Gay and certainly can minimize Bortles scrambling threat. However, this puts one less man in coverage and can make it easier for the OL to create passing lanes for Bortles too. Marquis Lee is projected to have a very big day if the Jags are to win this game. He will be covered by Joe Haden, who has had a very good season after two poor ones. Lee is Bortles favored target and has the length and size to get enough separation from Haden to make plays downfield. Bortles will need protection too and here is arguably the biggest advantage for the Jags offense. Specifically, Jags Center Brandon Linder is an elite one in the league and is one of the best centers in pass protection, which will offset the pass rushing strength of DI Javon Hargrave.
Game Intelligence Analytics Play on road underdogs using the money line (JACKSONVILLE). After failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games. And is now facing an opponent after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. 33-30 since 1983 for 52.4% and making $3,720.00 per $100 wager. If the line is 7 or higher, the record becomes 13-7 ATS for 65% ATS winners.
SIM Matching Game Situations Jaguars 63-25 ATS (+35.5 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. 14-4 ATS since the start of the 2012 season. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017 and also 14-6 ATS in College Hoops. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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01-13-18 | Titans v. Patriots -13 | Top | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: New England (304) The Matchup: TENNESSEE (10 - 7) at NEW ENGLAND (13 - 3) Start Time: Week 19 Saturday, 1/13/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on New England using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics Patriots are a solid 16-1 ATS (+14.9 Units) after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons and 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. SIM Matching Game Situations New England is: 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when they allow 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when their defense allows 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they rush for 3.5 to 4 yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 50-100 yards this season. 81-12 ATS when achieving an 11 or less yards per point ratio. 6-1 ATS since 2015 6-1 ATS in playoff games dating back to 2002. Tennessee is: 3-7 ATS as away double digit dog and scoring 21 or fewer points. 30-53 ATS when allowing an opponent 6.0 or more yards per play. 8-48 ATS when allowing an opponent 11 or less yards per point. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017. They have also been applied to college hoops that is now on an 12-5 ATS run.
So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play.
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01-13-18 | Falcons -3 v. Eagles | Top | 10-15 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Atlanta (301) The Matchup: ATLANTA (11 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (13 - 3) Start Time: Week 19 Saturday, 1/13/2018 4:35 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the Atlanta Falcons using the line.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics With Foles under center, there are numerous concerning questions regarding the health of the Eagles offense. Yes, he was an All-Pro, but that is ancient news and irrelevant to this game. Yes, he looked quite poor in his last two games filling in for Wentz, but will HC Pederson be able to fix the problems having had two week sof preparation? The Falcons have a very good and vastly underrated defensive unit. The unit is led by MLB Deion Jones, who ranks 3rd best of all players at his position in the NHL and who shutdown the pass catching abilities of the Rams Todd Gurley. The Rams second year RB is a finalist for the league MVP award and none have played better against him than Jones. The Eagles TE Zack Ertz is the best receiver on the offense, but he will have his toughest matchup this season against Jones. The Eagles will most definitely look to get Ertz matched up against SAM LB Beasley, who is the weak link on this defensive unit. However, if the Eagles are forced to take Ertz to the perimeter to achieve that matchup, you can be certain that Atlanta will bring max pressure right up the middle. So, without having a safety value TE option, Foles will have difficulty moving the chains. The Eagles OL is quite good and led by Center Jason Kelce, who ranks best in the NFL. The right side of the Eagles line including RG, Brooks, and RT Johnson, is significantly better than left side. Power running plays will be aimed to this side, I believe, but will be going right at the strength of the Falcons defense line. Desmond Trufant will be defending pass routes targeting Alshon Jeffries. Here again, this is advantage Falcons, as Trufant is more than capable of handling Jeffries in man coverage island situations. Moreover, Trufant has one of the best SS in the NFL in Keanu Neal in bracket type coverage defensive schemes. These two could have opportunities to bate Foles into making poor decisions in vertical routes leading to interceptions. Look for Atlanta to move slot CB Brian Poole to cover Torrey Smith and then move Robert ASlford to slot CB to cover Nelson Agholor in the Eagles 3-wide sets. Smith has been awful and ranks 114th the NFL WR rankings. So, Smith doesn’t even provide a decoy option for Foles to help open up the middle of the field for crossing routes. On offense, Atlanta has several major matchup advantages with the most glaring one being Julio Jones being defended by CB Ronald Darby. On the other side of the field, Mills has been exploited in double move pass routes and Sanu is one of the best around the league in executing sharp corners and well-executed routes. Atlanta does not have strong guard play along the offensive line in Garland and Schwitzer, but they are flanked by strong Center and tackle play. The Key point is that Matt Ryan can get rid of the ball quickly in under 2.7 seconds and this minimizes any pressure from the Eagles elite defensive front four. The Falcons do have the option to execute power run plays aimed at DRT Jernigan and DRE Curry.
Game Intelligence Analytics Play on favorites (ATLANTA). After having won 3 out of their last 4 games. And now facing an opponent having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. 34-8 over the last 10 seasons for 81% winners and has made $2,520. Per $100 wagered. Over the past five season, this query has shown a 21-3 ATS record good for 88% winners. Adding in the away favorite parameter to the above query produces an incredible 8-1 ATS mark good for 89% winners.
SIM Matching Game Situations Falcons 11-6 ATS for 65% when allowing opponents 5.5 to 6 yards-per-play over the L3 seasons. Falcons are 15-8 ATS for 65% when opponent commits 2 or more turnovers. Matt Ryan is 12-13 for 62% when averaging 7.7 or more yards per pass attempt. Eagles 8-18 ATS for just 31% winners when committing two or more turnovers in home games. 2-12 ATS when allowing opposing QB to verage 7.7 or more yards per attempt. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles OVER 40.5 | Top | 10-15 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: OVER The Matchup: ATLANTA (11 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (13 - 3) Start Time: Week 19 Saturday, 1/13/2018 4:35 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the ‘OVER’ using the line.
There will be alternate lines for this game along with a ton of prop bets. We suggest playing the alternate total line for the ‘over’ which is expected to be at 48 ½ and returning +230 for every $100 wager. So, consider making a 5 star play over using the total line and then add a 2 star play using the alternate total line.
Game Intelligence Analytics Play Over with any team against the total (ATLANTA). After going under the total by more than 7 points in three consecutive games. And in a conference matchup. 38-14 over the last 10 seasons for 73.1% and making $2,260. SIM Matching Game Situations Atlanta 18-1 OVER (+16.9 Units) when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons. 55-20 when passing for 300 or more yards. 23-9 when playing on the road. Philadelphia 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) when both teams score 20 or more points this season. 9-2 OVER (+6.8 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. 43-8 when allowing 300 or more passing yards. 16-5 in home games. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. |
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01-08-18 | Alabama v. Georgia +4.5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 154 h 56 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Georgia (152) The Matchup: ALABAMA (12 - 1) vs. GEORGIA (13 - 1) Start Time: Week 17 Monday, 1/8/2018 8:45 PM SIM grading: 10 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 10 star wager on Georgia using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 7.5 star amount on the line and then add a 2.5 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 170 to 190.
There will be alternative lines for this Championship game. An optional wager strategy is to place an additional 3 star amount on the Georgia -3 ½ line, which we believe will be lined at +250 and perhaps even higher. Check our Twitter account for updates to this line as Monday approaches @JohnRyanSports1.
Game Intelligence Analytics Two great teams with great defenses featuring speed and power will be displayed in this All-SEC Championship game between Alabama and Georgia. The SIM Algorithms all reveal a line that is closer to pick-em than the current 4 ½ line. Alabama has the best scoring defense in the national allowing just 12.0 PPG. However, Georgia is not far behind them ranking 4th allowing 15.8 PPG. Alabama ranks 13th in offensive scoring at 36.4 PPG while Georgia ranks 15th scoring 35.8 PPG. Both teams lone loss was to Auburn, which also has a great defense and plays a similar type game plan that both of these teams play. This game well might come down to Georgia’s better efficiency at converting third-down situations than Alabama. Georgia holds the edge and they also have a stronger points-per-play ratio. Alabama does rank best in the nation with a 9.5 yards per point margin (YPPM) while Georgia ranks 8th best with a 6.2 ratio. However, over the last three games, Alabama has only a 0.8 ratio while Georgia sports a 4.6 ratio. This reflects that the elevation of opponent class has revealed potential weaknesses inherent in the Alabama game plans. As we had believed would happen in the semifinal game, Georgia will look to be very physical right from the start of this game and will look to wear down the Alabama defense, particularly the LB part. In time, this will open up the play action plays just as it did in the semifinal game leading to big plays down the middle of the field. The SIM projection calls for Georgia to win this game by 10 points. SIM Matching Game Situations Money Line Matches Alabama is 13-42 against the money line (-79.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Alabama is 4-18 against the money line (-35.8 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points. Georgia is 7-1 against the money line (+6.4 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards over the last 3 seasons. Georgia is 12-1 against the money line (+11.4 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Georgia is 42-14 against the money line (+22.0 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points. Georgia is 22-4 against the money line (+23.5 Units) in road games when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. ATS Matches Alabama is 13-40 ATS (-31.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Alabama is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points. Georgia is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Georgia is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games when they gain 350 to 400 total yards. Georgia is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. DataBase Query Play on neutral field underdogs (GEORGIA). That are excellent rushing teams averaging 225 or more rushing yards per game. And after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 4 straight games. 23-3 ATS since 1992 good for 88.5% and $1,970 per $100 wagered. Since 2014, it has gone 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS with an average ATS margin of 16.8 points.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to a solid and consistent 46-24 ATS 65.7% record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play. |
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01-06-18 | Falcons v. Rams UNDER 49 | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: UNDER RAMS-Falcons (103 and 104) The Matchup: ATLANTA (10 - 6) at LA RAMS (11 - 5) Start Time: Week 18 Saturday, 1/6/2018 8:15 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the ‘UNDER’ using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics Atlanta 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) off 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. 19-6 UNDER (+12.4 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Quinn is Quinn is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) off 4 or more consecutive unders as the coach of Atlanta. Rams SIM Matching Game Situations Atlanta 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) when they gain 300 to 350 total yards over the last 3 seasons. Rams 11-5 UNDER when gaining 1 or more rushing yards per attempt than opponent and having between 33 and 36 minutes in TOP. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017.
So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play.
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01-06-18 | Titans v. Chiefs -8 | Top | 22-21 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 2 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Kansas City (102) The Matchup: TENNESSEE (9 - 7) at KANSAS CITY (10 - 6) Start Time: Week 18 Saturday, 1/6/2018 4:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Kansas City using the line.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Tennessee will struggle to stop the KC ground attack and the projections are illustrated below in the SIM matching Game Situations section. Alex Smith is amazing in play action situations and Tennessee defense is not good at all defending play action. Smith led the league in deep passing yards with 1344 yards and 12 TD. Tyreek Hill led the league in deep passing yards with 628 and TE Kelce led the league in all TE with 266 yards. The capability of KC to make the big chunk yards on offense will provide more than enough points on the scoreboard to win this game and cover easily. Despite Mariota using his legs to move chains in their week 17 win, he ranks second to last in QBR with a clean pocket at just 78.2. That is second to last to Cleveland’s QB Kiser.
Game Intelligence Analytics Teams that are playing in the Wild Card Round and are home favorites of 7.5 to 11.5 points are a perfect 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS since 20003. The line has moved up two full points from the opening line despite even 50-50 betting on each team. Although Tennessee is back in the playoffs, they have not done well noting a 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.; 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a home win over the last 2 seasons; 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. SIM Matching Game Situations Tennessee 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when their defense allows 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when they allow 7 to 7.5 net passing yards per attempt. 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games when they allow 300 to 350 total yards. Kansas CITY 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. 23-10-2 ATS when gaining 150 rushing and 250 passing yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017.
So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play.
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01-01-18 | Georgia -2 v. Oklahoma | Top | 54-48 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Georgia (271) The Matchup: GEORGIA (12 - 1) vs. OKLAHOMA (12 - 1) Start Time: Week 16 Monday, 1/1/2018 5:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Georgia using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GEORGIA). Is an excellent offensive team scoring 34 or more PPG. And is now facing an average defensive team allowing between 21 to 28 PPG. And after a win by 21 or more points. 84-41 since 1992 for 67.2% and has made $3,890 per $100 wager. SIM Matching Game Situations Georgia is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Georgia is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Georgia is 27-8 ATS (+18.2 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points. Georgia is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they gain 450 to 500 total yards. Oklahoma is just 20-77 ATS (-64.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Oklahoma is 4-30 ATS (-29.0 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 points. Oklahoma is just 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards. Oklahoma is 7-24 ATS (-19.4 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. Oklahoma is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) when they allow 450 to 500 total yards. Oklahoma is 2-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-22 ATS record good for 68% winners in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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01-01-18 | Central Florida v. Auburn -9.5 | Top | 34-27 | Loss | -118 | 52 h 0 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Auburn (268) 10 star Bowl Game of the Year The Matchup: UCF (12 - 0) vs. AUBURN (10 - 3) Start Time: Week 16 Monday, 1/1/2018 12:30 PM SIM grading: 10 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.
Game Intelligence Analytics Extremely high probability that Auburn will score 28 or ore points and this simple fact leads to many more conclusions that Auburn will win this game by at least 20 points. Auburn has played a vastly more difficult schedule than UCF ad has one of the top defenses in the nation - if not the best based on SOS- that will cause massive problems for UCF. Auburn defeated TWO number-1 ranked teams this season and held both to season lows in offensive output. On November 11, the Tigers held Georgia to just 46 rushing yards on 32 attempts. Then on November 25, they held Alabama passing attack to just 103 yards on 13-23 passing.
