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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-25-15 | Texas Rangers v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8 | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm not a fan of Colby Lewis nor C.J. Wilson. Both have bad histories against their respective opponents here. It's also a golden spot for Albert Pujols to break out of his season-long slump and for Mike Trout to get hot again. |
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04-25-15 | Golden State Warriors v. New Orleans Pelicans +7 | Top | 109-98 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Golden State wins games. But the Warriors don't cover point spreads. They are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games, 0-6 during their past six matchups. |
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04-24-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 204 | Top | 73-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
This total would make more sense if it were a regular season game. It's not, though. This is playoff basketball and it comes following an overtime game two nights ago. |
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04-24-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Two mediocre pitchers, two good offenses and a clear night at a hitter's park should spell over the total here. |
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04-23-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks +3 | 113-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
The Bucks improved by 26 games from last season after finishing with an NBA-worst 15-67 record two seasons ago. They are well-coached, have a good bench and are past their early playoff jitters. This is an effort-team with heart. |
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04-23-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Boston Celtics OVER 203.5 | Top | 103-95 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Boston doesn't have the height or any kind of defensive stopper to prevent LeBron James and Kyrie Irving from penetrating and either scoring inside or dishing off for open look jumpers. The Cavaliers have made 52 percent of their two-point shots in the series and that's with Kevin Love hitting only 8-of-22 from the floor. Love should pick up his scoring making Cleveland's offense even more deadly in this game. |
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04-22-15 | Houston Astros v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
This total opened too low in a pitching matchup of Roberto Hernandez versus J.A. Happ. These are bottom of the rotation starters who are lucky to be on big league rosters. Their ERA's look OK now so we have a fairly low total. But that window is going to close fast. |
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04-22-15 | Texas Rangers +108 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
Arizona has been overachieving. The Diamondbacks are 7-7, but they are worse than a .500 team. |
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04-22-15 | Portland Trailblazers v. Memphis Grizzlies -6 | Top | 82-97 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
Memphis beat Portland, 100-86, in Sunday's Game 1 playoff game. I see the Grizzlies winning again by double digits at home in Game 2. The Trail Blazers have a key injury, are suffering from lack of confidence and do not match well against the physical Grizzlies. The Grizzlies could have buried the Trail Blazers by even more as they led by 24 points entering the final quarter. Memphis owns Portland. The Grizzlies have won and covered all five meetings this season, winning three of them by double-digits. Portland is 0-4 ATS in its last four visits to FedEx Forum.  This is where the Trail Blazers really miss Wesley Matthews, their highly underrated, all-purpose swingman. The Grizzlies are able to clamp down on Damian Lillard while their tall, bruising front court players keep LaMarcus Aldridge in check. The Trail Blazers don't have any other consistent scoring weapons. C.J. McCollum certainly isn't ready for prime time and Arron Afflalo has missed the past four games with a sore shoulder. Even if he plays today his shooting can't be relied upon. Not only did Mike Conley show he could deal with his painful right heel that had kept him out of the last four games of the regular season, but defensive whiz Tony Allen also played strong, too, in Game 1 for the Grizzlies in his first action since March 27. Allen had three steals. Conley should perform even better now that he knocked some of the rust off. Backup Grizzlies point guard Beno Udrih, meanwhile, has been playing extremely well. He had 20 points, seven assists, seven rebounds and did not turn the ball over in 24:12 minutes of action in Game 1. The Grizzlies ranked No. 2 in fewest points allowed per game during the season. Portland is a finesse team, extremely vulnerable to the physical Grizzlies. Lillard missed 16 of 21 shots from the floor and had only three assists in nearly 40 minutes. Portland could manage just six fastbreak points in Game 1 as the Grizzlies controlled tempo. That's not going to change here. If anything it's going to get worse judging by the matchup issues the Trail Blazers face and their sagging body language, which shows a realistic lack of faith against this opponent in this tough setting.   |
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04-21-15 | Texas Rangers v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 7-1 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Don't be fooled by Nick Martinez's first two starts. His stats are misleading. He's not a strong prospect and only made Texas' starting rotation because of injuries. Martinez had a 4.55 ERA last year and his strikeout rate and groundball rate are down this season. He's been highly lucky to have stranded 14 runners this year. The Rangers carry a heavy bullpen fatigue rating, too. |
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04-21-15 | San Diego Padres v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 10 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
Let's start with the injuries where three key offensive stars could be out. |
