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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-10-18 | Heat v. Lakers -6.5 | Top | 105-108 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
The Heat have opened their current six-game road trip with victories against the Suns and Clippers. I don't expect them to make it three wins in a row. The Lakers have been playing better going 5-1 in their last six games with all of their victories coming by eight or more points. The Lakers rolled past the Heat, 113-97, at Miami on Nov. 18. They hold a huge talent edge.  Miami could be without two of its key players. Josh Richardson is dealing with a shoulder injury and Hassan Whitesite has been out for personal reasons.Â
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12-10-18 | Kings v. Red Wings -110 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
I like the Red Wings in a bounce back spot here after they blew a 2-0 lead and lost 3-2 to the Islanders at home on Saturday.  Detroit is tougher and much improved this season. The Red Wings are 3-3 in their last six games with one of the losses coming in a shootout to Tampa Bay after they leading 5-3.  The Kings are tied with the Blackhawks for the fewest points in the NHL. They are last in scoring averaging 2.2 goals a game. Yet the Kings are coming off an impressive 5-1 home victory against the Golden Knights this past Saturday.  Now, though, the Kings go back on the road where they have lost 12 of the past 16 times.  The Red Wings have added incentive having lost 4-2 to the Kings in LA during their first road game of the season.Â
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12-10-18 | Pelicans v. Celtics -6.5 | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
After a 10-10 start, the Celtics have begun to get it going winning five in a row. The Celtics draw the Pelicans at home. New Orleans is coming off a rare road victory beating the Pistons, 116-108, on Sunday.  New Orleans is 4-10 away from home, 6-8 ATS. The Pelicans are playing without rest and there is the possibility they may be without Anthony Davis. He's dealing with a hip injury.  The Pelicans rank 27th defensively. The Celtics surrender nearly 13 fewer points per game than the Pelicans.  The Celtics rolled past the Pelicans in New Orleans on Nov. 26. The Pelicans had Anthony Davis in that game. They also made 27 of 29 free throws yet still lost by 17 points.
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12-09-18 | Flames v. Oilers -115 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show | |
Calgary is playing well. But I really like how the Oilers are playing, too. Edmonton has revenge for a 4-2 road loss suffered to the Flames on Nov. 17 and has defeated the Flames four straight times at home. The Oilers have given up two goals or fewer in five of their last six games. Edmonton has won five of those games. Edmonton also catches a break in that the Flames are going to be without their team captain and best defensive player, veteran Mark Giordano. He's sitting out the second of a two-game suspension.
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12-09-18 | Rams v. Bears UNDER 51 | 6-15 | Win | 100 | 44 h 39 m | Show | |
It's easy to think Todd Gurley and all the offensive stars in this matchup. I choose to think of Aaron Donald and Khalil Mack, perhaps the two most dominant defenders in the NFL right now.  Just because the Rams are involved doesn't mean this is going to be a high-scoring game. This isn't the Rams hosting the Chiefs. It's being played in 20-degree December weather in Chicago against a Bears defense that gives up the third-fewest yards and fifth-fewest points. Jared Goff is a California quarterback, both in college and the pros. This will be the coldest game he has played in. He has yet to distinguish himself in this type of weather. He's down a key wide receiver with Cooper Kupp out.  Donald could have a dominating performance operating against rookie left guard James Daniels and second-string right guard Bryan Witzmann, who has replaced injured Kyle Long.  I am not trusting of Mitch Trubisky, who has missed the past two games with a shoulder injury. He last played against the Vikigns on Nov. 18 and threw two interceptions with a 61.9 passer rating. Trubisky is not a downfield passer and he figures to be rusty.Â
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12-09-18 | Bucks v. Raptors -5.5 | 104-99 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bucks have cooled off going 9-8 in their last 17 games, including 4-5 on the road, after a 12-1 start. They are off a deflating 105-95 home loss to the Warriors on Friday. That was a season-low in points for Milwaukee and showed the Bucks are not the elite team they were early in the season.  The Raptors got caught looking ahead to this matchup gettting upset by the Nets on the road Friday. The Nets nailed the Raptors in a sandwich spot. Toronto had just defeated the 76ers at home and was eagerly awaiting this game. The Raptors have revenge for a 124-109 road loss to the Bucks from Oct. 29 when Kawhi Leonard didn't play. They have the defenders to keep Giannis Antetokounmpo in check.
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12-09-18 | Broncos v. 49ers +4.5 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 78 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a major flat spot for the Broncos after three straight wins beating the Chargers, Steelers and Bengals. It's their second consecutive road game and they just lost their best wide receiver, Emmanuel Sanders.  The 49ers usually play hard every week for Kyle Shanahan. The 49ers can move the ball - averaging 393.2 yards per game during their last four games - and they give up the 12th-fewest yards in the NFL.  Denver isn't good despite its recent hot streak. The Broncos were outgained by an average of 107.6 yards in their past three games.Â
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12-09-18 | Jets +3.5 v. Bills | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 75 h 16 m | Show |
When it's dreck versus dreck give me the garbage team getting the points especially with division revenge. That would be the Jets here. Both teams are going with rookie quarterback and rebuilding for next season.  But the Jets are going to be super high for this game after the Bills embarrassed them on Nov. 11 dealing them one of the ugliest defeats in franchise history, 41-10. That loss really put Todd Bowles on the hot seat. Bowles is popular with the Jets players. I believe the Jets will put forth one of their strongest - if not the strongest - effort of the season in this matchup. Talent-wise, the Bills are not any better than the Jets.Â
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12-09-18 | Saints v. Bucs UNDER 56 | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 71 h 32 m | Show |
This total opened very high. There were a staggering 88 points scored the first time these two teams met. The Buccaneers upset the Saints, 48-40, in that matchup. That was opening week. The Buccaneers have gotten healthy on defense and their current form is much different than what it was back in Week 1. The Buccaneers have given up just 17, 9 and 16 points during three of their last four games. Tampa Bay is allowing an average of just 16.2 points during its last four home games.  Tampa Bay leads the NFL in yards gained. However, the Bucs are 10th in scoring. The Buccaneers have committed 30 turnovers, by far the most in the league. Their offense has become more short-pass oriented with Jameis Winston replacing Ryan Fitzpatrick. Winston still is heavily turnover-prone.  The Saints have a tremendous offense. But it is balanced. The weather forecast is not good - rain and winds in the 14-16 mph range. That means the Saints are going to have to deal with the elements, something they are not used to. So I envision more running on their part and Drew Brees throwing more short passes than usual.Â
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12-09-18 | Colts +4.5 v. Texans | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 36 h 20 m | Show | |
The Texans haved won nine in a row. They are fat and happy with a bulging three-game division lead. The Colts are 6-6 and in must-win mode. The Texans were lucky to beat the Colts in overtime during the first meeting. They are going to get Indy's best effort here.  Houston only nipped the Colts in the first meeting when the Colts failed to pick up a first down on fourth and four from their own 43 with 27 seconds left. The Texans took over on downs and kicked a field goal on the final play. If the Colts would have punted, like they should have, the chances are very high the game would have finished in a tie.  Andrew Luck trumps DeShaun Watson and the Colts rank first in pass protection. That negates a major Houston strength, which is its pass rush. Until being shut out by the Jaguars last Sunday, the Colts were averaging 34.3 points in their last eight games. Luck can hurt the Texans secondary if given time.  Sparked by rookie sensation Darius Leonard, the Colts' defense is much improved. The Texans have a poor track record as a favorite under conservative Bill O'Brien going 4-8-1 ATS when laying three or more points.Â
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12-08-18 | Montana v. Cal-Irvine -3.5 | 51-60 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
Montana has been incredibly accurate from the field this season, but Cal-Irvine is home and is a strong defensive team. The Anteaters are experienced with 94 percent of its offense back. They already have defeated Texas A&M and St. Mary's this season along with a 20-point victory against Idaho. Montana has failed to cover during its past seven road games. The Grizzlies also are 1-5 ATS during their last six nonconference games. |
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12-08-18 | Sharks -120 v. Coyotes | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
OK, I get it San Jose stinks on the road having lost seven of its past eight away games. I expect that to change here, though. The Sharks are a better road club than they've showed and they've dominated in these type of matchups going 31-15 away from home against opponents with a losing home record.  The Coyotes were hot for a while with four consecutive victories, but they've fallen back down after a 4-2 home loss to the Capitals on Thursday. Arizona has lost five of its past six home games.  The Sharks are the more talented team. They have defeated the Coyotes in four of the past five meetings and won't lack motivation after a one-goal road loss to the Stars on Friday.  Backup goalie Aaron Dell is likely to be in the net for San Jose. I'm fine with that.Â
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12-08-18 | Nets v. Knicks -3 | Top | 112-104 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 47 m | Show |
The timing of this matchup should work in the Knicks' favor. New York was buried by Boston, 128-100, on the road Thursday. Knicks coach David Fizdale ripped his team following that embarrassment.  New York has been playing better lately, though, going 4-4 while covering six of its last nine games.  This is a rivalry matchup, but the Nets are in letdown mode after stunning the Raptors, 106-105, in overtime at home Friday night. That win halted an eight-game Brooklyn losing streak.  The Nets have really missed Caris LeVert, who was their leading scorer. Until upsetting Toronto, the Nets were 0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS in their past eight games.Â
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12-07-18 | Sharks v. Stars +109 | 2-3 | Win | 109 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
I'm not buying the Sharks as an opening road favorite against the Stars. San Jose isn't playing that well, has been bad on the road and Dallas is hot and tough at home. San Jose has a losing away mark. The Sharks are 1-6 during their past seven road games. In their last six overall games, the Sharks are 2-4. During their two victories, the Sharks were outshot by a combined margin of 81-52 by the Hurricanes and Canadiens.  Dallas is 9-3-1 at home, including winnings its past three at American Airlines Center. The Stars will get a boost with the expected season debut of veteran Martin Hanzal, who has been out all season following spinal fusion surgery.  The Stars have dominated Pacific Division foes going 8-0-1 the past nine times against them. They also are 5-0 the past five times hosting the Sharks, including beating them, 4-3, on Nov. 8.Â
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12-07-18 | Kings -135 v. Cavs | Top | 129-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
The Kings are one of the more improved teams in the NBA at 12-11. They have young talent and a much improved bench. Sacramento has proven it can take care of business versus lottery teams and play well on the road. ` The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus sub .500 opponents. In their last three road games, the Kings upset the Jazz, lost to the Warriors by one point and buried the Suns by 17 points.  The Cavaliers' confidence is way down again after getting smacked, 129-105, by the Warriors at home this past Wednesday. Cleveland is in full rebuild mode now with no more talk of trying to make the playoffs. The Kings have been idle for two days. This is the first of three straight road games for them. They should be ready.