Auburn ranks 9th in scoring defense allowing just 17.9 PPG. Auburn had the toughest schedule in the nation, followed by Oklahoma, Ohio State, Clemson, Penn State, Alabama, and Georgia. UCF ranked 54th in the nation.
Auburn ranks 26th averaging 449.3 YPG while UCF ranks 92nd allowing 435.5 YPG. Auburn will pound the ball between the tackles and wear down the UCF DL before the end of the half and we fully expect a big lead at the half that will then continue throughout the second half. SIM Matching Game Situations UCF is just 28-64 ATS (-42.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. UCF is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards per attempt. Auburn is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they gain 9 to 9.5 net passing yards per attempt. Auburn is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Auburn is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when they rush for 250 to 300 yards. Auburn is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons.. Auburn is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points. Auburn is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when they are outgain their opponents by 100 to 150 yards. UCF is just 6-21 ATS when opponent scores 35 or more points over the past 10 seasons. UCF is 0-5 ATS when playing a team ranked in the Top-25 since 2014. Aub is 28-0 SU and 20-6 ATS when out gaining opponent by more than 200 yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-31-17 | Saints v. Bucs +6 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Tampa Bay (310) The Matchup: NEW ORLEANS (11 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (4 - 11) Start Time: Week 17 Sunday, 12/31/2017 4:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Tampa Bay using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TAMPA BAY). Revenging a loss against opponent. And is off a cover where the team lost as an underdog. 34-11 over the last 10 seasons for 75.6% and $2,190 per $100 wager over the last 10 seasons. SIM Matching Game Situations Payton is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games after having won 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of the Saints. Payton is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games as the coach of the Saints. Payton is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) facing excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or fewer yards per return in the second half of the season as the coach of the Saints. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play.
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12-31-17 | Bills v. Dolphins UNDER 42 | Top | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: UNDER (305 and 306) The Matchup: BUFFALO (8 - 7) at MIAMI (6 - 9) Start Time: Week 17 Sunday, 12/31/2017 4:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the ‘UNDER’ using the total. The lie is currently 42 points and the SIm projects a high probability that 35 or fewer points will be scored.
Game Intelligence Analytics Dolphins have not scored points against weak defenses that have allowed an average of 350 yards per game. In fact, they are 44-23 ‘under’ for 65.7% winners after week 8 of each season since 1992. And since 2012, the ‘under’ has won the money 20 out of 29 games for 69% winners.
Also: Play Under with Road teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (BUFFALO). After having won 2 out of their last 3 games in December games. 40-15 over the last 10 seasons for 72.7% winners and has made $2,350.00 per $100 wager. SIM Matching Game Situations Buffalo is 37-13 UNDER (+22.7 Units) in road games when they allow 15 to 21 points. Buffalo is 23-10 UNDER (+12.0 Units) when they gain 5 to 5.5 net passing yards per attempt. Buffalo is 70-36 UNDER (+30.4 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points. Miami is 80-33 UNDER (+43.7 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points. Miami is 52-32 UNDER (+16.8 Units) when they gain 5 to 5.5 total yards per play. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017.
So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play. |
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12-31-17 | Cowboys -3 v. Eagles | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Dallas (323) The Matchup: DALLAS (8 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (13 - 2) Start Time: Week 17 Sunday, 12/31/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Dallas using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics Play on favorites (DALLAS). After having won 3 out of their last 4 games. And is now facing an opponent that has been a very hot team having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. 33-8 over the last 10 seasons for 80.5% and $2,420 per $100 wagered. SIM Matching Game Situations Dallas has lost the last two games against Philadelphia and technically playing with double revenge against a divisional opponent and on the road. This situation has seen Dallas fair well for their backers when Dallas is also favored going 15-4 SU and 12-7 ATS for 63% winners Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. The annual will cost you just $5.47 per day and average about $1.37 per play. |
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12-30-17 | Iowa State +4 v. Memphis | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Iowa State (259) The Matchup: IOWA ST (7 - 5) at MEMPHIS (10 - 2) Start Time: Week 16 Saturday, 12/30/2017 12:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Iowa State using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 180 to 200. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season. Despite the easier schedule, memphis ranks 101st in scoring defense allowing 33.6 PPG, 121st allowing 484 YPG, and 111th allowing opponents a 45% third-down conversion rate. Memphis is best in scoring offense at 48 PPG, but ISU ranks 24th in scoring defense allowing 20.7 PPG, and 27th allowing just 3.6 YPR.
Game Intelligence Analytics This is a home game for Memphis, but Iowa State has played a vastly more difficult schedule this season and that alone offsets the home field advantage. ISU is the ONLY team that defeated Oklahoma and TCU this season. SIM Matching Game Situations ISU is a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when they gain 300 to 350 net passing yards. ISU is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. ISU is 38-11 ATS (+25.9 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points. ISU is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points. ISU is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. Memphis is just 33-98 ATS (-74.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Memphis is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) when they allow 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. Memphis is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) after scoring 42 points or more last game. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-29-17 | USC +9.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: USC (255) The Matchup: USC (11 - 2) vs. OHIO ST (11 - 2) Start Time: Week 16 Friday, 12/29/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Southern Cal using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 545 to 560 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.
Game Intelligence Analytics This game pivots around the number 28 and that is 28 points being scored for USC. They Trojans are a solid 166-77-4 ATS when scoring 28 or more points since 1980. Further, when they score 31 or more points and gain 175 or more rushing yards they are 50-3 SU. Ohio State is 3-10 SU and 4-8 ATS when playing against a ranked team in the top-10 and not scoring 28 or more points. They are 3-8 ATS when playing against an opponent ranked in the top-10 and scores 28 or more points against them. SIM Matching Game Situations USC is a solid 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. USC is 7-1 against the money line (+7.7 Units) when their defense allows 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. USC is 25-12 against the money line (+14.7 Units) in road games when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-28-17 | Michigan State v. Washington State +3 | Top | 42-17 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Washington State (278) The Matchup: MICHIGAN ST (9 - 3) vs. WASHINGTON ST (9 - 3) Start Time: Week 16 Thursday, 12/28/2017 9:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Washington State using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics WSU is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. Further, WSU is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
SIM Matching Game Situations MSU is just 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) when they allow 400 to 450 total yards. MSU is 4-22 ATS (-20.2 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 100-150 yards. WSU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they allow 5.5 to 6 net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. WSU is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. WSU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 100-150 yards over the last 3 seasons. WSU is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-28-17 | Virginia Tech +7 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 21-30 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Virginia Tech (243) The Matchup: VIRGINIA TECH (9 - 3) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (9 - 3) Start Time: Week 16 Thursday, 12/28/2017 5:15 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Virginia Tech using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics The line opened at Ok State installed as a 6 ½ point favorite at the majority of the 50 books we look at for any given game. The line has drifted to minus-6 at most places. Despite the public betting on Ok State with more than 77% of the placed bets, the line has not changed or as mentioned drifted a half-point lower. This is because Va-Tech is getting 54% of the total money bet indicating that the ‘smart’ money or large bettors are on Va Tech. This analytic serves to support the SIM grading on Tech.
This is a matchup of one of the best offenses in the nation in the Cowboys going against one of the best defenses in the nation with the Hokies. The Cowboys rank 3rd scoring 46.2 PPG and Tech ranks 5th allowing 14.7 PPG. The single best way to contain an explosive offense is by playing great defense and then having an offense that can grind out long time consuming drives. This keeps the defense fresh and the opponents offense off the field and preventing them from having scoring opportunities. Tech ranks 12th in time of possession while Ok State ranks 96th.
Ok State is just 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when facing a dominant ball control team averaging 32 or more minutes TOP and 21 or more FD's per game. Moreover, Tech head coach Fuente is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest in all games he has coached. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 42-24 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-27-17 | Missouri v. Texas +3 | Top | 16-33 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Texas (240) The Matchup: MISSOURI (7 - 5) vs. TEXAS (6 - 6) Start Time: Week 16 Wednesday, 12/27/2017 9:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. I do provide half-time and LIVE game betting from my Twitter feed which is @JohnRyanSports1.
Game Intelligence Analytics The dominant key to this game and winning the money is on Texas scoring 28 or more points in this matchup against former Big-12 member Missouri. Texas also has the much better defense that will force Missouri to throw the ball even more than they normally do. Texas is 49-18-1 ATS for 72.1% winners when holding an opponent to fewer than 175 rushing yards and scoring 28 or more points. Texas will control the clock and is projected to run at least 20 or more plays from scrimmage. When that projection is added, Texas has been 10-1 ATS since 2006 and a perfect 2-0 ATS in 2017. SIM Matching Game Situations Missouri is just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Texas is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards. Texas is 132-62 ATS (+63.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to a solid 42-24 ATS record in 2017. Plus, the Bowl Games are off to a 5-1 ATS start and have hit 64% ATS over the past three seasons. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-26-17 | Kansas State v. UCLA +7 | Top | 35-17 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: UCLA (234) The Matchup: KANSAS ST (7 - 5) vs. UCLA (6 - 6) Start Time: Week 16 Tuesday, 12/26/2017 9:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on UCLA using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 210 to 235 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.
Game Intelligence Analytics Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCLA). That are off 1 or more consecutive ‘unders’. And with a horrible scoring defense allowing 35 or more points-per-game. This DB query has produced a 75-42 ATS record good for a solid 64% winners and has made $2,880 per $100 wager since 2007. Now, media talking heads are bring your attention to the fact that K-State is off two impressive wins against Oklahoma State and Iowa State and are coached by a legend in Bill Snyder. However, the following data set query shows you otherwise with these teams.
Play against neutral field favorites using the money line (KANSAS ST). After having won 2 out of their last 3 games. in non-conference games. 39-29 over the past 10 seasons for 57.4% winners and profits of $4,530 per $100 wager placed. SIM Matching Game Situations UCLA is 16-5 against the money line (+10.0 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 net passing yards. UCLA is 32-6 against the money line (+25.8 Units) when they gain 450 to 500 total yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 41-22 ATS record in 2017. Plus, a 4-0 ATS start to the College Bowls. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-26-17 | Utah -7 v. West Virginia | Top | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Utah (229) The Matchup: UTAH (6 - 6) vs. W VIRGINIA (7 - 5) Start Time: Dec. 26, 1:30 p.m., ESPN, Cotton Bowl, Dallas SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics The biggest matchup advantage for Utah is that they have the superior defense. Utah has one of the best DL in the nation led by Lotulelei and Mokofisi. We expect that the Utah DL will control the LOS and the WVU ground attack. Moreover, WVU QB Will Grier has an injured finger on the throwing hand and may not even take a snap in this bowl game. Utah ranks 37th in the nation allowing 364 yards per game while WVU ranks a dismal 114th allowing 466 yards per game. WVU pass attack is quite good and ranks 11th in the nation averaging 329 yards per game. Here gain, we believe that the Utah DL will dominate as they rank 17th allowing 6.3 yards per pass and 49th allowing 216 passing yards.
So, here is a query from our vast database that has produced a 26-4 ATS result good for 87% winners since 2013. Play against any team (W VIRGINIA). That is a good rushing team gaining between 4.3 to 4.8 YPR. And is now facing an average rushing team gaining between 3.5 to 4.3 YPR. And after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games.
We added the filter to show just bowl and playoff games going back to the 2000 season and it returned a 1-5 ATS record. SIM Matching Game Situations Utah is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. Utah is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games when they rush for 150 to 200 yards. Utah is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. WVU is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. WVU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. WVU is 6-28 ATS (-24.8 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 total yards per play. Take Utah!
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12-25-17 | Steelers v. Texans OVER 45 | Top | 34-6 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: ‘OVER’ Pittsburgh - Houston (129 and 130) The Matchup: PITTSBURGH (11 - 3) at HOUSTON (4 - 10) Start Time: Week 16 Monday, 12/25/2017 4:30 PM SIM grading: 10 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 10 star wager on the ‘OVER’ using the line.
Many books now offer alternative lines and totals on both NCAA and NFL games. If you have access to that alternative line, you may want to consider a combination bet placing a 7 star play on the ‘over’ (currently lined at 45) and add a 3 star amount to the alternative total line, which you will see at 52 ½ and about +220 return.
Game Intelligence Analytics The expectations for this game is that it will be a barn burner with both offenses passing for more than 300 net passing yards. In past games, where both teams have exceeded 300 net passing yards, the over is a sparkling 406-56-2 for an amazing 88% winners. In games where Houston was one of those teams, they have recorded a 9-2 over record good for 82% winners. When Pittsburgh has been one of the teams, they have recorded a 11-3 over record good for 79$% winners.
And in games where both teams exceed 300 net passing yards and the total is between 42.5 and 49 points, the OVER has gone 101-16 for 86% winners. Since you asked, over the past three seasons, the total is an amazing 22-2 ‘over’ for 92% winners and the average cover has been a whopping 12.5 points. SIM Matching Game Situations Houston is a solid 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) in home games after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games. Pittsburgh is 50-18 OVER (+30.2 Units) when they gain 300 or more net passing yards. Pittsburgh is 25-9 OVER (+15.1 Units) when their defense allows 300 or more net passing yard. Houston is 21-9 OVER (+11.1 Units) when they allow 400 to 450 total yards. Houston is 42-13 OVER (+27.7 Units) when they allow 400 or more total yards.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NCAAF for the bowl games and have no doubt helped propel So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-24-17 | Bills v. Patriots -11 | Top | 16-37 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: New England (122) The Matchup: NE hosting Buffalo Start Time: 1:00 EST SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on New England using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics The algorithms show a very strong probability that Buffalo will not exceed 150 passing yards in today’s game. The Patriots are an amazing 12-3 ATS for 80% winners when playing at home and holding an opponent to less than 150 passing yards and having won 5 or 6 of the past 7 games. SIM Matching Game Situations NE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. NE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when their defense allows 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. NE is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards-per-attempt. NE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 total yards over the last 2 seasons. NE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons. NE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they gain 400 or more total yards this season. NE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NCAAF for the Bowl games and those plays now stand at 4-0 ASTS. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-23-17 | Vikings v. Packers +9 | Top | 16-0 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Green Bay (104) The Matchup: MINNESOTA (11 - 3) at GREEN BAY (7 - 7) Start Time: Week 16 Saturday, 12/23/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Green Bay using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 300 to 320 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.