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04-21-15 | Washington Wizards v. Toronto Raptors OVER 191 | Top | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
You would think each of these teams could reach 96 points. I do. . |
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04-20-15 | Houston Astros v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
Hisashi Iwakuma isn't pitching well enough to have a total this low and Houston rookie Asher Wojciechowski hasn't proven worthy yet of having an over/under this low. |
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04-20-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 187 | Top | 82-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
The Bulls beat the Bucks, 103-91, in Game 1 of the series for a combined 194 points. There were 59 points scored during the first quarter. After that the teams settled down to average 45 points a quarter during the final three quarters. If the scoring pace for the last three periods of Game 1 follows form the combined total would be 180. |
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04-20-15 | Milwaukee Bucks +8 v. Chicago Bulls | 82-91 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
The Bucks are going to come hard at the Bulls here. The intensity level has risen. Points should be hard to come by. |
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04-20-15 | New York Yankees v. Detroit Tigers -112 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an extremely short price to get the Tigers, who not only have home field but are better offensively and defensively than New York and have a bullpen far less taxed than the Yankees. |
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04-19-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 205 | Top | 92-107 | Loss | -115 | 58 h 57 m | Show |
The last time these teams met was at Staples Center on Feb. 19. The Clippers won, 119-115, for a combined 234 points. DeAndre Jordan missed 18 free throws in 28 attempts during that game. |
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04-19-15 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers -11 | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 47 h 27 m | Show | |
Cleveland closed 33-9 and in my view is the best team in the Eastern Conference. Nothing less than a championship is the Cavaliers' goal. So Cleveland doesn't want to mess around with Boston. |
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04-19-15 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 203 | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Look for LeBron James and Kyrie Irving to take advantage of Boston's lack of size by aggressively driving to the hoop. Nobody goes to the hoop stronger than James - and the Celtics lack the interior defense to stop him. Cleveland basically scored at will versus Boston when James played against them this season. |
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04-19-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins +120 | 2-7 | Win | 120 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm not sold on the Indians as a road favorite in this spot. Cleveland is averaging 2.7 runs in its last four games and is minus injured catcher Yan Gomes. |
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04-18-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls -7.5 | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 32 h 7 m | Show | |
Much is being made of Derrick Rose's sore knee, but the Bulls don't need Rose to be on his "A" game to cover this number against the Bucks. |
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04-18-15 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
Hard-throwing Danny Salazar is back up for the Indians and indications are he now has the maturity and command to hold a secure spot in Cleveland's starting rotation. |
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04-17-15 | Baltimore Orioles +121 v. Boston Red Sox | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
I envision Joe Kelly, still getting acclimated to the American League, having problems against Baltimore's strong offense. Adam Jones is on a roll with four homers and nine RBIs during the past six games. |
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04-17-15 | Miami Marlins +127 v. New York Mets | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
The due factor is due to hit the Mets here. The Mets have been overachieving and face the Marlins today with heavy bullpen fatigue and minus David Wright. |
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04-17-15 | Atlanta Braves +136 v. Toronto Blue Jays | 8-7 | Win | 136 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
There is some nice value for taking the Braves and Julio Teheran against Drew Hutchinson and the Blue Jays. |
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04-16-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Washington Nationals OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
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04-15-15 | Kansas City Royals -123 v. Minnesota Twins | 1-3 | Loss | -123 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Royals are 7-0. The Twins are 1-6 and a dreadful 1-6 at that. The price remains low enough to keep fading Minnesota while backing the unbeaten Royals. |
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04-15-15 | Detroit Pistons -6 v. New York Knicks | Top | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Detroit is 14 games better than New York. The Pistons average seven more points per game than the Knicks. Â |
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04-15-15 | Boston Celtics v. Milwaukee Bucks -4 | 105-100 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
On the surface this game is meaningless as both Boston and Milwaukee have clinched playoff berths. |
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04-14-15 | Los Angeles Angels v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | 2-8 | Win | 107 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
A pitching matchup of rookie Drew Rucinski, a converted reliever making his first start, versus Nick Martinez should provide double-digit runs. |