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12-06-18 | Capitals -110 v. Coyotes | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show | |
I'll get involved with the Capitals at this low price with Washington in stop-the-pain mode and in a revenge spot. The Coyotes defeated the Capitals, 4-1, in Washington on Nov. 11. The Capitals outshot the Coyotes, 39-22, in the loss.  The Capitals had won seven in a row before blowing leads in their last two games against the Ducks and Golden Knights. Only once all season have the defending Stanley Cup champions lost three in a row.  Washington has scored three or more goals in nine straight games. Only three teams average more goals per game than Washington. Arizona, by contrast, ranks 28th in scoring
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12-06-18 | Jaguars v. Titans -4.5 | Top | 9-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show |
Bad quarterback. Decimated offensive line. Shot morale with no playoff chance after entering the season holding Super Bowl aspirations. Say hello to the 2018 Jacksonville Jaguars, the biggest underachievers in the AFC.  The Jaguars are further hurt by traveling on a short week this being the Thursday game.  Game manager Cody Kessler is 1-8 as an NFL starter. He's isn't going to produce many points with a beat-up offensive line and sub-par receivers. Tennessee's defense has played just below Jacksonville's ranking sixth in fewest points allowed and ninth in yards given up. So while a slight edge to Jacksonville on defense, the Titans have a much superior offense. Marcus Mariota has been playing well. He plays better against the Jaguars than any other team with a seven-game career mark of 107-for172 (62.2 percent), 1,317 yards passing and an eight-to-two touchdown-to-interception ratio. He also has rushed for 290 yards and scored two touchdowns on the ground.  The Titans have defeated the Jaguars in their last three meetings holding the Jaguars to an average of 10.6 points a game.Â
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12-06-18 | Drake -130 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | Top | 75-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
This is a short price to lay to not only get the superior team, but also get them when they are in a better situation even being the road club.  Drake is the 191st best team in the country, according to the highly-respected Pomeroy Ratings. UW-Milwaukee is rated 272nd.  The Bulldogs ranks 61st in the nation in scoring at more than 81 points a game. That's 12 points higher per game than UWM. Drake has won and covered its past four games. The Bulldogs have beaten Boise State, North Dakota State and Texas State. The Panthers have lost at home to North Dakota and squeaked past LIU Brooklyn in overtime at home.  The Bulldogs have been idle since Saturday. The Panthers just returned from having played two games in Ireland, losing in blowout fashion to Stephen F. Austin and Buffalo.
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12-05-18 | San Francisco v. California +6.5 | 79-60 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
California has a lot youth, but the Golden Bears have five solid scorers and are excellent from 3-point range ranking ninth-best in the country in 3-point accuracy.  This is a golden spot for the Golden Bears, who are home and taking on a San Francisco team that played in Ireland this past Saturday. It often takes a week to get rid of jet lag.  Given Cal's shooting and the Dons' situation, taking these many points is worthy of an investment.Â
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12-05-18 | Blackhawks v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
The Ducks are the lowest-scoring team in the league. But lately they haven't played that way. Anaheim is coming off scoring five goals in the last two periods to beat Washington, 6-5, in its last game this past Sunday.  The Ducks draw the Blackhawks, who have the worst defense in the NHL. Chicago has permitted an average of 4.8 goals in its last seven games. The Blackhawks, though, are averaging 3.4 goals during their last five games. Bottom line here is the Blackhawks can not have a total of less than 6 in their games. Â
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12-05-18 | Clippers v. Grizzlies -110 | Top | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
The Clippers have not been a team to fade. They own the second-best ATS mark in the NBA covering 15 of their 23 games.  But I'm going to do it here because this spot sets up very well for Memphis. The teams just met on Nov. 23. The Clippers halted the Grizzlies' five-game win streak with a 112-107 overtime win in LA. The Grizzlies blew an 8-point lead with two minutes left. The Grizzlies were hurt by Mike Conley fouling out with 2:51 left in regulation. Now Memphis is home - where it is 10-3 ATS the past 13 times - and has short revenge.  The Grizzlies also draw the Clippers in action for the fourth time on the road in six days. Memphis, on the other hand, last played on Sunday. The Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS the past six times when playing on two days rest.Â
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12-04-18 | Wild v. Canucks UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
Vancouver has scored 22 goals in its last 11 games, an average of two a game. I'm not expecting the Canucks to score much here because their offense is cold and because I believe the Wild will have a serious defensive commitment. Minnesota has lost five of its last seven, including the past three. This is the start of a three-game Western Canada road swing for the Wild. Minnesota has a good goalie in Devan Dubnyk and its coach, Bruce Boudreau, was stressing shoring up his team's defense.  The Wild lost 5-3 to the high-flying Maple Leafs in their last game this past Saturday. But they held Toronto to 23 shots on goal. The Maple Leafs scored two of their goals in flue fashion where shots deflected off Minnesota defenseman Nick Seeler. So the five goals scored by the Maple Leafs is deceiving.Â
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12-04-18 | Capitals v. Golden Knights -140 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 25 m | Show | |
This price is higher than I normally like to lay when backing a favorite, but I want the Golden Knights in this spot.  This is the first time the Capitals have returned to Vegas since beating the Golden Knights in the Stanley Cup finals. Las Vegas also has strong revenge for a 5-2 road loss to Washington on Oct. 10.  Sure the Capitals just may be the superior team. But the Golden Knights are playing well - 5-1 in their last six games - have been idle since Saturday and have been pointing to this home game all season. Las Vegas has yielded just 10 goals in its last six games, an average of 1.6. Washington is traveling to the West Coast following its Sunday home game against Anaheim. The Capitals haven't been on West Coast time since October.Â
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12-04-18 | St. Peter's v. Clemson UNDER 136 | Top | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
St. Peter's ranks 318th in the nation in scoring at 66.6. Clemson holds foes to 66 points a game. The last time the Peacocks went up against a major opponent they scored only 49 points versus Auburn.  Clemson doesn't push pace like Auburn and other opponents St. Peter's has faced. So tempo should be slow. The Under is 35-15-1 in the Peacocks' past 51 road games for 70 percent!Â
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12-03-18 | Wizards -115 v. Knicks | Top | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
After a 1-7 start, Washington is slowly starting to get back on track going 7-5 in its last 12 games.  The Wizards are coming off their best defensive game of the season, beating the Nets, 102-88, on Saturday. That game was at home. The Wizards are 2-9 on the road.  Perhaps it's a leap of faith to support the Wizards away from home, but they are better than the Knicks, are in a good spot and have a strong history against New York. The Knicks are in letdown mode after one of their most impressive performances of the season, a 136-134 home overtime win against the Bucks on Saturday.  The Wizards have covered eight of the past 10 versus the Knicks. They are 7-1 ATS the past eight times playing at Madison Square Garden. John Wall and Bradley Beal are the two best players on the court.  Washington believes it is a playoff team, which it has been the past two seasons. The Knicks are a lottery team.  The price is short enough to back the Wizards on the money line. Asking them to flat out just win this game shouldn't be too much.Â
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12-02-18 | Chargers v. Steelers -3 | 33-30 | Loss | -120 | 43 h 6 m | Show | |
I want the Steelers going for me on national television at home after they self-destructed last week in a road loss to the Broncos despite dominating the yardage battle by having a minus four turnover ratio.  Philip Rivers is having a great season, but Ben Roethlisberger trumps him when playing at home especially in December. Roethlisberger has his main weapons while Rivers is down star running back Melvin Gordon. The Steelers lead the NFL in sacks with 39. The Chargers have surrendered seven sacks in their past two games. The Chargers also have key injuries on defense down tackle Corey Liuget and linebacker Denzel Perryman. That really hurts their run defense and sets up Roethlisberger's dangerous play action.  Pittsburgh has a history of winning late season big games and making the playoffs. The Chargers don't. The Chargers are hurt by poor special teams and questionable coachin |
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12-02-18 | Sharks -115 v. Canadiens | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
The Sharks are in stop-the-pain mode failing to post a victory in the first four games of their current five-game road trip, which ends after this matchup. San Jose isn't playing well. The Sharks are overdue to start turning things around. They should be fired up following a 6-2 loss to the Senators on Saturday. The Canadiens also played yesterday, beating the Rangers, 5-2, at home. Montreal has lost 21 of the last 28 times following a victory. San Jose has enjoyed good recent success at Montreal winning there in four its past five visits.
