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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-13-23 | Cavs -140 v. Kings | Top | 120-132 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
The Cavaliers are healthy and dangerous. The Warriors found that out the hard way when they lost to Cleveland, 118-110, as 4 1/2-point home favorites two days ago. Now the Cavaliers take on a much worse Sacramento team that is unlikely to have its key player, DeAaron Fox. |
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11-13-23 | Islanders v. Oilers -152 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
The Oilers are off to a slow start this season after leading the NHL in goals last season. I see things starting to turn around for them after they beat the Kraken, 4-1, in their last game this past Saturday and now have made a coaching change to Kris Knoblauch. Connor McDavid is off to a slow start, too. But being reunited with Knoblauch, his old coach, should ignite him.  The Oilers draw the struggling Islanders, who have lost four in a row and could be on the verge of making their own coaching change. The Islanders have scored the third-fewest goals in the league.  The spot and opponent set up well here for Edmonton.Â
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11-12-23 | Nevada +5 v. Washington | 83-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
I regard these teams as even. So does the KenPom rankings, which list Nevada 69th and Washington 70th. |
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11-12-23 | Jets +1 v. Raiders | 12-16 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 12 m | Show | |
The timing is right to back the Jets off their Monday night home loss to the Chargers while the Raiders rode the excitement and relief of having Josh McDaniels finally getting fired to a victory against the lowly Giants. |
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11-12-23 | Commanders v. Seahawks -6 | Top | 26-29 | Loss | -115 | 89 h 40 m | Show |
The Seahawks are far from an elite team. But they are not nearly as bad as they appeared against the Ravens this past Sunday. Credit to Baltimore, which looked like the best team in football with that 37-3 victory. |
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11-12-23 | Falcons -120 v. Cardinals | 23-25 | Loss | -120 | 87 h 21 m | Show | |
If there's one thing the Falcons can do it's beat bad teams such as the Cardinals. Atlanta is 4-2 against .500 or below foes. |
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11-12-23 | 49ers -3 v. Jaguars | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 85 h 50 m | Show | |
After three consecutive losses - one of which occurred against the Browns on a missed 41-yard field goal with six seconds left - I'm buying low on the 49ers. |
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11-12-23 | Saints -145 v. Vikings | 19-27 | Loss | -145 | 84 h 29 m | Show | |
The Falcons should have fired Arthur Smith for letting his Falcons lose, 31-28, to the Vikings and Joshua Dobbs last Sunday. It's not going to happen to defensive whiz Dennis Allen and the Saints. |
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11-12-23 | Hornets v. Knicks UNDER 226.5 | 107-129 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
First off, this is a very early Sunday start time. That's often a plus for the Under as teams are used to playing at night. |
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11-11-23 | Flyers v. Kings -1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
The Kings buried the Flyers, 5-0, on the road a week ago. This spot sets up for the Kings to win by multiple goals again. |
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11-11-23 | Texas -10.5 v. TCU | Top | 29-26 | Loss | -120 | 43 h 11 m | Show |
Texas holds numerous edges against TCU. The Longhorns' offense still kept humming the past two games under backup QB Maalik Murphy producing 68 points and more than 800 yards of offense in beating Kansas State and BYU. But Murphy committed four turnovers. The Longhorns survived a scare from Kansas State last week before prevailing in overtime. |
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11-11-23 | Washington State v. California OVER 59.5 | 39-42 | Win | 100 | 26 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a get well game for Washington State's sagging offense. California has surrendered at least 50 points in four games this season. I like Cam Ward to have a strong game for the Cougars against Cal's 127th-ranked secondary. |
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11-11-23 | Nevada v. Utah State UNDER 56.5 | 24-41 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 57 m | Show | |
This is too high of a total given that Nevada might be lucky to put up two touchdowns even against a bad Utah State defense. The Wolf Pack have scored 14 or fewer points in five of their nine games. Their QB choice is either ineffective Brendon Lewis untested, raw redshirt freshman, A.J. Bianco. |
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11-10-23 | Sharks v. Golden Knights -1.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a kill spot for the defending Stanley Cup champion Golden Knights if there ever was one. Las Vegas has lost two in a row for the first time this season. The Golden Knights have been home since the early part of this week. They won't be taking the Sharks lightly after San Jose has won its last two games. The Golden Knights have no love lost either for the Sharks. |