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04-14-15 | Toronto Raptors +2.5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 93-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
First of all, this line has moved considerably since I first put it out. I like Toronto - even as a short favorite - but I would only recommend the Raptors as a one unit wager now since the early value has been lost. Here is my analysis on the game: Outstanding job by the Celtics this season to make the playoffs. But the young Celtics aren't better than Toronto and will be hard-pressed not to avoid a letdown after clinching a playoff spot last night when the Nets lost to the Bulls. |
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04-13-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Sacramento Kings -3.5 | 92-102 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
This is bad on bad, but the Lakers are worse than the Kings and really don't want to win due to lottery positioning. |
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04-13-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Utah Jazz -10.5 | Top | 92-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Utah cares about this game - with triple revenge motivation and this being its last home game of the season. |
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04-13-15 | Kansas City Royals -126 v. Minnesota Twins | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
The Royals are 6-0 and the Twins are 1-5, and that's a bad 1-5, too. |
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04-13-15 | Washington Nationals +108 v. Boston Red Sox | 4-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Jordan Zimmerman is far superior to Rick Porcello. The Red Sox are traveling after playing on Sunday night and have lost 21 of their last 29 home games. |
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04-12-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5 v. Indiana Pacers | Top | 104-116 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
This matchup should have a playoff-type intensity with both teams desperately needing to win in their respective bids to earn a postseason berth - and I want the points with the Western Conference team. |
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04-12-15 | Sacramento Kings +10 v. Denver Nuggets | 111-122 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Sacramento has key injuries. DeMarcus Cousins and Rudy Gay - the Kings' two best players by far - are both out. |
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04-12-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Milwaukee Brewers -120 | 10-2 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Both teams are out of the gates slow at 1-4. The Pirates may be without their best player, Andrew McCutchen, for a second straight game. He's dealing with soreness in his left knee. |
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04-11-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 213.5 | 101-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
All trends point to an under here and so does the situation. |
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04-11-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
I see the Dodgers rebounding in a big way after losing to Arizona last night. Clayton Kershaw is the best pitcher in baseball and he's opposed by Archie Bradley, who is making his first big league start. |
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04-11-15 | Philadelphia 76ers +14.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 107-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
This is an awkward spot for the Bulls. They just returned home following a three-game road trip that culminated in a satisfying victory two days ago against Miami. Following this game, the Bulls have a more challenging matchup on Monday at Brooklyn. This is Chicago's lone home matchup during a one-week span. |
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04-10-15 | Memphis Grizzlies -3 v. Utah Jazz | Top | 89-88 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is the first of a three-game road trip for the Grizzlies, who are locked into a close race for playoff seeding in the West. Memphis could tumble all the way from being the No. 2 seed to being the sixth seed. That could happen if the Grizzlies lose here. |
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04-10-15 | Phoenix Suns v. New Orleans Pelicans -9 | 75-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
It's official now. The Suns aren't making the playoffs for the fifth consecutive season. |
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04-10-15 | Boston Red Sox v. New York Yankees -102 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
I'm high on Nathan Eovaldi. He's a hard-thrower with a lot of potential that could come out with the right pitching coach. I believe he's found that with the Yankees. |
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04-09-15 | Chicago Bulls +1 v. Miami Heat | Top | 89-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
Both teams have playoff incentive. Miami is favored because its home and Chicago is playing without rest. |
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04-08-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves +17 v. Portland Trail Blazers | 91-116 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Minnesota has a cluster injury problem. The plus to that, though, is the Timberwolves have motivated youngsters playing for their futures with fresh legs. They also have probable Rookie-of-the-Year Andrew Wiggins, who has scored 20 or more points in seven of his last eight games, and veteran sharpshooter Kevin Martin, who scored 37 points last night. |
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04-08-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 | 74-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a big game for both teams, but the situation is ripe for Memphis. |
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04-08-15 | Atlanta Hawks +6 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The perception is the Hawks are going to roll over for the Nets. That's not going to be the case here. |
