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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-14-16 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -122 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -122 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
Patrick Corbin has a good recent history against the Giants and has shown recent signs of regaining his All-Star status of a couple of years ago. But backing the Diamondbacks is mainly a fade on Jake Peavy. |
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05-14-16 | Reds v. Phillies -137 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Aaron Nola is an ace, but he's not being priced like one here pitching at home against the Reds and journeyman Tim Adleman. Cincinnati is 2-11 on the road outscored by more than three runs per game on average away from home. Nola is going for his fifth straight quality start. The Phillies are 5-0 in their last five home games. |
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05-14-16 | Padres v. Brewers OVER 9 | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
The Padres are starting Luis Perdomo, who is filling in for Andrew Cashner. If you thought Cashner was bad, wait to you see Perdomo, who has a 9.88 ERA and is making his first big league start. The Padres don't have a strong bullpen, but it's going to get plenty of work in this game. |
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05-13-16 | Astros v. Red Sox -142 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -142 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
Not only are the Red Sox swinging hot bats - scoring 51 runs in their last four games - they have their most effective pitcher going in underrated knuckleballer Steven Wright. He's had a quality start in each of his six starts this season with a 1.52 ERA.Â
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05-12-16 | Spurs v. Thunder +2.5 | Top | 99-113 | Win | 100 | 32 h 58 m | Show |
I can understand a certain respect level for the Spurs and Gregg Popovich. But opening the Spurs a road favorite based on the past four games in this playoff series is just plain wrong.Â
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05-11-16 | White Sox v. Rangers -137 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Cole Hamels is a lot better pitcher than Matt Latos and the Rangers are swinging hot bats scoring 40 runs in their last five games. |
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05-10-16 | Thunder +7 v. Spurs | Top | 95-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Since Game 1, the Thunder have outplayed the Spurs winning two of the last three. Oklahoma City has the most talented player, Kevin Durant, and is the better rebounding team. Steve Adams has turned into a strong wildcard proving to be highly effective inside against San Antonio. |
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05-10-16 | A's +121 v. Red Sox | 5-13 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Like a bad penny, Sean O'Sullivan keeps showing up. The 28-year-old has found his fifth big league team since 2010 with Boston. When I last saw O'Sullivan he was burying the Phillies and any foolish fantasy baseball owner stupid enough to have him on their roster going 1-6 with a 6.08 ERA in 13 starts for Philadelphia last year. |
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05-09-16 | Mets -102 v. Dodgers | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
The price is right to back the superior team with the much better starter going and bullpen. |
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05-09-16 | Raptors v. Heat OVER 189.5 | Top | 87-94 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
 If you count just regulation, all three games so far in this series have gone under the total. The Raptors have gone under in eight of their 10 playoff games. The Heat's gone under in seven of their last eight playoff games. So why go over? |
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05-08-16 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 8 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 106 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
Steven Wright doesn't carry marquee status, but he has been one of the most effective pitchers in baseball with five out of five quality starts and a 1.67 ERA.  Wright is unique because he's a knuckleballer. The righthander's ERA shrinks to 1.37 in night games. Wright has a 0.69 ERA in two career starts versus the Yankees. He beat New York, 2-1, at Yankee Stadium last Aug. 5. |
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05-07-16 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 211.5 | Top | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
Golden State and Portland have gone over the total in seven of their last eight head-to-head meetings. I expect that trend to continue here. |
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05-06-16 | Spurs v. Thunder OVER 200 | Top | 100-96 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
The teams last played back on Monday so expect lots of energy. |
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05-06-16 | Royals +132 v. Indians | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
A day off on Thursday could not have come at a better time for the Royals. I see the defending world champions ending their slump here while taking a nice plus price to back that opinion. |
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05-05-16 | Rockies v. Giants OVER 7.5 | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The Rockies' offense isn't nearly as prolific away from Coors Field. I get that. But this total is set too low given the two starting pitchers. |
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05-05-16 | Heat v. Raptors -4.5 | Top | 92-96 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