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11-10-23 | Clippers +1.5 v. Mavs | 126-144 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
The Clippers are putting a lot of emphasis on winning this finale of their four-game road trip after losing the first three games. LA's 3-point shooting is due to improve. The Clippers are just 19-of-68 (28 percent) from 3-point range in their past two games, losses to the Knicks and Nets. |
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11-10-23 | Flames v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
The Flames were a major disappointment in October, but they are coming around now. They have scored 13 goals in their last three games. I'm looking for a lot of offense from Calgary against the Maple Leafs, who are giving up an average of 4.8 goals in their last five games. Toronto ranks 28th defensively. |
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11-10-23 | Capitals v. Devils OVER 6 | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
There were 10 goals scored when the teams met on Oct. 25 with the Capitals pulling out a 6-4 road victory. It marked the fifth time in the last seven games in the series the Over has cashed. |
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11-09-23 | New Mexico v. St. Mary's -6 | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
I want Saint Mary's going for me in this spot. This is a monster revenge game for the Gaels. They've had this game circled ever since New Mexico upset them as a nine-point road underdog, 69-65, last season. That halted the Gaels' 23-game home win streak. |
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11-09-23 | Bucks -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 124-126 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
Both teams played and won Wednesday night. Giannis Antetokounmpo received some unexpected extra rest. Antetokounmpo logged only 22 minutes because he was tossed midway through the third quarter against the Pistons after making a slam dunk basket. Apparently the referees thought people were paying to watch them instead of Antetokounmpo. |
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11-09-23 | Canucks v. Senators OVER 6.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
Both teams are consistently scoring goals and going Over. I'm going to ride that again here. |
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11-08-23 | Blazers +8.5 v. Kings | 118-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
De'Aaron Fox is the most important player on Sacramento's roster. He's out with an ankle injury. Fox didn't play in the Kings' last three games. Sacramento went 0-3 in those games, including getting blown out twice by the lowly Rockets. |
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11-08-23 | Senators v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Usually I give pause when I see a total this high. But there's only way to play this game - and it's not Under. |
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11-08-23 | Akron v. Miami-OH -17.5 | Top | 0-19 | Win | 100 | 32 h 34 m | Show |
Miami of Ohio has the second-best overall record in the Mid-American Conference behind 8-1 Toledo. The 7-2 RedHawks' only losses have been to the Miami Hurricanes opening week and Toledo. |
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11-07-23 | Devils v. Avalanche OVER 6 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm expecting a big scoring effort from Colorado at home after it was blanked, 7-0, by the Golden Knights this past Saturday in Las Vegas. Colorado allowed two short-handed goals in that loss. The Avalanche had scored 4 or more goals in five of their last seven games before that shutout. |
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11-07-23 | North Carolina-Asheville +10.5 v. Michigan | 74-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
UNC Asheville isn't getting enough respect here. The Bulldogs won the Big South last season to earn their way into the NCAA Tournament. They finished 27-7. |
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11-07-23 | Presbyterian v. Vanderbilt -18.5 | Top | 68-62 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
I believe this number is too short. Vanderbilt came on strong last season, winning 10 of its last 11 regular-season games to earn an NIT bid where the Commodores reached the quarterfinals. Vanderbilt defeated five eventual NCAA Tournament participants down this stretch. |
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11-07-23 | Northern Iowa +4.5 v. North Texas | 77-83 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Northern Iowa should be much improved from its 12-20 record of last season. The Panthers return nine of its top 10 scorers along with having three highly touted freshmen. Two of the Panthers' returners, Tylan Anderson and Bowen Born, were named to the All-Missouri Valley preseason all-conference team. |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +3.5 | Top | 27-6 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 14 m | Show |
The Chargers looked great in their last game destroying the Bears at home, 30-13. But the buy sign rarely is on the Chargers because of Brandon Staley. It certainly isn't on then here with the Chargers road chalk against the Jets on Monday night. |
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11-06-23 | Wizards +11.5 v. 76ers | 128-146 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
