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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-07-15 | Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates +125 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
Granted, Jake Arrieta is the hottest pitcher in baseball. But the Pirates are home and have their own ace going, Gerrit Cole. |
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10-06-15 | Houston Astros -106 v. New York Yankees | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 24 h 15 m | Show |
The Astros have a rare combination of power and speed. Houston led the American League in stolen bases and finished No. 2 in the majors in homers. |
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10-05-15 | Detroit Lions v. Seattle Seahawks -9.5 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
Seattle's defense is rounding into championship form with the arrival of safety Kam Chancellor last week.Â
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10-04-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. New Orleans Saints -3 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 47 h 11 m | Show |
The Saints are desperate at 0-3. They'll receive a huge lift with Drew Brees returning to the lineup. It's a Sunday night nationally televised game at home so the Saints will be super pumped. |
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10-04-15 | St Louis Rams v. Arizona Cardinals OVER 42 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 78 h 18 m | Show |
Given how crisp their offense has been, the Cardinals can nearly cover this total themselves. |
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10-04-15 | Cleveland Browns +7.5 v. San Diego Chargers | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 42 h 27 m | Show | |
Granted San Diego has a big edge at the skill positions. But the Browns have five Pro Bowl players combined in their offensive line and secondary. |
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10-04-15 | Houston Texans +7 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 21-48 | Loss | -130 | 143 h 19 m | Show |
Atlanta is a surprising 3-0. The Falcons are fat and happy right now. |
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10-03-15 | Oregon -7.5 v. Colorado | Top | 41-24 | Win | 100 | 36 h 10 m | Show |
Oregon is down this season without Marcus Mariota, but do you believe Colorado can upset the Ducks? I sure don't. |
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10-03-15 | Notre Dame v. Clemson UNDER 53 | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 34 h 5 m | Show |
Clemson led the nation in total defense last year and the Tigers have a top 10 defense again this season. The Tigers have held three opponents to less than 300 yards of total offense, including Louisville. Foes have converted less than 20 percent of the time against Clemson on third down. And remember Notre Dame is without its best running back and starting quarterback. This will be Notre Dame sophomore quarterback DeShone Kizer's first road start. Clemson also has lost key offensive starters, including their top receiver, and starting center who is not expected to play. Pass protection has been a problem for Clemson. The Tigers don't have an attack mentality - more of a we'll take what the defense gives approach which is good for under players. Notre Dame has a top 40 defense that held Texas to three points and Georgia Tech to 22 points. Another key here is weather. Heavy rain and wind are expected. That's going to keep the game plans conservative.  |
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10-03-15 | Washington State v. California OVER 71 | 28-34 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 19 m | Show | |
These teams combined for 119 points last season when Cal nipped Washington State, 60-59. |
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10-03-15 | Washington State +17.5 v. California | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
Cal just nipped Washington State by one point last season when the Cougars missed an easy field goal. I believe the Cougars can hang with the Golden Bears again. |
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10-03-15 | San Jose State v. Auburn -20 | 21-35 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 57 m | Show | |
Consecutive SEC losses to LSU and Mississippi State have left Auburn in an angry mood. Look for the Tigers to vent their frustrations on visiting San Jose State. This is a kill spot for the Tigers, who are stepping way down in class.Â
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10-02-15 | Los Angeles Angels +119 v. Texas Rangers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 119 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
The Angels are in must-win mode trailing Houston by one game for a wild-card berth. Texas is in letdown mode after clinching a playoff spot with a 5-3 victory over Anaheim in this series opener. The Rangers capture the AL West Division with just one more victory during their last three games, or if Houston should lose any of its three remaining games on the road against Arizona. So the Rangers are in a celebratory mood after failing to make the postseason during the past two seasons. They know they're all but officially division champs. The Angels have won seven of their last nine games. They have owned the Rangers when playing in Arlington winning 14 of their past 17 road contests (82 percent) versus Texas. Three-time All-Star Jered Weaver is pitching for the Angels. He's 2-0 with a 2.06 ERA in his last five starts against the Rangers. Look for the savvy veteran Weaver to step up and pitch an effective game. Texas is going with the much younger Martin Perez, who has a 4.77 ERA on the season and had an inconsistent September going 1-3 with a 4.18 in five starts. The Rangers are 6-13 the last 19 times Perez has gone against an opponent with a winning record. I trust Weaver and the motivated Angels against a young inconsistent Perez and a Rangers squad that has a bad home history against the Angels and is in a letdown situation. |
