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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-20-16 | Rays v. Rockies +100 | Top | 11-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
Chris Archer is on his way to a 20-lose season and has shown no signs of reverting back to last season's All-Star form. His ERA hasn't been under 4.00 since his second start and he's given up 20 homers after surrendering 19 last year. Archer is 0-6 in his last seven starts. |
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07-19-16 | Twins +1.5 v. Tigers | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
It's easy to rip the Twins. Sure they've been one of the most disappointing teams in baseball. But they have won six of their last 10 and if given 1 1/2 runs would be 15-4 in their last 19 games. |
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07-19-16 | Giants v. Red Sox -156 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
I don't see the Giants getting it done with Jake Peavy pitching in band box Fenway Park. San Francisco hasn't played at Fenway since 2007. Peavy knows Fenway, though, from his days in the American League. He has a 4.47 ERA in 14 starts at Fenway. |
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07-18-16 | Indians v. Royals +131 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 131 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
This is a huge series for the Royals if they want to make a run in the AL Central. Kansas City has yet to lose to the Indians at home in three meetings this season. |
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07-17-16 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 8 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
This is a huge game for the Yankees with a decision looming if they want to keep playing for this season, or trade off their outstanding relief pitchers. I certainly respect Boston's top-ranked offense. But the Yankees have their ace, Masahiro Tanaka, going plus they won't hesitate to employ their Big Three star relief pitchers - Dellin Betances, Andrew Miller and Aroldis Chapman. |
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07-16-16 | Marlins v. Cardinals -155 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
There's nothing wrong with St. Louis' offense  - fourth in the majors in runs and sixth in homers - and now the Cardinals have a strong pitching matchup edge with a rejuvenated Adam Wainwright drawing Tom Koehler. The buy sign is on with Wainwright as he's returned to ace status holding the Brewers and Pirates to a combined one run in his last two starts spanning 14 innings. Wainwright tied his season high in strikeouts against the Pirates with nine. Wainwright has a good post-All-Star history (50-28 with a 3.05 ERA) and is 4-2 with a 2.33 lifetime ERA versus the Marlins in eight starts.  Koehler historically is worse on the road and that's held up this season with a 4.72 away ERA compared to 4.22 ERA at Marlins Park. Koehler has a career WHIP at 1.56 and a 7.56 lifetime ERA versus St. Louis in three starts. Koehler is vulnerable to the Cardinals' power bats, too. He didn't allow a homer in his last start, but surrendered four during his previous three outings. The Marlins are 0-7 the past seven times Koehler has started versus an above .500 opponent. All of this helps make this my Game of the Week. |
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07-16-16 | Royals -119 v. Tigers | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
Question: Who is the Royals' best starter? I'd go with Danny Duffy. He's made 11 starts since becoming a part of the Royals' starting rotation and gone 4-1 with a 3.11 ERA. Kansas City is 8-3 in Duffy's starts this season. The key for Duffy is better control. He has a 23-to-one strikeout-to-walk ratio in his last three starts. |
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07-15-16 | Hamilton -120 v. Montreal | Top | 31-7 | Win | 100 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
Yes, there's a certain risk in getting behind Hamilton quarterback Jeremiah Masoli. He can be a turnover machine, but he's also passed for 933 yards, completed better than 71 percent of his throws and has five touchdown passes in three games. Masoli is highly mobile, too. Montreal has played decently on defense, but hasn't faced a quarterback who can operate sideline to sideline like Masoli can. |
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07-10-16 | Nationals +120 v. Mets | Top | 3-2 | Win | 120 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
This would be a much better matchup for the Mets if Steven Matz were healthy, Yoenis Cespedes was able to play and there wasn't such gloom around the team with the recent news about Matt Harvey being out for the season and Noah Syndergaard possibly dealing with a serious injury. |
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07-09-16 | Padres +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show |
Take the Padres out of Petco Park and they become a dangerous offensive team. San Diego is averaging 7.8 runs in its last six road games. |
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07-08-16 | Saskatchewan +11 v. Edmonton | Top | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 54 h 2 m | Show |
This is just too many points for Edmonton to give up considering the defense and coaching of their opponent. |
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07-08-16 | Braves v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 11-8 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