The Wizards are a tough team to get behind with their lack of defense. But this is a good spot for them. |
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11-06-23 | Iona v. College of Charleston -6.5 | 69-71 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
College of Charleston went 31-4 last season, reaching No. 18 in the AP Top 25 poll and earning an NCAA Tournament bid. The Cougars should be good again with a strong junior class and balanced scoring. |
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11-05-23 | Bills v. Bengals OVER 49.5 | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 55 m | Show |
It's no coincidence the Bengals put up 31 points on the road against a strong 49ers defense last week. Joe Burrow is finally healthy. He looked great. The rest of the Bengals are healthy, too. Joe Mixon actually displayed some explosiveness for the first time this season. |
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11-05-23 | Colts v. Panthers +3 | 27-13 | Loss | -120 | 64 h 29 m | Show | |
If there's one game Panthers coach Frank Reich wants to win more than any other it's this one against the Colts, a team he was fired from after coaching them the previous five years. |
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11-05-23 | Commanders v. Patriots OVER 40.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
The Commanders' already horrific defense just traded defensive linemen Montez Sweat and Chase Young. Those two were maybe their best defenders. The Patriots are minus pass rusher Matthew Judon and cornerback Christian Gonzalez. Now linebacker Ja'Whaun Bentley is questionable with a hamstring injury. Those are New England's three top defensive players. |
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11-05-23 | Rams v. Packers -160 | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
If you're going to undergo a youth movement at the skill positions, you better have good coaching. The Packers lack leadership both on the field and on the sidelines. Their defense underperforms to their talent level and Matt LaFleur offers nothing innovative to help Jordan Love. It's obvious the Packers' success during LaFleur's previous three seasons was due to Aaron Rodgers carrying the team. |
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11-05-23 | Cardinals v. Browns -11 | 0-27 | Win | 100 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
The game hasn't even started and already Clayton Tune is hearing Myles Garrett's footsteps. |
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11-04-23 | Boise State +2.5 v. Fresno State | 30-37 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm far from convinced Fresno State is better than Boise State. The Bulldogs have been extremely lucky while Boise State has been extremely unfortunate.
The Broncos are 4-4, but three of those losses were by a combined six points for an average loss of two points. The only time Boise State has been completely out of a game was its opener against No. 5 ranked unbeaten Washington. Fresno State is 7-1 with four of those victories occurring by a single score. Bulldogs QB Mikey Keene doesn't look completely healthy either. He finished last week's game against UNLV hobbling. The Rebels are not strong defensively. Yet they held the Bulldogs to 312 total yards. Boise State showed how far it has come along when it whipped Wyoming, 32-7, last week. Wyoming dealt Fresno State its only loss, 24-19, a month ago. The Broncos have historically been very strong as an underdog covering 65 percent of the time in that role during the past 52 instances. |
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11-04-23 | LSU v. Alabama -3 | Top | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 66 h 54 m | Show |
Defense trumps offense. That's what it comes down to in this matchup, especially with Alabama in a revenge spot. |
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11-04-23 | Canadiens +104 v. Blues | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
The Canadiens are improved this season. They are 4-3 in their last seven games with two of those losses during this span occurring by one goal. |
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11-04-23 | Kansas v. Iowa State -2.5 | 28-21 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 58 m | Show | |
Kansas is coming off one of its biggest football victories in school history having upset Oklahoma at home last Saturday. It was the Jayhawks' first home win against a Top 10 team since 1984. The fans went crazy storming the field. The victory also made the Jayhawks' bowl eligible, which is a big deal for them. |
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11-04-23 | Ohio State v. Rutgers +19 | 35-16 | Push | 0 | 58 h 48 m | Show | |
Michigan, Ohio State and Penn State. That's the upper tier of the Big Ten. Heading up the next tier is Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights are having their best start in 11 years going 6-2, already bowl-eligible. They can stay within this number of Ohio State if not giving the Buckeyes a downright scare. |
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11-04-23 | Notre Dame v. Clemson UNDER 45 | 23-31 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Think defense here. Notre Dame has held USC to 20 points, Ohio State to 17, Duke to 14 and Pittsburgh to 7. The Irish certainly can contain Cade Klubnik. Clemson is likely to be without its best runner, Will Shipley, too.