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12-02-18 | Vikings v. Patriots -4.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
The Patriots are 5-0 at home and have yet to really play their best ball. That could happen here as Bill Belichick perceives a real challenge.  Slowly but surely New England is getting healthy on offense. The Patriots got Sony Michael, their top runner, back last week along with Rob Gronkowski. This week they add to their running back depth with the return of Rex Burkhead. The Vikings' top cornerback, Xavier Rhodes, is questionable with a hamstring injury. Even if he plays, Rhodes isn't likely to be 100 percent making Josh Gordon a dangerous deep threat.  Tom Brady is coming off his highest passer rating of the season. It's not a coincidence that happened with all of his weapons returning.  The Vikings are well coached under Mike Zimmer. But they have not been good covering against strong opponents going 1-6 ATS versus foes with a winning mark. It's a bit of a flat spot, too, for the Vikings off a huge nationally televised Sunday night home win against their division arch rivals the Packers.  The Patriots have covered 17 of the past 24 times when going against above .500 opponents.Â
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12-02-18 | Cardinals v. Packers UNDER 44 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 36 h 44 m | Show | |
First let's take in the weather forecast: 19 mph winds and light snow.  Next let's examine the Cardinals' offense: It's terrible. The combination of rookie quarterback Josh Rosen, a decimated offensive line and a below average receiving corps headed by over-the-hill Larry Fitzgerald brings no fear. The Packers give up 10 fewer points per game at home, allowing 18.8 points when playing at Lambeau Field. Surprisingly, the Packers also have 36 sacks, just three behind NFL leader Pittsburgh.  Now study the Cardinals' defense. It's actually pretty darn good considering how putrid their offense is. While Arizona ranks last in all the major offensive categories, including scoring and yards, its defense gives up the second-fewest TD passes and leads the NFL in sack percentage.  The Packers have offensive line injuries. Their best lineman is left tackle David Bakhhtiari and he's questionable with a knee injury. The Packers lack depth in their offensive line. Aaron Rodgers is not having a typical Aaron Rodgers season either.Â
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12-02-18 | Ravens v. Falcons -120 | 26-16 | Loss | -120 | 36 h 43 m | Show | |
Atlanta is on a slippery slope to miss the playoffs having lost three in a row. The Falcons are 4-7. So this is last stand time for them. I see the Falcons getting the job done at home against this foe.  The Falcons' defense is improved with the return of middle linebacker Deion Jones and they hold a monster quarterback edge with Matt Ryan, who has put up MVP numbers at home with a 15-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio.  Baltimore got some early love from the oddsmaker, but there has been a switch of favorites. The steam is justified. The Ravens have won two in a row. Lamar Jackson was the QB in each of those wins. But those victories were against the Raiders and Bengals, both at home. Jackson hasn't shown an ability to throw downfield.  The Ravens scored on a defensive touchdown and punt return touchdown against the Raiders. Their offense managed just 20 points against the Raiders' 29th-ranked defense. The Bengals rank last defensively giving up the most points and yards per game. Those are two defenses Jackson has gone against  The Falcons' defense can handle Jackson while Ryan should shine at home aided by Julio Jones, who is on a streak of six straight 100-yard plus receiving games.Â
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12-02-18 | Browns +7 v. Texans | Top | 13-29 | Loss | -140 | 36 h 42 m | Show |
Free of Hue Jackson, rookies Baker Mayfield and Nick Chubb are playing their best ball. Mayfield is 36-for-46 passing for 474 yards with a 7-to-0 touchdown-to-interception ration in his last two games while Chubb has gained 337 yards from scrimmage and scored four TD's in the last two weeks.  Cleveland is a dangerous foe for the fat and happy Texans, winners of eight in a row. Houston is on a short week after dispatching Tennessee at home and two games up on the Colts in the AFC South Division.  The Texans aren't nearly as good as their record and are ripe for an upset. They have built their win streak versus easy competition and by winning close games. Houston won four games by a combined 10 points, two of them coming in overtime. They have lost to the Giants and only beaten the Bills by a touchdown.  Bill O'Brien plays not to lose. Because of that, the Texans are very bad in a chalk role. Going back to 2016, the Texans are 3-8-1 ATS when laying a field goal or more. Houston also has failed to cover in its last seven December games. |
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12-01-18 | Golden Knights v. Oilers +106 | 1-2 | Win | 106 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Las Vegas is back playing well winning five in a row. But this is the tail end of the Golden Knights' three-game road trip. Up next for Las Vegas is its most anticipated home game - a rematch of the Stanley Cup Finals against Washington.  The Golden Knights were fortunate to get past Vancouver, 4-3, in their last game. This marks Las Vegas' fifth game in eight days and third in five days. The Oilers have won their past two home games. Their last home defeat occurred to Las Vegas two weeks ago so there is short revenge.  Discounting a 5-2 loss to the Kings, the Oilers have allowed only four goals in their last three games. Connor McDavid always makes them worthy of respect offensively.Â
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12-01-18 | Northwestern v. Ohio State OVER 61 | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 35 h 3 m | Show | |
Ohio State covered this total by itself last week putting up 62 points and piling up more than 500 yards. And that was against Michigan, a much stronger defensive team than Northwestern.  The Wildcats can contribute their share of points, too, as their offense has picked up. The Wildcats have scored 24 points in each of their last two games. Ohio State's pass defense ranks 78th. It has been a down year for Ohio State's defense given its past history. The Over has cashed four of the past five times the teams have met. Note, too, this game is being played indoors on carpet at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. Â
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12-01-18 | James Madison v. Old Dominion UNDER 129.5 | 42-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
The Under has cashed the last four times between these two teams. Both games were low-scoring last season with Old Dominion winning 69-53 and 62-55. The Monarchs play at an extremely slow tempo. KenPom ranks Old Dominion's pace as the 13th slowest in the nation. James Madison is turnover-prone and can play slow, too. The Dukes' last two final scores are misleading because both games went into overtime.
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12-01-18 | Stanford v. California +3.5 | 23-13 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
Stanford is being overrated by the linesmaker. This is a huge Pac-12 rivalry and California is the home team. The Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS as underdogs this season.  Both teams enter the matchup with two-game win streaks. I'm not impressed with Stanford's two victories against UCLA and Oregon State, though. The last time the Cardinal beat a team with a winning record was mid-October. Their defense has been disappointing while Cal's defense has yielded only 14.2 points per game during its last five matchups.Â
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12-01-18 | UAB v. Middle Tennessee State UNDER 45 | Top | 27-25 | Loss | -115 | 90 h 1 m | Show |
Look for defense to rule in this Conference USA title game. UAB ranks in the top nine in fewest yards per game and fewest points per game. Middle Tennessee State has a respectable defense ranking 51st in points allowed per game at 25.2.  The teams met this past Saturday and MTS won, 27-3. The Blue Raiders held the Blazers to 89 yards. That doesn't bode well for UAB in the rematch. The Blazers are ground-oriented. They were held to minus 1 yard rushing by MTS. The Blazers are not in good shape. Their quarterback is banged-up and they have multiple offensive line injuries.  MTS relies on the pass. The Blazers, though, own the best pass defense in Conference USA. The Blue Raiders aren't going to be helped by the weather with the forecast calling for heavy wind and rain.  The Under has cashed in 12 of the Blazers' past 15 road conference games and nine of their last 11 road games. The Under is 9-1-1 in MTS's last 11 home games.Â
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois +4 v. Buffalo | Top | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
Northern Illinois has lost two in a row, but the Huskies are laying in the weeds. They've been pointing to this matchup, the MAC title game. Note the game is at a neutral site, Ford Field in Detroit.  Buffalo has the better record and the flashier quarterback in Tyree Jackson. Northern Illinois, though, has the best defense in the MAC. Jackson is turnover prone and hasn't faced a defense this good. Jackson has a stud wideout, Anthony Johnson. But look for Northern Illinois to cause Jackson problems with its pass rush and linebackers.  The situation favors Northern Illinois, too. Buffalo played last week. Northern Illinois has been idle since Nov. 20. This also is the Bulls' third straight road appearance and fourth different venue in their last four games.  The Huskies nipped the Bulls, 14-13, at Buffalo last season.  The combination of the superior defense and running of Tre Harbison - who has rushed for 950 yards while averaging 5.4 yards a carry - should carry the Huskies to a cover if not an outright victory.Â
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11-30-18 | Bulls +9.5 v. Pistons | 88-107 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
The Pistons must be licking their chops as they host Golden State on Saturday. It's the defending world champions lone visit to Detroit. The Warriors are 3-5 in their last eight games. But first up for the Pistons is hosting the lowly Bulls tonight. It's going to be easy for Detroit to overlook Chicago, which has lost eight of its last nine games, including the last four. The Bulls, though, actually have been playing well and should be up for this division matchup and in revenge mode. The Bulls have been sharp in seven of their last eight quarters losing to the Bucks by three points and to the Spurs by one.  The Pistons just nipped the Bulls, 118-116, in the first meeting. Detroit has a losing spread record this season when favored.
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11-30-18 | Devils v. Capitals OVER 6 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Both teams have below average defenses and each has been on at least three days rest. So expect fresh legs and a lot of attacking. The expected return of Evgeny Kuznetsov to Washington's lineup is a plus, too, for the Over.  The Capitals have gone Over 75 percent of the past 22 times they've been idle for at least three days. The Over has cashed in all three instances this season for Washington when that situation has come up.  The Devils have been a strong Over road team going above the total in eight of their 11 road games.  There has been six or more goals scored in each of the last five games between the two teams.