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10-01-15 | Baltimore Ravens -143 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Take away Ben Roethlisberger and the Ravens are the better team. Much of the disadvantage of being the road team on a Thursday game is negated by the Ravens knowing the Steelers better than any team from their long-standing division rivalry and the short travel distance involved. |
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10-01-15 | Chicago Cubs -139 v. Cincinnati Reds | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
The Cubs have veteran Jason Hammel pitching against rookie John Lamb, who is 1-4 with a 5.40 ERA. |
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09-30-15 | Chicago Cubs -163 v. Cincinnati Reds | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
The Cubs aren't conceding anything to the Pirates in the playoff picture so motivation is there for Chicago. |
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09-28-15 | Houston Astros v. Seattle Mariners +122 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
The Astros are trying to hold off the Angels and Twins in the wild-card standings. In other words, there is pressure on Houston. The young Astros are not used to being in this type of situation. It's a new experience. The pressure really hits them when they're on the road - like they are now against Seattle. |
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09-27-15 | Denver Broncos -3 v. Detroit Lions | Top | 24-12 | Win | 100 | 47 h 3 m | Show |
There are reasons why Detroit is 0-2. Namely the Lions' offense isn't clicking and their defense is much worse than last season. |
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09-27-15 | Buffalo Bills v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 42 | 41-14 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 14 m | Show | |
None of the last six games in this series have gone over the total. I see that trend continuing here. |
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09-27-15 | Indianapolis Colts v. Tennessee Titans OVER 45 | Top | 35-33 | Win | 100 | 74 h 38 m | Show |
This is my strongest totals recommendation of the season so far. Indy's offensive struggles were well documented this past Monday night in clear view of a national audience - and the oddsmaker. |
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09-27-15 | Indianapolis Colts -3 v. Tennessee Titans | 35-33 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 24 m | Show | |
The Colts are out of the gates slow. But keep in mind they faced two of what I consider to be the top four defenses in football the Bills on the road and Jets where they suffered a turnover festival. |
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09-27-15 | Atlanta Falcons v. Dallas Cowboys UNDER 44.5 | 39-28 | Loss | -108 | 40 h 7 m | Show | |
This total is too high. It would make more sense if the Cowboys had anybody worthy at the skill positions and this was the Falcons defense of a year ago. |
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09-26-15 | UCLA v. Arizona +3.5 | Top | 56-30 | Loss | -120 | 59 h 8 m | Show |
Arizona has covered five of the past six times it has hosted UCLA. Now it's the Wildcats' turn to beat the Bruins straight-up. |
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09-26-15 | Mississippi State v. Auburn -130 | 17-9 | Loss | -130 | 79 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm going to fade the early money that has come on Mississippi State. The line has gotten low enough to back Auburn on the money line. I see the Tigers bouncing back strong at home in this huge revenge game. |
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09-26-15 | UMass +28 v. Notre Dame | 27-62 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a huge letdown spot for Notre Dame. The Irish are coming off a gutty upset beating 14th-ranked Georgia Tech at home this past Saturday. The Irish have a much bigger game on deck playing at Clemson next week. |
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09-26-15 | Western Michigan v. Ohio State OVER 60.5 | Top | 12-38 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 19 m | Show |
Expect Ohio State to be much sharper offensively and to not be in a generous mood after a flat performance last week against Northern Illinois. Urban Meyer has been known to run up a score and he could here. |
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09-26-15 | Marshall v. Kent State UNDER 49.5 | 36-29 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 14 m | Show | |
Kent State isn't very good offensively. The Golden Flashes have scored 10 points in two games versus FBS opponents. Kent State is much stronger defensively. The Golden Flashes have especially showed defensive improvement the past two weeks. Kent State has nine sacks and seven takeaways already this year. |
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09-26-15 | Oklahoma State v. Texas OVER 58.5 | 30-27 | Loss | -106 | 45 h 53 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State is going to get its share of big points with Mason Rudolph and its high-scoring attack. The Cowboys rank in the top 24 in points averaging 41.7 per game and in yards at 509 a game. Rudolph and David Glidden are one of the most feared combinations in the nation with Glidden catching three of Rudolph's five TD passes while coming up with six catches of 20 or more yards. |