The Irish's offensive numbers have been boosted by numerous defensive scores. Clemson has had a very disappointing season. The Tigers, though, have been stout defensively ranking sixth in total defense and ninth in pass defense. |
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11-03-23 | Grizzlies v. Blazers UNDER 218.5 | Top | 113-115 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
The Grizzlies are really missing suspended Ja Morant. They are the NBA's lone winless team at 0-5. Memphis is averaging 106.6 points and ranks second-to-last in field goal percentage. The Grizzlies have prided themselves on defense. They just gave up 133 points to the Jazz in an embarrassing 24-point loss two days ago. |
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11-02-23 | Titans v. Steelers OVER 36.5 | Top | 16-20 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
Unless there's bad weather or key skill position injury concerns, this is too low of a total. The weather is going to be fine and Derrick Henry is set to play. DeAndre Hopkins is likely to suit up, too, so I'm going Over. |
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11-02-23 | Raptors v. 76ers -8 | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
The 76ers are in action for the first time since trading James Harden. They also haven't played since Sunday. So the 76ers should have energy and motivation. The talent certainly is there. |
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11-01-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks -105 | 5-0 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm not counting the Diamondbacks out yet. Not with Zac Gallen pitching at home and Adolis Garcia out. |
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11-01-23 | Nets +5.5 v. Heat | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
The Heat are not built for the early part of the season. This is when they historically struggle and it's happening again this season. If it weren't for a one-point victory against the lowly Pistons, the Heat would be 0-4. |
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11-01-23 | Ball State v. Bowling Green -5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 31 m | Show |
I find excellent value getting Bowling Green at home laying less than a touchdown to Ball State. |
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10-31-23 | Kings v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 23 m | Show |
The Kings are in action. So think Over. There have been 7 or more goals scored in six of the Kings' eight games. The Kings have surrendered at least three goals in every game except one. |
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10-31-23 | Knicks v. Cavs +3.5 | 109-91 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
The Cavaliers have been pointing to this matchup ever since the Knicks eliminated them in the playoffs last season. The Knicks took advantage of Cleveland's outside shooting deficiencies and rebounding. |
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10-30-23 | Raiders v. Lions -8 | Top | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 43 h 6 m | Show |
Both the Raiders and Lions were humbled last week. The Lions were destroyed, 38-6, by the Ravens while the Raiders were embarrassed by the Bears, 30-12, who were giving rookie QB Tyson Bagent his first NFL start. |
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10-30-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks -103 | 3-1 | Loss | -103 | 22 h 5 m | Show | |
The Rangers are lucky to have the World Series even at 1-1 after pulling out an extra inning win. The Diamondbacks have outscored the Rangers, 14-7, and now are coming home for Game 3. Texas had a losing road record during the regular season. |
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10-30-23 | Panthers v. Bruins -159 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
The Bruins are off to a great start at 7-0-1. They rank first defensively giving up the fewest goals per game. They also have the No. 1 penalty kill unit. |
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10-29-23 | Bears v. Chargers OVER 46.5 | 13-30 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 33 m | Show | |
This sets up as a get-well game for Justin Herbert, who has had a disappointing season given his high bar. The Bears defense turned dreadful after the team dealt star linebacker Roquan Smith and pass rusher Robert Quinn at midseason last year. |
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10-29-23 | Vikings v. Packers +1 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
The Bears are the Packers' oldest rival. But it's the Vikings who the Packers want to beat more than any other team. It has been that way for years. The spot sets up perfect for Green Bay to do just that. |
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10-29-23 | Rams v. Cowboys OVER 45.5 | 20-43 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
Dak Prescott is off his best game of the season. The Cowboys' offensive line is as healthy as it has been all season and getting more in sync. Dallas has had two weeks to prepare, being on its bye last week. The Rams defense is mediocre at best and is stepping up in class after having just played the Steelers and Cardinals. |
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10-28-23 | Golden Knights +103 v. Kings | 4-3 | Win | 103 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
The Kings figure to get the Golden Knights ''A'' game tonight and the situation isn't ideal for them. |
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10-28-23 | North Carolina v. Georgia Tech +12 | Top | 42-46 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show |
We saw North Carolina implode last season losing its last four games after a 9-1 start. The pattern continues this season. The Tar Heels were upset, 31-27, by visiting Virginia as a 24-point favorite last week. That halted the Tar Heels' six-game win streak to start the season and raises serious concerns about North Carolina. |
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10-28-23 | Colorado v. UCLA UNDER 61.5 | 16-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 28 m | Show | |
This total is too high given UCLA's outstanding defense. The Bruins have held foes to an average of 14.9 points a game. They rate No. 2 in run defense and 12th in total defense. |