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11-29-18 | Clippers v. Kings +3 | Top | 133-121 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
The Clippers are out of the gates fast going 13-6. Sacramento has been a surprise, too, going 10-10 while covering 60 percent of their games. LA is just a .500 team on the road. The two teams are similar in that neither has a superstar, but each has scoring depth. The Kings have six players averaging 11 or more points a game. Buddy Hield and De'Aaron Fox have become of the better backcourt tandems in the league.  The Kings entered the middle part of this week ranked seventh in scoring and first in 3-point shooting percentage.  There are unique circumstances in this matchup. The spot is ripe for the home underdog Kings. The Clippers played Wednesday night beating the Suns, 115-99, at home. The Kings have been idle since Sunday. This is Sacramento's lone scheduled national TV matchup with the game on TNT. The Kings are not slated to play on ESPN nor ABC this season. So a strong effort should be forthcoming from the Kings with a rare chance to be on the national stage and show off their vast improvement.Â
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11-28-18 | Suns v. Clippers OVER 227.5 | Top | 99-115 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 28 m | Show |
It may surprise you to know that the Clippers are the fourth-highest scoring team in the NBA. LA doesn't have a superstar. What the Clippers do have are a number of underrated offensive players. This lists includes Tobias Harris, Danilo Gallinari, Lou Williams and Montrezl Harrell, who is showing signs of having a breakout season averaging 20.9 points in his past seven games.  The Clippers are a below average defensive team. Good offense plus bad defense often spells Over. That's what the Clippers are doing going above the total in eight of their past nine games.  The Clippers should have another major scoring game on Wednesday facing the Suns, who entered this week ranked 29th in giving up points per 100 possessions and also were second-to-last in defensive field goal percentage.  Phoenix permitted the Bulls, who were without Larui Markkanen and Kris Dunn, to shoot nearly 60 percent from the floor while scoring 124 points one week ago.  But here's the kicker: The Suns commit the most fouls per game in the league. The Clippers are fourth in free throw percentage and were leading the league in free-throw makes.Â
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11-27-18 | Southern Illinois -1.5 v. Colorado State | Top | 82-67 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
Colorado State went 11-21 last season. The Rams are 4-2 this season, but have played a weak schedule. Southern Illinois is far more battled tested having taken on Kentucky, UMass, Buffalo and Tulsa, who the Salukis beat by 10 points at neutral site Las Vegas during their last game.  Southern Illinois is the deeper team, has played the tougher schedule, is more experienced and is better defensively. The Salukis give up eight fewer points per game than the Rams. These advantages are displayed in the latest Kenpom ratings, which has Southern Illinois ranked 114th and Colorado State rated 200th. Â
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11-27-18 | Sharks -120 v. Sabres | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
The Sabres are on an amazing nine-game win streak. Kudos to Buffalo on a great season so far.  It must be noted, though, that eight of Buffalo's nine wins during its streak have been by one goal with six of those victories occurring either in overtime or in a shootout. I believe the Sabres' luck runs out today against the superior Sharks. San Jose is in a foul mood after its last game, a 6-0 road loss to the Golden Knights on Saturday. There is zero chance the Sharks take Buffalo lightly.  The Sharks expect to have No. 1 netminder Martin Jones in goal. Jones is well rested having not played in the last two games. He is 4-1-1 lifetime versus Buffalo with a 1.98 GAA and .925 save percentage. Buffalo has lost the past four times to San Jose.Â
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11-26-18 | Magic v. Warriors -8 | Top | 110-116 | Loss | -102 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
It's an added bonus if the Warriors get back Draymond Green back for this game. But if not, the Warriors have the firepower with Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson, along with a good situational spot, to roll past Orlando. The Magic are coming off a highly satisfying and intense upset of the Lakers beating them 108-104 on Sunday. In their previous road game, the Magic lost to Denver by 25 points. The Warriors should be focused. Not only did they see what happened to the Lakers, but they go on a five-game road trip starting Thursday following this game. The Magic are playing for third time in four days and second in two days. Golden State has dominated the series winning the past 10 meetings against the Magic with eight of the victories occurring by eight or more points.
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11-25-18 | Packers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 33 h 36 m | Show |
The Packers didn't make the playoffs last season. They aren't going to make the postseason either this season. The reasons are many: A talent shortage. Stale coaching by Mike McCarthy. Key injuries. Lack of a pass rush. Vulnerable secondary. Aaron Rodgers performing at a good rather than great level.  The Vikings aren't at the elite level of the Rams and Saints. But they are coming on and clearly are a tier higher than the Packers.  Green Bay is 0-5 on the road this season. The Lions, Seahawks and Redskins all whipped the Packers when they hosted them. The Packers lost to those teams by an average of 8.3 points a game. None of those three teams are as good as Minnesota.  The Packers are 1-6-2 ATS the past nine times they have been underdogs. Their history under McCarthy is very bad as underdogs. They don't win games they are not expected to win.  This is the third year the Vikings are playing their home games at U.S. Bank Stadium. It is a very strong home field. The Packers are 0-2 there having lost 23-10 last season and 17-14 in 2016 when Sam Bradford was Minnesota's quarterback.  The Vikings were missing their two best offensive linemen, Pat Elfein and Brian O'Neill, when they met the Packers in Green Bay in Week 2. The game finished in a 29-29 tie. Vikings kicker Daniel Carlson missed three field goals, including two in overtime. Elfein and O'Neill are back for the Vikings. Carlson has been replaced by steady Dan Bailey, who has made 14 of 17 field goals for Minnesota with one of those misses caused by a bad snap.  The Vikings have come on since that early season game. Their defense was elite last season and it has yielded just 263.6 yards during the past five games. That would rank No. 1 in the NFL by 37 yards if computed during the entire season. Just two games ago, the Vikings amassed 10 sacks in a 24-9 win against the Lions.  Maybe because his knee still isn't 100 percent. Maybe it's because of his barely concealed ill feelings toward McCarthy. Whatever it is, Rodgers isn't having is typical season. There has been tremendous quarterback play from a number of quarterbacks - Patrick Mahomes, Philip Rivers, Andrew Luck, Dree Brees, Matt Ryan and Jared Goff. Rodgers hasn't performed at that level.  Rodgers is going to face tremendous inside pressure from the Vikings' defensive line and he doesn't have quality guards to protect him. He's also down several of his receivers, including Randall Cobb, Geronimo Allison and possibly Jimmy Graham, who has a broken thumb.  The Packers are thin defensively especially at safety. Green Bay also is without its best defensive player, tackle Mike Daniels. Kirk Cousins has the weapons to take advantage with Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs. Look for Dalvin Cook to have a big game, too, now that he's healthy. Green Bay's run defense really goes downhill minus Daniels.Â
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11-25-18 | Jazz -135 v. Kings | 133-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm taking the Jazz here knowing full well that their leading scorer, Donovan Mitchell, won't play because of a bruised rib. The Jazz have been one of the more disappointing teams this season. I realize that, too.  But this is short revenge and the Kings are off a hard-played 117-116 road loss to Golden State last night.  Utah has won during its past seven visits to Sacramento. The Jazz actually have been settled down in Sacramento before the Kings since they were idle on Saturday. The Kings shot way above their heads making 52.8 percent of their field goals in beating the Jazz, 119-110, this past Wednesday in Salt Lake City. The Kings have made 47.6 percent of their shots from the floor on the season. That is above average. However, they rank last in free throw percentage and are 27th defensively. The Jazz ranked eighth defensively. There is no chance of them taking the Kings lightly.Â
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11-25-18 | Steelers -3 v. Broncos | 17-24 | Loss | -105 | 125 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm not so sure this a flat spot that some envision here for the Steelers. Pittsburgh was flat for nearly the entire game last week on the road against the Jaguars, yet still pulled out a victory. That might be a wake-up call for the Steelers because talent-wise there is no comparison between these two teams.  So I'm going to ride the Steelers at a line I'm surprised opened so low. There is no comparison in the offenses. The Steelers are one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL. The Broncos are below average with a below average quarterback and an injury ravaged offensive line. Pittsburgh's defense has come on holding its past seven foes to an average of fewer than 16 points a game while leading the NFL in sacks with 37. The Steelers should dominate the Broncos' beat-up offensive line.Â
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11-25-18 | Jaguars -3 v. Bills | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 43 m | Show | |
As toxic and unappealing as the Jaguars are, they still are a field goal better than the Bills. Buffalo likely gets Josh Allen back, but he's no savior but just a turnover-prone rookie. The Bills have one of the worst offenses of all-time.  Buffalo put up 41 points on the Jets in its last game and still ranks LAST in scoring at 13.7 points a game and second-to-last in yards. The Jaguars defense isn't lacking in talent. They have elite players and should be able to come up with takeaways against the punchless Bills, who rank last in passing yards. Buffalo has failed to break the 13-point barrier in seven of its 10 games. Blake Bortles remains a quarterback without a passing touch, but he does have the splendid Leonard Fournette to take the load off him and set up play-action. |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks v. Panthers -3 | 30-27 | Loss | -125 | 121 h 14 m | Show | |
I want the Panthers going for me when they are at home especially with a low line against a mediocre opponent. The Panthers have won their last 10 home games, including all five this season. They are 8-2 ATS in those 10 games.  Carolina averages 35.5 points at home, which is 15.5 points more per game than they average on the road. Cam Newton has better weapons this season and is playing well. Seattle's defense is way down from past seasons and its offense is below average at nearly every position except quarterback. The Seahawks have gone back to being run-oriented. Carolina, though, ranks eighth in run defense and has tremendously athletic linebackers to stop Wilson's short passes.Â
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11-25-18 | Giants v. Eagles OVER 47 | 22-25 | Push | 0 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
Look for a shootout in this matchup. The Eagles' secondary is decimated. How decimated? They are down their top FIVE cornerbacks. The Saints took advantage to pile up 48 points and 546 yards last week against Philadelphia. Yes that was the Saints. Still, 545 yards is 545 yards.  Eli Manning is playing better thanks to a revamped offensive line and skill position superstars Odell Beckham Jr. and Saquon Barkley, who had 229 rushing/receiving yards in the first meeting between the two teams when the Eagles were far healthier on defense.  Carson Wentz was rounding into top shape. The Eagles just got steamrolled by the Saints, who are playing better than any team in the NFL right now. Wentz should be in line for a big performance against a gutted Giants defense that weakened its run defense by trading Damon Harrison. Wentz has very good receiving weapons that were upgraded with Golden Tate coming to Philadelphia. Josh Adams has upgraded the Eagles' ground attack.Â