The Raptors find themselves in a must-win spot here by virtue of losing Game 1, 102-96, in overtime at home this past Tuesday. A Toronto loss to Miami in this Game 2 could set up a Heat sweep with Games 3 and 4 in Miami. |
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05-03-16 | Rockies v. Padres -115 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
There couldn't be more of a difference from Coors Field to Petco Park. The Rockies are great in Coors - the premier hitting park in the majors - and horrendous at pitcher-friendly Petco where they have lost 18 of the past 23 times. |
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05-03-16 | Angels -125 v. Brewers | 4-5 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
Nick Tropeano isn't likely to pitch deep into this game. But Tropeano has been effective in his four starts this season allowing two runs or fewer in each outing. He can be counted on for five or six solid innings. This is more than Junior Gurerra, a 31-year-old converted reliever just called up from the minors, can be relied upon. Â |
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05-03-16 | Diamondbacks +102 v. Marlins | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Miami is just 2-7 at home this season. The Marlins could be mentally flat, too, since this is their first home game following a 10-game road trip. The Marlins could start to feel the effects of not having Dee Gordon in the lineup. |
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05-02-16 | Mariners v. A's +105 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm not sold on Nathan Karns, nor Seattle opening a road favorite against Oakland. |
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05-02-16 | Giants -149 v. Reds | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
The pitching matchup is so huge for the Giants that it merits this lay price, especially since the number has come down.
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05-02-16 | Hawks v. Cavs UNDER 200.5 | Top | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
First off, these are two outstanding defensive teams. Cleveland gave up the fourth-fewest points per game in the NBA while the Hawks ranked first in defensive field goal percentage and was the top-ranked defensive team since the All-Star break. |
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05-01-16 | Blazers v. Warriors -8 | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
A mere 12 hours after dispatching the Chris Paul and Blake Griffin-less Clippers in six games, the Trail Blazers left for the Bay Area to meet Golden State for this Sunday matinee. |
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04-30-16 | Padres v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This is a battle of No. 5 type starters and aside from Dodgers closer Kenley Jansen also features weak bullpens. |
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04-29-16 | Clippers +10 v. Blazers | Top | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 19 h 4 m | Show |
No Chris Paul, no Blake Griffin. No chance for the Clippers. We know this. They know this. But the Clippers still have enough pride and talent to not go gently into the night against one of the weaker and more inexperienced playoff teams. |
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04-29-16 | Heat v. Hornets -121 | 97-90 | Loss | -121 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
Charlotte has won three in a row. The Hornets are playing far better right now than the Heat. Charlotte has confidence and is the fresher, deeper team. The Hornets also have home-court advantage and a chip on their shoulder, a hungry bunch determined to earn respect and attention, which they haven't gotten yet. This is their chance - and everything lines up in their favor, including a fair price in which to back them. |
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04-29-16 | Heat v. Hornets OVER 190 | 97-90 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
The last three games in this series have all gone under. Miami hasn't broken 90 points during these past three games. The result is the lowest opening total of the series - down some nine points from the closing Game 1 total. |
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04-29-16 | Yankees -110 v. Red Sox | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
The Yankees have a huge pitching edge here - both starting-wise and in bullpen depth. Masahiro Tanaka has looked good through his first four starts and he's backed by stud relievers Dellin Betances and Andrew Miller. The Yankees are 10-3 the past 13 times Tanaka has pitched in division. |
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04-28-16 | Hawks -123 v. Celtics | Top | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
Boston has a strong home-court. Granted. But the Hawks are the better - and healthier - team. That matters the most here. Stephen Nover's NFL Draft Props Usually you're paying high juice. But NFL draft props are beatable. The books are sitting ducks as updated - and key - information becomes available leading up to the event.Â
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04-27-16 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 212.5 | 81-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
A lot changes with Stephen Curry out. The Warriors know they have to tighten their defense and change their style. Steve Kerr is a sharp enough coach and has the pieces to make the necessary adjustments with his team's versatility and depth. |
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04-27-16 | Hornets v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 90-88 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
I don't see upstart Charlotte beating the veteran Heat three straight times. Charlotte got back into the series by winning the last two - both at home.