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10-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Wizards | 106-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
It's not asking too much for the Grizzlies to beat the Wizards. Memphis, after all, is the vastly superior team. The Grizzlies were 20 games above .500 last season. Washington finished eight games below .500. |
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10-28-23 | Wyoming +4.5 v. Boise State | 7-32 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 60 m | Show | |
A decline in recruiting and coaching is taking a toll on Boise State. The Broncos are overvalued because of their past reputation. This is such a case. |
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10-27-23 | Nets +6.5 v. Mavs | Top | 120-125 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show |
Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving are superstars.Their presence, though, makes the Mavericks overrated. Doncic may be the best player to have in fantasy basketball, but Dallas isn't that good. The roster is very mediocre once you get past Doncic and Irving. |
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10-27-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
The Rangers have a top-three offense. They have not gone Under the total during their last six games. Zac Gallen was bad on the road and has proven disappointing lately in the postseason. |
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10-27-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Charlotte UNDER 43.5 | Top | 38-16 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
There's a stand-alone college football game on Friday. That makes this dull American Athletic Conference matchup between Charlotte and Florida Atlantic significant. The marketplace has been active, betting the total up. |
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10-26-23 | Rangers -125 v. Oilers | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 22 h 58 m | Show |
The Rangers were outstanding on the road last season going 24-9-8 and they've started off well this season winning three of four away contests. I like the Rangers to keep hot on the road against the struggling Oilers. |
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10-25-23 | Blazers v. Clippers UNDER 227.5 | 111-123 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
The NBA season tipped off Tuesday with two games. Both went Under. I see this game going Under, too, as teams make the transition from preseason to regular-season intensity. |
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10-25-23 | Celtics -3 v. Knicks | Top | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
I find this line to be short. The Celtics are an elite team and they got better during the off-season acquiring Kristaps Porzingis and Jrue Holiday. |
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10-25-23 | Rockets +4 v. Magic | 86-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The perception here is the Rockets are a bottom-feeder and the Magic are an up-and-coming team. |
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10-24-23 | Flyers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
It's not a huge surprise the defending Stanley Cup champion Golden Knights are off to a 6-0 start. It is a surprise, though, to find the Flyers leading the Metro Division with a 3-1-1 record. |
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10-24-23 | Lakers +5.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 107-119 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 25 m | Show |
The Nuggets came together in impressive fashion last season winning 16 of 20 playoff games to capture the NBA championship. One of Denver's victims was the Lakers. |
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10-23-23 | 49ers -6.5 v. Vikings | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -115 | 117 h 44 m | Show |
The Vikings played their first game without Justin Jefferson this past Sunday. They managed only 220 yards of total offense, reaching the red zone just once. Yet they managed to win because they were playing the Bears, who had lost Justin Fields to injury during the game. |
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10-22-23 | Dolphins v. Eagles -145 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 44 h 47 m | Show | |
Unless the Eagles were at full strength, I was going to stay away from this matchup. But, now, after seeing Friday's updated injury report, I'm backing Philadelphia.
All of the key Eagles who were banged-up, are expected to play. That means offensive tackle Lane Johnson, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Godert, defensive tackle Jalen Carter and Darius Slay. The Dolphins are the talk of the NFL leading the league by a wide margin in points and yards. But the Eagles are stronger in the trenches and aren't too shabby either when it comes to putting up points ranking No. 2 in total yards, second in rushing and fifth in scoring. The Eagles are 5-1 and have yet to play to their capabilities. Miami also is 5-1. The Dolphins' five wins have come against foes with a combined record of 5-24. Miami's great offensive numbers are skewed by its 70-20 home victory against the 1-5 Broncos. Philadelphia has the better defense with elite pass rushers. Slay being back is huge for the secondary. Carter could be the Defensive Rookie of the Year. Tua Tagovailoa is not mobile and he'll be dealing with a weather element he's not used to - a night game in Philadelphia with wind in the 12-15 mph range. Only once have the Dolphins had a step-up game this season. It didn't turn out well for them. The Bills crushed the Dolphins, 48-20. |
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10-22-23 | Rangers +105 v. Astros | 9-2 | Win | 105 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
After sweeping the Rangers three games in Texas, the Astros return to Houston for this Game 6. That's bad news for the Astros. |
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10-22-23 | Flames -129 v. Red Wings | 2-6 | Loss | -129 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
The Red Wings are the home team. But it's Calgary that has been practicing at Detroit's home facility. While the Flames were in Detroit on Saturday, the Red Wings were pulling off an impressive upset against the Senators in Ottawa on Saturday. |
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10-22-23 | Chargers +5.5 v. Chiefs | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