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11-24-18 | Utah State v. Boise State -145 | Top | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
Utah State has been a monster surprise this season. The Utes deserve plenty of kudos. But I don't see them beating Boise State on the road. The Broncos are far more experienced in big games like this and have dominated this series defeating the Aggies nine of the past 10 times.  Boise State has won its last six games, including defeating Colorado State by 28 points. Utah State was fortunate to just nip the Rams, 29-24, last Saturday. Colorado State appeared to have won the game on a 34-yard touchdown pass with no time left, but the score was negated by a penalty.  The combination of veteran QB Brett Rypien and a strong defensive front are the winning keys for the Broncos. Just two weeks ago, the Broncos were short home 'dogs to Fresno State and they beat the Bulldogs by seven points. I don't see Utah State faring any better than Fresno State at this venue.Â
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11-24-18 | Rockets -10 v. Cavs | 108-117 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
No brilliant insight here. I just want the Rockets off a loss and the Cavaliers off a victory after both teams played last night. The Rockets lost 116-111 in overtime to the Pistons while the Cavaliers stunned the 76ers, 121-112, on the road. Aside from underrated center, Clint Capela, the Rockets didn't play well, while Cleveland played perhaps its finest game of the season.  I'm projecting the Rockets to play much better and the Cavaliers to get back to playing at their level, which is being one of the worst teams in the NBA.  After a slow start, the Rockets have gotten back on track. They are 8-3 in their last 11 games. They followed up their previous loss - a 96-89 defeat to the Spurs - by blowing out the Pacers 115-103 in the following game The Rockets have won by 10 or more points during three of their last four victories.  Cleveland's previous victory came four games ago when it upset Charlotte, 113-89. The Cavaliers had to play the very next day and were blown out by the Wizards, 119-95.  The Rockets have dominated this series even when the Cavaliers had Lebron James winning 10 of the last 12 meetings.Â
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11-24-18 | Troy +10.5 v. Appalachian State | 10-21 | Loss | -109 | 45 h 19 m | Show | |
Troy can hang in with defense. The Trojans have covered in 19 of their last 26 road games and are 8-1-1 ATS in their past 10 Sun Belt Conference games. This a showdown matchup to decide the East half of the Sun Belt. Troy hasn't lost in Sun Belt play this season winning all seven games. The Trojans give up only 21.2 points a game.  The teams last met two seasons ago and none of the games were decided by more than four points. |
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11-24-18 | Texas Tech v. Baylor OVER 63 | 24-35 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 53 m | Show | |
Both teams are off bad performances. Now they each step down in class against lower-caliber defenses. So I envision a loose, fast-tempo matchup where offense, not defense, rules. Texas Tech has firepower no matter who is behind center. The Red Raiders rank 17th in the nation in scoring at 38.5 points a game. Baylor has already been torched for 58 and 66 points during their last seven games. The Bears have come up with just one takeaway during their past four games. Look for the Bears to put up their share of points, too. Baylor has faced Iowa State and TCU in its last two games. Now they step down as Texas Tech ranks 107th in yards allowed. Charlie Brewer is in line for a big passing game as the Red Raiders have the 127th rated pass defense.Â
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11-23-18 | Canucks v. Sharks OVER 6 | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Vancouver's defense has really slipped. The Canucks are giving up an average of 35 shots per game during their last seven games. The Canucks have surrendered at least three goals in nine of their past 10 games.  The Sharks should be able to take advantage. They have scored three or more goals in eight of their last nine games. The Over has cashed in 10 of San Jose's past 14 games.  Note, too. Vancouver is going to start backup goalie Anders Nilsson.Â
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11-23-18 | Washington v. Washington State OVER 48.5 | 28-15 | Loss | -102 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
Given the quality of these quarterbacks, it's not hard to imagine each team scoring at least 24 points.  Washington senior Jake Browning has 94 career TD throws. He has one of the top senior RB's in the country in Myles Gaskin. They've helped the Huskies scored 27 or more points in seven of their last eight games. Gaskin rushed for 192 yards and scored four touchdowns against the Cougars last season in the Huskies' 41-14 victory. Washington State senior Gardner Minshew II is putting up Heisman Trophy-worthy numbers, including throwing a nation-leading 36 TD passes. The Cougars are coming a 69-28 romp against Arizona where Minshew fired a school-record seven touchdown passes.Â
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11-23-18 | Arkansas State v. NC-Wilmington OVER 155.5 | 64-78 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Arkansas State has gone Over the total in 11 of its last 13 games. This includes both lined games this season. The Red Wolves are a terrible defensive team, but like to push pace. The same with UNC Wilmington. Fast pace plus bad defense means lot of points.
 Wilmington has gone Over the total in 12 of its last 16 non conference games. |
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11-23-18 | Wolves -125 v. Nets | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
If the Timberwolves are serious about making the playoffs again they can't lose to teams such as the Nets.  Minnesota defeated Brooklyn, 120-113, at home 11 days ago.  The Timberwolves should be able to beat the Nets again with newcomers Robert Covington and Dario Saric more settled. Minnesota's chemistry should be better, too, with the Jimmy Butler cloud disappeared following his trade to the 76ers.  The Nets can't match the Timberwolves' talent level and haven't been a good home club failing to cover in 14 of their last 19 games at Barclays Centers. |
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11-23-18 | Buffalo v. Bowling Green OVER 60 | Top | 44-14 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 3 m | Show |
Buffalo ranks 28th in scoring averaging 34.5 points. The Bulls have scored 31 or more points in five of their seven MAC games and have gone Over in eight of their last 10 games. Bowling Green isn't going to be able to slow down the Bulls. The Falcons are terrible defensively surrendering 39.6 points a game to rank 122nd while rating 107th in yards allowed. Â The Over has cashed in six of the Falcons' last eight home games. It's a red flag for Buffalo that its defense surrendered 52 points and 646 yards to Ohio in its last game. |
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11-22-18 | Michigan State v. UCLA UNDER 158 | 87-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Look for defense to prevail in this marquee matchup. Both teams have been involved in high scoring games while playing inferior competition. Now each team faces a serious defense.  Michigan State piled up 106 points versus Florida Gulf Coast and 101 points to Tennessee Tech.  UCLA is 4-0 with victories against Purdue Fort Wayne, Long Beach State, St. Francis and Presbyterian. All of those victories came at home. Now the Bruins are meeting Michigan State at a neutral site, the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas. Â
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11-22-18 | Falcons +13 v. Saints | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 20 m | Show |
At 4-6, the Falcons are on life support. They are in must-win mode while the Saints are on cruise control. Normally the home team has a huge edge on Thursday games. But the Falcons are familiar with their division rival and this isn't a long trip.  The Saints nipped the Falcons, 43-37, in overtime back in Week 3. I see the same back-and-forth type offensive fireworks in the rematch. Drew Brees is having another brilliant season, but so is Matt Ryan, who threw for five touchdowns in the first meeting.  As geat as the Saints have been this season, they are 0-4 ATS the past two yers when laying nine or more points.Â
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11-21-18 | Avalanche -115 v. Kings | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
LA has the worst record in the NHL at 7-12. The Kings have dropped 10 of their last 14 home games going back to last season. Colorado is the superior team and in a better situational spot. The Avalanche last played on Sunday in Anaheim. They have been in Southern California ever since awaiting this matchup. They should be fresh, prepared and rested. Colorado has won three of its last four games. The Avalance are the third-highest scoring team in the league at 3.6 goals.  The Kings are coming off a road underdog victory Monday night against the Blues. This marks their fourth game in six days and first home game in nearly a week coming a day before Thanksgiving after three road games in a row. So focus could be an issue for the Kings. LA ranks 31st in scoring and allows more goals per game than Colorado. The Kings also are down their first two goalies with Jonathan Quick and Jack Campbell injured.   LA is 3-13 following a victory. The Kings also have lost 12 of the past 15 times versus Western Conference opponents.Â
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11-21-18 | Suns v. Bulls -125 | 116-124 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
Phoenix is 0-7 on the road this season. So it's not too much to ask of the Bulls to just win this game. Chicago should produce a strong effort having been idle the past three days. The Bulls have covered 10 of the last 14 times when playing on three or more days rest. The Suns have some young talent, but they don't produce victories. They are 3-13 on the season and have dropped six of their last seven games. Zach LaVine is Chicago's best player. He's expected to return to the lineup after missing the Bulls' last game due to illness. LaVine should be able to take advantage of a Phoenix defense that ranks 29th in field goal percentage.Â
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11-20-18 | Nets v. Heat -3 | Top | 104-92 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
I don't understand this line. Miami should have opened a much higher home favorite. True the Heat aren't playing well. They are a disappointing 6-10 and have lost five of their last six.  But the Nets are 7-10 and have lost four of their last five. Brooklyn just recently lost its best player, Caris LeVert.  The teams met just six days ago in Brooklyn. The Heat were a two-point road favorite. Now they open only a three-point home favorite. The Heat won that game,. 120-107. Miami is a frustrated team capable of much better. The Heat have the two best players on the court, Josh Richardson and Hassan Whiteside.  The Nets aren't capable of better. They are not a playoff caliber team. They aren't playing defense either giving up 120 or more points in three of their last four games. |
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11-19-18 | Celtics -125 v. Hornets | Top | 112-117 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
When they set their mind to it, the Celtics can beat any team in the Eastern Conference. They proved that defeating the Raptors, 123-116, this past Friday. But the Celtics were caught flat on Saturday losing 98-86 to the Jazz at home. Brad Stevens wasn't happy with the effort questioning his team's grit.  Now, having been idle on Sunday, I see the Celtics getting up to play the Hornets. The Hornets are just an average Eastern Conference team, one that has fallen short of making the playoffs. Boston has far more depth. The question is motivation. The Celtics should have it. They certainly own the talent edge.  Boston has dominated the Hornets, too, beating them the past seven times while going 6-0-1 ATS. The Celtics swept three games from the Hornets last season holding them to an average of 94.7 points.Â
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11-19-18 | Stars v. Rangers -104 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a tough spot for Dallas. The Stars are playing for the third time in four days. They are coming off a 6-2 Sunday road victory against the Islanders. The Stars have lost 14 of their last 20 road games. They are 6-13 the past 19 times following a victory.  Dallas is 0-2 this season when playing without rest losing each of those games by three goals each. The Rangers have won five in a row at Madison Square Garden. They are 7-2 in their last nine games overall.