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09-25-15 | Cleveland Indians -113 v. Kansas City Royals | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
It's hangover time for the Royals. Kansas City clinched its first division championship since 1985 last night beating the Mariners. So the Royals can be excused if they don't have their full focus for this matchup against the Indians. |
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09-23-15 | Atlanta Braves v. New York Mets OVER 7.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
Bartolo Colon is 42. He's less than six-feet tall yet weighs close to 290 pounds. His ERA is 4.15 and he has a history of fading as the long baseball season enters the late stages. The Braves already have seen Colon four times this year. They are not going to be fooled. |
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09-22-15 | San Francisco Giants v. San Diego Padres -118 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -118 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
The Giants are decimated by injuries, have a cold pitcher going and are facing San Diego's best starter. Add it up and it should spell a Padres victory. |
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09-21-15 | NY Jets v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 46.5 | Top | 20-7 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
The Colts really struggled in Week 1 at Buffalo. But that was due to a combination of going against a strong Bills defense on the road and dealing with unfamiliar cold, windy weather conditions. |
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09-20-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. Green Bay Packers -3 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 146 h 43 m | Show |
This isn't just a normal game for the Packers. It's their Revenge Game of the Century. And that's saying a lot since they've been in the NFL since 1921! I've personally closely followed the Packers since 1963, being a native of Wisconsin, and have never seen a bigger revenge game. |
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09-20-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles -5 | 20-10 | Loss | -107 | 119 h 50 m | Show | |
The Eagles finally got their offense in gear during the second half against Atlanta. Unfortunately for the Eagles, they had dug themselves into too big of a hole to recover. Still, they could have taken a late lead if not for a missed 44-yard field goal. |
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09-20-15 | San Diego Chargers v. Cincinnati Bengals -3 | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 116 h 38 m | Show | |
The Bengals are better than perceived. They are solid on both sides of the ball without any major weaknesses. |
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09-20-15 | San Francisco 49ers v. Pittsburgh Steelers -5 | 18-43 | Win | 100 | 115 h 24 m | Show | |
The Steelers are a much better team than San Francisco and catch a huge scheduling break. |
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09-20-15 | Arizona Cardinals v. Chicago Bears OVER 44.5 | Top | 48-23 | Win | 100 | 92 h 36 m | Show |
The Bears' defense has been franchise-history bad the past two years - and it's still very bad this season. John Fox and Vic Fangio have outstanding defensive backgrounds, but the players they have now don't fit their defensive philosophies. |
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09-20-15 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10.5 v. New Orleans Saints | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 37 h 32 m | Show | |
The Saints are getting by on reputation considering how big of a spread this is. |
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09-19-15 | Ole Miss v. Alabama UNDER 53.5 | Top | 43-37 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 14 m | Show |
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09-19-15 | Colorado -3 v. Colorado State | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
I tabbed Colorado to be much improved in Mike MacIntyre's third season and I like the Buffaloes strong in this rivalry matchup. |
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09-19-15 | East Carolina v. Navy OVER 57 | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show | |
Navy's record-setting quarterback Keenan Reynolds was around when these teams last met three years ago. Navy rushed for 512 yards in a 56-28 victory. I don't see East Carolina being able to stop Navy's option attack, nor slow down Reynolds, who has accounted for 65 career touchdowns. |
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09-19-15 | Central Michigan v. Syracuse OVER 44.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm fine with freshman Eric Dungey at quarterback for Syracuse especially now that he's seen action. Dungey looked good in the second half against Wake Forest last week. |
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09-19-15 | Kent State v. Minnesota OVER 46 | 7-10 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
Minnesota has gone to a no-huddle offense. That's helped the Gophers finally generate some offense. The Gophers are going to play quick tempo against an overmatched Kent State. Minnesota quarterback Mitch Leidner is an improving player. |
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09-18-15 | Florida State -7 v. Boston College | 14-0 | Win | 100 | 35 h 37 m | Show | |
The line has shrunk low enough to get involved with Florida State, which holds a talent and speed edge on Boston College. |
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09-18-15 | Florida State v. Boston College OVER 46.5 | Top | 14-0 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 36 m | Show |