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04-07-15 | San Diego Padres +153 v. Los Angeles Dodgers | Top | 7-3 | Win | 153 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
Zach Greinke has had great success versus the Padres. But Greinke dealt with some elbow issues during the off-season and will be facing nearly an entirely new Padres lineup. One of San Diego's new players is Justin Upton, who has a career .500 batting average and .611 on-base percentage versus Greinke. |
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04-07-15 | Los Angeles Lakers +17.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
These two teams just met this past Sunday and the Clippers blew out the Lakers, 106-78. That game opened as low as Clippers minus 11 1/2. Now look at where the point spread is. |
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04-06-15 | Cleveland Indians -123 v. Houston Astros | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -123 | 21 h 34 m | Show |
This is a short price to not only get the superior team in the Indians, but also Corey Kluber. |
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04-06-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Kansas City Royals OVER 7.5 | 1-10 | Win | 102 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
Both teams have improved their offenses, especially the White Sox. Chicago has added Adam LaRoche and Melky Cabrera plus Adam Eaton is healthy. |
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04-05-15 | Los Angeles Clippers -12.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 106-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
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04-04-15 | Michigan State v. Duke -5.5 | Top | 61-81 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
A lot has changed since Duke defeated Michigan State by 10 points back on Nov. 18 in the Champions Classic. |
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04-03-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Sacramento Kings +6 | Top | 101-95 | Push | 0 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
All the attention and focus for this matchup is on New Orleans. The Pelicans have won three in a row and are battling hard with Oklahoma City for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. |
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04-01-15 | Chicago Bulls -4.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks | Top | 91-95 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 49 m | Show |
The Bulls are in the hunt for the No. 2 playoff seed in the East. The Bucks are trying to hold on for a playoff spot. Not only is there a major class difference between these two teams, but the Bulls are in much better current form. |
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03-31-15 | Stanford -2 v. Old Dominion | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 39 h 23 m | Show | |
I want the Pac-12 team going for me here at this short point spread range against Old Dominion of Conference USA. The Monarchs joined Conference USA just two years ago making the jump from the Colonial Athletic Association. |
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03-31-15 | Stanford v. Old Dominion UNDER 138 | Top | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 39 h 20 m | Show |
This is too high of a total with Old Dominion involved even with the new shot clock rule in place. The Monarchs play at an extremely slow pace and are very strong defensively. Only seven teams in the country gave up fewer points per game than Old Dominion, which has held foes to 56.8 points a game.  |
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03-31-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 199 | Top | 106-111 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
Frank Vogel is one of the more underrated coaches in the NBA. The Pacers have always been strong defensively under Vogel. They rank fifth this season in giving up the fewest points per game and are fourth in defensive field goal percentage. |
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03-30-15 | Utah Jazz v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 185.5 | Top | 104-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
Utah's defense has slipped. The Jazz are allowing an average of 98 points in regulation during their last five games. |
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03-30-15 | Boston Celtics v. Charlotte Hornets UNDER 195.5 | 116-104 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
These teams are more about defense than offense. Both are digging hard to make the playoffs so I'm expecting an intense matchup with a lot of defensive emphasis. |
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03-29-15 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Phoenix Suns -115 | 109-97 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
This is the Suns' season if they want to make the playoffs. Oklahoma City won't have the desperation Phoenix does with a 2 1/2-game lead on the Pelicans and three-game lead on the Suns for the final playoff spot in the West. |
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03-29-15 | Memphis Grizzlies +8 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 89-103 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
First off, this isn't a fade on San Antonio. The Spurs are making their move playing their best basketball with Kawhi Leonard healthy and Tony Parker at long last stepping up his game. |
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03-29-15 | Philadelphia 76ers +17 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | 86-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
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03-28-15 | Denver Nuggets +9 v. Portland Trail Blazers | Top | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
The Nuggets are a much improved team since Melvin Hunt replaced clueless Brian Shaw. Denver is 8-6 under Hunt and can prove dangerous in the right spot. |