The Braves ended a four-game losing streak by upsetting the Cubs in a rain-delayed, 11-inning makeup game Thursday. Now the Braves draw the rested White Sox, who were idle Thursday, and lefty Chris Sale. |
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07-08-16 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 111 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
Starting pitchers Michael Wacha and Jimmy Nelson are pitching better and both team's offenses are down because of missing players. |
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07-08-16 | Rays +105 v. Red Sox | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
I understand the Rays are 3-19 in their last 22 games. But I don't care if they were 0-22. The oddsmaker opened Boston - with Sean O'Sullivan on the mound - a favorite against Chris Archer. That's enough for me to take Tampa Bay. |
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07-07-16 | Padres +128 v. Dodgers | Top | 6-0 | Win | 128 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
I'm always attracted getting a plus price with the superior starting pitcher. That's the case here with Drew Pomeranz facing lefty Hyun-Jin Ryu. |
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07-06-16 | Pirates v. Cardinals -165 | 7-5 | Loss | -165 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
I don't see the Cardinals getting swept at home especially with Pittsburgh throwing Jeff Locke, who has a 7.16 road ERA in nine away starts. Locke also has a 4.04 lifetime ERA against the Cardinals in nine starts. Pittsburgh is 2-8 the past 10 times Locke has pitched on the road versus an above .500 foe.Â
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07-06-16 | Mariners v. Astros -151 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
I'm going to ride the hot Astros, winners of 28 of their last 39 games. Houston starter Mike Fiers is pitching his best ball going 3-0 with a 1.57 ERA in his last four starts. The righty is 2-0 with a 0.51 ERA during his past three home starts. |
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07-06-16 | A's v. Twins UNDER 9 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
So far Sonny Gray has yet to demonstrate his stud form of previous seasons, but he's not as bad as his overall numbers show. He's rounding back into shape after being out with a strained trapezius, which affected his early season performance. Gray posted a respectable 3.23 ERA in June and hasn't walked more than one batter in any of his six starts since returning from his injury. He's facing a below-average Twins offense that ranks 19th in runs scored. |
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07-05-16 | Yankees v. White Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
Masahiro Tanaka has been super on the road this season with a 1.32 ERA in seven starts and is 16-7 with a 2.84 ERA during his career when pitching on five day's rest, which is the case here. Tanaka is backed by perhaps the best relief trio in baseball - Dellin Betances, Andrew Miller and Aroldis Chapman. |
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07-05-16 | Rangers v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 7-2 | Push | 0 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Rangers starter AJ Griffin is making just his third start since coming off the DL. He's been averaging less than five innings since returning to the starting rotation and does not figure to last long against Boston, the highest-scoring team in the majors. The Rangers' bullpen has a heavy fatigue rating throwing 25 innings during the past six games with a 9.72 ERA. |
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07-04-16 | Marlins v. Mets -150 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
The Mets have a rested bullpen, something the Marlins don't have, and draw Miami traveling to play in a day game after playing in the late Sunday game at night. |
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07-04-16 | Rockies +135 v. Giants | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
The Giants have a cluster injury problem in their outfield with Hunter Pence, Denard Span, Angel Pagan and Gregor Blanco all ailing. San Francisco also is minus starting third baseman Matt Duffy and second baseman Joe Panik. The Giants carry a high bullpen fatigue rating and over-the-hill Jake Peavy is the starting pitcher. |
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07-04-16 | Yankees v. White Sox +118 | 2-8 | Win | 118 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
James Shields is enduring a terrible season. But he did pitch well in his last start holding the Twins to one run in 6 2/3 innings with five strikeouts and one walk at home this past Wednesday. |
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07-03-16 | Yankees -118 v. Padres | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
I'm willing to lay a short road road price on promising Chad Green against Andrew Cashner, a proven underachiever who has been battling injuries much of the season. |
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07-02-16 | Rockies v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm not buying into a total of less than eight in a pitching matchup of Chad Bettis against Scott Kazmir. |
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07-02-16 | Brewers v. Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