Game Intelligence Analytics There are several database queries that focus on the last three weeks of the regular season and have produced solid results over extended periods of time. One of them is activated for this matchup and it is very simple and spans 35 seasons. Play against favorites using the money line that are off a cover installed as a double digit favorite and with the game taking place in the last three weeks. Play against these false favorites has produced a 20-13 record for 61% winners and has made whopping $2,960 wagering $100 per play. What makes this an incredible money maker is that it has averaged a +203 DOG play. SIM Matching Game Situations GB is a solid 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games off 3 or more consecutive overs. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 39-20 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-23-17 | Appalachian State +7 v. Toledo | Top | 34-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Appalachian State (225) Bowl Game: Dollar General Bowl - Ladd Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Alabama The Matchup: APPALACHIAN ST (8 - 4) vs. TOLEDO (11 - 2) Start Time: Week 16 Saturday, 12/23/2017 7:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Appalachian State using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 200 to 220 which is very attractive. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.
Game Intelligence Analytics This database query has produced a 64-26 ATS record good for 71% winners and has made $3,540 wagering $100 per play since 2013. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TOLEDO). After a win by 17 or more points. And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game.
Now, if we add in the fact that the SIM projects that App State will score 28 or more points, the results are an astounding 6-42 ATS and 21-28 SU. So, that is playing against Toledo. SIM Matching Game Situations Appalachian State is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when they score 28 or more points. Toledo is 31-77 ATS (-53.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 39-20 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-23-17 | Colts v. Ravens -13.5 | Top | 16-23 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 39 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Baltimore Ravens (102) Start Time: Week 16 Saturday, 12/23/2017 4:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Baltimore using the line.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics It seems each season in the NFL, there is more and more passes being attempted and less rushing attempts. This evolution in the game has forced CB to be far more productive in pass coverage when targeted. As a result several new metrics have appeared and the one that always stands out is QBR rating when targeted. The lower the number the better the CB performance as it reflects greater amounts of incompletions and interceptions. The Ravens Jimmy Smith ranks fourth-best in the NFL with a 49 QBR when targeted. So, to put this into perspective, a QB receives a QBR of 39 for simply throwing an incompletion and anything under 50 is truly great CB play. Smith was injured in the first week of December and out for the remainder of the season with an achilles injury. So, the defense has had to adjust significantly to fill the gap left by arguably their best defensive player in pass plays. The defense did give up 486 passing yards in the crazy loss to Pittsburgh, but Roethlisberger has done that many times in his career. Last week, the Ravens defense held Cleveland to 136 passing yards and granted, it was Cleveland. The Colts, though, have not had more than 200 passing yards in 4 straight games and they won’t in this one either. The Colts rank 31st averaging only 286.2 passing yards per game and only the Bengals are worse averaging 268 passing yards per game.
Game Intelligence Analytics From the projections Baltimore is expected to gain 50 or more rushing yards and 100 or more passing yards than the Colts. When these two KPI have combined in past games, it has produced a 267-47-3 ATS record. When we add the third metric calling for Baltimore to attain better than 7 yards per pass attempt, the past games have produced 213-28-2 ATS for 88% winners. When these KPI are aligned in home Ravens games, it has gone a perfect 6-0 ATS.
The average SU margin of these six games has been 27.5 points and the average ATS margin has been 17.8 points. SIM Matching Game Situations Baltimore is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992. Harbaugh is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when facing terrible defensive teams allowing more than 6.0 yards-per-play in the second half of the season as the coach of Baltimore. Baltimore is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 50 to 100 yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 39-20 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018. |
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12-22-17 | UAB v. Ohio -6.5 | Top | 6-41 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Ohio University (218) The Matchup: UAB (8 - 4) vs. OHIO U (8 - 4) Start Time: Week 16 Friday, 12/22/2017 12:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Ohio University using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics The SIM projects that Ohio will gain 50 more rushing yards and average better than 4.5 YPR and will score more than 28 points. When these three metrics have been attained in past games, Ohio is 38-9-3 ATS for 81% winners. SIM Matching Game Situations UAB is 37-70 ATS (-40.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. UAB is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. UAB is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. OU is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. OU is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. OU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. OU is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. OU is 17-1 ATS (+15.9 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 100 to 150 yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 39-20 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving ANNUAL sports subscription and never miss a play throughout 2018.
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12-21-17 | Temple -6.5 v. Florida International | Top | 28-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Temple (215) Start Time: Week 16 Thursday, 12/21/2017 8:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Temple using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics SIM projections show that Temple will score more than 28 points, gain more than 50 more rushing yards, and will average 4.5 YPR. IN past games, Temple is an outstanding 85-20-1 ATS for 81% winners when they score 28 or more points and 35-6 ATS when scoring 35 or more points. When out rushing their opponents by 50 or more yards and averaging 4.5 YPR, Temple is a very strong 41-14-1 ATS for 75% winners. Add in scoring 28 or more points and the Temple Owls are an amazing 31-4 ATS for 89% winners. SIM Matching Game Situations Temple is a solid 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons. Temple is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons. Temple is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last 2 seasons. Temple is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons. Temple is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 75 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992. Temple is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 39-18 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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12-18-17 | Falcons v. Bucs +7 | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Tampa Bay (332) Start Time: Week 15 Monday, 12/18/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Tampa Bay using the line.
An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and then add a 2 star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 200 to 220, which is undervalued (money line is inflated due to the public pushing the favorite higher) significantly based on a realistic chance that the dog wins SU. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.
Game Intelligence Analytics SIm projects that the Bucs will have at least 50 more rushing yards than the Falcons. In past games where this has occurred for the Bucs they are an outstanding 90-20-2 ATS for 82% winners since 1985. And since the start of the 2014 season, they are 9-2 ATS for 82% winners. SIM Matching Game Situations Atlanta is just 4-7 against the money line (-14.1 Units) when they rush for 100 to 125 yards over the last 3 seasons. Atlanta is 5-15 against the money line (-11.5 Units) in road games when they outgain their opponents by 0.5 to 1 yard-per-play.
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12-17-17 | Rams +1 v. Seahawks | Top | 42-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Rams Start Time: Week 15 Sunday, 12/17/2017 4:05 PM SIM grading: 10 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 10 star wager on the Rams using the line
The majority of sports books now offer alternative lines and totals. If you have access to that, consider placing a 7 star amount on the total and a 2.5 star amount on the alternative - 4 ½ Rams line, which we expect you’ll see getting +230 payback.
Also, we have a 5 star play on the total and this open up the opportunity to place an action reverse wager that pays 4:1 and would obviously be with the Rams and the ‘over’. A more aggressive parlay wager would be to use the Rams and the Money Line and the ‘over’, which will pay significantly more if both plays hit.
Game Intelligence Analytics SIM projects that the Rams will have at least 50 more rushing yards than the Seahawks. Including the fact that the Rams are visitors and lost ATS in their last game has produced a record of 585-153-17 ATS for 79% winners since 1989. Now, if we wanted to know what the Rams record is we’d find a very impressive 14-1 ATS since 1989 and the KPI combination has not lost for the Rams since 1990. SIM Matching Game Situations Rams are a solid 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Rams are 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after scoring 35 points or more last game. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 37-18 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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12-17-17 | Eagles -7.5 v. Giants | Top | 34-29 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 307 Philadelphia -7 Start Time: Week 15 Sunday, 12/17/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Philadelphia using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points Once again we are stepping in against the New York Giants, and yes Philadelphia will be without Carson Wentz. However, Nick Foles understands the Eagles offense and will execute it quite well. Further, he is going against a NY Giant Team that is 2-11 on the season with a more than suspect defense that has been giving up big plays all year. The Eagles have a lot of offensive weapons, while all of the Giants big play guys have been lost for the season. Eli Manning is a sitting duck in the pocket and will look for quick dump offs instead of trying to go through the play progressions. The Eagles run defense has been consistent and strong all year and should have no problem stifling the anemic Giant rushing game. The Eagles are a hungry bunch looking to get closer to locking up the first round bye and home field throughout the playoffs, while the Giants will be thinking of a high draft pick and next season or moving in to another team Look for the Eagles to soar this week in the Meadowlands. SIM Matching Game Situations Philadelphia is 6-0 ATS, Plus 6 Units when facing a poor passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of over 61% on the season. Philadelphia is 60-34 ATS, Plus 22.6 Units when allowing 75 to 100 rushing yards since 1992. NY Giants are 0-6 ATS when they are outgained by 150 plus yards the last 2 years. Philadelphia is 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) when they rush for 150 to 175 yards. Philadelphia is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 150+ yards over the last 3 seasons. Giants are just 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) when they allow 150 to 175 rushing yards. Giants are an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 150+ yards over the last 2 seasons.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 37-18 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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12-17-17 | Dolphins +4 v. Bills | Top | 16-24 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 25 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: MIami Dolphins Start Time: Week 15 Sunday, 12/17/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Miami using the line.
Game Intelligence Analytics The following database system query has gone 38-14 ATS hitting 73% winners and has made $2,200 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play against favorites (BUFFALO). After covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. And is a marginal winning team posting a win percentage between 51% to 60%. And playing a marginal losing team in the second half of the season. SIM Matching Game Situations SIM projects that Miami will out rush Buffalo today. Since 1989 when this has occurred they have gone 138-65-4 ATS for 68% winners in all games. If, when on the road, then their record goes to 65-23-2 ATS for 74% winners.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 37-18 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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12-11-17 | Patriots -10.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: New England Patriots (133) Start Time: Week 14 Monday, 12/11/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the Patriots using the line.
The SIM also projects that the ‘over’ will be a winning wager as well. It is graded as a 5 star play. So, place a 5 star wager on the ‘over’. Moreover, it stands to reason as we have done for the last three times this occurrence presented, a paraly is a validated play as well. The recommended wager type is a reverse action wager that pays 4:1 if both dies and total hit pay dirt. So, simply, if you wager $100 on a reverse parlay with the Patriots and the ‘over’ the following scenarios are possible outcomes. Win Patriots and the ‘over’ would pay $400. Win patriots and lose total would lose $120. Win ‘over’ and lose Patriots would lose $120. Lose Patriots and lose the ‘over’ would lose $240.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Tom Brady has posted a 10-1 ATS mark when playing against teams with a WP between 37 and 47% in his career. Jay Cutler is a money burning 4-11 ATS as a home underdog. Supporting the ‘over’ is a database query that has produced a 27-5 mark good for 84.4% winners since 1983. Play ‘Over’ with road teams against the total (NEW ENGLAND). And is an excellent offensive team scoring 27 PPG or more. And is now facing a poor defensive team allowing between 23 and 27 PPG. After allowing 9 points or less last game. SIM Matching Game Situations NE is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. NE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they allow 100 to 125 rushing yards over the last 2 seasons. NE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 50-100 yards over the last 2 seasons. NE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. Miami is just 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when their defense allows 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 10-31 ATS (-24.1 Units) when they allow 7.5 to 8 net passing yards-per-attempt. Miami is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) in home games when they allow 100 to 125 rushing yards. Miami is 8-30 ATS (-25.0 Units) in home games when they allow 350 to 400 total yards. Miami is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when they allow 6 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 37-18 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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12-10-17 | Eagles v. Rams +1 | Top | 43-35 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Los Angeles Rams (128) Start Time: Week 14 Sunday, 12/10/2017 4:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the LA Rams using the line.
I will be on the Twitter feed @JohnRyanSports1 throughout the day to offer up 2nd half betting opportunities and in-game LIVE betting situations.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Through 12 weeks of the season, Eagles linebacker Mychal Kendricks had allowed the 14th-lowest passer rating against allowing zero touchdowns and three passes defended. His Week 12 matchup against the Seahawks, though saw him give up five receptions on six targets for 63 yards and the first touchdown in his coverage (a running back) for a passer rating of 150.0. Gurley is second among running backs in receiving yards with 563, second in missed tackles after the catch with 13 and is averaging the fourth-highest yards gained per route run with 1.90 on 297 snaps in route. We see Gurley having a huge game and also will be a punishing factor between the tackles as well. This dominance will open up the perimeter for Sammy Watkins in man coverage where he has been at his best all season.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 36-13 ATS hitting 75% winners and has made $2,370 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play agaist road underdogs or pick (PHILADELPHIA). That is also a hot team after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. And with a winning record. Playing another winning record team in the second half of the season. SIM Matching Game Situations Rams are 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. Rams are a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 36-16 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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12-10-17 | Cowboys v. Giants +4 | Top | 30-10 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: NY Giants (130) Start Time: Week 14 Sunday, 12/10/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the Giants using the line.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics A key matchup we give the edge to the Giants pits Dallas Guard Zack Martin against DL Dalvin Tomlinson. Martin is undeniably one of the best OG in the league, but he will be going up against a rapidly improving rookie, who ranks far and above the best rookie interior defender. Moreover, Tomlinson ranks 16th in the NFL in run-stop and has improved his season metrics in every game to date. Another matchup is Giants Damon Harrison going up against Dallas C Travis Frederick. Again, Frederick ranks among the Top-3 in all C metrics, but is going up against his toughest opponent bar none. Harrison ranks in the Top-3 in overall performance and has a league-best 29 run stops. Edge to the Giants DL. Sterling Shepard is a must-have in your daily fantasy lineups today. He is the best receiver on the roster by far and has exceptional matchup advantages against a highly suspect Dallas secondary.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 33-10 ATS hitting 77% winners and has made $2,200 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY GIANTS). Revenging a loss against opponent. And is off a cover where the team lost as an underdog.