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03-28-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 201 | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Golden State is averaging 112.6 points per game in its last six games and now Klay Thompson has regained his shooting touch. |
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03-27-15 | Utah Jazz v. Denver Nuggets OVER 188.5 | 91-107 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
Utah's defense has slipped. The Jazz are giving up 101.3 points per game during their last three games. |
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03-27-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. San Antonio Spurs -8.5 | Top | 76-94 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
I can't see San Antonio losing for the second time in three nights to Dallas. |
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03-27-15 | NC State +3 v. Louisville | Top | 65-75 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
I had North Carolina State upsetting Villanova as the Wolfpack were my sleeper team to reach the Final Four - and I'm not getting off them now against a bogus Louisville team whose backcourt is way inferior to North Carolina State's minus Chris Jones. |
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03-27-15 | Detroit Pistons v. Orlando Magic OVER 197 | 111-97 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
Detroit has scored at least 105 points in four of its last five games. This scoring burst has coincided with Greg Monroe being out. Reggie Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Andre Drummond have all been thriving offensively since Monroe went out. |
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03-26-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 186.5 | Top | 107-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
Both teams were playing better defense when they met two weeks ago in Indiana. The Pacers won that meeting, 109-103, in overtime. But if you discount the overtime, there were 192 points scored in regulation, which went above the 188 closing over/under. |
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03-26-15 | North Carolina v. Wisconsin UNDER 145.5 | Top | 72-79 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
The marketplace has been betting this total up partly because rugged 6-foot-9 North Carolina forward Kennedy Meeks isn't likely to play because of a knee sprain. Meeks leads the Tar Heels in blocked shots, but he also averages better than 11 points a game and is North Carolina's most accurate shooter making 56.5 percent of his field goals. |
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03-25-15 | Sacramento Kings +8 v. Phoenix Suns | 108-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Sacramento has won three in a row. Phoenix has won four straight. So something has to give. |
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03-25-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Memphis Grizzlies +2 | 111-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Cleveland is hot winning 27 of its last 33. The Cavaliers are comfortably in second place in the Eastern Conference with little chance of moving up or down. |
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03-25-15 | Miami Heat +5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 93-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
Expect the Heat to play hard in order to make amends for blowing a 16-point fourth-quarter lead last night on the road against the Bucks in an 89-88 loss. Milwaukee pulled out the victory on a 3-pointer by Khris Middleton at the buzzer. |
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03-25-15 | Murray State +2 v. Old Dominion | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
Murray State won the CIT Tournament last year and has its sights set on winning the NIT this year. The Racers are tournament tested having lost only one player from last season. The Racers have covered seven of the last nine times on the road going against a foe with a winning home mark. |
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03-24-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 207.5 | 122-108 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Portland ranks fifth in defensive field goal percentage. Golden State is No. 1 in defensive field goal percentage. |
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03-24-15 | Los Angeles Lakers +10.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | Top | 117-127 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
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03-24-15 | Miami (FL) v. Richmond -2 | Top | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
Richmond is playing its best basketball winning eight of its last nine games. The Spiders are 7-1-1 ATS during this span. They have won a school-record 16 home games this season. Miami has the disadvantage of not only being on the road but facing an unorthodox opponent on short preparation time having played this past Saturday. Richmond has a unique style with a matchup-zone defense and Princeton offense with lots of motion and backdoor cuts. The Hurricanes rely on their 3-point shooting. However, point guard Angel Rodriguez missed practice on Monday and isn't likely to play due to an injured wrist. Richmond ranks 29th in the country in 3-point defensive percentage. The Spiders also are 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a point spread cover. |
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03-23-15 | Colorado v. Seattle UNDER 143 | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
The under has cashed the past seven times in Seattle's home games. It's easy to see why. The last nine games played in Seattle have averaged less than a combined 107 points per game. |
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03-23-15 | Illinois State +3.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 49-50 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
Illinois State solidly beat Old Dominion this season. The Missouri Valley Conference, which Illinois State is a member of, was strong this season. Old Dominion could be without its best player. |