Adam Wainwright isn't the same pitcher he once was and Jimmy Nelson struggles on the road and is coming off a horrible June where he was 0-3 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.91 WHIP. Nelson has a 5.66 road ERA and a 9.51 career ERA versus St. Louis in six appearances. |
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07-01-16 | Orioles +110 v. Mariners | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
I believe this could be the top value play of the season so far getting the Orioles as an opening underdog against Seattle journeyman southpaw Wade LeBlanc. |
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07-01-16 | Winnipeg v. Calgary -8.5 | Top | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 78 h 15 m | Show |
Calgary is double-digits better than Winnipeg especially when playing at home. |
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06-30-16 | Giants -140 v. A's | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
The line has come down enough to where there is value backing Madison Bumgarner. He's among the best pitchers in baseball. Dillon Overton should be a much higher priced 'dog. The Giants are 17-5 the past 22 times Bumgarner has faced a sub .500 foe on the road. |
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06-30-16 | Indians -110 v. Blue Jays | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
I'm going to continue to ride the Indians and a back-in-top-form Carlos Carrasco. Cleveland has outscored its opponents by 51 runs in winning its last 12 games. Carrasco has regained his elite status with three straight quality performances, posting a 1.61 ERA during this span. |
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06-30-16 | Rangers v. Yankees -130 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
I can see the Yankees owning a pitching edge in every inning. A.J. Griffin is making just his second start since coming off the DL. He doesn't figure to go deep into the game for precautionary reasons and the Rangers have one of the worst bullpens in the majors. Closer Sam Dyson also carries a fatigue rating. |
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06-29-16 | Dodgers v. Brewers +107 | 0-7 | Win | 107 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
The underdog Brewers should have beaten the Dodgers last night and are in a better spot to pull the upset today facing rookie Brock Stewart in his big league debut. |
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06-29-16 | Phillies +1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
The Phillies are playing much better. They've won four of their last six, including the first two games of this series. They would be 7-0 if given 1 1/2 runs during their last seven games. |
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06-28-16 | Astros v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 7-1 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Two below average starters backed by mediocre bullpens puts me on the over here. |
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06-28-16 | Dodgers v. Brewers +129 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
There are several key under-the-radar spots here that clearly point to the home underdog Brewers. |
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06-28-16 | Indians -177 v. Braves | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
Nothing fancy here. I just want the red-hot Indians - winners of 10 in a row - with Corey Kluber on the mound against the Braves. |
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06-27-16 | Blue Jays v. Rockies UNDER 12.5 | Top | 5-9 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 38 m | Show |
It's easy to understand why the oddsmaker has put up such a high total for this matchup at Coors Field. The Blue Jays rank third in homers and there have been six straight overs at Coors with the average combined run total in these last six games being 15.6 runs. The Rockies are the third-highest scoring team in the majors and rank fifth in homers. |
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06-27-16 | Dodgers v. Pirates -113 | 5-4 | Loss | -113 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
After seeing the lineups - and who the Dodgers are resting - I'm involved with Pittsburgh. Adrian Gonzalez, Corey Seager and Joc Pederson are all not in LA's starting lineup. The Pirates also have defeated the Dodgers the past eight times at home. |
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06-26-16 | Phillies v. Giants OVER 7 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
The Giants are an above average hitting team and they draw Aaron Nola, who is in a major funk. He has a 15.83 ERA in his last three starts. Asked about this Nola said, "I'm trying to figure something out." Note that he said trying rather than having figured it out. |
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06-26-16 | Astros v. Royals +116 | 1-6 | Win | 116 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm not sold on the Astros pulling off a road sweep of the Royals. Ian Kennedy is tough at home with a 2.30 ERA. He also is 3-0 with a 0.92 ERA in three career starts versus Houston. |
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06-26-16 | Blue Jays v. White Sox -130 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Chris Sale. I want him going for me in this matchup and the price is acceptable enough. Sale is an elite pitcher and he's having one of his finest seasons. The White Sox are 12-3 this season with Sale on the mound. Chicago has won seven of the last eight times Sale has pitched at home. |