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11-18-18 | Vikings +3 v. Bears | Top | 20-25 | Loss | -125 | 131 h 40 m | Show |
Coming off their bye, the Vikings have gotten healthier on defense and their defense is coming on ranking in the top-five during their past four games.  Minnesota is close to full strength now and has Dalvin Cook back to provide a home run threat on offense, which it was lacking before. Cook's dangerous presence can mitigate the Bears' pass rush because of his value as a receiving back.  Kirk Cousins rates a strong edge on Mitchell Trubisky. The Bears also are unstable at kicker with Cody Parkey missing four kicks last Sunday, including two extra points. The Vikings took care of their kicking issues by signing highly accurate and reliable Dan Bailey. |
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11-18-18 | Pennsylvania v. Kansas State UNDER 146.5 | 48-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
This total opened too high based on perception. Kansas State scored 95 points on Eastern Kentucky in its last game two days ago. But Penn is an entirely opposite opponent. The Quakers do not push tempo. The Wildcats are a more deliberate type team, too. |
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11-18-18 | Blazers -117 v. Wizards | 119-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
The Trail Blazers have revenge for 125-124 overtime home loss to the Wizards last month. Portland is the superior team and will be up for this matchup not just for the revenge angle but also having lost two in a row. Portland has reached triple digits in all but one of their first 15 games. The Trail Blazers have the backcourt scoring to take advantage of the Wizards' 29th-ranked defense. Damian Lillard trumps John Wall.  Aside from their upset win of the Trail Blazers, the Wizards haven't defeated any foe of distinction. Their victories have been against the Knicks, Heat, Magic and Cavaliers.
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11-18-18 | Eagles +9.5 v. Saints | 7-48 | Loss | -120 | 87 h 57 m | Show | |
The Eagles can hang with the Saints. Philadelphia's losses this season have come by an average of 4.4 points. Only once in their last 31 games have the Eagles lost by more than seven points.  This is a pivotal game for the Eagles, trailing the Redskins by two games in the NFC East Division.  The Saints, on the other hand, are fat and happy sitting at 8-1. Drew Brees is having another outstanding season, but Carson Wentz can hang with him. Wentz is back healthy. He's thrown two or more touchdowns in his last six games. The Eagles' offense is improved with the addition of Golden Tate and their defense is better than New Orleans. The Saints rank 24th defensively in points allowed and yards given up.  New Orleans also suffered a key injury last week losing offensive let tackle Terron Armstead to a shoulder injury.Â
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11-18-18 | Broncos v. Chargers -7 | 23-22 | Loss | -105 | 126 h 27 m | Show | |
The Chargers have been playing extremely well. They are a bit below the radar considering they are 16-5 SU, 13-8 ATS in their last 21 games. They are 7-1 in their last eight games at their temporary home at StubHub Center. Philip Rivers quietly has put together an MVP-caliber season with the third-highest passer rating in the league at 115.4 and a 21-to-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio.  One of the trademarks of the Broncos under Vance Joseph is their horrendous road record. Denver is 2-9 SU, 3-8 ATS under Joseph in away games. Case Keenum has had problems on the road. He has been sacked 14 times and turned the ball over eight times in Denver's four away matchups this season.Â
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11-18-18 | Raiders v. Cardinals -4.5 | 23-21 | Loss | -114 | 29 h 27 m | Show | |
The Raiders are introducing a new thing to the NFL, something bottom feeders in the NBA have been doing for a long time: Tanking.  Oakland can get away with this because its coach, Jon Gruden, is armed with a 10-year contract and enormous power. It's actually in the best interest of the Raiders to do their best to secure the No. 1 overall draft pick and set themselves up for down the road when they move to Las Vegas to start over because they sure aren't doing anything this season.  The Raiders are historically bad. How bad? They have lost five straight games by two touchdowns or more. If they lose by a two-touchdown margin to the Cardinals they will tie the longest streak for those type of losses since the 1970 AFL-NFL merger.  The flip side of this is the Cardinals are a play-on team against this opponent. The Cardinals' offense has improved since Byron Leftwich became the offensive coordinator a couple of weeks ago. Josh Rosen is flashing now and David Johnson looks like the stud back of two years ago with the Cardinals doing a better job of getting him in space and making sure he gets a lot of touches. The Raiders rank 30th in run defense and give up the third-most points per game in the NFL at 30.2.  The Raiders can't protect Derek Carr, who has become nothing more than a dink-and-dunk passer lacking playmakers. The Cardinals rank sixth in sacks. They should dominate a porous Oakland offensive line. Chandler Jones is a premier pass rusher.  The Cardinals can be counted on for a good effort. They want to deliver their home fans a strong showing. The Raiders can't even be relied upon to try these days espcially in a non-conference matchup.Â
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11-18-18 | Texans -142 v. Redskins | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 123 h 21 m | Show | |
The Texans come in off their bye to face a Redskins team that lacks dynamic skill position players and is down three starting offensive linemen, including both of their guards and star left tackle Trent Williams. Houston should easily win the line of scrimmage with J.J. Watt and Jadeveon Clowney potentially dominating.  Washington was extremely fortunate to get past the self-destructing Buccaneers last week. The Redskins were outgained by 215 yards.  The Texans have won their last three road games. DeShaun Watson and Lamar Miller are playing better. DeAndre Hopkins is in the argument for best wide receiver in football and now he's joined by Demaryious Thomas, who has shown renewed life since joining Houston.  I just don't believe the Redskins are any good. This is a spot to fade them with the superior team.Â
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11-17-18 | Jazz v. Celtics UNDER 208.5 | 98-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
The Celtics got past Toronto, 123-116 in overtime, last night. The Celtics should not be in a letdown mode facing the Jazz, who beat them 123-115 eight days ago in Salt Lake City.  Boston will look to clamp down defensively. The Jazz shot an unsustaniable 55.8 percent from the field in that victory. The Celtics did not defend well in that game. Boston also won't be looking to play up-tempo in the second of back-to-back games.  The Jazz only scored 68 points in a road game two games ago against the Mavericks. Utah's offense needs Donovan Mitchell to have big performances. Mitchell, though, is in a slump shooting just 33.3 percent in his last four games while committing 12 turnovers.Â
 The Celtics rank No. 1 in 3-point defense and third overall in points given up. Look for a complete reversal from the heavy scoring that was done in the first matchup as the Jazz have to rely on their top-10 defense to hang in. |
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11-17-18 | Panthers v. Rangers +122 | 2-4 | Win | 122 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
Both the Panthers and Rangers had winning streaks snapped in their last games. Florida had won five in a row. But the Panthers were outscored, 7-1, during the final two periods by the Blue Jackets on Thursday. I don't see the Panthers snapping back so fast against the Rangers, who are 6-2 in their last eight games.  New York is 4-0 in its last four home games. The Panthers have lost during nine of their last 13 away games to the Rangers. Florida also carries a high fatigue rating as this marks its fifth game in eight days.  So I'll go ahead and take a plus price with the Rangers.Â
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11-17-18 | Connecticut v. East Carolina OVER 69 | 21-55 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
This might seem like a very high total until your realize Connecticut lost 62-50 to SMU last week. The Huskies could have the worst defense in the nation ranking last or near the bottom in yards and points given up.  East Carolina quarterback Holton Ahlers has looked very good the past three games proving to be an effective dual threat.Â
 The Huskies will put up their share of points against an East Carolina defense that gives up nearly 35 points a game and ranks 107th in scoring defense. The Pirates have surrendered 35 or more points in five of their last six games. |
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11-17-18 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State +7 | Top | 6-21 | Win | 100 | 25 h 24 m | Show |