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03-23-15 | Boston Celtics v. Brooklyn Nets OVER 203 | 110-91 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Scoring is up, defense is down for both of these teams. |
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03-22-15 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 192.5 | 87-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Here we have two lottery teams with nothing to lose. The 76ers are used to playing half-court Eastern Conference ball. Now they get to play an up-tempo Western Conference team that doesn't play defense. The Lakers rank 28th in points allowed per game and defensive field goal percentage. |
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03-22-15 | Michigan State v. Virginia -5 | Top | 60-54 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
This is not one of Tom Izzo's stronger Michigan State teams. The Spartans have flaws - lacking stars and poor free throw shooting to name two. They are going up against the top defensive team in the country. |
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03-21-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Memphis Grizzlies -3.5 | 86-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Both teams played last night. The Trail Blazers lost to the Magic and Memphis upset Dallas on the road by 11 points. |
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03-21-15 | Chicago Bulls -2 v. Detroit Pistons | Top | 91-107 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
The Bulls have been up and down. Now they are on an up cycle. They've won two in a row beating the Pacers and Raptors at home. Taj Gibson returned in last night's 16-point victory against the Raptors after missing the past 10 games with an elbow injury. All-Star guard Jimmy Butler could return tonight. |
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03-21-15 | NC State +9.5 v. Villanova | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
Nothing against Villanova. The Wildcats are very good. I just don't believe North Carolina State is getting enough respect here. The Wolfpack don't have any major weaknesses. They are a tough ACC team and have proven resilient coming from a late 14-point second half deficit to beat LSU in their opening round NCAA Tournament game. |
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03-21-15 | Ohio State v. Arizona UNDER 139 | 58-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Arizona wasn't thrilled allowing Texas Southern to score 72 points. I'm expecting a stronger Wildcats' defensive effort against Ohio State. |
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03-21-15 | UAB v. UCLA -5.5 | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
UCLA is coming on. The Bruins' young talent has come together winning five of their last six with their only defeat coming to Arizona in the Pac-12 Conference Tournament. |
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03-20-15 | Dayton v. Providence -3 | Top | 66-53 | Loss | -109 | 33 h 27 m | Show |
Dayton can't match Providence's height, nor the talent level of the Friars' two major stars - Kris Dunn and LaDontae Henton. |
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03-20-15 | Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 v. Dallas Mavericks | 112-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have had two full days to stew about their loss to Detroit this past Tuesday. The Pistons ended a 10-game losing streak with that victory. |
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03-20-15 | Davidson +2 v. Iowa | 52-83 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
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03-20-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 202 | 92-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Indiana is an excellent defensive team ranking third in the league in fewest points per game and defensive field goal percentage. Now word has come down that LeBron James missed the shoot around today because he was ill. Obviously it would be another huge plus to the under if he didn't play. |
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03-20-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Orlando Magic OVER 199 | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Orlando's defense has slipped again. The Magic are giving up an average of 112.3 points per game during their last three games. |
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03-20-15 | Cal-Irvine v. Louisville -8 | 55-57 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
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03-19-15 | Eastern Washington +8 v. Georgetown | 74-84 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
Georgetown is nothing special and has a recent history of playing poorly in the NCAA Tournament. |
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03-19-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Phoenix Suns -105 | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
The Suns aren't going to have Brandon Knight nor Alex Len back for this game. They aren't likely to make the playoffs either. |
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03-19-15 | Stephen Austin v. Utah -6.5 | 50-57 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
Don't get caught up in any hype about Stephen F. Austin being a Cinderella team. Utah isn't taking the Lumberjacks lightly after Stephen F. Austin upset VCU in the first round of the NCAA Tournament last year. |
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03-19-15 | Texas -123 v. Butler | Top | 48-56 | Loss | -123 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
This year's version of Butler isn't as good as the Brad Stevens' teams of the past. The Bulldogs are just 4-4 in their last eight games and don't match up well to Texas. |
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03-18-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 208 | 95-114 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
The Hawks downed the Warriors, 124-116, when the teams met last month. I expect far more defensive intensity in this rematch in a battle of the two teams with the best records. |
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