SIM Matching Game Situations Giants are a solid 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards. Giants are 25-9 ATS at home when they gain 125 or more RY and 200 or more PY.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 36-16 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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12-10-17 | Vikings v. Panthers +2.5 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 2 h 23 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Carolina (116) Start Time: Week 14 Sunday, 12/10/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Carolina using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 38-14 ATS hitting 73% winners and has made $2,260 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CAROLINA). After 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers. And is now facing an opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers. SIM Matching Game Situations Minnesota is just 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in road games when they score 15 to 21 points. Carolina is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards-per-attempt. Rivera is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) off a road loss as the coach of Carolina. Carolina is a strong 20-8 ATS when gaining more than 150 rushing yards and 200 passing yards. When the previous query includes the Panthers playing at home, the results go to a staggering 13-2 ATS.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 36-16 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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12-09-17 | Army v. Navy OVER 45 | Top | 14-13 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: ‘OVER’ Start Time: Week 15 Saturday, 12/9/2017 3:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the ‘OVER’ using the total line.
Special subscription: For the next few days, we will be offering our 2017 Bowl Bonanza Subscription for just $159. We went 12-5 ATS in 2014, 11-5 ATS in 2015 and 10-5 ATS last year and have won the Bowl Game of the Year in each. Plus, over the last 10 years, our bowl selections have hit 65% ATS and went a historic 15-1 ATS in 2009.
Round Table Discussion Points The total opened at 51 and has traded lower since with a current post of 45 points. This is a reaction to expected weather (snow) entering the Philadelphia area and will be a factor during the game. However, these teams run the ball and then they run some more. The SIM projects that both teams will combine for more than 600 rushing yards yards and less than 125 passing yards. Turnovers will be reserved to fumbles lost and not interceptions. The SIM also projects that there may be less than 14 total pass attempts in this game by BOTH teams. As shown below, the ‘over’ is a very strong 34-7 for 83% winners when both teams rush for a combined 600 rushing yards.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 48-21 ‘over’ hitting 71% winners and has made $2,510 wagering $100 per game since 2014. Play Over with any team against the total (NAVY). In non-conference games. Off 2 consecutive road losses. SIM Matching Game Situations The ‘Over’ is 34-7 when both teams combine for more than 600 rushing yards and is a very nice 7-2 ‘over’ in 2017.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 36-16 ATS record in 2017. |
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12-07-17 | Saints +1 v. Falcons | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Saints (101) Start Time: Week 14 Thursday, 12/7/2017 8:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the Saints using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points The Saints defense has made vast improvements in 2017 allowing only 17.9 points-per-game in the last 10 games. NFC Defensive Player of the Month for November Cam Jordan has registered 10.5 sacks and 13 tackles for loss this season and has eight sacks, a forced fumble and fumble recovery in his last nine encounters with Atlanta. Rookie cornerback Marshon Lattimore, who has made progress from an ankle injury that sidelined him for the past two games, could be in line to guard wideout Julio Jones on Thursday. Atlanta's Ben Garland will get the start as fellow LG Andy Levitre has been ruled out with a triceps injury. Chemistry is vitally important for any NFL team, especially Atlanta since they are coming off a 9 point performance in their loss to Carolina last week.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics A massive matchup advantage for the Saints is rookie tackle Ryan Ramczyk, who was acquired with the 32nd pick in the draft acquired when they traded Cooks to the Patriots. This has worked out well for both teams. Ramczyk ranks best among all rookie offensive tackles in both pass blocking and run blocking. He will matched up against Grady Jarrett, who ranks within the top 25% of all linemen for interior pass rushing and run stoppage. However, he is not an elite linemen and Ramczyk will dominate him. Another Saints advantage is WR Michael Thomas, who continues to move up the ranks every week. He now ranks seventh-best among 116 WR. He ranks fourth-best in drop rate and has just TWO drops and both of them occurred in Week 4. He primarily lines up on the left side of the field and will be defended by an average CB in Robert Alford. Look for Brees to move formations when needed to get this matchup.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 24-4 ATS hitting 86% winners and has made $1,960 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play on road teams (NEW ORLEANS). That are mistake-free team having committed 1.25 or fewer TO-per-Game. And now facing a team forcing 1.25 TO-per-Game. After Week 7 games have been played. And after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers.
As the spreadsheet shows, the average ATS margin has been a quite impressive seven points. If we eliminate the ATS losses, the ATS margin for the wins is a remarkable 10.11 points. This query serves to reinforce the SIM projection expecting a double digit Saints win. SIM Matching Game Situations Saints are a solid 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt. Falcons are 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) when they allow 125 to 150 rushing yards. Falcons are 31-81 ATS when they have allowed 150 or more rushing yards. Falcons are 3-42 SU and 9-36 ATS when they have allowed 150 or more rushing yards and allowed more than 6.5 yards per play. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 36-15 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
I have a special priced Bowl Package for just $159.00. We have gone 33-15 ATS for 69% ATS winners over the last three Bowl Seasons and back in 2009, posted a historic 15-1 ATS result. Over the past 10 bowl seasons we have hit 65% ATS winners. |
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12-04-17 | Steelers v. Bengals +6 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Cincinnati Bengals (380) Start Time: Week 13 Monday, 12/4/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the Bengals using the line. So, if you are wagering $100 per star unit, this would be a $700 dollar wager. If you have chosen to play $500 per 7 star release than you are wagering $71.42 per star.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Antonio Brown is the best WR in the league this season, but the Steelers may find it far more difficult to get him the ball than in any other game this season. That is because Bengals CB William Jackson III is play at a Pro Bowl level and has dominated all receivers to date. He has faced four WR that rank very high in performance metrics this season in Brown (first), Davonte Adams (24), T.Y. hilton (38th), and Marquis Lee (50). This group of WR have combined for just TWO receptions for 42 yards on seven targets when Jackson was the primary defender. Of the 214 coverage snaps, only nine have been defending the slot, where he has allowed ONE reception for ONE yard. In Week 7, with Jackson defending Brown, he allowed NO receptions.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 52-20 against the money line hitting 72% winners and has made $3,660 wagering $100 per game since 2007. The system has also gone 6-1 making $710 this season wagering just $100 per game.
Play against any team using the money line (PITTSBURGH). After a game where they forced no turnovers. And is now facing an opponent after 2 consecutive games where they committed no turnovers. And now if we add in the double-revenge that Cincy finds themselves having in this game. The record goes to a brilliant 7-1 SU and making $1,162 per $100 ML wager since the start of the 2015 season. The average SU win margin has been 14 points for all eight of these games. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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12-03-17 | Giants +9 v. Raiders | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: NY Giants (375) Start Time: Week 13 Sunday, 12/3/2017 4:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on NY Giants using the line.
We also like using a combination wager placing a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount on the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 51-19 ATS hitting 73% winners and has made $1,720 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OAKLAND). After having won 2 out of their last 3 games. And is a marginal losing team winning between 40% to 49% of their games. And now facing a losing record team. SIM Matching Game Situations NYG are 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards. NYG are 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards per attempt. NYG are 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games when both teams score 20 or more points. OAK is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) facing poor offensive teams scoring 17 or less points per game.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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12-03-17 | Vikings v. Falcons -2.5 | Top | 14-9 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Atlanta (356) Start Time: Week 13 Sunday, 12/3/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 27-5 ATS hitting 84.4% winners and has made $2,150 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on home favorites (ATLANTA). After having won 3 out of their last 4 games. And is now facing an opponent after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. Over the past year, this system has produced an amazing 9-1 ATS mark.
Over the past year, the average cover has been a whopping 9 points. SIM Matching Game Situations Minnesota is just 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. Minnesota is 44-70 ATS (-33.0 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points. Atlanta is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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12-02-17 | Fresno State v. Boise State -8.5 | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Boise State (324) MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID Start Time: Week 14 Saturday, 12/2/2017 7:45 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Boise State using the line
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Fresno State (FSU) has a solid defense that has played well all season, but not they face an offense that ranks very high in nationally rankings in some of the offensive metrics. First, Boise State ranks 15th with q 64.4% pass completion percentage, 24th with a 0.475 points-per-play ratio, and 9th converting 47% of their third downs. FSU ranks 15th allowing 18.8 PPG, 17th allowing 333 yards per game, 17th posting a 0.277 opponent points per play ratio. However, they rank 95th allowing 62% pass completions, and 99th getting an interception on only 1.97% of plays run. These two teams played each other just last week with Fresno State winning and putting the bow on an incredible turnaround season under first year coach Telford. You may remember his success with the Cal Golden Bears throughout the 2000s, Tedford's 11-season tenure in Berkeley ended in 2012 after the Golden Bears finished below .500 two out of three seasons. Tedford spent time in the NFL with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the CFL with the BC Lions before returning to college football last season as an assistant to Chris Petersen with the Washington Huskies. So, he does have the experience and knowledge that makes this turnaround from a 1-11 season in 2016 sustainable into next season too. SIM Matching Game Situations Boise is 5-1 ATS when gaining 150 or more rushing yards this season. Boise is 6-2 ATS when gaining more rushing yards than opponent this season. Boise is 54-21 for 72% when they gain more rushing yards and passing yards than the opponent. Boise is 15-4 ATS when the out gain their opponents by 150 yards since the 2014 season.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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12-02-17 | TCU +7.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 6 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: TCU (333) Start Time: Week 14 Saturday, 12/2/2017 12:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: place a 7 star wager amount on TCU using the line. Consider an alternative wager placing a 5 star amount on TCU using the line and a 2 star amount on the money line.
Round Table Discussion Points When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, TCU is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.
We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ database systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 64-24 ATS hitting 73% winners and has made $3,760 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OKLAHOMA). After a win by 17 or more points. And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game. SIM Matching Game Situations TCU is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt. TCU is 111-46 ATS (+60.4 Units) when they score 28 or more points. Oklahoma is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games versus good rushing defenses allowing 3.25 or fewer rushing yards per carry.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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12-02-17 | Akron v. Toledo UNDER 61 | Top | 28-45 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: ‘UNDER’ in the MAC Championship (319-320) Start Time: Week 14 Saturday, 12/2/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on the ‘UNDER’.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 27-5 ATS hitting 84% winners and has made $2,150 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play ‘under’ the posted total with neutral field teams. Where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (AKRON). That are off a home win against a conference rival. And now facing an opponent off a win against a conference rival. Over the past three seasons this database query has gone 12-0 ‘under’. SIM Matching Game Situations Akron is a perfect 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) when they gain 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. Akron is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) when they rush for 50 to 100 yards over the last 3 seasons. Akron is 15-5 UNDER (+9.5 Units) when they rush for 3 to 3.5 yards per attempt. Toledo is 17-4 UNDER (+12.6 Units) in road games when they allow 15 to 21 points. Toledo is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in road games when they allow 3 to 3.5 rushing yards per attempt. Toledo is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Toledo is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) in road games when they allow 250 to 300 total yards.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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12-01-17 | Stanford +4 v. USC | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Stanford (303) Start Time: Week 14 Friday, 12/1/2017 8:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 grading scale Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on Stanford using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points Key fact is that Stanford does not turn the ball over and make mental mistakes. They average just 0.8 turnovers per game ranking 4th best in the nation while USC ranks 108th averaging 1.8 turnovers per game. USC does well ranking 12th in takeaways averaging 2.0 per game. Stanford also ranks 12th in that category. Stanford also has the better ground attack and can control the LOS far better than they did in the second half in the first meeting against USC this season. Stanford ranks 6th nationally averaging 6.2 YPR and this will also be a dominant reason they can win this game.