The Jameis Winston era has passed, but the Seminoles' offense remains highly potent with Notre Dame transfer Everett Golson taking over. He's backed by one of the top running backs in the country, sophomore Dalvin Cook. |
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09-18-15 | New York Yankees -101 v. New York Mets | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -101 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
This is a marquee matchup and the Yankees have their No. 1 pitcher going, Masahiro Tanaka. He's in outstanding form going 3-0 with a 2.54 ERA in his last four starts. Tanaka is tough on foes that haven't seen too much of him posting a 1.97 ERA in seven career interleague starts. |
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09-17-15 | Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 v. Atlanta Braves | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
Toronto can stake its claim to being one of the best teams in baseball. Certainly, the Blue Jays have the No. 1 offense. |
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09-16-15 | Cincinnati Reds v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show |
The starting pitchers aren't very good, the offenses are rolling and the bullpens are gassed. There's a slight breeze blowing out and the home plate umpire, Clint Fagen, has had more overs than unders while he's been behind the plate this season. |
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09-15-15 | Kansas City Royals +120 v. Cleveland Indians | Top | 2-0 | Win | 120 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
Kris Medlen always has had talent. He's also traditionally been tough in September. Medlen has been held back from reaching his full potential by Tommy John surgeries. Now the 29-year-old is back in the groove coming off his best start since joining the Royals rotation this past Wednesday against Minnesota when he limited the Twins to two runs on three hits in six innings. Medlen is 8-2 with a 2.21 ERA during 23 career appearances in September. Cleveland starter Josh Tomlin has been pitching well lately, too. But I like getting a price with the superior team and a pitcher who isn't quite getting the respect he deserves. Tomlin is lucky to have won his last five starts considering he was tagged for three homers in his last start this past Wednesday versus the White Sox. All together, Tomlin has surrendered 10 homers during his last six outings. The Indians are just 32-35 at home this season. They are 4-9 the past 13 times Tomlin has gone against opponents with a winning mark. |
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09-14-15 | Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -122 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
The Eagles certainly looked sharp in preseason steamrolling the Colts, Ravens and Packers. Now looking good during preseason doesn't necessarily equate to an opening week win, but in the Eagles' case it's not a fluke. Philadelphia has achieved double-digit victories during each of Chip Kelly's first two years. Now, in Year 3 of Kelly's super high octane offense, the Eagles look the best they ever had under Kelly. The Eagles' defensive front seven has been upgraded, the secondary is fortified with quality depth at the nickel and dime spots and Sam Bradford is the most talented quarterback Kelly has had at Philadelphia. The Eagles also have the finest running back trio of any team led by defending rushing champion DeMarco Murray. The Eagles are ready to state their Super Bowl case with an offense that has yet to be stopped. The Falcons don't have nearly the defense to slow down Philadelphia. Defensive guru Dan Quinn, formerly the Seahawks defensive coordinator, makes his head coaching debut for Atlanta. Quinn is trying to overhaul the worst defense in the league from a year ago, a defense that recorded only 22 sacks. Quinn is implementing a 4-3 scheme. Atlanta's defense, at best, is a work in progress right now. Quinn brings excellent credentials. However, this is way too tough of a test and way too early for the Falcons to show the necessary major defensive steps to stop the Eagles' already-in-sync powerhouse offense that is better with the highly accurate Bradford. The Falcons are going to need to trade points with the Eagles, matching them score for score. I don't see Atlanta being able to keep up. Matt Ryan and Julio Jones get a lot of media attention. They are outstanding. I rate Jones as the best wide receiver in the NFC. But the Falcons have a very suspect offensive line that also is learning a new system and Atlanta also lacks a polished ground attack. The Eagles' first three running backs - Murray, Ryan Mathews and Darren Sproles - are all better than anything the Falcons have at running back. The Eagles not only hold edges offensively and defensively, but on special teams, too. Atlanta's home field isn't nearly enough to compensate for any of that. The spread is cheap here. Lay it. |
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09-13-15 | NY Giants v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 51 | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 101 h 11 m | Show | |
This series usually is about offense. The under has failed to cash the past five times. Look for that streak to continue as the Giants are dealing with multiple injuries on defense - especially at safety - and have not been able to develop and get used to their new defensive system. |
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09-13-15 | Baltimore Ravens v. Denver Broncos UNDER 49.5 | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 308 h 29 m | Show | |
These teams met opening week at Denver two years ago and the Broncos won in a shootout, 49-27. That's not going to happen here.