The Chargers are a frustrating team to get behind because of Brandon Staley's perplexing on-field decisions.  But there are two things you can say about the Chargers: They possess a lot of talent and they keep games close. LA hasn't lost a game by more than three points during its last 11 games.  Kansas City went 2-0 versus the Chargers last season. Each win was by three points. The Chiefs' offense is worse this season and the Chargers are improved. The Chargers are averaging 25.4 points and have only three turnovers. The Chiefs are averaging 24.5 points and have turned the ball over nine times. If you discount a 41-10 win against the hapless Bears, the Chiefs would be averaging 21.2 points in their last five games.  Patrick Mahomes and his merry band of mediocre wide receivers have yet to get in sync. Mahomes is frustrated with them. Who can blame him?  Kansas City's defense has played much better than LA's. However, the Chiefs have just played four bad-to-mediocre offenses - the Bears, Jets, Vikings, in which Justin Jefferson suffered an injury, and Broncos.  The Chargers' defense is getting better as they get healthier with the return of star safety Derwin James and linebacker Erick Kendricks. The Chargers have 21 sacks in their last four games. Their defense is ascending, while the Chiefs' defense goes against the best quarterback, Justin Herbert, they have faced all season.Â
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10-22-23 | Steelers v. Rams OVER 43.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 46 m | Show | |
Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp are up to their old dominant ways. The Rams' wide receiving corps is at peak efficiency right now with the emergence of rookie Puka Nacua and vast improvement shown by Tutu Atwell. |
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10-22-23 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -7 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 88 h 28 m | Show | |
The Seahawks had won three in a row, including beating the Lions, until losing to the Bengals this past Sunday.  Look for the Seahawks to get back on the winning track here. They beat the Cardinals twice last season, each time by 10 points. The Cardinals are worse this season and the Seahawks have gotten healthier in their secondary and offensive line. I see another double-digit victory by Seattle.  Arizona ranks in the bottom-six defensively in the two most important categories, points allowed and yards given up. The Seahawks can open their offense now more for Geno Smith with their starting tackles back in action.  Joshua Dobbs is a very limited QB. He's especially ineffective without the Cardinals' one decent running back, injured James Conner. Dobbs has completed fewer than 50 percent of his throws during the past couple of games. This is really egregious because he rarely throws downfield. He's averaged just 5.5 yards per pass attempt during this span and has more interceptions than TD passes.  Seattle's defense could really come on with cornerbacks Devon Witherspoon and Tariq Woolen along with the return of dominant safety Jamal Adams to shore up the secondary.Â
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10-22-23 | Lions v. Ravens UNDER 42.5 | Top | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 52 m | Show |
Take the Lions out of their dome. Put them on a grass field in windy conditions against an elite defense and they are not going to put up fancy numbers. |
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10-22-23 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 41 | 25-29 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 3 m | Show | |
The Patriots have the second-worst scoring offense in the NFL at 12 points a game. It's not just bad turnovers from Mac Jones. New England's battered offensive line is terrible and the skill position players are below par especially at wide receiver.
Buffalo has key defensive injuries. The Bills, however, are deep on defense and can handle weak offenses. Buffalo held Las Vegas to 10 points, Washington to three points and the Giants to nine points. The Bills have struggled to get in rhythm offensively the past two weeks averaging just 17 points against the Jaguars and Giants. Josh Allen may not be 100 percent. The Patriots are well-coached defensively. They rank 10th in defensive total yards. This is an intense division rivalry matchup. Points will be at a premium. Weather could factor, too. Heavy wind is in the forecast with a chance of rain. |
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10-22-23 | Lions v. Ravens -155 | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 84 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm not sold on the Lions playing their second consecutive road game on grass. The Ravens' defense is extremely intimidating at home. The Ravens surrender the second-fewest yards per game and fourth-fewest points per game. |
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10-21-23 | Islanders v. Sabres -117 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Early revenge spot here for Buffalo. The Islanders scored a goal with fewer than seven minutes left to nip the Sabres, 3-2, at home last Saturday. |
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10-21-23 | Minnesota +4 v. Iowa | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 42 h 36 m | Show |
This is the lowest football total of the season. So taking more than a field goal where points are going to be at an absolute premium certainly makes sense. |
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10-21-23 | Tennessee v. Alabama UNDER 48.5 | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 9 m | Show | |
Don't look for a repeat of last year's 52-49 Tennessee victory over Alabama.  The quarterbacks were Bryce Young and Hendon Hooker for that game. Jalen Milroe and Joe Milton are nowhere near the caliber of their respective predecessors.  The Volunteers rank 88th in passing yards. Milton has a big arm, but lacks accuracy. Alabama ranks among the top-15 teams in giving up the fewest points and yards per game. The Crimson Tide have huge revenge motivation.  Milroe has emerged as Alabama's best QB this season. But he's not a star. The Crimson Tide's offense is down from past seasons. Alabama ranks 87th in total offense. Milroe has been sacked 19 times during the last four games.  Tennessee's defense ranks in the top-18 in fewest yards and points per game.