SIM Matching Game Situations Stanford is an outstanding 31-8 ATS (+22.2 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. USC is just 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. Stanford is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) off 2 consecutive home wins. Stanford is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. Stanford is a solid 38-11 ATS (+25.9 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards. Stanford is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt. Stanford is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt. Stanford is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. USC is an imperfect 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. USC is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 34-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-30-17 | Redskins v. Cowboys -1 | Top | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 59 h 51 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Dallas (302) Start Time: Week 13 Thursday, 11/30/2017 8:25 PM SIM grading: 10 star grading on a 3 to 10 grading scale Recommended Strategy: Place a 10 star amount on Dallas using the line.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Despite scoring anemically in their last three games, Dallas remains a strong rushing team ranking 2nd best averaging 4.7 YPR. Even without Elliott, they have the running backs to get the job done. They will control the line of scrimmage and the clock. Their three losses appear to be far worse than they really are since they lost to juggernaut Philadelphia, Atlanta, and the Chargers. All three of those teams are playing very well. Washington is not on that list and have found ways to lose games. The Saints game was pitiful and so was the Giants win, which close till the 4th quarter. Giants are perhaps the worst team in the league not named Cleveland.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 38-12 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made $2,480 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on any team (DALLAS). After scoring 9 points or less in 2 straight games. Over the past three season, this DB query has produced an amazing 12-2 ATS record for 86% winners. The average cover has been 6 points and the 12 wins have covered by 10 points. SIM Matching Game Situations Washington is just 34-61 ATS (-33.1 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points. Washington is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) when they allow 125 to 150 rushing yards. Dallas is a solid 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 33-14 ATS 70% record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-27-17 | Texans +7.5 v. Ravens | Top | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Houston (275) Start Time: Week 12 Monday, 11/27/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 star play based on a 3 to 10 star grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on Houston using the line. Alternative wager strategy. Given the favorable projections we like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 5.5* play on the line and a 1.5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirement is that we need a +135 Money Line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 7* wager using the line. In this game, the money line is lined at +265 with some books sowing +280.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Since Tom Savage took over control of the offense, DeAndre Hopkins has seen 37 targets, which is tops in the league over the last three weeks. To date the passer rating has not yet impressed, but the yards per route has increased to 2.28 yards per route run. Hopkins will be covered by one of the best corners in the league this season in Jimmy Smith. He has the best passer rating at just 25.7 and ranks in the top-10 in many other metrics. Yet, Hopkins is an elite WR and this matchup will be won by Hopkins tonight. WE also like the matchup of WR Bruce Ellington being mostly matched up against Ladarius Thomas. Ellington has become the No. 2 WR with the injuries to Fuller and has stepped up and produced. He has steadily been passing choice out of the slot where crossing routes will help free him up in space. Then there is the monumental mismatch of Houston’s DE Clowney matched up against LT James Hurst. Clowney has performed very well in both run and pass defense. Hurst was playing at LG and now due to injuries has moved to LT. He has not doe well in either position. Even if Ronnie Staley can play tonight, he will be no where close to 100% and Clowney will require double teams allowing for bunch pressure up the middle.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 35-11 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made $2,380 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play on road teams using the money line (HOUSTON) . And is a good passing team gaining between 6 and 7-7.3 PYA. And is now facing a horrible passing team gaining 5.3 or fewer PYA. After allowing 7 or more passing yards per attempt last game. SIM Matching Game Situations Houston is a perfect 5-0 against the money line (+8.3 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Houston is 10-2 against the money line (+10.1 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 total yards over the last 3 seasons. Houston is 10-3 against the money line (+9.4 Units) when they gain 4.5 to 5 total yards per play over the last 3 seasons.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 32-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-26-17 | Saints v. Rams -2 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Los Angeles Rams (268) Start Time: Week 12 Sunday, 11/26/2017 4:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a scale of 3 to 10 stars. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on the Rams using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 26-5 ATS hitting 84% winners and has made $2,050 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Of the winning plays 48% of them covered the spread by 7 or more points.
SIM Matching Game Situations Saints are just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after scoring 25 points or more in 3 straight games.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 22-12 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-26-17 | Panthers -5.5 v. Jets | Top | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 2 h 54 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Carolina (261) Start Time: Week 12 Sunday, 11/26/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars out fo a 3 to 10 grading scale. Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on carolina using the line.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Carolina leads the NFL converting 47% of their third down situations. The Jets will be pressured on defense in first and second downs looking to make third and long situations more prevalent and more difficult to convert. Carolina runs the ball more often than the NFL average on first down eliminating the second and long situations. Newton also extends plays with his mobility as good as anyone else in the league. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 27-8 ATS hitting 77% winners using the first half line and has made $1,820 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play against underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (NY JETS). After having lost 3 out of their last 4 games. With a winning percentage of between 40-49%. In the second half of the season.
Rivera is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the second half of the season as the coach of Carolina.
SIM Matching Game Situations Carolina is a solid 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards over the last 3 seasons. Carolina is 49-25 ATS (+21.5 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 total yards. Carolina is 40-19 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 50-100 yards. Jets are 18-50 ATS for just 27% when they have 3 turnovers in a game. Jets are 25-100 ATS for 20% when habving three or more turnovers in a game.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 22-12 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-26-17 | Bears +14.5 v. Eagles | Top | 3-31 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Chicago Bears Start Time: Week 12 Sunday, 11/26/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on a 3 to 10 grading scale Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star wager amount on the Chicago Bears using the line. We also like adding a 2 star play using the money line on the Bears. No one believes the Eagles can lose this game and this offers us a great ,oney line price just in case the world is wrong and the Bears somehow manage to make headline news.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 41-18 ATS hitting 70% winners and has made $2,120 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Of the winning plays, 65.8% of them have covered the spread by 7 or more points. Play against favorites of 10.5 or more points (PHILADELPHIA) . That are good passing teams averaging 230 or more passing yards/game. After allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games. SIM Matching Game Situations Fox is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses allowing 235 or more passing yards per game in the second half of the season in all games he has coached.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 30-13 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-25-17 | Washington State v. Washington -9 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Washington (184) Start Time: Week 13 Saturday, 11/25/2017 8:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Washington using the lie.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 49-24 hitting 67% winners and has made $2,260 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (WASHINGTON). After a game where they forced 1 or zero turnovers. And is now facing an opponent after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers. SIM Matching Game Situations Wash State is just 48-99 ATS (-60.9 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Wash State is 16-37 ATS (-24.7 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points. Washington is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Washington is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) when they commit 1 less turnover than their opponents. Wash State is 15-38 ATS (-26.8 Units) after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-25-17 | Clemson v. South Carolina +14 | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: South Carolina (198) Start Time: Week 13 Saturday, 11/25/2017 7:30 PM SIM grading: 10 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on South Carolina and add a 3 star amount using the money line. With a money line of plus 425 this is a very attractive investment. If you wager $100 per star unit, for example, the money line portion returns $1275 dollars. If SC covers but does not pull off the upset, you will make $400 for the play. Over the course of the season, these combination wagers will increase the total rate of return (ROI).
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 33-6 ATS hitting 85% winners and has made $2,640 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (S CAROLINA). After having won 4 out of their last 5 games. And is a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games. And now facing a team with a winning record. SIM Matching Game Situations SC is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams averaging 425 or more yards-per-game. SC is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season. SC is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after out gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. SC is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games after a win by 21 or more points.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-25-17 | Alabama v. Auburn +6 | Top | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Auburn (226) Start Time: Week 13 Saturday, 11/25/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on Auburn using the line. An alternative wager is to play a 5.5 star amount using the line and a 1.5 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 63-24 ATS for 73% winners and has made $3,660 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ALABAMA). After a win by 17 or more points. And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game.
The following database system query has gone 53-21 ATS for 72% winners and has made $2,990 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ALABAMA) . In a game involving two dominant teams outgaining opponents by 100 or more YPG. And after gaining 6.25 or more yards per play in their previous game.
SIM Matching Game Situations Alabama is just 10-30 ATS (-23.0 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points. Alabama is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt. Alabama is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards. Auburn is a near-perfect 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games vs. very good defensive teams. Auburn is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games who give up 14 or less points/game.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 26-12 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-25-17 | Indiana +3 v. Purdue | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Indiana (151) Start Time: Week 13 Saturday, 11/25/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on Indiana using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 84-43 ATS hitting 66% winners and has made $3,670 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on road teams in conference games. Where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA). And is a good passing team averaging 230 to 275 per game. And is now facing an average passing defense allowing between 175 and 230 yards per game. SIM Matching Game Situations Indiana is a solid 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 26-12 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-24-17 | Miami-FL -12 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Miami (FLA) (131) Start Time: Week 13 Friday, 11/24/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on Miami using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Miami is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS when playing as a road favorite since the start of the 2016 season. The market has not kept pace with the significant week-to-week performance increase that the Hurricanes have accomplished this season. With one game remaining before the showdown with Clemson for the ACC Championship, we believe that there will not be any letdown or look ahead by the Hurricanes. Actually, we think it is absurd that the media talking heads are even mentioning that and that having to travel from the warm comfortable confines of Miami to the ‘frigid’ Northeast is a huge task. Miami has players from all over the country and all of them have played in difficult conditions at some point in their football lives. The weather is not an issue with forecasts for blue skies, little wind, and just a perfect Fall day for football. Pittsburgh’s bowl hopes were lost last week when they could not punch it in from a yard out in four tries in the closing seconds in a 20-14 loss to Virginia Tech. That is the type of loss that really sticks with a losing record team, especially in a short week. SIM Matching Game Situations Miami is a solid 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games when they rush for 150 to 200 yards. Miami is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games when they are outgain their opponents by 50-100 yards. Miami is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh is just 27-95 ATS (-77.5 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Pittsburgh is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) when they allow 35 to 41. Pittsburgh is 14-48 ATS (-38.8 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play.
Teams like Miami that are ranked in the TOP-5, are on the road, scored 38 or more points in their last game, and have a season turnover margin of at least 1.6 are a very strong 18-1 SU and 14-5 ATS for 74% ATS winners.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-24-17 | Navy v. Houston -4 | Top | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Houston (130) Start Time: Week 13 Friday, 11/24/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars based on 3 to 10 star grading Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on Houston using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 26-8 ATS hitting 81% winners and has made $1,820 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on a home team using the money line (HOUSTON). After having won 2 out of their last 3 games. And is a good team winning between 60% to 80% of their games. And now playing a marginal winning team posting a win percentage between 51% to 60%.
SIM Matching Game Situations Houston is 47-22 ATS (+22.8 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards. Navy is 48-78 ATS (-37.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Houston is 105-57 ATS (+42.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-23-17 | Chargers -1.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 28-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Dallas (110) Start Time: Week 12 Thursday, 11/23/2017 4:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on the Chargers using the line. If the money line is higher than 135, then consider playing a combination wager consisting of a 5* amount on the lie and a 2 star amount on the money line.
Round Table Discussion Points We didn’t believe the loss of Elliott would have have such a grave impact to the Dallas season, but it has and they are in dire shape. The Chargers have suddenly won four of their last six and covered five of those games. Their ground attack has improved significantly and now Rivers has more time to throw and can use play action pass much more effectively. Granted, Chargers were the benefactor of one of the worst coaching decisions ever made by the Buffalo Bills last week and now will have a much tougher game at Dallas, but one that we fully believe will win.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 41-16 ATS hitting 72% winners and has made $2,340 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play against home teams (DALLAS). That are good rushing teams averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards-per-carry. After being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. SIM Matching Game Situations Garrett is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after scoring 14 points or less last game as the coach of Dallas. Garrett is 6-23 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games facing poor passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 61% or worse as the coach of Dallas. Chargers are a solid 30-11 ATS (+17.9 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. Chargers are 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-21-17 | Kent State v. Akron UNDER 46 | Top | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: UNDER Kent State - Akron (102) Start Time: Week 13 Tuesday, 11/21/2017 7:00 PM SIM grading: 7 star (3 to 10 scale) Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on the ‘UNDER’
Round Table Discussion Points Kent State (KS) is coring an incredibly low 10.1 PPG ranking 130th in D-1. Akron is not much better scoring just 20.3 PPG ranking 113th in D-1. KS runs the ball at a very high rate of 64% of all plays, but gain just 3.3 yards per rush ranking 119th. Akron is the opposite choosing to pass far more than run. Here again, despite throwing the ball at a high rate, they rank just 82nd gaining only 6.9 yards-per-pass. The SIM call for a high probability that both teams will not exceed 37 points. As shown below, Akron is projected to score less than 21 points and have less than 150 passing yards. Enough said. This may not be the most interesting game to watch TV, but it is nonetheless a great money making opportunity.
SIM Matching Game Situations KS is a solid 25-12 UNDER (+11.8 Units) when they gain 100 to 150 net passing yards. KS is a perfect 10-0 UNDER (+10.0 Units) in road games when they're outgained by opponents by 1.5 to 2 yards/play. KS is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points. KS is 13-4 UNDER (+8.6 Units) in home games when their defense allows 150 or less net passing yards. KS is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 total yards. KS is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) when they allow 4 to 4.5 total yards per play. Akron is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) when facing terrible teams outscored by 17 or more points per game on the season.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-20-17 | Falcons +1.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Atlanta Falcons (475) Start Time: Week 11 Monday, 11/20/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on the Atlanta Falcons using the line. To have the combination wager validated, we need a DOG play to have a money line of at least +135 to satisfy the expected ROI. That is not the case currently, and would need to see the line rise to 3 ½ or 4 for that to occur. We see a greater chance of the line moving towards -1 or even pick-em, so stick with the 7 star wager using the line. The fact that the line is moving ‘against’ our play on Atlanta has not and will not impact the consensus data we collect. About 55% of all bets are on Atlanta and with the line moving down towards pick-em implies that the bet amounts on Atlanta are much larger than the bets being placed on Seattle.
Round Table Discussion Points With Sherman out for the season, the Falcons will certainly target Griffin and move Julio Jones in pre-snap situations to get Griffin covering him in at minimum under-man coverage. Jones may not have been finding the end zone as much this year, but he ranks best in the NFL in yards per routs at 2.88 yards per route. Devonte Freeman will be out for this game and Tevin Coleman will get the extra load of carries. Seattle LB Wagner will be matched up against Coleman. Wagner ranks fourth best LB in run-stops, but Coleman provides an extra amount of elusiveness and quickness, which we expect to overcome Wagner’s strong tackling and pursuit fundamentals.