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06-25-16 | Padres v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
Take the Padres out of Petco Park and match them against a southpaw starter and San Diego's offense comes alive. The Padres have scored the third-most runs versus lefties this season and rank in the top four in batting average against them at .281. |
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06-24-16 | Cardinals v. Mariners OVER 8 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
Carlos Martinez is having an outstanding month, but he's now facing a lineup that includes a DH. The Mariners also have hit the second-most homers in the majors and are No. 6 in runs scored. |
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06-24-16 | Montreal v. Winnipeg UNDER 50.5 | Top | 22-14 | Win | 100 | 52 h 24 m | Show |
These teams are familiar with each other having just recently played a preseason game in which there were fewer than 50 points scored. |
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06-23-16 | A's v. Angels OVER 8 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm not expecting much from these two starting pitchers. They aren't backed by strong bullpens either. |
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06-23-16 | Giants v. Pirates -107 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Jon Niese may be the definition of average, but he's way above average in day games with a 1.80 ERA. He also pitches better at home and has a 2.51 career ERA versus the Giants. Niese rates an edge on Giants' rookie Albert Suarez. The Pirates also have a rested closer, something the Giants don't. |
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06-22-16 | Phillies v. Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show |
It isn't often you win a baseball totals play by 16 runs, but that was the case on Tuesday cashing with the over in the Phillies-Twins matchup in which there were 24 runs scored. The over is now 14-1-1 in the Twins' last 16 games. |
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06-21-16 | Phillies v. Twins OVER 8 | Top | 10-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Both starters are in bad form. Aaron Nola has given up 10 earned runs on 15 hits in his last two starts spanning less than seven innings. Twins starter Tyler Duffey is just plain bad. He's 0-3 with an 8.55 ERA during his last four starts. Duffey has been bad at home, too, with a 6.67 ERA in five home outings. |
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06-20-16 | Giants v. Pirates OVER 7 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
No, you can't have a total this low when Jeff Locke is one of the starting pitchers. |
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06-19-16 | Rangers v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
First off, we're talking two strong offenses here. St. Louis is No. 3 in runs scored at 5.3 per game. Texas ranks sixth and is averaging 5.4 runs in its last seven games. |
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06-18-16 | Reds v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
This is a kill spot for the Astros with everything lining up. But rather than lay such hefty juice, going the run line route makes sense. |
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06-17-16 | Giants v. Rays -117 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
Not only is the pitching matchup good here for Tampa Bay, but this is a rare emotional baseball spot, too. The Rays are going to have a sellout after offering any available seat for $5 with the proceeds going to benefit victims, including those affected by the mass shooting that happened in Orlando this past Sunday. |
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06-17-16 | Mariners v. Red Sox -120 | 8-4 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
The Red Sox are the best hitting team in the majors and also No. 1 in runs scored. They should do plenty of damage against a declining Hisashi Iwakuma and a Mariners bullpen that has serious fatigue issues. |
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06-16-16 | Brewers v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
Both starters, 31-year-old Junior Guerra and 32-year-old Scott Kazmir, have been pitching above their heads. Guerra has made just eight big league starts despite his age. Opponents have a full book on him now. |
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06-16-16 | Warriors +2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 101-115 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 44 m | Show |
It's my belief the Warriors are the superior team here when they have Draymond Green. He returns to action for this Game 6. |
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06-15-16 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 124 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
As great as Clayton Kershaw is, his record would be just 6-6 in his last 12 starts if the Dodgers were minus 1 1/2 runs. If there is one team that has been competitive against Kershaw it's the Diamondbacks. Kershaw is 11-8 against them with a 2.76 ERA. Kershaw is 1-6 during his last seven starts at Chase Field. |
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06-14-16 | Yankees v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
When you look at the ERA's of the starting pitchers - Nathan Eovaldi (4.42 ERA) and Jorge De La Rosa (8.81 ERA) - it is easy to understand why the total is so large for this interleague matchup at Coors Field. |