Kansas State is a must-win mode if it wants to make it nine straight years of going to a bowl game. The Wildcats have a strong history of covering as a 'dog under Bill Snyder and they surely won't lack motivation here with speculation this could be Snyder's final home game. He could be retiring after 27 years of coaching.  So this is going to be an emotional setting at Bill Snyder Family Memorial Stadium. Kansas State has lost three games by a combined nine points. The Wildcats have the superior rushing attack - led by Alex Barnes one the best running backs in the country - and better defense.  Texas Tech has been regressing. The Red Raiders have lost three in a row. They are likely not to have injured quarterback Alan Bowman available. He's recovering from a lung injury.  Kansas State has won the last three in the series, including winning 42-35 at Texas Tech last season.Â
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11-17-18 | Wisconsin +4 v. Purdue | 47-44 | Win | 100 | 24 h 29 m | Show | |
This has been a disappointing season for Wisconsin. But the Badgers shouldn't be a road 'dog against Purdue. Wisconsin has beaten Purdue 12 straight times, including the past seven at Purdue.  The Badgers have lost to strong competition. They might not have their starting quarterback, Alex Hornibrook, back either. He's questionable with a concussion.  But Wisconsin wins behind star running back Jonathan Taylor and one of the top offensive lines in the country. Taylor leads the nation in rushing with 1,548 yards.  The Boilermakers peaked when they upset Ohio State. They have lost two of their past three games losing by 10 to Michigan State and by 31 to Minnesota. Their lone win during the past three games came by two points at home against Iowa. The Boilermakers may be distracted by frequent coaching rumors surrounding Jeff Brohm their head coach.  Wisconsin has covered 12 of its last 16 road games.Â
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11-17-18 | Virginia +5 v. Georgia Tech | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
Even though this is a division game it's kind of a sandwich spot for Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets are coming off a huge win against Miami and are at hated in-state rival Georgia next week. Virginia is playing well winning four of its last five games. The Cavaliers had a much easier game than Georgia Tech last week dispatching Liberty, 45-24.  Unlike Georgia Tech, Virginia has a balanced attack. Cavaliers QB Bryce Perkins is No. 1 in the ACC in points accounting for 26 TD's. The Yellow Jackets have a below average defense giving up 27.5 points per game.  The Cavaliers know how to defend Georgia Tech's unique option offense thanks to head coach Bronco Mendenhall. His teams are 9-2 SU and ATS when facing triple-option opponents.Â
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11-17-18 | UL-Monroe v. Arkansas State OVER 66 | 17-31 | Loss | -109 | 111 h 8 m | Show | |
Defense? What defense. Not when these two teams meet. The Over has cashed five of the past six times they have met. Arkansas State beat UL-Monroe 67-50 last season. Both offenses are gliding along. Monroe has scored 38 or more in three of its last four games. Arkansas State is averaging 44 points in its last four games and going against the Warhawks' 96th ranked defense both in points allowed and yards allowed.
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11-16-18 | Bulls +14.5 v. Bucks | 104-123 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
You might be interested to know that the highest-scoring player on the court in this game belongs to the Bulls in Zach LaVine. But that's not why I like the Bulls to cover this game. This is a rare nationally televised appearance for the Bulls. They are coming off an embarrassing 111-82 road loss to the Celtics on Wednesday. Chicago gets up for this division rivalry moreso than the Bucks do. So I envision a focused and big effort coming from the Bulls. The Bulls have covered in four of their last five visits to Milwaukee, including the past three.  Before the Boston massacre, the Bulls were playing solid defense holding four of their past five foes to 103 points or fewer.Â
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11-16-18 | Memphis v. SMU +8.5 | Top | 28-18 | Loss | -102 | 33 h 57 m | Show |
SMU has come on be tied for first in the AAC West Conference. Mustangs QB Ben Hicks is having a nice season with 1,919 yards and 16 TD passes of which 10 have come during the past four games. The Mustangs have a deep crop of running backs, too. Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games and lacks the defense to cover this big of a road number. The Tigers' record has been fattened up by the weak foes they have played such as Mercer, Georgia State, South Alabama, UConn, East Carolina and Tulsa.Â
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11-16-18 | Capitals +130 v. Avalanche | 3-2 | Win | 130 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
The Capitals are dealing with some injuries, but I like the defending Stanley Cup champions at this nice 'dog price in a rebound position following a 3-1 road loss to the Jets on Wednesday. There is no disputing Washington's talent and the Capitals showed their mental toughness in winning the Cup last season. Colorado is a bit fat and happy having won two in a row, including posting an impressive 6-3 victory against the Bruins at home this past Wednesday.  Washington has defeated Colorado in seven of the past eight meetings. The Capitals also catch a break as the Avalanche have announced backup Phillpp Grubauer will be in net today. The Capitals know their former goalie well. Grubauer is not one of the better backups with a 3.55 GAA and .892 save percentage.
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11-16-18 | Kennesaw State v. Missouri UNDER 133 | 52-55 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
Note this game is at a neutral site in the Virgin Islands in a gym unfamilar to both teams, which is a plus for the Under. Kennesaw State hasn't shown anything offensively scoring a combined 101 points versus Kansas State and Samford. The Under has cashed in seven of its last nine games. |
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11-15-18 | Spurs +5.5 v. Clippers | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 22 h 2 m | Show | |
Perhaps it's a leap of faith, but I see the Spurs showing up in a big way. San Antonio is in full circle the wagons mode having lost four of its last five games. The Spurs were just embarrassed on the road Wednesday getting blown out by the Suns, 116-96. Good teams beat the Suns by 20 points not the other way around. I don't see Gregg Popovich letting his team get humiliated a second straight night especially with this game being televised nationally on TNT.  There is no valid excuse for any team losing by 20 points to the Suns - and that includes the Washington Generals. But the Spurs did rest Rudy Gay and Pau Gasol was out. It's a plus if Gasol is able to play. I will take LaMarcus Aldridge, DeMar DeRozan and Gay against the Clippers' top three players. The Clippers are fat and happy by contrast compared to the Spurs. LA is off overtime victories against the Bucks and Warriors. The Clippers have played their past four games without their two best defenders, Avery Bradley and Luc Mbah a Moute. During this span, the Clippers rank 22nd in points given up per 100 possessions. Before those two injuries, the Clippers were fifth in that important defensive category.  There's a due factor waiting to kick in against the Clippers - and I say it comes here.Â
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11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks -133 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 75 h 57 m | Show |
The Packers aren't very good - 7-13 in their last 20 games - are shorthanded in the secondary and traveling on a short week. Green Bay has yet to win a road game losing to the Patriots, Rams, Lions and Redskins.  Seattle has become a strong rushing team averaging 5.3 yards rushing per carry during its last five games. Russell Wilson is even more dangerous when backed by a strong running attack.  Aaron Rodgers doesn't have his past receiving weapons and isn't 100 percent. His mobility is impacted by a knee brace. He no longer can carry a sub-par team by himself.Â
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11-15-18 | Devils v. Flyers -128 | 3-0 | Loss | -128 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
The Flyers had won three in a row until losing at home to the Panthers, 2-1, on Tuesday. Look for the Flyers to bounce back hosting the Devils, who are 1-7 on the road this season. Going back to last season, New Jersey is 3-13 in its past 16 away contests.  Philadelphia had scored 3 or more goals in six straight games before losing to the Panthers. The Devils rank 29th defensively.  The spot and matchup both favor the Flyers enough to lay this juice.
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11-14-18 | Heat -124 v. Nets | Top | 120-107 | Win | 100 | 17 h 60 m | Show |
It should not be too much to ask of Miami to beat Brooklyn especially with the Nets now without Caris LeVert, who is their scoring and steals leader. The Nets have to be in a shocked and down mood after LeVert suffered a gruesome foot injury in the Nets' last game two days ago.  The Heat have the three best players on the court in Hassan Whiteside, Josh Richardson and Goran Dragic. Miami isn't going to lack motivation taking to the road after suffering their third consecutive loss - all at home.  The Nets have failed to cover in 12 of their last 17 home games. They also are 4-10-1 ATS in their past 15 matchups against the Heat.