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04-26-16 | Padres +171 v. Giants | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
The Giants are priced too high here against James Shields, who is more than capable of keeping San Diego in this game. Shields is 2-1 with a 2.88 ERA in four career-regular season starts versus the Giants. |
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04-26-16 | Cardinals -128 v. Diamondbacks | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Carlos Martinez is close to an ace. Shelby Miller is struggling mentally and physically. The Diamondbacks' weak relief corps is further weakned by fatigue.
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04-26-16 | Pacers v. Raptors OVER 191.5 | Top | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
The first four games of this series have all gone under. The highest combined score between the two teams was 190 points in Game 1. So why buck the odds and go over for this Game 5?Â
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04-25-16 | Marlins +125 v. Dodgers | 3-2 | Win | 125 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a special game for the Marlins. It's the return to Dodger Stadium of Marlins manager Don Mattingly. The timing is ripe for the Marlins to pull an upset. The Dodgers are a bit fat and happy returning from a 4-2 road trip. They also come home with a short-handed, overworked bullpen that remains vulnerable in the seventh and eighth innings. |
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04-25-16 | Indians -138 v. Twins | 3-4 | Loss | -138 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
There has been early marketplace activity on this matchup and it makes sense with the money coming on Cleveland. Not only is Danny Salazar a huge upgrade on Twins starter Tommy Milone, but the Twins'l bullpen carries a super high fatigue rating. The Indians are 9-2 the past 11 times Salazar has pitched against an opponent with a losing record. |
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04-25-16 | Mavs +14.5 v. Thunder | Top | 104-118 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
Down 3-1 to the Thunder, I don't see the Mavericks' proud veterans mailing in this game. Dirk Nowitzki and Co. have a lot of pride and are much better coached under Rick Carlisle than Oklahoma City is under rookie NBA coach Billy Donovan.Â
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04-24-16 | Warriors -8 v. Rockets | Top | 121-94 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show |
I expect Stephen Curry to play - and play well. He has recovered from his sprained ankle. The Warriors are due for a good shooting game. They averaged an NBA-best 48.7 percent from the floor during the regular season, but have shot just 42.9 percent in Game 1 and 43 percent in Game 3. Houston is not a strong defensive club. Only five clubs gave up more points per game than the Rockets. The Warriors received their wake-up call and the Rockets got their measure of respect during Thursday night's 97-96 Houston victory. Despite that loss, Golden State still has defeated Houston 14 of the past 16 times. The Rockets are 2-7 ATS following a victory. |
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04-24-16 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 217 | 121-94 | Loss | -102 | 24 h 54 m | Show | |
Things are back to normal for Golden State with the return of Stephen Curry. That means a high-scoring game. |
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04-23-16 | Dodgers v. Rockies +123 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
Count the Dodgers as among the many teams who don't care to play at Coors Field. LA has lost five in a row there, but are decent-sized favorites today with Kenta Maeda taking the mound against Tyler Chatwood. |
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04-23-16 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 8.5 | 5-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
It's not a huge surprise the over has cashed in eight of Cincinnati's last 11 games. The Reds have a terrible bullpen and they play in a great hitter's park. |
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04-22-16 | Marlins v. Giants OVER 7.5 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm not a fan of either of these starting pitchers. The Giants are due to start hitting and the Marlins get back Giancarlo Stanton and Dee Gordon in their starting lineup. |
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04-22-16 | Spurs -11.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 96-87 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
No home-court isn't going to matter. Neither is better execution. The crippled Grizzlies are simply totally overmatched by the Spurs. It's not a fluke San Antonio has held the Grizzlies to an average of 71 points in jumping out to a 2-0 series lead. The Spurs are one of the greatest defensive teams ever.Â
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04-21-16 | Raptors -115 v. Pacers | Top | 101-85 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
Paul George can't play any better. Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan can't play any worse going a combined 17-for-63 shooting from the floor for 27 percent. |
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04-21-16 | Nationals -180 v. Marlins | 1-5 | Loss | -180 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
After seeing that Giancarlo Stanton and Dee Gordon - the Marlins' two best position players - are not in the starting lineup, I'm going to lay the lumber. |