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09-13-15 | Cincinnati Bengals -3 v. Oakland Raiders | 33-13 | Win | 100 | 196 h 22 m | Show | |
There can be a tendency to overthink sometimes especially in the NFL. This game is an example of this. |
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09-13-15 | Green Bay Packers -6.5 v. Chicago Bears | Top | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 193 h 56 m | Show |
The Packers have Jay Cutler's number. Cutler has lost his last seven starts against Green Bay, which has dominated at Solder Field winning 18 of the last 22 times there. The Packers have intercepted Cutler 19 times in 10 games. Cutler has a strong arm and is not without talent, but he's a head case and the Packers are inside his head. |
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09-13-15 | Miami Dolphins v. Washington Redskins UNDER 43.5 | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 193 h 49 m | Show | |
Redskins coach Jay Gruden is going against the NFL grain and turning Washington into a ground-and-pound team. The Redskins' offensive line is geared toward the run. The Redskins are going to rush the ball far more than imagined, which is great for the under. |
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09-12-15 | Temple v. Cincinnati -6.5 | 34-26 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 32 m | Show | |
Congrats to Temple on beating long-time rival Penn State for the first time since 1941. |
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09-12-15 | Florida International v. Indiana OVER 56 | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 46 h 8 m | Show | |
Same old story with Indiana. The Hoosiers can put up big numbers, but can't stop anybody. |
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09-12-15 | Toledo v. Arkansas OVER 55.5 | Top | 16-12 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 50 m | Show |
This is the right matchup to produce an over. Toledo may have the most productive offense in the Mid-American Conference. The Rockets scored 30 or more points in eight of their last 11 games last season. They are loaded at the skill positions. |
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09-12-15 | UMass v. Colorado OVER 62.5 | 14-48 | Loss | -106 | 27 h 1 m | Show | |
Colorado is a frustrated team. The Buffaloes have been getting hammered in Pac-12 games. Colorado thought it could end an eight-game losing last week when it opened a touchdown favorite on the road against Hawaii. |
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09-12-15 | Oregon State v. Michigan -14.5 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
Expect the Big House to be rocking in Jim Harbaugh's Michigan home debut. Also expect quarterback Jake Rudock to play better than he did in Michigan's opening loss to Utah last week. |
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09-11-15 | Colorado Rockies v. Seattle Mariners -164 | 4-2 | Loss | -164 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
Seattle is playing well going 7-2 in its last nine games. The Mariners have a huge pitching edge and Colorado has a lot of trouble playing in spacious pitching parks such as Safeco Field, which is a total contrast to the Rockies' Coors Field. |
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09-11-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers -127 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | Top | 4-12 | Loss | -127 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
The Dodgers have stepped it up winning 13 of their last 16. A key for the Dodgers in their late season surge is playing much better on the road where they have won eight of the past 10 times. |
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09-10-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. New England Patriots -6.5 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 78 h 54 m | Show |
When these two teams last met two years ago at Gillette Stadium, the Patriots buried the Steelers, 55-31. That was the most points the Steelers allowed in their 81-year history. Tom Brady threw for 432 yards and four touchdowns helping the Patriots pile up a staggering 610 yards. Now it's two years later. And guess what? Pittsburgh's defense is far more inexperienced and worse than what it was in 2013. Troy Polamalu and Dick LeBeau are gone, too. The Patriots received a huge mental lift with Brady's suspension overturned, while the Steelers experienced a huge mental jolt after not expecting Brady to see the field. It has been a rough off-season and preseason for Pittsburgh. The Steelers lost All-Pro center Maurkice Pouncey with a broken leg. Star running back Le'Veon Bell is suspended. So is promising wide receiver Martavis Bryant. The Steelers' defense has looked terrible giving massive indications they are going to struggle. This is the 14th opening Thursday kickoff game. The home team has won 11 of the first 13. The Steelers have only covered one of their last nine September games. |
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09-10-15 | Louisiana Tech v. Western Kentucky OVER 60.5 | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
These two Conference USA teams are all about offense with some of the best skill position players in the conference. |
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09-09-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. New York Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
It's hard to imagine this game staying under double digits considering the strong offenses and weak starting pitchers going. |