Seattle WR Baldwin has been steadily lining up in the slot and ranks 4th with 112 such positions since Week 6. The aim tonight will be to get Baldwin lined up in man coverage against Brian Poole, who has had some troubles in these matchups. Falcons can lineup zone look pre-snap and then possibly use Desmond Trufant in slot coverage. Trufant has not allowed a pass completion of more than 25 yards this season.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 26-7 ATS hitting 79% winners and has made $1,830 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play against home favorites (SEATTLE). After allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game. And is now facing an opponent after gaining seven or more passing yards-per-attempt in 2 straight games. SIM Matching Game Situations Atlanta is a solid 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games when they rush for 4 to 4.5 yards per attempt. Atlanta is 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. Seattle is just 13-35 ATS (-25.5 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 total yards per play. Seattle is 28-70 ATS (-49.0 Units) when they allow 6 or more total yards per play. Atlanta is 21-9 ATS when gaining 4 or more yards per rush and scoring between 22 and 28 points.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-19-17 | Eagles v. Cowboys +6.5 | Top | 37-9 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Dallas Start Time: Week 11 Sunday, 11/19/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on dallas using the line. An alternative wager is to place a 2 star amount on the money line and a 5 star amount using the line given the projection from the SIM calling for the SU Dallas win.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 45-19 ATS hitting 75% winners and has made $2,410 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play against road favorites (PHILADELPHIA). That are excellent offensive teams scoring 27 or more points-per-game. After leading in their previous game by 21 or more points at the half. SIM Matching Game Situations Dallas is a solid 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) in home games after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. Dallas is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) after a loss by 14 or more points. Philadelphia is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams averaging 5.65 or more yards-per-play over the last 2 seasons.
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11-19-17 | Cardinals v. Texans -2.5 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Houston (462) Start Time: Week 11 Sunday, 11/19/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on Houston using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 37-12 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made $2,380 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play against underdogs or pick (ARIZONA). After allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games.
Since the start of last season, this query has produced a record of 3-18-1 SU and 4-18 ATS. SIM Matching Game Situations Houston is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games. Houston is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games. Arizona is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-19-17 | Redskins +9.5 v. Saints | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Washington (465) Start Time: Week 11 Sunday, 11/19/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 star grading Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on Washington using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 27-9 ATS hitting 75% winners and has made $1,710 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play against favorites (NEW ORLEANS). That are excellent offensive teams scoring 27 or more points/game. And after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games.
In similar fashion, teams that: Have allowed 14 or fewer points in 2 straight games. Possess a season average of 15 or less offensive yards per point. And posted an offensive yards-per-point of less than 10.5. ARE just 5-12 ATS for 29.4% winner.
SIM Matching Game Situations Saints are an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game. Redskins are 62-27 ATS (+32.3 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. Redskins are 17-8 ATS (+32.3 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points in road games. Redskins installed as road dogs are 13-5 ATS (+32.3 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-18-17 | Arizona University +3 v. Oregon | Top | 28-48 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Arizona (365) Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 7:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Arizona using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 25-6 ATS hitting 81% winners and has made $1,840 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play against a home team (OREGON). After being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games. And is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last five games.
The following database system query has gone 31-8 ATS hitting 80% winners and has made $2,220 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play on road underdogs (ARIZONA). Excellent offensive team gaining 440 YPG or more. And is now facing a good offensive team gaining between 390 to 440 YPG. And after outgaining opponent by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Arizona is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. Arizona is 92-49 ATS (+38.1 Units) when they score 28 or more points. Oregon is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points this season. Oregon is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards. Oregon is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 6 or more rushing yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-18-17 | Nebraska v. Penn State -25 | Top | 44-56 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Penn State (392) Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 4:00 PM SIM grading: 10 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 10 star amount using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points PSU has two losses by a combined 4 points and remains a very strong team overall and with excellent head coach leadership. Former NFL linebacker Jonathan Vilma, now an ESPN analyst, has said they are telegraphing their plays through their pre-snap alignment. Franklin said every team has telltale signs about what's coming, and doesn't believe it is a fatal flaw in Penn State's case. "I still think we're averaging ... (37.7) points a game," he said. "And if everybody knew what they were doing on most of our plays, I would think we'd be scoring a lot less than that." This is just one of countless statements Franklin has made to the media in support of his team and it has paid off big. This is PSU last home game for the Seniors and on in particular. Despite his recent struggles, Barkley has rushed for 899 yards (5.4 per carry) and is second in the nation in all-purpose yards per game (184.6). He also leads the Big Ten with 16 touchdowns, and last week became PSU's all-time leader in all-purpose yardage (5,055). Nebraska is a team in disarray and will more than likely be starting a freshman QB and could be looking for a new head coach in the off-season. That combination is just not good for team chemistry and having to go to the second largest stadium in the nation. We value yards-per-point metrics highly and they often times point out glaring matchup advantages in a game. Using points-per-play for this illustration we know that PSU defense ranks second in the nation posting a 0.187 PPP ratio and the offense ranks 11th posting a very strong 0.544 PPP ratio. Nebraska ranks 83rd with a 0.35 offensive PPP ratio and a dismal 102nd with a 0.469 defensive PPP ratio. Any QB, let a lone a freshman QB, will struggle at PSU against their defense that allows just 5.7 yards-per-pass ranking 7th nationally. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 28-7 ATS hitting 80% winners and has made $2,030 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play on home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (PENN ST). Off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite. And with 4 or more total starters returning than opponent. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. PSU is 41-18 ATS (+21.2 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt. PSU is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards. PSU is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they rush for 5.5 to 6 yards per attempt. PSU is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. PSU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. PSU is 25-5 ATS (+19.5 Units) when they score 42 to 48 points since 1992. PSU is 34-4 ATS (+29.6 Units) when they gain 500 to 550 total yards. PSU is 49-6 ATS (+42.4 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards. PSU is 24-5 ATS (+18.5 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 150-200 yards. PSU is 60-14 ATS (+44.6 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play. PSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they gain 7.5 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. PSU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons. PSU is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2.5 to 3 yards/play. Nebraska is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. |
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11-18-17 | Michigan +7.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Michigan (415) Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Michigan using the line. We also like the potential for Michigan to win the game outright sending Wisconsin their first loss of the season. So, an alternative wager is to play a 5 star amount on the line and 2 star amount using the money line.
Round Table Discussion Points Michigan finally went to the youngster at quarterback two weeks ago and Peters has thrown for 4 touchdowns with no interceptions and has sparked the Michigan offense. This week Peters will be asked to manage the game and protect the ball, move the chains and let the defense rest a little. Both defenses have been really good this year as Wisconsin has only given up 13.4 points per game and Michigan gives up 16.4 points. Last year the final score was 14-7 Michigan in Ann Arbor and we look for another defensive struggle today. Wisconsin has basically worn down the opposing defenses and then finished off opponents in the fourth quarter. We feel Michigan can stand up for four quarters and will actually wear down the Wisconsin defense.. This is our favorite type of dog play as we feel the dog has a solid chance of winning this one outright. Statistically not much difference and Michigan has played a much tougher schedule and now Wisconsin adds the added pressure of being one of the top for teams in the National title playoff. Look for a dog fight at Camp Randle this afternoon and grab the points. Take Michigan plus the 7 ½ points. Advanced and Predictive Analytics from Database Systems The following database system query has gone 44-16 ATS hitting 73.3% winners and has made $2,640 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points. With a good scoring defense allowing 14 points or less per game. After allowing 17 points or less in 5 straight games.
Here is a second database system query that has cashed 67.8% and is plus $3,730 wagering $100 per play over the last 10 years. Play against home favorites. After allowing 17 points or less in two straight games. And is now facing a team winning by 21 or more points in their last game.
Here is a Money Line DB query that has produced a record of 30-40 for only 43% winners, BUT has made $5,660 wagering just $100 per play averaging a whopping +322 DOG play since 2008. Play on road underdogs using the money line. After 3 or more consecutive straight up wins. And is now facing an opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Chryst is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a cover as a double digit favorite as the coach of Wisconsin. Methodologies and Cost Saving Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
Ryan’s BIG TEN ‘Upset Alert’ TItan
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11-18-17 | Rutgers v. Indiana -10.5 | Top | 0-41 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Indiana (322) Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on indiana using the line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 39-13 ATS hitting 75% winners and has made $2,470 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play on home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in conference games (INDIANA). With a winning percentage of between 40 to 49% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Rutgers is just 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) when they gain 150 or less net passing yards. Indiana is 29-9 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points. Indiana is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they allow 5 to 5.5 net passing yards/attempt. Rutgers is a money burning 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after gaining 75 or less passing yards in last game. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-18-17 | Texas +3.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Texas (341) Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Texas using the line. Round Table Discussion Points Texas needs a win today or over Texas Tech next week to become bowl eligible. WVU is not in a good spot at all despite a 7-3 record, they face Texas today and then Oklahoma next week to end the season. Passing will be the difference in this game and will be the dominant reason Texas wins this game outright. Texas ranks 34th nationally averaging 274 passing yards per game and will have their way going against a Mountaineer passing defense that ranks 101st and allows 257 yards per game. Texas defense is perhaps the best unit that WVU has faced so far this season. Texas ranks 8th nationally allowing just 3.2 rushing yards per attempt. They have a front 7 that can eliminate WVU ground attack and force them to pass into a solid zone coverage scheme. Texas wins the turnover battle and goes on to win the game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 29-6 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made $2,240 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEXAS). off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. with 4 or more total starters returning than opponent. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Texas is a solid 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards. Texas is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons. WVU is a money losing 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. Holgorsen is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. as the coach of WVU. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-16-17 | Titans v. Steelers -7 | Top | 17-40 | Win | 105 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Pittsburgh Steelers (312) Start Time: Week 11 Thursday, 11/16/2017 8:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager 7 star amount on the Pittsburgh Steelers suing the line.
Round Table Discussion Points With Steelers starting cornerback Joe Haden out, Matthews will likely see a lot of Sensabaugh on the outside. In last week’s matchup against the Colts, Sensabaugh allowed two catches on three passes into his coverage for 22 yards. Mathews averages 1.75 yards per route run and when lined up to the outside right he has caught 14 balls for 174 yards. Sensabaugh lined up on the defense’s left side (right side offensively) in 25 of his 27 coverage snaps last week.
Quinton Spain is expected to play tonight and resume his guard duties for the Titans. This is good news for the Titans, but he will going against one of the best interior defensive linemen in the league. Cameron Howard ranks in the top-3 in numerous categories and ranks 2nd in pass rush productivity. We believe Howard will win this battle and dominate to an extent that may warrant double teaming.
Delanie Walker has really stepped up his game over the last 3 games. Mariotta has a 99 passer rating when targeting him over the last three games. Walker has increased his yards per snap from 1.65 to 2.14 yards per route run. Sean Davis does not have good coverage skills and a player has been targeted against him once every 9.3 snaps. Look for Pittsburgh to mix up the coverages and keep Marriotta guessing if Davis is in man-to-man coverage.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics from Database Systems The following database system query has gone 36-12 ATS hitting 75% winners and has made $2,280 wagering $100 per game since 2014. Play against underdogs or pick (TENNESSEE). After allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Titans are just 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Titans are 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread. Titans are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh is a solid 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. Titans are 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. Titans are an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Roethlisberger is 8-1 ATS against similar teams with WP identical to Pittsburgh (60 to 70%). Methodologies and Cost Saving Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-14-17 | Ohio v. Akron OVER 51.5 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: OVER in the Ohio University - Akron game Start Time: Week 12 Tuesday, 11/14/2017 7:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on the ‘over’.
Round Table Discussion Points Current total is right at 51.5 at the majority of shops. There is a very high probability that Ohio U scores more than 35 points own their own merit. This is not a recommendation to lay on Ohio University. However, if you want a bit more action we do like a 3 star amount put into an action reverse parlay using Ohio U minus the 13 points and the ‘over’.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone hitting winners and has made $ wagering $100 per game since . Play ‘over’ with all teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 in weeks 10 through 13 (OHIO U). After going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Ohio U is a solid 49-17 OVER (+30.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points. Akron is 54-27 OVER (+24.3 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-13-17 | Dolphins v. Panthers -8.5 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Carolina (276) Start Time: Week 10 Monday, 11/13/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount using the line on Carolina.
Round Table Discussion Points Both teams struggle at times to run an efficient scoring offense, but Miami has struggled to put up points all season. We analyze many of our advanced metrics using the foundation ratio of yards-per-point (YPP), which is a measure of offensive efficiency. The lower the ratio the more efficient the team offense. Currently, the Rams lead the NFL with a 11.8 YPP ratio meaning on average they score 1 point for every 11.8 yards the offense gains. The worst, is Cleveland that requires 19.7 yards of offense to score 1 point. Carolina ranks 20th with a 16.8 YPP ratio and Miami 29th with an 18.6 YPP ratio. Miami, though, is dead last in road games YPP with a horrid 27.4 YPP. Carolina has posted a solid 15.9 YPP in their home games. We fully expect Carolina to control the tempo of the game and the clock with long time consuming scoring drives.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 34-3 SU for 92% winners and 22-14 ATS hitting 61% winners and has made $3,000 wagering $100 per game since 1983. The DB system has averaged a -7.4 line and a -152 Money Line play with the average margin of victory nearly 10 points. Play on home favorites using the money line (CAROLINA). Off 2 straight wins against division rivals. And now facing an opponent after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points.