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04-20-16 | Twins +119 v. Brewers | 5-10 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
Value play as I don't believe the Brewers should be favored against a team that is playing better than they are. |
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04-19-16 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 205.5 | Top | 72-89 | Loss | -102 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
Boston and Atlanta put up a combined 203 points in the Hawks' 102-101 Game 1 victory this past Saturday. Those teams reached that figure despite missing 116 field goal attempts and going 16-for-62 from 3-point range. The Celtics shot just 23.1 percent in the first half and didn't score a single fast-break basket.Â
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04-18-16 | Angels v. White Sox -125 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
The White Sox are 8-4 despite Jose Abreu and Todd Frazier combining to bat .187. Part of the reason for the White Sox's early success is Carlos Rodon, who is showing signs of having the breakthrough season many envisioned. He has a 1.38 ERA this season. Going back to his past 10 starts, Rodon is 6-3 with a 1.73 ERA. |
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04-17-16 | Pistons +11 v. Cavs | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
This isn't your normal No. 1 versus No. 8 seed matchup. Cleveland has the big names - LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love - but the talent gap between these two clubs isn't as large as perceived. |
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04-16-16 | Celtics v. Hawks -5 | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 26 m | Show |
Brad Stevens has gotten as much of his limited Celtics team as possible. The Celtics lack Atlanta's front-line talent - especially dealing with Al Horford and Paul Millsap - and lack the size to take advantage of the Hawks' rebounding weakness.Â
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04-16-16 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 204.5 | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
Atlanta is underrated defensively. The Hawks were No. 1 defensively following the All-Star break in surrendering the fewest points (96.8) per 100 possessions. They have the defense and preparation to effectively stop Isaiah Thomas, the Celtics' major offensive weapon. |
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04-16-16 | Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 195 | 100-90 | Win | 100 | 29 h 8 m | Show | |
It's easy to envision offense when thinking about Toronto because of DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowery. But only San Antonio and Utah surrendered fewer points per game than the Raptors. Indiana is no slouch defensively, either, ranking eighth in fewest points per game. |
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04-15-16 | Giants +155 v. Dodgers | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
Simply put, this is too much price to pass on Madison Bumgarner. The lefty is 3-0 at Dodger Stadium lifetime against Clayton Kershaw, the other premier southpaw in the National League. |
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04-14-16 | Diamondbacks +136 v. Dodgers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
The Diamondbacks don't have to take a backseat to the Dodgers this season. This is a fade, too, on rookie Ross Stripling, who was pulled in his big league debut this past Friday after not giving up a hit in 7 1/3 innings. |
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04-14-16 | Royals v. Astros -110 | 6-2 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
Ian Kennedy is prone to walks and giving up the long ball. That's a bad combination when facing the Astros especially in Houston. Kennedy also has lacked consistency. He beat the punchless Twins, 7-0, this past Saturday. The last time Kennedy opened with consecutive victories, though, was 2012. Kennedy was 0-3 with a 6.30 in six starts during spring training. Â |
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04-14-16 | Reds +155 v. Cubs | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
The Reds are better than perceived and have an edge in starting pitching with Raisel Iglesias against Jason Hammel. |
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04-13-16 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -119 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
Early in the season, oddsmakers are more prone to making a mistake in the line. I believe that is the case with this total. It opened too low at below 8. There are two capable offenses here operating against bottom of the rotation starters, who are not in good form. |
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04-13-16 | Spurs v. Mavs -4.5 | 96-91 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The Spurs have no incentive to win here and will be holding out their main players, including LaMarcus Aldridge, Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Kawhi Leonard. |
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04-12-16 | Giants -109 v. Rockies | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
Yes, Colorado has a strong home field. But I'll go with the hot-hitting, vastly superior team with the better starter going. |
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04-12-16 | Padres v. Phillies +101 | 0-3 | Win | 101 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