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11-13-18 | Maple Leafs -125 v. Kings | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm not reluctant to lay this road price with the Maple Leafs. Toronto is 11-6 and proven on the road going 6-1 in its away matchups. The Maple Leafs just lost their first road game, 5-1, to the Bruins this past Saturday. I like their chances of rebounding against the Kings. The Maple Leafs rank sixth in scoring and also have the sixth-best power play.  The Kings are 5-10-1. They are scoring a league-worst 2.06 goals per game. So the Kings must play effective defense. Unfortunately their first two goalies are hurt leaving either third-stringer Peter Budaj or just recalled Cal Petersen from the American Hockey League to be in net. Petersen's AHL numbers were a 4.29 goals against average and .881 save percentage. So not only will the Maple Leafs have a huge offensive edge, but also a strong goalie advantage, too, with Frederik Andersen in net.Â
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11-13-18 | Hornets v. Cavs +8.5 | 89-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
It seems almost unfair given how bad they are without LeBron James. But the Cavaliers have been one of the hardest hit team by injuries so far this NBA season.  Still, I expect the Cavaliers to give an all-out effort here and keep this game close.  Cleveland was embarrassed by Charlotte, 126-94, just 10 days ago. That was at Charlotte. Now the Cavaliers get quick revenge. They have beaten the Hornets the past seven times at home although that was with James. Still, it could be a mental barrier against the Hornets. Charlotte is in action for the third time in five days. The Hornets lost in overtime to the 76ers and then beat the Pistons, 113-103, as 2 1/2-point road chalk. I see this as a flat spot for the Hornets, who while certainly a level higher than Cleveland, are not the type of dominant team that can cover huge spreads on the road.  The Cavaliers have veterans. They are not happy with only one win this season. Cleveland has played better of late. Since getting blown out by Charlotte, Cleveland lost by two points on the road to Orlando and by one point on the road to the Bulls in their last game this past Saturday.Â
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11-13-18 | Western Michigan -7.5 v. Ball State | Top | 41-42 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
Back in Week 2, Ball State hung in against Notre Dame losing, 24-16. Since then, though, things have gone way downhill for the Cardinals. They are 2-6 since that close loss and out of conference and bowl contention. Their starting quarterback, Riley Neal, is out with a knee injury and their top running back, James Gilbert, has been demoted to second team after missing last week's game with a back injury.  Ball State has gotten blasted in its last two games losing, 52-14 to Ohio and 45-13 to Toledo. The Cardinals have two games left and their coaching staff has made it known they are going to be looking at younger players. There are inexperienced players in the secondary and in the offensive line.  Western Michigan needs this game to keep its MAC West Division title hopes alive and also secure a bowl bid. The Broncos buried the Cardinals, 55-3, last season. The Broncos are treating this as their most important game of the season.Â
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11-12-18 | Warriors -130 v. Clippers | 116-121 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
No Stephen Curry and Draymond Green. So we have a very short line here. No worries. The Warriors still have a star-studded lineup with Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson being the two best players on the court and a very strong bench. Quinn Cook has done a fine job filling-in for Curry. Sparked by Cook, the Warrors buried the Nets, 116-100, on Saturday. Golden State has defeated the Clippers 13 of the last 14 times.  The Warriors are even more focused minus Curry and Green. I'll back them at this small number.Â
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11-12-18 | Giants +3.5 v. 49ers | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Now that there is film on Nick Mullens, I don't see him performing like he did last Thursday when he sparked the 49ers to an easy win against the Raiders. He is a limited player with flaws. That nationally televised game has caused this line to be inflated. The Giants are better than the Raiders and aren't tanking. This nationally televised game is a chance to give them some redemption. I expect an all out effort from the Giants.  Eli Manning actually can have a good game facing such a beat-up and vulnerable secondary. The Giants have by far the two best skilled position players in Saquan Barkley and Odell Beckham Jr. |
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11-12-18 | Jazz -3 v. Grizzlies | Top | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
The Jazz already have double revenge against the Grizzlies. They are 0-2 versus Memphis this season with both losses occurring in Salt Lake City. Utah was missing Donovan Mitchell in one those losses. Mitchell is healthy now and the Jazz are playing better.  The Grizzlies are improved this season. But they are not in Utah's class. The Grizzlies have fed on a bunch of bad teams at home beating the Hawks, Suns and Wizards. Memphis is coming off a 112-106 home overtime victory against the 76ers. The Grizzlies caught the 76ers in the second of back-to-back games following Philadelphia's home overtime win against the Hornets. The 76ers ran out of gas in that game.Â
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11-11-18 | Bucks v. Nuggets -3 | 121-114 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
The Bucks and Nuggets have been two of the hottest teams in the NBA each opening 9-3. The timing and spot, though, favor the Nuggets here. Denver catches Milwaukee at the conclusion of a four-game, six-day road swing. Making this fatigue rating higher for the Bucks is they lost 128-126 in overtime to the Clippers on Saturday falling on a Lou Williams basket with 0.3 seconds left. The Bucks exerted a lot of energy both physical and emotional into that game coming from 15 points down. The Nuggets should be fired-up and ready after they were upset by the lowly Nets, 112-110, at home on Friday. Denver was 6-0 at Pepsi Center until that shocking loss. Denver has defeated Milwaukee eight consecutive times at home. The Bucks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games going back to last season. |
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11-11-18 | Dolphins v. Packers OVER 47 | Top | 12-31 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 5 m | Show |
I have no doubt the Packers are going to get their points here. Until beating the punchless Jets last week, the Dolphins had surrendered an average of 33.4 points and 175.6 yards rushing during their past five games.  Aaron Rodgers can beat the Dolphins passing and Aaron Jones, who averages an NFL-best 6.0 yards per carry, can hurt a Miami run defense that ranks 28th. Just two games ago, DeShaun Watson threw five touchdown passes for the Texans in a 42-23 victory against the Dolphins. Houston has not broken 20 points during their four other games in this five-week span.   The key question is how many points can the Dolphins score knowing Brock Osweiler is their quarterback another week? I hate Osweiler. But Green Bay's defense isn't very good and Osweiler has several playmakers. If you discount the Bills and their all-time bad offense, the Packers have given up in their last six games 29, 31, 31, 30, 29 and 31 points. That's being consistent as in consistently bad.Â
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11-11-18 | Wild v. Blues -108 | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
The Blues are in short revenge mode after the Wild beat them in St. Louis, 5-1, eight days ago.  Minnesota is playing well. But so are the Blues and the spot sets up well for St. Louis.  This marks the Wild's seventh road game in a row. Minnesota is in action for the third time in four days and fourth in six days.  If it weren't for that loss to the Wild, the Blues would be riding a five-game win streak.
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11-11-18 | Redskins v. Bucs -150 | 16-3 | Loss | -150 | 35 h 43 m | Show | |
I can't see the Redskins keeping up with the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay has a dynamic passing attack leading the NFL in passing yards and ranking No. 2 in total yards. Ryan Fitzpatrick has a deep receiving group of Mike Evans, DeSean Jackson, Chris Godwin, Adam Humphries, O.J. Howard and Cameron Brate to put up outstanding numbers, which he has done this season. Few teams can match the quality of Tampa Bay's receiving group.  The Redskins are just the opposite on offense. They are an outdated ground-and-pound team with a dink-and-dunk quarterback and second-stringers dotting nearly their entire offensive line. The Redskins are down both of their starting guards and left tackle Trent Williams, their best offensive lineman. They may also be without their starting right tackle. Also out is Chris Thompson, who is their best pass-catching running back and lone dynamic skill position player.  The Redskins have failed to break the 20-point barrier in four of their last five games. They are averaging 19.2 points during this span - and that's before losing Williams along with starting guards Brandon Scherff and Shawn Lauvao. Wide receiver Paul Richardson also is out and Adrian Peterson is battling a shoulder injury. Alex Smith needs multiple weapons to succeed. He doesn't have them. Tampa Bay's defense is better with its star lineman Gerald McCoy healthy.  This is that rare matchup when a last-place 3-5 team does deserve to be favored against a 5-3 first-place team.Â
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11-11-18 | Saints v. Bengals +6 | 51-14 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 42 m | Show | |
The Saints are a very good team. That's evident by them winning their last seven games. But they are not some dominant powerhouse and they are facing a very difficult situation in this matchup.  Cincinnati is home and rested having just had their bye. The Saints are coming off their most impressive victory of the season, a home win against the previously unbeaten Rams. Up next for the Saints is a home game against the defending Super Bowl champion Eagles. This is a huge flat spot for them against a nonconference opponent on what is an off-surface for them being outdoors.  The Bengals have a good history in these instances being 9-2 ATS at home versus above .500 road foes. If you recall their two games before the Rams, the Saints were lucky to win both. They got past the Ravens when Baltimore missed an extra point that would have forced overtime and took advantage of two crucial turnovers to beat the Vikings despite being outgained by 150 yards. The Saints also were fortunte to nip the Browns on a late field goal, 21-18. The Browns could have forced overtime by making a 52-yard field goal at the end of regulation. Oh, yes, the Saints' lone loss came to Tampa Bay. The Browns and Buccaneers are a combined 5-11.  Cincinnati won't have its star wideout, A.J. Green. But the Bengals have other weapons, including breakout star wide receiver Tyler Boyd. Andy Dalton is on pace for a career-high in TD passes and the Bengals entered their bye week ranked first in red zone percentage touchdowns. Â
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11-11-18 | Cardinals v. Chiefs OVER 49.5 | 14-26 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 41 m | Show | |
Nobody has stopped the Chiefs offense yet. Arizona isn't going to be the first. Kansas City leads the NFL in points per game at 36.3. The Chiefs have scored 30 or more points in eight of their nine games. Patrick Mahomes is the first-half MVP and he's going to get plenty of help from running back Kareem Hunt, who goes against the Cardinals' 31st-ranked run defense.  The Cardinals offense showed life with the switch to Byron Leftwich as their new offensive coordinator. The Cardinals scored 15 points in the fourth quarter of their last game in an 18-15 victory against the 49ers. Rookie Josh Rosen set a career high in completions with 23 and in passing yards with 252 while throwing for two touchdowns.  Arizona was idle last week giving Leftwich even more time to tweak and make changes to the Cardinals' offense while allowing Larry Fitzgerald to get fully healthy. Look for Leftwich to provide max protection for Rosen in an effort to improve the Cardinals' passing game while also getting David Johnson more involved in space through screen passes and outside runs, something the Cardinals were not doing enough earlier in the season.Â
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