The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Miami is just 2-10 against the money line (-9.6 Units) when they rush for less than 75 yards over the last 2 seasons. Miami is a near-imperfect 1-7 against the money line (-8.3 Units) in road games when they rush for less than 3 yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. Carolina is an outstanding 52-14 against the money line (+40.0 Units) when they allow less than 250 total yard. Carolina is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Carolina is 35-12 ATS (+21.8 Units) vs. poor offensive teams - scoring 17 or less points/game Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-12-17 | Steelers -10 v. Colts | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Pittsburgh (255) Start Time: Week 10 Sunday, 11/12/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on scale of 3 to 10 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount with Pittsburgh using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points Last week the colts got a big win but that was against Tom Savage and his check down style, the colts also may have lost Vontae Davis in that game and lost Malik Hooker for the season the previous game. Now they get to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers who halved owned this series lately. The Steelers bring experienced quarterback Ben Roethlisberger along with big play receiver Antonio Brown and running back Leveon Bell, who is starting to get it going. The Steelers also bring a physicality that the Colts don’t like. In their last game against a physical defense the Colts were beaten 27-0 at home. The Steelers are only giving up 16.4 points per game and the Colts give up close to 29 points. We see the Colts playing from behind in this one and if that is the case Jacoby Brissett will be in for a long afternoon. The Steelers offense is starting to click and this is a good match-up for them. Take the Steelers and lay the 10 points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone hitting winners and has made $ wagering $100 per game since . The system has also averaged an impressive . The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Pittsburgh is 11-1 ATS after gaining 6.5 or more yards per play in previous game the last 3 years. Pittsburgh is 2-0 ATS against Indianapolis over the last 3 years with an average score of 36-8 Pittsburgh is 39-20 ATS (plus 17 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards since 1992. Pittsburgh is a solid 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt. Pittsburgh is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. Colts are 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games when they're outgained by opponents by 0.5 to 1 yards/play. Colts are 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 100-150 yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-12-17 | Browns +11 v. Lions | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Cleveland Start Time: Week 10 Sunday, 11/12/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on the Cleveland Browns.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 49-19 ATS hitting 72% winners and has made $2,810 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play on road teams (CLEVELAND). Poor offensive team scoring 17 or less points-per-game. After allowing 30 points or more last game. Here is a second DB system query that has produced a record of 35-10 ATS for 78% winners and has made $2,400 wagering $100 per play since 1983. Play on road teams (CLEVELAND) in Weeks 10 through 13. After 6 or more consecutive losses.
The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Caldwell is a money losing Caldwell is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game as the coach of Detroit. Detroit is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) facing poor offensive teams scoring 17 or less points/game in the second half of the season. Detroit is just 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) off a double digit road win. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-11-17 | Michigan -17 v. Maryland | Top | 35-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 125 Michigan Start Time: 11-11-2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Michigan using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points Michigan comes into this conference game allowing 17 points per game on the season, while Maryland may be down to their 4th string quarterback for this one. Michigan finally went to the future at quarterback last week as Peters threw for 2 touchdowns with no interceptions last week against Minnesota. Michigan has started to get a ground game going led by Kiran Hingdon who is averaging 6.8 yards per attempt with 10 touchdowns on the season. The last 2 years Michigan has won this game easily 28-0 and 59-3 and we see more of the same against a weak Maryland Defense allowing over 37 points per game. Michigan Defense is close to 200 yards per game better than Maryland so we look for a long afternoon for the Terrapins today. Take Michigan and lay the 16 ½.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics There are a cast of trends producing over 69% to 77% winners and supporting Michigan in this matchup. This database system query has produced 69.3% winners going 61-27 ATS for plus 31.3 units since 1992. Play on road favorites of 14.5 or more points. Off 2 consecutive wins of 10 plus points or more. And are now facing a conference opponent in second half of season.
This database system query has produced 77%winners the last 10 years going 37-11 ATS for plus 25 units. Play on road favorites. After allowing 14 or less points in their last 2 games. And is now facing an opponent allowing 31 plus points in their last 2 games.
This database system query has produced 69.9% winners the last 10 years going 51-22 ATS for plus 26.8 units. Play against home dogs. After losing 5 or 6 of last 7 games. And is now facing an opponent winning 3 of last 4 games.
The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Maryland is a miserable 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt. Maryland is just 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) when they allow 400 to 450 total yards. Maryland is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 150-200 yards Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-11-17 | Georgia v. Auburn +3 | Top | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Auburn (188) Start Time: Week 11 Saturday, 11/11/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Auburn using the line. An alternative is to wager a 4 star amount on the line and a 3 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 23-6 using the Money Line hitting 79% winners and has made $3,210 wagering $100 per game since 1992. The system has also averaged an impressive 167 DOG wager. Play on a home team using the money line (AUBURN). The team is an excellent offensive team scoring more than 34 PPG. And is now facing an excellent defensive team allowing 16 or fewer PPG. After 7 regular season games have been played. And after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Auburn is a solid 37-17 ATS (+18.3 Units) when their defense allows 100 to 150 net passing yards. Auburn is a near-perfect 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game. Auburn is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-11-17 | UL-Lafayette v. Ole Miss OVER 67.5 | Top | 22-50 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: (173) Over 67 1/2 Start Time: 11-11-2017 12:00 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount playing ‘over’ the posted total.
Round Table Discussion Points Both teams come into this game giving up over 37 points per game. Jordan Ta’amu has come in for Shea Patterson and the Rebel passing game has not skipped a beat. Ta’amu has completed over 70% of his passes with 4 touchdowns and one interception in the last 2 games. Ole Miss has balanced receiving with 3 receivers scoring, 7,6,6 touchdowns each on the season and the passing game has opened up running lanes as the Rebels top 2 rushers are averaging over 5 yards per carry. The Rebels step down in class this week against a Cajun defense giving up close to 225 yards per game on the ground and over 250 yards through the air. The Cajuns do bring an offense into the game scoring 29 points per game and should find some success from a soft Rebel defense. The last times these 2 teams played Ole Miss put up 56 points against the Cajuns and Ole Miss seems to score a lot of points in these non-conference games. Look for the scoreboard operator to get some work in this early afternoon game in Oxford. Take Over 67 ½ points in this non-conference game.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game.
Mississippi is 8-1 ATS Over in games this season Mississippi is 7-0 ATS Over in games on grass this season. Mississippi is 8-0 ATS Over after 2 straight conference games the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-10-17 | Washington v. Stanford +6.5 | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
The Play: Stanford (122) Start Time: Week 11 Friday, 11/10/2017 10:30 PM SIM grading: 7 star grading Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on Stanford using the line. An alternative wager is to create a combination bet consisting of a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount on the money line.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Stanford is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.
We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 37-13 ATS hitting 74% winners and has made $2,270 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play against road favorites (WASHINGTON). With an excellent rushing defense allowing 2.75 or less rushing yards-per-carry. After gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards-per-attempt in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Stanford is a solid 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) facing good passing defenses allowing 5.75 or less passing yards-per-attempt. Stanford is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) facing excellent defensive teams allowing 4.25 or less yards-per-play. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-08-17 | Toledo v. Ohio +3 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Ohio University (110) Start Time: Week 11 Wednesday, 11/8/2017 7:00 PM SIM grading: 10 star MAC Conference Game of the Month Recommended Strategy: 10 star wager amount on Ohio University plus the points. An optional alternative wager is to play a 7.5 star amount using the line and a 2.5 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 51-20 ATS hitting 72% winners and has made $2,980 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO U). Quick starting offensive team scoring 16 or more PPG in the first half. After scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Toledo is just 30-75 ATS (-52.5 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Toledo is just 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. Ohio U is a solid 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Ohio U is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Ohio U is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points since 1992. Ohio U is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-06-17 | Lions -2 v. Packers | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Detroit Lions (473) Start Time: Week 9 Monday, 11/6/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play on Detroit minus the points using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 34-11 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made $2,190 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play on road favorites (DETROIT). After 2 or more consecutive losses. With a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. GB is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games facing poor defensive teams allowing 5.65 or more yards-per-play over the last 3 seasons. GB is just 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games facing poor passing defenses allowing 7 or more passing yards-per-attempt.
The SIM shows a very high probability that Detroit will score at least 24 points in this matchup. Packers are a horrid 16-51 ATS for 24% winners when playing at home and the opponent scores 24 or more points. Moreover, they are a similar 3-10 ATS for 23% winners since 2013.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-05-17 | Bucs +7 v. Saints | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Tampa Bay (455) Start Time: Week 9 Sunday, 11/5/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 maximum Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Tampa Bay plus the points. An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Round Table Discussion Points Three Saints offensive linemen did not practice on Wednesday: guard Larry Warford (abdomen), guard Andrus Peat (hip) and tackle Terron Armstead. These relatively minor injuries will have an impact on the new found Saints ground attack. We normally do not use injuries as any reason for supporting a play, but in this case having three OL ‘dinged’ is just not a positive thing for the Saints. Despite being second in the NFL in team passing yards, the Bucs have had trouble putting points on the board. They have executed far better in road games posting a solid 15.6 Yards-per-point (YPP) ratio. We expect TB to perform above their season average and possibly post a season-high in YPP today.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 96-53 hitting 64% winners and has made $3,770 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play on underdogs or pick (TAMPA BAY). That are an average offensive team scoring between 18 to 23 PPG. And is facing an excellent offensive team scoring 27 PPG or more. After scoring 14 points or less last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Saints are just 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. TB is a solid 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. TB is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games when both teams score 20 or more points. TB is 62-30 ATS (+29.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. TB is 20-9 ATS and 5-0 ATS since 2012 in games where they gain 5.0 YPR and had less than 90 rushing yards in the previous game.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-05-17 | Broncos v. Eagles UNDER 41 | Top | 23-51 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 56 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: ‘UNDER’ Start Time: Week 9 Sunday, 11/5/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: play a 7 star amount ‘UNDER’ the posted total.
Round Table Discussion Points A supporting factor to this play is the fact that 65% of the wagers have been playing ‘OVER’ while the line has dropped from an opening of 44 points to a current 41 points. We expect that 34 or fewer points will be scored.
Zack Ertz is not going to active and this is a big loss for the Eagles and their QB Carson Wentz. Ertz ranks 8th in the NFL with 43 catches and ranks second to Travis Kelce (44 catches) for TE. Alshon Jeffery is second on the Eagles and 53rd in the NFL with just 28 catches. This will force the game plan to go to more running plays, especially with new RB Ajayi in town from the recent trade with Miami. However, Denver has a very good defense and ranks best in 3rd down defense in the NFL.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 41-17 ‘under’ hitting 71% winners and has made $2,230 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play ‘UNDER’ with any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (PHILADELPHIA). After 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. After the first month of the season.
In addition, teams that are favored by at least 7 points, were favored in their last game, playing on grass, non-divisional opponent, and facing an opponent that averages better than 3.75 yards-per-rush have gone 27-1 ‘under’ since 2012. That’s a tidy 96.4% winners. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Denver is a near-perfect 9-1 ‘UNDER’ (+7.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Denver is 13-4 UNDER (+8.6 Units) after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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11-04-17 | LSU +21 v. Alabama | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: LSU (413) Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 8:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 maximum Recommended Strategy: Play LSU using the line for a 4 star amount. If you wager $100 per star unit, then this is a $400 star play. If you wager $20 per star unit, then this is am $80 wager.
Round Table Discussion Points I hear gasps that seem to be coming from afar and it must be due to people reading the opening title line of this selection. Seriously, though, this is one of those plays that has an extremely inflated line for many reasons. Public is all over ‘Bama due to the fact that they will be angry at getting the 2 slot in the first playoff ballot. Second is that ‘Bama is coming off of their BYE where they have been 8-3 ATS. This is just two major factors, but is a reason that we have this line priced at 6 points too many. As we know there is far more to our pick selections that just some simple data query like the BYE situation mentioned above. Our yards per point and YPP differentials confirm that LSU’s win over Auburn is no fluke and LSU has nothing to lose in this game. LSU is arguably the worst type of opponent that Alabama can face right now. An opponent that was embarassed by Troy at home and has significantly underperformed over a five game stretch, but a team that has loads of very talented elite players on its’ roster.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has gone 30-5 ATS hitting 86% winners and has $2,450 wagering $100 per game wagered since 2013. Play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (LSU). After having won 4 out of their last 5 games. Team posting a win percentage of 60% to 80%. Playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and the team’s compiled research for the outcome of this game. LSU is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-04-17 | Texas +7 v. TCU | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Texas (381) Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 7:15 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Texas using the line. An alternative strategy is to create a combination wager using a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database system query has gone 33-7 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made $2,530 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play on a road team (TEXAS). After going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games. And is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games. This database system query has produced a 32-7 ASTS mark good for 82% winners since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TCU). Off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more points. In weeks 10 through 13. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Texas is a solid 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards. Texas is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards. Texas is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons. TCU is a money burning 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) when they gain 300 to 350 total yards. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-04-17 | Wake Forest +15 v. Notre Dame | Top | 37-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Wake Forest (393) Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Wake Forest plus the points. An alternative strategy is to create a combination wager using a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database system query has gone 73-33 ATS hitting 69% winners and has made $3,670 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play on road underdogs (WAKE FOREST). After gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. With 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wake Forest is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they commit 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Notre Dame is just 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. Notre Dame is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 points or more. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-04-17 | Georgia State -4 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 21-17 | Push | 0 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 356 Georgia State Start Time: 4:00 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 star maximum Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount ($700 if you wager $100 per star unit) on Georgia State.
We have a couple of trends from our database producing 70 to 81% winners in this Sunbelt contest. Play against home dogs of 3.5 to 10 points. Struggling offensive team scoring between 16.5 and 21 PPG. And is now facing an average defensive team in conference games. This DB system query has produced a record of 28-7 the last 5 years good for 80% winners.
Play on road team in conference games. With 4 plus starters and an experienced Quarterback returning. And is now facing a team starting a new Quarterback from last season. This has produced a record of 91-40 hitting 69.5% winners and plus 47 units.
Play on road favorites. After beating spread by 35 or more points in their last 5 games. And with a winning record. Playing an opponent with a losing record. This has produced 72.2% winners and plus 38 units going 65-25 the last 5 years.