The Padres aren't good enough with this pitching matchup to be a road favorite against the Phillies. |
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04-11-16 | Kings v. Suns -6 | Top | 105-101 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
Phoenix actually is playing well winning back-to-back road games and covering four of its last five. |
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04-10-16 | Rangers v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Neither team has gotten their bats going this season. The Rangers rank 20th in runs scored while the Angels are 29th averaging a puny 1.8 runs per game. |
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04-10-16 | Hornets v. Wizards UNDER 207 | Top | 98-113 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
Charlotte ranks eighth defensively. Only seven teams give up fewer points per game than the Hornets. If you discount the Cavaliers scoring 112 points on them, the Hornets are giving up an average of 93.1 points per game during their last six games. They've held their past three opponents to 97 or fewer points. |
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04-09-16 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks -112 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
Zach Greinke is one of the top five pitchers in the National League. Kyle Hendricks is a bottom-of-the-rotation starter. But since Greinke got shelled in his first start of the season, the line is low enough to back the Diamondbacks. Greinke should be pitching with a chip on his shoulder after his disappointing Diamondbacks debut against the Rockies. |
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04-08-16 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 183 | Top | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
At last look the Jazz were favored by a dozen points against the Clippers. No, Karl Malone and John Stockton haven't suddenly been transported in time. Doc Rivers has said he'll be resting Clipper starters. Blake Griffin didn't even make the trip. Hence, such an out of whack point spread. |
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04-08-16 | Phillies v. Mets OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
The Phillies' brutal bullpen could put this total over just by itself. Philadelphia starter Jarad Eickoff has potential, but is far from a sure thing. Neither he nor the Phillies' bullpen can be counted on. |
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04-06-16 | Nets +15 v. Wizards | Top | 103-121 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
We know the Nets are playing the string out. But let's be realistic about the Wizards, too. They are three games below .500 and 3 1/2 games out of the final playoff spot in the East behind Detroit with five games remaining. |
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04-05-16 | Spurs v. Jazz OVER 184.5 | Top | 88-86 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Sure on paper, this low total seems right where it should be. San Antonio is the best defensive team in the NBA and Utah is giving up less than 89 points per game during its last 13 matchups. |
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04-04-16 | Cubs v. Angels +128 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
Expectations couldn't be higher for the young Cubs. That could mean trouble early and inflated prices, which we have here. Opening on the West Coast also is strange for Chicago. |
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04-03-16 | Blazers v. Warriors -12 | Top | 111-136 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
After 54 consecutive regular-season home victories, the Warriors finally lost at Oracle Arena knocked off by the Celtics, 109-106, in their last game two nights ago. How will Golden State respond? I believe they respond in a big way with a blowout home victory against Portland, a team that dealt the Warriors their most lopsided loss of the season back in February. |
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04-02-16 | Villanova v. Oklahoma OVER 143.5 | Top | 95-51 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
The total on this Final Four matchup opened 150. Now look where it is at. Is the oddsmaker that far off? He shouldn't be. Not in a game of this magnitude. There are certainly key factors why the over is the right play besides what has become excellent line value now. |
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04-01-16 | Raptors v. Grizzlies OVER 197 | Top | 99-95 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Minus Marc Gasol and Mike Conley, the Grizzlies aren't the elite defensive team of past seasons. They have allowed at least 100 points in 11 of their last 14 games and an average of 104.2 points during their past four games. |
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03-31-16 | Celtics v. Blazers -3 | Top | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
Since Jan. 10, only Golden State and San Antonio own better home records than Portland's 16-3 mark. Not only do I believe the Trail Blazers are better than the Celtics, but they are home and in a better spot. |
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03-30-16 | Old Dominion v. Oakland -125 | 68-67 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The finals of the inaugural Vegas 16 Tournament pits Old Dominion versus Oakland. It's a total contrast of styles. The Monarchs are the seventh-best defensive team in the country while the Golden Grizzlies are the top scoring team in the nation. |