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09-08-15 | Tampa Bay Rays -116 v. Detroit Tigers | 7-8 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Some pitchers should not be in a big league starting rotation. Matt Boyd of Detroit is one such hurler. The lefty has made eight starts - and looked terrible in his last seven. Boyd couldn't get out of the second inning during his last start this past Thursday against the Royals yielding six runs. Tampa Bay is 19-7 the past 26 times facing a lefty starter. The Rays are among the leaders in homers hit against southpaws with 46. Boyd has struggled with the long ball giving up 12 homers in less than 38 innings.  Erasmo Ramirez gets the start for Tampa Bay. This is his first start ever against Detroit giving him an advantage. I'm not a huge fan of Ramirez, but this is more than offset by how bad Detroit is playing. Even with their one-run victory last night against the Rays, the Tigers are 4-13 in their last 17 games. It has been 17 games since the Tigers last won consecutive games. |
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09-08-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Detroit Tigers OVER 9 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
The Rays hit lefties extremely well and are facing one of the worst in baseball, Matt Boyd. Boyd has a hideous 8.36 ERA and has been sub-par in his last seven starts. He should not be in a big league starting rotation. Boyd doesn't strike out many and he has bad command. This makes for a dangerous combination reflected in a 19-to-11 strikeout to walk ratio and surrendering 12 homers in only 37 2/3 innings. Tampa Bay starter Erasmo Ramirez has a 3.84 ERA and also pitches to contact. He hasn't been in good form either posting a 5.87 ERA in his last three starts. The Rays are on a 10-4-1 run to the over. The over has cashed 59 percent of the time when Chris Segal has been the home plate umpire the last two seasons. The weather forecast is calling for winds blowing out 8-10 mph. |
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09-07-15 | Atlanta Braves v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
I question why Williams Perez and Aaron Harang are even in big league starting rotations. But they are and they meet here. It's not asking too much at all to expect both teams to put up at least four runs apiece. |
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09-06-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Kansas City Royals -1.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
The Royals have won 68 percent of their past 79 home games. They aren't going to lack for motivation here either having lost the first two games of this series to the White Sox by an embarrassing margin of 18-2. |
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09-05-15 | Wisconsin v. Alabama UNDER 53 | Top | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 236 h 41 m | Show |
Alabama is having problems deciding on a quarterback, while Wisconsin's quarterback, Joel Stave, just isn't very good. While Wisconsin has a good field goal kicker, Alabama probably has the best punter in the nation in JK Scott, who had a 48-yard average last season. |
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09-05-15 | Wisconsin v. Alabama -10.5 | Top | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 120 h 47 m | Show |
Too much of a class difference here for Wisconsin to stay within double digits of Alabama, especially being one-dimensional and lacking a passing attack. |
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09-05-15 | Texas v. Notre Dame -9.5 | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Texas has a big time reputation. But truth be told, the Longhorns can't compare to Notre Dame in terms of talent and experience. |
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09-05-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. St. Louis Cardinals -144 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
There is a lot to like about the Cardinals in this game - well worth laying the price. |
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09-05-15 | UTEP v. Arkansas OVER 49.5 | 13-48 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Take Arkansas out of SEC play and the Razorbacks can score a ton such as putting up 73 points on Nicholls State, 49 on Texas Tech, 52 on Northern Illinois and 45 on UAB during non-conference games last season. |
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09-05-15 | Stanford v. Northwestern OVER 44.5 | Top | 6-16 | Loss | -110 | 646 h 42 m | Show |
This is a Week 1 mistake by the linesmaker as this total is too low. |
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09-04-15 | Washington v. Boise State -12 | 13-16 | Loss | -102 | 81 h 58 m | Show | |
Washington underachieved last season and doesn't have nearly the talent it had in 2014. The Huskies are young and in rebuilding mode. |
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09-04-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Diego Padres +115 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
The Dodgers are not to be feared when neither Clayton Kershaw nor Zack Greinke is on the mound. LA has an inconsistent offense, shaky bullpen and mediocre back-of-the-rotation starters, one of whom is pitching here - Mike Bolsinger. |
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09-04-15 | Baylor v. SMU +37 | 56-21 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Baylor blew out SMU, 45-0, at home opening week last season. |
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09-03-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Diego Padres +1.5 | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
The Dodgers are in letdown mode after sweeping the Giants in a pivotal series.Â
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09-03-15 | TCU v. Minnesota +17 | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