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10-21-23 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia -3.5 | 48-34 | Loss | -104 | 40 h 56 m | Show | |
If Houston didn't hit on a Hail Mary on the final play last week against West Virginia, the Mountaineers may have been a heavier favorite than they are now. That 41-39 loss to Houston halted the Mountaineers' four-game win and covering streak. |
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10-21-23 | Air Force v. Navy +10.5 | 17-6 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
It's a simple rule when two service academies play one another, think Under and underdog, especially when the number is at double-digits like it is here. |
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10-21-23 | Central Florida +17.5 v. Oklahoma | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
Oklahoma may not be that sharp coming out of its bye having defeated arch-rival Texas in its previous game, 34-30, on a touchdown in the final minute. The Sooners still might be celebrating. UCF also is coming off a bye. The extra time allowed dual threat QB John Rhys Plumlee to get healthy after missing most of the last four games. He makes a difference for UCF. The Knights are familiar with Sooners' star QB Dillon Gabriel, who played for UCF from 2019-21. The Knights actually average more yards per game than Oklahoma. |
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10-20-23 | Phillies -124 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -124 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
Arizona's relief pitchers did a great job in helping preserve the Diamondbacks' 2-1 victory against the Phillies on Thursday. I don't think they can do it again, though. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints UNDER 40 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 54 m | Show |
The Saints are a dead nuts Under team. They have gone Under in 15 of their last 16 games, including all six this season. They've played 12 straight games where the combined score was below 40 points.
Jacksonville has a strong run defense ranking No. 3, but its offense has been disappointing. Trevor Lawrence has been decent but not great and is banged-up. So he may not be 100 percent especially given the short week. The Saints' passing attack has been a disappointment with Derek Carr. The Saints also sustained several offensive line injuries this past Sunday. New Orleans is averaging just 18.2 points a game. |
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10-19-23 | Coyotes v. Blues -109 | 6-2 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
I like the spot and low lay price for the Blues.
St. Louis has been idle since Saturday. Arizona, though, is playing its third road game in four days. The Coyotes have lost 44 of their last 55 away games. The Coyotes are struggling to score and get shots on net. They've managed only one goal in their last two games. They only had 14 shots on goal against the Islanders on Tuesday. Jordan Binnington has looked much improved in goal for St. Louis stopping 63 of 65 shots he's faced this season. |
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10-19-23 | Astros +105 v. Rangers | 10-3 | Win | 105 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The momentum has shifted in this series with the Astros dealing the Rangers their first loss of the playoffs. I'm going to ride the Astros here as the underdog. |
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10-18-23 | Aces +6.5 v. Liberty | 70-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
The defending WNBA champion Aces haven't been this big of an underdog since 2020. This is only the second time all season Las Vegas is getting points. The Aces blew out the Liberty, 99-82 and 104-76, at home during the first two games of this best-of-five championship series before losing Game 3 in New York, 87-73, this past Sunday.