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03-30-16 | Warriors -5 v. Jazz | Top | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
The Warriors are chasing the 1995-96 Bulls for best record in a season. They are far superior to Utah. The spread is low enough to back Golden State. |
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03-29-16 | Oakland -6.5 v. E Tennessee State | Top | 104-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
I have no doubt Oakland is superior to East Tennessee State. My hesitation about backing Oakland in this Vegas 16 Tournament - the most minor of all the post-season  tournaments - is how motivated will the Golden Grizzlies be after having their sights set on reaching the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2011. |
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03-28-16 | East Tennessee State v. Louisiana Tech OVER 155 | Top | 88-83 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
East Tennessee State and Louisiana Tech are two of the highest-scoring teams in the nation ranking 36th and 58th, respectively. They should light up the scoreboard playing at a neutral site in Las Vegas in the inaugural Vegas 16 Tournament. |
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03-28-16 | Lakers +14 v. Jazz | 75-123 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
So when did the Utah Jazz turn into the Golden State Warriors? I haven't seen the Jazz laying this many points since the days of John Stockton and Karl Malone. |
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03-27-16 | Wizards -6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Absolutely must-win spot. Revenge angle. Better team. All of those fit why I like the Wizards to steamroll the Lakers. |
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03-26-16 | Spurs v. Thunder OVER 204 | 92-111 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
These teams met just two weeks ago and the line was 211 1/2. The Spurs won 93-85 at home. Now the total has been adjusted downward way too much - especially considering how many key players the Spurs will be missing. |
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03-26-16 | Oklahoma v. Oregon -120 | Top | 80-68 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
On paper, Oregon doesn't appear to be an elite team. Certainly the Ducks don't have a superstar like Oklahoma has with Buddy Hield. But this is a bad matchup for the Sooners. |
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03-26-16 | Pacers -4.5 v. Nets | 110-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Paul George is iffy, but even if it doesn't play I like the Pacers to cover this number against the Nets. Brooklyn still could be in the clouds after upsetting the Cavaliers two nights ago. |
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03-25-16 | Gonzaga -4 v. Syracuse | Top | 60-63 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 4 m | Show |
These two were long shots entering the NCAA Tournament, but here they are in the Sweet 16. I believe Gonzaga is for real while Syracuse is a tier lower than the Bulldogs catching several breaks to reach this point. |
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03-25-16 | Magic +10 v. Heat | 97-108 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
Early marketplace activity has been on the Heat here, which is understandable since the perception is Miami will be fired-up after an embarrassing 112-88 road loss to the Spurs. The Magic should be up for this game, the last of a four-game road trip, against an in-state rival that has bullied them through the years. Orlando is 10-4 ATS following a defeat. The Magic also are 8-4 ATS in their past 12 games at this spread. |
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03-24-16 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma -135 | Top | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 64 h 27 m | Show |
When Texas A&M takes the court against Oklahoma in this Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament matchup, the Aggies still might be hearing about pulling off the largest final-minute comeback in college basketball history. Their 92-88 double overtime win against Northern Iowa - coming from 12 points down with 34 seconds left in regulation - is one for the ages. |
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03-24-16 | Cavs v. Nets +8 | Top | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
I'm going to fire now on the Nets anticipating that Tyronn Lue is going to rest some of his key Cavaliers, maybe even LeBron James, which would likely result in a lower number. The Cavaliers are playing for the fifth time in seven days and off a hard-fought 113-104 home win against Milwaukee last night with James and Kyrie Irving each logging at least 37 minutes. |
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03-22-16 | Hornets v. Nets +6 | Top | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
This is a natural letdown spot for the Hornets traveling to play a weak foe less than 24 hours after a stunning 91-88 home victory against San Antonio last night. The Hornets came from 23 points down to pull out the improbable win against the Spurs. There is a fatigue factor, too, for the Hornets playing for the fifth time in seven days. |
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03-21-16 | Vermont -4.5 v. Seattle University | 73-54 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