Minnesota is not the pushover the oddsmaker and marketplace think it is. Not under Jerry Kill and his long time assistant staff. |
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09-03-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals -1.5 | Top | 7-15 | Win | 107 | 19 h 53 m | Show |
The Royals are extremely tough at home and the Tigers have almost become an auto fade these days. |
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09-02-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Houston Astros -159 | 8-3 | Loss | -159 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
No team has a better American League home mark than the Astros at 46-22. Houston is 22-6 in its last 28 at Minute Maid Park and is 24-7 the past 31 times at home facing a right-hander. The pitching matchup is righty Taijuan Walker versus southpaw Scott Kazmir. Walker had to leave his last start five days ago with a cramp in his right hip flexor. Kazmir has a 2.64 ERA in seven starts with the Astros. He is 2-1 with a 1.29 ERA in his last four starts against the Mariners, who are 2-8 the last 10 times they've taken on a lefty starter.  |
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09-02-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals -180 | Top | 1-12 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
I like the pitching matchup and I like fading the Tigers after a rare victory. Detroit edged Kansas City on Tuesday. It was just its second win in 11 games. The Royals have Yordano Ventura going. He was in a rut going into August, but has regained his promising form of a year ago. Ventura is 3-0 with 1 .08 ERA in his last four starts spanning 25 innings. Ventura has 32 strikeouts during this time frame and is holding foes to a .167 batting average. Ventura should be strong again here pitching on five days rest. The Royals are 12-4 the last 16 times Ventura has pitched with five days rest. Kansas City also has back outfield star Alex Gordon. Tigers starter Randy Wolf is 39. This is his third start of the season. Wolf has pitched surprising well, but is well past his prime and due to get lit up.  |
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09-01-15 | New York Yankees -119 v. Boston Red Sox | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
What are the chances of Rick Porcello turning in a second consecutive well-pitched game? |
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08-31-15 | Tampa Bay Rays -124 v. Baltimore Orioles | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
The Orioles are in a deep rut losing 10 of their last 11, including their last four games. Their four-game losing streak has occurred at Camden Yards, too. Now the Orioles have to try to stop the bleeding by beating Chris Archer, the Rays' ace. Tampa Bay has won 16 of the last 22 times Archer has pitched on the road. Baltimore is averaging only 2.7 runs during its past 11 games, while batting .216 during this span. The Orioles are going to start southpaw Wei-Yin Chen, who has a 4.08 ERA in his last seven starts. This will be the fifth time the Rays have faced Chen this season. Tampa Bay is 18-6 in its last 24 games versus lefties. |
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08-30-15 | New York Yankees v. Atlanta Braves +160 | Top | 20-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
If the Yankees' Nathan Eovaldi, with a 13-2 record, isn't the most overrated pitcher in baseball he's certainly the most lucky. |
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08-29-15 | Philadelphia Eagles -3 v. Green Bay Packers | Top | 39-26 | Win | 100 | 53 h 9 m | Show |
The Eagles are unbeaten in preseason. They've beaten the Colts by 26 points and Ravens by 23 points. |
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08-29-15 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 49 | 39-26 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 32 m | Show | |
This is way too high of a total for a preseason game, especially considering the Packers' injuries on offense. |
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08-29-15 | Calgary Stampeders v. Winnipeg Bombers +5 | Top | 36-8 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
Calgary leads the CFL's Western Division with a 6-2 mark. But the Stampeders have won only one game by more than five points with four of their victories coming by three points or less. Calgary wins, but doesn't cover spreads. The Stampeders have covered only one of their last nine games. They are 0-5-1 ATS versus foes with a losing record. One of those non-covers for Calgary occurred last month when it just nipped Winnipeg, 26-25, as 7 1/2-point favorites. Winnipeg has a new quarterback, Robert Marve. He made his first start in replacing injured Drew Willy two weeks ago and completed 18 of 29 passes for 203 yards with a touchdown and interception in a 27-20 loss to Toronto. The Blue Bombers haven't played since giving Marve an extra week to practice and prepare. That's huge. Calgary is on the road a second straight week and has a much bigger game on deck when it hosts Edmonton, it's main challenger in the West Division. The Stampeders could be without defensive end Charleston Hughes, who has been bothered by a bad back. It would hurt Winnipeg's pass rush if Hughes can't play.  Not only do the Blue Bombers have extra preparation time, but they picked up former Stampeders special teams and defensive player, Jasper Simmons. He won't play against Calgary because he doesn't know Winnipeg's system yet, but he can aid in the preparation knowing the Stampeders. |
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08-28-15 | Detroit Lions v. Jacksonville Jaguars -1 | Top | 22-17 | Loss | -120 | 45 h 19 m | Show |
Motivation is a big key during preseason. The Jaguars have it for this matchup. The Lions don't. |