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06-13-16 | Indians -133 v. Royals | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -133 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Look for Carlos Carrasco to pitch well against a banged-up Royals lineup. This is Carrasco's third start since recovering from a hamstring injury. Carrasco limits his walks and induces ground ball outs, which is the perfect complement in facing the patient Royals. |
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06-13-16 | Cubs v. Nationals OVER 7 | 1-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
The offenses aren't getting enough credit with this low of a total. |
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06-11-16 | Astros v. Rays -123 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -123 | 16 h 31 m | Show |
Chris Archer is rounding back into form and has dominated the Astros going 3-0 with a 0.80 ERA in five career starts versus Houston. Current Astros have a lifetime .172 batting average against Archer. |
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06-10-16 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 206 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
The Warriors have played in 20 postseason games - and this total opened the lowest of any of them.Â
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06-10-16 | Mets v. Brewers UNDER 8 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 113 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
First off, neither of these offenses is very strong. The Mets have scored the third-fewest runs in the majors. They are down three key hitters - Lucas Duda, David Wright and Travis d'Arnaud - and also could be missing Neil Walker. New York has scored two or fewer runs in seven of its last 12 games. |
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06-09-16 | Nationals -138 v. White Sox | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -138 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
Washington is 7-2 in its last nine games and playing great outscoring Chicago, 21-9, during the first two games of this series.
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06-08-16 | Warriors -106 v. Cavs | Top | 90-120 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 19 m | Show |
Zig Zag can only work when two teams are close to even. That's not the case in this NBA Championship Series. Golden State clearly is dominant. The Cavaliers don't have the coaching, bench and versatility to beat the Warriors even in this must-win spot at home. |
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06-08-16 | Nationals -151 v. White Sox | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
When last seen James Shields was giving up 10 runs in less than three innings against the Mariners at pitcher-friendly Safeco Field. That was nine days ago when he was with the Padres. |
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06-08-16 | Marlins -103 v. Twins | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
The Marlins are a bit underrated being two games above .500. The Twins are who they are - a team that is 23 games below .500. |
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06-08-16 | Blue Jays v. Tigers -125 | 7-2 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm a big fan of Jordan Zimmerman, who is back healthy. Detroit has won five in a row and is 8-2 in Zimmerman's last 10 starts. Â |
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06-07-16 | Cubs v. Phillies +1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 111 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
Kyle Hendricks hasn't been nearly as good on the road as he has been at Wrigley Field. Hendricks is 1-3 with a 4.37 road ERA compared to 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA at home. This also is the Phillies' third look already at Hendricks having just faced him two starts ago. |
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06-06-16 | Rays v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 6-4 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
Both team's hitters could be off due to the travel circumstances. The Rays are coming in from Minnesota while the Diamondbacks also are arriving from the Midwest having just finished a series against the Cubs at Wrigley Field. Note, too, that the roof is going to be closed for this game. |
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06-05-16 | Giants v. Cardinals -140 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
The lay price is justified here. Carlos Martinez is a very good pitcher who is back on track, while 35-year-old Jake Peavy is close to washed-up and is at his worst pitching on the road. |
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06-05-16 | Nationals -175 v. Reds | 10-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Simply put, I don't see the Reds sweeping the Nationals and I'm willing to lay this price to back that opinion. |
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06-04-16 | Brewers v. Phillies -104 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
It's easy to forget about Jeremy Hellickson since he's gone from the Rays into the National League. But Hellickson is pitching his most consistent ball posting a 2.00 ERA, 0.81 WHIP in his last four starts spanning 27 innings in which he's fanned 28. |
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06-03-16 | Giants v. Cardinals +108 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