There is a reason why Seattle is a 4 1/2-point home 'dog to Vermont in this CBI Tournament game. The reason is the Redhawks just aren't very good and neither was their WAC conference this season. |
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03-21-16 | Bucks v. Pistons -7 | Top | 91-92 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
A 94-85 home loss to Utah last night puts the Bucks 10 games under .500 and six games out of the last playoff spot in the East with a dozen games left. So, no, the Bucks aren't going to make the playoffs. |
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03-21-16 | Nuggets v. Cavs UNDER 213.5 | 91-124 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
This is too high of a total with Cleveland involved. The Cavaliers rank No. 3 defensively in fewest points allowed. Denver is minus its top scorer and go-to-guy Danilo Gallinari. |
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03-20-16 | Northern Iowa +6.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
Northern Iowa has a lot of things you look for in an underdog at this point of the season: The Panthers have NCAA Tournament experience, are well-coached, are hot with 13 wins in their last 14 games (12-1-1 ATS), rank 12th in the country defensively, rank 17th in free throw percentage and can make 3-pointers. They also have beaten a number of top teams, including North Carolina, Iowa State, Stephen F. Austin and Wichita State twice. Yet the Panthers are downgraded because they are a mid-major and because of their miraculous 75-72 first-round upset victory against Texas when Paul Jesperson hit a buzz-beater from beyond half court. Perhaps the Panthers don't have the fancy talent that some of the major conference teams have. But there are intangibles at work here. Ben Jacobson has been Northern Iowa's coach the past 10 seasons - and he's not going anywhere. He has honed an effective, close-knit system with excellent team work and chemistry. The Panthers are not about individuals. They fit well into a team structure. This might sound like a cliche, but teamwork can't be underestimated with an underdog at this late point of the season. Texas A&M had not been to the NCAA Tournament since 2011 until this season. The Aggies were lucky to meet Green Bay in the first round, a team that doesn't play good defense at this high level. Northern Iowa holds foes to 63.2 points a game. The Panthers are 8-0-1 ATS the past nine times playing opponents with a winning percentage above .600. |
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03-20-16 | Clippers -7 v. Pelicans | Top | 105-109 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
The Clippers are in angry mood after Doc Rivers justifiably ripped his team following a 113-102 road loss to Memphis last night. The Clippers were beaten straight-up as double-digit favorites.Â
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03-20-16 | Iowa v. Villanova -6.5 | 68-87 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
The Big Ten has looked bad in the NCAA Tournament. I'm not a fan of Iowa either. The Hawkeyes survived rather than won their first round tournament game nipping Temple, 72-70, in overtime as seven-point favorites. It's the eighth time in their last nine games the Hawkeyes have failed to cover. |
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03-19-16 | Warriors v. Spurs -3 | 79-87 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
As great as the Warriors are, they are trumped in this spot by San Antonio. |
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03-19-16 | Clippers v. Grizzlies +10.5 | Top | 102-113 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
The Clippers are less awesome minus Blake Griffin. They don't have the star power to cover double-digit type road spreads in letdown spots, which this matchup is for them.Â
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03-19-16 | Yale v. Duke -6 | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Don't get caught overthinking this matchup. Yale is Yale and Duke is Duke. |
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03-18-16 | Michigan v. Notre Dame -150 | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show | |
Forget Notre Dame's last game, a 78-47 loss to North Carolina. I see the Irish getting their offense back as Michigan is going to have problems defending Notre Dame big man Zach Augste. That's going to open things up for Demitrius Jackson and others. The Irish ranked 10th in the nation in offensive efficiency with Jackson running things. |
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03-18-16 | Blazers -110 v. Pelicans | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
The record shows a 2-6 mark for Portland in its last eight games and just a 1 1/2 game lead for the Trail Blazers over Utah for the final playoff spot in the West. |
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03-18-16 | Stephen F Austin +8 v. West Virginia | 70-56 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
There is tremendous parity in this year's NCAA Tournament, more than in most years. So getting this many points with an underseeded Stephen F. Austin team is excellent value. |
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03-18-16 | Pittsburgh v. Wisconsin -130 | Top | 43-47 | Win | 100 | 34 h 37 m | Show |
I like taking a hot team that is being underrated because of a bad conference tournament loss. That team is Wisconsin, winners of 11 of their last 14 games but off a bad Big Ten Tournament loss to Nebraska. |
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