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08-27-15 | Chicago Cubs +171 v. San Francisco Giants | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
Madison Bumgarner is an elite pitcher and is in great form. So why buck him? |
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08-26-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Arizona Diamondbacks +100 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
John Lackey has a monster home/road split this season. He's pitched to a 10-3 mark and 1.91 ERA at home, but is 2-5 with a 4.40 ERA in 12 road starts. Lackey turns 37 in another two months and there are signs - besides his bad road performances - that point out danger such he has the second-highest line drive percentage this month. His fly ball ratio has risen each of the last three months, too. Lackey has surrendered at least one homer in four of his last five starts. Chase Field is one of the better hitting parks in the majors, it's not a good fit for Lackey. Note this stat: St. Louis has lost 13 of the past 16 times when Lackey has started away from Busch Stadium. Arizona southpaw Patrick Corbin has made nine starts since returning from Tommy John surgery. He's looked good in most of them. He wasn't impressive in his last start, a 5-4 win versus the Reds this past Thursday, but previous to that he had a 2.67 ERA in his last five starts. The Cardinals have the disadvantage of never having faced him. Corbin has averaged more than a strikeout per inning this season and has a good history of pitching at Chase Field where the Diamondbacks have gone 15-5 the past 20 times he's been a home favorite. The Cardinals are an amazing 62-30 against right-handers, but a less impressive 18-15 versus lefties. |
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08-25-15 | Colorado Rockies v. Atlanta Braves -103 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -103 | 19 h 55 m | Show |
The Rockies are more dead than Jimmy Hoffa. Colorado has dropped 13 of its last 16 and have the lowest winning percentage in baseball.  The Rockies are 4-12 in their last 16 road contests. |
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08-25-15 | Colorado Rockies v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8 | 5-1 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
Chad Bettis makes his return from the DL against the Braves on Tuesday. Bettis has been on the DL since July 18 due to elbow inflammation. He had a 7.62 ERA in his last five starts before going on the DL. Bettis has a lifetime 5.83 ERA. |
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08-24-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Arizona Diamondbacks +111 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
The Cardinals are not so imposing on the road and aren't playing that well lately while the Diamondbacks are 18-10 in their last 28 games and back in the division race with confidence and momentum. |
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08-24-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Miami Marlins +145 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
The Pirates are in a tough situation flying to South Florida after beating the Giants on Sunday night. Pirates closer Mark Melancon has worked the past two days and may not be available. |
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08-24-15 | Houston Astros v. New York Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
The pitching matchup here is Scott Feldman versus Nathan Eovaldi. Feldman is a journeyman who has been pitching better than his long history shows. He's due for a fall - and the Yankees rank No. 2 in the majors in runs scored and No. 3 in home runs. |
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08-23-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 40 | Top | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
Both teams have concerns about the grass surface at Levi's Stadium. The 49ers began resodding the field after a Taylor Swift concert eight days ago. But the field still remains in poor enough condition where the 49ers called off five practices. The Cowboys aren't likely to risk Tony Romo in this setting, especially with the Dallas offensive line expected to be missing four starters. Dallas also will be minus two of its top three wide receivers with Dez Bryant and Cole Beasley sitting and two of its top three tight ends. The Cowboys will be back their top three running backs - Joseph Randle, Darren McFadden and Lance Dunbar - but none are expected to play long. Dallas is not concerning itself with preseason right now. The Cowboys managed only seven points in their opening preseason game against the Chargers last week and aren't likely to score much either here.San Francisco lost a lot of its defensive talent, but remain respectable on that side of the ball. The 49ers' offense, though, has struggled and has yet to show signs of consistency and getting in sync. Given the field conditions, the 49ers are likely, too, to hold out key skill position players, or at least play them very little. |
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08-23-15 | Philadelphia Phillies +111 v. Miami Marlins | Top | 2-0 | Win | 111 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
Even with a pitching edge and playing better than the Marlins, the Phillies continue to not get any respect from the oddsmaker. |
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08-22-15 | San Diego Chargers v. Arizona Cardinals -145 | Top | 22-19 | Loss | -145 | 25 h 11 m | Show |
Simply put the Cardinals want this game more than the Chargers. Arizona's first-string looked good in building a 10-0 lead against the Chiefs at home last week. |
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