Johnny Cueto has a bad history at Busch Stadium. He also has a back/side physical issue. The Giants are down two-thirds of their starting outfield, including much underrated Hunter Pence. The Cardinals are 7-0 in Adam Wainwright's last seven starts. |
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06-02-16 | Reds v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show |
Two terrible starting pitchers; two terrible bullpens. The oddsmaker can't put out a total high enough on this Reds-Rockies matchup at Coors Field. |
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06-01-16 | Yankees +109 v. Blue Jays | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
The Yankees not only have a vastly superior bullpen, but the stronger starting pitcher here, too. |
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06-01-16 | Rangers -113 v. Indians | 4-5 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Cole Hamels still remains a stud. A bad outing in his last start doesn't change that. Texas is 18-4 in Hamels' last 22 starts. |
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05-31-16 | Tigers v. Angels OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-11 | Win | 102 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
Anibal Sanchez wasn't good last year with a 4.99 ERA and he's even worse this season with a 6.04 ERA. That's the highest ERA of his career and is evidence of a continued downward cycle. The one good thing Sanchez does is help get games to go over the total. The over is 33-14-5  for 70 percent during his past 52 starts, including 9-1 over on his last 10 starts. |
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05-30-16 | Dodgers v. Cubs -124 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
The price is low enough to back what is shaping up to be the best team in baseball.
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05-29-16 | Marlins v. Braves -125 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
Since when should the Braves ever be backed laying a price? The answer is against the Marlins with Julio Teheran pitching at home against Tom Koehler with the Marlins possibly missing their two best all-around hitters again. |
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05-28-16 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
Boston is swinging hot bats averaging 6.5 runs in its last six games. The Red Sox faced Toronto starter Marcus Stroman last month and got to him for five runs in 5 1/3 innings in an 8-7 victory. Boston ranks No. 1 in runs, batting average and OPS. The over is 12-3-2 in Boston's past 17 games. |
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05-27-16 | Twins v. Mariners -1.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
The Twins are even worse than thought. They are 5-20 in their last 25 games, owners of the worst road record in the American League at 4-19. They have lost the past seven times following an off day. |
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05-27-16 | Cavs v. Raptors OVER 196 | Top | 113-87 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
The oddsmaker has opened this Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals with the lowest total of the series. I don't believe it's justified.
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05-26-16 | Thunder +7.5 v. Warriors | Top | 111-120 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
Yes, I know this is the Warriors' season and the Zig-Zag fully is in play here, which means Golden State is the side to play following two straight losses. Forget about last season when the Warriors won the championship. Forget the Warriors' record regular season. This is the present and simply put the Thunder are outrebounding, outshooting and even outhustling Golden Sate. The statistics for the series bear this out: The Thunder are shooting 45.6 percent from the floor to the Warriors' 44.4 percent, are plus 27 on the boards, plus six in steals, have 14 more blocked shots and have committed five fewer turnovers. Oklahoma City is the healthier team, has the momentum and its confidence level is at its highest. Contrast this with the Warriors, who are on the wrong end of an elimination game for the first time in Steve Kerr's two years. The Warriors are in uncharted waters. Their big men aren't playing well. Neither is Draymond Green. Stephen Curry isn't physically right, maybe playing at 70 percent since returning six games ago from a sprained right MCL. |
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05-25-16 | Rockies v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
Take the Rockies out of Coors Field and their offense isn't so dangerous. Colorado is averaging barely three runs per game during its last six games - all on the road - while batting .229 during this span. |
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05-24-16 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 222 | Top | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
Golden State and Oklahoma City are the two highest scoring teams in the NBA. But to reach this high of a total both have to be on their games. That hasn't happened yet in this Western Conference Finals. Through the first three games of the series, the losing team has averaged 99.3 points. |
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05-23-16 | Cavs -6 v. Raptors | Top | 99-105 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
 OK, the Raptors got their measure of respect beating Cleveland, 99-84, at home in Game 3 of this Eastern Conference Final series this past Saturday. |