So what gives with this large of a point spread? Several things: New York is home and its confidence has been restored after Sunday's victory. More important, though, are the Aces being without injured Chelsea Gray, last year's Finals MVP, and center Kiah Stokes. Both have foot injuries. Gray is a great two-way player and definitely worth something on the betting line. But the line is too high. The Aces are extremely well coached by Becky Hammon and are mentally tough. They also have versatile guards and swing players. Hammon can rely on point guard Kelsey Plum and guard/forward Jackie Young to keep the Aces' system fluid minus Gray. Plum is having an outstanding series. Stokes is a defensive specialist. She brought nothing to Las Vegas' offense. Alysha Clark, the Aces' sixth person, now will draw more minutes. She's a 3-point shooting threat who can keep the Liberty from jamming A'ja Wilson inside. Breanna Stewart won the league MVP award. But Wilson is the best player on the court. She should have been the league MVP. I trust Hammon to make the right adjustments. So I will accept this many points. |
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10-18-23 | Astros +120 v. Rangers | Top | 8-5 | Win | 120 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
The Astros are down 2-0 in this American League Championship Series, but I'm not ready to count them out. The scene shifting from Houston to Texas is a good thing for the Astros. |
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -157 | Top | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
The magic is broken. Momentum gone. After sweeping the Brewers and Dodgers in the playoffs, the Diamondbacks lost, 5-3, to the Phillies in Monday's NLCS opener. |
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10-17-23 | Lightning v. Sabres -108 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The 0-2 Sabres are due to get their first win. The situation sets up for them here drawing the struggling Lightning, who still could be missing team captain Steve Stamkos. |
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10-17-23 | Western Kentucky -7.5 v. Jacksonville State | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Schedule matters. So does quarterback injuries. Factor these elements in and Western Kentucky is worthy of a play. |
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10-16-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies OVER 7 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
The marketplace is enamored with the pitching matchup of Zac Gallen versus Zach Wheeler in this opening game of the National League Championship Series. The total is being bet down. |
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10-15-23 | Giants +15.5 v. Bills | 9-14 | Win | 100 | 47 h 9 m | Show | |
I know the Giants are a hard sell even though this is the largest point spread of the season. Daniel Jones is out. So is left tackle Andrew Thomas, the team's best offensive lineman. I don't expect Saquon Barkley to return for this game either.  But the Bills aren't without key injuries either. They will be missing three important defensive players: linebacker Matt Milano, cornerback Tre'Davious White and nose tackle DaQuan Jones.  The Giants have veteran Tyrod Taylor to fill in for Jones. He's a journeyman. But his mobility and experience make him one of the better backup quarterbacks.  There are three other factors as to why the Giants can stay within two TD's.  At 1-4, the Giants are in desperate shape. They really can't take a loss here. The Bills have a division game up next against the Patriots on the road. They don't want to show anything new to Bill Belichick so they'll be as vanilla as possible.  The Bills are returning from London. Any American who has flown to London and back realizes it takes at least a few days to fully get over jet lag. So there is the real possibility of the Bills being flat for this contest. Then there's the Brian Daboll angle. He was the Bills' popular and effective offensive coordinator before taking the Giants job last year. Daboll doesn't want to be embarrassed on national TV with this being the Sunday night game. I doubt that Sean McDermott and Josh Allen run up a score on their buddy Daboll. Â
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10-15-23 | Patriots +3 v. Raiders | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -115 | 43 h 16 m | Show |
You have to go back to Bill Belichick's first year as head coach of the Patriots in 2000 to find New England this bad.   The Patriots have hit rock bottom losing by a combined, 72-3, to the Cowboys and Saints during the last two weeks.  So I'm buying as low as possible on the Patriots as they drop way down in class to face the Raiders.  Las Vegas has yet to break 18 points in a game. The Raiders are on a short week in a letdown spot after beating the Packers at home on Monday night.  Belichick has lost a lot of his coaching luster during the past couple of seasons. But he's still miles ahead of Josh McDaniels when it comes to coaching. McDaniels seems to make mistakes in crucial on-the-field decisions every game.  The Patriots are going to run the ball with Rhamondre Stevenson and Ezekiel Elliott while Mac Jones mixes in a few short passes. This is the right game plan to attack a Raiders defense that guards against the long ball and heavily relies on Maxx Crosby to create havoc.  Belichick is familiar with Jimmy Garoppolo having coached him when Garoppolo was in New England. Belichick can exploit Garoppolo's many weaknesses. Garoppolo leads in the NFL in interceptions with seven despite missing a game. The Raiders rank last in rushing, 30th in scoring and 29th in total yards.
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10-15-23 | Saints v. Texans UNDER 42.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 49 h 31 m | Show | |
Dennis Allen isn't a very good head coach. But he's an elite defensive coach. The Saints have turned into a dead nuts Under team with Allen. |
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10-15-23 | Commanders v. Falcons -135 | 24-16 | Loss | -135 | 44 h 60 m | Show | |
Maybe the Commanders get things turned around - although I have no confidence in Ron Rivera - but until there is evidence of that, they remain a team to fade. Washington has lost three in a row with the latest being, 40-20, to the previously winless Bears at home. |
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10-15-23 | Ravens v. Titans OVER 41.5 | 24-16 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 46 m | Show | |
Lots of dropped passes and six lost fumbles have skewed the Ravens' offensive numbers. But Baltimore remains aggressive in its new passing-oriented offense. Lamar Jackson is comfortable and likes this new aggressive approach. He's completing a career-best 69.9 percent of his throws despite Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman dropping way too many balls. Those two are too good to keep doing that. |
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