Georgia State is 4-3 on the season and sits one game behind conference leaders Troy and Arkansas State and Georgia Southern is still looking for its first win on the season. The Panthers have won the last 2 games in this series and looking for a third straight. The Panthers also are returning 15 starters from last year’s team and bring a defense who allows over 100 yards less per game against the rush than their opponent today. The Panthers are led by senior Quarterback Connor Manning who has thrown for over 1700 yards, 9 touchdowns and completing 65% of his passes. Georgia Southern has struggled both offensively and defensively on the season scoring 17 points and giving up over 40 points per game. Look for the Panthers to get another win in this matchup this afternoon. Take Georgia State and lay the 4 Points. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-04-17 | Florida +3 v. Missouri | Top | 16-45 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Florida Gators Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount ($300 if you wager $100 per star unit) on Florida plus the points.
Round Table Discussion Points We are expecting the Florida offense to put up a lot of points today. The Tigers are giving up 35.8 points per game on the season and Florida has numerous matchup advantages at the skill positions. We look for the firing of Jim McElwain this week to be a big boost for the Gator Football team the rest of this season. The Gators have announced that Malik Zaire will get the start. We have been stating all year this move would help the Florida offense as Zaire will bring the threat of the run to his very good passing game. This is a great match up for him in his first start against a soft Missouri defense. Florida has the much better defense and we believe the Gator offensive efficiency metrics will improve significantly. The Gators won 21-3 in their last visit to Columbia and easily won last year 40-14 in the swamp and from a personnel standpoint not much has changed. Missouri offense has been rolling the last couple of weeks, but it faces a much stricter test this week. Look for a hungry bunch of Gators this afternoon. Take Florida and grab the points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.
FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt since 1992. FLORIDA is 128-49 ATS (+74.1 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. MISSOURI is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-04-17 | Wisconsin v. Indiana +13 | Top | 45-17 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Indiana Indiana (368) Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: play a 7 star amount on Indiana plus the points. An alternative strategy is to create a combination wager using a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database system query has gone 58-25 ATS hitting 70% ATS winners and has made $3,050 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (WISCONSIN). That is an excellent defensive team allowing fewer than 16 PPG. And is now facing an average defensive team allowing 21 to 28 points. After 7 or more games. And after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-03-17 | UCLA +7 v. Utah | Top | 17-48 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: UCLA (321) Start Time: Week 10 Friday, 11/3/2017 9:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play sa 7 star amount using the line on UCLA. An alternative wager is to create a combination wager consisting of a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, UCLA is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” ( and also with combination wagers) and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.
We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 91-40 hitting 70% winners and has made $4,700 wagering just $100 per game since 2013. Play on a road team (UCLA). In conference games. With 4 or more total starters and an experienced QB returning against team with a new QB.
The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCLA is a solid 102-50 ATS (+47.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. Whittingham is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of Utah. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-02-17 | Bills v. Jets +3.5 | Top | 21-34 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: NY Jets (308) BUFFALO (5 - 2) at NY JETS (3 - 5) Start Time: 8:20 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on the Ny jets using the line. Optional alternative is to create a combination wager using a 5* amount on the line and a 2* amount using the money line. However, the money line must be at +135 or higher for this to be validated based on ROI analysis.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 22-7 for 76% winners and has made $1,630 wagering $100 per play since 1983. Play on all teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (NY JETS). After 5 or more consecutive wins against the spread. In November games.
This database query has produced games that have gone 7-1 ATS over the last five seasons. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Buffalo is just 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992. Jets are a solid 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games off a home loss. Jets are 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games after playing a game at home.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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10-29-17 | Cowboys v. Redskins +3 | Top | 33-19 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Washington (270) Start Time: 4:25 PM ET SIM grading: 10 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 10 star amount on Washington using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 29-8 ATS hitting 78% winners and has made $2,020 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS). After beating the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game. With the game taking place in weeks 5 through 9.
Here is another database query that has gone 23-7 for 77% winners and has made $1,740 wagering $100 per play since 2007. PLay on all teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (WASHINGTON). After a loss by 10 or more points. Against an opponent after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest (Coming off road loss at Philadelphia) over the last 2 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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10-29-17 | 49ers +13 v. Eagles | Top | 10-33 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: San Francisco (259) Start Time: 1:00 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on the 49ers using the line. So, if you wager $100 per star unit, this is a $700 wager in total.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has gone 26-4 hitting 87% winners and has made $2,160 wagering just $100 per game since 2007. Play on underdogs of 10.5 or more points (SAN FRANCISCO). After a loss by 14 or more points. And is now facing an opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game.
Here is a second database query that has produced a 29-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2007. Play on road teams (SAN FRANCISCO). Slow starting offensive team scoring 7 or less PPG in the first half. After allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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10-29-17 | Chargers v. Patriots UNDER 49 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 1 h 7 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: UNDER Patriots-Chargers Start Time: 1:00 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 maximum Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on the ‘under’.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has gone 100-55 ‘UNDER’ hitting 65% winners and has made $3,950 wagering $100 per play since 1983. Play ‘Under’ the posted total with road teams. Where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (LA CHARGERS). After 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers. Also, what to mention that the Chargers are 13-6 ‘under’ 71% winners in a non-division game coming off a home game where their previous opponent total of 3rd down conversions was less than 31% of the opponents total first downs. This ratio has been a very important metric and does reflect how a defense is performing on critical game situations.
The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Chargers are 46-25 UNDER (+18.5 Units) when they allow 3.5 to 4 rushing yards per attempt Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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10-28-17 | TCU -6 v. Iowa State | Top | 7-14 | Loss | -118 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: TCU (193) Start Time: Week 9 Saturday, 10/28/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 10 stars out of 10 star maximum Recommended Strategy: Wager a 10 star amount on TCU using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points Kenny Hill has been having an outstanding season for TCU completing 70% of his passes with15 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on the season. The Horned Frog ground game has been producing scoring 13 Touchdowns and averaging over 5 yards per carry. They also bring a balanced passing game and the best defense in the conference. This defense was able to shut down Mason Rudolph and the high flying Oklahoma State offense earlier this year. Iowa State has played well all season and had the big comeback win against Oklahoma and the public has taken notice. TCU just takes care of business and is 7-0 on the season. We look for a big defensive effort in Ames this afternoon similar to what Texas did holding Iowa State offense in check and to 7 points. TCU should be well prepared for the Cyclone attack and has won the last 3 in this series handedly and we look for more of the same this afternoon. Take TCU and lay the 6 ½ Points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has gone 25-2 ATS hitting 93% winners and has made $2,280 wagering $100 per qualified play since 2007. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TCU). Off 3 or more consecutive ‘unders’. And with a good first half defense allowing 8 or less points per game.
Both teams are similar in all of the major metrics we create and interpret with TCU ranked higher in all of them. Iowa State is close to TCU in the majority of the rankings, but in not one are they ranked higher than TCU.
The one exception is 3rd down conversions where TCU ranks best in the nation converting 55% of those third down opportunities into first downs. ISU ranks 78th in the nation converting 37% of their third down conversions. Keeping the chains moving in drives by converting third downs is a monumental metric, to say the least. In addition, TCU runs the ball on 57% of their plays, which keeps the clock rolling and gives them an even greater advantage in TOP. ISU may come out flying with tons of energy in the first quarter, but over the course of the game, TCU will wear them down.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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10-28-17 | Penn State +7 v. Ohio State | Top | 38-39 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Penn State Start Time: Week 9 Saturday, 10/28/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 star maximum Recommended Strategy: Play PSU for a 7 star amount on the line. Alternative wager is to play a 5 star amount on PSU using the line and a 2 star amount on the money line. This combination wager exploits the expectation that PSU will win this game.
Round Table Discussion Points Penn State has played a more difficult schedule to date than Ohio State. PSU is undefeated coming off a monumental destruction of Michigan that does have a strong team with a very good defense. OSU lost badly to Oklahoma at home earlier this year.
The Yards Per Point (YPP) metric is a valuable tool for sports handicappers and professional bettors. The offensive version of YPP (OYYP) reveals how efficient a team is scoring points. The lower the number the better as it takes fewer yards to score points. Conversely, the defensive measure of YPP (DYPP) reveals how stingy or soft any defensive unit is when facing any type of offense. The more points per point, the stronger the defense. Of course, then we can use the offensive and defensive differential to reveal team rankings and good solid drill-down to team valuation.
So if two teams are from the same conference, then there is a presumed equality of SOS implied. Let’s now take a quick look at Penn State versus Ohio State, which is essentially the BIG Ten matchup of the year. Penn State ranks 5th posting an 11.6 OYYP ratio while OSU ranks 12th in DYYP allowing one point for every 19.8 yards allowed. On the other side of the ball, we see that PSU ranks best in DYYP allowing one point for every 29.6 yards allowed and OSU ranks 18th scoring one point for every 12.2 yards gained.
Ohio State has been coming on since their horrid loss at home to Oklahoma earlier this season. Over their last three games, they have posted a 15.3 differential reflecting much improved performances on both sides of the ball. Penn State has performed at superior levels for the entire season and are actually getting better on defense. These observations are not being mentioned in the media and by itself offers you a betting advantage for this matchup.
Then there is McSorely, the heart and soul of the offense, who is scrappy at times, and will do whatever it takes to will his team to a win. This is how the entire team plays on both sides of the ball and special teams. This team had been behind at the half in nearly all of the big games last season. They have corrected that problem this year and will not be intimidated by the crowd noise of the importance of the game.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has shown a 61-23 ATS record hitting 73% ATS winners since 2013. Wagering just $100 per qualified game, has produced a total profit of $3,570. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO ST). After a win by 17 or more points. And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game. The following database query has shown a 44-16 ATS record hitting 73% ATS winners since 2007. Wagering just $100 per qualified game, has produced a total profit of $2,640. Play on road underdogs (PENN ST). In a game involving two good rushing teams with both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG. And after 7 or more games have been played. and after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. PSU is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when they score 29 to 35 points. PSU is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play. OSU is just 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att. PSU is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 2 seasons. PSU is a perfect 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. PSU is a perfect 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons. PSU is a perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a win by 17 or more points over the last 2 seasons. PSU is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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10-28-17 | Air Force v. Colorado State -10 | Top | 45-28 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 168 Colorado State Start Time: Week 9 Saturday, 10/28/2017 3:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Colorado State using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points Mike Bobo and the Colorado State Rams come into this one sitting on top of the MWC Mountain division one game ahead of Boise State. CSU Quarterback Nick Stevens is having a solid year for the Rams completing 63% of his passes, throwing 20 Touchdowns to only 6 interceptions on the season. Leading Receiver Michael Gallup already has a thousand yards on the season. The Rams also bring a solid running attack with both rushers averaging over 5 yards per carry. The Rams offense has been scoring 35 points per game and was able to move the ball against Alabama. The Rams will be looking to avenge a loss to their in state rivals last year and we look for more of what happened the last time these 2 teams met on this field where CSU one easily by 15 points as a underdog. CSU faced an option attack last week and should be well prepared for the Air Force schemes this afternoon. Air Force has been allowing opponents to score 33 plus points per game this season and have been coming back from big deficits this season. The toll of the season is taking an effect on the Falcon defense and we do not feel that Colorado State will let up in this one. Look for a big home effort by the Rams this afternoon as they get the easy win and stay on top of the Conference standings. Take Colorado State and lay the 10 ½ points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 51-19 ATS hitting 73% winners since 1992. Wagering $100 would have made a total profit of $3,000. Play on home team after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. And is now facing an opponent allowing 5.5 or more yards per attempt. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. CSU is 9-2 ATS when they gain 9 or more passing yards per attempt the last 3 years. CSU is 98-38 ATS when scoring 28 or more points since 1992. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. |
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10-26-17 | Dolphins v. Ravens -3 | Top | 0-40 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Baltimore (102) Start Time: Week 8 Thursday, 10/26/2017 8:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Baltimore using the line. Sim projects a high probability that Baltimore will win this game by 6 or more points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has produced 39-12 ATS winners hitting 77% winners and has made $2,580 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on any team. After being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games. And with the current game being played in the first half of the season. Here is a second database query that plays against Miami and has produced a 29-7 ATS mark for 80.6% winners and has made $100 players a total of $2,130 since 2007. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3. After going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games. With a winning record on the season.
The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Harbaugh is a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of Baltimore. Harbaugh is also a strong 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off 3 or more consecutive ‘overs’ as the coach of Baltimore. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Baltimore tonight.
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10-26-17 | Toledo v. Ball State +26 | Top | 58-17 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Ball State (104) Start Time: Week 9 Thursday, 10/26/2017 7:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10. Recommended Strategy: Take Ball State and the points, with a line currently at +25.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 10-15 ATS hitting 73% winners and has made $2,350 wagered since 2013. Play on a home team (BALL ST). After 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread. And now facing an opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toledo is just 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Ball State. |
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10-23-17 | Redskins +5 v. Eagles | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Washington (477) Start Time: Week 7 Monday, 10/23/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Washington using the line. The current line shows Washington at + 4 or + 4 1/2 .
A second opportunity tis to exploit the upset potential of this matchup. Lace a 5 star amount using the line and a 2 star amount using the money line. This wager is what we have coined as the ‘Combination Wager’.
Round Table Discussion Points
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Washington is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.
We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query returns a 29-7 ATS record good for 81% winners and has made $2, 130 per $100 wager since 2008 inclusive. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (WASHINGTON). That are excellent passing team averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/attempt. And after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games. Over the past 3 season, this query has produced a 11-3 ATS mark good for 79% winners. This reflects the consistent performance and validity of the query. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Redskins are a solid 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus excellent rushing defenses allowing 70 or fewer rushing yards/game. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Redskins tonight. |
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