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05-23-16 | Angels v. Rangers -105 | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Texas is playing well winning its last three games. The Rangers also are a little under-the-radar as far as home dominance having gone 41-19 (68%) in their last 60 games in Arlington. |
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05-23-16 | Rays v. Marlins -127 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
This matchup features a pair of lefty starters, Matt Moore versus Wei-Yin Chen. I like Chen, who is in much better form than Moore. |
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05-22-16 | Mariners -151 v. Reds | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Alfredo Simon and a total that is less than 10. That's really all that needs to be said about playing this game over and also laying a road price with the Mariners. I'm doing both. |
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05-22-16 | Mariners v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
Alfredo Simon and a total that is less than 10. That's really all that needs to be said about playing this game over and also laying a road price with the Mariners. I'm doing both. |
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05-21-16 | Cavs v. Raptors OVER 198.5 | Top | 84-99 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
I have no doubt the Cavaliers are going to put up their share of points here. They've scored triple digits in their last 20 games, are averaging 113.4 points during their last five games and 111.5 points during the first two games of this series despite taking the air out of the ball during the final minutes because of holding huge leads. |
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05-20-16 | Yankees v. A's -124 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -124 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
Sonny Gray is a stud who has pitched poorly in his last four games. I don't see that continuing starting with this game. Gray was quite optimistic coming out of his last start saying he discovered the flaws and has corrected them. I see Gray returning back to his form of last season when he finished third in the Cy Young Award balloting. |
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05-19-16 | Raptors +13 v. Cavs | Top | 89-108 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Never before have the Cavaliers blown out a team in the playoffs like they did Toronto in Game 1 winning by 31 points. The Cavaliers have yet to taste defeat in the postseason and they certainly can't be faulted for feeling overconfident in hosting the Raptors in Game 2. |
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05-19-16 | Astros v. White Sox -188 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
This is the biggest price I've laid all season, but I think it's worth a small play to get behind Chris Sale, who has been just brilliant. Sale is 8-0 with a 1.67 ERA. That minuscule ERA shrinks even more to 0.99 during his past six starts. The southpaw has allowed just 22 hits in 45 1/3 innings during this span. |
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05-19-16 | Blue Jays -133 v. Twins | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Atlanta is getting a lot of bad publicity for its terrible record, which is tied for the worst in baseball. Guess who the Braves are tied with? Yep, the Twins. |
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05-19-16 | Indians -140 v. Reds | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
Cleveland is averaging 12 runs in each of its last three games. That hot offensive run just may continue another game facing 28-year-old journeyman Tim Adleman and the worst bullpen in the majors. |
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05-18-16 | Thunder v. Warriors OVER 221.5 | Top | 91-118 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 47 m | Show |
The opening total in Game 2 of the Thunder-Warriors Western Conference Finals is down from Game 1 when the number was as high as 224. |
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05-17-16 | Astros v. White Sox -106 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
The White Sox should be bigger favorites here. But the line is short here because Dallas Keuchel is pitching for Houston. Keuchel was brilliant last year in winning the Cy Young Award by going 20-8 with a 2.48 ERA. But this year he's struggling giving up 44 hits during his last five starts spanning 29 1/3 innings. |
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05-16-16 | Thunder v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 108-102 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
The Thunder are getting a lot of kudos for knocking off San Antonio. But this is a bad spot for Oklahoma City. Remember what happened to the Thunder when they played at San Antonio in Game 1 of their Western Conference semifinal series? They were blitzed by 32 points. |
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05-15-16 | Mets v. Rockies UNDER 10 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
Jacob deGrom's velocity may be slightly down from last season, but he's still a stud. Tyler Chatwood is a promising pitcher, too. Corey Blaser, the scheduled home plate umpire, is a solid ump. Put this together, along with a slight wind blowing in, and you have a game that should not reach double-digit scoring. |
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